skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Is it wrong, though? I did read the article, and I don't think so.

One relevant thing GP may have missed is that the researchers "excluded anyone who had tested positive for the virus in the standard nasal swab test". So they weren't quite trying to directly estimate the proportion of people with antibodies, but the proportion of people without a positive test with antibodies. But I suspect this didn't change the results much: how many people in the area have tested positive and recovered sufficiently to be out in public?
I think the criticism in this thread and elsewhere is a bit too harsh. It’s by no means a perfect study, nor the last word, but hopefully will motivate further studies.

I volunteered on this study and talked with hundreds of the participants, at least 200 and possibly as many as 400. Two reported previous COVID symptoms, unprompted.

The bigger problem was socioeconomic bias. Judging from number of Tesla’s, Audi’s, and Lamborghis, we also skewed affluent. Against the study instructions, several participants (driving the nicest cars I might add) registered both adults and tested two children. In general, these zip codes had a lower rate of infection. It’s very hard to understand which way this study is biased, and a recruiting strategy based on grocery stores might be more effective, but difficult to get zip code balance

There has been additional validation since this preprint was posted and now there’s 118 known-negative samples that have been tested. Specificity remains at 100% for these samples. An updated version will be up soon on medrxiv.
In addition, the wording "test positive for Covid antibodies" may lead people to think that 30% of the population in MA is immune to Covid19. It obfuscates the fact that the mere presence of antibodies does not imply immunity. There has to be a sufficient amount of antibodies in order to successfully fight off reinfection (which could be worse than the initial infection) ...
I actual just had an experience with the opposite. I'm a graduate student in a non-union department and the university made an announcement that they would cut student pay and hours. Mind you that students are still working the same amount of time and for TAs are working longer hours because remote teaching requires even more effort and preparation. However, the university was planning to cut already our already low pay rates.

The student union organizers circulated a petition which included demands for pay, sick leave, healthcare, and funding extensions. When the petition hit like 800 signatures the university sent out an email announcing a pay raise instead of a cut, healthcare, and sick leave without a single mention of the petition. It's probably a peace offering to keep people from unionizing in the long term.
You can get some amazing new car deals right now (the sellers are desperate for obvious reasons) and load rates are super low too.

If you need a new car and can still afford it, now seems like a great time to buy.

If you're looking for a used car, the consensus in this thread seems to be to wait a couple months as the market is flooded.
The protests are being cheered on by the President in his tweets and press conferences, and championed by more mainstream right-wing news (Fox) with constant coverage. I doubt Trump’s FBI is being given much room to investigate this sort of thing, assuming they want to.
No good reason for test errors to be uncorrelated, ie. quite possible same people who trigger false positives on the first test would be false positives on the second etc.
... or just give incentives up front on the MSRP. Manufacturers do both, it depends on how the details of the accounting play out.
If they don't have a job to get to, they might need the money a lot more than the car. :(
Assuming false positives aren't correlated even with independently manufactured tests seems like a terrible idea to me, knowing little about medicine.
people with kids almost never achieve outlier levels of success

People can have kids and pay little (positive) attention to them. Bing Crosby and Johnny Carson, for example.
Or to stay in power. Since their logic is a running economy -> stock market good -> Their faction gets reelected.

I wonder how fearful the kakistocracy are about losing in November, they've been so blatantly saying that black is white for the last 4 years (watch this comment get downvoted because "Black is white!") , and they might have to face the consequences of that.
The official answer is: then it will make a particularly interesting comment to add to the thread.

The unofficial messy answer is: sometimes, let's say 10% of the time, there are exceptions.
The most plausible one I've heard was to heavily quarantine people at higher risk of dying or having severe complications from COVID-19 while having looser restrictions on people highly unlikely to suffer serious consequences. This would, theoretically, allow the virus to propagate throughout the population and a herd immunity to develop naturally.

It's relatively close to what's being done in Sweden, so I guess we'll at least end up with something of a test-case in retrospect.
This assumes that the cause for false positive is in the test execution and not a contamination in the sample itself.
But they did succeed in removing open carry in California!
Damn, I am being sloppy,

Yeah, 0.08931% of the population of Italy experienced fatality.

If we assume .2% fatality rate, that implies 50% of the population was infected (which might make sense with an extremely contagious virus but that's more than even the cruise ships).
> I must admit it’s never a good look when a week-old company receives a sizeable federal contract. Especially when the founders are political insiders.

I don’t see why. A politically well-connected person (previously well-known in their circles for other successful ventures) wants to help get something done; the obvious thing for them to do is to create a new company (for legal reasons, to separate it from their other ventures) and then get people to put money / contracts into it.

See also: Herbert Hoover with Belgium (https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/17/book-review-hoover/). Which may have more parallels here than it seems.
Uh, he was saying they should be used in this instead of C.
You'd never guess from the Photoprism website that it actually exists. It's just a huge ad.

But there is actually code, tucked away in the hard to find github link: https://github.com/photoprism/photoprism

Unfortunately, it requires docker, and cannot be installed standalone. That's a deal-breaker for me.
probably depends on the car. I was leasing a bmw 3 last financial crisis, and I heard from folks whose end-of-lease was coming up were offered heavy discount on their cars if they buy them out instead of returning. (like $5000 off residual) I don't think the sweet deal lasted too long though.
If you’re leasing a new car, now is as good a time as any. I think most dealerships would be really happy to move even one car off their lot this month.
This specificity issue is bothering me.

This 'medical' meaning 'very important' - so if there's a test with 90% accuracy, why on heaven's earth do we not simply run the test 3 times to get 'considerably greater accuracy'?

10% error is so large it's tough to make heads or tails of the data?

Does someone know if this makes sense i.e. if we can simply run the test 3 times and get better data.

Secondly - why are these health authorities not doing proper, state-wide tests?

Here we are with an economy in meltdown, trying to 'model model model' with a 10 Trillion dollar economy wouldn't it make sense for at least ONE (or a few) freaking comprehensive tests that give us some good data?
Let's not forget the opposite extreme though (USSR). If you try to regulate inequality away by redesigning your entire government, what ends up happening is that everyone is equally poor except the elite corrupt government officials
That's a fair amount of tinkering time. Go for a walk, and enjoy the milestone. I'll check this out sometime soon.
For me it shows all newsworthy people and articles. It shows the titles of the pages and they are all stuff like "11 signs you are a good person" So it seems clear that there is no kind of AI bias here but simply that high ranking articles with the word person more often than not choose white men as their stock image.

Most of the very top results seem to be of trump and greta thunberg.
WHO head warns worst of virus is still ahead
> I wonder if we may be reaching the point where only games and a handful of really demanding (non-cloud) workloads require a desktop.

I sort-of feel like we are there already. I think we are quickly reaching the point where even games and most demanding workloads don't require a desktop. I work on video games professionally and even I do most of my work on a laptop.
This would require that false positives are truly random and not influenced by sample-specific factors. Is this the case? In antibody testing, I would imagine that false positives result from cross-reactivity instead of random chance.
While I don't endorse this state of affairs, the federal government has been putting constraints and obligations on private (especially commercial) speech for decades.
I’m very much a lightweight and I found that ESXi was great when combined with Fusion on a Mac. Being able to build VMs locally then upload them is nice. Maybe other platforms have methods like this too?
I haven't seen any thorough analysis, but here's one example of some mild comparison:

> Core i7-9700K, a desktop processor with a 95W TDP

https://www.techradar.com/news/the-amd-ryzen-9-4900hs-is-fas...
Our goal is to democratize deepfake avatars.

Add a "buy me a beer" button already.
Which is a good reason to add a reply-notification system, not a good reason to block replies
I am curious to read about this but googling “woman flight ZA twitter outrage“ is getting me nothing. Could you provide a name?
It's an option. Being able to put off car shopping for a while is worth something, and probably worth more now since it's a good time to avoid shopping in general.

You still need to be smart enough to decide whether it's your best option or not.
off-topic:
Here's a weird thing... I've to admit that one concern I've is to like PhotoPrism (this is what is keeping me a little bit afraid of trying it). The issue is that I'm a Go programmer and it seems to be a good piece of software, but it uses the GPL license, and I've as a motto to avoid reading GPL'ed source code, especially when it affects what I do for a living. It'd be even worse if I think about contributing to it...

I discovered it a few months ago when I was searching the web to see what is out there. Previously to moving to iPhoto (regretted a lot), I used digiKam and I enjoyed it.

* I don't want to risk reading something I like there and ending up copying the idea or writing similar code unwillingly, as this license is viral.

Thanks for showing me PhotoStructure!
And don't confuse UPS (United Parcel Service) and USPS (United States Postal Service).
Unlike education, healthcare is a federal matter. However the states are responsible for applying federal laws (Art. 83 Basic Law).
I can definitely see this working, but one thing that come up to me is how to manage multi-lines f-strings using that syntax?
You appear to have the empathy of a moldy cheese sandwich.
The elevators in my building only make one announcement per stop.
The irony only exists because of the tragic centralization of web tools. Hopefully, as more people open their own websites and domains, that centralization will lessen.
I wanted to sell my financed car and buy something else in cash, but I don't think I'd be able to sell it now and there isn't much on the used market, like you said.

I'm sure some deals will be a bad in the next few months but at the same time I'd take a hit on my current vehicle so I might just sit tight.
Because it went on a generic political tangent.
The article claims 712 detected cases resulting in (at least) 39 deaths.

Chelsea has a population of about 40k, this isn't mentioned in the article but matches the article's figure of around 1900 cases per 100,000.

Assuming 30% of the population is infected this puts the current number of deaths at around 0.3% of the total infected. There is some bias due to the rate of false positives of the test and the lag in the number of deaths, so the actual fatality rate may well be higher, but the order of magnitude seems consistent with the numbers discussed in previous threads [1].

[1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22901311
> Why should it not be possible to solve this with statistical methods?

Doing just that for 10 years, beating hand-coded systems: https://www-nlp.stanford.edu/pubs/SocherLinNgManning_ICML201... [pdf]

> I would guess that most modern NNs from the NLP area (Transformer or LSTM) would be able to correctly differentiate the meaning.

Yes. See demos like: https://demo.allennlp.org/constituency-parsing/MTczNjYyNA== and https://demo.allennlp.org/dependency-parsing/MTczNjYyNg==

> I think there is no fancy NN (yet) behind Google search,

During the deep learning boom, Google made a huge push towards NN-based NLP. SEO's and their PR calls their efforts collectively RankBrain: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RankBrain

I think we are on the cusp of combining symbolical/logical operations over the vectors produced by Neural Networks (or at least, major effort there). Could be by neatly tying up all these different NN-based NLP modules (parsing, semantic distance, knowledge bases, ...) with another set of decision layers stacked on top.
As long as the leaders don't get blamed for devaluing the currency, there will still be an incentive to do it. Most people's political careers aren't that long.

You see this happen with CEOs today. If it looks like the company is going to collapse, just change jobs. When things fall apart a couple of years later, you can talk about how things were great while you were still in charge. Few will have enough insider knowledge to know you're lying.
Please read the actual source.

Here is another

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/wealth-management/1215...

It's obvious you don't know Danish tax law. Let's just leave it at that.
Sure, like China using its influence over the WHO to mislead about the nature of the outbreak within its borders and exclude Taiwan from the international health community. I'm more worried about that than some powerless randos who are mad about the massive QALY loss we're currently going through.
I think the value sometimes is in having relevant resources to point to when in localized arguments. (If someone is repeating a falsehood, I can direct them to resources that refute it rather than having to do all the searching repeatedly).
For those of you cheering this move, imagine it applied to the causes you care about and decide if you still think its a good idea.
I've been looking too and been confused why there's hardly anything on craigslist right now, and what is there is mostly junk compared to normal.
Well, the official Trump party line is indeed that social distancing and other restrictions are still necessary. This is a very confusing situation since the protesters against the protective measures seem to be almost exclusively from Trump's base.
It's no surprise that a culture that didn't plan ahead or invest in public health infrastructure has haphazard and poorly defined processes.
Make your own custom Map of the World
Is your position that people who will be made unemployed as a result of the economic destruction have enough savings and that we are providing enough benefits for them to survive?

59% of Americans could not afford $1,000 in an emergency. [1]

So you're talking about an optimistic runway of $1,000 + a $1,200 one-time benefit payment. The average person will be in poverty within 60 days.

I think you're dramatically overestimating the wealth of the average American.

[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/21/41-percent-of-americans-woul...
It hasn’t been called federal express for decades.
I don't understand why it matters if the reopen domains or Facebook groups are being created/organized by some individuals or a group. There are dubious claims from Reddit labeling this as 'astroturfing', but astroturfing would require that these actors create fake accounts or pay for posts or hire actors for protesters. But everything seems to point at the protesters being real individuals who are simply aligned on the sentiment of reopening.

Even if someone is gaining in some way from the effort of registering domains, creating Facebook groups, and writing descriptions, I don't think it removes the legitimacy of the underlying sentiment or protesters. I don't think it makes it "less grassroots". After all, literally every other act of protest or campaigning or other activism involves organizing. Unless we're about to claim that anyone performing organizing is astroturfing, it is nonsensical to apply the label here.
Here's another fun fact about how commerce search engines work (I spent a couple of years on this):

Negations sidestep almost all of the algorithms that try to provide an improved result set, and fall through to pure text relevancy. So try searching on amazon for shirt, then search for: shirt -xkxkxkxk. Since xkxkxkxk doesn't match any documents, the negation should have no effect, but it does, the effect it has is to sidestep all the fancy relevancy work and hardcoded query rewrite rules, domcat rules, demand and sales/impression statistics etcetc, and give you basically awful search results. You don't even get shirts.
In high density areas or with a substantial older population, yes.

Sweden didn't shut down and their health system isn't at the point of any of those locations. [They have a lot of people dying though - so that's not to say not shutting down is a good idea].

It's also pretty unclear from Seattle's trajectory pre-lockdown it was every going to be overwhelmed if it didn't shut down.
Are you implying that the "other side", insofar as it exists, is a grassroots movement? That seems to be the implication of pointing out that people who want to reopen the economy aren't grassroots.
I mean it in more the sense that Facebook only serves your content to a very small amount of people who like your page to test it before they send it to more and more people, and that if I was trying to resolve the issues the companies were having with Facebook I would address that issue first.
Well - this is basically the Twitter and Facebook business model. It's just that they're wilfully curating and disseminating the bullshit for profit instead of creating it.

And even that is just a reinvention of the old tabloid business model, but with better analytics and slightly more ass covering - especially on FB, which can't quite decide if it should remove this traffic for moral reasons, or optimise its algos for the user engagement it generates.

The troll business has always been toxic and poisonous, but now it's far more concentrated.

Without social media and the more insane elements in the MSM, trolls would be limited to mad little mail order operations and micro-niche lecture tours of mostly empty church halls.
I guess it was flagged because it was kind of political and would probably start a flame war. I don’t know why I couldn’t think of that.
Foreign actors have different motivations— and most importantly, don’t have to live in a country if they destroy it with terrible policies.
What I'm talking about is a UI/UX problem that cannot be solved by key layout, I even experimented with a Ergodox and ended up in keybind hell really quickly because supporting one application others very quickly.
FYI Civ 5 also has a native port.

Civ 4 runs on wine, but the Beyond the Sword expo needs workarounds to work (some few winetricks commands). Does not run out of the box.

Civ 4 Colonization works out of the box but occassionally it will hang.

I have not tried Civ 3 or previous civs.

FreeCiv/FreeCol can be fun too if you don't mind the graphics. Especially the online play. The diplomacy is different.
Sometimes he argues things he believes and tries to make a point from silliness. Other times he's just a dick saying messed up things that he finds a funny.
Either way he's just a guy flesh and bones and he doesn't say things online he doesn't say in person. He's just a dude at the end of the day.

> Personally, my hopes have always been that we would continue to build on ideas of society that flourished post enlightenment

I shared this view for quite some time. But rationality can only get you so far.
So weird stuff can out of the enlightenment, i.e. fascism and communism, and they were underpinned by rational thought but were totally messed up.

> One is constructive, the other nihilistic at best and actively destructive at worst.

I'm not defending a troll here. I'm just saying don't attribute to malice that which you can explain with trolling. In that case, just silly trolling has the potential to destabilize a system, then it's not very robust. Also, I would say that this is only possible on the internet. Anyone can tell when someone is just messing around vs. trying to subvert people. It's the difference between being an asshole and trying to start a cult. On the internet, you can accidentally start a cult. In real life you cant.

What does that say about the internet?
I needed a map for a video edit, and after a quick duckduckgo search, I found this site. It made prepping graphics for the edit so much easier than other options I had. Just felt like it might be useful for others as well.
The last one I switched (just last year) had a broken power button that was embedded inside the case that I couldn't replace it without breaking anything.

I've had a few fancy ones with design failures that weren't showstoppers on a new case, but once the plastic parts whore-off they wouldn't hold well (ok, they were still usable). I had a case that developed some conductive points on the main board support, and one that after a bit of dust accumulated there wasn't enough airflow anymore, and one with an embedded fun that broke in months. All of those were mid-range models, from different manufacturers that people were recommending on the internet.

Funny thing is that last time I brought one, I got for the cheapest no-name thing available (it breaks anyway...). It's a plain standard case, with a simple robust assembly, standard ventilation, normal buttons, and a old-way standard main board support. I have seen no issues at all.
Nice, and thanks for making the CLI version, because for such personal info (some of which might be security questions for a bank!) I'd rather not use the web site.

On the website however it seems to make it impossible to go back. Clinking the browser back button gets stuck in a loop after you click "Start Remembering Now"
Because the cure maybe worse using draconian lockdowns instead of just social distancing like Sweden:

COVID-19 Is Likely to Lead to an Increase in Suicides: https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/covid-19-i...

The Untold Toll — The Pandemic’s Effects on Patients without Covid-19: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMms2009984

Even if we open back up, we should still keep the elderly/at-risk populations as quarantined as possible. Practice social distancing. Not hold large festivals/gatherings/etc until we get a vaccine or achieve herd immunity.
NixOS 20.03 is released
That's pretty cool. Sounds to me like a corporate SETI@home.
Public relations was always weaponized.
Nice. I liked Ken Beck's quote. Insightful as always.

As far as I remember, Continuous Integration (CI) was about merging your code with the rest of the team as frequently as possible. Jenkins, and other tools were not even in the horizon. Because in the waterfall prehistory, some teams used to divide the system in parts and integrate the source code at the end. And it was hell. So now we have these powerful tools like git, and in a way we use them to cheat and not do CI.