skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It's not just that Dalio is a "successful trader." He runs the world's largest hedge fund and their expertise is in predicting global macroeconomic trends. His experience is directly relevant.
I definitely notice the difference in performance between a 2018 Moto G and a 2015 iPhone 6s. The iPhone 6s was much faster.
“The slow one now will later be fast / for the times they are a Changin’”
-Bob Dylan

Loved reading “Principles” by Dalio. Great read.

I find it apparent that the U.S. is declining while China is in a prime position to reach new heights. The U.S. greatest competitive advantage has been culture which is quickly being copied by the new middle class in China.

The U.S. has allowed the wealth gap to grow to levels that are pretty scary. The U.S. has continued to elect inept and crony politicians who wish to look backward instead of bring the nation forward.
This doesn't make any sense to me. Whether you have to use xmlParse() or jsonParse() is completely inconsequential. It's like writing laws that require languages to have a built-in XML parser. Or a fetchAndParseXml() function.

If these kinds of laws infected tech, we'd still be maintaining government mandated SOAP/WSDL services and other overly complicated tech that someone somewhere thought was the global maximum.
I'm looking for this in the article and not seeing mention of a specific window. Can you help me find what you're referring to?
Because we don’t charge for roads, users “pay” in congestion delays, so as we widen roads more drivers can use the road at the same “price” measured in minutes of delay. In some cases You might say that increased capacity induced hesitant drivers to drive.
>Are you willing to spend $50 to park your car there to drive to the city center?

That's pretty common for people who drive into big cities for the day (or indeed to work for a day). Maybe they park on the outskirts and take transit in. But that takes time and, especially for a family, the savings may not really be worth it.
I too am curious about how these claims are substantiated
I agree, but I find his methodology a lot more refreshing than other similar opinion pieces, who barely tries to look at data or give context to their claims (history).
I assume all buildibgs I enter are properly engineered, but sometimes they're not. Two cases that come to mind:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyatt_Regency_walkway_collapse

http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_eye/2014/04/17/the_citicorp_t...

Both were essentially caused by people making assumptions. You would think such things would be thought through, but sometimes they're not.
Then that would be really weird given other closed groups we've observed and tested closely like the Diamond Princess and would probably be evidence for a significant mutation.
Yeah, but for 99% of keyboards the legends were put there by the manufacturer who could also burn into the controller firmware what scheme of legends was used. This way the OS could autodetect whether the keyboard was e.g. QWERTY or AZERTY without having to do a user-involved discovery process like OS X or assuming keyboard matches locality like Windows.
> But what lives beyond that?

What lives beyond what?

> The morals and ethics of this, confounded with our knowledge and technology is profoundly complex.

"complex" is just latin for "put together". What relevance does the complexity of life have for its value?

> People are failing to grasp nuance here.

I am comfortable with the lack of nuance inherent in trying to avoid death.
> Who knows if she'd gotten her grant, her assistant professorship without the publication of this incorrect finding. Who knows who didn't get any of that because they were a bit too careful in their work.

On the other hand, if she hadn't wasted her time on this useless study she might have done more useful studies and her career would be better than it is right now. She might have gotten even better grants if she hadn't made this error, and maybe fewer other people would have gotten grants. Maybe those other people being more careful helped them rather than hurt them.

I don't see how speculating like this is very useful.
The 4s from 2011 got a bug fix/security update June of last year....
Country life: the young female farmer who is now a top influencer in China
The most interesting thing I've seen as far as this is concerned is Taint Analysis. You can label functions as returning user input, some functions take user input and turn it into sanitized input, and there are functions that should never take non-sanitized input.

It's all statically-checked and you can incorporate it into your CI/CD:
https://pyre-check.org/docs/pysa-basics.html

See also: Property-based testing, and TLA+
It's rough.

General question for the HN crowd: If one is passionate about building dev tools then what's a good path for monetization? The options seem so very limited. Fixed prices are nowhere near enough to cover the costs of supporting a complex app and paying for 50+ subscription services doesn't make sense for developers either. So far all I've seen is what effectively amounts to sponsorships by FAANG type companies to build OSS dev tools.
If you don’t study and practice it, how can you possibly know how to write good code (in any language)? In assembly, if you’ve never been exposed to eg the simd instructions, or aligned memory access or cache or branch prediction or instruction level parallelism, how can you expect to write performant assembly code? Experience and knowledge doesn’t just appear.

I’m not arguing that it’s worth it or that it’s easy to beat the compiler. I certainly am not going to bother writing assembly (maybe some intrinsic for SIMD but certainly not raw assembly, outside of embedded systems, although even then it’s not really worth it usually).

I’m simply saying that you can’t expect to be good at something unless you practice it.

But that doesn’t mean people shouldn’t try but to learn. For example, somebody has to implement the optimisations isn’t he compiler and that person needs to have a great understanding of how to produce high performance assembly code. Plus learning new things is always worthwhile if you have the time.
> - The `print()` function is nice, but they could have left in the `print` statement for a transitional (deprecation) period. Or left the `print` statement in, and advise against its use.

The print statement dates to antiquity (cf. BASIC) and could certainly coexist with the print() function. It was a nice and friendly piece of syntax whose removal was entirely unnecessary.

Now that Python is free of GVR, perhaps we can restore the print statement to its rightful place in the language! ;D
I spent a lot of time with Ruby as a younger developer along with JavaScript, but these days spend most of my time in Go. Some Swift and Rust depending on what I’m working on.
Exactly what I'm looking for! Now we just need a solution manual
I miss verge-rpg.com.
While it still exists it's not the same it used to be back in the day, I picked it up when Verge2 was just out of the oven.

It was such a nice community.
We hosted Hours of Verge (HoV!) events from time to time, usually from 24 to 72 hours long, to team up and build games around a theme, and voted for the best afterwards.
It was so fun to play the other games created. Yes, there are other sites and communities that still do that but Verge was dear to me and what really got me started into development.

I met some awesome people that turned out to be brilliant devs in AAA games and composers that made songs for many cool games such as Unreal.

Edit: Fixed "HoV" casing, very important :-)
"I pity the poor sod who is incarcerated"

There are literally billions of people on the planet right now incarcerated in their homes.

The economy is a patient whose heart has stopped pumping - we've injected Trillions in liquidity to hold off 'total death' and even that aid will only hold out for several more weeks. The 'system is collapsing' very, very quickly. The numbers are off the charts like anything we've seen before, all the buzzers in the cockpit are going off at once.

'Contact Tracing' more like chemotherapy, until there's a cure or vaccine, the South Korean model is basically the only example we can expect to try to follow.

Edit: I should add, I don't care about 'the economy' as an arbitrary thing, I don't care about investors or 'the stock market'. But 'the economy' is made up of very real things, like your job, whatever you do - and it's all going down like dominos. The headlines talking abut x% reduction in GDP etc, - those are the 'don't panic it will be ok numbers'. When >80% of the population is staying at home, the system as a whole cannot move forward - it's an 'existential decline' just 'some lower amount of GDP'. It's going to be cataclysmic and will be very, very difficult for the community at large, life-threatening in many circumstances.

The population at large I think has a visceral sensitivity to 'pandemic' - we've all seen the film, we know what 'getting Covid' means to us. But the notion of the economy going down like a house of cards is more intangible to most people, so it's less of a populist issue, but it should be.

Korean style contact-tracing looks different in that light.
1. orkut.com

This was the first social network I ever signed up for. Was in it for 3 years. Google later shut it down in 2014.

2. Yahoo Messenger

Not really a website but yeah this was the de facto messenger app on every PC in India. All browsing centers had Yahoo Messenger installed.
He said “guaranteed updates” not warranties.
It's the difference between a friend giving you a note with words written on it, and finding a bunch of sticks arranged to the words by chance while strolling through the woods. There is nothing "flawed" about that valuing those things differently, how I judge things as valuable is entirely arbitrary, and entirely up to me.

And with AI it's not even by chance, even mediocre results are produced only after processing the input of countless humans. It's infinitely less cool of a coincidence than something that is actually random, like sticks forming a sentence where the wind blew them, and a complete NOP when it comes to human self-expression.
You know successful hedge funds profit more from insider trading than from any kind of analytical wizardry, right?
At RIT, this statement holds true: "You don't learn how to write software in CS, you just learn it by proxy." The CS course is focused on concepts, involving writing assembly programs to understand how stuff works. And yeah, it turns into heavy mathematics towards the end, which is why I gave it up after the first year. It turned into applied theory. If the course was in Networking (for example), you would spend your time learning the theory behind it while implementing something to apply the theory. My friend did a whole bunch of this stuff in C++/Java. He never learned how to write practical software, just enough to complete the assignments.

Most people move to Software Engineering- the first two years of the CS/SWE program are virtually the same. You fairly quickly figure out which side of the fall you want to fall onto.
It seems to be by city and not by country. For example, Toronto and Mississauga Ontario, Canada, have different ratings. The initial map is by country, but that's a given.

I was initially surprised by the Toronto/Mississauga results, but then I remembered Mississauga had one of the best mayors they could have possibly asked for, until she retired after serving her office for 36 years. She must have been doing something right.
Since you asked: I'm downvoting because your statement is not of use to me and it gets in the way of things that are of use.
Every indication is this was an honest mistake that was discovered due to the grant. The costs associated with the experiment where still there. Taking back grants in this situation would disincentivize scientific honesty.
Yes, really.

Source, my brother-in-law is a WSOP champion in Omaha Hi-Lo. At low levels of play, the edge for skill isn't so big, but once you get someone who knows the game the edge goes up.

Tip, one of the best positions to be in is going for both hi and lo while an opponent thinks they have a lock on one of those. They feel committed to matching any bet, but you're going to walk away with 3/4 of the pot.
A cent here and there on manufacturing several hundred thousand units quickly adds up. And that's just the MCU used.

The cost of replacing the MCU with something that can run USB1.1 instead of 1.0, cost of programming, cost of dealing with broken cases that don't support HID properly (for example BIOSes that don't send "boot proto only" command, or every Mac) quickly increase the total cost. And the margins are thin.

And then there's the fact that even people who should know better often believe myths about USB being unable to report more than 6 keys - even if they are keyboard vendors who should know better and are making a high-enough margin to use better controller.
I think that. depending on the air conditioning system, it might be quite a bit worse. The density of people is huge, air flows freely between cells, prisoners eat packed together at communal tables. I bet R is like 10-20.
To compare; it's important to note that in a typical month, twice as many die in Sweden compared to Denmark, without Covid.
And this can also happen if there's a liquid nitrogen or liquid helium spill in a place without sufficient ventilation. As happened to an acquaintance of mine. If that happens get out even if you don't feel any shortness of breath.
Well, every situation could be seen as an advance considering the precedent conditions: Tolstoi's wife had to copy in handwriting "War and Peace". Three times. Corollary: It's easy to be a writer when you have a wife.
I’m just not impressed by what he writes about in regards to “universal principles of world history”. His credentials don’t make me assume everything he writes is true and what he writes is long winded and obvious.
The problem with the number of fatalities is that only one fatality is tracked.

Where is the counter for the children that die because not getting immunized because of the lockdown? (Turns out there are already tens of millions of them not getting vaccines, measles immunization is down 50%) Where is the fatality counter for depression, for weakened immune systems that lockdown causes, etc. Where is the counter for all the diseases not treated because of the lockdown? Where is the counter for famine and poverty?

Do you see the problem? There is only one counter up there ticking up every day, all common sense sacrificed to make the tick go slower.

If we had a counter for all the deaths caused by the lockdown there would be no lockdown at all.
> The U.S. has allowed the wealth gap to grow to levels that are pretty scary.

China has scary levels of wealth gap too. I think it is probably has more.

https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2019/04/06/income-inequali...

> The U.S. has continued to elect inept and crony politicians who wish to look backward instead of bring the nation forward

China is perceived to much more corrupt than the US. It is not even a competition. This index is not perfect but this is the closest we have to measuring corruption uniformly across different systems.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_Perceptions_Index

If the US is declining and China is ascending, why do we so many Chinese PhDs students (many of them my friends and hate going back) who want to stay back in the US with many years of wait time?

https://www.boundless.com/blog/visa-bulletin/

Let us please stick to facts and data.

(All the falsifiable statements in this parent comment are false but for some reason it is on top.)
Slashdot is one for the ages. I quit cold when I realized I was a karma addict. It was the first website which I kept open in a tab and hit refresh on.

I also came to love penny arcade and the filthy movie reviews linked off slashdot homepage. Thanks for your effort.
Of course keyboards can be relabeled. But they usually aren't. If, hypothetically, keyboards came with knowledge of their original labeling, that would be meaningful information. If computers used it to set a default key layout, that would make for a better default if the goal is to make key behavior match the labeling. It would fail to match the labeling if you changed the labeling, but it would still be accurate much more often than the current default.

That said, I question whether most people actually want key behavior to match the labeling. I think any touch typist would rather use their preferred layout regardless of labeling.
I think the problem emds up being that visual programming implementations I have seen over the years don't really make a moderately skilled programmer more productive or efficient.

So the value ends up being in giving more people who are unskilled or less skilled in programming a way to express "programmatic thinking" and algorithms.

I have taught dozens of kids scratch and that's a great application that makes programming accessible to "more" kids.

At work, my team abstracts complex feature creation logic into KNIME components that our analysts (who struggle with Python programming) can mix and match and run analysis.
It's no surprise that you like what you have; people like whatever it is that they have, whether they originally wanted it or not: https://www.ted.com/talks/dan_gilbert_the_surprising_science...
Yet elsewhere, hospitals are flooded and body bags piled.
> Don't understand why you have a marketing type message that offers a calculation cost of savings from not drinking bottled water.

I thought that might also be prone to inaccuracies. For example, I live in North York (a burb of Toronto) in an area where our water is paid for in the taxes. So we'd probably save a whole lot more than the estimate by not drinking bottled water. Since it is part of our taxes, we would still be paying for the taps even if we opted for bottled water.
Agree (sadly) about the decline of US. But for new hegemony look elsewhere other than China. China is a dictatorship and they inevitably fail or reform, and right now China is not heading towards reform. Also, have you seen wealth gap in China?
And that's assuming that herd immunity will be established, which we have no way of knowing until we know how long - and if - a person is immune after recovery.
I'm having a lot of trouble trying to conceptualize how "car/bike traffic" could be a giffen good. "A product that people consume more of as the price rises". Raising/creating tolls for cars decreases usage. Raising bus prices also discourages use. Could you help clarify what you meant?

As for road space usage, generally bike lanes are added by adjusting street parking, narrowing lanes, etc. Eg I worked on a recent project where two 4m lanes were turned into a 3m middle lane and 3.5m curb lane and a 0.5m buffer and a 1.0m bike lane. I can't think of many situations where bike lanes were added by removing capacity from roads that had usage approaching capacity.
A few years ago? Apple released the original iPhone at $499/$599 in 2007.
If a visual interface makes it easier, yes. If it makes it more difficult, no.

That depends on what is being built, and who is building it.

Like most things, it isn't one size fits all.

And you're going to have to actually try it out to discover what works best.
It's already diluting their brand. Harvard has had a lot of bad publicity in the past few years and it's starting to erode their cachet.
So it's science that happens to involve a computer? Maybe I misunderstood what CS truly is. I thought it was the science of computing. And while I used a lot of books and paper to study it, without the machines it would not have been of much use.
> The West can move manufacturing back home (or anywhere else with cheap labor) and China's economic prowess will be severely undermined.

The US technically can, but then how many Americans would be able to buy the $2999 iPhone (for example) to keep Apple's current valuation?
It does a tremendous number on the lungs, so it would be interesting to check that.
The numbers are per capita. Unless Swedes have a life expectancy of around 40 years, this is properly normalised.
What does declining mean in this context? Getting worse? More rudderless? Not improving as quickly? Overvalued? The US could be improving and be overvalued at the same time.

There is still a lot of innovation coming out of the US despite it maybe being a bit inefficient.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/spain/

Log scales are your friend here. The virus was pretty clearly growing exponentially in early March. The implications of that level of growth - unchecked - are terrifying.
Tips for Mathematical Handwriting (2007)
Don't remember full details, but essentially something was broken in handling of HID reports for keyboards combined with how input events were handled in upper layers.

Resulted in some keyboards having special cases for dealing with "NKRO" on Mac.
It’s amazing that someone who has a deep nuanced view of American politics and critiques the minutia of American current events from the inside, then blindly believes vague propaganda from China (“China united and strong! Great and competent leader!”). Super common perspective from upper-middle class Americans who argue on HN and Reddit.

If you don’t live in China, don’t speak Chinese, didn’t grow up in China, have no Chinese family, then you simply have to idea what the fuck is really going on there.
debasement happens all the time https://money.visualcapitalist.com/currency-and-the-collapse...
We don't know the virus is not serious for most of the population. We know most of the population won't die of it in 2-3 months. We have evidence of lung damage, increased risk of stroke, and a slew of other things which /are/ serious, and may impact a broader segment of the population.

We've redefined "serious" to mean in an ICU, on a ventilator, within a few weeks of catching it (or in some cases, we've defined "serious" to mean dead within a few weeks). By that definition, AIDS isn't serious for most of the population.

There is a distinct lack of ROI calculations, but my ROI calculations lean towards a much stricter shutdown than we have in place right now, together with thoughtful actions to protect the economy.
The sensitivity of PCR tests to SAR-COV-2 varies over time from time to infection. I think the the OP is overestimating how narrow this window is though. It's not like you need to test within a few days or a week to be positive - it's just that viral load is maximum for only a few days (roughly the +/-3 days around onset of symptoms).

Even after the viral load in the upper respiratory tract drops off, there's still lots of virus around. You'll likely test positive -1/+2 weeks around onset of symptoms.
If you're interested in Django, Django Chat by Will Vincent and Carlton Gibson is great:

https://djangochat.com
We can all hope that you are never given a position of responsibility in the public policy realm. Many would die.
>still by and large imported / copied.

The import of intellectual property could take decades or lifetimes to truly play out. If a country could take everything we know, without the debt, it would be a stellar starting point, but wouldnt instantly make them us.
Looks fantastic! What mapping tool did you use?
Well, the type of information you're trying to gather is rather unique. Usually we just wait for a virus to run course then test lots of people to see the resulting case counts. But we can't do that here. Normally you just use a control and test group, but that doesn't work for figuring out underlying infection rates.

There are some tests trying to sample everyone in a geographic area (SF Mission census block) but the data isn't out yet because they're conducting tests as we speak.
I turned it off after 40 minutes. I appreciate movies that use slower-pacing to build tension (No Country for Old Men comes to mind) but every scene in The Blackcoat's Daughter is glacial to the point of being parody while still not accomplishing much in the way of characterization or plot development.

Maybe one day I'll revisit it, because I see it recommended all the time.