skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I generally agree with this assessment, but it's not certain the U.S. is choosing option 3.

How do we assess contingency levels, other than after-the-fact measure of fatalities? Contingency is highly variable across the country. Rural areas have a lot of personal distancing built in. Urban areas certainly aren't in China-style lockdown, or South Korea-style technology+culture distancing based on prior experience. Nationally, I think the U.S. is at best taking a "moderate contingency" approach.

Each state's governor has control over the contingency, short of the president declaring martial law. e.g. in Mississippi the governor has declared most businesses are "essential" and thus open for business, expressly contradicting local ordinances more strictly defining what is essential. We very likely will see localized variations in infection and fatality rates as a result of these variations.
https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-mississippi-gove...

Therefore I don't know whether the progression of the disease is even predictable.
So it basically comes down to "minor annoyances" all the way, and the question is whether they pile up enough?
a better percentage to use would be the delta in unemployment rate, e.g. 3M / (# of people who want to work).

This would be approximately 3M / 158M [0], or a 1.8% rise in the unemployment rate.

In the 2008 recession, we saw a total unemployment rate of almost 10%, so we'd have to lose an additional 7-8M jobs to get to that level.

[0] https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t08.htm
Wartime economic mobilization potential.

When the shit really hits the fan, the US can close it's borders to imports/exports, retool its economy for war, and eventually out-produce anyone. There are a large combination of factors that make this true. Generally the US is seen to have the highest potential in worst case scenarios.
It's not a ban on sonic booms. It's a ban on supersonic flight. Even if someone invents a quiet supersonic aircraft, or flies at a higher altitude to reduce noise, the current FAA rules ban it.
Why Germany has such a low Covid-19 death rate
Yeah, that "can" happen. Other things "can" also happen... If you've got a real prediction, why don't you say it? And you moved the goal posts from "deaths" to "infected".

I'm not a huge fan of sarcasm, but I think zepolen was right to point out that blindly predicting exponential growth is ridiculous. The world is more complicated than some sophomore level differential equations would indicate.
> imagine explaining the word "the" to someone whose native language doesn't have an article

Much like "turn out", there are many different ways in which "the" might be used. But as contrasted with "a" ("explain it to someone who doesn't have articles"), it's not that bad -- "the" is used to mark noun phrases that are already present in the conversational context, and "a" is used to introduce new noun phrases into the conversational context.

More generally, "the" and "a" are markers for what is known in linguistics as "definiteness", with "the" being an unspecialized definiteness marker and "a" being a more specialized indefiniteness marker. But there are many other determiners that require or mark definiteness -- possessives like my and their are definite; demonstratives like this and that are definite; some is a fully general indefiniteness marker...

(Compare "there's some guy outside scaring customers away" with "there are some guys outside scaring customers away", then consider that a would only be permissible in the first one.)

> To a foreign learner, easy words are hard, and hard words are easy.

Yep. I've pointed out before that most people have the instinct that when a foreigner doesn't know the language well, you should talk to them the same way you'd talk to a small child. But that's completely backwards. The typical small child only knows common words and can handle any native grammar at all. A foreigner will have trouble with common words, effortlessly comprehend rare words (after looking them up), and have extreme trouble with grammar beyond the basics.

I had a Chinese tutor once who was embarrassed when a rare word came up in some reading, and assured me that this was a "really fancy word" and it didn't matter if I didn't know it. The assurance was not needed -- at the time, my vocabulary was negligible; to me there was no difference between a really fancy word and its dirt-common equivalent. It's taken a lot of work to get to the point where I can be annoyed to encounter a fancy substitute for a word I feel I should have known.
Show HN: CommunityRule, editable templates for community governance
I once went to a talk by Nassim Nicholas Taleb after the publication of his "Skin in the Game". He said the way to make a book last is to stuff it full of ideas, stories, and wander around. A focused book doesn't last. Take it as you will.
> The noise to signal ratio is off the charts.

> I don't count a framed and edited video from Ezra Levant as evidence. If you could point me to an actual news site,

> Otherwise, I am not going to waste 30 minutes of my life listening to a video by liar-supreme.

Then you shouldn't weigh in on the subject, frankly. That includes claiming that it was framed and edited before even watching it. If you're giving opinions on things that you haven't even seen, then you're the one contributing to the noise to signal ratio, and that's an undisputable fact.
Zoom has allegedly HIPAA-compliant BAAs with users in the health space. If any PHI data is making it over to Facebook without a similar agreement from Facebook, Zoom is in for some trouble.
Thanks.

I considered this scenario as llvm does somewhat support profile-guided optimizations but it would be a fundamental change where we go from "unoptimized" to "optimized-with-tracing" instead of optimized, so that step could still have optimization upgrade hooks, so we still wouldn't need a downgrade to "base-line". I guess.

I agree that it's anyway unlikely to happen, at least in the browser.

I could imagine that some WebAssembly based cloud provider (or similar) would be potentially interested in generating profiles and then use that for better optimizations in other instances (so still no down-/upgrade ).
> but if you want to touch the DOM at all just use JS seemed to still be the standard advice

This is still the current state of WebAssembly. There's several proposals out there that, if implemented, could change the situation. The primary one that I'm aware of is the interface types proposal [1].

[1] https://github.com/WebAssembly/interface-types/blob/master/p...
> In the real world, outside of BBC fantasies about its own importance, no kid in the 80s (ie, an inconsequential number) became computer literate a) at school or b) on a BBC Micro or c) due to a boring TV series about a computer they didn't own, couldn't afford and couldn't use, because virtually no teacher had any idea what to do with one.

Well, I lived in the real world. And not even in the UK and if it wasn't for the BBC micro I probably would have picked a different career. It had a lot more impact than you give it credit for, I know plenty of people who, like me, really grokked computers for the first time because the 'beeb' and the excellent software and documentation that came with it.

By then I'd already consumed a lot of other 8 bitters but none of them offered the interfaces, the quality of engineering and the software that the bbc did, including a very nice version of basic, which was light years ahead of whatever else was available at that time.
Dealing with the same thing with AT&T fiber. There was word of a hack involving putting your router behind a switch with the AT&T router after cloning the MAC, then booting them both up and letting your router pick up the DHCP responses along with the AT&T router. Once the AT&T router had done its proprietary handshake, you could disconnect the AT&T router.

Unfortunately I had no luck with that - my loose theory is that my EdgeRouter was doing a ping check to see if the IP was already taken before accepting the DHCP lease...

I was able to get "IP passthrough" mode working with the AT&T router though. The key hiccup was that the AT&T router had to be on a different subnet than my router's LAN subnet.
All the more reason to get your flu shot to reduce the chance that you end up in the hospital using valuable space needed for Coronavirus patients.

I'm not minimizing Coronavirus. I'm trying to leverage the attention people are paying to it to emphasize the importance of vaccination.
Exactly everyone who is quoting numbers for flu deaths needs to realise these are estimates based on the statistics of how deaths vary year to year, i. e. looking at how many more people died in a flu year compared to other years (simplified). Most people actually don't die of the flu itself but secondary infections (the number of deaths linked directlybto the flu are orders of magnitude lower). Corona directly kills people.

The other thing to remember is the lag in the calculations, the people dying now are the ones who were admitted to hospital a week ago.
Considering the fed is warning about the possibility of 30% unemployment [0], an additional 7M could come next week.

[0] https://www.usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2020-03-23/fed-...
Tesorio (YC S15) Is Hiring Data Engineers with Kubernetes Skills
Please note that the nymag piece was published on March 24th. On March 26th, a group of scientists criticised the figures because it was based on assumptions that lacked empirical evidence; if interested, here’s their letter of critique: https://www.ft.com/content/ebab9fcc-6e8d-11ea-9bca-bf503995c...
I think this is only possible because factorio has a team of very dedicated programmers who care about performance. Tarn is one guy, and I don't think he's going to be able to pull out a comparative level of performance.

I mean, the pipe performance fix took one factorio dev half a year. I feel like having no forward motion apart from performance for that long might demotivate tarn, and that was just for one subsystem. In a game which already invested in multithreaded performance.
That's a good catch, but I assumed he was just being sloppy in his terminology.
Don't forget Blue Bell.
Except Yang wanted to make people choose. A thousand bucks a month [with no structural controls on costs], OR food stamps and housing vouchers.

Let's be real about what he put on the table.
DF employs OpenGL for rendering, see file df_linux/g_src/renderer_opengl.hpp, so the GPU will be used if appropriate drivers are installed. "Text" tiles and graphics tiles are equally fast – they are always bitmaps under the hood, see df_linux/data/art/*.png.

There is also an ncurses renderer with plain Unicode text output for use in a terminal emulator which may be GPU accelerated, but most term software is not.
The ISP I work for does, and it's a very large one (not in the US). If a router is not ours, we check for sync or if PPPoE is up. We tell the customer what's the result of our tests and offer a technician if they are willing to pay in case it's not our fault.

Most people are unwilling to pay, and yell at customer service. Most of the times, specially when the router has sync it's customer fault.
> Would they just not be copyrightable?

Why not?

(BTW, short stuff can be trademarked, as long as you use it as branding in commerce.)
Contango
I think there's a big diference - in DCSS, it's extremely important to know whether that 'g' you're looking at just some random gnoll, or crazy Yiuf. In dwarf fotress, it's pretty rare that it really matters. The ascii graphics are also a bit nicer - especially when it comes to stuff like drawing walls.
tzs' solution is clever, but if you're planning to simply toss a bad drive (and don't particularly care which blocks are bad), something like

tee /dev/the/disk </dev/urandom | sha256sum

and

sha256sum /dev/the/disk

should also work fine.
You seem to believe that one person's desire for prompt information is more important than another's think time. That is only true in rare cases.
"Ask HN: How to build a Reddit/Hackernews like website?" https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19153441 has links to HN source code (Lisp) and that of https://lobste.rs/ which is similar enough in terms of features (Ruby/Rails).
Ask HN: Technologies used for GitHub mobile app
Does anybody know what technologies are used for Github mobile app?
Developed natively or using a cross platform framework like rn or flutter?
> nobody writes BBC BASIC on a C64

http://mdfs.net/Software/BBCBasic/C64/
Ask HN: TeachyourselfCS or FunctionalCS which to choose to self learn CS?
Hi HN. Hope you're all safe at home without getting infected. I'm looking to self learn computer science especially since I have a lot of time wfh currently. I already have a background in programming and data structures. I was hoping to follow a curriculum to fill in the gaps I have.

I came across 2 resources

* https://functionalcs.github.io/curriculum/

* https://teachyourselfcs.com/

Can anyone please give me feedback on which one to follow / which is better and why? Any feedback about the resources would be much appreciated. Thank you so much.
Number of Covid-19 cases in USA
You're talking about Jack FM, right? They have a ton of stations: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_FM

I suspect their playlists are generated at HQ and shared between all the stations. That's one benefit of not accepting requests.
We just had a great illustration of that effect in Germany:

Friedrich Merz, a politician of Angela Merkel's Christian Democratic Union, but purged by her years ago, is trying to become next party chief and chancellor.

He is a board member of Blackrock. A lobbyist, and a successful business lawyer. He owns private airplanes.

Yet, in a much laughed about interview, he claimed to belong to the "upper middle class".
Show HN: Pack – Your company's start-page
Ah, blame tennis, my favorite game!

Is there an alternative non-optional strategy for achieving secure delete (or revocation semantics of some kind)? If not, this is a fundamental capability that you can't paper over by slapping an abstraction layer on top any more than you could turn a 1TB HDD into a 2TB HDD with an abstraction layer. If so, it seems to me like the bug is very much in the hard drive / standards, not in the operating system.
"Water soluble plates: how could this possibly be a good idea?"

Compostable plates! They take a LOOONG time to dissolve, but they are water-soluble.
The OxVent: a rapidly assembled ventilator costing under £1000
Evolution from a Virus's View (2007)
No private storage repository support?
Analytics that fingerprints a device, figerprints that facebook can then use to build shadow profiles of people not consenting to have their data processed and stored by facebook.
Pandemics Depress the Economy, Public Health Interventions Do Not: 1918 Flu
It could lead to death, but if your alternative is dying from natural causes, I’d rather have the choice. I don’t see how it could do “more harm than good” on an individual level. On a mass distribution level, sure.
Getting a Data Science Job
I think we should be following all of these vaccines and clinical trials really closely.

We all watch what the stock market does every day. Let’s start watching what these trials are doing every day. Really put the spotlight on these folks.

I feel like as a population we’re acting too much like victims. Let’s take charge of this.
It’s a one-man effort (Marco Arment). It’s not reasonable to expect him to develop for multiple platforms.
Ah, thanks. If nmap was run exhaustively on all 64k ports, would that both (a) take forever, and (b) raise alarm bells on the target? Why isn't a full scan the norm?
THIS! , thank you! just installed and found tons of queries to Uber (never used uber in past many months) , uninstalled it finally!
> It's worth noting that Piketty has an astonishingly basic misunderstanding/non-understanding of the marxist analysis of capitalism despite the titles of his books. He hasn't even read Capital. I like his politics relatively well as far as most liberals go but that is still pretty disappointing.

Economists use the word "capital" without making reference to Marx. Marx didn't come up with that word, it had a meaning in classical economics since Adam Smith (and maybe before).

I think the rest of your post is wrong too. Marx does argue for a "mechanical determination of ideology". For Marx, man is the animal that labors, not a rational animal or a political animal. What matters is what you make with your body. If you labor with your body then you're a proletarian, and you will experience class consciousness from that perspective. If you make money from other people's labor, you're bourgeois, and you will experience bourgeois class consciousness.

I don't know if Marx talks about bourgeois who consider themselves Marxists (like Engels -- Marx was not bourgeois).

> In general I think his analysis is that "capitalism should just change some specific things to reduce inequality" without any materialist, political-economic understanding of why inequality is so rampant in the first place - why capital's dominance comes from the structure of the economy. That is why marxism is interesting, marxism makes a very compelling argument for it, and liberals ignore it at their peril.

This is also bizarre. Piketty does have a theory about "why inequality is so rampant in the first place". He just thinks we can change the laws and fix it!
nice designs, don't like the site. modal popups covering content bottom left, signup pop under my mouse when i tried to download, a bunch of icons and I don't know what any of they mean except the adobe ones. I clicked download and I was astounded that a download dialog popped up and not a newsletter signup. I guess that's coming. obnoxious
I personally limit my fort to 60 dwarves (not including children) in the config file. Makes managing a lot easier as well and I find 60 is enough for 2 squads and most of the professions.
I'd recommend this article instead:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22696603
> Why enclose PWA in quotes?

It's twitter's mobile site that they extended to cover both desktop and PWA. As a result, it's quite bad on all fronts and judging by the number of bugs that are lingering with no fixes, abandoned. At least they managed to almost fix the epileptic scroll position [1]

> I don't have to give Twitter access to detailed information about my system while still using a full-featured, first-party client.

Yes, this is, without a doubt, the best value-proposition of PWAs.

[1] https://grumpy.website/post/0RQvmdNmN
Isn't Italy in a pretty bad shape to restart the virus spread right now?

As soon as the government can detect a 16-times increase in the number of cases, act, and still be soon enough for the next 200-times increase not to be a tragedy, it is a good time to leave the quarantine. Right now Italy can't stand the first increase.

The good news is that each time the disease spreads, those numbers become smaller, the bad news is that we don't know by how much.
https://www.ansibleforkubernetes.com/

I've found this pretty good starting point. Keep in mind the book is still a work in progress. Note, I haven't actually run k8s in production, but this book has helped me get something up and running in VM's pretty quickly using Ansible on top of kubeadm.
I don’t know about the US but at least in Norway it’s stated as a reason. Age, geography and diagnosis is sometimes enough to identify a person, and there are regulations governing that here.
> and I assume harddrive manufacturers try to compress and deduplicate data

You assume incorrectly. There have been attempts, like SandForce drives in the early days of SSDs but there are a bunch of reasons why you don't want to do opportunistic general-purpose compression at the lowest possible level of the storage chain.

The problem with compression* is that instead of having one drive capacity number (say, 500 GB), you have two: the drive's physical capacity and it's "logical" capacity. Which is fine and dandy, except that the logical capacity varies wildly with what kind of data is stored on the drive. Highly patterned data (text and most executables) compresses very well. Data which is already compressed (most images, videos, archives, etc) does not. So how do you report to the user how much space they have left on the drive? Even if you know the existing contents and current compression ratio, you don't know what they're going to put on the drive in the _future_. Your best guess would be, "250 GB or maybe about a terabyte, lol i dunno".

There's also the fact that application-specific compression algorithms tend to do FAR better than general-purpose compression algorithms, which is why almost all of our media storage formats default to using them. JPEG, HEVC, and so on. Plus you get the benefit of having the thing compressed all the time (even over the I/O channel or network) instead of just on disk.

Compressing data which is _already_ compressed often results in additional overhead. So unless the drive is testing the data to see how well it compresses before writing it to disk (which would murder performance), your 500 GB drive could actually end up being a 450 GB drive.

Further, always-on compression would result in a substantial performance penalty unless special silicon is crafted to handle it. Storage is already an industry with razor-thin margins, companies are not going to add to the BOM cost for a feature that could ultimately make people buy _fewer_ drives.

In the case of deduplication, there's no OS-level standard for it which makes current implementations far less efficient than they could be.

That said, data compression is very popular in the enterprise storage space, but it is typically done at the pool or volume level (large groups of disks) rather than per-disk. These arrays usually combine compression and deduplication with other strategies like thin provisioning to optimize storage to an almost absurd level. It typically requires trained storage engineers to manage them.

* _I lump deduplication into compression because dedeuplication is actually just one kind of compression strategy, even though lots of things treat it like a separate feature._
The only router with good admin interface I ever had was one with open source software.

Every other router, for 20 years now, had a slow and buggy web interface.

Why is this?!
> It also estimates that the UK will not run out of ICU beds in the process.

That'd be wonderful. But, doesn't that conflict with what we saw actually happen in Italy?
I don't know if it's "law" in America but I've never seen a major ISP give any more guff than sometimes making a technician come out to read the modem's MAC address. I've never had a ISP's router or modem on my networks
I’d like to see the rumor that people can’t develop an immunity to this put to bed. Surely we have enough data at this point.
You can already do "fair use" of text under a certain amount, and the world hasn't ended.

> a hundred hours

This is the Labor Theory of Value, which is discredited. The value of something is not necessarily related at all to how much labor was put into it. The value of something is what someone else is freely willing to pay for it.

Nobody has ever asked me how many hours I put into X. They couldn't care less. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the value of what I created.
> "capitalism should just change some specific things to reduce inequality"

To try to help ^^: "Social Safety- And Inner Politics Rules Behavior 'Ethicaly' ?" -So, if that was the Question Socialism wanted to answer... (-;

HINT://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethik#Das_Ziel_menschlichen_Handelns
Can't help but ask the actuary question: are the covid19 deaths avoided worth the economic cost of the lockdown?
I hope he’s right.
It is not wrong. There are other well-recognized and understood descriptive terms for things like what you are referring to: "questionable journalism," "propaganda," "hit piece," etc.

Having a common vocabulary helps establish an agreed-upon framework by which we can analyze these articles.