skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It seems the CDC has different data depending on where you look. The 45 million / 61,000 numbers are here, for the 2017-2018 season, see Figure 2:

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

And on the page specifically for 2017-2018 season, they have different numbers still;

"CDC early estimates indicate that more than 900,000 people were hospitalized and more than 80,000 people died from flu last season."

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/spotlights/press-conference-2018-19....

I agree 100% it will be significantly more prevalent, due to the nature of the virus combined with the total lack of natural or vaccinated immunity.

However, it's not clear at all what our "drastic action" is achieving, aside from 20 million unemployed and trillions of dollars spent trying to hold everything together. 20% prevalence doesn't exactly speak volumes towards the efficacy of social distancing.
Bear in mind that there are lots of viruses we don't have vaccines for, and not for want of trying.
Well, the majority of the issues seem to stem from the 'pro-china' stance which, aside from one persons fumbling reply has no real basis. The journalist was a bit of a poison pill there asking an intentionally loaded question. The WHO doesn't recognise Taiwan because the U.N doesn't. Not because of China.

Here's a bit of "Why" the WHO doesn't recognise Taiwan: https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/why-does-who-exclude-taiwan

Here's a bit on the Racist campaign against the director of the WHO: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/taiwan-rej...
Exactly, CFR is always expected to be higher than the IFR. Most people getting sick don't go to the doctor. The CFR is an indication of how many people feel they need to go to the doctor and get treatment due to how severe the illness is. And of those that seek treatment how many die.
This used to be more of a thing than it is now, in my experience. Culturally, it took a while for the perception of Javascript to change from "that janky language you had to use to animate web pages" to a general purpose language on the level of Python or Ruby. Node/React/Vue/etc. have been around long enough now that I think most of that has died out, though obviously, many still have a personal distaste for the language.
That's exactly the problem.

All our politicians around the world were so reactionary, many knew it has a 1-2 week incubation period, but no one was willing to make an order saying "WEAR MASKS" when no one was testing positive yet. They could have gotten ahead of this thing and prevented the outbreaks. The quarantines are a last resort because PUBLIC POLICY FAILED to contain the outbreaks.

WE WILL FACE THIS SITUATION AGAIN when the quarantines are lifted and everyone re-emerges. We must have a clear framework: compulsory wearing of masks and using sanitizer when entering buildings. Fines for anyone caught on camera removing their masks. They have to understand the masks aren't to protect the person wearing them, but the others. It has to be done en masse, and that's what government should be coordinating.

Please watch this video I put together:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ppiPaYI-x4E
> Sure all of these studies are potentially flawed but they're all generally pointing in the same direction.

How on earth could you differentiate this from the sample bias?
The devil is always in the details. What does “denial of X” even mean? Can you dispute certain facts, like numbers and dates? Who gets to decide the ultimate truth?

It takes a long time for the details of history to settle. For example, nobody knew most dinosaurs had feathers until the last decade.
Relevant recent experience: I have had a 2019 MBP with vega graphics card for a while. I noticed that recently it was running VERY hot all the time. I popped the bottom off (you need that damned pentalobe screwdriver), and found tons of dust jamming the fans entirely. Upon removing all the dust and cleaning out the fan ports the machine runs great again. If you're having cooling problems start with this fix.
Making sense of the coronavirus and government failure around the world
"4chan was taking the virus seriously back in January,"

I think the thread under this is kinda missing a deeper point. 4chan was taking this virus seriously back in January. I also wouldn't be surprised that 4chan was the original origin of "it's just a flu, bro" meme, which is to say, plenty of 4chan and related communities was also mocking the idea of taking it seriously.

The point of free speech isn't that the speech will freely contain only the truth. The point of free speech is we need that debate to find the truth. Declaring the WHO as the one and only source of truth is a bad idea, even before we observe the fact that it has manifestly made numerous incorrect statements within the past couple of months, and that reasonably people can question some of the things it is saying even now.

There isn't an option where we get only pure, unfiltered truth. Sorry. That's life. But there is an option where we pretty much guarantee ourselves that we will not get the truth, and that option is declaring a single trusted source of truth who will somehow transcend the fact they are made up of falliable and potentially untrustworthy human beings to deliver you that truth.
Almost no one in previous history had an ability to directly target poor, uneducated masses which their own content created in their own bedroom.

Also let’s be honest - the likes of Hitler actually came from the likes of people who would tell you to stop listening to WHO advice and to go start fires in 5G towers.

Don’t get me wrong, freedom of speech et. al., and we’re probably also going to get burnt by the freedom with which today’s global platforms invent the rules - but the laws are being written now; and we’re obviously not dealing with an easy, black-and-white answer.
One of my friends sons is making $300 to $500 per day working Instacart right now. Partly because where we live the demand is high and there are not enough Instacarters to meet that demand. The delivery time is currently at least 3 days out. He is young and healthy so he doesn't really have that fear.
I've done the same for a span of a couple months--immediate mute, no interaction. It didn't seem to make a difference one way or other other though with regard to call frequency.
Borrowing a significant amount against public company stock is extremely risky.
I had the best possible faith in the WHO at the of 2019, they squandered it by playing politics and pandering to China.

The CCP though, they deserve every bit of bad faith they get, long before and long after this crises, they've well an truly earned it and only the most naive would give them any respect.
I think you're missing the point.

Taiwan does not exist as an entity to the WHO because it is not recognised by the United Nations.

As much as Taiwan has valuable lessons it's basically akin to asking why the WHO isn't listening to the municipality of sealand.

The journalist asking that question in the first place knew that Taiwan is a political hotbed and was looking for a story, they got one and the WHO is under the bus- at a time when we need a united front in healthcare globally.

And the racist abuse was entirely real: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/taiwan-rej...
The technological knowledge to do this is years and years away.
Are the numbers at

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/coronavirus/

accurate? Because according to that, adding up the number of tests done by Italy, Spain, France, the UK, and Germany (a combined population roughly the same as the US), they've done about 5.6 million tests vs the USA's 4.4 million tests.

And we've done more tests per capita than South Korea.

Which really doesn't sound like we're doing that badly.
Thanks to Google, Facebook and the others this is the golden era of being able to widely disseminate your alternate theories on everything. If that is your definition of freedom then you are less oppressed then any other humans in history.
Coronavirus shares 90ish percent of its genetic material with SARS. So they had a head start.
There are no conspiracies or conspirators.
I've been in Intelligence and Law Enforcement for the better part of two decades and I put situations like this into the bin of:

If someone really wants your stuff, they are going to get it.

The cost of getting this guy's money was very high relative to the average scam - but it's important to note that the cost of sophisticated multi-factored scams is dropping.
There is regular Aurora where you are responsible for sizing the servers and it doesn’t scale dynamically.

And there is Serverless Aurora

https://aws.amazon.com/rds/aurora/serverless/

Also here there are many stareful serverless products:

https://aws.amazon.com/serverless/

It’s more about compute than storage.

You can now have stateful storage attached to AWS Fargate - serverless Docker. By attaching your containers to EFS.

https://www.sdxcentral.com/articles/news/aws-adds-direct-sto...
It would not be ruled as a significant factor leading to death in many of those cases, and for the rest, NYC residents might be more at risk due to higher average viral dose (subways). Also there is a lag in IgG antibody production, the test has imperfect sensitivity, and some portion of exposed people may never develop detectable antibodies. Some of these confounding variables are probably baked into the estimate.
All three studies created their sample groups differently. Are all three methods flawed in some way? Sure. Is it more reasonable to completely ignore the picture all three are painting or to consider there might be something to the trend?
<unpopular opinion>We should break ABI on unordered map just to stop embarrassing ourselves in public and in front of new users.</unpopular opinion>
Get off my lawn!

Telnet requires a functioning network stack.

Before we had that, we had modems, which I assume was the case since wardialing is mentioned. They could run ANY protocol - or indeed none at all. You could tie it directly to the text I/O of any program(easy on unix systems, not as easy on MSDOS or early Windows versions). Many "BBS" systems worked this way.

EDIT: also early "multiplayer" games, which would talk to the modem directly. I've spend hours playing Descent over a 9600bps modem connection. That was only running... whatever protocol Descent used. You kids and your fancy packets.

If a file was being transferred you could do nothing else. If you were specially high-tech, you would use ZModem for the transfer. If not, you would be using something like XModem, or even Kermit or something proprietary.
Did Amazon lie to Congress? Top antitrust lawmakers want to know
If my local makerspace had a darkroom, I would be significantly more inclined to join.
I wonder if they had made a subtle changes year after year that people's tastes would have adjusted.
An I the only one that thinks it’s a bit ridiculous to not have an upgrade path from 18.04 to 20.04?
NanoPi M4 ($50) has a quad SATA3 hat ($25). Not sure if that's what you meant by cheap, but its not terribly expensive. Couldn't comment on how well it works either, but the board itself is supported by Armbian on the most recent mainline LTS kernel (5.4). The Armbian system I have is rock solid, no complaints.
U.S. pre-paid card providers angle for slice of stimulus check action
The Guide to AWS Certifications
With its huge market share Amazon has practically a monopoly as a marketplace or as an online-retailer, depending how you define it.

If a supermarket starts playing dirty there are many others in which you can sell your product. If Amazon steals your product, you have no other marketplace to turn to.

Amazon gives an opportunity for many businesses to flourish, but then can kill them on a whim. "Live by the Amazon, die by the Amazon."
Thank you for the laugh.
"If you use their boxes, they own your data. Don't use their boxes."
This isn't good. There's a reason why Trump left this corrupt organization.
Background notifications can be swiped away and minimized in Android 11 Dev
The use of 'any' and the ridiculous levels of boxing is bizarre.

There is also absolutely no attempt at using std::move; the amount of gratuitous copies and refcount updates is staggering.

Having said that, apart from the use of std::any, the code is fairly clean even though obviously is not even remotely written for performance..
I think we've gradually been Americanised. I don't recognise their behaviour as British, I find it all a bit embarrassing really.
This is perhaps the most apt description available.
> some portion of exposed people may never develop detectable antibodies.

Interesting. Would those people still develop some form of immunity/resistance?
Yeah I'm pretty sure the language that has birthed conventions like HasThisTypePatternTriedToSneakInSomeGenericOrParameterizedTypePatternMatchingStuffAnywhereVisitor and RefreshAuthorizationPolicyProtocolServerSideTranslatorPB are rife with great practices that are in no way obscured by layers upon layers upon layers of half-assed abstraction.

The one with System.ServiceModel.Install.Configuration.ServiceModelConfigurationSectionGroupCollection in it surely musts be awesome too; I've heard great things about it.

The footguns in a given language being more ornate and towering than in another doesn't make that language better, but the ability to produce resilient, maintainable solutions for a given problem space in it.
Throwaway account for obvious reasons.

In the past, AWS has used the data from third party hosted services on AWS to build a similar service and in fact start poaching their customers.

Source: I used to be at AWS and know the PM & his manager who built a service this way. I was hired on that team.
Assuming that the fall in aggregate demand will last for several time periods, in the absence of intervention, the companies lay off part of their workforce, since now they don't need to produce as much per time period. So now unemployment is up and overall output is lower. By cutting output, the companies don't necessarily have to cut prices. In short: the lack of intervention doesn't necessarily lead to a fall in the price level.

The point of saying that the Treasury bond accounts aren't counted as part of the monetary base while the reserve accounts are is that it doesn't really matter which account your money is in at the Fed. My original comment was pointing out that QE just moves reserves from one account to the other and that this has little effect on overall economic activity because lending by private banks isn't reserve constrained (MMT people do a good job explaining this as well).
CloudWatch Synthetics to Monitor Sites, API Endpoints, Web Workflows, and More
My guess it’s okey to do that because Chinese internal politics is based on PR which is populistic in nature. What is the proportion of people who would go out looking for lists of American exports into Taiwan vs the proportion of people who would hear Taiwan being pronounced by the president of the US?
It's just a matter of the company prioritizing that feature. If they think that improved handling of identity fraud will save them money, they will prioritize it.
Yes, it was something of an experiment. I knew that ignoring it was best but I had a lot of other reactions, and I'd never seen a comment like that before, so I gave it a shot. Live and learn!
Because Instagram isn't really intended for sharing your DLSR-shot, desktop-processed labour-of-love photo. The compression, rescaling and colour mismanagement they apply to uploads should tell you that.

It's quite possibly the worst way on the Web to present photos-as-art yet photographers keep signing up to it.
On the flip side, it’s far easier to sell to someone that comes to you. In fact, many businesses do just that and don’t even bother with cold sales. This is trivially true in the case of stores but also marketing companies, SaaS offerings. And really it’s better that way. It’s not unsolicited, both have mutual interest and the buyer clearly sees value enough to talk to somebody on the expectation it’ll cost.
Looking at the link, it generates the exact same assembly (and behavior of course) as

void sw(int s) noexcept
{
switch (s) {
case 0:
printf("zero\n"); break;
case 1:
printf("one\n"); break;
case 2:
printf("two\n"); break;
}
}
I think so, but I'm not an expert. See discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22958660
20% infection rates already puts SARS-CoV-2 at higher prevalence than the flu. And we're barely a couple months into the time period of significant spread.

Why would you think that SARS-CoV-2 would not be more prevalent than the flu? The fact that we have no natural immunity, combined with how virulent it is, indicates the endpoint infection rate will be significantly higher than an average flu season.

"In the U.S., for example, in recent years about 8.3% of the total population get sick from flu each season, a CDC study found; including people who carry the flu virus but show no symptoms, that estimate ranges to up to 20%."

The endpoint percentage of fatalities is a multiple of the infection rate times the fatality rate. Both numbers are equally important.

We've been hearing the "10% hospitalization" and low-single digit CFR numbers for months. At 20% prevalence, the NYC actually had 1.7 million cases, 36,723 hospitalizations, for a hospitalization rate of ~2.1%.
The full list of SaaS integrations: https://aws.amazon.com/appflow/integrations/

Amplitude, DataDog, Dynatrace, Google Analytics, Infor Nexus, Marketo, Salesforce, ServiceNow, Singular, Slack, Snowflake, Trend Micro, Veeva, Zendesk.

I feel like a notably missing product from this list is Jira. As horrible as it is, lots of companies use Jira for tasking so it should have been supported out the gate.
This seems like a Zapier killer, makes sense.
No, more like https://fivetran.com/ and others like it. (unless Segment has recently pivoted.)
Very hard for the market to sort out NSA-backed companies like Google, Facebook et al.
That is really stupid. How is that not a bug? I can't belive GCC wont compile it. What does other compilers do.

Edit:
Clang also gives an error. Mscv seems to compile. I wonder who follows spec. I assume not mscv ...
Sustained spread of the infection stops when percentage of people having immunity is 1-1/R0. So if R0 for Covid-19 is (hypothetically) 3, you need 67% immunity to reach herd immunity. For highly contagious diseases like smallpox that number is very close to 100%
Wow that is egregious. I've known professors whose pensions were 70% of the average of their best 4 years.
They’re all edited and parts redacted and blanked out. I don’t get why any I them mean anything with the main incriminating parts missing?
I went back to 13" mbpro for same reasons
I’m talking about having more number of nursing homes because they have “more of everything”, not making an argument about density and pollution or anything like that.
French Nobel prize winning scientist Luc Montagnier who discovered HIV also made similar claims. https://www.gulftoday.ae/lifestyle/2020/04/19/french-nobel-p...

Sounds like you didn't hear about that. If the discoverer of HIV tells you that covid-19 contains segments of HIV RNA and says that he believes that it is man-made, it absolutely deserves more scrutiny even if it turns out not to be true. The media should embrace uncertainty instead of pretending to know all the answers. This is the problem with US media, there is no truth; only one extreme lie or its opposite which is also a lie. French and British media cover all possibilities and leave room doubt - This is healthy.

This close mindedness is exactly what I'm talking about and why we need some fake news in our lives.
I’d snap that up in a heartbeat if it meant I could run more than 2 external screens on my shitty 2015 non-touchbar MBP (the model with only 2 USB-C ports)
Not sure what you're trying to say about the WHOs ongoing evidence gathering in the context of this tweet?
So in other words Instagram claims to know how every single user wants to interact with the platform better than they themselves know, and so now users don't even get to decide for themselves.

I have two reactions to this:

1. I absolutely HATE this kind of arrogance from companies.

2. I don't believe them. I think it's far more likely they are doing this to juice their metrics, rather than honestly thinking that taking away options will make everyone like them more.
The End of Eternal Summer
An ER Doctor reporting about the unusual number of cases is someone who doesn't have enough educational background?

If an ear doctor was finding a high number of ebola patients when treating ear conditions you would discount that information because it didn't come from someone study ebola?

The frontline doctors are the ones who will see the cases explode first.

Arresting him and saying it's nothing, he just had a stern talking to. Just like a parent educating child.

Was he putting other lives in jeopardy by sharing the truth or saving lives? Not really the same as speeding.

Let's be honest China didn't want to hurt it's imagine and thought they could cover this up. Big mistake, now they look dishonest and investment will be out not in China going forward.
Here's a collection of resources you might find helpful.

https://github.com/pomerium/awesome-zero-trust/

Contributions/PRs very welcome.
He also lives in the US, where current laws and general social norms and expectations means there's a much higher perceived/actual risk to opening your front door to a random stranger, so it's less surprising to hear this..

This problem, at least at that level of magnitude, does not exist in other parts of the world.
Do you think it was "racist trolls" in Taiwan who made him make those factually wrong statements? Or is it more likely that the financial relationship with the WHO maintained by China influenced what they were saying? Which one is more likely?
Maybe that’s including the large number of deaths that are presumed COVID but weren’t officially confirmed by a test?
well, there is careful planning and there is going out of the way to heap allocate everything.
> Are all three methods flawed in some way? Sure.

They're not just all flawed in some way -- along at least one dimension they are flawed in the same way, that is, they all have a biased sample of the population that seems more likely to be infected than a true random sample.

So, sure, they're "created differently", i.e., they're not all facebook ads, or grocery stores, but all those methods bias towards higher infection rates, don't they?

Given that, you'd expect high precision, low accuracy -- these tests all paint a trend for sure, but we don't know how close that trend is to reality.
I think Shopify should experiment with a centralized market place where stores can opt in. If you opt in, your store items are listed in a central location searchable in at single point, just like Amazon. Your item listing in the central market place merely directs you to YOUR branded store, allowing you to check out, and see your other products. That solves a huge problem of visibility that Amazon has mastered.
> Almost no one in previous history had an ability to directly target poor, uneducated masses which their own content created in their own bedroom.

Yes they did - where do you think Martin Luther composed his 95 theses?
IFR, not CFR
Socially distanced courts for the digitally excluded
Just because you've not heard about it, doesn't mean it doesn't happen. Seemingly healthy young people die from the flu each year.

Since Feb 1, 204 people from 15-34 have been confirmed to have died from COVID-19 in the US. 162 people from age 15-34 have been confirmed to have died from influenza in the same period.

I don't think you'll find either statistic broken down by comorbidities.
Yeah, this. I often buy house brands of things like Ibuprofen (same stuff, but cheaper), but they absolutely put it next to the well-advertised brands, because otherwise finding it would be a nightmare and nobody would bother.

Display in a store is much more limited than online. They have to put like items together if they want customers to find them.