skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I never said that P/E ratios in the US are "too high". I said that they've been higher in recent years than in past history.

This is, as you said, because the amount of money chasing investment opportunities is increasing. I agree that the reasons for this are complex, but one significant reason that the amount of money chasing investment opportunities is increasing is central bank stimulus (not just in the US, but worldwide).

The rise of asset prices definitely is a much more complex issue than just US policy, but I'd still argue that stimulus by the US is one of the causes, not only a symptom.

I agree with you that the US has been more successful in managing the 2008 crisis than the ECB, and that part of that was because we recognized that we needed stimulus earlier on in the crisis. But this doesn't contradict anything else that I said.

I also never made the claim that the counterfactual of no stimulus would have been better - I personally believe it would have been worse, since the economy and labor market would have likely went through a longer and more serious collapse. But again, this does not contradict what I said about central bank stimulus being one of the significant causes in the rise of prices in financial assets.
Government did not made virus. It merely failed to act on it - party because of trying to keep stocks up. American government (whether federal or local) was not exactly fast in giving out orders to close businesses or forcing restrictions or forcing people wear masks. It seems like for the most if United States and most of last months time, it was individuals, organizations and very local levels of government deciding to avoid contact (or pressuring each other to avoid contact).

The ones that are closed by government directly are restaurants and entertainment.

Individual health insurance being too expensive is also because of government. The levels of homelessness or how severe consequences of loosing job are is also something that is because of what government does.
Image to ASCII in under 15 lines of code
Podcast: Do caffeine hair products like Alpecin stimulate hair growth?
> the (possibly unattainable) ideal would be having everything expressed as "pretty much an if-then statement" indeed.

This is flatly incorrect - the point of AI is to have a machine achieve intelligent behaviors without explicit programming.

If an "if-then" must be written by a programmer for every single behavior, then this is called "programming". It is not called "artificial intelligence".
Você Acha Que a TV Band Apoia O Partido Socialista Chinês?
The traditional WHO recommendation for avoiding droplet transmission is 3.5 feet (1 meter). In Australia, it's currently 5ft (1.5 meters). In many places, 6ft or 6.5ft (2 meters). The rate of transmission already drops dramatically if you maintain just a 1 meter distance from infected individuals. Two meters is even better, but we have always known that droplet transmission can go far beyond even 2 meters. One source I read claimed it's possible up to 20 meters.

But the difference between "possible" and "likely" is key. If we try to avoid every activity where there is a remote possibility of transmission, we will all have to sit in isolated cages. But avoiding "likely" transmission is easy. Keep a good distance, wash your hands, etc. It does not sound like this simulation has proven (or even suggested) that transmission at 65 feet is likely while running, only that it is possible.
Yeah, I really like this idea.

Given that the initial version was built in 8 hours, I'm sure there are a lot of features that I'll be adding over the next few weeks :)

I'm thinking this would make sense as a paid feature?
- Original: https://www.land.nrw/sites/default/files/asset/document/zwis...

- CFR .37%

- 2% of the individuals currently had SARS-CoV-2 determined by PCR method
I wonder how the ratio of display overhead to cost to compute the minimal cost path has changed over the years? At some point it must be cheaper to do a "dumb" redraw if the display hardware is fast enough?

Also, it seems like this might also be useful for computing minimal diffs, eh?
I've been a Fastmail user for my personal email for several years now, however I still miss labels. Therefore I love seeing this.

It is unclear to me how this works with IMAP clients. Are these labels still exposed as folders over IMAP?

If so, I assume messages get duplicated, just as with Gmail, therefore the client will need special hacks to deal with it, just as with Gmail.
Given that we don't even know AGI is logically possible, probably isn't, unsurprising a company founded on that idea will flounder insofar as it stays true to the goal.
> AI does not mean ML

Hence the 'or' in my statement. Neither are present here.
Government can and does restain speach. It issues gag orders, classifies information, places and enforces injunctions, and facilitates private bounds on speech through patent, trademark, and copyright law, trade secrets, and recognition and enforcement of nondisclosure and nondisparagement contracts. Even forms of observation may be limited under espionage or treason laws. Limits are placed on incitement, inflammatory speech, pornography, indecency, and "fighting words".

Freedom of speech, as with other legal and civil rights, is an ideal, not an absolute. It has evolved tremendously within the US, arriving at a form we'd recognise currently only in the 1950s and 60s, about 60 years ago. The famous "shouting 'fire' in a crowded theatre" objection was raised in a case (Schenck) in free speech was found not to apply to anti-draft advocates during WWI, barely over a century ago.

And the US Supreme Court's "marketplace of ideas" standard is similarly quite problematic, owing far more to free-market fundamentalist advocacy than some doctrine of prevailing truth.

Turns out it was always more a bit of pro-free-market-fundamentalism propaganda than a pro-truth notion.

See Jill Gordon, “John Stuart Mill and the ‘Marketplace of Ideas’"

https://philpapers.org/rec/GORJSM

Or Stanley Ingber, “The Marketplace of Ideas: A legitimizing myth”.

https://scholarship.law.duke.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article... (PDF).
> Petrol cars aren't that bad especially when only idling for the airco. Diesels are disgusting idling.

Petrol cars do not do complete combustion and emit carbon monoxide which is toxic. Diesels don't. Modern diesels, running on mandated low sulfur fuel, can have lower levels of troublesome emissions than petrol cars. Trucks are a different matter though as they generally are not subject to the same emission standards at present.
Yeah, I'm definitely down to collaborate -- feel free to reach out via email and I'm happy to share any profits if you add features to the open source repo.
Except air flow from moving cars allows fresh air intake to have a better chance of actually getting fresh air than if your car is stationary directly behind the exhaust of another car
These overviews give you just enough knowledge to start debugging a broken household machine. I love it. If anyone's looking for more videos from this series here's a playlist of the complete series: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KDpNQQqdSh8&list=PLByTa5duIo...
>State IT projects, in particular, are often challenged because states lack basic knowledge about modern software development, relying on outdated procurement processes.

Which is part of the outcome of outsourcing everything and being afraid or otherwise idealogically against doing much of anything in-house
Have you contacted FastMail support about the escaping/truncation bug you describe? What was their reply?
The OS and hardware type are not relevant. Increasing redundancy is what is needed.
Does anyone know a tool to download all tweets from an account in JSON format? No need to include likes or RTs. In fct, better if I can avoid those.
>any device that perceives its environment and takes actions that maximize its chance of successfully achieving its goals.

This does exactly that.
> I would prefer a world where you pay...

You have that available to you! You can pay for Protonmail or a variety of other email services.

Facebook is a more interesting case, because what you're really asking is for your friends to make the decision to pay instead of be advertised to. They get to have a choice, no? I always feel a little creeped out by sentences that start with "I would prefer a world where..." and end with, basically, everyone does what I want.
It's a lot more than a "small minority" of people that wouldn't want no access to a bathroom for 3 hours (we need to include the drive time, remember).

But yes, you could do it safely if you required people to stay in their cars the entire time and provided no services, not even bathrooms. I honestly don't see this being that attractive a proposition to most people though. And I've never been to a drive-in theater in my life, so I don't know about restoring normalcy. Restoring normalcy would be going to a regular theater. A drive-in theater would be a novelty that I'm only experiencing because of the pandemic.
Covid-19: The 3 main types of face masks [video]
Imagine if your test suite with 400 tests simply returned true or false instead of telling you which tests have failed. It's going to take forever to find the failing tests.
you can't make such a grandiose condemnation of "earnest misinformation" and then not make perfectly defensible arguemnts, lest you make the exact same mistake you condemn.

p/e ratios at historical highs is a statement that they've disconnected from their fundamentals, i.e., the price of a share of a company is (often much) more than the expected present value of all future cash flow for that share.

that there are no better alternative investments just strengthens the case that those p/e ratios are irrationally high for those assets, not that the strategy of investing in the best available alternative is irrational.
Maybe that would not be a bad thing?
That could certainly be the case, but...

(1) It would still be disturbing if the meaning of "discrimination" in French legalese was the exact opposite of its meaning everywhere else including vernacular French. War is peace.

(2) I have a sneaking suspicion that the meaning of "discrimination" in French law is sometimes this and sometimes the ordinary meaning, and if that's true it's a much worse state of affairs than just the legal meaning being opposed to the ordinary meaning.
A* search counts as academic AI. If-then statements do not.
We need to socially normalize peeing into a cup. My dad certainly made it the only option when we did cross country drives. No way were we stopping at the rest stop, that would ruin our record transit time. He wasn't the only dad, these stories are common.

"Pee in a cup, it won't mess your lungs up."
How do I learn to write a type checker? Got any suggested readings?
hi, thank you for posting this. I was fascinated by the checkm8 exploit since I read about it last September. Completely unknown to me was that T2 Mac's were also vulnerable to this. With all the vulnerabilities that are now open due to this, i'm questioning was it even worth ever putting these chips inside Macbooks? In retrospect, would they have been better off just scrapping this idea completely? Because the way you put it, due to the checkm8 exploit the T2 is now practically useless in everything it was originally meant to do.
No, it doesn't give you a distance-to-player for every square on the board. It is closer to giving you an ordered list of 'most recent player positions' - notably, the point directly in front of the player is not necessarily in this list. These positions contain "time since player was here," which is not a distance to player. (It could be thought of as a maximum bound on distance-to-player, I suppose).

If the player's route is not straight, some squares with "fresher scent" may be physically more distant from the player than squares with less fresh scent.
Ben Gazzard
I think that AGI is a poorly understood concept and whatever it would signify, we're a couple of paradigm shifts away from it. One thing that bothers me is how there is little concern of legal personhood here, apart from popular action film style "rebellion" fears. (Let's remind ourselves of the 8 billion human level intelligences we're having right now, mostly not wreaking much havoc individually).

Let's say that some organization builds an AGI that's conscious and capable of human-like thoughts. There's an argument to be made that at that moment, if we don't immediately grant the AGI personal and political rights of citizens, this organization is essentially owning slaves. Which is contrary to the rules of our societies and never ends well. It seems likely to me that, barring some immediate and fantastical gains from AGI that would allow the organization to "break" the society, it would be soon forfeited as property with no compensation.

Which makes a commercial venture to build AGI a dubious proposition.
No, the point of AI is to have agents achieve goals based on observing an environment. Nothing says they have to be complicated agents or not explicitly programmed. Any book on Computer Science AI will be largely filled with agents that use rather explicit logic and algorithms.
It's American consumerism fueled by available credit.

What's really fascinating is that what you said applies to McMansions, and ... private aircraft too.

Cessna cancelled their basic $300,000 new 172 because people were only ordering the $400,000 glass panel model. The price is so high they took it off the website for the first time. (And older pilots were expecting it come in at $80,000. lol.)

Cubcrafters makes composite Cubs(!) that are priced starting in the $190,000 range for LSA and $317,000 for Part 23, and again, mainly sell the maxed out versions.

http://cubcrafters.com/compare
Open Source advocates hope they don't have to fork Qt
Ahahaha, I thought you were merely joking... apparently not!
A* search, any kind of heuristic estimation, learning, or simulated reasoning. All of those things would count.

We don't need mathematical optimization to call it "AI", but there SHOULD be more than a simple if-then.

At least show me that you're path-finding. That's not even being done here - this is just path-following.

"I leave a trail, you follow it." Explain to me how that qualifies as AI. Simple BFS/DFS achieves a lot more than this - which is considered by most to not even really be AI.
No Really, Python's Pathlib Is Great
It's a different product, with a slight difference in spelling.

Tictoc used to be a visual news feed created by Bloomsberg, aimed for millenials. It came out around the same time or just before Tiktok landed in west.
I’ve been working on and off for about a year on https://contextualise.dev/, a (collaborative) knowledge base application. It’s open source (https://github.com/brettkromkamp/contextualise) so contributing code is always appreciated but having some road map-level input would be great, as well ;)
https://yaml.org/spec/history/2001-08-01.html

"Yet Another Markup Language (YAML) 1.0"
I believe what you're describing is called Collaborative Diffusion, and it's been used in Pacman.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collaborative_diffusion
If you want to monitor keywords on Twitter and not just in your timeline, you might be interested to check the iOS app Clatters : https://apps.apple.com/us/app/clatters/id1480930237
Full disclosure : I'm the developer

That being said, I am really impressed by this new service. Creating such a solution in just a couple of hours/days is astonishing.
Well Sidecar itself is a bugfest as well, it really feels unpolished
It's not a conspiracy theory if there are significant priors, which this would be, assuming it's true. That's enough to justify taking the idea seriously on first pass, even if it turns out not to have been what happened in this case.
If you aren't happy with Amazon, Facebook, Google, Apple, etc, you can choose not to be a customer of them. You can't opt out of paying taxes.
https://youtu.be/sY_6fFdRnik?t=91

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N5VW5FMblho
Yeah. I gave my MBP (late 2016 “Esc”) to the Apple Store in London for repairs on 12 February. They decided to replace it (yay) and the replacement is scheduled to reach me the week after next. That’s about 10 weeks without my main machine, thanks to SARS-CoV-2. Really drives home the need for a contingency plan.
> The bathrooms are non-negotiable.

Do you pee at the grocery store these days too? You couldn't pay me anything to use a public restroom anywhere in the US until we have a cure for this virus. I go to the bathroom before I make a store run. And I make store runs very infrequently, they are very concise runs, I avoid everyone, and I go only during extreme off hours, and I wear an N95 face mask that I heat sterilize afterwards. I also extensively sterilize everything I buy, which takes nearly a whole day to do properly. Things I can't directly sanitize go into a queue in the garage and are not used for 20 days.

Going into any public bathroom is an unnecessary risk. These drive in theatre bathrooms should be closed and locked, as should public restrooms in parks. Laws against urinating in public such as in the bushes at a public park should be suspended. Peeing into a cup in one's car should be promoted as a safer alternative to finding a public bathroom. These are all temporary measures but are necessary. Public bathrooms being non-negotiable? Then stay home.
Another aspect of conferences is their carbon budget. I attended a conference last year in SF that had a large section on climate change. It was estimated the 35,000 attendees traveled a cumulative 35,000,000 miles and emitted about 17,000 tonS of carbon. A virtual conference would eliminate this. But then you lose the hallway effect.
The fact you pointed out the New Yorker makes me happy I've expressed my thoughts well.

I had exactly that example in mind.
It's more like you have a massively parallel program that you compile ten million times, but only five million complete the process usable afterwards and of those five million, they may or may not have all the parts of the program you intended in the binary. And you have very little insight into it while the compilation takes place.

And you have to check/debug those 10 million compiler passes at various stages, and each design change may require developing a new debugger or disassembler from scratch to plug into the compiler at each stage of compilation.

What I'm saying is that CPU designs aren't programs, because you can generally trust the compiler to be infallible (and compiler bugs are there, but they're rare). In a CPU process you have to consider the physical impact of the design on manufacturing, what yields you get, how the product is binned, and so on. There are feedback loops between the packaging, testing, and design teams to alter the silicon before production ramps up to go to market. There are tons of moving parts to the actual design process itself, let alone what is being designed.
https://archive.org/details/byte-magazine-1978-09

https://archive.org/details/byte-magazine-1978-10-rescan

https://archive.org/details/byte-magazine-1978-11-rescan

For anyone curious.
For example by comparing two extremely good clocks. Or the same way the earth's gravitational potential is mapped - by measuring the relative height and the gravitational acceleration in many points and numerically integrating along the way.
Is that supposed to be evidence of the covid-19 outbreak originating from the Wuhan lab?
Disagree. Learning a codebase from scratch is tricky; it's better if you have someone to teach you. So if the one contributor gets bus'd, then it'll take time (=money) to get up to speed.
Ya, been a user since 2009. I’ve been really happy in those nearly 11 years. The price has gone up, I originally paid $35/yr, it is now $45 (less if you pay several years in advance) but still generally worth it.

My only complaint is that the more they extend JMAP the more I want a dedicated email client that supports it, and none do as far as I am aware.
I use Backblaze for company/personal (which is kind of blurred when you work from home and own the company) Macs, along with local TM backups.

For servers, just something rsyncable - rsync.net lately.
Você+é+Um+Robô?+Diz+a+Oposição+Sobre+Apoiadores+de+Bolsonaro
Hi all! With all that's going on in the world I thought I'd make a fun little project [0] to make the world feel more connected! It's basically a map with an overlay that allows you to send love and happiness to others :)

I also embedded the lofi hip hop radio to make the site more chill (but can hide it if you want).

Tech stack is Go, Redis, and vanilla HTML/JS running on Heroku

Thanks!

[0]: https://distancing.party/
For 3, what it's taught me is that I have to load a video conference, go into the privacy settings, allow use of camera and microphone, then exit the video conference and load it again before anyone can see or hear me.

I'm a consultant and talk to multiple clients all with their own video conference solution and having to do this every time I join a call where a client is using a different video conference solution is very unprofessional. The worst was using Teams where I had to close my browser before I could join the conference, after I had already queued up everything I needed for the call. So now everyone is waiting on me to re-open everything and reset the state for the demo.

I never thought I'd miss Windows UAC.
[random advice from the internet]

Ask your therapist for recommendations. It's the sort of thing that can be handled telephonically. Under clinical protocols, it probably adds a contact note to your chart which will enable follow up or bring a different practitioner up to speed (possibly, if they actually read your chart). In short there are not likely to be any downsides to asking...and in a time of stress, softballs from someone doing well is likely to be a bright spot in the midst of your therapist's grim regularity. Good luck.
Is That Covid-19 Model True? The Myth of Falsifiability
You could make a tool pretty easily using Twitter's api:

Get started here: https://developer.twitter.com/en/docs/tweets/curate-a-collec...
Every program that has ever existed does this. So, you're saying that all programs that have ever existed, then, are all AI. You make no distinction whatsoever.

I would say that the more a program thinks on its own which actions to take to maximize its chances of success, the closer to AI it is.

If it's doing exactly what it's explicitly told, then it's not really intelligent, is it?
> (B) I'm very much in a position where I can influence research in this direction.

Could you elaborate on what you do?

> Have you got any concrete ideas and proposals?

My recommendation is: try to build something complex, or take something from open-source that is very complex and extend it (test it, verify it, improve performance, etc.). Notice the problems you encounter, and then try to solve those problems.

I could give you a laundry list of pain points myself (why do I have to pay money for lint, and why does lint still suck???), but I think the best research is done by people trying to solve problem X, but along the way ended up having to solve Y and Z just to get to X.
Into the Cool by Dorion Sagan and Eric Schneider is an excellent book on this subject, imo.
The only way I'd see this working is if you aren't allowed to exit your car at all. Being a guy, I guess I could piss into a bottle ...

I dunno, this whole thing just doesn't sound that appealing. I'd rather just watch a movie for much cheaper from my couch. It'd be one thing if there were some new huge blockbuster movie I wanted to see that could only be seen in theaters, but that's flat-out not happening anymore. All the big releases are either pushed back indefinitely or happening on streaming services too.