skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Wages stopped increasing when human productivity peaked. The continued gains in productivity we have seen since that time have come by way of mechanization/automation. Given that the system encourages productivity, those who bring that automation to the economy reap the rewards. Those who only offer their labour to the economy are stuck since labour productivity has peaked. Humans simply cannot provide more productivity on their own.

As most people only offer labour and only a small group offer the more and more productivity gains of automation, it is true that the rewards end up being concentrated in that small group of productivity providing people. "The top" as you put it. That disparity is meant to incentivize you to develop your own technologies that increase productivity further instead of "wasting" your time selling productive-constrained labour, but in the real world it is unquestionably difficult to recognize where productivity can be gained.

The understanding of that was the basis for the idea behind pushing everyone into post-secondary schools, with a promise that higher learning would teach you how find solutions for increasing productivity, and thus increasing your reward for increasing overall productivity (a.k.a. providing you with a higher income). However, the real world is again messy and it hasn't really worked out. Despite a substantial increase in post-secondary attainment in recent times, the vast majority of graduates are making no more than they would have without having attended a post-secondary school (wages have been stagnant for decades upon decades) as they by and large end up only selling their productivity-limited labour.
The stock market "surge" has left it 20% below where it was two months ago.
The benefits of increased productivity go to the people who made the changes that increase productivity, which is basically the managers who made the investment and the people who implemented the solutions using that investment, such as software engineers. Why should it accrue to those simply using the new better solutions when they are not responsible for the productivity gains provided by those solutions. If anything, their jobs usually become easier than it was previously with the advances.

This idea that only management making the investment and shareholders benefit from productivity gains is wrong. People like myself and many others on HN that are engineers are major beneficiaries of the productivity gains because we’re the ones actually building the solutions responsible for those gains.
I think the 3% refers mostly to the effect on large corporations, and I think that number is low, even understanding that most government bailouts are going to the financial industries and mega corporations.

I think that number is very low when talking about regular people, their purchasing power and what I predict to be a large drop in discretionary spending.
Earlier I commented about turning it into a mac screensaver. Well, I went ahead and did it.

Used your code, but didnt have a license. Do I have your permission? Here is the link to the repo:
https://github.com/pabloriveracelerity/mac-dvd-screensaver

Please let me know if you do not approve and I will take it down ASAP. No ill intentions. Just wanted to join the fun. :)
It’s possible they would have just built yet another chat app for Google to shutdown. I’m not sure what Google even does anymore innovation wise with all their wealth and resources.
Turning a side project into 45,000 Instagram followers
Why do you speak for the planet? Are you mother earth's cousin? The world will be just fine long, long after whatever minor local maxima of carbon we produce vanishes after thousands of years. It's survived much worse.
communism baby

3% is nothing if shared equally
Greg Graffin of Bad Religion has a PhD in zoology, certainly after he began the band in high school. Something about SoCal punks. His dissertation is of course "Evolution and Religion: Questioning the Beliefs of the World's Eminent Evolutionists"
Everyone is holding on because they think the virus will go away in a month or so.
It’s not racist. Calling it Chinese Virus is racist. china called it wuhan virus. And most of Asia continues to call it Wuhan Virus.
Testing, why didn’t we think of that
Context, specifically regarding time windows, matters. A panicked starving man will pay everything he has for eggs. That doesn't mean your chickens are worth a fortune.

Right now, Netflix is a ubiquitously recognized and used service. This is an unusual circumstance.
They are not actually hoarding “wealth”. No one is sitting on a pile of apartments, or ventilators, or college spots, or food distribution capacity. There is fixed amount of that stuff out there right now.

If it was possible to produce apartments for you for half the price, or deliver food, or an fda approved ventilator, and still have a profit investors would be jumping over themselves to do so.

Businesses are hoarding cash because they predict a drop in revenue and want to save as much as they can so they can continue operations and realign for the new economy.
Travel, hospitality, and events are something like 20% of the US economy. That 20% will be crushed until we have a vaccine next year at the earliest.

I am deeply suspicious of this prediction.
> the price is based on investor belief about the future

Six milliseconds from now, when the automated trading systems think they can sell and make a profit.

Seriously, over 50% of trading volume is done by automated trading systems these days.

edit: looks like I underestimated. This article from June 2019 suggests it may be as much as 80%: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/28/80percent-of-the-stock-marke...
Pretty cool to see the difference of when each country started being affected and how each deviate from the most frequent drop, which happens at the week between the 8th of March and the 14th.

I highly recommend weekly normalization (average or median) because people usually don't use Maps on Sunday, it seems, so data is all jagged.

I'm happy that I could see, from this data, that weekly usage is increasing slowly but steadily in the last 30 days where I live (which would imply the gears are starting to turn again) and forecasting predicts that in another 7 weeks usage will be back to normal, but I think it's still early get good predictions.
A bad hires are expensive mistake if you can't get rid of them until some artificial annual event. While I understand onboarding complexities, my experience is that the teams/companies which hasn't create good automated process so new hire can commit their first change within 2-days are big red flag (this was insisted upon by Zuck extensively at Facebook scale). I would also argue that culture of hire/replace team members in agile manner would help enforce this process more naturally and vice versa.
> "2 years of environmental progress made in 3/4 of a year. Incredible."

Which will rebound in a bad way. People who are unemployed will not give two hoots about how much the environment gets trashed as long as they get fed.

This temporary environmental progress is nothing to celebrate about.
/include/linux/namei.h:13 #define MAXSYMLINKS 40

Only takes one recompile to raise the limit - someone's next project can be regex2symlinks-in-a-bootable-initramfs.
Can't wait to see what they'll remove from the users the choice of next.
Coming to this late, but wanted to offer my condolences and a friendly ear if anyone reading this is dealing with FTD in a friend or relative.

My dad was diagnosed in his 60’s with FTD and declined for years until he passed away in January. It has been really difficult, and even more so for my mom, as she had to deal with him becoming aggressive in later stages of FTD.

It’s an ugly disease, not well-known, and hits people younger than typical Alzheimer’s symptoms would. I’m so sorry to those who have to go through FTD with relatives. It’s just extremely difficult from all angles. :(

If you are dealing with this, whether with the person in the article or someone else, my contact info is in my profile.
How so? It's cheaper than ever to use oil and natural gas instead of renewables.
> No, the halting problem says that one cannot determine whether an _arbitrary_ program halts

While the specific definition differs, the fundamental assertion is similar.

Thanks for the downvotes for what was an earnest question whoever. SMH
GDP is what the economy produces. Well then, if you shut everything down for a month, you expect to lose 8% of GDP, because you're not producing during that month. If you shut it down for two months, you expect to lose 16% of GDP.

Losing only 3% is pretty good, actually.
http://www.wbur.org/commonhealth/2020/03/25/coronavirus-vacc...

There are many seasonal coronaviruses that cause colds. We’ve never been able to create a vaccine. There was a NYTimes article in last few days, I’ll post it when I find it.

EDIT: https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/can-we-rea...

Finding lots of sources that there has never been a successful coronavirus vaccine and that reinfection is common. So, thinking there will be a vaccine anytime soon is happy thinking. If it happens, it won’t happen fast enough to stave off a deep recession. I know I won’t be going out like I was.
Our Pandemic Summer The fight against coronavirus won’t be over when US reopens.
A decent number of streaming services have very good 4K and all you need is a Chromecast Ultra with a $200 TV to make it all work.
I wish I could want to work at Google, but, between the hazing rituals on the front end, the long lead times, and these mysterious vetoing robed elders on the back end, they make it so unattractive.

I wonder whether their approach has been alienating entire large categories of people, and what diversity of ideas and influences they're missing as a result.
Our culture is riddled with legal cartels, see medical test production for a horrifyingly relevant example.
Of course the planet will be fine, it’s the people we’re all worried about
> according to LTN, which cited news from a Chinese gaming forum.

Yeah... their sources aren't exactly ideal.
>> One-player online games will also be subject to surveillance, as a new real-name mechanism is going to be implemented in China. Also, the new law will not allow for zombies and plagues, map editing, roleplaying, as well as organizing a union in games — regulations which are believed to be inspired by the sensitive content made by Joshua Wong.

Something will be the breaking point for this level of restriction/overreach in the name of surveillance.

It would be hilarious if it were zombies or map editing/mods.

It's amazing that Joshua Wang's actions have resulted in the game being made unavailable for an entire nation. Banning the entire game is also an incredible example of the streisand effect.
> The world will be just fine long, long after

See this comment so much. It's infuriating, because it's always cover for more pool-pissing and public defecation. It'll be fine more better more sooner if we'd stop. fucking. it. up. so. bad.

Society will be fine long after you jab red hot pokers into your eyeballs. Yet you should probably not do that.
Given that the population growth is around 80,000,000 yearly, or 1 percent, we are looking at a world GDP per capita decline of 4 percent.

Since large parts of the world's population barely had enough for food as it were, and that even in the first world, a lot of the production goes to create wealth for the few rich, and most people don't save much or anything to begin with, it's going to be felt.

And do we really believe it stops there? Will people actually want to travel and dine out as much as they used to once the lockdowns are over? Or will they be careful for months or maybe years to come? What happens when the virus really spreads in Africa, India, South East Asia and South America? Will they barely care because they are so young it's not dangerous to them? And what about the second and third wave in the first world? What if the vaccine or cure is not that easy to make and distribute so we don't have any before mid or late 2021?
Yeah, I don’t get it. Well I suppose if you want the protection you just put a case on it <shrug>.

I remember cycling down the hill and having my Nokia 6610 fall out of my pocket, front n back case n battery flying every which way down the road and thinking nothing of it.

Times have changed.
Yeah but the the US is abnormally iPhone-heavy (I live in Europe).
John Hess has a good explanation of these trade offs. https://youtu.be/MytCfECfqWc
My personal theory is bikes are selling because they are:

1. A good way to keep fit and maintain social distance

2. An alternative to public transport which people who are still working (and can't drive for whatever reason) want to avoid if at all possible

Both are particularly high priority at the moment
I believe it is one of the premium features, yes.
Related: https://time.com/5818993/animal-crossing-china-removed/ "Hong Kong Protesters Spread Democracy Messages on Animal Crossing. Now It's Gone From a Huge Chinese E-Commerce Site"
Huh. It says that /after/ banning animal crossing it’s taking it to the extreme to block users. Which I take to suggest they will be applying it to other games.
If I were taking that side, I wouldn’t have qualified my statement. Gov’t and courts consider it secure. HIPAA compliant, etc.
You realise Chinese have members of peaceful community in a literal concentration camp. I mean it's arguable whether it's good or bad because I've never met their particular peaceful community and don't know how much more peaceful it is but still mentioning so you can adjust your trigger.
I’d second this. Check you sleep. #hours. Get a sleep study, make sure you don’t have sleep apnea. Also review your diet and any substances you consume. In my case it was sleep apnea in my 40s that took me from “coding like a m’fing riot” to barely able to concentrate long enough to code a for loop. good luck.
I own an iPad Pro 11.

I don't think it's just you - there's a lot of basic everyday functionality that is pointlessly difficult and cumbersome in iOS.

E.g. data management is still the worst of any modern OS by a huge margin, and data sharing between apps is still a half-broken mess. Even things that _should_ work with straightforward data types often don't - e.g. you can't share audiobooks to iBooks even though it can play them, or trying to share an image to an art app might simply open the app with no indication of where the image went or what went wrong. Lack of default apps means you often have to open files the long way around through a convoluted series of download/share steps. These are all things that work fine on Android, and were never a problem on desktop OSes to begin with.
Here's a report that Immunity published that details a mind-boggling number of promising approaches currently under development:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7136867/

It is way premature to declare right now that none of them will work out.
I’m not saying you’re necessarily wrong but one way of thinking about it is like this: People buy shares not because they think netflix is worth more than disney, they buy shares because they think that the shares will go up in value. It’t not really a question of which company has more assists, but rather who can offer me more gain in a certain time window.

I think you can absolutely make argument that Netflix is overvalued, but I think it’s certainly not crazy to bet that you make more money off Netflix vs Disney in the short/medium term.
I’m wondering if I have an unfair bias against android. I think perhaps the ecosystem has evolved in the last few years and it sounds like even the more affordable devices are offering good performance now?

I’m going to pick up a G6 and see how it goes.
"A whopping 84 percent of all stocks owned by Americans belong to the wealthiest 10 percent of households"[1]

"37 percent held by retirement accounts" [2]

Politicians and the wealthy use that poor schmuck's 401k to bail out the wealthy.

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/08/business/economy/stocks-e...
[2] https://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/only-about-one-quarte...
Keynes described what was wrong with the economy in the 1930's as 'magneto trouble'. Then as now all of civilizations farms, factories, and houses. All oil wells and dams and coal mine were still there.

There isn't any reason the world cannot be fed during the current crisis. Do I need new clothes? Not really. Do the people who make and sew clothes need to be fed? Yes.
This feels right. Even when he could express himself in a way I could understand, he never expressed himself as frustrated or suffering. The disease at some level seems to rob its victims from the ability to suffer. It’s hard to comprehend.
Guilty as charged
It would be a nice silver lining if first-world countries could come out of this and continue consuming less. Keep some/most jobs WFH, stop trying to produce just for the sake of it (as in, we don't need a new phone/car models every year), work <40 hours/week, keep unemployment insurance healthy. It'd be a huge boon for both the environment and people.
Bravo comrade, march with me in solidarity with the proliteriat !!
I have experienced this in myself, and other people many, many times.

I still get a little pinch inside when someone sits down to examine my work.

Especially since I work with a very wide range of technology, so I never really feel I'm dealing with something I've 'mastered'.

edit - spelling
Certainly Streisanded me straight into looking up who this Joshua Wong fella is who made some so called "sensitive content". Must be too irritating to sensitive thin skin types
https://hongkongfp.com/2020/04/15/activist-joshua-wong-troll...
There is absolutely nothing good about what is happening.
I think still the biggest effect (e.g. for my parents when they started using whatsapp a few years ago) is that it was free & sms wasn't.
Looks like (2014).

Nice explanation. Always fun to see the actual intersection where physical properties create a functional circuit.
"You can ask for transparency all you like, but nobody owes it to you."

Did the question and context come off as though I felt owed something from someone?

I am intellectually curious. On that note...if the YC fork is proprietary, then how would learning a specific dialect of Lisp and running an old copy of the publicly available arc source code help answer the original two elements in question on the YC fork - namely algorithms and moderator influence?
To expand on this: off is perfect, off most of the time is wonderful, on and changing is great, on and unchanging is bad. So yes, you ideally want equal usage all around but you're splitting hairs between perfect and wonderful with the bouncing DVD logo's coverage.
Similar experience here. Having internal references seems to be very useful, not just for skipping the phone interview but for getting through the hiring committee. My start day is exactly one month after my interview, but even then that is because I put it back a week.
Had same reaction when I saw Marc in the General Magic doc. We’d already started working with Sandra when I saw it. But think it’s part of why Marc’s story was so emotional for me. Both stories of opportunity, genius, and loss.
Unfortunately, democratic countries find themselves in disarray. Which, among other things, makes harder to present benefits of people's power.
I don't see how it's dystopian. Why would we expect the stock market be a measurement of how bad things are right this second, and who's getting hurt if it isn't?
I used this Python library to create a TOTP for my bank’s Symantec VIP login:

https://github.com/dlenski/python-vipaccess

I then can store it in my 1Password which provides the new code every 30 seconds.
But most of these companies/teams already employ massive numbers of contractors. They typically sign NDAs and often work on same code.

I've been on development teams which had contractors as 20% or more members. We had just couple of interviews and next-day offers for contractors while full timers went through multi-month process. Both worked on same code, often similarly complex tasks and used same on-boarding docs etc. One difference was that full timers were given more longer term tasks although, looking back, I feel many longer tasks simply became longer term because of tribal knowledge full timers developed and kept to themselves. The contractors were required to extensively document everything all the time :).
That may be the case but I feel you are mixing cause and effect. Trading algorithms don't cause a company to make more profit and therefore distribute dividends.
> No one is sitting on a pile of apartments

They most certainly are. Vast amounts of private real estate in the most prime locations are sitting empty. See the Royal Family's property in Mayfair London for example.
I don't see what this has to do with the colloquial naming of SARS-CoV-2
Also depending on where you live many people who usually use public transportation and still have to commute opt for bicycles if that's viable.
Food banks are stressed right now, but I'd bet they can hold out for the month or two it's expected to take to get (mostly) everyone back to work.
On the contrary they’re getting a lot more eyeballs so YT has never been in a better position. Advertisers can reach a large chunk of the populace through YT now.

When things go south is when consumers stop purchasing. The unemployment and cut in disposable income will have a massive effect on purchasing power... but the federal government is deficit spending like crazy. So... it’s not clear what the consumer market will look like just yet.
I saw posts on Reddit months ago pointing out the virology labs in wuhan studying this exact virus and wasn’t it a coincidence. I am actually quite surprised that US scientists that twice visited the lab sent strongly worded official communications back to the US government stating concerns over safety and the competence of the personnel working at the lab and saying that they needed more assistance.

Now that China has disappeared people who were speaking out, shut down the Shanghai lab that originally published the virus’ genome, and is back to tightly controlling information out of the country, I doubt we’ll ever know for sure if this pandemic was a preventable accident. Either way it is a major black eye for China.
It's a wash, I think. Anyone who cares uses VPNs and/or Tor. You can do either IPv4 or IPv6 with VPNs, but the methodology is different. With IPv4, it's just NAT. With IPv6, VPN servers must assign a public address. And with Tor, sites only see the exit address.