skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
He's not. He's hyping his biomedical startup which is trying to make a cheap plasmon covid test. Whether or not he's right, that's sort of right at the HN sweet spot for relevance.

Will it work? God I hope so, but it doesn't seem prudent to bet on it. We know several existing technologies for covid testing that will work. We know they can scale. We know how expensive they are. And while they aren't cheap, we know can afford it at the federal level.

That we still refuse to actually pull the trigger on mass testing and announce a program to fund and launch a universal covid testing regime is just infuriating.

I mean, I desperately hope that a magic bullet like this will pop up to save us. But we know how to beat this. We just won't.
> Rule 2: Treat yourself like you would someone you are responsible for helping

I've never seen someone turn the Golden Rule inward like this. I like it.

> Rule 5: Do not let your children do anything that makes you dislike them

Other people will do what they do. The only thing you have control over is your own reaction. Most adults understand this.

> Rule 6: Set your house in perfect order before you criticise the world

Nobody's house is in perfect order. Internalizing the tu quoque fallacy of relevance is not good philosophy.

> Rule 8: Tell the truth – or, at least, don’t lie

I'd mention the "Jew in the attic" thought experiment, but there's probably some way to successfully hide the Jew without telling a "lie" if you're clever enough about defining what a "lie" is and what precise statements you make.

> Rule 11: Do not bother children when they are skate-boarding

Unless this conflicts with Rule 5, I suppose.

(I don't have any issue with the statements I didn't respond to.)
> If we were able to identify and quarantine everyone who is contagious, including those who are asymptomatic, then we could let everyone else out of lockdown and resume ordinary social and economic activity.

> Even with imperfect screening, if we are able to prevent 90% of disease transmission, then the virus’s reproductive number, or R0, will drop below one and the pandemic will quickly fade. There is no risk of reintroduction from the outside because any new outbreaks will quickly be caught and contained. If used consistently, there will be no second wave, ever.

I'm not sure this "test and release" strategy works unless absolutely everybody gets tested simultaneously.

Even if testing of the total population can be completed in a week (a highly ambitious timeframe), there's still time for people released on Day 1 to be reinfected by people who don't get tested until Day 6.

Then you have to go through who knows how many follow-up rounds of testing absolutely everybody not in quarantine to identify those people. When responding to new outbreaks involves re-testing large populations of people, you're going to run into many problems. Notification, compliance, testing fatigue, etc.

Sounds like a logistical nightmare.
> What amazes me is how consistent the behavior is across all platforms. It locks up on Windows, and it locks up on my iPad. Write once, run anywhere!

The joke from the java days was "Write once, crash anywhere!", although I suppose "Write once, freeze anywhere!" was more common unless you ran out of memory.
The things that generally kill Americans (heart disease, cancer, car crashes, diabetes, etc) aren’t contagious, so this is a bad analogy.
as crossover is based on wine, why not ask them for the source?
Watch A video of 45M viewers who removed Ronaldo's girlfriend from
One thing to consider is that with the alzheimers trials, the mice might be so different that what works in humans might not work in mice. We dont yet have the tools and infrastructure to deal with that hypothetical, though there is some promising work with lab on a chip and brain organoids that could solve that sort of problem of it turns out to be the case
actually dash-to-dock is working just fine for multiple monitors (and given the strange UI paradigm of Gnome basically a must have). The ubuntu-dock is just a none-configurable version of that. AND in 20.04 the full dash-to-dock just vanished...
I can't find a source after a cursory search, but IIRC the Soviet RORSATs are still the second or third biggest source of space junk today (#1 being the 2007 Chinese test of an antisatellite weapon). A few of them had nuclear reactors fail in dramatic ways, although a lot of their debris is just from leaking coolant.
> How does wearing it in your car alone increase exposure?

Because any pathogens you were exposed to in public are behind held up against your mouth for an extended period of time.
This isn't a unique idea. This is the mainstream view. Everyone knows we need more testing and that testing is the only way to effectively ease distancing rules. That was a pretty extensive writeup to say what we've been hearing from all rational information outlets for a month.
I wouldn’t refer to the first stage as an apology, it is simply an acknowledgement.

I very rarely apologize for a bug at work. I don’t expect others to apologize to me either. Apologies should be reserved for personal/relationship things, like forgetting to invite somebody to a meeting.
Novid (Contact Tracing App from CMU's Po-Shen Loh)
HN is an internet watercooler. It exists for curious conversation. That inevitably includes speculation—that's what people do when they converse. The question is whether it's curious (thoughtful and fresh) or uncurious (reflexive and predictable).

People being wrong is also inevitable. We don't have a truth meter, and there's a ton of uncertainty on topics like this one anyhow. I don't think it would work to try to restrict discussion so that only authoritative opinions are allowed. This community would not tolerate that sort of restriction being put on it, and it would only convert to an argument-by-proxy about who should count as authoritative. The solution, if there is one, is to converse thoughtfully and respond to one another with accurate information where possible.
At least on Windows you can mark folders hidden without having to change the name. (i.e. the app that created the folder will still find it)
they saw zoom coming for them with people calling zoom a social network for the virus age. Will be an interesting fight. But the telemeeting industry is set to explode, so it’s good to have competition.

Once we get all business meetings recorded and transcribed and searchable, it can potentially create a much more transparent organization.

It’s a great reason to exponentially expand the network bandwidth also for everyone.

There is also lots of room for innovation with plugins, and even larger meetings.
Surely uttered by people who haven't been at FAANG companies. It's not magical over here, people.

I've legit sat through 1.5 hour long calls with 6 other devs so we could watch our manager type notes into a presentation that he'll give to a collection of other managers who will only be half-listening until it's their turn to be visible, and all because some other, more powerful manager, decided this was important for the org to do.

It was layers of bureaucracy so deep I wasn't sure where I was anymore.
I don't understand what this question means. Clearly none of the current employees' jobs have been automated, since otherwise the job wouldn't exist.
Considering that Flatpak was essentially a hostile fork of the AppImage project motivated by Red Hat's insatiable hunger for control, I find it ironic when Flatpak supporters complain about Canonical "doing their own thing".
One way to achieve ubiquitous screening is for people to perform regular VO2max tests (loosely speaking; you can do submaximal exercises for this). You quickly figure out if you have a stress on your immune system (by watching various metrics), and there are sports-science papers showing this (because they use it to avoid overtraining, which also appears as a stress on the immune system). This is of course not easy to achieve with our current culture. It used to be that physical achievement was valued. Only a small fraction of society pushes against their VO2max in a regular way that can be measured and tracked to detect the immune-system stress. If people were to pursue this approach, they'd become a lot healthier in general.
Software engineering salaries are not exorbitant. In fact, engineers may be consistently underpaid for the value delivered. A small team can create millions for executives and shareholders. Ping pong tables etc are a sad tool for management to placate the people who drive the company value up, to keep them from unionizing and realizing the power they hold.
I knew a guy that was part of the beginnings of the cable frontier running numerous cable headends. Any time he needs to align a new dish, he does it by hand. He knows where a specific satellite is, and a particular signal coming from it. Once he finds it, he pans the dish across the line of satellites until he gets to the one needed. As you pan across the sky, you can use a scope to see each of the birds come in and out of alignment. The constellations are known, so you map out which ones are which. Some of the signals are scrambled, but there's a lot to be learned, and if it is TV broadcast, decoders are available. A lot of this gear is available second/third/fourth hand now. With the right gear, it is possible to learn a lot of this stuff on your own with some google searches. Learning to decode what's already coming down is just a step on the way to learning about what goes up.

Useless satellite trivia: from time to time, it becomes necessary to adjust the orbit of the satellites (like a wandering disabled satellite). They do not fire boosters to raise/lower the orbit directly as that requires too much fuel. Instead, they speed up/slow down the horizontal speed to increase/decrease altitude. With enough notice, they can do this very incrementally and fuel efficiently.
Flatpak is marketed as a better Snap (it surely has some advantages: no vendor lockdown), but at the end of the day, the system integration is not that good, I tried to use the Flatpak of Wireshark back in the day when I tried Fedora Silverblue, I ended up regretting that experiment.
It's daily screening for exactly that reason. Is there something I should change to make that more clear?
If you can move your VPS over to Amazon, EBS (Elastic Block Store) is what you are looking for, but it's likely not much cheaper than you're currently paying (EBS is priced at $0.10/month per gb, so $4/mo for 40gb of general purpose).

You can mount S3 buckets as a hard disk on a VPS, but that isn't the main use case for S3.
Gnome 3 runs like an absolute dog on my Skylake notebook using Ubuntu 19.10. I don't know what metrics you have been looking at, but as a regular user I "feel" that the UI is constantly lagging during regular use. I didn't think it was this bad when I was using Fedora in the past, but that was a wayland based installation.
That's a terrible analysis, for reasons well-covered all over HN and elsewhere.

This is a whole different thing from 'another flu'. We have to address it head-on. Throwing people (a million people?) under the bus is not going to fly, not politically and not morally.
This response right here... this could be a level. My comment? Another game level!
But this is a false dichotomy, because Flatpak is a project controlled by Red Hat. Unless by "community" project you mean AppImages.
The problem in Windows' case is that there never was a clear specification regarding what kinds of files should go where. The directory structure and environment in every version of Windows is a little different, and it's hard to write an app (or an installer) that does the right thing on all of them.
Related: the article is misguided on the women thing.

I teach CS in college. I see it every day. Women on average are more interested to work with people than men. This hasn't changed despite trying to boost girls' interest in typical STEM fields for 25 years. HR departments have been pouring money into this like mad. Hasn't moved the needle. Research has shown that girls don't fare worse in math tests if they are told beforehand that girls are worse at math. In countries where the sexes are treated more equally men more often choose thing-jobs and women more often choose people jobs.

Who thinks that if society would treat everybody completely equal, all occupations would end up exactly even distributed across the sexes? There are real differences between the sexes.

The push towards exact equal distribution in everything is futile, hasn't worked and will not work.

I think it's more important that people can choose to do what they want to do.

Sounds like a rant, sorry.
Cheap & working saliva test would be such a tracking game changer that I am really hoping it works, so good luck!
I agree with you. I just think there are more reasons why a meeting would not be productive over zoom, especially if you're working with older, non-tech people!
It's not the flu because the infection fatality rate is almost certainly a lot higher, we have no vaccine, and no reliable treatments. Seasonal flu has (semi-reliable) vaccines and antivirals and is almost definitely significantly less deadly.

Look at the excess death statistics. There's no question that it's deadlier than seasonal flu, because the seasonal flu doesn't kill a 9/11s worth of New Yorkers above the usual death rate over several weeks. If the current rate wasn't slowing we'd be looking at a death toll multiple times higher than the seasonal flu.

About 20% of people in NYC showed a positive antibody test. That's not nearly enough for herd immunity and it's not enough to push the infection fatality rate as low as the flu's.
Apologizing and feeling sorry are two different things.
If you say sorry for every bug, the word will lose meaning.
In terms of false positives, the story of Guinea pigs and penicillin comes to mind. IIRC Guinea pigs were more susceptible (might have been that their gut microflora leaned gram positive and that led to toxic effects after penicillin administration? Dont recall exactly off the top of my head).
the CFR is only as low as 0.5-1% when there is adequate medical care and the population is otherwise healthy. in NYC the CFR for the 18-45 cohort is ~5%[1].

[1]: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-se...
You'd have to use EC2 or Storage Gateway (to expose S3 as a pseudo-block device)
No analogy is perfect, but people need context to understand fatality rates, and see what risk is acceptable. Society doesn't have a goal of 0% death rates. We all accept some risk of death as a cost of continued existence.

New data is showing that the fatality rate from covid-19 is more like existing risk we were all previously exposed to in the course of our existence, and not like a second version of smallpox.
Didn't they already port the Photoshop engine to ARM? As far as I remember the iPad app shares the same engine only the user interface is different.
The articles on this blog argue exactly the same thing.
https://svpg.com/the-most-important-thing/
I really enjoy his articles, they taught me a lot.
Curb Your Enthusiasm on HBO - Larry David co-created Seinfeld and was head writer for the first 7 seasons.

It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia on FXX, Hulu, Netflix

Mythic Quest on Apple TV+ - created by people who work on It's always Sunny

Veep on HBO - staring Julia Louis-Dreyfus!

Avenue 5 on HBO - same producers as Veep
I'm considering myself as a back luck person. Graduated with CS major but has been stuck in a QA engineer position. So, after many failures to become dev, I decided to take a M.S degree to sharp my skills and my resume. But when i'm gonna graduate soon, the Covid-19 happens.
Yes, it's a thing. Most of the deep space probes were radio-nucleotide powered. Earth orbiting is less common for obvious reasons. One option is boost to a parking orbit where it'll be stable and out of the way for a couple of thousand years. But the stuff from the '60s was often "it'll burn up on reentry (cross fingers) and it's a cost of doing Cold War business if a little get's scattered around".
I have not found any mainstream sources that advocate screening everyone every day (which is very different from simply doing "more testing"). Would love some pointers if I'm wrong.
Straw-man. Many scenarios exist to get most of the benefits without resorting to 'everybody simultaneously'.

E.g. 'test and release' where only folks who've been tested are 'released' into the public. Track outbreaks and retest those cohorts thoroughly. And so on.
i mean there is a guy running for congress that doesn't believe that it's real.
But how realistic is daily screening on a wide scale? You're going to face major issues with compliance.
The record of his public behavior is most certainly context. I didn't say he was childish, but that he was aggressive; and to the extent that the press has been antagonistic, maybe because that's because he began his campaign that way.

Here's an excerpt from his announcement speech: When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.

But I speak to border guards and they tell us what we’re getting. And it only makes common sense. It only makes common sense. They’re sending us not the right people.

People like you have have lots of problems. You're bringing drugs. You're bringing crime. You're rapists. And some of you, I assume, are good people.

How do you feel to find yourself as the subject of such rhetoric? I'm guessing, not very good. You're probably feeling something along the lines of 'what did I do to you, I'm just living my life and you come along and start saying these things about me.' And before he announced his entry to the political field on that occasion, he had many times solicited attention online by making unilateral aggressive personal attacks on other public figures. What he's 'fighting back' against appears to the plain reports of his own behavior. At press conferences, when he's asked how his rhetoric comports with previous and recent statements of his that appear contradictory, he frequently complains about 'nasty questions' and engages in direct personal attacks.

And objectivity requires normalizing context for emotional influence. That means not being blind to context, but inhibiting your hatred momentarily to examine whether the media is also behaving unbecomingly.

What hatred? And which unbecoming media behavior are we talking about? I formed my negative opinion of Trump's remarks at his press conference yesterday based upon listening to them on the White house's youtube channel. I don't have a cable TV subscription so I don't rely on second-hand interpretations by news anchors or pundits. Seems like you might be experiencing a little cognitive bias of your own.
People not getting COVID-19 immunity after recovery seems an extraordinary claim that would require very strong evidence for me to take seriously.

How do you believe people recover from COVID-19?

The fact that you recover from it at all, and generate measurable antibodies in the process, and that humans generally gain some level of immunity to all the other coronaviruses we're plagued by weights my belief strongly towards at least short term immunity being very likely.
Not on the page I get: https://www.duckbillgroup.com/aws-super-simple-storage-calcu...
Have you considered a tool like Manictime?

It keeps track of what's on screen and you can tag stretches of time.

Taking a screenshot of timeline plus summary is an easy way to say 'look how long I was working' and implies you have data to respond to a challenge regarding what you were working on.

Link: https://www.manictime.com/
What problem were snaps trying to solve?
I think this is related to X-Y problems where someone wants to do x, thinks that y is the way to accomplish it, but can’t do Y either, and so goes online to ask about Y.

Everyone else knows that Y is a weird or unusual thing to be doing, but either helpfully tries to explain how to do it, which won’t solve their real problem anyway, or tells them that Y is dumb and they’re dumb for asking about it.

A really helpful answer would try and think about what could motivate someone to ask about Y, and if unable to think of one, will ask why on earth they want to do Y and what are they are really trying to do.

Similar to this situation is that they’re asking a question _because they want to know something about the world_ and trying to meet them halfway or ask clarifying questions is much more helpful than literally answering their question as asked.
Your "sick" vo2 might be above my "healthy" vo2.

So you first need to get 300 Americans on a max treadmill test to baseline, then.....
it is pretty clear, but the conclusion of the parent is still pretty strong:

> Sounds like a logistical nightmare.
InventWriters
> I'm not sure this "test and release" strategy works unless absolutely everybody gets tested simultaneously.

They don't all have to get tested literally simultaneously; but the "release" part of the strategy can't start until the "test" part has covered everybody, or at least close enough to "everybody" that the difference doesn't matter. Note that that's how the strategy is stated in what you quote: if we can identify everyone who is contagious, then we can release everyone else. The "if" has to be complete before the "then" starts; that's what "if"-"then" means.
So uh, as someone stuck on Android 8 forever, what am I supposed to do? Just get a new phone?
I’m hopeful that the virtual concert becomes much more commonplace at the end of all this. I’m a fan of tiny desk and KEXP live concerts, and think it would be great if musicians could earn money from online “live” music.
> for reasons well-covered all over HN and elsewhere.

I've yet to see a compelling argument that LY or QALY analysis is the wrong approach.

> This is a whole different thing from 'another flu'. We have to address it head-on

It sounds like you're not actually offering any relevant response to the parent comment, but just repeating the taglines we all saw in the article.

> Throwing people (a million people?) under the bus is not going to fly, not politically and not morally.

Every political action has victims and beneficiaries. At the moment, we're hurting billions of people (almost the entire world population) to buy (on average) a few expected life-months for a very small section of the population.

Your model of "people dying is bad" is true but not sufficient to make rational decisions.
Doesn't a VO2max test take 20 minutes, plus a shower afterwards? That sounds significantly more expensive than collecting vials of saliva.

Also, you'd definitely need to do those VO2max tests in separate, sealed rooms because infected people would be huffing out maximum virus.
The model is calibrated based on the study from late march, which randomly sampled 700 individuals in Stockholm. From that they can infer the number of infected people at that point in time. They use two separate variables to track unknown infections and known infections (hospitalizations), so from that study and hospital data they get a baseline. They can then verify how the model holds up for the group of hospitalized cases.

There are charts towards the end of the paper which shows the real data plotted compared to the predictions, with confidence intervalls. The data is obviously very noisy, but it seems to track reasonably well, and is expected to taper of only slowly. The expected decline is not by any means drastic.
It's easy to miss in the readme, but there is a bookmarklet! I've just confirmed it works in Safari on iOS. You need to edit an existing bookmark with the javascript snippet rather than just pasting it into the address bar, but it does work.