skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> No, but having discussions somewhere completely unlinked to your open source repository

https://github.com/swaywm/sway#sway

> Join the IRC channel (#sway on irc.freenode.net).

This is a clickable link.

>without a searchable archive and no way to link to discussions does

This misrepresents how IRC is supposed to work. You're not supposed to catch up on what you missed. You're supposed to have the conversation there. It's like chatting at the watercooler, not writing into stone.

If you're "searching" the logs as part of your normal IRC routine, you're using IRC incorrectly.

>> so you're not entitled to support, features, or yes, even explanations of why decisions were made

>I was initially going to respond by saying "then you shouldn't ask for contributions".

You're not entitled to it, but you might receive it anyway. And the only one of these which relates directly to contributions is explanations - withholding features and support, in fact, leads to more contributions. I have written about this on my blog on several occasions if you want to learn more about this approach.
Sweet! now I can finally make my vertical mouse + numpad + modifiers + thumb scrollwheel + lasers.
Isn’t the open rumor that Apple is gonna start switching over their Mac line next year? Apple switching from Intel to Arm across the board would drastically change the situation practically overnight.
Is that any way related to dollar cost averaging?

-not an investor
I have the same question. If it doesn't work on iOS it's not a cross platform stack. iOS is the third most popular operating system in the world after Android and Windows.
The JVM world has Graal for AoT, FWIW. I would argue that await/async is really settling for the mediocre still. Many languages, even JVM languages offer more powerful abstractions and concepts for solving that problem. Clojure's implementation comes to mind.
A lot of this boils down to having a better understanding of uncertainty and probability, especially in terms of being non-naive when it comes to extreme volatility and risk. If you find ways to bet on this in a rigorous manner, the payoff is disproportionally larger. For the lay investor, the hard part is that this essentially means losing money 95% of the time [in those positions], something most people aren't comfortable with. That and some technical difficulties, like liquidity, etc.

Of course, the bets needs to be sized correctly. This is not something you'd put all your money into, and this is part of the design from the beginning. See Kelly Criterion https://www.amazon.com/KELLY-CAPITAL-GROWTH-INVESTMENT-CRITE... for how these people think about it in a rigorous way.

For those who are interested to read more on how this is done, have a look at the papers here: https://www.universa.net/riskmitigation.html

Spitznagel has also written a book called Dao of Capital which talks about the logic and underlying philosopy of these ideas: https://www.amazon.com/Dao-Capital-Austrian-Investing-Distor...

There's also Dynamic Hedging by Taleb https://www.amazon.com/Dynamic-Hedging-Managing-Vanilla-Opti... which talks about these options and their structure in more technical manner, though I haven't read it.
Yes, it is possible to set up a fund that is structured to produce strong returns during black-swan events.

But outside of black-swan events, you are going to lose money investing in such a fund. It is more like an insurance policy than a traditional investment.

Traditional investors might hold lots of equities during a bull market and fewer equities during a bear market. A fund like this allows you to maintain a more constant percentage of equities, with the understanding that you're spreading your losses over time, instead of incurring more significant losses during a sharp market downturn.

Similarly, you can make some excellent money in a 3x bear fund if your trades are fortuitously timed, since they aim to give you three times the amount their associated index loses in a day. But it is not a buy-and-hold investment. If you buy and hold, your money will eventually disappear.
Formula for Creating Good Processes
Because it’s one big expression. A C version would have statements.
wish.com is a pretty wildly successful drop shipper.

everyone else, not so much
I'm assuming because it's difficult to open a hedge fund and obtain the same scale and amount of cash easily or quickly. Also, the fund is an entirely different model, you're paid management fees based on the profit you make your investors. If you own the insurance company, the investors (insurance payee) are not reaping the rewards of the invested cash, you take 100% of the rewards of other peoples money, interest free, think about how incredibly powerful that is.
Having lived in Argentina and The Netherlands all my adult life, I don't fully grasp why you even need those companies -- probably due to the fact that average citizens never deal with those (if they even exist here).

I do think that American culture is a lot more credit-based though, whereas in many places, people don't spend money they don't yet have (eg: I don't have a credit card, and neither do the grand majority of my friends).
Yes this is right. They buy puts and keep rolling them forward indefinitely waiting for things to go awry. The premiums on the puts eat into their overall returns in the hopes that one day there will be an event that makes back all those lost premiums. They aren't really disclosing enough information to be able to evaluate whether or not it actually works, so I suspect this is just a marketing ploy to get more clients.
Furthering this, Hyndman is writing a new R package, 'fable' which is a 'tidy' approach to forecasting in R.

Reading his book at the very least will give a lot of insights to the standard of practice for people writing forecasting in the R world.
This. Any block of data can be used to reconstruct anything on the network.
Chip manufacturing has the problem of being

A) incredibly difficult

B) incredibly capital intensive

C) low margin

Theres smaller fabs out there, but if you're going to do a new start up, why would you choose to compete with these guys, unless you think youve come up with a new process somehow that will beat them? The other fabs out there are also part of huge companies that do lots of other stuff (Samsung) or were spun off from them (GlobalFoundries/AMD).

IMO any new major foundry would end up being a strategic geopolitical move with heavy subsidies rather than a pure business play.
Exactly, who trusts a rat?
For the people commenting that this wouldn't work over the long run (or the past ~10 years of the bull market), the article says this:

> Spitznagel included a chart in his letter showing that a portfolio invested 96.7% in the S&P 500 and 3.3% in Universa’s fund would have been unscathed in March, a month in which the U.S. equity benchmark fell 12.4%. The same portfolio would have produced a compounded return of 11.5% a year since March of 2008 versus 7.9% for the index.

So, yes this shouldn't be 100% of your portfolio (same with any fund), but a similar strategy might be successful in a small % of your portfolio as a hedge.
Searching "ADNS2026" results in this page and this page only. His link to SparkFun is "ADNS2620". Typo?

Also, his photo reads "ADNS2016"..
This article does not discuss what the Gates foundation is actually doing to curtail this pandemic.
You can get AOT compilation with GraalVM today, allocating small objects on the stack is being worked on in Project Valhalla, compile time asserts can be implemented with annotations if you care (see @NotNull), utf-8 is available in the standard library in the StandardCharsets class.

For Async/await, I believe a much better approach is available with Quasar today or with Project Loom soon.

SIMD is an issue though if you need that.
Thank You HN – Commandeer Version 1.0 Launched Today
I have been reading HackerNews for many years now. I personally do not post very often, but seeing the trends and hearing what pains people in software development has resonated with me tremendously. So basically I am first-time, long-time as they say in the radio industry. Over the past 4 years I have been working heavily with serverless and container systems, and have built 3 serverless systems on a global scale. The technologies are tremendous, but the observability for developers is quite lacking. I had the idea of building a desktop app to manage all cloud services 2 years ago. And because we bootstrapped this, we decided to release it in beta, which we did on June 28th, 2019. In an ideal world, I would have just been in the lab working through it until it was perfect, but because we really needed to prove that this was a pain point for others, and because I personally don't have deep pockets, we decided to launch it in beta so that we can get feedback, and use usage data to drive our feature development. For instance, during that time, we saw that S3, Dynamo DB, LocalStack, Lambda, and Docker were our most popular services. While we did not get a ton of direct feedback from the HN community, we did get some good interesting tidbits, we did see a good amount of our traffic to the website coming through here.

You are the tastemakers of technology, so feedback from you is priceless. As a thank you, I want to offer 50% off the tool for the first 3 months using the coupon code HACKER_NEWS_50. Many of you will not know what the tool is, so here is our newest commercial explaining it - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6kNebYCE-9s&feature=youtu.be

Launching today is a huuuuuuuuge milestone and frankly, a great relief.

Thank you HN, your discussions on modern technology continue to be one of the single best resources for understanding what drives us all as developers.

Bob aka Sergeant Serverless
I think the comments section is closed on the ICANN's blog page.
> If the growth is not exponential anymore

Ok so if what happens to this theory if the growth in not exponential in GA next two weeks.
In a certain sense complexity CAN be destroyed. Yes there is a minimal level of complexity that must exist, but given an entity with a purpose, in many cases it is possible to reduce the complexity of that entity without changing its' purpose.

Take for example this function which adds one to an integer:

function addOne(x: int) -> int {
return (x * 1) + 0 - x + x + 1;
}

can be reduced to:

function addOne(x: int) -> int {
return x + 1;
}

The examples are obvious but from the examples you can deduce that their are many instances in software engineering where such reductions can exist but are not obvious at all.
Start-ups begin to sell themselves at a discount
It is very hard to make people understand that scale matters when deciding how sensitive data is. They only ever care about it in whatever narrowly defined use case they're worried about. The idea that someone can take an element of not-particularly-sensitive data from you, combine it with elements of not-particularly-sensitive data from elsewhere, and end up with a database full of extremely sensitive data simply does not click.
The fund would not have such a simple construction - but you can build a simple tail risk strategy with options. Buy deeply out of the money puts on SPX and periodically roll them. You are now betting on a tail risk wiping out the market (although paying a continuous premium to do so).
Thanks for pointing it out - I tried to cover this area and drew a diagram, but on second through, I don't think I managed to do it justice.

I have a static LAN IP for an Ingress Controller, say 192.168.2.100. All HTTP/HTTPS requests are port-forwarded to it from my router. From there, the Ingress is in charge of directing the request based on domain name.

As for DNS, I use a single domain name, and have a record for a wildcard subdomain - so any subdomain will end up at my router, I don't have to configure anything at my DNS registrar when I add yet another application, as long as it's using a subdomain.

ExternalDNS is a superior solution, but most people will only have 1 or 2 domain names.
>Jim Keller has said he is technically the manager for thousands of people now

So basically Jim Keller is competing with himself.

After working at Intel we might see him again at AMD.
The finding that in like periods in April this year compared to previous years Covid-19 has killed from 9 to 44 times as many people is a historical fact, not a projection. As for peak deaths, the number of people dying each day is still going up. We don’t need a fancy statistical model to tell us this means we haven’t reached peak deaths yet.
This is very wrong, to the point of being deliberately misleading:

> Assume you take the app out grocery shopping with you and it subsequently alerts you of a contact. What should you do? It's not accurate enough for you to quarantine yourself for two weeks. And without ubiquitous, cheap, fast, and accurate testing, you can't confirm the app's diagnosis. So the alert is useless.

YES, of course we need pervasive testing. Everyone knows we need pervasive testing. That's why it's called a "test and trace" regime! We don't have it, and that's a major problem. But we know we have to get there.

And once we do, the alert isn't useless anymore.

Tracing is one requirement of a successful mitigation strategy. Testing is the other. We need both. Having one side refuse to cooperate because they don't think the other will is just a recipe for disaster.

I mean, imagine if the medical community started refusing to do tests because they thought the privacy folks would block attempts at tracing. That's what this logic amounts to.
Basically: buy OTM downside PUTs
Really interesting background. I'd not idea this is where it all came from.

It's pretty clear that nowadays with much safer online payments, there's really no need for these credit checks any more -- you pay online, and if you get scammed there's solid proof of whom you paid and how much.
Doesn't matter. At the end of the day, you used a key with intent to decrypt such data and extract the original work.

Courts don't operate on technicalities. The intent is pretty much all that matters, as long as you prove that someone intended to pirate stuff, doesn't matter what rube goldberg machine they use to actually pull it off.

Schemes like this have been tried since the 1800s, perhaps far longer, where someone smugly announces "well technically I didn't defraud them, your honor" and gets sent straight into prison.
Physical IP for up-to-date silicon fab nodes is never free. But SiFive is already providing it for RISC-V - and other vendors could easily get involved too, seeing as good high-level designs (that can be simulated in FPGA with relative ease) are available with permissive licensing.
Seems marketing gig, how's it different than using Gitlab?
I want to get a software engineering job with an applied mathematics degree
I have an applied math master degree with a focus on operations research. The majority of courses I've taken was about all kind of algorithms(classic ones, meta-heuristics, constraint programming, network flow, graphs, etc.). I learnt two programming languages (C++ and Python). I want to to get a job as a software engineer but the main problem is that I don't have a CS degree. Where do I begin?
Nice! I wonder if they ever had a winning year before.

NOTE! I understand that a Black Swan Fund (a) may have very different goals from an ordinary fund, and (b) might be very successful and only ever have the one winning year.
Well, just hedge all your positions, every year. It's actually really simple, if you buy a share of AAPL lets say, and it cost you ~$300 (pre-COVID), decide how much you want to spend on the hedge (let's say 1/3rd, so $100), and buy a LEAP (option that is >=1 year out) put.

Options are riskier than stock, so they tend to pay out much higher. With such an unexpected drop in march, you could have bought a LOT of very very cheap (let's say $1/contract to make the numbers simple) put options for like AAPL $250 let's say. Those options are cheap because they generally never hit, and even in early the market had not priced in the possibility of coronavirus being a global problem of this scale. If that contract is worth $10 later (which is still a very cheap option), you've made 1,000% return.

> A tail-risk hedge fund advised by Nassim Taleb, author of “The Black Swan,” returned 3,612% in March, paying off massively for clients who invested in it as protection against a plunge in stock prices.

All institutions hedge, it's just a matter of how much they hedge -- there are also some institutions that are intentionally "long volatility" (which means they expect volatility to increase). One way you could do this is to buy shares of a speculative instrument like $TVIX which is 2x fund of a thing called $VIX (the "Volatility Index"), you're going to lose money/maintain holdings (there's a thing called roll risk and other risks to consider just holding these instruments), but in a month like march when $VIX goes from ~$10 to ~$80, you're going to have a ~800% return.
And it's different for me. I came a poor household in India and guess what? I couldn't even afford a good trade school even if I really wanted to.

Most of my education was in government school and later I cleared IIT and studied there for nearly free.

After completion education, I got offer from foreign countries and traveled whole world just by bouncing from one company to another.

Yea, I'd have loved to stay near my family and become a machinist but my family couldn't even afford a "drill press".

Meanwhile, at i had access to do many equipments that I didn't even know about for free at my institute.
Tremendous demand for stationary storage outstrips Tesla 2020 supply capability
If you are old or infirm when you contract a bad case of corona, you die.

If you are relatively young and completely healthy, you spend a month in the hospital; get onto a ventilator for weeks requiring heavy sedation; lose your ability to walk, talk, feed yourself and brush your teeth; have to relearn how to swallow; maybe suffer a collapsed lung and upon release if you're lucky are confined to a wheelchair and physical therapy unable to take care of yourself, your loved ones, and return to your job.

Death is not the only negative outcome of this disease. "Recovery" from corona is sometimes the beginning of a long and slow struggle. I'm looking forward to any analysis on the economic cost of this.
From what I have read, Universa's clients are institutional investors and super rich people. Not sure how easy this is to reproduce as a less sophisticated investor.
Not really. Dollar cost averaging means that you trickle money into the market rather than putting it all in at once.

For example, suppose you got a $10k net bonus at work, and decided to put it all into the stock market.

One approach is just to put it all in right now. If the market generally moves up for a while that works out fine. But if you did this right before a big dip, you now spend a while waiting for things just to get back to even.

If you took a DCA approach you might instead invest $500 every week for 20 weeks. Then if there’s a big dip, only a little of your money was invested with “bad timing” and much of it probably came in during the dips and therefore was a better deal.

Note, though, that you get the opposite effect if you consider an investment that would have happened right before a giant boom.

So basically DCA means you’re going to just track the market closer and have less timing risk compared to making larger less frequent investments.
Bó, the digital bank developed by RBS-owned Natwest, is to shutter
Totally unrelated with the Aussie thing but totally related with metal music and cuisine: Black Metal Vegan Chef https://youtu.be/CeZlih4DDNg pretty old now but I still find it funny
I have sold some t-shirts in this manner, which is one of the primary subclasses of these stores. Doing this has the advantage of access to legit suppliers based in the USA, so you get predictable shipping times and pretty good quality and customer service. However, it's way more expensive, and the quality of DTG (direct-to-garment, essentially inkjet printed t-shirts) is not as good as screen-printing. I now print my own stuff out of my garage and use on-demand printing as a way to validate ideas or fill gaps in inventory.
Adding link in case others are intested!

https://gluon-ts.mxnet.io/
I've been hoping that someone would do a broader version of David's Smith's podcast search[1] for a long time. It's really helpful for answering 'what was that episode where they talked about x?' type questions.

[1]: http://podcastsearch.david-smith.org/
Proton Reviews: Them’s Fightin’ Herds
The article addresses that point.
Making a killing on a market downturn is hard. Particularly when the majority of your investments are in an IRA which has pretty strict limits on shorting and trading options. Trust me, I tried in early March.

The big problem is unless your timing is perfect, you have to be able to suck up huge losses until things fall apart. To make your million bucks, you might have $100,000 in puts which you watch turn into $10,000 over 6 months only to have the market correct after you cover your position.

Bill Ackman did set up a hedge and pocketed a couple billion betting the market was wrong about the risk the virus presented.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoinegara/2020/03/25/billiona...

I’m not Bill Ackman. I doubt you are either. If you’re lucky, you spot these trends enough where you avoid getting soaked on downturns. I’ve been pretty good at that last bit.
I did it before the hype and found some trending items.
Check the google adwords and the math added up.
It worked, no record profits tho.
Then big local sellers started undercutting me a lot.
I assume they have some data mining trending processes running. Ad costs spiked and it wasn't profitable anymore.
It was a fun try, but not worth it for me.
It was Joel Spolsky - https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2001/03/23/strategy-letter-iv...

It was 80/20, but the sentiment holds.
This is looking great. Thank you.
Ask HN: Who wants to be hired? (May 2020)
Share your information if you are looking for work. Please use this format:

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REMOTE, INTERNS and/or VISA when the corresponding sort of candidate is welcome.
When remote work is not an option, include ONSITE.

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Readers: please only email if you are personally interested in the job.

Searchers: Try https://findwork.dev/?source=hn, https://kennytilton.github.io/whoishiring/,
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Don't miss these other fine threads:

Who wants to be hired? https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23042616

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“ Spitznagel included a chart in his letter showing that a portfolio invested 96.7% in the S&P 500 and 3.3% in Universa’s fund would have been unscathed in March, a month in which the U.S. equity benchmark fell 12.4%. The same portfolio would have produced a compounded return of 11.5% a year since March of 2008 versus 7.9% for the index.”
> The explanation is simple: claims to knowledge are mere hyperbole

I think if anything is true in that article, it's that sentence fragment - which funny enough undermines the entire "know-it-all" tone of the article.
Quantum mysteries dissolve if possibilities are realities (2017)