skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
If he doesn't like it Trump can start his own site where he can say whatever he wants. There's no reason Twitter can't moderate his posts however they see fit, and in fact his position as elected official shielded him from most normal consequences of his behavior.

Consider how judges around the country have responded to his campaign's legal filings, it's not like Twitter was out on a limb here.
GNOME? Wayland?
Trump is making blatant baseless claims and accusations. That gets you a Twitter timeout. Other people receive similar treatment. (Congresswoman Majorie Taylor Greene’s Twitter page is entirely censored because all she does is spread QAnon conspiracy theories.) The solution is to just stop spreading disinformation.
Yes, Trump performance decreasing as mail-in votes were counted was predicted. But people also predicted a lot more of a margin for Biden than actually appeared, and if we had had those margins the races currently under contention would not be. Sure, PA might still be waiting on another 100k mail-in votes - but if Biden was 300k in the lead, no one would really care.

49.7% to 49.2% is a HELL of a lot closer than the D+6 projections I saw.
I really want to know what went wrong with the polls (again). Shy Trump voter doesn’t explain how wrong the polls were about Graham or Collins, outside of even the margin of error.

Accurate polls are important to running campaigns and to legislative positions. Selzer got her polls right in Iowa and she posited that she knew the local electorate better than other pollsters so she weighted correctly. Maybe Trafalgar Group has a better method or maybe it just weights GOP voters more heavily (we don’t know, it won’t disclose its methods). Or maybe Trump just breaks polling and the polls will be fine next time. Whatever the reason, I’d like to know, but I’m not sure we ever will.
Install syncthing on your phone and use it to safely get photos out.
"Disagreements" and "antidemocratic" aren't mutually exclusive categories.
What you're saying is that any result with a non-zero chance of happening should be unsurprising to us, because it was still in the realm of possibility? If that's the case, what use are polls? What makes an election forecast based on polls more valuable than a coin flip?
This almost certainly makes him a one term President. Harris is the one to watch for 2024.
There was zero chance they'd have nominated Trump in 2016 too, at first. Maybe it's hard to remember what a joke he was at the beginning, and even through most of the campaign. I'd say the chances are much higher than zero that the pro-Trump base would win him the nomination again if he ran. It's easy to imagine him pulling media stunts for the next 4 years in preparation for just that.
thy are calculating turnout improperly.

Historical data uses votes/voting eligible population

The 90% number comes from votes/registered voters.

If you calculate turnout the way wisconsin has historically done it, turnout is in line with past elections.
"Harsh" is very relative. I would be very surprised to see anyone caught using drugs for the first time, or even the 3rd time, not just getting a fine unless they're in possession of a larger quantity. The maximum sentence is 3 years, which I would assume would require a substantial criminal record.
It’s tantalizing and, in my opinion, overtly political that the Washington Post uses the phrase “enforce segregation” here. This similar story from Reuters says “separate”:

https://mobile.reuters.com/article/BigStory12/idUSKBN27N030
It's more nuanced than that. Gore wanted some select counties recounted, bush wanted no counties recounted, but if there was going to be a rexound then bush wanted the whole state recounted. In the end the SCbrules that the 14th amendment said that including votes with "hanging Chad's" and other clear intent required the whole state to be recounted. Gore conceeded because there wasn't enough time and he believed that a whole state recount wouldn't have favored him in the end. History reflects that it may have been a bad strategy for Gore to try and recount just some counties because he may well have won if he argued for a state wide recount from the beginning.
Your premise is wrong. Twitter's actions weren't as a result of something it disagreed with. Your comment/thought illustrates one of the REAL root problems ... and that is we are living in a state of two apparent states of "factual reality". Unfortunately this is not possible. There is only one set of facts. Until we can return to that, we will be repeating similar scenarios.

In other words, there is nothing inappropriate about Twitter putting disclaimers on objectively factually incorrect statements.
I think it was just a google sheet. This obviously goes against google's policies about doxxing.
It’s only curious because you and the author misunderstand the data.
It seems like every ergo keyboard I've looked at has something about the layout that turns me off. The keyboard mentioned in this post has no arrow keys. The keyboard you linked to seems to lack volume keys but has dedicated cut, paste, copy keys.

I know everyone makes a big deal over key switches, but that's not something I've ever felt strongly about.

I really wish I could find an old MS Natural keyboard without the number pad. It would be great if the sides were fully separated, but that's less important to me. I've been using the MS Sculpt for a couple years now, and even after all that time I find my muscle memory is still calibrated to the old MS natural.
In just about every model, but let's use 538 as the canonical example, there was a reasonable chance for the Dems to lose seats but a very, very low chance they would lose control. We are looking at a two or three standard deviation variance from expectations for loss of control but losing seats was well within the range of outcomes that should have surprised no one.
It's only ergonomic if you've never done REST before.

I'm not being flippant. If you're already using REST tools such as Postman and every caching tool in existence (browser, http proxy, etc. etc.) then GraphQL tossing it all out is the exact opposite of "ergonomic."

The caching story in GraphQL is a joke. What the browser gives you for free with GET caching takes weeks and months of fine-tuning and tweaking and head scratching with something like Apollo. Then you'll probably try decreasing the payload size (there's a third-party solution for this), or batching requests together (guess what... there is a third-party solution for this too). The amount of tooling and implementation work GraphQL needs to get up to par with built-in REST is pretty incredible.
That is a depraved level of disingenuousness.
The clause only applies to certain email. Applicable? "The term “commercial electronic mail message” means any electronic mail message the primary purpose of which is the commercial advertisement or promotion of a commercial product or service". Probably not.
> and maintained control of the Senate.

That's kind-of true. They've definitely maintained it through the end of the Trump Administration, since when the Senate convenes it will be 48-48 with two vacancies to be settled by runoffs two days later, and Pence will still be VP. But as of January 21, the outcome of the two Georgia runoffs will decide the balance of the Senate.

> The fact that the presidential race is close enough to still be under contention days after election night

It's not particularly close, it just has an unusually hard to project due to the pattern of vote counts resulting from one candidate urging voters not to vote by mail-in ballots, large mail-in vote totals, and the timing of mail-in ballot counts vs. counts of in-person ballots in various states. Both by popular and electoral votes, it's going to be less close than the average election of the 2000s.

“Easy to project the winner” and “close” are generally correlated, but fundamentally different, qualities, and this is a case where the usual relationship between them did not hold.
>The reason is Excel.

I've thought about that and it seems plausible but I'm not fully convinced.

As another example, Google Sheets does not blindly copy Excel behavior of converting scientific gene names into a date. Excerpt from paper[1]:

> To date, there is no way to permanently deactivate automatic conversion to dates in MS Excel and other spreadsheet software such as LibreOffice Calc or Apache OpenOffice Calc. We note, however, that the spreadsheet program Google Sheets did not convert any gene names to dates or numbers when typed or pasted; notably, when these sheets were later reopened with Excel, LibreOffice Calc or OpenOffice Calc, gene symbols such as SEPT1 and MARCH1 were protected from date conversion.

There are several Excel behaviors that alternative software don't copy. But for some reason, the leading zero removal in csv import has stuck as a default even though it has repeated complaints and generates very similar Q&A in other software packages. (Why copy a behavior that makes you have to answer identical frustrated questions from users wanting to preserve leading zeros?!? Do programmers of LibreOffice/Google/Pandas all like inflicting pain on their users?!?)

Maybe another reason is that other industries or workflows depend on leading zero removal but we never hear from them praising it. Therefore, we're distorted by a biased subset that only complains loudly about it.

[1] https://genomebiology.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s13...
Well they have the platform, so they have the power. But more substantively: by applying universal norms such as "lying is wrong" they don't have to make moral judgments, just factual evaluations.
I don’t get the age concerns. He’s only 3 years older than Trump.
It's not just Twitter, it's the media in general. When I watch CNBC, and they decide to stop airing the President's presser because he's lying, that says to me that the media believes that they should do the thinking for me. That says a lot about how they view the public.

We're building a world where "think for yourself" means "defer your thinking to Trusted Sources™", which is not a world that I support.

EDIT>> s/CNN/CNBC
The story about Hunter Biden wasn’t anti-Democratic. Tabloid fodder, but not anti-Democratic.
Although there are possible scenarios where enough ballots would be disqualified, there are scenarios beyond that. Legislatures don't necessarily have to certify the result. Electoral Count Act and Bush v. Gore seem to suggest that state legislatures can in fact do as they please despite state law suggesting otherwise. And all of the heavily disputed states have Republican legislatures.

Given an electoral dispute it could be decided by house delegations which gives Republicans an edge.
Drugs are already highly available. The availability of legal drugs would result in reduced medical complications due to increased regulation on supply side. Caffeine, etc has some small statistical probability of triggering a heart issues which is the most common cause of death - from a nationalized health cost perspective this is not negligible. If you consider quality of life as the metric rather than death then low nutrition food is probably worse than caffeine, etc.
This is why they now wait until polls are closed.
edits on wikipedia are not representative of the entire organization, and another important thing to note, is that neither are the edits permanent, just like in this case, the reference to Joe is gone, it was undone.
Speaking as an 80s child that conclusion is excellent!
Fun fact, its not that hard to block those sensors and still use the phone... This sort of servile apathy is pathetic to me.
Trump did better in the election than predicted, and he has a very solid base. Without Covid the outcome might have been different.

That being said, I hope that you are right.
The biggest factor in Florida is that the ballot marking system that Florida used at that time was extremely prone to failure, especially with regards to machine reading of ballots (which itself could cause an apparent mark on the ballot!). This means that trying to divine whether or not a ballot recorded an intent to vote for a candidate can be subjective and depends on the exact standard you want to use, which Florida didn't specify (and the Florida Supreme Court ruled was ultimately too vague).

Since 2000, most states have switched to optical scan ballots as their paper records. These ballots have much lower error rates, closer to 1 error per million votes. I don't think there's been a single race using optical scan ballots where a recount actually caused a winner to switch.
My eye twitches every time I see a keyboard with staggered rows given the "ergonomic" classification.

EDIT: Row stagger explained here: https://deskthority.net/wiki/Staggering
Certain stances also carry more political risk than others. For example, if you openly want to make small changes to social welfare programs that make them more sustainable -- the kind of changes that would be a part of negotiations on any social welfare reform bill anyway -- you'll get crushed by ads saying you want to destroy social welfare.

It's the same with drug policy. On an individual level, most voters would probably understand drug policy liberalization if you sat down with them and showed them data around how it affects use, recidivism, et cetera. But if you vocalize support for it, you'll be risking your opponent taking a soundbyte and turning it into an ad for how you're soft on crime and you want to let dangerous criminals out of prison. So unless you have a lot of politicians in safe seats, or voters have had a lot of time to learn the nuance around these issues, it's a risky undertaking.
They didn't dictate what was "right and what was wrong". The put disclaimers on objectively factually false statements.
I would easily have rather have Trump and Democrat super-majorities in both houses.

(Not even counting one can just impeach Trump successfully.)
Let the country break into two peacefully, before it will done by force, violently.
I don't know that the /worst/ time to start a conversation about ending the practice of voting for office is when you're losing an elected office, but it's pretty bad.
Compromised as a result of aggressive and targeting foreign influence. Social engineering sponsored by state-level actors.

Democrats weren't claiming massive voter fraud was occurring and that it robbed them of the election and refused to concede as as result.

In fact, the one person very loudly crying about voter fraud in 2016 was the same person doing it now. Donald Trump, unhappy at losing the popular vote, claimed and continues to claim that the only reason he failed to secure the popular vote was due to massive voter fraud.
Probably not as much as this:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M1REAL
I'd love for GTA to go back to London (i.e. expansion packs for the first GTA). I'm ready to explore somewhere other than Liberty City, Vice City, or San Andreas, especially since the last one excluded a lot of areas from the original San Andreas.
Or in small claims court. There are still folks collecting around $500 per violation.
That's a hyper partisan view of a much more complicated situation. In Pennsylvania, for example, the Republican legislature passed laws allowing early counting, which was blocked by the Democratic governor because it limited acceptance of ballots after the election. You can argue the merits of either side, but it isn't sabotage or subterfuge.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/pennsylvania-counting-votes-...
Many things in life and in politics are not a case of “good” vs “bad” but of “bad” vs “worse”. I think it’s quite acceptable to think that legalisation might be the least worst policy there is even for hard drugs. Yes it will have negative effects but they may be less bad on aggregate than the alternative.

The same may well be true for the other examples you cite (I tend to personally believe not but it doesn’t mean it’s not a balancing act or that I’m right) - but I suspect that a lot of these things are also all likely to have quite a lot of local situational differences in determining which is worse.
That I totally agree. Twitter is a private company, after all. In the meantime, Twitter is editorializing, and they should not enjoy Section 230.
Can we not disagree about the value of democracy?
I'm so glad it's stinking over. I might even read non-tech news again.
> I am what I consider a good faith conservative

> I don't know anyone that is claiming "widespread" voter fraud

This makes it very hard for me to take your claim of good faith seriously. Yes, perhaps the exact word "widespread" did not come out of Donald Trump's mouth, but there can be no doubt in anyone's mind (if they are indeed dealing in good faith) that Donald Trump has in fact been consistently and emphatically -- and, most important, falsely -- alleging wide spread voter fraud. Try doing a web search for "trump claims wide spread voter fraud" if you don't believe me.
The article does cite how early VCs seek the legal fees because charging the funds might “mis-align incentives.” Could be phrased many ways, but evidently the fee burden is very much a power issue between VCs and investors, if not founders and VCs.
I rather they would recommend cloudready (identical to chromeOS).
Well, the Republican legislature apparently discussed with the whitehouse about ignoring the popular vote and appointing electors for Trump (and was willing to talk about this on record)

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/11/what-if...

So apparently the strategy was to make the vote counting look suspicious enough that it would give cover for essentially a coup.
Him conceding or not doesn't change anything. At worst the secret service will drag him out of the residence at 12PM 1/20
> USA sets an example for other Western countries

This is what we really need to fix.
If the 'outsider' does nothing but lie, threaten, and harass opponents then I think Twitter will continue to do it job and suppress the assholes. If you happen to be a political ally of the asshole then I guess it sucks to be you.
Its fascinating. I'd never think the most important person in the world would have their tweets hidden. I'm quite impressed with how they did it. Though if I really liked Trump I could feel hard done by.

If you haven't see its worth a look. https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump
I've always felt that the Trump presidency served as an effective form of "Chaos Engineering". Regardless of your views of Trump's politics, his administration and method of leadership has exposed a lot of flaws in how our government has been designed and engineered.

The postmortem of the last 4 years should be analyzed deeply in order to identify the weak points in the infrastructure of our government in order to make improvements.

Trump has been a very effective chaos monkey.
Jira on premises end of life starts feb 2021
If said candidate was also challenging the existing power structures in this country, they would.
I googled it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grover_Cleveland
Only Grover Cleveland.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grover_Cleveland
Yes, Grover Cleveland

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grover_Cleveland
It wasn't right/wrong, it was true/false.

There's a case to be made that Twitter has taken on some of the old role of the press by calling out obviously factually incorrect statements.

I'm all for this. But I'd like to see it formalised in law with criminal penalties for anyone, in any position of public influence, who wilfully tries to mislead the public.
So is telling the public that there was massive fraud in all the states you lost and refusing to admit defeat!
Moreover, some GOP-controlled counties in PA decided to not count mail-in ballots on election day either (they were allowed to start when polls open) and instead saved them all for the following day and beyond.
This is Twitter as a company and the people running it choosing what they feel is right or wrong. We can endlessly argue if they should do it, but it is well within their rights to do so anyway.
we can not look at Trump as a single element, its part of a larger ecosystem, across the globe, propelled by heavy polarization, digital illiteracy and echo chambers.
Statements fall on a spectrum between pure opinion and incontrovertible, undisputed fact. Somewhere along there is a threshold where it's no longer about agreeing with something.

I'd say it's impossible to do a perfect job of finding that threshold, but I think Twitter has done a decent job of it with Trump's tweets.

But yes, as it stands right now, it is in their hands and we are relying on them to do a good job of it when they decide to.
2000 also had the "hanging chads" issue and confusing ballots that potentially caused people to choose a different candidate from what they wanted.
Meh, trump's gonna whine democrats stole the election, media is constantly talk about him for next 4 years, he will win again in 2024 and nothing is going to change. Meanwhile climate change, economy and social media nonsensence will keep getting worse, why ? because nobody wants to really fight for the little guy.
Is that attributation problem applicable to B2B where most buying decisions are well considered, unlike B2C ?

So the best you can do via ads is to show your offer to the right guy, and that's enough to be considered ?
You're right, I wasn't thinking when I lumped in FTL there.
I know they were within the margin of error, but the polls were all systematically within the margin of error in the same direction. Did a single poll that was wrong predict at GOP win and end up a Democratic win?
The time to drop that support is long passed. UTF-8 has won, the value of pandering to these ancient codepages versus the cost of choking and displaying mojibake just because someone dared to add a kanji character to a CSV should be clear by now.
The democrats spent the last 4 years saying Trump stole the election by colluding with Russia, and twitter didn't take any of that down.
He didn't allege massive fraud in all the states he lost. There are severe irregularities that have been recorded in many different areas within certain swing states.

He has no obligation to admit defeat until the electors vote on the President in mid December.

Another morally depraved take.
It is Important to note that this is not the official result.

It is 99.99% correct call but it is not the official result.

Unless DJT does the sportsmen like thing and concedes.

Given Hillary had told not to call concede under any circumstances DJT will probably not either.

It will be a totally unnecessary mess.
> pressure your red representatives to stop demonizing mail-in/advance voting, and stop destroying the postal system

I don't see why expressing concerns about postal voting would necessarily be a partisan thing. Don't the TWO major political blocks want a fair process? Perhaps everyone?

...especially in light of evidence of documented cases. Here is a sample query for: "Fraudulent Use of Absentee Ballots which resulted in a criminal conviction" (with results ruled as recently as 2020):

https://www.heritage.org/voterfraud/search?combine=&state=Al...

The result set doesn't include "Duplicate voting", "Impersonation", "Altering the vote count", which are separate criteria (relevant to mention because they are part of the ongoing allegations).
...government
Your coin flip analogy is spot on. But instead of a 1 in 2 probability, Trump had a 1 in 10 probability of winning. We knew this probability precisely because of polling data (and historical error).

This wasn’t some rare weird outcome. This was probably a standard deviation or so closer to Trump in a forecast. Perfectly normal thing to happen.
This kind of bullying (from either side) leads directly to war.

“The First Amendment is first for a reason. Second Amendment is just in case the First one doesn't work out.”

- Chappelle
The votes for Biden are endless. I've been watching TV and that much is clear. Just when you think they're done. More is to come. He must keep them in his crypt somewhere.
Apparently advocating for the US to separate into two countries peacefully is against HN rules, who knew.