skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
"It places the onus and blame on the people that are currently not the problem."

This isn't necessarily true. There are many families in developed countries that have more than 2 kids. If you limit families to 2 kids then you could see the fertility rate drop lower (ideally fertility and immigration growth together would be under the replacement rate in developed countries).

"It implies that we must force people to have fewer kids, when evidence shows that women universally want to have fewer kids given the choice. We don’t need to coerce them, we need to help them."

This is generally true, but ignores outliers and the association with other factors. You generally only see the decline in fertility rate in areas that have lower infant mortality, which is also usually associated with a more modern lifestyle and economic conditions. You still have a subset of women in developed countries having a ton of kids for other reasons, like they want a big family, or religious things like the Hassidic community.
> It's very hard for a 55 year old manager of a small town bank to understand his daughter literally will not have the same opportunities he had as globalization eats all of the small town opportunities.

Not sure where you're from, but everyone I know in their 50s (and 60s) lived under the constant threat of losing their job to macroeconomic and market forces beyond their control. Many of them did.
>It takes an enormous amount of restraint to keep saying no, and stick to a small, simple vision

They literally just cloned Clubhouse and are going to put it at the top of your feed because it was the cool new app for like 3 weeks last year..... How is that restraint?
These complex, interconnected system are more resistant to collapse than the media and experts assume. The post-Covid economic and stock market boom exceeded even the the most optimistic of forecasts. Individuals who stayed invested made a killing, and the market keeps going up. It pays to be optimistic unless you're the media, in which doom and gloom means more clicks and ad revenue.

If I had to predict, there will be no collapse and the bull market and economic expansion will continue even in spite of all the things that are going wrong. At any point in history, there will always be things that are going wrong somewhere.

These experts tend to have a terrible track record at this sort of stuff, whether it's incorrect calls of a housing market crash, stock market crash, recession, hyperinflation, etc.
Don't worry, I have a plan. We just need to shorten the collapse.

We'll do this by preserving the knowledge of our current society. We'll do that by archiving all human knowledge, a task carried out by a hand-picked group of archivists.

We'll also need a second group, whose task it too important to make widely known. They'll be sent to the other side of the planet, and will work on their (extremely instrumental) thing.

We'll shorten the collapse from thousands to tens of years.

Who's with me?
> Moderators are literally censors, by definition

If that's the case then "censorship" is not inherently wrong, since moderation is often times a good thing.
Why can't I choose how I moderate spam?

Well, you can run your own mailserver and likewise some sort of social stream. But it's not so much about what you can or can't do, as the much larger number of people who can't or don't want to run their own communications infrastructure but also don't want to be inundated with spam.

Consider the parallel of robocalls, ie phone spam. People regularly complain to their phone provider and/or the FTC about being deluged with unwanted calls, many of which are scams.
Water ETFs?

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/etfs/top-water-etfs/
I am careful but Twitter still shows tweets that people I'm following have liked. And they always seem to be the most enraging tweets (presumably with great engagement).

Basically I want my Twitter to be a politics-free zone, but I can't help it if some of the people I follow occasionally like political tweets.

Also, today it has been sending me a push notification to the same race politics tweet repeatedly even after I keep dismissing it. The author isn't anyone I follow and the tweet wasn't liked by anyone I follow - Twitter is desperately trying to get me to see it though.
There was a viral video I saw yesterday of a baby crying, and a deer rushing out of the woods probably trying to protect it.

Anyways, the lady who posted it got a ton of comments about her shitty parenting style from literally a 6 second video, to the point where she had to make a response video saying "No, I don't just place my newborn on a wooden porch", and explain why her child was on its stomach, and why it cried, etc.
It was incredibly annoying how it took up significant real estate at the top of the screen and there was no way to disable the feature. Good riddance.
Processing CDN Logs Exactly-Once with Kafka Transactions
Yes, in essence all these dire forecasts are little more than fancy versions of Malthus's predictions, which assume that natural and other resources cannot be improved or increased as necessary by human ingenuity to support and promote societal well-being. Given how large the universe is, I'd bet there's a good chance that scientists, engineers, and enterprising people will find ways to make all these dire predictions wrong. Your comment should be at the top of the page, IMHO. (EDIT: I posted a comment referencing it; it's now at the top of the page.)
The nutrition problem is a social problem, not a technical problem.
>"the invisible hand of the market will take care of it, right?"

I don't see this happening and I think the premise is flawed. In fact it looks like the dominant players in the market ganged up on nascent competitors like Parler and shut them out of the ecosystems they created. In practical terms, when payment processors, server hosting companies, domain registrars, and app stores ban you, how are you even supposed to compete? Sure, you can theoretically bootstrap your own payment processor, cloud service provider, even your own smartphone ecosystem with gobs of cash, but we all know that's not going to happen.
This sounds like you're describing C++ from 20 years ago. Or maybe some ugly monstrosity like Qt.

Everything uses/supports standard library containers or interfaces now.
"But I also believe no one should have one or many kids if their economic circumstances don't allow for it."

In EU area you can have as many children you like and the social safety nets will generally carry you trough caring for your child.

I suggest you use some other means of argumentation than wealth of parents, as that is a non-issue here (mostly).
I do agree with your overall point. That said, while an impoverished family with a dozen children isn't consuming much today, inevitably, they're going to consume a lot more as their nation gets wealthier, which is what's happening in Asia. As you alluded to, the solution is to develop these countries more quickly, so they'll no longer be incentives to have more children.
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[[R to L]: Khaastan (To desire/wish) Tavaanestan (to have ability) Ast (is)]

That's a popular Iranian saying. It means "To desire/To will is to achieve." (Where there is a will, there is a way.)
At least you might be way more their target group than me :) I'm not a lone wolf developer (currently), but sharing terminal sessions really never happens. Collaboration is done via chat/video and if something is shared on the screen, it's the IDE. Ah, and with git of course. Maybe that changes with a more dev ops oriented role, which is definitely not mine.

> Very often, machines I ssh into are missing a lot of my custom config and it’s a pain to re-adapt in the thick of it.

I - and I get the impression that's true for many developers - learned early to minimize the custom config. It's bash, maybe with tmux (or likely just screen) and some sensible defaults, and that's it.

> IME it super painful to build a shell config that works across Mac/Win/Linux that reliably does word selection, jumping, home/end, etc.

But why would one need that? Is your environment that random?
"What's worth it" varies so much by person that you can't generalize. Tons of people have written about that, but they all write different things, because they're different people.

That said, I've noticed that there is a pretty big split between short term success vs. long term success, with this site skewing toward the latter. (Primary short term example: work hard at a safe, high-paying career)

If you're reading this site, PG (original author of it) has written extensively on these things:

http://paulgraham.com/startupideas.html Live in the future; build what's missing

I think this is a great slogan because there seems to be an implicit myth that everyone has access to the same viewpoints and knowledge (or should), e.g. media narratives. In reality knowledge is very unevenly distributed, and the viewpoints of people and communities are more diverse than you can imagine (traveling and/or listening to random people is a good way to see this). If you're not living in "the future", your idea of "new" or "good" might be skewed or simply pedestrian.

http://paulgraham.com/genius.html Have a disinterested obsession with something that matters

http://paulgraham.com/worked.html -- some "implicit" advice, a great read

The advice in this article is good too:

> Pick an idea in a large market that will always be in demand and work on a product that caters to a subset of use cases exceedingly well.

I think it depends on your appetite for drama. To me, startups have a lot of drama and often fail spectacularly. They have good characters and bad characters. So if I just want to enjoy my life, then I'll work on something steadily, learn, improve my skills. After working on a bunch of things close to the state of the art, it's hard not to think of ways the world could be better.

I liked munificent's statement in this thread that "humans are incredible generalizers". That is, just do things and you'll get ideas. Certain work smells good and other work smells bad. (IMO the biggest bad smell is prestige: http://www.paulgraham.com/love.html If it didn't suck, they wouldn't have had to make it prestigious.)
Yeah, largely as a result of their one-child policy, the cost of raising a child in China has gone through the roof. People poured everything into getting the very best for their child (and grandparents did the same).

My definite impression is that most new couples in China are worrying about how they'll afford one child, not debating whether or not to have a third.
don't forget ecryptfs, which is what drives android storage encryption most of the time.
I have no idea, as I didn't work with the tin benders (structures guys).

But I do know that there can be a hole the size of a quarter and nobody will notice a pressure drop. You're not going to knock an airliner down by punching holes in the fuselage, either (some people think a bullet hole will cause it to pop like a balloon, nothing of the sort will happen).
how does auto-completion work? will it force me to use shells like fish that has auto-completion built in, or I can use bash?
When you sustain entire grid, you don't need batteries.

We didn't use to have batteries, yet we use electricity - yes, over grids - all the time. When we add to always-on generators (fossil, hydro, nuclear) sometimes-on ones (solar and wind), we employ the fact that for large grids it doesn't happen that Sun is not shining everywhere at once and wind doesn't blow everywhere at once - at least this is a reasonable model, continent being at night notwithstanding.

The bigger you have a grid - and you can get effects from relatively small ones - the less batteries you need.
I've been thinking similarly. I'm not a particularly smart nor informed person, but here are some things I'm thinking of investing in:

- Land near a water source

- Learning how to cultivate land and food

- Learning how to be a good neighbor
Literally gets discussed every time this topic comes up. Nuclear fuel is 10^5 more dense than carbon fuels, so the actual amount of waste is small, and it can largely be recycled if we design facilities for it.

"2. The U.S. generates about 2,000 metric tons of used fuel each year.

This number may sound like a lot, but it’s actually quite small. In fact, the U.S. has produced roughly 83,000 metrics tons of used fuel since the 1950s—and all of it could fit on a single football field at a depth of less than 10 yards."

https://www.energy.gov/ne/articles/5-fast-facts-about-spent-...
An exponential growth phenomenon is still limit by the basic laws of thermodynamics.
Strictly speaking, pour all your resources into preventing the collapse is the best choice (with the usual prisoner dilemma applying). No kind of investing will survive a society collapse. Money is a mean to delay your own consumption. And once society collapses, a lot of consumables are just lost.

That goes to the next rational action: spend like there is no tomorrow, adjusted for risk of society not-collapsing? Pick your poison, I guess.
it'll just increase your "Potential Threat Level" on the one list that does exist. And they might SELECT * from homies_in_the_USA where threat_level > 5 or something, and you'd be on that list
EQT prepares the IPO of the assisted reproduction firm Igenomix
Nuclear-powered Bitcoin mining is coming to Ohio in December
You can also unfollow them, or soft block (block and then unblock, which forces them to unfollow you), which are both noticeable but not as bad as a hard block.
> string of automated glider ports

There is a small precedent here: the space shuttle flew almost 100% by computers.

There was a small involvement of the pilots when landing and some change of software due to small RAM size in the computers.

I could imagine "Fully-Self-Flying planes" would start out with cargo planes between areas with low population.
If society is going to hell, there is no safe investment. You’re too young to have lived through the 2008 crisis, but in the months following Lehman Brothers’ failure, friends of mine who invest billions of dollars for clients or themselves were running for the hills - literally. They were prepping their disaster ranches.

Then, in March 2009, a bunch of billionaires got together and decided that the world probably would not end. They put their money back into markets. And they enjoyed an insane period of recovery over the next year, even though the average person didn’t see their own income start to rise for many years.

Here’s the thing about investing when you’re 30: if you think the world is going to end, just give up now and live in the moment. Why save if you believe the world won’t make it beyond 2040? But if you think there is a chance humanity will figure things out and avoid calamity, then index fund investing is the most efficient way for you to participate in the economic system as a part owner of it.
sorry if the answer is to read the whole series (i only read part 4), but is there a comparison of this hand-optimized route vs what emscripten outputs (in terms of binary size an browser perf)?

i assume a proper emscripten comparison would also need to strip networking & audio output.
Go Lang is a lot closer to Java 1.2 than it is to C.
I'm in!

- The Mule
That sounds terrible.

It's fine to disagree with decisions someone (shouldn't have) made on your behalf, but learning to judge people by intent, not result, is part of adulthood.

Punishing someone who loves you for doing the best they knew to do is one of the most cruel things I can imagine.

In other words, disliking someone for something they did to you does not automatically mean they deserve punishment and you should hurt them return. Especially since causing harm to a loved one also already hurts oneself.
I disagree with the J. Kenji Lopez-Alt suggestions. He is too extreme/OCD for beginners.

A much more accessible source is Harold McGee who wrote "On Food and Cooking - The Science and Lore of the Kitchen". McGee reviews the science but also some history. He also reviews some of the cooking tips your mom gave you and why they work or don't work.
> Not to be too dramatic, I believe abusive parents will metaphorically poison their families well beyond their own lives. Cutting that rot out of the tree is sometimes a way to save the healthier branches.

Thanks for the reply.

You are labeling any kind of deference towards your parents as abuse. Do you not see the absolutism and extremism in your statement?

Nowhere did I say children should tolerate abuse. I just said they shouldn't see themselves as ever being able to be completely 'equal' to their parents.

Should the law treat them equally at the age of majority? Of course. Should they be able to make independent adult decisions? Obviously.

But should they expect a relationship between them and their parents to ever be 'equal'? No. Parents have looked after you since you were a baby, they're always going to want to give advice, always going to want to help, and always going to remember you as the helpless little infant who needed their bum washed. Accepting this is the first step towards a good relationship with your parents as an adult.

Going back to my mother and grandmother. Yes, my mom would be annoyed when my feeble grandmother would give her detailed advice on what to do that would be inappropriate between 'equals', but she'd take it gracefully, understanding that this is her mother.
We've had a few very prominent conservatively aligned social media outlet - Parler in particular comes to mind as a semi-successful one, but there are a bunch of conservative oriented message boards and news feeds that have existed for quite some time.

I'd strongly disagree that news necessarily involves politics as well, political topics can be mentioned and reference without turning things into a partisan sh*show and it is only recently (probably since about '95) that we've had rabid debate shows like Hardball that really rewarded news outlets for being extremely partisan.
The Slight Edge is an amazing book about an amazing concept. Dramatic change happens one percent at a time at a consistent cadence.

Also great chapter in The Psychology of Money about Warren Buffet. He's been investing since he was a child and is now in his 90s -- He's been compounding returns on a longer timeframe then anyone else alive.
https://tipalti.com/profit-per-employee/

Visa regularly makes double the profit per employee of FAANG - so, yes, they could easily pay more.
I'm on at least my 15th account. Speaking as something with a barely-serviceable love-hate relationship with the service... You have to add people slowly, and be quick to unfollow if you notice a disturbance in the force. Even though I'm keen on programming and related topics, I don't follow a lot of very-popular IT-type folks because of the drama they bring, ESPECIALLY "infosec" Twitter. I've noticed that's a bubble among bubbles. I love a lot of the folks in that bubble, but I won't follow them because The Algorithm gets heavily weighted with them.
I assume that January 19, 2038 is within the rounding error on that? (End of 32-bit UNIX time for the people who don't have this on their calendar already).
One thing I never understood about Twitter, and what keeps me from tweeting, is why on earth everyone needs to see how many likes, replies, and retweets my tweet has? I will never be a Twitter influencer, and have no desire to be. I just want to tweet one-off learnings or thoughts I have without the awkward struggle of trying to compete with others.
Max out 401k, IRA if eligible, mutual funds for the rest, live below you means. Don’t finance more than 30% of your income (after taxes!) on house, cars, or boats.

Live in or plan to move to a lower cost location during retirement.

Don’t be too stingy and enjoy life!
That's a really good point that I never though about, thanks for bringing it up. That's one more thing to like about solar power, wind and hydro, or even gasoline in case of emergency. But my problem with fossile fuel is the large scale like coal burning plants. There is also the problem of cars, but I think you could find a middle way by forbidding gas-powered cars in the cities. If we're going to have something large-scale, I'd prefer it to be nuclear than other fossile fuels, and I'd prefer it to be renewable than nuclear. Consumers are already paying the cost of fossile fuels by dying of air pollution every year.
I agree. Twitter is too unpleasant (for me) to use.

I know there are ways of actively managing it to reduce the toxicity, but that's a lot more work than it's worth to me.

At least as far as what keeps me off Twitter, Fleets missed the point entirely.
I remember a teacher who cycled to work every day, along a coastal route. Because he saw the same people so often, he set himself a goal to smile at all he recognised so they'd smile back.

Last time we spoke, he was still battling one obstinate hold-out (while reminds me of an old joke - 'smiles' is actually the longest word in the english langugage because there's a mile between the s's).
NY book publishers: Author's ethnicity must match that of their protagonist
I think the alcoholics depend on what time of the night you catch them.
> Although we built Fleets to address some of the anxieties that hold people back from Tweeting

Did Fleets address the problem of political extremists using Twitter to go after people's livelihoods?
And yet, “smart” is less about how much you know and more about how quickly you can become competent in something new. You can feel confident in the knowledge that when you need to know something you can learn it, just-in-time.
Do you have a better term to suggest?
Tiobe Index for July 2021
The dead sibling to this comment is correct. I suspect, though, that it was flagged not because of its inaccuracy, but simply because it goes against the feel-good positive capitalism that is so pervasive throughout western society.
In Kim Stanley Robinson's Mars trilogy of science-fiction books, one of my favorite ideas was of "full-planet" (?) business models.

It posited that most business models were based on growth: sell more widgets to the population. Build more and more things. But the world markets are saturated, so there emerged a new approach of full-market business models, for example focused on repair, maintenance, and recycling.

(this was a key conflict in the book, with the old actors trying to expand into Mars, which wanted none of it, and Mars finding new allies in the proponents of sustainable/renewable business)
It's entirely possible if we can move to general all-photonic computing in the next 5 years.
Also how would pollution still be growing exponentially if population and industrial production dropped off substantially?
solving approach >> tool
Identifying a specific time frame significantly de-legitimizes this study, but its broad case - excluding any change of technology or societal behavioral shifts - is entirely valid. Merely global warming and AI reducing jobs and resources alone in the next 50 years is likely sufficient to cause severe changes to 'society' in its current form. Societies and species follow periods of advance and decline in both short and long-term and being in a state of surplus, we fail to recognize this or dismiss it as irrelevant and only impacting our own lifespan.
SEO tactic: The Unreasonable Effectiveness of using the phrase "unreasonable effectiveness" in a blog post. ;)
Well damn, i had no idea about Wez. I really miss Ligatures with Alacritty, so i should give Wez a try. Thanks for the link!
Nowadays people target multiple platforms in parallel, streaming to YT/rumble/odysse at the same time for example.
No offense to the christians. I was just trying to think of groups that compose more than 10% of the population.
MOP: Rust framework for solving NP-problems
It's how I do everything now. I need the instant gratification so I pull up ptpython and just start writing line by line. The other way is to use something like fswatch and have the file I'm working on (a small snippet or one function of the larger code base) instantly run after I type :w. I do this with go and node.