skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
That can't be true for the official confirmed numbers.

Like, it was for a while impossible to get a test if you are not experiencing multiple symptoms AND can make a case that you might have been exposed via interacting with someone who has traveled. Even now I don't think they're giving the test if you don't have a fever. It's implausible that 50% of the people tested by the official pathway had no symptoms because the official pathway is not available when you have no symptoms.

But if you mean that you've seen a 50% "asymptomatic transmission" rate, in other words studies like this that purport to test a bunch of people at random and see how many of them have COVID-19, note that this definition of "asymptomatic" may include many with symptoms not severe enough to be hospitalized -- in other words they might have been feverish and coughing but not moreso than a typical cold. I myself have had a really nasty cough but it is not "dry" but "productive" and it has not come with a fever -- I would really love to be tested but right now that does not seem to be possible! Maybe I am in this above grouping of "asymptomatic" folks.

The OP article suggests that as many as 98-99% of cases might not involve hospitalization and therefore might be cases like mine (assuming I do indeed have COVID-19, maybe I don't). Now it is likely that there is some sort of selection bias in how they recruited candidates, but still it tends to push that number above your high end of 70%, suggesting maybe it's closer to 80 or 90%. On the other hand while the paper says that it did its due diligence subtracting out the test's false-positive rate, a rather small error here can have a big impact on that number because there are so few true positives right now.

In some ways the paper's claim is a bit of good news, it means that this disease has much lower mortality than we were originally told. (There may be lower bounds on mortality -- I have heard of one town in Italy where 1% of its population is gone due to COVID-19 in which case that would seem to be a good lower bound.) In other ways it is bad news, it means that this disease, still with nontrivial mortality, is going to be much less affected by quarantine countermeasures and the social distancing stuff is really the only reason it is spreading as slowly as it is, so that we need to endure the pain of isolation for much longer -- potentially until testing becomes widespread and cheap.

That may not be too much longer, as mentioned in a previous HN comment/story [1] that if you can get testing to work with the old Sanger sequencers used in the Human Genome Project you can maybe ramp up to 200,000 samples/day at first with possibilities to go up to 1M/day once you solve additional logistical problems. Before that the production of kits and sourcing of reagents may be your limit.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22808208
https://archive.is/tRBJr
The issue with something like “free” healthcare is that proposed policies like Medicare for all only really talks about the demand side of the equation. It purports to expand the coverage without mentioning how we can pay doctors more so there is more of them, incentivize the private sector to produce (and profit from) top-notch drug treatments, reduce personnel and bureaucratic inefficiencies (which mind you implies layoffs which is the inverse of what government controlled sectors are associated with) etc.

In the absence of that missing supply side conversation, the proposals do start to resemble as forms of socialism i.e a simple redistribution and reversal to the mean with no major improvement to the overall system. Add assumed inefficiencies with government run systems, and you now have a more evenly distributed system but one that’s fundamentally worse in aggregate than the one before i.e. quite literally socialism of the 20th century that’s been tried and failed over and over again.
For those who don't have their own Autonomous System, but want to play with RPKI validation, you can join DN42 [1] and validate routes there.

Netravnen kindly provides a route export compatible with GoRTR and Routinator [2], which has been working nicely for me.

[1] https://dn42.us

[2] https://github.com/netravnen/dn42-roa-export
You say this as an absolute, but this very article is describing a case where it might have been found.

It's unlikely, we'll see.
When people say "little code" what they mean an should say is "little customization of the tool".

There's also the issue of how hard it is to select the line of code (API call) that does the job (because the API surface is huge), which is nearly invisible attribute.

Mathematica is famous for being incredibly powerful with low custom coding, but also very hard to find the API call that does the precise thing you need.
Claim that Covid-19 came from a lab in China completely unfounded scientists say
please check back in a few days, we are almost there.

you can also work with https://github.com/rpki-client/rpki-client-portable currently runs on a bunch of systems! coming to packages in the popular formats close to you soon!
How do you square this with 0.14% of all of NYC and 0.25% of all of Bergamo county being dead from confirmed Coronavirus? Surely this puts a strong lower limit on IFR.

Deaths in both places can only increase and deaths will inevitably be retroactively assigned a Coronavirus cause.
True, but then for that to be consistent, the epicenter around patient zero should have been next to a habitat where a large pool of this virus exist. However the closest matched virus seems to be carried by a species of bat that doesn't exist anywhere near the region of Wuhan. But coincidentally, if we trust the facts brought forward by this repo, was a species that was studied in these virology labs.
i saw a lot of brewers move to the shopify platform but the revenues are just not the same as when attached with the restaurants and taprooms. Many are expected to fail which means they will drop off shopify. I think overall, shopify will still be up since this is a wonderful acceleration of a change that was already in progress. But yes, this curve will flatten too as small retail starts failing and wallets dry up.
In rural communities, you're most often getting your water from a well. I grew up in an area like this, with a pumped well and septic system. There was no need for public water infrastructure because the density did not necessitate it, and the natural aquifer more than provided for those needs.
> in a few seconds

And in the bare minimum of clicks. Intelligent defaults of cursor placement and number pad.

I've tried a few and cobbling together the best of the best I think it goes something like:

1) take out phone and unlock

2) click on app

3) app opens into entry mode with default category already selected, number pad up and ready to go, and the cursor on the entry. So, all I have to do is enter the price and hit enter.

3) -alt And if I'm entering an non default category it's a click away with large buttons and clear feedback.

4) Close phone

5) put it back in my pocket.
so many comments asking "how could this be?" and "what the heck is going on?" and so forth.

the answer is obvious, but i guess it's too "political" for people to accept.
Does anyone know why these shortages haven't been sorted out? I don't work in manufacturing but aren't these things relatively simple to manufacture? We have factories and employees that are sitting idle, why can't they be repurposed to manufacture these en masse? It would resolve our supply issues while providing employment. Am I missing something?
Scandinavian countries didn't bankrupt.
Rather the opposite.
Have not experienced symptoms yet. I haven't seen any information about testing people and then following through until a negative test, to see whether they stay asymptomatic. It's more likely that we're testing them in the window between being infected and showing symptoms.
> that UB represents a waiver of the Standard's jurisdiction for the purpose of allowing implementations to best serve their intended purposes?

This won't work because defective implementations will just claim that their intended purpose is to do [whatever emergent behaviour that implementation produces], or to generate the fastest code possible regardless of whether that code bears any relation to what the programmer asked for.

> As a simple example, instead of saying "a compiler may assume that all loops with non-constant conditions will terminate"

This is actually completely unneeded, even for optimisation. If a side effect can be hoisted out of a loop at all, it can be hoisted regardless of whether the loop terminates. If the code (called from) inside the loop can (legally) observe the side effect, then it can't be hoisted even if the loop does always terminate. If code outside the loop observes the side effect, then either the loop terminates (and whatever lets you hoist terminating-loop side effects applies) or the code outside the loop is never executed (and thus can't observe any side effects, correct or incorrect).
Costco is probably an easy substitute, given their reputation for good treatment of its workers and comparable deals and ease of delivery.

Edit: or maybe not.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22901893
The stock market is at its most expensive on a forward p/e basis. There is nothing about this supposed recession that has made stocks cheap for a firm like Berkshire to scoop up.
It would die near instantly anyway. Very likely modern bacteria and viruses would overwhelm the creature's immune systems.
I got the sense that the personal and network support given initially might have been worth 7% of the company (especially for founders who needed that kind of advising), but the partners' ability to add value has gone down recently, making follow-on investments less likely to succeed.
People are acting like these are coal mine workers. After reading about their high starting wage and decent benefits, it's hard to make an argument that they are mistreated.
I had some reflexive reaction of wanting to disagree because there are also a lot of things that got better. But inconsistency? Hell yes. It feels like every company tries to run their own experiment, getting more and more erratic, and apparently all getting great feedback from their users (not sure if all the feedback systems are broken or something else is going on). Of course, Microsoft who in recent years started following the "roll a die for what UI-style we use today" paradigm is one of the worst offenders.
Mildly ironic that it is hosted on "dolthub": https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=dolt
https://levels.fyi/still-hiring
Firefighters played a crucial part in the distribution concept I came up with two weeks ago. Nice to see something like that being implemented!

Do you have any details of how the logistics are run, especially the last mile? Really curious, because I never heard back from German authorities so far.
I'm not living under a rock.
I'm actually living a mile or two from a virtually empty hospital.
The post I was responding to implied hospitals were overwhelmed. I simply asked which ones. Specically. Name them. If you don't know, fine. But, responding with downvotes snd insults doesn't seem productive.

Two weeks ago, we (by 'we' I mean the 320 million+ who don't live in NYC) were told by Cuomo that hospitals would be overrun and 40,000+ ventilators would be needed.
Thankfully, that wasn't true.
Was it?
> Technically, disconnected RAID1 (or RAID10 multiple) is a backup

Mmhh, sounds weird - what do you mean with "disconnected RAID1"?
Same reason we do not have (health) records in the same place in a common format that would allows us to intelligently coordinate moving what supplies we do have around in a proactive fashion.

We do not have a national health care system.
> I love how not only the time of existence but also its size and appearance are presented as undisputable facts.

All evidence and models across a large variety of disciplines points to the age of the fossils. Geological strata, carbon isotope ratios, phylogenetics, etc.

Feel free to present your evidence so that we can weigh in.
> others points are just a sign of times moving on, like the ≡ for menu

The article addresses this at the end. In software, the "times" do not move on like an unsteerable force. We (users and designers) decide how the times should move on. For non-mobile, the ≡ for menu seems like a step backwards and we shouldn't accept it without complaint.

Applying mobile patterns which are suboptimal on the desktop seems like a UX antipattern to me. I think a huge part of the problem is that software -- both free and nonfree -- needs to show "change" in order to signal it's still alive and maintained, but change for change's sake can be a bad thing, especially if you already had a pretty good (or consistent) UI.
Hacker's Guide to Neural Networks
Why do we need Flask, Celery, and Redis? (2019)
Apparently internships are deferred till next year. Don't know how that'll work.

It's entirely possible Airbnb never comes back after this, and that a competing product will not be able to fill its shoes. The regulation free zone that Airbnb was able to grow in no longer exists and will never come back, at least in the more urban areas. I'm not sure how they come back from this.

They have 12k employees from what I've heard, there's significant fat to trim. Hopefully they can stay afloat.
A counterpoint and a reason for hope:
After the 08 crisis, the big banks were required to keep aside a lot more money in reserves, agree to periodic stress tests by regulators, and forgo certain risky activities(proprietary trading).

Now regulators/management are pretty confident that the banking sector is robust and a 08 like crisis cannot happen again.
Keybes's mistake is ignoring that people have personal interest in acquiring more wealth, and businesses prefer the efficiency of fewer longer-hour workers in the absence of regulatory distortions like "health benefits required only if working 30+ hrs per week)
The UN says Covid-19 likely to kill over 300k people in Africa
It's funny to see a skate park so close to home. I play softball in a men's league across the way from it. This seems like a lazy solution that will be very hard to clean up after the fact though.
The implementation of disaster federalism
Yeah, I think I'm done believing models where the authors reputation is not on the line if the model turns out to be dead wrong. You can call it "ignorance", I call it "common sense".
Ah. Then Keynes did say that, and I was in error. But my criticism of the idea still stands, even if Keynes said it.

The question becomes, do we really want to have all this stuff? Then we have to work hard enough to produce all this stuff. Or, do we want to not work so hard? Then we're going to have less stuff to enjoy with our free time.
Don't know about the FF thing but here's the CloudFlare thing straight from their CEO--

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19828702
Aside from that this is a few years old, and got detected pretty quickly from only the target computer without using the network...
Speculating on the future is difficult. However, I disagree with Munger on this point if we're to start manufacturing in the United States once again, we're going to have to retool our economy and retrain people who were in the services industry to work in an industrial capacity. That's going to take some time, and surely American-based firms will take advantage of automation, but there's still a substantial amount of manual labor in factories.
US can have state and local welfare systems, so not necessarily distant and isolated.
There would potentially be an age bias, though probably less in FB than a lot of other services you could cherrypick from. It'd also arguably bias older, since FB has been aging up in audience from what I can tell.

Without reading the study, though, possible they actually controlled that in the demographic profile for the ad.

Edit:

Going to the other thread confirmed this. From the paper,

"This study had several limitations. First, our sampling strategy selected for members of Santa Clara County with access to Facebook and a car to attend drive-through testing sites. This resulted in an over-representation of white women between the ages of 19 and 64, and an under-representation of Hispanic and Asian populations, relative to our community. Those imbalances were partly addressed by weighting our sample population by zip code, race, and sex to match the county. We did not account for age imbalance in our sample, and could not ascertain representativeness of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in homeless populations. Other biases, such as bias favoring individuals in good health capable of attending our testing sites, or bias favoring those with prior COVID-like illnesses seeking antibody confirmation are also possible. The overall effect of such biases is hard to ascertain."
Government contracts can be awarded to politically supportive entities and denied to those that aren't. Of course in a nicely functioning democracy there is little reason to believe this happening.

But when the head of government intervenes in the process for no clear reasons and then refuses to explain what that intervention was or why it happened or allow anyone else to comment; and when this is defended as remaining silent because speaking "may tend to incriminate" ala the 5th amendment, then it is clear there was grossly inappropriate intervention.

The issue is not whether Amazon or Microsoft win the contract. The issue is whether contract awards are going to be used to force companies to support and obey the party in power. That and the causally related "it can't happen here" mind set.
You can receive payments using your individual social on PayPal I believe. I don't know if that opens up their checkout and subscription APIs though. It's a bit of unique test case, so if PayPal and Stripe don't work for you, I think you'll have a hard time finding a solution. Perhaps try talking to a business in the cannabis industry? They often have a lot of hurdles to overcome when accepting payments.
Really? What are people buying?
I owned a service running on EB that did 100QPS stable, 5K QPS weekly peak (with reasonably linear traffic increases) ~5 years ago. I'd still recommend it, but we hit some arbitrary limits / found leaky abstractions that took a lot of time to work around.
Overall, I'd much rather own a EB app (or any other PAAS, or Kubernetes) than a tangled nest of bash scripts, JIRA tickets and tribal knownledge.
Democrats have blocked a quick re-up of the funding.

They're using it as leverage for funding elsewhere and more restrictions on lenders.

IMO they should allow the funding now and give Republicans an olive branch like Republicans gave them with the last phase.

It's really not the time for politics and playing the leverage game looks bad.

I don't see why no one is mentioning this. It's wrong when both sides do things like this.
What percentage of immunity can we expect to see a slowdown in the spread of the disease? While we may need 60% or more to achieve full herd immunity surely somewhere lower than that we can expect to see a noticeable reduction in the spread?
https://archive.md/eAFo7
Hello and thanks for your time.

- I've got 1 HDD failure on RAID10 4 x 10TB HDDs, I had to take the system down to do RAID10 rebuild. because running server with huge I/O slowdown the rebuild and I had my fears of second HDD failure. (I had to take the system down anyway).
RAID didn't help in my usage scenario.

- I guess deduplication fixes this already.

- Any advice on ways fixing this and preserving my RAID0 usage scenario?
Small-Business Rescue Shows Not All States Are Created Equal
Firefox Preview expanded support for add-ons
Good to know. Thanks for sharing.

Well, this definitely makes me think that it's best if I self-host my git repos starting at some point in the near future.
yes, it is. no idea why i read Art of War before :-)
I saw an article saying the 5x markup is because of the air freight, which costs more.

Normally, the masks and other gear, are shipped via boat, and it takes over 30 days to transport it. But this is an emergency, so that lag in transport would have killed even more people and health care workers. Hence, the need to deliver it by air.

The problem is that the air freight companies are now resource constrained, that they are charging 3 to 4 times more than normal. These are the people that are causing the price gouging.

Then, to make matters worse, some European countries went on a media blitz to complain about shoddy Chinese made products. They bought non-medical masks, and were expecting it to be medical grade products!

So they complained about it on Twitter, which forced the China central government to crack down on manufacturers, and only allow “medical grade” certified masks to be shipped. This placed an even larger burden on the supply chain. (However, other masks not stamped with a “medical” label on it, were allowed to normally ship, as a consumer-grade item. So buy it at your own risk.)

So, this resulted in news that some expensive air freight flights, were only returning half-full. The other half was still sitting in the warehouse, awaiting customs export inspection approval, from the new Quality Control regulation.

Then, to make matters even worse, all countries all over the world, are now competing for the same products from China. And the Americans are buying the product outright, and in cash, and paying double or triple, what European countries are paying.

This all adds to the cost per product, which ends up justifying the 5x increase.
Sadly, so many things we all wish existed already exist and yet we just dont know about it. It is a big challenge for small tech businesses / websites -- they can offer desperately needed services and yet users only have so much attention budget to learn about all the services out there.
Composer is amazing and I'm going to say far better than what I've seen in JavaScript and python world.
Tables with seats and white table linen and at table service.
Better food options than TGV Lyria which I have recent experience with.
" that includes imperfect options like a vaccine."

A vaccine is not an imperfect option. It is our standard way of defeating diseases. Only problem here is, there is none ready, but several on its way. This is the only reason why covid19 is a higher threat and not really because of the disease itself. Neither our medical system, nor our immune system is prepared for it.

So we need a vaccine, for the risk groups, yes. But why do we need to give up on privacy and freedom for it, I do not really understand.
I love this! I was expecting something more like Mark Rober's movign dartboard [0], which is super cool, but this is even more interesting, because of the way you used software to come up with a general solution in advance.

Kudos!
Same exact experience. All we've received is a loan reference number.
No.

Scarlet Fever is bacterial, not viral, and are fought by different parts of the body's immune system.

Few if any attempts at creating vaccines against bacteria are successful, whereas vaccines against viruses are typically more successful, although viruses such as Influenza can evolve new versions frequently, requiring new vaccine versions.
> None of the search engines are as good as Google (most of the time)

Startpage (and ddg I think?) basically provide you googles search results without the tracking. They’re the same quality of results without your google created echo chamber (because google can’t profile your search habits when not using google directly for search)

You’re still giving google money (indirectly) but st least you’re depriving it of your personal data.
The little kid in me got excited for a second seeing the headline