skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
There's a type of exercise where you're not asked "I want to do $x, how do I achieve that?" but instead are asked "I don't know what to do, can you find out?" where the scope might be anywhere from "pick an new ERP" to "reorganise the entire worldwide operations to be a more effective at all things digital".

If faced with such a wide open question you could do some research and start asking all the questions you think of, but you're then just hoping to narrow in on something by luck. The "Strong Opinions, Weakly Held" method works well here, if within the first week you can learn enough to form some opinions, you now have some ideas to test against and disprove. You can start to decide on what information is important and what isn't important, rather than trying to gather all the possible information and synthesize it later on.

If you have an opinion such as "you should formulate a strategy to sell direct to the consumer instead of relying on distribution alone" you have a starting point and have narrowed things down from "how do we sell more things?". You might not have one opinion, you might have five. It takes experience to come up with opinions quickly when faced with limited data and potentially a large problem space.

It's hypothesis-driven decision making. It does require both iteration and the willingness to let your original opinions go--kill your darlings.
Ultimately, truth-seeking is a personal thing and you should tune your methods to the machine that is you.

tl;dr SOWH is good. Don't claim it for yourself. Sloppy Priors are good. Be careful of not adjusting on evidence. The bet trick is very good. Be careful about your utility function.

Personally, among the people I know the following doesn't happen:

> In such cases, the failure mode is that ‘Strong Opinions, Weakly Held’ turns into ‘Strong Opinions, Justified Loudly, Until Evidence Indicates Otherwise, At Which Point You Invoke It To Protect Your Ass.”

And that is mostly because it's really easy to claim you're operating in SOWH and really hard to determine if you actually are. So most truth-seekers apply the same techniques of epistemology to it as they do to other things that require auto-evaluation with no objective truth set: you trust weighted external input more than your own. Am I charismatic? Am I intelligent? Am I whiny? It is hard for me to say. It is far easier for me to find that out from people I can identify as trusted on the subject.

I remain convinced that operating in SOWH is empowerment (at a 80% certainty har-har). I believe that the Bet Trick and the Sloppy Prior Trick are both clever techniques to improve your search for truth as well.

The Bet Trick is very good. My personal danger is that I do not apply linear utility (i.e. an unlikely win makes me much happier than a string of losses). So if I predicted that the US would be open by August and I'm right that makes me way happier than if I predict repeatedly that median summer temperature is greater than median winter temperature in Saskatoon. I'm okay losing $200 repeatedly on the former for the win.

The Sloppy Prior also has the trick that it allows you to examine your reaction to evidence. Your Sloppy Posterior to the weakest of evidence must be different from your Sloppy Prior! If it isn't, your cognition is currently failing you. The only problem is that the sloppiness gives you room to avoid having different posteriors.

That last part I find very hard in almost-certain and almost-never situations: if a set of instrument measurements show that temperatures across the Earth are the same as they were 40 years ago, then it's highly likely that the measurements are broken, but it is not certain, so my posteriors for AGW given that evidence should drop. But they don't unless I am conscious of this.
More likely it will be picked rather than cut at that point.
The $75k I spend is going to be tuned for how I’ll use it. That counts for a lot, at least for me.

And resale value calculations don’t take into account the joy and utility the changes afford you. Again, I value those highly.
Of course, nobody is credibly arguing that we are anywhere close to the platonic ideal of a capitalist system — in the same way that at no point in the history of humanity have we had a truly communist or socialist system.

If your argument is that the inverse relationship between "voluntariness" and socioeconomic status is anathema to capitalism, that reinforces the idea that literal slavery is even further from that platonic ideal.

As an aside, capitalists love UBI for this reason: it gets us that much closer to truly universal voluntary transactions, because when one is no longer worried about starving to death, they can rationally participate in all economic transactions in a free society.

But the point remains the same: slavery (or more abstractly, involuntary servitude) is orthogonal to the underlying economic system. It can exist in any economic system. Most of the developed world today is largely capitalist, and without slavery. Conversely, some of history's most well known efforts in installing Marxist communism also notably featured forced labor camps where people were compelled to work involuntarily.
the truth is probably more nuanced

objectively considering information is further than most people ever get. most people are just out here trying to win arguments

so let's assume you're open minded

you could weave components of this new info into what you already know, and discard the rest

but what do you keep?

does the most convincing empiricism trump everything?
are personal values involved?

that's up to you
Unnecessarily so for most problems.

I swapped out s3 with simply doing scp and holding the same interface. It worked fine.

Does it scale to a 100 million users? No of course not. The point isn't to provide giant scale solutions over multiple continents but something to replace a ~$20/month service that a few hundred people use and make it effectively $0.

There's a huge market for that and it's the vast majority of cloud software written.

People will defend these complexities as The Right and Proper Way except it isn't. I've built half a dozen companies for people using $10-$40/month VPSs that do 6-7 digit annual revenue and run for years. All this autoscaling kubernetes prometheus blah blah blah, totally unnecessary. We aren't serving terabytes per second of video here... Transactional RDBMS, a Crud interface, basic file store, done and done.

The problem is all these systems are designed to facilitate building the next Paris or Hong Kong and if you're just trying to build the equivalent to a store on the side of the road, you have to do it the Paris way. It's nonsense.

People have other things to do with their lives than spend vast amount of time keeping up with the latest versions of irrelevant stuff to solve problems they will never have.
Both bathrooms and the laundry in my house have floor drains. I can't recall seeing a house here in Australia that doesn't have drains in the wet areas actually - standard part of the plumbing that happens before the slab is poured.
I read the other day the pressure needed to breath through n95 masks is stressful to the heart, and this is the reason it is better to wear the other kind and maintain your distance when out and about.
> It's a very slippery slope.

> This issue is only going to get much worse and more complicated over time.

Slippery slope is a fallacy. Humans aren't required to follow the precedent of previous decisions like SCOTUS justices are. People eventually see the problems with previous choices once the consequences hit a tipping point.

We are having multiple moral panics right now. They will pass.

People will eventually get more tolerant of others making mistakes on social media; it will accelerate once more of us know someone who directly loses their job/status/etc to a moral panic. Also, there are examples of people who were targeted by moral panic mobs (eg. Colin Kaepernick) who survived the outrage and overcame it.

Once enough people get {"cancelled", fired, boycotted, excommunicated, etc}, these calls carry less and less effect over time and social media mobs lose their power.

> On the front pages of CNN and Fox right now we have a completely ridiculous war over 'Goya' canned foods because of some arbitrary comments the founder made about Trump.

Those are bad gauges of anything except outrage-for-clicks. Those two webpages rile up their core viewership to generate eyeballs and collect web-ad revenue. Trump only got to the front of the 2016 Republican primary because the rest of the field was boring and he riled up moral panics and owned most of the news cycles since.

> but those bounds expand very rapidly

Not always. And this ignores the observable fact that there is almost always a regression to the mean. There are social frictions which prevent these moral panics from burning too long.
My comment wasn't about Kickstarters, I think they're irrelevant in this discussion. I'm talking about making your stuff accessible to people outside of large corporations. The world isn't two perfectly non-intersecting groups labeled "hobbyists" and "professionals". There's enormous overlap. Hell, a very large portion of HN falls into both categories.

Let's say XYZ software is only available to businesses. As a professional software engineer, if I asked to buy XYZ, it'd get bought. But since I can't use XYZ in my personal life, I've never even heard of it, and as a result when we're deciding on software to buy at the company I have no familiarity with it and it doesn't get bought.

Perhaps somewhere out there there are some 100x hardware developers, but every hardware developer I've met likes what they know, and a lot of what they know from a combination of personal tinkering and university. It's hard to explain how powerful familiarity is with designing hardware. So if you're sitting down and designing something and you need component A or B, and B uses less power and looks cool and all kinds of stuff, but you have experience with A and it works fine, well, you'll go with A. And for good reason! Things have weird quirks and spec sheets lie and all kinds of stuff happens.

So yeah, I think that having some kind of community connection can pay absolutely massive dividends. At the end of the day, if it's only accessible to large corporations, then it's not even accessible to those large corporations - because the engineers at them won't have familiarity with your thing and they'll just pick what they know.

Furthermore, it's not even that hard to sell to hobbyists. You make the spec sheet public, you make some example code public, you mail some units to Digikey and you're done. You wanna go REALLY crazy, you can mail a few free units to some well known tinkerers. It's not like you're personally offering 24 hour phone support to everyone with an Arduino. The investment of a couple of hours to deign to mail Digikey a box is quickly recovered by the first engineer that plays with your widget at home and then suggests it at $bigco.
So that they can track people without anyone else knowing, likely for illegal purposes.
> As part of the restitution mandated by FINRA, Citadel Securities will provide restitution to each corresponding firm client for the customer orders that it executed at prices worse than it traded for its own account

Seems like this could potentially be much more than the $700k fine.
Hilly areas also often have railroads along the water since that is the flattest terrain.
On the other hand, when faced with a fork in the road, it's important to choose. Often it doesn't matter which - but if you vacillate, and especially if you are leading - then you can fail by not choosing.

So, strong opinions: decisively go down one road; weakly held: turn around if information suggests it looks like the wrong road.

You can only update your opinions if you engage with reality, which demands a certain conviction in those opinions.
This would be great for bike locks!
Thanks for sharing. I'll explore it.
I'm not sure why anyone would want cut resistant shoe soles, but I know lots and lots of people who want puncture resistant shoe soles. Isn't that a similar process to ballistics?

I note that they didn't really cover that territory, and wonder if that was lack of facilities or avoiding the tough questions.
I think an approach of collecting questions rather than answers works well. If you're really interested in a question then you should try to answer it, but be wary of accepting the first answer you see or think of.

I have questions that I've thought about for years, and some tentative hypotheses to go with them.

Inspired by:
http://kiriakakis.net/comics/mused/a-day-at-the-parkhttp://k...
This could be a revolution in bike locks. Right now compact battery powered cutting tools can remove just about any bike lock quickly and can easily be concealed.
I'd love to see the STEM practitioners who post here developing code in a way where you can only add a line if you remove two others (dependencies included). Otherwise, this just sounds like "do as I say, not as I do".
Yeah, I think a lot of that comes down to whether you enjoy his writing style. I would read what Stephenson writes even if it's devoid of ideas, just for the joy of the style.

For myself, the scene where he describes Randy eating breakfast in Cryptonomican is one of my favourite passages in any book (partly because I identify with the source material :-) ), but others have cited that to me as an example of gross excess.
For starters, couldn't you have name servers at multiple "places" for your domain? Name servers 1 at Amazon and nameserver 2 at Azure, for example.

Shouldn't be too hard to build an abstraction layer that updates them all when you need to make changes.
Thanks. It was tired and I was late. ;)
> Google Play app for 404 pages

Yikes
Hello Can You Hear Me
They switched from recaptcha to some gargage cryptocoin meme captcha service. For the first week I spent most days bouncing from sites because I got tired of getting captched every page.

If you captcha me on every page I don't give you money. Real easy.
Huh. Apparently houses missing windows on an entire side are a common thing. I recently noticed a newly built house without any windows on one side. I had attributed this to the lot being split off from its neighbors, who presumably specced the new home that way for their own privacy. Evidently it's just a cost saving thing that people are willing to put up with. Weird.
I was just digging around earlier today trying to find if an SML language server exists (sadly, the answer is no), and this title got my hopes up just a little bit
Thanks for answering those questions.

I think it's all great news, and for customers it's reassuring to know that running time is really just about the test itself (which I noticed is in the FAQ, so sorry for wasting your time there). This makes me think about a couple more things: can clients select zones from which to run the tests? It's probably not a huge focus if your current target customers are in North America, but can become useful if a European company considers the tool and all loading times become noticeable. Or just if a company expects clients from anywhere and wants to test for that (which is basically the hardest bit for a small team, as it starts to involve having some devops experience to spin up VMs on the cloud in different zones and all that jazz).
Another tangentially related setting would be the locale for tests execution and scenarios (I'm thinking of date formats, monetary symbols, etc.. with expectations being different if you're in the US or in the UK for example)

The lack of cross-browser testing is something I can see scaring away some teams, especially with mobile being restricted to profiles of older iPhones only. IIRC over 70-80% of iPhone users are on the latest major iOS version. But it all ties in to other issues that I'm sure you're already dealing with (iPhone users using Safari, something like 20% of desktop users using Firefox/Safari, and the odd clients here and there who would have very specific annoying requirement like "I must be able to test on Internet Explorer - yes I know it's deprecated but my startup is B2B and I'm the small fish there").

Your docs might be short but they are already good and readable, especially for a target that might include a mix of pure devs and automation QAs/SDET/etc.

All the best!
> I don't see the government relying on it.

Ok, then a sizable portion of Schneier's article here is pointless. If it's not a national security risk, then this hack, while a big deal, is not as big a deal as he's saying.

Personally, I think it is much less of a risk than some people seem to be arguing, but much more of a risk than I'd like it to be. I do think someone could cause major real-world problems with national security ramifications by tweeting something from the President's account, and I don't think that should be possible.
Wonder what a blow torch or other commonly available chemical agents would do to it.
I wish there were a way to get a sample of this to the lockpickinglawyer.
I believe that answer hinges on whether "cut proof" is the same as "puncture-proof".
Physical shields for spacecraft?

Bullet proof vests?

Ammunition?
Combined with an energy dissipating foam it would make for some interesting ballistic armor. Especially at 15% the density of steel.
Similarly I remember reading a comment on Slashdot in the late 90s warning how much of a dystopia the Web would become. I also remember myself mostly dismissing the comment as buzz-kill.
Old-School Disk Partitions
I meant “by”, sorry for the confusion.
>but the ccp's regard for human rights is in a completely different universe

Are you sure about that?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Walker_(filibuster)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_Hemisphere_Institute_f...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_on_drugs#U.S._operations_i...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_occupation_of_Ni...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_involvement_in_r...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_involvement_in_r...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Fruit_Company

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unethical_human_experimentatio...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tuskegee_syphilis_experiment

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_Information_Awareness

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stargate_Project

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sidney_Gottlieb

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senate_Intelligence_Committee_...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Salvadoran_Civil_War

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psychic_driving

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_SUNSHINE

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_MKUltra

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Sea-Spray

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Paperclip

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Northwoods

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_CHAOS

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Big_Buzz

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/My_Lai_Massacre

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MS-13

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_dictatorship#North_an...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93Contra_affair

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_radiation_experiments#Ex...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_of_Tonkin_incident

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guatemalan_Civil_War

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guatemala_syphilis_experiment

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Family_Jewels_(Central_Intelli...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Danny_Casolaro

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contras

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CIA_activities_in_Vietnam

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CIA_activities_in_Syria

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_American_crisis

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banana_Wars

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Honduran_coup_d%27%C3%A9t...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_armed_conflicts_involv...
Don't worry, I think for myself. Just like everybody else on HN.
This is an absolutely amazing innovation, but bike thieves have already progressed to using powder-actuated pistons in order to break the internal mechanism of a lock. Much faster and easier than cutting anything.
They would not be "required" to use Twitter to keep up with their competitors, if they were all required not to use it for official communications. I'm not saying that politicians should choose to stop using Twitter for official communications, I'm saying Congress should pass a law requiring they not. I think there are already laws on the books around appropriate changes for official communications that could be augmented for this purpose.
I’ve had a good experience with RH too. I started out small, learned about stocks first. I gradually started into options and learned some strategies there. Then I started learning about volatility and other derivatives. And of course I’ve learned all about ETFs etc.

My first year was hard; and it was emotional. I was too excitable and got hooked a little. But I steered my way through it with a very small loss. I considered it the cost of my education.

But I really started getting the hang of it my second year. I started swing trading and learning the mathematics and psychology of the market. I didn’t break the bank with profit but I did make a few % points.

I’m in my 3rd year and I’m a decent hobby trader now. I’ve been consistently beating the market in my “spare time” (I have a full time job and a side hustle). I don’t really get too excited anymore. I’m very methodical and pretty u emotional.

To be clear: my trading account is not my retirement and it’s not my savings. It’s “mad money” and I use the post-tax proceeds for vacation etc.

But yeah, I’ve had a decent experience with RH, learned a lot, made a few $$$ and had a good time.
The dragon model is already based on GPT-3

https://medium.com/@aidungeon/ai-dungeon-dragon-model-upgrad...
LOL, I'm sure it is, but referring someone that is wondering about the "back of the napkin math" to an approximately 250 page S-1 filing is sort of ludicrous.
I’ve been to some of the protests in Portland. It’s hardly a riot. There’s been some spray painting, but for the most part it’s cops beating the shit out of peaceful people.

I’d suggest you look at some local reporting from people like https://mobile.twitter.com/tuckwoodstock
Diagram: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-65976-0/figures/2
In Star Trek, they called it transparent aluminium!
I was fixing a problem in a friend’s house. As I showed her the problems she said, “But, they were professionals!”

I explained that professional just means someone willing to do the least amount of work for the most amount of money. What you want is a craftsman (craftsperson?), but those are exceedingly rare.
Ugh. That accessibility login solution sounds awful, but at least it's available. I can definitely understand why you don't want to have an audio option, given that by all accounts they're next to useless.
You know, when I typed that I meant density in that the houses are much closer together than older developments, but honestly... they're probably not much "denser" on a human basis. The homes have just swelled to take up most of the lot.
It doesn't have to be MS who EEE's the Bloomberg terminal, does it?
> Id like to see a concerted effort for America to regain number one status and ensure we stay ahead of China.

Why? That's a serious question. We're all human here on Earth, so why do nations have to compete to be "number one"? How about we cooperate to try to save the planet and our civilization instead of playing self-destructive zero-sum games?
> unless the foreign government sends spies dressed as U.S. FBI/NSA/CIA agents to visit the company in person.

I don't think that main US adversaries ever shied away from much more direct means to infiltrate the US government.
May I dissect you for the search?