skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Why would you use the Monte Carlo method when the quasi-Monte Carlo method converges so much more quickly? I admit, I am a little biased, because I worked on some QMC stuff in grad school, but it works really, really well in practice.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quasi-Monte_Carlo_method
You mean, see how long it takes before PHBs utilizationize it unironically?
That’s a remarkably vague metric. I’d bet that almost every single country on earth would meet the criteria of “country X has grown this century”
... Or a few people a shit ton of money and nothing to the 99+%
Yes, it seems some grammarians reserve “tense” for conjugations. The same grammarians will say that English has no future tense.
I used to have a niche blog that was an off-shoot of a more popular blog I did within the same general area of knowledge. I would put in many, many hours doing deep dives into foreign historical archives and translating what I found into English for my niche blog.

I would also read any MSM news in English that came out about the general topic. I would often find pieces of my research inserted into these articles, by different outlets and different authors. Never any credit given. Sometimes the entire article was centered around something I'd uncovered, and published 4-5 days after posting it in my blog.
In a company I've worked for, the "bests" were given the projects with mostly clean slates, and were rewarded for coding quickly, meanwhile the other developers struggled to integrate everything together and refactors were often frowned upon "to not waste time on the delivery of the project". And of course only "the bests" were authorized to work on those new clean slates projects. This gave rise to a very nasty positive feedback cycle where none of the original devs remained at the end of the project.

But it is true that the actual bests are 5 to 50 times more productive. I've seen it mainly with specialized consultants. Need to fix your tool chain? You can be sure that the build master consultant will be worth every pennies to fix those obscure C++ linking errors. Need to patch the kernel and even send the patch to Linus? Again, I wouldn't be surprised if you get a 100x ratio compared to a mid seniority dev who never did that.

From my experiences, the high productivity ratio between low end devs and high end devs stem from the multiple multiplicative factors that goes into making programming more efficient. Knowing how to automate repetitive work with scripts, typing fast and having a good knowledge of the appropriate tools and frameworks will help each other exponentially.
I feel like in 2021, it's the reverse now. If you want to be screwed out of money, go work for a startup.
What if I told you that playing a low-stakes game and real life are not the same thing?
> I bet it was Reddit internal bots.

This is a compelling idea, but I think they wouldn’t be so obvious about it.
I see lose instead of loose so often online
But it will do so by taking $12.5k from each adult.
It can still be difficult to tease out how much of any win is due to a single player, I think maybe the key difference is that the games are played in public and only one team can win a game.

So I, as a team owner, can watch Strasbourg pitch, see him nullify my lineup, then I have almost all the information I need to know he really is a lot better than average.

Additionally, by being willing to pay more and getting him on my team I'm depriving my opponents of his talent.

There is no direct analogue in programming, besides maybe open source projects.
I worked with a lawyer who I would redline “utilize” anywhere it appeared in a document. I pointed out that it has a slightly different meaning than “use”, in that it implies ingenuity or unexpected use.

He ended up agreeing that it could be used (not utilized!), but only rarely.
Even this is hardly fool-proof, since human memory is far from perfect. Someone might say "I was at Tesco's at 4pm" and later video evidence shows they were actually at Tesco's at 2pm. Did they lie or misremember? Unfortunately, police are often very quick to assume that such a small mistake is done in bad faith and that they're lying. In reality, a lot of people just won't remember the exact time they were at Tesco's weeks or months ago; they may even get the day wrong, or the location.

This is why you just exercise your rights and not talk to the police. Let them figure it out instead of risk being branded a "liar" over a simple mistake.
Stock Market Bull and Bear Sticker
Nest does this. When you auth with Google, it asks for consent, even though they are owned by same company.

Agree below though on preconsent.
> Where the drudgery of English comes in is vocabulary. Anyone that tells you that the SATs are not biased towards native speakers is full of putrescible waste.

How much of Russian's vocabulary is "native"? My understanding it that English's vocabulary is pretty messed up because it's a mongrel language: Germanic substrate with substantial portions replaced or augmented by medieval French, with lots of Greek/Latinate vocabulary for "educated" topics. That's made even worse because it tends to adopt words complete without translating foreign spelling systems (notable recent example: Pinyin). Things would be a lot simpler if the vocabulary had evolved from the original Anglo-Saxon substrate.
I'd like to see more proof-carrying code techniques extended to WASM. Some of the work could be handed off to the compiler, embedding the proof in the binary. This could make expensive proofs, like termination checking, more tractable.
That has less to do with the engineers themselves and much more to do with the benefit that those companies get from those engineers. Someone making minor UI changes at Google might provide a 5% increase in ad clicks in certain situations, which earns Google millions in additional revenue. Even though the bar for that kind of work may not be very high, most companies simply don’t get that much benefit from a single engineer, even a 50x-er.
I agree with all this - especially the point about Mexico, etc. I was exaggerating a bit to bring out the contrasts, and as a student and someone learning how to teach the language, these contrasts seem stronger to me than they really are.
What strikes me as odd is that SaaS companies want to sell subscriptions to software. But they pay employees a one time fee (in the form of a salary often) for code that may run for 5 years or more in production.

If the company fires the engineer, the engineer doesn't gain any further profit from the code he wrote.
When you enter the limelight, you become a target.
I don't know the story on that or if it's true, but the actual debate was entirely about "it's a park, not an amusement park" and whether birds might get confused by the wheel's illumination.
For me the best game for this is Diplomacy.
Elided Branches: Product for Internal Platforms
Amazon ads are contrary to the company's mission statement of being the "most customer centric company." They could improve the customer experience at one stroke by eliminating pay-for-placement.
"These are some things I’ve observed and learned in this process. I share them with you because I think many folks in platform-type teams, especially engineers and those of you on platform teams without formal product managers, might benefit from understanding how to approach these problems." -- if you're part of an engineering Platform team or have such team in your organization, share this post by Camille Fournier with them. Think a lot about how you build relationships, create visibility and put your customers first. We build systems, but it's humans who operate them.
What you're talking about is declensions/cases rather than conjugation, which English speakers also tend not to be familiar with.
Hmm...maybe it’s time to try some alternatives to democracy.

What if we chose councilors from a pool at random? To get into the pool, you’d have to take some training and pass a series of exams. Training consists of how to write laws, how to read data and adapt policy to data, communication, consensus building, etc. People serve short stints on the council as an act of service.
In the standard auth code flow, the authorizing application (I forget the OAuth terms for it, but "TweetLater" or whatever) shares a secret with Twitter, independent of the secret (your authentication credentials) you share with Twitter. The code you, a user, get --- that's fed through your browser --- is in a sense "locked" to "TweetLater". Part of the idea of the implicit flow is that it's for settings where you can't do that, or where it doesn't make sense (SPAs, for instance, where the secret the SPA would share with Twitter would be have to be embedded in the public Javascript code).

PKCE is just a weaker version of that protection.
That's not how GANs work.
They are, it's called stock options.

The challenge is that to successfully cash out, ALL the pieces of the company have to work together and effectively to some degree.

It's the single best demonstration that company/product success is a team effort.
The Golden Age by John C. Wright is the start of a trilogy that deep dives into a post-scarcity solar system. It doesn't directly analyze the economy, but a big theme is what happens when someone is outcast from society, and has to start over with his bare hands and feet, scrounge up his own tech and off-grid wealth, and negotiate deals and arrangements with exotic beings on Earth and elsewhere.

https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/207410.The_Golden_Age
Dredging might be hard as the front of the ship "piked" multiple meter into the side of the channel. Furthermore the sides of the channel are sand which might or might not "flow" back in, so you might need to create new "channel sides" first before it. But you normally do so without water already being in the channel.

Still if they find no other way widening the channel might be an option.

On the other hand building a dam probably is infeasible I mean this channel is between 280 and 345 meters wide (depending where you are) and over 20m deep. With a constant current, especially during the current from what I heard relatively windy session.

EDIT: Infeasible as in it takes to long to construct and to long to remove. Given the ship length you would probably need to create 2 >300m long dams >450m apart and another 2 >450m damms and then you need a lot of water to fill that. Which will put a lot of pressure on the temporary dams which if they brake will likely permanently ship wrack the ship closing up the channel for half a year or so if that happens.
Pretty much every founder of an early-stage bootstrapped startup is making less than minimum wage - and many of us are deeply negative.
How to Earn Money on the Biggest Cryptocurrency Exchange Platform?
Not future sales, the choice, right now, that the buyer makes.

I suspect it is most effective when you have a "product" which several sources in China make under what ever trade name you want. (There seems to be lots of electronic test equipment like that) And your typical FBA business. Advertise you gear when the right keywords come up and get a click ahead of the guy selling it at the cheapest price.

If all the products look the same and Vendor B advertises to put it at the front and pays a service for a few hundred 5 star reviews, I would not be surprised if it added 10 to 15% to the net margin on sales.
In the paragraph before:

> What follows is an idea in the spirit of a conversation starter.
https://www.marinatimes.com/2021/03/chesa-boudin-by-the-numb...

This article is definitely a hit piece, but there's a lot of data in there.
The Sacca tweet is about something 15 years ago that I haven’t found any resources for.

So let’s discuss the actual situation that he is responding to. The $25mm donation towards summer school programs, that has been temporarily paused while they look into it. What exactly are they looking into? The fact that the donations are coming through an organization that is designated as a political lobbying group that can hide its donors, as opposed to a traditional charitable organization.

Is it really that much of a stretch to suggest that a donation from a group that has chosen to structure itself as a political lobbying group may be intended for political lobbying, and is unlike a charitable donation for a group that is setup as a charity?

At the very least pausing the donation while it’s investigated further seems reasonable.
I'd say it's fairly rare. Most therapists often won't diagnose patients, because it's considered not helpful to the trust relationship and trying to make someone that's narcissistic understand that they are narcissistic is... Hard, because of the splitting and the disconnect between the internal self image and the external presentation.

They'll often mirror or turn it back on you and there's not much you can say at that point ("I'm a narcissist? No! You are a narcissist!"). It's a tricky disorder.
People who hate the constant flamewars about China are probably flagging these posts. I've yet to see a single thread that's even tangentially related to the country not devolve into nationalistic tug-of-war.
when did it go from 10X to 50X? Has there been a recent influx of -5X engineers?
Disagree away. It's your right to disagree with my opinion, as it is mine to disagree with yours, or with your opinion of my opinion :)
You can bypass The Economist by disabling JavaScript.
People are overcomplicating this. It's simply because there is no market to create price discovery. Most of your price is established the day you start, well before you've proven yourself to be a '50x engineer'. And no one outside the org knows you're a '50x engineer', so there's no competition trying to hire you away. I am surprised the author of this article missed this despite making the analogy to sports athletes who have constant price discovery because their stats/accomplishments are public. It is in the company's advantage to prevent this price discovery and ideally not have a '50x engineer' be aware of how financially significant their contribution is, definitely not make competitors aware.
There is one weird bit of logic in favor of them in niche cases: they might be good at detecting people who have been trained to "pass" a polygraph test.
For Czech all of them apply except for Russian's omission of "to be," which Czech doesn't have
OAuth is overkill for what you're working on. You generally won't go wrong with the rule of thumb that you do the least amount of cryptography your design requires you to. You should be dragged kicking and screaming into more of it. In this case, generating a long random token and using that to authorize requests has all the basic security benefits of an OAuth bearer token and almost none of the attack surface. Long random tokens are the most overrated technology in authentication.

A general rule of thumb w/r/t/ OAuth is that it starts to make sense when you are delegating authorization to other companies that share your users. Think "TweetLater".
It's a donation to the school district. The school district is the ones in charge of how to spend it.
I assume you mean politics and not office politics. In general no except when new legislation creates a new software opportunity, or the government changes how shares are taxes and a car and mouse game ensues.
It's unfair to judge Brexit by a few aspects. It has to be evaluated holistically, and account for different value systems.

https://whatukthinks.org/eu/questions/in-highsight-do-you-th... tracks the UK's evolving view on whether Brexit was the correct decision.
no SSL on the website, unknown publisher in the bundle. what gives?!
I doubt that people behind AI-based means of production will be altruistic enough to share the wealth created by AI systems. We are not sharing the wealth created by trading bots, or other forms of automation. If anything, it has helped worsen the concentration of wealth problem.

My prediction is that automation will create a neo-feudal society that will slowly transition into a humanless society. Wealth created by automation will be used to buy land and automated defense systems, and all the wealth, territory and power will concentrate in few hands.

Automated defense systems will not have morality, will not make any questions and will just do what they're asked. Their allegiance will be to the people buying them, and that allegiance will be total and unconditional.

Ultimately, all the wealth asymmetry will be converted into a territorial and military power asymmetry, and once this conversion is completed, the elites will enslave humanity and place limits on their reproduction rate. Why? because they won't want to share the natural resources with random people.

For now, the name of the game is to accumulate as much money as possible until that conversion is possible and invest in the advancement of AI.

Then, there will be a competition between the remaining people, that will force them to develop more powerful AI to prevail over each other. After certain point, more decisions will have to be delegated to the AIs in order to prevail making the AIs impossible to control. This is when AI augmented humans will become human augmented AIs. The influence of AIs will grow and then AIs will mutate humans to suit their needs, doing to us the same we do to cattle: artificially selecting individuals favoring the traits they like, turning us into the equivalent of farm animals.
> If you put yourself in China's shoes, and consider China's history. How would you feel if a Chinese fleet was sailing off of the coast of California and stoking internal tensions?

The question is phrased awkwardly and with a forgone conclusion. The world "internal" is key. Does a Taiwanese see that as an internal issue? Did a Hong Kong person see that as an internal issue?

In an oppressor/opressee relationship I would probably feel much closer to the party being oppressed, and I would respect the "policing force" for protecting the more vulnerable party.

So in your own scenario, say Trump won through an obviously fraudulent election, and Hawaii no longer wanted to be a part of America (rightfully so!), and the Chinese military was protecting Hawaii from being ruled without public consent, I would very much be happy about this Chinese fleet. If America was actively trying to extinguish a "pacific islander cancer" or a "native american cancer" via slow genocide and culturally destructive tacitcs, I would say that is an incredibly morally just cause for this theoretical Chinese fleet. How would you feel about the theoretical chinese fleet if you were hawaiian?

Is America perfect (mexican border situation), no. But at least we can talk about our imperfections openly. We can have a discussion about this "evil" of "seperatism" if we wish.

How would you feel if you were Taiwanese? How would you feel if you were a native Hong Konger? How would you feel if you were a Uigher? Do Chinese citizens not have any empathy?

Have you ever been to Taiwan?
In a post scarcity society, it doesn't make so much sense to talk of dollars.

If these heady futures of AI do come to fruition, then the cost of "stuff" trends towards zero. We've sort of seen this already playing out since the industrial revolution, and more recently outsourcing manufacturing to countries with very cheap labour. It used to be that it would take a week's wages to buy a pair of pants. Now you can buy a cheap pair for an hour of minimum wage.

So what has happened? People's expectations have increased, and more and more of people's incomes get shifted to focus on the physically scarce e.g. desirable land.

Stuff (and most labour value) will trend toward zero, and land will trend toward the infinite.

If we do get to a "post scarcity" economy, we really need to ensure no one person/company controls too much land. At a certain point, most labour will not be exchangeable for enough $$ to trade for land, and you'll have very little economic mobility for the majority.

At this point one might expect revolution, but AI would also upset the balance of physical projection of power the masses currently have over the few.

Interesting to think about!
If a person receiving UBI (which Sam Altman is a big supporter of), publicly espoused views such as neo-Nazi views, would anyone say that this person should continue to receive UBI? What if they lived in an inexpensive area and the UBI was sufficient to allow full-time focus on such views?
Attacking the commenter instead of the information posted isn't really how it's done around here.
David Simon's book, Homicide, has an apropos section:

"""Terry McLarney once mused that the best way to unsettle a suspect would be to post in all three interrogation rooms a written list of those behavior patterns that indicate deception: Uncooperative. Too cooperative. Talks too much. Talks too little. Gets his story perfectly straight. Fucks his story up. Blinks too much, avoids eye contact. Doesn’t blink. Stares."""

... which (although in a slightly different context) captures the problem of detecting lies in interrogation very well.
Shitty journalism. The article is basically this title retold ten times. Who are the twelve, what are their views, how are those views easily debunked ... not a word of any of this.
Only if it was personally identifiable.
> prison for corruption - yes! But prison for incompetence, no.

And how to decide which is which? Effectively there's not much difference
I've settled on DoubleCmd [1] for over 3 years now. Open source and cross platform and even snapshot builds [2] are pretty stable. Double click to navigate to parent folder, etc. Highly recommend for power users.

[1] https://doublecmd.sourceforge.io/

[2] https://doublecmd.sourceforge.io/site/eng/snapshots.html
For that, you don’t need any type of real world identity. If you require that people sign their commits/reviews with a PGP key and base their reputation on that, that still gives you much the same benefit, while at the same time allowing people to be anonymous.
that's not not-democracy. it's called sortition. sortition is considered by some to be a necessary part of democracy, and is even used by anarchists in some contexts. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sortition
I recently got to spend some time with Jeff Deskovic (we met while he was on vacation), the exoneree mentioned at the top of the article for having spent 16 years in prison for a murder he did not commit. He is looking for folks with technical backgrounds to to consult with Deskovic.org which has helped exonerate 9 other wrong-fully convicted persons.

If anyone is interested, please contact me at the address in my HN profile!
There is something of a meta-game there that doesn't exist in "real" cases like criminal investigations. Since everyone knows that they will be guilty some of the time, a reasonably strategy is to act guilty all of the time.
The gist is that Chesa Boudin typically chooses not to prosecute many low-level crimes, such as drug possession.

That has led some situations where someone was arrested for a low-level crime, not prosecuted by the DA, set free, and later goes on to commit a larger, more violent crime.

It’s also worth noting that during the pandemic, crime in SF has shifted from shoplifting, to car and garage break-ins.

While overall crime has dropped, theses new forms of crime are experienced more viscerally by folks that live here.

Many people blame the DA for not “cracking down” on this type of crime. This gets into a lot of pointing fingers. The police fail to arrest people because they say the DA won’t prosecute. The DA says he won’t prosecute because the police won’t arrest people.