skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
After you run out of ventilators the sky is the limit when it comes to deaths.

When you still have ventilators, only a few very elderly/unlucky die...

So a country with 10,000 cases and 1,000 ventilators can have 20 deaths, and another with 10,000 cases and 500 ventilators might have 400 -- if of the 10,000 cases in both 520 need ventilator... (and some die, whether with ventilator or not, but many wouldn't if they had ICU/ventilator treatment).
There is a fairly clear definition. You either support the supply-side, and hope their prosperity ‘trickles down’ to the proletariat, or you support the demand side, and let supply meet the needs.
Omg, what kind of a take is that. Just try to enjoy some simple things in life dude.
it's bad science to pick out one small sample of the most affected town (especially when arguably they could have considered the entirety of deaths) and extrapolating that "death rate is 4 times" . There is no statistical testing here, no confidence intervals, nothing. The 4x number is unsubstantiated. The hypothesis that the numbers are misreported seems to be true, but statistical tests are missing.
Please don't post in the flamewar style to HN. It doesn't help, and you can make your substantive points without it.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
There's a few pure python drivers. Check https://wiki.postgresql.org/wiki/Python and https://wiki.python.org/moin/PostgreSQL

E.g. pg8000 looks like it's being maintained?
I wonder what the net neutrality people think?
>Maybe Ender went too far, but he did act in self-defense

the book is literally about a kid committing genocide and the reasons why he should feel okay about it (ie a pretext). or did you not read it through to the end?
i learn from Dune to never ever trust blindly any kind of leaders.

Great leaders should be come with a warning on attach to their heads.
Why do you think it was a secret to anyone? Any amateur astronomer can figure it out from mirror size and orbital parameters.

A 1968 NASA publication (sold for $3.00) discusses various limitations, concluding: "The telescope objective for best resolution, as viewed from a satellite at an altitude of 320 kilometers, requires a diameter of about 1.6 meters to resolve a 12-centimeter radius" https://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/196900...

That approximately 10 cm resolution has always been a resonable guess of the capabilities of best spy satellites. Trump's tweet surprised no-one. It confirmed what has always been thought to be true.
Nembro should have had - under normal conditions - about 35 deaths. 158 people were registered dead this year by the municipal offices. That is 123 more than the average.

In the hypothesis - not at all remote - that all citizens of Nembro have caught the virus (with many asymptomatic, therefore), 158 deaths would equate to a lethality rate of 1%. That is precisely the expected and measured lethality rate on the Diamond Princess cruise ship

The author appears to be using the total dead (158) rather than the excess dead (123) for this calculation. That suggests that rather than the 1% "exact match", the lethality rate should be 0.78%.
"The establishment is bullshit and full of wrongness and waste" is just obviously true, but "here are some features of the status quo that might explain its fitness for purpose" is unsubstantiated nonsense requiring documentation.

I don't know why this pattern makes my blood boil, but it does.
Except the high estimate for H1N1 in 2009 from the CDC is 575,000 deaths worldwide.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_swine_flu_pandemic
Is anybody familiar with the authors or the website? These findings are shocking if true, but how do we verify their numbers or decide if the source is reliable?
Could people familiar with the "Cost Management and Billing" functionality on both Azure and AWS, share here relevant coherent thoughts (i.e., mini-review) on feature comparison, pros/cons, etc. for these two platforms? I'm especially interested in this from the perspective of a multi-tenant SaaS provider/vendor.
Post-pandemic. Current yield on the ten year t-note is 0.65%.
Looks like as long as the victims stop using their Saudi Sim cards, they won't be able to be tracked because this relies on roaming.

Saudi carriers might mysteriously offer "special exclusive roaming deals" so they can keep tracking
There are quite a few at Penn State's world campus: https://www.worldcampus.psu.edu/
I believe in asian countries where sickness(which can spread) is stigmatized(i definitely believe it is in India..), people will be hesitant to get tested/treatment. There has been several news reports of medic professionals being asked to vacate rental homes, miscreants calling out names in front of patient's home. Not sure why they do them. This will just cause people with symptoms to not get tested.
Thought they’ve been doing this for a while?
Hypothesis: BCG vaccination may strengthen immune to the novel coronavirus
Israeli doctor in Italy says innovative treatments offering hopes of recovery
Roberto Bolaños, any of his books will blow your mind and make you see unexpected corners of yourself.

2666 and The Savage Detectives are must reads.
Pretty important to capture the terminal catalyst to help understand the lethality of a pathogen.

"They would have died anyway" is true of anyone and tends to mask critically important information.
An FDA-authorized Covid-19 test doesn’t need a lab and produces results in 5 min
I believe it was announced in November 2018.
They banned the best one in my opinion
https://adnauseam.io/
Blocks ads and helps poison the data they have collected on you
how is this excellent work? it's unscientific conjecture based on eyeballing some extrapolated data
> prioritize those usages that will deal with and help lessen the crisis

Who is responsible for that decision? Do they become a bottleneck? Might they make mistakes? Are they susceptible to corruption? If so, it may be more wise to distribute that decision-making... via the market system.
The vast majority of the time it doesn't matter. Most of us don't write performance critical code. Even games use bytecode VMs for scripting. You'd be better off spending the money saved on planting trees.

If you write a web app in Ruby using a similarly light weight frameworks as you would using Go, you'll be lucky to get 3x the throughput out of the Go app.

There are also ways to more efficiently utilize hardware by using bytecode than distributing binaries. Using bytecode verification rather than an opaque binary, you can pack thousands of different web applications into a single process.

This is an application of webassembly which IMHO is much more promising than in-browser use.
Well there is 5% of American ppl. And 95% of the rest of the world. GIMP has been a highly international and famous software for decades and the vast majority of the human beings were not aware that GIMP had a negative meaning in the US.
If ever it appears in 6 month that "Glimpse" means "Dirty ol' prostitute" in finnish slang or whatever, do you think that there is going to be another fork with a new name in order to show support for old prostitutes and for the finnish culture ?
I'd consider the web-based administration interface to be "untrusted code" -- and there just a remote code execution vulnerability (due to very insufficient input validation of MAC addresses) discussed here yesterday [0] .

[0]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22714661
Nope, SP 500 is back to what it was in end or 2017 beginning of 2018

1. Do you really think the economy is as good as it is in 2018?

2. Do you think we are in the beginning, middle, or end of this outbreak?

3. Will the virus come back after this summer? This is the big question, and depending on this we either have just a deep but short recession, or an almost depression

Answer those questions and you will know. My take:

1. I believe we are at the start of a deep recession. The market have been slow to respond/adjust (they haven't yet fully capitulated)

2. I think NYC is in the middle of the outbreak, while the rest of the country is in the beginning of the outbreak and they are just lagging by 2 weeks and things will get worse

3. This is unknown, but most scientist believe it will return as soon as the social distancing rules are eased. Best scenario is that when it returns, it is in low enough numbers that it could be contained in a way Taiwan/South Korea did (without shutting down the economy). The worst scenario is that it returns back full force, but mutated and more deadly....
Price gouging rules also keep people from speculatively ramping up production at the stage where it might be needed but you're not sure yet: https://www.jefftk.com/p/price-gouging-and-speculative-costs
Then it would be good to explain clearly why Japan is such a large outlier while Korea was not. And please no "they wear masks" and "they wash hands" bullshit, because there are no more masks in Japan for months now and hygiene is approximative at best - and apart form closed schools it's pretty much business as usual in Japan so there is virtually no reason why the virus would not run its course here as well.
Is it really appropriate for google to be giving health advice? As opposed to linking directly to the CDC?
Those ‘certain regions’ would be most of the world, though, presumably.
Lots of HN readers have, or know, children to whom this may appeal. You can look at it that way if you like.

If multiple posts like this started appearing, it would get tedious quickly, but the occasional unpredictable thing is good for curiosity.

Edit: and https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22724257 is a good sign.
Open source medical ventilator for Covid-19 patients
> Rickover has a case to answer for the Thresher

Why? The loss of the Thresher had nothing to do with any problem with its nuclear plant. It was a "subsafe" problem--inadequate QA on a pressure weld. The Navy responded with much stricter QA standards on pressure welds.
My own feelings didn't reflect that the upstream projects should, nor necessarily would, switch. I was thinking more in terms of a fork to research the avenue.
I'm an old man now, so I'm especially interested in books about getting complete with life. I'm also into amusing and distracting.

Top on my list are William S. Burroughs' last trilogy (especially Place of Dead Roads and The Western Lands) and Matthew Stover's Caine series (especially Caine Black Knife and Caine's Law). Burroughs published that trilogy when he was about my age, and there's some amazing stuff about how memory shows up. The Caine series is basically a contemplation of "What if you could undo the worst thing that you've ever done?".

I could go on about many other authors whom I've loved, over the years, but there's other stuff that I gotta do now.
I think you are over-estimating the quality of their software engineering. Maybe ten years ago I would have believed this, but with each macOS release the litany of unforced errors just continues to grow. The advantage Apple derives from owning the whole stack is a bit oversold, at least when it comes to their non-iOS products.

Of course this is anecdotal, but my macbook (made solely from Apple-supplied parts) seems to crash 3x as often as my cobbled-together-from-spare-parts Windows 10 desktop.

> Otherwise, they simply won't release it at all.

Do you think post-Jobs Apple retains that discipline? I'm not sure.
Wildly different case fatality rates might be caused by the same infection fatality rate if milder infections are systematically less likely to turn into medical cases in some countries.

Compare the age distribution of infections in Iceland versus the Netherlands for instance.

https://twitter.com/alexandreafonso/status/12435570137597009...

We have every reason to think that just as large a fraction of the 10-19 year olds in the Netherlands have gotten this in the Netherlands as in Iceland but when it stays as a cough and light fever many medical regimes are never going to test those cases.

And countries have different demographic profiles, though not enough to explain a 10x difference. And medical systems get overwhelmed in some places which could possibly be up to a 10x difference in a really cases.
Problems attributing deaths to COVID-19 will probably be common worldwide. Radio Free America had this similar report about excess deaths in Wuhan being far out of line from the confirmed COVID-19 deaths:

https://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/wuhan-deaths-03272020...

(Note: This article is much more speculative and weakly-sourced than the Italian one. Also, be aware that RFA is funded and overseen by the US government.)
For specific ec2 instance types the excess capacity is sometimes zero, which customers sometimes see. I've needed to swap instant types to get a deploy unstuck or to scale up in the past when capacity didn't exist.

Because of that I always recommend that a project reserve instances to ensure capacity exists when you need it. It's also cheaper, but that risk is important to mitigate.
Is that the typical setup for covid icu patients though? I imagine ventilators are used for all sorts of patients, some requiring much more involved care.
It's the existing resources that are a problem because most of them have a steady-state cost.

EC2 instances, EBS volumes, S3 data... should AWS delete those when you hit your budget? How do you stop the billing otherwise?
it must be more complicated because it's very unevenly distributed - Milan was spared, and it's only 3km from bergamo
Counterpoint: While suicide increased, life expectancy overall increased during the Great Depression:

https://www.pnas.org/content/106/41/17290
It’s true of everyone given 150 years. Sure, but an 85 yo with 3 diseases was on the front of the queue.

We need to test for those who had it and didn’t die. All evidence is pointing at orders of magnitude that had it but didn’t show
>Then it would be good to explain clearly why Japan is such a large outlier

I decline. It might be what coopsmgoops suggests, or it may be something else. I don't posess the facts and therefore I won't speculate on matters of public health.
The solution I propose is to fairly compensate people for their work, give them high quality benefits, and tolerable conditions. I don't think that standard is being met by importing disadvantaged people who will work difficult and demanding jobs in harsh conditions for low pay.

Worse, this policy effectively conceals the problem rather than addressing it. If fruit was too expensive for most people to buy, that would be a problem our society would need to solve. If we can pretend things are working fine by exploiting the poor, we don't have to face or solve that problem for a while.

I also don't believe your summary. It's an easy excuse to pretend that allowing the poor to come slave away in demanding conditions to provide you with low cost goods and services is actually for their benefit. Their original countries are deprived of their economic energy and the poor in the richer countries are forced to compete with a vast influx of workers.

The corollary of higher fruit prices is that the fruit workers get more money, more breaks, better benefits, and improved conditions. That's a worthwhile trade.
Socializing in Times of Isolation
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Feedback is always appreciated!

Cheers everyone.

In solidarity,
One Step Forward
https://barhopping.online
Do you think Louisiana has Republican governor?
> health services between Germany and Italy should not be even comparable in terms of equipment and capacity.

Italy's health care is among the best in the world, and Lombardy's is several points above the Italian average.

Germany has apparently 2.6 times the amount of IC beds available in proportion to the population- in the Covid epidemic this should offset the reach of maximum capacity by a week.
Amazon ,surely? They’re presumably seeing similar demand boosts, but seem to be struggling less with it.
Yes, I don't think it's an issue with the compiler. The FPGA approach requires a flexible fabric that just has lot's of overhead to give it programmability compared to an ASIC. For an FPGA to have value, you _really_ need to leverage it's programmability. Emulating an ASIC design for verification and testing is a good use case.
I'm not confident it's a direct comparison between the analog operations that happen in the brain and the digital integer or floating point operations of a CPU. For instance, a single 20-transistor operational amplifier can perform (analog) integration or differentiation. It takes way more CPU operations and operations per second to perform a real-time integration or differentiation -- and even that's a discrete approximation limited by the operating frequency (edit: not than an op-amp doesn't have its own frequency limitations of course).

Analog computers can perform dramatically more complex work, faster, and with a fraction of the resources -- at the cost of accuracy. The brain is able to consolidate and handle various analog processes to generate what we perceive as the "work product."

Re: 200Hz, it's unlikely the brain operates synchronously so it's unlikely to have an operating frequency of any rate let alone 200Hz. There are of course local systemic limitations such as the refresh rate of the eye. That's more the frequency defined by the "capacitive" capability of the retina.

A refresh rate in a digital system is global: the clock is the source of truth and great pains are taken to ensure clock skew (the difference in time between when the clock edge rises at one end of the wire vs the other) is within a tightly bounded range to ensure coherence of the overall system. An analog combinational computer would just do its work as the data arrives -- not at the rising or falling edge of some 200Hz signal subject to physiological limitations.
There are international standards and the standard is that flu is not normally considered a cause of death. It's not realistic to expect autopsies to be performed and coroners reports to be written on every person who dies of pneumonia during an epidemic.
I don't know why this comment is being voted down when it is, in fact, correct. Though "temporary" is on a scale proportional to a lifespan.

If an epidemic sweeps through and infects most of the "herd", that herd has herd immunity.

In time as individuals born and others die, the fraction of the herd that is immune goes down and the herd is vulnerable to the same epidemic.

But with vaccination, herd immunity can be sustained indefinitely. With no further epidemics. But, as measles has shown, only as long as a high enough fraction of the herd vaccinates.

Of course it is also possible that if enough of the herd is immune for long enough that the epidemic goes extinct. This takes a lot of work but is how we got rid of Smallpox

Effective contact tracing and social distancing can achieve the same end, which is how we got rid of SARS.
You can beat the pants off this, even though it beats the standard proto library. Most of the time here is being spent calling out-of-line functions through Go's stack calling convention because the Go compiler hates inlining. For example, DecodeTagAndWireType is CALLing DecodeVarint, even though that's really where you want it to have been inlined.

If your use case is really simple, and you want the fastest possible proto decoding, you can hand-roll it pretty easy.

message point { fixed32 x = 1; fixed32 y = 2; }

Then your code is structured such as

var x uint32
var y uint32
for len(buf) > 0 {
switch buf[0] {
case (1<<3) & 5: // Field 1, type fixed32
x=binary.LittleEndian.Uint32(buf[1:])
buf = buf[5:]
case (2<<3) & 5: // Field 2, type fixed32
y=binary.LittleEndian.Uint32(buf[1:])
buf = buf[5:]
default:
// Freak out somehow
}

Improve the exception hardness of this code to the extent that it suits your use case.
but not an actionable statistic for other countries
Amazon has a habit to make it's internal tools into AWS services (while still using them internally). I think it shows a tip of some space-related works inside.
I've been quite happy with the Teensy boards. The Teensy 3.6 has a 32 bit MCU with FPU, running at 180 MHz and executes code sequentially AFAIK. You program it in the Arduino IDE, but Arduino is now just a thin layer on top of GCC, and you have full access to the MCU registers and functionality. There are a number of other attractive 32 bit processors such as the STM32 family.
Again, the conversation is over. You arrived well after the other poster and I left our replies, only to add a tangent, seemingly accuse me of lying, and to tell me not to leave those replies in the first place?

That's very strange.
He made that phone call before he knew that, immediately upon hearing of the incident.
Covid-19 Treatment and Vaccine Tracker [pdf]
This is pretty cool and I'm surprised it hasn't gotten more traction on HN. The value in this for me will be whether the curated lists contain good content. I've started one track and am enjoying the content so far.
Japanese ppl don’t like touching each other they don’t really shake hands socially but they bow when saying hello and good bye. That is not the main reason but things like this in a culture adds up. Japanese is also exceptionally clean
I see no contradiction. Their AF 'jokes' aren't funny. Maybe if they were, we wouldn't have so many people celebrating the cancellation.

Besides, there's a big difference between a friend emailing you a joke and one of the world's biggest mega-corporations putting a gag on their front page.
The unexpected number of urns answered by the quote from the article that initiated that “news”: There were 56,007 cremations in Wuhan in the fourth quarter of last year.

After a month or two of lockdown in Wuhan, the number of backlogged urns is tens of thousands, that is to be expected.
Was going to say this can all be done using the browsers dev-tools (which you can). But have to admit it's a nice interface and might come in handy from time to time.
Medical system capacity and utilization explain the vast majority of the variation in mortality among different countries, after accounting for stage of the epidemic.

When things are not above capacity, mortality is 0.5% or less. After reaching capacity, mortality jumps 10x or more.

Age distribution can only account for variations within, at most, a factor of two.
> Perhaps we are missing some aspect of the human brain that makes it special?

It's an analog computer not a digital one. The computational power of a 100T transistor analog computer would be truly staggering -- orders of magnitude more powerful than a 100T transistor digital computer.
This seems like way overcomplicated design - why do they need two CPUs? They claim "real time control", but this doesn't check out: their main CPU, esp8266, has a DMA that can emit stable protocol timings. And the higher level effects don't care about millisecond or ten of jitter.

I am running two such simple strips right now, and it works very well.
similarly from dune re leadership... it's just a simple thing but the idea that once you tell a group of people under your leadership to do something once, you have to tell them to do the thing every time. Thus good leaders give as few commands as possible. I've found this broadly applicable any time i have to tell more than one human at a time what to do and in assessing leadership in other people (mostly bosses I've had. The best ones have been hands off but approachable when what needs to be done is obvious and very hands on when teaching/introducing something new until everything is clear, then back to hands off). It even works when you're trying to train a dog.