skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I believe our supposed inability to predict economic bubbles (and other financial crises) is mostly just tautological: those crises we can predict never happen because they are "self-falsifying prophesies": If enough people believe the stock or housing market is overheating, they will stop buying or might even speculate against further rising prices.

Thus, any bubble that does manage to grow to significant size before bursting is necessarily "unforeseen". (of course because of that thing with the monkeys, the keyboards, and online message boards, the will always be plenty of people that did see it coming, but I would wait to buy their book until they do it a second time).

I know it's always trendy to hate on economists (some people have taken that idea all the way to creating cryptocurrencies and reinventing economics along the way). But comparing, say, the 2008 crisis with the 1920 or even the 1970s, I can't shake the feeling that maybe economists have become slightly better over time. The gold standard fandom that was all the rage for a while essentially rests on the idea that interventions by central banks are worse than doing nothing, and the evidence now seems overwhelming that we can do better than this (admittedly low) benchmark.
Not inside a body, no. These aren't the most accurate tests (the big failure mode has nothing to do with the science, it's that the little clamp falls off the finger), but they are very mature technology with well characterized behavior.

Basically everyone who's been under anaesthesia of any kind (even stuff like wisdom teeth removal) for the past 3-4 decades has had one of these on them. We know how they work.
Since you're a newcomer I'd go by community.
Clojure has by far the biggest and the friendliest community.
Then there's scheme with an equally friendly but smaller community. And then theres common lisp. The community is probably bigger than the scheme one, but it's also where the zealots are.
This thread is the perfect example, all the non CL posts get downvoted no matter how well reasoned they are. And it's like that in basically every other clojure/lisp post on HN, theres always a small number of toxic common lispers with their "the other lisps aren't the real lisps" and "you're using it wrong".
Why isn't this data used then for contact tracing?
If I would really care about security, I would not pick SRAM FPGA in the first place. The are nice Flash based FPGAs out there for projects with high security requirements. They don’t need configuration devices leaking bitstream all over the place.

On the other hand is somehow sad, that popular 7 series is compromised. Though I never saw a company, that cared about bitstream security. It was best case “nice to have” feature, usually being completely ignored.
Have you considered filing a ticket on their issue tracker? I find Jetbrains are pretty responsive...
He might be a good entrepreneur but ffs, why the rabid, unthinking enthusiasm in following everything this guy says? Why not make a website for someone else who happens to be a good parent? This cultish b/s is exactly what leads to the hell of Trumpistan. IMO.
AI in the Time of Coronavirus
> nearly every "native" mac app I run is really Electron based.

What does this have to do with the platform? You choosing to use bloated electron apps certainly isn't Apple's fault.
Mnuchin, Pelosi 'close' to deal on second round of small business loans
I was going to point out the same.
Creating a Good Project Readme
I don't know about morality. But I have noticed that many adults tend to expect kids to behave better than other adults.

The behavior of many adults isn't that far removed from the behavior of your average toddler. As a society we seem to have come to accept this as fairly normal though.
When you say "open spec", what exactly do you mean? MacOS is built on top of Unix / Debian, which is a much more open system than Windows.

Apple computers have been able to run Windows for a long time.
Maybe we'll keep seeing this article over and over again, but one year the technology will have reached a critical threshold where "cyberspace" is appealing enough to be a real thing?
Dead Famous by Greg Jenner: a joyous history of celebrity
Past a certain point, you can't buy speed.
What does opt-out mean anyway? I've had examples where Google Fit has reenabled itself without my due consent in the settings of my phone (and I have screenshots to prove it).

We've seen opt-out abused before so it is down to whether you feel you can use a platform known for not respecting your choices.

Often times, it's a simple boolean value, do you want to trust that bool will stay the same, always?
Timeout based fetch function in JavaScript
Yes, that was the original use. But turns out it has other effects as well, one of which is through the increased dosage of a small fraction of antibodies with increased suppresive activity.

You have to be careful with concoctions that have direct antivirus activity though, because it can have a dangerous side effect (ADE). However this is also a very important intervention possibility (probably more important than just IVIG), but it needs to be done in an extremely controlled fashion. But the two approaches are supposed attack in completely opposite angles so I think they should be discussed and tested independently.
Yaratana, Yaratilişa, Kutsal Ayetlere INANÇLI, Saygili Olmak
Yeah, reality is a weird mix of probability (reducing trips and therefore likelihood of catching 2019-nCov off of them) and actuality (the path the virus actually takes - see Patient 31 [1]). Governments have to release guidance based on the former, but individuals might want to protect against the latter where possible.

[1] https://graphics.reuters.com/CHINA-HEALTH-SOUTHKOREA-CLUSTER...
The dominant risk when I ski is traveling to and from the resort. So I suppose your point stands if you only play from home. Even so, it seems a bit irrelevant to the discussion.
I agree, though I’ll add that my perspective has become much, much longer. I am laying plans for 20-40 years from now and continuously attend to their fruition. I don’t think that would have been possible without kids and, in light of the compounding nature of life (and capital), it feels like a super power.
This is an archive of the above article. Thank you!
Yes, and the announcement even says:

"Binaries for Mac and Linux are available."
I don't see how that's going to be meaningfully useful in a pandemic. We don't have anywhere near the infrastructure required to harvest plasma on that scale. It's possible it might be a useful treatment once we get back down to a stable baseline but before a vaccine is available.

I just don't see how the number of lives this will save is going to be significant vs. other more obvious mitigation strategies.

There's a deep temptation among the technical set here to look for magic bullets. There isn't one. Stay home.
Bicycle Night – MAPS Virtual Event
No. It means people will be able to copy FPGA's like was possible in the 2000's. It also means that the design in an FPGA could be altered by an unauthorized 3rd party without having to physically replace the device.
>Germans finally will stop on using cash payments for everything

You are right. We will see only buying electronically in the future.
Paul Graham does not exist in the same social class you and I do

He’s surrounded by always happy “yes people” who validate but never really challenge him

He promises his kids extravagant trips, as if more air travel, as a reward for what exactly? Not like they’re curing cancer here, is what his kids future environment needs

Thanks, Graham. Glad your kids get to go. Please let the rest of us know how to live proper
Hope he matured since this whiny moment: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPysTEW0YZU
Ask HN: State of XMPP and open and extensible alternatives?
I'm not at all aware of current stakeholders in the XMPP world. Who funds the development of new standards? Which technical people participate, develop, and champion proposals? Are new proposals getting enough feedback from organizations which large number of users that implement them?

I guess the ultimate question I'm trying to answer through these sub-questions is how active is XMPP development and what parts are failing. I do think that the world needs a chat protocol that's open and extensible, and the question is about health of the de-facto protocol I know of which was designed around these principles.

There has been a recent resurgence in interest for chat protocols, but I don't know of any that are designed with extensibility in mind. This [HN comment thread](https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17064616)
discusses how XMPP/Jabber and Matrix compare. If XMPP currently stands to fail, are there attempts to standardize protocols that supersede it and aren't affected by the same problems?
Show HN: Remoteclerk – Video Consultation for Retailers
They won't :(

They'll retweet to get more follows.

They'll +1 and forget about this.

They'll brag about some lab-grown meat investment that is really 0.01% of their portfolio that's chock full of productivity apps and luxury home goods.

They'll broadcast "we invest in the boldest founders changing the world with science and tech innovation", then back yet another consumer goods startup that literally perpetuates the economic challenges this article suggests to fight.
OpenCore: Hackintosh Alternative to Clover
Issue with this report and others from China is that they seemed to treat all patients with a concoction of antivirals, one of which is not even available outside of China and russia. No way we can make fully conclusive inferences from this data :(
FWIW some CPAP machines use ozone in their cleaning cycle. One might be able to jury-rig the CPAP to cycle ozone through the mask during that period.
This is one of the most persistent myths about Scala, the language itself is far smaller than, for example, Java, and its standard library is very approachable.
It's more like access to replace the bitsteam. It's a complicated and expensive new attack vector.
Many people are commenting from an American perspective, where "universities closed and everybody who can works from home" is the post-lockdown state we're trying to get to. American schools and universities end their academic year between mid May and early June, so we probably won't be sending people back to school until the fall term starts.
> protect potentially as low as 1% of the population who are well past the good years of their life.

That's not what lockdowns are for. The point is to avoid overloading the hospitals. If we didn't slow the pace at which COVID19 spreads, hospitals would become full of COVID19 infected people, leaving no room for people with other kind of afflictions. So we'd still have 1-2% death from COVID, but also a bunch of unrelated death due to reduced hospital capacity.
I created srcoftruth.com for this reason, but it's a hobby project - and I'm currently rebuilding it.
These roadmaps (especially frontend) might be helpful:

https://roadmap.sh/roadmaps
I agree that trust has been eroded over the years. US is also a more individualistic society, which means individuals are less willing to sacrifice self for whole. I don't want to cast too wide a net, but asian countries tend towards society orientation. Heavens know I could not live long in Japan.
You're right.

About security, you provided very useful technical elements, so I'll review each of them (publicly) and we'll find solutions.

Yes, conflicts of interests are always an issue.
Finding the right balance between sustainability and freedom.

Some companies outright want to maximize revenue at the expense of the user. This is not the case here (that's the benefit of no investors, or just being independent, with all the caveats it has too).

Some browsers (Vivaldi, Cheetah Mobile) for example do affiliates link, I'm not too much in favor of that.

You get me nervous sometimes with your strong opinions, but I actually appreciate that someone skilled takes so much time and interest.

About DDG, maybe it's worth talking to them or Qwant (Qwant are friends of Kiwi, so you can say Hi to them from me).

It's in their interest to promote a privacy-focused browser, and yours to pair with the best ethical match (donations are fine too, just personally I think they create another type of pressure)
> Does he really not get regularly lectured on morality by other adults?

He's a billionaire, so he's surrounded exclusively by sycophants.
Tables, Charts and Dashboards sounds like a lot of displaying of data. Not updating state. Or when you are updating state (like date picker), you're updating the world. Just an assumption, sorry if I'm wrong. Web is usually fine to be honest, doesn't come up until you're pushing state on keypress. The Stripe onboarding page and Twitter create tweet UI both have these performance problems. My day to day is React Native which is where these problems crop up almost immediately and getting performance out of the box is a chore that, again, none of the other frameworks make you do. Computers are smart they can solve these problems for us.
Parenting trick: invent a gesture that means "I love you." 2 yos like it as a game. 8 yos like it because they can use it in public.

I learned to say "I love you." It still gets an "I love you, too" nearly twenty years later by default. If I don't fuck up, I expect it will work on my deathbed. It probably helped that I often add "and am very very proud of you" when I've thought it's a good thing to say. Most recently by text across two thousand miles in the midst of a pandemic. Because I was. YMMV.
For those interested, the POVs from each player are uploaded on youtube.

Magnus POV: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rJtyQLkmRsU
Alireza POV: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tb9RtOBuLm0

Best moment: https://youtu.be/rJtyQLkmRsU?t=3958

Of the many spectacular moments and reactions, the best was Magnus winning a lost position and believing it won him the match (and implying Alireza has much to learn before being able to beat him). Magnus was still a professional when defeated, but emotions were running high at the point in the match.
I share your cynicism, but the letter could be a statement of changed purpose which front runs exactly the kind of announcements you're looking for. And it may encourage others to start thinking along those same lines. If that is the case, then it may be a good thing.

But I agree, if we look back at this letter in six months to a year and find that he's still driving investments in more lucrative but less useful things, then yeah I agree, he can cram it up his arse.

I also think actual money-where-your-mouth-is actions like the investment in capacity to produce vaccines that Bill Gates is making are way more useful for people with these big megaphones and wallets (but apparently it also makes you a target for the currently in power political faction because the leader of that faction is actually a spineless follower of society's worst impulses, but I digress). But maybe a statement of purpose like this open letter is better than nothing...
PG’s essays are why most people care about him. They’re only sometimes about business. These tweets are a natural extension of his essays.
Thanks a lot! I was not even expecting a CLI, I just could not find the possibility on web.archive.org to request a page to be saved.

Now that I scrolled down it is so obvious I do not know how I could have missed it. Thanks again!
There is no time format that is called “standard”, if anything, if somebody told me about “standard chess” I would assume they are talking about standard ruleset, in which case this article is definitely about standard chess.

I think you meant “classical chess”, which is a time format.
Can the store turn that off? I thought that was something the bank controls. Or maybe that was just for contactless?
> as it happens it's the same theory (to the extent that logic and theories has anything to do with such) that has lead to 2 devastating world wars.

It appears that you are arguing that those starting the world wars did so because they were suicidal. On the contrary, it seems probable that they started those wars believing it was possible to win them.
I could see this showing up in a near-future version of GitHub, along with enhanced default logging views.
Yea, that’s close to gibberish.

“but not reduced it enough that contact tracing is likely viable”

For example, NYC has seemingly slowed the spread enough it’s possible to Test for and track new cases. But if you dig into their numbers 4,264 deaths are linked to COVID but where not tested prior to death. https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page. They have little idea who’s currently infected and “ Due to delays in reporting, recent data are incomplete.”

Essentially they need a solid 2 weeks of minimal new cases. At which point they can start meaningful contract tracing, but contract tracing does not mean you can just get back to normal. Just slightly reduce the amount of isolation.
Er, would you be prepared to email it to me, too?
I hadn’t thought of that, it’s a great point. I wonder what sort of workable solutions exist to this problem.

Would eliminating all public schools and making a voucher-based system (with oversight/standardization for redeeming organizations) work to solve this?

How do we overall reduce the number of everyday routine life person-meters travelled in large percentages of society?
The OP thinks that six candles need more oxygen than the two chicken, and tested overnight I believe.
Of course stay home. No one's saying we found the cure. We still want to know what can help patients who get sick anyways (given what's happening in the US now, stupid people make stupid choices but doesn't mean they shouldn't be treated).

Of course I flagged that IVIG could be the worst thing we can try to scale up. Doesn't mean we shouldn't find out if it works or not.
I don't think I have anything particularly interesting or novel enough to say, and I don't want to add to the deluge of mediocre, self-promoting crap that the already Internet is... I hope to soon (1-2 years from now) have enough time to pursue interesting and novel side projects - I could see myself documenting them on a blog then.
People are reading a bit too much into this loss. It is a big deal that someone was able to beat Magnus Carlsen at any time control, especially in this era where Magnus has seemingly reached a new level of chess skill, but bullet is by far the the easiest for a champion to make a mistake or series of them. Magnus is ridiculously strong at bullet but I’ve watched his live-streams and sometimes he blunders really badly, that’s just part of bullet. Although he is incredibly strong at bullet, probably 50-100 points higher than the world #2. Anyone not a high ranked GM wouldn’t stand a chance of beating him in a series of more than 5 games. But I’ve seen him lose to players he is obviously better than. He’s the #1 so they try their hardest. Nothing comes easily for Magnus.
This is another impediment he didn't mention: a sort of regulatory capture working on the social level. Harvard's prestige begs the question of why people want to go there. None of the interested parties want to change that, because it's to their advantage. To provide a Harvard-level education to millions (not simply academically, but to open the lanes of opportunity in all ways Harvard provides) is to destroy Harvard. But then, one wonders what the utility of Harvard is to the average American.
I've always wondered about other people's experiences with backlogs. In all of the client accounts I've been to, a backlog was at the end of the day, simply leadership acknowledgement that there exists more work to do than there is budget to do it, and the backlog really should be mostly the last stage of an issue triage.

I wonder if any organizations would benefit from the effort to maintain an officially-recognized triage list of "we have to let these remediations die" issues, instead of a backlog. Once issues make it into a backlog and stay there for longer than T time (usually about a year), I've very rarely seen the issue make it out of the backlog into a sprint again, even years later.

At that point, it makes more sense to write up these issues into an architecture document that explicitly acknowledges the technical debt as the cost of doing business around the codebase while relating context to the rest of the architecture, and work up a systematic way to track the technical debt. And track the estimated effort that goes into working around each item in that list in the sense of, "if I didn't have to work around this debt, and it was fixed in the manner noted, I estimate it would take me -T time to complete this task instead".

At least that way leadership gets a sense of the actual cost of carrying specific pieces of debt around over time instead of only being able to evaluate acute debt. It might be acceptable to pay an estimated 100 hours per year for one item indefinitely, while for another similar item the underlying business mechanics makes it worthwhile to fix it now than let it accumulate over a 5 year schedule.
Yes

See Trump & Kushner

Math models show financial success is luck and government collusion

Limbic brain function takes on a habit of connecting to facts from past success stores in the cortex, to convince the person that their literal agency will always lead to success

And society continually rewards past success even in the face of nothing but failure in other endeavors

Again, see Trump and all the CEOs and hedge funds that keep being bailed out
It's not just an issue for big corporations and their proprietary software and DRM, but also has serious implications for the free and open source hardware community, especially the infosec hackers. To begin with: While it's not realistic to make secure hardware (let's say, a OpenPGP/X.509/Bitcoin Wallet security token) that can be 100% independently verified and free from all backdoors, but still, relatively speaking, FPGAs are generally a better and more secure option as a hardware platform than microcontrollers (for example, see the talk [0] by Peter Todd on Bitcoin hardware wallet and pitfalls of general-purpose microcontrolles), because of three advantages:

* It's possible to implement custom security protections at a lower level than accepting whatever is provided by a microcontroller or implementing it in more vulnerable software.

* Many microcontrollers can be copied easily, but FPGAs are often used to run sensitive bitstream that contains proprietary hardware/software, manufacturers generally provide better security protections, such as verification and encryption, against data extraction (read: OpenPGP private key) and manipulation attacks.

* Most "secure" microcontrollers are guarded under heavy NDAs, while they are commercially available (and widely used in DRM systems), but it's essentially useless for the FOSS community. On the other hand, because the extensive use of FPGA in commercial systems, security is NDA-free for many FPGAs. It's often the best (or the only option) that provides the maximum transparency - not everything can be audited, sure, but the other option is using a "secure" blackbox ASIC, which is a total blackbox.

Unfortunately, nothing is foolproof, manufacturers leave secret debug interfaces, cryptographic implementations have vulnerabilities, etc. Hardware security is a hard problem - 100% security and independent verification is impossible, making it harder to attack is the objective, but it's worse than software - once a bug is discovered and published, the cost of an attack immediately becomes 0, and it cannot be patched. We can only hope that the increased independent verification, like the researchers behind this paper, can somewhat reduce these problems systematically.

[0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r1qBuj_sco4
Upsahl – Live in Phoenix 2013 – Ft. Mike Upsahl
Will this be a good book to learn your first functional language?
Also, if you watch the game right after the Magnus victory, Magnus once again declares 'This is just game' before Alireza masterfully turns an amateur position into a victory over the world chess champion.