skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
No, you can't use it for bankroll management, because you can't estimate the probabilities necessary. A rule like "never bet more than 15% of your bankroll on one thing" would work just as well and it doesn't require you to do a bunch of math to get to the same answer.

Here, lets do some examples to see how dumb it is in practice:

Lets say I want to enter a tournament where I guess I have a 5% chance of winning, and I have $1000, here is how much the KC says I should be willing to pay to enter based on the payout odds:

10:1 -> Don't enter (duh)
15:1 -> Don't enter (duh again)
19:1 (breakeven) -> $0.00 (duh)
20:1 -> $2.50
30:1 -> $18.33
100:1 -> $40.50have forced
1000:1 -> $49.05
10000:1 -> $49.95
10000000000000000000000000000000000:1 -> $50.00

oh, so this fantastic system tells me to never bet more than 5% of my money if I have a 5% chance of winning. So insightful!

Ok, lets say we have a 95% chance of winning the tournament:

1:1 -> $900
2:1 -> $925
50:1 -> $949
1000000000000000:1 -> $950

So if I'm a sure thing, I should bet a bunch of money. Again, there's no way someone would do this without maximizing log expected value and doing a bunch of math.

Maybe it gets more interesting if it's around 50/50:

1:1 -> $0 (ok, makes sense)
2:1 -> $250
3:1 -> $333
4:1 -> $375
100000000000:1 -> $500

Again, Kelly gives us terrible advice. If you have a trillion to one payout on a coin flip, you want to bet less, not more! Why would you risk half your money, and have a 1/4 chance of losing all your money, when you can bet 1 cent at a time and just wait to win one time so you can buy half of the stock market with your winnings?

So I still contend that whatever it is that Kelly maximizes, it's a dumb thing to maximize outside of contrived situations where you are forced to bet and know exact odds, and where the expected value is positive (if you have negative expected value you should never play, and Kelly tells you that).

Finally, it is very sensitive to your probability estimates. Going back to my first example, where you have a 5% chance of winning a tournament, lets fix the payout at 30:1 and look at what kelly tells us if the probability of winning isn't exactly what we thought it was:

5% (same as first example): $18.33
4%: $8.00
3%: Don't enter
6%: $28.67
7%: $39.00

So if I have to guess my probability of winning the tournament within 1% of the actual probability or Kelly is going to tell me drastically wrong amounts. Nobody can set odds on something like a tournament precisely enough for this to be useful. Just like with stocks, if you have the ability to estimate probabilities so well that Kelly stops telling you to do the wrong thing, you can make far more money just directly using your magical probability estimating powers and betting on derivatives. If I could estimate my odds of winning the tournament to within 1%, I can just go to the sports book and bet on who is going to win on the tournament and make far more money than I would in the tournament itself. It's like a system to sell a cake for 15% more profits, and it starts with "first, use your laser vision to preheat the cake pan".
I am 51 years old. I learned my first programming language (C) in the mid nineties, and have been writing software ever since.

Back then, there was this enormous revolutionary fervor around free software, and it was intensely idealogical. You used the GPL because you wanted to fuck Microsoft and the entire concept of proprietary code. Linux was punk, not a good “solution.” And every time someone hacked up a free version of something, we all rejoiced, not because it “didn’t cost anything,” but because it was another way to make the point that the entire concept of making money off binary blobs was inherently evil. Install fests! Bring us that old 486, and we’ll make it YOURS! What a party.

Were we hopelessly naive? Maybe. Probably. But I find it depressing to read threads like this. It’s like everybody is just doing some kind of cost benefit analysis, but nobody is asking serious questions about whether the world we built is actually the world we want.

I’ll say it: If many of you had walked into some scrappy LUG in 1996, you’d have been laughed out of there as some kind of tool.

Are you a tool? I don’t know. But the resignation still bums me out. Y’all want to “support OSS devs,” not throw a sledgehammer at the screen.
Businesses need to stop caring about if you're on facebook 8 hours a day. If you're getting your work done at the end of the week that's all that really matters.

The idea that the business owns your ass for a minimum of precisely 40 hours a week where you must be solely focused on the outcome of the business is both toxic and nonproductive.
Yes!

I had friends, housing, food, a stable day to day routine and _nobody_ looked down on me for my problems. I was able to talk openly about what I was going through and the circumstances that led to my addiction in the first place.

Normally (at least as Americans) we think of addicts as getting all of those things in rehab facilities and getting “fixed” by that few weeks or months. I’ve been in rehabs and mental hospitals and genuinely gotten some necessary help from them, but in my case I only started getting really better after I found myself in a situation where I had all of that support without feeling like it had an expiration date.
For some scale:

The shortest line in London (ignoring 2.5km Waterloo &City) is Victoria line with 21km.

The longest line, U1, in Nuremberg is 18.5km and still doesn't run automated. They started with U3, which is running 9.2km. Even with only two ready rooms maximum distance is 2.5km, which can be travelled in a few minutes in case of emergency (using a car and emergency signals it's less than 5 minutes, but of course getting underground and from nearest entry point to train will take longer)
GMT was abolished at the end of 1971, when the Greenwich observatory started distributing UTC as its official timescale. At that time the observatory was based in Herstmonceux, so GMT was calculated from a model rather than being based on observations made from the transit instruments in Greenwich.
Someone else linked this:

https://www.blocked.org.uk/

Which includes info on the orders:

https://www.blocked.org.uk/legal-blocks

Occasionally there is a small amount of reporting on it, but it tends to be fairly misdirected and naive.
Apple recently suggested to Australian authorities that Apple can't possibly have a monopoly on app distribution since they have no restrictions against PWAs which "have the look, feel and functionality of a native app". [1]

As someone currently building an app-like website – https://wormhole.app – let me tell you that Apple's neglect and underinvestment in the web platform definitely precludes websites or "PWAs" from having the "have the look, feel and functionality of a native app". Safari suffers from the twin effects of (1) limitations that Apple has intentionally put in place and (2) intentional under-staffing of the Safari team. Here's how it's affected us:

- Apple recently broke our website by adding support for a new API `blob.stream()` in Safari 14.1 (which we correctly feature-detected) but when you call the function you get a null pointer exception which crashes the renderer process [2]. Worse, the bugs was fixed on `master` several months before Safari was released but it wasn't included in the release.

- IndexedDB has been full of bugs for years and shows very slow signs of improvement. We have no other storage options on Safari, so we're stuck using their buggy implementation.

- Safari limits websites to using 1GB of temporary space after which the app must prompt the user for an additional allocation, each 200MB at a time. So if the app needs 5GB of space (for example, a video editing application, or in our case a P2P-enabled file sending app), then the user will need to click "okay" on twenty prompts for 200MB more space each to make the app work. Needless to say, this is totally ridiculous and definitely not an API that Apple would ever find acceptable to ship for native iOS apps.

- If we choose to use in-memory storage then Safari warns the user that our website is using lots of RAM. So that's not a real option.

- We can't offer streaming download + decryption from our servers because Safari's ServiceWorker implementation doesn't allow intercepting HTTP requests for file downloads.

- Missing many APIs that would actually let websites truly compete with native apps. Just a few that we use:

* Web Share Target API (https://web.dev/web-share-target)

* File System Access API (https://web.dev/file-system-access)

- I could go on...

It's hard to see Apple's decisions here as anything but outright hostile to the web and designed to push developers into making native apps.

[1] https://www.accc.gov.au/system/files/Apple%20Pty%20Limited%2...

[2] https://twitter.com/feross/status/1386835131780931587
I figured some results will be spammy, plus it could allow for a paid plan later down the line where folks could bypass having to take other people’s exams
> If your goal is to hire people to write code, ask yourself if you are capable of doing it better.

If a startup is successfully and can effort/manages to hire some senior dev with 10+ years of prefessional experience then the founder is unlikely to be able to do it better.

> Nobody is better able to cut through the bs in software these days than you, the business owner, and your customers-- the ones who pay you to survive.

Expect the people you hire explicitly to "cut through the bs in software" which in difference to you don't have to bother will all the other stuff like a founder gets involved with (like anything from finding venture capital, over "general" business decisions to the direction of personal management).

> If so, why not continue writing code?

Because if you create a startup and it becomes somewhat successfully (lets say it scaled to 20 people) then you don't have much time to code anymore.

---

A a startup Founder, CEO, CTO etc. understanding the difficulties of software development is a super use-full skill especially if you can notice if there is something wrong with the decisions (or outcomes) of your dev Team. But knowing about software development and doing it isn't the same and once you have a company size where you don't need to directly do any programming the programming skill itself will become useless (through not the general things you learned about the process of software development).
They forbid this (bypass Google Pay Billing) for games that’s why Epics are suing Google with Apple at the same time since both companies kicked out Fortnite after malicious hotpatch.
Looks like innernet relies on third party "Nebula" from "Slack Technologies" (commercialised IRC) which uses 70.199.182.92.

Perhaps the definition of "self-hosted" varies from person to person. The definition I subscribe to for "self-hosted" peer-to-peer is that I have to supply the publicly reachable IP address and run a supernode on it. (I prefer supernodes that only provide IP:port information for peers to directly connect and do not pass any traffic once the peers are connected.) Many of the so-called "peer-to-peer" projects I see today provide the IP address of a server run by a third party as part of their default configuration, with the option that a user could run their own server on their own IP address. (How many users do that.) Under the definition I subscribe to, nothing is for "free". I have to pay for the publicly reachable IP address and run the supernode from that address. Under another person's definition of "self-hosted", a third party might be hosting a necessary server. If they stop providing that service, the "self-hosted" solution no longer works.
Went to visit my parents and my dad thought it prudent to have a 60 minute meeting with a stranger in an unventilated office at work. Yaaaaay...
> Varnish also doesn’t support WebSockets

Yes it does. I recently added WebSockets support to a Varnish instance. See https://varnish-cache.org/docs/trunk/users-guide/vcl-example...
Oh we can say it out loud now? Nice.

Like the lab leak theory.

I'm glad I kept my mouth shut until this week, or I would have been a racist.
I'm under the impression that video games are always crunching anyway, so maybe the pandemic was just a good excuse to delay and finally get the time they needed.
The moment a Federal court declares that Bitcoin addresses aren't fungible is the beginning of the end of Bitcoin as a laundering tool. If the government can seize derivative Bitcoin addresses (and/or other assets purchased in exchange), then as a payee I care very much about the provenance of payments I receive. Almost immediately the value of Bitcoins passing through mixers would plummet.
Yep. One of the FAANGs recently published a 2-weeks/year remote-working policy as part of going back to the office, whereas before the pandemic you could just ask your manager for permission and there was no 2 week limit. Kind of like the ever-increasing chocolate rations in 1984.
> and Google doesn't ban use of other payment processors

They certainly do on the Play Store. Developers have until September of this year to comply with Google's rule to take 30% of sales and use its payment system[1] in their apps.

It's clearly more price fixing on the part of the Apple and Google mobile app distribution and payments cartel.

[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/28/google-to-enforce-30percent-...
That's hilarious and it sounds like a great anecdote for parties!

I'm in the opposite situation, I quit my only job because I couldn't stand wasting my time and I'll just keep on running my business (less money but freedom and time to make more and grow).

Out of curiosity and if you're happy to share, are you still running your own company while "working" these jobs?
You're assuming that those local businesses can just spin up and wait what, months? years? for the density to reach levels that will sustain said local businesses. Most people don't have the money to throw down the drain like that merely wishing for the urbanist utopia to arrive. In the real world, money matters, timescales matter, customers matter, etc.
I feel in opposite way and my experience including few years of pre pandemic remote working.

At office you can work together with same peoples over years but not get any real clue about who they are truly, because lot of politics, pretending and fears included in office life. On remote work peoples usually more open, honest and direct, in most cases it easiest for them to share stuff that they have passion about or describe real issues in life (But I think that also not true if your work required to do lot of short projects with different peoples).

Also, if you already work with someone for a long time remotely it always nice to meet him in real life and get to know little more.
https://xkcd.com/1860/

The OSI's definition is the widely accepted one. If you mean something else, then make up your own word. To redefine open source like you're trying to do just makes communication more difficult for no benefit.
As well as the cost of running first-party QA processes, namely that “Nintendo Seal of Quality” that was instigated to prevent a repeat of the 1980s video game crash, precipitated by a slew of awful shovelware games for the Atari 2600 in particular).

Apple does have their app-review thing - but they said it’s paid-for by the $99 fee, so the 30% cut with all the other Kafkaesque restrictions is not a tenable position.

Anyway - my company stopped publishing to the iOS App Store over a year ago and switched to PWAs and no-regrets here at all.
> It is claimed Synergy 3 will arrive in 2022 or 2023, which I expect (no insider info) will likely be a lipstick-on-a-pig Electron UI around the same buggy core they've been prodding for 10 years without substantial enhancement.

They claim they are hiring Node.js and React developers to deliver something with "the rock-solid stability of C++".

So I'd wager you are correct with an Electron UI.
It's even worse than that, my dad got it in an indoor space (office) while both he and the carrier were wearing masks. Then I got it from him in the house, even though I avoided him and kept my distance.

He wouldn't wear a mask in the house (because "I'm fine") and kept coughing up the place, though.
That’s not true pipelines can transport oil, ammonium nitrate, be laid with internet fiber, and a variety of other chemicals.
I sympathize with the user.

It's a little mind boggling though. Securing money with a $15/mo phone plan. It's an extremely ghetto phone service. If anyone's to blame, it's Boost Mobile. Cricket Wireless. Pay for a major carrier plan.
We do that stuff.

> -Buy smaller/more efficient computers instead of the bigger/less efficient one

Smaller process size and better power management makes your mobile device have better battery life. 80 Plus, energy star, performance-per-watt benchmarks.

> -let's move closer to work

Hughesnet and dial-up are not good WFH options.

> -let's share computers

Cloud, client/server.

> -let's not buy our teenagers a computer just yet

Cancelled Instagram-for-kids?
I purchased one in 1984 to learn CP/M and Z-80 assembly on the Apple II. Later I used it to learn Fortran and Turbo Pascal, and finally bought a PCPI Applicard to speed the things up. The Z-80 softcard could be one of the best cards in Apple II's history, IMHO.
Brazilian sculptor creates cardboard motorcycle replicas
While not exactly for guitar, Phil’s Lab on youtube recently posted a low noise headphone amplifier design that's both over-kill in some ways and interesting and cheap to make.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z2GUoi63pJs
It's certainly arguable that there is downside for some people. Some vaccine side effects are worse for some people who have already been infected. [1]

[1] https://www.kfyrtv.com/2021/03/15/health-experts-say-those-p...
The previous permit was revoked by a court due to NEPA issues.

Then-President Trump subsequently issued a permit himself using his presidential power: this one didn't require a NEPA environmental review because neither NEPA nor the APA apply to actions by the President. The whole thing is a little wonky because both the older and newer ones are "presidential" permits, but since the State Department had actually issued the prior one, the APA and NEPA applied.

The permit President Biden revoked was Trump's replacement one.
Save your teeth naturally
Best article if you have care of your teeth
http://healthwithbeauty.xyz/2021/06/09/tips-for-healthy-teet...

homemade cucumber face mask
Get beautiful face naturally
http://healthwithbeauty.xyz/2021/06/09/homemade-cucumber-fac...

Brazilian sculptor creates cardboard motorcycle replicas
https://www.interestingnews.club/2021/06/brazilian-sculptor-...
In 2020 California had around 4500 suicides and in 2019 Florida had around 3500 suicides. Florida experienced a 10% drop in suicides for 2020 and had around 35,000 Covid deaths. California had around 62,000 Covid deaths. If you are going to argue against the efficacy of lockdowns then your focus ought not be about number of suicides. Do you have a more relevant argument?
Alternatively, it could just encourage fracking and refining closer to the delivery point. Smaller economies of scale would be offset by lower transport cost. At the same time, pollution would likely increase.

The only real lever the government has is increasing fuel taxes, but that would result in roots from people who are barely making it before massive increases in transportation costs.
Don't declare things "illegal" when they've not been.
Mosquitoes armed with virus-fighting bacteria sharply curb dengue infections
Cal-OSHA board to reconsider masks in the workplace
Too bad you can write only one of those positions on your resume.
Maybe you can find this useful: https://c19early.com/
Several well studied drugs are effective for treatment or avoidance of the disease.
They planned their business after reading App Store rules and now want to bypass it. That’s not how the business work. They will fail in court very badly because they accepted the rules and know all consequences.
Sure but moving by rail emits more greenhouse gas _now_ as opposed to less now later maybe more. Plus there are way more rail accidents like this one from 2013 killing 47 people and destroying a town: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lac-M%C3%A9gantic_rail_disas...
Japan sometimes don't care much about such issues caused by building large apartment, like extremely crowded station/train and lack of nursery school. I don't know it's good thing, but these are often complained.
With regards to poker, "bet sizing" in the original article is equivalent to "bankroll management" in poker parlance. Bet sizing within individual hands is indeed a matter of game strategy, but the stakes you should play (i.e. blinds or tournament buyin amounts) is closely related to the original article.
This has been a big talking point on HN since all this started, but the data we have so far shows that suicide rates did not increase.

https://www.hopkinsguides.com/hopkins/view/Johns_Hopkins_Psy...
Hopefully, maybe, the community might come together and crowdsource a new Reddit Secret Santa that's run by the Reddit community rather than the Reddit admins.
> I will likely take a modest salary reduction

You might be surprised

> What happens 3 years later..

Find a new remote job? There were remote jobs before the pandemic; can't imagine they would all dry up.
Wait, what? You should write about your experiences (anonymously, of course). This is kind of hilarious if true, though I'm a bit skeptical.
Your pay is driven by your political status. It has nothing to do with value generated or with needs.

If an employer is defining it according to your needs, that's a sign you have relatively low status. It's not a sign that the employer is correct.

This is partly why remote has huge potential benefits for employers. Committed remote means huge savings on office space. But it also lowers the chances of collective political activity, including unionisation.
Why map anything to words for strict identification? Words and language are very error prone vs an id number or hash.
Spot on! The current problem of SaaS/Cloud companies taking away all the revenue of FOSS developers is the direct effect of weak licenses.

Some products like databases are now switching to AGPL but it takes a lot of effort to revert the trend now.
This is you really liking the mall experience where stores are paying twice as much rent to be in the mall and trying to make it illegal for shops to do business outside the mall to maximize your shopping experience. You and the mall are both in love with the idea.

If you want to shop in the mall vote with your wallet if there isn't enough demand to convince merchants to situate themselves there then deal with it.

Laws forcing merchants and customers into the mall ought to be themselves illegal.
I'm growning skeptical of the idea that every science text should be free. As a community that values privacy, it's hypocritical that these widespread leaking is so well accepted.

The fact that scihub needs to skip domain names every couple of months and that ISPs start blocking the website, looks to confirm my theory, rather than imply some worldwide conspiracy.
Julia defines ≠ in Base.

julia> 3 ≠ 4

true
You might enjoy https://gather.town :D
Great, I need to try something like that.
But most work is dumb and soul crushing.
All the above aside, if you're not great at it, you're almost forced to play with a bunch of degenerate idiots.

If you want to play the game for the enjoyment of trolling these idiots, then sure.. keep playing.
Biden Drops Trump's Ban on TikTok and WeChat
Good explanation thanks. I'm only a bit confused now. You say "Bitcoin is not account based". But if we send bitcoin to some address doesn't that address in effect equate to an "account"?

Just like if you put money into my bank-account you will need to know the account-number (i.e. "address") of my bank-account?
How Apple forced anyone when they launched App Store in mature mobile market in 2008 where everyone was telling iPhone is “failed product”.