skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Sure, phone surveys for political purposes (presidential approval ratings etc.) have to deal with that all of the time. There are methods for estimating non-response impact. [0] One method of mitigating it that I've seen it to reach out again to non-responders. You then analyze their results to see how they differ from the baseline responders to estimate the non-responder population. If there's little/no difference, you can be fairly confident the risk of bias is low. It's called non-response follow up, and is a pretty common method.

There's also literature that suggests that you don't discard outlier values in the actual responders as they may help approximate the non-responder population, i.e., the non-outliers represent typical responders while outliers are more likely to represent non-responders [1]

[0]https://www.warc.com/content/paywall/article/jar/research_no...

[1] https://bmcmedresmethodol.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186...
I've seen distaste for the word "serverless" emerge a few times on HN and I really don't get it. Is it just excessive literalism? Of course I know that there are servers somewhere, the selling point of serverless is that as the user I generally don't have to think about them. My wireless vacuum presumably has wires in it, but I don't find that to be false advertising. The point is that the wires (and servers) don't get in my way :)
Average age on an aircraft carrier appears to be 19 [0], 20 [1], and/or 24 [2] years old.

0: https://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/20/arts/television/20jens.ht...

1: https://archive.defense.gov/news/newsarticle.aspx?id=15334

2: https://mashable.com/2016/06/23/what-its-really-like-to-live...
I pick my battles, I’m not going to complain about a policy unless I think it could really hurt people. If I complained about everything i think is dumb, I’d never be able to keep a job, because most of it seems dumb to me.
A good more general rule is not ever to buy anything from anyone who has initiated the first contact. Not sure that's going to be an entirely popular thought on a forum of entrepreneurs who live and die by their marketing to an extent, but from a recipient's point of view I do advocate it.
What about any number of other things that can go wrong? They say something rude to you or are in some other way unprofessional? You know, the kinds of customer service niceties that are the entire point of tipping.
I don't know, never been served a search warrant.

Obviously this isn't legal advice, but it's what defense lawyer friends have suggested if it ever comes up.

I think that popular video about "never talk to cops" mentions something like it too?

I assume if they don't wait, it helps your court case. They could always go with the "probable cause" argument, but again this can help your case if you can prove they didn't have actual cause.
Same disclaimer applies for my comment, and adding that I'll be throwing out some of my own crackpot theories...

I'm in NYC, and am convinced my family had it in February. This leads me to also wonder if it wasn't rampaging its way through NYC for months before we had a confirmed case. My wife went to urgent care in tears because of breathing problems, a fever, etc. All we know was it was not the flu or strep and she eventually recovered. The rest of our family had at least mild symptoms, and given how infectious it is - how would we not have gotten it given we did no distancing whatsoever.

The thing I am trying to wrap my mind around, is that if it was so prevalent before we knew about it - how did we not notices so many people dropping dead, etc? I have two thoughts that I would love to explore more.

1. We know about the placebo effect. Why would there not be a reverse placebo effect for this virus? If my wife had been seeing non stop covid news in February about how scary this disease is, why would she not start panicking, having more breathing problems, worse symptoms, and maybe even take a turn for the worse? If giving a sugar pill to someone and calling it medicine can improve outcomes - surely watching dire cable news about how people with your symptoms are dying left and right could do the opposite.

2. Maybe those of us who got it early were lucky, because they just weren't exposed over and over like people who finally got it in March/April.

If either or both of these things were true, then it could explain why/how the fatality rate rose dramatically in March/April, which would explain better how this could fly under the radar for so long, but be so prevalent.

And who knows - maybe someday I'll get a chance to take an antibody test and will find that I'm wrong and my family just got hit with a bad cold.
> A month or two later I tried to withdraw some cash and was told I had no money. My full $100.00 had been consumed by insufficient balance fees.

Is that an exaggeration? It amounts to $100 or $50 a month in "low balance fee"!

All the banks I've looked at had a fee under $10.
bloodthinners to prevent clots.
I also learned it in school on history class, as probably most other people. (And I believe they still teach it). Good to get an update.
The death rate of 0.5% falls right in the range of what modelers have been using, by the way. Not exactly very positive news.
> I'd argue that in a lot of US States, the distrust is not in all government, just in the central Federal government.

It's not like that kind of public opinion is uniform among the entire population of a state. Plenty of people in a state you might think of as not trusting the federal government, e.g. most states in the American south, have sizable minority populations that historically have depended heavily on the federal government's power for protection of their constitutional rights.

Not to mention, the most meaningful political differences in the United States today are between rural and and urban areas.
Right, like a guaranteed incentive bonus. With an indisputable deliverable, like GPS at the person's house. But, as with everything, it could probably end up being gamed.
Great idea! but how do you know my footprint?
>It's evidence that the WHO is a political organization ...

Granted.

> and some of its recommendations, such as being against international travel bans, may be influenced by politics over public health.

This is the part that's not proven.
And also the risks of non-death injury from it. Long-term reduced lung function isn't good.
It definitely was not a planned conspiracy that way. Did Coke switch to corn syrup after, yes, but they lost far too much stock market value, lost far too much market share, and far too many key marketers at Coke had their careers destroyed by the fiasco to have made it an even remotely economically sensible approach for anyone involved to have taken simply as a way to shift to corn syrup (which could easily have been done slowly and quietly over a year or two of formula drift without anyone noticing or complaining and certainly without any of these catastrophic brand and career and revenue impacts). Yes, Coke did spend untold millions trying to recover from the debacle, and yes, they were ultimately successful, and yes they did switch to corn syrup during that turn around, but sometimes the answer really is incompetence rather than conspiracy, even if the conspiracy version is more fun to advocate for on the Internet.
I'm sad about it too, but Apple is a phone company that happens to still have a few computers.
All apps with the Google SDK crashes. Even Google Maps!
I'm aware, but thanks for posting nevertheless. I've actually read Gentry's thesis. Last I looked into FHE though it was something like 14 times to 100 times as inefficient (either in time or space depending on the scheme) as operating on unencrypted data.

Now things may have changed since then, but I'd imagine it's not yet gotten down to 1.X inefficiency multiplier regardless of the FHE scheme you're using.
Thank you! I thought is was a good idea too :)

Apparently I have hit the nerves of lots of people from my parent post and since I am and like to be publicly accessible, people who disliked my thoughts have really let me know what they think of me and where I belong :D

I am noticing, increasingly in the country I live in - the U.S., an extremely concerning attitude towards love for censorship.

More concerning is that the proponents have "good intentions" at heart.

It's almost as if the concept of freedom is not understood.

Freedom is not free.

Freedom has a price, often a heavy price that one has to pay for it.

The fact that we are not children anymore who desparately need oversight and constant handholding, seems to be an alien concept.

"Oh! What do you do about those YouTUbe videos that tell you to drink bleach because it saves you from SARS-COV2!"

Well, I watch that video and research what the potential effects of drinking bleach even if there was no SARS-COV2 in this world would be and then weigh the potential effects of a COVID-19 infection and weigh the options.

This is, what I assumed, were the responsibilites of an adult - a process to make rational decisions instead of being spoonfed and told what to do like one would a child.

As I clarified elsewhere on this thread, the point I was making wasn't "liars, cranks and con artists don't exist, and no one gets to decide otherwise."

It was "liars, cranks and con artists do exist, and we need to empower people to decide which is which by letting them practise."

Yes, being an adult means having the freedom to drink alcohol and drive a car instead of waiting for a bus or a parent to come pick me up.

It also means having the responsibilities of making my own decisions instead of waiting for someone else to do it for me.

What's the expectation - that if the decision making authority makes a wrong decision that kills me, I can then blame them and collect damages?

That's crazy talk - for one, I will be dead already!
> Proper cooling requires thick laptop.

Correctness of this statement is only notional.

All of their current models can have much better thermals without increasing their bulk if they actually tried to make it so. Quite number of other makers have superior thermals in even thinner packages, and, more importantly, cheaper ones.

So far, none of their recent models show a single sign of thermal engineering being being done as such. Their 16 inch model has a thermal solution I would only see in a $300 white label laptop. Yes, they added few extra millimetres to fans, but at the same time they still use the same single skinny heatpipe, and tiny radiators.

And all of that is when they have access to the best parts, and fabrication services on the market. If you look closely on their BOM, they have many surprisingly low spec parts, and very minimalistic, spartan design decision.
I think the attacker called the bank and Mitch at the same time. The attacker knew that the bank would send Mitch a SMS code so the attacker asked the bank to send it, Mitch told the attacker, the attacker told the bank.

The bank was on the phone with Mitch and the attacker at the same time. Mitch thought the “other Mitch” was himself on the other line.
From an organizational perspective, the United States is uniquely well setup to emulate this model. There's no need for systemic changes or amendments to the US Constitution.

The cultural challenge is to convince most Americans of this fact, and get them to embrace subsidiarity[1], as a principle.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subsidiarity
David Icke :P
Indeed (φ^n - ψ^n) / (φ - ψ) is what you'd get if you diagonalize the matrix.

However the field you'd be working over is Q[√5], although really we're interested in the subring Z[φ] here. And since φ is (trivially) an eigenvalue of the matrix, let's call it M, this is equivalent to calculating in Z[M] by the Cayley-Hamilton theorem.

Of course some of these constructions might be easier to work with, and certainly something like Z[x]/(x^2-x-1) allows for fairly straightforward calculation, but you're still doing the same multiplications essentially.

And if you're working in a convenient ring you don't really need the ψ^n term, since you can just use that φ^n = F_{n-1} + F_{n} φ.
In long-run, I predict that sellers de-listing because of this and moving elsewhere will have not been worth whatever money it is they will make as a seller on their own platform.
It's not that long if you have a spa. I have a family friend who were having trouble getting pregnant with their second child. They tried everything and took over a year, but finally the dr suggested that the husband stoped using the spa... it worked
This is great, thanks for posting! I'll definitely take your advice to heart. I've been noticing that finding different data representations of the problem at hand is a big part of finding the "core relations" that describe the problem. My first attempt at the voicing/4 predicate was attempted with a data structure used in a procedural version of the algorithm, and I just couldn't get it to work in Prolog. The second iteration is what you've seen, and I'm working on a third iteration with a simpler data representation that is simplifying the problem even further.
Serverless is just the term people use to mean "you don't manage the servers". It's pretty well established and I don't think it's going away.
This is terrible. I wrote this week how centralized, point-and-click mass censorship has a non-obvious failure mode in emergencies/pandemics/wars that poses an existential threat to a free and self-determined society:

https://sneak.berlin/20200421/normalcy-bias/

(Note well that this exceptionally dangerous failure mode is based simply on the existence of the technological capability of mass instant censorship, not the merit of the specific editorial decisions of what content is censored or not.)

Furthermore, in any crisis or rapidly evolving situation, any one organization deeming themselves the sole arbiter of truth is extremely dangerous. What is true one day we learn with more information is false the next. You may recall this is the same WHO who said that healthy people get no benefit from wearing masks, and that also parroted China’s line about no human-to-human transmission. They are not immune to criticism, nor should they be.

Do you trust Google and the WHO to be superhuman, prescient and perfectly informed at all times? I don’t. (I also don’t think it’s any adult’s business telling another adult what they should or should not be able to read or watch.)

YouTube’s other censorship efforts have been actively impeding the research and prosecution of war crimes in the Syrian war as they are deleting hundreds of thousands of videos, amounting to destruction of evidence.

Either YouTube needs to stop being the default video upload target for most of internet-connected Earth, or they need to stop doing this shit. The current situation is far too dangerous.

Instagram/Facebook are even worse. Same problem.

These point-and-click mass censorship platforms are ticking time bombs for society-wide abuse even if they don’t censor anything most days of most decades.
They also get free advertising, while every merchant has to pay $1+ cost per click on the Amazon advertising network to advertise the same product.
Tipping will be necessary while Instacart underpays their employees.
Here are a couple of such add-ons / extensions:

User-Agent Switcher https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/uaswitcher/

Custom UserAgent String https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/custom-user-a...

User-Agent Switcher and Manager https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/user-agent-st...

and a comment by "99" pointing to an extension-free method to quickly change the user agent:

https://www.ghacks.net/2019/12/23/custom-useragent-string-is...
> your right to swing your arms ends where my nose begins

I live by that philosophy!

As I said here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22956768

"... if I see you foisting your opinions on what kind of content I get to see, that's you infringing on my freedom and we have a problem."

Your quote is more concise and to the point :D
No-Code Is Living Its Teenage Years
> Putting up content on a webserver is not a Youtube competitor.

Is anyone preventing me, by force or law, from hosting video on my own website? If not, you cannot compare government mandated anything with market forces. All you're saying here is that youtube is a really good product. That doesn't make obvious competitors "not count".
This is the exact reason why Shopify grew rapidly. Sellers knew they needed a platform where they own the data and could abstract the operations outside of Amazon seller dashboard.

People also forget that Amazon doesn't have to pay to advertise its own products, but 3rd party sellers do. This immediately puts you at a disadvantage if you want your product at the top since you pay seller commission and advertising fees to Amazon. Next time you want to buy something from Amazon, I would encourage you to find the seller's website directly or find them on eBay. eBay charges less seller fees and is not in the business of selling products directly.
https://lists.swift.org/pipermail/swift-evolution/Week-of-Mo...

Lattner on Swift (2016): "...while it is true that modern GC's can provide high performance, they can only do that when they are granted much more memory than the process is actually using. Generally, unless you give the GC 3-4x more memory than is needed, you’ll get thrashing and incredibly poor performance..."
The "only" is a typo.
False. And don't use the term "Chinese" as it's ambiguous. This is not what the PRC claims.

The ROC has existed since 1912 and has only occupied Taiwan since 1945 (some claim since 1952 and the Treaty of San Francisco). The ROC has been an independent state with continuous diplomatic recognition since 1912. It does not need to declare independence. I just take issue with people calling the ROC "Taiwan" as it gives ammo to PRC shills who intentionally muddy the conversation with their claim that "Taiwan is a part of China" where the term "China" is ambiguous or referencing the "One China" principle which the US doesn't even recognize (acknowledges the existence of, but does not adhere to).
I've noticed the opposite in the UK - saying they'll take up to a week to deliver, and then the item turning up the next day, or the day after.
Q is how many are dead when a region has 80% immunity (through vaccination or infection). Those dead should include also deaths due to lack of planned care, cuts in healthcare due to recession, suicides due to unemployment and so on.

Those countries that lock down and stop a first wave with only a few percent infected are basically betting on the arrival of effective treatment or effective containment.

Those that don’t are betting that containment is impossible and effective treatments and vaccines are a year out at least.

It’s impossible to say which scenario is right but I know I’d place my bet the same as the Swedish state epidemiologist.
I'm less worried about the court case and more worried about what can immediately go wrong if you look like you're stalling.
Supermarkets don’t have even a fraction of the internal business data which leads to a more competitive marketplace.
Parents with kids in school sounds like a large chunk of the workforce, no?
I can't say that MySQL doesn't perform poorly. But if so, then their optimizer is more broken than I though.

Even SQLite figures this one out and does it right.
> This is simply an unsupported false assertion.

Oh, please. There are plenty of confirmed cases of COVID-19 (confirmed by serological testing for the virus itself) that have responded well to a number of treatments.

If you were to say that there is no generally approved treatment protocol (i.e., a guideline that all health organizations agree upon), that would be true. Individual health care providers are having to develop treatment regimes on their own at this point. But the claim you made was much stronger than that.

> Name one treatment that is used for a person with a positive covid test that would be in any respect different from someone with the same symptoms and no test.

Without any test at all you don't even know if the person's respiratory illness is bacterial or viral, so you don't know whether or not antibiotics are indicated.

If you have tested to rule out bacterial infection, that still leaves different possible viral illnesses that have different expected responses to different antiviral drugs, so you need to test further to know which drug is the most likely to help.

For COVID-19 there is also HCL thrown into the mix.
Not trying to spread misinformation, since we know that one function of this coronavirus weakens your immune system as well as protective lining to the lungs for opportunistic additional viruses and bacteria to get you, then if those other viruses and bacteria never show up then more people would be fine.

No different than the "clinical latency" stage of HIV where nothing happens for a decade until your immune system weakens and then a benign opportunistic infection causes you problems. Here it just happens a lot faster - while this coronavirus is also executing other functions in multiple different organs.

This leads to the possibility that there are other seasonal but otherwise benign viruses and bacteria that are prevalent, while this coronavirus is also spreading.

Is that really as much of a farfetched idea if everyone has been looking a different direction? Just harder to resolve and an area to put some energy and research.
> There are ways that you can use AWS that Amazon would have no way to access any of your data even if they wanted to.

Please explain, as I'd like to know how.
> When asked, Google confirmed that the designs were an internal idea it explored last year but decided not to pursue as part of [Google Contributor] and Google Funding Choices, which lets sites ask visitors to disable ad blockers, or instead buy a subscription or pay a per page fee to remove ads.

Could this be built on Web Monetization API (ILP (Interledger Protocol)) and e.g. Google Pay as one of many possible payment/card/cryptocurrency processing backends; just like Coil is built on Web Monetization API?
I’m curious what possible behavior by the WHO you would consider not to indicate that it’s a political organization.
Why would that be funny?
Google's issue tracker: https://issuetracker.google.com/issues/154820090

And tweet confirming the downtime: https://twitter.com/googlemaps/status/1253419390046834691
Yeah protonmail charging for the marginally free stuff, like domains and aliases is very disappointing. I make a new email for every account, in the form of catchall_alias@username.domain.com do I have to pay proton mail $24/month for that privilege?

Also not providing 20GB space as a default paid option in this day in age of $5/month/TB is also very disappointing.
> Neither does the US. Taiwan is only recognised by IIRC 12 natinos, mostly small island states. This has become another weird internet talking point as international recognition pretty much unanmiously switched to the PRC in the 1970s.

That's misleading. The US de facto recognizes Taiwan, and the only reason it doesn't recognize it de jure is that the PRC would formally cut off relations if it did.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Institute_in_Taiwan

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taipei_Economic_and_Cultural_R...
That risk already exists.

I think we need to be realistic about containment. A full lockdown until a vaccine is released is the safest option, but it isn’t a sustainable strategy.

The main thing we should focus on is keeping high risk people away from people likely to have active infections, determining hotspots/where to increase/maintain blanket lockdowns, and detecting people with active infections early/getting them to self isolate when they’re just getting sick.

If someone really wants to expose themselves, there isn’t much you can do to stop them short of martial law, which starts a feedback loop of escalating civil unrest. I think you’re likely to have more success keeping people worried about being infected away from people who either don’t care or have antibodies than keeping all the people that want to go out indoors for a year.