skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The exponential curve in deaths would be reflective of exponential testing/ Once again, if you have a stable X percent of people dying from Y, an exponential increase in testing for Y will give the illusion of an exponential increase in Y deaths.

As far as ICU admissions, that is an extremely subjective number, based on individual hospital policies; from my conversations with local HCPs, of two patients in the same degree of distress, the one who tests positive will have a greater likelihood of being put into a quarantined ICU for covid cases. There is no sinister reason behind this; its just that the covid patient has a much greater chance or taking a rapid turn for the worse.

Anyway, my statement (now downvoted) isn't meant to be controversial. It's just a fact. We have had an exponential increase in testing in many parts of the countries... posting the results and then having a newscaster say, "Look at the scary exponential curve" is absurd. There could be -- and most likely is -- an exponential rise in the number of cases. But, using the graphs without backing out the curve in the testing would get you an F on a freshman statistics quiz.
Decrease in economic activities = decrease in goods and services offered

I really hope you meant this as a joke. Did you mean to use an equal sign? The subset symbol might be defensible:

decrease in goods and services offered ⊆ decrease in economic activities

The forced withdrawal of labor is one type of supply-side shock. If it lasts, it could cause some inflation. One could try to compare it to the OPEC oil shock of 1973. But significant inflation could only occur if people developed an expectation that the resource will remain scarce for the long-term. In 1973, there was the wide-spread belief that oil would remain scarce for a long-time. In the present time we can ask, is the forced withdrawal of labor a permanent change to the economy? Will this last 10 years, or 20 years? Should businesses rebuild their business models around the assumption that labor will remain scarce for a generation? You'd have to believe that's true, if you wanted to compare the current forced withdrawal of labor to something like the 1973 OPEC oil shock.
Finding the worst crackpots and giving them a platform is not good journalism. Instead, Reuters should be reaching out to the >> 99% of churches that are sane and finding out what they're doing to help people being affected by the virus and recession.

... but interviewing sane people doesn't generate clicks.
> It kills 650,000 people (60,000 Americans) every single year.

That's over a ~6 month season. If you average that out it's 10k per month. We'll have 20k dead tomorrow from covid and it hasn't even peaked yet. This is with extreme lockdown measures implemented. How much worse would those numbers be if everyone was going about their business as usual the way they do the flu?
So he traded the catalyst.
100% agree. I'd be fine with 7 or 8 figure salaries for members of congress, the president, and top executives along with very strict rules on investments: treasuries with a small allocation to broad market, long only ETFs: S&P500, MSCI World, etc.
I worked in COBOL at an internship and this was around 2012. This system runs over 1000 court systems in the U.S. It's graphical too and sort of looks like vb6 on the frontend. It was a nightmare to work in even though the team was disciplined and took care of the codebase. You can't write 10k line programs with all global variables and have something that's nice to work on.
Ah you mentioned the HIBP example, although for this search space you may be able to get by with just a download of all of them. If you stick to, say, state by state sharding, you get around 30 MB of hashes for the worst case (NYC).

If you further reduce that by only providing new confirmed hashes since a timestamp, the client can track when they last downloaded the data and pull only the delta, you end up with a few MB a day, which compares quite well to say, a video call.
Personally I think it's a stupid idea to worship in general, but within the context of a believer who believes that God blesses them for good actions and loves them, perhaps they feel like God will protect them. Or if they do die, they'll be rewarded handsomely for being true believers and dying as martyrs.
> On Linux I haven't found anything nearly as good.

Xrdp on the server side works pretty well for us once you get it set up correctly.
My question is why, three months in, we don't have data from even a small RCT of Remdesivir?
Except Keryx hadn't yet applied for FDA approval of Zerenex, so the action date isn't relevant. On this day in question, they came out of the blue and announced their renal drug had surpassed expectations in a trial, so a U.S. senator buying them randomly the day before is suspect.
Why are you set on holding currencies? I think Dalio is a clown, but I do like his pithy “Cash is Trash”. There’s not really any compelling reason to hold a modern fiat currency except to satisfy liquidity requirements. Gold, Bitcoin, plain old equities, whatever, all provide some measure of relief from the inflationary treadmill.
I've only ever been involved in Vex Robotics, but I've always had a ton of respect for the FIRST competitions. Robotics is the reason I'm a software engineer now and taught me more about succeeding in engineering than any other of my life experiences so far. Couldn't recommend it enough.
A lot of that functionality is baked into the Cloud Code extension for VS Code and IntelliJ IDE's.

The UI is almost identical, too.
Sometimes I see it on terminals for instance when checking into a hotel, opening an account in a bank, booking a flight, interacting with the tax administration etc.

One important point that makes them so efficient to use is that everything can be accessed using only the keyboard.

For my personal use, I have simulated such forms using Emacs, and especially its Widget Library:

https://www.gnu.org/software/emacs/manual/html_mono/widget.h...

This is a bit similar to what you get with a SCREEN SECTION in COBOL.
The easy solution to this problem would be to either require Congressmen to publicly announce a transaction prior to effecting it, or to tax their capital gains heavily for transactions made outside of a predetermined window.
Evidently it's a faux pas to ask about :P akin to asking veterans about war stories. You may get a kick out of this: http://www.coboloncogs.org/HOME.HTM
Maybe they should take a little wisdom from Isaiah (20:26):

> Go, my people, enter your rooms and shut the doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until his wrath has passed by.
Ray Dalio: What coronavirus means for the global economy
> RDP is definitely closer to the framebuffer style rendering than sending explicit draw commands.

RDP has capability[1] to send draw commands directly.

From memory it has had this since the early days. At least I used RDP against NT4 servers over a single ISDN link and it was very smooth. I can't believe it could have done that by streaming bitmaps ala VNC.

[1]: https://docs.microsoft.com/en-us/openspecs/windows_protocols...
It is what the Catholic church did during the medieval ages for much worse plagues than we will ever face.
"That looks awesome!" * Looks at website * "$1,500!"

I'm really looking forward to this price point coming down.

EEVblog was talking about an interesting effect where LCDs can potentially become a cheaper alternative to "e-paper" [1]. An LCD panel of similar size is significantly cheaper due to products such as laptops, monitors, TVs, etc.

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldolTAeXs_w
Decentralized Privacy-Preserving Proximity Tracing: Simplified Overview [pdf]
Could use Geoworks also. Pointy clicky on even XTs, it would absolutely fly on any 486.
South Korea’s initial big spike in cases came from a single superspreader going to a religious gathering. It’s not unreasonable to highlight the potential for that here.
Yes, it's murder.
You're correct.

I too, believe that they replaced a perfectly good product with an inferior one, then had the audacity to assume the name of the original product.
Why do you think that is equivalent?
A number of reasons actually. If you're trying to create a multi-user VNC environment on a remote server the displays do not always render correctly certain applications particularly those requiring 3D components. It can be quite frustrating. Moreover not all keyboard keys are recognized in certain applications. The single user version of VNC, i.e. classic VNC, works well, however it does actually show your remote session on the server computer screen and yes, as best I can tell, the server must have a monitor.

I've had about enough of the compromises I've had to make to make my remote VNC sessions work and mostly have opted to run virtual instances of Linux on my local desktop then SSHFD mount a drive remotely but this is such a pain or can be especially in some applications some research applications which can vary results depending on operating system version and kernel libraries.

I never experienced these issues with Windows remote desktop and this is very frustrating as a Linux user.
Keryx didn't apply for FDA approval until months later.
there are plenty of dystopias worse than death
> Only 20% of America is 70,000,000 people. That's staggering.

So imagine 4x as many people getting infected with a virus that is many times as lethal.

> It may be 1% in Italy because the population of Lombardy was overwhelmingly old, and overwhelmingly sick.

And the US has other problems, such as obesity. But the mortality will be much higher wherever the virus overwhelms healthcare systems. As we've seen, that can happen very quickly.
You mean before the discovery of germs?
I would say the opposite - UHF signal can bounce from plane traces, this effect is known to be used by some UHF radio amateurs to conduct long distance (beyond the line of aight) QSOs.
If you dont have a team large enough or a business big enough to need multiple individual services than you aren't the target market. Unless you care about high availability (which small services can help you achieve) then a single server is fine.
Lay me off
The only way I found COBOL palatable was to spend the better part of a year programming in RPG III first.
Exactly right. A blanket abridgement probably isn't reasonable, especially when many businesses remain open with appropriate safeguards in place.
Which means doubling your chance of death in a year. Can you think of any activity you would willingly engage in that doubles your risk of death in a year? Most people won't even stand outside unprotected in a lightning storm - and this is much worse.
And I wonder how the pay compares.
In our case we have an IBM iSeries box, AS400 uses DB2 as its database. I am writing an application that communicates with DB2, and I perform a lot of queries directly on the database. We also do have a book on AS400 but most development is done by our old school dev. There is plans to migrate to a newer system but the cost is quite expensive.

I mostly work in .Net MVC/Core. However, connecting to db, obtaining licenses, etc have been a real pain.
Just put the entire COBOL source code on the github and let us rework it in the Java or C# and be done with this abomination.
Yes I know, that's why I indented it
Losing First Amendment rights?
"it will be spread to an even smaller group of people"

I'll point out, the Democrats are fighting hard to ensure that the rescue money is spread to a very broad section of the public. With enough public pressure, Congress can be pushed to ensure that there is more rescue money made available, and also that the money should be distributed to the broadest possible spectrum of the public. We can look at the mistakes made during 2008 and promise ourselves that this time we will get things right. We all have the moral responsibility to fight and ensure that our government helps everyone through this crisis.

Meanwhile, the Fed has an obligation to make sure that there is no absolute breakdown of the credit markets. The Fed felt it necessary to inject some money into specific markets to ensure they continue to function (the repo market, in particular). But to whatever extent that money might help a narrow section of society, Congress can offset any unfair benefits granted to participants in those markets, by ensuring that money is also given to other sections of society.
To me all you need to know about monads is that it’s a wrapper type that contains values and that implements a map function that allows you to unwrap the value, apply a function to it and wrap it again.

There’s more to it, but just understanding it that much takes you a long way.
Proof-texting sucks, but I can't help it:

The Sabbath was made for Man, not Man for the Sabbath.

Or,

And I gave them my statutes, and showed them my judgments, which if a man do, he shall even live in them.

Or,

The living God is God of the living, not the dead. You are badly mistaken!

Or,

Do not put the Lord your God to the test.

We made religions and traditions and laws and customs and rituals so that we may live by them. So live. And stay home, this time.
Then why can't all business just be open and "respect social distancing" as you claim?

I guess next you'll tell me a church is a vital business like a grocery store.
AcuCOBOL? I used AcuCOBOL at my internship back in 2009-2010 to build VB6-style forms with COBOL.
> may be 1% in Italy because the population of Lombardy was overwhelmingly old

Multiple official sources in Italy estimate that the real number of infected is 10 times the reported one. This explains the high dead rate.
Considering how the virus spreads, and how quickly, it makes perfect sense to cover and interview these people. If they were only hurting themselves, then maybe they could be ignored. But they're not. They're putting their families, and communities at risk.
Most of the actual negotiations do happen behind closed doors, and there are likely many times during their term when a congressperson would know of market-moving macroeconomic news before it's been publicly disclosed.
Does it seem like "peak innovation" has been reached if I have to disable audio devices on my motherboard the way I haven't had to since using the original Teamspeak back in the early aughts?

It's not just me, either.
Of course we could, but it would mean a sharp reduction in the values of most stocks, declines in economic output as measured by products and services bought and sold, and empowerment of regular people at the expense of elites. People would spend a lot more time creating art and spending time with friends and family and not converting raw materials into widgets.

For all those reasons, it can’t happen without some kind of revolutionary break with our current economic system.

I mean on some level you have to see past the whole work/life balance paradigm and see that really, it’s all life, and is this really how you want to live it? If we were genuinely free to make choices and not forced to fight over positional assets we would make dramatically different choices.
https://www.michael1e.com
I just put things I learn online. Nothing special.
> quickly create user interfaces by declaratively describing them

> everything can be accessed using only the keyboard

Sounds like plain old html forms.
Ask HN: Who's getting healthier in quarantine and why?
Oddly enough I suspect you’d have a much harder time getting hired for a burger flipping gig at the moment. What a strange time.
I don't think you understand.

I am not saying there are no other good options, there are literally no options.

You understand that having $1trn isn't like your TD Ameritrade account. Thought experiment: they put the money into Japanese banks. First, the JPY starts trading at 50 against the USD. Japanese industry is over. Second, Japanese banks literally cannot pay the interest on these deposits because they can't find enough people to lend to.

There aren't enough European govt bonds. They aren't enough corporate bonds (and they aren't liquid enough). Literally, there is no asset class in the world large enough for them. The only other asset class that was large enough was MBS...which some people feel skittish about since 2008 (but which Japan and China do own large amounts of...again, because there is nothing else).

Just as an example: in the 1970s the oil crisis caused a huge boom in earnings for Middle Eastern nations. Most govts there weren't financially sophisticated, they had no idea what to do with all this money so they started depositing it in US banks. These banks had no idea what to do with it either. They couldn't find enough borrowers (rates were pretty high then) so they started lending to govts in emerging markets. This trigged a decade-and-a-half long financial crisis from 1980 when these borrowers started defaulting (in 1980, Citibank was effectively bankrupt because of these loans). Again, this isn't like your Ameritrade account...when you have a lot of money, you start changing how financial markets fundamentally work. So you have to be very very careful.

Hopefully that makes it clear.
Well, a study of a German town showed 15% are already immune/have had it and a mortality rate of 0.37% vs the flu at 0.1%. [1] If you run the numbers and project that onto the US population we'd see an incremental 600K deaths this year. Unlike the flu, which mutates aggressively and recurs, we haven't seen much mutation of COVID. That means, unlike the flu which will kill 60K next year, and the following and so on, this will kill 600K once. [2]

So, my answer to your question, is an incremental 600K once. Although given those numbers are averaged and the impact is 100X worse for the elderly than the young, I question whether these would be incremental deaths at all.

In Italy the average dead its 80.5 years old with 3 underlying conditions. If COVID hadn't taken them, the flu may well have. One study showed a case fatality rate of 10% in the over-75s for H1N1.

Ideally, we'd isolate them, and let everyone else out like the Swedes.

[1] https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/09/999015/blood-tes...

[2] https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/the-coronavirus-isnt-m...
We have to be pretty careful about demographic adjustments. Does the town surveyed have any nursing homes or hospitals? If not, that'll drastically drop the death rate.

By my napkin math, you get to about a 2-fold difference which explains the 0.37% vs. 0.7% numbers. But remember the flu 0.1% also includes those highly susceptible people.
> Q: Which "cloud server"? Whose cloud server?

Apple/Google are providing the API to public health systems who would write an app that uses the API. So your city/county/state would distribute an app used by people who live there. The server would be owned by the entity that wrote the app.
They realized the plague could be transmitted by proximity. That's why most people shunned the dead and dying, except Christians.

Arguably, we are overdoing our understanding of germs. It's very unlikely a mere church service would spread covid-19. People have to be practically coughing in each others face to spread it in a social gathering.
It could be, once we reorganize the economy so the people who provided those pointless things get another job. The transition is painful.
a) It's about letting people resume their activities and keep a low R0.

b) It's not 0, so there's still room to reduce the number, even now.
It seems common to me for people to say, "Can you create a fork and make a pull request?"

But it does vary by project. The Linux kernel has tons of forks maintained by random people for random reasons. But Python not so much.
Excellent analysis of the debate. I already had an opinion on the subject, but this article helped illuminate to me why exactly I felt the way I did.

> If the function returns Err(NotAuthorized), I wouldn’t say it failed. I’d say it’s doing its job very well indeed.

I worked in Java for a couple of years. Java loves its throw/catch-style error handling. But the mindset around exceptions in that sort of language is that they're exceptional. They're bad, they're ugly, you really want to just sweep them under the rug if you can.

But you inevitably reach certain cases where your API throws an exception as a normal course of doing business - trying to open a file that doesn't exist, for example - and now exceptions become a core part of your business logic. Yet you can't really work with them like normal return values, you have to use this special, gross, control-flow-breaking syntax that's really only designed for putting out a fire, logging something, maybe cleaning up some locked resources.

> but that would be an irregularity in otherwise quite regular and well-behaving language

One of Rust's greatest strengths is that its extremely rich type system allows things that might receive special status in other languages to become "just types". I am in love with this trait (heh) of Rust. I didn't know how to articulate it before, but chipping away at that mental model would simply, above all, be deeply un-Rusty.
Or just put it on github... might find people interested in helping without a full rewrite.
I didn't make them, did you?
Apparently there's a male-clothing version too, but either as underwear or swim trunks: (same NSFW level, sans any model)
https://www.rageon.com/products/david-underwear-1?refSrc=487...
It's worse, about 3.7X worse according to the latest data, with impact massively skewed towards the older (100X more lethal to them than to a 20-40 year old).
I've not used this, but it reminds me some of the UI of early Lotus 1-2-3 (in text, no GUI). It was amazingly intuitive and easy to navigate, even without a mouse.

Modern web apps, each unique and confusing, with no reliable way to move focus around and with bizarre text entry "improvements", would have made the Admiral weep.
The issue is talked about at 7:59 in this video https://youtu.be/gAk7aX5hksU (Leading COVID-19 Expert Professor Kim Woo-joo from Korea University Guro Hospital)
Chinese government reveals draft list of animals which can be farmed for meat
Its definitely a different study, this one has nowhere near thousands of patients...
It's quite amusing to look back to iPhoneOS 1, where they doubled down on web apps without an AppStore.
Trouble is that singing in a confined space is an excellent recipe for spreading coronavirus. One early hotspot in a rural area, totally unequipped to deal with the scale of the outbreak, was Albany, GA, where someone brought the virus to a funeral service. Dougherty County (~ 90000 inhabitants) is now at 1062 cases, when surrounding counties have maybe 50 or 100 cases. Chambers County (~ 30000 citizens) in Alabama has 168 cases, traceable to a church.

Permitting the God-tempters to carry on is madness. It must be permitted for physicians to say "Fuck off and die, leave civilized society alone".
> The newspaper is a great implemantation of this, but I also

> would like to have a large e-ink display for displaying b/w

> photographs.

I'm surprised that newspapers haven't picked up on this already, they could play the "we're going green" card, cut their own overheads and lock people into a platform.

Hell, they could even elbow their way into much larger markets, such as books, note taking, pictures, emails, document signing, etc.

Why the Amazon Kindle doesn't come with a newspaper is beyond me - it seems like it would be an absolutely killer feature for getting people to use their kindles every day. Doesn't Jeff Bezos own some newspaper already anyway?