skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Investment Bankers are performing a service for companies that IPO.

Sure. But that service is largely marketing. They do a roadshow and talk up your company to everyone who will listen.

That's certainly a valuable service. I'm sure it's even worth it to many companies.

I don't really see how it's that useful for well known B2C companies (e.g. Facebook and Tesla).
Personally, in 2014 I had put the odds of seeing human-level AI during my lifetime at around 10%.

Given the latest developments, I would put the odds at fifty-fifty within the next decade.
> no-one can train GPT-3 in any acceptable time except for those with access to large GPU/ASIC compute power (OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, NVIDIA, etc.)

Any state actor has access to large compute power
A couple of the things, why this just doesn't make much sense to do:

- Except on specific topics, the different parties don't actually agree on much. E.g. during the last cycle the center-right to right parties had the majority in parliament, but they barely got anything trough in four years

- Besides having the role of head of state being shared among 7 people, the federal government also has much less power compared to other countries. Most domestic things happen at a canton (state) and municipal level.

- Basically everything that the council decides, or parliament for that matter, can and often is challenged via popular referendums.

If you don't establish the coalitions trough the entire system they will be pretty much useless. Also because of direct democracy, I think political discourse more often centers around the issues being voted on, rather than the parties and coalitions.

That is what in my opinion is the strength of the Swiss political system. It is very hard for someone, be that a person or party to obtain enough power to really cause long lasting damage. The other side of this coin of course is, that any change will happen extremely slowly. Which can be both good and bad
As European, is strange to see how old the US airline flight attendants are on average. In Europe, those jobs are mostly filled by young people, here in US, it tends to be the opposite of the spectrum.
It is an interesting question. Where I come from there is a mandatory retirement, but it is financed by a universal pension system (like social security, based on how long and much you made during your whole life). Now once forcibly retired, nothing prevents you to start your own business and contracting if you want.
Now, I get the no age discrimination intent. I am just wondering if this is a way to underpay people, and have 70yo people who still have to work to make it. Labor is more expensive in Europe probably because the pool of workers is smaller due to mandatory retirement age.
I just wish I wont have to work at 70yo. Would be nice to volunteer, or something if I feel like.
One "ah ha" about that required non-linear function I had was the fact that if you were just passing numbers through a series of linear functions they could by definition just be combined into one equation.
Author here, commenting on the "I am not sure how I feel about OSS projects getting some attention and then closing source" part of your message.

I think that sounds sketchy to some people, but hear me out:

1. I couldn't stand using Evernote anymore, I couldn't find a Markdown-based alternative that I really liked, I thought I would make one for myself.

2. After the app was "done", at least enough for it to be usable for me, I released it on GitHub, essentially because open-source is my default, and shared it on the internet.

3. The app got a bit of traction and I thought I would continue working on it maybe for a bit longer.

4. At some point months of my time had been put into it, and many more months were needed before the app could start to generate some revenue (I'm ~18 months in now, and no revenue yet), so I couldn't justify releasing all the code anymore, but I still wanted to improve the app.

At this point in the story what would you do? I saw the following options:

1. Abandon Notable and move onto other projects. But why would I do that? I like working on it, and people seem to like it.

2. Rename Notable into something else and make another repo. I think this would have been considered the "fairer" option for some people here, but if you think about it it doesn't really make sense: Notable-open would still receive no further open-source commits, I would have to ask all my existing users to move to another app for some reason (breaking automatic updates), and frankly I would even need to find a new name, which I had made a logo for, bought the "notable.md" domain and registered a bunch of online accounts with that name already.

3. Releasing the code with a more restrictive license, but I don't really believe in licenses, like a license to me is not a law of nature that fundamentally forbids people from copying the entire app, making a few tweaks, and selling a competing product out of that, it just means that if I'm convinced somebody has done that, and there are laws in his/her country, and if I sue him/her, then probably I will win. For a project that has net me a negative income essentially in opportunity cost, so far at least, why would I go for that trouble?

4. The path that I ended up taking.

Do you people see any other options? Do you have any strong arguments for why I should have taken another path?

Slight rant: I'd be much more impressed if the people strongly criticizing how I spent my time, largely solely to the benefit of Notable's users and the open-source community as a whole (almost all core components of the app are standalone libraries I'm open-sourcing fully), had taken the path they are advocating for themselves.
I actually know someone that died from cancer. I don't know anyone that died from covid-19. I'm just talking from personal experience, and am not regurgitating statistics you hear from the news.
I also experienced this kind of bias at my first tech job in Utah. If you talk to any non Mormon in Utah they will have a story of bias in employment, housing, education or community due to religion. It’s incredibly pervasive.
I took this one offline and sent an email to the one listed in your profile. it contains more personal data than I want to put out here in public.
> Given the latest developments, I would put the odds at fifty-fifty within the next decade.

thing is technological development is not linear, you can't predict future development based on the last n decades. You can't assume an AI winter is not coming because it most likely is
Icelandair letting go its flight attendants and shifting their duties to pilots
Coursera isn't a SaaS business...
Can only comment on the first two.
Coursera: most courses come from universities.They are structured,aims are clear. Depending on the level and the teacher,some can be dull or/and going 1000 miles an hour,so picking the right level is important.
Udemy: less formal,less academic. Some courses are created by those who have no idea what they're talking about,while others are well prepared, broad,and deliver high value.
A blessing! In my case anyway. It only happens when I intently listen to music: headphones, dark room, clear head. It's like a reward for focusing in. Thankfully it's not intrusive; doesn't happen when I'm driving or working, etc.
I’ve done this a few times. Even if you do 301 redirects properly, it still can take a month or two for google traffic to day get back to previous level. You might just have to be patient.
One of the biggest issues is with cherry-picking. Generative ML results benefit greatly from humans sampling the best results. They are capable of producing astonishing results but don’t do this consistently this has a huge impact on any effort to productize. For example I’ve seen quite a few examples of text->design, text->code, with GPT-3 you could build a demo in a day, but the product will probably be useless if it’s not delivering results 50%+ of the time
The market you want to target is people who aren't software engineers but want to run a simple website. The gulf for someone who just wants to serve a static html site but wants to have some content that requires secure access is huge right now.

Consider the use case for a person buying woodworking plans from a website. Payment required to access pdf plans, but the owner of the website wants to set it up once and not worry about it, and not to have to learn anything more about coding than they have to.
I wish I could comprehend what Coursera even does, other than handing out worthless certificates and paywalling content you can find online, for free.

I guess these investors are hoping Coursera becomes the Harvard of online education if they throw enough money at it. It may work, but good lord, what a strange way to decide to spend your limited life, hoping to make money (investors already have money...) from status symbols. Why not, you know, actually do something useful with your life?

This reminds me of people who bought bitcoin because, you know, other people will buy bitcoin... Why not, you know, actually do something useful with your life?
Yeah, but this is 2020... the blu-ray drive needs a copy of React with node_modules sized at 26Gb :P
Freeway project unearths a time when camels roamed San Diego
Giving certain people, highly visible on social media, pre-public access to the model, and letting them cherry pick their completions to post without the prompt or amount of tries, is a smart form of propaganda/hype building/PR management, that we have come to expect from "GPT-2 is too dangerous to release" openAI

Sometimes I forget that, while this model was created by scientists, and released with a scientific paper, it is essentially a for-profit business product, and such cheap tricks deserve harsh criticism.
That rings true to me - mostly just due to the companies present. I was near $400k in CA, and now around $200k here in Utah. But frankly, the lifestyle you can afford here on two >$100k salaries is ridiculous.
I would not mind seeing this expanded.

I have an observation to offer, based on "anecdata" and the like. Let's assume that the Baby Boomer generation is that standard group born between 1946 and 1964. Where I worked in 2008, I noticed a lot of the Baby Boomer crowd taking a bath on their retirement funds due to, well, 2008. Lousy investments, house-flipping, and so on. Many of them grumbled about having to delay their retirements considerably. I saw this happen in effect as these people continued to work, often a decade longer than their stated departure dates. They didn't have mandatory retirement, and so they kept plugging along.

I believe this 2008 effect, combined with the relatively small cohort for Gen X, has left the Baby Boomers in power politically, in business, and in university still, leaving Gen X waiting for open positions to climb up into, but they haven't opened up yet. Indeed, with the youngest Boomers at age fifty-six, they will still be a forced to be reckoned with for at least another decade, while Gen X grows stagnant.

We're a small bunch, so aside from bones thrown to us like Stranger Things or Ready Player One, we are largely ignored. We will most likely be surpassed by the Millennials. Part of this, I think, may be slightly due to the kind of fatalistic passive nature which seems to permeate much of Gen X, who are, in some sense, still waiting for the bombs to drop, assuming the acid rain, killer bees, or GRID doesn't get us first.

Call it a wild suspicion, but I think Gen X will be a sort of forgotten bunch a century from now, and the lack of mandatory retirement may be part of it.
> because it most likely is

Is this not you making a prediction, the very sentence after saying one can not predict the future?
I think that depends on where you are... aren't some parts like Spain and Portugal facing seriously high unemployment rates for younger people?
I'll just say it's likely in the best interest of the product. Would need to know more about you, your ambitions, the product to give proper advice.

The place I tell people to start their own learning journey w.r.t this is https://coss.media
Firmware updates can be good, but only the user with physical access should be able to install a firmware update. An example of how this might be done may be: There is a ROM firmware (always read-only) and EEPROM firmware (read-only except during firmware upgrade operations); the ROM firmware only checks a switch (which is a physical hardware switch can be set only by the user) and if set, will load the data on the DVD (or CD or CompactFlash or whatever other media it uses, but specifically not internet) as a firmware upgrade into the EEPROM; if the switch is not set, then the EEPROM is read-only and nothing can upgrade it, not even a custom firmware. (The user could also physically open it up and replace the EEPROM chip themself, if wanted, but this would normally be unnecessary.)
Pressure from Trump led to 5G ban, Britain tells Huawei
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This is just silly. The whole point of having an abstraction like a higher level programming language is so that we can all work together on tasks instead of spending time on language details.

Unless you are working on an isolated system in an isolated setting that will be destroyed rather than merged, none of this helps. It's the same as localised programming some people do today where you simply can't work together because you lost the most important common denominator.
I agree. You don’t open a file, you try to open a file. When you get a handle back, that’s your library skipping steps.
disruptive potential comparable to that of blockchain technology.

When I read this, I don't know, genuinely, if it's a _potential_ blockchain has/had or a realized potential, which I find hard to believe since it didn't disrupt anything apart gamblers so far.
sed, tr.
Just trust us!

I find it equally odd to assume that they do exactly what they say.
Yep. I'm pretty sure that even with unsafe shenanigans, you can't access the value without being very explicit about it. You'd need something like:

let value = unsafe {
match result {
Ok(value) => value,
_ => hint::unreachable_unchecked()
}
};

At this point, the fact that you've skipped an error check should be abundantly clear to anyone reading your code.
That is the most LCAR upgrade screen I have ever seen...
How would you measure human level AI?
> Culturally, Mormons are a bit like the conservative south, except remove alcohol, add a higher respect for formal education, and crank up that 'protestant work ethic' to 11.

Historically Mormons are Yankees. If you look at an ethnic map of the US Utah is one of the few places that still has a plurality of people of British descent. I think Utah is sort of a time capsule of how the northern states were like before the waves of immigration that arrived after the Civil War.
Saying an AI winter is coming isn't saying how long it will be for or what the magnitude will be.
What you’re wearing is _still_ fashion. It’s based on a different aesthetic.
If we all did, there won't be any small companies or startups. The only ones that will survive will be the big guys who will scoop up small players as much as possible. You will be rendered jobless along with many of your colleagues. Whether you like it or hate it, every single company today depends completely on online advertising for reaching customers/clients. I am not saying it is perfect. But there is no alternative which is as ubiquitous as online advertising! Every other form of advertising shuts out the smaller player from ever being able to compete. You can start online advertising with as little as 10$. Which other medium gives you that ability? For a cash-strapped startup this is a lifeline!
Ask HN: Ethical Advertising Companies
I am looking at improving my blog and including advertising; however, I do not wish to use an advertising company that “overly” tracks people. Any suggestions for ethical advertising companies to use for a blog?
I have a 5 year old food forest at my house. I take videos and upload to YouTube.

Checkout my channel: https://m.youtube.com/channel/UC1eySW_9TiI5wnvTnIIw2Nw

I have 5 year old hugelkultur beds and 1 year old beds and everything in between.

They really do work and are a blast to work with, each one a little bit different.

If your into this stuff please subscribe as I'm trying to grow my channel over 100 so I can unlock some YouTube platform features which I'm currently blocked on. (Namely live streaming from my mobile phone)
The first? Algol 68 allowed implementations to have language-specific versions of keywords. I remember seeing a French language Algol 68 book in the stacks at the OU library that had listings with French keywords. I don't remember what they did with the portmanteau words that Algol 68 (and much more so in the Revised Report) favored, like "ouse" and "elif".
Interesting! The Kuhl pants I own don't have any rivets in them at all (in fact there's no metal or anything non-fabric except for the crotch zipper and button) so I have not experienced that. Will have to keep that in mind if I look at any of the other styles from them, though.
I was there a few years ago to check Boise out as maybe a place to live. Nicest/cleanest downtown I think I've ever seen. Didn't end up making the move but I seriously thought about it.
You can even cook with with!

One of the traditional ways to make black garlic is to tie it in a jar and bury it in compost which cooks it low and slow over weeks.
How to get audible 30-day free trial of audiobooks
It's been over a decade since I did auction theory so take what I say with a grain of salt. The bidders would be shaving their bids (ie: paying less than they actually value the stock at) since there's an incentive (ie: profit) to not be the top bidder. Everyone wants to be the last bidder since they get their stock for the lowest price. That probably leads to really unstable dynamics and an inefficient equilibrium. So the company may actually come out with less money than other approaches.
@dang I'm Notable's author. I had planned to post on HN about the next update of the app in a few weeks, which I've been working on for about 6 months now, the current post has been made with a bit of an unfortunate timing by a user. Hopefully this will be to ok you and the other people moderating the site. The app changed quite significantly in almost all areas, it's essentially like another app that looks similar to the older one at this point, the post won't be "more of the same thing" if people will actually comment on the app, I'll try to push for a healthier discussion.
What was published about the Kalahari Bushmen by the Marshall family (Laurence Marshall, co-founder of Raytheon) provides some of the best real connections we have to early human life.

If you’re interested in this stuff, I really enjoyed Elizabeth Marshall Thomas’s “The Old Way” and recommend it.
Again referring to Go's imperfect but interesting handling of this problem, the style in Go would be:

data, err := open("/var/foo")
if err != nil....

In fact, the compiler will make you deal with both values after assignment unless you explicitly ignore one of the return values.
Ugh. Thanks for the kind words :)
If it ain't broke, don't fix it. A simple pedal on the floor seems perfectly acceptable. Doesn't need batteries to replace. Nothing wrong with that. Not everything needs to have "tech" applied to make it functional
Well yes. But that shouldn't be much of a surprise to anyone, humanity isn't made of absolutes or boxes or borders.

A spectrum you can be 'on', as the word suggests, is just a range or a degree within a classification so we have a common concept when communicating about things. If we had to develop a new word for every unique combination of attributes it would become very hard to talk about things.
Flight attendants in the US are mainly older due to union contracts. The airlines went through rapid expansion many years ago, but since then there have been repeated rounds of layoffs. The layoffs go by seniority so younger flight attendants tend to get terminated and move on to other careers. (This happened to one of my relatives.)
I was calling out "user manually provide targeting information to ads companies" as unrealistic, the alternative of "don't have persistent user profiles for ads" is obviously possible.
Do you think open sourcing will lead to more users? Even vs a free hosted version?
Understood. Mountain Lions are kinda weird, they tend to have an elongated snout. They do resemble cats, mainly in the eyes, but could easily be mistaken for.. something else. Here's a picture I found to showcase that a bit, I wouldn't personally think it looks much catlike. YMMV.

https://cbsnews1.cbsistatic.com/hub/i/2016/11/29/23b79701-c4...
They should definitely have to ask the permission to be able to run the microphone or camera in the background, specially in Firefox (as opposed to native apps).
I neither claimed tech development was linear, nor am I basing future AI progress on the rate of progress in the last decades.

I am basing future AI progress on what AI can do in July of 2020, which I believe already represents substantial progress towards that goal.
I don't know, this seemed pretty close to magic to me:

https://twitter.com/jsngr/status/1284511080715362304

Granted, it seems like there was a lot of behind the scenes work to make that happen.
https://otakunozoku.com/video/working.flv

A month's worth of work in a couple of minutes. Captured way back in early-ish 2013. Sorry about the .flv, that's what web video kinda was back then if you wanted it to work on multiple browsers.
I dunno. There's a bot on /r/buttcoin that posts dumb bitcoiner quotes, and bitcoiners would keep showing up and arguing with it. So I think the Turing test bar's a little low in this domain.
I'm in a weird category. I can't barely add numbers in my head without using my fingers. But I'm huge into complexity, and therefore the math that I get into is pretty steep. I just finished and aced a course that deals heavily on variations within the diffusion equation. So much Greek for so few numbers!

I'm also a guitar player. Unsurprisingly I barely know the names of chords I use (mainly because I think in terms of notes in a scale than I even care about what they're called when played simultaneously), and I'm a terrible sheet music reader, but the music I play is otherwise highly technical / complicated as well.
They look ugly. Are you really doing home improvement projects everywhere
Luckily, the bathroom is not the only location in the entire building with a trashcan