skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> This could be a reason why so many otherwise young and healthy doctors and nurses have been killed by this virus.

This isn't well supported by data. In the sense that (a) young people just aren't particularly affected any more so than with the flu (old and sick people of course are much worse off) and (b) in Italy's data, no health professionals under the age of 49 died. There have been some deaths outside Italy but on average the trend mirrors the broader trend: if you're young and healthy, you're just fine. [1, 2]

I get that there's wide-spread panic, but we should allow the data to guide us where it exists. This isn't the time to spout off unsubstantiated fear-inducing commentary.

We need to keep our wits about us if we're going to tackle this effectively.

[1] Oxford CEBM, cached since it appears down: http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:6rohagx...

[2] Original data here in Italian: https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/bollettino/Bolletti...
Apologies.. your comment sure read a lot like 'if starve really means eat less, maybe they should just suck it up and eat less.' I though it was obvious that GP's usage of the word 'starve' wasn't to be taken literally.
If the proposed test takes 10 minutes, as Steve Jobs would say, that's not good enough. Try to make it work in 10 seconds. Like a breathalyzer. Add more liquid to the solution if necessary. I am not a doctor, but am just imagining TSA-style x-ray detectors that you walk through, while issued a disposable container to blow into, and put back into the large spinner machine.

A quick search actually reveals something:

https://www.nsmedicaldevices.com/news/astrotech-breathtest-1...
Yes I've done that and it definitely works, though I've still got "netcfg/do_not_use_netplan=true" in my cmdline for good measure, not sure if it does anything though, or even when I got that from, come to think of it.

But still, emptying a directory is not how I expect to disable what is a system service. It should be systemctl disable netplan...

I think emptying would be better than deleting the directory since it'll probably just get recreated on an update.
NSO Group is not an "Elite Nation State Hacker Group". It's a private Israeli company that sells malware (and apparently malware-as-a-service).

If they didn't rent those servers, it would be very easy for them to say to the court "we did not rent those servers, our clients did". Notably, they did not say this. Probably because they did rent the servers, and if subpoenaed the hosting provider would produce receipts showing that. And then NSO's lawyers would get disbarred.
I am using uBO. Blocking 3rd party scripts is what triggers it.
There's a point in between things blowing over and civilization collapsing. It's the point where most people will survive (if uncomfortably), but some people will starve. Perhaps because of a larger (but localized) shortage, perhaps because they'll get priced out. Some people, but not enough to cause the entire society to self-destruct. You want to make sure you and your loved ones don't become a part of this group, if it's avoidable.
You repeat the fantasy that the more vulnerable population is separable from the less vulnerable.

As well you omit the size of the vulnerable - everyone who is obese, diabetic, hypertensive, or cardiovascular diseased, or immunocompromised.

The first is just a fantasy - no one has an actionable plan to do it. The second proves the size of the problem, which exacerbates the difficulty.
He did this in Java? In one case, running on an emulator? That's removed too far from the hardware for this kind of benchmarking. Try in a hard-compiled language.

Using shifts for constant divide has been a compiler code generator optimization for decades. This is not something programmers have needed to worry about in source code for a long time, unless targeting some small microcontroller that lacks fast divide hardware.
we're in the middle of a pandemic. at some point you've got to accept that dystopia is here, and the dystopian things that are happening are realistic ways of dealing with the situtuation.

you can't reject solutions because they sound dystopian unless you've got better, non-dystopian solutions. and everybody has to stay in their homes at all times and all non-essential services are shut down is not a less dystopian solution.
Switzerland is next door to Italy and there's a significant Italian minority, so you can generally find pretty good Italian food if you look.
Free, "but if you want to take card payments there will be per-transaction charges" — not unexpected, but worth pointing out considering the emphasis on "free" in the headline.
That site is completely wrong about property taxes in California. The property tax is 1% plus a county and city level supplemental. For example, my property tax in Oakland is 1.3688%.

I have no idea how that SmartAsset got that rate. Literally it makes no sense and is comically wrong.
Coronavirus is the leading cause of death in Los Angeles County
arch is really a pleasure to use on the desktop, especially if you're already comfortable with a rolling release distro.
Assuming everything goes to plan, how will these be staffed and manufactured at scale?
So would you be willing to roll the dice then for the sake of opening up society?

In fact, are you willing to die for it? If given the choice between dying of COVID-19 or shutting down society, you're saying that you personally would choose to die?

I'm bringing this up because the difference between this and other causes of death is that not only is this transmissible, but it also has knock-on effects that we currently have no clue about (see: blood clotting). If we don't do what we can to prevent this, it could become far worse than what we originally thought.
It got filtered by cellphone companies
> He calls it the “next frontier of living for humanity.”

Sounds like something Adam Neumann would say.
Biotech startup wants to make new short-acting psychedelic drugs more accessible
See also: the Brookyln Bridge poster -

https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/cameronmoll/the-brookly...
It doesn’t need perfect compliance to push down the R0 significantly. Lockdowns in the US are mostly not being strictly enforced, but enough people are complying to have a major impact.

I think economic incentives are also fairly well aligned here. If tests are widespread, a significant segment of the market is likely to prefer locations that are testing to those that don’t, just like the market tends to prefer clean restaurants to unsanitary ones.
Fair enough. But I hope that line of reasoning has limits. After all, it would be safer to send everyone by truck to a quarantine camp instead of back to their apartment where they might infect their neighbors in the lobby, wouldn’t it?
After the whole Theranos debacle, I'm most curious how due diligence was done on this team and their technology.
That's for men ($991/week). For women it's about $42k ($796/week)
> And yes, it was a deliberate decision, but not for the profit motivations you're suggesting. It was based on maintainability and developer velocity, when we realized we were not going to out-compete Google with engineer headcount. We had to simplify and reduce our nonessential complexity overhead.

How naive to think that copying your competitor makes you gain many users!

Edit (references):

1. https://www.dedoimedo.com/computers/firefox-addons-future.ht...

2. https://www.dedoimedo.com/computers/firefox-29-sucks.html

3. https://www.dedoimedo.com/computers/firefox-suckfest.html

4. https://www.dedoimedo.com/computers/firefox-disable-australi...
"template<typename ABCType> foo(const ABCType& someObject)" will call the most optimized code path at compile time if the type is properly cast before the call.

In this case, the inheritance is unnecessary as long as all the types implement the same function names. So the runtime type detection, whatever it is, only needs to be run once at the start of the callstack and then an entire chain of operations will be more optimized than if you had used interfaces and virtual functions throughout.
It's a fully automated solution, like an airport kiosk or a subway turnstile. Maybe I need to make that more clear?
"unsuitable for that purpose"

"WESTERN DIGITAL DOES NOT PROVIDE ANY OTHER WARRANTIES OF ANY KIND, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, THE IMPLIED WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE"
The computer I use today still has 3.5" floppy drive.
Okay so something like:

probability of spreading = a * n
probability of infected = b * n

where:
a,b = some blackbox function for spreading/infection ratio?
n = number of people you meet

Assuming both are independent events we get:

p = a * b * n^2

I can see how we get n^2 with that. The way I'm using a, and b seems clumsy though, is there a better way?
Can you be sure it's not an existential threat?

Can you guarantee that a healthy person who gets this 3 times doesn't have a 100% fatality rate (i.e. it gets worse each time?)

Can you guarantee asymptomatic people don't become sterile? (Not saying they do, but if they did this would be an existential crisis and lead to our extinction after a generation).

Can you guarantee asymptomatic people still won't have lung damage permanently? (some asymptomatics athletic types have shown severe decline in lung abilities following covid19).

SARs was bad, but was wiped out so it's moot, AIDS is easier to avoid -don't have sex. ebola I think isn't as viral, and has been mostly contained, iirc they may have a vaccine launched or soon will and better treatments -- it's never gone full global like this.

Covid-19's problem is it's severe viralness and r0. It spreads and keeps on spreading, and there's a ton we don't know about how bad having had it will be to even those with minor cases. until we know for sure on all these factors, the more we can quell it the better.
If I had to start learning Data Science again. ¿How would I do it?
If your flour is unbleached it'll already have yeast in it. You can turn it into a starter with a bit of easy regular work: https://www.alieward.com/ologies/gastroegyptology
Silicon Valley Preppers
The point is that you may not be able to use block storage at the start, but as time goes on your needs may change, giving you more latitude.
https://sftreasurer.org/property/understanding-property-tax

San Fransisco is 1.1801%, so 11,801 on a million dollar house.
Housing is considerably more than 2x.

Average cost of a house in America is around $380k, average cost of a house in San Francisco is $1.7M according to Zillow. San Jose is $1.2M. Fremont is $1.1M. The cheapest (and not a great place to live and horrible commute) place in the Bay Area is Vallejo and that's still $450k.

So 3-6x more expensive depending on where you look generally.
This is a solution that could work provided we have a rapid on the spot test. David States has recently proposed exactly such a test and apparently his company is woking on developing it [1].

The major problem with all self-testing and isolation strategies is getting population buy in and what to do about poor countries.

It is difficult to get population buy in if the economic cost of being positive is high (which it would be for many). If people have to isolate for weeks then it will be difficult to get the working poor to test and/or quarantine themselves if positive. This virus is so infectious that even a small percentage of people not voluntarily participating is a problem. It might be possible to overcome this issue via some rewards (say a cash payment), but this would need to be carefully structured to not encourage people to infect themselves and/or fraud.

A daily test is unlikely to be viable for most poor countries in the world. I am not sure how we would overcome this problem outside of a cheap vaccine.

1. https://twitter.com/statesdj/status/1253794887062958081
Who and what company is behind Vivaldi? Do people have any concern on security and privacy by using it?
That doesn’t really make sense. If you’re driving too fast, even with perfect focus you could hit someone or something before your normal reaction time could recognize and avoid it.
The article is suggesting daily testing and used "testing at the door" as an example.

Wouldn't it stand to reason that you could be tested once per day, in the parking lot to a mall or some other shopping establishment, and thereafter _verify_ that you had been tested that day for the remainder of your commercial transactions?

Thinking in those terms, 10 minutes per day is not so great of an imposition. We could formalize it and create drive-through test centers where you drive up, spit into the tube, have a bar code on your phone scanned, and drive off. On your way to the mall you get a text message with your results. Everywhere else you visit that day scans your phone upon entry and confirms that you've been tested.
Again, as always, Sweden seems to be doing it just fine.
Check out Man's Search for Meaning.
Precisely: my first thought was of Guys and Dolls, and "A Person Could Develop a Cold".
you can definitely assume they have a cozy relationship:

> NSO's founders are ex-members of Unit 8200, the Israeli Intelligence Corps unit responsible for collecting signals intelligence.[9]
The beauty of open source is that if you find a project's maintainers lacking in some way, you can always fork the project. When the fork becomes more popular, it can lead to changes in the original.
To their credit, the economics SE recently answered the question "why is the price of oil negative?" with an explanation of futures, and not with "it isn't"
While the young might rarely die, this illness is not something you want even if young. It can be pretty brutal and there is some evidence that it causes damage to lung even in the absence of symptoms.
I really hope this works. Without some new testing technology, I just don't see how we can stop the spread of this disease. A month ago, the US did about 100,000 tests per day. Yesterday, the US did about 200,000 tests. Growth in testing started off as exponential but now it looks linear.[1] Even if testing capability doubled every month, it would take 8 months before we could test every American once a week. (200,000 * 2^8 == 51,200,000, which is 15% of the population.)

It only took a couple of months for 20% of New Yorkers to get infected.[2] If we assume that half the population will get this disease over the next two years, and we assume an infection fatality rate of 0.3%, that's around 500,000 deaths. (328,000,000 * 0.5 * 0.003 == 492,000). Those are optimistic projections. The IFR is likely higher and the R0 is somewhere between 3 and 9[3], so that means at somewhere between 60% and 90% of the population needs to be infected before we get herd immunity.[4]

Unless there are radical improvements in testing and/or treatment, I think we'll end up with at least 500,000 deaths in the US. That would mean we're about 10% of the way through this catastrophe. So strap in, it's gonna be a long ride.

1. https://twitter.com/COVID19Tracking/status/12538071759457443...

2. https://twitter.com/NYGovCuomo/status/1253353516803993600

3. https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282_article

4. For the relationship between R0 and herd immunity, see figure 2 of this paper: https://academic.oup.com/cid/article-pdf/52/7/911/847338/cir...
Especially a test environment that accurately mirrors a production environment.
Re is a different number based on what proportion of the population is immune. Here we are talking about R0.

The point I am making is that some of the people who are on lockdown are truly positive for the virus. That’s why it works. They don’t have the opportunity to spread it outside their habitation unit.
Yeah but Kanye is actually generating billions in revenue and is one of the biggest cultural icons right now which imo gives him more of a pass to be weird.

Neumann was more of a conman that was only good at turning billions of dollars into...billions of dollars of debt. And don't forget his weird cultish entourage.
History of British Columbia's Amateur (Ham) Radio License Plates
An honest query by a non-medical professional as I'm sincerely curious...

Paul advocates daily saliva-based testing, but as an intermediary imperfect, but "better than nothing" measure, what are the benefits and drawbacks of requiring people entering public shared spaces to have their body temperatures taken via handheld temperature guns or infrared monitors, a measure that's already taking place in much East Asia (Greater China, Japan, Korea, etc.) in public shared spaces like malls, restaurants, office buildings? My understanding is that these methods are not as accurate as direct thermometers or Paul's saliva-based test; nonetheless, they would detect a good portion of mildly symptomatic people and also have the benefit of externally signaling to the populace to continue "sheltering-in-place" if they have a fever.

Is there any issue with supply chains? Or is there scientific evidence disproving the effectiveness of this precautionary measure that's already in place in so many regions that have already seemed to have crested the first wave of the pandemic?
We tried this, but it just .. didn't work. Massive problems getting a game to launchable mode, and then it just doesn't launch. Games disappearing from the invite list, and joins not registering.

I can easily imagine that all could now be caused by overwhelming traffic, but the outcome was no game anyway.
We're already central planning (Federal Reserve unlimited support), I'm just arguing for changing the conditions of operation. Tax policy is insufficient for the effort required IMHO.
How not to spend your money OR my little lockdown giveaway experiment
This more or less sums up my position. Thank you for stating it. I think the news media played a big role in amplifying the risk in a very uncertain early period that made people treat this differently from other risks that affect us and many of the arguments right now are happening because some poeple believe the goal of society is to reach 0% death rates.

An important thing to recognize is that the disease itself is not an existential threat (even smallpox wasn't; even the plague wasn't!), but our response to it skirts creating one.
He clearly referred to them as separate concepts after he closed his bizarre point of injecting light as well.
I agree with you on everything but the last two sentences. An unprivileged user account still has a ton of power in a modern Unix or Windows system, because the security model doesn't really solve this problem: https://xkcd.com/1200/
that’s one of a number of misleading assumptions stemming from the core presumption that

> “It is my belief that the best cure for any disease is to avoid the disease.”

on top of that, even assumptions about how to do that (avoid the disease) at scale are often mistaken. that’s a big credibility hurdle.

with that said, mass and frequent testing would be a method to quarantine the infected, and get treatment for the most vulnerable (like the elderly), faster (surveillance implications notwithstanding), which would drop R0 like a rock.
More importantly, baking your own bread saves you a trip to grocery store. My household went from shopping 3-4 times a week to less than once a week. I.e. we no longer do the "fresh bread + some small items" morning runs, only the one bulk trip every ~10 days. That means reducing the number of opportunities to get infected or infect others by a factor of 5.
Some of the assays do appear to functionalize the surface to directly bind and detect viral particles. I have some familiarity with SPR but haven't used it and not to detect viruses (otherwise experienced with surface science).
> Gold is a commodity, not a currency. I can't pay my tax bill in gold.

It was actually a currency longer than Federal Reserve notes were in existence. Not sure why you'd pay your taxes in gold, but you can, only it would be based on the face value of each gold coin.
you know what else tanks the economy? lots of people dying.
There are different subtypes of antibodies that you test, some that emerge early in infection and others that emerge later. The current understanding is that the later emerging antibodies being positive generally indicates that you are not only recovered but also immune from the virus and can donate your own convalescent plasma to be used as a drug for people with the infection. If you test positive for early antibodies you are assumed to still be undergoing the course of the infection.
Sweden isn’t proof of anything, please stop using it as though it is.

Your claim is that the vulnerable can be “holed up” while everyone else goes about their happy business. There is no such thing, and I challenge you to provide the details and success as measured by per-demographic death rates of any proof you may have.
it's not a fair comparison, but for many years i have been running i3wm+dmenu+xterm as my desktop environment (and dwm instead of i3wm before that), and not even once i had given as much as a thought about performance of that. it just responds to my commands... instantaneously?

there is no need for latency-hiding animations and subsequently trying to make them run smoothly on the gpu if there's no perceptible latency.
Following up here:

I came across https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/1741-.... It's not clear if it's referring to CFR or IFR but I imagine it must be CFR given how high some of the numbers are (500 deaths per 1000 in some cases).

I agree that finding properly stratified data that is comparing IFR and not just symptomatic CFR is quite tricky.

At a minimum though, if we assume the chart I linked is CFR and compare to the Covid 5-20% CFRs we've seen, we still get that order of magnitude difference for the very, very young. But like I said in my previous comment here, I don't think the statement for all under 30's holds. It'd have to be <18 years old (and to be clear while https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/1741... is helpful, I still haven't proven anything)
If I had $35 US dollars I was entitled to an ounce of gold. The same amount would now buy 2% of an ounce of gold.

I'm more than happy to agree it is not a precise comparison. A lot has changed over the last 50 years. But even after leaving a reasonable allowance for that, someone arguing that the move off the gold standard would destroy the value of the dollar appears to be (100-2)=98% correct. If you like we can agree that the starting price was $150/oz in market prices, in which case we can agree they were 90% right.

The US government has an inflation policy; they explicitly want to reduce the value of the dollar at a rapid pace. The government is publicly on the record as thinking that is a good outcome. So maybe they would have destroyed the value of the dollar even if it was on a gold standard. That seems likely to me.

If someone was arguing that the unit of trade wouldn't be called the US dollar they were wrong. If they argued it wouldn't be used as the international unit of account they were very wrong. If they argued it would be quick then they are laughably wrong. By pretty much any other measure they were mostly right. Whether this was a bad outcome or not is debated, but given the collapse of real wage growth vs steadily growing productivity after 1970s I don't see how it can be argued that inflation is working. Working to do what, get everyone indebted to banks? High real GDP growth is good for the averages but hasn't done very much for real median wages for example.
Parity Argument
You should delete that link. It looks like whoever owns that site left an, uh, easter egg, for HN visitors. A rather inappropriate one.
Yes, basically that. Your expected lifespan is lowered by 0.5%, which is around 0.38 years.
I'm not Italian, but from what I've seen (from watching YT videos on pizzas) they say always use the raw puree.
pretty hard to educate people when the tools for distinguishing between bullocks and expwrt opinion are discredited by 1000 yourube videos.