skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
No, he really wasn't. In 2016 he was one of the most optimistic of the major poll aggregators on Trump's chances; he had Trump at 30% when others had him at much lower odds.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gav...

> Our final forecast, issued early Tuesday evening, had Trump with a 29 percent chance of winning the Electoral College.1 By comparison, other models tracked by The New York Times put Trump’s odds at: 15 percent, 8 percent, 2 percent and less than 1 percent.

As for 2020:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-werent-great-...

> This year was definitely a little weird, given that the vote share margins were often fairly far off from the polls (including in some high-profile examples such as Wisconsin and Florida). But at the same time, a high percentage of states (likely 48 out of 50) were “called” correctly, as was the overall Electoral College and popular vote winner (Biden). And that’s usually how polls are judged: Did they identify the right winner?

(He also doesn't do the polling. He's an analyst, not a pollster.)
I'm using Ubuntu for the sane default settings, community, available tools, regular OS updates, ease of use.
Take out the writings of Paul (who never actually met Christ) and the whole thing becomes so much less problematic.
It would be good to know the median compensation for the lifeguards instead of just some outliers. Focusing on the highest paid earners gives readers a false sense of the distribution. Imagine a similar article that listed the top incomes of FAANG employees!
Except, mainline Protestants are shrinking at a much faster rate than evangelicals. If church attrition was driven by a rejection of fundamentalism we wouldn't expect Unitarians and Episcopalians to be losing members faster than Baptists and Pentecostals.
As a FreeBSD user, this is great news! I hope that FreeBSD bounces back from this setback and gets stronger than ever.
Hemal Jhaveri fired from USA today for tweet
Despite the seemingly original nature of your comments, is there a deep satirical result here that I am missing? Did you decide to try a second approach because you had insufficient results from the first?
Not trying to be a jerk, but basic supply and demand.

There are literally millions of Americans who are able to perform the duties of a lifeguard. Millions more that could "manage" lifeguards.

Having your job be spending most of your day on a beautiful beach in southern California? That's a dream to many people!

I hearing on NPR (maybe This American Life?) about a lawyer who works full-time at his own firm during most of the year, but during the summer months goes on sabbatical to work as a lifeguard in the NY area. He's been doing this since he was a kid. Working as a lifeguard is his vacation!

You can't say the same about a Google or Facebook engineer. There's only so many people that could do the job, and very few would consider it their "dream" to code all day for a giant corporation. No one would consider it a vacation!

FWIW we should pay lifeguards a living wage! But $400k for an low-skill job that doesn't even require a high school education? Wow.
It'll be car crashes. Any job where you're in the field around vehicles will be pretty dangerous. It's why garbage collectors and delivery drivers are high on that list too.

Cars are very convenient, and necessary in many places. But we really underestimate just how dangerous they are, and how bad the US is at regulating them. Our society is nearly identical to Canada, yet we have twice the traffic fatality rate. Something has gone very wrong with US car culture.
And the increase in profits of that second supplier might surpass the losses of the first supplier if the customer made their original decision based on cost. You can frame this as increasing economic output. Let's break all the canals[1].

[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parable_of_the_broken_window
sure it is. you take advantage of it. some white/east asian woman at work being annoying and you feel you can't voice your grievances with HR without being labelled sexist? deepfake her saying some nastyness and put it up on youtube. make as much money as you can and give nothing back to anyone who isn't your own immediate family and teach your children to do the same. amass all the wealth you can, subvert and destroy your competition and never be alone with a woman who isn't your mother, sister, wife, or daughter. do not hire anyone who isn't a white or asian man, lest they think you stepped on their toes and get the woke twitter mob to harass your family.
Show HN: OSS Libraries License Scanner (For Audits)
Moderna, Pfizer effective in real-world conditions at preventing infections
I mean with keys to the kingdom, you can just plant backdoors and such every now and then and sell it off on Zerodium et al.
No, I have never been religious. I did, however, read the entire Bible in high school for a literature class. Well, okay, except for all those pages of "this dude begat that dude, and so on...." I just mentally substituted "uh, yeah, Methuselah was old and Jesus was descended from King David and all those dudes."

That's not nearly as strange as it sounds, because one really does need to understand the Bible to really grasp the nuances of much of Western literature.
A FreeNAS Compression Tale – Storage Gaga
I'm surprised that there was data suggesting that masks could be harmful, especially since the prevailing guidance for a year now has been to wear masks to reduce airborne transmission. Would you happen to have a link to the studies you mentioned?
Sorry, but I don't think a bad advice is necessarily a lie.

> "You should smoke cigarettes because it will help you lose weight."

Standing to you the above is not a lie and I agree. I think it's a bad advice, but not a lie.
For food, the lingering radiation might even be considered a feature not a bug.

Irradiation of food is a useful method of preservation which extends safety and shelf life and does not make foods radioactive or noticeably change the taste texture or appearance... [0][1]

Whether the lingering radiation would create a sufficient dose, and sufficiently consistent and accurate, for the desired preservative effect is another question. But, it might be an advantage that could plausibly support an upcharge for transport of foods (tho perhaps require lead-lined crew quarters), or a preferred route vs non-irradiating Suez canal?

I have no idea if the scale of radiation is anywhere close enough for this to be anything but a joke of a sidetrack, but I don't think the food transport would be harmed... the crew, another story.

[0] https://www.fda.gov/food/buy-store-serve-safe-food/food-irra...
[1] https://www.fda.gov/food/irradiation-food-packaging/overview...
What this piece doesn't address is the harms of lying. It's like the boy who cried wolf. It erodes trust in those who are supposed to be experts, leading everyone to be unsure of what is true or not, which is a worse situation. Time passes and depending on how egregious the lie was, the collective memory forgets. But between then, the damage has been done and the experts lose some of those who would listen to them and yet others who unquestionably defended them.
> it's not all that different from the Old Testament in actuality

Um, have you actually read them? They are miles apart. Can you find me the reams of legal codes or origin stories in the New Testament, for example?
Contrasting this with another FOSS UNIX alternative is interesting.

Although I initially thought the Illumos code review and commit processes (request to integrate; RTI) [0] [1] seemed overly-cumbersome and laborious (and to some extent, perhaps they are still slightly), I now have a much greater appreciation for the safety mechanisms built in.

Strictly based on code quality and engineering I wish we could rewrite history, have Sun open up OpenSolaris sooner and faster (and perhaps with a different license) such that Illumos stood as a/the dominant Linux alternative today. But maybe that's just nostalgia talking.

Best of luck to FreeBSD going forward; I'm sure this event will lead to even better processes in the future.

[0] https://illumos.org/docs/contributing/
[1] https://illumos.org/docs/contributing/#code-review
> Do we really think the top lifeguard in LA is putting his life at risk?

Risk is meaningful to this discussion in that it deters people from taking the job. That reduces supply and boosts price. I don’t think lifeguards are paid a premium for being supply constrained.

California has a public sector compensation problem. (In particular, its unwillingness to investigate overtime fraud.) But estimating pay solely based on how dangerous the job is won’t be accurate.
Show HN: The CodeZero CLI, a new way to manage K8s apps
Croatia is missing.
I don't know, but if he's managing a lot of people and made it so that those people also get highly paid - he's built a little empire. Maybe that's wrong. But these are also people that save lives. If you cut off the top, and try to keep the lower levels, when is a new "top dog" going to take over and demand high pay again?
DNS issues could be operated better by many of those running resolvers, for instance, by keeping caches primed for sites to reduce latency to end users - as opposed to extending TTLs.

This is probably the cheapest and best solution available for improving DNS related UX issues, and is likely to be something where a commercial DNS provider might do well.
These demands are hard to evaluate without the prior status quo.
How much did they earn before, how long were the working hours?
I think that the people about whom you're talking tend to use fundamentalist religion as means to enforce existing power structures from which they benefit; there's a reason that modern American conservatism is so inextricably tied to the evangelical churches, and why Southern Baptism was once used to justify the capture, sale, forced labor, and breeding of human beings with different skin colors.

I guess what I'm saying is that your point is not mutually exclusive with the comment to which you're replying, and that extreme religious values can have multiple "purposes," explicit or implicit.
What you're saying is called a semantic dispute. It means you're debating over the literal meaning of a word rather than the actual substance of the argument. If you take "lie" literally, then yes you arrive at your conclusion but then you'd be misleading yourself and ignoring the obvious: saying masks weren't recommended was intentionally deceptive and potentially cost lives. That is the point of the article and the point you should be arguing. It for sure has caused distrust in these organizations; the fact that we're debating this right now is proof.
Focusing strictly on compile time and executable size, I'm curious whether sqlite-as-a-file-format would help or hurt. Of course you still have to move from file to native structures. I just wonder how all the overhead of sqlite compares to whatever xml libs you are using. It seems that both xml and sql tables could be modeled very closely to your native structure. So the question is which approach compiles more efficiently.
The Zen of Open Source
Many of us do. These benefits often include a car, gas, per diem, pay for one's internet and other expenses that are normally paid out of one's pocket. It's a way to boost pay without increasing salaries.
Rapamycin and Anti-Aging: What Do We Know?
I've noticed that people arguing online resort to quoting / citing scientific studies without ever actually reading them or making an effort to understand what the paper was about. If the title or abstract appears to support their assertion they post it and act like it is irrefutable.
Could you explain how a strike cannot, by definition, be illegal?

Civil disobedience can be illegal.
not only did they convergently develop an eye similar to ours. It lacks a major flaw that exists in the mammalian version. Theirs has no blind spot!
It’s a symbiotic relationship. High-wealth individuals need organizations to enforce their property rights. At the same time, we have gravitated towards democratically managed organizations when it comes to running our cities and states. That is why, for example, there are rent control laws, easements and many other restrictions on what you can do with your property. It’s what the majority of the people want, although the few who amassed a great deal of the currency may not.

My question is ... why does any organization owe you to enforce your monopoly ownership of resources and let you unilaterally exclude others from using them? Is it better for society to let high “net worth” individuals to centrally plan where the resources will be diverted, and at a whim move arbitrary amounts out of a town, emptying it of jobs and resources?

Let me put it in stark terms. Should a city allow a few individuals to buy up arbitrary amounts of its fresh water reservoirs, removing them from being collectively managed? Once that they “privately own them” should the city allow the individuals to pollute them for profit, subsequently moving out and taking the profits from externalizing the costs to the people living there? It may result in “more revenue” to the city in terms of job creation, and cheaper goods, but can do you agree there is a trade-off?
#1, correct. Nothing wrong with energy consumption. In fact, there is a relationship between GDP growth and energy consumption growth, in general. That's not to say we don't need more efficient energy usage, though, but bitcoin has been and always will be driving that forward.

#2, yeah, bitcoin is driving renewable energy innovation. bitcoin demands renewable energy, and the industry must supply it. It's great for the industry. Renewable companies need to embrace it or they will miss out on great growth opportunities.

#3, yes. Bitcoin is moving towards the edge of the grid, looking for the cleanest, cheapest, and most abundant sources of energy.
The domain is also ripe with algorithmically interesting problems.

One issue I have seen though is the mindset of the business user may not be very tolerant of probabilistic results.
This isn't the first time FreeBSD's lack of code review in security-sensitive areas has been put in the spotlight, and probably won't be the last either.

https://lists.freebsd.org/pipermail/freebsd-current/2015-Feb...

https://old.reddit.com/r/BSD/comments/cid3ud/freebsdsa1912te...

https://svnweb.freebsd.org/base?view=revision&revision=32439...

https://lists.freebsd.org/pipermail/svn-src-head/2018-June/1...

https://lists.freebsd.org/pipermail/freebsd-security/2018-Ja...
>If they can’t get something basic right, why would they be right about something more complicated?

Can you steelman what the basic thing is that religious people get wrong?
It's all in the Bible.
The Catholic opposition to abortion is very similar to the Hindu opposition to consuming beef.

Talk to some people from India about political/religious issues there. Eating beef, meat, and/or eggs is as offensive to some people in India, for religions reasons, as abortion is in the US.

Yet India doesn't have the same mass exodus from its churches as the US does.
Funny how all the HN armchair experts kept telling everyone that the difficulty of this is vastly underestimated, and how people don’t understand “scale”.
Precisely, because what they fear is loss of control over those underneath them and not the loss of meaning.

As it stands in today politic/economical systems (specially in the west) have an inherit artificial scarcity by design to allow a form of soft behavioural control/governance.

You do X, we will fine/pay you Y amount. And this will only work if the Y amount is impactful enough for the individual.

I think this could be replaced by some other from of social point system, while providing the necessities of life to ensure dignified living when income is lost. Because as it stand today, individual existence and any dignified livelihood is very fragile and highly dependant on a single source of income.

You work at Amazon warehouse to pay your rent/bills, Amazon starts using Stretch the robot and you are left in a very weak and vulnerable position, at the mercy of the upper management, wondering when they might let you go because, thanks to Stretch the robot, you are redundant now. This has to be fixed sooner or later, because it just broken and getting worst by the day really fast.

The issue here is that the erosion of jobs is happening from outside and inside. Due to covid, many consumers started purchasing online which is dominated by few mega players (Amazon), so many local retails, restaurants are losing job. And at the same time, those mega companies are investing heavily to gain efficiency as they try to meet the demand and increase their margins, so they are adding more automation.

The way I see it, this is a race to the bottom, and a lot of workers and families will get hurt if this trend continues without some major economical and social solutions.
Yes but...

Where is the line drawn? 1M$ a year for each lifeguard? 2 M$ a year? 10 M$ a year?

When is the pay for a life-saving job « adequate »?
Original discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26199676
Also FAANG employee is paid according to value created, they'd have to create more value then they are paid otherwise they wouldn't be employed.

Lifeguarding value is determined differently and is independent of pay.
I’ll add this as a great overview and resource for the context around that letter(and all the others): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y71r-T98E2Q
Yeah, the political groups have very similar community effect. The healthier ones allow philosophical differences and debate.
But then you miss all the fun with doing a nanopass compiler.

Maybe that's not entirely true though, you can still generate C/C++ in the end I guess.
>A strike, by definition, cannot be illegal. That includes armed forces and every federal employee.

Wrong. A strike, by definition, as actually defined in federal law, can indeed be illegal. That includes armed forces and every federal employee.
I think that this - of course - within the remit of The Chinese government.
And should they object to it, being a large and powerful state, they have a large number of ways to curb it, starting with, but not limited to:

Insisting on international treaties that act against the flows of dark money over borders in any direction (at which point, yes, other countries are obliged to object).

Then moving on to acting directly and legally against Chinese citizens who do things that their state does not allow.

Also, I am told that a lot of bitcoin "mining" occurs within the borders of China.

other countries are already moving to do this kind of thing with cryptocurrency: https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-india-cryptocurrency-ban-...
When he was asked about what to do with the woman who was brought in, he immediately started ignoring everyone and started doodling in the dirt, and then continued doing so as everyone slowly left. That's a little trollish (although not necessarily in a bad way!)
Yes, but it's not exactly a skill which is marketable otherwise, so most of those people (the top earners making over 200k) will do the same work for half the pay because there is no other market for thier skills
you are using the wrong analogy. You are implying that people are using proprietary products, but not paying for them - pirating or stealing them instead.

This is very much not the case. True, people are not paying for tools, but they are not using them either.

It is like a person went to fast food place and got a food poisoning. From now on, they are avoiding all fast food places and cook their own food instead.

You could argue they are missing out or wasting their time, but there is nothing immoral or un-ethical there. Even if I am a commercial cook, I don't have a moral obligation to go to restaurant. And if I have working open source tools, there is nothing wrong with saying "let ADI keep their overpriced IDEs, I will stick with Linux, gcc and gdb"
Why are you singling out Christianity? The same could be said for any of the book based religions.
I've come to a similar place after doing graduate work in Christian theology. The theology, philosophy, and literature of the Bible is the most-studied of any book in the last two millennia and pretty much any question or objection that can be raised about it has been addressed by some of the greatest minds in history. You might not find their conclusions satisfactory, but a serious criticism of Christianity must at least acknowledge and engage with that work.
Part of the problem is that so many devices are poorly behaved when it comes to DNS. At one point I worked for a company that had a large mobile app presence. We setup new authoritative name servers to conduct a test for a week or so. After the test was completed we removed the name servers records. A lot of clients went away very quickly... but way more stuck around way longer than they should have.

At two months post test, those test servers were still getting some traffic.
A Long Time Coming: The MediaRecorder API Is Widely Adopted
Hopefully no one that handles beer kegs for a living is lifting full ones. They have special dollies for handling beer kegs, they even have special attachments for fork lifts for picking them up. I've never been to a brewery where anyone was picking up beer kegs by themselves.
In this case, a one-time review might have sufficed; this bugfix was the first release in five years. But generally speaking, you're 100% right — and obviously, this little package is orders of magnitude less complex than e.g. React or Express.
> isn't this the "no true Scotsman" fallacy

You have a point. The definition of Christian is flexible, so how do you define "true"-ness? In my denomination, you'll find a wide variance of views on whether Mormons are Christian, for example.

> all my other interactions have been with the fundamenlist caricatures described elsewhere here

Like what you later intimated and what someone else said, I'll bet significant money that it's because they are so vocal. They are called capital-E evangelicals for a reason. The United Methodist church is lowercase-E evangelical; very much not in your face.
Sorry, I'm not sure what you mean. The commit was almost certainly never meant to make it in to some server log, it was meant to be seen, and it was. In that way it 'burned' (ie destroyed) the backdoor in to the PHP code repo.

And PHP does seem to care about the real exploit, the one in their infrastructure, which is why they're moving to Github.

Mind expanding on your above comment to help me understand?
Even if you trust your team members to do a good job, another pair of eyes on the code before it goes in rarely hurt. Everybody slips up once in a while and a review has at least a chance of catching the worst mistakes early. Team size doesn't matter. You just need to bring a little discipline to the process.
Clever lying by omission. This is the kind of dirty tricks FOX plays. They leave of crucial information to twist the truth. By not mentioning the sky high inflation existing at the time, you give the impression that the was completely unreasonable raise.

You count on the fact that people today are used to very low inflation, and will immediately be disgusted by the demands of these workers.

This sort of manipulation, is something conservatives have perfected over many years. Also classic conservative backstabbing. Reagan got these people to support him. He even had a past as a union representative. Yet when push came to shove, he didn't have their back. No, he stabbed them in the back instead, and reduced them to poverty.

Denying them employment in the future was classic vengeful pettiness which would have made Donald Trump proud.
They are practically aliens to us, having such a very long ago common ancestor. We can learn a lot about ourselves by studying this alien species and that convergent evolution they have with ours (e.g. sleep). A good, deeper book on this is "Other Minds".