skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Saying "chose to impose" sends the message that it was completely avoidable but we chose to shoot ourselves in the foot. The measures were the only accessible thing most countries could have done to avoid a heavy death toll. And it's not like people especially in the most affected brackets would have happily gone to work every day anyway. On top of the accelerated spread you probably would have seen mass layoffs of people who decide their life is more important than the job anyway. Coincidentally the same age brakey that would have the biggest challenges to get re-hired.

The rest seems like a nitpicky statement like "it's not the fall that kills you, it's the sudden deceleration". Except we don't know what the true fallout of facing the virus with no restrictions. Just that the experts suggest it would have been worse.
> the replacement of ICE cars with electrics

I'm not convinced that this will change anything. What we need to do is simply cut down on car size and car usage in general. Dragging around literal tons of weight consisting of unoccupied seats, AC equipment and other unnecessary items is always going to require a lot of energy. I seriously doubt that it could ever be sustainable. Why would it be? We've been tapping into fossil fuels for so long now with sustainability not even given an afterthought. Bicycles are almost certainly sustainable, though.
The problem is probably Ubuntu.

Systemtap works beautifully under rhel/centos, but it's a pain to make it work on Ubuntu.

This has slown down adoption by a lot.

We could have had dynamic tracing in gnu/Linux a lot earlier if Ubuntu had done a better job at supporting it.

This is no surprise though: canonical has often refused to adopt stuff that have been thoroughly tested and vetted in the rhel world: think of firewalld Vs ufw. Or selinux Vs apparmor. Or cockpit, that has no equivalent in the canonical world afaik.
The udev move was what convinced me the whole effort was bad faith. I have yet to be disabused of this notion.
Do you have similar outrage when it comes to not being able to smoke in public buildings?
Slack has some surprising, hard to discover UI tricks. Another one I learned recently is you can make text into a hyperlink by copying a URL to your clipboard, highlighting the text in Slack, and pasting. https://twitter.com/ftrain/status/1240387882507997186
I'm not sure what we're arguing about. I'm professionally involved in the field, I understand the risks when I press "download" or invoke a third-party script. I run things in temporary VMs. I only have Facebook, WhatsApp and Uber on my personal phone (those may be fraudulent, but on a whole other level).

General population is vulnerable to all sorts of malware and social engineering. I've personally witnessed people dear to me fall for the Clean you Mac javascript scams. That's why I'm pro-walled-garden, as I've expressed in the original response.
My takeaway from this: 1) don't overthink a problem 2) observe norms 3) meet expectations. In other words, simply be reliable.
What is the probability that my guess is going to be right?

I did some little thinking and modelling of my own late Feb, and reached the correct conclusions by following a simple exponential model, having very basic understanding of epidemiology, and being mindful of error bars (mostly ones created by me being a layman in the field).

On the other hand, I trusted WHO and CDC on masks around February; even posted things to HN to that extent. I now regret it and consider it a failure of not doing enough first-principles reasoning, and not digging into the feeling of confusion I had when reading the official advice.

What I got blindsided by was supply chain impacts. I read the daily updates on /r/supplychain with fascination; while I realized things are interconnected, I didn't realize just how much and in what non-obvious ways.

Bottomline, the lesson I draw from the pandemic is to trust myself a bit more, and attempt to carefully reason from first principles more often.
Sure but that example from the steel industry surely was an outlier? What % of the workforce was still agrarian in the late 19th century?

As for the suburbs and people walking etc...mostly agree.

But surely you'd agree that the onset of the internet has extended most people's working hours in a significant way.

What's the < year 2000 equivalent of receiving/responding to a work email at 10pm?
> That doesn't make sense. Meet is done exclusively through the web browser.

That's not actually an indication that there won't be setup issues. Every new machine my Meet breaks until I hit a bunch of OK boxes and know the secret trick to kill Chrome and restart it before Meet can actually successfully access the camera and share screens and the like.

Had it screw up presentations before where I got a new machine, tried to share a demo window, and of course it wouldn't work until I logged off the call, killed Chrome, and got back in. Big waste of time. Seen the same issue hit other coworkers with new issued laptops.
I have a Noritake Itron display with a 256x128 resolution, which is probably the biggest VFD that's widely available. High voltage is generated by an onboard supply, and you drive it with an 8 bit microprocessor interface, so it's just about a drop-in replacement for a typical small LCD module. Pretty easy to use in hobby projects.
Nah. There are so many possible unknown events, like patient 31 in Korea, if people will go to the beach when there is a sunny day, if people will crow in front of the banks in case of a bank run [1], when will the class start, will planes keep flying, ...

Note that the paper says:

> The new model predicts that the maximum total number of deaths will be approximately 62,100 across the United States due to the Covid-19 virus, and with a 95% confidence that the expected total death toll will be between 60,951 and 63,249 deaths based on the data until 22 April, 2020.

When the intervals calculated with a high confidence at different day don't overlap, it's a huge red flag.

For a more realistic interval, the paper also says:

> On 17 April, the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation (IHME) projected that there would be 60,308 Covid-19 deaths with an estimated range between 34,063 and 140,381 deaths by 4 August, which is down from 68,841 as predicted earlier on 13 April.

[1] we have something like this in Argentina, not a bank run, but something similar.
> I personally find dynamic languages far more legible

Maybe you're a 2xer though.
a16z drank their own coolaid in this instance.
Alternatively - Sweden's per-capita covid19 mortality rates are about 125% those of the US, and bellow those of UK,France,Italy,Spain,Netherlands,Belgium all of which are locked down.
You spit CO2 in the atmosphere every day by heating/cooling the house.
Yay, more free training data for Google's ASR and computer vision algorithms!
This is poorly titled. A '1x developer' is by definition an average developer. The page is mostly listing basic knowledge that any developer, even a very junior one, should already have. If you aren't aware of the relative strengths and weaknesses of Java, C, and Python, you aren't a 1x developer, you're a trainee.

Anyone know of any better articles truly targeted at '1x' developers? (This isn't snark, it's an invitation.)
How to onboard an outsourced remote team
Yep, CO2 or GDP, pick one.

Gives you a sense of the size of the problem.
“Half a decade” is how I’d pronounce that.
The History of Abecedarianism
Yeah because Wingdings was a preexisting character set and Unicode was designed to be a superset of all existing character sets in use.
What if external link is the symbol I want to type? Would exit sign be appropriate, because I’m fairly certain there’s an emoji for that.
Not cumbersome at all if you adhere to the core principles and think through how you actually use your computer.

Contrary to popular belief, you do not have to run every application in its own (VM).

You can run any number of apps in a single VM, so the principle is that you define what applications (use cases) can and should be isolated from each other and use multiple VMs to implement that segmentation between (groups of) apps.

For example, you can have one VM for all your work apps and another for the remaining use cases.
So the state includes the positions of all players and of the ball? That doesn't sound like solving football at all.

Why not build on the RoboCup 2D Football simulation league? It is a more realistic environment, where each agent has to sense the environment and decide what to do with some limited communication with other agents and with the coach. Furthermore, it already has some state-of-the-art teams. And finally, it is a step on the road to actually having a team of physical humanoid robots playing against a human team.

As is, this does not look very interesting and does not look too dissimilar from the Atari reinforcement learning.
Per capita is what matters, absolute numbers don't make any sense. People consume resources per capita. Saying that if China was 10 different countries those countries would have 10x lower emission targets doesn't make sense. The per capita carbon emission of a US or another developed country citizen is much higher than that of developing countries like India. Staying in a smaller country by population shouldn't be a blanket license to emit more carbon per capita.
There are different ways. You can also use the systemd but as you are asking for init.d use the following command.
sudo /etc/init.d/networking start
Reference: https://www.poftut.com/start-stop-restart-networking-linux
I have. My machines boot reliabily, my unit files work almost unmodified across my centos machines and my Ubuntu laptops.

I no longer have to learn a three-dimensional grid of init systems (init system, distro, distro release).

If this isn't a positive experience...

Systemd requires a small initial study effort in order to be understood.

If you're unwilling to do that kind of things (is: reading the fine manual), you might as well go buy a macbook.
The idea that one of the VCs who spent decades investing in such corporations would magically help us save the internet from the very companies they invested in is genuinely laughable.
I had this one.

We were using mSQL in the 90s for web projects. A very important customer wanted a "real" database so we bought DB2. Because we didn't have an IBM plattform or Solaris we went with Windows NT.

Everyhing went fine, until one day we recognized the website being slow. Investigating brought the database as the culprit. So I went there and logged into the NT box in the data center and checked the DB2. Everything was fast. Back to my desk and the database was slow again after some time. Back to the NT server and the same thing happend.

After quite a long time I found the real culprit. The NT pipes GL software render screen blanker. After some time without interaction the screen blanker started up and took all the CPU. So the database and the website went slow. Someone had set the screenblanker to the nice GL pipes renderer.

[Searching the web, IBM introduced DB2 for Windows NT 31.10.1995 and I went to Cebit that year to check it out]
Fairphone 3 is now available with /e/OS
Why Kids Need to Be Comfortable Talking About Web Hazards
This is cynical in a well-written way that matches my prejudices. I like it.
So the smartest way to go about this is to create a whole new character set for external link symbols? That seems like a really roundabout way to get this thing accepted.
this is a good example of people saying the response was overblown, because the response had its intended effect
I think the proper solution would be 1) don't use forwarding unless necessary 2) setup touch-to-use on a Yubikey so even with your scenario the attacker couldn't just use the key (it requires touch to be used).
I was explaining my background so someone a few days ago in an introduction and I said “I used to do crypto working on PKI infrastructure.” They responded that they had never heard of that token. Unfortunately, I think cryptocurrency is what is top of mind when the majority of people hear the word “crypto” so I’ve been relegated to saying “cryptography” when describing my background.
For systems in which there is no meaningful way to distinguish users (or say, non-returning customers), these concerns are certainly worth addressing.

Consider, however, cases where the company has long term relationships with customers; say, industries where real customer support is in place. In these cases, an infrastructure for “feature toggles” is extremely helpful, because you can turn on the feature for specific customers (or developers for testing!), or certain segments of customers (e.g. early access customers). In such an infrastructure, there is no “security through obscurity”; you’re authorizing transactions on the backend (based on whether specific users are allowed to use the feature), and merely enabling the UI on the front end based on user whitelists.

Incidentally, once this is in place it’s just another half step to implement phased releases, or A/B testing. Makes rolling back easy too.
There is dispute as to whether Dirksen said that [1]. According to Wikiquote, when asked whether he had said it, Dirksen said: "Oh, I never said that. A newspaper fella misquoted me once, and I thought it sounded so good that I never bothered to deny it."

[1] https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Everett_Dirksen#Misattributed
To be fair, that was their jam before the pandemic. A16z is all in on crypto, much to the detriment of their long term reputation, IMO.
It's quite likely that what you want in this case is to use SSH forced commands with sshkey auth and a remote account exclusively dedicated to serving this one request.

https://binblog.info/2008/10/20/openssh-going-flexible-with-...
In the "Debunking the claim that it’s “just the economy”" section of the original post [0], the author is arguing that "economic damage leads to lives lost". But the kind of economic damage this causes doesn't have to. The reason it does is a result of the policy decisions our governments make.

The author references a study from LSE [1a], saying:

> Their analysis focuses on the UK, but they conclude that maintaining lockdown in the UK beyond June 1 will lead to a net reduction in wellbeing-years.

The referenced paper weighs up the benefits of lifting the lockdown at a particular point in time vs the costs of extending it. They do this using a metric called wellbeing-years. They list the possible positive and negative outcomes of lifting the lockdown then convert these into wellbeing-years. These are used to calculate the total value of lifting the lockdown at the start of May, June, July and September. They summarise these findings in Table 4 of the paper [1b]. It shows that there will be negative total value to maintaining the lockdown beyond 1st June, as the original post says.

Table 4 suggests the highest cost of lockdown is reduced incomes and the reduction in wellbeing it brings [1b]. But surely the UK government could increase their income support so that there is no loss in wellbeing? This would change the balance of the cost-benefit analysis considerably (and maybe saving lives is worth the money).

So how much would this cost then? In Appendix 2 [1c], they calculate that £750,000 of lost income is worth 7.5 wellbeing-years (one year of a persons life at the average wellbeing of 7.5/10). This implies that a single wellbeing-year is worth £100,000 of lost income. Looking at Table 4, lifting the lockdown in September instead of May would cause reductions in income equivalent to (48+66+86+103)10,000 = 303,000 wellbeing-years. That represents £100,000 303,000 = £30.3 billion in lost income we'd need to make up.

Luckily, the 6 wealthiest people in the UK are worth a combined £39.4 billion [2]. Repatriating that wealth and distributing it as income relief would completely remove the negative impact of lost income. Doing so would tip the balance in favour of extending lockdown to 1st September. This is important because lifting the lockdown in September rather than May would result in 145,000 fewer COVID-19 deaths [1d].

Using that papers analysis to justify ending the UKs lockdown early is akin to saying: I value preserving the private wealth of 6 people over the lives of 145,000 others.

[0]: https://www.ryankemper.io/post/2020-04-29-the_case_for_endin...
[1a]: http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/occasional/op049.pdf
[1b]: Results, Table 4, http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/occasional/op049.pdf#page...
[1c]: Appendix 2, "The monetary value of Life-Years", http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/occasional/op049.pdf#page...
[1d]: Section 3.6, "COVID-19 Deaths", http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/occasional/op049.pdf#page...
[2]: https://www.theguardian.com/news/2019/dec/03/uk-six-richest-...: https://www.theguardian.com/news/2019/dec/03/uk-six-richest-...
The 1x / 10x memes need to die in my opinion.
Search Engine Hacker News Has Been Asking For
I hate the notion of "10x developer".

It focuses on hiring the best person, rather than firing individuals who undermine the team. The reality is, there are some 1x developers, and some .5x developers. Even worse though are the -1x developers. So many times I see a corporate culture of firing = bad, so lets just try to find someone who is a "10x", when really all you need is to remove the people who cause more work for the organization.

Its our job as managers to accept that we hired someone who is ineffective, damaging the team and that OUR hiring process failed to catch that. Then to deal with them (training, firing) and iterate on the hiring process to prevent the issue going forward.
For me, no-code tools were the gateway to learn to code.

Build a site with a WordPress theme and ultimately end up editing the HTML and CSS to get the desired result that's not possible out of the box.

Add a plugin that doesn't quite meet my needs and end up learning PHP to edit the source.

For people that learn by taking apart what's there, no-code tools are excellent learning tools.
Often, they didn’t. How many stories have we all heard about “wow.. transitioning to microservices was way harder than we expected” followed by a move back to monolith instead of fixing the issues.

That doesn’t mean a micro service architecture is wrong... just that you have to either learn from your mistakes or hire an amazingly talented team... that have learned from mistakes somewhere else.
Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning
<a href="https://ymento.com/courses/artificial-intelligence-and-machine-learning/learn">Learn about Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning</a>
Problem is, there is competition, so any "feature" your ML has discovered, will fade away as other MLs discover it too. So it has a tendency to become a completely featureless stochastic system. Temporary features can exist though.
Dust devils may roam on Saturn’s moon Titan
This article really puts me off working for Amazon.
I wonder if it becomes an EEO issue (in the US).

They can't compel a vulnerable WFH person to rejoin an open plan sardine office, nor can they fire them for not rejoining without attracting attention for discrimination. I know a tech worker who used to wheel an oxygen tank to the office: I imagine that person is more than a little concerned right now.

It also implies that a partly WFH workforce cannot be sidelined: once one person is remote the whole culture needs to be organized around remote process.
https://ymento.com/courses/artificial-intelligence-and-machi...
Aren't the FCC in the US pretty strict about requiring you to specifically tag paid material?

This could just as easily be paid advertising as a joke (zoom is getting most of the news cycle for 'meetings' atm, so it's the topical product to joke on). And in some countries I'd more easily believe it's paid but I see a lot of work even creators/youtubers have to go into to explicitly declare sponsorship's I'd just be surprised.

If that's not the case please let me know!
Virtualization on the Linux desktop–Gnome Boxes vs. virt-manager
Make me thinking of the old saying: "First they jailed X, Y, Z and that was OK. Finally they jailed me". Censorship is an extension of both the search bubble and closed platforms. Contact tracing is an extension of the wide spread address book stealing by apps, to which many people (including intelligent ones) seem to have agreed to.

The open web is dying, sure, but this an agony started 10/15 years ago. It is certainly still worth writing stories about it.

But still, now the web is browsed by just about anybody and that makes a fair share of people with low education, no scientific background and mostly computer illiterate (they typically make no difference between their computer/smartphone and the internet). Governments just cannot make them understand even the simplest message about how to behave, e.g. during a pandemic (assuming said government acts in good faith). And that tends to rationalize discretionary actions by technologists.
Graal vs. C2. Who runs Kotlin faster?
I also trust Google about as much as I’m capable of picking up the entire organization and throwing it; not at all. Any product Google releases has a half life of about a year at this point, betting even the tiniest bit of my business on them is a non starter.
I have never heard of this before. It is fascinating to me that health care gets decoupled from employment but eating is considered an employment benefit.

I don't really object or anything, it just seems out of character.

Wouldn't it be better if the government did this directly by the same logic you'd apply to health care? Making employee meals tax deductible instead of just giving everyone a government funded food benefit sounds much more like what I'd expect in the US.
Why does it need to be replaced? Get rid of it entirely. Intelligence comes in myriad forms and trying to reduce it to a single three digit number is such a naive, ignorant idea to begin with.
I may submit a PR then it would become "we".
> Has anyone had positive experiences with systemd?

I was a relatively early adopter to CentOS 7, and I have yet to run into an issue that I could pin on systemd across any of the Linux systems I use or maintain. Then again, my requirements tend to be pretty "normal" and not terribly taxing - at most I crank out a couple of server-specific service and timer files and get on with my life.

I totally understand where some of the critics of systemd are coming from. No matter how you slice it, more lines of code is invariably going to result in more bugs. And the development team does seem a bit myopic at times - though nothing deserving the death threats they get.

However, there were some clear disadvantages to the old-school sysv init, and I thought that it was important that Linux settle on a new standard init system and do it without yet another instance of fragmentation happening, like with rpm vs deb or Flatpak vs Snap or countless other examples. Systemd happened to be it, but honestly I didn't even care what the init system was as long as something finally "won" and didn't introduce yet another schism. In fact, I highly suspect that if something else had won people would have doubtless found an axe to grind with that one too.
> Seriously, the list of scientist and medical organizations advising through this period is so long, I don't know why anyone who isn't at equally experienced tries to counter-claim their insights.

Scientists and organizations are made up of people, and thus they can make errors like everyone else. Our expert panel yesterday in Italy pulled out catastrophic scenarios (150K people requiring ICU) that were heavily criticized, not only by "regular" commentators but also scientists.

I don't mean that experts can't be trusted. quite the opposite. They play an important role in advising for a proper public policy to manage the current epidemic, but with such a large number of unknowns, mistakes can and will happen. And when they occur, they must be pointed out regardless of where they come from.