skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
There were an increase in outbreaks, flu related deaths, and I believe hospitalizations around the end of the year in California when comparing 2018 to 2019.

2018
https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID/DCDC/CDPH%20Document%20...

2019
https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID/DCDC/CDPH%20Document%20...

I could be just the flu, but it could also be the start of something else circulating with the flu. Even in that case odds are that something else was not covid-19, but it could be. The only way to tell would be to test blood collected at the time for serological evidence of covid-19.
would be better if they could deliver staple food, like rice, fruits/vegetables, rather than transformed products
> Even if they didn't, there are plenty of algorithms based on lat/lon which uses numeric/float data types with simple indexes.

Not that trivial if you're not just dealing with points.
Amen, brother. A demoralized workforce is not a more productive workforce.
> The profit motive over a democratically planned economy is horrible most of the time but really becomes a mess in a crisis.

Why not have bread lines only in a crisis, when you can have them all the time instead?
They actually are doing both of those points. Everyone's heard of the $1200 checks to individuals, but they also created the Paycheck Protection Program[1] which advertises itself as a small business loan program but "will forgive loans if all employees are kept on the payroll for eight weeks and the money is used for payroll, rent, mortgage interest, or utilities." In other words, if you run a small business, Uncle Sam will cover your payroll for 2 months if you don't fire anyone.

It's the "do it yesterday" part that they're having trouble with. Major banks are saying that the government isn't forthcoming with the details they need to actually implement the lending program, so they've had to delay its launch.

[1] https://www.sba.gov/funding-programs/loans/coronavirus-relie...

[2] https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianthompson1/2020/04/03/no-sm...
Thinkpad microphones are bad regardless of being obstructed. Almost all (I'm sure there's an exception somewhere) microphones built into laptops are pretty bad, and at least half of that is due to "inside the laptop" is not a good location for a microphone.
I left voluntarily before I had something else lined up. We weren't really doing anything we were hired to do (pentesting), so I wanted something else. I got really restless and it's why I'll stay away from government contracting positions in the future unless desperately needed.

4 months ago this wasn't a completely bad idea as tech was known as a seller's market and taking time off to learn new things was normal.

It's obviously not realistic for the next year or so at least.
I don't know where these numbers come from. But given a the current 1.1% case-fatality-rate in America (even before hospitals are overwhelmed) and that more than half of the population is estimated to get it, I don't see how it'd be less than 1% * .5 * 350million = 1.75 million people, with or without lockdown.

I suspect politicians are trying to "ease into" the honest numbers, because I guess "a million" sounds like a lot to people.

It's hard to say anything with certainty, but I personally can't find any math that explains how social distancing can reduce that by more than 10%, short of a cure or vaccine being developed within 60 days.

Plasma would be the best hope of this.
Also, if you cancel any subscription (maybe just to make sure it doesn't accidentally get renewed), you get to keep however many days you have left.
Not so with their own free one year Apple TV subscription that came with the latest phones. If you cancel that, there's an alert telling you you'll lose it immediately.
Clearly tilting the playing field again and again.
I doubt there is any right/wrong answer here.

If one delivery guy gets it and is busy driving around neighborhoods asymptomatic for weeks the delivery would cause spread. If one grocer gets it and is busy running his store asymptomatic for weeks then many who visits could get it. So its just luck.

The goal with these measures is to buy time for hospitals. And they both will.

The social distancing stuff makes sure flow to the hospital is not as high as it would be if everyone was not social distancing. What matters at the end of the day is how many free beds are at the hospital and what plans they have to handle overflow. Korean hospitals had plans on how to coordinate with each other and between regions for docs/equipment etc to handle overflow/overload.
How many of those friends and family members died of causes that could be prevented through temporary social distancing? And how many years was that spread over, vs the single month we'd be looking at here with an uncontrolled coronavirus pandemic?

You're underestimating how bad things can get.
There were actually several high profile experts around the world (WHO, US Surgeon General, most European authorities, even children's programmes) that said without any qualification:

"Don't wear a mask, there is no need to wear mask if you are not sick, in fact it may even be harmful and may create a false sense of safety.".

This was a harmful and factually false message that caused and will cause unnecessarily deaths and those who propagated it should be held accountable.

see e.g. https://twitter.com/Surgeon_General/status/12447444277357813...
What makes Americans in particular so much more special than other humans? This kind of American exceptionalism is ridiculous and should have been put to bed decades ago.
It does have a bunch, but all of them are implementation problems, AFAICT. The idea is great though.
It looks like public opinion backs his judgement.

https://www.stripes.com/news/us/captain-crozier-captain-croz...
Your sequential cycle is more common known as the Shewhart cycle, Deming cycle, or PDSA:

- Plan

- Do

- Study

- Adjust

First plan an action through which you will learn something about reality, then perform that action. Study the results, and adjust your operation accordingly.

This is a sequential, iterative process, though, and sufficiently different from the original OODA concept for it to be worth not conflating them.
What do you think about the real estate?

Do you expect more properties to come on market for younger folks? Will it become cheaper to buy new property?
Primitive in what sense? Nim has a soft real-time garbage collector which doesn't sound primitive to me. Actually Nim supports more than one GC including boehm so you really have a lot of choice here.
Short answer:
No.
It really doesn't! It's GC story is pretty great, because you can choose out of several GC's, one of them being good for real-time systems: https://nim-lang.org/docs/gc.html

Recent versions also use this fancy thing: http://www.gii.upv.es/tlsf/
Of all the Zoom articles I've seen over the past few days, I think this is one of the more even-keeled and explanatory (vs the hyperbolic and emotional commentary on HN). I think a level-headed, focused technical discussion (sans incendiary language) does more to advance the conversation than snarky, emotional outbursts. From the article:

"Are we being unfair to Zoom?

I want to close by saying that many people are doing the best they can during a very hard time. This includes Zoom’s engineers, who are dealing with an unprecedented surge of users, and somehow managing to keep their service from falling over. They deserve a lot of credit for this. It seems almost unfair to criticize the company over some hypothetical security concerns right now.

But at the end of the day, this stuff is important. The goal here isn’t to score points against Zoom, it’s to make the service more secure. And in the end, that will benefit Zoom as much as it will benefit all of the rest of us."
Andy => Andrew
I don't have any issues with DirectX.
Not really, Apple has simply pivoted to focus on the much larger consumer (or prosumer) market.
Everything goes out the window if you have a government willing to do anything and everything. It's a moot point. All this end-to-end encrypted technology would just be banned as you suggest.
The number of people who die, on average, per day in the US (as of 2015) was roughly 7,500. We're less than 5 doubling periods from those being our daily numbers - i.e., for the death rate in the US to be doubled. At 3-5 days per doubling, that's less than a month away. Every day after that, until we either burn through 80% of the population or invent and distribute a vaccine, is going to be something we are unprepared for in our history as a nation. Approximately 8 doubling periods from then, or about two months away, and if we haven't gotten this under control, more people will die in one day than will die all year in a normal year. At least then, we will pretty much have hit the upper end of the curve, and at that point may well gain herd immunity. I give it about 4 more weeks until we consider hell to have officially broken loose. I expect human behavior to be less predictable at that point - or perhaps all too predictable...
> That is likely true but if this runs it’s course naturally we will see an enormous peak and then just as rapid a drop

And millions of preventable deaths, just in the US alone. You're underestimating the psychological and economic impacts that would have.

In reality we wouldn't experience such a sharp peak because people aren't stupid; many will start self-quarantining anyway as the pandemic rips through the nation. The economic disruption isn't a choice we're making; it's going to happen one way or the other with this pandemic. Don't think people are going to continue merrily going out in society when it's a guaranteed ticket to a terrible disease.
I never said that this is a good thing. I’m just saying that the suffering will not be evenly distributed.
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims In Historical Context (Visualization)
I feel like Apple has done the same thing to Safari and web-based Apple stuff, just always banging my head when developing for Safari browsers especially in a production environment when everything counts.
A Portal Special Presentation- Geometric Unity: A First Look
Testing capacity in Germany will be increased by up to 10x with pooled testing
This is a great example of Useless Use of cat and why it is bad - the full text is indeed sent through the pipe simply for head to chop n initial lines.

I've actually had "developers" go "but, readability". Yea ok.
My EB-3 Green Card interview was scheduled within 2 weeks when cancelled because of the COVID-19 closures to the immigration office. Do you think they will reschedule existing interviews or they may reconsider because of the dire economy?
That looks exactly like Seattle monorail.

https://www.seattlemonorail.com/events-and-news/this-week-at...
> Yeah. The more I learn, the more confident I am that nobody has a real plan, and it's just a fiesta of acronyms and agencies who are only pseudo-educated

I disagree. No one at the top has a real plan (probably including the political appointees at the agencies), but I'm pretty sure those agencies could put together a better one with leadership that would let them do it.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/02/opinion/jared-kushner-cor...
> The solution is so simple: give people money directly, give money directly to businesses with the promise that they will not fire anyone, and do it yesterday.

The CARES act did do this, and it did it yesterday.
Python is much more useful to know than Haskell...
I am not deep expert, but my impression is that Postgres MVCC is kinda Copy on Write approach already (no in place updates, but you write new page for each update), so it should be perfect marriage..
Okay. I also have a friend. He is 35yo and has COVID and his blood oxygen saturation is at 80%. The UCLA hospitals refuse to admit him. They’re already over capacity.
4k monitors have been $350 or less since 2015. I know because I got one then. There's far more 4k screens than 1440p (wrongly called 2k by some people).
It's easy to work this out for yourself. Take any list of the most popular zones --- the Moz 500 is the simplest to download --- and then write a simple shell loop to "host -t ds" each of them. You'll see in a minute or so that it is as I say it is. With the exceptions of Cloud Flare, which sells DNSSEC services, and Paypal (but none of Paypal's subsidiaries like Venmo), nobody in the technology industry uses DNSSEC. For that matter, none of the major banks do, either. Look to any industry vertical where companies tend to have significant security teams: none of them use DNSSEC. DNSSEC is virtually absent among major domains on the Internet.

This despite the fact that DNSSEC has been under development for twenty five years, with repeated aggressive pushes for deployment.

Indeed, browsers have experimented with DNSSEC support... and then removed DNSSEC support from their builds when they discovered it was unworkable.
Haha ! Nice, thanks !
Before diversity and inclusion drives skewed hiring toward genitals and skin color as opposed to merit.

Before we started throwing billions of dollars at our worst performers, and lowering standards across all school districts, in a failed attempt to bring our lowest up, at the measurable cost of bringing our top performers down.

What proportion of the population do you think actually contributes to the progression of society? Scientists, engineers, competent politicians, doctors, policymakers...maybe the top 10% are capable of being and carrying out the orders of visionaries? In the West we've gradually reallocated our resources towards the needy, and now we reap the reward of decades of neglect for our top performers as we graduate 18 year old "adults" who are barely equipped to even live alone. Not to mention how pitifully we are outcompeted on the world stage - have you been to a college career fair lately? It says something about our society that the majority of students, at top tier schools, are foreigners.

This is what happens when "nationalism" and "individualism" are turned into dirty words by decades of propaganda. Either this war on corona turns things around and brings us out desperately needed Pattons and Churchills, or this truly is the beginning of the end of the American Empire.
That is because CA went "stay at home" first and was able to avert the disaster that is NYC. Open everything and we are fucked.
Bridgewater’s Main Hedge Fund Loses About 20% in First Quarter
This crisis is revealing a lot of things we could be doing during normal times.

Releasing unconvicted people from crowded jails while they await trial. Why were they locked up to begin with?

Allowing restaurants to offer sealed alcoholic beverages as take-out or delivery. Why was this not allowed already?

Offering all COVID-19 treatment and testing free of charge. Why not do this with EVERY health problem, like cancer or diabetes?

Allowing large bottles of hand sanitizer in your carry-on when flying. Why were we banning liquids in the first place, if the exception to the rules is a flammable liquid!?
I was looking at this SBA loan forgiveness plan that's a part of the relief / recovery / bailout bill. I actually think right now is an incredible time to launch a startup, and I want to hire a few out of work software engineers to work with me.

My plan was to incorporate, take out a loan, and pay payroll with the entirety of it. Unfortunately it looks like the bill requires you to have been in business before February 15th with verifiable employees on payroll.

I'm really miffed, because putting unemployed employees on payroll at a new company isn't any worse than keeping existing employees on payroll at a business that doesn't have customers. In fact, if a new company is more productive and is working on solving problems that arise because of this virus, it seems more productive to solve the new problems than to keep the unviable businesses running.

I'll have to figure something else out...
> All the groceries are currently open.

That's a talking point.

Chinatown grocery stores are mostly closed in both Manhattan and Queens. Patels is closed everywhere.

Edit: Downvotes don't protect from reality

https://www.patelbros.com/coronavirus
No one knows for certain but they should just reschedule once they reopen.
My position is based on the unpredictability of exponential phenomena and the fact that the healthcare system in rural areas has been in the process of being hollowed out for quite some time. The incubation period of COVID-19 (estimated median 6 days last I checked?), coupled with the fact that most people who carry it are asymptomatic means that it's only a matter of time before it hits rural areas whose capacity is like, what? 0.5 ICU beds per county? If you need a ventilator out there you're gonna fucking die.
Has Jitsi received any serious security scrutiny? Are they also making rookie mistakes?
> As long as you believe that you will never ever under any circumstance send the same video chunk twice under the same key

Yes, that is the question here, and it's a really fascinating one. How often do you send two identical 128-bit chunks in practice? How much does it depend on the quality of your webcam and your lighting? If the video is grainy and splotchy in the background, you're getting a lot of randomness in your data. How much does that help? Any at all? Or are you still totally screwed?

> even if it is, why chance it when you can use CTR mode and a random nonce, with practically zero overhead?

1000 times this. Crypto code should be like the safety components in a car or an airplane. You wouldn't buy a car with seatbelts or brakes that work 90% or even 95% of the time. In the same way, you shouldn't write network code that probably doesn't let an adversary figure out everything you're sending.
Those will also be the locations with less preparedness. How many small towns even have ICUs?
Or as Deming liked to say, "Don't just do something -- stand there!"
> The true choice here is between a lot of deaths and a couple months of staying at home and fewer deaths but years of staying at home.

Where did the years part come from?
And if not serial.. embarrassingly parallel
The bouncing egg. A classic experiment for kids
There’s a HUGE difference in the number of people who eat gluten-free and those who medically require such a diet. This fad will come and go just as many before it have.
People already complain about the price and battery life of current phones. I can’t imagine either of those things making either situation better.
Do you have any guess on when premium processing would be brought back?
Hey Peter, thanks for taking the time.

With the current shutdown of "non-essential" travel between Canada and the US, would it still be possible to obtain a new TN status at the POE at the current time?
It doesn't matter that your MTA could, in theory, do fully recursive signature-validating resolutions, because none of the domains you'll be looking at are signed.
Hey Peter, as of about two months ago, I have an approved I-140 and a pending I-485. I also just last week completed an H-1 transfer valid for 2 years. I'm a California resident.

With everything going on:

(1) If I went to stay with my family in Canada (I am a Canadian citizen) until this blows over, would I, as things stand today, be allowed to return to the US?

(2) Given office closures and general craziness, is there anything that would limit AC-21 time accrual?

Thanks for your time, Peter!
You're getting downvoted, but while it may not be pretty to think about, these other factors are important to consider. Even the expected years of life lost (which are factors found in medical literature). Unfortunately COVID-19 does affect younger people to a degree (40-50's) who could live healthy productive lives for decades, so it's not going to be pretty numbers.

Still "Flattening the curve" seems to be the only thing epidemiologists are focusing on, but ignoring the death toll from unemployment, domestic abuse, depression/suicide, and others. Not to mention how many people will die from exposure to being evicted due to being unable to pay rent or hunger from buying groceries. Or the long term effects of depressions or social anxiety from being locked down, etc. These are real factors.

The CDC's lack of modeling of these factors is disconcerting, if not bordering on _incompetence_. I've been searching for models (preferably using STAN or similar to calculate adjusted statistical likelihoods) to estimate holistic effect of lockdowns on overall death rates adjusted for those factors. So far I haven't found anything, or very limited research.

It sucks, but as a society, we have to be able to critically analyze the situation, including the tough factors of triage at a societal level.
Beware R0 Variance
It's definitely worth having someone evaluate because there can be errors.
Hi Peter,

I run callenq.com, a company that helps tax attorneys skip the IRS telephone hold time when they call the IRS.

Is there a market for this type of service for immigration attorneys?

Are the hold times long and do you need to call several times a week?

USCIS Call Center Agent (800-375-5283)
National Visa Center Officer (603-334-0700)
I'm just a layman, but my understanding of vaccine development is that the timeline has little to do with how long it takes to actually research, make or distribute the thing (although that's certainly part of it).

The reason you need to wait so long is to prove its efficacy. By definition, you make a vaccine to give to everyone who is healthy and does not have the virus. So the absolute worst possible outcome would be to inject 95% of the population with a vaccine and discover in 6 months that it causes some horrible side effect.
Origin of the Cookie Monster (1995)
23+ million Americans

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Food_desert
DoorDash starts delivering toilet paper and other groceries
It might be possible write a small proxy in Rust, that would run next to a PG instance, accepted connections using `async` and then forwarded queries using some limited size connection pool.
Seems like it'll be good for the foreign workers. Solidarity with workers worldwide.
That's just modified variolation with a flu virus. We don't use that method anymore for many good reasons. Controlling a viral infection is nearly impossible, let alone literally billions of people, all at once.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variolation
If only people had this type of mindset and attitude _before_ they selected a communications platform.
Not me, but since it's been linked here a bunch and is related to the tech industry, everyone at The Outline was laid off today and is being discussed here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22769301
Some say that scaling is a edge case. what say you?
In some projects the MERGE helped me a lot and in my previous job, all of our integration scripts were merge based. You just learn to avoid the pitfalls, but you're right that it does have some: https://www.mssqltips.com/sqlservertip/3074/use-caution-with...

I'm sure if postgres had it, it wouldn't have had most of those problems.
You mean GNU Guile?
Yeah, you're right. Mostly I was trying to spur conversation and perhaps I wasn't giving enough context to do so.

What we're all doing globally right now is only a small step in the right direction for tackling climate change. We could stay on this path right now, and continue to work to restrict ourselves and reimagine what an economy could look like and end up with some really impactful change. But we don't seem to be interested in doing any of that; instead we're more interested in how to get back to commuting to work, buying more stuff, getting supply chains back in order, manufacturing cars, extracting cobalt from the earth and on and on.
Saying Americans is possibly too broad because from the looks of it, there really are some attempts to walk a different route. The same is with some nations.

Let’s see, for example, if the Texas more relaxed approach performs better than California. The nuances between approaches may blossom into a wider difference. It’s not obvious that Americans are all sailing in the same boat.
That is a false dichotomy and you know it.
Every one except SK Israel and perhaps Germany.