skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Can.

They sampled people who were getting tested for COVID, and divided the samples into vaccinated-with-breakthrough-cases-who-got-tested and unvaccinated-and-sick-who-got-tested.

This completely fails to account for people who are vaccinated, and don't have breakthrough cases, which is the overwhelming majority of vaccinated individuals.

Because of the incredible sampling bias in the study [1], the conclusions that it makes are significantly less extraordinary than your claims.

Just because someone somewhere runs a study that compares 50 dead-in-car-crash people who were wearing seat belts, and 50 dead people who weren't wearing seat belts, you can't conclude that wearing a seatbelt does not reduce your risk of death or injury.
What if it's true and those top bullshitters (not all) are indeed lying all the time? Why would any decent human being excuse that or fail to call it out?
I’m a little confused at this comment. Are you saying the AIDS vaccine (when it comes) should be mandatory for all sexually active people?
The Japanese Artist Who Sends His Work to Space
I think keyboard-only being faster is a red herring, much like all the frequent arguing about learning to touch type to be "faster".

I don't doubt many hackers and programmers truly enjoy doing everything from the keyboard, and that they can do it really fast too. However, I simply don't buy this is an ideal we should strive for in general.

The mouse has an awesome UX property: it has zero friction for discoverability. It's always there, I know I can point and click and interact with something, I know I can drag stuff and I know I can group and select. Some UIs break this expectation, sure, but more often than not it will work.

I don't have to memorize shortcuts or develop "muscle memory" and can instead devote my brain power to the actual task I want to solve. If I stay a long time away from a certain editor or tool, I don't have to worry about forgetting its shortcuts -- the mouse is always there, reliable as always.

I'm an experienced programmer and a power user in many cases, and I do remember my share of shortcuts. But give me a mouse, anytime -- maybe I spent years away from your app, but I'll know how to use it, and fast. And those shortcuts be damned.
At this point, Covid is with us to stay. The authors are clearly right about that.

But I'm not sure that has the policy implications they think it does. No one in the US (or outside of Australia/NZ/parts of Asia) have really been _trying_ to eradicate Covid.

But at some point, we will have to figure out what the goal is of our Covid policies.

At first (Spring 2020) the goal was to "flatten the curve" i.e. prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed. We largely did that.

Next, the goal was to postpone as many infections as possible until vaccines were widely available. They are.

So the question is: what comes next? Perpetual restrictions and lockdowns every time there is a flare-up to try and prevent as many (mostly unvaccinated) deaths and hospitalizations as possible? Or do we just accept that everyone is going to get it eventually and we've done all we can to minimize the risk (to people who choose vaccination)?
Catch-22:

After he got the amendment ratified, there's a strong argument that the paper probably should have been given a higher grade. But had he been given that higher grade in the first place, he probably wouldn't have gone through the effort to ratify the amendment.

You could argue that the paper did deserve the initial C grade, because that's what it took to get him angry enough to go and get the amendment ratified.
Can you cite any scientists saying “hold on, we don’t approve of this yet”?
As an interesting side note, the kid actor went on to be one of the architects of dBase III, wrote several books on the subject and became an activist for the decriminalisation of marijuana after being arrested for drug possession.

This movie explains a lot about dBase III…
I said “extremely safe” for that reason - there are always people who have problems with just about anything, but from a population perspective the numbers look quite good. People like you, young children, etc. are also why it’s important for the rest of us to do our part – as long as there’s so much community spread, they don’t have a safe alternative.
I found this article difficult to understand. Though I was able to eventually follow along with the theme, perhaps a quick explainer of what a "beat" is? Hint: in police terminology, a beat is the territory that a police officer patrols.

If you're not up to speed on the jargon, parsing graph titles like "Police beat resident population" become confusing (are we talking assault?).

Also, a summary of the findings and assertions at the beginning would have been helpful.

/rant
which dedicated key?
You're not reading it wrong. That's actually a low value for the black share of murders; it's often above 50%.

The per capita rate of murder commission for blacks is about 8 times the general rate. It's true in the US, with its legacy of slavery, and also in England, with its equally bad legacy of slavery.

Or something.

EDIT: Actually, you are reading it wrong. That's 3,299 murders of whites, not 3,299 murders by whites.

The table shows 2,948 murders committed by whites ("Race of offender"), vs 3,218 murders committed by blacks.
Thanks I'll check that
I'm a volunteer fire fighter. So, first-responders to most 911 calls are us, unless there's a known violent actor in which case cops are sent.

Realizing that I get to deal with all the thankful people (or tragically heart broken) while cops get to deal with -- frankly -- the biggest assholes around... it doesn't validate shitty police in any way, it just made me understand that the system itself is broken.

The people cops are dealing with (most of the time) should have never gone so long without proper mental/physical health care. Or so little opportunity. Or whatever it is that makes is so you need someone with a gun to show up instead of someone with medical/fire training.

And being American themselves, the cops also don't have proper mental health care. There's just no way for a setup like this to not create a bad situation.
Is the 14th Amendment really written in such a way that you can justify just about anything with it? I swear most SCOTUS landmark cases end up being about the 14th. Especially those considered “legislating from the bench”.
It is a question of even enforcement, not whether or not it is enforced at all.

Take the turn signal law. In suburbs or rural areas where you are probably pulling over a soccer mom whose next worst crime is being disorganized, it may not be worth the time for the stop.

If, however, the same cop is in a neighborhood where stopping someone has a reasonable chance of finding a greater crime- possession of drugs, unregistered weapons, driver has warrants for their arrest for missing court dates etc- they are more likely to enforce the turn signal law.

This is the heart of the Broken Windows theory which leads to disproportionate negative police encounters and claims of racism- presuming one stop will be more fruitful than another leads to stricter enforcement.

Substitute "race" for "area" if you prefer; they are sometimes, but not always, linked. I live just south of the meth capital of my state, and it is very white and rural. Because of that, you wouldn't know that it has much stricter enforcement of various laws than other parts of the state, but it doesn't get much attention because the whole county's population could fit inside a few blocks of NYC.
> when should I purchase insurance to protect my projects

Basically always?
This is true, but also it is true that financing via customer deposits is vastly cheaper than selling equity.
I lived in nyc for 11 years and now live in a different city. The story is the same. First week I get here I see a group of thuggish kids on bikes talking shit to people as they go by. They're kids getting into trouble. And thats who the police are stopping. I dont have a spreadsheet for you Im just telling you my experience.
I personally find there's no depth to it: the winning strategy is to focus on growing your economic base and pump all spare capacity into research - by mid-game, you'll out-earn and out-tech every opponent other than the fallen empires.

In my last long playthrough, the second half of the game was literally me just racing against the victory condition clock to see how much megastructures I can cram in, so I can see what they do in a single game. It got briefly interesting for a moment, when a fallen empire decided to start their crusade at my doorstep - I had to engage in some micro-heavy delaying action for some of in-game years, until my exponential trajectory made me out-tech them and I could get back to building megastructures.

I mean, I like the game - but I wish there was some more meaning attached to things, for the actions to be more complex than scaling some numerical modifiers, for the tech tree to not be a tree and not be shared, for battles to be something more than "weapons are rock-paper-scissors, whoever brings more total points into the fight wins"...
> the stop is equally likely to result in an arrest

A study of California police data found that "when the police search black, Latino and Native American people, they are less likely to find drugs, weapons or other contraband compared to when they search white people."

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jan/02/california-p...
The fact that Israel vaccinated and failed to achieve zero covid means that the author is right.

Israel doesn't need another lockdown. They just need to accept that cases will not go to zero. Vaccines help greatly reducing deaths and severe disease. Booster shots might help even further but obviously will not make it zero either. Just learn to live with it.
unordered_map is a terrible name for a hash map, imho.
The Supreme Court has been making shit up since 1857 at the latest. They are likely to continue to make shit up for several years after the Union dissolves.
I agree that the website is very unclear for people who don't already know what comma do.

Their meta description is better, but still not great.

"Make driving chill. Upgrade your car with a comma three. comma is building the Android for cars. We have an open source driver assistance system that runs on most modern cars."

It's essentially an aftermarket version of the Tesla Autopilot system.
...and anti-vaxxers wonder why they're not treated with respect and dignity...
I thought the website was pretty good at explaining it? (I don't own one or know much about it other than having heard about it a few times on HN before):

> openpilot is open source software built to improve upon the existing driver assistance in most new cars on the road today. Tesla Autopilot like functionality for your Toyota, Honda, and other top brands.

> While engaged, openpilot includes camera based driver monitoring that works both day and night to alert the driver when their eyes are not on the road ahead.

It's basically an open-source (software) version of Tesla Autopilot and the Comma is their hardware they're selling that's already set up and running the OSS.
Gotcha. Yeah after the countdown it auto-advances. I hoped that widget might feel playful, but I totally see your point.
what’s cringey? what tropes? the guy is a maverick, and a very entertaining and informative one —- and he’s not even in silicon valley.
There are more than 2 options of course. We could keep the food lines running regardless of variants, we could prevent much of the disruption by staying open.

hep c - sure we could budget more and that may wipe out much more.. we could also take the drug from the patent holders and sell it for $10 instead of $10,000 or whatever it is. Instead we do let it spread, I agree.

Just adding a couple more options to changing the way we've been doing thing.
> So who's to say that immune system reaction triggered by vaccination isn't causing same kind of hard to detect damage

This is pure conjecture base on literally nothing. I don't mean to sound harsh, but it's just baseless. The immune response from the vaccine works like any other type of vaccine immune response. The mRNA vaccines cause you own cells machinery to build virus proteins at which point it works just like any viral subunit vaccine, which have existed since 1970 and include flu vaccines, hep A and B, and few other you may have had already. Billions of people have received those types of vaccines and they don't have long term negative effects, except rarely when someone has an acute reaction right after vaccination. It is true that some people have allergic reactions (a strong an destructive immune response), but they happen within about 4 hours and symptoms usually clear up in a few days.

If the COVID vaccines had some mysterious far off long term effects, it would be the first vaccine ever to do that, and there's no reason to suspect that might be the case. You may find this nature article interesting https://www.nature.com/articles/s41577-020-00479-7, it's about general vaccine immunology.

I'm not telling you that you need to get vaccinated, but the particular concern you're raising isn't something you should be worried about.
For a non-startup personal open source project, you can consolidate all that data in the desktop program https://gnucash.org/ .

Offhand, I suspect you could layer all those features you mention, using a mix of GnuCash customizable existing reports, and their (poorly documented) extension in Guile.

The UX might not be what you want with just reports and scripting, but you can definitely analyze data and generate arbitrary noninteractive HTML reports, and there's some limited facility for dialogs that way. (For example, the features to help keep an ITOT & AGG ETF portfolio balanced for risk tolerance seems trivial, and it could even have a sense of calendar schedule for periodic rebalancing. But instead of it doing the rebalancing for you, the UX would probably just be a generated report that shows the balance, and tells you the exact two transactions to rebalance.)

Or, alternatively, get into the code of GnuCash itself, and do whatever interactive GUI and maybe even (if very brave/foolish) making your code talk to your brokerage, etc.
You write lisp without auto-inserting the closing paren when you open a paren? I honestly don't think that's a good idea. It's also something that's contributed to lack of lisp adoption -- people trying to write it without sensible editor support.
I haven’t read a definitive answer to how much that blood vessel damage sticks around. Of course secondary effects of that damage such as strokes have their own long term progression.
Actually, one safety feature of an MSR is a "salt plug" that melts at a higher temperature.

When the plug melts, the contents of the reactor flow into a boron containment.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030645491...
They are. Same in SF.

See also: Miami, Austin, Seattle housing prices.
Cadillac Desert, Marc Reisner.
It would be interesting to compare demographics of people pre-ordering Cybertruck vs electric F150. I was always assuming the hard core truck guys would rather go for F150 while there will be many first-time truck owners ordering Cybertruck.
> simple ATM equity offering

There's no equity being offered here, there's no upside on offer at all beyond getting a truck.

This money isn't revenue, it is merely a pre-payment towards an NRE for building a car.

The best take is that it looks a lot like a Kickstarter style "proof of a market" without actually selling anything but the promise to build the thing everyone's interested in.
There are governments that I happily overpay to because they’re actually a net good to the people.

Others, not so much.

I very much try to follow thr spirit of the law though, not the letter, both in laws I ignore and adhere to.
> Autopilot in a Model Y … the way it disengages completely when you make even just a small correction is really annoying.

Wait, so Autopilot disengages if you don’t apply enough torque to the steering wheel and disengages if you apply too much torque to the steering wheel? That doesn’t sound like an enjoyable autonomous driving experience.
> We have in fact eradicated one highly transmittable, airborne virus through a global vaccination effort already, namely smallpox. And that was almost half a century ago.

Exactly. It was half a century ago when the global population was half what it is today and travel (especially international) was massively lower as well. Also Smallpox had a much lower mutation rate than COVID does, and it's not transmissable until obvious symptoms develop (much different than COVID). Thinking the same strategy would work today is kind of a pipe dream.
> Prosecutors say Holmes purposefully frustrated the government's effort. An email from Holmes' attorneys included the password, but failed to mention the private key ... before destroying the original database.

If this was done purposefully as the prosecutors claim, how is this not an additional crime of destroying evidence or failing to respond to a subpeona?
> @athenot posted the stats for convicted crimes that shows blacks are not more likely than whites to do commit crimes.

You might want to read the stats before describing them.
The FDA not approving the vaccine is literally that. They're scientists, and they're not approving the vaccine yet, despite being under a lot of pressure to. Do you need them to utter that exact sentence?
You have to show eligibility to get on the register of electors in the first place. Green card holders have the same driving licenses as citizens so if one of them were to vote illegally (eg casting a provisional ballot) you'd have no way to tell.
I mean the outcome was easily predicted when everyone was focused on number of cases rather than hospitalizations or deaths. If we only focus on "cases" (which is a questionable number), then yes we'll be in a perpetual state of lockdowns and restrictions until people get fed up
Because no personal information gets stored with NYU, it's just simply not correct to equate the two situations
Similar to how the Roman Senate existed for more than a century after the fall of Rome.
Missed a real opportunity here to call it Tres Comas.

The beginning of the video complete with awkward nerd dancing in a dayglo hoodie is also pitch-perfect Silicon Valley.
This is a reasonable question, but if the API is authenticated, you may have made some agreements to get authorization to use it. Criminal prosecution could be overkill, but that’s not what is happening here.

It’s kind of like asking “what’s the point of letting me into your warehouse if you didn’t want me to take the compressor that was in there?” but you signed a contract not to take the compressor before they gave you the key to the warehouse.
I believe the immuno compromised are safer hiding through a final huge surge than risking infection over a much longer covid swan song.

People under 12 with healthy immune systems are at extremely low risks from covid.
Yea I was debating on using SAS drives instead of SATA but cost was too much. Bought WD Red drives instead. Hopefully I won’t have to resilver.
1803 at least. They made up their own right to strike down laws (Marbury v. Madison).

Admittedly, I'm not sure what a supreme court does if they can't do that, but it's kinda funny that they bootstrapped it themselves.
> reasonable chance of finding a greater crime- possession of drugs

Cops shouldn't be using selective enforcement of laws like this to go trolling for crimes.
> Homicide stats are immune to discretionary bias

Discretionary bias is still possible if you attempt to correlate the race stastics with the racial group as a whole while ignoring other factors such as social and economic status. For example the majoriry of murders that occur during a robbery are commited by poor people. A group made up of mostly middle/upper class citizens would mostly exclude those type of murder cases. Gang violence is another big driver of murder and also closely correlated to socioeconomic status. The middle class and up don't join gangs and therefore aren't part of organizations where murder is part of operations.

The discretion is on if you choose to rely on a correlation without looking at the actual causation to make conclusions.
That's a fair point for services that limit use based on number of concurrent devices/streams. There are, however, many services that explicitly state the account may only be used by a given single user and those providers will seek legal action if that user shares their account. This ultimately leads to significant pain for both the company and user.
Hospitalizations don't drop off anywhere near as fast as deaths do. About every 8 years younger halves the death rate, about every 15 years younger halves the hospitalization rate.

And delta has a hospitalization rate which is across the board twice the rate of alpha (with age/sex/deprivation/comorbidity-matched patients).

The virus is also not done mutating and is facing evolutionary pressure to become more transmissible, which is mostly through the mechanism of increased viral loads which has the knock-on effect of increasing virulence and hospitalization/death rates. In the short term it isn't getting any better and its only getting worse (turns out viruses don't always naturally evolve to become less virulent, and epidemiologists have known that since the 90s).

The hospitalization rate for old D614G variant in 20 year olds was 1%, that should be up to 2% now with delta. The hospitalization rate of vaccination in 20 year olds is probably too low to be measurable. If you're worried about 1-in-10,000 or worse vaccine side effects you should be much more worried about the virus landing you in the hospital (even though it probably won't kill you).

Vaccines also don't cause outbreaks of side effects months or years later. The vaccine is cleared in a few days, all that remains is the immune system response. That immune response can cause autoimmune side effects just like any virus can cause autoimmune side effects. What we know from a couple hundred years of studying viruses and vaccines is that the side effects appear in 90 days or they don't. There's no lingering time bombs, the immune system doesn't work that way (that would be a fantastically shitty way for the immune system to evolve, so it didn't).

And the mRNA vaccines are just a fragment of the virus genome that cannot reproduce which is packaged in a lipid (fat) particle that will get naturally shredded. It is both as close to "natural" as we can make it to have a low side effect profile and its also highly effective. If you manage to get naturally infected you get a pile of other shit from the virus genome plus self-replicating virions trying to kill you, which is all worse, nothing better.

And due to the concept of original antigenic sin you really do want to have your first exposure to the virus be something which your immune system mounts a strong defense to and learns how to clear the virus without killing you. If you get infected for real and wind up in the hospital your maladaptive response to the virus may wind up causing you problems down the road as the virus becomes endemic and you get infected with a different strain in the future. You should be worried about the long-term effects of that a lot more than the long-term effects of the vaccine.
Ask HN: Does a landing page MVP work?
I've heard a lot of advice for founders to build a landing page as an MVP in order to collect e-mail addresses and validate an idea. But I'm sure there's more to the process than this. If I'm trying to build a consumer product, how should I go about sharing it? How many e-mails do I need before it's validated? What do you do once you have those e-mails?

These are just some of the thoughts and questions I had. I'm skeptical that a landing page alone can do much since it isn't really solving a problem for the user.