skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Excessive dimension reduction is a scourge in social science, and in societal commentary by just about everyone. So, yes - I agree with your point entirely, and I think it can be made much more concrete honestly by adding another dimension:

The why of independence

Notably, that is the harder one to create a surface level observation of. But take his favored quadrant:

"And the kids in the upper right quadrant, the aggressively independent-minded, are the naughty ones. When they see a rule, their first impulse is to question it. Merely being told what to do makes them inclined to do the opposite."

Is it merely being told what to do causes them to question something? So its the rule demands questioning of it? or is what he is really looking for that they question the reasoning and demand valid reasoning? One is just contrarian, one is self aware. Some people start with contrarianism as a poorly articulated path to demanding valid reasoning...At times Elon Musk sounds like a contrarian, at times he sounds like a reasoned risk taker, I'm not investing in that.

In the end, Paul sounds a bit like he's trying to take a roundabout way to make fun of the high school jocks...
Well, they should just use some of that VC money into pocketing (AKA lobbying) politicians to relax rules for these specific kind of airplanes, it has worked pretty well for the health industry in the US.
I’m not so sure. Public sentiment is against China right now among Republicans and Democrats. Also at their current growth rate their GDP will surpass the USA around 2025.

It would be a uniting thing across party lines to rally around hurting the Chinese economy.
I fear that's gonna end up as one of those "we transport HDMI over an USB-C cable without making it actually be USB" things that require hardware support.

(And the "USB monitor" projects meant to be a second display need drivers, seem to all be way too proprietary, and won't work for early boot.)
I think it is widely accepted that the terms imposed on Greece were unreasonable – not just because they caused very high unemployment and poverty, but also because they were based on a completely unrealistic assessment of the country’s ability to pay back its debt. A good book on the topic (and much else) is Adam Tooze’s Crashed.
A noble project (to improve employee lives). It is very difficult to figure that out from the website. There is a lot of text, and it took me some time. Best of luck.
Stupid comments at their laziest..
I'm sure it would be a decade-long task. But I'm not sure it's monumentally harder than either the process for piloted aircraft, or the task of automating the aircraft in the first place.

And you can much more easily demonstrate the limits of an automated aircraft. Simulated bird-strikes, thunderstorms, power-outages, emergency landing in fields, blinding by laser-pointers, stray bullets or whatever scenario the FAA throws at you can be done without the risk to the (non-existent) human pilots, just the cost to VCs.

Whether that argument would work on them is a different matter, but I find it quite convincing.
https://techcrunch.com/2020/07/17/india-smartphone-shipments...

Smartphone shipments in India fell 48% in the second quarter compared with the same period a year ago, the most drastic drop one of the rare growing markets has seen in a decade, research firm Canalys reported Friday evening.

About 17.3 million smartphone units shipped in Q2 2020, down from 33 million in Q2 2019 and 33.5 million in Q1 2020.

...

Apple, which commands only 1% of the Indian smartphone market, was the least impacted among the top 10 vendors as iPhone shipments fell just 20% year-on-year to over 250,000 in Q2 2020.
An efficient spam cannon? What’s good about that?
Interesting to note that the NYT article (linked below and in a few places in the comments here) was amended a few hours after being posted. It originally made a strong claim that Harry Reid said that crashes had occurred and materials were possessed. Instead, it was revised to say:

> An earlier version of this article inaccurately rendered remarks attributed to Harry Reid, the retired Senate majority leader from Nevada. Mr. Reid said he believed that crashes of objects of unknown origin may have occurred and that retrieved materials should be studied; he did not say that crashes had occurred and that retrieved materials had been studied secretly for decades.

This is pure speculation but Ralph Blumenthal and Leslie Kean seem to be the main NYT staff members reporting on this topic and they have proven to be detail-oriented enough and rather limited in their speculation. I wonder if they truly 'misreported' this or if instead the article was asked to be amended because of security reasons.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/23/us/politics/pentagon-ufo-...
Unrealistic business plan estimations not factoring in the true costs of operating an aerial vehicle...

It’s a bit like “soon to be plane owners” that don’t quite pay attention when they are told the spark plug for their Cessna is 50USD, they need 8 for 4 cylinders and replace them rather frequently ;-)

Changes when they realize that those companies chartering out planes for less than 200 USD/h probably don’t make loads of cash but just keep track of actual expenses, have a high utilization and capable maintenance staff...
I get almost Manhattan Project vibes from this.

Pure speculation like everyone else, but I imagine that they're slowly disclosing some huge tech jump (akin to splitting the atom in the '40s), but they don't want everyone to know about it. Drawing similarities to the Manhattan Project, no one really knew what was going on until the moment the bombs dropped.

What's more likely? That some advanced species has jumped across space and then crash landed in the American desert?

Or that we have figured out how to manipulate gravity in some way, and people have been seeing some weird stuff going on in the American Southwest, which is a known area for military experiments.

Edit: As another commenter mentioned, the Navy already has a patent on a craft that manipulates gravity: https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/28729/docs-show-navy-g...
I moved everything to Fastmail. Sometimes I'll create an alias if I want to easily control a funnel of emails, but usually the one email address rules them all.

The big thing is to use an email address at your own domain so you can switch to new email providers in the future. Using an @gmail address is being unnaturally chained to one company.
I love my Cube. It is one of the best designed device I’ve used. Just opening it to look inside is delightful. As you say, the keyboard/mouse/monitor/speakers combo is gorgeous. But you’re right, it was badly let down by the OS at the time. And by the time OS X had matured, it was close to obsolete. Such a missed opportunity.
OSMAnd.

https://osmand.net/

I installed it on my old phone (and the new one and my tablet .) I placed it on a handlebar mount and I'm mapping and navigating my vacation.
Animal Liberation Squad, a short game about underground animal activism
https://medium.com/starts-with-a-bang/if-the-universe-is-13-...
Don’t worry, the drive can take that long if you are planning on a weekend trip.
Your quotation is missing the most important half of the sentence.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016378271...

"table isotope methods have typically resulted in estimates of percent conversion of ALA to DHA being less than 1% of the ingested stable-isotope ALA, although estimates vary widely, ranging from 0–9.2% (Table 1). Also, there is typically no increase in plasma total lipid or phospholipid DHA when ALA intake is increased in humans (reviewed in [10], [11]), supporting the conclusion that DHA synthesis from ingested ALA is not an efficient process in humans."
He's raising his kids. It's understandable if someone doesn't want to talk about the comings and goings of their family and personal life.

Occasionally he'll tweet out "darn things my kids say". But no, it's not interesting at all he doesn't share anything about his life.
Totally agree about the certification. It's so annoying having to do stuff like managing the mixture. There is absolutely no chance I'm going to be better at that than even the most basic FADEC system.

Every car since the early 90s has done away with the choke, but for some reason in a 2020-built C172 I still have to do this... :X

I would argue that this insistence on safety certification makes actual flights less safe. Because it results in it not being done, leaving something to the pilot who is more error-prone than an automatic system.

I haven't heard of accidents in GA aircraft that were due to poor mixture (though I haven't looked, and it could technically cause one if you set it too explosive) but when I still flew there were several incidents reported by our maintenance company who complained about cylinder scoring due to overheting.

It would be much better to have this automatically managed, and more environmentally friendly too, because there is no need for 'full rich' settings during takeoff/landing, it would just adjust it to ensure sufficient cooling. The full-rich is just a precaution to avoid the pilot miscalibrating it during this critical flight phase (and to avoid overheating on the ground of course).
Intel stock falls 16% in a day as 7nm chips are delayed
They need to come up with an accompaning service which allows you to arrange for someone with a car to arrive and drive you to your desired final destination.

Or in the case of Lake Tahoe the area ski resort, hotel or casino might provide shuttle service.
Working Through Statistical Rethinking with Nix
Initially I wondered if pg was insinuating that startup hubs could replace universities as the new haven of independent thinking:

> "People who would have become professors 50 years ago have other options now. Now they can become quants or start startups."

> "If existing institutions are compromised, they'll create new ones."

However, after reading through the essay a second time, I'm more pessimistic about the positive conclusion of the essay. If startups succeed by "make stuff people want", and given there are "far more conventional-minded people than independent-minded ones", then perhaps independent-minded CEOs making tools for conventional-minded people is not a rare accident, but rather an inevitability.
It's not really a train journey, it's mostly by bus.
That's resolution, not precision or repeatability, although such high resolution is very impressive. I'm not sure how exactly a glass scale is supposed to work to 34 pm, I assume these use analog interpolation between marks or perhaps some kind of interference mechanism.
This could have been a warehouse error. I would err on the side of warehouse error. A real fraud would have sent you a brick or a worthless tile of the same dimension and weight.
Black hawks are quiet enough for specops teams to use them in urban raids like the Bin Laden one.
Imagine that it is the 17th century. We are both in London, and you tell me that you will be in Mumbai in six months. The same night, I write a letter to you, addressed to Mumbai. Six months later, both you and the letter arrive, and by opening it you are exposed to my mindset as it was six months ago.

Hope that helped a little bit..
Pretty much this — there's a large mindshare bias towards the more dramatic and relatable incidents.

My favorite party question is what the most deadly power plant accident in history was. And the predictable answer "Chernobyl" is wrong by a whole order of magnitude, which seems to surprise many: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banqiao_Dam

For even more extreme examples for drama & negativity bias, feel free to have a look at actual death causes vs. news exposure: Terrorism is overrepresented by more than three orders of magnitude, while almost nobody gets killed by a bad guy but rather by heart disease: https://ourworldindata.org/does-the-news-reflect-what-we-die...

All in all, humans are pretty pathetic at objectiveness.
There are several reasons, terrain being one of them.

Also the commuter/long distance tracks are all owned by the freight liners, so passanger trains have to yield for them. There are also hour+ stops at some stations.
Private pilot here. Yes, aviation innovates slowly, but it's not nearly as bad as you make it sound. Cirrus aircraft have been a game changer, as has the Garmin G1000 avionics. I can fly just about any instrument approach entirely on autopilot. The only thing I have to touch is the throttle and the flaps. I get real-time traffic information via ADS-B, real-time weather via Nexrad. I do my flight planning in five minutes using Foreflight on an iPad. It is all pretty awesomely cool actually.

It's not installed in the plane I fly, but Garmin's auto-landing system was recently certified for emergency use.

https://generalaviationnews.com/2020/05/19/garmin-autoland-c...
If it is filed with a request for extension of status and not consular notification, then yes. The approval notice will indicate which and have an I-94 attached at the bottom if an extension. If it's filed with a request for consular notification, then you will need to leave the US and get a new H-1B visa and then reenter to activate it. I assume that when you say extension, you mean with the same employer?
Even if the reviews weren't fake, most people just don't share my taste, or at least, aren't very discerning, or are complaining about something other than food and service.

We have poor to mediocre sushi restaurants here in Raleigh, NC if you judge them by the quality of their fish. Now, I'm not saying I'm a sushi connoisseur, but I've been to high end sushi restaurants in major cities (Atlanta, NYC, LA, Miami) and I know what we're getting here isn't even close to premium. But people review some of our restaurants and say "this is the best sushi I've ever had."

But you know, you go to these restaurants and see what most people order and they are rolls with insane amounts of sweet sauce on them and sure, they are pretty to look at, but if you're looking for say, an edible piece of Uni here, you aren't going to find it.

This is a country where people think Olive Garden is good Italian after all.

So anyway, I ignore the star reviews and try to find a review where someone took a few minutes to describe what they liked and disliked. One or two reviews like that are way more valuable than the ratings and it's usually pretty easy to spot the fakes.

Specific example. This place has mediocre sushi, a menu that hasn't changed in years, and their service is often slow:

https://www.yelp.com/biz/yuri-japanese-restaurant-cary

But they treat us like family. I'd never have found that out from Yelp reviews. No, on Yelp you find people complaining that they don't offer BOGO or the parking lot. Other people say it's the best sushi they've ever had. You won't find a review that says "typical neighborhood Japanese restaurant where they treat regulars like family. The service can sometimes be slow and it's not premium fish, but there's a variety of competently made sushi, and decent selection of non-sushi Japanese and Korean menu items. After a few times here, they'll probably start comp'ing you dessert."

Here's a Yelp review from another Japanese restaurant in the area:

> I used Uber Eats to get delivery and it was delicious. Sushi is generally really good or really bad. Not much in between. The disposable chopsticks were the cheapest I've ever seen. Those could definitely be improved.

That's a 5-star review. I mean, come on.

See also: rotten tomato audience scores.
Are we forgetting Guaido’s coup attempt last year? He had full support of the US government. He went to the US Congress this year and was praised and lauded. This is after years of US sanctions on Venezuela.
Yes, of course. The videos and accounts of illegal arrests and detentions out of Portland are all fake, of course. Or, at the very least, they don't show what they purport to show.

Do you hear yourself? At all?
I will see your Eastland and raise you the even more obscure sinking of Mississippi steamboat Sultana in 1865. Loss of life between 1168 and 1547. It's the worst maritime disaster in US history (the Titanic was an British ship in international waters with an international passenger list).

The reason you've never heard of it is because Abraham Lincoln was assassinated the day before, an event that sucked up all the nations newsprint and popular attention.

There is a pretty good documentary on it on one of the big streaming services.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_maritime_disasters_in_...
We don't have separate high speed rail tracks like Europe does; we have a single rail system used for slow cargo trains that take priority over passenger trains. Imagine driving everywhere with giant cargo trucks driving 80 km / hr in every lane with no way to pass them and you'll get the picture.
Interesting posts, looking to make an RSS feeder myself, but in a more bizarre language!

By the way, your personal website (if it's yours) is fantastic. Just the right amount of styling to make it look good.
I won't pretend to understand the answer well enough to give a clear answer. Instead I'll highly recommend an illustrated version of Stephen Hawking's Brief History of Time to dig deeper into this question. I personally find that big questions like this really do require more than an article or video.
Been following this for years. This is pretty much it.

Bigelow has been a ufo crank for ages, and as he's a billionaire that's buddies with a senator was able to arrange for pentagon funding for some of his crank friends. That went about as well as expected. After they lost that revenue source, they befriended the blink182 guy to keep going. They're just hoping they'll get another pentagon handout. For all their bluster when asked to put up or shut up they've got nothing.

The actual footage and pilot accounts are consistent with submarine launched weather balloons, halo artifacts on IRST systems, and similar banal explanations.

Edit:

An example video of how the tic tac's motion is consistent with gimbal motion, not an actual object rotating: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Btns91W5J8

And Tyler is sometimes problematic, but here he mentions his sources: https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/28640/could-some-of-th...
"ruin you" may be a bit strong. Take travel insurance.

Do I take travel insurance for routine trips that might involve me losing $200 for having to cancel a plane flight and maybe some hotels. Nope.

But if I have a high 4 figures trip that I'll have to cancel if I sprain my ankle or because a family member who is having health problems needs me to stay home? Or because I know there could be expensive evacuation if something goes wrong. That seems a pretty good use of a few hundred dollars.

Of course, in my case, this is pretty much the definition of adverse selection but maybe the relatively reasonable rates I can get are being subsidized by all the people who buy the insurance routinely.
One of the most embattled changes of the last 20 years is not likely to make the list of `improvements with no disadvantage`...
I live just down the street from this school. We plan to send our future children there. The school and Presbyterian Church are still there, as is Gilright's Barbershop (now just Gil's)....

Never expected to see my own little neighborhood on HN.
VAT is taxing the difference between the procurement price and the sales price (thus its name Value-Added Tax), not the revenue.

E.g., if Apple Finland procures the phone from Apple Inter Co., two separate entities, for USD 499 and sells it for USD 500, the tax would be on the USD 1, i.e., 20 cents, since Apple Finland would get the VAT paid to Apple Inter Co offset by the Finnish tax authorities.
Most people do not have the years to devote to becoming a good pilot, much less get a new category cert, so I find that these sorts of prototypes have a very limited audience.

"Or maybe you want to escape to Lake Tahoe for a long weekend? That would be less than an hour on a Lilium Jet"
... ah, mountain flying with batteries, what could possibly go wrong.

Also, I find the lack of a vertical stabilizer this plane to be an odd choice. It seems like they have a ballistic chute for backup when the power fails, but it might be hard to deploy that when you cannot do any spin recovery.
How old are you that you've seen this before? If you are just seeing similarities to soviet steady state society, they might not mean we are headed towards that state, since its unclear if the process that birthed the social order you experienced was similar to it at all.
This discrepancy is much higher from the other destinations they mention, so I would imagine there is either no station nearby the lake so you have to take another mode for the last leg, or you have to get some complicated multiple-train route with long layovers :)
When did Hubble demonstrate that? What the experiment in the article showed is that seemingly empty regions contained stars. If you want to claim that every 1 dimensional line of sight ends on an object, then you need to explain how the cosmic microwave background manages to reach us. Unless, of course, you count quark-gluon plasma as an object; in which case we do pretty much hit a wall in every direction.
Former CEO and Founder of Trustify Charged in Investment Fraud Scheme
This is why we can't have nice things like local computer stores :/
The rule of thumb used to be, total costs = what you pay them * 1.5 to cover that stuff.

So 3200 becomes $4800 (or just under $57k a year) - that's still a good deal given what you'd get.

I've worked with eastern and central European developers and some of them are phenomenal (the skill breakdown is about equivalent to UK devs as a pool maybe tending towards them been slightly better but there will be some element of selection bias in that, language barrier is the biggest hurdle, many of them speak/write good English - my partner is Hungarian and her written English is at least as good as mine) but when the tiniest miss-understanding on requirements is costly during development and potentially devastating in production that really starts to matter.
> be leeched on by refugees

Had to re-read that one. Really, people desperately fleeing from wars, who've had their lives destroyed, are leeches?

It's fine if you don't think it's your responsibility to help them, but at least try to be respectful of their difficulties.
I love this idea. I don't envy the work ahead of them at all though.

In my career I've worked in both mechanical and software engineering and IMO the mechanical engineering involved here is daunting. Caveat: when I was in that industry 3D printing was just around the corner and you could print a part per day and the machine cost $80k, so probably creating and testing prototypes is far more pleasant now.

This looks like a truly fun project to work on that's full of frustration, waiting, scrapped parts, broken CAD models, regulatory bs, good regulations that save lives, tons of changes in direction, mercurial investors, endless naysayers, and all done while considering that chances of success are small. Honestly it looks fun as hell.
> Prior to the ruling, GitHub had relied on the EU-US Privacy Shield and Swiss-US Privacy Shield frameworks for processing developers’ and customers’ personal data transferred from the EU, the UK, and Switzerland. Upon request, we also provided customers with overlapping protections

that means "we sold as much data as we possibly could, and if you were int he US, sucks to be you"