skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Just so you know, around 3 million people die in the US every year, many of the million people you expect to die would have ended up being counted in that 3 million background statistic.

More importantly, herd immunity is the ONLY solution on the table right now, the lockdown is not about stopping the virus in its tracks. It is about spreading it out over a period of time.
That's interesting, I come to the exact opposite conclusion (I am admittedly not a telephone network expert, maybe I am missing some important things).

But I don't see why having voice conversations over the internet is the issue. The issue is these systems keeping compatibility with old telephone networks which prevents solving these problems. If we dropped that compatibility requirement we could require a certificate authority and be able to verify callers and use end-to-end encryption, just like with https.

Or maybe better would be a compromise where all these systems can still fall back to unencrypted/unsigned connections, but on any modern phone or cell phone it would show a big insecure warning like modern browsers do for http.
On the other part, those who are more vulnerable are more aware, and are implementing more measures in their daily living, hence they are not getting infected as much, currently.

Hope it stays that way.
Thanks, it actually supports lots of diagrams, like wireframes and graphs in dot notation, check https://plantuml.com/ for more details and thank them, as their project is the great piece and I just gathered a couple of projects together.
You may be looking at "settled" numbers when all was said & done and all facts were known. That's not an "apples to apples" comparison with current covid-19 knowledge.

Here's my source [0] and the relevant quote, below. It is the CFR during the H1N1 pandemic, 10 weeks into it, which is why it is a much more appropriate (though not perfect) "apples to apples" comparison with Covid-19:

>"The overall case fatality rate as of 16 July 2009 (10 weeks after the first international alert) with pandemic H1N1 influenza varied from 0.1% to 5.1% depending on the country."

[0] https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-...
A) You'll know which communities have infections. Many places are saying: "it's not bad here, why should we isolate?"

B) If you know that someone with bad symptoms has the virus, then you can go test everyone they contacted. You'll find more people who currently have mild or no symptoms.
I agree the point of lockdown was to prevent getting overwhelmed and without it we would have had some regions with overwhelmed systems.

However, we more than met that. Not only were hospitals not overwhelmed, many hospitals had such little work that they ceased operations.

That means we clearly overreacted, at least in those areas. Now, it's time to loosen up, and let all those hospitals that literally had so few patients they were closing down to have a reason to exist.

For example, California locked down early -- good for them! But their ICUs were not anywhere near capacity. They've now had a month to expand capacity, which they've done. That means they can handle more sick people. California should think about opening up a little, and then, as some get sick with COVID and need ICU care, we can be assured there will be ICU space. We have better numbers now and can run a model that ensures ICUs run at or near capacity so that more people can be at work while everyone can be assured there is an ICU bed should they need it.

What I don't understand is your perspective. It is clear we had excess ICU capacity during the lockdown. Doesn't that mean we wasted resources in getting to herd immunity. The point of a lockdown is to 'flatten the curve', not make the virus go extinct (which is all but a pipe dream at this point). We cannot get herd immunity unless more people get it. The danger in letting everyone get it at once is that we run out of ICU beds. The danger in locking down too hard is that we have excess ICU beds that could have been used to get us to herd immunity faster. We had a lot of excess ICU beds in the country. That means we wasted time. That's okay -- we had information at the time we now know was not 100% correct. Let's adjust the models and continue on.
YMMW but I had a really good experience with 2x scaling on a 4k Laptop Screen in standard Ubuntu and gnome. There are still some apps which ignore dpi settings (zoom) or need to be forced to scale (often electron stuff, although you can usually just zoom with Crtl+ there). Otherwise awesome sharp text and fluid.

Fractional scaling seems to be quite a mess, at least in KDE it breaks a lot of layouts.
Especially now that attacking/defending WHO has become an extension of political debates.
FWIW, I think this is a useful idea. But I think it would be more helpful if you clearly explained why you choose those stats and rethought what you are trying to say. I personally care about "When can I feel safe going out?" Testing is just a means to that end.

* I would lead with the % of the population tested (not the total) and make it in the last 7 days, since I really care how likely they are to detect a current outbreak.

* I think to be really useful, it needs to be localized by county, since what I really care about is how likely I am to get infected, and that means I are about testing in my area.

* I would go with the positive rate in the last 7 days. It's important to explain that a high positive rate indicates they are probably only testing people with symptoms, and so they are probably missing lots of infectious asymptomatic cases.

* Then, I think I would drop the recent growth rate in testing, because I suspect that the growth rate is not going to grow consistently, and also that testing growth will be unevenly distributed. I am skeptical that it is meaningful to try to predict when testing will achieve specific milestones.
Yep, I agree with you. I was trying to make the point that massive transportation is not the only factor at play. Like you said, there are many others that should be considered.
A primer on some C obfuscation tricks
My point is you're not a customer after all. IG customers are advertisers. Why advertisers wouldn't be happy with a new change?

We do try to improve products we use but in this story unfortunately you don't have a voice because if you're not an advertiser. Think about how much ads you need to sell to earn 1B back at least and sustain operating expenses especially when you're not trying to be lean with your resources.
Number of deaths in NYC divided by total population is 15,000/8,000,000. This already puts the fatality rate at at least 0.2.

But the consequences are far from over and the number of deaths will keep climbing, so your "fatality rate may be as low as 0.10-0.20%" is completely off the mark.

edit: I am sorry if my tone was interpreted as confrontational. I otherwise agree with the parent's post that we need much more antibody testing.
But there is evidence in all of the asymptomatic people getting tested and not having any affects worth making it into a report.

Could they have hidden damage that we can't detect? Plausible. But that is true of many activities. And illnesses.
Is Working from Home a Threat to Your Home Network? – Between the Hacks
In Florida unemployment is a max of 235 dollars for a max of 12 weeks. Nobody is going on unemployment for a raise here.
I'm not upset but indeed, you get reminded daily that you're not American because of sites like this.
And the specificity of the test might be worse than advertised but it wouldn't be credible that it could be making a big different with the 20% positive rate here.
This is a prisoners' dilemma/tragedy of the commons dynamic[0]: any improvement per megadollar donated is of limited benefit to donater specifically, because it's spread out over the entire aristocracy[1]. So it's actually affermatively wrong to willingly donate any money to welfare projects, versus spending that money to bribe (sorry, 'lobby') politicians to impose welfare-directed taxes on the entire aristocracy (and thus deprive the more sociopathic 90% thereof of the ability to opt out of donating to the local homeless shelter, and gain a stragic advantage thereby).

This is the same reason why it's prefectly resonable for a corporation to engage in Google/Facebook style adware and spyware deployment (or any other unilateral only-not-crimes-because-the-law-hasn't-caught-up) provided that they also lobby to criminalize the very tactics they're currently using. (This is not hypocricy, this is appropriate response to a molochian incentive structure.)

0: internal to the aristocracy[1], not aristocracy vs lower classes

1: substitute a different term for "uppermost upper class" if you prefer
You're still missing my point.

I'm saying all sickness comes with a long term cost. It gives you a shove toward the grave. Covid19 falls into that category, regardless of how much or little we know about it.

Now you could argue that sickness and aging don't work that way. I don't think you'd be right, but you can make that argument.

Your argument about the long term effects of covid19 is not relevant to the point I made.
While bullshit is certainly a problem there are some major problems with your proposals.

1. How can you tell type A from type B before seeing them to ensure the "right" people get all of the funding?

2. Part of the reason the rich are encouraged to work is because they have proven high value of sort - regardless of the basis of the evaluation. The immorality assumes a smooth transition of similiar expertise would be trivial - along with experience not mattering. To be frank that is seldom the case.

3. Capital availability allows for upscaling which gives massive efficency over the small scale - it is why the megacompanies can retain dominance. If they could only produce product at a worse margin and quality then dealing with a mass of small scale producers would be a way to get concrete gains.
Yeah but when you need a desktop you're back to using a big desktop or use a coherent set of smaller apps, hence lubuntu.
You are correct, edited.
We also know that mortality rates have jumped up well beyond what is being reported in official covid mortality, with no other reasonable explanation apart from Covid.

https://theweek.com/speedreads/910226/excess-mortality-data-...

Frankly, it's just wishful thinking to cherry pick the highest estimate for the number of people who have been infected, and the lowest estimate for the number of deaths.
looks like this trick isn't working anymore: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9IYZ8mktk7k&t=40s
Fear of Satellites That Outnumber All Visible Stars [2019]
> Unfortunately, some conditions force the discrete GPU to activate - one of which is "being plugged into an external monitor."

Had something similar with AMD (desktop) GPU some years ago. It wouldn't go to the lower power states if my desktop refresh rate was set above 119 Hz. So it would be hot and fairly loud. So I ended up using 119 Hz on the desktop and configure games to use 144 Hz.

I also noticed that the video card wouldn't decrease the RAM clock rate significantly, but when on the desktop reducing the RAM clock a lot had a very noticeable impact on heat and no measurable performance degradation. The answer I got for that was that it was tricky to dynamically scale the RAM to such a degree (IIRC I set it to half normal speed). I ended up using an overclocking tool with profiles, worked fine.
Fk you instagram, I'm blocklisting your site and I'll never visit it again.
Intel Extreme Tuning Utility lets you tweak almost any parameter but it only works on Windows, if you have dual boot you can use it though (I think) as it persists settings to the firmware/BIOS. For MacOS there’s e.g. “Volta” I think which can help.
You should try talking to a Taiwanese person to see what they think, instead of being a shill for PRC.
Feel free to take it up with the Stanford researchers and the LA county health commissioner. I'm simply sharing their reports.
On first read, I didn't understand how the call to the bank's customer service department went wrong.

Something about that conversation didn’t seem right, and so Mitch decided to use another phone to place a call to his bank’s customer service department — while keeping the first caller on hold.

“When the representative finally answered my call, I asked them to confirm that I was on the phone with them on the other line in the call they initiated toward me, and so the rep somehow checked and saw that there was another active call with Mitch,” he said. “But as it turned out, that other call was the attackers also talking to my bank pretending to be me.”

What happened is that the attackers made one call to Mitch, and another call to the bank posing as Mitch. When Mitch called the real bank to check up if there was a call in progress, they said yes (the call with the attackers).
One more little note: I can't think of any other stores that have had to make a similar claim of 'focusing on the essentials.' At the other end of the spectrum, my local Costco has been fantastically stocked at all times except for the few super-demand items like toilet paper and soap.
I guess if this were the 1500s YouTube would only have us post videos that confirm that witches and heretics should be burned at the stake. Maybe it would be okay to talk about a few more crusades.

Mankind improves because systems become big, rigid, and unable to evolve. People come along and point that out, suggesting various theories about how those systems got that way, the reasons why they are wrong, and offering suggestions for improvement.

It needs to be said that 99% of the time, these people are wrong. They're emotionally ill, they don't understand the situation, they have perhaps virulent and insidious ideologies that blind them to reality. These are exactly the people you want in the public square. They teach the youth about critical thinking and how to reason about your view of the world. They let the rest of us keep an eye on them in case they get violent. Plus, many of them are just happy to yell into the void; without that, there would be a lot more violence than there would be otherwise.

But every 1% of the time, those folks are actually right. Slowly they convince the rest of us. Our species improves.

YouTube can't do this. Whatever their intentions, they are directly acting against the health of our species by creating a new orthodoxy. They have to be stopped, whether broken up, taxed, or banned. It's not that the WHO is wrong here. They're probably right. It's that YouTube is making it so that the WHO can never be wrong, ie, we can never have a public discussion about their policies. Worse still, history has shown us that when you start going down this route you are actually acting against your society's interest. People treated as if they can't think for themselves turn into a population that can't think for itself. The WHO is fine, it's YouTube that has become the real enemy to public health by doing this.
I’m a big believer in use cases that fit on-prem solutions like that. But you’re dreaming if you think a 6-10 box operation is going to come close to the same service levels as AWS, and if you want to replicate the developer experiences that you can achieve on AWS, you’re going to have to devote a lot of resource to it. Whether scaling works well on-prem depends entirely on your scaling requirements. If you have bursty loads, or sudden increases in utilization, then scaling is going to be painful, because it will require hardware procurement, which is a slow process. There’s situations where it makes sense, but there’s way more factors than you’re considering in this comment, and you’ve completely misrepresented what the trade offs are.
That's not it, the web interface still works as long as you're logged in, no app needed. My guess is they are sick of scrapers and data miners. If login is needed, they can ban and the proxy hustlers will have a hard time.

FWIW, here in Sweden I can still look at feeds without being logged in.
Node.js SMPP Stress Tester with configurable parameters
The time to go positive on an antibody test is not zero either, probably 7 to 14 days. Also the infection rate is lower now than it was in the past. I doubt this adds up to more than 50% higher mortality.
Google Maps SDK Crash
Unfortunately a comment like this is likely to start an unholy argument about holy people.
Depends on the true distribution of the classes. Although the naive strategy gets even higher accuracy if the classes are unbalanced.
I was answering to people saying that because the chance is only 10% then maybe it's not worth it, and that's why I made that point, I don't understand why are you talking about some unrelated life extension stuff, this is infectious disease and its treatment. I wanted to personalize it because then it's harder to say no compared to talking about abstract dehumanized numbers, or unknown and unrelated people (from policy maker perspective); and I thought it's obvious that "do not treat" should be respected. English is not my native language, I will do better next time.
> It's not actually required.

Yes, going to exactly the same person is not always required (depends on how good their customer notes are--in my experience there's quite a bit of variability there).

Going to the right department immediately instead of being placed on infinite hold like someone who just randomly called in is required for something like this to work.
This has been my realization too: maybe the USA would be better off splintered.
Conflicts – controversial yet intrinsic to any community
I am skeptical of this because there are almost no essentials that are available to order.
And Switzerland?

Insofar as the EU has issues, it's because power has begun to become too centralized, and there are growing Euroscepticism movements across the Union.
Especially with deepfake voices. That CEO instructing you to move cash right now might now because of an emergency...
Maybe, more rapid trips may reduce your odds of being there when the sample happens on a day. Such that you may have a lower p. :)
Facebook Just Invested $5.7B in India's Largest Telecom Carrier
His data from the Diamond Princess is completely outdated. He cited 7 deaths. We are now up to 13 with 7 more on critical condition. He has been completely wrong in each of his predictions.

I would respect him more if he just argued from am economic perspective that the economic damage is greater but his wild hypotheses about Covid being comparable to the common cold or flu have been completely refuted by all data.
I'd be surprised if this is true. Instead, I read things like this as "we're not going to tell you our reasons", and I suspect most other people do too.
Isn't one too many?
Flu rates are based on all known knowledge, population testing, etc. We don't have that for covid-19. If you want a good apple-to-apples comparison of lethality of another pandemic, you need to find CFR numbers that were available during the pandemic. That is what I provided in my post. Here is the source I got them from [0] which gives the CFR at the 10-week mark for H1N1, somewhat similar to where we are now. Here's the relevant quote:

>"The overall case fatality rate as of 16 July 2009 (10 weeks after the first international alert) with pandemic H1N1 influenza varied from 0.1% to 5.1% depending on the country."

[0] https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-...
I hope that the numbers stay at .6% and that the difference from previous estimates might even be improvements we've made in figuring out how to care for people suffering from Covid-19. But I remember being happy at how low South Korea's numbers were when their epidemic peaked and receded then watching the case fatality rate slowly climb up to the 2.2% it's at today. So I'm not counting any chickens just yet.
"the cell was firstly operated at an electrolysis mode with a constant current density of 0.6 A cm−2 for three minutes to generate hydrogen, which was instantly consumed by switching to a fuel cell mode at 0.2 A cm−2 for two minutes"

So, 22% round trip efficiency
Michael Moore Presents: Planet of the Humans – Directed by Jeff Gibbs
Which is still a far cry from the 4% mortality rate predicted in March.
Interesting:

I had no idea there was an Idaho National Lab.

The new electrode is a perovskite which is a crystal structure tangentially related to superconductors among other things.

The electrode allows for reversible operation in the 400-600 degC range.
(Co-founder here). It's coming, I promise. I'm as excited as you are. We wanted to iron out the kinks on mobile (i.e. iOS) before duplicating them on another platform. Thankfully, we're past that point now.
Servers blades are typically cooled by noisy fans spinning incredibly fast and moving large quantities of air. Not really a good comparison IMHO. A better comparison is simply one with non-Apple laptops.
You are taking their preliminary, non-peer reviewed data and making poorly founded arguments on top of them.
HCL, which is what GitHub Actions used when it first launched
Sorry, I haven't used the app and can't find much from the limited screenshots on the app store. But from whatever is available I see it has a timer and Presentify has a cursor highlighter instead.

The different shapes are coming in the next release to Presentify so I am not considering it for the comparison now.
It took almost 30 years, but the look on first-time Mexican Coke drinkers faces was priceless. They all became conspiracy believers that day.
Bug or feature? If the shopper does a terrible job and brings the complete wrong things, you should be able to reduce the tip.

Presumably the argument against this is that it should not be allowed because then the shoppers don't make a reasonable living wage. Then why not solve the actual problem? Raise the delivery fee to where the wage is reasonable, don't make them rely as heavily on tips.
There’s also the apparently massive use of Azure, if the companies currently jumping in there are looking to do huge cloud spend in a few months I’m not sure AWS will be the winner there. Though maybe this is all a big enough market for them both to see massive growth, I’m definitely just speculating.
The existing antibody studies have come under scrutiny for a multitude of reasons. One, the samples were not randomized. Two, the tests are not very accurate. Three, we are still unsure what level of antibodies will confer immunity if at all.

Also, a raw fatality rate is useless in a vacuum. NYC has had a lot of deaths and if wasn't for the shelter in place, hospitals may have been completely overwhelmed. Fatality rate be damned.

Finally, comparing COVID-19 to the seasonal flu is simply incorrect in nearly all instances. For example, the seasonal flu fatality rate is likely much lower than listed because of how many cases never get counted. In order to even think about comparing the two, we would also need proper antibody studies done for the season flu in prior years and not just either presented cases or estimates.

Edit - added links to some information

https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/no-covid-19-is-not-just-a-b...

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/04/antibody-surveys-sug...
"Exploding offers" (the deal is off when he leaves) and other hard-sell tactics are big red flags in general, IMO. If I get a whiff of hard-sell it's an automatic and unconditional "no."
> I've been making many posts arguing against the efficacy of lockdowns (and been getting shat on by points I find mostly naive).

I skimmed some of your comment history. Your comments aren't as rock solid as you believe, and there are many points either glossing over things or complete ignorance.

> More people will die if the lockdown is lifted, and many of those who would have died anyway will die sooner.

Are you really arguing many would have died anyways? How many? What percent? You're ignoring the reality that in regions with overwhelmed healthcare systems they're having to engage in triage (read: many people are dying who would not have died anyways) since they cannot treat everyone. This isn't just for covid-19, but for people with other treatable conditions.