skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I’ve felt for a long time that the political system works this way as well. Speaking strictly from a non-partisan standpoint, there’s a strong case to be made that this perception exists widely in American society.

It’s why Trump’s “drain the swamp” messaging worked so well in 2016, it’s why things like gerrymandering exist, and it’s why we continue to see record amounts of money, much of it of unknown origin, proliferate and direct political discourse and messaging.
I agree with your claim that "everybody is doing it wrong"...except that I think your conclusion just ends up being the same fallacy as everyone else's. Specifically, you can't assume a flight to Tahiti does or doesn't negate plastic bags or whatever.

The only realistic and honest way to assess overall impact is put a number on your total consumption. There are a million ways that can be skewed, but averages don't vary as much as you think - as an overall reality check, if you make and spend your $50K salary every year, that is going to be the order of magnitude of your environmental impact. Mostly, someone who consumes $500K worth of stuff is going to have 10x the impact, and someone who consumes $5K will have 1/10th the impact. How you spend it is second order.

This attitude will never catch on, because people feel, innately and through socialization, that misers are bad, "bean counters" are bad, simple but difficult solutions are bad, and focusing on specific actions, symbols, in-groups and out-groups, is what drives normal social activity and fulfillment.

The psychology of "saving the environment" reminds me a lot of dieting for people who struggle with their weight, or budgeting for people who live paycheck to paycheck. It's the total that matters, not the parts, and yet it's very difficult to approach it any way other than piece by piece.
Ask HN: Engineering Managers how do you keep track of your direct reports?
As a newer manager, I’m trying to see if there are any tools/best practices for managers to help their reports in career development.

I currently use a spreadsheet to track against their career ladder/goals and another doc to keep track of notable pull request, feedback, and documents. Any other tips or best practices?
>I'd much rather have some stupid people protesting than have FB/outrage mobs driving what is okay to protest about.

Note how dramatically you understate one side and overstate the other by your choice of wording.
Please stop pointing out articles that question certain bias..

Anything that questions climate, overpopulation, our obvious pandemics must be accepted at full face value.

Now that we've established what is not ok to question, please accept the initial study from imperial college London unquestioningly..

Also, you missed one from Los Angeles:
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-04-20/coronavi...
Ask HN: Oil's % change tomorrow if negative to positive?
Assuming oil closed today negative, what will the percentage change be tomorrow if it closes positive?

Bonus: What if it had closed today at exactly zero?
This is what seems odd to me too. IMO, there should be a bunch of groups, both Red and Blue, complaining in all directions. We're all short on information here on how this virus really works, and all of the options kind of suck.

I don't see many grass-roots groups complaining that we should lock down harder and longer. I guess they wouldn't be taking much public action anyways though by definition? Maybe there should be some virtual protests or something.

Grass-roots groups complaining that the lockdowns are too long and strict are out there, but it seems only on the Right. Okay yeah there are some fake astro-turfed ones, but there are plenty of real ones too. But where are the Left/Blue team? Doesn't anyone on their side think this is too extreme?
Money to buy food is essential for the barbers. Not the haircuts. There is plenty of food and delivery machinery, thanks to the good people working on it, who deserve to paid funds they can spend later or on socially distant goods and services.
> But the government is breaking up peaceful and legal assemblies

First let's assume for the sake of argument that you're right: it still doesn't matter, Facebook is not the government. Facebook can tell stupid people to shut up and stop putting innocent people at risk and that is not breaking up "peaceful and legal assemblies" as you put it.

Now, going back to the government breaking up "peaceful and legal assemblies" (which these are not), it still doesn't matter: you are not guaranteed every right in the constitution at all times equally. A good example of this is time, place and manner restrictions: the government can't tell you that you're not allowed to advocate for a candidate for office, that would violate the first amendment. However, they are allowed to tell you that you can't advocate for a candidate for office at 1AM with a loudspeaker in a residential neighborhood. That's effectively what these people are doing: there is a pandemic, their actions could hurt a lot of people, so their stupid assembly is not legal. (Disclaimer: I am not a lawyer and nothing I say constitutes legal advice)
There’s no evidence yet that COVID is mutating in a way that would cause reinfection. There haven’t been any documented confirmed cases, the speculative cases are much more likely false negative test results followed by actual positive test results.
That's true but the difference is companies can compete and go out of business, and generally rely on willful consumption of their products.
>It's their choice (nytimes) to not do a paywall for a 'new potential customer'. And that data is stored in cookies. You can simulate that by purging all nytimes cookies and you can access as no initial paywall.

Thank you for clarifying. I hadn't considered that NYTimes may not show paywall for a 'new potential customer' since I am all to familiar with their paywall.
Twitter is amazingly toxic, and alas that toxicity escaped Twitter and has infected everyday life.

Twitter toxin might actually be more deadly than the coronavirus in the long run
We've seen incompetence within all of our power structures.

It turned out the $10 million/year CEOs aren't quite competent. The same for most of the other rich/powerful.
Great question--I hadn't thought of this. I've never added AI to an app, but in school I built games with computer players that use depth-first search algorithms. It was pretty straight-forward to implement, and it was trivial to determine how "hard" you wanted the computer to play (you would just choose how deep for it to search).

Let me know if you're interested in seeing this--could be a fun addition!
You could. Though it’d cost billions of dollars and would not be done by the time the contracts expire and deliver needs to be taken.
Contango means that futures prices further out are higher than futures prices in the nearer term, and is normal for oil futures; what's notable is the extreme slope of the futures curve we're seeing.
Nothing to stop code reviews either. Just don't make them a gateway. Allow code to be merged then reviewed if necessary. If you have good common coding practices and testing then likely more than safe.
It’s not clear this is the responsible solution as there’s no evidence the entire process wouldn’t start again the minute restrictions are lifted due to the sheer infectiousness of the disease and the large number of people with no symptoms or limited symptoms.
Or basic Darwinism, which says that the fittest for their niche survive and reproduce. Fittest is relative to current circumstances, so each generation can modify the niche that others find themselves in.
Currently a government contractor, can confirm everything is fine so far. I work at a mid sized company, and not a single person was furloughed or laid off. I'm sure it doesn't hurt that 90% of the company had the option to work from home, but AFAIK, everything has been business as usual for all the other contractors as well, minus the mandatory WFH part.
I think we've had an unintended misunderstanding.

>> As a software analogy, this is like the debate whether it’s better to have Google Maps vs mapping software and all the underlying data. Of course it’s better to have the latter even if some romanticize the former.

> All other things being equal.

More explicitly, my point is that this is only true if all(!) other variables were equal. A variable from TFA that has significant variance is cost. If you're in a hypothetical scenario of choosing between Google Maps (free, or nominal) vs mapping software and all the underlying data ($420 zillion), even though the latter product is preferable, the difference in that one variable could be a deal breaker.

I have no idea what the actual numbers or other particulars are in the real world between OpenStreetMaps and Google Maps, but that they both exist suggests different customers have different requirements (and budgets), and choose the most appropriate technology accordingly.
> - Daily Temperature

it's been unseasonably cool in socal for the duration of this so i doubt it's that.
How is this not a good time to buy oil. Assuming a 5+ year time horizon.
really interesting time ahead! will be excited to pick up one to run WSL2.
Build React apps faster with normalized relational data
> It’s widely accepted as best practice by mainstream scientists.

Simply declaring your hypothesis is not best practice. Publishing the details of your experiment--the protocols, analytical methods, etc--are what's best practice, AFAIU. Few scientists run an experiment they expect to fail, and without publishing the details ahead of time it's trivial to fudge an outcome, so simply pronouncing your hypothesis is entirely uninteresting.
Agreed - the article does exceptionally little to describe what he actually does. Apparently the secrecy is why he is hired so I suppose that's why this article is so light on specifics.
Different kind of calculus.
>Can anyone explain, without loaded language

>"People I don't like (gun rights, republicans) are organizing in favor of a cause I don't support (reopening)"

This is intensely hypocritical.
Unless we print money. Lots and lots of money. I am counting on that happening, or else on total collapse of everything.
What’s the source on reinfection? That sounds kind of extraordinary.

It seems weird to think the body can clear an infection but have no ability to fight it later.
Is the claim that folks aren’t actively working on these types of guidelines?

This is an information poor environment. I fail to see how any scientist would take such stringent targets as acceptable given that.
Anki flash cards (floss) do use spaced time learning algorithms that are also easily adjustable to personal preference. Anki has native mobile/desktop, cli and web clients. The big community also provides shared decks and vast plugin ecosystem like auto text-to-speech and imagery.

I haven't seen any of these tools doing anything that anki doesn't — why not contribute to it instead?

https://github.com/ankitects/anki
ethics ?
Probably the same number of young and healthy people that die of COVID. For instance COVIDs fatality rate is lower than that of the flu for all demographics of people under the age of 35 per CDC data. It's about the same for 35-44 and really only diverges over 45. Worldwide the fatality rate under 20 rounds to zero. To date, pneumonia far outstrips COVID. [1]

[1] https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm
the flu would be way more deadly than it is if there wasn't a seasonal flu shot that gives herd immunity.

edit: it shouldn't be controversial to say that a thing that kills 30-80k per year with active measures of mitigation already something that would be more deadly without a vaccine. seriously reflect on that. the corona virus is something we need to take 100% seriously but also acknowledge that the flu is also very deadly... even more so without any mitigation (thankfully we have for the common flu)
Read Krebs' article, there is fairly clear evidence that there was a coordinated effort to create these groups and promote them. There was sentiments, but no grassroots movement that was co-opted, this started as astroturf and received coordinated support.

Think about the implications of a foreign power being able to spread disease and death with disinformation. Is it 'war' if a million people end up dead, even if no bullets were fired? Who are the combatants, and how, as Americans could we win that war?

There is a strong case for reopening ASAP and the pressure is becoming more real by the day. Its perfectly reasonable to be skeptical about the overreach of Government power, and even to take action against it. That said, in this time, with the scale of the infection in the US, opening too soon is an unnecessary danger to millions of people.
Man downloads dead mother's voice from Alexa
That's a nice idea, but it seems to not really lead to better outcomes. Socialism and communism have these same kinds of power struggles. It seems to simply be part of human nature.
And another about mutation rate being a lot higher than thought: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3080771/coro...
Anger mounts after corporations tap small-business relief funds
Title of the HN post is wrong, immigration hasn't been suspended yet.
I’d bet a lot of the members also end up on some PAC donation mailing lists supporting predominantly one political party.
The issue that I would have with the advice, whether or not it was obvious that the virus was a huge deal at the time, is that whether you get it isn't going to be an independent probability. If there's an outbreak on the ship, everybody gets it, regardless of what the overall odds are. I'm not sure why, but that seems psychologically more concerning to me. Kind of like the risk of a plane crash vs. a car crash.
You are required to post cash collateral in order to take out a futures position. It's calibrated so that the cost of abandoning that collateral is large enough to basically be a gun to your head. Furthermore, when the price of the contract moves, they mark-to-market your collateral and credit/debit you your daily gains or losses.

Basically, the people holding the contracts have to either sell at a negative price to cover, pay to take delivery, or give up cash collateral that's worth even more money than the previous choices.
Kim Jong Un in Critical Condition
The Athabaskan languages (Slave, Gwich'in, Navajo = Dene, Apache, Chilcotin, and a host of others) have been shown by linguists to be probably related to the Yeniseian languages of central Siberia. If this is true, it does not however mean that the other Native American languages are also related to Yeiseian, since the Athabaskan languages are not known to be related to any other languages of the Americas.

But of course it's likely that the ancestors of the other Native American groupings did come from Asia, via the Bering Strait, which at various times was above water--there are just no plausible connections between these languages and languages of Asia, which is not surprising given the time depth.
The DMV that exists.

The license you are required to have to drive.
It's astroturf, though. No one disputes that this is a coordinated national organization. That's the point. These aren't local protestors genuinely moved by local conditions and asking for local policy changes. They're following national orders.
Spot on, and the difference between a tracing JIT vs a method JIT can be night and day too.
It was not just "a human". It was an entire organization that is supposedly ran by experts.

So there is nothing malicious with the same public that funds the WHO to now start questioning them and their recommendations.
Uncontrolled? No, but we do know who is most vulnerable and we should be able to make more targeted and surgical measures to limit the negative impacts of social distancing.
I would like to use laptop as desktop replacement but the problem is laptop are too noisy.
This guy just uses these puff pieces to get himself more limelight/business. As a self-professed former pop-music manager, he certainly knows how to market himself. I've seen articles with him as the subject before topping HN in years past, foreboding all sorts of doom and gloom which, of course, never happened.
Define “we”. Pick any group of 500, actual practiced morals will vary widely in that group.

Apathy with respect to morals is a big problem, it’s letting moral lapses slide from convenience that allows much degradation to occur. And the “righteous” that would point out lapses are often at least viewed as cranks, unless they have a deft touch.
This doesn't mean what you think it means. Not all rights that attach to people attach to corporations. The bill of rights doesn't uniformly apply to corporations, and different rights may or may not attach under certain circumstances.
You are conflating a test for active virus versus an antibody test. my suspicion is that a very large percentage of people in certain neighborhoods of New York City are going to show up having been exposed and never presented symptoms. I just don't compute how else you can explain this with a virus that is so transmissible. we should also keep in mind that the number of deaths isn't necessarily indicative by itself of number of infections since deaths can be caused by hospitals being overrun.
Board-level executive compensation committees? Discuss.
Hetzner is doing network maintenance right now, check again in a while. This is the first time in quite a while that maintenance has degraded the network performance.
When is a new car a better financial choice?
Hitchens - Free Speech (2006): https://youtu.be/olefVguutfo
Another article about Sherwood Partners https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/aug/21/the-under...
I recall Amaranth was recruiting on campus that week, and cancelled all interviews the very next week.
It did not confirm anything was the real McCoy. What's confirming things is the latest serological studies that show the data from Italy was far from representative, and so was the data from Wuhan. The data from the rest of China was much more in line (CFR 0.6%) with the serological studies we're seeing of late (IFR 0.25-1%).

The data from Italy isn't representative of anything other than Lombardy's overwhelmingly old and sick population, Italy's unfortunate response to the situation and the fact the disease hits older folks hundreds of times harder than younger folks. Italy's CFR is about 2 orders of magnitude higher than the IFR we should be basing our broader response on.
I don't think anyone doubts that infections are much more common than the recorded rate - we all know that a significant number of people are asymptomatic, hence never tested and recorded.

The problem is that those observations are typically used to conclude that "this is just a bad flu" and advance political demands such as "liberate X" and "immediately reopen the country".

The question that truly matters is "which model is less wrong" and the overflowing ICUs in NYC and Europe (that's the bottom line) provide a clear answer - we should err on the side of caution.
It's not about quantity vs quality, it's about legally mandated fungibility. Can be modeled just like arbitrage but equilibrium is at boundary.
Microservices

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y8OnoxKotPQ
I am having a little cognitive dissonance from a few things I seem to be reading frequently:

1) The WHO is/was too cozy with China

2) The WHO is/was against facemasks

but

3) China and other Asian countries set an example of using facemasks which Westerners should do too.

These aren't exactly necessarily precisely contradictory things, but put them together and they make the anti-WHO narrative feel wrong and forced.
Agreed, all successful migrations I've seen started early and consistently used `from __future__` and python-future to write compatible code over a few years. This incremental approach almost made it trivial.
That’s an interesting fact, but that doesn’t mean it couldn’t function as a transit-oriented city.
The inverse: a favorite trope of the American far right is that GIS for "american family" will show you photos of... mixed race families. (Something the far right has strong opinions on, and is a tiny minority of all marriages in the US)

Something of a corollary to Brooksian egg-manning: with an infinite number of possible searches, you can find at least one whose results do not exactly match the current demographics of the state from which you place the search.
Save your time and do not read this rant:

If they know the application is sure to be rejected, why don't they reject it fast? I really don't understand why can't people reject things fast enough! University takes 5 months to reject the application, interviews take 2-3 weeks to reject. If they just happen to know, reject immediately. This whole process is too slow.
How Backpressure Works in Apple's Combine Framework [video]
Thanks for your perspective. Here's an analogy which illustrates a slightly different perspective: Imagine that 10 years ago, the NFL introduced a 50-yard indoor variant of the game, but saw no need to pick a different name for it, because obviously everyone would abandon the existing 100-yard stadium variant.

Guess what's going to happen for the next 10+ years?
> Big producers are refusing the close positions to keep prices down. (or maybe they have a legitimate reason why they want to deliver their contracts?)

They have legitimate reasons why they want to deliver their contracts. Crude oil is highly toxic, they only have so much storage available, and shutting down wells incurs significant costs. If they don't buy back their short futures position at -$25/barrel, that means shutting down costs them at least $25 per barrel no-longer-produced.
I've actually been a long time user of Anki and definitely thought about contributing to them. However, I'm personally unfamiliar with their stack and given the simplicity of a flashcard app, it was easier to start here.

However it probably is worth considering an import of Anki cards in the future. For now though, I'm focused on cards with answers you'd only know.
Hard enough to retain/hire talent, they will weather the storm for a while.

They regularly fire low performers though.
We like to call it "toxoplasma" around here. Because feeding that kind of toxicity just keeps it flowing in an endless cycle. No matter if it's a white cat or a black cat, the toxicity is the same.
Well, what do we know. There may be some game AI computations done on the GPU as well.
This doesn't speak to the question, but as for language learning displacing more important activities: young children learn new languages pretty much effortlessly, and no one has found anything to indicate that second language learning as a small child gets in the way of anything else.
https://reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/g56yln/kim_jong_un_...
First time I've heard of this and it's not something I experience at all. I do not find video conferences more exhausting than in-person meetings - if anything maybe even the opposite.

One factor than can make it more tiring is poor connectivity and audio to the point where it becomes an effort to interpret what others are saying/making oneself understood. Other than that I think it's just a matter of what one is accustomed to.
Entirely predictable after Murdoch acquired it.

It's hard to find a consistently reliable and credible source these days. Last year I switched from an FT subscription to Bloomberg after the FT moved all the adult content (non-blog type articles from senior staff that aren't just reiterating a liberal Twitter consensus) to a much more expensive subscription level. But Bloomberg has too much content. I can barely wade through it and don't know where to start. I'm not a trader--I just want an objective, consistent, and timely eye on global political-economic happenings beyond what comes off the AP wire. sigh Maybe I should go back to the FT.