skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
No need for estimation, just go to the data (England and Wales):

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsde...

So compared to 2018 and 2019, there is no change in deaths for those aged 45 and younger.

However there is an increase in death apparent for those aged above that, such that overall deaths when comparing up to Week 46 are 9.5% higher in 2020 than 2019. However, 2019 was a very weak flu season, with no excess death periods in England:

https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps#z-scores-by-country

If you reduce 2020 deaths by the amount that didn't occur in 2019 due to the weak flu season but did occur in 2018, then 2020's deaths are only 6.8% higher than 2018. Consider also that in those two years the population of the UK aged 45 and above increased by 1.7%.

The question is - is COVID just shuffling fundamentally unhealthy people off their mortal coil a bit faster than would have occurred naturally? How many COVID deaths are really due to ongoing societal issues like Vitamin D deficiency, air pollution, poor diets and obesity? Or simply just old age?

Is shutting down and completely disrupting society for something which is about 5% worse than a regular flu season in terms of deaths really justified? Would we have noticed without the media attention?
Original Article (de-paywalled): https://sci-hub.se/10.1098/rspa.2020.0469
I think the clarity and brevity of this is amazing. Should be mandatory reading for teaching to people starting in computing.

I’ve always thought that the concept of piping input to output and the shell is on of the most powerful “programming environments” around and to see its origins is humbling!
Very interesting slides.

Is there a connection with adjoint functors too ?
Project Sirius
Riptable can only distribute at the low level of primitives it sees, so it must split tasks and collect results at the level of single function calls. Dask builds up graphs of operations on a higher level. There are advantages and disadvantages to both approaches, depending on the actual task.
Not at the moment unfortunately. The display breaks down by the hierarchical organisation of the data source.

It might be possible to build up a list of regions as you navigate through the site, and then show only those in the bubble chart so that you can compare them. Interesting idea.

We wouldn't be able to aggregate infectious or R estimates for one or more regions together as the computation for those is done during deploy and then that processed data is uploaded along with the static site (it doesn't connect to a database to fetch data on the fly).
Plenty of immunologists (esp those still working) disagree with a lotof what Yeadon says.

Here's a pretty good explainer: https://twitter.com/andrew_croxford/status/13308829944716533...

And another: https://twitter.com/andrew_croxford/status/13317220787777290...
CNC router making *$12,500* per month wood carving an American bald eagle
Papers :

* https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/uploads/prod/2020/0...

* https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/uploads/prod/2020/0...

* https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/uploads/prod/2020/0...
I've met way more people fluent in English from messing around with English media than people fluent in English that learned it only from school
You clearly didn't hear what I said.

For example, there is a reason why gay people don't like to walk around in muslim environments, and it has nothing to do with how their parents raised them.

So like I said, your theory is that when you are exposed to diversity, you have less racism. But the numbers (such as political preference) show completely the opposite.
What a tremendous loss to the startup community and to the world.

Tony was an innovator not just in terms of product vision, as almost all successful founders have to be, but also in the very idea of what business should be.

It is striking to me that this happened the same day as pg's essay on thinking differently from your peers came out, as I can imagine no greater example. As founders we spend time thinking about how our product can change the way things are done, but the way that companies themselves are structured and run is largely formulaic and taken for granted. This makes Tony truly special, as someone who decided to rethink what a company should be and how it should impact people's lives.

Even before Zappos he was wildly successful: the first company he co-founded, LinkExchange, sold to Microsoft for $265MM in 1998. In spite of this, he lived in a trailer in Las Vegas. He just didn't think about things in the way most people do.

He is, and will continue to be, an example and inspiration to look to for any founder, especially those who have a nagging feeling that the way companies are run should be better. May he rest in peace.
TSMC: SoIC
I continue to look out after friends and of course family and strongly believe in equal basic rights for all human beings but BLM (and other causes) are not my fight.

Starting several years ago I couldn't deny any more that several groups use political correctness as a weapon to hurt others. They do not deserve my help nor empathy.
Classic Mac OS was remarkably simple indeed and that simplicity died with Mac OS X. You could put the “System” and the “Finder” inside a folder called “System Folder” at the root of the drive and that was enough for you to have a bootable disk.

You could name your files whatever you wanted, as one should, no magical dot 3 letters extension at the end required.

There was a one to one relationship between a folder and a window and the files within it. One folder had always one window showing its contents which where always arranged in the way you set up. The arrangement was even preserved if you copied it to another drive.

I could go on and on. Memory management, process isolation and multitasking were deeply flawed and bolted on, but the rest of the experience was incredibly simple and cohesive and hasn’t been matched since.
Try it on a few real abstracts. It appears to pull a somewhat random sentence and clips it. It really sucks.
Whats, Whys and Hows of TXMS-SoIC : https://3dfabric.tsmc.com/english/dedicatedFoundry/technolog...

Papers :

* https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8811194

* https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8776486
I’d be a bit sceptical about JSON everywhere as it would mean throwing out all the shell tools and everything having to parse JSON which seems overkill.
Are there any sites that are gold for HNers?
In case you're wondering, you're being downvoted because your comment is full of factual errors.
If you are an Emacs user and are interested in ripgrep, you may want to check the rg package https://github.com/dajva/rg.el
> I see where the author is coming from here, but I question whether "the education system" is at fault for the lack of excess Bill Gateses in the world. (I would attribute it more to things like genetics, money and luck).
https://supermemo.guru/wiki/Problem_of_Schooling I would read this from the same author. He attributed failure of education system largely to coercion, which makes sense if you read the part on pleasure of learning/learn drive
Yes, that last paragraph did not age well. I think that by now, not using underline for hyperlinks is becoming just as bad as using it for emphasis.
Like random3821 commented, it's about American English not being “proper” English (while supposedly if the US of A were a British colony, it would be “proper”.)
That is actively ongoing work: https://blog.rust-lang.org/2020/08/18/laying-the-foundation-...
Personally, I use zfs on my home server. All my other machines rsync to a backups folder on there, and once a month a scheduled email reminds me to grab my backup usb hard drive and do a zfs send | recv to sync for an offline backup.

If you were using an untrusted server as a zfs send target, as of a few months ago, you can actually do an encrypted send to a remote without unlocking on the remote, which is pretty cool.
We know how to shield from radiation, there is no mystery there, just put matter in btween the source and the passengers. It's not easy, but the physics are well understood.

Besides, how do the astronauts on the ISS deal with radiation? Is the ISS somehow better protected near earth than in deep space?
The iMac is a desktop
Dulce et decorum est, eh? That old Lie.
Isn't the idea for AirBnB paid couch surfing? The idea was already popular.
Havent tried sourcegraph but seems to fit similar use-cases no?
The point is that by taking the fight to Hamas, they were fighting among Palestinian civilians and not among Israeli civilians, so naturally there would be more Palestinian civilian casualties. For the same reason that there are relatively fewer US casualties in any US foreign war (how many US civilian casualties were there in Afghanistan relative to Afghan civilian casualties?). Adding to that is the fact that Hamas hide among the Palestinian citizenry, making collateral damage all the more likely.
It's true that hydro has a huge impact on the environment, but it is good for the climate. I think it can be worth it to build some hydro power to replace coal. If we don't, and the climate is fucked, then not having built the dam isn't helping the environment either.
So many people don't understand encrypting at rest

To the point where in my organisation we're told to do application encryption on resources that really don't need it

Please read what encrypting at rest is for here: https://www.hln.com/encrypting-data-at-rest-on-servers-what-...
Yes I'm sure Mishima would have loved to see his own country flooded with migrants. When you think about it, Mishima was totally a liberal ally, not like those other right-wingers. /s

>In the sociological sense, recuperation is the process by which politically radical ideas and images are twisted, co-opted, absorbed, defused, incorporated, annexed or commodified within media culture and bourgeois society, and thus become interpreted through a neutralized, innocuous or more socially conventional perspective. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recuperation_(politics)
Eh, Intel was so scared of itself it even stopped Atom getting properly powerful, and that was x86. No way they will get into the ARM team, the instant what they build starts being powerful they will get scared of it too and kill it.

A good part of why they take such a beating in x86 too, Intel has no backup plan because they're scared of their own backup up, while being oblivious to the fact that it was their backup plan that saved them during the post-P4 era.

At least AMD is not scared of throwing away their arch every few years and restart, they've pretty much been doing that like clockwork every five years for the past two decades.
Exactly my thoughts. This person glorifies toil for the sake of toil (and his profits).

Then he concludes that the "uncomfortable truth is that most people don’t give a shit" but companies should still hire people who do give a shit, leading one ask how would this reality work.

I suppose the good part in this case is that this cult-like mentality is public and would help some people to avoid Mr. Wang's company and look for something else instead.
> Its not a scalable solution!

But as more companies try to reach 100% through offsetting the more saturated the grid becomes with renewables, which will make fossil plants uneconomical and force changes around storage. Early adopters pay more for less efficient renewables, late adopters pay more for storage. It's not that terrible. Assuming the books aren't cooked of course.
HAR is great for a number of things!

You can use it to archive websites and recreate them offline, Internet Archive supports HAR files for archiving.

You can use them to recreate user scenarios for acceptance testing and performance tests, via tools like K6 (K6 which also supports InfluxDB, so you can gather the metrics yourself and have your own UI [via Grafana or anything else that supports InfluxDB])

You can use them for troubleshooting all sorts of user/client issues if you have a easy way of gathering the HAR files, or if your users are developers.

They're simply a invaluable tool in web development these days, if you deal with web frontends/backends.
After reading through https://www.gwern.net/GPT-3 , I suspect that GPT-3 is capable of higher order reasoning, given the right motivation (prompt).
> Correlation is not causation.

The main problem in the "Western approach" to the pandemy has been the logic: The effect has not been rigorously proven ⇒ The effect does not exist.

All your inputs are uncertain information to varying degrees, yet you still have to decide something. And the correct strategy is not to sit put and decide nothing.

http://bostonreview.net/science-nature/trisha-greenhalgh-wil...
Remember encryption isn't a magic method of preventing hackers getting your data remotely

A security problem is still a security problem, encryption at rest is about physical security and encryption in transit is about moving data securely between locations

Your applications still need to be secure otherwise encryption won't save you
Windows sorted that with autoexecution of an application delivered with the CD, the problem was like many productivity features it got abused by virus writers, thus eventually disabled by default.
RISC OS running on the early ARM 250 CPU in 1992 booted to a GUI desktop in about 15 seconds.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=r2gro6XUJVk

When my dad's new job meant we needed a PC instead, we all grumbled that Windows 95 took longer to load.
Frame for murder - double murder!

Drive to suicide.

Apparent suicide.

Traffic accident.

Push off a mountain.

Fill the room with nitrogen.
Hear, hear!

I want to add only that the people who are good at pretending to give a shit in interviews are sometimes low-level sociopaths who are good at faking things, whereas people who actually give a shit often come off as stiff because they take the interview more seriously.
There's quite a lot of disagreement about this [1] but it does seem that in general long distance travel is worse.

[1] https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/11/28/why-euro... (paywalled, key graphic is this: https://i.imgur.com/JpmZtPk.jpeg )
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i1IqqlW1U4k

Computer Man.
Well it's for sure the "We make encryption with backdoors valley"
You should look into research on the Ontonotes dataset [1]. I have been experimenting with DyGIE++ model [2] which has a nice codebase and obtains good performance on other information extraction tasks too.

1. https://catalog.ldc.upenn.edu/LDC2013T19

2. https://github.com/dwadden/dygiepp
Generate Android Preferences/Settings Menu
Generate the java and xml files for a simple preferences menu dialog for your android app.
You could add them to .rgignore or .ignore (which also works with ag, IIRC) instead of adding them to .gitignore.
I would really like this on trans-continental flights. I don't want the frills of Business but I just want a seat that reclines more than 100 degrees - perhaps 180.
> how does this compare to normal flu?

Flu is really serious, which is why we have nationally co-ordinated campaigns of surveillance and monitoring, and then rapid vaccination development, and then programmes to immunise as many vulnerable people as possible.

So far, we think covid-19 is about 10 times worse than flu.

On an average year in the UK flu kills about 10,000 people. So far Covid has killed many more - at least 50,000.

But this is using an inclusive definition for "killed by flu" that will include many people, and it's using a restrictive definition for "killed by covid" that will undercount deaths.

To give an idea of how flu in the UK is counted you can look at this report: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/...
> During the early part of this event, we were unable to update the Service Health Dashboard because the tool we use to post these updates itself uses Cognito, which was impacted by this event.

Poetry.

Then, to be fair:

> We have a back-up means of updating the Service Health Dashboard that has minimal service dependencies. While this worked as expected, we encountered several delays during the earlier part of the event in posting to the Service Health Dashboard with this tool, as it is a more manual and less familiar tool for our support operators. To ensure customers were getting timely updates, the support team used the Personal Health Dashboard to notify impacted customers if they were impacted by the service issues.

I'm curious if anyone here actually got one of these.
Pay your veterans.

It’s not their responsibility to swear life long loyalty just because you need them. Especially when the second they are no longer needed a company wouldn’t hesitate to get rid of them.

Most software shops can’t have mercs because they aren’t built for it, they just assume people will stick around. If you want to run efficiently and confidently with mercenaries, get knowledge out of people’s heads and into robust documentation and architectural design records.
The failure to update the Service Health Dashboard was due to reliance on internal services to update. This also happened in March 2017[0]. Perhaps a general, instead of piecemeal, approach to removing dependencies on running services from the dashboard would be valuable here?

0: https://aws.amazon.com/message/41926/
The year 2020 isn't over as we write this, so of course your hypothesis is technically possible. In the final weeks of the year US death rates could fall through the floor compared to normal.

But that's not a hypothesis about the existing data, that's a guess about the future, and probably not a very good one.

This presentation masqueraded as an analysis of existing data, and the existing data shows a big rise in excess deaths. A competent analysis ought to at the very least point out this discrepancy and try to address it.

The alternatives are the author wasn't aware that excess deaths statistics are available or worse they were aware those statistics contradicted their thesis and decided to hope the audience didn't know.

Somebody else has linked one of the sites that charts US death figures. They are not subtle. In some countries you have to squint to see any impact from COVID-19, because the data is noisy and their population is small. (And maybe their reaction was effective, we can say this is the case for New Zealand but less clearly for say, Finland). But for the US it's an obvious anomaly, a prolonged excess over months.
I recently upgraded my primary boot ssd to name m.2.

From pressing enter on grub to desktop is ~6 seconds on a cold boot.

It was noticeably faster than booting from even a sata ssd.

Was pleasantly surprised.
> institutions have decayed and the economy’s structural deficiencies have worsened

> Zombie business groups are perched atop the debris of debt-fueled expansion

> inept authoritarianism

> But not much is being done to revive demand, either in the short or the long run.

> The state, we hoped, would shrink as an economic player, and become a more robust referee.

> the government’s whimsical decision-making has intensified. Don’t like what a consumption survey shows? Suppress it. Getting flak for a slowing economy? Publish unbelievably rosy GDP data.

> Homebuyers don’t trust builders to deliver homes; financiers don’t trust property developers to repay loans. The government doesn’t trust either the builder or the lender. Nobody trusts politicians

> One, how will supply-side reforms fill the demand gap? Two, when will the broken financial system be made whole?

Going to have to lose hope on a lot more countries than just India… these things can be said/asked for pretty much everywhere… and the whole covid situation has pretty much accelerated a lot of the above
Human Decision-Making in a Big Data World
He says "...good universities are still an excellent way to meet independent-minded people." Is that even true anymore? So many of the ones I considered "good" have gone over to the whole SJW/microaggressions/safe spaces mentality. Any independent thinkers will have a hard time finding each other at those places. Are there any universities left where you would have your ideas really challenged? That's what I would expect at university.
That's a nice setup, I like it!
Adapting to advancing hardware isn't impossible. It's been awhile since I've looked so details are a little hazy, but I know the Mill architecture had an answer to this. I believe they were using effectively two-pass compilation. The first compiled against an abstract version of the architecture, and this is what was distributed. Then this could be further specialized on the user's machine as at that point the limits of the hardware would be known.

I don't recall if they had an idea for SMT as well or not. It's possible they wrote it off entirely, particularly after Spectre and all that.
The funny thing is that it is my idea as well. I don't remember reading that short story or any adaptation of it, and I even had to look up who Dahl was.

But I knew about the story of the murder with a frozen piece of meat (didn't remember it was lamb) that got served to the police afterwards. I guess it is one of these ideas that just stick around.

Note, I am French, so I may not know who Dahl is, but I definitely know what a jeroboam is ;)
20 or so years later, it is my impression that there are no compilers that can do enough ILP (on software not specifically written for the Itanium) to justify the Itanium’s VLIW.

Intel licensed some stuff to Cyrix, VIA, AMD, Harris and possibly others at the time. But if AMD didn’t license AMD64 back (by way of cross licensing) things might have been grim for Intel back in 2003-2008 when AMD was killing it previously.

Intel did nothing out of the goodness of their heart, and neither did AMD - so I’m not sure why it is bothering you that people are cheering for AMD for providing (at this point) a technically and economically better product, and hating on Intel for being a fat cat. The pendulum may swing back sooner or later, both technically/economically and public opinion wise.
Some companies (or some people at some companies) have seen similar setups and said “if someone wants to use the functionality of our software, they need their own license”.

I don’t know if the company has any legal right to send a C&D, but that has not stopped some in the past.
Quora (poor content, dark patterns), Medium (slow loading, poor content), facebook/insta (poor logged out experience), twitter (poor ux)
Humility is a lost virtue.
I still find myself doing this on Windows 10 with services and it's very manual, I'd love a "conflict catcher".
Everything I described is implemented today, and is required for APNS to work. Whether Apple does or does not mine the data in some way that you personally find offensive is not relevant; the fact is that they are presently logging IPs for APNS connections, which have unique identifiers that are related directly to hardware serial numbers in their database. Because IPs generally equal location, they are in possession of location history for each iOS device serial number.

I'm not sure why these (plainly factual) statements are controversial.
> "Moreover, Google does not use any personal information collected through the Public DNS service to target ads.

We do not correlate or associate personal information in Google Public DNS logs with your information from use of any other Google service except for addressing security and abuse."
https://developers.google.com/speed/public-dns/privacy

Do you have proof that the opposite is true?