skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The problem isn't absolute population decline. Declining population is good for the planet.

The problem is the ratio of old to young. In real world, the population isn't going to decline all of a sudden with declining birth rates. We are first going to have inverted age pyramids. Which means fewer young people will have to support a growing old population.

The simplest way to imagine this is imagine you live in a small agrarian village. Your village's ability to feed its old depends on the number of young to hunt/grow crops. If there are fewer young people, there will be lesser food. Who's going to do the backbreaking work of bringing food? Not frail old people for sure.

In modern world, this manifests in local manufacturing, local agriculture and local industries. The fewer the local industries (because of fewer young people), the lesser the economic output, the lesser the food (social security) for the old.

All this is to say, rapid declines have never been easy for societies and this time is no different.
Is a bronze sculpture an "original"? (It's likely been done by a professional foundry, that created a mold from the artists template)
For the Love of Connection, in Real-Time: Kafka Socks
It's probably from people flinging binaries and js all over the place like disorganized children.
How to Hide Instagram Likes: A Step-by-Step Guide
I'm glad you have it all figured out...
I think I misled myself into thinking your selling point was the technology (Monte Carlo), whereas as you say there is little about that on the website. And your comments below are right: building the tool around MC affords you a lot of flexibility without having to be increasingly clever.

The only thing I would worry about then are events which have low probability but potentially very high "weight" in whatever measure of risk you are using. Sometimes the weight can be so large that your MC estimates seem to converging, and then the addition of a single trajectory completely blows up your variance. These are related to the "black swan" events people sometimes talk about. I don't think this is a problem in your model.

Thanks again for ansnwering.
No, that's merely the nature of collective blame, which should be avoided.
Automation and a slightly higher drag on GDP (human effort in the care supply chain) until the older cohorts age out. Can't kick the can forward forever, the bill will come due. Better to pay when you can afford it. Japan is every country's future.
> But I still think NFTs have a future as digitally signed proof of ownership of media assets.

The NFT is only a proof of ownership of the NFT. You don’t own the artwork. If you want to buy the artwork you need an old fashioned signed contract documenting transfer of ownership.
Although it’s not mentioned, I hope people are watching Stuff Made Here. If not, definitely check that channel out. Cool projects, epic engineering, usually tied together with code.

https://youtube.com/c/StuffMadeHere
The LGA perimeter rule already has holes. Denver is allowed, and the rule doesn't apply on Saturdays. With the much more airline-friendly layout post-construction, it would not be surprising if the rule is changed.
The idea seems simple enough and the math to do these kinds of predictions is fairly straight forward unless there is some secret sauce under the hood that isn't obvious. I guess the value is slick UI / tool that was created around it.

One question that I do have about these types of tools... how does one evaluate how well it worked? I guess in the end as long as the timeline wasn't too far off then you call it a win.

I think a useful tool for project planning is not necessarily simulating possible time-lines (or a estimated window of time for the project to be completed) however to intelligently identify a set of critical tasks within the list which would have a high probability of totally blowing up your time line their deadlines are missed. In project management / scheduling there are often critical path items listed. However often these critical items are semi-arbitrarily picked by the PM and not backed by and deep insights.
One of authors here. As a kid, some of my most meaningful relationships and experiences were forged through online gaming (UO anyone?). A big part of this wasn’t necessarily the game itself, but was instead the sense of place and community afforded through the shared environment.

As an adult, many of my most meaningful relationships have come from my work environment. When working remotely or in a distributed setting, however, I find this not to be the case. Existing tools such as Slack and Zoom simply don’t cut it. Individual productivity may benefit, but the culture is fundamentally lacking.

As a leader and someone who has founded and built a large company, I have experienced first-hand how critical it is to have a highly engaged team. This affects everything from communication to culture and company values. Moreover, there is a lack of innovation that spontaneous whiteboard sessions and more fluid communication styles afford.

Spot is the culmination of a year of research and development to recreate a highly engaged workplace with smooth and natural interactions. (Not to mention, it is also a lot of fun!). Would appreciate some feedback from the HN community.
I think I mostly agree. I will always be grateful that my parents were able to do it well for me. But I don't think it's automatically always the right choice and should not be undertaken lightly.
Swift needs a better language reference
I'm in the UK:

1) Financial Times

2) The Economist up until very recently.

3) The Guardian and The Daily Mail (to get some sort of balance,as these essentially are the opposite ends of the same stick)

4) A few news portals in my native Language.

5) Wired( when I'm completely bored and don't have anything else to read)

6) The local( when I want news from France/Sweden in English)

7) Breitbart ( need to check on them every now and then to see if the sentiment ever changes)

8) Some more niche papers on subjects I like.

9) Bloomberg

10) Occasional US based outlets.
In roughly 1987-1988, I took the required 2 semesters of calculus at UT Austin. It actually took me 4 semesters, for a number of reasons including that I was seriously unprepared for calculus.

But the worst part of the experience was the method of starting with epsilon/delta and limits, to "explain" what was going on, and then throwing that away to get on with solving problems using differentials and integrals. The lectures almost universally took the form of the professor going through a proof of the technique in question and then assigning a set of problems from the text.
Suggest to HN: Categories
Can we split HN stories into a couple of categories e.g news and esoteric, etc?
It's hard to ignore the externalities of these crypto adventurers.

1. The enormous carbon footprint spent on something that is 90% a pyramid scheme is absolutely everybody's business. I don't care that you legally paid for the hardware and the electricity bill, it's about the amount of waste generated on something that barely provides a net benefit to humanity.

Yes, there are other industries that are guilty of the same, but it doesn't mean cryptocurrencies get to evade the criticism.

2. It's hard to ignore the fact that I can barely get a decent GPU these days to carry out my research. It's not the sole fault of crypto, but it adds to the problem. Depending on how Chia goes, the market for storage might be affected as well.

3. When we as a society allow scams to thrive, we undermine the general level of trust. Trust has a very real monetary consequence, and we see the effect of this in different societies.
When the racism is more visible because the racists feel more comfortable broadcasting their messages, and indeed when the media and academy effectively and institutionally endorse and promote those messages, that seems like textbook regression.
OK but we're right now discussing the findings of an organization that owns (or at least once owned) acres of factory-overclocked servers.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_market

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisdom_of_the_crowd
They should've absolutely maintained a compatibility layer in Python3 for a couple versions (say until Python 3.5?) instead of splitting python2 and python3. Something similar to Perl's "use" feature flag.
Mm. I've gone this way before, and eventually it breaks down. make just isn't that composeable. I have even made fancy Makefiles that allow me to pass command-line arguments to targets. At the end of the day, what you really want is a wrapper program that gives you specific composeable functionality, and Make isn't that.
I would argue too that the scarcity of a collectible needs to be organic for whatever specific reason.

Taking the example of fine art, there is a clear reason that an original piece is unique. When artists release numbered prints, the buyers are aware that the numbering could have continued but the print run was stopped at an arbitrary point. For this reason, they are rarely anywhere near as valuable.

These days “chase” sports cards are often given extremely low print runs of just a few or even one copy. But in my view they will never have the collector appeal of older cards that are rare in large part because few of them happened to survive.

Creating artificial scarcity is an obvious way to manipulate collectors, and NFTs are completely built around that practice.
They only function as proof of ownership if there is no dispute. Basically, it just confirms provenance. If an NFT is stolen, or a more original author/owner emerges, that will take precedence over the NFT in question at which point it will have to be reissued.

The immutable nature of NFTs and crypto in general doesn’t really work well in the real world where we rely on the ability to change things.
Private is expensive. For fun I looked into it a few years ago. I never did figure out how much a share buy in was (6 figures at least), but once you have a buy in each flight is still $7000 for a domestic flight (up to 6 people same price) My entire family can fly just over 1000, though that is coach not first class. Even if you fly first class private planes are a large step up in price.
Addendum to my post above - I didn't notice that mkl had linked to Keisler's "Foundations" earlier - my bad!
"Following a video post on Instagram in which the hunky Guardians of the Galaxy star insisted followers turn up the volume on their devices rather than simply read the subtitles in order to get the full experience, members of the deaf community pointed out that such a remark is exclusionary and, simply put, offensive to suggest that only those who can hear are able to experience something to its fullest potential."

Equating that post to the link's anti-Semitic remarks seems like a stretch.
That is true of course, although the more modern codecs most significantly outperform mp3 at lower bitrates. At 256kbps mp3 should be enough, and iirc Spotify offers 320kbps ogg in hifi mode (not sure, I mostly don't ever use it unless someone links something) which should also be enough.

The most common problem is when the master is hot and encodes clipped waveforms. It sounds even stranger on lossy. In fact I'm not sure if the codecs' filter banks still have perfect reconstruction in this case or if it's just a borked master. In any case, it always tends to be quite clear when I switch between lossy and lossless on Tidal.

Anyway, it's complicated and brittle, and lossless 44/16 is only something like 2x bitrate and bit-perfect (so you can write proper regression tests for codecs very easily) shrug, I think I'll go that route.

disclaimer: occasionally get paid for mastering music, so I'm wired to prefer simplicity, transparency and don't mind some redundancy in ensuring signal integrity.
They won't. They just keep saying "democrat party" over and over as a signal to others with their bias.

Fun fact: As a counterpoint, the Democratic Party debated adopting a similar derisive nomenclature for the Republicans. They decided against it because "Republican is the name by which our opponents' product is known and mistrusted".
Tesla’s China Orders Halved in May, Internal Data Show, as Crisis Deepens
malformed URL posted yesterday, damnit I knew this would happen

discussion here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27375401
I honestly find the opposite. Facebook's website seems to be one of the best ones of this new SPA trend, and doesn't seem to have any speed issues. The (android) app meanwhile consistently lags for me, and things like voting on polls have a 50/50 chance of working.
"...you can write your calculus text to not be rigorous..."

Oooh, the comments you'll get from other mathematicians...
A year later, California would vote to ban same-sex marriage. I won't hold their bigoted views against them, as long as they no longer hold them. If I didn't have that forgiveness, there would be half of the voting population of my state that I'd refuse to talk to.
> "kids"

?
Dalhousie used to have an Academic Computing Services department within IT, which was designed to provide computing expertise to researchers - development of software, hosting, and related services to support research projects. I was told it was fairly unique. It's been a while since I was there but AFAIK it was axed or at least cut back as being unnecessary.
Brilliant! So what you are saying is that NFT’s are a good documentation of ownership… if we assume some other system takes care of documenting that the NFT was in fact created by the owner. So you know if we have some other system to track ownership.
Precisely. When you license a digital asset, it has licensing terms associated with it - single entity use, multiple entity use, allowed form of media etc. Getty would sell me a new NFT for any asset I want to license and embed that signature in the asset I download.

Even if current NFTs don't support everything, the blockchain algo could be extended incorporate the needs of the parties involved.
Delivering that much power seems pretty difficult to me. EVs already charge at dozens of kW. How high do you have to make the voltages to keep the cables a reasonable diameter when you want to charge in the Megawatt range?
The infrastructure needed for this is now fairly mature: you can rent botnets rather than build your own, infecting devices is relatively plug-and-play, device security has only improved marginally and for a shorter timespan than the useful life of the devices (i.e. so there are a lot of vulnerable devices out there.) That's just a few relevant tidbits on the technical side of things... the social/people side is even worse. So you no longer need to have a great deal of expertise or expend much effort to do these kinds of attacks and it sounds like organized crime has gotten in on the game in the past decade.
> they ignoring the Jewish right for self defense

What do the military actions of the state of Israel have to do with the "Jewish" right to self defense? Many Jews don't live in Israel and Israel contains many non-Jews.
I disagree there- I mean I work way more hours when I wfh than when I am in the office because I can tolerate it because I don't have a family at home who I am far from. I come down and see the wife when I get coffee and that is my "hallway" conversation and my dog is always next to me, and I never worry about her getting lonely. If anything, having to walk the dog helps pull me away from the computer when I otherwise would not.

I am not sure how cleaning changes at all, and doing laundry, which used to be very difficult to fit in, is so much easier. I can understand why food prep would be more onerous to most, but I enjoy cooking and if I don't really want to I live in a city, I have plenty of options all around me.
Not even that. You can upload the exact same image to a different URL and create a new NFT of that.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/241530/birth-rate-by-fam...

Seems like that may not be the case. Anecdotally - my peers are 25-40 and are mostly in the top bracket. The only ones having kids also have the lowest incomes (probably sub 100k household income), which is sort of puzzling to me. I don't want children but if I did the amount of anxiety I have around having the financial rug pulled on me from basically just living through the past 15 years of bullshit makes me feel like the only way I'd even consider it is if I had enough capital to provide for myself, my partner and any child on interest alone.
That's true, and it probably is. Or at the very least, Apple knows that app installs are still in demand and greatly helps the ecosystem.
27% of social security recipients are 0-64 years old. These are potential lifetime liabilities, not just 65-72.5.

SS is paid for by higher wages, which happens when there are less workers, not more. And then there will also be less to support in the future. The solvency of a fund depends on future outlays, not just cash flow. Do they think we should increase population exponentially forever?

I see a lot of shilling for policies to increase mostly low-income populations. I can’t imagine that they believe their own theories. But I can imagine that they benefit from them. Fancy that; somebody wants you to work more and get less.
i bet 1$ that this is a psyops to convince people (residing in china) to eat more shrooms, since they are easy to grow in an industrial scale, so people will be less reliant on imports of food.

2y ago: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GDdG8mAm0bw
A Modigliani recently sold for $162 mil at auction, more than twice the beeple NFT price. Guess how many news stories there were for this sale, compared to the beeple. What else would you attribute this difference to, other than controversy? Do you think the beeple stories had no impact on the prices of follow-up nfts?
Is there some large number of people voting illegally that we and every major US agency has not found?
It seems that many people have difficulty making this crucial distinction. That's why after every Israeli military campaign there is a spike in anti-semitic incidents all over the world. We just need more education! You are free to hurl the most libelous, disgusting and vicious accusations at Jewish people. Just make sure you call them Israeli. Because that's acceptable.
Oh, then sorry for the repost!
It’s actually an interesting parallel to how high tech hardware worked 30-40 years ago. Back then you often had fundamental research coming out of the US and brought to market from Japan, as their manufacturing base somehow allowed for more efficient productization. Looks like it has shifted to Japan now being still strong in research, but the manufacturing base is now strongest in China. One thing that I think is so remarkable about Elon’s ventures is him showing that there’s nothing stopping you still to build mass manufacturing efficiently in the West.
"chemistry in understanding the release of carbon dioxide from acid-base reactions."
This is exactly the part I think is less important.

My goal is not for my kid to learn a subset of chemistry theory from the explanation in a book or some fun experiment.

Instead my goal is for them to understand why the human race now have this knowledge. How did the first chemist came up with the theory, how did they verify the theory was correct ... why do we now believe this is how atoms work.
Heck, I'd settle for one that could take focus reliably and consistently when changing between screens. There's some stupid invisible "Microsoft Teams Notification" it always focuses to instead. And it never bothers to drop me directly into the chat window when I do manage to focus it.
One important factor was, "did they sacrifice somebody early on?", for example in the actual evacuation from the ship. Once it is implanted in everyone's minds that individuals get sacrificed, it erodes trust, and makes everyone suspicious of everyone else. Of course, it's hard to distinguish between cause and effect in things like that.

There's a lot of details in the details, though, you might want to read the whole thing! :)
What about travelling has identity verification built in? It’s just an arbitrary rule in both examples.
They used Amazon’s Mechanical Turk to categorize the “slant” of various tweets selected by a computer program. The tweets were labeled as slanted “D” (democrat), “R” (republican), or “N” (neutral).

Looking at the tweets[1] (table S2 on page 6, fair warning: PDF) I think the use of mechanical turk really undermines the research they’re trying to do. A fair number of these tags are just plain wrong.

For example, how are these “neutral”?

> Most of the money that Bernie Sanders raised immediately after announcing his presidential bid was donated in the Venezuelan currency, leading his campaign to dramatically overstate the size of the contribution.

> A SWAT team was sent to arrest a man after Facebook reported him for holding extremely conservative views.

[1]https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/advances/suppl/2021/...
I beg to differ. From my understanding, Google does not notarize apps from outside the Play Store and therefore cannot revoke apps outside the Play Store from launching. Apple can and does do all those things on macOS.
Out of curiosity (not to draw any parallels to this situation), were there any skiiers who performed the quad backflip in competition before the ban?
I don't have those, so no.
I guess this is the part that matters most?

"We must decide whether Van Buren also violated
the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act of 1986 (CFAA), which
makes it illegal “to access a computer with authorization
and to use such access to obtain or alter information in the
computer that the accesser is not entitled so to obtain or
alter.”
He did not. This provision covers those who obtain information from particular areas in the computer—such as
files, folders, or databases—to which their computer access
does not extend. It does not cover those who, like Van Buren, have improper motives for obtaining information that
is otherwise available to them"

Thomas, Alito and Roberts dissented, and I hate to say it, but I agree with them.

"The question here is straightforward: Would an ordinary
reader of the English language understand Van Buren to
have “exceed[ed] authorized access” to the database when
he used it under circumstances that were expressly forbidden? In my view, the answer is yes. The necessary precondition that permitted him to obtain that data was absent."

That's Thomas dissenting.
If a holistic reading of Damore's memo reinforced the idea that he was trying to deny the possibility of bias/discrimination, then perhaps you could call your inference a "reasonable implication." But the opposite is true, Damore repeatedly tries to represent the uncertainty and possibility of multiple causes. This is true even in the single sentence you quoted.

Given this, I do not think it is a reasonable implication to turn "may explain" to "may fully explain."

It's hard for me to believe this distinction doesn't matter given that his critics always seem to specifically call out his "denial" of bias/discrimination when they want to paint him in the most unflattering light (even the NYT: https://twitter.com/jessesingal/status/1360626887035338752).
Reasons for the Stack Overflow Acquisition
The news gets bored. It's why settlements don't make the news but it makes the news when it rises to armed conflict. Israel has already been pushed out of the news cycle by Belarus here.

There were plenty of news stories about the Uighurs last year.

The international community is not doing much about Israel either.
Looks like there are a few of us out here, but I had the exact same idea years ago as well :)
I don't understand the question. Maybe you could give an example of the sort of metadata you want to share.

I recommend these article for discussions of how to share when you can't share all your raw data publicly because of participant privacy:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2766-y (I am a co-author)

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41576-020-0257-5

There's some more discussion in the article linked in the parent to but it's mostly not about that.