skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Requiring the whole world to change instead of just changing a choke point like three major browsers is an unreasonable ask and only postpones actual progress.

Nothing is tangible to anyone until something is broken.
No downtime is acceptable, but they have only one server?

What if a technical failure happen? What if there's a fire in the server room? What if there is an earthquake and the building collapses? What if... many things can happen that can result in a long, long downtime with this tactics.

If uptime is so crucial, the system should be setup in such way that moving one server should be a peace of cake, not a spec-ops mission.
Yes, this is indeed about the low bond yields paired with inflation expectation - low real yields.

But I would not hold my breath that this changes much after Corona. In 2019 the Fed tried quantitative tightening, which resulted in the December stock market correction, and a big overnight lending spike. From there they resumed QE (Which was one day supposed be a temporary measure in the great financial crisis).
They did drop interest rates again in response to Corona, though. Not before.

J Powell already promissed rates would stay as low as they are for 2 years.

But right now the yields of the 10 year, e.g. are going below what a new issue should yield I believe.

Gold/Silver should lose some steam when the DXY goes up, or bond yields increase. (Both of which should also have a negative influence on stock and bond prices).

Also don't marry the idea of inflation to the CPI.
There is asset inflation (think housing market and stock market), and inflation in certain products like food. But other things like transportation (perhaps of lower importance to poorer than for rich).
It's not a black and white matter.
Excuse my ignorance, on what layer do we need IPv6 when deploying our apps/systems/whatever on AWS? Is IPv4 becoming a severe problem for such things?
Deploy a React App on Cloudflare Workers
Is the Chinese cyber threat not real? The United States, Russia and China are the largest producers of state sanctioned attacks by a significant margin. You are painting me as some sort of bigot when in reality I have a perfectly legitimate reason to be concerned. I have every right and reason to feel the way I do. I would support similar sentiment of any Chinese or Russian citizen who uses an American product. They can be cautious too, it won't hurt my feelings. We all make the best decision we can with the information we currently have.

Moreover, my TikTok information has already been compromised which pairs nicely with my SF-86 data that was also compromised with the OPM attacks. Why did I decide to even use the application to begin with you might ask? I chose to because I didn't want to rule out what is otherwise one of the most popular social media platforms in the country because of my own bias. TikTok is by far my favorite social media application I just no longer choose to use it. I will watch the TikTok content that trickles down into YouTube for the time being. I have no means to verify authenticity of your statement that the owner of TikTok is some sort of 'outspoken globalist' who condemns the Chinese government. All the while operating one of the largest growing social media companies based out of a communist country. If the US data is segregated from the Chinese based data centers then why did I start receiving text messages with Chinese characters in it within several days of downloading the application and creating an account? Was it all a coincidence? I would be naive to not believe that it was simply coincidental however it is damning.

Let me make my next point abundantly clear since you made some significant assumptions about my character. My concerns are rooted in a lack of trust with the Chinese government to keep my best interests in mind as a citizen of the United States.
Use pass: https://www.passwordstore.org
I agree with this, but to play devil's advocate (and something I have not resolved internally yet):

Assume a model states there is a 99% likelihood something will occur.

Now the data changes, and the likelihood drops to 1%.

Was the original model "correct" insofar that there was a 99% likelihood of something occurring (given the information it had at the time)? Or should it have "priced in" the fact that data may change substantially, and 99% was far too overconfident?

How are we supposed to interpret variability in model estimates? Do we throw up our hands and say "the data changed"? Or do we hold the models somewhat accountable, saying - no, you weren't "right at the time, given your data". If your estimates are changing so strongly, you are wrong. A 99% estimate that drops to 1% is simply, undeniably "unreliable."

In this case, we somewhat care about "model robustness", but how does this extrapolate to situations where the data changing _should in fact_ impact the model substantially?

I suspect the answer necessitates a deeper look into the nature of probability, risk and uncertainty.
There have been plenty of stories of hollow gold bars and, true or not, they've been trending again lately.

Gold hasn't always or everywhere been real money, I've personally worked on an archeology site where I sifted out a tiny shell bead with an even tinier hole punched in it so it could attached to a string like ancient Chinese coins and so on.

I once read a claim that J.P. Morgan said something like money is only worth the character of the person who wields it.

I feel more like interactions with other people are more precious than precious metals.

If the dollar hyperinflates, some people will go into bunkers. I'd maybe starve or hide... I don't have a plan, I'm way behind on stuff as it is.
This seems to create an interesting security loophole. If someone figures out our GitLab password (i.e. by looking over our shoulder), they can just log in, enable MFA and we are locked out, forever.

Think about this. Any criminal who gets access to your Gitlab account can make it impossible for you to access it ever again.

If I used GitLab, I would seriously consider moving somewhere else.
Yeah, I will have a look into that. I bought my gold in 2009 so not much to complain. Luckily, if it's securely stored it's hard to get stolen. 100% sure gold is better protected than your typical bonds/stock at the high street bank.
Hyperinflation is the phenomenon when people wake up and realise that real estate and prices rising is not a function of real prices increasing but rather their money losing value. We already have extreme asset price inflation (not to mention the rapid expansion of the monetary base). In my opinion it is only a matter of time before people realise what is going on, start dumping their dollars/euros/pounds/etc., and use something else for their daily transactions and savings, probably crypto at first. It is worth noting that every fiat currency throughout history, without exception, has eventually hyperinflated and collapsed to nothing.
Generally other people's misinformation should not be shared without some kind of disclaimer that it isn't true
Remind me of how IBM positions mainframes: they are so highly available that you simply never let them shut down.
YouTube Music is _such_ complete trash I'm planning on canceling my subscription altogether and going to Spotify. It uses YouTube videos to back up your song library which means, in my experience:

1) streams are of FAR lower and more variable quality

2) Some of the weird and wonderful music that was on Google Music is nonexistent on YouTube

3) COPYRIGHT STRIKES from YouTube videos apply to your music library(!?)

The whole transition is a horrible idea, and I wish they would have canned it.
Maybe I am just bad at it but I can't get anything done DIY to fit properly. It's always off by like 1-2mm which means holes don't align, there's a gap in the baseboard, etc. I have to throw the entire part away and then pay someone to do it properly.

Unless a 3d printer or CNC machine is responsible for the accuracy you better count me out.
Doesn't seem helpful to use the term green threads here. This isn't a JVM with green threads (those are a thing of the past as I understand it). They're using plain old OpenJDK, and they're ensuring the GC gets a CPU core to itself.

Neat that they were able to get a dramatic improvement in GC latencies on both G1 and ZGC.

No mention of the Shenandoah GC. Would the same trick help out there too?
That works where you have control over all of the timeouts and failure detection at every level and layer. TCP keepalives, for example, could thwart you. Or client side timeouts, or firewall connection state tables, etc.

5 minutes of unplanned downtime in a pub/sub setup could easily go unnoticed, since that setup is typically tuned for long timeouts and/or repeated retries.
Benefits of Booking App for your business
Google Engineers Propose “Machine Function Splitter” for Faster Performance
I understand why socialism appeals to people when they see so much suffering and inequality in the world. What I do not understand is why any scholars would cling to the labour theory of value in light of such things as multi-billionaire startup founders.

It should be pretty clear to anyone at this point that all you need is a laptop, programming skills, a good idea, and a lot of luck to become a billionaire. You don’t need thousands, let alone millions, of employees labouring for you.
A lot of server are SSD-only these days which make them less fragile. Still, I really wouldn't see myself pushing a running server in a cart.
I'm genuinely surprised my Pixel 3 phone had no problems with it in Chrome. That was a lot of video.
I get the impression traders very deliberately don't put things like that in email explicitly so it can't be proven.

There's a scene in one of my favourite movies Margin Call

"I'm well aware of the fucking time Sam, I'm telling you, you need to see this"

"See What? Email it to me"

"I don't think... that that would be a good idea...."

"I'm on my way"

https://youtu.be/W7Jqwpnw9Lo?t=23
QCrypt 2020 Conference Video Playlist
Some of those are involved in the OSINT community where they do this as their day job, because analysing random strange explosions can sometimes tell you things about military weapons development programs that aren't otherwise advertised.
It's been done 7 years ago even using public transport.

https://www.reddit.com/r/uptimeporn/comments/1kf26r/moving_a...
Your trolling is too obvious.
What happens when the content of a downvote comment itself violates the rules?
Author here. I agree with some of your concerns.

From the post:

> The mind doesn’t always work like Bayes Theorem prescribes. There’s lots of things Bayes can’t explain. Don’t try to fit everything you see into Bayes rule. But wherever beliefs are concerned, it’s a good model to use. Find the best beliefs and calibrate them!

The one concern I'm really interested by, and don't understand, is this:

> There are thus lots of reasons to believe that we do not think and should not think in a Bayesian way.

Can you give an example that can serve as motivation to read the entire paper linked?
Change the whole governmental bodies. Build a new constitution. Hold new elections. Create a government that acts and builds, not one that talks and promises. Something that can lift this poor, small, desperate country out of its misery. I'm hoping for such changes...
Plex on AWS? ehhh
“Free market” isn’t “free everything”. In a free market the bid-ask spread is king. It’s just another kind of tyranny, which, like all such things, benefits those who are set up to take advantage of it, and leaves most others in the dust.
The story of Alan Turing and his plan for securing his wealth comes to mind:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-markets-saft/saft-on-weal...
A quick search of "GDPR opt-in" suggests that it isn't.

Some nuances might exist due to Brexit, but I think the differences don't apply in this case (see https://www.cookiebot.com/en/uk-gdpr/ ).
I think the op is saying, unlike its often presented, by learning Bayes youre not "discovering the truth about how to update beliefs from data". I.e. its not a panacea, its a framework with strengths and weaknesses.

Recall, most statisticians are not Bayesian. Most science is not Bayesian and its not because everyone is naive or just too stupid to see. The Bayesian approach is well known and long standing but it takes using it in anger to see what it is good for and what it is not.
Next Phase of Encode Finds More Functional Information in Genome “Junk”
The correct fix is to make the better option less annoying. You can do this today with WebAuthn. Here's the steps to sign in to a WebAuthn-enabled site with say a Pixel 2:

1. Go to the site
2. Touch the "Sign in" button
3. When prompted touch the fingerprint sensor

That's it. Did a bunch of complicated stuff happen? Yes, but the user didn't do any of that, so they needn't care.
There is a reason one learns about it in high school after all.
BP unveils plans to shift away from fossil fuels
The rate of new gold being dug up roughly matches global population increase. ~2% p.a.
>civilized trading

Does that mean dumping money into Vanguard or something else?
In Japan, consumer Internet is generally IPv6 first since years. For my ISP, I get IPv6 directly but have to configure a provided ipip6 tunnel (or set up my own) to get external IPv4 connectivity.
Authentication too. Do we really want every app rolling its own auth? Sure it's nowhere near as bad as attempting to roll your own crypto, but there's still plenty of room for error.

Throw in things like caching, background jobs, notifications, scheduled tasks etc., and a general purpose framework is often a very good choice—especially for a language like PHP which does not handle asynchronous operations nicely.

Could I write my own versions of that stuff that only does exactly what I need? Sure, but why would I? It would take valuable time away from actually solving the problem at hand, and I can guarantee what I write wouldn't be as good as the stuff hundreds of people have worked on for several years.
I think the author hasn’t accurately described the workflow where reproducible builds are used.

Here’s my attempt.

There are three entities:

1. The vendor, who creates and _distributes_ a product, which may include software, to the end user

2. The end user, who receives the product from the vendor, operates the product, and trusts one or more verifiers to correctly certify the product according to some standard that the user desires

3. Verifiers, who receive proprietary access to the vendor’s product (e.g. source code) and check that the product meets a set of standards and assert that fact to the users

Note that verifiers are NOT in the job of distributing products to users. That’s a hard job and it seems understandable to me if verifiers don’t want that job.

Reproducible builds help link a specific version of source code that a verifier certified to a specific product being operated by a user. Without it, the user trusts the vendor much more than with it.

Yes it adds brittleness and delay (see FIPS 140 certification). These are use case specific trade offs that only users can judge.

In the case where some facts about the source code can be formally verified, reproducible builds support that trust relationship much better. I might go so far as to say that reproducible builds are essential for trusting formal verification.

You can also imagine a software supply chain that includes more steps than a simple vendor -> user relationship. Much of the proprietary software used today include libraries from third party vendors. There are integrators that add their own special sauce. The supply chain looks more like: vendor -> vendor -> ... -> vendor -> end user.

Imagine each vendor has their own set of verifiers responsible for certifying that vendor’s output.
I’m having a hard time following what “zero downtime most of the time, actually” really means.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=IKiSPUc2Jck&t=81s
To mirror fauigerzigerk's point: The power demand is already being met by the existing system. How could you profit by burning the oil immediately for power generation?
Sure, neither can paper money be eaten. Well, it can, but it is not nutritious. All the problems of gold are the same with paper money, there's no need to type the wheelbarrow story again. And gold might've not been useful in germany, but other places did take your gold. No one took Reichsmarks.

If you are storing a million 'dollars' in assets then you are not storing a million 'dollars', you are storing assets currently valued at one million dollars OR also 500oz of gold.
My rule of thumb is to "mostly never" subclass anything from the framework. No point in wiring all the components manually, I use the base framework installation, but organize all the namespaces to my liking (mostly modules divided into 4 layers).

If someone codes big projects like in the Symfony tutorial, he's going to have a bad time.
Do you feel that there's only one woman in the field who does deserve to be there?
There have absolutely been cases in history where other forms of "money" have been used, but in a long enough timescale of a civilisation, gold and silver are organically adopted as money due to their unique properties that make them suited for it. Fiat, shell beads, and other forms of currency are exceptions to the rule.
> Compensated more than their non-PoC colleagues for doing the same work?

How is being a token at career fairs "the same work"? The point is that Black employees are being asked to spend time on activities that do not lead to raises and promotions in the company. In other words, they're asked to sacrifice their own personal career to make the company look more diverse than it is.
I suspect it would have helped initially, but then it becomes an arms-race.
> If the prior is arbitrary anyways you could also stick to your unknown prejudice

One way to think about a prior is to make your prejudices transparent rather than unknown.
The Indiana Bell building move is pretty impressive. http://www.paul-f.com/ibmove.html
> regular people aren’t equipped to store gold in their homes

I don't see why not?

I have never had a break-in, but if I did I'm sure I could hide a few kilos well enough that a regular burglar would never find it.

Either way, my gold is in a bank vault, which seems safe enough, but I honestly would not be too worried storing it at home.
Caleb Pressley of Barstool Sports on Creating Viral Internet Content
The whole setup is risky. And a customer who demands a 0 downtime while driving price down on the setup, sounds stupid from the start.
gives me https://theouterlimits.fandom.com/wiki/Music_of_the_Spheres vibes
Password for editing is not worth it, but a password for reading will be totally worth it.
Corrupt politicians should work without pay for 5-10 years and all wealth confiscated.
This is exactly what I do. And for the precise reason that I don't trust some cloud based third party service to not become unavailable for reasons beyond my control, which is exactly what's happened here. Disk storage and backup for 400-500GB of mp3 and aac is cheap.
> You don’t need thousands, let alone millions, of employees labouring for you.

Name a company with a billion dollars in revenue that is, or could be, operated solely by someone with a laptop and programming skills.
Assets of last resort include things like water, food, air...
I don't care how high up you are on your infosec high horse, but the likelihood and potential damage caused by a developer losing access to their 2F device is far higher in nearly every scenario than someone being hacked.

The only correct response to this is for companies to make it against internal policy for developers to enable 2FA. Which is sad.
I’m sure you’re right, although I’m not convinced that anything like human consciousness will be reproduced, which is a shame.
Gold is very dense. $1M in gold is 25x 20-coin tubes of 1oz coins @$2000 per coin, which is probably around an 8" square surface area 6" tall. Bottom of pretty much any standing safe you can buy (typical gun safe, e.g.).

Most consumer gold trading is done in grams, tenths quarters and half an ounce, outside of numismatic (old real gold coins, not bullion) due to its insane cost, it's easier to move assayed grams@$50 than $2000 single ounce coins for "regular" people. Also because it's easier to fake in larger ingots and XRF devices are very expensive, smaller assayed quantities move fast and are traded heavily.
Can you explain why "the data generating process of the real world is totally not obivious" is a problem for Bayesians but not frequentists?
Down?

> Not Found on Accelerator
> Description: Your request on the specified host was not found. Check the location and try again.
Then again, my decision to order a pizza doesn't hinge on whether I have to wait an extra 5 seconds for the initial payload.

But it does hinge on how good the delivery website is though. If you haven't been to a pizza website in the past 10 years, let me point out they are complex with interactive drag-and-drop build-your-own-pizza wizards. Better client-side tech helps build those features to sell more pizzas.

How does your envisioned alternative help sell more pizzas than the heavy-client approach that pizza corporations have decided on?
In this case the DB engine was not the place for those improvements, as the majority of the extra time was being spent in the "Compile" method which merely composes SQL. If you're worried about turning the ORM into a smart sql generator, having second thoughts about that, in Rails and in ActiveRecord, I'd have to say that ship has already sailed. The ORM is very smart and usually generates pretty good SQL for you. It's never a bad idea to review what it generated and double check based on your own DB knowledge, which might always be better informed than a robot's, but...

Early in the profiling part of the talk Aaron shows how he nearly got hoodwinked into thinking that differences in the query itself were what was causing the slowdown, and while in the end two different queries are still generated by the two different versions of ORM code, the bulk of the performance capture is reclaimed without any impact from the query difference, at least a ~30% performance discrepancy comes solely from the object side of the equation, in Ruby.

(Is it a string or integer parameter? That might make a difference in the query performance... is it one bound array parameter, or one parameter binding per array element? That could only make a difference on the Ruby side, as bound SQL params are always mapped into a query as individual values, at least in this example. These factors are all in play.)

It's a long talk but it's really interesting, (I set a time index in the link to get you past the most frivolous and off-topic parts, which you usually find in a tenderlove talk... that part is not for everyone) I think this talk probably has something for everyone, even if you're not a Rails dev.