skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
There is nothing strange about the current valuations of the stock markets. Yields of just about every fixed-income security not exposed to stock-like risk is zero.

Global stock market indexes are at a P/E of ~20 - that means a yield/direct return on equity of 5%. This doesn't seem so unreasonable when there are no returns to be found anywhere else. The global economy is still making money, just not hand over fist. Assuming no further catastrophe and no permanent reduction in earnings, the stock market is still a good investment when looking at the returns you get from profitable companies every single day.

The risk premium is very low, yes. Rising returns in other places and an increase in the risk premium would cause a permanent loss when investing at these level, yes.

But you're getting a 5% return if you invest today, albeit exposed to a risk of this number falling. And what is the alternative? Let's say the P/E was at the historical average of 15. That's a yield of 6.5%. That seems unreasonably high to me when other investments yield zero, so of course market prices are going to be bid up until it falls to a more reasonable level. We should be happy that the global yield is still as high as 5%.

Either there will be a correction or a crash in the future, and things will return to normal, or this is just another indicator of a late post-industrial world where capital is very cheap. The third alternative is a global war and destruction of life and wealth on an absolutely tragic scale. That would put us back in known territory real fast.

I can easily imagine today's children hitting their twenties and complaining that the millennials pulled up the ladder, there is now nowhere to park their hard-earned money to make an investment income.
There is a concept of fair use, which is both frustratingly and wisely vaguely defined.

The relevant part of the doctrine is:
>The fourth factor measures the effect that the allegedly infringing use has had on the copyright owner's ability to exploit his original work. The court not only investigates whether the defendant's specific use of the work has significantly harmed the copyright owner's market, but also whether such uses in general, if widespread, would harm the potential market of the original. The burden of proof here rests on the copyright owner, who must demonstrate the impact of the infringement on commercial use of the work. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fair_use

Whether a website is scummy or not does not come into play. And frankly the stuff I'm seeing showing up in snippets in google search are very much wikipedia-type content (often exactly wikipedia-type content). And we're not talking snippets that provide context on the search result to enable determining whether this is the content that one is looking for, we're talking significant pieces of the content, often reformatted and presented in such a way that not clicking on the site is precisely the objective of the presentation.
How to Create GUID / UUID in JavaScript?
Thanks! It's grapes.js with custom component definitions for the re-usable blocks.
Coulda given the old guy a heart attack, he looked so crushed...
Medicinal Applications of Fullerenes
re: v0.0.3 -- sure. I just published it last night.

We've been working on it since November last year, and have now fully ported ZomboDB to it.

It's proving out nicely, but keep in mind that Postgres' internals are infinitely complex. Getting safe wrappers around all its "things" is going to take a very very long time.

I'd rather get something that seems very stable now, and continue to iterate on it over time.
Ah right, I didn't realise we'd moved from the darkweb to the real world - comment makes more sense in that context, thanks.
It's unlikely that would be sustainable for long for various reasons. You're talking about needing literally tens of BILLIONS of shots a year for the forseeable future?

If immunity is not long lasting, then the only path out is global eradication. We have done it before with smallpox.
Simply put, there is not enough wealth inside China to sustain growth with such a large population.

Having a large population doesn't automatically result in a viable consumption based economy.
Totally serious- this is one of my favorite comments on HN ever. I don't completely agree but I love the way you said what you said.
The ISP is looking for IP addresses in its address range in the peer list, looking it up in its customer database, and sending its own customers a letter.
Getting Started with Default Sorting in Your Eloquent Models
Show HN: ShellSpec – Full-featured BDD unit testing framework for shell scripts
Eventually, it degrades in the soil. Waxed products and tetra-packs do not, however.

When I moved into my home in 2006, I found circa 1985 era milk cartons and juiceboxes buried in the garden. (i think they were used to start seeds) The milk carton was degrading, the juice box, not so much.
When you have many seeders, it can be hundreds of KB/s, but usually slower. Anonymity and privacy are worth it anyway for me.
What about real estate?
Holy shit. 41x! I'm in the wrong world. Even though I'm in the overpaid-programmer-industrial-complex, in an expensive west coast town with an expensive million dollar house and expensive taxes, I can't imagine what it would take to get into evil and profitable investment vehicles like these hedge funds. I just have no exposure to that world.
> that’s a bad thing

Thank goodness I don't have to decide how to feel about this myself.
I'm not saying you wouldn't desire something like pf when using linux. Of course you would. But in the grand scheme of things, I don't see many people choosing FreeBSD over Linux for pf unless they want a firewall box.
that's fair. I am submitting this app quite early

I've thrown in a screenshot on the landing page to help better inform what the user is getting into. that's all I can do for now given my time constraints. later, I'd like to flesh out a decent landing page.
Vemto – Upcoming Laravel Code Generator and Studio
I've been using a Seedbox since December 2014.

Best 15$/month I pay. You can even pay with Bitcoin, tho I just use PayPal.

2 TB of storage, very fast speed with caching (i.e. some torrents finish immediately if someone else has it downloaded). An uncached Blu-ray ~4 GB movie gets finished in 15-30 mins.

They also have auto-delete feature. If they get a legal complaint they just delete the offending torrent and keep my account the same, no "strikes" or anything like that.

I then download the actual content either from FTP or HTTPS. If its a movie, I just download the single .mp4 file from the portal itself (and skip the subtitle/cover files) with HTTPS straight from Chrome, or even stream it directly through VLC! I only use the FTP if there is a large number of files (e.g. series or non-ISO-packaged software).

They have servers in US, Netherlands and Singapore. I always use the Netherlands server. I doubt anyone uses the US ones.

Even better? I can use the 2 TB for whatever I want, not just for the torrents. That's cheaper than most cloud storage plans for just dummy storage without any torrenting features!

Only problem I have with torrents are unpopular movies/series usually have no seeds, but there is nothing that can be done about that. Only older clients like LimeWire/eMule didn't have that problem, but those had endless malware issues because the content wasn't verified.

Pro-tip: Do not download the actual .torrent file. Many websites are setup to redirect you into an endless loop of shady .exe downloads. Always, always just copy the magnet link to your clipboard. This also makes you safe from any network monitoring that checks for .torrent downloads. No one can prove anything if you just copy a magnet link to your clipboard then paste it to a seedbox since they don't/can't monitor clipboards. Just browsing the page which has the link is perfectly file and doesn't prove intent, vs actually downloading a .torrent file.

VPNs in comparison are quite dodgy. They have slower speeds, no torrent-caching, its possible (and happens more than it should) that the software has a bad config and skips the VPN and uses your actual connection.

Also, I can never trust that the VPN company won't share my details if they get a legal request, specially when most of them are in the US.

VPNs are useful for bypassing censored networks in a university campus or corporate network, but for torrenting they're infinitely inferior to seedboxes.
Huh, I always figured that's just how Heineken tasted!
Draw a Freehand Circle
Sony’s Wearable Air Conditioner Is Now Available
Deleted my comment as I wasn't sure if I'm exactly right either. The reference for calculating payroll deductions is as follows:

https://www.canada.ca/content/dam/cra-arc/formspubs/pub/t412...

Formula is a bit complicated
May I recommend avoiding large, reflective bodies of water.
You can see the % of shares held by institutions

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/key-statistics?p=TSLA

Compare Tesla at 57.93% to Ford at 55.06%
Then way are institutions buying negative rate bonds?
I guess we can conclude Axis cameras are not secure
It was a joke mostly - but specifically, I find it funny that a portion was read, and instead of just moving on, felt the need to poke at the article without at least finishing it. That is the "error" - who knows, maybe your criticisms were addressed later on? We'll never know :P

(like I said, it was mostly in jest, so don't take it too seriously, please)
Someone who use the same VPN as me really loves classical music.
there is an additional complication. while glass requires more energy to "recycle" than plastic, you actually get the original product back. when you recycle glass bottles, you can keep making new bottles from the same material indefinitely. what we do with plastic might be better described as "downcycling"; every cycle outputs lower quality plastic and eventually you end up with unusable material that needs to be disposed of.
Should You Even Try to Motivate Yourself?
A shard of glass would be sharp (dangerous to animals that are unfamiliar with it) and could even focus sunlight to start a fire.
Vibrators (2019)
My biggest problem with Musk is him being an asshole in areas that have absolutely nothing to do with his businesses. Like the Thai cave pedophile thing. Just cut that shit out. We can debate the value of being a jerk in business, but there's no reason to subject members of the public to it on a large scale.

Jobs was known for being an asshole outside of work too, but it was either on a small scale (driving without licence plates, or parking in handicap stalls), or within his family (relationship with his daughter).
Could they really manage to make a new version of the vaccine four times a year? For influenza they only do it twice a year and the vaccines are often only 50% effective (or worse.)
> precedence for widespread name changes if a name becomes offensive.

But who is actually offended by the term blacklist/whitelist? This seems to be more like trying to fabricate "potential offenses" out of whole cloth then deal with offensive words?
“The distance between genius and insanity is measured by success”
It's not artificially injected into my setup. I already host my blog, and a couple other services on my k3s setup, and I didn't want to bootup another server just to sever as a VPN and DNS
A buddy worked at the University of Amsterdam (closely associated with swi of swi-prolog fame) and worked on garp, qualitative modeling software.

Their codebase was tens of thousands of lines of code, most of it was pretty readable.

Do not make a gui in prolog though, you will regret it. It was pretty hard to troubleshoot and maintain at scale. The paradigm does not lend itself to that kind of thing.

Prolog is pretty cool for search and symbolic ai though. It was awesome as a first language in uni.
Federal Reserve's $3T virus rescue inflates market bubbles
Being able to reflect on what works and what doesn't is actually the ethical thing to do so that the business' decision makers don't spend time, money and human resources on efforts that are at best useless and at worst detrimental to the company.

Employees or (worse) freelancers who deliberately retain data and keep it away from the company are utterly unethical in that they prevent the company to assess their actions and to take adequate measures based on them, including firing them if they cost but don't provide.
seedr.cc, bitport.io or zbigz.com exist to solve this problem and would have saved him his job.
'Unlikable' and 'Asshole' are different things.

A lot of people are just cold, unsociable, not charismatic, don't buy into the latest social trend - and are therefore 'unlikable' to many.

It's possible to be 'perfectly good' and yet perceive as 'unlikable'.

Personally, I like those people, but the mob turns on them quickly.

Being needlessly callous, or mean, lording over people, excess egoism i.e. 'asshole' - this is unnecessary.

Being 'demanding' is not being an 'asshole'.

Firing people on the spot for missing this or that, is 'asshole'.

Emotionally, a lot of it can feel like the same thing, so it's confusing. And often people are a mix of both things, and are otherwise professionals, but let slip some emotional stuff now and again. The more demanding or terse a person is, the easier it is to cross the line into just being a jerk.

And it's not even necessary to be 'unlikable' either, but for 1/2 the population who tend to be 'people pleasers' maybe they need to learn that it's not just a popularity game, and the system would benefit from honest input.

My instinct says that Jobs and Musk are 10% nice, 80% terse, and 10% asshole.

Most of their actions seem to be on point, the kind of 'hard truth' actions that some people seem to admire in business types, but they can also be needless dks.

Some people are just plain callous jerks and actually have no business ability at all, and yet millions of people seem to believe their acting! Trying to think of an example ...
Show HN: A cat detection ML model on iOS, built by a non-coder
A big fan of that approach right now: have enough money coming in through “patrons”, sponsors, or business licenses that the product/technology itself can be free
> though sadly not dental!

or prescriptions
Similarities between employment and romantic relationships
Are you from a parellel universe? In this reality it's 30 Rock and the main character is Liz Lemon.
As a follow-up. Here's what Postgres' "generate_series" function looks like with pgx: https://github.com/zombodb/pgx/blob/0803bd3aa2f8ef2bd80d2e03...

And here's what you'd have to do to implement it in C: https://github.com/postgres/postgres/blob/dad75eb4a8d5835ecc...
I told type system is not the bottleneck, codegen is.

Even if you count the size of ode after monomorphization, I am pretty sure the Go compiler compiles it much faster. Because the compiler is not in the benchmarks rat race of adding one optimization pass from every academic paper in the world for diminishing returns. That would be unnecessary for a development compiler.

Go compiler could have an optimized slow build option, in ideal world, but that's a different matter altogether.
Weekly Newsletter for passionate Frontend Developers
I never said it was an easy discussion. But it is important to fight such ignorance, because it affects us all in a bad way.

Scientific papers show that the curing effect is not caused by the homeopathy, but by the belief that it works. Scientists confirm that it actually helps, i.e. cures some illnesses, just not for reasons homeopaths claim. Now show me some evidence that it's homeopathy, which is important, not the belief.
Around 10-15 years ago. Perhaps our different experiences were due to types of parts we wanted. Eventually I just avoided looking anywhere besides Digikey because the others' parametric searches were so terrible.

(Of course these days Digikey hassles customers by pointlessly firewalling arbitrary netblocks, so maybe the convenience tides are changing)
I use the Developer Edition - it is ahead of beta but more stable than Nightly.
yeah, my understanding was that most paper packaging these days was lined with a very thin layer of plastic or foil.

but "pure paper" is what they're claiming... maybe there's a new tech? or maybe they're doing that cheap marketing trick where you say "20% of the package is made entirely out of nothing but 100% pure paper!"
How do you build dashboards for your ops teams to analyze metrics on areas?
Hi HN! If you belong to a company with any ground operations, how do your ops team measure area performance?

Do you have an internal dashboard or do you use a BI? If you have internal dashboards, how do you update metrics on it and maintain it?

If you use BI, how do you go more granular than areas? I am talking specifically about orders, routes, users and so on!
i picked a random PIA Montreal Node (which supports Port forwarding) for some interesting results: https://iknowwhatyoudownload.com/en/peer/?ip=199.229.249.191
> It should purely be a charitable contribution without expecting a return.
> Now the obvious and direct effect of this is that people will generally not loan their money. This is a good thing. The follow up is that they will invest their money in hopefully legitimate and moral ways.

What kind of investor are you referring to that doesn't expect returns? Even "social impact" investors expect returns in reputation, or in buttressing the foundation on which their primary profit driven business is built.
> Just need a commodity web host to slap it up on.

I suggest NearlyFreeSpeech. It has an outdated UI and it's very DIY, but the pricing is very good. They have an option for static sites, with a lower price.
Invest in main street and labor saving gadgets for yourself (e.g. roomba).
I imagine that behind the scenes they're doing everything and anything to keep things in the green until the day after the US elections..
I made something similar when I was looking for an alternative to Shopify component based template CMS for the company I was working for at the time. It's a very good compromise between developer flexibility and marketer accessibility.

Congrats!
Inside Facebook’s exclusive clubs for its top advertisers
Fear of a Chinese Social Network
I own physical gold, not a lot. Here are some reasons I bought it:

a) It's a store of wealth. I don't expect to be able to go buy groceries with it, however I do expect to be able to cash it in for fiat post-depression if I need to.

b) I can move it abroad easily enough if I need to. I have immediate access to it.

c) It's cool.

It has also doubled in value since I bought it.

I am old enough to remeber the chaos in the silver market a few years ago, where it went to $50 per ounce and then crashed in two or three days. I'm not one of those morons.
You can use consul-template to generate a config file that lives in-memory (volumes.myvolume.emptyDir.medium = InMemory in a PodSpec).
When the article mentioned brain size, it reminded me of a story about Einstein's brain.

He donated his brain to science and one of the first things noted after his death was that his brain was roughly average sized. This was a big setback for the "brain size correlates with IQ" crowd and was one, of many data points, showing that brain size and volume did not correlate with IQ.

Years later, as we got better understandings of the brain and its sub-components, it was realized that he was actually MISSING a part of his brain. I forget the exact piece but what was most interesting is that it was the portion of the brain that "pushes" up against another of the brain believed to be used for visualizing problems.

Because he was missing the first component, it allowed the visualization portion to grow to roughly double the size of a normal person's. It's thought that this "supercharged" his ability to mentally visualize complex physics and math problems in a way average people couldn't.

To me, it's fascinating that missing part of you might lead other parts of you to becoming more efficient and/or more powerful.

EDIT: Fixed some grammar.
I think the real common trait of successful people is a willingness to hold unpopular/anti-orthodox views, even in the face of scrutiny and criticism. Being a sociopath like Jobs probably makes it easier to do this, but is not necessary - you can be highly successful and avoid the traps of common wisdom while being kind and even pleasant.
Yeah, good luck with that button after they've pushed theirs first.
/r/wallstreetbets for anyone looking
That "Track Downloads" feature seems highly unethical.
The Power of Psychedelics
> The parent comment is explicitly discussing funding.

Funding is relevant. Tenure, graduate students, postdocs etc, all cost money. That money has to come from somewhere. Money is intimately tied to the human labour/capital question because there's a bijection between time and money. One of my main questions was: how do we measure this cost and reason about it in order to understand the past 50 years of dismal results and make reasonable decisions about the next 50 years?

> As for the human capital question, it seems absurd to me to call string theorists the 'most brilliant' and then try to dictate what they should work on

What is absurd is to claim that questioning the results of brilliant men and women is absurd. They are not gods to be worshipped blindly. In a startup, would it be absurd for me to question my co-founder and his team's results even though his IQ is 2 standard deviations beyond mine? Let's look further back for a sloppy analogy: is it absurd to criticise Newton's study of alchemy? Was it absurd for his contemporaries, rarely his intellectual equals, to question the results of such studies?

What I want from this debate, is a rigorous way to account for the past 50 years of string theory in terms of human intellectual labour cost, general opportunity cost, and return on investment.

You seem strangely hostile and defensive. But what I'm looking for is merely for the math to speak for itself so that the debate can be settled once and for all.
https://github.com/integer32llc/rust-playground is the code for play.rust-lang.org
These sites are sometimes accurate, especially for those with static IP addresses or that are on a defined range (universities, organizations, etc). It's far from a silver bullet, but it's an interesting way to look at what people are torrenting in general.
No one knows when people will be moving back into cities and rents in places like SF have dropped I think 16% in some areas. No one knows if ever they will get that back, or how much it will drop. Its a complete unknown
Torvalds clearly does not understand the brutality of business. Intel does not care at all about customers it have at the moment. Because they have them by the balls. After many years of struggle only Apple (with its unlimited resource) was able to switch to ARM. So they don’t care.

They only care about long term market, which is HPC and ML workloads. Because Nvidia is destroying anybody in that market. Look at their stock.

I’ve got a news for Torvalds, it going to get bad for Intel.
> Ever caught a cold from your kid, who didn't have it bad? I have.

Of course, and so has every parent -- what, exactly, are you implying, that the people studying this haven't had this experience? And are therefore not considering that kids can have mild symptoms but still be contagious?

If so, that's an awful lot of ignorance that you are ascribing to everyone studying this with an opinion that doesn't match your lived experience with other viruses.

If not, please enlighten me.

> It's highly likely this is the same, and the burden of proof is on those who want to say this coronavirus is the exception.

Yes. You are literally commenting in a thread about a paper that is trying to provide evidence ("burden of proof") by looking at differential rates of illness, and not simply drawing inferences from general facts about viruses -- which is what you are doing here.
Then the fed can just start buying equities outright. If equities continue to fall even after that, they can keep on buying them until they own enough that they can set the price themselves.