skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
If I know something about the scientific process its because I try to use it in my personal life. This is to say, I try to be aware of my assumptions, to be clear about the distinction over what I know and what I believe. For myself, I am trying to uncover the truth of our experience in this life.

I think we will probably agree that there are all sorts of problems with science and the scientific process. And that's fine. If should be about putting the best hypothesis forward, trying to edge closer to the truth.

But, the system we have cannot do that. It is funded by corporate interests, that cannot in good faith to their shareholders, present information that may be to the benefit of mankind, if its not in their financial interests. I think that's pretty clear.

Given all that, it does rile me that there are so man science fan boys, that scoff at religion, while acting as if science has the answers. As if they aren't in a state of religious belief! And that they feel they dismiss a piece of anecdotal experience from a real individual, as it wasn't proper science!

Anyway, I'm sorry this wasn't fun, nor eye-opening for you. But at least it was real!
I don't think much of evgen's unreasonable personal attack. But 538 isn't necessarily claiming that the per-state error will be normally distributed around their predictions.

I don't know the specifics of their model, but probably they are claiming "with these polls, the probability of this outcome is...". The polls being consistently biased doesn't tell us much about 538s model. They said Biden would almost surely win and despite a massive surprise in favour of Trump, Biden won.

And even if Biden lost, 10% upsets in presidential are expected to happen once every 10 elections like this one.
I think you answered yourself already.

> I noticed I had set up impossibly high expectations for my life and because of that, everything I accomplished always felt like it was nothing or it felt like it was something already expected for me to accomplish

That’s a great start.

> I also don't feel prepared to move to another country to join a big company (I want to work at MS someday lol).

Go for it! My personal opinion is working in a smaller company is lot more fun. MS or FAANGs are more like chasing Ivy League school for grownups. Having been there and done that I don’t see the allure anymore.

> I also feel locked into a path which I don't enjoy much anymore. While I want to work as a researcher, to learn more and make use of all I've learned until now, I want to try other things related to computers.

Change it! If I quote Oh the Places You’ll Go by Dr. Seuss you’re right now in a waiting place and you already know the steps you want to take. Now let’s start taking baby steps towards that.
Weren't the Democrats trying to craft a new aid package for the "dark winter"? I thought they were simply blocked by the Whitehouse/Senate who probably didn't see cooperation on this as beneficial to their election prospects... and a Whitehouse that couldn't seem to make up its mind on the issue.

I agree establishment leadership is skeptical of more progressive policies, probably not for philosophical reasons but for a more cynical calculations that support isn't good for their political prospects.
Wasn't it streamed by the White House itself as well?

Should every TV station be required to air every public servant's statements? Surely going to the source isn't too big of a burden for most.
I think of the Hunter Biden laptop story as being a lame Swiftboating slimy character assassination that isn't exactly a new thing in politics. Qanon is a different beast altogether because it stokes this really paranoid "they're all against you" mentality that a large portion of the population seems to have been increasingly susceptible to in recent years.
Are you saying any of the above policy shifts (NK, CN, Mideast) have opened the floodgates on something bad relative to the preceding policies? Or is this just a theoretical point? At worst they’ve done nothing (NK). I can cite several overdue improvements in Mideast and China policy though.

By “we” I mean the United States, and by real change by last several admins, I’m of course referring to attempts to break the stalemate between Israel and the other ME nations after the wars (six years, etc), not world wars. Necessarily time-bound. Not sure what Romans have to do with this unless you’re making a point about futility? The Romans certainly impacted the near East for hundreds of years, right?
I just want to mention that what I like about Spotify is I dont have to bother figuring this kind of thing out, because it provides music I want to listen to at a price that is completely reasonable.
They certainly never indicted anyone for it.
An elected government seizing private property is not democratic in any way, sense or form, IMO.
You can start with these two:

- First Step Act [0]

- Platinum Plan for Black America [1]

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Step_Act

[1] https://cdn.donaldjtrump.com/public-files/press_assets/presi...
It is probably to mistake to lump together different minority groups as I imagine the issues that move them are very diverse.

I am not sure that the increases say much about Trump's actual policies outside of his stance on shutdowns and Covid which has had a tremendous negative effect on the Economy.

I think a certain segment of the population probably saw Biden as too much of an insider who will deliver more of the same.
I think we now have a propaganda apparatus that folks in the past could not even have dreamt of. I fear that this will take us to a very dark place.
> But someone else could have pretty easily just voted twice.

No they could not have. Every vote is checked off against the voter registration rolls. The Board of Elections knows when you have voted. You should volunteer for your local board of elections next election. Maybe it will give you more confidence in the system.

To vote get excess votes, you have to first commit voter registration fraud or vote for people you know will not vote. And you have to do it in large enough numbers to make a difference. And you have to assume only one party engages in fraud. Also, it’s a felony to commit voter fraud.

Voter ID is an attempt to fix a problem that doesn’t exist in the real world. Meanwhile, it suppresses votes.

There’s a large amount of “cure” work that’s occurring right now by both parties throughout the country because of votes that weren’t counted due to all sorts of innocuous mistakes people make. It’s thousands of ballots in some places. Meanwhile fraud? There’s no there there.

My brother helped to cure ballots in Florida because people forgot a signature. Someone has to go to their house and get them to sign an affidavit that they voted.

There’s cure efforts in NC for provisional ballots for things like the DMV failing to forward a registration to the Board of Elections. Or someone who voted in the wrong precinct by accident.

These are all valid votes that won’t be counted due to a mistake by the voter unless someone contacts them and helps them to provide the documentation necessary to the BOE to validate their vote.

Stop spouting nonsense about fraud and volunteer for your local election board or your party.
> Now imagine they used MIT instead, cloud vendors could rip them off without any contributions back.

Plausible used to be MIT, and exactly this happened to them.
Get this political crap off from HN... The amount of US meddling in other countries elections the whole world should decide the faith of the US.
Confluence cloud is very similar experience. Page starts loading. You start reading. Content starts jumping.

I did attempt to inspect some traffic on jira and confluence, and I suspect this is a symptom of micro frontends gone too far.
Because you say so?
I almost always for an Nth party, where N>2. Literally every single election, I’ve been told that I was wasting my vote, that this was the most important election of my life, etc. There is a tremendous amount of social pressure to vote mainstream. I don’t have high hopes of breaking the cartel anytime soon.
Yeah I meant even if it does fail open such that you could hack it to keep using it, doing so would definitely violate the license.
Materialism. The culture gets what it values.
But your money rarely makes it to the artists. Or worse, as an artist they just rip your music off.
Takeaways from fintech VC in Q3 2020
Stop trying to both sides the idea there is a pedophile ring of shadowy Democrats that actually control the government and the fact that Russia interfered and ran misinformation campaigns to influence the election.

You can argue about how effective you think those campaigns were in their influence but you're just trying to muddy the conversation if you are trying to make them out to be equivalently valid or equivalently ridiculous.
https://www.bbc.com/news/amp/world-us-canada-53858940

>According to a transcript of a press conference on 15 August, President Trump did say - when asked about the presence of neo-Nazis at the rally - "you had some very bad people in that group, but you also had people that were very fine people, on both sides."

During the same press conference, Mr Trump went on to say "I'm not talking about the neo-Nazis and the white nationalists, because they should be condemned totally."
Are you saying we need even more education than what doctors currently attain?

Or are you agreeing with my underlying point that education doesn't matter and won't help here?
A friendly minor correction - a resilver is only when a drive is replaced, the periodic checksum check is a scrub in ZFS parlance.
Artificial intelligence and Covid-19: Can the machines save us?
I do have some hope that the more extreme conspiracies pass in time and don’t permanently damage the psyche of those involved. Growing up in the Bible Belt during the Satanic Panic, I was legit afraid of being caught and sacrificed by satanists after a friend’s dad had us watch a movie about the “Pagan Invasion”. Satanists out to kidnap kids for ritual sacrifice was a Big Fucking Deal that many people actually believed —- Paradise Lost is a good documentary from that wave of hysteria.

I know of very few people that are terrified of satanists any longer.
> For instance if black men who support Republicans very grudgingly (enough not to vote say) are swept up in a broader wash of getting all black men to vote more, you’d see that pattern

Why? There is no reason for this assertion. There are equally likely begrudging black democrats, and higher turnout doesn't necessarily lean towards a side. You'd expect higher numbers in equal proportions on both sides, all else being equal.

> Another reading of the data is that these were votes against Biden/Harris or protest votes against the Democratic party for their lack of more aggressive action on racial justice

Yes. Away from Biden is functionally equivalent to towards Trump if that's how the votes were placed. That's saying what I'm saying, in part
The scariest things in the universe are black holes – and here are reasons
I think it's a liability in that the democrats best shot at the presidency are candidates that have progressive credentials without being too progressive themselves.

Kamala is very progressive in a way that's a huge liability in the general, but because she's a prosecutor she doesn't get as much credit as she should in the primary. And I think in that sense it can be a liability.
Because then you have to charge the battery.

Terminal voltage matters too; higher voltage is required to deliver more power. 3.7V into 4 ohm limits you to under a watt. So many systems have a boost converter in there too - which is a potential source of electrical noise.

You could certainly have a stack of 18650 cells do the job if you want a portable boombox...
People want to own residential units. Ownership is and should be more expensive than occupancy.

A residential unit also needs power, sewer, water, schools, fire dept, police dept, parks and recreation, sanitation and other services, transportation, commerce, infrastructure and roads. And staff to run all this. Building up vertically on a x30 multiplier doesn’t mean that city can provide all the services and access resources to service the multiplier effect of said parcel of land. This is why high density cities end up being unaffordable.

If high density cities are built up to accommodate more affordable homes and below market value homes, the residents effectively pay negative taxes by benefitting more from the city than they pay in as taxes. The math doesn’t work out. If it did, we would have more townships with high density as well as affordability..and cost of living going down. But in my observation,such things never happen. At least from the data I had collated from Bay Area cities. I would love to be proved wrong.

The only way..as I see it..high density home ownership can be feasible is if we have clustered communities between 150-300 households and each of the homes comes with assured employment. It’s closer to ‘company towns’ or military townships.
You might check out this related comment before jumping ship:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25020778
he was never anyone's president. it's been 4 years of "never trump"
>"Do you think the everyday altruism displayed by people are exceptions"

Not exceptions but ratio of altruistic vs self-centric actions would be I think less than 1%. That is based on my life time experience. Maybe somebody else has better one.

As for the world being a sad place: well it is. The amount of people in need is staggering.
In my experience, it is easy to eat just the necessary as long as you restrict carbohydrates. Low fat is high sugar, which completely makes me feel like crap. I prefer pork belly.
Yes, but it could also be a single program with commands. I think Jeff Raskin talked about something like this with Archy. You could also think about the emacs paradigm extended to non-textual objects (to me emacs is like a lisp machine tuned to work with text)
Yes, I believe the main thing that’s changed over the years is the switching speed. IIRC that’s due to geranium transistors?
So much of this advice applies to programming too.

Read, analyze and write lots of code.

Don't be too concerned with the latest fads
This is the sort of flawed analysis that has likely plagued Democratic strategists and resulted in the party being so needlessly impotent over the past few decades. It doesn’t account for the (problematic) winner-take-all mechanics of the electoral college. Furthermore, according to Gallup in its most recent poll on the issue, 36% of the electorate is independent.
Which person should apologize?
You wouldn't need to.

JIRA Server licenses are perpetual. You only pay if you want upgrades.

I've seen companies running JIRA from 2009.
I addressed both of these points in my comment.

Protesting the removal of a statue commemorating Robert e Lee is fundamentally racist, Trump defending this is racist. Equivocating it with Washington is an absurd statement that lacks any historical context or nuance.

And again Trump the thinking that it’s okay to protest and give support to Neo nazis by protesting with them, is a racist incredibly privileged stance to take. How do you watch this speech and come away thinking Trump is not racist here?

I will fully agree that tearing down a statue of Ulysses Grant is ridiculous. But Robert E Lee was a man who was willing to lead a nation into a civil war for the right to own black people. And Trump thinks the people who want a statue to this man to commemorate him are very fine people?
If you read further the author says

"I’ve been advocating the abolition of the police for years"

"We don’t want to just close police departments"

"People like me who want to abolish prisons and police"
The gas tax hasn’t covered the cost of road maintenance since the 80s.
Just a way of storing hydrogen, as if that was a solved problem.

Hydrogen liquefaction is less than 50% energy efficient. Haber-Bosch compares favorably to that.
Yes, and? I wasn't trying to argue that Trump is better! I'm trying to argue that Biden is woefully insufficient.
Remember the little game of chicken and insults over Twitter with Kim Jong Un, that ended up with Donald Trump giving everything Kim Jong Un wanted, because he's an artist of "the deal"? (Trump did get a lovely letter in a giant envelope and swooned about it, remember?)

How do you only worry about what you read about Biden and his record on wars, where you even bloody admit that you're not really concerned about "his family benefiting from it", and IGNORE everything else that should worry you? Like a denial of the reality of the actual virus killing Americans (1 website says at the moment more than 243000 dead, that's like having a 9/11 number of deaths, followed by a 9/12, a 9/13, with two towers and 4 planes crashing every day all the way past Thanksgiving, with the latest being 2 more planes smashing into 2 more WTC-sized towers on a 12/1/2001...).

Let me try to answer why I think that is: you like Trump, for whatever reason (maybe you're racist, maybe you're brainwashed by Fox to think Biden is the devil), and you looked for a justification for liking him, and you found one when you read about him "profiteering from war". Good enough for you, everything else is irrelevant.
Not really. The blocks change, especially in close elections without true winners. Then negotiations happen and smaller parties often make concessions on the grand scheme of things to get their key issues through.

So, much more compromise than division. This comes back to the voters also. On every divisive topic you have a number of viewpoints instead of two polar opposites.
Please read what I actually said.

Thank you.
A requirement to eating with modesty is to lift your pinkie.
> It seems that the supreme court disagreed with that idea when they decided that a company cannot be forced to sell a cake to a gay couple.

That is not what the Supreme Court decided. The only decision they made was that the Colorado Civil Rights Commission didn't apply religious neutrality to the case, and reversed the Commission's decision[1].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Masterpiece_Cakeshop_v._Colora...
Zoom and Skype calls can leak your password – what to do
The Trouble with Words We’ve Read but Not Heard
You're right it definitely wasn't tumultuous sweety.
No, but the reason is less important than the pros of this outcome.

Would you condemn a man who saved a child from a burning building because he wanted his 15 minutes of fame and not because it was the right thing to do?

I'm deliberately using a hyperbole to emphasize a point, but there's also a much more recent example of statue destruction: ISIS has destroyed a lot of statues. Is this the company one should keep?

Note that when statue destruction is normalized, broken windows theory kicks in and statues of prominent black civil rights activists[0], Lincoln, Mahatma Gandhi[1], etc. get vandalized as well. I think very few people would agree that Gandhi (I'm not a scholar of history, but I've seen many people referencing him as arguably one of the most virtuous people ever) deserved this.

[0] https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/07/16/freder...

[1] https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/jun/11/twelve-stat...
Also so students are at school before parents need to be at work. School is child care for a lot of parents.
Facebook's 3D Model of Human from 1 Photo
How do you determine what is misinfo and what isn’t? Honest question.
I would chime in with that's the entire point, another 8 years of Obama-esque policy.
> "nepotism with his children is bad, but nepotism with the democrats children is fine."

Do you seriously believe that Biden as president will appoint his children as senior advisers and put his son-in-law in charge of everything from Middle East to Covid-19 response?

If not, then you can't argue that it's the same nepotism on both sides. It's clearly been much worse with the Trumps.
...coupled with a wide path of respect and influence. It makes them powerful in both good and bad situations
It's a parasite that lives inside the cells of the host (if you can call it a parasite)
If 2PB SSD is not exotic pricing.. I’m glad I can work with off the shelf stuff.
> This includes platforms to stream games from users local PC to clients

Steam Link seems to do that just fine: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/steam-link/id1246969117

And Rainway also as you note: https://rainway.com/ios/
it comes almost from an angle of "not enough empathy" and painting individualism as a byproduct of broader narcissism complex

america want to succeed but only if every moral decision is followed. realistically this is almost never enforced and people act amorally all the time even if doing so somewhat altruistically
If you thought the Trump presidency was bad, wait till you see Trump News or Trump TV.
Do you know the QAnon stuff? It's on a different scale, more in-line with scientology:

> QAnon's adherents, while seeing Trump as a flawed Christian, also view him as a messiah sent by God.

> there is a worldwide cabal of Satan-worshiping pedophiles who rule the world, essentially, and they control everything

> Followers of QAnon also believe that there is an imminent event known as "The Storm", when thousands of members of the cabal will be arrested and possibly sent to Guantanamo Bay prison or to face military tribunals, and the U.S. military will brutally take over the country.[3] The result will be salvation and utopia on earth.

In comparison to believing that a business man with multiple accusations of corruptions and financial crime, might be collaborating with Russia for his personal gain?
I started making paid content this year. I have made around 7k USD so far.

My take-aways:

- Pick a niche you know really well. A lot of sales come through reputation, since there is always going to be other competing products out there. My niche is Vue.js (not that niche).

- It is a lot of work. I'd estimate my profits around 5 USD / hour after it's all said and done?

- You need to build a brand! Start using Twitter and Reddit, interacting with your community. I am NOT a twitter or reddit guy normally, I do it for my professional image and content primarily.

- Build an audience first. I collected emails starting in Jan (day I decided to make a course). Around 500 ppl left their email before my launch, which was in June. Majority of my traffic from from my free ebook [0].

- Practice screencasting before you make a course. I did by posting free screencasts on my course website to get my skills up and show my content was worth $. [1]

- I rolled my own platform, hard to say if it was worth it. I posted my content on both my own platform and Udemy. I made around 5k from my platform, 2k from Udemy, but sold way more courses on Udemy (since they take a cut and they reduce the price based on country.

- Rolling your own platform has costs. Dev time, hosting videos (vimeo) hosting content (digital ocean), domain (namecheap) and the overhead of maintaining your stack.

- Udemy, while they take a cut, do a lot of marketing for you. Since I have put less time into marketing, sales on my personal site dropped, but Udemy is consistent (around $500 a month - I only spend around 3h answering questions a month).

I am now writing a book and will sell on Gumroad. Easy to set up, and they handle payments etc.

I will write a more detailed blog post soon on this topic.

[0] https://lmiller1990.github.io/vue-testing-handbook/

[1] https://vuejs-course.com/screencasts
Tim Ferriss Has Changed His Mind About Success
I will never follow along with these projects, but I love watching Ben build them. They seem so approachable and doable.
There is a theory that Trump conspired with Russia. That is a conspiracy theory. There is evidence that Russia wanted Trump to win and they helped him do that. There is no evidence that Trump conspired with Russia. Those two are different things, yet many still believe that Trump conspired with Russia.
Why Republican presidencies?
How are you measuring the scale and impact of Qanon? And lets not forget about the red baiting of Tulsi Gabbard.