skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
What's your source for 2%? A recent study which was featured on Hacker News estimated the infection fatality rate at 0.66%. [1]

I have seen a number of studies putting the case fatality rate at 2-3%, but this number cannot be generalized to the entire population because current testing is skewed toward the most serious cases. [2]

Long-term mortality in the total population may look something like 0.66% * 0.7 assuming there are no advances in treatment (possible but unlikely, given the unprecedented efforts that are underway, and how naive we were on day one).

In general more recent studies estimating IFR should be more accurate, early ones came with a lot of caveats. If there is a better estimate of IFR than 0.66%, I would like to read it.

[1] https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Case_fatality_rate

[3] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22828691
I am the user in this case.
When I linked the accounts almost 6-7 years ago, Trello was not part of Atlassian and there was no SSO in place. At some point, they introduced it, but still, the regular way of login was working. There was no notification from there side that it will stop working abruptly.
The company email address in this case what @comany.com and the personal one was @gmail.com. This is how they handed over all the accounts ending with @company.com to my previous company.
We've already seen the beta version:

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-19349921
This is an amazing engineering effort. All the best!!
Is the book - Sidewinder - Creative Missile Development at China Lake?

https://www.amazon.com/Sidewinder-Creative-Missile-Developme...
Why does your paper have to be so one sided though? I live in LA and won't subscribe because your paper has always followed an agenda.
Combine it with https://www.thispersondoesnotexist.com/ and you've got a generator of completely fictional renaissance paintings. Here is one example, quite good:

https://imgur.com/a/9F7xoC0
They emailed me about this back on January 30:

Subject: Your company ExampleCo will soon manage your Trello account

Good news! Your Trello account is getting an upgrade.

ExampleCo will now manage Trello accounts with a example.com email address,
which includes yours (mjd+trello@example.com).

The "Good news" part looked like marketing bullshit, but the rest of the message was menacing enough that I was able to contact them by email and get instructions about how to avoid having my personal Trello handed over to ExampleCo.

It still sucks.

The lesson I take from this is: “Software as a service” is always a security risk. Unless my data is on my server, someone else owns it and might sell it to a higher bidder.

This is one of those “fool me twice, shame on me” moments.
It gives you a very close understanding of your CPU's instruction set and features. It's not necessary to write performant code, since compilers can do this very well.
Go-like defer() is easily implementable for C using the asm() keyword. Here's an example of how it can be done for x86: https://gist.github.com/jart/aed0fd7a7fa68385d19e76a63db687f...
Dissolve DE C-corp / CA foreign corp?
I followed some bad startup advice and formed a DE C Corp with CA foreign corp filing for a startup that never recorded revenue and ceased operating a few years ago with no assets. I've been advised in the past to just ignore various tax statements from DE and CA and they will just let the corporation lapse.

The problem is - I also took bad advice to use a registered agent service that won't let me terminate service unless I either dissolve the DE and CA corps (which requires major fees) or change the registered agent.

What is my best move here? I do not want to update the registered agent if it implies the business is still a going concern, and I do not want to pay absurd fees to dissolve an entity that never reported revenue. Seems to be a Catch 22 situation.
Those numbers aren't realistic.
Bethe Strings Experimentally Observed
Unironically, why? It seems like trying to shave a yak - the model itself has been destroyed, leading to hysteria and misinformation.

Consider how popular dreck like Breitbart is now, compared to high quality journalism like WaPo or the LA Times.
A board is owned by the user. In my case, my boards are clearly created by email ending in @gmail.com and not @company.com
Atlassian sent me an email earlier this year warning that all @company.com accounts were about to be converted to corporate accounts and that I had a month to opt out. (I did not opt out, because my @company.com Trello account was intended for use with my company)

This person’s warning email probably ended up in spam.

In general I’m not sure the best way Atlassian could have handled this. The recent upgrade to move @company.com accounts into having a better security posture and control by the administration of the company does make sense.

Perhaps the person’s account should have just been disabled entirely until they removed either their personal email or @company.com email from the account to choose which way they wanted to go... That might have been the best solution to both protect corporate security and also the individual.
The problem is it's simply a whole lot easier to spend $100 Billion when you do it in large chunks. But then fewer bets means less diversification, more risk. It doesn't help that Vision has a few large correlated investments.
Indeed, mixing different shapes as letters makes reading text much easier. Blackletter, on the other hand, while beautiful in its uniformity, is notoriously hard on the eyes.
> It has a well documented side effect profile and drug interact profile known well before COVID came onto the scene.

You could have said the same about using aspirin to treat the flu, which we now know can be very dangerous[1].

Drugs also "interact" with diseases, leading to different (side) effects in patients with that disease than without it.

1. https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/reyes-syndrom...
> I think Governor Cuomo said something very interesting the other day, to paraphrase, when he was asked whether he should've started stay at home earlier and if that would've saved lives. Of course it would have, but the interviewer is not taking into account compliance and public sentiment.

That’s great, but right up until the shutdown, De Blasio and other NYC officials were encouraging New Yorkers to go out and support their local theaters, restaurants, and bars. And at no point did initial shutdowns meet with any substantial resistance. This is just retconning the history of the past six weeks to make himself look better.
A Managed Back End API for Forms
Compiling a Functional Language Using C++ – Polymorphic Data Types
Using GPG to prevent spoofed commits
Not always. Sometimes it’s annoying to do something performant in assembly but trivial in a higher-level language: hashmaps, for example.
They should also unionize, so that they have proper leverage for the negotiation
See this: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22872556
> Around 200 million Americans will eventually get it, barring extraordinary events (like a vaccine arriving in 6 months). We cannot change this.

We don't know that's inevitable. Korea, Japan and Taiwan suggest another outcome is possible, and while a vaccine may not arrive in 6 months, lots of other things might: better treatments, better masks, better testing, better tracing, etc.

> Around 0.5% will die, overwhelmingly those who had a low remaining life expectancy to begin with. This is a much larger body count than most people seem able to accept, but also much less dangerous to the average American than many believe.

Death isn't the only metric. A lot more than those dying will be the amount of people that are hospitalized in very serious shape. Some of them will have long-term damage, and some of them will die if the hospitals are overwhelmed.
Actually it's a low quality comment similar to yours.
Accelerating UDP packet transmission for QUIC
Zebra Copy: A Reference Implementation of Federated Access Management (2007)
To paraphrase XKCD [1], a handgun also eliminates SARS-CoV-2 in cells.

[1] https://xkcd.com/1217/
Do you think it's likely that 26,000 people happened to get hit by a bus right after getting diagnosed with the coronavirus?

4% of the patients diagnosed with coronavirus in the US have already died (and many more of the currently diagnosed patients are still sick and have not yet died but will in the future). It's wildly implausible that a meaningful fraction of 4% of that sample could have coincidentally died within a few weeks of getting diagnosed with the coronavirus, but for entirely unrelated reasons. If 4% of the population were dying every few weeks, humanity would be virtually extinct within a few years. Your "stat-padding" theory doesn't pass a basic smell test.

You can construct far-fetched pathological scenarios for how 1 or 2 people might be wrongly identified as coronavirus victims, but you can't explain away 26k deaths with baseless conspiracy theories.
Is tampering with their processes a felony?
Heh, well, there you go - it's exactly why we are using Gitlab. It's going to be a pressure point for them just lke the free private repos has been previously.
I would argue that reducing the rate of deaths is the #1 problem, followed by reducing the rate of infections, followed by being able to determine the rate of infections.

So, unless you believe california results are 10x off, based on empirical results and your assertion that the testing and reporting infrastructure is "the worst", the state of california has at least done a fair job of managing its effort in the face of a limited resource. Knowing in detail what's going on is strictly secondary to reducing deaths.
this is just wrong.
a) it was never about ops writing code
b) ops always wrote code.
Off topic but did you use an off the shelf template for your actual application? The screenshots look very familiar for some reason.
Why did you ask for a source while simultaneously making claims without sources? The drug is being falsely pushed by the deranged leader of the United States, I would be much more suspicious of you then of anyone claiming to be wary of it. Especially after Dr. Fauci himself told everyone on national television to not get there hopes up about it.
WeWork never went public, they failed at their IPO that's when everything unwinded.
Congress has been running the USPS into the ground for decades. Probably deliberately. Probably for purposes of privatization and profiteering.
> He further mentions that unzipping tarbars could see a 20 times performance increase.

Boy, do I love unzipping tarbars! On a more serious note, it’s great that WSL has gotten much faster, although it’s a little disappointing that they threw out the older, more interesting architecture to get it and just used a VM.
What is the commercial value of an artisinal OS like this?
Interesting but not sure how generalizable a study on genetically modified mice is. I threw HCQ and metformin into the Epocrates drug interaction checker and this is what I got back, "Monitor glucose: combo may incr. risk of hypoglycemia, including life-threatening (additive effects)"
Preventing buying and selling of housing is actively harmful.

Land shouldn't be sold, it should all be owned by the state and leased out at market value; equivalently, implement LVT at close to 100% of land value.

The state setting a maximum sale price and subsidizing demand is not that.
That’s more or less the numbers I was thinking.

Amazon does a wide range of software development from robotics, backend AWS, internal software, and front end web development. So, most developers have relevant skills even if some positions are much harder to fill. That said their dev teams have many non programmers like systems administrators and testers etc so I suspect it’s closer to 2k US developers than 5k. As it looks like many of their openings are in Canada, Ireland, India, etc.
Live streaming “The Real Dev” – building a reactNative. Come watch and learn
The Danger of Comparing Yourself to Others
Why is this getting downvoted? Writing programs in pure assembly does offer the possibility of implementing very fine-grained optimisations. However, assembly is not a magic bullet. Modern optimising compilers are extremely efficient. The most efficient assembly is quite often not the most legible or maintainable assembly. I've written lots of bare-metal assembly and if I'm given the choice between writing more efficient assembly and writing straightforward assembly, I'll pick the latter every time.

Edit: I have a little bit of experience in the area of operating-system development in assembly. This is purely a hobby project that I work on half-heartedly. Nevertheless, it does demonstrate what I know about bare-metal x86 assembler.

https://github.com/ajxs/hxos
I don't think it's being a hypochondriac if you have actual symptoms that people go see the doctor for. If they could point to a test and go "Look, there's no way you're going to have a heart attack in the next two years, your X level is too low", then I'd be perfectly fine. It doesn't seem like there's a good test for that though.

Funny thing was, for the longest time I always thought "I'm pretty damn healthy, except for the allergies and asthma." Never really worried about my health much, except a little when I got a bad case of bronchitis.

Those thoughts and feelings suddenly stopped right around when I turned 30 and started getting combinations of minor symptoms just about everywhere on my body off and one all the time.

Probably also that's when I started knowing people that died really young and suddenly (or had close calls) from various things like sleep apnea, heart attacks, leg clots, aneurisms, etc. Seriously, video/board game industry has had quite a few of these young but sudden deaths lately, including some people I knew personally.

When you have symptoms that match those things, it's hard not to feel like it's better to be safe than sorry.
#BADA55 - hex for some key lime pie in the web UI
Some of these can be explained at least. Landscaping is very non-essential, and it's hard to maintain social distancing while doing it because the way the crews operate is it's a bunch of guys riding together in one truck between each job sites (it's not a caravan of different vehicles, one per vehicle).

Additionally, my mom has been complaining about the landscapers where she lives and is angry that they're still allowed, because they flagrantly violate social distancing and get near her when she's trying to go on walks around her neighborhood.

Things are getting so bad in Detroit that bodies are piling up in unrefrigerated rooms in hospitals. Now's not really the time to be questioning if they're being too strict with the social distancing; at this point they really just do need everyone staying home, period, and not coming into contact with anyone. Motorboats and jet skis sure as hell aren't essential, and might tempt people into congregating with people they shouldn't be congregating with (boating is typically a social endeavor for example).
What was touched on in the reply, things like the amount and distribution of testing, the compliance and effectiveness of measures like wearing masks, and other information and treatments could change the criteria marked in green--which means they'd have to be revised publicly causing confusion. Kept internal they can revise it as things change and just announce Level changes publicly.

All of those numbers in green have been called out as likely incorrect at the moment. You can see positive tests jump as more are done in the daily numbers. In situations where people are dying they're often foregoing tests to save them for the living. At some point we'll hopefully have wider testing which will change the numbers and likely the criteria for level changes.
That’s a bit of a myth. Sweat also reacts with chlorine to create chloramine, so it doesn’t actually require any urine. Cf. https://www.premierhealth.com/your-health/articles/women-wis...
Save Cost on Cloud
The CFR in Italy is nearly 13%. Even if you make incredibly generous assumptions that there are no unreported deaths and they're only catching 10% of cases that still leaves the infection fatality rate at twice the number you propose
By "their recommandations", you are alluding to when they said that travel bans on China where ineffective (that's true, only complete border closure is effective), and to when they said there was no proof of human-human transmission (that was true when they said it, nobody knew yet, except some Chinese scientists prevented from speaking by their government).

I see a lot of these deformed affirmations...
That is exactly my experience. RoR was too much magic for me.
And a good contrast is Bulgaria, which shutdown early, on March 13th or so (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-bulgar...), and which has a death rate on par with South Korea's. The neighbouring countries (Romania, Serbia, Greece) are also low but at least 2x that rate.
This episode [0] of "This Week In Virology" describes in detail the pharmacokinetics of Ivermectin and the issues with this study.

[0] https://www.microbe.tv/twiv/twiv-599/
So does bleach. Neither one is a proven treatment for COVID-19 in vivo though.

Almost all in vitro (i.e. in a Petri dish) results are of limited value. A lot of things kill viruses in vitro, including air and water, but aren't actually treatments inside people. Until they do at minimum a phase 1 trial (to show basic safety) and have even draft results showing efficacy, I'd hold off on assuming this is relevant to the discussion /at all/.
Here's a neat video by 3Blue1Brown that shows some simple simulations of an epidemic, and give a good visualization of the bell curve.
To be fair, the article title does say "Modern", which, argueably, neither of those two are.
Cheating on Honorlock W HDMI?
My university is using honorlock for tests. If I connect an HDMI cord to computer with an extension cord leading to living room and project it onto tv, would honorlock's tech be able to detect that if the hdmi cord isn't in the room scan? To clarify, my friend is taking the test. I would be in living room texting answers to friend.

They say they can detect a phone but my friend used a phone on last test and hasn't gotten kicked out of our university so I suspect it's easier than their website claims. If I text my friend answers I see from hdmi/tv and she doesn't touch the phone, can they detect it?

Also, I have the testbank. But if I didn't have a question the professor wrote and had to look it up, would honor lock really be able to know if I'm looking it up if I use data on my phone rather than wifi server?
looks cool, very similar to: https://snacks.robinhood.com/
I think the point of the plot is to suggest that intervention efforts are being quite successful relative to expectations at the time the "With Intervention" model was generated.

The brighter dashed line is there to show what happens if intervention is disabled completely.

I really like that the milestones are placed as questions, rather than dates. It is the right way to message the unknown.
I agree wholeheartedly. I know it was probably a fool’s errand especially in a world where Docker for Windows was doing the same thing WSL2 does but worse, but WSL1’s design just satisfied me in a way that Hyper-V will not. Presumably, this also means you have to have Hyper-V enabled, crippling all other VM software. Hope the integration is impressive at least, to hopefully make up for it. I admittedly don’t run Windows these days but WSL is definitely one of the highlights of modern Windows and it’s hard to not follow its progress.

I also wonder how integration changes with sockets/networking, hardware access, Windows Firewall, etc. Last I checked, relations with Windows Firewall were strained by the lack of proper support for picoprocesses.
What GNU C extensions do you think ISO WG14 would more readily accept?
I find it strange that this would be a new discovery, considering that even a casual search shows a decently large body of research specifically into the combinations of chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine with metformin.
"Confidential: Destroy when review is complete" A look behind the curtain.
Australia has a mandatory stay-at-home order, and they issued it earlier in their outbreak than we did in theirs. That explains why they're doing so well.

In South Korea they all gravitated to masks very early, and they developed enough testing capacity early on to allow contact tracing to remain viable (so far).
Boring tech is good tech :)
Saw this last week. The examples are limited but clearly easy to reproduce. I saw in a discussion on Reddit where it seems they plan to get even faster using more techniques like prefetch. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22803504
> Colder place will naturally be more densely populated for example.

That's plainly wrong. The world has huge numbers of hot, very dense cities that have not been hit hard. The Philippines, Indonesia, Mexico, India all have obvious of examples.

Mexico City should be in extremely bad shape right now.

Check out the temps in Mexico City: https://weather-and-climate.com/uploads/average-temperature-...

Here are the top 10 most densely populated US metro zones (per the 2010 US census; population per sq mile):

Los Angeles, SF + Oakland, San Jose, NYC + NJ + CT (isolated, NYC is the most dense), Las Vegas, Miami, San Diego, Salt Lake City, Sacramento, New Orleans

Also, Riverside CA is #12, Phoenix AZ is #16. Both have been largely spared.

Now look at the per capita Covid deaths in LA, the Bay Area, Las Vegas, San Diego, Salt Lake City, Sacramento, Phoenix, Riverside. Then compare it to the Covid Belt areas.

If New Orleans hadn't made the mistake of holding Mardi Gras, they would look like other urban areas in Louisiana and the south broadly and would have dramatically fewer cases (eg Mississippi has 1/10th the deaths of Louisiana with 2/3 the population; Florida has over 4x the population of Louisiana, with half the deaths).

The Virginia Beach + Norfolk area is #22 on population density. It has so few deaths it barely registers. A couple million people live in that area, there have been only a handful of deaths. Average highs are 61 degrees F in November, around 50 from Dec > Feb, then 58 in March. ~12-15 degrees warmer than NYC throughout Winter. It never sinks into the Covid Belt ideal temperature zone, comparable to Milan, Wuhan, NYC, etc.

Check out most of the major cities in Florida. They're doing extremely well. The Jacksonville area has a dozen deaths in a metro of 1.5 million. Tampa and Orlando have done similarly well.
This reminds me what Feynman talk to us: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NM-zWTU7X-k

> If you can find any other view of the world which agrees over the entire range where things have already been observed, but disagrees somewhere else, you have made a great discovery. It is very nearly impossible, but not quite, to find any theory which agrees with experiments over the entire range in which all theories have been checked, and yet gives different consequences in some other range, even a theory whose different consequences do not turn out to agree with nature. A new idea is extremely difficult to think of. It takes a fantastic imagination.
Yes, we already have to do this at the state level, at the moment. It's in the best interest of a region's government (whether county or state) to make sure the rest of the country is aware of their rules, so they don't have people showing up with incompatible expectations.

I don't imagine there will a increased multiplicity of confusing rulesets beyond what we have now, either. Many counties will simply adhere to some standard recommendation from their state, and the rest will copy one of a small number of recommended levels along a spectrum of openness.
I really hope apple implements something similar, would much prefer to have a well integrated linux vm than the not-quite-linux of macos