skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
>> Advances in computing, data collection, and statistical methods have enabled levels of quantitative analysis around natural experiments that nobody thought possible even a few years ago.

I have to say I'm skeptical. What's the best study to change my mind?

>> What you're describing sounds more like ideology, which is generally a step or two removed from the underlying theory.

The relationship between ideology and social science theory is pretty much intractable, IMO. I think you could equally argue that theory is a step or two removed from the underlying ideology. This has pretty much always been the case, certainly true of the fields' founders. Maybe Khaldun was non ideological, but that's going back a long ways.

The point about social scientists being aware of the limitations around generalizability.... Again, I totally disagree. A non generalizable theory is a just so story, or punditry. Social scientists claim (or at least imply) generalizability, usually. Non generalizability is a retreat in the face of criticism.

IRL, an education in social science, at graduate level, at highly regarded schools, across social science disciplines... is training on how to string together an argument/analysis which generalizes theory, typologies, and whatnot. That is what social science is, in practice.

(I hope we're both taking these disagreements as academic and friendly. No mean spirit intended)
I also find keeping a log of work helps provide the right communication at the right time. Especially when remote I find it is easy to forget all the things I’ve worked on in a given week. It doesn’t always make sense to interrupt somebody with updates on something the moment it is done. Colocation provides so many more cues to communicate progress, ideas, etc. in the collocation context the work log is less important as a communication tool.

It so happens, (shameless plug alert) I built a tool [0] that asks me what I did on a daily basis via sms, the responses are organized in my work notes folder. I use this for keeping track of long-running projects that depend on lots of other people for input. I also use it to build a monthly description of work to include with my clients’ invoices.

0. https://www.tatatap.com
Not being familiar with the history, the dates that I found seem to support your point.

> The Plague of Justinian (541–549 AD)

> The Byzantine Empire, also referred to as the Eastern Roman Empire..[was] in 555 under Justinian the Great, at its greatest extent since the fall of the Western Roman Empire.

> It survived the fragmentation and fall of the Western Roman Empire in the 5th century AD and continued to exist for an additional thousand years until it fell to the Ottoman Empire in 1453.
"One thing to note is that there is no universally agreed upon convention for denoting math objects."

This is the thing that trips me up most often. It's especially a problem when the author believes that their notation and variables are universal and therefore don't need to be defined. I've spent a lot of time these past few months trying to "reverse engineer" calculations done in research papers to verify their notation.

Textbooks and theses generally do a better job of defining everything because they aren't as concerned about document length.
Unless the swimmers are to comfortable in the water to see the tide going out. In which case they are caught with their pants down, well without pants to begin with. The smart swimmers are drinking cocktails by then, courtesy of SoftBank more often than not.
I didnt mean this as a shallow dismissal. I tried to write examples into the comment and discuss how the way the article was framed is counterproductive to it's own stated goals in its conclusion paragraph of generating change in how entrepreneurship is taught. I apologize if it came across as shallow, but I spent time trying to make it substantive by including counterexamples etc.
surviving 113 days in the wilderness isn't that great of a feat. if you were prepared, and had done a bare minimum of research and planning beforehand, you could manage not to die.

it wasn't that what he did was risky, it's that what he did was unnecessarily risky. if he wasn't so stupid about it, it would have been a lot less risky. taking on a challenge is admirable, but taking it on without any respect for the difficulty of the thing you're attempting is dumb.
How the Apple Watch Ejects Water in Slow Mo
Unfortunately, people are working out ways to get around this now that it's become a default.
The person I was responding to specifically mentioned "collaborative annotation" and startups. Non-collaborative annotation has different tradeoffs. It may be useful to you, but I can't imagine there's any money there for a startup. It avoids the anti-network effects that kill annotations, and it avoids publisher objections too, but it also doesn't have a very compelling value proposition for very many people. It's like trying to make money off of people who like mind maps, literate programming, or who use personal wikis.... it's non-zero amounts of people, often very passionate people, but it's not much of a market.
> Any examples?

I answered your question, I'm sorry they don't meet your standards.

Speaking of anecdotes: Apple didn't fix or replace my iPhone that was under warranty.

And why are you changing the subject to hacking?
I think this (and others) pokes holes in the theory that drug laws are predominantly about racism, or predominantly because of U.S. pressure. (It's doubly true for countries that are abject enemies of the U.S., which also generally have strict drug laws.)

Maybe it's pretty simple: the actual majority of the population is in favor of these laws (at least in some countries).

I just don't see a conspiracy here.
Unfortunately, you have to account for humans not being entirely (or even chiefly, every so often) driven by reason.

This is why crying "Fire!!" in a crowded theater is not considered free speech.

Unfortunately again, there's no easy and decisive test to show what kind of utterance leads to direct harm, and what does not; this space is unavoidably nebulous. This is why it's often left for courts to decide on a case by case basis.

The US constitution guarantees that the government will not suppress free speech. But the US society needs to find mechanisms to channel speech on uncomfortable subjects so that it is not entirely suppressed and so the voices against the majority opinion can be heard, but also so that it's not leading to imminent violence and the loss of the rule of law. Without the rule off law, all free speech protections would be lost anyway.
eh, do they expect to find anything new?

To me, fusion research need more $$ and a higher priority as it has extremely practical applications for all humanity, from energy independence to global warming.

21b Euros is a lot of money, and apart the ongoing ITER effort, fusion research can be tackled from different angles with just half of that money.
Free upgrade from paid product to paid product. Still paying yet product.

I question wisdom of the original term. What if "shut up and take money" is not enough? If so was it on purpose or by accident? First time in my life I think of conspiracy theories.

My take on catchy phrases:

- You are a product for for-profit

- You are a product if don't fight for your freedoms
That all makes sense, but your missing the monetary aspect. If I know NYT readers are my target market, I want to advertise on the NYT. Except thats absurdly expensive so I can just reach users I know read the NYT, but are currently on other websites. Same audience, much cheaper.

There are a lot of caveats like this where price and business reasons play a role. If it weren't a $20B industry then your logic would probably ring more true.
Sabine Hossenfelder recently wrote a Scientific American article arguing against this push, which might be an interesting read. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-world-doesnt-....

> "When physicists started building colliders in the 1940s, they did not have a complete inventory of elementary particles, and they knew it... [] The Standard Model still has some loose ends, but experimentally testing those would require energies at least ten billion times higher than what even the FCC could test."

> "... particle physicists should focus on developing new technologies that could bring colliders back in a reasonable price range and hold off digging more tunnels."

> "It’s because too much science funding is handed out on the basis of inertia. In the past century, particle physics has grown into a large, very influential and well-connected community. They will keep on building bigger particle colliders as long as they can, simply because that’s what particle physicists do, whether that makes sense or not."
It beat a book by right-wing pundit Glenn Beck, who accused it of being an intentional attack on him and emblematic of the “liberal culture of death”
At least in my experience with police, ranging from dense inner city metro (DC, Houston) to suburb, and rural, society would function just as well, if not better without it.

I have yet to have an additive, positive interaction with Law Enforcement. I say this as a mixed-race person with LE as family members as well as working alongside Federal LE for most of my career.

Best case scenario I have seen is that LE will take a report of whatever [bad thing] happened and then courts will use LE to execute a specific warrant. Even then, nobody was made better off in that situation - simply that someone that committed an assault was punished.
It's an expression, generally used to convey exactly what you said.
> The problem in the west is that the majority of lending goes into asset purchases (buying existing wealth) instead of new production.

I'm not sure I agree with this. A lot of lending is for mortgages, and a lot of those go into new construction, not purchases of existing buildings. In my area, there is a ton of vacant office space that has been built over the past decade or so because of the availability of cheap loans for new construction. The problem is that it was new construction that was not needed--hence the buildings are still sitting vacant years after completion.

In other words, I think the problem is not that lending is being done for asset purchases instead of new production, but that lending is being done for the wrong new production--producing things that nobody wants instead of things people do want. That misallocates resources and creates shortages of things that are actually wanted. Imagine if all the resources that went into building those vacant office buildings had gone into making PPE for disease protection instead.
> If I search for something I want to get to the source, not some middleman

It's unfortunate, the only mitigation, for now, is for the source to use the middleman to link back to the source.
Not everyone finds written comms as easy as everyone else.

absolutely +1 to keeping records, but as a form of communication it's not terribly equal.
The operating system isn't needed for that at all and blaming the vendors is fundamentally misplaced. That directly sending to other computers via direct IP connections is technically possible if you don't operate any firewalls or similiar to block it. And of course non-fixed and shared IP addresses would complicate the system.

You would find out quickly why you don't actually want that when your own "unisystem" designated port server/client gets hammered with unsolicited requests and exploit attempts. Easy is a matter of interfaces although other design choices would come with costs. Safe however would be far harder. If you set it to a whitelist well you lose discoverability instantly.
Ask HN: Is it possible to train an AI/ML model to haggle, i.e negotiate prices?
If so, what is a high-level overview of this task and possible challenges?
I self host Miniflux [1] and am really happy with it, although recently I have moved toward using Fraidycat [2]. I really like the way that Fraidycat groups things by author, whereas traditional RSS readers just give you a feed. This enables me to follow high-volume publishers (such as Marginal Revolution) without the anxiety of seeing the Unread count in my reader creep ever higher.

The only downside of Fraidycat for now is that you can only use it as a browser extension, so it doesn't work on mobile.

[1]: https://miniflux.app/
[2]: https://fraidyc.at/
Now I just want to see those holiday decorations :-))
What McCandless attempted (and failed at) was entirely different from what most Alaskans are doing. He was trying to detach himself from dependence on the rest of civilization.

I've spent a lot of time in harsh wilderness. I've climbed Andes peaks, camped in deserts in the southwestern US, slept in tents in the Appalachian mountains in February in sub-zero temperatures. At no point was I ever not dependent on civilization. I always wore manufactured protective gear, slept in manufactured shelters, ate the products of agriculture, drank water I had hauled in from the modern water treatment. I know a lot of the local edible plants, but even when I've made a salad of garlic mustard and morels, it has always been an option to go to the store if I was still hungry afterward, or go to the doctor if I got sick from what I had eaten.
Thanks, it was because of having heard about the early neutrino detection that I assumed we could potentially get some sort of warning but didn't really bother to look for sources. Assuming the lead time is associated with how close the nova occurs, I guess for stars that could cause us actual damage then the warning would be even smaller than 3 hours so we'd probably get fubar.
Effective written communication is remote work super power
Fourier Features Let Networks Learn High Frequency Functions in Low Dim. Domains
I think you're drastically underestimating how stupid and over-confident people can be. He had a college education, but that doesn't teach you the survival skills needed to live in the wilderness. McCandless spent a few years bumming around the United states before traveling to Alaska which likely gave him a false sense of security in his survival abilities.

Most people living in western nations have no idea of how unforgiving the wilderness can be, nor do they understand the amount of effort that it can take to survive. The amount of tourists who think that national parks are just the outdoor equivalent of Disney Land is shocking.
Usually, when reports are wrong journalist retract them. That you get sued over it by government authorities is, AFAIK, a first in Germany.
> It would be quicker and easier to sample the vapor plumes

I feel like the question of whether there's life out there or not is such a big and loaded one that nothing short of a video of Europa's equivalent of a kelp forest will do.

Look at how Mars research is going. It's all circumstantial evidence this, organic compound that. This feature looks like something made by bacteria. No, here's a plausible geological process that can do that. There must be methane-producing life. Actually, here's some simple chemistry that does the same. Maybe. This sample reacts to marked nutrients. Well, you see, there might be this oxidizing thing with the rocks...

I mean, it's great that scientific research is done and all. But following this search for biomarkers is so frustrating. Until someone puts a damn thing into a Petri dish and sees it divide under a microscope, it's all just peer-reviewed guesswork.
I think they should just sell their antimatter. I bet you could sell it for billions per microgram.
I think a lot of this comes down to the fact that so many people are tracking where you go online that there's not much point in trying to stop it.
But are you ignoring other laws from EU or country specific that worked ? If you do not know let me give you some example "web browser" the reason you are not commenting this from IE is because of law makers that stopped Microsoft abuse, the reason Intel is not a monopoly and charge you 2 times more for 10 times less is because lawmakers prevented it.

For GDPR you need to wait before you conclude, it is similar to laws that force companies to label the food and drinks, now the websites are labeled if they contained shit and how many tons of shit contain but some people instead of complaining that there is too much shit in the website they complain that the labels are too big and would prefer a cool shiny logo instead of informative text.
Wow so I guess Facebook needs to be classified as high risk as well? Please don't spread misinformation like that.
That quote is not referring exclusively to people who try to reach the bus and there's nothing hyperbolic about it. Alaska State Troopers conduct several hundred search and rescue missions each year (https://dps.alaska.gov/AST/SAR/Home), that number probably goes up when you include federal and state park rangers as well.
Societies managed to function (for better or worse) without entire police departments for thousands of years.
Isn't there a huge difference in expressivity of markdown and asciidoc? How does the tool deal with that?
> people are prevented from saying true things.

But nobody can guarantee that most things people say are indeed true. So the "true things" limitation needs to be lifted, else it suppresses free speech all the same ("everybody knows Earth is flat, and humans were created less than 7000 years ago; please shut up and stop spreading disinformation").
A potential approach for tackling the problem that may work.
No. It seems clear to me he's talking about the best people in those groups from the perspective of their work output.
> I'd really like someone define what Capitalism has to do with the cronyism we've seen in the US since the gilded era.

And during the gilded era. The big-time capitalists of that period were not people who made money in free market competition. They were people with inherited wealth who got beaten in free market competition by others with less inherited wealth but better entrepreneurial skills--and so they went to the government and got their competition outlawed, for example by getting monopoly rights to transcontinental railroad routes.

In other words, "capitalism" and "free market" are not synonyms, though capitalists love it when everybody else thinks they are.
Just imagine that €21B spent on biological/medical programs.
>Although there are always individual exceptions, on average it’s surprising to me how different the best people in these groups are (including in some qualities that I had assumed were present in great people everywhere, like very high levels of self-belief).

This is an interesting quote. From my experience and personal perspectives, many of the best researchers and scientists doubt themselves, a lot, and are typically hesitant to make definite statements in general. Research is inherently high risk and prone to failure... that's fundamental to what makes it research. If you work in research for awhile, you're wrong so often that it creates an environment of constant self-doubt and constant questioning of ideas.

On top of that, from my experience, the more I learn about an area or subject, the more I realize how little I knew before and the more I've discovered in terms of what I don't know. As the space of your knowledge grows, the surface area also increases and you eventually begin questioning things some fundamentally just accept while the deeper you dig, the more you know where the current frontiers of uncertainty and knowledge truly lie. Combine that with the understanding of where you started (knowing even less but thinking you knew more) and how in hindsight, you were so wrong.. leads to lower confidence in your assessments, even if most might consider you an expert.
You don't have to agree, but you're quoting out of context. Here's the lead-in:

> Gamers would have to accept jagged edges, tearing textures, and a generalized visual crudity in 3D games for quite some time to come. A freeze-frame visual comparison with the games the industry had been making immediately before the 3D revolution did the new ones no favors: the games coming out of studios like Sierra and LucasArts had become genuinely beautiful by the early 1990s, thanks to those companies’ rooms full of dedicated pixel artists. It would take a considerable amount of time before 3D games would look anywhere near this nice
"how the rich got rich" is survivorship bias. Private equity is also how many people lost some or all of their life savings. I myself have "invested" tens of thousands of dollars in a few startups that have actually gone on to be moderately successful. But my equity has been so diluted that I will be lucky if I get back half of my original investment. The game is heavily biased towards the last shark in the pool, and I am not a shark.
That won't work unless you embed scripts into the RSS and run those (which kind of defeats the point of "really simple syndication" and would lead to JS-heavy monstrosities).
Sabine's argument is basically that many predictions are conditional, and the conditions often aren't met in practice, therefore we shouldn't judge scientific models based on predictions. Well, the conditions are met sometimes, and those are the times when the models can be fairly validated or not. Also, you can make "unit tests" that examine submodels with less conditions/assumptions. Getting all the conditions/assumptions right for the "integration test" is of course hard.

If you can show that you model can make many blind predictions that end up being correct, that's a good model! I don't think Sabine denies that, but she sees predictions as impractical. Her alternative is not better as-is to me, though.

In my experience, physicists tend to prefer "explanatory power" or other qualitative metrics to more objective ways to determine whether a model is validated. In contrast, my experience is that engineers and statisticians tend to prefer objective measures. Explanatory power is a useful concept, but at present it's rather vague. I did recommend AIC as a similar objective measure to what Sabine argues for on her blog, but no one responded:

http://backreaction.blogspot.com/2020/05/predictions-are-ove...
I hope this gets traction!
i switched to feedly when google reader died, and carried on as normal.
> Ryan North is also the author of the popular webcomic "Dinosaur Comic".

And of "To Be or Not to Be: That Is the Adventure" and "Romeo And/Or Juliet", CYA retellings of Hamlet and R&J; and of "How To Invent Everything", a handy-dandy guide to bootstrapping modern technology if your time machine malfunctions.

AND he is the human of Noam Chompsky, a Very Good Boy.
If any of your clients rely on "pay-per-click" advertising, your care-free attitude toward page load speed will simply cost them money. The difference between a subsecond load time and a 5-10 second load time is a lot of lost revenue. Not a lot of people will wait over 5 seconds for your fancy webapp SPA to load. They will click back or just exit.

It has nothing to do with standards, businesses don't care about standards in the long run, they care about making money.
In the link you posted, there's a disclaimer that the author no longer endorses the post. Do you know why/is there an updated post from the author? I'm curious what changed in the author's thinking and what particularly they no longer agree with.
The change allows for private equity exposure through a multi-asset class managed fund. A 401(k) shouldn’t (and still can’t) invest in private equity directly and it can’t invest in a private equity fund. People won’t suddenly be betting their 401(k) on WeWork.

It’s definitely a bit riskier but no one is going to lose their retirement savings because of this rule change. The fees on the funds that offer this exposure are where 401(k) accounts will really get screwed.