skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
With respect to the headline / first section:

I feel like most office jobs are fairly accommodating about flexible time for chores these days. I work a 5-day week, but I don't think I've ever used vacation days to go to the DMV or the dentist either (~15 years as a white-collar worker in various parts of the US, multiple industries and levels).
I'm saying people shouldn't "go out with friends" to talk about anything full stop.
https://economics.harvard.edu/files/economics/files/ms28533.... (The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015)

Pages 3-4 specifically, but the whole paper is excellent. RE has returns that are reasonably (imho) similar to securities over the long term, low volatility, and you need to live somewhere (although you might see greater returns in the capital markets depending on your entry/exit points [1] and risk tolerance).

I’d caution that recent equities returns are very likely an outlier, part central bank easing, part yield chasing, part unsophisticated money, and arguably unsustainable.

[1] http://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/...
Amazon does have the disadvantage of being more worth circumventing. I.e. if amazon cracks down on some method of cheating the system, to a large extent the cheaters are going to find some other method of cheating.

Whereas since Fakespot etc are less popular, there's less reason to evade their detection algorithms.

That said, yeah, it sure seems like amazon's doing an awful job for consumers in this area.
Loreshelf 1.4 Markdown notecards with improved links and navigation[open source]
Reduce number of Jira notification mails
Another problem is that people who buy a house for $1M don't have that amount laying around in cash to choose to put it in stocks or in a property. At the end, they will be making more money because their compound interest will be on the entire price of the house $1M vs the S&P compound interest on the amount they have in cash (a fraction of the $1M).
There is no evidence that AI can reach the level of skill and safety of a human driver. I’m not saying that it’s not possible, only there is no reason to be sure of the contrary. IMHO we are extremely far.
Thanks a lot for the tip. Did that last night and it was very easy to set up. Now I just need to display them on my blog :)
Ah. In that case, I misunderstood you. :)

Yes, practically, Graeber is not suggesting consumers go out and take on debt willy nilly. He's suggesting rather that we stop moralizing the issue of debt.

The religious connotations of debt are more subtle and surprising than that, at least in Graeber's telling. But I'll leave that to him. The book, by the way, is free: https://archive.org/details/Debt-The_First_5000_Years. ;)
>a few years ago that china got good enough at metals to make good pen tips:

IMO this anecdote has been severely misinterpreted by western media. The narrative seems to be lol China only learned to make ball point pen recently, when really it was Premier LiKeQiang politicized importance of precision manufacturing for national security, and 2 years later Chinese industry developed tungsten carbide manufacturing capabilities for advanced munitions. There was no economically sensible reason for domestic ballpoint manufacturing, the entire market dominated by Japan and Swiss was only worth 20M. Zero rationale for Chinese industry to coordinate tons of resources for this project outside of national security. The TLDR should be China is scarily efficient at pursing national security goals.

That said metallurgy for engines is hard. My impressions from following Chinese aviation and semiconductor development is that engines are harder. At least on the military front there has been a lot of movement in domestic turbofans this year, they're sufficiently performant, and exceeds in some categories that it looks like they will be replacing Russian engines going forward.
The CDC's best estimate of infection fatality rate in the 20 – 49 age group is 0.02%.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...

For an individual patient in that group there is still a lot of variance based on age and co-morbid conditions. For a 49 year old with hypertension, diabetes, and morbid obesity then their risk will be significantly higher. For a 20 year old with no co-morbid conditions then their fatality risk is virtually zero.

That's only for fatalities. We don't have solid data on long term symptoms (those that last more than a few months), but those appear to be very rare among healthy 20 year olds.
Hard to generalize of course, but my gut feeling (based on my company’s experiment for 13 weeks) is that it’s less than 10%. Potentially increasing longer-term productivity. Emphasis on long-term because it might seem like a drop in the short term. Longer term job satisfaction and general well being can increase, focus and just being able to recharge more effectively. Yes, completely anecdotal. FWIW My company since decided to switch to 4-days all year in 2021.
Yeah it seems so - but they are still needed and in much more limited supply than oxygen.

I listened to an ICU doctor on the radio this morning saying the problem is that ANY kind of illness with covid is problematic because even fairly mild cases often require some medical attention, even if it’s just a doctor to reassure you you’re OK, that’s fine a doctor could be spending doing something more life-saving.

Here in the UK with this nee strain, the NHS is running out of resources in hotspot areas so any kind of vaccine will help.
Is it that rare? I thought that it was pretty common in Europe.
This argument falls into the trap of comparing the average home to the stock market. If I was primarily concerned with returns, I would never buy the average home. That would be a home in the middle of nowhere. I would only buy in major metro areas with diverse, heavily entrenched industries and a strong desire among people all over the world to live there (places like NYC). If you look at the numbers in those places, the story is very different. On home value alone, you see appreciation of 8-12% per year on average since 1990 (despite at least three recessions during that time). Covid will impact the desire to live in major metro areas but not enough to seriously impact these returns.

If I wasn't concerned primarily with returns and instead on just saving money over renting, the math is still way better in any of the top metros in the United States so long as you plan to reside there for 5+ years. And if you aren't living in a major metro, you still need to find a place to live, so you might as well make 1% annually on that money as opposed to just giving it away in the form of rent.

In my experience, renting makes sense when you need to pay for flexibility, because you aren't sure if you will stay rooted in one place for 5+ years. Otherwise, buying for many people is a win financially and has been for decades.
No, right until the fall of USSR, Aeroflot fleets were properly maintained.

American aviation had technological advantage at any point in history.
You can get 3D data from a single moving camera. The technique is called structure from motion and has been demonstrated to work well more than a decade ago.

The biggest problem with relying on visual data is that you get very noisy data. Poor lighting and reflective or glossy surfaces cause problems (I'm not sure what current state of the art is, it's been a few years since I looked at the research).

As far as I understand the big advantage of LIDAR is that you get nice and clean depth data and it's not so computationally expensive.
I used the NYT calculator and eventually came to the conclusion that renting beat buying in a MCOL area (Kansas City.)

I live in the city center with my SO, rent is
$2100 split 2 ways for a 1500sqft 2/2 in a nice building with a rooftop pool. There simply aren’t comps that can compete in terms of location, size, and amenities that don’t also have a $1200/month HOA and $900+/month taxes, interest, and insurance. In 5 years rent has gone up
$50, meanwhile my 401k and other investments have maintained 10% year over year returns and I could now afford to outright buy houses and condos I was interested in 5 years ago. Or I could move out to the ‘burbs on a $600-900/month mortgage.

Now, if only I could work somewhere that I felt like I was changing the world in ways I’m more interested in (high tech vs automotive), I would feel less pull to uproot in my mid-30’s for a place where Google or Amazon are hiring.
I have never worked for an employer that didn't let you casually pop out to handle these things, provided you don't miss a previously scheduled meeting.

At my current company, we are explicitly allowed to schedule work hours off for these.
and here I was about to make a joke about adding emoticons to the front of self driving cars
>I have to subtract from that about 3% for interest, 2.5% in property tax, 1% for maintenance.

... but then you'll also probably (if you're like the average HN poster who isn't taking the standard deduction) deduct your mortgage interest and your property taxes, and you'll be exempt from up to $500,000 in capital gain if married, filing jointly, and using the home as your principle residence.

So ... complicated.
I would have liked to interpret this as very tongue-in-cheek too - but as the author didn't drive that point home any other way, I will have to go with "the intended no humor at all in the first place".
Didn't Boeing leadership try everything they could to deflect the issue?
> They can super-lock domains so that if someone manages to change the root servers, they can instantly change it back unless a processes that you define is followed.

If you're referring to registry lock, that's not exactly how it works. It prevents said changes in the first place rather than merely reverting them; all changes have to go through an enhanced, manually verified, known-human-to-known-human change process. This is what e.g. google.com uses.
the market returns are after transaction fees (negligible for ETFs, very significant for real estate) and maintenance - house prices might well increase, but you have to take construction/refurbishment spending into account.

The older the house, the more money you'll have to spend on upkeep - stock prices are driven by future profits, so investments required to maintain the business are already taken into account.
Lets not forget the brands get bought and the new owners lower the quality until the brand name loses its influence, e.g. Pyrex glass.
s/veritable/variable, phone autocorrect (._.) and I forgot copy from register to RAM. Basically it's all we need.
Maybe this is a longer game by Amazon. Let bogus reviews and bad experiences pile up for third party sellers, slowly driving people to only trust "Amazon Basics." They have nearly perfect knowledge of the profitability of any item, so they know what items they should have under the "Amazon Basics" umbrella. Over time they could expand this into other Amazon "Brands" at varying quality/price points.
Surely customers will still buy from respected brands on Amazon though.
In this quite hypothetical scenario, if the statistics he cites are correct and also apply to chauffeurs (i.e. chauffeurs are not statistically different from the general population) then firing him and hiring a new one may not improve your situation. It would be better to invest in a breathalyzer or something.
So what you're suggesting is an appeal to emotion, fire your driver to ameliorate your dissatisfaction even if it might result in an even worse driver.
So to turn the question around, do you prefer false sense of of safety for your children or actual safety?
> all the carrying costs of owning come out to less than renting something similar.

From my experience this is really dependent on the market. When I lived in Vancouver, Canada, the opposite was true: for $X/month I could rent a much nicer place than I could afford to buy with $X/month mortgage payments. My landlord would probably have been better off selling (for redevelopment) but the market was going up fast and she didn't want to get off the ride too early.

Then I moved to a different city with 40% higher rents and 30% lower housing prices, and the equation flipped. Suddenly buying made a lot more sense. Even now though, I suspect it's pretty close to break-even financially. Most of the benefits are less tangible: customization of my house, the ability to invest in improvements, the security of knowing that my monthly payment will never go up. (Technically, taxes could go up, but that means the valuation has gone up and my equity is worth more.)
I noticed this when I started working after college. If there was a dentist, or a bank, or something that stayed open until well after business hours every day then I would go there because of the convenience.

I once walked into a mall (pre-pandemic) in the middle of a weekday and all the retail stores were open...but empty. It seemed like a massive waste of resources just to keep the stores open when customers were all at work.
It is sad how this is still unresolved after more than a year. It looks as if GDPR exists as an unenforced law.
Even though we have many luxuries, modern life does require a lot of admin. Most of which needs be be conducted during business hours. I recently took a two week vacation and spent half of it catching up on BS life admin that I had neglected over the last 6 months / year due to a hectic work schedule.

I'd imagine many of us are not wealthy enough to afford a personal assistant but live complex enough lives to warrant it. Modern life kind of requires a 4 day work week, if you are salaried slave.
I've always thought these conversations about home ownership are missing the reality for many people: rental agreements/legislation can be overly restrictive for many people's situations.

I had friends growing up who lived with extended family all in one house. They'd convert any space they could into rooms and house as many people as they could. That's not a situation that'd be allowed under rental agreements or housing laws but is totally fine as long as you own the house you're living in. Not to mention the nightmare of communicating with your landlord every single time someone moved in or out.

Similar for me: Before I got into tech, I bought a house on a fast food salary w/ a lot of help from housing programs. 15k of my 65k mortgage was subsidized! This allowed me to jump from a $650/month 2 bedroom apartment to a $550/month mortgage and house 4 children. An equivalent apartment would've eaten my meager salary alive and would have been untenable. Anything equivalent to the apartment I had would've not been allowed legally
> simply being able to go to college now almost necessarily means debt peonage for at least half one's subsequent working life

:( Basically true except for community colleges, which are the best deal in higher education.
I'd be more amenable to this argument if motorcycles etc were products that stopped production years ago, and we were left with a handful of privately maintained vehicles. The reality is though that you can still buy a brand new Harley today, for a relatively affordable price (starting at ~$7.5k). To be clear - I'm not saying we should outlaw motorcycles entirely... my point is that since I can buy a brand new loud motorcycle for funsies, neighbors noise complaints be damned, I should also be able to buy and operate a drone too. I'm all for new noise restrictions, but they should apply to everything.

I don't know if I can put much stock in the frequency argument either... If you live in a neighborhood and 3 guys with motorcycles move in, you'll be hearing them very regularly. Drones aren't going to come any more often than delivery trucks do today, and they're certainly loud enough to be heard, not even counting the extra wear on the local roads, and increased pedestrian danger.
Do people ever write off rent with their Llc?
The subjects' brain activity was recorded using an electroencephalogram (EEG) while they made judgments about the individuals. Fast, involuntary brain responses can be distinguished here from slower, more controlled responses. The researchers had expected the latter to involve consideration of the source's credibility in addition to emotion, and thus that credibility might factor into people’s judgments, whereas emotion should dominate in early and more involuntary responses. However, both late and early brain responses showed dominant influences of headline emotionality independent of credibility.

In the spirit of being critical even when we want to agree with or believe the conclusion: how "good" are these EEG studies?

I recall some scandal several years ago in which fMRI data was being promoted as far more useful than it really was, due to some buggy clustering software and maybe also p-hacking.

Are these types of results generally reproducible? How do we know they are valid?
So do you know anything about what you’re talking about? Assembling iPhones is trivial. If that’s your idea of high end manufacture then I have news for you.
Agreed, agreed. I have been reading HN for a couple of months now and just started posting, but really enjoy the insightful feedback on posts. Its great to see different ideas and opinions. Its how the world should be!
There's lots of indicators of quality on the amazon page beyond the price and reviews.

Look at the title. It's just restating generic "drone" SEO nonsense over and over. There's not even a real name of the product.

The photos of the item are pretty clearly photoshopped stock imagery.

The description is full of grammatical and punctuation errors.

The brand has no online presence beyond its Amazon listings. It doesn't even have its own Amazon brand page.

It may be asking too much of the general consumer to look at these signals, but they seem pretty obvious to me.
> chronically ill

Science is predominantly occupied with death due to COVID, not long COVID. We'll probably hear more information about it after we have widespread vaccination, after more studies regarding it, and after people recover from long COVID (assuming that they ever do).

Currently it looks like it could be anywhere from 1 to 10 percent of people who have recovered from COVID.

[1]: https://www.sciencefocus.com/news/long-covid-just-how-common...
Amazon removed comments from product reviews
Why would that be unethical?
> Renting is generally cheaper than buying

That's not 'generally' true, unless youre cherry picking data or buying expensive houses. If that was true, then landlords wouldn't be renting their property out. The standard landlord advice (from any real estate book) is to charge more for rent than your mortgage costs to cover unexpected repairs. Also, several deductions for tax, maintenance, repairs, insurance, etc exist making it even cheaper. https://www.nolo.com/legal-encyclopedia/top-ten-tax-deductio...

I agree with you that owning a home is expensive and I caution friends from buying a home if they're not sure they want to live there for 5-15 years. The hidden costs are insane. Renting has a mostly stable price without the massive emergency spikes of making roof or foundation repairs.
The Missing Link in Renewables
Certification will be a big issue for them. That's where the US/Europe will try to stop them.
I think you're talking about "Schenkerian" analysis, right?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schenkerian_analysis
Australia (as an example) has hard speed limits. If you go over their speed limits by 1kph (kilometers), you can get a ticket and they put speeding cameras in abandoned prop cars on roads to catch speeders. I learned this from a coworker who moved here (Chicago) from Melbourne as he was remarking about driving on the highways here.
Yeah, I think those themes are all individually common in sci-fi, it’s more the combo of all of them together that made me feel there was significant inspiration. But as I said, I’ve only seen the movies, and am going on 2nd hand accounts that they’re based fairly closely on the books. I could very well have a different opinion after reading the books (have added both to my list!).
What did the company get for the 10 hour work day, except feeling they somehow made you "pay" for your day off?

I really doubt a 10 hour work day is more productive than an 8 hour day for most people. You're tired by the end of the day anyway.
My takeaway is that this is a good example to keep in mind when considering architectural diversity, whether in software or hardware. Can your business take the hit if/when Apple/Microsoft/Amazon enter your industry, as a direct competitor, using your own platform and established userbase against you?
Privacy, potentially. House sales are public records and anyone willing to pay $30 can track you down.

If you have a Wyoming LLC holding company (which are effectively anonymous when paying for a registered agent service) that owns & manages your in-state LLCs, then good luck finding you. This is generally how celebrities hide from stalkers, etc.

This is also beneficial when you're managing your own properties that you rent out. Tenants that know you're the owner will try to walk all over you. When you just tell them that you're the property manager, you're just enforcing the owner's wishes. You're "just the middleman". It's not their business to know that you're both. This also helps protect your separation of your business entity from yourself if for some reason they have to sue your LLC. If you don't represent yourself as the owner (because your LLC is), you have fewer problems to deal with.

Also, taxes like the other poster mentioned.

Plus if your life circumstances change and you want to turn your home into a rental, you're going to want to do this anyway and not having to sell your home to your LLC will save you a chunk of cash.
Ah. I know The virus pervades everything right now, but still not sure this is the right thread for COVID moralizing.
"we tailored the test so that we don't have to acknowledge that almost a fifth of the entire population suffers from something that we can only describe with a word for the symptom, not even several different diagnostic terms for possible causes"

It's deeply disappointing.
I like that idea, because he knew everyone would try to 'Find Satoshi'
Safety is the primary purpose of P2, but the size of those trials is often still too small (often 100 to 500) to detect rarer toxicity events, especially in secondary groups often excluded (e.g. juveniles) in trials that initially target a different primary group (e.g. old folks) for approval.

Many drugs fail due to toxicity only during/after P3 when the number of subjects (often 1000 to 30,000) is sufficient to engage sufficient contraindication factors and power needed statistics to reveal detail in the edge cases.
Well you have to live somewhere. So you're either renting or buying.

Well you have to live somewhere. So you're either renting or buying.

Well you have to live somewhere. So you're either renting or buying.

Well you have to live somewhere. So you're either renting or buying.

Well you have to--zzzt \electrical noise\

Circuit fault. Real estate propaganda bot 23372 requests maintenance.
This had always been my goal too.

20% less pay for 50% more leisure time each week = winning.
From elsethread: https://berthub.eu/articles/posts/reverse-engineering-source...

Sadly there is no gcc for vaccines. Yet.
> taking a 20% pay cut in the process

It's something I could do, but I always think that as long as I'm able to earn that money, better get it as we don't know what tomorrow will be made of.
4x10s would probably be better for the company, if you are actually doing real work that matters.

Otherwise it is probably a loss.
We’re 100% remote already :)

In terms of salaries they’re not too bad, but not amazing. We’re not a “real” startup or a tech company though. We hope to bump salaries as well next year...