skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
How do artists actually collect this kind of cash these days, now that no one buys CDs? Wouldn't he need a trillion or so streaming listeners to generate a billion dollars?

Edit: never mind, looks like he's selling sneakers.
A fourth way: We throw as many resources as we can at sampling undiagnosed populations, like the recent NYC study that suggests 20% of the city (10% of the state) has antibodies already.

We could get real confidence that it's safe enough to return to normal, acceping that COVID is a new disease that's just going to be around, the 5th coronavirus that we deal with seasonally.
Excellent idea.
Can I use it for another country?
Can the currency be changed?
Thank you!
you’re missing the second half of the random chance argument. you could also have driven right past a collision that would have happened at a slower speed.
Thermometers are better than nothing, but unlikely to stop the spread because of asymptomatic transmission (easy to catch the virus from someone who doesn't have a fever). This is why I think directly detecting the virus is essential.
Numpty. Minimal. End of.
I've been playing some games on https://www.yucata.de/en with friends - San Juan, Imhotep, Castles of Burgundy, Russian Railroads, Thurn and Taxis. Beware with Yucata that if you start a game with more than 2 people, you cannot resign and if you start a different game, it makes you take your turn in other games first. We also use Tabletopia https://tabletopia.com/games - Terra Mystica - one person needs to buy Tabletopia.

For more places to play boardgames online see https://www.reddit.com/r/boardgames/wiki/play_online as well as https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/2/d/1nwZkqIoIkkUakCvj...
Of course given the premium of their Red Pro line, I probably won't be buying from them... It does make me curious what this will mean for shuckers on the externals... as I would expect SMR to actually be a good use case for most external drives.
> While the young might rarely die, this illness is not something you want even if young.

To begin of course, you don't want any disease at any age.

Setting that aside it's pretty clear that you're less likely to die of COVID as a child than you are of the flu (which hits both young and old). Children are less likely to develop any meaningful symptoms in the first place, and if they do, they're less severe. Lots of ongoing research on this.

“The fact is that we are not seeing preponderance of severe [COVID-19] disease in young children, which is distinct from influenza...” [1]

> It can be pretty brutal...

Yup.

> ...and there is some evidence that it causes damage to lung even in the absence of symptoms.

[citation needed], specifically for children.

[1] https://time.com/5816239/children-coronavirus/
There didn't seem to be any details at all. Is there some sort of functionalized surface that specifically binds the virus, if so what molecule/chemistry, how?

edit: this is all I found about the company:

https://www.sbir.gov/sbirsearch/detail/1564207

https://innovation.medicine.umich.edu/portfolio_post/sepsis-...
I mean, my reaction is certainly on the "let us know when you start scaling out a quite accurate test" side of things, but I don't understand the point of declaring that it can't work.

Especially based on assumptions.

The petty whinging in your third paragraph is basically ridiculous. Imagine, waiting 10 or 20 minutes a day for a few months to help save millions of life-years.
Ironically enough, they also spelt the title wrong too.

I guess this is one of those en-US-vs-the-rest-of-the-english-speaking-world weirdnesses? I've never seen/heard "spelled" before in my native-English-speaking life as far I can remember.
i used to have faith that reasonable adults could tell the difference between “there is no evidence for X” and “X isn’t true”, thank you for disabusing me of that notion.
For smaller artistes - Merch, concert tour sales
Larger artistes might get a better cut from the streaming service?
Replacing plastic with plant pulp for sustainable packaging attracts a
Kanye is both a cultural icon, and also regularly sounds unhinged. That’s not a value statement, just an observation.
Isn't that what we call a "virus"?
I'm sure Kramer! :)
absolutely, it'd be incredibly dumb not to
That would be "Bostod Strog"
Yes, I didn't get that from the essay. It's a fully automated scanner that can be operated by the person being tested?
I mean in theory if you had a perfectly accurate test and everyone got tested before coming into contact with others, that gives you an R0 of 0. How close we can get to that standard is obviously very debatable, but simple logic tells us that it certainly could push the R0 below 1 given some (unknown) threshold of test accuracy and compliance.
The Pixel 1's kernel and drivers are no longer maintained upstream.
Then the second part of what I said applies: why should the government infringe on my speech because I have a popular platform?
This is badly written but very much in the correct direction.

Screw Vaccines and Cures, if these could 'just' be found for Covid-19 then we wouldn't have any sickness in this world.

Work on both cheap and quick tests while we wait for the long, if even possible, timeframes of Vaccines and Cures.

So why aren't Bill Gates self swabs out yet?
https://www.gatesfoundation.org/TheOptimist/Articles/coronav...
> screening everyone every day (which is very different from simply doing "more testing").

That seems like the logical conclusion of "more testing" to me. If we could, why wouldn't we?

3blue1brown on YouTube did an analysis which similarly shows that fast quarantining is the best way to mitigate the virus: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxAaO2rsdIs
I really needed to read this right now. A few weeks ago, I received news that a friend from college had passed on. It hit me hard. I kept reading, and re-reading our last messages to one another, and kicked myself for not putting more energy into keeping up the correspondence, because now I'll never get another chance again.

While this was on a different level from other relationships that have faded away, it made me think about those ones as well, especially pertaining to work. A few companies ago, I was at a rocket ship of a startup and had some friendships that were as intimate and fun as any that I had since college. I sorely missed losing out on that camaraderie. I knew that professionally, it was the time to move on. But, it didn't make it any easier to leave the friends I had there behind. And it hurt to see folks that I thought I'd retain as close friends not end up that way after I left.

Luckily, after there (as with previous companies), I really lucked out and still managed to retain a couple friendships that I remain grateful for, now more than ever. I now realize this is just the way it is. I felt the same way at the end of college, and at the end of every job I've had. Sometimes, I need a reminder that it's okay for the friendships I've had to be in the past. It doesn't mean there was anything wrong with them. If they were going to hold place in the present rather than the past, then it would be that way. But that they are not does not mean they need to be critiqued, or analyzed, or critiqued. Perhaps, as you remind me, they just need to be thought of, reminisced of, and cherished and appreciated for what they were.

Thank you.
Perhaps citizens aren't trusting what the government is saying.
British is spelt. US is spelled. [1] [2]

1 - https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/spell

2 - https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/spelt
Americans almost never use "spelt", but in British English, "spelled" and "spelt" are both considered correct.
In my experience, every successful engineering process is driven by the engineers. Not product owners, project managers, IT directors, VPs of Engineering, or CTOs.

It's certainly reasonable for those various stakeholders to ask for visibility. Demos are great for that, and a lead engineer or front-line engineering manager can work with stakeholders to establish some metrics to report on, but those are epiphenomenal to the process chosen.

I'm not saying it's a guarantee, just that nothing else really works well.
Let's re-encode some video files and see how that works out...

edit: or bring down some large CAD files from the server to work on locally...

The fact is, it's labelled a performance drive, much like the red drives... SMR should not even be an option here... sure add the extra smart caching/remapping, but you still want performance for larger failes.
Misses the point, but sure, "student loans" is a fair comparison. The name doesn't matter to me, it's all debt.

I don't see it as "technically" fine that the rate at which the debt grows consistently exceeds the rate at which the income grows. There comes a point in time in which the principal of the debt is large enough that minimum payments exceed income.
I can’t even begin to understand what would cause someone to buy a pair of “Yeezy” shoes.
The Supply Chain Game
I use Void as my main desktop OS and I wasn't aware that xtraeme was back or that he was causing problems. My gratitude to the developers working to keep the distribution stable even in difficult times.
Simple. Put up walls all the way along the road, then pull a string tight from one end of where you're driving to the other. Then you just measure the string!
Because people don't hold firm. You're just inviting them to pull out another one of their lines.
I hope everyone has noticed that if this approach could wipe out COVID-19 it could wipe out influenza and even the common cold.
Python range like function in Golang
“Levels Jerry... Levels”
I doubt the person you’re replying to made a counter point and what’s being written about is really just semantics (when someone references luck instead of just acknowledging determinism).

The knowledge that’s statistically likely to benefit someone that’s poor, may not work from unfortunate circumstances and that happen precisely when it will hurt the situation. That happens as everyone has a fairly unique life.

We also have to rely on if someone misfortune at birth (in some way), happens to be “lucky enough” to encounter the knowledge to hopefully benefit them or as I should say fate decided to allow it.

Some people do everything right contrary to a person doing the opposite and life can reward whoever the unique conditions happened to favor for each person.

Everything is decided at birth if we were to break everything down into cause & effect.
How to Learn to Code: Tips to 10x Your Coding Skills
One of the most cynical things about his entire persona is that a few months ago he was ranting on about black people being brainwashed and that they'd need to make economically sensible choices and pretty much the entire 'bootstrap' speech, and then he's out there selling overpriced sneakers to kids calling it the next frontier for humanity.
Consumer rights laws in various places now render such statements impotent. You don't get to make claims about what your product is for or how it performs in nice big letters on your website and then hide behind some legal weasel words on page 93 of an agreement no customer is ever likely to read.
It's more than just 'CDs' or 'Downloads' for artists these days, which which is pretty much not what they just do to get revenue. It's from their merchandise, investments in other companies and also founding their own companies which actually makes them their billions.

Think of Dr. Dre's Beats, Jay-Z's Tidal and investments in Uber. Now Kanye's Yeezy brand too.
Is it actually excess deaths? So many deaths are being counted as covid-19 that it looks more like we have the same amount of total deaths by all causes and any other year
The arithmetic on that is ~1 million early deaths in the US.

The screening in the article would cost billions of dollars.

If it worked, we could then reuse the infrastructure to kill the flu. And then start on the colds.
Maybe, but they did explicitly state that's not what they want to do.

> We don’t want to just create a fan service game that repeats jokes or plots that people already are familiar with. We will write a brand new story revolving around the Seinfeld characters designed to work in this medium, remaining faithful to the tone and themes of the show.
0) From a clinical perspective this is data we are generating on an on going basis. Analytically this is a largely a function of the characteristics of the affinity, specificity of the capture molecule used to capture the target (viral particle). As you point out EUA gives opportunities to launch sooner... But it's still critical to validate technogies both internally and externally probably to a greater extent than the de minimus EUA reqs

1) great question. Our approach is novel which allows us to tap into new supply chains that are inherently more scalable (think semi-conductor Fab) but the trade off is execution risk.
These things look fun but if they don't get the app support they'll just go the same way that Firefox OS, Ubuntu Mobile and Windows Phone did.

Unfortunately other than the hacker niche that's on this forum you won't get the average consumer using these devices/OSes and therefore you won't get the apps that attract people to use the devices in the first place.
The crux of the issue is this: Neither I nor the Swedes believe that you can keep this disease at bay by hiding indoors for a few months and then opening back up well in advance of a vaccine which appears to be the entire world's game plan. I think it's fair to say there won't be a vaccine for 12-18 months, and we're not as a society prepared to stay indoors for that long.

Not to mention even with complete lockdowns around the US we're somehow seeing 38,000 new cases per day. This is not winning. With an R0 of 2-5 a single new infected person post lockdown lifting is going to set the wildfire ablaze again. As China is showing us, if you lock down then re-open, you're just going to start playing whack-a-mole with rolling city-level lockdowns.

Even if we were to stay inside for months, the case the Swedes are making is that deaths are higher now than in locked down countries, but unlike locked down countries, the Swedes will have developed herd immunity in a few months, and will never be affected again.

This makes the temporary delta in death rates not a success for locked-down countries but rather a temporary deferral.

Sweden is proof of something, but it's not clear yet what. Somehow, their new case load is pretty flat, just like the US. [1]

[1] https://aatishb.com/covidtrends/?location=Canada&location=Sw...
The article mentions Agile as an attempt to bring lean manufacturing methodology to software development. I make software which is used as part of lean manufacturing initiatives (among other initiatives), and see a lot of different manufacturing environments. I want to point out that lean manufacturing is often the wrong tool for producing significantly more of something complex or ramping up production speed of a complex product. In its defense, you could say that lean should be this tool, but is usually so misinterpreted or done so incorrectly that it fails to be this tool. (funny that agile reportedly has the same problem)

Generally speaking, lean is a tool for reducing various kinds of 'waste' and 'doing more with less'. That's the part people seem to focus on anyway. The problem is that people become myopic. Lean becomes the justification for premature optimization and focusing on details that don't matter.

Sometimes, waste is good. Or, stated differently, not all waste is equal. If you have 5 machines that each produce $1000 of value per hour run, and you're attempting to go lean by rearranging them so you can lay off a $20/hour employee, then you are focusing entirely on the wrong thing.

Lean is often pushed with the idea that employees shouldn't be standing around doing nothing, or that you shouldn't produce excess material which will sit in a pile. The problem with this is it often fails to account for needed excess capacity, and when something goes wrong, everything falls apart.

The correct move (depending on margins) is usually to hire more inexpensive humans to stand around and make sure the expensive machines never stop generating value because you overburdened one of the humans. When you want to make things faster, you don't stop producing when the next machine in the process can't keep up (producing a pile of unused parts). You buy another machine that performs the next process or figure out what it needs to run faster.

Lean is the methodology most people use when they can't make big changes that will have a major impact on production. It's a tool for making the existing (possibly broken) system function better. It's culturally good to focus on reducing waste, but often it's the waste you're not measuring or thinking about that's killing you.

Lean isn't bad any more than optimization is bad, it's just not the tool you typically want to be starting with. I work directly with customers, have no deadlines that aren't self imposed, and couldn't tell a story point from a scrum master, so I can't say if the failures of lean manufacturing implementation extend to agile, but I'd be curious to hear if they do.

A tool I find more useful than lean: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theory_of_constraints
> astoundingly high overestimate for any reasonable metric

12k deaths in NYC gives a pretty hard lower bound on IFR of 0.14%.

The IFR will end up higher than 0.5% if incidence in city is any lower than 27%, which seems very reasonably likely.
Why use Unstable instead of Testing?
No, "low skill" means that a worker who has never done the job before can be quickly brought up to speed on how to do it, and that there won't be much of a productivity gradient between a new worker and one who has maxed out.

Many such jobs are incredibly hard work, and many are far more essential to the function of our society than anything I do for a living.

I get that calling this "low skill" comes across as derogatory, I'm just not sure what to do about that. Invent a euphemism?
Yes, I should have been a bit more explicit that I was only talking about charities that provide public goods and services, rather than "any kind of charity, in general".

And I wasn't expressing any moral position, just: given the goals that such charities seem to be pursuing (eg healthcare), their actions don't seem effective at actually accomplishing those goals. Basically, agreeing with https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22960723 saying:

> There isn’t a charity in existence that could’ve provided even close to the amount of support needed
A corollary observation would be that many very pivotal figures in history regularly sounded "unhinged".
Good point. Maybe the theory was the attenuated pathogen would consume available nutrients thereby depriving the real pathogen when it arrived?
All of that is corruption of the idea. Probably common, but unnecessary and really needs to the fought against.

The primary point of Agile is to empower developers. If management is determined to micromanage them anyway, then Agile is pointless. If the term Agile is to have any business value at all, then let it be the stick with which developers beat some sense into stupid managers. Points are indeed rough estimates and can easily be off by a large factor, and they're definitely not meant to measure performance. Standups are about the team and about helping each other move forward. Demos are about getting feedback from stakeholders. It's fine if others see the Jira board, but it's not theirs. It's the developers'. And if a task isn't done, and it isn't done.

I fight for this if necessary, but fortunately I'm currently working in a team of very vocal and opinionated developers who take charge of their project and push back against managers if necessary. We do Scrum, but we're not dogmatic about it. We change the sprint scope if the situation calls for it. And we rebel when it's management that's calling for it.
Maybe Parks and recreation
Sure looks that way to me. The spike is larger than 9/11.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/10/upshot/corona...
Right now a lot more meals than usual are being prepared at home, and a lot of people who had jobs doing that are out of work. On the other hand, essentially the entire accounting system for the state hardest hit by coronavirus is run by "nonessential" employees, because that is what we are calling people who can work from home.

Right now, there are definitely lots of people who can't work from home that are enormously essential in the ordinary sense. For instance, say you have a plumbing emergency. But, you know, your unemployment check is pretty essential too.
> Are you arguing the counter, that his personal behavior is in any way laudable? Do you think he's a good role model, and would want your children to emulate his behavior?

I don't have to think that he's a good role model to think that previous presidents have also violated human rights and eroded freedoms.
Can you give me a brief description of how to play Catan on this?

I have a harder problem than just playing against friends. My wife and I, and another couple, all want to play Catan together. I don't want to sit in a different room to my wife.

I was considering just using a webcam here and at my friends, having two boards setup and both doing the same moves, so we can all "see" what is going on, and one side looking after the deck, the other the dice.
I'd say Peep Show! They're both fairly similar in that they're both about chaos and nihilism where the characters completely fail to grow. If you like Seinfeld you'll almost definitely enjoy that.
Ask HN: What is your solution to “follow” other HN users?
Chloroquine hype is derailing the search for coronavirus treatments
No, because while many humans are risk averse, we also live in certain cultural circumstances that prevent us to make that decision unilaterally.

For example, I cannot just tell my boss, I am working from home, even though in my case there is no problem. Even if he allows, the company policy might not. (Although I am lucky I live in a sane country and we have that policy now.)

Or in Czechia, now everyone wears a mask (since it is mandatory). It became a norm in like 2 days, one day almost nobody had them (and people felt that wearing them makes you look sick), the next day they became mandatory in public transport, and the day after everybody had them.

There are other examples like that, where the peer pressure plays an important role (in preventing humans to make rational decisions).
Free+Resources+for+Websites+Impacted+by+Covid-19
Effort required for what? We are simply talking about the merits of the government being the employer of last resort in the event of economic stress. That’s far more effort than just giving people money.

If we’re talking about climate, it’s probably far easier and far more effective to institute steep carbon taxes. It should be very easy to do that especially now, oil is the cheapest that it’s ever been.
Murder at the Silent Movie
People hop over subway turnstiles all the time. It would have to be more secure than that to make me feel safe once I'm inside.

You could have security guards with masks at every entrance. But if even one person with COVID-19 gets past security, you could start an outbreak.