skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I appreciate the article.

I think your argument I find most dubious is the idea that we have lessened health care capacity by sheltering at place and closing businesses. Even if we have furloughed hospital workers, and I'm not saying that isn't a huge blow to those people and their livelihoods, and stopped elective surgeries, and I'm also not saying that those elective surgeries aren't things that don't matter, I think in terms of the next 6 months, the chance that our hospitals have less capacity to deal with serious illnesses that lead to death seem unlikely. If anything the decrease in deaths from other things, like drunk driving, and influenza might offset the loss in capacity from those furloughed.

I agree that if the timeframe is long enough it is very likely to ultimately lead to more deaths from missing elective surgeries and preventative healthcare, and I think the argument for Pareto-efficiency and only asking those who are at risk to shelter in place isn't dismissed with this argument, but I don't think a time frame of say 6 months to a year would lead to more deaths in the way you state. I think you should maybe specify (or point out to me where you state this if I missed it, i'm not a careful reader) what kind of timeframe you believe that the combination of lack of capacity and missing out on preventive measures would start to lead to more deaths and indicate where you think we would reach pareto efficiency. Have we already passed the point of pareto efficiency? Was it never good at all, and the most efficient thing to do was no response?

I personally think you wouldn't see the effects you are talking about for probably at least a year, and I'm hoping it doesn't last that long. I think you might start to see an increase in deaths from other things like, overdose, alcohol, and suicide, in a shorter timeframe than that though, and that is something that probably should be weighed in picking the best time to end the lockdown too.
We had an R0 greater than 1 for a long enough period that if the response wasn't on point, we'd be in a similar position to the US.

One aspect that's missed is our testing rate - 500,000+ tests performed so far with a 1.2% positive rate. That's half of South Korea's.

None of this is to blow my Aussie horn. Whilst I'm proud to live in a country that handled this crisis well, I can't help but feel frustration at many of the remarks that Trump has said, particulary comments such as "can you really believe the numbers coming out of these countries?" it's just baffling considering that the AU-US alliance is unshakeable and there is no reason to mistrust our figures.

All stats sourced here: https://www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavir...
“When will it be over?”: An introduction to viral reproduction numbers
Had to look it up because I did not know:

A STUN server is used to get an external network address. TURN servers are used to relay traffic if direct (peer to peer) connection fails.

Could someone share practical usages of these commonly today to help me better grasp usage for these servers as a starting point?
You're linking that just to be insulting, I guess?

Asking why the cost is some number is very different from claiming you could do it yourself for cheaper.

Is the biggest cost tearing up existing things, bringing out the heavy machines, the raw materials, the labor, or something else? How many man-hours are needed anyway? There is nothing wrong with asking why it costs a certain amount. The average person has zero expertise in the cost structure of laying paved road.
I very much hope the author is wrong. I fear he is not.
Universal mask wearing could keep us out of lockdown for a long time before a vaccine.
"Four men and four women participated in two trials"

I'm not a medical researcher; is this a normal size for a study?
In real life, perhaps unlike debate camp, having your actions speak for themselves does actually matter.
The correct response to somebody pointing out a logical fallacy is the "Nordic gamer yes" image. Unfortunately HN does not have image posts.
Mental Skills Like MJ
We created an 8-day SMS text course to train your mental skills like MJ. Check out our site MentHQ.com.

Try it for free and let us know your thoughts.
Anecdotally my 3 year old saw a picture of a Juul in an ad and thought it was a juice box.
Except he repeated the claims in long format many times. Here's an example. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WvKSy1bwT70

I agree with you that right now it's absolutely crucial that organizations like the CDC maintain credibility, which is what makes this such a huge problem. Me calling out the lie is not the problem. The lie is the problem.
It's all fun and games until it's time to scale, which comes with the need for monitoring, versioning, scaled rollouts/rollbacks, DoS protection, replication and distribution, and the long tail of bugs.
This is called 'overshoot'.

See here for a good explanation
https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1252077930286444545
As I remember it, POF was just a side project intended to self-learn Asp.Net.
> Lots of people who regularly drive cars but never cycle see cyclists flagrantly ignoring the law on a regular basis

They also see many more cars flagrantly ignoring the law on a regular basis. On a normal late afternoon, I can stand outside the local supermarket and see 20+ cars jumping red lights, obstructing junctions, sitting on pedestrian crossings, etc. within half an hour.

> cyclists would rather throw themselves into oncoming traffic rather than dealing with the inconvenience of having to stop at stop lights.

Yes, as do a lot of car drivers.
What Is a Stun, Turn, and ICE
My thoracic diaphragm sits too high on one side due to a issue with the phrenic nerve probably caused by some virus I had some time ago.

So yeah a virus can do more harm than you can see from the outside. It is not just a cough. You don't know what else is going on.
The training doesn’t teach you to “ignore signs and signals.” The point is that the overwhelming majority of junctions of this type are marked Give Way, and the trained behaviour on a Give Way junction is to slow and take careful note of other vehicles, but not necessarily to stop. Full Stop signs are very much more rare in the UK than in the US and where they are used it is typically at completely blind junctions. Because of that, many drivers’ brains will subconsciously recognise this as a Give Way and act accordingly. Which is careless, but ultimately a UX issue.
> Of course the “masks don’t work” was pure, transparent, bullshit from the very beginning. It didn’t even pass the smell test.

No, that's not true. Maybe the advice was wrong, but it wasn't "pure, transparent, bullshit." It was always clearly stated that N95s worked if worn properly, but there was a lot of debate if surgical masks would offer much protection or not (they're known to be inadequate for certain viruses). Especially early on, people didn't understand much about this virus, such as the particle sizes involved or if asymptomatic transmission was real or not. There were a lot of factors to weigh in the recommendation in an environment of uncertainty.

> Now if the argument was “please save masks for healthcare workers first, they’re higher risk” that would be fine.

They did make that argument:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-cdc-says-americans-don...

> Most people don’t know how to use face masks correctly, and a rush to buy masks could prevent the people who need them most — health care providers — from getting them, said Dr. Amesh Adalja, a scholar at the Center for Health Security at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

> In fact the U.S. surgeon general recently urged the public to “STOP BUYING MASKS!” “They are NOT effective in preventing general public from catching #Coronavirus, but if healthcare providers can’t get them to care for sick patients, it puts them and our communities at risk!,” wrote Surgeon General Jerome Adams on Twitter US:TWTR

> But “they don’t work”? Fuck off.

It's also pretty clear that they were right that tons of people in the general public don't know how to wear masks correctly. I don't go out much, but when I do there's always a bunch of fools wearing N95s improperly (not using both straps, bunching both straps together behind the head, not shaping the noise area to fit the face). I even see people wearing surgical masks improperly (e.g. not covering the nose, not shaping the nose area, not folding out the material to stretch from the nose to under the chin, etc.).

There's also the issue that the general public is unlikely to follow the kinds of rigorous protocols that make N95s effective in a healthcare setting.
Serverless Fullstack Application Template
Does this give better sound quality? Because the sound quality on meet (Or is it Hangouts?) has been abysmal for the last few years. I also have no idea what meet actually even is these days. Is it just a rebranded hangouts or did they add something and merge Hangouts in?
He implies that mass surveillance and censorship wouldn't be possible with open web.
So we have a democratically elected government doing what both science and popular opinion agree on. Somehow that isn't democratic because it forces successful business owners to loose money. Doing what Musk wants in this case would be closer to the economic side of fascism and certainly not democratic.
I think any sensible epidemiology response would presume H2H to be possible if the unknown viral pneumonia is compared to SARS. The fact is Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore response are all inline with WHO recommendations to screen, test, trace and isolate on Jan23. Early Jan screening, pre testkit, was basically temperature checks that is insufficient given asymptomatic transmission. Most East Asian countries did this as well, but in retrospect it was essentially security theater. The only deviation in response was early travel bans to China (initially only to Hubei) but this was also AFTER Hubei lockdown which was a pretty clear broadcast that the situation was serious. I would argue also unnecessary since imported cases statistics from these countries (and others) demonstrate covid19 never spread much in China. For example, Taiwan repatriation ~1000 out of Wuhan with 1 positive test. At the end of the day, countries that took prompt actions based off WHO recommendations did well and without massive civic disruptions. The countries that waited too long suffered.
My advice is to make heavy use of your .ssh/config

Here is an example of some of mine (double spaced to read clearly on HN):

Host *

Ciphers aes128-ctr

Compression yes

ServerAliveInterval 120

ForwardX11 yes

Host example

HostName example.url.com

User my_name

ForwardX11Trusted yes

I keep global settings behind the glob, and more specific settings for all the hosts I use.

No need to use aliases in your .bashrc or wherever. With this setup, typing 'ssh example' is equivalent to 'ssh -XCY -c aes128-ctr my_name@example.url.com' which definitely saves some keystrokes.
Everyone should have a webpage and yeah, 'friend' other webpages.
I thought the exact same. I honestly think this post should be deleted on that fact.
> Now, when you use Firefox it is as if you are using Firefox on the machine you are SSH'd into(including DNS resolution!).

Don't forget to check the "Proxy DNS when using SOCKS v5" option in Firefox.
Totally agree on the MVP front. The term "no-code" may be annoying or way too "buzzwordy" to some, but I think that really misses the point.

These tools (WordPress, Zapier, Launchrock, etc.) can be used to get something out in the world quickly and figure out if it's worth investing time/money into.
> So what if 200,000 people have died out of 7.7 billion (.003%). Net ~85 million more will have been added this year.

If the rest of the world listened to you we'd have 150-300 million deaths over about 6 months, not 200,000. Fortunately people like you are a small minority.
Introducing the AWS Europe (Milan) Region
ReadMe (YC W15) Is Hiring a Growth Engineer in San Francisco
Reading the conclusion and introduction, it's imperative that we don't consider politics in the technology that we build, but it's also imperative that we do?

The questions of "should we" or "will my future self will hate me" are both intensely political.
I went to my doctor complaining about the general lack of energy. Turned out to be Vitamin D. I grew up in the tropics and the lack of sun had put me under a severe deficiency. Had to take prescription strength to get to normal. Since then that’s one supplement I never miss.
It's enough for such a large effect, but obviously it doesn't tell us anything about the long-term impact of trying it as a lifestyle.
> It used to be that if you had something important to say you might actually have to climb out of the basement, walk to the church, and post your words to the door.

It's not 1950. Church attendance has been on the decline for decades. It's an audience of maybe a thousand in a country of over three hundred million. There is no lack of laziness that can scale in-person communication to compete with the internet.

But it's even more ridiculous to suggest going to meatspace meeting places to discuss a pandemic which is keeping everybody out of places like that.

> The expectation that others should both host and promote your crazy ideas for free is the problem.

The expectation exists because it's what they do for other ideas. What's good for the goose is good for the gander.

If they want to charge money to all YouTube creators equally or shut down YouTube entirely and let it all drain out into other platforms then nobody's stopping them, but a duty of impartiality has to come with being that big.
I differ, in that I don't think Steve Jobs had a clear vision that he could communicate to others. I think he was very, very gifted as someone who could see the right path forward, and he seemed to execute ruthlessly.

The evidence I would put forth is that, in the decade since Steve Jobs died, Apple has added a watch to their lineup, and changed virtually nothing else. Their supply chain efficiencies might be better, but without Steve to look at what the rest of the world was offering, and to say, "That is all shit, THIS is what should be next", Apple has merely been a high-end manufacturer of electronics.

Elon, on the other hand, has a very clear vision, and it can be communicated in simple statements: "Humanity needs to be a multiplanetary species". "Electric vehicles are the only viable, sustainable means of mass short range travel".

When you combine this with the drive he has to succeed, you get people lined up behind him, not because they want to emulate him, but because their goals are aligned. The people who work at SpaceX want humanity to go to Mars - not because Elon says so, but because they know it has to happen for us to survive, and because Elon's company is the best hope we have right now.
It seemed to me over the years they got really fancy, investing a lot in their fleet (many luxury cars), their garages, and facilities. The company of today feels very different to the more humble car rental service of my youth. Every car that I ever rented or saw seemed nearly new. I was always shocked at how frequently they turned over their inventory and it seemed to me a machine that really needed to be kept in motion lest it crash. It seems to me they had some kind of sophisticated calibrated model whereby they would buy late-model cars, have consumers drive them just under X miles, and then re-sell the cars on the market before they got too low on price again. They got hit on both sides of the funnel — rentals and sales.
Or growth is not in the US market and predictions were right.
Multiple methods in that snippet use something like:

while(true) {
Animate(image);
wait 200;
}

implies there are multiple synchronous execution stacks. It's not threading, as the synchronization points are explicit.
Like choose to kill old people?
I make this comment whenever a lament about the old style of internet pages comes up, but I tried to use StumbleUpon a while back and noticed it was gone. Since it was gone I decided to recreate it, in hopes of capturing some of the weird independent websites I remember browsing years ago.

https://stumblingon.com

It's click a button and get a random website.
I don't think daily OHLCV data is a good data source. First of all, it's too little because of the data distribution shift over time. It's also driven significantly by outliers and events outside of the data (news, etc). There's way too much noise in daily prices that most of the signal is drowned out (longer time horizons = more uncertainty). I don't believe you can find any edge looking at daily data. This kind of data is would be equivalent to what MNIST is in ML. Nice for some playing around, but nobody who is serious would use it for production or benchmarking, at least not by itself.

There is a good reason trading firms pay a lot of money (sometimes millions) for fine-grained historical data from exchanges. It's not only about speed. For interesting experiments you IMO need L2 or L3 order book data, ideally somewhere on second or sub-second scales. That's not HFT (which is nano and micros), but somewhere in the "middle" - it's a different world than what you are talking about.

By simulators he means market simulators for L2/L3 data with a matching engine, latencies, queue positions, jitter, complex order types, etc. You can't simulate other market participants (at least not fully, but there are techniques to even estimate this based on live trading feedback), but there are still many things left that you can simulate in a realistic way during training and backtesting. Trading companies typically have their own high-performance simulators built in house. Some of these are incredibly complex. Good simulators can give you a huge edge and are absolutely necessary.
Conversely, is there any evidence in the other direction, ie that those who have recovered have NO protection?

Remember the other famous WHO announcement at the beginning of this outbreak: “No evidence of human-to-human transmission”
After the contact tracing updates, there will be more unGoogled android devices and unGoogled ROMs from the manufacturers or from /e/ etc. There will be a chance for new app stores. Apple will sell fewer devices.

I've watched a lot of good videos about C on YouTube. According to one of the channels one of their older videos had been deleted. I think that's not too serious. YouTube isn't a lost cause at all!
Ok 4s/hour. 8 hours/day of sitting. So 32s day of total exercise!?!

Still probably will not do it.
I still don't see lies or malice. The guy correctly recounts that like other national health orgs, they changed their recommendation, and tells why they did so.
Yup - I remember seeing “type in the AOL keyword ...” in magazines, and not being able to do that because I didn’t have AOL.
Sharpe and Sortino Ratios – Goodness of an Investment
>But what's the alternative? It's certainly not a free-for-all as that quickly devolves into a cesspit of pirated content, porn and illegal content.

It's not for monopolistic corporations to take actions about illegal activities but for law enforcement agencies.

Banning some video on YouTube because you disagree with it is just not right.

If they continue on that line, they will lose customers.

> If anything I'd say one of the biggest problems of the post-WW2 era is the rise in irresponsible, unfettered, unaccountable individualism to the point that asserting one's "rights" is a completely selfish and short-sighted way is like a badge of honour.

What individualism has to do with protecting people's freedom and refusing mass surveillance and censorship?
Airlines pay on installment plans and would start missing payments if they weren't bailed out, which also bails Boeing shareholders out.
Ah, my last 3 phones were all OnePlus and I think those are pretty popular ;)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23017478
If the thought process is "that's a give way sign, I'll do the give way thing", then that's a UX issue with the sign. If the thought process is just "I'll do the give way thing" then that's also a major training issue.
This is the vibe I regularly get from Indie Hackers. So many start-ups exist to serve the start-up/SaaS industry. Every second day there's a "SaaS that helps you create a SaaS that sends Emails for SaaSes" start-up posted there.
I've been using Google meet as a remote student for a while (Google made meet available for free for education accounts a while ago already) and it's been a great experience, even with large groups of people online. We tested up to ~80 without any problems.
I don't think a room would have 10 people with mild cases.

So this needs to be modelled realistically.

I think there's a small chance one person in the room has it for R0 = 2.5 compared with a not quite as small chance one person in the room has it for a lesser R.

Also I also don't think being in a room with multiple people effects load.

I think it's distance. A cough from a person within 50cm is far far worse than 2 people breathing.

So this is my junk science claim, this needs to be backed with numbers. It's not logical R effects load exposure to me, where is this evidence from?

Else this is dangerous information, exactly the same as saying it's just the flu.
I feel like the ship sailed on this one like 5 years ago at least
WhatsApp Claims Hacking Software Infected Users After One Phone Call
Ask HN: Why is the S&P 500 rallying in a crisis?
I'm trying to process a disconnect between the unemployment crisis brought on by the virus, an incoming housing market implosion and a decreasing Index of Consumer Sentiment with the fact that the S&P 500 is up 500 points in the past month - it's on track for the best month since 1974.

I don't understand monetary policy or macro-economics in general, but I'm struggling to grasp the gap between my intuition and reality.

What's the deal?
Ask HN: What is a good dataset or API to find all the restaurants in a city?
> We do not allow anonymous users (i.e., without a Google Account) to join meetings created by individual accounts.

If there is no guest accounts this will not be intresting for many.
I left Google and the Meet team a while ago. Would have been great to experience this 30x growth though! Being oncall these days would have been interesting.

I have used Meet a lot both personally and professionally this spring and I think it's great. Been waiting for this announcement!
How to structure React projects in 5 steps
Don't be fooled by the way he dances around the key point we're all talking about. He is still claiming the mask does not protect the wearer. He claims masks only help stop you from spreading it if you are infected.
It's very easy to seem rude in text comments, even if it was not meant that way at all.

"Change 'this' to 'that'"
is much harsher than
"Could you change 'this' to 'that'?"

It's a small change in wording, but it changes the interpretation from "This is wrong, do this instead, I know better than you" to "I think this is a better way to do it".
The secret of these big places is that some corners really suck. Although they have incredible, warm, intelligent people, they also have a lot of immature people, too, who who have solid cognitive ability, but don't necessarily have a lot of heart, capacity for introspection, or general kindness and merely care about working and getting ahead. People who are immature do what they're asked and put their heads down to be successful, but can be egoistic when around people they are interviewing, when around less senior colleagues, or around more senior colleagues they don't report to (due to jealousy). Although there are awesome, wonderful people, too, I would try not to take it too hard. If you're a Ph.D. and as smart as you sound like you are, another role with a different group either inside or outside of Amazon will make you much happier in the long term (though I can relate to how much of a bummer it can be to not get to be a part of a place that you want to be a part of).