skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
At what point does fallout from trying to avoid covid-19 deaths cause more deaths than covid-19. We're talking domestic violence, starvation abroad (due to local hoarding, which has begun), and actual crop failure (due to a shortage of transient labor). There's also suicide, depression, etc.

I'm not even saying let up on all the social distancing measures. I think social distancing measures are good, but perhaps over the top. Nowhere have I seen a discussion of where to stop with the measures because of diminishing returns and increasingly negative economic (and indirect human life loss) impact.
The US's response could not be described as anything even approaching competent. This is still just getting started.

Let's check back in a few months and see how this comment has aged...
I second this, and if you're not sure where to start then this is a great one because it will give you some study tools to use on your next course(s)!
To the extent that the walled garden keeps quality up, I'm all for it as a user, and in agreement with you. I'm all for Apple clamping down on apps that crash, violate privacy, drain the battery, deceptively advertise prices, and so on.

But I don't see how I benefit from some of Apple's moves, such as stealing 30% of developers' revenues [1] when their own apps don't have to suffer this tax, or Apple Music spamming me via push notification ads while others are forbidden from doing so. Or taking down apps that mention that they also support Android. All of these are in Apple's benefit, and against mine.

In 2008, I gave the benefit of doubt to walled gardens. In 2020, it's clear that they need government regulation to stop abusing both users and developers, which a monopolist otherwise tends to do. Walled gardens are still a good idea for people like you and me, but need to be controlled.

[1] When I've already paid through my nose for Apple's overpriced devices.
I don't have a good sense on the other points but I would point out the points about China are not quite right.

1. This is untrue. Masks were worn intermittently only on "bad pollution" days in cities like Beijing and Shanghai. Inland cities like Chengdu there is not widespread mask usage.

2. There is a difference between Xinjiang and the rest of China. You definitively do not see this type of security checkpoints in "regular" pre-covid China.

China is not back to "normal", there is fits and starts in the restarts to life, and there is also a psychological drag on consumer demand even though some shopping is reopened.
What I do, is post it after what I consider a “complete” edit, but I don’t advertise it.

I then spend a day or two, revisiting it, and making tweaks.

I suspect that my biggest issue is overuse of the passive voice. I was pretty much trained into it (long story), and it tends to be my default.
Just because Lindsey Graham said that, doesn't mean Thriptic is agreeing with it.
Who are you quoting?

The only hit Google returns is you, in this thread.
The reason why Trump went from "its a democratic hoax" to "100k-200k dead" was literally the Overton Window. Pick the biggest, most unlikely number, get everyone used to that, and deploy the puffery when it doesn't happen. Markets are responding to that. It was a pretty good move because that argument co-opted the opposition who was claiming a million or more would die. That was BS, and the administration's position calls them on it and puts them in a position of declaring a win because the unreasonable number is... unreasonable. But as for the market? This is all a game.

EDIT: My post will probably age-like-milk when we're still in lockdown in November with 300k dead and we all have long hair and are wiping our butts with the lawn like sick dogs.
Look at the VIX (volatility index), as long as it remains elevated there is fear in the market that further volatility is expected.
The stock market isn't the economy. It's related to the economy, but it's not a good measure of how the economy as whole is doing, nor does it say anything about how well the average person benefits from the economy.
My wild-ass-guess is that many companies can go into hibernation of some type. Furlough enough staff, take some government aid, stop wearing out tools, stop consuming raw materials. If you're a car manufacturer, for example, sure you have _some_ costs rights now with production lines stopped, but just how much?
There has been a great deal of improvement in color sub 12“ displays in the CPG space. Start watching for them at Walmart and Target.
But what should they do? Without vents, people suffocate to death.
1. I don't think you can quantify the two in equal units such that they can be compared - they both played a part.

2. Probably not or at least not significantly. Ducting occurs frequently and Saharan dust is blown out to sea every year. Note that 'for the first time on this band [at this distance]' is more accurate.
> Other less nefarious uses are to ask about telemetry / GDPR before installation.

I’d imagine you’d want to gate this through the process itself to ensure users have actually accepted, especially as EULA enforceability varies from place to place.
>The startup’s teams in the U.S. are most impacted by the furloughs, according to a person familiar with the matter. In a statement, Oyo confirmed the furloughs and added that India, its home market, was not impacted

This is something Is m seeing more and more in the current climate. International companies ar elooking to cut payroll to reduce expenses, and ofcourse they are going tos tart with the country with the most out of proportion salaries.

Tack on the current insane unemployment benefit package and I'm wondering why companies aren't forloughing every person they even think they might not need.
Yes, if you only just assume that markets are perfect and information is symmetrical.
One major difference between the Great Depression and the current situation is that the government has made it very clear that they will do whatever it takes to soften the economic ramifications of the pandemic. A huge contribution to the Great Depression was the government’s deliberate inaction.

“Regarding the Great Depression...we did it. We’re very sorry...we won’t do it again.” - Ben Bernanke, 2002

Normally government intervention in an economic crisis is opposed by one of the two political parties, for whatever reason - often a desire to avoid rewarding “bad behavior” that led to the crisis in the first place. In this case, the only bad behavior was on the part of the government and their total failure to plan for this scenario, and so the entire political spectrum is willing to spend money in order to fix it.

So I think there is optimism not just that the health consequences may not be as severe as was originally forecast, but that there is a path and political consensus for the government to manage the economic fallout as well.
I believe in Portuguese, at least, that boy is also named Peter.
This is going to be another Apple success story along the lines of: Yes, others have had this for years in theory, but nobody actually ever used it. Apple enter the market super late but instantly capture it fully because they're the only ones not monumentally sabotaging themselves.
I am sure a lot of politicians are struggling with this decision right now.
What should the US have done that other countries are doing?

We closed travel early, we started closing businesses early, and we hold daily press conferences with multiple medical and financial experts that are directly informing the entire population of what measures they should be taking.

edit: it seems like the general response to "what should we have done" is "the federal government should have shut down travel/businesses nationwide".

Is that even legal for the federal government to do? I know that when Trump floated the idea of travel restrictions for NY, Cuomo called it an act of war (https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/28/politics/cuomo-ny-quarantine-...).
search error correcting codes. turbo codes. Viterbi codes. Golay codes. Reed-Soloman codes, Gallagher codes... the list goes on.

Basically, error correction can supply “coding gain”. So in the path-loss equation, you get to add gain for error correction.

In the above case, if the signal is 100 times weaker than the noise, you need a code with 20db of coding gain to reach break-even, if that makes sense.
Sweden's deaths per 10M population is currently sitting at 778. That's lower than than the UK (1,202), France (1,825), Italy (3,024), Spain (3,306) and Switzerland (1,113), just to name a handful. Finland has not even administered enough tests to know what's what.

Your comments about China are more hyperbole. What I've found most interesting during this entire event is how many people desperately want to convince themselves and others that we're facing certain doom. It's really quite bizarre.
> > "is the qualitative experience of consciousness actually real, or is it reducible to third-party objective facts"

> Why not both?

Because those are mutually exclusive options. Either something is ontologically fundamental, or it's not. It can't be both.
I took it several years back and enjoyed it. I liked that the course had you implement the whole training pipeline yourself rather than using a framework (not sure if the newer class does the same). While you would likely not do this in practice, I felt it helped my intuition when using the frameworks since I had a sense of how the internals were working.
I'm paraphrasing from memory a conversation I had. The gist is that volatility goes away with the time because market learns to anticipate and smooth out the crises, even if it's an unexpected out-of-blue event, since over sufficient enough time it would have happened at least once.

Maybe this still holds true, but the time frame for that must be massive.
Every book Naval Ravikant has mentioned on Twitter
Undo Send was definitely a Gmail "labs" feature long before Inbox existed [1].

You're right about the other two though. Nudges are nice. Ridiculous, though, that a useless gimmick feature like smart reply made it in but not actually useful features, like travel bundles or even the "finance" category.

[1]: https://mashable.com/2010/08/22/how-to-undo-send-in-gmail/
I think a lot of these ISA cards are for industrial control in realtime systems, so the added latency of USB is not going to work.
What’s so strange to me is how much trust is being placed in these test results. Across the country doctors are telling people they can’t test people so stay home in self quarantine until you have difficulty breathing. Consider, 1/2 of all tests in New Jersey have been positive, nationwide it’s 1/4th for a disease that shares many symptoms with the flu.

While the official infection rate might have more or less stabilized it’s not going down and it’s vastly low. So, what’s making them think 100-200k is a high enough to call it a safe benchmark?

By official numbers NYC infection rate is already 1%, for that to be low and infection rates steady it’s going do easily hit double digits very quickly.
If you assume a mortality rate of 1% (which is probably in the ballpark) then you can expect 75 million deaths without intervention. So far world-wide we've had about 95,000 deaths. So doing nothing would result in about 700 times as many deaths as have occurred so far. I'd say it's probably to soon to throw in the towel.
BackBlaze Exabyte Milestone
Those estimates weren’t created or solely vocalized by the administration
Ask HN: Looking for article about Google reducing their reliance on internal VPN
hello, thank you in advance!

I am looking for an article where google talks about how they are trying to deprecate their internal VPN in favor of a focus on better cloud security practices.

I think it was within the last 3 years but definitely within the last 5.
The printing presses injecting four trillion dollars into it over the past few weeks are to thank for that 'recovery'.

The fed is lending money to companies that would otherwise be going bankrupt, and is buying junk bonds from anyone they can.

The prior owners of the junk bonds then turn around, and spend that money on buying stocks. It's madness.
"Imagine joining as a manager and expecting to grow your team from 5->50?"

This is extremely rare and opportunistic situation, that some people may not get their 'promised Ferrari right away' should only be a problem for those with the lack of maturity to grasp what's happening in this world.

Also consider that said situation is not isolated and almost everyone is in the same boat.
Swift's main use - apps for iPhone, Mac OS X and Apple devices - most certainly does tie it to Xcode.
"Big" doesn't necessarily mean "heavy" or "bulky" though. A decent length of lightweight wire and a tree can get you a very long way.
Could you write a review on it? I've been contemplating getting one for the same purposes but I'd really like to hear some pros and cons before committing
Ok, but how noteworthy is this really? I mean, what do people expect to happen when 90% of the human race stops going to work for multiple months? And in the US, the government has incentivized small businesses to furlough employees so they can collect unemployment benefits. I realize that was not Mnuchin’s intention, but it seems to be widespread in the service industry, for example. Because of this, unemployment data is unfortunately meaningless for the time being.

I’m optimistic we’ll see this elusive “V shaped recovery.” But we won’t have a clear picture of what this recession really looks like until people are allowed back to work and we can see what the unemployment numbers revert to.

That said, I’m also worried about downstream effects like changed habits after quarantine, and avoidance of activities like going out to dinner.
It already happened. The West will be litigating unpaid rent, etc. for the next decade since there aren't enough court rooms.

What we fundamentally got wrong is that ventilators don't work in 66% - 90% of cases, so "flattening the curve" was largely pointless and distracted leaders from low-tech solutions like quarantine centers and palliative care.

We should have learned that in 2002 from SARS-1, but nobody even seems to remember it.
FDR was effective at getting himself elected to office. Double-digit employment persisted until the Second World War, which the US only entered during his third term. It's a great political achievement to get elected to a third term as President despite unemployment remaining above 10% for the entirety of your first two terms, but that doesn't erase unemployment remaining above 10% for the entirety of FDR's first two terms.
It doesn't make much sense to me either, but I have a couple theories. One is that the spending bill that made it through congress and/or action by the Federal Reserve have caused a temporary bump. Another is that the infection rates in the U.S. have slowed somewhat and this is being interpreted (correctly or incorrectly) that we're at or near the infection peak, and that the worst-case scenario is probably averted. A third theory is that even with all that's happening, most people who had money before all of this began still have money, and they're using it to buy stocks while they're on sale.
Are those mutually exclusive though?

Apple can control the user experience on the device you bought without forcing a 30% surcharge against the competition.
Search on "google beyondcorp", or start here: https://cloud.google.com/beyondcorp
Uploading a YouTube VR video of a work session is a potentially fantastic idea. Thanks for the suggestion.

Right now, Simula uses "dumb" eye tracking, in the sense that windows receive keyboard and cursor focus when the user's forward eye gaze intersects a window. We also have it so that users can control the cursor focus with their forward gaze (presently binded to `Super + Apostrophe`); similarly, users can drag windows around by holding `Super + Alt` and looking around. The experience adds up to something quite productive once you learn all the keyboard shortcuts (your fingers don't need to leave the keyboard).
As much as I love Signal (I use it every day), wouldn't the USG, given its values, just say "good riddance"?
What the hell is going on at the New York freaking Times?

It took "200 days and the filing of a federal case" before Lawrence Lessig got a correction:

"An earlier version of this article referred imprecisely in the lead paragraph to the views of Professor Lawrence Lessig."

Sharyl Attkisson didn't have to wait that long, but it still took the NYT quite a long time -- far longer than Twitter mobs' reactions -- before acknowledging it "referred imprecisly" to her reporting:

"An earlier version of this article referred imprecisely to statements made by Sharyl Attkisson. Ms. Attkisson accurately reported the number and location of U.S. coronavirus deaths, as of the date of her March 13 podcast."

https://www.aim.org/aim-column/ny-times-apologizes-for-inacc...

https://sharylattkisson.com/2020/04/new-york-times-nyt-corre...
Neat! Do you have something I could subscribe to for updates?
Can you share sources/data showing some of the fallout from covid-19 mitigation efforts?
No offense taken! Misunderstanding or failing to communicate clearly in places like this happens all the time normally, let alone when everyone’s a bit on edge. Good luck and stay healthy.
We're all following the same strategy now because of the countries that didn't follow that strategy taught the rest of us what not to do.

Imagine if a world government had responded the way China did. That is, lie about the problem until it gets too big then forcibly lock people into their homes. What reason do we have to think that a world government would do anything different?
I can't help but think we could close a lot less shops if everyone wore (even sub-N95) masks
Not suspending federal support for testing would go a long way.
Nice summary, the only pain left is that commonjs is still the module that dominates in the nodejs ecosystem.
> got to try and keep up with the zeitgeist and make informed decision for the sake of my family. My hunch is we’re in for some bad socioeconomic times, worse than most are predicting

This really resonated with me.
While most seem to think that a return to normalcy is right around the corner, I can't shake this feeling that the world is in the early stages of multiple, massive (and potentually rapid) once-in-a lifetime paradigm shifts. Not knowing how to position myself and my family for the future (and not even knowing where to start) leaves me with this growing sense of urgency and desperation that ultimately manifests as a frantic, nonstop search for any and all information that might help.

There's got to be a better way to handle this, and I'm sure there are others out there that feel the same way. I wonder if its possible to get some sort of crowd-sourced intelligence platform built that can filter out the noise to help provide accurate, actionable information and extrapolation into trends without it devolving into some end-of-days prepper forum.

If anyone's interested in helping build such a thing, or if one already exists, please let me know!
CNN: COBOL programmers wanted to help with unemployment
I'm actually more interested in a high refresh rate, non backlit monitor. Power isn't really an issue for desktops, so that part of eink doesn't appeal to me. I'm trying to limit my time looking at illuminated sources.

Something like [1] with no front light.

1. https://youtu.be/kDk-t6XkFvc
Since Swift's niche is Apple platform development it's tied to Xcode. As an independent language it hasn't developed any real niche to date.
I'm curious why Java was chosen as the language of First Robotics? Why not use Racket for example.
Stock prices are being propped up in part by easy credit from the Fed, which is a very dangerous position to be in. If investors get spooked at all, the unwinding of this credit bubble will get very ugly very fast.

The fact of the matter is that Covid-19 is causing a substantial real loss of productive capacity, and barring some unforeseen breakthrough in treatment options, this is likely to continue for at least a year, possibly two or more. So I'd be very careful not to take too much comfort in the DJIA chart at the moment.
If you just let the virus run its course you would have so many extremely sick people at once that it would overrun the health care systems in every country. Many more people than just COVID patients would die, and the death rate of COVID patients would go way up due to inadequate care.

The fallout from letting the virus run its course is way beyond taking the current rates and extrapolating to the entire worldwide population.
I found this in my read articles (instapaper)

January 2018

https://thenewstack.io/beyondcorp-google-ditched-virtual-pri...
Check out Visionect 32“ - we use 42“ for outdoor - check out Soofa.co
Scattering Radio Signals on SHF and EHF
>4)"Google hired Chris Lattner and he forced Swift down their throat."

Does anyone force anything on Google? This seems to express little confidence in the competence of Google and their people. Perhaps Google chose Swift and brought Lattner in for his obvious expertise.
Manufacturing will be moving to places like Vietnam and Malaysia. Nothing significant is going to be domesticated. The vaunted Foxconn factory in Wisconsin is still vapor. China would have already had it done and running.
Sounds like a great idea. Is it too much to ask you for an example so that many others (me included) might have a concrete understanding of the approach?
We still haven't really closed travel: even the source of the biggest current outbreak, NYC, still has airports operating! And not only for medical flights... you can just buy yourself a plane ticket from NYC to Miami if you want to visit. The first significant US outbreak was in Washington state in February, and there were no real travel-restriction measures to/from the Seattle area back then either, which is part of how it spread across the country. It probably wouldn't be possible to do a China-style quarantine of an entire region, like the way they completely locked down travel to/from Hubei, but we didn't do anything even 25% of the way there... SeaTac kept operating for weeks as if there was no issue, with large volumes of passengers exiting the source of the then-biggest outbreak.

We were also quite late on shutting down businesses, although some places later than others. Fairly high-ranking officials (the Oklahoma governor, the NYC mayor, etc.) were openly encouraging people to go out to big events as late as mid-March, weeks after there was evidence of community spread.
> I'm also paying Apple to curate my experience.

Which is totally fine.

But why not allow customers to make that decision? If the Apple App store truly delivers an experience that warrants a 30% uplift, consumers will pay for it.
How about waiting for 4-6 weeks while the CDC shipped a buggy test before we started actually ramping up testing. We could have had a trajectory like South Korea.
Visionect 32“ or for outdoor soofa.co 42“ EInk itself has a Whiteboard now
Not really.

Consensus from almost all countries is that you need to quarantine and shut down the economy in order to beat this. Those that believed that they could get around this with herd immunity are either paying a huge price (UK) or about to (Sweden).

And those politicians that took hard measures actually have been rewarded (Australia) and those that didn't punished (UK, US).
>Many companies purposely have junk bonds so they can borrow more money at a low rate, compared to investment grade bonds.

What? Conventional wisdom says that risky (junk) bonds would have higher yields (aka costs for the borrower) than safer (investment grade) bonds.
I heard of a few different options one of which is injecting/transfusing oxygen directly into the blood somehow.

I hope someone knows more about this and can expand.
do you have sources for this

>What we fundamentally got wrong is that ventilators don't work in 66% - 90% of cases
FT8 syncs everyone's clock on 15s intervals, you can also send well known sequences at the start of a transmission and search for those.