skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Do you even read these papers before posting? Here's what the Syria paper actually concludes:

> In light of the above we can now return to our main questions: is there clear and reliable evidence that climate change-related drought in Syria was a contributory factor in the onset of the country's civil war?; and, if and where yes, was it as significant a contributory factor as is claimed in the existing academic and expert literature? On each step of the claimed causal chain, our answers are no. We find that there is no clear and reliable evidence that anthropogenic climate change was a factor in northeast Syria's 2006/07–2008/09 drought; we find that, while the 2006/07–2008/09 drought in northeast Syria will have contributed to migration, this migration was not on the scale claimed in the existing literature, and was, in all probability, more caused by economic liberalisation than drought; and we find that there is no clear and reliable evidence that drought-related migration was a contributory factor in civil war onset. In our assessment, there is thus no good evidence to conclude that global climate change-related drought in Syria was a contributory causal factor in the country's civil war.
European doctors running low on drugs needed to treat Covid-19 patients
UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson shook hands with everyone and now he's in ICU
I would love to see a project that does fear sentiment analysis of news media sources.

I go to NY Times or Fox news and it's seems like so much fear based reporting.

I go to NPR or BBC and it seems much more level headed.

Would love to have an objective measurement of fear based sentiment analysis of news sources.
I see a lot of CYA, this only works to a certain point depending on your manager his/her people skills.
There are basically two paths to stay financially safe, do whatever it takes to keep working there by kissing ass or whatever. Or get a nice exit check, for this talk to a lawyer. His behaviour may be against the law if proven and may enable that check.
Photos of parked airplanes at Vienna Airport VIE due to Covid
I think that the video linked is unnecessarily partisan. Lots of politicians and media of all mainstream ideologies got this wrong. At the same time, plenty of woke progressives were telling us that the US/China travel ban was racist and unnecessary on Jan 31, and are now saying that it wasnt done soon enough. Plenty of conservative-leaning news outlets and politicians were sounding the alarm bells since January as well. Lets be honest, lots of public figures screwed this up, and it does your credibility no good to engage in partisan blame games instead of either just shutting up or working towards realistic solutions that keep us safe and prosperous at the same time as respecting our constitutional freedoms (in the USA). The world deserves better.
This is an entirely self-serving PR move. Anyone at Tesla knows that getting government approval on any sort of ventilator they construct will require at least 6 months, probably 12, of rigorous testing. This isn't doing anything to truly solve this crisis.

Partnering or giving resources to companies that already have approved ventilator designs would by far be more helpful.
its your train of thought that's the problem.

that's why health officials were telling us not to use masks, not just because supply is short and they need them for health workers but probably more so because:

- viral load is important and that's far too complicated for people to understand, just talk about it in binary sick/not sick.

- having better protection incentivizes people taking more risk, better not do that

- people might not comprehend that masks are imperfect and can fail, better just to tell them they don't work.

health is important, and the way you learn about things is by talking about them. treating it like a special scary topic that only experts should be able to talk about not only leads to disinformation, it leads to lack of trust.
Apple’s Punishment for Daring to Get Your Screen Repaired by Unauthorised Shop
Just a friendly reminder that the consensus estimates about climate change have been reasonably accurate. Not perfect but decent enough as decision making tools. See for example the IPCC report from 1990:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPCC_First_Assessment_Report

There have certainly been very dramatic (all overly well reported) warnings representing a minority of researchers which have not been accurate. These should not invalidate the whole lot of predictions.
I think I'll do that! I just need to clean up, run em through resgen and probably zip them up to keep the clutter down.

Actually looks like I already have about 32k of them zipped from one of my mirror runs. Roughly 195GB, with most of it being CS 1.5 maps. I'll get that upload started. I've got somewhere around 1TB total though that I need to eventually get uploaded.
I installed this but nothing was imported from the old browser, no bookmarks, no addons.
And you need a rigorous process to insure they can be actually manufactured to specifications at scale. Which is why medical devices require so many layers of approval.
Probabbly don't really know what I am talking about, since only ever used async IO through boost.asio:

Isn't it a bit crazy that there are so many different ways of doing async IO on linux alone ? You would think that this is a more or less solved problem by now.
There have been thousands of predictions, but only a subset of them have consensus. The IPCC is that consensus across varying stakeholders. It's looking like the consensus has been too conservative with it's predictions and that's the scary part.
... this is totally reasonable for an employer to do. For example, sales person at a company. Probably sent/received many emails that are relevant to sales at the company, rather than using a mailing list (I see this a lot). After the sales person leaves the company, the company needs to maintain relationship with the people who worked with the sales person. Keeping the old email open rather than dropping them on the floor makes sense (otherwise your customers will hate you).
This "everyone is bad" is really off-the-mark.

If, in a fast moving situation, someone tells you something based on the best information available at the time coming from leading experts, which later turns out to be wrong, that's unfortunate.

If someone ignores the leadings experts and the best information available at the time and instead tells you what they want you to believe for their own political advantage, that's despicable.

Drawing those as equivalent just doesn't make sense. No one is perfect anywhere on the spectrum, and you can find people who are wrong, stupid, or disingenuous everywhere. But on one side we have most organizations generally trying to get it right for the most part, and on the other, we have organizations trying their best to con people, regardless of the consequences.
the two outlets are absolutely equal when it comes to making half of the americans view the other half as raging lunatics. it is basically this https://youtu.be/aFQFB5YpDZE
Requirements:

Mac Plus or higher
5.5MB of hard disk space
1.5MB of RAM
HyperCard 2.0
It's an interesting point. The flu is "baked in" to our healthcare systems. Just like cancer and heart disease and a thousand other ailments that we can accommodate almost all of the time. Maybe the end game of this pandemic will be expanding our healthcare systems to accommodate the annual surge of COVID-19 cases?

But in the meantime, we're stuck with a pandemic that is not baked in, so while it may be "less bad" in some ways than the flu, it is catastrophically worse because no healthcare systems are prepared to deal with it.
When's the last time the annual flu caused upwards of 50-80% ICU occupancy rates in several countries simultaneously?

That's the difference between biology and medicine.
The memes are doing fine ;)
That is good to hear, but I am more worried about google suspending my account and ignoring all appeals for automated reasons.

To be fair, this has not happened to me yet (with gmail) or anyone I personally know, but it remains a concern for me due to the high impact such an event could have on my life.

Is there any bulletproof way that a non-US citizen could get their account reinstated or at least recover associated accounts?
We've edited it now. Thanks!
I think "may not survive" is setting the wrong tone here since the odds of him surviving are good.
For a while now, friends and family have been relying on me for restaurant recommendations whenever they travel. Foursquare is my starting place and I then use Infatuation and Yelp written reviews (not their star ratings) to narrow things down.
And this is why Americans need to DEMAND their "Right to Privacy" and "Right to Repair" from their democratically elected government, instead of expecting profit seeking corporations to do the "right" thing!
> The quote's from a newspaper.

Is the quote a fabrication?

> However, I did your job (again) digging into that man's actual predictions, and he was wrong not once.

How magnanimous of you. Care to provide a link since you already did the work?

Also, you've failed to provide a clarification for what you mean by "modern" scientist.

You put the sole blame for these false predictions in the lap of journalists if you want, but is it still a problem? If not, what changed? And if the bright folks at NYT and National Geographic can get it so wrong, what hope do the rest of us have?
> but here he is again

what do you mean by this?
The 30% survival rate means that 30% of patients are saved by ventilators. People who aren't dying without a ventilator aren't put on a ventilator, which is an extremely invasive medical procedure.
It's difficult to see how gitea is anything other than a copyright infringement of GitHub.

Compare:

- https://codeberg.org/n0mad/vulkan-tests

- https://try.gitea.io/egrteg/LibreLingo

- https://github.com/kantord/LibreLingo
all the fax and COBOL talk today, this throwback comic has come up a few times:

In the 24th century... https://abstrusegoose.com/323
It's really the same problem. As soon as they suspect your account could be compromised, they can't trust your authentication methods anymore and the risk calculation favors losing your business over reactivating your account and then having fraud losses on it. It's a math problem, not a customer service problem.

Granted it's obviously bullshit if they try to keep the money when your account had a positive balance.
Correct. If you are playing battleship they will know you have your destroyer parked at E2.

Game over.
It is true that Obama was not yet in the senate for the original Iraq war vote, so we can only speculate what his vote would have been.

Support for the war among his peer moderate Democrats in the senate was near unanimous: Joe Lieberman, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton and John Kerry all voted in favor. It's not unfair to assume he would have as well.
https://progressive.org/op-eds/clinton-s-iraq-war-vote-still...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2013/09/...

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/feb/17/joe-bi...

http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/joe-lieberman-iraq-war

His withdrawal of forces from Iraq for which many give him credit was on the schedule of the Status of Forces Agreement negotiated by the Bush Administration before he took office. It would likely have happened the same under a McCain administration.

He bears 100% of the responsibility for the shit-show that happened in Libya.

The US policies that prolonged and worsened the Syrian civil war were birthed under his watch as well. The "we're fighting ISIS" while simultaneously arming anti-government Al-Qaeda-aligned groups was a recipe for disaster.

Obama "surged" to double US troop levels in Afghanistan shortly after taking office. Also from this era: The drone assassination program. Lots of extra killing, to no lasting effect.

https://www.wired.com/2012/09/surge-report-card/

https://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2017-01-17/oba...

Let's not pretend that Obama was in any way but rhetorically anti-war.
Completely agree. The data backs you up as far as infections/fatalities.

The rational data is: under 60 with no pre-existing conditions..you're basically immune.

This whole thing appears to be a massive fear campaign.

But if you bring up ANYTHING counter to the prevailing narrative, you're viciously attacked by people. VICIOUSLY. Like you're some sort of murdering child killer.

No one is interested in discussion or thinking about this. They just repeat the narrative.

The people I've discussed this with... it's all mantric repetitions of 'flatten the curve' of 'social distancing saves lives' and people have not looked at the data or anything to back this up!

I feel like the average person could be told to wear a dog cone to 'stop covid' and we would have a population of people walking around with dog cones around their necks.

It's actually disappointing and embarrassing.
I went to grad school with the author, and I assure you that the title reflects his sense of humor, not over-selling.
VirtualOffice is a branded Zoom background builder, check the beta now for free
One more to the pile. My method:

1) Write down a clear S.M.A.R.T. goal or thing you want to do on a piece of paper (OKR style), a clear definition of why you are trying to do the thing, and when you should have it accomplished by.

2) On a separate piece of paper, define your expectations around how chasing that thing will feel and what you expect to happen when you accomplish it

3) Put the second piece of paper about expectations in a paper shredder - destroy it

4) Create a google doc (or whatever) with large bold letters at the top: My goal is to do X by Z because Y. Make accessing this doc as low friction as possible (a bookmark icon on home screen, a bookmark in browser, etc)

5) Create a consistent schedule (1 hour every other day?) and use the doc to track. Treat this as your personal standup doc: make entries on the disciplined timeline, and plot out next steps at the end of each entry. Review weekly (Sunday night?), take notes on your progress, etc.

6) Finally, at the target date, reflect on where you are, and celebrate anything and everything that happened as a result of your feeling inspired by an idea or goal and making tangible progress in your life because of it. It's beautiful.

For the progress doc, viewing your progress makes it harder to give up on - think of it like “We’ve gone 100 days without a workplace accident” or “I haven’t had a X in the last 50 days” - you build up momentum and commitment to seeing something through for the sake of not letting down the older version of yourself i.e. You make quitting an increasingly bigger deal.

Regarding expectations - of course, I'm joking about steps 2 and 3. For me, living life chasing the vision for something gets in the way of actually getting after it, because by definition it's dreamy, and each step you take closer that doesn’t resonate with the dream is another kick in the pants. Soon, you give up and move on because the dream (expectation) is significantly different from the actual experiences you have while taking steps towards it.

For goal setting, I cannot stress the importance of setting S.M.A.R.T. goals and detaching from the dreamy stuff. If the vision is truly powerful and meaningful to you, it will be kept alive and supported by material success on the smaller milestones that you accomplish.
The video appears that it was put together by the folks at The Daily Show. You really think they went looking for clips from the "other side?"
Without any form of national ID it's a really hard problem to solve. As someone who runs my own login system, I require phone numbers to prevent botting. Obviously you can make a bot through Twilio etc, but it becomes economically nonviable to mount attacks through bot registration, which is my goal.
The low 200k fatality estimate probably factors in the that the curve is flattening.

The current estimate is that 300k people are infected in the US. If the number of people infected by Covid-19 doubles every week, then in 10 weeks there will be 300 million infected in the US. Assuming 1% mortality puts you at 3 million dead.
wait, if i read that rigth it will just show a notification. what's wrong with that?

I hate and never buy apple devices for many reasons, but telling me the device was tampered with, with no side effect (heck, they used to brick devices before for even less than replacing the display)... but I mean, if they really cared about the users they would also show the new serial, hash, whatever they track so that the user can keep the same tampering protection after they got one replacement
Different things, strange comparison. Taking rights away from a specific group vs providing all people with something.
The immediate motivation for Spain’s UBI appears to be easing people’s financial suffering. And as governments are spending gigantic sums to bail out industries, what harm can there be in providing people with direct funds?!
If people don’t want it in the long term, they certainly will be able to use democratic means to get rid of it again.
There really isn’t anything totalitarian here.
Is it even ethical to shop on Amazon for non-essentials these days? There are big concerns amid worker safety.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/05/technology/coronavirus-am...
There are many reasons for long testing on medical supplies. While there might be some laxing of them for a "hail mary pass" in the situation we are currently in, we shouldn't claim that equipment shouldn't have validation.
Jake, I remember we chatted a bit way back when you were still at Factual. Great to see them get to this point. Hope you've been well!
Zoom execs dumped millions in company stock before shit hit the fan
The thing missing here is that you're looking at deaths without looking at number of cases of each. The flu causes the number of deaths it does because it infects tens of millions of people a year[0]. The death rate is an order of magnitude lower than with COVID-19 across every single age bracket. [2]

So when people say things like:

> "I'm not worried about getting this illness"

They are likely not considering that even the younger are taking as much as a 1% risk of their life, which is incredibly high. Depending on factors like the load on the medical community at the time and others, it can get as high as 5% or more quite easily as we have seen around the world. Currently using only napkin math from the numbers here[1], the death rate is currently at just under 4% over all age groups in the US.

Additionally, it is not considering the danger they are putting others in by getting it. With the flu at a death rate of 0.2% or lower, causing deaths by infecting people is a very small risk. Passing it to one person here significantly ups the chances of you causing someone else to die.

Finally, flu deaths almost exclusively happen in the immunocompromised and elderly, while COVID-19 affects younger people a LOT more.[2]

[0] https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/keyfacts.htm

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-c...

[2] https://i.insider.com/5e81f6460c2a6261b1771b05?width=600&for...
A vaccine has already been developed for cats. It turned out vaccinated cats suffer greater from the nCov due to increased reaction from the immune system.
As someone who tends to do the same, I don't think this is a good description of what is happening. The way I view it is that any project has the same progression of initial excitement, frenzied work and determination, discovery of the real scope, the descent into the Valley of Despair as you continue to wrestle with the problem and then the fork in the road where you either give up and abandon the work or you persevere through the Dark Forest of Unknowns where your progress is often measured in inches until you climb the Hill of Competency where you can again make meaningful gains and catch a second wind until you enter the Swamp of Drudgery where you again must slog your way through until you reach the base of Mount Perfection where you can finally ship it.
It's hard to accept, but it might be a Kobayashi Maru. It could be that smart or dumb, the end result would be about the same.
This seems to undermine the point at the end of the GP comment:

> Remember that Yes Minister is a manual for politicians, not a comedy.

It seems like the deep state was (more) right on this one and the politicians are/were the ones trying to downplay the danger and generally mislead.
I can't help but wonder if these were planned sales which they barely touch on until the end. Should'n't this be explicitly determined prior to running the article?
But given the severity and high death rate of flu, shouldn't it also have that high level of hospitalization, or perhaps covid shouldn't have such a high rate?

It's unclear at this team what purpose super-intensive hospitalization for covid serves. That's something we're only going to understand in time.

(note, I did my training at a hospital medical center and my biology work was health-oriented).
There has been a lot written on this in the last week. The consensus is that Trump has received a historically tiny increase in approval rating when compared to other presidents in moments of crisis, and that this bump has all but disappeared already. Trump's post inauguration "bump" was similarly brief and mild.
You may be a biologist, but you are definitely not an epidemiologist.

It is at least 10x more lethal and much more contagious. We will bear the brunt of it in the US because we didn't take it seriously for so long. The only reason we aren't at 2,000+ deaths per day in the US is because now we are taking it seriously. That death rate sustained for a typical flu season (4 months) would be 240,000 deaths. This is serious. If we never took it seriously the death toll would be well over a million. And that is just in the US. Downplaying the severity of it will get people killed.

Yes we should take flu more seriously. But that doesn't make this not so bad.
Not to take anything away from the greater point, but I like that this is basically Paul Graham's way of making a YouTube comment.
How do you think lit-html templates would fall apart? There's nothing magic about them. They has as defined semantics as HTML or JavaScript - both of which are languages written as strings.

We use lit-html in thousands of components at Google with very strict type-checking and linting. You simply aren't allowed to miss an end tag, or bind to a non-existent attribute or property. The performance and code size are excellent, beating every major framework including those using compilers. The "compiler" we use is simply the HTML <template> element and a tree-walk. It's very, very fast and very, very small.
David Friedman is an economist at Santa Clara University.

The argument relates not to climate science itself, but to the methodology on study measuring the consensus of climate scientists. It's pretty easy to follow.
Ask HN: How are you creatively helping the Covid-19 effort?
I’m a programmer in California, and I’m looking for ideas to help the COVID-19 effort in a more creative way than contributing money. That is a great option of course, but watching people make masks at home and local businesses repurpose their existing equipment to aid healthcare workers had me wondering if there was some other way in which I could be helping as well.

So I’d love to hear about any ideas you might have, or things you’re already doing, to help the world get through this pandemic.
I wish and hope just pausing the economy is as easy as you say. I'm worried though, as the last decades the Economy appears to be this unpredictable daemon that affects everything and everyone but no one knows how to please it.
Long live Gowalla!

But seriously, Foursquare pivoted away from consumers and went down the data broker path many, many years ago. 2011 maybe?

As much as I despise both of these companies and their business models, the merger makes a ton of sense.