skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Each of which has a .00001% chance of happening.

More to the point, you're in a dog eat dog world, and for most of those dogs this 0.00001% chance won't happen in the lifetime of the firm. So they don't spend money on mitigating it, which gives them a competitive advantage over every dog that does spend the money.

Spend money on enough 0.00001% things, and they will grind you into the dust. Locally the way out is legislation that evens that playing field by forcing everybody to spend that money. But you can't control low cost overseas producers in that way.

Nothing is as easy as it appears.
> I think you are underestimating what an advance these models are over previous NLP models in terms of quality.

Yeah I mean, I agree. But in my opinion, it's a case of "doing the wrong thing right" instead of a more useful "doing the right thing wrong."

I grant that these automated models are useful for low-value classification/generation tasks at high-frequency scale. I don't think that in any way is related to intelligence though, and the only reason I think they've been pursued is because of immediate economic usefulness _shrug_.

When high-value, low-frequency tasks begin to be reproduced by software without intervention, I think we'll be closer to intelligence. This is just mimicry. Change the parameters even in the slightest (e.g. have this algorithm try to "learn" the article it created to actually do something in the world) and it all falls down.
Yes. Novell was big.
They aren't always working there because they need the money. My grandfather is in his mid 70s and works at Walmart so he has something to do.
The faux selling point of American Dream.

Experienced a lot of this sentiment in questions on the subreddit.
Zettlr, RemNote, Roam, Obsidian - these are some of the titles a modern note-taking app should be compared to.
Refusing to wear clothes that's out of style is racist and classist. I've heard it all now.
The government thinks $10M per life is about the right number on the margin given US's economic situation and the slack they have in the annual budget. Obviously if there's a nuclear war tomorrow, or something else that drastically changes either the money supply or the number of people who need saving, the exchange rate would be different.

Realistically I think the value should be a lot lower, considering there are many interventions you could do that saves more than 1 life per $10M, even if we confine calculations to the US. (World-wide the marginal cost of a life is probably less than $10k). Of course you have to also take into consideration what is politically and organizationally feasible, so perhaps $10M is the government's marginal cost of a life considering its set of permissible policies.

...Or maybe somebody just pulled a number out of a hat to justify an expensive piece of legislation in the 80's, and nobody's bothered to update the number since.
The five tasks are sent via e-mail. It's about 2 pages.

Code reviews are casual. Usually, they plug a projector into their notebook and show us their code in whatever editor they wrote it in. We have 3-5 engineers in the room, they ask questions about the code structure and approach. It's been respectful and positive.

We give them days because most are full-time employees and in many cases have long work days. Giving them flexibility allows them to fit the work into their schedule. Note that most wind up spending much more than the 2 hours and in many cases, take the task much further than is required. We've had 2 hours as the least and in one case, 12. We keep the ask small to respect their time, but love to see them get engaged with it.
> these transient structures, which appear and disappear like sandcastles on a beach

That's a good metaphor for building up elaborate programming concepts in your brain then someone bothers you and it slips away. So you have to sit quietly and build it back up (quicker this time).
> I'm going to call this goalpost shifting.

That's completely fair. On the other hand, without a theory of mind it can't really educate or inspire people, the only thing it can do is maybe trick them about the authorship of something. But once people learn the techniques for identifying this kind of writing, it can't even do that anymore. To me this is like the front end of something, but it still needs a back end.

Don't get me wrong, it's super cool research and seems like a huge step forward, and I'm excited to see where it goes. But I also don't see this AI running a successful presidential campaign or whatever, at least within the next couple years.
From the look and css classes, it's most likely made using vuetify[https://vuetifyjs.com]
Same here. I tried finding a book about deb and rpm packaging the other day and couldn't find one. Left me feeling anxious.
I totally understand. I have no idea about their situation and Its not a rational thing to feel. It just isn't something I was expecting to see in the US.
I read the beginning, went "what the fuck is this guy on about? Get to the point" and then came to check the comments to if this was anything interesting or worth reading, saw your comment, and skimmed the end bit. Overall I'm pleased with my process as its an efficient way to find out which articles are worth reading. But it was also clear to me that the author had difficulty making a clear point or had a goal in his writing. I skipped through it for a reason and I suspect many other people did as well.
In Singapore they have disabled 70-80 year old servicing ppl at hawker centres. At first sight, it's kinda hard to watch.
Most consulting firms (BCG, Bain, McKinsey) and accountancies (KPMG, Deloitte) have incredibly strong incentives for partners to agree to leave in their early 60s.
Please do not take HN threads further into ideological flamewar. This level of discussion is below the minimum bar here, even when arguing about a topic like this.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
If you've ever spent much time with a toddler you might have noticed that they spout a lot of fantasy. Learning to not make up untrue claims takes years of additional training for humans.
Have you met r/wallstreetbets? While this certainly wouldn't be true for most people, many "day traders" make exactly these kinds of option plays that are in many cases literally just luck. There's many thriving communities around public market information before it's seen by the "mainstream".

For these people buying $10,000 out of the money contracts on a random ticker is completely normal and still legal. So tipping somebody like that off would certainly hard to correlate.
I love how the author provides each optimising commit diff – that really helped me understand the improvements.
> Now we can't trust text, the most trusted medium in human history, and then what?

I don't understand what you mean by this. Isn't text the least trusted medium? Anyone can easily try to impersonate anyone else in text. Going by your argument of trust, shouldn't we be more afraid of deepfake videos? Or even more accurately, deepfake videos paired with something like GPT-3.
What a masterwork! It sounds real. Wholly real.
> It's probably only in the last 100 years our evolution has stopped, perhaps moving backwards

Evolution going "backwards" is a meaningless notion. There is only forwards.
My go-to gift is always a book. Stripe press produces beautiful, interesting hardcovers that gift well.
All I need to know is whether is possible.

> Get a Coursera certificate.

> Build something with that knowledge.

> Get a better paying job/better career opportunity.

Is it?
After reading the AI generated sections, I have to say that I'm mostly quite impressed. As I lack the context as I am not actively following the ML and procedurally generated text scenes for years, it was still just markov chains back then, I can't say for sure how accurate the produced text was.

It's scary though. Many commenters are only discussion about the business opportunities and path to profitability, but if we step back and stop to think for a while what GPT-3 level tech enables us to do. Robocalls, spam articles and bot generated forum posts are already all too common and while not totally impossible to distinguish, I fear that this level of text generation will only make matters far worse.

I'm personally a moderator on a 300k user subreddit which is basically 90% text and very little links, no images or videos, and we are already facing challenges with distinguishing botted marketing campaigns. I fear that in the future it will be even harder to distinguish if you're actually talking with another human being on example a support chat or customer service. The future looks like a Blade Runner esque dystopian landscape of diminishing individuality.

I'm doubtful that any attempts at regulating or containing the possible issues would be possible as the barrier for entry has never been lower. Anyone with a decent gaming PC these days can start training their models in mere hours or days.

Am I being paranoid? Maybe. Like said, I'm out of the loop and I would definitely love to hear some halming words quenching my fears.
I think you're the one ignoring the article as written, latching onto the initial skepticism she had and ignoring the whole bulk of the rest of the article. Your own quote showed that, that that they were sucked in. It also does not say they tried to talk him out of it. You yourself now admit that their skepticism was only at first, so why are you completely disregarding everything else?
I don't fully understand what you're getting at here...

Basically the brain and "consciousness" isn't as fancy as we think?
If you’re putting it on your resume isn’t your motivation extrinsic? Getting a job, impressing someone, more money when you do get a job, etc.
It requires a video and the person needs to rotate. It doesn't imagine the back view. It appears to be doing optical flow and photogrammetry.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_of_life
I'm catching up on the GPT-* news, but its pretty interesting.

"GPT-3 is the latest in a series of text-generating neural networks. The name GPT stands for Generative Pretrained Transformer, referencing a 2017 Google innovation called a Transformer which can figure out the likelihood that a particular word will appear with surrounding words. Fed with a few sentences, such as the beginning of a news story, the GPT pre-trained language model can generate convincingly accurate continuations, even including the formulation of fabricated quotes."

It sounds a lot like a fancy version of PageRank for words. The results are impressive though. Like Grammerly + PageRank.
And that is based on what data? BigCorps tend to not continue doing something if it's not going to bring them much return.
> Bipolar cannot be identified by any physical means

Most diseases couldn't be at one point and many still can't be now.
And according to me, the government is worthless.
The oldest Baby Boomers were starting to retire by then. There are lots of variables, but if you're drawing down your retirement funds and the stock market is down significantly for a long period of time you may end up either having several lean years or drawing down faster while the market is down.
You'd have to work out the human cost linked to the cost of economic losses from lockdown, though. Unemployment increases death rate and shortens lifespan. I'd love to see somebody do this too, but it's a mountain of work.

Another factor to consider is that nobody knows the future. Let's say I invest $10m in a scheme that I expect to save 10 lives. Alas, the guy I gave the money to chose to spend it all in Vegas then jump off a tall building. If you look at outcomes alone I spent $10m for -1 lives. Does this mean I value lives at -$10m?

Applying this to coronavirus response, it is more likely that the fast-opening states have convinced themselves that the infection rate can be kept under control, and it will cost them less in terms of both lives and money to open sooner. Whether they're right or not is another matter entirely, but people lose their life savings betting on the stock market all the time.
Similar to how the early GANs for generating faces were low res. I would expect follow up work to get much better fairly quickly.
I don't necessarily think the focus was on the computational model aspect. Yes quantum computing is theoretically purely described by quantum mechanics so it doesn't add anything new. But his point was that actually implementing physical quantum computers seemed to have interesting problems associated with it.
It will be pilots otherwise unemployed performing minimal cabin duties ('cause covid dictates minimal interaction) while collecting a pilot's salary.

This isn't a cost cutting measure but a stopgap due to failed negotiations between the airline and flight attendants.
If you try it your own video, make sure the person is rotating so the model see all sides.
Thunderbird has three search methods: quick search allows you to filter by Sendor (unselect Recipients), but you can also do a more granular search using EditFindSearch Messages (Ctrl+Shift+F). I don’t use the other Ctrl+K search much.
The article is gold but the real gems are in the footnotes.
I just consume local Seattle media describing multiple murders in the CHOP, all of which were between protesters (or whatever you choose to call people hanging out there), nothing to do with police or right-wingers. If I was living anywhere near, I'd be moving ASAP. I am actually now glad we didn't buy a house closer to transit, like I wanted. We might still decide to move somewhere non-walkable if this continues.
yeah... try measuring out a tiny fraction of an egg... not easy. When I was experimenting with small batches I used a syringe to measure out small amounts of beaten egg!
It'll just be yet another technical advancement that we have to adapt to. And we will.

What gives me comfort is that there's still an operator with a motive. It's funny, as I was reading your comment I half expected it to end with "this was generated by GPT-3". And it wouldn't have mattered, because you-the-person still had a sentiment or a message you wanted to communicate, and then you communicated it, whether or not you actually wrote the message.

It _would_ be better if support chat understood me better and could communicate with me better. Because again, the motive is understood and aligns with mine. I don't necessarily need a human to do the typing. Typing is a lot of work.

In your example, marketing campaigns will continue to be marketing campaigns. I don't worry that the bots will flood your sub more than they already are; if they flood it too much, they destroy any value they hoped to leverage in the first place. The only difference will be that the language in between the spammy links will be more readable.

If someone on a, eg, adult chat forum is whispering sweet nothings at you, again I don't care if an AI wrote the prose; someone still decided to whisper sweet nothings at you. They just hired GPT-3 to do the writing instead of doing a sloppy job themselves.

I think the real problems start when the AI decides to initiate the action. When an AI, not explicitly instructed by a human operator, decides to launch a marketing campaign. That's the dystopia I'm worried about.
Read up on murders in the CHOP and nearby. Nothing to do with police or white supermacists. Everything to do with the people in the CHOP, eh, protesters I guess?
Yeah, I'm interested in chatting with you on this because I'm curious about the process. I looked in your profile but couldn't find an email. Would you mind sending me a message at renewiltord@protonmail.com
> The DSM is based off the "top" Psychiatrists at the time voting on the illnesses (literally), without scientific backing.

What, precisely, would provide scientific backing here, if a vote by professional scientists doesn't count? A vote by academics? A committee of academics, appointed by a prior generation? A team at Harvard, because Harvard is the oldest? A committee appointed by the government?
there are lots of people who don't have the physical ability to use a floor pedal (wheelchair, elderly/using a walker, etc) for whom a simple sensor dispenser works great. Checking the dispenser once/a few times a day wouldn't be a big hassle.

It's not even tech, it's just off the shelf junk that any shop can buy for an extra $5 over a manual dispenser.
If curious see also

2016 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10965259
When I was young I always wanted to find and keep a dinosaur bone, a REAL one. Don’t know if it’s even possible now.
Not so much allotted as at many airlines it is a “bid” process. You put in for a route, and it goes to the most senior bidders. The perq of being senior is more likelihood of getting choice routes.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23880586
https://ppn.gethuan.com/
Great example of that barrier is gestational diabetes, which may as well be called secondary type two diabetes.

It’s not a rubicon, either, since it’s so commonly reversible (though this isn’t trivially easy).
you are not alone.

i am growing very tired and weary of all these abstractions. i use them because, well, i want people i work for and esteem to succeed. but all this feels like non-sense from engineers at these big techs trying to justify what they did for their performance review.

folks, we are not actually solving much!

i feel like we should start over at this point with everything we learned. but that's just too much to ask because many have invested so much in all this already.
I marvel at the jump in BLEU or other measures but I'll second the sentiment, it alone is not showing we are making leaps toward what we need. Yes its a large gradient step minimizing our error, but is it really in the right direction? However I will admit GPT-3 being directed by some yet to be invented causal or counterfactual inference model might be the something which defies my expectations.
Yeah different scenario than I was talking about. I’m thinking the 50,000+ square foot commercial properties that are on 5-10 year leases
How do free VoIP providers make money?
I've tried to find this answer online but can't find an adequate explanation. How do companies that provide free VOIP calling and text like Textnow, Ooma, Pinger ect... make money? Do they sell user information?
Source: I'm a pathologist who runs a clinical lab, including microbiology, and I work with my local public health authority. I was also the electrical officer on a ship and had to help troubleshoot the ship's dish machines.

I don't know about the "recycled soapy water" bit. All the systems I've seen use fresh water on each use. The cost of dishwashing is trivia for a restaurant compared to the refrigeration systems, so I would be somewhat surprised if there was a collection tank, plumbing and valving to recirculate water from. That seems like it would occupy a lot of room and cost a pretty penny. Have you actually seen such a set-up?

> Dishes in your home are gross in comparison

Ah, yes and no. Hot soapy water is definitely effective. But the commercial systems are meant to sanitize, not clean. There are frequently things stuck to the dishes (lettuce comes to mind) that a) don't come off in water cycles, and b) may not get hot enough, long enough to kill everything to the deep surface of the lettuce, gunk, whatever.

By comparison, the dishes at home may not get to as high a temperature but you personally have the opportunity to inspect the dish before you re-use it. In a restaurant, the food is prepped to plate or serving dish before it comes to you.

In either case, I would anticipate most any swabs of the dishes would fail to grow on culture. In fact, in some commercial kitchens, like hospitals, we do environmental cultures. So this is a fairly known thing, at least as far as the design performance of the sanitization machines go. So, gross, stuck-on lettuce, yes. Sterile, yes. If your local deli isn't using the machine as intended, not much I can say about that.
It's ironic that you're critiquing the algorithm for not making sense, while contradicting yourself in your first sentence. Did you lose interest "half way", or "after the second paragraph"? It can't be both.
It was down for 3 or 4 years. If that handicapped your retirement, then you didn’t have enough to begin with.
This is very interesting. I had a childhood diagnoses that I've always chalked up to just imitating my properly diagnosed single-mother. I was also under the impression that if I truly had the disease, that my current level of mood stability would be impossible.

Though my years don't line up with the results of the study at all. I was medicated from 8-14, and then really mellowed out around 19.
What if I told you that even someone in the midst of committing a robbery is entitled to certain due process rights?
Is anyone aware of tooling or languages in existence that allow for maintaining codebases with multiple supported languages? I'm imagining something similar to a git hook that performs translation at an AST level, where library can provide a "strings database" that maps it's public members into arbitrarily many languages. I could imagine for multinational companies, it might even be worth hiring dedicated translators to maintain manual translations as part of such a system, although it would definitely be desireable for it to fall back to machine translation.

That way, anyone could check out a version of the code that's localized to their native language, including language primitives, standard library calls, variable names, comments, etc. without fracturing the whole library ecosystem by language boundaries.
Ok, but in Canada a new upstart Conservative party (Reform) took away Votes from the existing Conservative Party (PC) and over several elections eventually got a majority.

So sure, Bernie might take away votes from the Democrats, but that doesn’t mean support will eventually shift to him.
I've occasionally talked to Uber/Lyft drivers who've said the same thing.
My 74 year old uncle is the same. He collects a 6 figure pension, he doesn't need the money but he does need a place to go to be around people and being a door greeter at a Home Depot (pre-covid, anyway) was what he wanted to do.
Could you expand on why you don't like it? What do you think of the MCS?
The underpricing pop disappears faster than a fart in the wind. Underpricing in IPOs is direct theft of value from shareholders and employees to investment banks and their clients, and provides zero value for the company.
To be fair, the first sentence on the Rust implementation's GitHub repo is

> A straightforward Rust implementation

(emphasis mine) and the implementation in the article is heavily optimized.
My second link cited 20 studies, 4 court cases and 8 state-wide or federal investigations.

> Also 99.9% of people already have IDs

Citation needed.

https://www.aclu.org/other/oppose-voter-id-legislation-fact-...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/courts_law/getting-a...

I find it odd that you accuse me of conspiracy theory as you're the one alleging a conspiracy without being able to provide any evidence that one exists. Before you re-cite your 1,071 instances in reply, note that in every one of my comments I said widespread fraud. I never argued that incidental fraud does not occur
The thing that kills me is that to the vast majority of human beings the nonsensical technobabble above is probably indistinguishable from real, honest, logically consistent technobabble.[a]

Soon enough, someone will replicate the Sokal hoax[b] with GPT-3 or another state-of-the-art language-generation model. It's not hard to imagine GPT-3 writing a fake paper that gets published in certain academic journals in the social sciences.

[a] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technobabble

[b] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sokal_affair -- here's a copy of Sokal's hoax paper, "Transgressing the Boundaries: Towards a Transformative Hermeneutics of Quantum Gravity:" https://physics.nyu.edu/faculty/sokal/transgress_v2/transgre...
Was this comment written by GPT-2? Is it jealous of GPT-3?
If curious see also

2016 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11931747

2013 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6609114