skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Their cautiousness made sense. Projections just before the election showed a lot steeper win for Biden.

You need to distinguish between the national vote, which met projections with a significant dem majority, and state races, some of which were close, which is also what was predicted.
Democrats introduce legislation designed to, they think, help Americans. Republicans block that legislation.

The one major piece of legislation passed and signed into law in the past 4 years by Republicans, who controlled all of the government for 2 of those years, was a giant, unfunded, tax break for the rich. That is it.
HN is not a general news site. If you want to read about or discuss the election, there's more appropriate sites for that. I'm sure you can find them on your own.
The opposite effect occurred in 2016. With Trump leading in east coast states, west coast states saw reduced Democrat turnout (relative to norm)
No. For the many reasons others have noted and the elimination of the "hanging chad". [0]

[0]https://www.npr.org/2018/11/12/666812854/the-florida-recount...
> No, the real call isn't until the electoral college votes on December 14th.

Doubtful. Doesn't look like Trump is going to concede. Likely litigation and supreme court in the coming weeks.

> The media is calling states when their projections are confident enough (and possibly when the difference is above the automatic recount threshold).

The media has been projecting trump to lose since 2016. Well since 2014 really.

Either way, it's history in the making. Comfy chair. Popcorn. All set.
Take a look at the papers of Hubel and Wisel and mcculloch and Pits in 40s. If I recall correctly, you can see diagrams of a collection layered neurons. The architecture of a layer of simple cells and a layer of complex cells modeling the visual cortex is a layered architecture. The multi layer perceptron was proposed right after the perceptron. That was biological inspiration, and the analogy with layered “deep” brain. Fukushima revisited this layered architecture in the context of convolutional nnets.

Cybenko,Hornik etc studied the mathematical properties of multi layer feed forward nnets late 80s.

Obviously, in the field of systems control equivalent “deep learning” and “reinforcement learning “ were studied since 50s. This includes what’s called “back propagation algorithm”

It was all multi layer nnets until it was simulated.
>> I think there might be a third one but I forget what it is.)

Swallowing perhaps. As for why breathing is volitional, I can think of avoiding drowning and controlling the noise you make while hunting or being hunted. Same reason anything is volitional, our higher planning abilities can do a better job in many situations versus a hard-wired process.
Exactly, this dramatically understatements American obsession with celebrity and pageantry.
Return of a coordinated US foreign policy, which includes supporting allies and not kowtowing to dictators, will bring stability to global financial markets. With the US once again making decisions based on facts and science and sound economic policy, I fully expect the US economy to get back into stable, modest growth (vs. the last 4 years of chaotic instability. If the government is unstable, the economy reacts pessimisticly).
It's really the same on either side. It just changes with the circumstances. Some of the same people claiming the integrity of the vote shouldn't be questioned were the same people claiming the 2016 vote was compromised. And vice versa.
Why? Parent poster was making a judgement as to what people should be allowed to believe, and they didn't point to any authority or why that authority should be in charge. How do we know the parent poster doesn't consider themselves to be a good enough authority to decide? They seem to present themselves as one.
Well, scientist aren't sure yet. But they think it might be Joe's Ballots. They keep finding them in the darkest places.
There are plenty of things that were clear sabotage.

Not tallying votes early doesn’t seem so clear cut to me.

The argument is that if early vote counts came out in favor of Biden it could suppress voter turnout on the Republican side.

I don’t know if that’s actually how it would have played out, but it does seem reasonable not to have results start to be reported before everyone has made their choice.

More independence is generally better in voting systems.
> And you can disable the backlight on any keyboard.

That's not the same as no backlighting. Just this week, I had to open the Cherry switch on a Race keyboard [1] to modify the spring a bit. On a normal cherry, four small flathead screwdrivers can be used to pry the top off to access the switch internals after just popping off the keycap. With backlighting, though, the keyboard case needs to be opened and the LED needs to be desoldered before the top of the key comes off. The actually soldering it back in place is a pain as the leads just barely make it out of the hole, and that hole had better be clear of solder. Most modern boards are also ROHS compliant, so they're using high-temp leadless solder, which is more of a pain to solder, requires a high-temp soldering iron, and has a higher chance of causing thermal damage if you don't get the parts together quickly.

[1] https://mechanicalkeyboards.com/shop/index.php?l=product_det...
And it was stepped up by Clinton/Biden in the 1990s with the crime bill. There is plenty of blame to pass around for the situation we are in today. Arguing about who started it decades ago is not very helpful.
The freedom is before signing. You are free to sign or not, make whatever deal you care to. That includes signing away your ability to get out of bad deals.
What do you think the end result will be if talk is off the table?

Considering the relative fitness of each 'side' here, I would expect any sensible progressive to be doing everything in their power to let their opposition air their grievances verbally.
Easy to say when it’s not your neighbor. Come back to me when you’re letting your daughter walk home from school past the junkie house.
>They and their base are not operating in good faith.

There are certainly some people and perhaps even most people in that group, however there are also still millions of people who do actually believe in small government. Do these people think that winning elections is more important than democracy or is there some reason that they have used to convince themselves that it is okay to make it harder to vote?
I notice this comment repeated on every web site, Reddit, Slashdot, even 4chan. It’s too similar and comprehensive to be anything but astroturf.

My suspicion is Intel’s still got sour grapes about burning billions on Edison, and are extra angry that people seem to be doing just great without x86.
Faithless electors will not invalidate the results, especially in this case where Biden has much more than 270 electoral votes.
Most of them were instated after the US occupation of Japan post-world war 2. At the time they served the purpose of asserting America's control over Japan. What purpose they serve there now, who knows?
That is an old tradition. Why should the states call a national election?
It was not obvious for Nevada, because the outstanding votes were the last 2 days of drop-off, which has skewed red, and there has been uncertainty about how Vegas would react considering Covid's effect on their economy.
Voter fraud isn't made any harder or easier by checking incoming ballots as they come in against the voter list and sorting them by precinct ahead of time.
With individuals, I am more open. If you can speak to someone, eg Doreen in this case has offered her perspective, that counts for far more with me.

For the record, I don't like being used in this manner to further your agenda. I consider it malicious behavior.

I know most individuals are happy to offer help and their perspective out of natural good will. Mostly individuals are trustworthy.

Most individuals mean well and are stating the truth as they best understand it. That doesn't mean their data is trustworthy or their inferences are trustworthy.

To the degree that people personally malign me, it's bad faith and malicious interaction. But where criticisms of my remarks are motivated by and grounded in genuine skepticism and a desire to seek solid data, those sorts of feedback are entirely welcome by me.

It's just that it's uncommon for people to get that right. It's much more common for people to be snide and dismissive out of hand than to ask genuinely probing questions to ascertain how I came to the conclusions I came to. They assume my conclusions are unfounded rather than wondering what makes me think I am on solid ground.

Over the years, people on HN helping me determine how to find solid ground has been valuable to me. So I do my best to be tolerant of the inevitably messy process involved.
Now if only they follow this for primaries. I'm tired of the first few states having 4-8 options and the last states might have 2-3 if they're lucky.
Agreed. One of the factors that makes HN superior to the likes of reddit is the lack of overt karma farming which reduces the quality of discourse.
You would expect to be able to have a discussion of the pros and cons, and recognition at the least that other approaches are viable.

> React is a hype stack now?

Yeah, kinda. You definitely need some sort of front end framework, but I feel like there should be something better than react. I use react every day and it’s fine, but I’m waiting for something else to come and take it’s dominant position.
From an operations POV, GraphQL is far from ideal. Every "GET" operation is a POST, there is no introspection and debugging requests is horrible.

There are caching issues, and you need decent metrics and tracing across your entire platform to have any idea what's going on.
Nitpick: they vote on Dec 14th, but the votes are counted on Jan 6th. Thanks for the link, very educational!
State level projections in swing states were off by 7 points.

Why were the polls so wrong again?
MaterializeCSS old maintainers abuse backers?
I know you said it in jest, but I am continually impressed how relevant Simpsons were/are in the areas of politics. I don't know whether it is the question of the human condition ( robot radio host saying "can you believe these clowns in Washington?" ) or just some careful time travel, but it is fascinating.
Everyone who feels strongly on a topic always feels that way. The opposite types think the mods are the opposite opposite types.

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&so...

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&sor...

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&so...
Here's Moody's pre-election analysis (PDF)[0]. Overall they viewed a Democratic win as more economically productive than a Republican one.

[0] https://www.moodysanalytics.com/-/media/article/2020/the-mac...
Because the government is made up of laws, not media corporations.
Right, and it doesn't matter whether that data is accurate or anything. They just need the number to point to if anyone questions them about what they're doing or why they're doing it.
Joe Biden, Kamala Harris Got a Big Social Media Boost from Indian Troll Farms

https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-kamala-harris-got-big-soc...

Social media has been devoid of Covid fear mongering since election night. For months we had daily stories pumping out fear about Covid. For the last few days there has been nothing to talk about while we waited for the recount yet no USA-centric Covid horror stories have appeared.

Why are they gone? Where did they go? There were waves of Covid stories for months on Reddit, HN, and other media. Where did they go and more importantly where did the come from?

"Coivd will go away when the election is over" is shorthand for "The Democrats pumped up the Covid fear to attempt to win elections".

So far it has been true.
Biden will now begin to receive intelligence briefings. He is the President-Elect (which is not a legal term - it is a media one - so it is silly to insist your definition is correct)
More predictability in the market, even more so if the Senate remains in Republican hands (since the ensuing political deadlock would make it unlikely that we'll see major legislation pass over the next two years).
Well, that was after Hillary had conceded.
Republicans directly oppose all of those things, because they are, at their core, bad people who are only interested in their personal wellbeing, not of what is best for this country.
On the data nerd side I continue to be shocked at how people misinterpret the certainty of polls/forecasts. Forecasts give us probability distributions based on historical polling error data. Not infallible predictions the expected value will 100% happen.

It’s fairly revealing of society’s general innumeracy, just as it was 4 years ago when Trump won.
Can you point to any mainstream democrat who made accusations that voters were changed or forged in 2016? Democrats were claiming the process was compromised. I don't remember anyone seriously questioning the integrity of the votes themselves.
The fact that it always happens doesn’t make it any better. Media announcements have real effects. We already saw this happen in 2000.
Yeah... there's questions about mail-in/absentee voting that are going to the supreme court.

'Justice Alito temporarily grants Pennsylvania GOP request to enforce segregation of ballots that arrived after Election Day'

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/pennsylvania-ballots...
Agreed. What smart, successful person would take a low-paying job to be a professional punching bag?
Interesting fact I noticed: If Biden is to take the presidency after the Electoral Collage voted that would make him the oldest president to take office yet, also interesting that wikipedia already marked Biden as president-elect [0].

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_presidents_of_the_Unit...
I keep the halves almost shoulder width apart (the connecting cable is almost maxed out). I also have the halves tented. I think it's a much more ergonomic position that way, vs forearms pointing in.

As for moving it, I don't move the keyboard that often, and even if so, the halves can lock together.
I don't think this is hypocrisy - one of the two examples is more justified, realistically speaking, than the other.
I’m just here like “there is a spec for CSV?”
If Republicans keep the Senate Biden won't accomplish much of his agenda. Especially with Mitch Mcconnell's uncompromising approach expect gridlock, government shutdowns, probably a constitutional crisis or two, and a complete inability to respond to any further crises.
Bootstrapping Your Business: Start and Grow a Successful Company with No Money
As yet, no court is adjudicating an issue that impacts a large number of ballots.

State election systems will decide the election.
I found the AP's article (who [edit: many, not nearly everyone] goes off of for race calls) to be interesting: https://www.ap.org/en-us/topics/politics/elections/how-we-ca...
How to Get Your Press Release Noticed
This article is massively misleading. Its key points:

> 36% percent of people in the UK use an adblocker, which means your javascript based website tracking is meaningless

It doesn't mean it's meaningless, it means it's only based on part of your traffic. But 2/3 of your traffic is still a lot of traffic, and ad blocker users aren't that different from the rest of your users. Additionally, ad blockers generally do not block first-party JavaScript, or most first party tracking, so your sample may be much better than that.

> Email open rates don't actually indicate that an email was opened, merely that a request was made to a server

Emails are read by a mixture of three kinds of clients: ones that never download images, ones that always download images, and ones that only download images when the email is opened. This means that absolute "open" rates are not that meaningful, since you don't know how many users are in each category. On the other hand, relative "open" rates are still very meaningful, and an email that has an unusually high "open" rate will in practice have been opened an usually large numbers of times. If you want, you can then calibrate with click rates.

> The black boxes inside Facebook and other ad exchanges give you flat out wrong data about how your ads are performing

This links to https://www.etcentric.org/facebook-agrees-to-40-million-fine... where Facebook was fined for misrepresenting one of its video ad metrics. The post presents a single (newsworthy!) issue as if it applies to every metric on every exchange. Additionally, advertisers are generally able to verify the claims of the exchanges through JavaScript that runs inside the creative, which dramatically limits the ability of any unscrupulous exchanges to cheat.

> The audiences you're targeting on Google, Bing, etc are fraudulent and don't even exist

This link to https://www.forbes.com/sites/augustinefou/2020/11/02/got-lar... which references (but does not link to) "A new report from cybersecurity company CHEQ" and claims "Their data also estimates that 1 in 5 clicks are not from humans, and greater than 10% of the spending is likely siphoned off by ad fraud." Setting aside the question of whether the statistics are correct, there's a world of difference between 10-20% fraudulent traffic and "don't even exist"

> The exchanges you're purchasing media space from are cheating you

This links to https://www.adexchanger.com/mobile/is-ubers-new-ad-fraud-law... which describes a suit by Uber against "Hydrane SAS, BidMotion, Taptica, YouAppi and AdAction Interactive". We don't know how the suit is going to turn out, but these five companies are tiny players in the advertising world. Again, highly misleading.

(Disclosure: I work on ads at Google, speaking only for myself)
What? Is this Stalinist Russia?
Looking around the thread you'll see that might not be the case. I think the comment meant to correct a (hopefully uncommon) misconception that the election is now final before all the votes have been counted, which of course isn't true.
I agree it's a hassle, and a bummer that they de-integrated Google Drive and Google Photos. I've got a reasonably functional alternative using SyncTrayzor/Syncthing.
Seems like the project was forked to an org:
https://github.com/materializecss/materialize

But original maintainers still being backed for over 2 years:
https://www.patreon.com/materialize

Would love to know, if anyone knows the insides, if this is something to be reported, I just feel bad for the people backing this and are unaware of the project status.
How to Run Plex via LinuxServer.io's Docker Image
No, because now the contents of the tweet are hidden until you explicitly choose to view them rather than just showing up unsolicited, and more importantly, because tweets flagged in this manner no longer show up in feeds.

You would have to visit his twitter account to even know that the tweets exist, and you would have to click on each tweet individually to view it, and to waive the warning label, so you would already have to have the intent to view them.

Thus, the Streisand Effect doesn't apply.
I mean we called Trump the President-elect before the states certified results. A lot of senators and congresspeople are now marked as "Senator-elect" or "Future Governor" or whatever.

I'm sorry - but it is silly to be pedantic on this.

Were you saying it was bad to call Donald Trump the Republican Nominee before his convention speech? Even though it was mathematically and legally certain?
I think the thing about distribution is similar here. Your municipality sends and counts your vote at least in Switzerland. From what I‘ve read here, it sounds a lot of European countries have a similar process as ours.

In Switzerland every adult citizen get‘s a ballot sent home for every election and referendum. I don‘t know of there‘s a way to unsubscribe. You can send it by mail or take it to the polls on election day.

I can‘t imagine why you would restrict voting more than that (except for political games).
The electoral college system affects both the campaign strategies and people’s decisions about whether to vote.
Shouldn't we wait for the states to go through , in some cases, mandatory recounts and certification of the results and then the actual electoral college vote after any legal appeals?
He sued to stop counting legally cast ballots in states he was winning (PA,MI,WI) while suing other states to recount where he was loosing (AZ,GA, etc.).

It's both a contradictory argument and obviously illegal: you can't stop a state's election board from counting the already cast ballots.
Courts do not typically decide elections.
I do use NNTP. I do not post a lot of messages (I do not have a lot to write, and I have some drafts that I have not finished writing yet), although I access it nearly every day. I also have my own NNTP server with my own newsgroups, in addition to accessing aioe for Usenet.

Although you got rid of escaping the slashes, now the line breaks are missing.
I don't like those click-baity headlines, especially when the article lacks substance and details.
Yep , In order to get some free chapters , I need to enter my email , and login to a site.

That guy sure knows how to sell.
How could this possibly work? Do you want to legally bar speech with the content "We have a 99.9% confidence that X will win"?
Probably not a lot for quite a while to be honest. The virus is still here, the deficit is still ballooning and Biden won't even be in office for another few months. Even when he is, it will take time for policies to be formulated, enacted and eventually have any effect.
I heard about that rumor and I also heard others say you can just DIY reset it.

Anyway mine still runs fine so we’ll see
They’ve been keeping those ballots separate and their are 1k of them. They don’t matter.
I seriously doubt HN has a "conservative tilt". People on this site generally try to call the good for the good and the bad for the bad, regardless of party.
Democrats prayed for such an occurrence in 2016 to no avail. Why do you believe the results will be different this time?
The guy elected promoted and voted for the Iraq war. Let's ease up on saying the foreign policy is going to be good.

Where did Trump kowtow to dictators?
My apologies, the book's actual title is

"Bootstrapping Your Business: Start and Grow a Successful Company with Almost No Money",

NOT

"Bootstrapping Your Business: Start and Grow a Successful Company with No Money".

The book title exceeded the max length of HN's article title by 5 characters; I decided to delete "Almost" to make it fit... if this inconveniences anyone, then you have my advance apologies...
Ask HN: Why aren't video games priced higher than $60?
One thought I've had, which I'm sure numerous others have had, is why are video games still capped at a price of $60? They've been that way since the 360's release as I recall which was in 2006. With 14 years of inflation alone that would give us > $77 as the price.

Some reasons I've heard:
- The number of gamers and thus the size of the market has increased which means companies don't need to raise prices
- There's a gross over-saturation of the market such that the collective value of each game is brought down

None of these really satisfy me personally but I'm curious if there's some data or thinking on this.
I suppose they genuinely believe easier voting brings with it massive fraud. Of course no amount of evidence will convince them otherwise - keep in mind this is the same party that just put a QAnon supporter in congress.
Having the licensing clear makes this a step above the ordinary AI generated music project. How do the limits for downloads flesh out against posting to YouTube?
It's called "news" for a reason. Old stories simply aren't as interesting.
FTX [0] has President Trump's chances at remaining President in February 2021 at a little over 10%. Numerous legal pathways remain for President Trump to win.

https://ftx.com/trade/TRUMPFEB