skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It's definitely possible that there are more infected then reported. The issue is Italy is testing only people who are suspected to be sick in the first place.

Most of the people who got covid, are asymptomatic thus they probably won't be tested and added to the count.

This means that 10% is taken from a population of people who are both sick and symptomatic.

Since China is testing asymptomatic people as well, they should have a more precise ratio.
It's not just the hospital system and it's not just the deaths, terrible as they are.

You don't want a significant proportion of people in other key industries - policing, food production and distribution, utilities, logistics - off sick at the same time, because those systems will start to fail.

And in many countries people in those industries are being sent home if they show any symptoms - never mind serious symptoms that require hospitalisation - because some of those jobs are public-facing.

There's an obvious danger that a relatively small number of workers who deal with the public can infect a very large number of people.
Someone provided a better link. The link was changed after my comment, and before yours.

Edit: All other discussion occurred after this point.
It's possible the paywall prevented discussion.
Is there anything that would cause adherents to accept that it is a failed theory? All of the false predictions so far apparently haven't moved the needle much. After a while it starts to seem more like Aristotelian natural philosophy rather than modern empirical science.

It would be different if this belief was pushed by a few isolated theorists, but it's the major focus of the field and they will likely ask for billions of dollars of new public investment for accelerators to continue the goose chase, with no promising leads from any of the previous experiments.
I wonder how much the death rate for other diseases will rise due to an overwhelmed heath care system.
COBOL is the perfect skillset for the grad who just studied CS in order to get a job.

I hope I don't hurt anyone's feelings saying that.
Having multiple revenue streams doesn’t help when the entire economy is screwed.

During the last recession, I was a full time software engineer, a part time fitness instructor/personal trainer and had real estate holdings.

Guess how my alternate income streams worked out when no one was spending money? I sold off all of my rental real estate (in an area that still hasn’t recovered), I stopped trying to get personal fitness classes and scaled back teaching to just a “working hobby” and doubled down in software engineering, building skills and a network.

When the company I worked for finally did collapse in late 2010, I was able to get a couple of contracts until I found a full time gig.
(widespread testing might show that a significant portion of the population already had it and were asymptomatic, thus we have herd immunity sooner than expected in places like New York and Spain/Italy)

I think this is a dangerous myth as till now infected people are infecting a lot of the people they come in contact with. Had the virus already passed through a lot of people already the spike in number of ICU cases would not be happening now nor keep increasing at the same rate
Not the OP, but also interested in similar applications of rust. The two main benefits I see are

1) Speed and memory efficiency, I've often worked in python/pandas and been frustrated by its performance. If I have a job that takes 12 hours to churn through all of the data, flipping over to rust may accelerate my iteration time to ~7.2-72 minutes.

2) Straightforward FFI bindings into other languages. Like C you can trivially bind rust code into python. Language choice can then be a bit of a two-way door back to python.
And the worse thing is that those dismissive statements aren't even true! For reference, compared to covid-19 the the 2009 swine flu

* had a smaller death rate, around 0.02%;

* was less contagious, taking longer to spread;

* was less dangerous to older people because they were already exposed to other forms of swine flu in the past.

The comparison with the regular flu is even more lopsided.
How is that different from say 1918? Centralization?
Open the https://euvsdisinfo.eu/contact-us/ page without noscript/adblock, there's a google map embedded. Couldn't see it at first as well.
Age is probably an excellent proxy for comorbidities.
Does the bread rise while it's baking in the oven? I've tried to do this no-knead recipe and the bread came out pretty flat.
Interesting to read these comments here.

I consider myself a (not-so-hardcore) minimalist, even since before this hip KonMari... "thing" that suddenly "made" a lot of people into minimalists. Yeah, for sure it did.

As everything, this is a journey, yada-yada. However, what I think is worth pointing out is that different cultural settings would adapt "minimalism" (whatever that exactly is) differently. Living in an European city, I absolutely don't need to have a car. Having this mindset in Texas would be absolutely impractical.

My journey in this led me to just asses myself and introspect; consider if certain objects would make me happy, my life easier, do I really need it, can I rather borrow it, etc. The thing what I used to call minimalism became to me just "common sense" - although apparently is not common at all (thinking of people renting storage spaces etc...)

But what really, really helped me (also mentally) is the reduced distraction that objects, services, etc caused me; I see other people handling this complex world much better than I, but I made peace with the fact that the current level of complexity of our world is not comprehensible, form an evolutionary perspective, to the human (or maybe just my) brain :-)

Anyhow, this article was painfully boring, however, the HN comments are worth to read!
Probably CGI in Lafayette hires them all
You quote communist as if it was somehow wrong to blame communism (and the associated authoritarianism) for their purported lies.
The filter is applied to entire content of a given tag and its subtags, here is the example for HN (has-text must be site-specific):

news.ycombinator.com##.itemlist .athing:not(.comtr):has-text(/corona|covid|\bsars\b|(?:epi|pan)demi|virus|death|social distanc|\bICU\b|wuhan|quarantin/i)+*
news.ycombinator.com##.itemlist .athing:not(.comtr):has-text(/corona|covid|\bsars\b|(?:epi|pan)demi|virus|death|social distanc|\bICU\b|wuhan|quarantin/i)
Easy way to remember: 32F = 0C, -40F = -40C, and the relation is linear
Are these 40Cs for the Apr contract expiration?
your concern about accessibility is valid, but this strikes me as an exaggeration. my seventy year old father never progressed past "hunt-and-peck" and continues to try to poke my laptop display as if it were an ipad, but he can damn sure figure out how to scan an important document to pdf. if you even enter a clueless search query like "how do I send fax", most of the top hits are about sending faxes with a computer.
Geometric Unity: A First Look
Exactly, and it’s not just in one state. Florida’s website was apparently designed to keep the reported unemployment rate low, by making it difficult or impossible to file.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/florida-unemployment-website_...
I'm under quarantine at an Airbnb!
This is why Marie Kondo’s approach is personal and about getting in touch with your feelings. No one is going to deny you your collection. One of my pet peeves is when someone is trying to help you get rid of “stuff you don’t use,” and they pick up an object and say, “When’s the last time you used this? I’ve never seen you use this.” You’re allowed to have things you don’t use very often, if they are the sort of things you want to have around. Yet, this permission doesn’t necessarily prevent getting rid of tons of stuff.

One thing I’ve noticed is that if I can’t find something, its utility is basically zero. If I forget I have it, even more so. Also, things cluttering up a room (visually and in terms of physical space) feel like clutter. So, ideally a collection would be organized enough (which could mean stuff is just piled in boxes, but I’m sufficiently familiar with the boxes), and stored in a suitable place.

I think there’s a lot of power in encouraging people to get rid of stuff that they actually would be happier if they got rid of, by helping them make their own authentic determination.
>> native_queued_spin_lock_slowpath path
>Which spinlock was that on? I've seen a number of different ones over time. I've definitely hit ones in various drivers, and in both the generic parts of the unix socket and tcp stacks.

Not sure yet. It was on a server with 1000 stable connections. Things were fine for a while, then suddenly system would jump to 99% on all 104 threads and native_queued_spin_lock_slowpath was indicated by perf.

Ironically we cleared it up by having sessions disconnect when they were done. Boggled the mind that increasing connection churn improved things, but it did.
Meh. If hotels can have bed bugs, they have Coronavirus, too.
Exactly.

There are also a couple of articles floating around that look at total deaths in certain regions. Unfortunately there's a lot of variability but e.g. in some areas in Italy, non-Covid-19 deaths are >4x what they were at similar times in the past, which suggests that many Covid-19-related deaths are not being identified.
I doubt there any estimates on the number of people who can fax a PDF from a phone. But I'd be surprised if it was much higher than 25%.

Most people here could probably work it out eventually, but most people are not the general population.
It wasn't "several people", it was an estimated 50% asymptomatic (based on sampling at least 5% of their population):

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/01/europe/iceland-testing-corona...
On the QC35 II you can cycle through the devices by using the power button.
The paper uses data from expatriated foreigners from mainland China, so likely a reasonable dataset.
We Stopped Arguing About Chores After Making One Spreadsheet
So, is this a cluster of clusters?
Obesity plays a big role in Covid-19 deaths. 33% of Americans are obese, and 65% are overweight. There's a possibility that more obese people take cruises--it fits their lifestyles (unlimited food availability, and they don't have to move much). So the DP data may be tempered by more obesity even though it has less extreme elderly.

Also many of the crew got infected. So the amount of viral exposure may play a big part. People who had to come in contact with dozens of infected individuals every day may be the most vulnerable. This doesn't bode well for retail grocery workers.
How can AI/ML help in solving social and environmental problems
Please share your thoughts on how we can put AI and ML to help solve problems related to society and environment. What are the bottlenecks in achieving the same.
thanks for doing this... I made something in the same veins (privacy-friendly) to avoid overspending time away from home.

https://evergreen-labs.com/index.html#features3-c

Android version has been approved; waiting for iOS AppStore review completion.

#StayHomeSaveLives
If your time machine backup volume was mounted, I would expect this behavior. Back in the old days, when storage was at a premium, you could have applications stored on a network volume, so they would be shared by everyone on the LAN. The OS would launch an application that matched the requested file type from any mounted volume.

If it wasn't mounted, I would file a bug.

Either way, not really Zoom's fault.
That's a really good question: where to stop.

Would it be possible to filter them by type? Put them all on the site, tag them, and let people choose to display particular tags or categories.
Balsamiq is one of the most simple tools to use. Many people may find drawing shapes in PowerPoint easer. The linking in Balsamiq works faster.
Show HN: PEP8Speaks – Now helping 5k open source projects write clean Python
Cheap food allows us to spend more of our time, money, and attention on issues instead of finding food. It significantly increases the number of people who can get enough food at all.

Ancient agriculture marked the birth of civilization. Modern agriculture is absolutely critical for modern civilization.
maybe someone will come along and explain why this is insensitive, but I think if a person has access to a computer (which is not a given) and a naive search query returns (relatively short/simple) step-by-step instructions on the first page of results, it's not unreasonable to expect the person to be able to do that thing.
Show HN: VoicePlace – Voice Chat based on virtual proximity
I've been working on a proof of concept project for proximity voice chatting! (and spent too much time on the UI haha).

Whether for catching up, meetings, or working, VoicePlace has all the tools you need to communicate effectively. Your volume is scaled proportionally to how close you are to people in your virtual world!

https://voice.tenxeng.com/

Feedback is very appreciated! I’m still exploring different ways to adjust volumes between people to make it even more natural. Let me know if anything is confusing or when you find bugs :)
If you click into the per-country view on Worldometers you can see their sources. For example the current numbers for USA came from nyc.gov.
So many things would break.

The statement that we cannot cheat entropy is basically a statement that the volume of an evolving quantum system (in phase space) stays constant over time, but gets more complex.

Entropy increases because our maps of that volume increase in volume, because we can't follow all the little eddies and crinulations.

So, okay. Two options for you: Maybe we can follow it, because the universe turns out to be more predictable than expected. This is basically a statement that chaos theory is wrong, and entropy isn't increasing as fast as our current understanding of the rules say.

Alternately, maybe the volume of the actual phase space is decreasing over time. This would allow the volume of our estimates to stay constant despite increasing complexity, but breaks linearity and suggests the universe might be going away.
For sure. But the question is whether vanillin is produced during wood decay.
And just as often, I'd add that it's more about systemic factors. Let me quickly tell the story of GetCalFresh: https://www.getcalfresh.org/

This was built by some friends of mine, my former colleagues at Code for America. Their basic notion was that applying for CalFresh (our version of food stamps) was too hard. So they applied classic Lean Startup techniques to solve the problem. They ran Google ads and directed assistance seekers to a simple Typeform that had barely enough information for the best case, and figured out how to get people benefits Then they iterated rapidly. You can read more of their story in this two-part article: https://leanstartup.co/part-1-from-root-hypothesis-to-functi... https://leanstartup.co/part-2-from-prototype-to-real-transac...

From the stories I've heard from them over the years, the real problem was neither incompetence nor malice. It's that doing anything involving a lot of different people is really hard. The counties actually had online application for years. But those systems were built by large government contractors, and they focused on satisfying the law and the rules. They focused on completeness, on perfection, on conformance to spec. Like so much enterprise software, user experience just ended up being a low priority. There are lots of causes for that, but it's not like any single person is to blame. Everybody's just responding to their local incentives, trying to get by.

Happily, a lot of the people in government I've met truly believe in public service. For me the moral of GetCalFresh is that almost everybody involved wanted things to be better. The trick is showing them how to make that happen in the context of the system they're in.
in theory it's possible, in practice it's not. DNA encodes the information on how to produce to proteins. Proteins can catalyze chemical reactions. But there's no straightforward to look at a nucleotide sequence and figure out what it's corresponding protein does. Nor can we design proteins with arbitrary functions.

The entire thing is so unimaginably complex. For example, for a lot proteins that are catalysts (aka enzymes) the actual catalytic part is a metal ion and the protein mostly provides scaffolding. A nucleotide sequence alone doesn't directly tell you what ion is needed. In some cases, multiple ions can fit, but only one actually results in the protein work. This the basis for how a lot of toxic metal exert their toxic effects.

It's also not as simple as a nucleotide sequence codes for a protein and that's it. Proteins fold into their final shape from the chain of amino acids that DNA encodes. Protein folding in general is a hard problem. Biological proteins may have other proteins (called chperonins) that help them fold into their proper configuration. Then proteins may also be modified after they've folded (again by other proteins). Some proteins are made up of multiple sub-units as well.
Yes, where every managed cluster exposes an isolated Kubernetes API.

It's a managed Kubernetes service that you can run anywhere you like, you can still leverage the public cloud (even on hybrid environments), but you are not tied to a specific public cloud Kubernetes managed offering.
Obesity, diabetes, heart disease: deadly factors in New Orleans’ outbreak
I call them daily, I try to build this into my routine around cooking a meal for myself or winding down for the evening. No real need for a purpose but they know "I'm there." I'm currently self-isolating alone so everyone is happy.
We could be doing better now, especially at the system level. But we're certainly doing better now than we were in the 50s.
It depends on how you define intrusive.

To me the most intrusive thing is to change things in my environment. Font size for example will change how lines wrap and scroll position. The color will mess with syntax highlighting. Etc.

Something not intrusive will not change my editor but something not important for that type of work. It doesn't mean its not distracting, it should be for this kind of thing.

Mouse movements are defenitelly intrusive in classic IDE, I don't use mouse in vscode.
This seems to be the story for pretty much every healthcare system, regardless of how it is funded/administered.

Single payer or privatized doesn't seem to make a difference. No system has been designed to respond to an unforecasted surge in volume. Neither is incentivized to do so.

If there is healthcare system that has done fairly well with regard being able to provide PPE to medical staff, it's China, which suggests that the key factor is having manufacturing capability.

This makes me think that countries shouldn't have strategic reserves of PPE, but should have strategic reserves of PPE manufacturing capacity. Having the manufacturing capacity also eliminates the risk of expired PPE once it is finally needed. The goal should be to manufacture a buffer that is constantly being used up and that you have the ability to replenish without supply chain concerns.

My understanding is that the H1N1 "crisis" in 2008 nearly bankrupted the only mask manufacturer in the US. Seems like businesses of importance to national security like this should be guaranteed completely interest-free government financing, so there is little to no risk of failure should they respond pro-actively with investments due to an anticipated epidemic/pandemic.
Hey Noah,

Yep, we are. Well, let me tell you - there's a lot of noise xD Most of the time it's about finding enough people talking about something, but not too much.
The Pandemic Has Led to a Global Drop in Air Pollution
Ya pay ya money and ya takes ya cheances.
We do rye and wheat sourdough at home, as well. Prior to the lockdowns I had no problem finding 5 pound bags of wheat flour and 3 pound bags of rye flour. Now, though... Can't even find it online.
Source? Would love to see that data!
Its not only that. Thare are number of real medical issues - spine problems, RSI, eye strain etc.
tldr: Yet another coin.

From their site:

> Do you use BitTorrent? Imagine getting paid to seed files into the network.

Yes I did imagine that and wondered what happens if I end up hosting CP or similar illegal content which wouldn't be looked upon favorably by my local authorities and I couldn't find a good answer to that, so getting paid for hosting this crap isn't on my list of top priorities.

Almost no one wants to pay anything for privacy. That's why YouTube is 100 times bigger than all the alternatives combined. But they will struggle with finding people willing to host content even more than with finding paying customers.

Next coin please.
KonMari has nothing to do with visual brand, it’s about living authentically free of things you don’t like.

It’s like the life philosophy of not spending time around friends who don’t spark joy in you. And then someone comes along and says, “I see, it’s about spending less time around people, in order to look cool!” No, that’s just your shallow, ego-based take on it. “Not mine, that’s totally what people are doing. I can tell they think they’re cooler than me, going on about how much they enjoy their ‘me’ time... It’s just another fad, of course.”
I would just like to point out the nursing home facts below:

The length of stay data were striking:

the median length of stay in a nursing home before death was 5 months

the average length of stay was longer at 14 months due to a small number of study participants who had very long lengths of stay

65% died within 1 year of nursing home admission

53% died within 6 months of nursing home admission

Source: https://www.geripal.org/2010/08/length-of-stay-in-nursing-ho...
Text mining technological capabilities for innovation discovery
Huh. I was just at the local Asian grocery. Piles of bags in the back.
How to make a simple all-sky camera
You're not the only one. I've been buying the last version without Alexa used for about a year now, and prices are going up, not down.
Instrumentation is field-specific. It really depends how bespoke your requirements are. Some places buy stuff off the shelf, others fabricate in-house.

In astronomy it's called instrumentation. Astro has relatively sane nomenclature. You have observational (looking at stuff and gathering data), theoretical (theory and simulations) and instrumentation (building stuff). Everyone in the field understands those terms. That said, instrumentation spans everything from construction, design, calibration/characterisation, etc.

In other branches, as the OP pointed out it may be "experimental" physics. Problem with that term is it's extremely vague. That's essentially anything which doesn't involve theory or simulation - lab work. That doesn't necessarily mean you actually build anything though. I was surprised at how little we got taught about instrumentation during my physics degree. Of course we had labs, but it was more about using kit than how it was built. It's almost as if it's someone else's problem, even though that's not how research actually works.

The irony of physicists sneering at engineers is that most labs employ a bunch of them who do most of the actual design and build work. They tend to be less focused on publication, but they are absolutely critical employees. The sorts of people who've spent 20-30 years working on some uber niche detector tech and know more than the people writing the papers for sure. A good chunk have physics PhDs.

When you get to big money stuff like particle accelerators and telescopes, a lot of this is contracted out. Physicists and engineers are responsible for designing the spec, but it's less tinkering in a lab with hardware. In industry it's mostly called engineering (e.g. optical, mechanical, electrical), but I've seen engineering physics too. That tends to be in companies that build very niche equipment specifically for physics research.