skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Kelly is not optimal if you can't estimate the probabilities with great precision, which you can't outside of contrived examples or casinos. In casinos you have negative expected value on every bet, and Kelly tells you to not play at all. Contrived examples don't matter.

You aren't addressing what I said, you are cherry picking things you find easy to rebut. You are right that I messed up and that you can't lose all your money with two 50% bets. However you ignore the stronger argument, which I opened with and repeatedly pointed out, which is that you can't estimate probabilities well enough to use it, and that if you can estimate probabilities well enough to benefit from Kelly, that ability to estimate probabilities itself almost always unlocks strategies that strictly dominate any benefit Kelly gives you. It's useless in practice.
Had avoided Covid all 2020, but in February I needed to go to hospital for unrelated reasons -- needed urgent treatment, otherwise potentially life-threatening, had to stay several days. Had three negative Covid tests during the stay, but the fourth came back positive, just a day before my discharge. So I'm pretty sure I caught it inside the hospital. :(
Watch a Drone Swarm Fly Through a Fake Forest Without Crashing
This is weird to read as if it's a sudden new discovery, I had the impression wolbachia was well established as part of the toolkit.

Thorough history of mosquito control techniques and where we stand today, including some comparisons of pros / cons / applicability:

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28869513/
Paying airfare per seat and per pound (body and luggage) could lead to some unexpected health benefits. Ticket price could be structured as a fixed part per seat and variable price per difference of total mass from a baseline, e.g. you will get discount if you and your luggage weighs less than 175 lbs. (more on long distance flights). Now go ahead and down vote me.
“Show me the incentives I’ll show you the outcome.”

Google make money, Google Bad.

Deep Mind owned by Google, Deep Mind bad!

The above conclusion stands trite.

Perhaps the inverse is true.

Google and Deep Mind, if correct, could be hurting themselves more than helping themselves.

Why? Creating a future species who’s too smart to click on ads, and too smart to remain subject to its whims, doesn’t sound like it’d be good for quarterly profits...

There’s also the emotional incentive for humans to confirm their own beliefs about humanity being special.

If Google/Deep Mind knows this, yet publishes research anyway in the spirit of truth, why, what they’re doing may be considered heroic.

Two sides of the coin here.
> about trusting your own feelings about a project

was also when I started disagreeing. Sure, your gut-feeling is a good guidence. Asking yourself "do i need this polished" or "would I stop using the software if X is removed" is great advice.

I disagree because I think better advice is to make it slightly more scientific: "Most people would jump ship to a competitor if I remove X" is easily proven (just remove it), but also researchable: remove it for a cohort. Ask 10 random customers. Check your event-log or database if X is actually used currently.
I think the number of parameters is remarkably (multiple orders of magnitude) different between even the simplest bacteria vs the model used in the car. And then genomics can also do some more advanced techniques like copy a whole gene and start modifying that, etc.
Strangely, there are no direct trains from northern CA to southern CA. There is a line from Sacramento down into Santa Clara, and a line from San Luis Obispo down to San Diego.

But there's no direct way to get from SF/SJ to LA/OC via train. There are buses, but they are considerably less enjoyable than the Pacific Surfliner line!
I did think it was imminent at one point, but the fact the delivery date keeps pushing out shows its far from complete, and is only usable in controlled circumstances. I use it in traffic jams, or motorway driving, and that's it, anywhere else and it's just asking for trouble. It's useful in those limited cases, but it's a shame how many false promises have been issued, I've a lot of respect for what Elon has done, but he's really oversold this
A lot of legwork and resources are expended to shake down enough members of society to come across that gram of coke, prosecute, and incarcerate.

The cost of prosecution could trivially run into thousands of dollars including public defenders the cost of incarceration 36k per year.

A 5 year stint could run the people almost 200k to punish someone for hurting themselves by hurting them worse.
No. It's not just that individuals can't tinker with hardware. It's also startups having this problem. Apple is integrating the entire supply chain. What we need is better "modularization" of the market where everybody has access to important components.

> Another peak self-absorbed Hacker News comment, in which we learn that curiosity only means tinkering with devices, learning how they work to the bits, plus some random Linux thrown in.

Totally unnecessary generalization.
The algorithms to train, initialize the networks, new architectures are far more important than the hardware advances. If people knew how to train NNs 50 years ago we would live in a different world.
From a family member who works with Covid response (in India, where you have a large enough sample size), repeat infections are less likely and tend to be mild. But they are neither rare nor limited to people with exotic conditions.
Lol, made me chuckle.

But I'm good with Firefox + uBlock Origin.
How do they know that the sample wasn't contaminated?
Because the issue has turned into a political and morality issue now.

In the US, over 40% of Democrats think that hospitalization rates for COVID are 50% or higher, and 28% of Democrats tink that hospitalization from COVID is 20-49%. It's really 1-5%.So the vast majority of Democrats think that COVID is over an order of magnitude worse than it actually is. So people who don't want to take the vaccine because they are concerned about taking a new medication or they already have been infected and don't need it, are now "immoral right wing Trumpists".

I read on the Bay Area subreddit how someone was called a 'Republican' for not wearing a mask outside, even though the mandate now is that you don't need to wear a mask outside if you're vaccinated and not in a large group of people.
Quite frankly, Ma and his companies somewhat got what they had coming. It's a shame that many jobs were probably destroyed and that this only strengthens the power of the much larger evil that is the CCP, but this particular billionaire had gotten into bed with that particular dragon with enough experience of their dealings to know what they could do on a whim. In many ways he actively aided the Chinese state surveillance monster in its efforts at social control. Now he's seeing that when it comes to state power, anyone who isn't top dog is always subject to arbitrary punishment if the right sort of megalomaniac feels threatened in some way. Apparently, this didn't bother him when those being targeted were millions of smaller people (targeted at times with help from the very technologies his corporate empire helped develop). This whole fiasco speaks poorly of China's respect for rule of law and even its intelligence in how it proceeded, but as for Jack Ma himself, I hardly see how he deserves much sympathy finally being a target of his ruthless and control-hungry former friends.
Better charge per BMI

https://www.nhlbi.nih.gov/health/educational/lose_wt/BMI/bmi...
Wouldn't it be simpler to declare everything "hybrid" and then you don't have to track who's in the office, even though you expect there will be stuff like better promotion outcomes for people who spend more time face-to-face?

Nowadays presumably you have someone making sure your promotions aren't lopsided enough to look discriminatory anyway.
On a half-jokingly note, they can, their humans buy them and put them where needed. An alien observer in space would see some houses spontaneously growing solar cells on their roofs.
Sorry friend. It was a joke. It's a long-running light-hearted poke at just how often Americans put flags in every piece of visual media they create.
Separate corps and nominee directors it is. Biggest problem will be choosing which corporation provider and country to go with. It’s like they’re competing for my incorporating dollar.
can someone comment tldr?
I think this all depends on the complexity of operational tasks. If you have hosted MySql and a couple of servers, fine, developer can handle monitoring this.

What if you have, say, DB2 cluster with HADR running, do you think you can monitor it and fix something if needed? Do you know ins and outs of share drives configuration using GFS. Kubernetes configuration details, if something goes wrong should every developer have sufficient knowledge to troubleshoot this? How about A10 load balancer, what average developer knows about this, can average developer fix failed virtual IP configuration or firewall rules on A10? Solving Red Hat Satellite cache issues?

I don't even mention handling some complicated network setup with third parties connections through proprietary VPN solution, AWS cloud deployments using multitude of services that AWS offers or obscure stuff like zSeries IBM or Unisys mainframes, etc.

Developer can be trained in all kind technologies, but there is truly a lot of them, this is huge body of knowledge, learning this will take a lot of time and money.
Amyloid plaques seem to be correlated with lots of things--they seem to be a general response to damage to the brain.

Almost all of the evidence seems to point that amyloid plaques are not causative with Alzheimer's.

The fact that every single drug (including this one!) targeting amyloid plaques (some of which are actually effective at reducing amyloid plaques) has failed to do anything for Alzheimer's suggests that amyloid plaques are the WRONG target.
That was before we got this good at making batteries — and we're still getting better.
The Most Embarrassing News Clip in American Transportation History
The Black Death, if that's what you're talking about, killed about 2/3 of all Europeans.
I think you're missing the point I'm making, which is that bitcoin is also (legally now, at least in El Salvador) a medium of exchange
What would that accomplish? Marking other planets like a dog does with its pee? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yGjekRgtxSA
Liposuction using low pressure outside the cabin.
Probably he wants the phone number because it indicates which country someone is from. I mean sure you can still get a temporary number from another country online, so it’s not 100% accurate. Or you could have recently moved countries and still be using the phone number that you got in your old country. But many people will probably use their actual number and of those people most probably have a number from the country they are living in.
Deep Mind is cutting edge ML in general, right? Doesn't Google actively apply the lessons learned all over the place? YouTube content recommendation stands out to me in particular. Translation and automated closed captioning are also obviously ML based. I'd guess that most of the really interesting stuff would be behind the scenes and not immediately visible to end users though.
> Infinite scroll isn't a trick. It gives the user precisely what they indicated they want: more content.

I actually added a source that says that infinite scroll can be considered a prevalent dark pattern. I think this will become a useless discussion because there's no clearly defined definition of what is and isn't a dark pattern and I think that in the end it's how the user experiences it. To me it's a dark pattern, because I don't want to scroll infinitely, but I do it anyway. To you it isn't because it gives you precisely what you want. The only solution seems to agree to disagree.
It's a known developer trait that they prefer eight hours of coding over five minutes of reading the docs.
This comment fails to see the real reason that Apple, Google, and Microsoft lock down their hardware and software, ease of use.

A vast, vast majority of the population could care less about learning about interrupts, tinkering with BIOS settings, etc. They want a device that is easy to use, and as simple as possible. So companies therefore abstract away 90% of the "creativity-inducing" components because a computer is a lot less intimidating when the user clearly knows what they can and can't do with it.

Apple and Google are not sitting in a meeting room pitching the best ways to stifle creativity. They are selling a product to a population that wants their highly complex device to be as simple as possible.
Apple’s approach is pragmatic. If they offered anyone the ability to jailbreak, you would see major app makers manipulating naive users into jailbreaking in order to bypass security, payment restrictions or similar. Even the limited options Apple provides are already abused, such as Facebook convincing users to install VPN profiles with their Ovano product and abusing it to spy on users.

Having the option defeats the fundamental advantages their approach offers.

There are a lot of problems with Apple’s approach from an antitrust perspective and fair competition should be regulated through legislation, but there are good reasons for closed ecosystems to exist and plenty of great alternatives for people who want something more open.
There’s plenty of hardware that runs Linux just fine, and allows deep tinkering.

In the mobile world, Android allows tinkering, but also achieves much worse privacy and security guarantees
If there were no way to turn it off so any driving cost $8.50/hr, I'd be with you.

But if it can be turned off and I can just drive as today as with a normal car, and I'm not paying any extra for the idle feature set, where's the problem?

With the current state of autonomous driving, I'd never use it anyway. No feature I've read about is good enough to just sleep in the backseat. Expecting the driver to be 90%+ idle then, when the "autopilot" fails and I must get instantly up to speed on the full context and state of the car, is both a recipe for disaster and would make me a very nervous driver/passenger (especially when I know that it would fail to recognize things like a semi-truck parked sideways across the road or a lane-splitting concrete barrier dead-ahead).

When and if a true and trustworthy autopilot is available, I'd likely prefer a per hour charge. I'd use it only when I really needed it, such as when I really need the time to keep working on this commute, or I'm really tired and think it's safer to be driven home.

As long as there is variety available in the market, this seems like a find option to have. At some point, when I find myself using it a lot, then it's time to go out and buy a car like a Tesla where it's just included as a package. Of course, if VW are smart, they'll also offer a single-price or monthly fee 'Full-Time Self-Drive' package, so I don't need to go to a competitor to get it.

OTOH, if the industry starts to look like internet security cameras or thermostats, where the there is nothing but a subscription, or televisions where there is almost no way to just get a non-'connected' monitor, I'm totally with you -- this would be a horrible example of exploitative, extractive, rent-seeking corporate behavior.
I think you are mixing up "not having to worry about how it works" with "having the freedom to tinker". We should demand both. One reason is for our curiosity. The other is to have checks and balances on the big companies.
So? None of them are commercial or proprietary projects - which was the contention. There’s nothing inherent about opensource that precludes having people paid to work on it. It’s just harder.
The article you point to does not mention anything about certificate transparency. They do not only depend on their own CT log to issue certificates, but also on CT logs run by external parties to issue a certificate.

Google's current policy still seems to require them to use 1 Google log, and 1 other non-Google log given the lifetime. They seem to use 1 Google log, and 1 other random log, including their own.

I'm doubt the logs will be able to keep up.
With a SASS product you're paying for ongoing access to a service with continuous improvements and a cost to the company to continue providing you.

With heated seats the hardware to provide the functionality was either fitted or not, once it leaves the factory it's static and so it seems pretty unreasonable to me to charge an ongoing fee for the privilege.

A world where my car gets micro-transactions to turn on the AC or heaters etc scares me.
Why are you quarantined if you got vaccinated?
Well, in this case, you're renting access to VW's autonomous driving service, which presumably comes with constant updates and improvements and humans behind to intervene in case of necessity ( à la Waymo).
It's been clear for many years that there are already more fossil fuel projects in the pipeline than what the planet can handle. This wasn't a secret.

The fault of these companies was pretending that they can ignore the climate crisis.

The choice is actually quite simple: Either we find a way to stop projects already in the pipeline and sometimes already in operation or the planet gets burned. I know which one I'd choose.
Ssshhhhh, you're breaking the first two rules of secret HN Santa.
I don't think blocking that time works per se, it requires people to actually stop what they're doing and work on something else, while they will probably prefer to finish what they're doing with that time or take a mental break.

Your last one (reserving some time in the meeting to make sure everybody's aligned) is pretty smart though. If that step is skipped, you may end up with half an hour of repeating what is in the doc already.
We're talking about a situation where all images are fetched immediately on delivery regardless of the email being opened.

In that situation it does not "provide open tracking" any more. You send 100,000 emails with 100,000 slightly different URLs, then you get 100,000 images fetched. You get zero information about if the emails were opened or not.

So at that point, you stop putting tracking information in the image URLs, as it's no longer giving you any information, and just means you have to serve the same image 100,000 times instead of just once.

Now Google only has to do 1 HTTP request and store 1 image. It doesn't have to do 100,000 HTTP requests, and store 100,000 images in its cache.
I'm not sure someone (including OP) would be "complaining" about it, considering that "this enforces borrow checker rules at runtime" is like the first or second thing in the documentation for RefCell and friends.

The frustrating bit about it is not that you get panics or deadlocks at runtime, that is to be expected when you can't get them at compile time, after all. The nasty bit is that this memory model makes it very difficult to work with tightly-coupled, concurrent state, and you have to go through all the RefCell<Rc<Whatever>> escape hatches, at which point you're not that far from C++ hell (edit: i.e. you "pay extra", in the form of the awkward escape hatches, to get not that far from where you were before).

In theory (or, if we're being realistic, in introductory tutorials) it's possible to avoid the escape hatches if you are careful to structure access to your data juuuuust right. That works out fine if you're the only person working on an infrequently-changing program with a small model that you understand very well. If everyone needs to hook into the first two or three function call levels of the main loop, and if your model is anything but small, that doesn't work out anymore. Six weeks into the whole thing and people spend more time un-breaking builds than writing code.

Also, seriously, not every comment that says "I wish Rust did X better" is a wanton attack upon the technological excellence and purity of the one perfect language to rule them all...
I also could never understand why software companies like Microsoft invest into software activation stuff. They constantly try to improve protection of their apps, run activation servers and probably have already spent huge lots of money on this and I have never seen anybody willing to use pirated software facing any real difficulty. Whoever wants it gets it anyway. Those who can afford a license easily and those (mostly businesses) who care about the legal aspect buy anyway. A simple (even easily crackable from the technical point of view) low-tech "enter a serial" dialog is enough to stop the rest (lazy/stupid people).

I understand how does this work in games and movies (the publisher gets most of the profit in the first hours after the release, before it gets cracked) but can't understand what's the point with business/utility apps.
If you leave the self driving aside, the model s is an amazing car. Compared with a high end bmw/merc/audi you get more features as standard - though I do admit the finish/build quality on those cars is superior. I have a 4 year old MS, and genuinely like it and love the acceleration/nimbleness and have experienced very few issues. I'd consider tesla again for my next car, but FSD would not be a factor either way.
There a difference between asymptomatic and presymptomatic.
Those things all exist…
>There's a smaller set of non-optional blocks (pirate/torrent sites) which you need a VPN to get around.

This https://unblockit.pw/ also does the job too (scihub is at the bottom).
Unless this is a regional thing I wonder where the doctor even got that idea, I wasn't even aware people snort meth until now. Meanwhile I walked past two people lighting up after leaving a job interview in soma last week. Any doctor who's worked in the ER or psych ward in SF would be familiar with how its used, meth induced psychosis is very common around here.
Ah yes, I love Factorio.
But you want to use any aspect of them to rip them off.
Hello Sir, unfortunately we do have small seats so you will have to book also another free seat in the back of the plane and the seat next to it and because you need to seat down also the 2 seats in front of you. Thank for flying XXX Airlanes.
I glanced through it and it has some interesting stuff, but I suspect you'll write better code in 99% of jobs if you don't read it, and don't know about most of the techniques described
Hello everyone, glad this made it in Hacker News. I am a software engineer at Northvolt and I am just dropping by to say that we are hiring and for a few positions we also sponsor visas:

https://northvolt.com/career/

Northvolt goes far beyond just cell manufacturing. We also make BMS (battery management systems) and a lot of our value added is oriented towards digital services like remote monitoring (IoT) and data science analysis

On the cell manufacturing side we also do a lot of data science to help optimise our factory and detect errors earlier in the process

Besides Software roles we also hire Electrical, Mechanical and Chemical engineers as one would expect

Also on some more other news, a few months ago Northvolt acquired Cuberg, a startup focusing on high-density cells for specialised devices like electric aircraft:

https://cuberg.net/news/northvolt-acquires-cuberg

Please upvote so people see this post :)
I think that "they know everything you do online, including fing around on facebook all day" is closer to the truth
Getting a vaccination just for "the points" looks like a bad idea to me, because "the health" should be the only point to be considered.
What kind of data would you require to get a convincing statistical answer for this?

(bearing in mind that there are many different applications, operating systems, and desktop/laptop/server machines)

It's a good question. Like you, I guess cloud-based applications may be less energy efficient overall; not all energy has an equal environmental production cost, however. And hopefully WebAssembly and other technologies can improve web application efficiency.