skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I would like to engage constructively, but I'm not sure what you doubt, and you seem to be holding me to a far different standard than you hold your own comments to.

Here's the behavior of PE firms when it comes to renting houses, they rent them out and charge for everything:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/04/magazine/wall-street-land...

As for the vacancy rates, how do you know the homes are vacant, and what is the proper vacancy rate? These can be looked up in from Census ACS estimates, though I hear that the Post Office sometimes has better data.

I would say that a healthy vacancy rate is at least 7%, possibly higher.
Apple has always taken 30% of creator earnings. Even small indy developers have paid this cut.

Did she really expect otherwise?
I know that seems like a large number but in the vaccine arm there were 20x more subjects and only 15 cases. So with the 1359 previously infected subjects, assuming identical behavior to vaccinated subjects, we would expect around 0.9 cases if vaccines were approximately equal to infection.

So this study doesn't have enough statistical power to say how vaccines compare to previous infection. Could be better, could be up to 3 times worse within a high confidence interval.

(disclamer: back-of-the-napkin math, did not double check everything)
Ask Tog

https://www.asktog.com
I am an engineering manager at Bay Area tech company and I love WFH. We have on-boarded lots of new employees and interns remotely and while there are difficulties the benefits seems to prevail.

Actually, I don't have anyone who is physically in California (I am the only one on my team who is physically there).

EDIT: list of WFH benefits (not complete): no commute (this is huge for some), ICs tend to do more focused work, ability to hire talent globally, giving option to people to live where they want to live (vs work), less seasonal colds, etc.
VAERS is user-generated content. I can go in there and file a report that I grew a third arm after vaccination and it'll go in.

Dying or having an adverse event after vaccination also isn't the same as dying from vaccination; even the genuine VAERS reports don't permit teasing this wrinkle out on their own.
There were the original Apple and Gnome HIG (human interface guides). Also Ask Tog, and nngroup.com for web stuff.
I dislike when my own comments within a discussion are not considered in good faith, so I'll extend you the courtesy I often wish was extended to me:

Why do you believe that confirming suspected immunity response and subsequent protection, as is the case with so many other diseases, is in any way connected to the belief that COVID is a hoax?
>> If you can borrow money for less than you can earn, you should borrow.

You are right, but using a car loan to do this makes no sense. You can always get a lower interest rate loan against real estate or margin loans against stocks. Show me any real world lender that won't loan you money at cheaper rates against those assets than they will against a car.

Sure, people get 0% loans on cars, but if you think they that doesn't mean they paid more for the car than they could have with cash up front.. well I can't help you.

You are trying to make an economic argument and I don't find it very convincing. But in the real world every time have I seen this happen it is to rationalize overspending.
It's consistent with the past years saturated reporting of the obvious about infectious diseases.
Have you ever bought milk in a town where it comes in by airplane?
Could anyone here address the credibility of the news source or the research?
That’s how Epics failed with Epic Games Store and Fortnite and moved to Google Play and started paying 30% fee to the Google and then broke rules and were kicked out from the Play Store.
I've wondered this for a long time. Or if it had a depressing effect on wages. FOSS certainly helps with productivity. Though I believe it's very likely also depressing wages and reducing the volume of software jobs.
It's still encrypted, just not authenticated. Still useful against sniffing.
This. I think too many people can think to a friend who purchased their McMansion at 30 and think to themselves that buying a home is unattainable. I realized that it takes constant self-reflection and discipline to build a 20-50% down payment on a 15-year mortgage WHILE socking money away for retirement, 529, and HSA. Granted, rates are lower than they ever have been historically but borrowing to get rich is still leveraging. I get ticked off when talking to real estate agents who only think leveraging is the way. To be honest, I don't have a credit score any longer. It's called manual underwriting!
Top comment nails it:

> So you took over someone elses project years ago, made some money off of it and then killed it. Yikes.
It’s a common talking point for Bitcoin salespeople. If you search the archives here you can see a decade of random people making that claim and either going silent or confabulating wildly when asked to support it — and HN has a relatively high average technical skill level. It took years for reporters to start questioning it, and that means there are a LOT of people whose understanding is shaped by what they heard in 2015.
Here in Uruguay CoronaVac is head to head with Pfizer in preventing death for those infected, 95% to 94% respectively. It is true that infection prevention rates are way better for Pfizer, at 79% vs CoronaVac's ~63%, but I can't imagine calling that "not very effective".

Source: https://www.gub.uy/ministerio-salud-publica/sites/ministerio...
> Through experiments that involved shocking dogs in different ways, Seligman developed the extremely important psychological concept of learned helplessness. It refers to a situation in which an organism’s lack of control over its surroundings prompts it to stop engaging in standard acts of self-preservation.

Note that neuroscience has marched on since then, and the original model explained here essentially got it backward, but people still tend to cite it as though it's authoritative. Later research suggests that passivity is the default, and exposure to prolonged aversive stimuli inhibits the process of learning to take action [1]. Seligman subsequently shifted his focus to "learned optimism" (hence the book title).

[1] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27337390/
But this is only true if expected returns and beta are constants, right?
As others pointed out, it's not all or nothing. The specific example he was using was that you have that p = 0.7 game and you invest 80% of your wealth on each round.

I think it would be intuitive for anyone that you could lose the first few rounds despite there being very favourable probabilities. If you really do go all-in, you could lose it all on the first round. But he's using an example of going "just" 80% in.

I think the part that's unintuitive for many people is that the probability of going bust increases the more rounds you play. Most people (myself included, perhaps) would naively expect that a favourable game would always have positive return as the number of plays increases. That's a mental failure to account for the fact that the game ends if we lose everything.

The counterintuitive result is because if you put 80% in each time, you could lose 99.97% after 5-straight losses or 99.99999% after 10-straight losses. The more you play, the more likely you are to eventually hit N consecutive losses and, therefore, go bust.

I have to concede that I don't know who would start from a place where they think betting 80% of the farm on each play is a sane strategy. Then again, we've all heard of founders who re-mortgage the house to fund their startup so...
One of the more personally infuriating aspects of Brexit for me is that I can't just drop in to Aberdeen or elsewhere in Scotland and move there for longer. :(
add(a, b) => a == 1 && b == 1 ? 1 : a + b

Kinda disappointing your test would take so long to run and still catch a simple error.
You need to apply some Bayesian thinking. No reasonable person (expert or not) believes in such a thing as zero danger.

- The vast majority of new drugs that undergo safety trials are found to have serious side effects.

- The near totality of new vaccines that undergo safety trials are found to have a formidably beneficial risk profile.

Don't make the mistake of applying the same risk heuristic in your mind for both things. Risk assessments in science have absolutely nothing to do with politics.
AWS ACM has always been free. ACM has never allowed you to export private keys. However ACM does have a way[1] for you to use ACM keys with EC2 instances: Nitro Enclaves. Nitro Enclaves carve off a little piece of your EC2 instance (memory + VCPU) into an isolated VM that feels a little bit like an HSM or a secure enclave.

[1] https://docs.aws.amazon.com/enclaves/latest/user/nitro-encla...
> this is the definition of anti-competitive monopoly[1]

Keep reading your own link.

https://www.ftc.gov/tips-advice/competition-guidance/guide-a...

> Courts look at the firm's market share, but typically do not find monopoly power if the firm (or a group of firms acting in concert) has less than 50 percent of the sales of a particular product or service within a certain geographic area.

Apple has less than a 50% market share on smart phones.
The approach others have done is to charge 30% more for in-app purchases and offer the ability to purchase on web for a discount (but not advertise the latter).
Yep Bitcoin was fun but now it's worse than cash for privacy and the same as cash for fungibility.

Best to move into privacy coins:

Current favorites: Wownero and Dero

https://www.wownero.org
https://dero.io

Enjoy :)
I've done this once, but ended up spending three days building a rail in one direction because resource patches get bigger the further you are away from spawn. I ended up using nuclear powered trains to traverse it and it was still about 15 minutes to travel.
Probably because bigger companies have bigger wallets. Bezos can afford to kick back some of gains his engineers get from the work of others. Small shops would have less capacity to give back.
This looks awesome. I recently moved and had to get a new ISP and router and I gave up trying to get my home server working because the router firmware is so bugged out that port forwarding doesn’t work.
This is so not the point lol
>Poor countries typically have authoritarian, corrupt governments

The western national media has been effective at propagandizing you toward this end. The "typical poor country is corrupt" trope is circulated widely and is used to discredit any attempt at wresting control over a country's fiscal future away from a cohort of wealthy western nations.

Corruption in the west is normalized and simply labeled "lobbying." "Corruption" elsewhere is used as an excuse to overturn elections, topple governments and assassinate leaders.
from what I understand, the Authors are still free to send you their papers. So perhaps the simplest decentralized system is for each author to run an automatic email request system and have feeds / aggregators of papers titles/abstracts with author emails to make it easy to get the papers you want?
A couple recent studies indicate that previously infected and then vaccinated individuals may have longer term immunity than those who are vaccinated but weren't previously infected or those who were infected but haven't been vaccinated:

> Immunity to the coronavirus lasts at least a year, possibly a lifetime, improving over time especially after vaccination, according to two new studies. The findings may help put to rest lingering fears that protection against the virus will be short-lived.

> Together, the studies suggest that most people who have recovered from Covid-19 and who were later immunized will not need boosters. Vaccinated people who were never infected most likely will need the shots, however, as will a minority who were infected but did not produce a robust immune response.
Both reports looked at people who had been exposed to the coronavirus about a year earlier. Cells that retain a memory of the virus persist in the bone marrow and may churn out antibodies whenever needed, according to one of the studies, published on Monday in the journal Nature. The other study, posted online at BioRxiv, a site for biology research, found that these so-called memory B cells continue to mature and strengthen for at least 12 months after the initial infection.

> “The papers are consistent with the growing body of literature that suggests that immunity elicited by infection and vaccination for SARS-CoV-2 appears to be long-lived,” said Scott Hensley, an immunologist at the University of Pennsylvania who was not involved in the research.

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/26/health/coronavirus-immuni...
Relatedly when I opened that link I got "something went wrong. Try reloading" when I opened that. I happen to know that's usually rate limiting with twitter (since Firefox is suspicious, maybe?) so reloading is exactly the wrong thing to do, but switching between the mobile and desktop sites seems to work (maybe they have different quotas?).
People forget that demand isn't the only thing that decides prices. The other player is supply, and the problem with healthcare is quite clearly supply. I hate to go all free market evangelist on HN, but the American healthcare economy is about the furthest thing from a market economy you'll see in the US and saying things like

>the healthcare system in a market economy easily expands to the point where people are working their whole lives to the point where the healthcare system can ultimately confiscate all of that value back

is ludicrous. Healthcare systems in market economies expand to fill a respectable but manageable share of people's budgets. You can tell by looking at literally any other country with a market economy (most of them) and checking what they charge for an ambulance.
At this point I honestly ignore anyone who tries to talk about "democracy", because that term has already become to mean, not what democracy actually is, but whatever political ideology the author supports. If the author supports an ideology, then it's "democracy", if they don't support it, it's the "end of democracy". Which, ironically, is the exact viewpoint that IS the end of democracy.
This explains a lot actually.

Spring-Fall 2020 my town (Coeur d'Alene, ID) had a bunch of real estate investors going door to door offering to buy houses. My parents had to shoo them away a couple times...same people.
Through this year we have this incredible shortage of houses (not to mention a surge of newcoming residents).

The part I find interesting though is that the average house price in my area went up 25-50%...which pretty much lines up with what it seems these companies were paying.

It isn't the only issue here though...a significant number of people who move here are purchasing a second home as well in order to have a "vacation rental" which is further driving the housing crisis.

Average rate of pay in my area is $20/hr but in order to purchase the average house you are required to make 3x that amount to be eligible. (Minimum wage here is $7.25/hr)

Landlords see the rising prices and say "I'm losing money by not raising rents" and now a 1bd apartment is going for $1k/month (so you need to make $25-30k/year to be eligible).
The "solution" they have is to build more apartments to house people...but those apartments are controlled heavily by large corporate interests who own multiple buildings and are controlling the prices.

I have talked personally with more than one of the investment realtors who came through (candidly) and one of them specifically said she "buys houses but does not sell them..." and she used that as justification to the argument that realtors raise the cost of houses by "flipping them".

It is a mess. Coeur d'Alene,ID was listed as the hottest real estate market in the US. Ketchum and Boise are having similar issues.

Why Idaho you might ask? Well...we have non disclosure laws which make it so you are not required to disclose the last selling price. We also have a 2017 law preventing any type of limitation on vacation rentals. The list goes on and on.

Not sure where everyone is going to live...or who is going to do the work...but the locals are being phased out. Homelessness/Rough living are becoming more common and Ketchum was even discussing tent cities. [1]

I have nothing but hope for the world. Someday people may realize that profiting from housing is profiting from another person's pain and poverty. It sucks that a 40% increase on property values are not enough for the investors...they need to raise rents too.

[1] https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-superrich-bought-up-ketchu... (google brings a few more results that may be more recent)
A better solution would be to have each service on its own IP address and to do away with ports entirely. Ports are a hack to deal with limited IP addresses.
Biden Drops Trump's Ban on TikTok and WeChat – But Will Continue the Scrutiny
>The short answer is that Bitcoin works and TransferWise and PayPal don't. I looked into TransferWise a couple of months ago when someone else asked about it: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26657391

Dude, just call a spade a spade and say what you really mean: You are using bitcoin to perform tax evasion in your country because you think taxes and the economy there are unfair.
Thanks mate for the reply.

Can you check now. Ideally it should work now.
They built their closed platform from scratch on mature market with Nokia and Blackberry and made the lowest fee (in 2008) that’s why developers started making apps for iPhones. You think 30% is high while it was best choice in 2008. Now zoomers don’t want to pay fees and want everything for free.
Further evidence is further evidence, no? You have to measure and assess to get results...
google burakumin

The public schools I taught at in Japan kept (private) lists of which kids came from burakumin families.
My experience with these kind of dislocations is that your HR department starts tracking your target number internally based on your new circumstances and you don't see any pay rises until that number exceeds your actual.
The Risk of Cargo Liquefaction
"but working from home for only a year, in pandemic conditions"

About 18 months here (UK.) I'm a business owner (IT services) and I now do see the value of WFH. I really, really know the upsides and the downsides.

My staff don't go off the boil when they are at home - they lose it and drift off when they don't feel ... loved. Call it what you will but when you are sat in a room at home which may not be very comfortable or large enough. Your internets are shit and you only have a small laptop screen.

I have forked out on a shit load of screens, wireless keyboards and mice. You want a docking station - OK. Whatever you want. Yes I have sent the phone and yes just plug it in ... the VPN adds a bit of latency, just slow down a bit when you talk.

I am not just quite good with deploying VPNs, I'm a fucking ... OK, I can make VPNs work quite well. I've seen a few use cases recently.
My ISP does not block any of the non-optional blocks either..

While I do use a VPN at times, it is never to get around blocks.

Although I don't use my ISPs dns, so if that is how they're attempting to comply I wouldn't notice.
And for me the word "chair" is synonymous with "Mountain Dew", but fortunately it doesn't matter for the rest of the world. A language has nothing to do with some of its speakers.
Deleted emails are kept for one week so that accidentally-deleted items can be restored:

https://www.fastmail.com/help/receive/restoredeleted.html
An alternative is just showing the request ID so support can look up the error in logging
Most authorities are downplaying natural immunity, despite evidence like this. The more widely this spreads, the more people will realize it's ok to rely on natural immunity, and to not blanket demonize those who are unvaccinated.
>compared to their buzzing open-plan desk in the office, making them more productive.

I think this point gets really overblown by people who put too much of a tech lens on things. I've been in many, many different offices (I'm a consultant) and open plan offices are very rare outside of tech, and on top of that, most non-tech workers do not see "more quiet and focused" as a good thing. Most of my non-tech clients have constant back-and-forth dialog in the office, and removing that has, at least in my experience with these companies, made them less productive.
The idea is that you do the calibration once (eg on program start), then the timer interrupt handles it until and unless it get desynced. So only for one frame, total (per run of the mouse-using program).
The variables are for use in the novels themselves. Mostly for aspects that won't change often: names, places, invented nouns, nick-names, character tics, vehicle velocities, dates (relative or otherwise), and so on. One of my favourite uses of R and variables is this piece of dialogue:

> Plus, we'll be about `r#cms(round.up(travel.time( v$location$protagonist$latitude$value, v$location$protagonist$longitude$value, v$location$proximal$latitude$value, v$location$proximal$longitude$value, v$location$proximal$travel$speed$value )))` minutes to the `r#x( v$location$proximal$name$short )` by `r#x( v$location$proximal$travel$mode )`

The preview panel shows:

> Plus, we'll be about thirty-five minutes to the redwoods by maglev.

This allows me to change the locations' latitude and longitude and not have to remember where that particular blurb was written: the travel time will be recomputed and the resulting number rewritten according to the Chicago Manual of Style (cms) rules. (What's more, the travel time is first computed by a REST call to a map API to get the distance by vehicle; failing that, it performs a Haversine distance calculation.)
Probably depends on your aversion to losing it all. If it's a dollar go for it. If it's 100 dollars, again, take the bet. If it's your life savings of 50000 dollars and going to 0 would be worse for you than 70/30 doubling your money, you don't want to go for it.
I define Open Source to mean that I can see the source code.

The OSI defines open source one way, and I just defined open source another way. This is an inconsistency that trips up lots of people on HN and elsewhere. There isn’t one definition, there are many, and calling “anybody but the mega-rich can use this for free; they have to pay” open source falls within some definitions but not others.
Portland has an Urban Growth Boundary [1] that makes it very difficult (de-facto illegal) to build new housing on undeveloped land. That is a major cause of the housing shortage, but it was passed by people like you who wanted it to artificially densify the city. Current homeowners who want to maximize their house's value would be in favor of keeping the urban growth boundary (it restricts the supply of houses) and encouraging high density projects (if apartments can be built on a lot, it makes it more valuable), which coincidentally is the status quo in Portland and other cities on the west coast. You may personally hate sprawl for various reasons, but there is a reason why the sprawling cities of the South and Midwest are cheaper than the densifying cities of the PNW, despite many of them having larger populations. Building apartments and tearing down houses lowers the price of apartments and raises the price of houses; it's simple supply and demand. Repealing both zoning regulations and the urban growth boundary would result in a free market, but don't be surprised if people make lifestyle choices you don't approve of and the suburbs sprawl outwards in such an environment.

[1] https://www.oregonmetro.gov/sites/default/files/2020/02/24/U...
Anything outside the yellow line can't be developed without a massive legal fight.