skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Of course there's uncertainty, but the idea of re-infection contradicts decades of established immunological principles.

At a minimum, we can agree that in the event of re-infection, the subsequent infection will hit a lower peak viral load and therefore theoretically a much milder outcome with reduced transmissibility, right? This is called immunological memory and arises due to memory b cells and memory t cells which persist across decades.

Anyway, please see https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2550-z

It establishes that those exposed to SARS-1, which structurally and functionally is incredibly similar to SARS-2 and thus is our best model of how to think about SARS-2, have long-lasting immunity. Their t-cells not only react to SARS-1 after 17 years, they also have immunity to SARS-2, which is a testament to how similar they are structurally speaking.

Additionally exposure to those common cold human coronaviruses you mentioned almost certainly confers immunity to SARS-2 based off that same paper. We're still hashing out the details, of course.

Immunology is incredibly complex and there is still plenty to learn about as far as the exact specifics of what unfolds
here, yes. But we should assume reinfection isn't possible, because:

- It doesn't happen in SARS-1 which is by far the best model we have

- If it did happen, given the MILLIONS of cases of COVID-19 worldwide, we would have seen THOUSANDS of rigorously documented examples of the phenomenom happening

- Those arguing for reinfection tend to not make any mention of immunological memory

- Those arguing for reinfection do so to in an attempt to scare us into staying locked down until "the vaccine", which I am opposed to because I am opposed to any public health policy that banks on a future technological innovation that does not yet exist, particularly when I fear that the environment of irrational fear and anxiety and outright hysteria is going to be used to mandate vaccines, which is highly unethical under my moral framework

--

As far as me sounding over-certain, frankly it's cognitive draining to be arguing against a horde of people whose priors have been completely screwed up by programming from a media that takes delight in knowingly lying to citizens, and even our trusted public health officials like Fauci don't have the courage or perhaps the desire to break out of the collective mass delusion we are all trapped in.

So yes, if I had infinite time and energy I agree, I could do a way better job of capturing uncertainty. I've written an 8000+ word writeup on COVID that does a much better job capturing the uncertainty, but it's very difficult to do without...writing 8000 words.

Also this doesn't justify it but I do feel the need to point out that those arguing for the "doom" scenario are even more egregiously overstating certainty, and tend to not be called out on their ridiculous statements. So that's why I tend to come into these threads guns blazing, with the predictable result of getting hammered by downvotes. C'est la vie.
Hmm I’ve been using gmail via IMAP almost exclusively for about 10 years
Ways Interactive Content Increases Conversions
Similar story for me. Docs were patchy at best, skimming existing dissectors raised more questions than it answered.

Ended up implementing a stand alone tool just leveraging libpcap to parse the pcap files and then process the according TCP packets from there, dumping information to stdout. Definitely not as nice as interactively examining packets in wireshark, but at least got it done in two days and actually found the underlying problem we were trying to find.

Wonder how much easier it would've been with this.
That's because Google deliberately prevents background playback on mobile devices, bringing mobile browsers down to the same level of the YouTube app using shady JavaScript APIs. This add-on should fix it: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/video-backgro...
oil is used for so much more than gas...
Yeah, I'm confused about what people even talking about with logins. That's not a thing. There's no option to login with Google/Youtube on Newpipe, and that's by design. The value proposition, in addition to being a wonderfully designed, lightweight app, is the ability to subscribe, follow channels, view, download video without any Google/Youtube connection.
Some people live in bubbles within bubbles.

Fortunately, we have data to confirm our suspicions: https://insights.stackoverflow.com/survey/2020#technology-de...
One anecdote counters another.
Yea. Simple question.

What’s the evidence that these were not birds?
If YouTube's own app wasn't so bad, I wouldn't have searched for an alternative.

Plus like 90% of YouTube channels I'm following mirror their content to their own subscription service (https://watchnebula.com/), and I'm happily paying for that instead of paying for YouTube Premium.
Those are the operating system's settings in Mac OS. It's not a Thunderbird dialogue (unfortunately).
An Essential Guide to Grow Your Website with Google Analytics
Not to worry! Perhaps you checked by URL rather than title (edit: ah yes, I see that from your HN search link). The two URLs are significantly different in this case.

I usually search by both url and title just to be sure. When searching by title I usually distill the search down to a minimum, - e.g. "Discord Rust" - basically a spanning set for all the articles that might fit. Then if necessary, I use "points>N" or "comments>N" to narrow it down.
My takeaway is if I discover a crime being committed by someone I don't know well, report and cut all contact. Upgrade Security. Be alert. This whole situation is a tragedy, and his willingness to impart reason with the unreasonable cost him his life.
All app stores are far shadier thans torrents websites or worse, warez websites of old. App stores come with spyware, adware, and regularly mineware or worden. I visit torrent websites for peace of mind.

But mostly F-droid, which has Newpipe. Both excellent and reliable and shite-free.

I really don't get app stores. How did they convince everyone to install so much spy and adware?
I think you have cause and effect reversed.
I'm not sure that type of analysis is even possible. The more factors you want to take into account, the larger the sample size you need. But there are so many factors here that you could need a sample size which is larger than the entire US population, which is obviously not available.

It seems to me the better solution is to just solve the problems. Stop spending all day arguing about whether the criminal justice system is racist and instead do something about the fact that the US has the world's largest prison population. Do something about housing costs. Do something about barriers to starting a small business.

These problems may disproportionately affect black people, but they still affect everybody and solving them is a net benefit either way. Conditioning a solution to a problem on the existence of racism when the problem exists regardless is just drawing useless tribalist lines that get people fighting each other instead of solving things.
You mean, like "Bible study" ?
because they bet on natural gas. however, the us politics dictate we must go into batteries, even tho they have their own problems ;-)
The third solution is to suck it up and wait it out until there's a vaccine, which still may be as soon as December.

I hate having my kids out of school. Virtual learning is mostly useless. They are ( I think ) quietly becoming more and more withdrawn and I don't know how well they'll recover once things open up. We have two parents working from home and barely managing to stay productive.

Still I think sending kids back to the classroom is a terrible idea. I wouldn't be a school nurse for any amount of money. It's just not safe, and we can all still wait.
At least our President doesn't wear Blackface for kicks.
> 2. One of the things LibreSSL removes is the FIPS validated stuff. Distributions that harbor ambitions of being used in large US corporate and government installations want that.

Sounds like it could have happened if someone went to bat for it. Red Hat deciding to include it (even if they didn't replace OpenSSL with it immediately) and pushing to get it certified and the portability stuff more stable would have done this.

> 3. By the time the portable LibreSSL build system came out, there were already significant improvements afoot within the OpenSSL project.

That's probably the real reason. Although, given the stuff mentioned in that bug/talk and how much seems to have been based on extreme portability, unless OpenSSL decided to just give up on some aspects of that (I doubt it), then some of the problems (code complexity, not to mention ROP helpers) probably survive (not that I know).
Most of the world has reacted better than the US. I agree it's not easy, it has not been easy for anyone. But the unwillingness/incapability of the US to suffer backlash from their own moneyed interests is not the norm. It's a symptom of a dysfunctional system. It shouldn't be normalized.
That looks very clean - cool!
I applied the redux pattern to WebComponents a while ago https://gitlab.com/f.parrillo/web-components/-/tree/master/s... .
Because there are no benchmarks for any of this
Beginner's Guide to Kubernetes
"Financial Management" step also solved an incentive alignment problem: it created a way for investors to cooperate with the organization.

But these two steps are different: the second one aligned the organization with its workers, but the first one aligned the organization with investors.

Assuming this trend will continue, the third step will align the organization with some other group.
> That's not a catastrophic failure at all; early (unrealistic, but that didn't stop our policy leaders from using them) estimates were forecasting 2.2 million dead, that's Ferguson's paper with a .9% IFR and 82% of pop. getting infected.

Honestly we might as well stop the conversation here. A quarter of a million extra dead isn't a failure? Wow. You and I just don't have anywhere close to the same values.
I think that if you don't accept the terms of use of a service, then you shouldn't use that service and consuming advertisment is exactly how the YT service has been conceived: its primary monetization form is advertising so if i want to use its service, i have to consume ads. If i don't want to see their ads then i'm completely free to not use that service.

I think similar considerations are valid for ads on websites too.
when has BMW had a high quality sterotype? Fancy pants? sure. but Audi/BMW/MB all suffer from reliability issues, with BMW leading the pack.

Completely agree about anecdotal evidence.
Even if they rotate kids in and out to keep crowds down, they still need separate facilities or FEMA level decontamination daily with same day testing for employees like those working the cafeteria and would interact with all sets of students...

We need to double resources for schools and teachers anyway but even if we had the time and funding it would be less than ideal to combat the pandemic too.
Hugged to death(?)

Archive : https://web.archive.org/web/20200717180537/http://danieltemk...
I know they knew each other, but I can't speak for the quality of their friendship or Lucky's character in general.
> Although, if you still prefer to block-ads on device, those solutions also exist for iOS.

Of course I run content blockers on my devices, this is not 'antipattern' at all. I also run them on the local network into which I, when needed (e.g. when using public wifi) connect through a VPN (used to be OpenVPN, now using Wireguard).

While Apple is slowly opening up the content blocking possibilities I have been doing this for about 9 years now, including egress blocking (using a whitelist, only those programs explicitly allowed are able to transmit data). Android being built on top of the Linux kernel made it possible to use most of the existing tools (iptables etc) more or less right from the start - which for me was with Android "Donut" (1.6) on an HTC Prophet (which was sold with Windows Mobile).
I took the GRE in 9th grade and started taking classes at a community college. There are alternative paths out there where you can still socialize. There are more MOOCs and online schools, but I still think learning to deal with others is a real skill that you have to develop and is immensely important in life.
Homeland Security Worries Covid-19 Masks Are Breaking Facial Recognition
HTML, CSS, and JSON Modules are currently blocked by Import Conditions, which is going for stage 3 at the next TC39.
oh gosh what was that article claiming that pre-internet, ads functioned as a monetary sacrifice that companies could make as a demonstration of their solvency. if you saw an ad frequently, that meant it was a big, stable company, that was preferable to have an ongoing relationship with. Personalized ads don't have that property. I think the author compared personalized ads to direct-mailers - those junk grocery store flyers that show up in your snailmail. They don't signal anything other than "this product exists"
Maybe make it cost money to start an account, and you can only follow x00 people whereas it takes x000 to get.. "dissipated"
Spanish Flu: Epidemiology and pathology (Wikipedia)
It's amazing but you are probably right :D
"Don't attribute to malice what can be sufficiently explained by stupidity."

This line isn't nearly as clever as everyone who quotes it thinks it is.
In many cases states have tried to obtain supplies directly from manufacturers and suppliers only to have the Federal Government step in and prevent them from actually taking possession of the needed materials.

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/04/hospitals-face-a-whi...
How much of the YouTube premium fee goes to content creators? Why would that be better than donating directly to the content creators? Or are you suggesting that we should be philanthropic towards Alphabet Inc.?
Steadily increasing is true but misleadingly dire sounding. It is increasing by tiny amounts (and already plateauing in Arizona). That is ok.

I have no objection to mask wearing.
Why would you ever have the logic in methods in Vue? Just keep it simple

<button @click="count--">
<button @click="count++">
Agree it's not a silver bullet, especially when someone needs actual medical help. But mindfulness can certainly help break the cycle of self perpetuating stress.
The sad thing about HTML is that its original markup was designed for academic texts (h1,h2, p), but now it is unused because every publisher uses PDF for that end
But you wouldn't be taking on that cost and risk. That's the whole point of subsidizing manufacturing. To alleviate said cost and risk in desperate times.

You know, like a global pandemic. That's a pretty desperate time, IMO.
The marshmallow test also selects for kids with food insecurity, you know.
Charters are explicitly reductions in institutional legal accountability, and unlike public (charter or not) schools, the chief decision makers so released from accountability with private schools are not accountable by election, either.
>Telling people that only 1% of them will die so it's all okay is telling people you don't care about them - they notice, they're not dumb.

No no no no no. It's high time we stop treating everything as black and white in this country. It's not just callously disregarding the dead - it's about determining whether the literal and figurative loss of life caused by a lockdown is worth the loss of life caused by the virus. And the signal/noise ratio right now is absolutely tiny, especially considering how much damage the media has done by unambiguously turning this into an opportunity to bash Trump. Regardless of how you feel about the presidency, if you compare per capital rates ours were actually on par with most other first world nations until the recent protests (both left and right) began; and while I do believe it is shameful that we were caught with our pants down, scrambling to gather supplies nearly 3 months late, I'll remind you that so was everyone else.

Let's also not forget that a number of other countries like Sweden didn't lock down at all and are doing fine. We also shouldn't be applying the same policies to urban and rural areas.

You know what would really answer this question to me? What percent of nurses and doctors in COVID wards have gotten sick? And what is their CFR? That's pretty much worst case exposure and seeing as I haven't heard of doctors dying in droves, I'm inclined to start believing that people do have and/or develop immunity and the fatality/complication rate really is extremely low, for whatever reason. But I need data to be sure.
Come on! Don't be so touchy-feely. Take it for what is - a lighthearted joke.
NYC definitely attracts more intense and crazy people, and it also makes people crazy for validation and success.

NYC = crazy

I lived there.
thanks, didn't know what to search. striking to me that it seems to be all mental. I suppose it's reassuring that this is somewhat common
Don't seem to be able to snag it via F-Droid, the app seems to be 2yo without updates... May look again later.
I don't disagree with any of that. I think we're just scoping the word 'xenophobic' differently. To me that word conveys something deeper and more permanent, especially if one uses 'is' with it, as in "HN is incredibly xenophobic". (which was actually a rather silly thing to say)
I feel the opposite: Nim is overmarketed here on HN, just like D.

It's marketed as a modern systems programming language, but I don't see any benchmark comparision with C/C++/Rust on language benchmark shootout.

As for me I selected Julia from the language benchmark shootout as my to go programming language, and I'm not looking back (Rust/C++ are a bit too level for my needs, but I still need performance).
Most common CSS mistakes made by new and experienced developers
all sides should be able to agree on

In reality, that's just not the case. Lots of topics just lead to low-quality discussions and those are flagged. I'd be inclined to flag something with this submission's title without as much as looking at the discussion thread.
Antibodies do wane, and they are supposed to. They generally don't last longer than a few months with SARS-[1,2].

Even though they wane, memory b cells persist, meaning subsequent infection is milder and theoretically less transmissible.

Additionally that reinfection potential only exists if you ignore t-cells. When you factor in t-cells, it simply does not happen.

We're in July 2020. SARS-2 existed since some point in 2019, probably midway through. Granted we couldn't detect reinfection until the whole globe had been freaking out about it, so let's start our clock from January 2020.

It's been 6 months and we don't have dozens of well-documented, credible reinfections?

No, such one-off supposed reinfections are much more explainable from a bayesian perspective of either false positives or false negatives of PCR.

Find me someone who is not immunocompromised, who is PCR-positive for SARS-2 and from whom viable SARS-2 is successfully cultured, then show them fighting off the infection and being PCR-negative and symptom-free for weeks, then show me them being PCR-positive again with viable SARS-2 cultured from their body. That's the standard.

20 examples of that and reinfection definitely happens. Until then, our priors are that we should assume it does not.

Such fears are just used to argue against herd immunity, which has been made into a "dirty word" (phrase). Herd immunity is a natural phenomenom, arguing "against" it is like arguing against natural selection in my book. (The analogy is not perfect but I hope you see the point. I'm tired of being called callous for saying "hey let's not fuck with the normal population immunity dynamics that we've used for every other highly infectious virus in existence")

---

BTW, I can't find the study but they have tested reinfection in primates and showed them unable to get reinfected
Its not stealing because stealing is taking something from someone. When you view video online you are copying video not moving it.

What about ad blocking? Well you aren't actually blocking ads. You're electing not to request ads. I'm simply not interested in ads. It would be wrong for YouTube to sell my views to advertisers since I would just ignore the ads anyways. So basically they are actually the bad guy and I'm a hero.

Re: alternatives, the guys that make stuff I like I support through patreon / gumroad / PayPal / mail gifts directly to their PO box. Some of them host their own videos. Its cheap.

On the flipside the crap made that's supported by advertising is terrible - drawn out for revenue, totally soulless and generally for children. Who cares about that?
The alternative option is hybrid remote/on-site schooling, where the kids are on campus half-day, rotating groups a few days a week, on an alternating week schedule. That gets critical face-to-face time, albeit with social distancing, that is necessary (particularly for elementary) to support a workable remote learning plan on the other days.

This is what my school district, for example, was planning on doing until the teachers union organized a walk-out.
Amused to see this quote on the landing page. Good luck with the project!
> A large factor in the worldwide occurrence of the flu was increased travel. Modern transportation systems made it easier for soldiers, sailors, and civilian travelers to spread the disease.[citation needed] Another was lies and denial by governments, leaving the population ill-prepared to handle the outbreaks.[73]

Sounds just like early 2020

> In civilian life, natural selection favors a mild strain. Those who get very ill stay home, and those mildly ill continue with their lives, preferentially spreading the mild strain. In the trenches, natural selection was reversed. Soldiers with a mild strain stayed where they were, while the severely ill were sent on crowded trains to crowded field hospitals, spreading the deadlier virus

Sounds just like Shelter in place (mild cases, asymptomatic & those who's immune system can fight it stay home, sick people leave home for medical attention)
It's a human aspect, but to be blunt, it's not a significant consideration as long as you aren't opening schools in an area with high community transfer (e.g. Houston today). IF you additionally filter out high risk-group teaches (known pre-existing health conditions, older than 65, etc.) excess death risk is quite low. (e.g. in the Bay Area, dying in a car crash remains far more likely (~10x) if you meet the criteria earlier noted)

(Children actually have had negative excess death rates this year: https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/covid-19-mortality-over-time-o... --- reduction in travel, etc. has more than offset covid)
I have read that birth defects of one sort or another are 6% of live births. I have no idea what percentage of those lead to ongoing health issues.
The problem is that people think the D's and R's are dramatically different. They both have similar statist agendas just marketing themselves towards different demographics. Neither party has many any substantial effort to rebuild our infrastructure, develop genuine disaster preparedness, reduce tax burdens on the middle class, and so on.

All of those things lead to what we're seeing now where the average person can't even afford to live on savings for a few months. If the average person can't keep themselves above water, how can they realistically contribute to their community efforts like we did in WW2? And if they're all going broke and risking losing their houses and livelihoods you end up with a massive backlash to anything keeping people away from work.

We need leadership that pushes serious reform initiatives to reduce government bloat and reach goals that actually benefit the people.
Those are both microcontroller-class RISC-V processors (of which there are many), not something capable of running Linux.