skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The Razor, as originally stated by William of Occam, is: "entities should not be
multiplied without necessity" (see wikipedia) [1].

Clearly, assuming a third person was in the car is "multiplying entities without
necessity". Note also that the original formulation of the Razor makes no
mention of hypotheses, competing or otherwise, or of any requirement for
comparisons.

Even going by the more modern interpetation of (stated informally) "prefer the
simplest hypothesis", a comparison can be made "on the fly": any hypothesis that
needs a third person in the car is less simple than a hypothesis that doesn't
need a third person in the car. So we can prune away the entire branch of the
hypothesis search tree that begins with "suppose there was a third person in the
car" without wasting any time considering those hypotheses even if we don't yet
have any competing hypotheses.

And, btw, we sure do: there were two people in the car and they caused the
crash. That's a competing hypothesis. I don't know why people keep saying
"there's no competing hypothesis". That you don't like that hypothesis makes no
difference.

You'll notice also that the more modern interpretation ends up agreeing with
the original: any hypothesis that needs a third person in the car is
"multiplying entities without necessity" (the entities being the people in the
car), whereas any hypothesis that doesn't need a third person is leaving the
number of entities (at least people in the car) well enough alone.

_____________

[1] No, please, really do see wikipedia. I think it will help clarify much confusion
about what the Razor is. For instance, there are five or six different
formulations of the Razor, each with its own, multiple, interpretations. But I
can't see any one that "requires a comparison". That sounds to me more like a
Calvinball rule. If you want to say I'm "using it wrong", then start by
clarifying which formulation and what interpetation of it you are using, as I
have done throughout this thread.
Yeah. Even so, not sure how representative Fairfield County is of CT in general. On the one hand, it's the de facto bedroom for people who work in NYC. On the other, because it's the bedroom, you will see a different spread of economic activity. Go further north and you have manufacturing and pharmaceuticals and engineering as well as insurance. The state probably could do a lot more to promote businesses, but it will need to consider that they're basically sandwiched between Boston and NYC (which they probably have). Also, I read that Covid has actually been good for states like CT because with the exodus from large cities, people have moved or started business in the state. Companies have also canceled their plans to move to places like NYC (GE did move to Boston, but Aetna canceled its plans to move to NYC). I wouldn't be surprised if NJ also benefited similarly (and NJ is also a state sandwiched between two large cities, NYC and Philly).

COVID and the resulting remote work might actually be contributing to a better distribution of wealth in the country in general. It might depress salaries for industries that have concentrated in places like SFV and NYC, and thus create incentives to move out of those areas and create less drastic occupational concentrations in some industries. These changes will create conditions that create secondary benefits.
It only takes a handful of non locals to move in and start showing up at council meetings. Don’t of this blame solely on locals.
The first observations of mortality were observed in Kansas in March 1918, but then in April it was already in France, Germany, and the UK. The first recorded case was an army cook in Kansas, but researchers believe there were likely cases before this. So, it's hard to know for sure exactly where the index case arose.
The point about the AWS console being thoroughly un-delightful is well made, it's a nightmare.
For these cities, I'd say it's mostly California money, but there's a fair amount of people moving away from the East Coast as well.
Are APIs Elitist?
We sort of have that. Your primary residence gets tax advantages generally and your other properties don’t.
This is not correct, many regions regularly hunt and eat bats.
At my old job, one specific manager would go on a tirade of "who to blame" at the onset of any serious issue. More resources were consistently spent on finding out who caused a problem instead of solving the problem. I've grown a keen eye for this antipattern.

I don't understand which problem laying the blame addresses. We have a vaccine. We should be solving the problem of getting that vaccine into as many people as possible, which is a problem that the WHO can help with.

Finally, the author of this article has made it extremely clear that they would only accept one answer. I'm all for rooting out accountability once the pandemic is over, but such blatant refusal to entertain any other explanations is definitively a which hunt.
Your comment is a massive strawman of the article.

The core problem is that once you have a majority of the population owning an asset, they're incentivized to pull the ladder up behind them, and make it difficult for the non-landed to also buy the asset, to make the value of their asset go up.

> Owning your own home is, in my view, the first step towards financial freedom.

Sure, for those lucky enough to be able to buy a home before it gets too expensive. What about those not lucky enough to do so? Do they not deserve financial freedom?
It would cause prices to go up because in order to sell it has to he up to code, meaning renovations. It would likely cause consolidation of ownership, something like 70% of all apartments in my area are owned by the same company. And since they have consistent rules... It can be hard for certain people (those with criminal records) to find affordable housing.
The fundamental problem is linking "home as a place to live" and "home as an investment". The two things aren't compatible.

If you want to buy a place to live so you don't have to work for a Lord, you want affordable housing. If you have a property which you want to be an investment, you want housing prices to baloon.

Currently the latter is winning.
Indeed they/we do.
Bio-robots.
I don’t know what was wrong with the wiring in my old house but powerline didn’t work worth a damn.
An article on literate programming with Org-mode for beginners: https://www.offerzen.com/blog/literate-programming-empower-y...
I went through many of them moving from Chico CA area in a grand US west/southwest roadtrip moving to Austin TX to escape climate change fires/power outages (ironically), increasing taxes and housing prices, and a decline in general happiness. I didn't see any obvious signs of this.

I can recommend not moving anywhere near Greely CO where cattle are slaughtered by the thousands. It smells very bad. Also, driving in Wyoming there is effectively no speed limit between the highway patrol is very sparse.. and there isn't much there.

50%+ WfH OTG homesteads in the middle of nowhere but with access to fresh water and sunlight are a very good idea long-term, especially for raising a family, growing crops, mental health, well-being, and peace-of-mind.

Big cities are (and were pre-pandemic) only useful for conducting high-level economic activity due to the density of connectedness and potential for rapid wealth accumulation, but in general, they often tend to be terrible places overall for the most part, and people should escape to more tranquil and mentally-healthy places.
I think a lot of people assume you're either 200 miles from the nearest Walmart or you're in downtown Manhattan/a dense close-in suburb. Go 1-2 hours from pretty much every large city and you can be in pretty rural areas--although not necessarily a mountain town of course. I do like going into cities now and then but I really don't need or particularly want one on a day-to-day basis.
> If it did come out of the lab in Wuhan then the US/NIH also has to answer questions regarding their involvement in the lab.

There is a legitimate question about how this pandemic started, and the CCP apologists come out in droves to shift blame onto western governments.
I would hope the guilt associated with millions of deaths would compel someone to come forward but I’m not holding my breath.
Same with rural communities here in the Midwest. We would love to have FAANG refugees move here.
They're Poisson distributed, by construction. Queuing service time is actually the go to example when first introducing the Poisson distribution in an intro to statistics class. No need to make a bet. Anything that can't be negative isn't normally distributed.

The bigger issue here, aside from the fact that you may be taking a simple average when you need to be taking a weighted average to aggregate your individual point estimates, as others have pointed out, is that you can estimate a sufficiently symmetric Poisson distribution with a normal distribution, but response latency is not symmetric, specifically because time travel isn't possible and you can't ever get negative response times to balance out the tail events on the right side of the distribution. Tail events with respect to latency can only be bad, not good. They're a bet with a hard cap on winnings but potentially unbounded losses. As such, you really need to consider what the worst case is and the expected frequency of that worst case.
It's nice to see that it's possible to build a hardware device that can play songs from Spotify, but my ideal device would be something with a screen and browsing/ad-hoc music selection, more akin to the iPod nano than the iPod shuffle.
I think the sentiment is about how it can create perverse incentives that may be good for a small subset but bad for the population in the aggregate. I think it’s about a host of different systemic issues beyond just where one person decides to live. I.e., income inequality, housing policy, class disparities etc. It just manifests itself in the problems raised in the article.

Edit: The Indicator recently had an interesting podcast that demonstrates this effect.[1]

https://www.npr.org/2021/03/15/977533022/please-sell-me-a-ho...
We literally don't.

SARS-CoV-2019 isn't some kind of novel deadly supervirus. It's pretty much the kind of virus that has been predicted for years to cause a pandemic eventually. Yet most of the world was woefully underprepared because we didn't take the risk seriously.

Yes, it's good to know where the virus originated and if it was caused by a lab containment breach it's important for the international community to be able to learn from the mistakes. But that won't prevent the next pandemic and it won't help us deal with the next pandemic when it happens.

Climate change has already been predicted to make future pandemics more likely and more frequent. Prevention is important, yes, but crisis management is much more important. As members of an IT-centric community HNers should know that "just don't make mistakes" is not a good strategy for dealing with bugs or incidents.

China seems to have the situation somewhat under control following the initial catastrophic outbreak. Some other countries, especially in Asia (e.g. Vietnam), have also successfully managed the pandemic despite having close ties to China in general and the Wuhan region in particular.

The common thread seems to be ruthlessly fact-based policies (e.g. no early "dialing back" of lockdowns) and free access to testing, vaccinations and general support (e.g. food) while under quarantine. The countries currently hit the worst either simply failed to act at all or (like Germany) kept riding the R=1.0 edge by going constantly back and forth out of a fear for "the economy" (despite epidemiologists and economists explicitly warning against this).
Maricopa's is also the third audit to be pushed through by the local Republican party. It's just performative, wasteful spending at this point.
My late paternal grandmother (1 of 9 from a rare single mother) was from there. Cranberry bogs.

You can increase your "street-smarts" by getting out of your comfort zone, by choice or circumstances, and with life experiences. I locale and talk to the saner homeless people, especially the older who are just there by personal circumstances: I met a former teacher and elevator repairman who makes money today as a tutor; a former hippie, Navy radar and aircraft electronics technician, and Apple II rework technician; and a law school dropout, former hippie, merchant marine, and writer for the Village Voice and the NY Daily News.
> this whole China Lab theory is literally just tinfoil hat speculation

I feel like that's a bit cold. This is a virus whose closest relatives are known to exist in animals that are the specific animals that they specialise in, in that lab where they also do science around viruses like this one.

Sure, it might not be this but there's a fair bit of co-incidence going on here isn't there? Enough at least to take it beyond the realm of tin foil.
Type Families in Haskell: The Definitive Guide
Do we call this Russel's Lab Accident?
I don't like the post since it starts with a false premise. It's pretending that reality is one way, and it's only okay this way. Rather than telling yourself that "you are not behind" you should accept the fact that you are behind, but it's okay and the only productive thing here to do is to give your best. And the saying "you are exactly where you are supposed to be" is non sensical. Who or what "supposes" where you are?
Just specifically related to the stock. I’m seeing these stories surface all over.
That would likely require a much more expensive data plan, and many people like to be more mobile with their laptop.
Don't forget that Webkit (e.g, Safari) and Blink (Chrome) are quite different these days.
Off topic but I found my preferred method of 'live' performance (for dnb) was to write a tune in the DAW with the intention that a few of the lead parts be played live, then switch off those parts and render what's effectively a backing track. Meant I could sort the mixing/mastering beforehand and keep in the flow of rocking out on synths when it came to the gig. I did use ableton but only to auto load synth patches/effect chains when each backing track was triggered.

I tried many other approaches involving 5 people driving a live looping rig but the above was worked best for me, which I guess made my act a 2010 equivalent of the guy wearing the burgandy velvet suit in the hotel bar ;-)
Worth an upvote, but the counter is many people wouldn't do those things. If you sit on your couch watching re-runs every night, you will probably do that in the mountain condo as well.

If you get outside the house, then you can find interesting things to do anywhere. In the city that means a different experience than in the mountains, which is different from lake country, which is different from the plains; but there is always something.
I use(d) both. While I appreciated Zabbix's configurability, it just takes too many clicks to add a basic probe with an alert or a new system. Meanwhile Munin has everything in flat config files (easy to deploy with ansible or equivalent), and has reasonable alerts configured by default.

And creating a munin plugin is as simple as writing a script that writes values to stdout (in whichever language you like), and copying it to /etc/munin/plugins/.
Source for natural blue food dye in red cabbage
We still lack a time machine to gather short lived evidence from 2 years ago.
Hey you made it. Congrats!

Do not worry, they would not hire you if you were not good fit. And if they are top in the market they definitely have mentoring and multiple paths for you, already ready. Yes it might be hard at the beginning, give your 100%, maybe 110% ;) and you'll do great and learn a lot on the way.

Cheers
The problem is they forcefully replacing HTML in a "inside-out" fashion without there being anything in place to allow browser accessibility tools to reasonably handle it.

Sure there is no reason non HTML can't work at some point in the future if browsers and/or accessibility tools accept a new API as (a) standard for handling accessibility. But the way it currently is it is a accessibility nightmare and often even trivial things like text selection don't work because flutter defaults to not allow text selection if the programmer doesn't go out of the way to explicitly enable it.

IMHO before you push something like flutter web onto people you first need to push a way to handle accessibility with it or you will hurt a bunch of people.

And yes the whole semantic HTML document thing didn't work out well, but that is less so because of technical reasons but more so because:

- companies just not caring, even potentially going as far as intentionally obfuscating HTML

- a lot of the semantic parts not having been there from the get to go but bolted on later on. So a lot of people and material are still used to not using it. A mistake flutter is repeating just now

- and wrt. non-document based applications it just doesn't fit that well, but a lot of web-apps could be done in a document based fashion, if companies and (not affected) people would care more.
100 Mbps ethernet is unimaginable luxury for people struggling with congested 2.4 GHz networks. Let’s not let the perfect be the enemy of the good.

The vast majority of homes, at least in the US, are nowhere near 1 Gbps internet service, and of those, many are coping with poor WiFi.
I like how simple your agenda items look. It kind of reads like an email that needs to be discussed.
Because the subsequent witch hunt will make future disclosures even less likely.
This has been my guiding heuristic - China has acted unmistakably suspect.

They've got a political and ideological character that requires controlling narratives and erasing any trace of incompetence(this threatens the illusion of supreme power).
Lobbying and corruption are problems, but do we really think they're harder problems than convincing the landowning majority to support policies that will make the value of their asset go down? I don't think so.
Since 1633 or so.
I've been looking into the research that was going on at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. There is an NIH grant that was doing interesting research around bat coronavirus. https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=R01AI110964&hl=en&as_sd... . I would encourage you to read into their research methods. This one is pretty scary in retrospect https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7089274/pdf/114.... Research methods included synthesizing new Coronavirus variants with specific genes. It's not a smoking gun but it's definitely a loaded gun.
That is not quite correct. Stamp duty is payable at the time of settlement but it is normally added as a lump sum to the mortgage.
> then disperse them

This is more difficult than you expect. Police are drastically outnumbered in any crowd control situation. You can watch videos from Minneapolis riots where police just watch windows being smashed and shops being looted because they don’t have enough people.

It takes more than once officer to arrest someone too so things like Kettling need to be done for safety of everyone.

The rules are simple: if you get dispersion order it’s time to go. It’s not like they are not given a choice. I think a lot of people showing up to protests are just a bit unaware of the law. The number of times you see someone complaining about being asked to move on and they shout back that they are “on the sidewalk - can’t I just walk in my own city blah blah”. It’s just a misunderstanding of the law or a willingness to violate democratic law.
To see the lovely flames, trolling, and attacks this limited piece of info entices, see previous thread from 12hrs ago... you've been warned ;)

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26869877
Naturally Vail, Cape Cod, or whathaveyou may be a different story, but Fairfield County really isn't driven by tourism or entertainment. Finance, real estate, and industry each generate more value per year. I'm not fixated on defending the place's honor so much as providing a counterexample of how dealing with other regions is not necessarily negative.
What's a reasonable alternative, just pay someone else's mortgage instead? Go live in the woods and opt out of the economy entirely?

A mortgage is debt, yes. However the money you put into the mortgage is wealth that you're slowly accruing. If you're just renting a property someone else owns you're not accruing anything at all. No one thinks that taking on a 20-30 year debt is a good thing. People only do it out of necessity.
You could take a ship most of the way around but then it wouldn’t really be cycling around the world, would it? Obviously you can’t solely cycle around the world (barring a short jaunt around the poles), so you just take a boat when you must. Why must it be all or nothing?
> Will that somehow help prevent future pandemics?

Yes.
While I share your sentiments, I don't think it's fair to deride cities as "terrible places overall". Many of us prefer the quiet of rural life, but many others find that quiet to be stifling and want the busy hustle-bustle of a big city. To each their own.
Pretty sure this is one reason why passive property speculators prefer flats over houses - houses basically need to be lived in, flats much less so. Ending both home ownership and single-family houses would be a massive gift to property investors.
Uh, if I buy a property, yeah, I kind of want to make it difficult for someone else to buy it. Seeing as I seek to own it long enough to live on it.

There is nothing about the previous "landed" status of my neighbors that will affect the value of my property. Not to mention, if you're seeking to reside, not speculate, the "value" of the property is kinda immaterial.
I just bought a Cudy WR2100 for $30; 5ghz AC router with openwrt to deliver wifi to my second floor.
Yeah Melbourne and Sydney are just insane, First home owners grant is great on paper but essentially covers none of the expense of buying a first home and like you said encourages the prices to increase even further.

I'm on a decent salary by Australian standards and am going to be waiting at least 2 more years before I can afford a 10% deposit (have been saving for several years already at a lower rate).

Just have to hope all the decent land/houses are still around by then and that the house prices dont outpace my savings.