skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
A) COVID-19 doesn't kill everyone it comes in contact with. Depending on where you live, more people in the last 3 months may have become seriously ill from a food-borne illness than from COVID-19.

B)Food-borne illness actually does kill around 150,000 per year worldwide. It is a serious concern, and difficult to track/contain. There are also concerns around regulations being too lax, not enough inspectors, and living conditions of those who harvest food.

C)Maybe China should ban wet markets, but then maybe people should be home for Easter Sunday and not at a church. Now we start to ban "cultural norms" and "ways of life", which people get fussy about.
Carlo Rovelli. Thanks. Just added to my goodreads list.
Her name was Huang Yan Ling (黄燕玲) for anyone who might be interested in learning more about the potential patient 0. The evidence is very compelling and this video does a good job at presenting it: https://youtube.com/watch?v=bpQFCcSI0pU
The paper says University of Waterloo?

Very useful as somebody who doesn't read papers very often though. I often get lost in the details in the first pass.
Would you be open to sharing more about your workflow? 1000% increase in productivity is a bold statement!
I'm trying to be a good bayesian reasoner here but the particulars of this specific case are all so tangled and piecemeal. The conspiracy theorists among us are having an absolute field day with the current events and it's easy to see why.

According to my bayesian analysis, I believe that the most likely cause of this virus is a wet-market infection, followed by a slip-up at a lab, with—by high margin, in very very last place at, say, 1% probability, that this was concocted by a nefarious player (the CCP being a favorite candidate). The conspiracy theorists (my Facebook friends especially) seem to rank the likelihood of this list in reverse (i.e. clearly this was concocted by the chinese government). With how secretive and disingenuous the CCP is even on a good day, it's easy to see why their argument has a few credence points (like any good conspiracy).

But I can't reconcile that there's not much for the CCP to gain on the world stage by releasing this thing. The US was already so politically tumultuous, and the 2016 Russian disinformation campaign was so much more effective at breaking our democracy apart, with the added benefit of not sending our economy into a global recession as a byproduct. What has the CCP gained here? Xi's power as a leader has only weakened, and their position as the world's factory is now only slipping faster.

So this is kind of like 9/11 to me. The people who would be the most likely to profiteer off a tragedy like this would have not in any capacity been able to pull it off, and the ones who are powerful or otherwise sophisticated enough to pull it off don't have much incentive to anyways. So that's why bayesian reasoning leads me to believe that yes, we know these viruses jump from animals to humans from time to time, and this seems to likely be one of those instances. What am I missing?
Not really. If you filter by the "App" category on OpenStore you get 18 pages of results and if you filter by "WebApp" you also get 18 pages of results. So, about 50% are webapps.
If someone's relatives or friends die, they're not likely to forget it for a long time. If someone comes close to death themselves, they're not likely to forget that either.
You're not even getting the direction right now. This article is about Chinese citizens trying to return to China, not leaving it.
No Easter celebration with friends this year, might as well just play a game. Stay safe people.
My favorite in the area is Enssaro.
I can't speak for gun dealers but for defense companies that also sell to consumers, think high end gun optics, there is fraud. And law enforcement is just an interested in investigating it as any other business ( Not at all) But I don't think any more fraud than any other online business.
I've seen way more wumao type posts in subs like r/worldnews, where typical readers are much less knowledgeable about China.
Wasn't looking for the definition, having studied thermodynamics as an undergrad, just surprised that a nonfunctional cooling system might be cast in such terms. Like, you don't start by noticing the engine's increased thermal efficiency as a stepping stone to realizing the radiator isn't getting hot or the water pump is failing to pump.
I see you making a lot of comments in this thread and I think you make some good points. I’m curious, could you think of an example of “strong evidence” that would support the theory that it was accidentally released from a lab?
Consciousness Is Not a Computation (Roger Penrose) – AI Podcast Clips
Mullets will make a comeback as a hairstyle, since we can't reach the back of our head when we're self cutting.
I can't see why they would ever be mandatory, but Fastmail is a big player when it comes to email standards, so if they're bringing in label support I expect that it's becoming a part of standard emailing and proper support will appear in external clients soon.
I hope these clear skies make people realize that it's probably from not driving personal cars, and that's what they get rid of.

As far as I understand, there's not been an incredible shift of the type of powerplant that's been running in the last 3 months?
>Maybe this was just that night or just this one restaurant, but it kinda shocked me.

This may be a "German thing"; I remember being a bit surprised when I ate lunch with a vendor from Germany and he ate a hamburger and french fries with a knife and fork.
What do we do with the positives?
CERN Pivots from Accelerators to Ventilators
Is this just a meme? The skies look the same to me in southern California.
> "Uptalk" is the habit of ending all sentences with rising
sound. Everything sounds like a question.

Aussie women talk this way.
Ugh, if the US had just kept up the pace of nuclear construction in the 80s instead of shutting it down, we would be approaching 100% CO2-free electricity today. Not 50 years from now, today. But we threw it all away!
Oh man, when he said "EA", I've instantly remembered that it is a code for NOP instruction. It's been like 33 years ago but still...
I think it is a mistake to say that agency is a property of a system, rather than a lens through which we can analyze a system. It truly is useful to describe a thermostat and heater as trying to keep a room within a certain temperature range, even though there is nothing actually striving there.

Much like anything under evolutionary pressure, the viruses that propagate are the ones that do manage (in their normal environment) to keep entropy across time from exploding. Are they "alive"? Meh. In combination with their environment, they act like it though.
Progressivism has historically had a strong bulwark in Wisconsin due to the legacy of Bob La Follette and the “Wisconsin Idea” [0]. The Republican Party was founded in Wisconsin (in Ripon) though it shares, of course, very little other than the name with the modern Republican Party.

[0]https://www.wisconsinhistory.org/Records/Article/CS417
While plenty of people in Germany eat their burgers with their hands, I don't think many would dare doing so at a formal opportunity, such as a business meeting (unless you're already friends).
Fukushima was a big influence in the most recent hate on nuclear energy. In laymans views, the fact that a (perceived to be) secure, organized country such as Japan had such a terrible nuclear incident, meant that every nuclear plant on the planet was dangerous and we were being lied about.

Politicians simply moved along that line. It doesn't matter that coal is worse for the environment. A nuclear incident can cost your head. Climate change? Clearly nobody cares.
Here is what the parent post refers to:

http://shanghaiist.com/2020/04/13/even-mcdonalds-is-now-turn...

If we're to shift the conversation towards hate crimes targeted at minority groups, I think it's fair to consider hate crimes perpetrated by government mentioned in the article, crimes which are perpetrated for much the same reasons as the suppression of coronavirus research.
Apple Registers Applecoronavirus.com Domain Name
I will never buy a Samsung product again after the bait and switch they pulled on their 4K TVs, advertising that they would be able to be used as smart home hubs, continuously telling people it would be coming, and then quietly cancelling it and making it an add on for the nvidia shield instead, without so much as an apology or a press release.

Today I went to use their official iPhone tv remote app, and it said it’s being discontinued and to use the SmartThings app, something that was broken 2 years ago in a firmware update to my tv, and has never been fixed. This tv isn’t that old — 3 years old and it’s already on its way to slowly being bricked with crappy updates and products being decommissioned.
> Now the MIT-led team has observed evidence of Majorana fermions in a material system they designed and fabricated, which consists of nanowires of gold grown atop a superconducting material, vanadium, and dotted with small, ferromagnetic "islands" of europium sulfide.

Material science is dope
The same Bill Maher who wanted a major recession to bring down Trump?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-3SjtG5lwOI

Maybe we should stop listening to these people?
Yeah I have some projects at work which manage containers in this kind of fashion, which is probably why I'm applying that to this and over-engineering - which I almost always do.

The current bot could work with just passing in a token, and then fetching its settings from a REST API (for the web bit) instead of just a JSON file - my only issue with this approach is I think it'd require the user to setup a developer app with discord user, instead of the nice seamless 'invite and it works' approach other bots seem to have.
All the anti-China subs has grown multitudes more users than Sino since last year, easily enough to drown out pro-Chinese voices. Statistically, we should see more anti-Chinese bots and manipulation occurring.

Also all available research doesn't suggest CPC has foreign manipulation toolset on western social media, except last years twitter "disclosure" about state level manipulation on HK without any explanation and attribution. Turned out to be ~200 twitter accounts, which... ok could be from Chinese state or bored PRC nationalist script kiddies.

Also 50c doesn't operate abroad, they don't engage in argumentation, only lazy platitudes about positive Chinese news items - they don't draw attention to negative news. All the shill accusations doesn't account for this fact that 50c glorifies instead of defends China. The latter pattern requires too much effort. Official 50c are mostly state employees trying to meet msg quotas on domestic social media. Also China would not waste English proficiency trolling on reddit, English speakers with proficiency to trick western audiences are making bank working in industry and not the state. Chinese foreign propaganda MO is pouring a few hundred billion buying ad space in foreign news papers. And lately they've been growing twitter and other microblogging platform accounts for their diplomats to troll US. See US bioengineered weapon.

E: Just to add the parsimonious explanation about the amount of pro-Chinese perspectives is that the vast amount of Chinese diaspora is engaging online discussions since they are witnessing the effects of western propaganda targetting their country. There is a ridiculous amount of biased reporting out there. Increased sinophobia etc, it's in their interests to clear the air which occasionally leads to doubling down on nationalist rhetoric.
IQ2 had a debate on nuclear power. One of the arguments against expansion was that nuclear reactor design is basically bespoke for every installation and that the promise of rapid, cheap deployment has not been realized in many years (decades).

Interesting episode, I wish I retained more of it: https://www.mprnews.org/story/2020/02/10/iq2-debate-expand-n...
Is this about how D&I efforts are ruining higher ed or about higher ed being a "Ponzi Scheme"?

The conversation is starkly different here vs. the Disqus conversation on the article page.

Also, authoring "The Diversity Delusion: How Race and Gender Pandering Corrupt the University and Undermine Our Culture." makes me question the author's motive/bias.
Nice CCP shill account
My personal opinion is that in large part, the reason people have such an aversion to nuclear power is the imagery that is associated with the word "nuclear". Bring up the word, and there is an immediate association with nuclear weapons, mushroom clouds, irradiated wastelands. Just think of how many entertainment properties use the trope of a nuclear wasteland or things glowing green, mutants and radiation beasts..etc.

We know that media significantly affects culture, so it's not that surprising to me that if how we picture nuclear anything in entertainment leaks into how people think of it in the real world.

We're also not very good about perceiving continued effects. The radiation that a coal plant spits out is in effect diffuse. Yes there's a lot, but its a lot over a time scale instead of immediately. Whereas a nuclear meltdown, well, that's quick and extremely potent. We're far more likely to react to the latter viscerally. For a parallel, consider air travel vs car travel. Air travel is far safer per miles traveled, but we still get our collective panties in a bunch over airplane accidents, despite there being far more car accidents in any given span of time.

I think nuclear power's biggest issue is image. It has far too many negative associations in most people's minds. Until that image is changed, I don't know if nuclear power is viable culturally. Maybe once we start going further out in space and nuclear becomes the only viable power source, that might change. Right now, a few RTG-powered probes aren't going to do it.
It’s disingenuous to suggest that China has inserted a chain of government committees in between researchers and journals, for the purpose of improving the veracity of the research. Given the CCP’s history of censorship boards, it looks like a case of the usual CCP strategy of filtering the release of information in order to save face.
You are missing the point. Your logic means no business can refuse to deal with any public company, because any company of any size has a(n) $ETHNICITY shareholder.
Wow the amount of account's quite obviously botting for the CCP in this thread is concerning. What is HN moderation doing to keep these unwanted accounts out?
>I can't reconcile that there's not much for the CCP to gain on the world stage by releasing this thing.

Is causing the social, political, and economic collapse of an arch rival nation state not the natural perogative of empire scale nations?
World Creation: Uncovering Hidden Memories of God
No one is saying its a bioweapon, merely shoddy containment in a facility that did viral research, the research could have been entirely altruistic, its still their fault for letting it out of the lab and then hiding the fact, arresting doctors and journalists and letting it spread. When they could have been letting other countries take precautions to prepare for it and shut down travel out of the country sooner instead of telling the world there is no real danger, no human to human transmission, and everything is fine.

On the other hand, prefaced with the fact that it isn't one, or was still under research if that, bio-weapons are just as effective when they disrupt an economy and infrastructure and a virus targets the elders or those at an age of those most likely in leadership positions. So it doesn't have to kill military aged people to be effective. Again, this is likely not one, but the disruption its caused and economic hit its taken is in line with how modern wars are fought. They only need to overwhelm medical facilities, its like the case with mines, they don't kill so much as maim, because maiming soldiers puts a greater strain on an army to keep them alive, transport them and treat them (even though they'll never return to the battle field), then if they were simply dead. You kill a soldier, they're down a man, you maim/disable a soldier, they're down a man, two other soldiers needed to evacuate him, they're down transport needed to get them back to a medical center, and several medical personnel needed to treat them and get them stable. You want to cripple an army, you don't kill it, you make it so the soldiers barely survive and need assistance, or you take out their resources, this virus does a good job of both.

A virus only has to severely disable economies and create a strain on resources to be effective at crippling an opponent, if its not especially deadly, it can spread further, if it puts enough soldiers in hospital beds, especially senior leadership, its effective. Even if this isn't a bio-weapon, it actually would be pretty effective as one assuming you already had the vaccine, which no one does.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpQFCcSI0pU
Well, I'm not qualified to explain this so I'm probably wrong in the detail, but a sketch of the thinking:

P(Came from WIV|Global Epidemic starts in Wuhan) ~= 97%

However, P(Started Near a BSL Rated facility|Global Epidemic) is also high (not going to estimate it).

But you have assumed that P(Global Epidemic starts in Wuhan) = 1; which is not true. P(Global Epidemic starts in Wuhan) is probably quite low and they got unlucky because it had to start somewhere. In this context, that assumption is tantamount to flipping a coin then saying "P(Heads) = 1". It isn't, P(Head) = 0.5 but it does happen sometimes.

If we assume P(Global Epidemic starts in Wuhan) = 1 (because it did happen) then P(Came from WIV) is either 0 or 1, because it either did or didn't happen in the same way that the virus started in Wuhan.
Now things are starting to settle down, everyone can get back to being their usual selves, whether it is a totalatarian surveillance state or a conspiracy theorist.
That's the primary problem that this project, the Small Modular Reactor design, aims to solve. More via Wikipedia: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Small_modular_reactor
For me. I'm not going if there's no bathrooms. Or I'd just pee outside. Anyway it's academic since I don't have a car, but other people who do would be making these same calculations. Doubt you're gonna take a whole family if there are no bathrooms; you're practically guaranteeing an accident or leaving early.
NuScale’s small modular reactor is proven technology and seems now good enough to be approved, up and running in the US quite soon indeed. It also seems an acceptable answer to many of the current nuclear problems (shameless plug: https://www.tenproblems.com/2020/04/12/ten-problems-for-nucl...), so good luck!
> nuclear reactor design is basically bespoke for every installation

Which is exactly what new modular designs like the one described in this article are trying to change: get away from the custom-built mentality and build nuclear reactors out of standardized, modular components. In other words, the way we already build lots of other things in order to make them cheaper and more reliable (since most of the assembly is done in factories in controlled environments).
If only every "country-simple" had a wise Californian to advise them how not to be duped by a large multi-national cooperation.
The dark shadow in the injunction to ‘do what you love’
One of the things I find amazing about France is that out of all the energy they produce about 17% if from recycled nuclear[0]. Not 17% of the total nuclear power is from recycled, 17% of TOTAL power is from recycled nuclear. That's pretty neat!

And with regards to greenhouse gasses, hard to argue with this [1].

That being said, I don't mind the the reduction to 50% by 2035. Renewables are a good thing. I think there's this argument happening that is renewables vs nuclear which isn't healthy. Nuclear's competitor is coal and natural gas which serve as base loads (nuclear does also have the ability to do variable loads like these. For some reason people think it can't...). If slack can be picked up by renewables and that lessens the requirement for nuclear, that's a good thing. As long as this reduction doesn't involve building coal or natural gas plants in place of nuclear, I'm all in support of it (i.e. nuclear is being replaced purely by renewables). Though I would be happier if the plan was to explicitly discontinue their coal and gas plants first.

[0] https://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-pr...

[1] https://www.electricitymap.org/?countryCode=FR&page=country
We should have built more nuclear 20 years ago, but it seems it's too late now. The design of reactors that are actually built is extremely conservative, it still takes forever to plan them and get appropriate permissions, and then they take nearly a decade to build. Meanwhile the price of wind+storage is dropping. If you were to start planning a new reactor now, by the time it's operational it might be uneconomical to even turn on. And even if it isn't, it's extremely unlikely that you make your investment back over the lifespan of the plant, especially once you add the decommissioning (which is more expensive than the construction of the plant, because a lot of the structure turns slightly radioactive).

We had our chance, we wasted it by never moving beyond 1970s reactor designs. Now the economics of those designs no longer make sense for new plants, and nobody is going to risk a fortune on building unproven large-scale reactor designs. There's some opportunity with reactors sized like those on ships, but that's it.
> "Nobody could have imagined the Coronavirus crisis. But the scope and damage are enormous.

What?

I saw the SARS-1 panic in 2002/2003. Same as SARS-2 now. No imagination needed.
> Yes, it is. Any argument akin to "I don't need to provide evidence of anything I accuse you of because you lie about things"

Either you didn't understood the point or you don't want to address it.

The point is that if China's regime tries to portray the fact that they operate a coronsvirus military research lab a few meters from the outbreak's alledged epicenter as nonsense while at the same time they try to pin the blame on the outbreak on military coronsvirus research work conducted by other nations.

I mean, if a work accident committed by China's military is ruled out as outlandish then why are they pushing conspiracy theories akin to area52 aliens as reasonable and plausible?
The cheapness comes from the fact that they tend to charge by the car and not by the person.

Unless they charge $50+ per car, it's still a great deal for small families.
The fees are raised due the riskier nature of the business, not due to “select people”.
How did it come from a lab? I've heard "workers got sprayed with blood and infected", "someone screwed up"(vague), "mishandled lab waste".

Just saying it "came from a lab", makes it sound man made. If you don't want misunderstandings, you need spell it out and make it absolutely clear. It doesn't even sound like there is a clear narrative about how it "escaped from the lab", just a lot of rumors. Rumors about a rumor, certainly doesn't sound more credible than China's official stance, and their credibility is already very low.
Omnisharp for emacs: troll your friends and co-workers by writing C#/dotnet in emacs! Omnisharp enables "intellisense" or whatever it's called nowadays, in emacs, via Company mode or similar. The code completion is a huge time saver.

Also, honorable mention for magic wormhole, a finally sane way to move arbitrary files between devices.
Leaked paper submitted to NEJM suggests hydroxychloroquine ineffective
Must not be the Bay Area then? I'm still amazed at how many different cuisines there are here, and how authentic they are. I'm German, and a lot of German food I tasted here was spot on. My wife is Chinese and we've been to plenty of restaurants that were authentic according to her.

On the other hand, we both combined only know a handful of cuisines really well, so I can't tell if we're just lucky to have them match up.