skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Have we looked closely for blood clotting problems and other odd symptoms with other respiratory system viruses? People get unexplained blood clots all the time. How do we know they weren't caused by a hidden viral infection?

I have a feeling that in 2120 people are going to look back at us as idiots for missing a lot of stuff that will seem obvious in retrospect.
My understanding is that the current estimated IFR from those studies (NY specially) is between 0.6% and 1.2%. I think flu is around 0.1% (however I am not sure if that is the CFR or the IFR). The second factor to consider is the attack rate, how many people are likely to get infected. For flu is around between 10% to 15% of the total population, while for Covid it is, potentially, larger than 80% (no natural immunity and no vaccines). It is however unlikely that it will reach that level given the current containment and mitigation measures. But if it reaches something like 40% (double of the latest NY estimate), it will mean covid is between 16 to 48 times deadlier than the flu.
I've seen suggestions that a lot of these strange problems happen sporadically with other viruses like the flu too, and it's just more newsworthy when it happens with Covid-19.
You don't have to wait until a certain date to try — there is nothing magical about August or September that makes it a good time to start learning.
Are we talking 2 weeks, a month or 3 months, 6 months+?
> In other words, when you recover from covid-19, you are immune to it. In other words, covid-19 is just like every other virus, in this respect.

"Every other virus" doesn't behave the same in this regard. The viruses that cause colds, many of which are also coronaviruses, are pretty adept at hitting people throughout their life.

Hopefully it's not an issue here, but it's completely unsurprising that people would want to actually research it instead of just declaring all viruses are the same.

The only fools here are the people whose impatience leads them to declare absolutes ahead of times instead of taking preventive measures while the research plays out.

https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/03/20/8190384...

> Researchers do know that reinfection is an issue with the four seasonal coronaviruses that cause about 10 to 30% of common colds.
Read it hoping the topic was going to be sub-gradient optimization (or any kind of technique that follows an "interesting" direction when the gradient is either not available or "boring").

It's unfortunately not presenting anything new.
Oh they're definitely written by and for people who actually know how things work. They're written by Congressional aides and advisors who do exactly what they're told by the donors to the politicians. The politicians don't care what's in the bills, they care how the voters will react.
It takes 80 years to construct an octogenarian but less than a year to make a baby. That octogenarian is full of experiences and learnings, while the newborn will still take decades of processing to become an economically valuable adult.

By your reasoning we should terminate the ones we can’t afford to develop right now (we can always make more later) and concentrate our resources on saving the ones that may have the insight we need.
1. In a dual board one could describe members of both boards as executives. I can quite understand supervisory board members to be unwilling to work with political agents on their board if they feel the firm's not lost yet.

2. Hostile takeovers are hostile to current management. You are obviously free to do what you want with your share. It's the firm treating the takeover as hostile. Shareholders are free to vote in / remove executives in order to change the way a takeover is perceived.
One of the biggest reasons I gave up flying is due to the extremely expensive nature of the hobby. Something like this with its sub $2/ hour cost would be very appealing to me. Also since it's an ultralight with a steep rate of climb, I might be able to take-off and land on my driveway.

I'm particularly curious about how this would work with a hybrid glider or other aircraft with long glide paths where you could use the electric to get up to elevation and glide the rest of the flight.
Single-chip Lidar routing is in our tiny future
This kind of thinking leads down a sad, unproductive, and dangerous "me first" path. Let's avoid falling back into tribal thinking. This applies to states as much as countries (as seen in Europe right now).

If pensions or any other specific things are mismanaged - which IMHO is in fact the case in California - let's fix them together.
A highly customised Visual Studio I think, with lots of in-house extensions. To be fair, this was long, long ago. Nowadays you'd write an extension and leverage the Language Server Protocol.
> 2. S&P is heavily weighted towards the strongest companies. Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Microsoft and Google account for 20% of S&P market cap. Most of those companies have been helped by the pandemic, or at least not hurt nearly as bad as smaller companies.

I thought I'd look up the performance of various indexes for the past month (as of the time I looked them up):

* S&P 500: +15.2%

* Dow Jones Industrial Average: +14.1%

* Nasdaq Composite Index: +17.9%

* Russell 2000: +21.7%

* Russel 3000: +16.0%

* Wilshire 5000: +16.3%

I then looked at the YTD, and didn't bother comparing them because they all essentially looked identical to one another.

Note that the DJIA and NDQ are mostly contained within the S&P are they are highly correllated. Weighting aside (I'm not actually sure what differencs their might be), the S&P is contained in R3k and W5000, but not R2k.

So no, I don't think the idea that Apple and Facebook are doing well (thus keeping hte S&P numbers inflated) holds weight. In fact, the Russell 2000 does not include the top 1000 companies (like the Russell 3000) and shows the highest return for the past month.

Rather, it seems like all of these indices are correlated. It reminds me of the Hillary Clinton autoregression of prediction markets during the 2016 election: immune to new information.
My recommendation for anyone who isn't already too deep/stuck in their current stack would be to look at starting something with a PostgreSQL + Elixir/Phoenix/LiveView combo. You'll end up with an incredible foundation that would be hard to outgrow. Lots of the simplicity/structure familiar to Rails, interactivity like React, but without most of the downsides. Performance/scale/dx is about as good as it gets. I can't do it justice in a short comment but there is plenty out there to read up on.
Really useful for my business. Found a lot of new clients.
> I struggle to take Musk seriously. He has too much to gain from getting people working again.

Musk made reusable rockets a reality and single-handedly willed a whole electric vehicle ecosystem into existence. What have you done, cczizou?
> Losing your home, losing the ability to pay for healthcare, perhaps losing custody of your children or losing your already strained marriage -- these are all serious issues which may greatly impact the survival and health of many people.

Absolutely. And nobody wants to be forced to pick between that, and the very real possibility of getting sick. But if the states just open up, that's the position that they will be in—work and maybe get sick, or not work, and lose your home, the ability to pay for healthcare, perhaps losing custody of your children or losing your already strained marriage.

Keeping the states closed is a popular position.

> One thing which tone-deafness is often a symptom of, is that one has lost a bit of the capacity to think of certain others as full, equal in worth, human beings. I know this from first hand experience.

It's an honest shame that people with your attitude weren't the ones running the protests, instead of people flying the confederate flag and wanting to get their hair done.
> Recent seralogical studies indicate that the number of positive test results are likely a small fraction of the total number of cases

No: the antibody tests were done with the expectation that the total number of the infected would be much higher. The tests have such false positive rates that with the results actually observed the tests in most of the cases say nothing -- in most of the locations the numbers would be similar even if nobody would be a real positive. And there where the results are above these "noise" thresholds we also have a big numbers of deaths which do confirm my claim of order of magnitude deadlier than flu.

Even observing the pure death statistics we can see that, even in spite of all the measures actively taken throughout the world. Without them it's obvious it would have been again the difference of some orders of magnitude:

https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/

See also here:

https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest

the "Death rates have climbed far above historical averages" graph.
八(＾□＾*)
Defined contribution (401k) is not the same as defined benefit (pension).
This.

All the weirdness and horrors of "normal" diseases are now in the spotlight due to media attention on covid-19.
ERC20 and Omni layer tokens forwarding by Crypto APIs
You mean you don't assemble Lego models by putting all the pieces in a box and vigorously shaking it?
Yes, it was something I'd never thought of before, but definitely simpler than I guessed before I clicked the link. That said, each time you add a conditional, you need to be increasingly careful about where you put it, and what other impacts it has.

I would also imagine that there are a variety of other features which require similar flow charts.
Personal Desktop Whiteboard and Pen
Can't stress this enough!
A doctor on the frontlines is an expert. He may not specialize in epidemiology or virology, but his credentials are sufficient that the difference between credibility between the scientists and the doctors is too small for youtube to reliably choose one over the other. YouTube is not an accreditation agency or an arbiter of credibility.

YouTube has no authority to suppress credible doctors from going against the consensus. The fact that this particular decision agrees with what the majority of us think is right doesn't mean that YouTube is right to choose.
The term was coined by Jim Cramer as the group of well performing tech stocks
It wasn't when I used it. It's been too long to remember numbers, but I got a significant speed improvement by switching from sshuttle to wireguard.
The stack you choose is just a tool. Just like a builder using a hammer.

It's not so much how you build it is the real world problems you solve. Yes there are considerations as to the quality of you product and the costs associated with low quality code. But if you solve problems well for people you will have the revenue to clean that up.

Learn to code well, don't sorry that you don't have enough tools in your tool box right now. You probably don't need them. Just focus on solving problems for people.

I'd suggest reading the pragmatic programmer before looking into a new backend stack.
It's also really hard. Trying to determine how to split up any code base into logical divisions such that you when adding the next 5 years of functionality you'll have the fewest number of cross division processes is hard.

This is why Martin Fowler recommends starting with a monolith and refactoring into microservices unless you have extensive experience building out very similar applications in the same domain.
Nobody suggested injecting bleach, please stop spreading exaggerated misinformation.
According to the "Get the code" link [1], it looks like these models need pretty huge GPUs to even interact with the pre-trained models. Is that abnormal? I was under the impression that training the model is generally what takes the beefy GPU, and then using that model requires more consumer-adjacent hardware. A P100 GPU is $3000 [2].

[1] https://parl.ai/projects/blender/

[2] https://www.amazon.com/dp/B06WV7HFWV/
The net outflow from California at this point is a rounding error and the equivalent sum is basically being printed by the Fed every ninety minutes each working day. No one is solvent.
When a taxi company here contracted to build their own hailing app, it was done to the tune of €500-600K. Every bit as good as the big rideshare apps.
sshuttle is good for "normal" unix-like systems where you have root, but I was never able to get it working on Android.
I've known people who commute this way. You have to of course have a backup plan or be able to work from home if the weather is poor. You just have a plane and a car. And there are parts of the US where you'll be able to fly 90+% of the time if you're only going a short distance and not too picky on timing.

It's definitely not practical for most but it would be great. And not having much of a precheck would be really nice.
Yes, sorry, I thought we were comparing IFR and not CFR.
> Rewrite it from scratch if you have to.

Rewrite from scratch as necessary. :-)
I believe 0.1% is the CFR for the flu, and the IFR is close to 0.04%?
Sure, you can say behAvioral economics experiments are unreliable. But even if this field did not exist, assuming close to perfect information is simply naive in my opinion. Unless you account for insider trading, which the pessimist in me believes is rampant. In truth, none of us know, but I think it’s worthwhile to consider the alternative to what is taught in textbooks.
I don't have personal experience using it, but I believe Ooni Probe is designed for your exact use-case:

https://ooni.org/about/
When talking about pensions in the USA, people are usually referring to retirement plans where the employer says something roughly like "when you retire, we will pay 80% of your salary". or "when you retire, we will pay you X/month". The responsibility is on the employer to ensure that money is around when you retire.

Companies used to have things like this - when my dad retired he had several pensions from multiple companies that worked like this. Nowadays government usually uses them to put off paying the full cost of employees.
To tunnel your whole infrastructure traffic through a third party is one of the dumbest ideas I have ever heard of.
Is there a better source for this than a report of a press conference? Like, a paper? The KCDC is highly competent, and maybe the English-language Korean press isn't as bad as the US press ("Is this going to be a deadly pandemic? No." "The flu killed more people." "Healthy people wearing masks doesn't help.") but I really have no way to judge. And I've been burned too many times this year already by trusting the ignorant dabblers we call journalists.
Every time such a paper like this comes out, I have to ask myself: if they knew how to make money like this, why would they tell anyone?
I had Google phones since G1, I now use Pixel 3XL. This is the first time I seriously thought of switching off Android for good. What's puzzling is that I can't allow an app to run downloaded executables even if I know what the risk is. They could make it had but possible, like unlocking the bootloader.
The example given in the original post involves a dependent name
So once we develop a covid-19 vaccine and immunize a bunch of people, will we suddenly have a relapse of people testing positive for covid-19? Will deaths due to pneumonia and other respiratory problems get attributed to covid-19 because of the vaccine? Will we go into another lockdown after the vaccination?
That might be meaningful if you could show that most of the federal money going to New Mexico was used for R&D as opposed to, say, social support programs. And then you could try to show that the money going to all of the other "taker" states was similarly being used on developmental projects as opposed to social support.

I'd bet on it not being used on R&D. In fact, I'm betting most of that money never even leaves the state of New Mexico. Those contractors building roads aren't being paid with monopoly money.

I could be wrong, but I doubt it.

That's one of the reasons I'm such a big proponent of lower taxes. The tax resource allocation scheme is fundamentally unfair as currently structured. There are other reasons I support lower taxes, but you don't want to get me started.
I don't have anything to add, just thank you for the detail on the other side of this coin.
No Real Numbers (2019)
Lyft was paying higher in base salary than everyone else at the time as well
I feel like I went through a similar experience growing up; Any angry outburst was met with harsh punishment.

I remember reading somewhere that depression can sometimes be the result of repressing anger, which we may have needed to do to survive growing up and is now a bad habit we hang on to.
Uber is in a much better position to capitalize on Eats as well as non US recovery (given that it seems the US is on one of the worst paths of most developed economies). Hell if anything I can see some Western European countries finally unbanning Uber just to stimulate some more economic activity. Italy/Spain/Germany can't afford to be as protectionist moving forward.
A guide to salary negotiation for women in tech
On average, women look for a 5% salary increase when applying to a new position, whereas men look for a 7% salary increase.

For example, a male senior developer would expect to go from $160k to $171k, while a female senior developer in the same position would seek to raise her salary up to $168k. That difference might not seem like much, but compounded year after year, it leads to the local gender pay gap that is close to 10%.
> And how many countries will allow others military cargo planes in their border?

In practice: most, including the US. How do you think that Russian aid was delivered last month? Not on a commercial flight.
Iron Ox is looking for a DevOps engineer to help scale automated indoor farming
> Are they all false? Don't know. There's hope, but not yet evidence, so far as I know.

You mean there's evidence but not proof.
The artificial safety net provided to states as opposed to corporations is for the fact that it is important for all states, even the most underperforming to have a standard level of infrastructure and overall competitiveness. The whole concept of republic like the US is partly based on bringing up the rear. This is why poorer states have less leverage and must offer more incentives to businesses to induce economic activity. Richer states already have advantages of being the incumbent including various resources to draw and keep businesses. These same states (often blue) have higher taxes to fund their barriers to entry with surpluses that give them the capital to weather aberrant situations like these. In addition, it is difficult to argue that constituents will vote for their economic best interests if social issues are more top of mind in redder states. This will only exacerbate the problems without a federal solution in place.
Facebook state-of-the-art open source chatbot
A 401(K) is not a pension. The latter is funded entirely by the employer.
Dems are going to lose the election and are actively attempting to sabotage the current presidency as much as possible. I don't believe you actually think what you're typing. Who's paying you lol?
The fun is that we have seen this so many times.

Sun RPC, CORBA, DCE, DCOM, XML-RPC, SOAP, REST, gRPC,....
Absolutely. It's incredibly easy to be a condescending engineer, thus sabotaging yourself and your ideas. Practicing empathy is a tremendous benefit to yourself and your team!

Esther Nam clearly explained this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IYWlfVqBQLc
This spending constitutes things like social security checks and the upkeep of military bases and other facilities. It is not relevant to state budgets. And even if all the money went to a state general fund, the worst performers would not be significantly different.
I think the HN comments about "what do they all do" are more often than not inquisitive ... or not entirely off the ball as far as "This product could be great if the company running it wasn't trying to be a unicorn and thus spending all that money with little more to show for it."

I don't think those are unfair questions / concepts.
Their 2010 revenue was $29.3 billion, and in the last four quarters (including the recent Q1 announcement) they raked in $166.71 billion. If your headcount numbers are correct, and they've gone from 25k to 100k employees, they've actually managed to increase their revenue faster than their headcount.

Their constant failure to make a dent in the chat app space is surely embarrassing, but having a few parallel efforts is a drop in the bucket in terms of efficiency.
Due to the history of the US, race is highly determinate to culture and socioeconomic status. It's a very good proxy for to cut across all sorts of differences. For example, you mentioned home owners. Guess which race has very few of those?

I would have preferred to see a poll based on income, but race is still a decent proxy for that.
Well viruses in general, AFAIK, mutate - and that's how we trace their movement through the infected: you sample the virus and look at the mutations eg https://nextstrain.org/ncov.

Do we know for sure that Covid19 in N.Europe isn't sufficiently mutated over that in Australia, say, that secondary infection is possible (even if recovered people's antibodies recognise it somewhat)?
Please don’t take this the wrong way, but I’m not sure what exactly your claim here is. Are you saying that nearly every company on the exchange is missing out on tens of billions of dollars by not implementing this formula you assume to exist?
How do you deal with Stress?
How do you deal with Stress ?
Yes, this is what my co-workers refer to as an if-statement.
No worries, I had made the same mistake. I just wanted to point out that the attack rate is also part of the fatality equation, and it is commonly not taken into account.
Agreed completely. Related skill: learn to read and type fast, because there's no upper bound where it stops being useful. It's easier to re-read and revise if you can do both quickly. If you have half the typing speed, revising takes twice as long, and given the same amount of time you'll be able to do less of it.
They are asking what you did, not what they should do.
I totally agree with you. In the richest country in human histroy, people shouldn't be forced to live paycheck to paycheck.
Off the top of my head, systems where a touchscreen is probably better than other input:

- Ticket machines

- Food machines

- Informational kiosks

- Border control machines

Basically whenever you have a public-facing system that's designed to be used for a short period of time, with relatively simple input.

Touchscreens are more accessible than mouse/keyboards, because many people genuinely don't use mouse and keyboards at all. Furthermore, it's a lot easier to keep a touchscreen clean than a mouse and keyboard!
Is this a joke? Literally the article at the top.
> we offer end-to-end SHA-256 encryption

Is this a mistake?
Sorry, I don't really see why.

Amazon's big success stories recently have been about providing the infrastructure for other businesses, both in its retail storefront and with AWS. This is one of the tried and tested strategies for big businesses to exploit their greater resources while not actually having to do the grunt work to create new products or services that end customers are willing to pay for.
It came from oil prices which had surge in pieces
FWIW Australia is coordinating flights via foreign airlines in addition to QANTAS. In fact United is running more flights to AUS than QANTAS.

LH’s golden share was sold off in the 1990s (that’s in the article).
English & Language Arts, including writing. Even for competent parents, unless you fully understand the curriculum and know how to teach it, providing direct instruction or enabling self-teaching in these areas is FAR harder than for math & science ... until you get into lab sciences where access to materials becomes problematic.
React.
NextJS.
Firebase.
- add reading the docs for Firebase functions and you'll be able to ship pretty much any SaaS product you think of with pretty good architecture baked in with the defaults.