skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Someone I know well has suffered from major depressive episodes effectively since she was a baby—and no, she didn't suffer from a broken home, uncaring parents, or any of the things that could have reasonable been expected to lead to such a thing at such an age.

So yeah, tell me how depression has no neurological root, and is purely a result of a dysfunctional relationship to society, when it can affect someone effectively from birth.

She is watching the emerging study of psychedelics for mental illness with great anticipation and hope. Nothing else has done more than reduce the frequency of symptoms. (She actually started trying IV ketamine a few years ago, when it became available, and it has helped to reduce both the frequency and severity of symptoms, but not eliminate them entirely.)
You're right, I worded it badly. By "cashed out" I only meant that they turned imaginary points into 'real' money, though both are probably treated as a liability by Chase.
Feeling down is not always a medical condition; if it's an adequate reaction to the conditions you're in, it's not something to be cured or treated. May be in your case, or in cases you're taking about those people felt depressed because they didn't have enough social interaction, and they fixed it by being around other people more: then it's not a condition, just your brain doing exactly what it's supposed to.

Depression, on the other hand, is feeling down without any adequate reason to do so. If your life is objectively quite okay, save for depression itself, but you constantly feel as if you've lost a loved one, then it's a medical condition. It's like feeling physical pain when you're not actually getting hurt.
This was an especially tough race to forecast because turnout surged to levels not seen in a century, which included lots of new voters.

Polls tend to focus on "likely voters", which is defined mostly by who's voted before. So something like the massive surge we saw in Latino Trump voters in Florida and Texas would be difficult to see coming unless you have some reliable way of forecasting which seemingly-unlikely-voters will actually turn out this time around, which is extremely difficult -- people tend to be much more likely to say they'll vote than to actually vote, so simply asking them isn't reliable.

"Shy Trump voters" probably isn't the core problem in an unusually high-turnout election. The problem is that there's no real way of predicting who pollsters should be interviewing.
HN users get dumber everyday. Have you had your brain turned off the last couple days?
Thank you for bringing up “口”. I was trying to find a reference of Apple using that as inspiration for the iPhone home button. Maybe the story is apocryphal?
I would look at works in other countries and see how we can adopt or improve on that and our existing system.

Some things that come to mind:
- National voter ID card. Countries like Mexico and India have this for everyone. You can’t vote without it.
- Fingerprint of some sort. Either retina or fingerprint scan to verify identity. This opens up a civil liberties can of worms but we would need to secure this somehow.
- I’ve read of some startups looking to us blockchain, but not sure how that would work.
- I read an article about a company called Unum ID that was looking to address this problem. You sign up, give an address, they mail you a card with verification of your address to put into their app. The app then has a unique QR code that gets scanned. Similar verification setup to Nextdoor or buying ads on Facebook. They verify your identity by mailing you a unique code that needs to be entered into an app or page to verify your address and who you are.

I think the key components are, verify the address of the person, confirm it, secure/uniquely store the identity in a service.

The biggest problem we face is fraud. Double votes, voting for others, voting as dead people. California had to purge their roster after being sued for the data being inaccurate. I think 300k names were removed or asked to verify. 300k wrong voters can swing a local or state election. That’s big.
The Most Efficient Space Program in the World
In fact, the header must be set in the server-side, which means I cannot do that as I am using github pages. You can check more details here: https://github.com/ffmpegwasm/ffmpeg.wasm/issues/102
There's another gap between small family farms and huge scale enterprises. There is a lot of demand for local but quality. Whether it's grass-fed beef, eggs from truly free-ranging chickens, or heritage breed pork that's well butchered (harder than you'd think to find quality animal processing) people are looking for things that the more traditional farms don't know about and the big farms can't afford to do. I think there is a market for focused quality. Of course in the meantime I'm still punching the clock at my IT job but hope the farm can eventually sustain itself.
I recently started using GT710 for driving 3x of my 2K monitors at 85hz via HDMI. It works quite well even with Nouveau on Linux. That's not exactly modern, but it has 4 HDMI and cost around $50 too. Also fits into PCIe x1 slot and using under 25W.
I do cringe at the sight of reading "grown ass man" considering that it does not really add much to what "grown man" could have accomplished. Thanks, I am glad to know I am not the only one who feels this.
That's an extraordinary claim. You need extraordinary evidence to back it up. So far, we haven't seen anything to suggest that evidence exists.
Isn't it the result of messing up?

In a perfectly organized system (rarely found in reality) the counting would have finished within 2-3 hours after the end of voting.
Sign with GPG for the hash, as linked. The methods you mentioned do allow malicious modification. Signing the commit with a public key makes it a lot more difficult.

In the same vein, one can spoof email - but DKIM, SPF, DMARC together as controls make it much more difficult.
Nah, they support so many platforms and AWS is only one of them. I also think their Heroku business might actually benefit from this. Now they don't even have to manage the servers themselves -- they can essentially re-sell AWS's service with custom support if they wanted and charge customers to move the cost to Heroku's bill rather than AWS's (you'd be surprised how many do this).
It's worth noting that Haskell allows mutable variables in IO actions - a type used to model computations that are not referentially transparent. It's just that using this facility is not super ergonomic.
It would also be worthwhile to study where the citizen's initiative referendum came from to begin with.

In some states it's from the same place that voting under the age of 21 arose.

During the Vietnam War, kids were being drafted into the Army at 18 but still not allowed to vote until 21.

Just like it was in World War II only this time they weren't fighting for their country, they were fighting for somebody else's country.

Then along comes Nixon and it was plain to see he was an evil war-monger at heart.

Things got worse as expected, and there was no end in sight since it takes so long to become a powerful politician that the top positions will mostly be the oldest dogs in the race, and therefore by statistics alone the most out-of-touch about things affecting young people that were not a factor in their previous generation.

Fortunately there had been a baby boom so the 21 to 30 age group was bigger than ever at the time, and were largely on the same page as the still-powerless under-21 citizens.

Nixon was doing more damage to US democracy every year, at the same time the war was becoming more widely recognized for its pure stupidity as waves of returning soldiers and officers were able to confirm so with growing consensus.

This built a nationwide unification around lowering the voting age to 18. Even some war hawks could understand the unfairness of continuing to draft kids under 21 when they were still politically powerless. The dogs of war still despised the draft dodgers and their supporters who were constantly pointing this discrepancy out though.

Pressure on legislators eventually won the vote at 18, and while there was momentum plus a new decent size voting block overnight, the push for _Initiative Referendum_ got underway.

Before citizens can put something on the ballot themselves without necessarily having any politicians or political parties involved, their legislators often had to pass a law restoring the right to that type of freedom.

Due to the unprecedented pressure, many states chose to no longer deny this liberty to their people.

They then codified the hurdles that must be overcome for mere citizens to make things right without having to wait for sluggish politicians who may not be interested, or who could act as obstacles until more responsive representatives got into power.

Too bad not every state got this, especially now that it's needed more than ever, but that's what we were planning at the time.

It was plain to see that the 21st century was going to be pretty ugly, but there definitely needed to be some hope.

Texas is not a free state in this regard, remaining more like the Spanish monarchy that ruled when Texas was still a state in Mexico before it joined the USA. The legislature by design still has no provision to quit denying their subjects the full liberty to vote on items of their own initiative.

Oklahoma's lawmakers have presided over a free state by comparison, and their citizens have enjoyed one of the fundamental elements of democracy that Texans can only dream about.
If he could only see the state of VR now.
Thanks, I hadn't thought to try there. It does have the ring of a 1940s public service announcement.
> I don't get it. Why has everything to be called an "app" nowadays?

Because that's what people have decided. It is what it is.

> All in all I have so many questions – Let's start with: "WHY, tho?"

Why not?

I personally quite like the aesthetic.
Tell your friend that there are about 5,000 known species of mosquito, of which about 100 feed on mammalian blood, and out of those 9 are disease carriers. If we can target those specific 9 or some subset thereof, like Aedes aegypti as Oxitec is doing, we at least reduce the misery index while preserving 99.9% of the prey items consumed by birds, dragonflies, and other predators. Also, there's at least one study that suggests total eradication of mosquitoes would not harm the ecosystem because of the availability of substitute food sources.
Republican state senators in multiple states (PA, MI, WI) blocked plans to prepare or precount mailed ballots. This is working as intended.
He was never convicted of trying to kill someone.
Trump is already trying to sue close states to stop them from counting votes, so there's evidence that there is some meddling going on.

But you're right - evidence is needed of messing with the actual votes, as opposed to just trying to interrupt the counting.

Edit: I'm saying the lawsuit is the meddling, not that there is meddling going on as part of the count.
Unison's ability system (an implementation of algebraic effects) is looking promising as an ergonomic method of tracking effects.
Where did you get that 2-3 hrs number? Do other nation states declare election results that quickly?
Everyone keep in mind this is a short term win for the drivers. Ultimately when self driving taxis take off, all of these workers will be unemployed. So we’re back to the drawing board on what for them?
> how Git fundamentally works
Honestly, given this, they should clearly label unsigned commits by default.
This is not precise enough and I don't agree.

> when the vast majority of polls in Florida showed Biden in the lead, and then Biden lost there by a few percentage points, that’s a polling error.

The job of the polls is to gather information, not forecast. It sounds like forecasters are setting up to pass blame off onto the polls instead of taking responsibility. And I guess they got away with this in 2016.

The polls asked people questions, the people answered, the polls reported the answers. So one would have to dig a lot deeper into the poll's claims to say they messed up.
How to Read a Book (1940)
In 2016 the polls were arguably "correct" in that, though they incorrectly predicted a Clinton win, the results were still mostly within the margin of error, i.e., the polls weren't really predicting one candidate or another because Clinton's lead was too small to be statistically significant.

This time, we might end up in the counter-intuitive territory where the poll were "wrong" even if they pointed in the direction of the winner, because the results are outside the margin of error.
I tried to listen to this but the basis of their argument is "if one person dies it's too many", which is a knee-jerk reaction that fails to weigh the possible options and outcomes in a thorough manner. Note that the hosts are not specialists in this field and the vibe of the podcast is more comedy than science. I also take issue with your opening: "no competent medical professional ever", which is doomed to be a faulty generalization, and a name-calling one at that.
The Realities of Bird and Bat Deaths by Wind Turbines
These mosquitoes compel people people to vote Democratic. QAnon
In what world is "our large, enterprise customers who are extremely risk-averse and probably under NDA could acquire source code" equivalent to "source code so easily acquired"?
> A new study of 24 adults with major depression finds that two doses of the psychedelic substance psilocybin, given with supportive psychotherapy, produced rapid and large reductions in depressive symptoms.

Notice that therapy is required. What are the odds people will look for the convenience of a pill while completely ignoring any required therapy and then blame everything else but themselves?
The H-1B visa may be 'finished' regardless of the winner in the US election
The fact that he was sentenced based on a crime he was not convicted for is a travesty and in my opinion unconstitutional (violates the rights to a public jury trial and to due process).
Is it? These models do more than predict who is going to win overall, they attempt to predict details of the how. On that count they royally screwed up. To quote the article -

> The forecasts were off. We were forecasting Biden to get 54.4% of the two-party vote and it seems that he only got 52% or so. We forecasted Biden at 356 electoral votes and it seems that he’ll only end up with 280 or so.

> – The polls messed up more in some states than others. Florida is the clearest example of where the polls got it wrong.

No major poll I saw had Trump anywhere near these numbers. Clearly something went wrong.

Example: Poll saying Biden winning Wisconsin by +17: https://www.wbay.com/2020/10/28/biden-leads-trump-by-17-poin...

Actual result: Biden currently winning by .6%. If the poll is off by 16.4% its a garbage poll and needs serious re-evaluation.
> basically just automatic drip irrigation, which is super cheap

Any preferred go-to guide on setting that up? I'm thinking of something with an IBC, and some type of moisture sensing automation, so I can pre-fertilize the water and walk away for 2 weeks if I wanted to without coming back to death.
They look good.

No web option?

Edit, found them:

https://developer.microsoft.com/en-us/fluentui#/styles/web/i...
I can't recall the last time that votes were all counted within three hours, so I'm not sure what your point is.
Simply viewing and reading the source code is not illegal unless if you personally have made a binding agreement with GitHub in which case it would be a civil matter. Or if you profit off of it then you could be liable.

Viewing classified top secret nsa documents is not illegal unless you have agreed to never viewing them when gaining classified clearance. Anyone who does not have classified clearance is free to look at them.

You are not liable for what you read. Those posting it may be liable for infringement, and you could be liable if you infringement upon it. But reading is not yet illegal in the usa.
Yes, but "quite a few conceptual breakthroughs" leaves a lot of room open for if it would be at all similar to deep learning today.
I ditched high school prodigiously as a kid.

I imagine if I were a kid now-a-days, but with the same hobbies I had when I was a kid for real i'd probably be deep-faking a wobbling face image pretty fast.
You can repair what you own.

Most commercial software is rented, not owned. Your iPhone's hardware is yours, but the iOS it runs is Apple's, and whatever runs in the baseband processor may belong to some third parties like Qualcomm.

But if you own a copy of software, you usually can patch it to your heart's content. Selling patched copies may be a different deal. (Of course, easy with open source.)
A lawsuit isn't evidence of anything.

Trump especially is a litigious person. Lawsuits are his hammer and every problem is a nail.
Trump voters are understandably embarrassed to admit they will vote for him. Who wants to admit even anonymously that they will support such a sociopath.
If people lie, you can't poll accurately.

And when people view an election as a game to "win", why not lie to throw off the other side?

It's a basic art of war tactic.
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That’s likely conformation bias. I suspect 3 major factors are at play.

Voting by mail is higher risk as bad ballots don’t get resubmitted and it depends on the postal system to get it in on time.

Republican get out the vote message could mobilize people that thought they where behind while Democrats thought they had a comfortable lead. That’s always dangerous.

COVID was outside the existing models and prompted unusual behavior by both voters and how states ran things.

Even with all of that, this election is well within projections. Biden seems to have a strong lead in the popular vote and a weak one in the electoral college. Florida and Georgia look unexpected, but not wildly so.
Intel Xe HP Neo Graphics Spotted on GeekBench
They... do? Do you see the Verified note anywhere? It's not their fault if people don't understand how the tool they're using works at an extremely basic level...
Reselling AWS's offerings would cost more than running it on bare VM's, I'm sure they would be able to compete on price with them.

It also doesn't make sense to rewrite their current software which is probably abstracted for multi-cloud to support re-selling.
4% of the 'stuff' is when we're considering dark energy, but I'm talking only about matter here (galaxy scale).

There's still more than 5 times more dark matter than any matter we see, though. But I thought if it's extremely hard to detect rogue planets, then what if there's whole bunch of them, like really 6 times more than other matter including stars. And there's no clouds around them for some reason (example reason is that they were expelled from their formation clouds by gravitation dance with other planets there).
So you're implying there's a mass conspiracy among Trump supporters to lie to pollsters?
For context, this blog post is by Andrew Gelman, a professor of statistics and political science at Columbia University, and one of the people developing the presidential forecast model for The Economist. So he's not a pollster, but he's relying heavily on poll data for making predictions, which is why his particular focus in this post is not just about the ways the polls were off, but how the polls were incorporated into The Economist prediction model.

I would argue 538 made a similar error[1], but unlike Gelman, Nate Silver is a less likely to admit their model was off, and consequently examine/discuss the underlying factors that lead to this issue.

[1] I don't know if error is the right term here, but basically the fact that the actual election results seem to be landing near the lower end of the predicted 95% intervals for both the 538 and the Economist models.
Adverse Market Refinance Fee Implementation now December 1
Do your research. These mosquitoes program people to vote for Democrats.

QAnon
largest consumers of mink fur : china, hong kong, japan, korea : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mink_industry_in_Denmark , although don't know where they actually end up being sold as the finished product
The fact is even in an anonymous poll many people simply won't say they are voting for Trump.
One potential problem is that $1B is so huge that you'd have to do this slowly to avoid a major crash.
Depends on what you mean by "messing up". If you mean the counters, election officials etc messed up, then that's incorrect. They haven't done anything wrong. If you mean the laws that prevented faster vote counting are messing up the hypothetically perfectly organized system, then yes: that is a major factor.
Why does it need to be a conspiracy? There is massive (at least percieved) social pressure against Trump supporters, how could this possibly not make it difficult to poll accurately?
It doesn’t need to be a conspiracy, just a general tendency that corresponds with political affiliation.
Poll percentages aren’t raw data. Usually there are various weights and balances applied to the counts, and these could give misleading numbers. E.g., polls might think male latinos who finished college might turn up at the polls at a lower proportion than they actually did, which can result in significant shifts.

There’s also the factor of questioning, both how things are worded and the means they use to ask them. Landline polling with 50 questions (yes, some pollers do this and you can see the questions they ask) aren’t likely to reach people with jobs or people who are young, so that results in the few people they do reach giving undue weight to “make up” for the voters they couldn’t poll. Wording of a question can also change how a person reports their result, and there’s always the lizard man constant and people who intentionally screw with pollers, some being easy to detect and discard.

In a way, they do end up as forecasters.
Developing and nurturing human capital doesn't necessarily depress the value of labor...it could also create more demand for such labor (by expanding the economy), evening things out.
Here is a great video from Computerphile about why this is a hard problem

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w3_0x6oaDmI

Long story short voting needs to be secure and anonymous to be fair.

Hard to get all things at once.
So there are people around me who also are interested in buying some acres to living the dream. But as the post listed, there are a lot overheads and surround issues/problems. Like do you want to grow things "organically" or have to buy *icides to battle enermy of bugs or diceases? At scale, it's too hard to manage the use of chemicals to keep your farm bountiful year round.
They sure talk about it a lot on places like reddit. Justification being a belief that it is not truly anonymous, and the info will be used against them down the track in various ways.
Agree with most, except the last bit: now they're managing the keys for their bitcoin, bitcoin cash and bitcoin gold (and maybe other forks?)
Programming the PDP11, part 1 of 4
It's likely that there is a demographic that doesn't trust or like the media apparatus, and choose not to participate in polling at all, as well.
In court? What are you talking about?