skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Did Nate Cohn's predictions this election pan out?

“The final polls more or less comport with how we already viewed the race. Mr. Biden ends the race up by more than eight points nationwide — the largest lead a candidate has held in the final polls since Bill Clinton in 1996. He’s up by at least five points in states worth more than 270 electoral votes, the number needed to win. Beyond that, he’s got at least a nominal lead in states worth 350 electoral votes, and he’s just a 2012 polling error away from a sweeping landslide of more than 400 electoral votes.”

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/presidential-polls-trump-b...

Cohn's polling leading up to the election:

Tuesday Nevada Biden +6

Wednesday Michigan Biden +8

Thursday N.C. Biden +3

Sunday Arizona Biden +6

Sunday Florida Biden +3

Sunday Pennsylvania Biden +6

Sunday Wisconsin Biden +11

Which of these happened?

Biden underperformed compared to Clinton in most pivot counties and bellweather predictions (which were 90% wrong this year, wow), and most counties in swing states entirely with the except of greaty overperforming in the densest liberal areas, in some of those cases even doing better than Obama as crazy as that seems. Biden underperformed with hispanics and black from exceptions and likewise Trump did better with them than expected overall. And no matter what if you think someone the day of the election saying "Biden Landside" was possible, well...

You do you, but me personally, I'm going to go to someone else for opinions because that was such an exaggeration of reality that it seems like it had to be "for effect".
Apart from it not really being in anyone's financial interest - not content providers, copyright holders or advertisers, it would be viewed as a security risk if anyone could easily do that - e.g: https://www.theverge.com/interface/2019/4/4/18294951/austral...

The idea of using multicast in this way also ignores some of the actual good features of HLS, in particular the ability to adapt content to a specific user's device and Internet connection.
I'll take it a step further. Is it fair to even call it the same system after 20 years of changes?

Like the Ship of Theseus thought experiment, at what point does a thing no longer have sufficient continuity to its past to be called the same thing? [1]

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ship_of_Theseus
If you look at the cooling solutions on the current macs I’d say the inverse: that these chassis were designed with the M1 in mind and they shoehorned Intel CPUs into them.
That neatly falls under "extenuating restriction that makes it feel unattainable" :)
Likely to be 10w TDP on MacBook Air versus 35w on MacBook Pro.

So lower clock speeds on the CPU/GPU and more use of the low-power cores.
I don't think anyone receiving gov't funding would consider it stable. Every year, people have to justify their funding at the risk of having the funding removed. I have quasi-personal experience with the withdrawing of funding when Congress killed the Superconducting Super Collider. They killed it the same year that I was in high school and was going to spend time as an intern as several of my older classmates had done.

I know we're speaking the same base. Science funding is woefully short for pure scientific research endeavors. The US gave up on the race for discovery a long long time ago before I was born. The "why?" must always be backed up with a solid money making something. "Why?" can no longer be "because we don't know what we might find out" for a response that will get funded.
NYU Wireless Already Working on 6G
Qt is not true Cocoa, even still - IIRC (and I think it was literally somewhere on this forum that I was corrected by a Qt engineer) they use the Cocoa things to handle some drawing code, but it's still their own stuff on top of that (they used to use HITheme & co before they modernized it).

It's why you'll see subtle differences on things like buttons.
Show HN: A Hacker News Clone Build with Rust and Prism
I understand the naming. They want people to switch to the other track (Core). With this naming it’s like the other teach makes a turn and continues in front of the net4X track.

This makes it easier for me to make a case to managers that 4.8->5.0 is an obvious migration to do. Selling 4.8 to core4 would sound scary.
> my code is now 20x times shorter (from 800 files to 40 files)

Well, do you have all of the bells an whistles that you had with .NET? I mean, you can shrink a .NET API down to pretty much just 1 file if you really want to. The question is if you should.

WebHost.CreateDefaultBuilder().Configure(app => app.Run(c => c.Response.WriteAsync("Hello world!"))).Build().Run();
This is a really interesting talk.

Why do these machines store votes in floating point?
Have the same machine, it's starting to chug. Modern web is too heavy for the old dualcore i5, unfortunately.
> Google does provide updates

That is a lie and you know it. Google updates the OS, but they are also directly responsible for many products they sold themselves with their brand. And those have as much updates as any other company, well maybe one or two more.

I happen to have two devices bought directly from google. One is stuck on android 2.3 and another on 4.0, both full of security holes, not updated because "it would be too slow" when in reality i can't even install replicant et al because google never worked with the component providers to offer compatible binary blobs for the hardware.

Yeah, android itself is opensource (mostly because it is built on top of GPLed linux code so they do not have an option) but 99% of what makes your phone run is a proprietary binary-only code provided by the likes of Qualcomm etc. And why phone manufacturers, google included, use the options with closed source binary blobs? To save $5 or so from the BOM cost in production.
I'm a former cryptographer and the headline and news story aren't sensationalist by any means. iO has been considered the "Crown Jewel" of cryptography (by cryptographers) ever since the 2013 iO candidate by Sahai, Waters, Gentry, et al, and Sahai/Waters' followup "How to Use Indistinguishability Obfuscation." From a cryptographer's perspective, being able to use iO is like having a superpower.
> Azure will win you over from AWS every time.

Going to have to disagree here.

That might be the case if Azure was not literally a tire-fire. I have been using Azure for work and it's the most frustrating, inconsistent, often-broken, confusing and stress-inducing cloud service that my teammates and I have ever been subjected to. It left such a bad taste that I am quite certain I would flat-out refuse to use it again in the future, or work somewhere that uses it.

Take my advice: just don't use it. It's not worth it. Use AWS, use GCP, use Digital Ocean. Use some random cloud provider. Just don't use Azure.
Tim Harford has an excellent article on why the polls were wrong:

https://timharford.com/2020/11/why-the-polls-got-it-wrong/

The big quote is this:

"The pre-election numbers suggest that in a typical poll with 500 positive responses, 255 went for Mr Biden and 243 for Mr Trump. But typical response rates are 5 in 100 — often lower, says Andrew Gelman, a statistician and prominent election modeller. He says that only around 1 in 100 people respond to opinion polls. So now picture 10,000 people, 255 who called their vote for Mr Biden, 243 for Mr Trump and 9,500 who never responded. How confident are we feeling now? "

Harford is the host of the excellent More or Less podcast that looks at the validity of statistics in the news.
why not go all the way with fable + elmish for the Frontend?
Maybe I'm too literal here, and there's a bunch of other stuff that could be addressed, but can I just complain that the article titled "A pacifist's plan to survive the violent world of prison" doesn't have a single word about exactly what kind of pacifist he considered himself to be or what this plan was? All he said was that he was a big dude and he didn't join a gang, which doesn't say all that much.
Perf/watt matters even if you don't care about power consumption at all, because heat dissipation is usually the limiting factor for sustained performance. Higher perf/watt means higher perf for any given amount of cooling.
Number 10's Message to Biden Originally Congratulated Trump
It's a crap cake most times I try the long-approach on a problem:

I spend time researching, investigating, figuring out the best way to do it, implementing the solution and potentially being pulled off to something else in the meantime. And then comes along some spiffy "throw hammer at the problem" person that can't stand spending too much time on a problem, who then proceeds to solve it in some crappy way that "kinda works". Then goes ahead and convinces everyone to go with it because "hey it's already done and kinda works and why throw away work", nevermind the "work" you did figuring it out and them not even bothering to ask you for your info (or downright ignoring it because it wasn't quick enough for their way of operating).

And then when you raise it with management, you get told to "call a meeting" to discuss the issue with the team in such a way that precludes the need for management to get directly involved and tell that other person to sit down and listen - because hey "they're a code ninja that gets shit done" and look at all these things they've done.

Oh and we generally have to spend weeks afterwards fixing all the corner cases they never bothered to think about or investigate. And more meetings get called to discuss it instead of them just listening to you telling them what the solutions are. Because hey, the whole team has to have a say right? We wouldn't want them to think their opinion doesn't matter. 50/50 chance of that, or we end up rewriting it after we come to the realization that the solution sucks, but that code-ninja has already moved along to the next team where "they urgently need help of someone that can just get things done".

/rant
I have an entire Windows VM set up just for Zoom meetings.
American prison sentences tend to be higher than other developed nations, but 10 years is quite a bit just for burglary as he says. Florida is a 'three strikes' state so he must be a repeat offender (as in, in and out of prison).
Yes, I found that proposal rather myopic and disturbing. The concept of "big data" is so amorphous that in my mind it stands for "totalitarian surveillance system". I really have a hard time understanding the AI and Big Data buzzword fetishism.

And, though this is probably controversial to say, I know of very few business that apply "AI"/ML to any real benefit. At least not much that couldn't be achieved with less complex statistical models.
Sometimes people use words and don't really mean what they literally mean.
That depends entirely on the hardware of both the ML accelerator and the GPU in question, as well as model architecture, -data and -size.

Unfortunately Apple was very vague when they described the method that yielded the claimed "9x faster ML" performance.

They compared the results using an "Action Classification Model" (size? data types? dataset- and batch size?) between an 8-core i7 and their M1 SoC. It isn't clear whether they're referring to training or inference and if it took place on the CPU or the SoC's iGPU and no GPU was mentioned anywhere either.

So until an independent 3rd party review is available, your question cannot be answered. 9x with dedicated hardware over a thermally- and power constrained CPU is no surprise, though.

Even the notoriously weak previous generation Intel SoCs could deliver up to 7.73x improvement when using the iGPU [1] with certain models. As you can see in the source, some models don't even benefit from GPU acceleration (at least as far as Intel's previous gen SoCs are concerned).

In the end, Apple's hardware isn't magic (even if they will say otherwise;) and more power will translate into higher performance so their SoC will be inferior to high-power GPUs running compute shaders.

[1] https://software.intel.com/content/www/us/en/develop/article...
This story clearly illustrates the purpose behind "web APIs". To limit access.

As a user (not a web developer), I personally never saw the practical point of web APIs; I have always just "scraped the HTML". Many times the solutions I write outlive the corresponding "API"; IME, often the non-API method of data retrieval is more robust and reliable than using the so-called API.

YouTube used to have a freely accessible search API. Not anymore. However "scraping" the YT search result pages continues to work fine.
My AMD Ryzen running Linux is pretty fast, efficient and private. No? Granted, it's rather hard to use in Starbucks, being a desktop.
Ah ok, I misunderstood your comment. Glad to hear Go has had such a big impact for you.
The unbearable fragility of modern Mac OS X development (2015)
I just did a straight up find-replace for `netcoreapp3.1` -> `net5.0` across 66 projects, built and passed tests without a hitch. Zero issues so far outside of the warnings resulting from enhanced nullable reference type smarts .
The unified memory used to mean that the ram is shared with the graphics card so you have not all available for your use. Also called shared memory.
I'm curious: is it actually rational to use more harmful techniques against someone significantly larger than yourself, someone armed, or a group of people? It seems as likely as not to be perceived as an escalation, and in those types of situations an escalation is likelier to mean you get permanently injured or killed.

Of course, the best martial art is de-escalation and the next cross-country, but if you're cornered and there's an unbalanced distribution of force, you're kind of screwed regardless of what you do.
Oh really? That’s good to know. Thanks!
Plenty of big companies allow you to do this. I know several people who have taken 1-3 month long unpaid vacation while at FAANG companies.

Sure, it takes some planning. You can't just do it tomorrow. But it seemed pretty easy for them.
Electron apps.
How if your salary from that is 0?
On cheese-less: Yes, there's a brand of really good quality frozen pizzas that has a variety that has a little extra sauce, no cheese, and spinach. It was surprisingly good. I also have a pizza stone in my over to bake frozen varieties, or the occasional home-made pie. Well worth the investment. It doesn't product pizzeria quality output the way their specialized ovens do (and especially brick ovens) but it is pretty good.
Since when has sustained rioting been acceptable as long as it's "confined to specific blocks"? It quickly became clear to any rational person that rioting in Portland would occur consistently following peaceful protests and that a number of the peaceful protesters would participate in the riots. The effort to downplay what has been occurring in Portland is astonishing. I mean, how many blocks of sustained rioting are ok? Two? Ten?
There are two lines of 13" MacBook Pro, the two-port and four-port versions. The two-port always lagged behind the four-port, with older CPUs, less RAM, etc. The four-port (which has not yet been replaced) is configurable to 32GB of RAM.
I think I've heard it attributed to Abe Lincoln. I imagine he didn't mean to sharpen it all up front, but after every few swings.
The bulk of Trump voters are from rural areas, and tend to be less (or un-)educated.

I don't know what percentage of Trump voters believe QAnon conspiracy theories. But I do believe the bulk of Trump voters are voting against their self interests, because they are gullible. Why else would most Trump voters come from rural areas? If they had legit reasons to support Trump why aren't the voters spread equally among urban/educated and rural/uneducated people? Which of Trump's policies are only helping rural/uneducated people?
The higher spec air has 8 gpu cores as well
Perfect unbiasedness is impossible.

But there is a huge difference between those who try to be unbiased, and those who don't.

BTW, what are good examples of journalists being honest about their biases?
From the link,

> Eternal moral vigilance is no laughing matter.
> It's a logo that is more strongly associated with one political party than another

I doubt the regulations around polling places consider that relevant. I'd guess one party wears cowboy hats more often than the other, but that doesn't make them a political statement.
Ah now it makes sense. Thanks.
From an American perspective, food quality in the UK seems to be much higher than we have here.

In the US, McDonalds Nuggets contain way more filler -- up to 50% of any given nugget isn't even actual chicken meat at all, according to the University of Mississippi - https://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2013/10/11/232106472/wh...
I hope the reason you're being downvoted is that you mentioned E5 "salary" but you probably meant "compensation" which includes much more like bonus, initial grant RSUs, refreshers etc.

Either ways, I've always been met with some degree of rancor when people realize that some devs on the west coast make $$$ for doing stuff that isn't rocket science (ex: shoveling protos around). So the downvotes are not terribly surprising.
I'm suggesting a government, medical system, and community focused on helping people before they get to that point in their lives.

I'm focusing on the part I think we can all agree on and therefore is solvable.
I was having issues with my 16” until I disabled Turbo Boost. I dunno if it’s specific to the i9 model, but it was running hot and processes were spinning out of control. Since disabling, it runs a lot cooler and I have pretty much zero issues.

http://tbswitcher.rugarciap.com/
You can also look at previous votes on initiatives as semi-accurate polling.

Michael Bloomberg / Everytown for Gun Safety / Moms Demand Action / The Trace / Mayors Against Illegal Guns which are all the same entity repeatedly pushed out the statistic that "90% of guns owners want to end private gun sales" of course this is totally misleading, but...

When it came a vote in Washington state, after outspending the NRA over 10:1 on Initiative-594 they received a 60/40 win.

I would put that 90% a lot farther down, because everyone in WA voted on this, not just gun owners. So, its it 10%, 30%, 60%? IDK, but I know it's not 90%.
They used to have PDFs linked from the documentation pages. Obviously that went away at some point.
Thanks Paul :)

I think with compute functions/kernels, we're sitting under a grapevine, so we'll be able to add a lot to Arrow without yet needing Gandiva bindings.
The Rust stdsimd [0] work will also enable us to better use SIMD in ~ a year from now (I hope)

[0] https://github.com/rust-lang/stdsimd
no the youtubers, (metatron and skallagrim). They seem to specialize in historical swordfighting, so I think its worth listening to what they have to say on the subject
Obviously Apple sees thinness as a major feature.

The reality is, for most people 720p is more than enough, since most videoconferencing is at a heavily compressed 480p anyways, and it's not like most people really want it super obvious that they missed a spot shaving or have a small zit anyways. And sure the quality arguably falls to below 480p in very low light conditions, but that's not an issue in any normal well-lit office, coffee shop, or kitchen or living room.

I would assume Apple is making the right call here that a higher-resolution camera isn't worth additional thickness.
For Microsoft it depends on when the docs were written.

The MS docs from the late '90s through about 2015 were stellar. For example, look at the Windows Sockets docs[1], which came out of that era. Here you see information architects working at the height of their power: Content is broken up into conceptual ("About Winsock"), task-based ("Using Winsock"), and reference ("Winsock Reference") topics. They were doing this kind of structured documentation before DITA was a thing. It's a pain in the ass to produce content this way, but the results are wonderful.

Then came .NET Core: a fast-moving, community-driven effort, where the philosophy seems to be to get it working and then scribble down some docs later. The result tends to be a huge wall of text with conceptual and sample topics jammed together ([2]), and you're lucky if the API reference gives you anything beyond parameter names.

Azure docs suffer from a different problem. It seems they've tried to apply some kind of rough information architecture, but the quality isn't great. I've looked at the GitHub history of some of the shoddier topics, and they're often written by junior Product Managers who are fresh out of college. I encounter a lot of imprecise, colloquial English describing out-of-date screenshots.

I don't mean to belittle the people who work on .NET Core and Azure. There's a ton of content that needs to be written for these products, and it's a thankless task for the devs & PMs who do the heavy lifting now. I'd really like to see some dedicated technical writers come in and bring the quality back up to their old standards.

[1] https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/windows/win32/winsock/windo...
[2] https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/aspnet/core/fundamentals/ro...
> Twitter itself added noise to my feed.

Agreed for the actual Twitter site, but it doesn't seem to happen nearly as much with Tweetdeck. (In fact, I'm not sure Tweetdeck even shows ads.)

https://tweetdeck.twitter.com/
The emphasis here being on the word "should". I wouldn't buy just yet until some third party has published a sustained load/heat test. Apple have sucked at this for quite some years now, it's folly to touch a MacBook for anything remotely compute-intensive
Dude, it's been a hundred years. Times change.

Nobody cares about weed anymore for the most part.

Crack is mostly a non issue as that epidemic has already ran its course.

Perceptions of coke are relegated to jokes about white collar professionals and crazy parties.

Heroin and meth are the two drugs people really look down on these days and they're stereotypical white people drugs.

Attempts to cast everyone who wants some sort of stricter drug enforcement as closet racists is naive at best. And this is coming from someone who thinks meth should be available at Walmart just like caffeine pills.
I agree with your analysis. Watching the last season of The Wire it really struck home the incentive structures, and how News organizations are ultimately businesses that are beholden to financial interests.

A business that unfortunately has lost its viability, which is how we've ended up in this current predicament.
What are you using for your source for vote totals by vote method to make that determination?

Again, there was a time component here, where battleground states were strategically targeted to delay when votes would be counted. Feel free to read the source I posted above, or look at other state by state summaries here: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/battleground-states-process-...

You will see some difference in ratios by voting method regardless, however. For example, in Arizona, the fact that voting by mail has been common for years, makes it much less partisan.
I'm sometimes guilty of commenting without thoroughly reading the linked articles but in this case a simple glance at the photo in the article would've answered your question.
> They are left leaning only in specific neo liberal ways.

They are only left-leaning in specific center-right ways?

Neoliberalism isn't a left ideology.
Did you mean Wirecard instead of Wireguard?
Just curious, but how much is up to personal discretion? What if the hat was red and said "Make USA Great Again"? or simply "Make America Great"? These wouldn't be "official" merchandise, and to be honest, I have no idea how a random pollworker or inspector decides what is "official".
The greatest thing I took out from this article is the @shit_hn_says twitter account. Absolutely hilarious!
I don't understand the landfill argument here.

A typical "Upgradable" PC is in a box 10 times the size of the mini. If you upgrade the GPU on a PC, you toss out an older GPU because it has pretty much zero resale value. Typical Apple hardware is used for 10-15 years, often passing between multiple owners.