skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I recommend watching the whole video, as it is by far the clearest argument in favor of the "herd immunity" approach I've seen.

The problem with the approach is that it assumes several things that, shall we say, there is not yet evidence for.

1. The disease is relatively mild, certainly less than an order of magnitude more fatal than influenza.

2. It is possible to protect older people and other vulnerable populations while the disease spreads through most of the rest of society.

3. After people recover from the infection, there is lasting immunity.

If these three things are true (and some other things that I'm not going to argue with, including that it will take a long time to get a vaccine), then herd immunity is a reasonable strategy. But let's look at each in turn.

1. The death rate in New York City is already 0.1% of the entire population. Even under very strict assumptions, that we're exactly at the peak of a totally symmetrical curve, and that herd immunity results in 50% of the population being infected, that results in a lower bound of the IFR at 0.4%. Lombardy gives similar results (0.12% of the population directly attributed to Covid-19)

2. Prof. Giesecke admitted that they failed to do so in Sweden. It is not clear how this could be done, as elderly people do not live in a bubble, but rather have lots of workers coming in and out of the facility to help take care of them.

3. SARS-CoV-2 is a new virus, and we just don't have the data yet. You can extrapolate from existing coronaviruses, which suggest that immunity will last at least a year for most people, but there are worrying signs (low antibody production, reports of reinfection that might or might not be testing artifacts). We just don't know.

To me, it was a gamble, and we'll know before long whether it pays off. There were some things that bothered me about Prof. Giesecke, such as his dismissal of the experience of China ("it's a different world"), and other things that made a lot of sense. People who want to believe will be citing this video as authoritative support for their beliefs. If these assumptions turn out not to be consistent with evidence, then people will be citing this video as a case study in how smart people can get stuff horribly wrong.
> Do you think Google is serious about differential privacy?

IMHO, Yes, very much so. There are lots of other initiatives as well (can't find a public link at the moment).

> and not FB's, is saying something...

I don't think they are an evil company either, but they were somewhat cavalier with handling PII until recently. This is why I support stronger personal and data privacy laws. It's very easy to mishandle info, even with the best of intentions. Take a look at Zoom, which prioritized ease-of-use over security and privacy. This is another example of why I think people shouldn't worry (first) about FAANG, they should worry about the much smaller players that don't receive nearly as much scrutiny.
This encryption is the only way that you can ensure the integrity of the firmware at the chip level so anything relying on that as part of their chain of trust is going to have to redesign their device now. Firmware is loaded from an external eeprom on these devices DRM wasn't the sole use of this feature.
I guess it depends were you are in life. I’ve noticed since having kids that working and succeeding takes on a whole other meaningful level. Before, ambition was tied to abstract things I didn’t quite care too much about, i.e. money. Now, being my best self is the greatest teaching tool for our kids as they look to us as role models.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CeDOQpfaUc8
With references
My vague understanding is, that the tests can also test positive for antibodies from other similar viruses. They have a significant false-positive rate that you should not rely on a positive („you are immune“) result but overall they will provide a big picture approximation how many citizens might have already resistance. They are not good enough for a rumored „immune certification“.
---

> SSMS, unfortunately, is missing a ton of features that 3rd-party clients have mastered -- instant search/filter through query results, quick aggregating of numeric results (min max, sum, avg, sd, etc), sorting on any column, exporting to multiple formats, filtering of schema objects, charts from query results -- just off the top of my head. They also enable many tasks via GUI like creating/editing table schemas, importing bulk data, pre-query variable substitution, etc.

---

True, those are fair points. It does depend on one's use case. Instant search/filter/sort through query results is a useful one that seems to be an omission on SSMS's part.

Quick aggregation and charting are nice to haves, but I would typically do these in Jupyter or Tableau (or Excel if it's a small dataset). These are not features most people would miss if they weren't in their SQL client. Pre-query variable substitution is a great idea, though in SSMS one can use DECLARE @var in many instances (not all) -- it's also not widely supported in 3rd party clients except for more advanced ones like DataGrip.

SSMS does have a pretty comprehensive GUI for creates/edits of schemas. Bulk data ingest can be done in multiple ways (CSV import GUI, bacpacs/dacpacs, backup/restores or using the bcp CLI that comes with SSMS) -- also bulk ingest is not a common feature in 3rd party GUIs.

Side note: for really large data ingests from Parquet etc. I write my own ETL in C# which uses the SqlBulkCopy class (or "turbodbc" in Python) for fast ETL. No GUI client I know can do this.
I could see several three-letter agencies salivating at the prospect of this, not to mention the Chinese government.
Event 201 as in the pandemic preparedness exercise? And its focus on coronaviruses because of SARS and MERS? Is that really all it takes to start an entire conspiracy lol
You are overthinking this. Drop all parties and keep looking if you have the options. If you want the job bad at Company B, then go for it. Recruiters come and go and the actual work would not be impacted. No one will care how you joined a company after a while.
There's two kinds of bad faith here, I think.

One kind of bad faith is that of the Illinois Nazis. Obviously, had they succeeded in their political goals, the ACLU would be purged and fundamental civil rights would be abridged for all but the chosen race. Still, they had a valid free speech concern, and the ACLU believed in a society where anyone could conduct a march, even if the Nazis didn't and were being hypocritical. So even though the ACLU was helping a group who was more than ready to backstab them, the ACLU was still able to accomplish its own goals. The general-case interest of the ACLU in protecting everyone's right to protest lined up with the specific-case interest of the Nazis in protecting their own right to protest.

The other kind of bad faith is that of Unite the Right, which was not being denied the right to rally - only the right to rally in a physically easier-to-control space, and which had not raised concerns because of the content of their messaging but because of the pro-violence groups that were participating. As a result of the bad faith, the ACLU was duped into believing there was a threat to civil rights, which there was not, and they were coopted into assisting the organizers with a goal that they didn't actually agree with.

I agree that it's hard to tell, but in the case of Unite the Right, opposing activists had been warning (with evidence) that the plan of the rally was to create conditions for violence and that their goals weren't merely speaking and peaceably assemblling. In the Skokie case, there were no such concerns. I even think it's reasonable for the ACLU to have gotten it wrong - provided they did a retrospective on how they got it wrong (that was not merely "we shouldn't defend neo-Nazis anymore"), which to the best of my knowledge they didn't do.
>https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00705-010-0729-6

It's not correct to call insertion of a plasmid to be gene editing of a host cell, though this could be arguably pedantic.

I'm curious how you concluded that what they did made it easier to breed bat viruses into becoming human viruses?
That's the great thing. You don't actually have to know anything about anything you're talking about and people will listen to you because you are a "celebrity". It happens all the time, across all spectrums and views. It's been happening for a very long time. This isn't particularly surprising, or unique.
From a lead, product manager position yes. When I know what is coming down the pipe I can push the rework backlog items in a prior sprint, so that things don't get difficult for the following sprints feature set. It does work assuming my pipeline is consistent and not at a tail chasing stage.
The original comment didn’t mention event 201, it was literally just about money and how Gates was doing all this to get more of it, but really — all event 201 shows is that a coronavirus-based pandemic disaster was extremely predictable, not that it was planned. War games in secret rooms help predict outcomes, they don’t cause those outcomes.

Smart people have been concerned about a viral pandemic of this sort for centuries, and yet we were caught unprepared. That’s the real tragedy.
What kind of source would satisfy you for "the opposite might be happening..."?
“ The Republicans and Democrats alike are guilty of such behavior.”

This isn’t a useful line of thinking. We can and should draw distinctions between the two parties. They aren’t the same. Pretending they are just muddies the waters.
Interesting, thanks. Apparently it's already being used to treat covid-19. But the potential side effects seem to be nasty and the survival rate not great, so I guess it's only really a last resort treatment.

Human bodies are just too damn complex. Even when the problem is clearly identified--a lack of oxygen in the blood--there's no way to just insert more that doesn't cause a hundred new problems :-/ Natural selection seems to be really bad at modular design.
> Market failures are a rich literature

Sure, I was not saying markets are perfect, I asked what system with no markets is better?

> There is no single system that does better universally, but there are plenty of narrow fixes that do fine.

Agreed.

> As an example, scarce donor organs are not allocated based on ability to pay, but in other ways: https://optn.transplant.hrsa.gov/learn/about-transplantation....

And if you investigate it I'm sure you'll also find plenty of examples of failures in organ allocation.
IMO, the reason mass transit isn't popular in moderately populated areas (think population per sq mi/km) is that it's too inconvenient. In these places, it's much, much quicker to hop in your car and get where you're going than to try to use the public transportation system, which is a pretty sparse set of bus routes in most places.

I'm a firm believer in Elon Musk's vision for public transit, wherein you may own an autonomous vehicle that is hired out for rides by others via something like Lyft. If you choose to own a car, it'll sit at your house when you choose, but can go out and make you money while you have nowhere to go. At this point, you can imagine that there are detractors from this idea - namely those who would profit from owning all the vehicles, those who manufacture traditional vehicles, and the fossil fuel industry, to name a few. Those people are the ones who will keep us in a state of limbo as long as possible from a legal and infrastructural standpoint. We have to decide that this future is better than the one we're in. It'll have a vast impact on pollution, anthropological contributions to climate change, and human equality and prosperity.

All we have to do is start demanding progress and stop accepting mediocrity.
The CIA’s (Originally OSS) Personality and Biographical Profile of Adolf Hitler [pdf]
I don’t have a blog or Twitter or Facebook anymore and I’m fine with it. I never really got anything out of it. In fact, it was all just me complaining which doesn’t do anyone any good. I’m happier not having those channels.
If people follow that, colleges might decide to lower the entry requirements and the amount of students who join this year might be similar to the usual amount.

Perhaps a better approach would be to plan safe working conditions instead.
In the Beginning… Was the Command Line, an essay by Neal Stephenson:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/In_the_Beginning..._Was_the_Co...
It works very well. I have a Clover Hackintosh (not OpenCore) on my [edit: cheap pre-built generic] desktop (i5-7400, iGPU, macOS has its own SSD). It works great, even allowing me to upgrade from Mojave to Catalina and forget that it's not a real Mac. My monitor always looked pink, but if I change my monitor's input color format to YPbPr it works fine. The patch that I used to fix that in Mojave is broken in Catalina, but I don't really care.

Aside from that, it works just like a real Mac in basically every way.
The New York Times video features Dr Corey C. Hardin at Mass General. The user carbocation is a "a cardiology fellow at the Massachusetts General Hospital" He is a colleague of the guy featured....

My link is to the twitter account of the doctor that disagrees with the doctor at Mass General.

This is a clear case... as I suspected... of the people in the article trying to manipulate the discussion about how they are perceived.
Well, that's one way to read into the facts.

The point I'm trying to make is that there are few other companies where the rank-and-file have as much pull with executive leadership and can influence strategy based on moral reasoning.
Linguist here. I think you over-estimate the linguistic change in the last century. Sure, there's new vocabulary for new things: spacecraft, hybrid (car), email, covid-19. But syntax and morphology have hardly changed at all, and you can still read Mark Twain (more than a century old) just fine, even the dialectal parts. And while we can't run the experiment backwards to see if our language would be muddy to them, I doubt it (again, apart from new words for new concepts).

Whereas the changes this thread is talking about have been major UI changes in the space of 10 or 20 years: loss of standard menus (I'm looking at you, Microsoft Office), hidden functionality, etc.
I did a mystery murder on Zoom yesterday where only the organizer/host had audio. It had the feelings of an IRC chatroom but with video. More people could actively talk (30+) than on a regular Zoom call, which are rife with interruptions in even very small groups.
Do you recall the issue? Was it FaceTime specifically or all-things-iCloud? The latter is one of the most common last-mile issues since you need to present Apple servers with hardware identifiers that iCloud agrees are real (i.e.: from your old MacBook gathering dust).
I prefer python professionally. But I have been trying to teach my kids programming via code breaking with the Gravity Falls tv show. Trying to add numbers to letters is very confusing for younger kids.
In the usa its more like they are free to ignore, licenses are rooted in copyright law aka ownership, per recent Supreme Court Case, states can freely violate copyright... https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2020/03/supreme-court-ru...
Potentially allows for more people to be in a video chat at once. Beyond that though.. no idea. Thought it would be interesting to put it out there and see what happens :)
The Baffling Unsolved Murder of Robert Aynes
perhaps a little bit premature advice

college students are not at risk to begin with - I'd recommend waiting closer to mid summer

it might be the best time to attend college, fewer people enrolled, getting more attention from educators etc
Skin rashes emerge as possible symptom of Covid-19, dermatologists say
These things usually break down with one or two questions that the person can't answer. Just like the 5G connection nonsense, if you ask how electromagnetic radiation in the spectrum that 5G uses has a connection to a virus (the most basic question possible) you will just get someone angry with you. It's almost fascinating how people can develop emotional attachment to something that fails a droplet of investigation.
Similar situation, and I knew it could happen very fast (3 day doubling periods do that), but without data I still wouldn't have predicted (and can't now) where it would get bad and where it would middle around.

What we do now know is that it changes VERY fast so you can't wait for your ICUs to fill up or a lot of people will die... you have to act early. And if it came once this fast... it can again, if our guard goes down (and it will).
Where can I find something like this? I have been trying to get my new system working and it's a bit frustrating.
I set up my first Hackintosh in 2011 while on Spring Break in High School.

It was the most difficult computing project I'd ever done up until that point--partly because it was legitimately more difficult back then, partly because I was using a pre-built Dell instead of a custom machine with parts targeting Hackintosh, and also probably because I was a stupid teenager who didn't know what he was doing.

But once I was done, it was absolutely stable. Everything worked[1]. I installed every point release update[2] through the normal software updater without problems. This was actually my first experience with OS X, and I completely fell in love with the platform.

Many people who haven't used Hackintosh seem to assume it's an unstable mess, and it certainly can be a mess if you don't set it up correctly, or attempt to use not-quite-compatible hardware. But my experience has been that if and when you set it up properly, Hackintosh can be every bit as stable as a real Mac.

---

[1] Except for sleep. Getting sleep working on Hackintosh is very doable but usually annoying, and it's not needed on desktops.

[2] Ie 10.6.5 ==> 10.6.8. Upgrading Snow Leopard ==> Lion almost certainly would have failed had I tried it, although such upgrades are sometimes possible nowadays with Clover, and I assume OpenCore.
> My only criticism of the state of building a Hackintosh is the amount of cargo cult advise out there.

Absolutely right. I think the issue behind this is that many people are repeating advice without understanding why it matters because it worked for them. So, you end up with people cargo-culting SSDT overlays, boot arguments, and other miscellaneous settings. This is somewhat inevitable with something technical, but it's exacerbated by a couple things:

1. many people in the Hackintosh community are very gatekeep-y. While others are very nice, I remember a few years ago being told to "go read the entire ACPI standard and the come back!" Reading about stuff is important, but it's pretty hard to figure out what the correct stuff is to read.

2. A lack of a centralized documentation repository (this is being fixed by OpenCore and others) to explain when different pieces of advice apply or don't. This is especially important on laptops where there may be some obscure quirk of one's particular hardware revision that is much easier found if everyone puts documentation in the same place.

I mostly gave up on hackintosh a few years ago because of all this, but have found it so much better and nicer as of late. Big thanks to the acidanthera guys who seem to be driving a lot of this change.
What are the practical, social negatives of this? Will in-demand schools hold a grudge on the thousands or more of students they would have liked to have in fall 2020 and skipped? "You weren't there for us in 2020 so we think you're better off elsewhere."

Not that any university should behave this way; I'm asking if any quality ones would be.
I generally agree with your viewpoint, but the argument against deflation isn't from needing to clerically split currency units, but rather that having currency itself appreciate delays purchases and causes the economy to stall.

But deflation doesn't seem to have held computing back much. And when someone wants a loaf of bread, they're going to buy it regardless of being able to save if they wait a week. I do agree that it will generally slow the economy, and this is a good thing for sustainability and conserving natural resources.

A good indicator that we're well past prudent investing into basically gambling is the SV bubble where equity is paying to flood cities with inexpensive e-scooters, hoping to create a culture of renting them so they can gain a future income stream. The physical goods are so meaningless to the financials that many end up destroyed or discarded. That's the kind of "investing" that the past two decades of artificially low interest rates have caused.
But that's exactly the point. I haven't seen any of these things from those people. Just hand waving and statements like the ones I gave above, without serious further attempts to strengthen them by, you know, logic and arguments. Like saying it's caused by mass panics because of the fear of the unknown, now that it has a name that is not the flu.

When this thing started in China, it was initially assumed to be just that, then when evidence showed up it wouldn't be, there was the initial cover-up phase. Everybody involved at that point was pretty much doctors and other experts which aren't exactly the random dork that just panics, as well as government officials who's last desire is to have that go public. Yet they reached the point where they couldn't deny it anymore and started taking drastic measures.

No good explanation for this I've come across so far.

Then Europe, Italy first. Again the government and the people ignored this as much as possible. It's the China flu, it can't affect normal humans like us. Milan had the famous "let's keep going" campaign. There was absolutely no sort of panic, besides maybe the panic buying of toilet paper etc. People only really started to change when their hospitals got overloaded and you could actually see the effects of this in everyday life.

Yet those claiming this is just the flu like to change it around and say there was panic first which somehow lead to overcrowded hospitals. Even that part isn't very clear, given that testing was ramped up slowly, initially you couldn't just get the test if you didn't have any contact with an infected person, or were in China recently. Even if you were tested positive you were sent home if your symptoms were only mild. So even assuming there was some sort of panic, hospitals wouldn't suddenly have accepted people with mild symptoms (just like with the flu every year before). So how did the hospitals get so full?

Then I've heard a German virologist say that Italian hospitals have terrible hygiene, and people with covid19 who would have otherwise survived then got other infections in the hospital and died of those, so just died with covid19 but not of. Why didn't that happen the years before with regular flu patients? Again it's not like the hospitals accepted people with mild symptoms because they thought it would be funny to fill up the hospital beds. Also I guess by the same logic HIV is no biggie since you only die with it.
I’ve been using a Hack Pro for several months with OpenCore. It took a bit to learn my way through the docs as they were not terribly clear when I started but once I was up and running it was nice.

I was largely happy with it, as the machine was extremely fast and very, very quiet. I also had FileVault running too along with SIP. However, the main issues I had were stability - these machines are generally nowhere near as stable as a regular Mac as there are many small issues which over time can become big (restarting on wake from sleep, unreliable internet, disconnecting from iCloud, etc).

Depending on your use case, these may not be an issue. However, Opencore was vastly better than Clover and if you want to try this I’d start there first.
This attack breaks the encrypted and authenticated bitstream.

I thought that the title "A Full Break of the Bitstream Encryption of Xilinx 7-Series FPGAs" would give some information even for those who don't want to read the article before commenting. :)
The fullest full stack Clojure web framework