skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Not my area either, but I worked on related problems. The impression I got is that it depends on what you are using the model for, i.e. are you trying to generate forecasts? prediction intervals? detecting anomalies? comparing to human forecasters? All models are wrong, but some are wrong in a useful way.

Also, a big caveat is that the output of those models, even basic ones, are supposed to come with prediction intervals, and not just as points. Libraries like statsmodels are massively guilty of making it hard to use the model like it's supposed to be used.
Seems to me like the future could well be TS/Electron with bindings to Rust for system-level high perf activities. Let the UI scripting language and mature rendering platform do the UI scripting and rendering, and let the high performance systems programming language do the performance-critical system interfacing.

For example, in vscode we do almost everything in TS, but shell out to ripgrep for workspace text search.
Fish are actually made from soil. When it slips from the riverbank into the water it, becomes a fish. At least, this theory plus history is the reason catholics may eat fish on their no-meat Fridays.
They should have a bathtub curve - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bathtub_curve

So you will get some failures but over all they last much longer.
The better experiment would be to start with a Land Value Tax.
ILogger and Null Object Pattern
As someone who had Covid-19 this month and is now technically through it, I can attest that I am not old, and this thing does not go away. Heart palpitations, random bouts of exhaustion, inexplicable random sweating, inability to run for any distance. All of these things are real if you get over this. I am of course hoping these all will eventually go away, but I have no evidence that this 'mild' case did not give me permanent heart and lung damage as it attacked my body persistently over 28 days.
> When they could tell I was reading their garbage but not responding, there was a lot of "tell me why you aren't interested" [...]

I absolutely HATE these. Yes, I saw your email two weeks ago. No, I didn't want to talk to you then. No, if you send me a second email (especially if it's a condescending attempt at a power move like 'I didn't see your response to my last email, please let me know when we can meet up') I will absolutely not ever want to talk to you or buy anything from you.
> The judge presiding over the case disagrees.

This was merely a preliminary hearing, and the judge also suggested the case should go to a jury.
Basically, it's more compact and easier for humans to use than binary or octal when talking about digital (binary, not base 10) numbers. The computers don't care. They just use binary anyway.
And the judge didn’t agree with the theory that Epic proffered that how it is financed should be the distinction.

But if that’s the case, who “finances” the extra four or five years worth of support that iOS devices get over Android devices? Maybe it’s that Apple knows by having more people running the same OS it increases the market for apps. Android OEMs don’t have the same incentives.
Yes, GUIs have both been greatly benefited by the availability of OOP and a great force on the popularization of that paradigm. I think nobody will disagree that GUIs are kinda hard to create in purely structured code, and OOP makes compares much better.

But we are not at the 80's anymore, and have more options now. There is very little you can do with OOP that you can't in Rust, and a whole lot of things Rust adds to it. Just because things evolved this way it does not mean they are optimal.
To be fair, if you think that consistently ignoring potentially civilization-ending issues is the road to mental "health" and focus...you may want to consult a doctor. Yes, THAT kind of a doctor. I am willing to bet you will get quite a lecture on "owning your issues".
This seems like something that is obviously not linear. There are prices that are about quality, then there are prices that are about style, and other objectives.

A $20 shovel is going to be more durable than a $1 shovel. A $15000 solid gold shovel is not going to be, as you arent paying for durability anymore.
Dumb question: Is it possible to make a photovoltaic cell that works with infrared or longer wavelengths? ... Googling says there is research and some claimed results.

In theory, one could have "generate heat, and have the apparatus surrounded by a vacuum, surrounded by infrared photovoltaics" be the new universal backend for power generation. I have no idea about the associated efficiencies, of course.
This is purely anecdotal, but for me every toilet I use in the UK feels like the result of the local plumber trying to invent the toilet for the first time. So many varieties, so many weird ways of getting it to work, most of them failing to do their simple job. Mechanisms plastered behind the wall, using pumps instead of gravity fed tanks, little waterfalls in the bowl that circulate water instead of flush it down. Square bowls, unreachable toilet paper, even pumps to get the waste water out! I don't understand.

Feels like a solved problem in the USA, where a $100 toilet will use 1.3 gallons (~5L) of water to flush away whatever will fit down the tube. And do it through a gravity fed system that works without power and has about two moving parts that are easily accessible and repairable by any dummy that is using the toilet at the time.[1]

Is this a regulatory thing or a cultural thing? I've had so many issues with UK toilets. Why is this a problem.

[1] https://www.lowes.com/pd/AquaSource-Henshaw-White-WaterSense...
There will always be BSNL the state owned telco) with a 10-yr old solution ;)
The case isn’t going to a jury. Both Apple and Epic agreed to a bench trial.

https://www.macrumors.com/2020/09/29/apple-epic-games-no-jur...
> But then you lose that addictive feed of endless content that links people to reddit or Facebook or Instagram. Tough problem

... Which is a good thing. (for the users, at least)
Poverty is complicated. It's not simply income. For example, the book "Evicted" (https://www.evictedbook.com/) details some of the cycles that keep people from being impoverished.

But let's pretend it's as simple as handing out money. How long will it be before the markets adjust? Simply put, rents will certainly increase. The market will be able to bear it.

So again, poverty. It's complicated. Not impossible. But complicated.
I don’t think we’re talking about someone making neutral statements about their favorite color.
Although skilled worker visas should be much easier to come by and the process a hell of a lot less painful, post doc imports are used as cheap labor in the US.

I have some experience to know that post docs come to the US to work at prestigious institutions (e.g. Harvard in association with MGH) and get paid about $50k per year as researchers.

For both H1Bs and researchers, labor import should include stipulations about minimum salary. The current system is highly exploitative.
The only dependency the web configuration tool should bring in is Python, which is already an optional dependency for the manual page completion generator. You can install and run fish without ever running the web configuration.
Cast Your Voice on the Presidential Debate
Too bad Epic’s trial wasn’t held in the court of HN public opinion.
What I like about regular, shorter (12mo vs 18mo) is it helps users exercise their "upgrade muscles".

For those that care, they can establish procedures and then practice them (and improve them) to update their dependencies. This helps immensely down the road when security patches are released or other dependencies have significant updates. It turns such updates into boring non-events.

Otherwise users only update their dependencies due to security threats or dead dependencies, and it always results in a stress-filled circus usually followed by outages & bugs.
A civil case isn’t usually just “thrown out” during a preliminary hearing.
What kind of graphics libraries were you looking for?
Counterpoint for downvoters, the Silverfish: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silverfish
>other people are doing it, therefore it’s ok

K.
yep, i will switch back to only eating it directly, or spread finely and evenly on toast
Not sure which is more overloaded: "apollo" or "spark".
* Why can’t I know how bad/good/muffled my mic is? This should be easy to detect.
Also see OONI’s post on the same topic (the same author was involved in the study): https://ooni.org/post/2020-tls-blocking-india/

References in the post above to CIS also detail some past research.
It's not deep at all, I feel like I'm being way too obvious pointing out that all societies have systems in place for engineering the behavior of of it's members.
> Say it takes 1 year (probably less) from when a bag is created to when it gets thrown away. After it gets thrown away, it takes 100-1000 years to completely decompose. That means bags are entering the landfill faster than they are "leaving" via decomposition.

Supposing for the sake of the argument you're right, that means we need enough landfill space for 500 years' worth of plastic bags. Is that really so much space that it's a problem?
iOS users have already moved on to the next hyped app. There is no “outcry” from iOS users. Epic even admitted that less than 10% of Fortnite players are on iOS.

Are you claiming that all of the articles that quoted the judge are biased?
It really shows. I just switched back to Windows after 10 years of macs, and OBS was a driving factor. Can't believe how powerful and easy to use it is.

I ran my high school's analog TV studio 25 years ago, and we ran a live news broadcast everyday for the lunch room. Effects that took half a room of gear and thousands of watts of power are all a few clicks and sliders away.
I mean, he's comparing the book to the modern Matlab function. How good is Matlab's function then?
> font-family: Joanna, Helvetica Now, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;

Why would someone fallback from a serif font (Joanna) to Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif?
There is no log. OBS "captures" but the image is black while the game sound is there. One common attribute I found for all these games are that they are "true full screen". One example is "Tomb Raider", the series reboot from 2013. OBS 0.659 has no problem capturing my gameplay, while newer versions gives, like I said, black screen on recording.

Quick question if you indulge me: Why was classic discontinued?
>The current system is about cheap labor.

It is not, there a lot of people with extremely sought after skills that doesn't qualify for an O-1 visa (which is also more subjective so never a sure bet) for which H1B is the only option. Me and many other H1Bs were hired into positions with salaries above average for our american peers.

Yes, it is also abused, but saying it's only about cheap labor simply isn't true.
Anecdotal evidence but this improved my lower back pain issues. I was sitting at a desk for many hours a day and didn't really work out. I started by sitting on a stability ball for 10minutes, this allowed me to focus on my posture and would give my muscles time to adjust. I gradually increased the time. It's obviously not as comfortable as a chair and maybe that is also one of its big advantages since it forces you to take a break more often. This was a while ago but I don't think I ever sat exclusively on a ball, it was maybe an hour to three hours a day at the most.
Nowadays I don't have any lower back issues anymore and I regularly exercise, which obviously is much better than symptom treatment by sitting on a ball.
YMMV
Like anything, you get what you measure.

If you're only measuring energy usage, then actually doing the job is irrelevant.
The litigants get to decide whether it goes to a jury. Both Apple and Epic said they didn’t want a jury trial.

https://www.macrumors.com/2020/09/29/apple-epic-games-no-jur...
Zoom shows a huge text overlay if you're speaking while on Mute.

It also has the space bar to temp unmute, basically a tap to speak mode.

I think the UI route for Zoom is wrong though as most users are just lazy and can't be bothered with even minimal effort. So, it should play a loud-ass sound when you speak on mute.

Or just electrocute, to solve humanities problems long term.
could this happen with bitcoin?
Interesting, I hadn't seen that news yet.

But it doesn't change the fact that the judge did suggest during the hearing that the case should go to a jury.

I'm kind of puzzled why Epic doesn't want a jury.
Well, yeah. The presentation showed emergent new ways to place calls. Not sure how this contradicts the original point that iPhone was an evolution of the cell phone.
And another, I use Vim Vixen:

https://github.com/ueokande/vim-vixen

https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/vim-vixen/
> What job do you have that requires you to make in app purchases in a video game?

If it were just games on iOS I wouldn't care at all about it. They could do whatever they want.

It's business / productivity apps where I think it's a bad deal for everyone but Apple / Google. About 10-15 years ago I used to get a decent number of referrals for small businesses that wanted to turn part of their business process into an app. At the time mobile wasn't huge, so a single desktop app was the only thing on anyone's mind back then.

At that time, I told everyone it wasn't worth spending their money to have a custom app built for some small back office process they wanted to simplify. However, at the time I believed app development was going to evolve to the point where it would be practical to do that type of thing.

Boy was I wrong. Mobile happened and the rest is history. Now it's even more expensive to develop an app because you actually might need to develop 2-4; iOS, Android, Windows, Mac.

Web apps really took off because of that, but I think it was more of a result of being "un-block-able" than being the best technology. Thinks like Adobe Air and JavaFX come to mind as better technologies. JavaFX especially comes to mind because it was (and still is) possible to set up a pretty nice development process with it. However, it never really went anywhere which is a combination of Oracle sucking and Steve Jobs wanting to "kill" Java.

If iOS was an open platform and Oracle could have put JavaFX onto it, we'd have a _significantly_ different app landscape today. IMO we currently have "lesser" app ecosystems as a result of the locked down platform(s) IMO.

Getting back to my boutique app fantasy, I don't think it'll ever be possible without changes to platform policies. With the locked down app stores I can't _guarantee_ a customer I can deliver an app for them and I can't risk the cost on my own. There's also a perception that you _need_ an app even though something like a PWA would be fine for most LoB apps. A lot of apps are just web apps wrapped in an app bundle, but being on the app store is what's needed to be successful. Apple's not really doing anything for the developer in those cases except giving them permission to have their wrapped app appear on the app store.

Fantrax is a good example of a pretty solid PWA where they had to have "apps" as a result of popular demand even though there's not much difference between their PWA and the "app" AFAIK.
Even with PWAs though you need to (in effect) rely on Apple's blessing because they control the engine on their platform.
def not. if Apple built on the bitcoin cloud we would never see this mess :p
History demonstrates otherwise. Not one country generates the majoirty of their power from solar or wind. By comparison, France and Belgium generate the majority of their electricity from nuclear power. Similarly the claim that nuclear is too slow to build is false. France constructed the majority of their reactor fleet over the course of 15 years.

Solar and wind are only viable with storage. Hydroelectric storage is currently the most popular, but it's geographically limited. Batteries don't provide anywhere near the scale of storage requires. The US would need 12 hours of storage to reach 80% renewable generation and 3 weeks of storage to reach 100% renewable generation [1]. The US consumes 11.5 TWh of electricity daily. But global lithium ion battery production is only 300 GWh per year [2]. Even if we contributed 100% of global battery production to grid storage in the US, it would take 800 years to fulfill 3 weeks of storage. Sure, battery production is set to increase to 2,000 GWh per year some time in 2030, but that only brings this time down to 120 years. And remember, this is just the storage demands for the United States.

If we're worried about the time it takes to decarbonize, then solar and wind are very poor choices.

1. https://pv-magazine-usa.com/2018/03/01/12-hours-energy-stora...

2. https://cleantechnica.com/2019/04/14/global-lithium-ion-batt...
As a personal goal: yes, very rewarding. The signing night is also very pleasant. You get to meet a lot of people.

As a money maker: no. Not even close.
They have what one could call outsized presence at industry trade shows. At least for a new player in an old industry.

As for Cakewalk, Gibson killed them off alongside a bunch of other stupid acquisitions they made in the early 2010s. The Bandlab acquisition was just IP apparently. Personally I'd be surprised if it cost more than low 7 figures.
This isn't an academic reactor. MIT is involved because they did the theory work, but it's venture funded with a plan to build a working reactor in a few years.
I started the phone, put the pin in and triggered the upgrade.

After the upgrade completed there is an only an option to put in a email/password for icloud and there is no "skip" or "do later" button I could find.

I'm pretty derpy but I can tell you it is true.
They should, but I'm not sure they do - unless the bathtub curve is extremely shallow. It's not like I have a 100 bulbs in my house such that 3-5 failures is acceptable.
Only if you lose your private key.
As an aside, that's quite a nice and concise status page, considering the number of discrete services they provide.
I think they're using Yttrium (i.e. YBCO), right? It's hard to find that info.
This page (as of writing) says iMessage isn't affected, but anecdotally, while I've been able to send text over it, images have been failing to send for about an hour.
You could always try disconnecting the antenna that goes to the wireless module instead.
There were app stores for feature phones where you could download J2ME apps way before the iPhone came out. Sprint ran one.
This, after yesterday Microsoft's auth servers and other services went down. Are the citadels under attack?
Jeez, AWS, Azure, Google, and now iCloud. I don’t generally align myself with conspiracies, but it is very interesting to me that all 4 of these tech giants had severe issues recently
Games That Push the Limits of the Super NES
Yup, I'm tired of this political propaganda popping up
Which problem is xenophobia a solution for?
Of course we wouldn’t see it, it would be closed source
Strawman, but no, it isn't my only measure.
The one thing that is guaranteed is that if your M.O. is to ignore the issues that threaten to cause nationwide (or global) collapse then things will never get fixed. I am astounded to see several comments in this thread that are basically the approach the crew of sinking Titanic embraced - i.e. the ship is sinking and the people are running around like headless chickens so we better get those bands ready and playing festive music. Unbelievable!
https://youtu.be/oaqHdULqet0?t=75
I wonder if they leverage iCloud services under the hood for images.
Dear not a big enough fish,

We know. We're ok with this. Your support cost would likely outweigh your account fees. Please do indeed go elsewhere! :)
Today’s session with the judge shows the immense difficulty epic is going to face as this plays out.
I'm no expert on frogs or boiling, but I would say the moment the frog is 100c all the way through. There seems to be a defined thing that makes it a boiled frog, but that doesn't seem to be the situation in the Epic v Apple case.
ITER is not obsolete even if better magnet designs are now possible. It's an incredibly huge and complex project with many critical details. It's literally spawned 10's of thousands of research papers. It's a pathfinding project with far more value than just this one aspect.
"Find My device" is down too. Imagine if I lose my iPhone at the moment and if I cannot find it, will Apple reimburse my loss?
Electric propulsion is very cool in and of itself.

If the goal is to fly without adding CO2, there are other approaches as well, though.

One could synthesize fuel usable by nornal existing airplanes from atmospheric CO2. This would require a lot of CO2-free energy though.

There is an ongoing project [1] by US NAVY to turn seawater into jet fuel. This way we would not need to burn fossil fuels and would not need to throw away much of existing aviation technology.

[1] https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-07/uor-lch07152...
Psychological side effects aside, the economic math really points towards UBI. Current economic strategies really favor constant consumer spending to keep the wheel turning, and one of the best ways to do so is to make sure the bottom layer is fed.

We haven't gotten here by accident either. What about raising the minimum wage? What about lowering interest rates? Its a sign that people including the wealthy and powerful are worried about an economic collapse. I don't think the labor participation rate or psychological ramifications are really on their minds as much as their fear of economic loss.
Firefox is forcing to reissue thousands of certificates
Because of the misinterpretation of Baseline Requirements for stateOrProvinceName field lot of CAs issued certificates with ST = Italy/France/etc. Now Firefox is forcing to reissue thousands of certificates in 5 days.
yes.

Because bitcoin still needs infrastructure to be useful to normal humans.

Think of bitcoin like pay pal[1]. Paypal or bitcoin itself doesn't help you if store is down.

[1] Not really but its 3am and that's the best i can come up with
I was in the same boat. Switched to a T495 ThinkPad with AMD Ryzen 7 PRO 3700U w/ Radeon Vega 10 Gfx, and now my macs feel like toys. Unbelievable power. Would never imagine a laptop could do any of things OBS is able to deliver without breaking a sweat.
"Don't trust your intuition". This should be the basis for all teaching in statistics and probability. If all goes wrong, it should be the one thing everyone remembers from their statistics education.
And yet year after year, everyone is starting with E(X)=sum(x*P(x)) and has no idea what it was about afterwards.

With calculus and linear algebra your gut feel is about right no average. You can quickly get a feel for trajectories, acceleration and distances (derivatives and integrals), areas, volumes, amounts, etc. But on probability your gut-feel will always fool you.

In the end, you see a handful of math bloggers bemoaning the lack of education in probability and the nonsense being discussed by journalists and politicians. And it hardly matters whether it's an election or a pandemic. The lack of understanding of uncertainty and the false belief that one can reason about these without looking at the numbers too closely is dangerous.

Sorry about the rant. But...

Dear creator of seeing-theory.brown.edu,
if there is one thing you could change about the project to make it different and infinitely more useful: Please start the first chapter with the goat problem[1], then go through a couple of examples from chapter 10 in Thinking Fast and Slow[2], the discuss information (maybe with a simplified version of Mendel's pea experiment[3]), discuss distributions and leave expectations and variances for much-much later.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem
[2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thinking,_Fast_and_Slow
[3]: https://www.sciencelearn.org.nz/resources/1999-mendel-s-expe...
This is a vast oversimplification, and not a particularly useful way of thinking about it.

See my other brief comment: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24634894