skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
In part because all the headline numbers we've seen are CFR numbers which suffer from huge adverse selection bias -- and aren't directly comparable between regions for a lot of reasons.

As I've mentioned before, using CFR to determine fatality rate of the disease is like trying to determine the fatality rate of skydiving by measuring the ratio of people who go to hospital with skydiving injuries over those who recover. Obviously you'd think skydiving kills basically everyone who does it, but it just doesn't.

It's starting to become clear that the infection fatality rate of COVID is in the lower quartile of the range 0.25-1%.

And yeah, a huge portion of New York likely has it. It's super contagious.
Termination competitions seem fascinating.

Are they restricted to certain subclasses of programs where the Halting Problem is solvable?

Or are they more focused on bounded termination - Will this general program terminate in at most N steps? Are there techniques that help answer this question in compressed time?
Are you sure that having significant psychopathic traits is the same as being a psychopath?
As someone who doesn't yet own property here, I'm okay with that.
What is the best way to learn Java?
I have currently no programming experience. I really would like to learn the Java programming language, but I feel like the resources out there are too overwhelming. Also, people are too busy to help me on a 1 on 1 basis. Any tips on learning a programming language effectively?
Our intuitions are so different I'm not sure if you are joking or not.

My guess is that the build time is 1-2 years with 5 years of permitting up front. I also imagine building capacity is capped with a limited number of trained engineers/welders.
The Republican Party is a criminal conspiracy.
> Even if you believe in gun rights to the extreme, being purposefully combative, negative, divisive, and awful just to make money is not a great look.

From what I've read on this page and others, they raise money not necessarily for personal wealth's sake but instead to further their cause. "Give us money because this latest news report says they are coming over to your house tomorrow morning to take your guns."

It seems in line with other cable entertainment ("news") sources who hold sessions to discuss the latest "sky is falling" policy proposals from lawmakers whose ideology they oppose.
The scummy part is that they're effectively subsidizing their payroll with taxpayer money, and they are doing this very intentionally and know exactly what they're doing.
Yes agree NYC will have much higher prevalence but it has 17x the deaths - if fatality rate is similar then it would be like 50%+ of New Yorkers have contracted Covid. Just a little hard to believe.
Could this be an SEO opportunity to capture some simple negative phrases like this?
I feel like the answer to "what prevents you from better debugging/profile" that's dominant, "lack of knowledge/experience" may be more of a catch-all than actually highlight a problem.

Like, there's always something you can do better, most people don't want to claim they know everything. So in a survey I'd probably check that box/type that answer even if I didn't have an actual problem.
Flutter? As an iOS dev, I've considered learning that to build Android apps rather than the actual native Android SDK, just because the framework sounds worse to manage.

I don't think it's too hard for Google to build a better SDK, if they really wanted to. I think it's hard to get users to adopt it, despite its benefits.
Except it hasn't happened yet.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Global_liquids_and_US_tig...
Spoiler alert: It's not COBOL's fault.
I find it interesting that many of the protestors, including one holding a sign saying "COVID-19 is a lie", are wearing face masks.
As more serology surveys are completed I expect this question to come to the forefront.
> This is literally killing doctors and nurses

Technically it's more like choosing which doctors and nurses die based on political connections and electoral math, since somebody is still getting the stuff.

Which is still disgusting, but let's not pretend this is operating under a fundamentally different incentive system than the one in which Congress allocates tax dollars. If you want to fix it then fix the whole of it.
>> There is massive difference between the appropriate response to an illness with a 5% fatality rate and an illness with a 0.36% fatality rate.

Is there? What is the appropriate response to 0.36%? The flu has a mortality rate of 0.1%, which seems comparable, except we all have some immunity from having the flu multiple times in the past. Flu shots are available for vulnerable people. So while people on average have a 1 in 1000 chance of dying if they get the flu, they also only have a 1/40 to a 1/7 chance of getting the flu at all. The probability of getting corona virus appears to be much, much higher for people exposed to it, and we have no idea what the rate of infection could get to if we let it run free and behaved normally.
Not really sure what point you're making or what you're asking.

What is a "Russian puppet"?
No one ever said you wouldn't get this though. The whole idea from the get go was to prevent a run on the hospitals, not to prevent society from catching this.

Every passing day more data and studies are reflecting the realities of this disease not being as deadly as imagined. So perhaps, just like chickenpox, its better to just get it as a kid then to face it later as an adult.
I don't know how you can say that when hospitals have already hit the breaking point. It's not like our health care professionals have been sitting around twiddling their thumbs.
Because society rewards them for it.
I find it interesting how there's so many ways now of describing mutable vs immutable.

Rust: let vs let mut
Swift: let vs var
Js: const vs let
Silk: val vs var

I honestly get confused now. I started a new job working in go and I keep writing let everywhere
With Moore's Law stopped I think we're going to see more and more of this: developers squeezing speed out by seeking out more and more efficient runtimes. It's the only way we'll get faster code in the forseeable future. The new languages are all compiled -- Nim, Zig, Crystal, and Go. I don't think that's a coincidence.
That's what the strategic petroleum reserve in Louisiana is. They filled massive salt domes with crude oil. The salt keeps away bacteria that can foul the oil.
Travis Scott is hosting a Fortnite concert tour
Some of the same authors, possible/likely they are using the same test.
More likely by then the push to "RIIR"™ will be so overwhelming that most people won't be able to help themselves.
CFR is not a great way of comparing across regions, it could be due to any number of factors. Demographics (i.e. age), co-moribidities and the amount of hospital space available.
We know for a fact(well based on this report from a Chinese univesity[1])
that there are two strains of covid-19, I wonder if the less aggressive strain has been around awhile more than the more aggressive strain, it may have been around a lot longer than the outbreak was announced (think fall 2019) and may have been misidentified as the flu/bad cold. And it would explain why some people are getting extremely mild cases, they either have the less agressive strain or already had it but now have the antibodies to fight it. This is total conjecture mind you and the weather aspect is also interesting, look at Hawaii's cases and death rate(580 cases to 10 deaths, they are both very low numbers).

[1]
https://www.forbes.com/sites/lisettevoytko/2020/03/04/discov...
No but they will have to sell the "it's not official Python 2" line.
The comparison is overweighting LA county, which has 25% of California's population but 60% of its deaths. (I don't know what the math ends up being off the top of my head.)
It's good for some companies, bad for others. Even some companies where it seems like it'd be a good thing (say, airlines) might be fully hedged against the price of oil.
I think the obvious conclusion (just in logical progression if you take this premise as true) is that the percentage of NYC residents who contracted it was much higher than previously assumed.
Sure I believe NYC has way higher prevalence of cases but difference in deaths would imply majority of population was infected and they’d essentially be at herd immunity now. It’s not implausible but find it hard to believe.
Closer to 4x and only between 10M and 40M people in the US get the flu every year. Coronavirus could be >4x more deadly and have >10x more people infected.

Lets ballpark and say it's 3x more deadly and only 3x more people get it than the flu, 40M * 3x * .0003 == 36k deaths. However, we've blown past that many deaths already, and we have nowhere near 120M infected people so far, so the math just doesn't work. It's far more than 3x more deadly than the flu, or we have far more infections than we can account for in any study.

Also keep in mind that the death statistics have largely only counted people with positive tests who died in a hospital, so it's going to be strictly under counting.
Flux V1
FWIW, the amount of paying it forward you'll do for your own kids is probably 2 orders of magnitude more than what you could ever put into your nieces and nephews.

Also, I get that you probably think I'm just some asshole on the internet, but we're talking about whether human beings—your kids, no less!—get to exist. This is kinda important.
Well, it is definitely one of those technologies where it doesn't pay to be an early (first decade) adopter. For all those people who wouldn't board a train, there were also people who didn't take their cocaine prescriptions, lick their radium paintbrushes, or take their thalidomide.
I don't want to run someone else's software on my device if I don't have to. Also, a lot of closed operating systems are incompatible with each other and can cost a lot to publish software for.
Hewlett Packard[0] is interesting. I'm sure one could find companies for which the place was called Silicon Valley.

You could also check out Shenzhen and ask Andrew Huang.[1] Apparently, hardware startups there move really, really fast.[2]

He also has a book entitled "The Essential Guide to Shenzhen", here's a thread about it.[3]

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hewlett-Packard#History

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Huang_(hacker)

[2]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGJ5cZnoodY [Vice report with Andrew Huang]

[3]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21817656
5.6m people ride the New York subway everyday.
A scientometric overview of CORD-19
They havent been transforming in a remotely sustainable manner, Softbank, Neom etc.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neom
I believe the 'off by one' are called fence post errors. Building a fence, 50 feet, put a post every 10. How many fence posts do you need? Well 50 / 10 = 5 obviously :-)
Google doesn't have a competing project that I know of. From what I can tell they only study things google depends on or things google competes with.
Previous discussion here, https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22906617
They share the same mentality that every criminal has always held to justify their crimes, "it's a bad world and i'm just part of it".

Trump says the same thing often, too.
Let's jump to the conclusion here that Russia is still meddling in American politics, society and culture.

What I cannot believe is how the USA still allows this after all the country has been through with the current administration, investigations, impeachments.

USA's most important characteristics: openness, freedom, independence are just tools and weapons used against us. And we never learn...
Sure, if testing changes, it throws things off. (Unless you can figure out how to adjust for the changes in testing rate and methodology.)

I was talking about the issue of different jurisdictions testing differently.
Define "huge portion" because will still have to square this with the negative test data from NYC.
There's been a bunch of genomic analysis. Yes, the West coast strains are closer to Asian and the East coast strains are closer to European. But the differences between strains are believed to not have an effect on the disease.

https://nextstrain.org/narratives/ncov/sit-rep/en/2020-04-17

https://nextstrain.org/help/coronavirus/FAQ#is-one-strain-of...
I'm not sure if we can consider this independent support: both studies use the same antibody test. Any problems with the test itself (or our understanding of problems with the tests) will be present in both studies.
Well, a lot of the same people are involved in both..
what about automerging all comments +1 layer deeper with the bot comment (in the same form dang does it now) as the universal parent? it prevents the feature creep\bloat of adding a notification system, and maybe be backwards compatible with the web and mobile versions, and if people dont want it they can collapse the whole thread (or maybe it starts collapsed anyway)
Does anyone have a link to the actual study? LA Times link doesn't include it. Other than the selection criteria for participants, it doesn't sound from the pressroom.usc.edu link that it's any better than the Santa Clara study, and perhaps worse, given the smaller number of participants. The pressroom link mentions an "accuracy" number, but not specificity and sensitivity.
Fun experiment on Google:

- Shirt Without Stripes: shirts where the description contains both "without" and "stripes". Example: a shirt without collar, with stripes.

- "Shirt Without Stripes": a mess, with and without stripes, suggesting an unusual search query. In fact, the linked article site is the first result in web search.

- Stripeless shirt: sexy women in strapless shirts

- "stripeless shirt": pictures of Invader Zim...

- "stripeless" shirt: mostly shirts without stripes, but there are some shirts with stripes that are described as stripeless...

The last one may give us a hint at the problem. If you have to mention a shirt is without stipes, you are probably comparing is to a shirt with stripes. For example imagine a forum, some guy is posting a picture of a shirt with stripes, I can expect some people to ask questions like "do they sell this shirt without stripes"? Or maybe the seller himself may have a something like "shirt without stripes available here (link)" in the description. So the search engines tie "shirt without stripes" to pictures of shirts with stripes.

I remember an incident where searching for "jew" on Google led to antisemitic websites. The reason was simply that that exact word was rarely used in other contexts. Mainstream and Jewish source tend to use the words "jews" and "jewish" but not "jew". And because Google doesn't look at the dictionary meanings of words but rather what people use them for, you get issues like that.
the authors list had plenty of epidemiology data experts
Try reloading. I got a different article once the page loaded in Safari, too.
Yes but the difference in fatalities is so large that it would imply majority of New Yorkers were infected and the city has achieved herd immunity. It’s not implausible just find it hard to believe.
>at the time

My point was that tourism to the US is probably not uniform throughout the year, and March is likely on the lower end of tourism. Hence the ratio of traffic being Americans returning home is higher.
There are a lot of AAA and indie focused single player experiences, what kind of genres are you into? The recent Tomb Raider titles are pretty good for example.
...which has been characterized as being analyzed in a highly suspect way [1], where only point estimates of the specificity were used.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22924118
Like the NRA, an organization or person who is controlled by Russian money, or some other pressure that they have over the people in charge. https://www.npr.org/2019/09/27/764879242/nra-was-foreign-ass...
Troll level one million!

I have a couple of friends that are trolls(they call themselves that). They frequent Facebook and they make silly comments are try to rile people up, because....well i guess they're bored. They take pride in being banned from Facebook so shock humor. They are pretty funny.

Why is this relevant? What I have learned from them is that high-speed internet is conducive to trolling at all levels.
Facebook users want comments and reactions, so their post do just that.
Large sites want clicks and attention, so their content does just that.

A deep multifaceted conversation is boring and difficult to do. And above all else does not give you the same satisfaction as emotional content. The internet is an emotional medium, not a rational one. I treat it that way. To learn more on this check out neil portman, specifically his book "amusing ourselves to death".

I try to remind myself that things on the internet could very well have been produced by an angry techsavvy teenager, rather than to attribute any authority to it.
LA is one of the densest parts of CA though, outside of SF/Bay Area. So if LA is 3%, you could assume the state as a whole is maybe 1-2%. Then 17x that becomes 17-34%, which seems more reasonable.
The flaw was that participation was voluntary, with the effects you describe. I think this is also the case with this study. I'm not sure how a non-voluntary study could be conducted, you can't really force people to participate in this.

edit: typo
Facebook's “Westworld” Simulation – Web-Enabled Eimulation
Hey have a nice day
It is possible that the transition from Python 2 to Python 3 is the worst-handled of its kind in the history of open-source so far. Is it any wonder, then, that things like this spring up in their wake?
Context, since I had never heard of this:

* https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13144713

* https://github.com/naftaliharris/tauthon/issues/47#issuecomment-277081725
It seems like you are an international student, within the British Education system. Is that correct?

If so, check out /r/intltousa
I mean I see what you're saying. This does seem like the type of thing a state actor like Russia might want to do. But we're a few years out from 2016 at this point. I am not surprised that some Americans have decided to stir the pot themselves either for political reasons or to try and get dollars.
And then you go on to provide me a source that calls Denmark Dutch multiple times... Måske du lige skulle læse det igennem du copy-paster?

Tax havens are places that are recognised as such. It's not any country with a tax loophole. There are plenty of lists of tax havens and Denmark is not on those lists. That, of course, doesn't make Denmark immune to having tax loopholes, but it's just a bad premise for any discussion to volunteer your own special definition that contradicts most of the facts out there.
Read “Fooled by randomness” by Nassim Taleb.
I'm going to take a stab at a possible reason the "market" didn't see this coming: Everyone expected the US to top off its strategic reserves, which so far hasn't really been happening. Now that You could be paid like $37 (west Texas crude closed at -$37.63) dollars/barrel, maybe the US will reconsider. I certainly wish I could store a few thousand barrels...

US companies don't want to stop producing oil. Couple that with the Russia/Saudi Arabia skuffle going on over oil prices, I'm not surprised. What surprises me is the absolutely rapid/rabid decline in the price. It just seems like pure insanity to me...
I also suspect and absolutely think a large portion of the reason there is a decrease in hospitalizations is due to mitigation efforts decreasing the initial viral load. That is absolutely borne out of all evidence we know thus far for this virus and is also in line for what we know to be true about other viruses.
Not a Hacker News feature, and probably not new to many here, but some might find it useful: http://www.hnreplies.com
I sort of take the contrary view. I think 24 hour news coverage is inherently bad and cannot ever be good, because it doesn't give anchors enough time to react and analyse events, or viewers to digest and critically examine what they have watched. There are many examples like this, where the form itself is actually the problem even without any specifically malicious use.
But I think very few courses in Germany are offered in English at the Bachelor's level.
It's kind of a shame that this subset of research is kind of stuck on C as a standard. I feel like higher abstraction languages would potentially be easier to reason about, as well as personally more useful to me.

Sure I know C11 but it's just not a tool that solves the problems I'm interested in.
Turns out good old wiki has an article on it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Off-by-one_error
I don't know how you got from the article to your first paragraph. Maybe we shouldn't just to that conclusion. (It may in fact be true, but maybe, you know, evidence, rather than just assuming?)
Consensus among whom?
The comments below the article are also incredibly interesting.

I'll now wait on feedback from the authors to the concerns expressed here. But also, the focus will be on many more serology studies in the coming months. Looking forward to their results.
I'm probably not representative, but when I last really tried to use Go on a project seriously the lack of generics and the way that errors were handled became a real blocker for me. Which is unfortunate, because I really wanted to like the language and did for the most part. But those two things made development feel like a real chore.

Again, I don't expect my personal preferences to dictate language development. Clearly many do not feel the way I do, but I do find it telling that those were the top two complaints. The pain is real, at least to a subset of us.
Because of demographics. The disease really, really doesn't affect young people. The younger, the better you do, to the extent that the percent of people under 20 that have died in every major area of the world rounds to 0%. Older demographics are hit hundreds of times harder than young to middle aged folks.

Italy has the oldest average population in Europe, and Lombardy has the oldest average population in Italy. 99.2% of those who died in Italy averaged 80.5 years old and had an average of 3 co-morbid conditions. [1]

[1] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-18/99-of-tho...
> Can you give an example of one of these false positive victims?

Sure, I can. There was a viral example when Zina Bash, a white house advisor, was sitting in a senate hearing, with her hand on her arms, in a way where her fingers kind of looked like the OK sign, but not really.

As in, she did not "flash" the OK sign. Instead she had her hand resting on her arm in a certain position. And this went viral and everyone accused her of being a white supremicist because of it, even though the situation was clearly ridiculous.

You can look it up, if you want more details.
whoops you are correct. interesting, thanks
In isolation I don't think this study can really shift the differing and primarily political response momentums the various states have going. Truly randomized nation-wide studies would need to be completed probably by the CDC for there to be wide-spread consensus on the results. The politics are going to move quicker than the science.
Thanks! Long-term, we're building Pipedream to be a fully-programmable platform for managing integrations between apps. Think of it as IFTTT for developers. Paid plans and team features are coming soon.

Event sources are one piece of that. RSS is one type of source, but we're creating sources for Twitter, Slack, Github, and all of the apps supported on Pipedream today [1]. Sources expose a single API for retrieving events from many platforms. So if you just want to run code on new Twitter mentions, Slack messages, or new Github PRs, Pipedream tries to abstract the API-specific details, so you just

pd deploy

and Pipedream emits new events as the source produces them.

[1] https://docs.pipedream.com/apps/all-apps/
Bazel?
That really tells you everything you need to know about this study already, doesn't it? If they put out the press release before the actual study you know what the authors' priorities are.