skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The point is that if the disease spreads so quickly, and our best evidence from months ago is that 20% of the city was infected, it stands to reason that much more of the city was infected than 20%.

How much more is up for debate. A competent government would be regularly conducting these surveys and publishing the results.

We have been more open, with many protests, streets full of open air bars, etc. for months.

I would bet $100 that NYC, if we could do a full antibody and t-cell assay, would show the majority of the population was infected.

Furthermore, I would submit that R0 as a crude instrument ignores network effects. I'd wager anyone who is a "super spreader" in NYC has been infected at this point.

Some papers have suggested a 20% herd immunity threshold taking into account the network effects. I doubt it's that low, but it is an important factor to consider.
> you don't pour kerosene on it while trying to put it out, right?

The fact is that you're not trying to put out the fire (I am talking about the US, as this seems to be first and foremost a US issue). You're actually feeding it, in the conviction that it's the right thing to do. Removing the worst flammable materials is pretty pointless when you have already decided that you want the fire to keep burning because you still think it's for the best.

Out of the metaphor, the US police seems to be uniquely prone to escalating conflicts and generally asserting its absolute power because it's expression of the law. From the outside, the US seem to be a society where everyone (starting from the police, down to citizens, criminals, law enforcement and prisons) is encouraged to "stand their ground" up to the highest possible level of conflict, without a space for mediation, forgiveness or oblivion. That is the fire, and the US thinks it's just fine to keep it burning.
I'd like to know the names of the people behind this policy. They should be held responsible for this and other cruel policies.
Productive Things to Do When Bored
IMO, a lot of people read the book when young and when the movie came out, their view of it was colored by faint memories.

When bringing up all the symbolism and themes in the movie, I always get a lot of quizzical looks and disagreement.

It's very weird/disturbing.
Doh! I can offer no explanation for this mistake.
I agree with you generally, but I think you might just be a missing a piece of the puzzle. For folks from countries that don't have a large backlog, you can get a green card in something like 3 or 4 years today.

But if you're from somewhere with a large backlog (e.g. India and China) you're looking at a decade+.

So the real issue here is the green card quota levels, not so much the h1b itself.
> This is where I think Apple can do it right.

While Apple has open sourced a few things, I doubt they will open source their graphics drivers. Though one can hope.
> Pine’s RockPro64 and Libre Renegade Elite are two lovely RK3399 devices that I’ve tried. However, each has sufficient quirks that something more mainstream like the Raspberry Pi 4 (with a wide user base, more Google hits for common problems, etc) will hopefully let me focus on using the device as opposed to getting it to function.

The Pinebook pro is really nice (I've had one since the beginning of the year) but I completely share your sentiment. I really like mine and spend almost no time fiddling with it now. It made a really nice, reliable daily driver for my son this spring during the sudden and unplanned distance learning the pandemic brought us.

But I would not recommend it to anyone whose computer I couldn't/wouldn't personally fix right now. It's close, but not there yet IMO. Bootstrapping, power management and sound all have more rough edges than running Linux on a normal x86 system does right now. I say this fondly: it's still a bit of a project right now. (That's part of the fun for me, but doesn't match your stated focus at all.)
I think you simply misread the article.

> A half hour later, he was touring a decommissioned chemical manufacturing plant that had been used to turn oil into plastics, with Chakrabarti’s father, Gopendu, a chemical engineer and entrepreneur. The hulking factory, on a 5-acre site, still had intact piping and tanks, and even boasted a 1-acre apple and pear orchard, planted by the previous owner as a carbon offset. The elder Chakrabarti swore they’d never find a better space. After touring 20 more sites over the next month, Hunt finally agreed. Solugen paid nearly $3 million for the plant.

They toured the plant with him, taking advantage of free advice from a knowledgeable, skilled person. They didn't pay him.
The Rhetoric of Disagreement (1989) [pdf]
> For folks from countries that don't have a large backlog, you can get a green card in something like 3 or 4 years today.

If you've got a motivated employer you can get it done in 18 months.

- PERM takes 6-9 months to prepare.

- PERM takes 120 days to certify currently.

- I-140, I-485, I-765, I-131 and I-693 can be filed simultaneously for rest-of-world.

- I-140 with premium processing takes 1-15 days (3-12 months without).

- I-485 takes 8-14 months, but after 180 days you're AC21 portable.
Not to be cynical (who am I kidding. this is HN), but I'm sure when the water level will start rising and Fukushima will be wiped out entirely due to sea level rise the whole event might seem insignificant to them.
Disagree, I think the opposite interpretation is very conservative. If a tech bro moves in to a house that was just vacated voluntarily by someone who had lived in the city for twenty years, have they not displaced anyone, since that house would be vacant anyway? What if they moved to a nicer place in the same city, and the tech bro is taking their old residence? What if the last tenant passed away instead?

You can split hairs all you want, but anything that causes even a perceived (by the landlord) increase in demand contributes to keeping that price from going any lower. In an extreme case, that could be data from the housing data broker saying that the average apartment in their zip code goes for $X. In an even more extreme case, maybe their proxy for a data broker is the weekly number of Craigslist views for an ad they put up. Sometimes landlords keep vacancies open for multiple months or even years on end, hoping to get someone who will pay their asking price.

Either way, the perceived demand is the thing keeping it up, and someone buying a house as opposed to them not being able to sell the house is also what stops them from renting it out to Joe Schmoe who can only pay $900/mo in the meantime.
I haven't seen it but I know it was featured on Red Letter Media's re:View series where they review movies they actually like [0]. Especially at the start they discuss its legacy and why people like/hate it.

[0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OkEdyq3UE5M
I really do. Being hospitalized and recovering is an undesirable outcome, and for that matter, so is having pneumonia or the flu like symptoms at home.

Nobody denies those outcomes exist.

I agree there is a longer list of negative health outcomes, such as chronic fatigue, shortness of breath, diabetes onset, ect. The association of these with covid-19 is less understood in the medical community, and less widely known to the public, and their importance when setting public policy is less clear.

It makes sense to focus on fatalities, because while they are not the only negative, it is the most significant, any other outcomes would roughly track with it.
you pretty much nailed it.
> But let's re-imagine this. The person walks into the hardware store and expresses aloud "I plan to use this for dubious purposes". Then this person has expressed illegal intent and the store owner should inform the authorities, if nothing else for their own safety.

I agree, though I'm not sure I have good words to describe an operating principle that would allow one to sell a hammer to an coal company but would allow one to deny a hammer to someone declaring their intent to commit assault with it.

You could say something like "I will sell to anyone for any lawful purpose", but then you get into questions like "what about lawful behavior that I consider to be a grave wrong?". The devil is in the details.

In general, I think the solution is free association. The problem I see is that there are some very cynical third parties out there attacking their ideological foes at an economic level, by using social manipulation to direct other people's free associations in a coordinated manner to push those foes out of normal economic life altogether.

I say these third parties are cynical, because if Autodesk did stop working with the coal industry these third parties would defend Autodesk's right to "free association" in that choice, but those same third parties would happily use force of law to ban Autodesk from doing business with the coal industry if they could.

>> Who is this "we"?

> Somebody who believes they are in the category of being a "good" person. Almost everybody believes they are in this group, not matter what "side" they are on.

This pretense of consensus is one such rhetorical device of the social manipulators.
Am I the only one who thinks it is a circular waste of time to try do explicitly draw lessons from movies and books. Of course the universe the author created generally comports with their beliefs or the point they are trying to make. It would be like trying to convert a skeptic to Christianity by citing The Chronicles of Narnia by CS Lewis. Lewis's Christianity had a large influence in how he crafted the literary universe, and thus trying to use events from that literary universe to convince people of the truth of Christianity is circular logic at best.

But I have seen it done so many times. Writers take a work of fiction such as a book or movie where the author generally has a similar outlook and use that to draw lessons. You see that a lot on the left, as well as on the right with Ayn Rand's Atlas Shrugged. I don't think it is convincing anyone. Anybody can write a book where the people they admire become heroes and the policy they espouse has a good outcome, or the people they despise become villains and the policy they are against leads to bad outcomes. How close the book universe is to the real universe is a different story.
Many of the things listed could be combined into one item: "Browse the internet".
I just last night watched the below video that covers the code that shows up on Dennis Nedry's computer screen in Jurassic Park. Turns out it's only example code they put up on screen, but this type of stuff is always interesting. The way movies get made is so intriguing!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yq2Vkgsams0
They already:

* have access to your internet usage, search history, and phone records

* track our location through cellphones

* have surveillance cameras everywhere, in case you didn't bring your phone

* track where your cars is through a vast network of ANPRs

* fly drones/planes over cities doing aerial surveillance

And you think that tracking the number of H1B visa holders is too much?
At this point, don't we have quite a few examples of a lot of people getting infected in one place? Can't such outbreaks be categorized and summarized to get an overall perspective on where it's really hazardous?

My impression is that such events have been places like bars, restaurants, meat packing plants, and nursing homes, and not outdoors, but I haven't seen an article or study on it.
> My dad is not a gullible man. He grew up low-income at the border of Brooklyn and Queens, where street smarts were a survival mechanism. A 30-year career teaching high school students trained him to sniff out bullshit from a mile away.

Your dad was not a gullible man.

My dad was a very aggressive and assertive person throughout his life, didn't trust anyone, lived through some very hard times like post-war Italy where apparently even the feral cats vanished for lack of food.

Then in retirement it's like everything experienced which conditioned him to be that way just faded away. His edge dulled substantially.

The last time I traveled with him we were approached by someone on the streets of Palermo who was obviously (to me) sizing us up. Within minutes of talking with this total stranger my dad had revealed where both his money and passport were kept on his person. I had to abruptly intervene and remove us from the situation by insisting we enter the restaurant we happened to be passing. When I explained to him what had just transpired, he was in complete disbelief at how easily he had been tricked. The whole thing surprised me because my dad was the one objecting to our exploring the south of Italy the entire trip because of the crime and poverty!

Even with him expecting we were going to have such problems he didn't catch it. A previous version of my father would have not only seen it coming, he likely would have escalated it with violence, he's a gruff old Italian sailor. This was like taking candy from a child.

It's incredible how much people change in old age.
You can get all that from using an AT-tiny :)
Covid killed restaurants, a local fresh produce supplier switched from restaurants to the public. The fruit and veg is great quality. I would order online from them forever, but I suspect in time they will switch back to restaurants and I will be left with poor quality supermarket fare.
This is why publishing code and data, together, is so important.

Irreproducibile results in computing have no justification in this day and age.
That's also a bad point, there's more beautiful art being created today than ever. But many other artists have different motivations. If Scruton is saying that only beautiful art should be produced than "dour gatekeeping" seems appropriate.
> 720p is far from fantastic. It's noticeably blurry, even on mobile. 1080p is minimally acceptable, and is now over 10 years old.

Not OP. I would say these are far-fetched claims that need defending. Most blurriness of mobile video comes from the low bitrate it's encoded at. Basically nobody is watching Bluray quality 720p or 1080p materials on a phone - and that's the problem, not the resolution.

My guess is that a typical middle or even middle-upper class family is going to have a TV that is less than 70 inches, and is 10+ feet from most viewers. Even with 20-20 vision, the full quality provided by 1080p is not even visible at that distance! (You'd need to go all the way up to 78 inches at 10 feet, or sit 7 feet from your 55 inch set to even get the full benefit from a 1080p set.) See this very helpful chart: http://s3.carltonbale.com/resolution_chart.html

Most of the benefit in 4k video comes from recent advances in HDR presentation and better codecs, not from the resolution. Sure, if you're a real stickler for quality, you might be sitting 6 feet from your 80 inch OLED set, and 4k is definitely for you in that case, but it's really not that important to the average person. In my case, I can barely distinguish between 720p and 1080p on my set even with glasses on.

Now granted, it's great to have laptops and tablets at higher resolutions, because your face is smashed up against them and you're often trying to read fine text. But that's not the video case that's being talked about here.
“Ok Google” Only Giving Progressive Words
I have noticed today that if you query Google Assistant (OK Google) "Give me a random word." or "Teach me a new word." the result is invariably a progressive word. Examples are in order of what it gave me, "Prejudice" "Anti-racism" "Equality" "Prejudice" "Bigotry" "Belonging" "Microaggression" "Oppression" and so on in the same vein.

This is a very odd way to show support for the BLM movement. I used this feature to improve my lexicon, however this feature is now useless. It has a very simple and small (seems like <20 entries) diction.

I have seen no mention of this feature change on the Google dev blog or Google Assistant product updates. Is this the same for everyone? Was this mentioned elsewhere?
You seem to be very convinced of this. At my institution, research activities has resumed for the past month (albeit with restrictions on occupancy).
This essentially maintains the existing status quo without updating it for the new realities. It was already true that you couldn't stay in the USA on a student Visa if you were not taking face-to-face classes. They're continuing to enforce that without changing anything for the changed world reality.
If it’s online, probably cheaper to stay with their parents in their home country. So probably doing them a favor since online classes are the same if they take them in the US or across the ocean.
Money.

Culture.

While there is certainly an "academic ideal culture" that people imagine. Being able to research interesting things, share your knowledge, take sabbaticals, etc.

It is a grueling path to get there, and when you do get there you realize that because of the mostly small close-knit departments, everything becomes extremely political.

This happens in private business, but in business your avenues to power and influence are usually a myriad greater than in academia.

Struggles within your department feel like family fights, not work just bullshit.

The overwhelming progressive, leftist bias in academia is attractive to some. If it isn't you thing you really have to be well prepared for cancel culture.

I once had a professor tell me she had to register as an independent because you couldn't be a registered Republican in her department. And this was 20 years ago. From all accounts it is 10x worse today.
You can take the momentum back out of the wheels by rolling the magnet to the other side of the unstable equilibrium so that the wheels have to accelerate in the opposite direction to keep it steady.
Is scalping airline tickets actually something that happens? I’d assume no since you have to provide the name of the passenger when reserving.
Or just also quota H1B.
You're getting downvoted because you're right and grad-students / ML professors don't want to admit that they can do a lot better in this regard.
As an American worker, I have been discriminated against on majority H1B teams at two separate companies. I have seen the same for other Americans.
I’m experiencing almost the opposite.

I am enjoying being able to reflect through out the day, being able to add items to my cart anytime in the day or the next).

I like how much time and gas is saved. I don’t have to change from my pj’s in the weekend, so it reduces some physical and mental overload as well! It’s been an unbelievable boon for me, and it’s worth every extra penny that delivery costs.
It was def hardware support that changes the piracy groups policies.
Exactly. They have the data, but they’d need to link it to a few other sources for it to be complete.

The US, unlike Europe (at least in my experience) doesn’t check passports on the way out. They rely on flight manifests or information from Canadian authorities on who has exited.
You won't find any pointers to Lisp stories.
I'm confused. In both Debubble and my vaguely sketched out proposal, you can't be forced into a debate with someone you have no interest talking to. You have to voluntarily start a conversation with them.

Surely there is at least someone in the world who, unlike your 3 examples of conspiracy theorists, you would consider a reasonable person, but who also disagrees with you about something important?

r/changemyview has the same problem I criticized Debubble for, which is not addressing the deeper problems that cause debates to be toxic. r/changemyview's only rules are basic no-trolling civility rules, whereas my proposed rules are MUCH stricter: during phase 1, you're literally not allowed to argue. Making arguments is banned, you're only allowed to ask and answer clarifying questions during phase 1.

In a discussion with someone who is reasonable but disagrees with you about something important, can you imagine a framework like that being helpful? How would you improve them?

(I also believe that, even if you couldn't possibly learn anything about 5G or coronavirus from someone who believes 5G causes coronavirus, you may be able to learn what causes someone to start believing such nonsense, and how we as a society can mitigate this kind of misinformation.)
Instacart has a really smart tactic in showing you how many hours you’ve saved shopping.

Ordinarily I love grocery shopping but after having done online for several months now, I’m not sure I’ll go back. I imagine I’ll order the bulk of the items online, and visit the specialty / small grocers to pick out the odds and ends that are special.

Farm boxes are great too, for organic produce (and growing a garden!).
> As a sci-fi enthusiast I love the book. As a lover of bad movies, I love the movie. I recommend both, but for completely different reasons.

Thought the book was interesting science fiction with (in retrospect) bad politics mixed in.

I don't remotely understand the movie, the bits which were supposed to be satirical were lost in whatever slim excuse for a plot the movie had. It basically stripped away all the interesting science fiction bits and devolved into a bunch of people running around with guns shouting randomly at giant bugs.
Is it possible to make your phone just flat out completely decline those calls?
Before the Pi ...

The first ARM-based device for Linux that I remember getting big was the Sheevaplug. It was an ARM-based "plug computer" with an SD card slot, a USB port IIRC, serial/JTAG port, Ethernet, Wifi, and no display.

I had its next generation, the Guruplug, which had 2 Ethernet ports, Bluetooth, and a couple USB ports. Used it as a router for a few years.

I don't know how long Debian's arm distro was around before then but that was my goto for the Guruplug. Worked great.
How to vacuum prairie dogs out of the ground
Nepotism also refers to preferential treatment of friends and loosely defined "family" members (e.g. members of your tribal group), and universities like Harvard are certainly involved in laundering that kind of behavior.
> if you watched the movie it is pretty clear he read less than half and then wanted to write a movie

No, the movie was written before someone noticed some superficial similarities and suggested seeking the rights to the book for marketing purposes. Veerhoeven read less than half of the book, sure, and thought it was advocating fascism and incorporated some cosmetic elements from that portion of the book into the film, but the book wasn't the basis of the film, even in a hostile response kind of way, just a bystander that got dragged into a canned rant by a ranter who didn’t read it before deciding it was promoting what he was already ranting about, an all too familiar phenomenon to anyone who has spent much time in lightly moderated online discussion groups, if not the most familiar origin story for a licensed film “adaptation” of a book.