skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Exactly what kind of clout do you think he has? What kind of audience? He's a local celeb here on HN, and more broadly a somewhat prominent figure in tech circles, but he's not Bill Gates. Certainly he isn't the kind of guy to get a slot on CNN and further, if he did, he wouldn't be taken seriously.

While I get your point (why hide a prediction that could have saved lives?), I think you're overly idealistic about what impact this same prediction would have had if released publicly at the time.
> 1) It acts as if a single person speaks for #Masks4All. But #Masks4All is a hashtag, not a person.

This is always a big indicator that someone has no idea what's going on on the internet. A similar trend goes for almost anyone who talks about "anonymous".
Thank you for the elaborate reply! There's a lot of room for thought there!

But while I'm here... Minecraft is a quintessential roguelike game. You arrive, naked and alone, on a hostile world. You then build yourself up by the skin of whatever. You mine and farm and build, and you acquire food and clothes for yourself. The only rule Minecraft broke is the one that says you can't code a financially viable game in Java.

(I guess there's no ascension, but at that point you've built heaven on earth anyway, so there's no reason to leave.)

> As to why we need those rules in the first place? Because we want to make good games.

I'm sorry, but super no. No game designer has ever feared that they would end up with a good toy, or a great activity, rather than making bank on Steam.

> All categorizations are wrong. No maps are completely accurate.

That's right! "All models are wrong, but some are useful." I was merely wondering what the use of the model presented by GP was.
R might be a bad choice to build software but for statistics and data analysis I haven't encountered a better tool. It's also trivial to simply write functions in C/C++/Java/Fortran and call it from R.
Just FYI, Corona is now called Solar2D
> would serve to "normalize" the sample

The slope of a bell curve near it’s center is almost flat. This means you end up with a fairly uniform distribution when looking at values near the median. Which makes outliers within that range more common than intuition suggests.
There really is no methodology called "Agile". There are things like Scrum, SAFE, AUP, XP, etc. Some of those may or may not mandate things like "sprints", but the essence of agile (the Agile Manifesto) doesn't even mention the term "sprint".

The closest it gets to that is where it say:

We follow these principles:

<snip>

Deliver working software frequently, from a
couple of weeks to a couple of months, with a
preference to the shorter timescale.

<snip>
If I created this, I'd be very worried this would be used to create a lot of "trivial" fronts for selling drugs or other illicit items... In an obfuscated manner ofcourse.
It seems you nailed exactly what is the problem and what needs to be done or learned. You have more or less ideal background to jump into these tools, it's just matter of spending some time and considering your experience it will take less than for most of people. You'll be ok.
We shall see about that in the debates.
Firebug has gone full circle.
In my experience with very early stage teams, a lot of creativity and innovation occurs as a byproduct of spending a large amount of time together in close quarters discussing a range of topics (work related and not.) I’ve managed remote teams as well and while there are ways to replicate certain aspects of this dynamic, overall it’s much more difficult.
FYI Geneva did a representative study: https://www.hug-ge.ch/medias/communique-presse/seroprevalenc...

They estimate ~27k infections on April 17th, for comparison right now for that canton the authorities declare 213 deaths (likely undercounted afaik those are only deaths at hospital) and 4726 confirmed cases.

So a lower bound of 0.7% for IFR seems reasonable (and in line with other studies)
someone mentioned honey instead of sugar, can I have some thoughts on milk instead of water and brown instead of white flour?
Nowadays? Yes. But it has been making that same claim for nigh-on 70 years, long before China has been strong-arming them into it.
Mine was estimated at .007% which it said was equivalent to:
14 dives of scuba diving

Is scuba diving really that dangerous? Curious where you get the data from.
Show HN: Opensourceradio – self-hosted internet radio
Now I'm wondering if there's a power usage difference between the two.

It stands to reason that if two operations take the same amount of time, but one requires more transistors to compute, power usage should diverge.
It's fairly clear that Trump is looking for a reason, any reason, that it could be okay to re-open quickly, and is indulging in a lot of wishful thinking in pursuit of this. Mass testing and contact tracing is probably the right route, but it's not a route that's likely to be implemented in the next couple of weeks, so it's probably not particularly exciting to him.
This sort of weird slippery slope argument...

Sorry, but history is overwhelmingly against you. The historical precedents are legion. We're not talking about some "weird slippery slope argument." This is well established human nature. In fact, many of the items in the Bill of Rights are based around this principle.

In fact, the principle has a much shorter, snappier version: Power Corrupts.
> There can be a fair amount of lag time over messenger and this occasionally blocks the completion of work.

Agreed. But the reverse is also true: it's harder for people to interrupt you.
Thank you for your answer! It gave me new ideas :)
All (or most) of those are included in the COL estimates I've seen. Yes, the Bay Area is expensive. But, as best I can tell, the salaries (on average, per household) more than make up for it.

Trust me, I hear the same thing in discussions about DC area salaries and COL. Relative to the rest of the nation, software developers here have a high income and high COL, but the income more than makes up for it here too.
> if child(ren) haven't already done most of these in school (or at home), I'd be very surprised.

Then prepare for this shock: 99% of children are not given the opportunity to engage in engineering challenges like these. Heck, even in my affluent milieu, a minority engaged in the available programs.

In districts across out relatively affluent nation, children are getting abysmally poor educations with schools acting as little more than under-staffed daycares. I cannot fathom the levels of wealth and privilege that make these commonplace poverties illegible to you.
Your boss can absolutely be your friend. You should be a good friend back and recognize you have two relationships, and if they are a good person with integrity they won't make professional actions on the basis of personal relationships.

That's just basic professionalism. I've been friendly with many of my bosses during and after the term of employment I've worked for them. I would never, ever have expected any favoritism on then basis of that friendship from them, including laying me off if necessary and distributing raises and promotions purely based on merit with no regards to our friendship. Any expectations otherwise, to me, would mean I was being the bad friend.

I'd have the exact same expectations of family if I worked for them.
Making the best use of Pluralsight's Free April subscription
I had a boss who insisted on calling the root account stupiduser, because when a server gets properly fucked up it's invariably because some stupid user did the wrong thing...
Wholeheartedly agree.

I used to do mostly data analysis in my day-to-day work and R was my go-to and absolute favorite language for years in terms of usability for data analysis. Doing actual software development in R is quirky at best, to be honest.

Nowadays I write code for research that requires 'actual' software development, so I've been using python almost exclusively (with pytorch under the hood, which I love.) No doubt, python is a better language for software engineering.

Nevertheless, for analysis I just cannot warm up to numpy/pandas/matplotlib _at all_. When it's time to analyze results of my experiments or produce publication level graphics, I write my python results to disk and use the tidyverse as a last mile solution.
I absolutely think you lose something from lack of face-to-face contact. Some of the most productive leadership and decison-making sessions I've had came from sitting around a table or sharing a meal or a drink with a team, and going back and forth about something.

Additionally, casual contact helps too. I put a couch in my office, and people would come just sit down and talk. The setting set the vibe. I had some great conversations with people just kicking back that I would have never otherwise had.

I absolutely realize people will disagree, but this is my experience.
This seems like a different problem than people are making it out to be.

SMR drives have slow random writes and paper over it with caching, until the cache gets full. Then in theory what should happen is that the actual write speed of the drive is exposed. That means resilvers would take a long time, but they should still finish.

What seems to be actually happening is that some of these drives have a firmware bug such that when caching is enabled and the cache gets full, the write speed drops to zero. The system then regards the drive as faulty and boots it out.

So it seems like this should be solvable with a firmware update that causes the drive to behave differently (slow rather than stopped) when the cache gets full.

This also implies that some other SMR drives with different firmware might not behave like this, and that it might not happen with ordinary RAID rebuilds as opposed to ZFS resilvering because then the writes should be almost entirely sequential (i.e. what SMR is good at) as opposed to ZFS which is more random.
I've been working remote for better part of a year. It works well as long as your team has good systems in place. However, you do miss out on deeper relationships with your coworkers if you start remote. People try to counter this with on-sites, but still, it's not quite the same. Water cooler conversations don't happen as often and though you would think that doesn't matter, it does. There's less serendipity. I have less random interactions with people who are not on my precise team.

All that being said, I think remote is here to stay.
I have been working from home for nearly 8 years now with a very small team (2-3 other people over the years max, mainly just with 1 other).

We have been using VSee to keep a constant video/audio feed going. We both have microphones which are muted, and if we need to ask a question we just press unmute and talk away.

For smaller teams that need to communicate a lot, I think something like this is the best setup because like you said, it's not a lag from a messenger.. having to make a new phone call etc if you just want to ask a simple question.
Typically remote work companies still have occasional (say quarterly) in person, all-hands gatherings.
There might be something to that element of (bad) luck: a large number of people in the Stockholm region seemingly timed their ski trips to Italy at just the wrong time: plenty of infectious people but before social distancing / quarantine measures.
Is there risk of the steel damaging the Koda?

I had a piece of steel on a propane grill before, and the lid of the grill warped pretty significantly from it.
Least recently used cache in TypeScript
Without opinion on the particular value of this list, I'll advise that if you are exploring philosophy (even of the pop kind), especially if this is new for you, you'll probably get the best results out of reading contradicting and contrasting results.

Be it foundational or just currently popular, following up a work by reading it's most talented detractors can multiply it's value to you. Learning about an entirely different philosophical approach will often be more useful to you than reading another book on similar ideas.

Oh, and really good popularizors are rare. Usually the original sources are far better - but by nature much less accessible. So you have a trade off to make.
So foundries are still working... what about packaging and testing?
Please don't take HN threads even further into political flamewar. That's going the wrong way down a one-way street.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
A beloved co-worker and the best engineer on my team suddenly had to leave 2 months ago because his H1B renewal was denied. He asked the company HR for help and they sent him home immediately. Tears in his eyes he left us on a Thursday, and we didn't know what to say or how to feel.

This is just how it goes. No matter how much we wanted him to stay, there was nothing to be done about it at our level.
I am glad I could be of help!
> There are a lot of self-conscious IT people in the midwest making $70k/year feeling like failures, when they are the winners of Kokomo, IN.

Heh. Unrelated but I've been
re-watching a lot of KOTH during quarantine and this line reminded me of a scene from the first season

https://youtu.be/bQfyCg0i8sU?t=1m0s
As long as states keep regulating "smaller than a car but doesn't fit into any existing category vehicles" the same way they regulate motorcycles (all the insurance licensing and registration stuff you have to put up with for a car possibly plus some) there will be little to no space for them in the market because the people who can afford them will mostly just buy similar price used cars instead because those will deliver better utility, comfort and safety at the same price point. If you want people to try something new at scale you gotta make it worth their while and barring some yet unforeseen technological breakthrough that applies to sub-car sized vehicles but not cars I don't see any way of doing that besides easing regulation on smaller than car vehicles.
Would it be better with two slabs of steel, one above one below?
> His pronouncements have the force of official public policy.

Your periodic reminder that the US is not in fact a dictatorship, and that random ex-cathedra rambling by Trump does not have the force of law.
That is a fascinating read. It sounds like it is also prudent to use separate analytics ID on your websites if you choose to go that route.
Managers trying to control engineers. I don't know how we are OK when people in charge don't understand what they are managing. Agile was an attempt to take control back to engineers but it was co-opted.
All HDD manufacturers shipped SMR drives without telling anyone, WD was just the one that got the press because they tried lying about it first.
Inability to form genuine social bonds with colleagues, thus artificially limiting trust.
Romwe Women's Cold Shoulder Floral Embroidered Lace Scalloped
If it's signed int, unless you know the value is positive you can't just shift right 1--if the result of the shift is negative, you have to add 1.
There are a bunch of variables here that we need to know to be able to say whether any type of mask reduces the likelihood of infecting others, and the percentage of viral particles filtered by the mask is just one of them.

Another key factor is the rate at which the risk of infection changes depending on the percentage of particles filtered.

For instance, it's conceivable that you can be equally likely to be infected whether 5% or 95% of particles are filtered, depending on the "potency" of the particles that are not filtered. If contact with just N particles increases a person's likelihood of infection by some percentage, and the average cough transmits 100N particles, then even if you filter out 95% of those, you're still at 5N.

But we know that in most cases, increasing the percentage of filtered particles maps in some way (though maybe not linearly) with reducing the number of infections.

All that is to say: I think we need to be careful about using this one variable -- percentage of particles filtered -- when talking about effectiveness of masks. Effectiveness is more of a holistic calculation, taking into account viral potency, the distance unfiltered viral particles travel through the mask, the degree to which they linger in the air, etc.
Is it not possible to whitelist your own domains in Google Analytics? Forgive my ignorance, I don't use it at all.
This article is entitled "There's No Such Thing as Quality Time."

It's oriented towards families, but it makes the case that there's no levels of time, just...time, we spend together. Things happen in the cracks between scheduled events that matter.

https://ryanholiday.net/quality-time/

When you work remote, everything is scheduled, almost by definition. No conversations happen that are not task-directed. You lose something there.
I still can't figure out why you replied to a comment about the filibuster

Because I disagree that the filibuster has a substantial negative impact of building projects of ANY kind. Which was literally what my initial comment was.

You are fixating on housing but I mentioned many other building project types. I only mention housing because it is the type of project that is most affecting individuals right now.
Ask HN: Advice for hiring a designer for my side project
During the current times of quarantine I've taken it upon myself to experiment with a handful of simple / clever direct to consumer concepts. The niches I selected reflect my quirky hobbies but there seems to be some interest.

I've had varying success creating a following via instagram and using some tricks to tailor ad spends and campaigns. But now, I'm realizing that having solid branding and design is a HUGE factor in all of this.

I'd like to hire a designer to help with some package design, logo design and basic graphical elements. Not a full stop web-designer or UI person.

I've found some artists / designers on Dribbble but I'm unsure of the best way to reach out or go about articulating what I want and settling on a fair price. I've done this in the past with a industrial designer from Prague and although his work was fantastic, I had a hard time articulating what I liked / disliked and spent a solid amount of $$$. (for reference, he was one of the designers who worked on weapons design for Star Citizen. I was working on a bespoke 21700 powered USB-C power bank at the time)

Any advice is appreciated, stay safe everyone!
In his book "Permanent Record" Edward Snowden[1] describes fake websites used by government agencies to disguise internet traffic that is actually use for spy craft stuff.

eg: maybe a website about siberian huskies actually has a hidden login or hosts another service when contacted on port 80/443 in just the right way?

Now, that would make more sense for the CIA than the FBI, but I think it illustrates another avenue of interpretation

[1]: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/46223297-permanent-recor...
Shouldn't this be dealt with at home, then?
Apple machines were never really that popular in Europe because they weren't marketed as intensively as in the US. Schools and companies were never equipped with them unless we're talking about video/graphics people. And half of Europe was not considering such expensive purchases until well into the '90s, perhaps even later. By then Windows was already skyrocketing, regular PCs were cheaper, and very few customers were invested in the Apple ecosystem enough (or at all) to push them towards Macs.

If anything I imagine Apple machines are taking their 5% market share in the US more from the Linux segment than Windows.
The website claims this is open sourced, it is not open sourced.

There's no definite license with the code on github.
My point is that with a government surplus there is less money being spent in the economy, the same way that with a government deficit there is more money spent in the economy. I don't think this is polemic.

Now, in order the government to run a surplus, it has to tax more that it spend. The money that is taxed in excess of the money that is spend, it's the money that it's retired from the economy. Ergo, taxes retire money or "destroy money".

Please, note, that when a government is running a deficit, it's effectively spending new money into existence but, that doesn't mean that all the money comes from the fiscal instance of the government. That's the reason we can see years when the government is in surplus and an increase in the monetary base at the same time.

Where is that money coming from if not from a fiscal deficit? It's coming from the central bank creating reserves. Why the central bank create new reserves if the government is not spending more than it tax? Normally, it would be for only one reason, manage the interest rate.

The credit department of commercial banks doesn't check if they have reserves before given a loan, they check if the loan make business sense (or they should) and then get the reserves in the interbank market. If there are not enough reserves in the system for the demand of credit in the economy, the interest rate will go up (offer and demand dynamics in the interbank market). The central bank has a interest rate target, so, in order to keep it in target, they have to add the reserves necessaries. The central bank don't have control of the monetary base, because if they control the quantity of money, they would loss control of the interest rate.

So, if in years of government surplus, the monetary base grow, that means that central bank had to add reserves to the system. Assuming it was not some crazy QE program, that means that the economy was demanding more credit. Also, we can deduce that in those years, while the public debt was going down, the private debt was going up.

This is related also to the (for me) very interesting concept of sectoral balances (1). If the government is running a surplus, and the GDP is the same or growing, and the external balance of payments is the same, that means that the private debt have to increase.

>>"It's rare for the federal government to run a surplus [..]"

Yes, very rare. It's interesting to think about why is that the case in the context of the sectoral balance model.

(1) -

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=21287

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=32396
Please don't add nationalistic flamebait to partisan flamebait on HN. Adding damage to damage doesn't lighten hearts.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
This is pretty neat but what's the use case? I'm struggling to see it

Edit: nevermind, I guess it's to make it easier to develop for mobile, no need to connect the phone using USB anymore
I think it’s supposed to imply Jewish? Although I don’t quite get the Zionist angle on doctors being kicked out by nervous co-op boards.

We do control the weather, but no cabal can control a cranky NYC co-op board (Not even Bill Gates and the UN)
You don't understand Italian culture.

I grew up in an Italian household with both parents Italian immigrants and have a large extended Italian family.

It would have been an embarrassment to be unable to make a quality espresso.

I never drank any coffee/espresso beverages growing up and it was seen as a rejection of my family's culture, yet despite not consuming it I still was taught how to make espresso and would do it regularly for my parents.

Cuisine is a big part of Italian culture. We didn't go to restaurants because they made food better than we did at home because they were professionals, we'd go to give my mother a break and every time it was like the restaurant was on trial with my mother pointing out every damn thing that was done worse than had she made it.

Edit:

Just wanted to add that having been raised in that environment where authentic home-cooked delicious food was made every day, I can't go to Italian restaurants anymore, not in the US. It's completely ruined it. There were no professional cooks or barristas under that roof, just OG Italians.
Agreed! I've been really enjoying Waking Up.
I don't know what your new sources are. The rates of death and infection vary a lot between regions in Sweden so any significant herd immunity is probably regional.