skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I'd say judges. Now they have them, and with the exception of some die hard Trump converts and supporters I would be surprised if the Republican establishment abandons Trump rather quickly.
I think one factor in this election is that the parties splits are misaligned with issues that people actually care about.

So for example: Trump and Sanders (and Tulsi and a number of more fringey candidates) are generally opposed to international intervention.

Immigration considerations are another one (in particular, dem immigration platform is at odds with trade union preferences but aligned with large corporate interests).

There are big, relevant, issues that voters care a lot about that don't conform to the party lines.
Far less. Yes, the PM can fail to get a bill passed by his own majority and can even lose a confidence vote. But the President can’t even submit a bill to Congress, and then either or both houses of that Congress can be of the opposite party. Even the Senate can kill legislation or appoints by failing to reach a supermajority over a filibuster.
I can be argued that Trump inherited the good economy from Obama. But there is so much more to life than just economy.
> Similarly, we’ve been after real change in the Mideast for decades across multiple admins from both parties. We’ve never had movement.

Have to go back a little further than that, the romans also wanted change in the middle east and didn't have much luck.

> Basically we’ve taken a totalitarian and repressive state and made them a rich totalitarian and repressive state.

I'd say under trump we have taken a rich toltalitarian and reppressive state and turned them into a rich toltalitarian/reppressive state with new friends in high places.

Just because something is a change does not make it a change for the better. Maybe the previous policy was trying to hold back the tide and failing. Opening the floodgates is a change, but i'm not sure its a good change, even if holding back the tide was a failure on slow motion.
The majority of on-prem users are likely Server licenses, and not data center, so for that perceptive it's likely EOL.
> I was telling my friend the other day, why is it that the presidency is a competition between retiree geriatrics of the same generation?

I mean, I'm not thrilled it turned out that way this election, but that's not really the rule for Presidential elections; Carter, Clinton, Bush II, and Obama were 52, 46, 54 and 47 when elected.
That is an incorrect framing of the problem. People do not want land, they want residential units. Strong demand can be handled by building up. Making it possible to build up where land values are high would solve a lot of problems.

California high speed rail is a different, specific, and complex system to evaluate. Just to throw out one major issue there is increasing demand for travel between LA and SF but capacity of existing roads, air corridors, railways, and ferries is already approaching fundamental limits. Space for roads is limited so the only other real option is more airports everywhere which might end up being necessary either way.
Thanks for having such a great conversation on this --

> I am not seeing how the request system is vulnerable.

Here's the scenario: I obtain your SSN, Name and Address to request your ballot to my address (either in the bussing example through your explicit permission or through the nefarious example like using Equifax 2017-2018 Data), then I fill it in at my address, and then mailed it in.

(Edit: to be clear, you have only provided the information to start the ballot process, or I obtained it nefariously, and submitted a ballot without your presence and pen to paper)

That's not a vulnerability? I guess I have a weird definition... I'm saying that's not what I expect when I hear someone 'voted.'
Mutt 2.0 Release Notes
> They voted for him because he's not Donald Trump.

That’s very interesting (but not surprising) to hear. I’m in a conservative bubble, and many people I know voted for Trump because he’s not a Democrat and opposes policies of the modern Democratic Party.

There were many discussions among conservatives on how to set up criteria for what feels to many like a choice between good policy and good character — though others argue that’s a false dichotomy to begin with when most of the job in question is policy (i.e. policy is character in this case).
> Likewise this time around, nobody I have talked to seriously voted for Joe Biden on his own merits

Did you talk to the black voters in Clayton county, Atlanta or Philadelphia? Because it was them who put Biden over the line and put the election results beyond doubt.
And then Snowden provided evidence. What are you getting at here?
Yeah. It's all about getting us off our asses and into the voting booth.

I think this also explains why more partisan rhetoric wins. It gets more people mobilized, while not really hurting you with moderates. It only hurts you with people who think. Who're a tiny minority. (I'm not convinced I'm one of them.)
> white heavily-armed men intimidating or worse

Yes, BUT: this has already peaked. A long time ago. This started big a while ago and has had ever-weakening aftershocks... Oklahoma City, Waco, Charlottesville.

Now we’re at the stage of a flash Trump caravan maybe provoking a fender-bender and baseless lawsuits from a couple of NY goons.

It’s done.

The quicker people realize this the better. (They won’t realize it quickly, unfortunately. The champions of “conservative” right now are a porno-appearing, self-bragging pussy-grabber, and a bizarrely diminished former NY mayor who now unsuccessfully promotes conspiracy theories and is a punchline in a Borat movie.)
housing, education, and healthcare were cheap until the federal government got involved.

you can make an exception for healthcare because of tech improvements, but the others are true.
Little bit of a tangent, but I have adopted a novel alarm clock application called "Suntimes Alarms". This alarm clock is programmed according to an offset of solar events (for me the sunrise, but if you want something for noon or sunset that is possible). This recent DST was the smoothest transition in many years. Particularly because I was not beholden to a stringent work schedule. I was free to set my hours a bit more flexibly.
Of course you are right. It can be hard work and takes a toll on the body. I know this directly. I didn't mean to imply it was all fraud, and apologize if it came off that way.
I think that's the point of the comment you replied to. Biden did quite badly early on in the primaries, and only after a large chunk of other candidates dropped out and threw their weight behind him with endorsements that he did significantly better. In a sense, the party has made up its mind on the candidate it wants.
Won't burning Ammonia create NOx emissions? It
is not CO2, but NOx is also quite undesirable?
Yep. That's what scares me a bit - you don't want to find this out after all the endorphins and emotions solidify sides.
I find that a ton of things (such as cutlery use) that we consider western is really just wealth. You're more likely to use a cutlery if you can afford it, and for most why buy it when I have hands and bread.

Cutlery is clearly the superior way to eat many types of food. But cutlery, reusable or not, costs money.

When I travelled in eastern Europe it was common to have only spoons (for soups) and rice dishes. Meat was always eaten by hand.

Soups served with entire boiled chicken legs were common (although usually the meat was often a luxury and only bought/killed that day to respect my visit to their home).

The legs were expected to be eaten by hand and cleaned to the bone (cartilage and all). Chicken stomachs were my most hated and most commonly eaten...

In the poorest places home made bread was used in lieu of cutlery so much so that I began to make gifts of cutlery to the poorest homes I was invited to all of which they use to this day (of course the new children miss out and must eat in the old we way).

Sorry for the disjointed nature of this post I find it hard to write on a phone.
Right??
The fact that HNers are saying Biden has clear dementia is so embarrassing. At best they're mistaking his speech impediment for cognitive decline, which is a perception they should fix since it is unfair. At worst, they have fallen for falsehoods and propaganda.
We treat large companies differently from small ones all the time (antitrust, too big to fail, etc.), so I don’t see imposing extra restrictions on something where so much public discourse is happening as too extreme. If it causes smaller competitors to spring up, so much the better.

Realize that I’m not arguing that Twitter should be compelled to never flag anything. Just if they do maybe there needs to be a consistent set of laws with due process to appeal the decisions.

Here’s a thought experiment: what if say China were to acquire a majority stake in Twitter and downright forbid any disagreeable statement about Taiwan? The fact that this sale would probably not be allowed in the first place for national security reasons should give another hint that something about Twitter is unusual.

As for arguing in good faith, when do you think is a good time to have this conversation? It’s great that it worked out for good this time. Sure, let’s wait until he’s safely out of office first. But I think that’s exactly the time to think through this carefully, and not when it’s too late and these powers are used against something you agree with. History is full of examples of failing to think through long term consequences while focussing on the imminent danger.
Author here, yes this is a big problem (the biggest?), as the incentives are all wrong. As I noted in the post: "Often ... apps will have features to integrate with other apps and the wider operating system - but not so much that they become invisible. Instagram still wants you to see its logo, consume its specific content and stay within its ecosystem. Once again, the implementation and architecture are driven by economic imperatives."
N=45. Interesting idea though.
Lifelong politicians with a less-than-stellar background as attorneys are inspiring figures to you? Seriously?
Thanks for noticing. Fixed.
But this was "created for educational purposes"
> I think it's crazy that so many people voted for Trump and honestly believe he's the best person to run the country.

...out of the two options on the ballot. Which is also the only reason why so many people voted for Biden. The most mind-boggling thing from my German point of view is how little movement there is to leave the two-party system behind.
I literally have only read and listened to Trump's words the last 4 years. I don't have cable and don't watch that news.

His words speak for themself.
This has been a long-standing trend. Since Jimmy Carter each president has been less qualified than the previous, and more of a celebrity. Barack Obama hadn’t even held a state wide office for a term when he started to run for president. Bush and Reagan had at least been governors. Trump, well we’ll seen how that turned out.

The best thing I can say about biden at the moment is that he’s phenomenally unlikely to continue this cult of personality presidencies that we’ve had.
Maybe people just got bored? Maybe they don't like peace after all?

> Nearly all western thought since the last war, certainly all ‘progressive’ thought, has assumed tacitly that human beings desire nothing beyond ease, security and avoidance of pain. In such a view of life there is no room, for instance, for patriotism and the military virtues. The Socialist who finds his children playing with soldiers is usually upset, but he is never able to think of a substitute for the tin soldiers; tin pacifists somehow won’t do. Hitler, because in his own joyless mind he feels it with exceptional strength, knows that human beings don’t only want comfort, safety, short working-hours, hygiene, birth-control and, in general, common sense; they also, at least intermittently, want struggle and self-sacrifice, not to mention drums, flags and loyalty-parades.

> Whereas Socialism, and even capitalism in a more grudging way, have said to people ‘I offer you a good time,’ Hitler has said to them ‘I offer you struggle, danger and death,’ and as a result a whole nation flings itself at his feet. Perhaps later on they will get sick of it and change their minds, as at the end of the last war. After a few years of slaughter and starvation ‘Greatest happiness of the greatest number’ is a good slogan, but at this moment ‘Better an end with horror than a horror without end’ is a winner.

-Orwell
> Drug decriminalization and minimum wage increases are in the party platform already.

Crucially, though, voter support for progressive policies and for Biden did not necessarily correlate — most significantly in Florida, which Biden lost and where the state Constitution was amended to raise the minimum wage.
This is tangential, but I'm quite suprised at the personality cult that's developed around Buttigieg. It's quite small, but nonetheless impressive for someone so milquetoast. I've always dismissed him as a gay Beto O'rourke, but clearly there's something I've missed.
Faith is eroding in the American electoral process because the Democratic party has been working very hard both to undermine the process and to spread propaganda to the effect that the process is untrustworthy. [See the Russia hoax that was propagated and still believed to this day].

Take a step back, take a deep breath, and remember that issues are more complicated than "my team good, your team bad."
It's not about winning. The original motivation for the US's structure is to impede lawmaking at the highest levels unless absolutely necessary. Making laws is not making progress.
The backdoor law also affects them but I haven't noticed even the more paranoid places choosing more wisely yet.
It takes a lot of work and persistent energy to overcome a speech impediment. It will often return at times whenever that energy is sapped such as when tired, stressed, drunk, or yes even when aging. There is no evidence this is anything else.
IIRC the number of hidden units required scales exponentially in the desired approximation error.
Thank you for your thoughtful response.

> The people most in need of good policy, at the price of an acceptable nonchalance regarding a president's mere presentability - minorities - made their voices heard by voting for Trump. Every single minority demographic voted in higher numbers for Trump this election over last. The only demographic to vote for him less? White men. And that made the difference.

Can you share your source for this? (this is not a challenge, I'm genuinely interested in digging deeper into the data myself)
Explaining gravity without string theory
WIPO WCT treaty article 11 (see https://www.wipo.int/treaties/en/text.jsp?file_id=295166#P56...): Contracting Parties shall provide adequate legal protection and effective legal remedies against the circumvention of effective technological measures that are used by authors in connection with the exercise of their rights under this Treaty or the Berne Convention and that restrict acts, in respect of their works, which are not authorized by the authors concerned or permitted by law.

DIRECTIVE 2001/29/EC OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL of 22 May 2001 (see https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A...) article 6, paragraph 3: what you quoted.

RICHTLINIE 2001/29/EG DES EUROPÄISCHEN PARLAMENTS UND DES RATES vom 22. Mai 2001 (see https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/DE/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A...) Artikel 6, Paragraph 1: quote "gegen die Umgehung wirksamer technischer Maßnahmen", Paragraph 3: "Technische Maßnahmen sind als „wirksam“ anzusehen, soweit die Nutzung eines geschützten Werks oder eines sonstigen Schutzgegenstands von den Rechtsinhabern durch eine Zugangskontrolle oder einen Schutzmechanismus wie Verschlüsselung, Verzerrung oder sonstige Umwandlung des Werks oder sonstigen Schutzgegenstands oder einen Mechanismus zur Kontrolle der Vervielfältigung, die die Erreichung des Schutzziels sicherstellen, unter Kontrolle gehalten wird.

DIRECTIVE 2001/29/CE DU PARLEMENT EUROPÉEN ET DU CONSEIL du 22 mai (see 2001https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/FR/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A...) Article 1: "le contournement de toute mesure technique efficace" and "Les mesures techniques sont réputées efficaces lorsque l'utilisation d'une œuvre protégée, ou celle d'un autre objet protégé, est contrôlée par les titulaires du droit grâce à l'application d'un code d'accès ou d'un procédé de protection, tel que le cryptage, le brouillage ou toute autre transformation de l'œuvre ou de l'objet protégé ou d'un mécanisme de contrôle de copie qui atteint cet objectif de protection."

plus another 22 translations.

German national law: "Wirksame technische Maßnahmen zum Schutz eines nach diesem Gesetz geschützten Werkes", see https://www.gesetze-im-internet.de/urhg/__95a.html

Swiss national law: "wirksame technische Massnahmen", https://www.admin.ch/opc/de/classified-compilation/19920251/...

So the laws in general only apply to technical measures objectively (i.e. corresponding to the state of the art) able to protect legal rights in an effective manner. Measures which are not considered effective cannot claim legal protection.

"technological measures in effect" (as you proposed) means "technische Maßnahmen in der Tat angewandt" in German or "les mesures technologiques en vigueur" in French which is not the same as "wirksame technische Massnahmen" or "de toute mesure technique efficace" or "effective technological measures"
I am liberal who do read conservative newspapers regularly. The amount of lies in conservative papers is astonishing. Not bias, not choosing topics, but flat out lies.

I think that they see their role to push for their side and have zero ideological commitment to any semblance of anything else. Do you get sleepy Biden in clear stage of dementia, again and again.

Note that I an not claiming journals should be objective. They can't. Just that there are more lines to cross. And frankly, liberal journals do go out of their way to extend empathy to "other side" more often.
Oh that would be cool! It could stay exactly the same as the original, but larger maps and some nice netcode. Someone did the same with webliero, it's an incredibly honest reproduction of the classic dos game, except with excellent multiplayer support that has given it new life.
> Abortion is science

No, to me it is ethics!

Edit, added:
Killing an innocent child does not have anything to do with science.
I don't get why people care so much about predictions vs actual results in case of presidential elections in the US. The rules look like they were designed for maximum entertainment and sudden changes. The fact that you can win with less votes. When the other person already has 250 electors, but then on the last second you flip Florida or Pennsylvania with a few thousand votes and bam! you are the president!

That's why people love watching your elections so much. Or maybe also because of the fallout in their countries.
Biden wasn't my first choice the primaries, but if Bernie had more support he could have beaten Biden in a head-to-head race. Though I think part of the cause for this accusation is that Bernie does well among non-voters. Thinking back to 2016 Clinton clearly had more support in the primaries than Bernie, but Bernie had a lot of support from people who didn't normally vote. So it does make sense that when Bernie lost, that group didn't feel represented by the democratic party.
I prefer candidates that don't think they understand technology.

Thinking you understand technology seems to reliably lead to overconfidence. That's better left to advisers, who then have their advice filter by people who are sceptical of things that aren't tried and true and well understood on the holistic basis of actual use in practice.
Voting is by name and election is by the Electoral College. The indirection remains.

No, House impeachment and Senate trial do not require a serious or indeed any crime. Impeachment is entirely a political matter akin to losing a confidence vote. It carries no penalty besides removal from office. Serious crimes and misdemeanors is not specified and drunkenness has been used (although it was around 1800 or so).
> Why? Because Joe Biden was a pedophile whose son f~~ked underage Chinese children and took money from a Ukranian dictator to influence US policy.

In other words, voting for Trump because "samy is my hero." :)

Could there be a class action lawsuit against the various companies whose recommendation engines hijacked people's attention to recommend and reinforce this garbage?

Edit: clarification
>One of the big reasons for voting Trump was standing up against this propaganda machine, lies, censorship and intimidation. 70M people thankfully did just that, which gives hope in the future of this country.

I'm not from the US, nor do I live there. As an outsider looking in I felt Trump and all his crazy ramblings to be a real fall from grace for America. I felt very much like "wow, America has really lost its way electing this guy".
A couple of ideas: (1) Centrism is situational. One might think that the status quo is objectively reasonably close to the ideal, in terms of the general way society is arranged even if there are many imperfections. (2) Centrism is technocratic. If you don't favour a lurch to the left or right, it would make sense to want efficient improvements to how things are run - accepting good ideas regardless of which area of the political compass they come from, bipartisan support for policies on their merits.

Based on the above, centrism (and indeed, being centre-left or centre-right) seems viable as a real belief that people can hold, not some strategy to appear above it all for social benefit, or as a stratagem used by someone actually highly partisan. A centrist's goals could be directly met by encouraging trial of different ideas across the political spectrum, and consistent meta-level rules rather than tribalist thinking. Trying to rise above the bunfighting isn't the benefit of centrist views, it's a necessity to enable the things they want to achieve.
While I don‘t disagree about the split between countries being off, I always questioned the notion of other countries needing to spend more. Why shouldn‘t we all spend less instead?

Compared to almost any non-superpower status nation, the US Defense budget is strictly insane.

If they had just shifted a third of that budget towards education under early Obama, I doubt Trump could ever have come this far.
Everyone is bad at probability and statistical distributions, not just you. The problem with modeling elections is that there are so few of them and the data is very noisy and until quite recently rather suspect. Let's not pretend that this was a normal election, either in the candidates running or in the manner in which the campaign and election was conducted.

As to the question of why bother, it is because bad polling is better than no polling at all. Campaigns are now multi billion dollar enterprises managing tens of thousands of temporary employees for the creation of a product that will only be sold once and in 18+ months from when they start the process. Any data is better than nothing.

The fact that the public has become obsessed with polls is probably due to the ongoing nationalization of politics.