skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The odds for a face on a d10 would be 1 in 9 (1:9).

It's different than probability (1/10 = .1)
> You've just been told western companies are also trying to appease the CCP.

Sorry for having to state the obvious, but I never told them that, and I strongly suspect canceling a speaking engagement of a Palestinian terrorist (designated by the U.S.) after Jewish protests in the U.S. neither appeases nor angers China.
I disagree with the author on the idea that tail is too fat for isolated anomalies. There are most certainly events that can happen, which may lead to a red California or a blue Alabama.

Presidential assassination, war, video proof of something incredibly heinous (pedophilia?), etc. can absolutely lead to these outcomes. You don't even have to go that far back. Nixon and Reagan flipped states like no-one's business.

I do however agree, that 538's state-state correlation model seems weak.

California and Alabama would only flip during a wave, and that wave would consume any and all states. The fact that 538's model doesn't strongly show that pattern is a failing of it. But, it is not clear if a model that inaccurately models the unlikeliest of events (california flipping while Florida stays blue), does not necessarily mean that it is terrible predictor of it's primary target (Presidential likelihoods).

As a data scientist, I can totally understand Nate's hesitation. Do you impose strong priors on the model to reflect strong domain intuition or do build a model that best characterizes the data it is based on. In the presence of infinite data, you should abandon all domain based priors. For single digit data points, priors are essential. For any number of data in between, it is anyone's best guess.
So, I made a point about ROI, which could very well justify it in the broader marketing and business context. You haven't addressed that point. Instead you've just made some vague claim about something you have visibility into about cost incurred.

Please elaborate as to why considering the return of the tool in question instead of just its cost is not relevant.
I think fear of an antitrust lawsuit is what kept Microsoft from locking it down completely (IIRC they did it on their RT line for a while, though).
What makes this single point of view a valid criticism?
> I hope the golang community takes a thing or two from rust in terms of package management.

Go's dependency management was designed after analyzing Cargo and its problems: https://research.swtch.com/vgo-mvs
It may be more productive if you are the sole consumer of your code. If you need to ship code to be run by third parties Python tends to result in overly complex and tedious setup process. One shouldn't ignore that users of Python applications often have to pay the price.
I work at one of the big companies that many would say is at the forefront of innovation in our industry. If you’re young in your career with scope limited to your own team, then I agree getting people to say yes is a red flag. If you have broader scope across teams and organizations, you’ll quickly realize that different managers and directors have their own priorities. While yes, at the end of the day they might be working towards the same goals, it turns out that they have different ideas on how to reach those goals. They all have their own biases —- it could be as simple as one team wants to use X to solve Y and another team wants to use Z.

Convincing people to listen and follow your ideas or deliver on your timeline can be very problems.
> I did some mod where you remove some foam inside the earcups which effectively makes them like the next model up

555 to 595, I bought the headphones for the exact same reason. I'm very sad they don't manufacture them anymore, I love this pair.
How Genetic variation gives rise to differences in mathematical ability
I checked out the books you linked me. I have yet to read them, but the titles seem to be pointing to a direction that machine learning / data science is like selling snake oil.

Can you tell me the cases where it holds? I will read the books, but would like a preview of how machine learning / data science can be snake oil.
A guide to graphing and computing with Desmos (the HTML5 graphing calculator)
There's gotta be a more efficient way to covert the biking power into actual power. Anyone know?
Curious, what's your definition of a large system?
I think, as with all anti-trust/anti-competitive questions, if you define the scope wrong then of course the entity claiming unfair practices can be positioned to win. "A deal that controls the internet" is really a pretty sweeping claim!

Is the question whether this deal prevents companies from developing and selling their search solution? If so, then is Google paying Apple, who has what, 40% market share of mobile phones, really able to stifle the development of search engines? With search on mobile phones being a further x% fraction of all (general, browser-opening) search being done on the internet? I.e. when placed with desktop, tablet, browser window search as well.

If we're down to perhaps low double digit % of all search, how it that unfairly preventing competition?

And yes, if you then go to the opposite extreme and say that the market is search on Safari on iPhones, then the market is cornered and controlled by Google. But is that reasonable to define as the market in question? Where you're entitled to not have anti-competitive behavior? That's Peter Thiel's example of having cornered the market for British food in downtown Palo Alto and prevented competitors from moving into your rented space.

It may be a sweetheart deal for Apple, and Google making sure that it gets preferred treatment in this one corner of the internet, but it seems to me hard to claim that this has stifled competition for the development of search engines in general?
To the point. If it is illegal by the hosting country, good luck. And that can be whatever legalese imaginable.

But luckily git is decentralized.
You just described Google.
Sorry and feel free to flag, but I’m afraid discussing topics of censorship and government retaliation especially surrounding terrorism with <removed> leaves a bad taste in my mouth.

Edit: Decided to use better judgement and remove the reference to parent’s employer, which is against guidelines. Sorry dang.
Nelly Bly was an investigative reporter who was committed to an asylum by a judge, more at linked page. In the US, for decades, jails hold many more mentally ill people than psychiatric facilities do.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ten_Days_in_a_Mad-House
The best Linux desktop environment is Windows 10 (with WSL2)
That's why some journalists have already called 2020 "Year of Linux On Desktop".

Let's be honest, Linux has a good (but not great) kernel, good-to-great apps on server side, and the crappy UI side (Wayland, windows managers, desktop environments)

The best way to interact with Linux is throught API or commandline. Leave UI stuff for more competent folks (Microsoft or Apple)
I recommend running your own DNS resolver, so that you don’t have to trust any 3rd party server with your DNS traffic.

I run Unbound (a DNS resolver) alongside Pi-hole on a dedicated raspberry pi for my home network.
What is written is correct, and your additional punctuation doesn't improve it, but it uses poorly chosen wording. It would be better to just use the simple names as the main items in the list, and say “Apple and Alphabet, Google’s parent company, [...]”
That's why you use dust or pyrethrin spray as well, and seal them in afterwards. Hot burning wasp death!
They've always also said "show us some compelling use cases", as if those still need to be shown ~15 years after after every other language except C got them.
They'd acquire DDG if they wanted a jump start into creating their own search technology. DDG does have a DuckDuckBot crawler & obviously lots of staff & expertise in the area (Apple more acqui-hires than anything else). I don't know of a more appropriate Search company they could acquire to give them a headstart given Bing isn't for sale & MSFT is non acquirable.

If Google did decide to drop the payment they'd most definitely turn & collect placement checks from Bing as their first recourse, but if they wanted to build their own search technology they wouldn't be sourcing their results from Bing, they'd want to make sure they're masters of their own fate and own (or license) the technology & expertise themselves like they're doing with Apple Maps.

But I don't see any of this happening, the placement payments benefits both Companies.
What percentage of Wayland users are on Gnome? It seems likely to me that Gnome is likely to be 90-99% of peoples experience with Wayland.
Copyright isn't a contract though. It's a government sanctioned ability to control the use of information. It shouldn't exist in the first place, unless public gets something in return, which is progress and useful arts.
Taleb: What Do I Mean by Skin in the Game? My Own Version
Adhering to the law should be in every mindset. Stupid laws and wrong hosting country might be a different story
According to Hagemeister (source in this article), the tests only download the first 10 KB of the videos, landing this very strongly in the domain of fair use.
I wonder how much more efficient the generation could be? 60Watts is still somewhat impressive in the rig mentioned, but I wonder if maybe better control of the rpms of the generator (through gearing) could give more efficient generation. I feel like at the gym, the workout bikes (which I think are generally powered by pedaling), will give you a wattage output that seemed higher than than 60 watts, but again, that's about resistance (and not taking into account the inefficiencies of power generation). Seems like it could be made usable for a daily power generation machine (reminds me of "Oxygen Not Included", where you have the person run on a hamster wheel to generate power).
Yeah my experience once I switched from Google to bing and ddg is that for everyday items search is much better because it's not inundated with blog spam. I only go back to Google when doing technical/code searches as it still seems to be a bit better on those.
TBF, bandwidth costs on AWS and Azure are so ludicrously high that it wouldn't be difficult to undercut them on bandwidth.

That said, I wouldn't touch an Oracle product with a very long bargepole, even if bandwidth was free.
Teams is an Electron app (like Skype, Signal, VS Code, Atom, etc), which is based on Chromium. Chromium doesn't have Wayland support yet so those run via XWayland. Things should get better once Chromium supports Wayland properly (soon, as it finally entered beta in 2020-09):

https://www.phoronix.com/scan.php?page=news_item&px=Chrome-8...
Python for almost everything, but I’ve been getting into Elixir for web tier, and Nim is SO much more pleasant/featureful for a quick compiled language. I’d be happy to use any of the above for things but would feel “forced to” if I had to do anything in Go.
Boring is actually what a lot of people look for.
With lots of stroller experience but no wheelchair experience, I’m pretty sure they’re different.

I can readily scale a curb or pair of steps with a stroller in a way that a wheelchair user cannot (or can only with difficulty/risk).
I am a bit confused with the readme, is it a jQuery or a Vue alternative? Those are very different:

> "a drop-in replacement for jQuery and vanilla JavaScript web apps"

> "provides a declarative API similar to Vue to create views"

But reading further from the code samples it seems like a Vue replacement and not a jQuery replacement. I made a 2.5kb jQuery replacement back on the day so was very curious if this would be another: https://umbrellajs.com/

I'd also recommend the author to use a spellchecker, since I've found typos generally decrease trust on a project and I can see two on the second paragraph alone.
I fear Taibbi is right, the suppression by Twitter, irrespective of the merits and veracity of NY Post's report, will now normalize all kinds of behavior by platforms of all kinds big and small. Which will then incentivize governments to take on the platforms. This also raises issues of unequal treatment - say the NY Post report was factually wrong - why pick on the NY Post only? Why not the hundreds of other "news organizations" peddling unverified and factually incorrect reports on Twitter.

I wish it did not come to this. I feel this action will uncork second order effects which we will come to rue for a long time.

Edit: This story was flagged which is unbelievable.
Yeah what's a few million deaths in the middle east in what? The past 2 decades? War in Yemen. Oh wait it's alright because we'll make a documentary about how it was wrong and how killing all those Iraqis made marines feel bad.
I've used DDG search exclusively for about 9 months now, and I've never used the !g flag. Comments like this completely baffle me.

In my anecdotal experience, it's every bit as good as google, and I simply did not notice a difference in the results when I switched.

It must be down to what people search for, or maybe how heavily Google has customized their personal results to fit their behaviors. I mostly use web searches for looking up technical documentation, and 5-second tasks like weather forecasts and unit conversions.
The one big problem I have encountered with anti-discrimination laws is that sometimes they can be written too rigidly and become counter-productive.

For example, there is a well-known road full of small boutique shops, cafes, etc. in a city where I used to live. Some of those places were visibly adapted to allow things like wheelchair access, ticking all the relevant legal boxes under our disability discrimination laws. Some of them were in older buildings that couldn't easily provide the physical allowances that we'd probably design in from the start today, but they had friendly staff who were very willing to help wheelchair users or others with disabilities, and these places also seemed to be well regarded by local people who needed that help. So far, so good.

It's hard to tell exactly what happened next because there's so much hearsay with these things, but it appears that one day someone in a wheelchair decided to retain a lawyer and possibly just went along that street bringing legal actions against anywhere that wasn't absolutely compliant with the letter of the law. This posed an existential threat to some of those small businesses, even though in fact they were very disabled-friendly and often had regular customers with disabilities who were quick to come to their defence. I'm not sure how those legal actions were resolved or whether they're still ongoing, and there were some other unrelated local problems that certainly weren't making life any easier for the people running those establishments around the same time so it's hard to know whether the businesses that have closed were closed because of this. But if nothing else, this use of the legal system by apparently just one single individual has surely caused a huge amount of distress to many good people and possibly cost a lot of businesses what was for them a lot of money without necessarily making anything materially better for the people these laws were supposed to protect.

As the saying goes, this is why we can't have nice things.
Military Officers and Politics: Just Say No
It comes from innumerate journalism, and an innumerate population. Next time someone laughs off being bad at math, you should point out that being unable to read is no laughing matter, and being unable to understand numbers shouldn't be either.

The only sensible way to predict probabilities that aren't extreme is to tell people how the model works and the figures it is currently spitting out. That's is the great thing about these kinds of blog posts, people are kicking the tyres, not just looking at the car.

Nobody predicting a one-off election with a rather special candidate would summarize a 33% chance as equivalent to having no chance.
what? nobody mentioning Koreader? Light years ahead of whatever Nickel reader comes with the thing.
> Bing and DDG don't fall prey to being inundated by SEO blog spam like Google does.

Yeah, if you aren't used enough, it's not worth trying to target you for manipulation. All that really demonstrates is (1) they use different algorithms than Google, so optimizing against Google's algorithm doesn't work on them, and (2) they aren't used enough to be worth gaming separately.
For a post on a blog presumably focused on statistics the author seems oddly concerned with a model that predicts odd events as being "possible". The difference between "possible" and "impossible" is \eps << 1 - there's no real distinction to be made there in practical statistical terms.

Likewise asserting that California with a 3% chance of going Trump is absurd is an unreasonable degree of overconfidence. Assuming maximizing expected return, the author is implying that they would be willing to take a bet that Trump would lose California with odds >> 97::3, i.e. presumably they would take a bet where I bet $1 to every $99 they bet. To be critical of a model based on outcomes it predicts with tiny probability you need truly remarkably biased priors.
My team works on Pigweed [1], which offers a more terminal based approach to embedded development. Instead of working with Make, we use GN [3] as our primary build system (though we also support CMake, and plan to support Bazel).

The "pw watch" command is an integrated watcher that can detect file changes from e.g. vim, then re-build, re-flash your device, and re-run tests according to the dependency graph. I use 2 or 3 STM32F429i Discovery boards to run tests in parallel.

If you're curious, we're giving a workshop [4] at Hackaday's Remoticon; feel free to join or watch the recording after it's up.

[1] https://pigweed.dev

[2] https://pigweed.dev/docs/getting_started.html

[3] https://gn.googlesource.com/

[4] https://hackaday.io/project/175167-remoticon-give-pigweed-a-...
Yes, we should do both things, and the hornet issue is essential spending. But resources are limited, and there are plenty of people don't consider safety-net spending essential. That's my lament, that between hornets and people, few will dispute the necessity of dealing with the first, while plenty will the second.
You know the toys you're shopping for are the coolest when the webpage says their sale is restricted to US citizens and residents only. Is that an ITAR thing?
> DKMS allows for drivers to be installed without breaking the kernel signature.

how is this possible?
Alone again: The epidemic we cannot afford to ignore
And this is why free speech (beyond what the First Amendment guarantees) is important. We shouldn't be having Zuckerberg or Pichai's opinion on the relative moral differences between Leila Khaled and the CCP affect what speech we can hear regarding it.
Here's a 13 year old girl's guided model rocket.[1] It's a moving fin system, so there's not much control until it picks up some speed after launch. Then it stabilizes and goes straight up.

[1] https://youtu.be/kTND_wot9zI
>> Copyright law was created for promoting progress and useful arts.

> No, it wasn't.

The stated purpose of the very first copyright was "for the
Encouragement of Learned Men to Compose and Write useful Books" and "other Writings".

* http://www.copyrighthistory.com/anne.html

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statute_of_Anne
I find it more important that it is backed by Rob Pike.

He doesn't cancel things when he gets bored with them.
To give California some credit, it is slightly physically larger than Japan, has far more open space without people despite the bay area (my first thought was "would they really be willing to wreck the onsens and such that have been there for a thousand years?"), is on active tectonic plates, and has been pretty focused on this for a while.
The answer to that question should result in a nobel prize.
Our industry is flooded with critics who do not contribute.
700W continuous output for a few minutes exerted by a professional: https://youtu.be/S4O5voOCqAQ

(For mere mortals, it will be indeed closer to 100W.)
What an obvious piece of propaganda/recruitment ad. Is GCHQ having such difficulty finding staff?

Cool detail about the Royal Navy and lead-lined code books though.
You're the one that made the comparison of the event in the article to Tiananmen Square. You did this by responding to a comment that was addressing it. You made the comparison because the gp brought up Tiananmen Square as a comparison for Zoom being different. You countered this by saying Google and Facebook are the same because they canceled an event with someone who is classified as a terrorist. Now I'm saying "these two aren't the same, that's not a fair comparison."

Does that clear it up?
>> Oh, and I think there are some people who use version control for the text
of their papers (almost certainly a proper subset of those who are for some
reason writing their papers in Markdown or LaTeX). Unless your paper has a lot
of math in it, I have no idea why anyone would subject themselves to this form
of torture. Let me be the one to tell you that you are no less smart or tough
if you use Google Docs. In fact, some might say you’re more smart, because you
don’t let command-line ethos/ideology get in the way of actually getting
things done… :)

I really don't understand where this is coming from. It sounds like the
reaction of someone forced to do something difficult and time-intensive for no
good reason other than because someone thinks it's "the right way", which I
can get behind. But, from what I can tell, it's just doing a "git add" and
"git commit" every once in a while. Does that really require "command-line
ethos"?

This maybe because I don't really understand how using git to track changes to
your code or text helps reproducibility. Once you have your experiment and
plotting scripts where you want them, reproducibility should be a matter of
making those scripts available to others. Before you are at that point, using
git is useful because you can un-screw mistakes caused by big changes or
changes two or three versions of your code ago. It doesn't help reproduce your
work, just organise it so you don't end up making a big, steaming mess of it.
So maybe I don't understand what the author means by "reproducibility"?

Finally, all the same points the author makes against using version control
apply to software development also, or anyway I don't see why they shouldn't
aply to software development also. Yet, an entire industry seems to agree that
version control saves butts much more than it wastes time and one would
probably be very hard pressed to convince software developers that they don't
need to use version control. So either there's something that entire industry
is getting awfully wrong, or software developers like to "torture" themselves,
or the author is missing something, maybe?
doesn't go stdlib contain an http server library "that you are supposed to use in prod"?
In plain text format though?

AFAIK, most is in PDF, EPUB or mobi format. I'd presume it's not too difficult to extract text from the latter two, but extracting text from PDFs is far from simple, and something you get working for 1 PDF won't necessarily work on another.
Have GNOME devs yet acknowledged that XFCE exists? In one now infamous exchange with Transmission developers a GNOME dev claimed that he didn't even know what XFCE was and, furthermore, that cross platform applications like Transmission should choose whether they would be "GNOME apps or XFCE apps", suggesting that they can't be both. The context of this exchange was that GNOME developer asking that a feature be removed from Transmission because GNOME would no longer support it.

That's just one example, but GNOME has a reputation for not respecting Linux desktop diversity for a reason.
First came legal marijuana, now comes magic mushrooms?
Test was about GNOME, I do not understand what they were expecting. It should be about same on most workloads.