skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Interesting thoughts, thanks.

> - Benefit / harm
> - Near term / long term
> - Clearly evident / non-evident

I still think that in addition to these things it's the growth function, the linear segments of it, then sudden non-linearity that we fundamentally always get wrong in our predictions.

Think of the 1960-1970s that was considered the era of space exploration or the beginning of it, and how people wrongly extrapolated it up to the year 2000 (A Space Odyssey, yep).

Or when we try to predict non-linearities, we get it wrong too. Taleb predicted the end of Google in 2007, also made fun of e-scooters back then. But if I'm not mistaken he also praised segways. Well, everybody did.

In other words, we are wrong most of the time and we are wrong about the non-linearities in the growth functions. So much so that you could probably even say: if a prediction is a linear extrapolation then it's definitely wrong. If it's a prediction of a breakage then the chances of it being correct are purely random.

Look at all the predictions of the next market crash made in the past 10 years. It's as if the market is listening and doing the opposite!
Already happened. Tesla is a major company now. #7 by market cap in the world. Bonkers, I know.

I don't see others following soon, but you never know.
We do support opentelemetry. Our current instrumentation instruction are in OpenTelemetry and our stack also uses otel collector
I have opinions on you, but I wouldn't call myself an expert. If, however, I held a podcast on you discussing your actions and behaviors for 14 years, and had written 4 books chronicling your exploits (not including a new one about to be published) and had reached hundreds of thousands of people with a robust interpretation of who you are and what you care about - I'd say most would call me an expert? If some random person on the internet refused to call me an expert after devoting such an extensive portion of my life to understanding you, does that say more about them or about me? This whole credentialism has got to stop. If you don't want to hear opposing ideology so be it but flippantly saying McWhorter's ideas aren't worth your time because he doesn't have a sociology PhD is offensive.
Er, have you ever heard/read something suggesting an autistic child should socialize with only other autistic children, or is it something you came up with?

Please, write more about your thought process and the problem you're trying to solve. It greatly interests me, as the idea of restricting a child to only interact with autistic (and there are many different labels that would have the same effect) children is overwhelmingly alien to me.
Ask HN: Have You Consulted with Experts?
Have you found yourself looking for technical experts and paid them to consult on a pain-point in your company?
AWS Shield Advanced service charges $3,000 per month. Are there places where you go for consulting on issues of scaling, security or otherwise?
I feel like the solution here should be simple: more options for farmers to buy from different companies, if there aren't enough already. If Deere is being sneaky about repair/maintenance costs in the back end that can also be handled via existing laws/regulations on consumer protection, false marketing, etc.(though of course the fines are almost always never high enough). Maybe there's are some transparency regulations that could be put in to place to make it very clear the nature of the transaction people are getting in to when they buy/lease such equipment. (Like how airlines have to show the ~total price of the ticket up front.)

Disclosure: used to work in a group that made the chips that would do the locking down in applications like this.
I think this comment is super exaggerated. In my experience pretty much all features in Python 3 by far are really welcome. The only features you're usually not supposed to use are very obvious ones, inspect, metaclasses and nested comprehensions, which are super uncommon and feel like dark magic that you would obviously not want to use, or just shit ugly code in the case of nested comprehensions.
> I think with Windows 10 being the last version of Windows, ReactOS will eventually catch up.

Windows 10 certainly isn't the "last version" of Windows in the sense you are thinking.

Even if there is no new version number, they could likely just drop that and call it "Windows" from now on. I haven't heard of any plans to discontinue desktop development.

It will just be constantly updated, as we are seeing it now.

Like the major UI revamp in the works codenamed 'Sun Valley', due later in 2021.

https://www.windowscentral.com/windows-10-sun-valley-ui-octo...
It's not just about adding new architectures to LLVM and rustc, it's also about bootstrapping supported architectures on all architectures supported by a distribution.

This isn't fully done in Alpine yet, and took a long time to do in Debian.
Don't forget that people use wage & asset prices increases as a barometer for economic performance. People love to see their 401ks and houses increase in price every year. And they definitely love the news reports of wage increases happening at the fastest rates in decades.

If welded correctly, inflation can make an administration look like economic wizards.
I think it's hard to have meaningful interactions over video chat among groups with more than, say, four people. Inevitably one or two parties do all the talking at a given moment, and everyone else just listens

Something we've started doing at my company is monday-morning "random coffee". Everyone gets paired off to video chat with a random person for 20 minutes at the start of the day. It's been a great way to have some non-work conversation with the people I do interact with, and have any exchange at all with those I never interact with
Yea, your threat model needs to include machines that have legitimate access to your corporate network, either by being on it physically or through VPN. If you only have defense at the perimeter, you are vulnerable to insiders, such as employees who are about to rage quit and want to do damage on the way out.
I am not saying those things are insufficient to build good websites and apps.

I am saying it does not matter if they are sufficient on their own. If you want to find professional work as a frontend dev in 2021 you will be expected to learn larger and more complex toolchains.
Upleap
Three observations:

First, there was a lot of research in this area in the context of minimising data center power usage. But the main players who stand to benefit from improving power consumption operate in places where power is very cheap (they specifically place their data centers in such areas) and they are also making record profits. Perhaps there isn't a huge case for power optimization economically?

Second, ARM is slowly gaining traction in the server market, but Intel is the leader in this field. Semiconductor companies do spend a lot of time and resources on this, perhaps alleviating the need for the problem to be dealt with in the software stack.

Third, CPU frequency controls are already present in the Linux OS, which is the top server OS, and quite a bit of work has gone into it. This is the main mechanism for optimizing power consumption as far as I can tell.
Lake Tahoe Property Sells for $1.6M in Bitcoins
Then how can you explain no correlation before the daughter has become a teenager? If I understood you correctly, you suggest that parents of daughters divorce more often because the daughter was born to a couple of stressed parents (which is more likely to happen than a boy born to that family). If that would be the only cause of the divorce (I'm oversimplyfying, of course), then there would be no difference whether the daughter is a teenager or not. Perhaps parents think of taking care of a child in their first years of life as a moral obligation, which would reduce the divorce rate. However, it's still suspicious that the divorce occurs around the time the daughter reaches puberty, not some time earlier (after she's 5 or something).
> Maybe in 20-30 years will see these languages adopting higher-kinded types, rank-n types, GADTs, and more?

it's possible to express those in C++ pretty much since templates exist.
Really? I program Python for over a decade now and compared to other language it was always the one where style somewhat was the smallest issue with that language (compared to the C, C++, C#, Javascript, Java I have seen).

Might be that the whitespace indentations focus the mind. Also: PEPs already act as style guides. And if you are worried to do it wrong, just run it through a code formatter like black. It really isn't that much of a problem IMO.
Kyligence Launches Intelligent Data Cloud for Interactive Analytics
Terrariums (e.g. https://www.etsy.com/listing/880201016)

We all received a kit in the mail and on a Friday afternoon, everyone was guided by an indoor gardening expert. It was a calm, pleasant, ~2 hour exercise and I got a fresh plant for my desk out of it.
Personally I don't feel f-strings are an improvement at all, but I think I can see why people prefer them. But a significant improvement, that I don't see at all. Can someone explain why e.g.

f'gcd({a}, {b}) = {math.gcd(a, b)}'

is so much better than

'gcd({}, {}) = {}'.format(a, b, math.gcd(a, b))

In the .format() version, the formatting and the values are separate and that makes it more clear to see both the formatting and the values. I really like that separation. When the expressions get more complex, .format() doesn't really lose any clarity while f'' gets pretty unreadable quite fast IMO. Yes, you can simplify by assigning the expressions to variables, but .format() doesn't even need that.
Thanks for the quick reply. I'll have a few other people on my team check it out and reach out if there is a solid fit. Good luck with everything! Definitely a promising product
I start from the assumption that Federer’s career (even in 2012) is enough to prove that he has the mental strength and can perform at the highest level in stressful championship decisions.

But the stronger reason to stop reading is that, in the most generous interpretation, the author started to argue the benefits of “not thinking too much” by using a unfalsifiable claim about a very subjective interpretation of a fact, attributing causality to an anedocte that is far too complex to be resumed into a simplistic reason based on the author’s assumption. This seemed ridiculous to me.

It was obvious to me that the author didn’t have much of a science-informed take (my impression form the title) and was just doing unsubstantiated storytelling
Agreed.

PS: Cool to see you here on HN, I have been a long time follower on Twitter.
My point wasn't really about absolute numbers so much as how consistently men overestimate his attractiveness to women. I'm not saying he's the only one or would be considered more unattractive than the average man, just that it's surprising how poorly we understand what the opposite gender finds attractive.

If you doubt that is an objective observation, it would be quite easy to test and I'd certainly be interested in the results. One possible protocol would be to select several celebrities, make pairs of them at random, and ask your friends both which of the pair they find more attractive and which of a different set of pairs they imagine the other gender would find more attractive.
For some reason, this makes me think of the difference between dealing with all the recruiter spam that comes at me and actively seeking out a place doing something I want to help succeed. In the former my possibility is constrained by who is paying to serve me up while in the latter I am an active participant in my life, altering my environment to enact a transcript I'm constantly discovering and modifying. I have to remain aware that I'm establishing my own phenomenological context but I find that sort of consideration good for the soul.
After compiling the binary (with haskell-stack) I use fpm to package it up as a .deb (https://github.com/jordansissel/fpm).

I then scp the file into the pool directory on my server, and re-run a script that calls apt-ftparchive and regenerates the contents of the repo (https://manpages.debian.org/buster/apt-utils/apt-ftparchive....).

My web server hosts that directory with indexing enabled, but I don't use apache for it like most examples do. There's nothing special about it, it's just a directory tree built in a way that apt likes. (https://pkg.kamelasa.dev/). In fact, the entire configuration of the repo is visible there.

There's a step in the middle where I sign the packages with my GPG key, and the public key is available on Ubuntu's keyserver (http://keyserver.ubuntu.com/).

I don't need to run this workflow very often, as it'll take about 40 minutes to rebuild and push. But if I do update my SSG I know it'll end up in my debian repo with a version bump, so I'm happy.

On a second pipeline I can just do a simple 'add-apt-repository' and 'apt install'.
But the point is your looking at a SoC with A53's, which is a 9 year old in-order design. Or for that matter, the rk3399's A72's which is a 5 year old design. That puts them at somewhere between an 6x->4x (geekbench) slower per core vs a modern smartphone depending on which benchmark you compare.

Then you add in the overhead of not being a mobile optimized OS, and your also burning massively more power.

The market share for these phones will remain geeks who want to have a more "open" phone and are willing to deal with a slow, buggy, inefficient device.

Frankly, this won't change until Qualcomm/etc decide to make their SoC's more open, so that smaller companies can build products like these without signing piles of NDAs and shipping android BSP kernels. But then again, that might cut into their business because they won't be able to deprecate 2 year old phones by simply refusing to provide security updates.

Most geeks would be better off picking up a year or two old phone and running lineageOs. At least the devices tend to work, even if they have a dozen or so proprietary blobs.
In the view of the "NeoRacists", it's not a racial slur, it's opposition to:

> The marginalization and/or oppression of people of color based on a socially constructed racial hierarchy that privileges white people.

White people are racist by default unless they accept that paradigm and try (hopelessly) to atone for that history.

https://www.adl.org/racism
Yeah I'm sure the government knows what they are doing.
Same, most days for almost 13 years, and mostly lurking.

I think "the medium is the message" applies here. The minimalist design is a huge part of HN's success. That and the excellent moderation.
From printers to coffeemakers to tractors. Companies are going to keep right-to-repair off limits to crowdsourcing hackers and mechanics. Voiding Warranties and Certifications used to be for that purpose. This is an old practice which needs to end.
Pretty neat study. I like the humor in the trend descriptions. But it looks like pretty much every "trend" is a short-cycle sawtooth waveform which ends up telling me nothing at all. Maybe too many clusters, or they are different from the way designers think about it? Or does fashion really cycle so fast?
OCaml does this and it's moderately annoying.
If a lot of people use a shovel as a hammer, the people making shovels should start considering that use case. The spade manufacturers already did so they could take inspiration.

Real life tool manufacturers take "wrong" use into account. One of my preferred anecdote is the IMI Galil assault rifle, which has a built-in bottle opener. It was done because they noticed soldiers used magazines to open bottles, and it could cause damage.

Of course, it is not about choosing between a shovel and a spade, people who have a choice will use a hammer. But it doesn't mean we shouldn't do a favor to shovel bearers.
Quick answer: Find the right one to blame, please.

If you think that, just by making authorities know your phone number is registered on Signal is dangerous enough for you to be arrested, you should not use Signal.

Signal, like any other software, can not solve political, or dictatorship. Signal is a chat app, not a magical tool, even if it is helpful for those objectives. That's what we mean when we says "security is layered".

So, if your government have unlimited resources (that is to say, they can simply arrest and sentence you if they *think* you *may* using Signal, Telegram, Whatsapp, Tox chat, ..., without judicial review), then maybe Signal is not your biggest problem.
When the article was written Federer had lost to Djokovic after having 2 match points on two seperate occsasions (US Open 2010 and 2011) and since then this has happened again at Wimbledon 2019. In that last two matches Federer was serving as well. It's hard to make the argument that this isn't psychological.
Cell sites have coarse location information only.

E911 does not mean your phone is using GPS all the time, only while calling emergency services.
True, I was definitely interested myself. Not really for this reason (my important stuff is triple-backed-up including offsite :) ) but for the great performance. But I was waiting for the price to drop a bit. It didn't really happen. I totally agree, Intel is very poor at marketing.
I've been wondering when something like this would be made. I've felt that it would be even more disgusting to track changes on LinkedIn profiles (imagine these changes being purchased by companies where you're interviewing).

Unfortunately the web is open and there's nothing really to stop it, sans regulations and trust that they will be enforced. Once your life is on the internet you might as well assume everything you say or do is being tracked in some version control repository for humans.
Interest rates are pegged to inflation so at a steady rate it’s not particularly helpful for government debt unless they can run a surplus.

The actual benefit from inflation is as an economic lubricant. People are less willing to sell assets at a loss, but tend to ignore low levels of inflation in their mental arithmetic. Also, holding savings as cash is now a loss which promotes either spending it or investing it.

Most importantly small scale inflation reduces the risk of a deflationary spiral which quickly makes large debts impossible to pay back. Aka 0% to 2% is much better than -1% to 1%.
Yes, and it also takes approx 11 seconds to learn, since str.format already had exactly the same syntax, just slightly more verbose.
But what are these conclusions worth, then? How do you accept that the premises and reasoning are solid? Where does it go from "this table is wooden" (an example used in this discussion somewhere; let's ignore the linguistic problems) to "but that truth is manufactured"?
> It’s continually amusing to me that some of the most outwardly “anti-religious” people (I’m reminded of this Silicon Valley scene [1]) adopt belief systems and act in ways that are nearly indistinguishable from American Protestantism, with the minor difference of the content of beliefs being different.

I used to hang out with a bunch of ex-Evangelicals, and I noticed the same thing. The content of their beliefs changed (radically), but their outlook and habits of mind stayed the same.

> They adjust and build on already-established modes of thought. I think this is called the Horseshoe theory, but that’s usually applied to politics.

I don't think that's Horseshoe theory. IIRC horseshoe theory is more about extremists from different "ends" of the political spectrum having uncanny commonalities, and establishing a kind of moderate/extremist political axis as its own thing.
Knowingly breaking guidelines here, with apologies, but why in the world is this downvoted? It's an accurate and timely example.
Personally, I don't think it's worthwhile to try to game the algorithms that are in place for the experience you desire.

I don't really believe people want out of echo chambers as much as they say they do. I don't find many conservatives dabbling in Modern Monetary Theory or many liberals trying to solve problems in rural America that already don't afflict their own groups. They're quite content sitting just where they are and continuing to justify their disinterest in the rest of the world. In this vein, I don't think what they're in is really an echo chamber. These kind of people seem to be geared more towards getting others to see what they see in their own interests/causes/etc... and if you just aren't that interested, then you're maybe not an enemy but certainly not a friend or maybe even a likable stranger.

I started off with politics as an example because it's the first place I noticed this behavior, but it really stretches into any vein of interest that people have. There's entire rivalries that form around online personas or ideologies in a given domain that are just as divisive as politics, however, they stay penned up in their own domain so you only come across them when you're in communities of a certain mass.

Try to run from whatever this is all you want. The only way I started making friends (and trusting) people of different persuasions and lifestyles from mine was getting out in the real world again.
Reading through all the comments here, I was meh towards most, but yours was the only one I wowed at.

Sure, people like different things, but a device (gift) and then spending time together (co-op games etc) is an awesome idea
Tools like this are why I stopped using Reddit ( aside from talking about programming). And I assume anything I post here may eventually be traced back to me.

Even if you do change your username regularly, your patterns of speech may stay rather similar. And no matter what you say, the context around it may change in 30 years or so.

This new generation loves to screenshot personal conversations and then post them to Reddit for brownie points. Meaning if you get involved with someone who's slightly malicious, they can easily ruin your life too.

At this point I'm very careful to only meet folks in person. It's not unheard of for people to share compromising details about themselves, only to become extortion victims.
followup article on this from the NYT: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26082547
They have a dedicated PEP for motivation: https://www.python.org/dev/peps/pep-0635/
> definitely some abuse

What abuse? I am not talking about abuse, I am talking about its proper use in the normal course of events, which I consider deleterious to the global economic health: specifically the introduction of anti-union, anti-local workers to technology industry.

And I am uninterested in "white collar jobs besides tech". The tech industry is "eating the world" as Marc Andreessen put it. All meaningful political the power is in the hands of technology industrialists, so it matters who is represented in the technology industry.
Between safety standards, emissions standards, and all sorts of other requirements that apply to heavy machinery in the US there are plenty of options for the domestic manufacturers to sneak in a little good ol' regulatory capture masquerading as something else.
Covid: WHO says 'extremely unlikely' virus leaked from lab in China
Maybe we’re discussing apples and oranges then. I would consider that a very easy and clear path to citizenship. In my mind, A residency is entirely reasonable and not difficult. I would consider the US system difficult due to the barriers intentionally set up around legal residency and visas
Apple Health App Data Helps Send a Man to Prison for His Wife's Death