skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I wouldn't draw the line of writing software at "is software the product to be sold?", but rather at "does writing software gives us a true competitive advantage?".

An example: I once worked for a company that was successful in the translation space. Most freelance translators were using Word with some expensive plugins, but the company made the choice to use an app made in-house tailored to translation and that gave them a competitive advantage (faster iteration, less mistakes), so they basically replaced Word with an in-house solution. And their "product" was still the translations, not their hidden software (Of course this was back when Translation Management SaaS weren't popular).

Of course I've seen the opposite happen as well: I know a SaaS company that were in the business of selling blogs and CMS software. They had built their own blogging/CMS from scratch in the span of two years, but after six months launching, they pivoted to be a Wordpress host. Whoops, looks like customers just wanted a Wordpress anyway. They're doing ok now btw. (btw: I know that's a terrible example, since they turned out to be a service company rather than a software company).

Point is, writing a WMS or TMS would make sense for a non-software company if (and only if) it had completely novel ideas that would put them ahead of the competition. Of course that's a rare thing but still a good space to be explored!
The question isn’t whether the aftermarket cushions perform at the same level as OEM, it’s whether they have sufficient performance for ‘outoftheabyss’s needs. If they’re good enough, why pay more?
Less than 1% is still much higher than the the flu. But the flu kills tens of thousands per year in the US alone, so it's fairly common.
Email isn't universal when it comes to HIPPA.

There's a hundred different companies offering ways to exchange encrypted emails to the medical market, and they're all pretty bad.
Creating an HTTP Service in Deno
Thanks for the links!

The first one appears to be missing all the pictures and figures he refers to.

https://www.espncricinfo.com/ci/content/story/1143037.html seems to be equivalent but with the images.
Google Searches Can Help Us Find Emerging Covid-19 Outbreaks
A tool for visual analysis of mathematical knots
yes, I often have to watch my father do these things. sometimes I can't handle the frustration and give step-by-step instructions, but I try to act like a TA and have him come up with the next step. usually he can figure it out himself if given enough time, he just doesn't really believe he can.
All models are wrong, but some are completely wrong
Yeah the narrative that it will peak in the Bay Area in June makes very little sense to me. Even ppl on the front lines are saying otherwise: https://twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/1245536549757841409?s...
> it's hard to say "let's pretend that dead body died of something else"

Pretends is a strong word. How many people who died of pneumonia during the last months did die of covid-19? It's not possible to know unless you test every dead person, even those who were never hospitalised. Respiratory infections is not an uncommon cause of death with the elderly. Not every country have tested exhaustively for this, which need not be of ill intent.
Your death rate is roughly double your 10 year mortality. So if you're in your mid 30s and your risk of dying at any time over the next 10 years is 0.2%, then your risk of dying if you get Covid-19 is 0.4%.
Ask HN: What are you learning?
What are you learning right now? My last side project was recently derailed and I am curious to hear what other people are spending their time studying/learning about.
Under 1% is still far above the flu.

And note that parts of Italy have excess mortality of 1% of the population even though most of them aren't listed as Covid-19 deaths.
When I assume a reasonable lag time between a case and death, the figures I am seeing (worldometers and elsewhere) seem to be about 5%.

Then the difference between 5% and <1% would presumably be all the mild cases that aren't diagnosed.

If you look at the percentage of outcomes in the graph on worldometers' page, which I think you're getting ~20% from, it declined and then increased again; it is clearly not converging (yet) to the number people really want to know.
Common flu does not have a ~1% CFR. More like 0.1%. So those articles are (deliberately?) wrong. If you mean "less than the 1918 flu", then yes you're right.
That’s true in principle in every case where the software can be remotely updated.

However in practice, making public statements like this and breaking them would have enormous reputational costs.

Apple has put up a bigger stake on the truth of their encryption story than anyone else.
> Not leveraging / building upon an unfair advantage — Network, Contacts, Insider information, Access.

Lol. Pretty much by your definition all advantages are "unfair", but absolutely, yes, if you don't leverage your network and contacts you'll likely fail. But more importantly, I think if you think of "network and contacts" as some sort of shady underworld, you're already screwed.

Your network is mostly people you want to work with, and more importantly people who want to work with you. Heck, one major purpose of YC is to give the benefit of an amazing network to folks that otherwise wouldn't have access.
According to this radio programme[1] I was listening to at the weekend, scientists have been warning about the potential of coronaviruses to cause a pandemic for a long time, and saying we should work on general antivirals for them. Obviously that didn't happen.

[1] https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000gvd1
I've seen the term batswoman used on TV and in print.
It is fun, for a little while at least.
...there's the thing about Chicken Pox, isn't it not far more severe, and deadly, in adults?

I can remember having caught it as a kid, but if I didn't... I'd believe, I'd rather be thankful than scornful towards my parents if they had made sure I had caught it, instead of just letting things take their fateful course...

EDIT: I mean, I am glad I had it as a kid. That means I don't need to worry about it now, right? Or is that a very naive way of thinking?
I believed we were at the 1M level about 3 weeks ago. I think we're at the 50 - 100M level at this point, but we won't see those numbers, ever. We will probably see about 5-10M US infections in 3 weeks, which account for the extremely small percentage of people getting tested, and at that point (in 3 weeks) the number of actually infected people will be at least 40% of the US population. I think at that point it will also have waned quite a lot, but we're just playing catch up with the vast numbers of people that are already infected. For a lot of people there's easily hideable symptoms and people are likely going to their grocery store jobs anyway.
The Myth of the “Sixties” – Public Books
Wonder if he tried hashcat first: https://hashcat.net/hashcat/

We won’t really know the true value of bitcoin until options are widely available on retail exchanges like fidelity or at least tdameritrade using people’s normal brokerage and ira accounts.
That appears to be a letter to the editor, not a paper though.
Slow Time and Broad Horizons
You can't guarantee that for updates to the existing code either.
Reminds me of an old "Bastard Operator From Hell" story.
https://www.theregister.co.uk/2004/03/09/bofh_protecting_bod...
This legal extension is valid also in finance, I was doing production support of a fax digitising service in a financial institution around 8 years ago. AFAIK it's still there, creating a fake alert about one of the 8 lines down every week.
That doesn't really matter when the underlying problem is that your healthcare system went offline.
> But those systems were built by large government contractors, and they focused on satisfying the law and the rules. They focused on completeness, on perfection, on conformance to spec.

Gets me to thinking about 'large enterprise' stuff in general. In the situations I've been on large enterprise projects, most of them were just modifying existing processes ('streamlining', etc), but there was no huge payoff at the end. In most cases, whether the end users could use the system at all, or 10% faster, or 50% faster, no one's job was going to be significantly changed. The 'enterprise' as a whole wouldn't change all that much.

I worked on a different system - years ago - creating a web-based ordering system. Previously, the company had orders faxed or mailed in, then keyed in to a system. This process took 2-3 weeks per month to get all the orders 'in'. We put up a web system, and they had all their orders in, in electronic format, in 18 hours, with no need to bring in temp workers to key in orders. That was transformative, but... even though the new system is vital, there's not much more that can be done with it - reducing 18 hours down to, say, 9 hours, won't have any effect on the company's operations. Going from 3 weeks to 1 day was transformative - they could make different supply chain decisions, better scheduling for materials/staff/etc.

At some point, many 'enterprise' system changes may not deliver transformative benefits, just incremental, and it may be harder to get anyone to care about incremental changes.
So in 21 days the number of deaths will be 4000, while Belgium with a similar population is at almost 1500 currently.
That sounds rather unlikely given that the population in Belgium is also older than in North Carolina.
I built a server-side mouse tracking over HTTP application that used HTTP/1.1 Pipelining to increase precision [0], back when web browsers supported HTTP/1.1 Pipelining, that is.

[0] https://github.com/rkeene/webdraw
There are other nations and states doing something akin to Sweden, including within the US. We shall see which states grievously misgambled.
EU law applies to nearly 30 countries. Does that make it "international law"?
Hospital Staffing Firms Are Cutting Doctors’ Hours and Pay
if you're dealing with student loans, you should check out https://debtcollective.org/ and join the student debt strike https://strike.debtcollective.org/
I'll hopefully add jsx eventually that will help with the visual aspect of the verbosity.
But sometimes to CTO, I have seen it happening.
Try F#. Has good tooling and its possible to use the ELM arch. See https://zaid-ajaj.github.io/the-elmish-book
Thanks for sharing this. I found it really interesting to read.

Not from Sweden so I’m a little curious about some aspects.
They mention their conscription. Is this a standing conscription that everyone has to do? Or is this a structure they have in place in the event of needing a larger standing army?

Also, are pamphlets like these distributed in times of peace? Or have they only been going around now due to the Coronavirus?
Have you ever been to an actual low-income, rural area? Or low-income urban area? Seriously?

Midwest US, not even truly rural, like in the hills of Kentucky, rural, and the closest grocery store to me is 1 hour away. There are convenience stores, full of sugary snacks. No actual 'food' in you would think of it. When I worked in Tenessee, I was 3 hours from the closest grocery store. The only 'food' stores by your definition were gas stations. Full of. . . sugary, high calorie, low nutrition foods.

North corridor in St. Louis, there is an entire swath of hte city without access to grocery stores, bodegas, or whatever else fills the niche. There are dollar stores filled with ---- sugary snacks and other high calorie, low nutrition foods. There are non-profits who have the only goal of bringing in grocery stores. During the Ferguson riots/uprising (depending on your views) one of the main asks was access to grocery stores. Why do you think that was?

You are pushing a false narrative. Food deserts exist. Your hand waving type of claim is just ridiculous.
Looking at current US data I see Covid-19 deaths almost exactly 6x influenza & pneumonia deaths. And that's with flu being endemic but Covid-19 still not having done a lot to areas with little international travel. Once it's hitting those areas I expect it to be the #1 killer in the US.
are they 'translating' so you need to know COBOL or are they just creating new software to the same spec?
Using 'evts' instead of events is a good way to get people to make mistakes
So, I eat out and order takeaway a lot. The average cost for this is roughly $8-$14. I could cook, I suppose, spending an hour or two every day, and cut that cost to.. $3-$5? But just for the heck of it, say I save the whole damn cost, because I grow my own rice on the windowsill or whatever.

So, by spending an hour every day (excluding going to the store to buy ingredients, which we all know takes no time, or browsing the specialist windowsill rice growing forums, which of course also take no time) I can save $10, give or take. If I work that hour, I will make, well, it doesn't matter, but it's more than $10. So, every time I order takeaway, I save money.

I know this reasoning may not apply to everyone, but saying that it's like "lighting money on fire" is quite simplistic.

(My local currency is not $, but whatever)
Germany's CFR has been steadily rising.
The article is a very provincial US take. It makes no acknowledgement of Scandinavian or Eastern (see 'ma' in Japanese) conceptions of minimalism in lifestyle and aesthetics. Africa and India are likewise excluded.

That's very convenient if you are going to weave a narrative of privilege in a US-centric context, and I think that was the writer's aim.
Free Instagram tools you should use during pandemic
I think it again comes down to one's priviledge. If you have the possibility to isolate yourself for months and you don't have to worry about anyone else, you may be able to afford to block the news entirely.

Everyone else needs to read the news (5 minutes a day is enough), because it may contain important information. Consider how you may miss a changed bus schedule announced on a local news site with "due to coronavirus" in the title. Same thing about the local supermarket, you may get home without food while exposing yourself and your family to additional risk. You may also be fined for failing to present specific papers when you leave your home for groceries, for which the requirement may have been announced a day prior.

Reading the news is crucial for most of us during this period, we just have to do it responsibly.

Here's also a great explanation for why reading the news could make a difference for you: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22783044

> Plus I learned by the news that losing sense of smell and taste was a likely indicator of Covid-19. I got tested and discovered I was positive.
Maybe instead of full-fledged journal model, negative results should be published in a short (few pages) failure report. This addresses at least a few of the points you highlight. Skip all the cruft: here’s what we tried to do, here’s our methodology, and here’s the result.

Then these could be classified by methodology/process/chemicals/etc for people to look up before starting their research.
Pretty cool! We use Airflow heavily here at Instacart. Some of our teams use a managed service from google for deployment and orchestration https://cloud.google.com/composer/
For companies wanting a standard structure of dags and self hosting their airflow deployments, your tool would be super helpful to get started.
One suggestion - would be cool to add separate deployments for the different components of airflow - webserver, workers, scheduler etc. reading through the readme it looks like you deploy the single image to the Qubole Cloud? Often times deploying code to airflow is updating the dags files in airflows file system.
1920x1080, high as the T440p will go. At around USD 70 on eBay, I am blown backwards by the quality.
Scientists Become Stars, as Anxious Public Tunes In
Award Winning CGI Animation Watch and Share Feedback
Italy had CFR 2% before their intensive care capacity hit the wall and advanced triage kicked in. They have also very tangled households where old and young live together and they are extremely social but I think you may say the same about Chinese (perhaps somebody with better knowledge can extend from this). The same happened in Spain.

I think the CFR we see is mix of multiple things. Testing protocol (who gets testes - every possible case, only seriously sick etc), social structure (household structure, standard social behavior), demographics, chronic illnesses, health care capacity.

I have observed two patters. When there are low amount (~20%) of elderly among the infected and health care capacity is not reached then CFR can be very low <<1% (Germany 02.% in the beginning for long time, Norway 0.5%). When there the number of elderly reaches is > 50% then the CFR will be order of magnitude higher (Italy, Spain in the beginning).

When health care capacity is exceeded then CFR% will rise about 5 times (Italy, Spain).
Good point. The failure is that there is no open, interoperable way to transfer files.
There should be a rule that anyone publishing percentages is required to also publish the absolute number for their country. Based on comments I've read on social media, many people simply can't reason about percentages: they post about how the death rate is "only 1%" but are horrified when told that implies 2 million dead in the USA. One of those numbers seems very small to them while the other seems unbelievably large. They're the same!
In an alternate, alternate timeline, carrier pigeons never went extinct and stayed as the height of asynchronous communication... pgsql (now termed PigeonSQL) is built on top of an elaborate system of carrier pigeons holding and moving small scraps of paper around a large warehouse... pigeons carry messages along extraordinarily complex plexiglass tubing so that today's kids can play their latest video games... and the fax machine is nothing but carbon paper, a press, and a paper affixer with a well trained carrier pigeon standing by, the worst part of the upkeep is all the damned bird seed.

Pigeonpunk (patent pending)
Thanks, this is in line with what I feel is going on. I woke up this morning to see a lot of comments on how my experience is proof that academia is broken. Instead, it just feels like everybody is being very cautious about our results.

We don't understand why our data doesn't line up with theory and this isn't some super well funded experiment like the ones at the LHC with like a million grad. students. This is just me in the lab alone with the hundreds of subtle ways the experiment could have gone wrong or needed a slight modification to the theory. It would take us a lot of effort to distinguish an experiment gone wrong from an interesting new development and that's not always worth it. Especially for such a niche area of research like I'm in.

Also, we did publish our data. We just did it in a conference proceeding with a lot of caveats attached to it instead of in a big journal article. That's the aspect that I was complaining about, but I do understand my advisor's decision.

I have to strongly disagree that science is broken here.
What You Should Know Before You Need a Ventilator
> DP excludes the extreme elderly and sick. Remember, people in nursing care don’t go on cruse ships. Further, it’s expected to see additional deaths. So, such simplistic estimates are completely worthless from their data.

My estimate above assumes that DP's demographics & health conditions represent >=30% of a country's population and it is a lower bound so additional deaths don't affect it.

Your paragraph quoted here does not negate the logic behind the estimate since "the extreme elderly and sick" and those in nursing care can easily be included in 70% of the country's population.
Once you involve random services, you’d be as well served just emailing the pictures.

Why would you trust a free PDF conversion or fax service.
Testing may be inaccurate to up to 40% of cases. Not only because the tests are faulty (less likely), but because the virus is not present at the collection spot all the time (more likely) especially if the virus has entered but not yet multiplied enough. It is highly likely based on how this spreads that every single passenger has it right now.

Also, these ships may have a much higher death rate due simply because viral load may be much higher (another factor we are still guessing it). If the body gets a strong dose when the infection first happens, the anti-body building process may not be fast enough to fight it off.

If the body gets a very small load, it is more likely to start combating the virus, perhaps at a rate slower than replication rate, but eventually it can kill off even a major infection as long as it entered slowly.
Why any Fundamental Improvement in Software has to be a Generalisation
I’ve started getting into Go. Looks good so far. Working on a side project, which is my best way to get into something new.
Its quite the opposite IMO.

The only normal country, entire planet is experiment.
CodePen Home Coronavirus Invaders – CSS Pure Game (No JavaScript)
JavaScript. What's New in ES2020?
That's ridiculous. We're only testing people with severe symptoms and telling everyone with minor symptoms to stay home. We're not testing anyone without symptoms. And the positive test rate is 18.6%.
J. Posadas, the Trotskyist Who Believed in Intergalactic Communism
There is no gamble here. Education.
I'm still mostly joking. No offense intended.

In re: Quebec specifically, I was obliquely referencing the 1980 Quebec independence referendum (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1980_Quebec_referendum) and the laws about having French names on stores, that kind of thing. But yeah, FWIW, I agree with your assessment.
Your point is a good one, and I don’t think you should get down-voted. I’ve seen many people appeal to Shannon’s law for SINGLE channel as an argument to why things like MIMO or Starlink are limited to low amounts of bandwidth. More channels is absolutely an important way to get around the “but there’s only so much bandwidth” argument, and by increasing number of channels (and increasing size of reciever and transmitter), you absolutely can just keep increasing throughput for the same frequency bandwidth allocation.
This site also has an article wistfully praising Remdesivir, a proprietary drug with far less evidence than HCQ. I think money might be talking here.
The term you want to search for is "Natural Deduction". It's what you use if you study type theory. I don't know any lightweight introductions off the top of my head.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_deduction

The short version is that

A B
-------
C

means "If A and B, then C". Any free variables in A, B, C are universally quantified outside the "if". The reason for writing the rules in this weird format is that you can combine them in a tree:

A B
-------
C D
---------
E

This proves E, given A, B, and D, via the application of two rules.
Its always a complete trip to see UPS come banging down the dirt road avoiding potholes to my house. I have a hard time believing we get Amazon deliveries here but ya, we do. 2 day and next day etc. is always delayed by a day or 3 but that's fine.

The dryer broke a few weeks ago, I watched some YouTube videos, pulled it out on the porch, ordered some parts from Amazon and fixed it. I've replaced the hot water heater and a bunch of other things like that.

Except for a well, I'm not off grid. Power was already in the area for transmission towers. Internet is over air wireless to a tower. It's usually about 3MB which probably wouldn't do FPS games but it works fine for low quality streaming, Zoom and work. It's a little flaky and sometimes phone tethering is needed. Phone reception was very hit or miss when I first moved here like 7 years ago but it's improved a bunch.

I've thought about getting off grid with Solar and backup generator but so far there hasn't been compelling reason to do so.

It's really just a regular house. No crazy shipping container water catchment solar setup or anything. Just very remote and isolated.