skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The Milankovitch cycles[1] almost certainly play a significant role. The arrangement of the continents also has a huge effect on climate, because an Earth with only one large ocean transfers heat much differently than one with two major oceans. It's largely because of the positions of the continents, including a large polar continent, that we are still in an ice age[2]. However an event like a massive volcanic discharge could conceivably start a positive feedback loop of cooling. Since ice has a high albedo, we could get a runaway, well, snowball effect.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quaternary
Steam did not offer refunds at all until they came into trouble for it in Australia and the EU. That is what regulations are for.
IMO, this post betrays both a biased assumption -- that real reason anyone would buy an AR-pattern rifle is a desire to kill others, with varmint management as an excuse, and an ignorance -- that bears would fall under varmint management.

I'll address the latter first. The wildlife that tends to be classified as varmints, prairie dogs, rabbits, possums, raccoons, coyotes, wild hogs etc, all tend to have less body mass than humans. Any intermediate cartridge is sufficient. Any common handgun cartridge would probably also be sufficient, though there are at least two problems with the that: 1. A handgun cartridge may not have enough power to quickly drop larger varmints like coyotes or hogs. 2. And even out of something like a pistol-caliber carbine (think an AR or similar compact rifle chambered for pistol rounds) handgun rounds tend to be limited in their practical effective range compared intermediate cartridges. This forces one to get closer to the varmint in question to take the shot. For smaller varmints, like prairie dogs or rabbits, this means that they bolt away and you won't be able to take the shot. For larger varmints, like raccoons, coyotes, or hogs, this means that the critter might decide it's sick of your shit and attack. You might not think it, given the relative size between raccoons and humans, but raccoons can punch well above their weight and absolutely can cause significant injuries to a human.

All of the critters above tend to top-out at body masses less than a human. Compare bears, which can equal the body mass of a human as juveniles, and tend to top out at body masses well in excess thereof. If you shot a bear with an intermediate cartridge and didn't have the luck to have your first shot be a lethal one, you have now wounded, and angered, the bear. You thought raccoons or hogs were dangerous when pissed off.

Now for motivation -- that the real reason to own an AR-pattern rifle is to have something very suitable for killing people. Um, I don't know how to break this to you, but just about any common handgun cartridge bigger than .32 ACP is very suitable for killing people, this is not something unique or special about an AR-15. But I won't pretend that it isn't quite capable of such -- it absolutely is. Were I to find myself in a home defense situation, I would reach for an AR over a handgun or shotgun -- more power than the former, and more precise than the latter. I'm not going to pretend that such is any more likely a scenario than a global plague disrupting food supply chains. But, I suppose keeping a few weeks of water, food and batteries on hand also makes me an irrational weirdo.

Finally, you may have heard the phrase, "all interesting behavior is overdetermined". With regards to the large market for AR-pattern rifles, this means that for any one AR owner, they will have one or more of a myriad of reasons to own an AR -- including as a raised middle finger to those who would wring their hands about the AR's unique suitability for murder and that its ownership should be banned or restricted. For good or for ill, open defiance of overbearing busybodies has been a part of the American psyche for a long time.
I have mixed feelings about this and understand there are cases where it is unfair and where it is a fair penalty.

I see the case where your child spend money via an in-app purchase in Roblox. Where The kid buys USD 1k in robux and the Roblox app never complain... Where we are using two factor authentication and all kind of measures to protect credit card purchases. So, I think you can blame Roblox or Apple for not adding these measures. This is like a dark pattern hidden in the "frictionless" payments via apps.
Most of the tools/languages which are used heavily in enterprise world will continue to exist.

e.g

Java / C#/ C++ / JavaScript / Python

Oracle / SQL Server

Unix / Linux / Windows

SAP / ERP Systems / Mainframes / Cobol

Apart from this, We will see lot of changes the way we do development. We will see lot of improvement in automation / No Code / RPA etc
Power is power, and power needs to be accountable to those subject to that power. A company that makes commodity screws and bolts has no power over me: I can find a different commodity screw and bolt company. A company providing key tech infrastructure had quite a bit of power over me. We live in an information society. Why should a few people in the bay area unilaterally get to kick people out of that society?

Common carrier regulations on railroads provide a model for regulating critical tech infrastructure that happens to be privately held. I'm as big a fan as it gets of the capitalist market-based way of organizing society, but even I acknowledge that at large scales, companies need to play by a different set of rules, one that makes them accountable to the public. The alternative is essentially the subversion of democracy. You can take a purist approach to corporate autonomy all the way to its natural feudal end, but I'm not going with you.
Reminds me of the Lindy Effect, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect.

So, things that are old but still around are more likely to still be around: Unix, SQL, emacs / vim, fan-favorites lisp and forth ...

Web / CSS frameworks / mobile frameworks are less likely to be around.
The switch hardware is pretty much a Nvidia Tegra X1 reference platform.

The last mainline console they designed was the SNES, albeit they've been designing almost all of the mobile consoles.
The thing is, depending on the power dynamics in your family, she might or might not lose a lot by not having a job.

If she's a homemaker, you have the ability, if not the desire, to hold all of the purse strings and possibly, in effect, monopolize all of the power to make decisions for the family - where to live, what to buy, where and when to travel....

If she works, even only earning $12k, her position in the family (when you're a controlling husband) is greatly strengthened.

To be clear, I'm sure YOUR actual relationship with your specific wife is much more egalitarian, so being a homemaker probably works well for her.
Apple's view is that the third party software that runs on their phones, which they provide to you and which they charge you for, very much is a feature of their phones.

I agree it's a tool and you should control how it's used, but you're demanding that Apple implement specific features for you that they don't want to implement. How do you intend to coerce them into doing that? Who gets to specify precisely how those features are implemented?

I agree that what you do with your phone after you bought it should be up to you. If you can find a way to jailbreak it, I think you should be allowed to do that. In fact I've jai-broken iPhones and iPod Touches before. However I don't think I have a right to tell apple how they make their products, or to force them to implement features for me that I get to specify.
For example: oversensitive people like to dismiss concerns before they've taken a single second to hear or understand them. Actually listening to people and engaging with their words instead of the reader leaning into their biases and hurt feelings about the subject would improve communication on the internet.

It wasn't a:

>> "funny, novel toy"

This was someone trying to build a business on guessing gender based on meaningless data. It did a very poor job even before considering the ethical issues. It couldn't even get it right with the name of the person behind it.
Tab Tosser automatically closes tabs I have ignored for too long to free myself of digital clutter (with some safety features).

https://www.jeremiahlee.com/tab-tosser/

Admittedly, I made it, but other people seem to enjoy it and Apple thought it was such a great idea that it later built the functionality into Safari.
Yeah, the "individual motivation" bug still really hasn't been fixed in most pure non-capitalist economic system proposals IMO. That's why I think a blend works best -- like what you see a lot in Europe.
The Church of England is a state supported institution headed by the monarch. It's positions are those of the head-of-state. The US does not have an official state church and it's head of state is not by right the head of any church. Or to put it another way, the Queen could change CoE policy by the same means Henry VIII created it.

The smugness is talking about the US like it is the UK. Nearly 300 million Europeans live in countries with constitutional bans on same sex marriage.

Pulse happened less than two miles from the house where my parents live. Where I grew up. In 1991 I had arthroscopic surgery in a building on the same block but fronting Kaley. In the 80's I worked in a sandwich shop on the next block north on Orange Ave, had a friend with an apartment on Esther two houses down on the other side of Orange Ave. I took a date to eat in the building Pulse was in during High School...it was an Italian restaurant for many many years. I went to the site two months after the shooting while visiting my parents.

One of my high-school soccer teammates at the high school a mile down the road from Pulse was a youth coach on the girls side of the Orlando Lions academy. I was at the Lions first home game in 2015. I've been around Orlando's soccer culture since 1977.

The WSL team is called "The Pride." It's a double-entendre. For the Lions and for Gay Pride. The rainbow seats aren't military propaganda ala poppy pinning. Yes, they honor the victims of Pulse. They honor them by recognizing that the shooting was an act of hate. An act of homophobia. They honor the victims by asserting that the hate at Pulse affected all Orlandoeans because it was hate.

I know people who went to Pulse while it was Pulse. My siblings have friends who were directly touched by the shooting. What I said about Pulse makes me sick, but not in the way you impute.

San Francisco has had domestic partnerships since 1990. California since 1999. Vermont since 2000. Stonewall is a National Monument created by Obama.

England is about the same size as Alabama. And perhaps more provincial. The Orlando Pride is full of "out footballers". And though Robbie Rogers had to leave English football for coming out, he had full public support by the MLS and was able to resume his career here.
To put it in abstract, the "other side of things" currently wants me, as a part of the minority group, either dead or without my rights, while its representatives in the big politics are currently busy defending the police force which actively discriminates against ethnic minorities and commits literal crimes on the streets while violating the first amendment conservatives supposedly uphold.

With that in mind, a bunch of conservatives being afraid according to a report by the Koch-funded organisation is not my problem.
If you go interview few collage age girls, they'll will tell you:

1. I want to study

2. Get a job

3. Date between the education/career

4. Travel the world (she will not say travel with her boyfriend or partner)

5. Marry and have kid (most will not talk about kid or marriage at all) but a few will.

But realistically it takes a 20 year old girl atleast 15 years to achieve all that she listed. Most of the times it's not even possible for many of them.

That gives you age of 35 when they start thinking about marriage or kids. From there fertility doesn't cooperate with you and sometimes it even gets hard to find a commited partner.

But marriage and kid is the last thing on their list and the things that come before it are not easy, not feasible for everyone to travel world.
Or if the same person buys the app again later (maybe using a different Apple ID) then you lose 60$ out of the money they would have paid for your app - to view it a different way.
No stripe doesn't. They used to but not for a while now. At least not for our SAAS business where we do close to 1M ARR. Am I missing something ?

https://stripe.com/docs/refunds
I work for a defense contractor and we’ve been using these in R&D for a little over a year. They seem promising and SiFive has been working to fix every bug we find. I’m encouraged about the future of RISC-V in aerospace.
SMB vs. Mid-Market vs. Enterprise Customer Onboarding: What’s the Difference?
Is this true? From their docs [1]: "There are no fees to refund a charge, but the fees from the original charge aren’t returned."

[1] https://stripe.com/docs/refunds
Even when having the ingredients you have to take care that lights are probably warm and if you aren't quick the salad of your nicely setup burger might lose its structure and color and the sauce and grease might start flowing.

But of course: producing good mockups isn't cheap either.

In the end it will always have to pick between picking the proper ingredients, some mockups and Photoshop. And as they tell: Point is that one can see what's inside and nobody seriously expects the delivered fast food product to match the picture. (If there's a tomato on the picture however I hope there's a tomato slice somewhere on the real thing)
Index Your Files
A Hole in Space LA-NY, 1980 – the mother of all video chats
One of my pet theories is that economic growth is surprisingly poorly correlated to economic or social systems except for one thing: Stability.

Bring stability, and people learn the mechanisms that works for their society, and overcome surprisingly large differences in type of obstacles. Be it dealing with the vagaries of the free market, or how to maneuver a Soviet-style bureaucracy.

It's in fact almost depressing how little effect even quiet massive political changes appears to have on growth on "just" national level relative to the effects of larger global trends; but an alternative view is that it shows humans abilities to work around messed up political limitations.
Because Minitel was a non-extensible (effectively) service run on centralized systems, whereas the Internet is defined by a heterogeneous mix of networks all collaborating to share traffic, any one of which can provide a completely new service at will, without coordinating with anyone else and, more importantly, without asking permission.
Wrapper products can be insanely valuable
I agree. I think the T2 (T3?) chip is going to end up being embedded in the Apple Silicon SoC.
I dont want to be productive anymore
Amazon FBA seller here. I came to look for the Amazon comment. Their returns are pretty messed up and hurt the sellers. Customer can return for any reason and the seller has to eat it. Often times it is very hard to track returns down if people return the wrong stuff. If it's broken or damaged, amazon will side with the customer 100% of the time. On top of all that, if you dispose of a damaged, non-sell-able item, they will list it in amazon warehouse, we agree to that in the TOS by having an FBA account.

If someone knows how to work with their system better regarding returns, let me know.
What if choice to maximize revenue by all means. Like creating extra costs for developers or creating obstacles for developers who have lucrative business and it wants to control it too.

Btw, curating is basic responsibility of every storefront. It's something even your Brick and Mortar Store does.
Virgin Galactic Reveals SpaceshipTwo Cabin Interior
I've installed extensions to un-shorten Twitter links and make Google search results link to pages directly, but they break on a regular basis.

For tabs I use Tree Style Tabs, and a little UI tweak I like is Reload in Address Bar. I also removed all of the space around the address bar because it gives me more space to work with when editing URLs.

I use Pinboard, and the Pinboard+ extension is very unobtrusive. In fact I usually forget to use it :(
> forcing them to hand over American data, they would have came out by then.

> No one in China office can touch tiktok's code and user data.

Is this insider information, or guesses?
>If Apple has pricing power because people don't move to competitors

I'm not taking sides, or claiming I'm an expert on economics, but isn't the question with monopolies always "what is the market, and what are the competitors"? If you accuse someone of being a monopoly, they will always define their market as widely as possible, but if you are an antitrust lawyer trying to win a case against them you will define it as narrowly as possible. There's always a sufficiently wide or narrow definition for either side to win. And every business has some pricing power and some friction for their customers. Everyone talks about investing in companies that have a "moat" which seems to be understood as something more than many companies have, but less than a monopoly.
If you get more specific about a problem/pain it solves that costs lots of money and headaches then that might be too low.

The use case I'm thinking of is a user in a call center environment that needs to process a customers credit card transaction. PCI compliance level could dictate that card info not sit in rest on that call center network (I haven't worked in that space in a while). They could use your app to securely run a remote browser on a PCI compliant network and do the transaction.

Sometimes this is solved with hardware from vendors so the call center person has a separate device they need to use to process the transaction (basically a terminal on a protected network). Sometimes the call center is an outsourced function that scales up with call volume and more capacity is restricted to the number of people that have the special hardware.

If its possible to replace the hardware with software and be compliant, that removes a lot of operational cost from the business, way more than $12k/year.
'It's just madness': Brazil music legend Caetano Veloso on Bolsonaro
Chitosan is not used as a preservative and isn't an alternative to aluminum.
Damn, you write code for a living?
BP fined £7,000 over crude oil spill off Shetland
Had a look and it seems that Google do refund the transaction fee, which I think adds weight to the argument that is unfair behaviour by Apple:

https://support.google.com/googleplay/android-developer/answ...

"Google will return the transaction fee to you. You'll see the returned transaction fee on your next earnings report."
Where to learn the math for data science?
Hope you all are doing great. I would love to do lower-end kaggle competitions in the coming months. In high school we have not learnt any advanced math yet. I know python well. Where would you recommend to learn the math essentials for starting to learn machine learning/data science from like basics?
the first vaccines in the world were self tested by the scientists who invented them. I don't see anything strange that it's happening now.

There will always be scientists who try things on themselves. to block that is to block scientific progress.
Apple has a monopoly on designing the features of it's products and on deciding who they do business with and on what terms, that's all. What other monopoly do they have?

Youre not actually answering my questions. Exactly what features should Apple, Samsung, Pinephone, etc be required to implement? How should we decide what products these new requirements should apply to? Who gets to specify those features and certify compliance?
How shall I put this - I took his course. Absolutely not a moron. Unlike so many I fear of his fellow countrymen.
Don't forget that Apple takes a yearly developer license. You're claiming that the 30% cut that they keep on a refund is used to cover payment processing (typically priced around 3%) and the marginal cost of the bandwidth to distribute that single copy of the app? Even for $0.99 apps that price is outrageously expensive. AWS, notorious for their high bandwidth pricing, costs ~2 cents per GB on S3. This is 33 cents for a dozen MB.

Nobody is saying Apple shouldn't get paid here, but keeping 30% is insane.
> If you look at Italy, early on they realised there was a conflation going on, and so they did proper studies of some sample of COVID deaths to see why they really died. They concluded only 4% of the patients had no other medical conditions, and I recall reading (but don't have a link right now) that they concluded about 12% had really died of COVID. The rest all just happened to be infected when they died of something else, which would make sense given the first stat. So you can cut a digit off most of the reported death rates.

If you look at Italy, the recent ISTAT-ISS report (2020-07-16) showed the opposite: COVID-19 has been deemed directly responsible for the death of 89% of those who died testing positive for coronavirus ("morti per"), with the remaining 11% of deaths being caused by some other disease or pre-existing condition ("morti con").

Even excluding comorbidities such as diabetes and hypertension, which are very common, 18% to 28% of the deaths they analyzed were still directly caused by COVID. I'm not sure this can be brought down to 12% without being exceedingly selective (e.g., people aged 0-30 without hypertension, diabetes, respiratory problems... - I know I'm 27 and I wouldn't qualify).

> - Sono state analizzate le informazioni riportate dai medici in 4.942 schede di morte, di soggetti diagnosticati microbiologicamente con test positivo al SARS-CoV-2 (il 15,6% del totale dei decessi notificati al Sistema di Sorveglianza Integrata ISS fino al 25 maggio). Nelle schede di morte sono certificate, oltre a COVID-19, quelle condizioni e malattie che hanno avuto un ruolo nel determinare il decesso.

> - COVID-19 è la causa direttamente responsabile della morte nell’89% dei decessi di persone positive al test SARS-CoV-2, mentre per il restante 11% le cause di decesso sono le malattie cardiovascolari (4,6%), i tumori (2,4%), le malattie del sistema respiratorio (1%), il diabete (0,6%), le demenze e le malattie dell’apparato digerente (rispettivamente 0,6% e 0,5%).

> - La quota di deceduti in cui COVID-19 è la causa direttamente responsabile della morte varia in base all’età, raggiungendo il valore massimo del 92% nella classe 60-69 anni e il minimo (82%) nelle persone di età inferiore ai 50 anni.

> - COVID-19 è una malattia che può rivelarsi fatale anche in assenza di concause. Non ci sono infatti concause di morte preesistenti a COVID-19 nel 28,2% dei decessi analizzati, percentuale simile nei due sessi e nelle diverse classi di età. Solo nella classe di età 0-49 anni la percentuale di decessi senza concause è più bassa, pari al 18%.

Televideo source: http://www.televideo.rai.it/televideo/pub/view.jsp?id=888&p=...

ANSA source: https://www.ansa.it/canale_saluteebenessere/notizie/sanita/2...

The ISS-ISTAT report itself: https://www.istat.it/it/files/2020/07/Report_ISS_Istat_Cause...
That's really cool! Thanks for sharing it!
There's a little bit about the history of ARM and Apple in the podcast Acquired did about Softbank and ARM.

https://www.acquired.fm/episodes/arm-softbank