skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Yeah this is the scary part about this. These claims embolden people who don't take the time to read the work or don't understand it to make outrageous unscientific claims like we know for a fact that there would be 745k less dead people if x y or z.

This then further emboldens the misinformed people on the other side of the debate to be categorically anti science because they have easy go to evidence of "scientific claims" that are easily debunkable.

Whereas this absolutely is not even what they are claiming and it would never be in the realm of science under any circumstances to make this claim the way you are stating it.

> Fig. 1. Conceptual model of the possible causal relationship between exposure to long working hours and ischemic heart disease and stroke.

All they are doing is tying a statistical extrapolation of some data regarding the correlation of prevalence of ischemic heart disease and stroke with length of work week and then extrapolating, proposing a POSSIBLE CAUSAL MODEL for this and then tying this first layer of data to

> ESTIMATES of population exposed to long working hours

They absolutely did not systematically prove causality of anything and certainly not by a long shot did they prove the causality of overwork in specific numbers of deaths.

Also check out their own ratings of the confidence in the data they used:

> Ischemic heart disease (Li et al., 2020a) c 41–48 hours/week 20 studies (312,209 participants) 0.99 (0.88–1.12) Low quality Inadequate evidence of harmfulness No

49–54 hours/week 18 studies (308,405 participants) 1.01 (0.82–1.25) Low quality Inadequate evidence of harmfulness No

≥55 hours/week 22 studies (339,680 participants) 1.17 (1.05–1.31) Moderate quality Sufficient evidence of harmfulness Yes

Stroke (Descatha et al., 2020) d 41–48 hours/week 12 studies (265,937 participants) 1.04 (0.94–1.14) Low quality Inadequate evidence of harmfulness No

49–54 hours/week 17 studies (275,181 participants) 1.13 (1.00–1.28)e Moderate quality Limited evidence of harmfulness No

≥55 hours/week 7 studies (162,644 participants) 1.35 (1.13–1.61) Moderate quality Sufficient evidence of harmfulness Yes

Most of their data is by their own admission judged to be of low quality for proving this point and in two cases over a high threshhold they established that moderate quality data was sufficient to establish "evidence of harmfulness"

Basically it is difficult to communicate how many different levels you are incorrect on.
How does this compare with estimating in hours, but having a realistic hourly output for a week, like say 30 hours?

I've been somewhere that did this, and it worked reasonably well.
1st study says zero active virus beyond CT>32 and 2nd study shows 34ct is the cutoff for infectivity and that 2nd study also cites a 3rd study that ct>35 decreased to 8% active viruses

All of those numbers are below 40ct - if this doesn't convince you that 40ct is the wrong number I don't know what to say - you've provided zero evidence that 40ct is beneficial and try to downplay extremely high false positives shown in three studies when you go to 40ct
I think people underestimate how big of a factor weight is going to be when it comes to face wearables. Apple’s lead in terms of performance/watt is so massive at this point, they’re going to have a few years where no other AR solution can even compete.
S-500: How Russia Plans to Kill F-22 and F-35 Stealth Fighters in a War?
No they didn't count only office workers.
That is in general a ridiculous claim to make when talking about consumer technology. No company has a decade-long lead in anything. If there is sufficient economic motivation competitors will always catch up in a year or two. It happened for smartphones, tablets, TVs, speakers, headphones, cameras, voice assistants and just about everything else.

In case of the watch specifically I actually think there isn't enough motivation to innovate considering the space hasn't blown up like everyone expected. If you take headphones out of the picture wearables as a whole is still a relatively niche device category.
The last thing we need right now is more antivax propaganda.
The implementation shown in the video strikes me very much as an accessibility feature (which is a fine thing). By comparison, pressing the stateful stop button on my exercise watch is quick and straightforward.
I feel the same way with regards to the physical buttons, so easy to control by feel. I'd pay decent money for a phone case with external buttons for pausing/playing and other quick access functions.
I had a language exchange with an austrian once. I was joking and chatting with him the whole time but he was always reluctant to smile. By hot damn did I get him to do it.
Yes, but after you take the product home from Walmart, and open the packaging, a little card slips out with more deals from the manufacturer…deals that are neither controlled nor raked by Walmart.

The app upselling you on more features afterwards is equivalent to that. Apples view would only make sense if even when inside the app, you’re STILL in the store. Because to Apple, the AppStore is not Walmart, the iPhone is Walmart. You never leave.
What do you mean when you say "the internet is not fast enough to manage more than [100 people] with anything resembling real behavior"? Is that based on some objective metric, or just based on your experience?
Please cite your source that positives at >40ct can still be infectious since I've already provided evidence strongly disagreeing with your assertion here.
> even if it might not be a hundred percent genuine

I reckon there are a couple of ways we could define a 'genuine' smile. Most strictly, as a basically involuntary expression of emotion. More loosely, we could include voluntary smiles as long as they are a sincere signal of goodwill. I don't really want to be smiled at by people who hate me, but I think there's plenty to be said for cultural norms in favour of 'genuine' smiles under the looser definition.
> How is that an Apple lead?

Because they have a wearable that people (and not just people in a niche) use and buy in significant numbers?
Looks nice, but I'm going to have a hard time remembering that name, and it's much harder to type than tmux :)
I bought an Instinct about a month ago and love it. I like the G-Shock aesthetic which I know isn't for everyone but it's everything I want in a watch. The battery life is amazing as you said. I charge it once a week and even regularly using GPS for fitness tracking it's usually at around 40% (it can be extended further by using a GPS mode that polls less frequently). The interface is responsive and straightforward (and button based instead of touch which I personally prefer). Like a G-Shock it's waterproof and appears to be near indestructible. I can't see myself wanting to replace it any time soon.
How I solved an Ecto preload dilemma I had in Elixir
A refreshed version with a thin display bezel and NFC to pay with NFC and I'd be sold.

The timeline UI makes such much sense.
I strongly disagree, you may find yourself pleasantly surprised if you dig in to some classical theology!
I mean, life was objectively a lot worse in the Middle Ages. Give a person from that era a McMansion and tell them to expect clean water, a hamburger, and a soft modern bed every night, they’ll smile too.
Yes, political theatre.
Maybe the brand is a little bit hyped to begin with? I suspect there are only two companies these VCs have ever funded that are known to turn a profit. It seems like they've trained a generation of young smart people on how to get rich by losing money.
There was a recent submission saying the same things:

DreamWorld (YC W21) MMO raises all red flags - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26898266 - April 2021 (195 comments)

I'm not sure what's driving this, but I'm not inclined to moderate the current thread in any way, even though the title is breaking HN's rules egregiously, as I explained here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27321926.

The reason is that we moderate HN less, not more, when YC or a YC startup is the story: https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&qu.... It's important that when people accuse us of manipulating HN to serve YC—as internet users, you know, kind of do from time to time—we can answer in good conscience (https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que...). Taking lumps like this are the price we pay for that. This a low-quality drama story that normally wouldn't clear the bar for HN's front page even if it weren't a quasidupe of a thread from a month ago.

Moderating HN less, however, does not mean not moderating at all—that would be a loophole you could drive a truck through. If and when the story comes up again, we'll probably start moderating it closer to the standard rules that we'd apply to any similar story: when it's an ongoing saga, we downweight follow-ups unless there is significant new information. Here are the relevant links about all that in case anyone wants to know:

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&so...

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&sor...

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&so...
Your last p contradicts the first. Part of what makes apple products so good is the software, the depth and complexity of things like Assistive Touch doesn’t happen in a few sprints.

Their software isn’t perfect, but it’s so thorough that it allows them to do levels of polish that competitors have a hard time catching up to.
Not surprising, but not guaranteed either. It did overturn the previous ruling, and was itself only 2-1, not unanimous. The article mentions that:

a Mexican-American resident of Oregon who sued the state over the state's black-only relief fund had her case rejected
How many people didn't get vaccines because they live in a culture that is skeptical of the validity of science. And if this is the science they are getting exposed to, I don't blame them for being skeptical.
C/E - I actually had quit my current job a few years ago, because I was no longer interested in working for the guy who my boss at that time. Literally the day after he left the company, they called me and asked me to come back. So I did.
You make an extremely good point. One could guess that a first version of AR glasses would be not unlike the functionality of the watch - a few Complications, some Notifications, simple apps for stuff like navigation/music.

They have all of that, powered by a tiny system-in-package and a little battery.
Does this logic mean Casio is the AR leader? In my eyes it seems like a ludicrous leap.
And you're happy with average being 'just barely literate'?
Co-founder Tom Brown
> If the body cleared the virus, then what it chose is effective whether that’s the spike or the nucleocapsid. It is actually more likely to be robust than vaccine induced immunity.

Where’s the research showing there is more effective immunity possible than the spike protein method of the vaccine?
A rule of thumb in the games industry is that it takes $100+ Million to get a competitive MMO launched. Followed by ongoing $ for maintenance, new extensions/assets etc. The claims made by the inexperienced founders are beyond laughable. People who haven’t worked on large scale game projects have no idea how hard it is compared with your average web/biz application.
This is why I spend more time on reddit than other social networks. Though they've tried to move away from it recently reddit has always been a content-focused network instead of a people-focused network.
This is one of the reasons it's been so believable. Lots of people think they've already seen it, apparently. The gap between what MMO players already think they're seeing and what these founders are promising seems trivial, but actually implies a lot about network latency and bandwidth, software complexity, etc.
I don't know what the obsession is with blocky graphics; they didn't look blocky back in the day, so maybe faux-nostalgia?
I like how everyone in the west have a fake smile in pictures. I hated seeing myself like that so I stopped smiling for pictures at an early age (to great irritation of my relatives).
I'm as suspicious of USA military as any other thinking human, but let's consider TFA's source. "bellingcat" is a CIA-sponsored limited-hangout sock puppet, run by video-game enthusiasts, and that's all it has ever been. There is no reason to assume that any particular point in TFA, or TFA taken as a whole, is particularly true.
It wasn't a pandemic back then because they no longer had a definition for pandemics. We're lucky they found the dictionary when they did.
> with the truth about basically anything

I feel maybe you've got some expectations that don't make sense?

If you have symptoms and go to the doctor, she doesn't know the truth of your ills and the sure guaranteed way to cure you. She'll simply apply a vast knowledge set to the possibility of what it could be you have, and what has sometimes work to cure it in the past.

If your expectations are such, then I feel the media, companies and governments institutions have done pretty well.

I don't know where you get your information from, but it's not like the Wuhan lab leak hypothesis is new, it's been reported on plenty of times, so did the wet market hypothetisis, so did the bat one, and even the lab leak from an American base was reported.

Now which one is true, well, again tone your expectations, when have we known the lineage of anything to 100% accuracy? We constantly send people to jail who were innocent even with a full trial. We still have no clue where we come from. There are still people who don't know who their parents are, or even when they were born.

If the virus comes from nature, it'll be pretty hard to be sure where it originated, you could maybe trace the earliest known sighting, but that's it.

If it comes from a man made lab, there's clearly very powerful actors hiding the evidence, so again, that'll be pretty hard to prove unless people just all came clean unambiguously, but even now, it's become so political, would they be forced too, scape goated, or coerced? We'll never know.

I feel people want truths, but the world is made of "best guesses".

So I think we should look at our institutions methodologies instead, could they have guessed better? If so, why they failed to do so? Did they ignore sources of data, did they make assumptions they forgot to attach a confidence against? Were they politically biased? Etc.
Did you miss the significant numbers part?

Apples watch is a mainstream consumer electronics hit. The closest other thing close to comparable I can think of is the fitbits - at least their simple ones. Nobody in AR (or face wearables) is playing in that space at all.

I think "decade lead" is unsupportable. But the article is right that all of their competitors or potential competitors are well behind in some combination of capability in hardware, software, manufacturing, ecosystem. Most of them in all categories.
Have been in a doctors office with near suicidal levels of pain a few times.
Past a certain point Humor doesn’t go over well. Particularly if you have been trying and failing to get help.

That said, doctors see a lot of misery, so anything to lighten the mood should be encouraged.
I just make sure the install count is something high (if it is lower than say 100k, then probably there is a better plugin out there to do the job) and it has been updated in the past couple months, and it is compatible with the latest version of Wordpress. All that info is directly visible while you are searching for plugins within Wordpress itself on the search page itself. And typically I'll also do a Google search for whatever problem I'm trying to solve and make sure it's recommended by at least two people.

Btw, I'm a senior full stack software engineer. But for my digital media business I operate several Wordpress websites. I don't talk to any Wordpress devs and do any custom Wordpress theme or plugin development (aside from what is available in the GUI and extremely minor CSS tweaks).
Then they've lied about how much technical and game development experience they have.
>>When that happens, as long as there are reasonable checks and balances, I'm fine with banks giving out information, especially when it's organizations that generally respect the privacy of the people involved.

A reasonable check and balance would be the requirement for the state to get a warrant, issued by a court when probable cause is found, not 'every transaction over $10,000 is reported to the state for its warrantless mass-surveillance system'.

The $10,000 threshold was set in 1970, when factoring in inflation, it was $70,000 of today's money, and when average income was lower, making its application more seldom still.

The dragnet steadily catches more and more transactions from the twin trends of rising real incomes and inflation reducing the real value of the threshold.
s/backed MMO metaverse game //g

Fixed the title for you.
I forget where I read it (venture deals, perhaps?) but it has always stuck with me: founder stock should vest! Nobody should get any equity whatsoever until and unless they've been working full time on the project for a year or more, founders included!

That wouldn't have solved the problem here, however, where blowing up the whole company is the best outcome, as you don't want to be in business with greedy, dishonest people. Building inside of a crab bucket is a huge waste of time.
>On Earth, 10 hours into the mission, mission control sends a message to the spaceship. Because of time dilation, the spaceship receives the message only 6 hours into the mission, from their perspective.

And from their perspective - "for every 10 hours that pass on the spaceship, only 6 will appear to pass on Earth." - the message was sent at 3:36 of the Earth time. They immediately send a response message which immediately arrives at 3:36 of the Earth time from their perspective. No paradox so far.
The website users do not write the HTML? They can set their browser to override whatever they want, but it should not be the default.
'Food pantry' is an Americanism referring to a type of food bank where food is handed out directly ('front line' model).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Food_bank#Operational_models
I will take back that you're here in bad faith, I apologize. You just lack equivalent empathy for people who have had these APIs used on them, had their data sold, etc... as the empathy you have for developers cleaning up data from people trying to avoid having these APIs weaponized against them. Empathy is selective, and my empathy for the devs is much lower because that's what they get paid to do. I think that's a fair stance to have.

If data being 100% available is a natural consequence you're okay with, and I have to accept that then you will have to accept that people who don't agree with this growing practice but don't want to be excluded from society will introduce entropy to make those systems less efficient as a natural consequence. The efficiency and ease of access of which is what makes them weapons.

I take issue with "repercussions" because it comes off as a dog whistle for "people who believe in privacy have something to hide". I understand that's not 100% of what you meant, but it's awful close. Generally, I don't think it's okay for data to live on forever other than in highly significant events, even then it should likely be anonymized.

I do agree that we'll have to agree to disagree that not participating in the new public discourse is a viable approach.
Google+ "Circles" didn't really do this. As a poster I want to be able to say "this is a post about parenting" which is either a hint to the Algorithm which it can use in its quest to maximize engagement, or an explict signal to notify people who follow jefftk:parenting. With Circles, the best I could do was say "please show this post only to the friends who are in my 'parenting' Circle". This has two problems:

1. What topics someone is interested in is something they probably know more about than the poster does.

2. Because Circles were used for access control, someone I had not placed in the "parenting" Circle would not be allowed to read the post.

The closest thing I've seen to this is bloggers having tags, and making RSS feeds available both for everything and for individual tags.
Guessing they talk at 39 bits of info per second.

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2019/09/human-speech-may-hav...
This reminds me of some research[0] that found speakers of less information-dense languages speak faster, and vice versa, with the effect that all of the studied languages had roughly the same information transmission rate.

[0] https://www.newscientist.com/article/2215202-all-languages-h...
> You don't have to be a game developer to know that this isn't a game you can make today, even with a massive budget.

And yet I played this game in the 90s. It was called Ultima Online.
Which you end up applying to random things like ruby because Emacs.app uses a ruby-based launcher and anything less than Full Disk Access breaks dired.
XMR-BTC Atomic swaps available on mainnet
Doesn't that mean that warp drives are not possible? I mean if the device can't produce a driving force why call it a "drive"?
If you make a code change that breaks one test and think it might be a broken test, it’s easier to read that test if it’s not dry. Because all of the dependencies are listed out more explicitly.

Dry tests use a lot of helper methods and those are a layer of indirection. To understand a dry test, you have to also understand the helper methods, and whatever helpers they all call.

> Debugging is twice as hard as writing the code in the first place. Therefore, if you write the code as cleverly as possible, you are, by definition, not smart enough to debug it.
More numbers in a completely different tech stack is meaningless. How does a watch give you any learnings on an AR headset?
Joseph Weizenbaum’s Original ELIZA
Who should I have voted for? Trump doesn't represent my moral values. Clinton kind of represents some of my political leanings, but not all of them and I dislike her for a number of her choices and because she represents a continuation of governance by a select few families. Bernie Sanders has some interesting ideas, but also some that will not work in practice as well as some I don't agree with and also I couldn't vote for him because he was off the ballot by the time my state ran primaries.

I guess I can vote in my local elections. Oh wait, the governer appears to be some kind of supervillian but everyone votes for him because of the (R) next to his name. Any more local and I can't find any information about any of them and just kind of guess what their policies are from what's written in their bios and maybe a newspaper article.

I try to be an informed citizen. Once in a while, someone who will actually make a substantial change locally makes it on the ballot. They always lose because this state votes republican no matter what.

I write emails to my governer and congress people once in a while. I always get a form letter back about how whatever the highest ranking republican wants is obviously the best course of action. I keep writing anyway so I can at least say I tried.

I don't have the time or the money or the influence to do anything but fill in the circles that don't make me nauseous.
It might be referring to neocolonialism[1], which is accomplished through economic might instead of military might.

[1]https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neocolonialism