skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
A quicker TLDR to try and summarize methodology and findings:

> We examined a consecutive sample of HRS subjects who died between 1992 and 2006. HRS subjects are a representative sample of Americans over the age of 50 who were living in the
community at the time of their initial interview. The HRS is conducted by the Institute for Social Research at the University of Michigan and is sponsored by the National Institute on Aging. The HRS is designed to study transitions in health and wealth among older adults.

> Two thousand three hundred and one subjects primarily resided in a nursing home at the end of life. We excluded subjects with missing information regarding their exact year of placement in nursing home (n=68), age at time of placement in nursing home (n=27), not having completed a core interview within two years of their placement in nursing home (n=203), not having the exact date of death (n=71), having reported nursing home placement after the date of death (n=54) and having an irreconcilable nursing home admission date (i.e. subjects reported as being interviewed in the community after the nursing home admission date) (n=67). Our final sample was comprised of 1,817 decedents.

> Over the years 1992 to 2006, 8,433 HRS participants died, and 27.3% of these decedents resided in a nursing home at the time of death. While subjects resided in a nursing home at the end of life, their physical location of death was distinct for many. Of the 1,817 subjects in our study sample who resided in a nursing home at the end of life, next-of-kin stated that the physical location of death was the nursing home for 70.4% of subjects, the hospital for 22.6%, in-inpatient hospice facilities for 3.5%, home for 0.4%, and 3.1% died elsewhere. The majority of decedents were Non-Hispanic White (81.5%), female (59.1%), and had a mean age of 83.3 (SD 9.0) years at the time of admission to a nursing home.

> The mean length of stay among decedents was 13.7 months; however, this was explained by a relatively small number of subjects with long lengths of stay. The median length of stay was only 5 months (IQR 1-20). The majority of residents had short lengths of stay, 65% percent of decedents had lengths of stay of less than one year, and over 53% died within 6 months of admission.

> We do not know the reason for admission to the nursing home, and some patients may have been admitted specifically for end-of-life care. We excluded patients admitted to residential hospice facilities, although some residential hospice facilities may have been located within nursing homes.
Sorry, but that's dumb. If 1/5th of the population has been exposed, then you know the total strain on the healthcare system is extremely unlikely to top an additional 4x what it has been, but not only it has 1/5th the population being exposed not in fact been enough to overwhelm the healthcare system, as more of the population is exposed you begin to get herd immunity, so in fact the total strain on the healthcare system is extremely unlikely to reach a total of 5x what it has been, very likely not even half that.

Give all of that, it makes no sense to continue the shutdown considering how costly the shutdown is.

To those who think this is a question of saving lives, that's not so. At this point the disease will work its way through the population because there's no time to finish testing, producing, and distributing a vaccine, which means the only question is of managing the maximum load on the healthcare system. Moreover, many of the most vulnerable have been hit already, and those who haven't can be protected by measures far short of a shutdown.

No, at 21% it is most definitely time to stop the shutdown. (Note: not all the measures, just the shutdown.)
Apparently the custom processors used in iOS devices are actually some of the fastest out there in that form factor.

Designed by apple (I think using ARM instruction set) and made using some of the latest, most advanaced, process nodes by TMSC.

If you look at raw benchmarks, they handidly beat the best Qualcom/"android SOC" chips out there.

I think this changes very rapidly - given the market segment of high end phones has a yearly turn around. However, I did read an article today that claimed the "cheapest iPhone" (the new SE model) is faster than the most expensive android phone currently out there.
People who quit/get fired/don’t show don’t get unemployment.
Great idea, but I wouldn't trust Google. How about using a DAT protocol service and just making it secure P2P? That's all I want. Get rid of all these censoring spying online services and let the people talk to each other and give permission only to those they want without anyone playing thought police/stasi.
Herd immunity doesn't mean 100% exposure. It means a high enough incidence of antibodies such that the effective R0 goes lower than one, meaning that new outbreaks tend to shrink over time and not grow.

With most endemic viruses, antibody incidence is somewhere around 30-50% I believe, but I haven't seen any modelling for what covid is expected to do specifically.
How do these scammers hide their identities? Is there a tor network or some kind of proxy for gsm?
I don't think it is good form to copy/paste this comment to each reply, even if they're making mostly redundant replies.

You may want to link to your original comment instead.
This is largely my concern here also. The virus in question has only been around, and been studied, (as far as we know) for a few months.

Doctors and scientists have been trying for decades to determine what people should eat, and are still not completely in agreement...
Does gig work disqualify you for unemployment?
We calculate both. Case fatality rate (CFR) is based on patients who test positive, whereas infection fatality rate (IFR) is based on all infections. We don't yet have adequate random sampling to have confidence in IFR estimates.
But surely the prudent, cautious way of wording a non-denial would be "no clear evidence of the impossibility of human-to-human transmission"?
I know, slightly off-topic, but I wish instacart didn't mark up the price of each item. It feels like it lacks transparency and is some sort of dark pattern because I don't know how much I'm paying for, say, food and how much I'm paying instacart. I'd much rather see a flat % fee, say 10% or something.
According to the CDC, the estimated prevalence of symptomatic flu last year was 45 million illnesses and 61,000 deaths.

For NY, assuming it’s evenly distributed, that would translate into 13.8% of 20 million = 2.8m symptomatic flu cases and 3,753 deaths.

COVID appears to be significantly more prevalent (roughly twice as prevalent in just 3 months as flu gets all year despite incredible efforts), and roughly 2-3x as fatal.
The one feature I need on stable is inline assembly. It's something that should not be sidelined to the nightly compiler, and makes Rust a harder sell for the embedded world.

Yes, I know that I can just use .S files for my assembly, but sometimes I just need to access a CSR.
Around where I live (suburbs in Oregon/USA), the Amazon delivery vans have been making passes multiple times a day for the past few weeks.
100% agree, we migrated from Redis Labs -> Elasticache and it was cheaper, more performant, and closer to the rest of our infrastructure. We lost "support", but the service is so brain-dead simple that I can't imagine what the need for that would really be. I wish it auto-scaled like Dynamo/Aurora, however it's just a few clicks to up the instance size, so not a super-pressing need.
Although very early data (as it is everywhere) does it not look like the stats for excess deaths and the reported COVID-19 deaths for sweden line up pretty well?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronav...
This is completely unconscionable. I've reached the tipping point in my opinion of Amazon re: antitrust. Set the dogs loose on these bastards.
Not much. Walmart crushed an art supply company by enticing them in, copying the product at a lower quality and price, then slowly reduced shelf space of the other guy as he deflated. He ended up worse off than when he started.
I don't think you are looking at this right. It will still take about a year (+/- a few months) for this to run through the population of the country. NYC spreads faster and was hit harder and earlier. Still only about 1/5 have had it. The remaining 4/5 (maybe 3/5 if there is some fraction of people that just are naturally immune/resistant) are going to get it. It's going to be a while to get there.
They said “when”. Has there been a time when they haven’t?
Just say "hang on a minute" and mute the phone without disconnecting. Waste more of their time than they wasted of yours.
What "medico-economic" experiment?! This is much an experiment as "living in a war-torn country" or "being hit by a major natural disaster" is an experiment.

If people start to starve because we stopped being able to produce food or people start dying of other causes because our basic infrastructure start collapsing, then you can start talking about ethical dilemmas.
The press release is better than the "story".
I'm about far from anti-vaxer stance as its possible to be, so please don't think this is where this is coming from, but isn't this crazy quick compared to how long vaccines usually take?

Is the long time to create vaccines not usually to make sure they are safe? What is different now that it can be done quicker? Is it just the sheer amount of effort and cash being thrown at it?
I was waiting for this for some time on macOS when it was announced and I came close to buying this. As soon as I saw the lifetime purchase price, at that point I'm wasn't quite sure I would purchase it at that price as an individual yet.

If it were discounted on release, then yes I would have purchased this. If it also supported Google Play at its original price then I would have happily purchased this today (Not sure if it would go through Apple's review process) and if I were part of a iOS shop team, then I would still buy it.

No question that this looks like a stunning native app for App Store Connect that was missing on macOS. At its original price for an individual it looks slightly too expensive for now.
Search Engine Is Selling You
See my other reply below. You can't overshoot 100%, and long before we get there herd immunity takes hold, and there's no question of the disease being kept from working its way through -- only a question of managing the rate at which it does. All in all the economic damage of continued shutdown does not make sense at this point (at 21% of the population exposed). We should stop now.
No I mean it is a typo on the WHO page, I sent them feedback suggesting this phrasing:

"Wear a mask if you are healthy and you are taking care of a person with COVID-19."
I’ve been casually trying to knock into the black box of MySQL’s internals with no success yet. I have queries that do GROUP BYs across multiple unindexed columns in frequently large tables, so it ends up with temp tables on disk and filesort. Can someone point to the source code for processing this kind of GROUP BY situation?
Exactly this. For computer parts in the UK I usually go to Overclockers UK - free shipping is possible if you take part in their forums and prices are often identical to Amazon.

Even the big-box electronics retailers like Currys regularly peg their prices to the Amazon one now, and I've got three within a 25-minute drive so I can get the item the same day rather than waiting 1-2 days for delivery.
My moral compass says, don't harm individuals for the greater good.

I should add, you're not wrong to question the necessity of including the second part. It is most certainly a factor. There's a natural justice strand in the formulation of Benthamite utilitarianism (which is, broadly speaking, where I'm coming from) that reinforces an enlightened approach to individual consequences, since in the long run the absence of individual justice poisons the greater good anyway.

However that's a bit of a mouthful, and it does need surfacing because there are other formulations of utilitarianism that lead to dystopian nightmare societies, and besides, I'm rather fond of the word egregious.

However I do regret forgetting to riff on the laws of robotics in the phrasing
I've ordered thousands of items and this has never happened.
What is a metonymy?
It's still a remarkable observation. Presumably urination was a private thing then as it is now. It seems like a coin toss between some 'shaman' suggesting it and it turned out to be true vs the many observations that had to happen.

Women generally have a good idea, perhaps some women started to observe it as they maybe didn't want more children and didn't want men to know about it and we worried about each and every possible indication that could reveal it.
I agree with his point about software upgrades. Everyone is running old unpatched versions of software! WireGuard just externalities the messy upgrade process that will accumulate over time when you have to support devices and services that only support specific versions of the protocol. You’ll end up having to run multiple WG instances in the “transition period” that never actually ends rather than just negotiating the most secure thing you both support. And you can still cut people off from broken algos.

Having compatibility with the major vendors in the space is a real advantage because it’s a de facto standard I can get other companies and partners to agree on because they’re probably running one of those black boxes. You don’t have actually use any of them, but you will get a call down the road to interface with one of them.

I think the main thing is that WireGuard is a beautiful clean protocol that is about to get buried under piles of shoddy middleware to deal with the messy real world.
A lot of labs were researching MERS and SARS already.
>"No clear evidence" uncovered in a "preliminary investigation" was a completely true statement.

Something tells me you haven't seen this alleged "preliminary investigation" report, but assuming you had, how do you know China didn't withhold information?

The WHO tweet is dated 14 January 2020, but the 1st case of Covid was identified in December 2019.

Chinese police forced Dr. Li to remove his comments about Covid19 from the internet on 3 January 2020. Hell Dr. Li returned to work and contracted the Virus himself on 8 January 2020 before the WHO tweet...so how did he get it if not person to person transmission?

So China had the information and conducted a cover up a full 2 weeks before the WHO tweet.

Can you explain why Dr. Li was forced by police to remove his social media posts and sign a confession? Can you explain whether Chinese authorities investigating how the virus was transmitted to Dr. Li before informing the WHO there was no clear evidence of person to person transmission?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Li_Wenliang
>There are many more infections than we know about and the CFR is not anywhere close to the actual IFR.

That is the optimistic takeaway.

The pessimistic takeaway is that even the hardest hit areas are nowhere near herd immunity levels and that we are either going to be isolating until a vaccine is created or we can expect to see a lot more death once nonessential people are forced back to work.
WHO publishes a list of the vaccine landscape here - https://www.who.int/blueprint/priority-diseases/key-action/n...

As of April 20 2020, there were 5 in clinical evaluation and 71 in preclinical evaluation. I'm a layperson, but very interesting to see the different techniques and testing methodologies used.
It's inconsistent, you would need easy & cheap at home sperm count testing to be reliable, like we have with pregnancy tests.

With other forms you can see results via period activity reduction or increasing (in case of copper IUD) or physical breakage or feeling changes.
That's not great. A quick skim says that the number of books were probably (edit typo: overestimated) by a fair bit:

"The actual numbers were probably lower, perhaps by as much as one order of magnitude"

Reference to this says "a library that was a tenth of this size [sc. the 500,000 in Ps.-Aristeas] would still have been very large in antiquity") so it was a large library. I have to say, claims of hundreds of thousand weren't really plausible anyway.

Second it doesn't say it was dwarfed elsewhere at the time. It does say "The Library of Alexandria, however comprehensive for its time, was not on a scale comparable with the great research libraries of the twentieth century[0]". Which is fair, but doesn't support what you say.

finally it doesn't say (that I can see) that it was empty when destroyed. The guy does say there's now way it would have survived a long time due to the humidity and climate it was in, but doesn't suggest (AFAIKS) that it was nearly empty when it was destroyed.

[0] well duh

So I'm going to go with the more common view for now. Thanks anyway.
Makes one wonder how many other ad categories on Facebook should be removed.
I’d suggest then not basing your business model on dumping your costs on the worker and the customer, so these hacks and discussions are negated.
It’s a bit presumptuous to assume that the WHO has a typo in a document like this. Besides their messaging has been consistent.
Indeed not always, and there certainly can be an observer effect, but the answer re. Facebook is very clear cut.

In any case I've found it preferable to "does this corporate entity create shareholder value?", which I must confess I was suckered by some rather Austrian-school economists into accepting as a valid proxy for human advancement and/or happiness in my mid-thirties.
Was quoted a minimum of $10k/month per region. On top of hardware and VMware licenses.

Insane.
Bad analogy, I can tell when the bank seizes my money.
people can laugh at php, all they want. I personally, don't use php, but admire the community. because they, python n ruby dev's are good at shipping software frequently. look at laravel ecosystem. people getting shit done. n contributing i.e tailwind css | ui | alpine.js
This weekend San Francisco plans to do a hard test of about 6000 people in a couple of square blocks of the Mission district. They are going door to door to encourage people to get tested.

Still biased but probably better than anything so far.
Amazon does have to pay. It is an opportunity cost to them.
Do you tell your friends about your summer trip to the Republic of Korea? Or were you visiting the Kingdom of Belgium that year? Do those friends invite you to visit their hometowns in the French Republic, or the Federal Republic of Germany? Maybe you can stop at the Grand Dutchy of Luxembourg along the way from one to the other?

Common names are common for a reason!
Not the original poster, but I found at least this one.

https://twitter.com/who/status/1217043229427761152?lang=en
Do you have any insights into performance or cost difference?
COVID19 Research Pass. 26M+ full-text avail to COVID19 researchers, doctors
> the Bayesian prior is that common colds in general become less prevalent during the Summer, and Covid19 is caused by a coronavirus, which is related to viruses causing the common cold

MERS is also a coronavirus and does just fine in the warm climate of the middle east. I hope that warmer temps slow the spread, but it's far from certain.
Finding plastic patches in coastal waters using satellite data
Hey everyone, author here. I wrote this post in an attempt to better understand how cybersecurity evolved to the Zero Trust model, and what that means, practically.

If your organizations have implemented some form of Zero Trust or you are aware of other resources, please comment so I can keep learning.

Here are some resources I found useful for further reading:

https://about.gitlab.com/blog/2019/04/01/evolution-of-zero-t...

https://nvlpubs.nist.gov/nistpubs/SpecialPublications/NIST.S...

https://www.oreilly.com/library/view/zero-trust-networks/978...
Something you shouldn't use when talking about highly politicized nationstate issues with intentional ambiguity being injected by shills on the aggressor side.

See: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22961335
What does the provided example do?

5) Surprising math:

int x = 0xfffe+0x0001;
> Krebs mentioned that Mitch logged into his bank account while on the phone with the scammers. That's a HUGE no. We live in a threshold period where acoustic emanation attacks are about to become much more commonplace due to increasing computational capabilities.

Huh, this reminds me that a major US bank verifies people on the phone by asking them to log on to online banking.

I love the convenience, but it's never crossed my mind that it was a huge vulnerability waiting to happen.
Thanks. Mattia from Lambda Store here.

Sure, we are already planning to post blogs about our architecture details. You can follow us on medium: https://medium.com/lambda-store
It's not 25%. 0.5% versus 0.13% is not the only issue here in terms of how much worse it is. It's the long time in the ICU. The flu kills you fairly quickly or you get better fairly quickly, so you don't take up hospital capacity so long. Herd "immunity" does not require 100%, but that's a decent approximation. Sure, I'll grant that it "starts" to show an effect around 65%, but the effect is not so strong. 70%, much stronger. 80% very strong. Heck, you could probably do containment by then without waiting to get to 100%. Because inadvertent spreading would be so low.
They're using "Java 10", (no mention which vendor or build) any idea if they had the compressed strings option enabled?
It's not paranoid, I don't think everybody knocking is coming to get me or anything. I'm just not interested in whatever it is they have to offer.

If I'm in the market for a service, I'll do the research and reach out.
We have non-developers so they can handle markdown but not much beyond that ... having a website where they can type stuff (this is just like wikipedia) helps us get them onboarded .. then they also can help with the issues, etc.
Reading comments on any mainstream news site inevitably brings total loss of faith in humanity. This goes double in a country where tabloids dominate public discourse.
Matters where you are. The Bay Area is keeping their lockdown up so they can contact trace and crush any infection spike. Otherwise, we're going to be locked down until a vaccine at the current new case rates.
I think they fixed it partially. Last time I got instacart delivered the options were: keep your current tip, 5%, 10%, and 15%. You're no longer allowed to edit your tip to 0 but if you did tip a large sum then you can reduce your tip to 5%.
Amazon is a cesspool of scammers now. I created a listing for a physical book. I have yet to send a single book out to anyone and there are already two sellers trying to sell the book on the listing I created. And one is listed as a "collectible"!
The thing is also in the default pack of apps. Say you want a light text editor. Which one do you use? If you select a gnome based one on a kde desktop, you might pull all of kde libs ! So the pack of light image viewer, notepad, calculator form a mini coherent set (a "distribution") that fits well together, but does not justify a full on packaging of kernel, glibc ... hence flavours, not packages or distros.
BillionShieldsChallenge against coronavirus Video English
I forgot when was the last time I've ever looked at icons on Windows. I just press Win key and start to type name of the application and it shows up in a list. In most cases it takes one to 2 letters of typing as I guess Windows remembers your stats.

I do have very few icons in a normally hidden taskbar but as I set their size to tiny they have no particular look at all. I just distinguish them by color pattern.

Not sure what problems you have with dragging. I have 2 32" 4K monitors hooked up (one is vertical position) and do not experience any particular problems.