skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Sure, that model shows that there are multiple ways to fit the model parameters to account for the first 14 days of fatalities. But we have a lot more real-world data available that directly contradicts any scenario where half the population is already infected.

I'm just disgusted that the authors are now saying it was just an abstract demonstration of different scenarios, and pretending they didn't actually make the claims about the real world that they did.
This is an interesting point. Either the government would then need businesses to disclose their "rating" (similar to movies) or businesses could opt in to show a seal (like Fairtrade bananas). The problem is, if there aren't enough (popular) sites with the seal, then the value of this declaration is lost.
I never had any luck unfreezing milk - the water and cream unfroze at different rate, and it ended up weird.
And in the case of Italy, you would expect the new case rate to outpace itself for a long while as testing is ramped up, but even with increased testing the new case level is leveling off. This indicates an already infected populace that has since recovered.
That's government work for you
> "Workers in the US" doesn't really cash out - Biden has very strong working class support.

I don't understand this phrase, and the significance of it, in the context of this conversation.

Also, just to clarify: is your above statement a fact, or an opinion? (You have used the verb "does", which to me implies you are asserting it as a fact.)
Maybe your takeaway is right but there's also a huge piece that wasn't captured in your one-liner

"We lost about 2 years of our time and $30k of my savings (which was most of it). "

"Getting those first 10/100+ customers was really hard. We relied primarily on direct outreach via cold email and social media messaging to obtain those first customers. Taking the time to reach out directly to customers for a $7/month plan was painful"
2020: the Shetland Islands of unemployment charts. (For context: https://bit.ly/2UEV5H5)
deaths are not a reliable metric at all. old and sick people are far more susceptible.
Thank you @eesmith.
Comments appreciated, and PRs to the repo as well. ;-)
The multi-byte is great catch! I made the wrong assumption, on single byte separators. Perhaps a library limitation if the we want to keep the logic simple. Ideas on the fix?
Is it winding down? Most of the US seems to be at early days of exponential growth still. Only a handful of countries seem to have things under control and even those places still have restrictions in place.

How are you concluding things are winding down?
> There is evidence that this was what happened due to pandemics traditionally being named after where they originated.

This is just false, most pandemics are named for where they had their greatest effects, or for really old ones, who wrote about it / was king at the time.

Before modern history, we had no idea where pandemics originated.
You can't control for that effect?
Would that work on a filesystem that supports sparse files?
I've been very interested lately in dual power as an alternative to both voting in a system where governments are captured agencies and also bloody revolution.

In effect, forming a network that bypasses the current powers until they disappear.
"Washington has answered the increasingly desperate pleas of gig-economy executives by agreeing to include hard-up workers among the beneficiaries of the $2 trillion stimulus bill"

Are they employees or not? Does the gig-economy companies pay into the unemployment tax?

These people are hurting but I believe this sets a really bad precedent
>A natural egg should be brown but in America they are all white.

That is incorrect. Different hens lay different colored eggs.
DBLog: https://netflixtechblog.com/dblog-a-generic-change-data-capt...
Show HN: Experimental state management package with useReducer and context API
Hi. You can see the simple state manamenet tool I developed with react context api and useReducer below. I will add the documents tomorrow. I am waiting for your comments. Thanks.

https://github.com/indatawetrust/run-state
That doesn't sound like "too much Social Democracy" so much as a badly designed law that had a weird edge case.
This documentary from the first 4 minutes looks very low effort. You can gather any number of “experts” on any given topic to give you any form of a story you’d like to tell...

Also the “social democracy” you talk about is still there. University education is still free. Social democratic programs have not been completely destroyed.
it is ridiculous to equate this with the DOW when regular people with no investments are the ones the most severely affected
>I think we ended up with private property because the alternatives have been tried and they are worse (e.g. tragedy of the commons)

I don't thinl it is all or nothing. Private property is overall a very good idea and principle, and Piketty says that too. But when someone sees property it as inalienable right, at any level, is a problem.

For example, if one person talks about a tax based on wealth, two people can have a healthy disagreement, and discuss how to implement.

But when someone does not event want to consider it... because it would supposedly bring us back to communism dark ages, that is basic ideology in action, not rational thinking.
Tutorial: Scheduled and automated Linux backup to GitHub
Maybe it is because I can't seem to hold onto a device for more than a year or two before I lose it somewhere, but the idea of having all my important invoice data on a single device sounds scary to me. I would hope that localStorage is included in in iCloud backups.
It's my own prediction. Check back in a year, by which time SARS-CoV-2 will be just another endemic strain of coronavirus.
Have you ever been at a company with multiple rounds of layoffs that affected your division? I have, and Rip the Bandaid Off is absolutely the correct strategy.

With multiple rounds everyone starts to develop neuroses. Productivity tanks, people have conversations about when the next round will be, whether they will be in it, whether essential team member that management doesn't care for will be next, and what sort of a clusterfuck you'll have to deal with when they aren't keeping the wheels on?

Plus by the second or third round, you're probably getting zero severance at all.

After this experience I had a theory that I wanted to be in the first round of layoffs (especially if the company looked like they would do multiples). I got to test that a few years back and it was awesome. None of those people's problems were my problems anymore. No survivor's guilt, no deathmarch. I sat around on my butt for two weeks doing absolutely nothing, and still had severance money left over when my first check cleared at the new job.

If you are the only company doing layoffs, your employees will be fine. If lots of people are doing layoffs, what is more humane? Laying them off before the market is saturated with people, or waiting until the last possible moment when their prospects are at the absolute minimum?
It’s a facade. Apple has its own advertising ID and it’s on by default even though it’s quite clearly (imho) in violation of the GDPR.

https://blog.gingerlime.com/2020/does-apple-care-about-your-...
Yup, can confirm. Our first egg is from our Pheasant Leghorn, which lays white eggs.
The excellence of Cuba's health system is questionable.

https://fee.org/articles/the-myth-of-cubas-glorious-health-c...

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/29/world/americas/brazil-cub...
The explanation is that this is probably the best offering they're aware of, and whatever the price is, it's less than the value they receive.
Awesome work. Applaud the effort of collecting these assets. Small note: when I tried browse and click some color palette the popup sometimes just show up. Don't know if that's intentional but I did not expect that.
FWIW, geek me would be ok with a basket of measures. Life expectancy, average weight & height, purchasing power, savings rate. I'm just hoping to find reasonably simple metrics which are least wrong proxies for larger concerns.
I disagree with this advice; I pass shared_ptr by const ref all the time to avoid lots of useless ref count updates.

I mean, I guess it's a way to avoid this particular problem (https://godbolt.org/z/8g6HJg), but even without passing shared_ptr by const ref that code still has a far worse code smell, namely the way it mixes manual and automated memory management. After all, the whole point of creating a shared_ptr instance is to take (possibly shared) ownership of a thing.
In Praise of a Normal, Boring Country
The Black Death and the world wars were catastrophes that led to greater equality. Peace and stability tend to favour the wealthy, and lead to greater inequality.
Maybe you can do it and compete with them?
Nice - this is a great idea!

How hard would it be to add support for other kinds of cards? We typically do "welcome" cards for new hires, but (as we are now all working from home) that has recently become difficult.
Show HN: An embeddable badge to generate video meeting URLs for website visitors
If everyone's in debt up to their eyeballs, nobody gets to feel "rich" since we're all stretched to our limits.
> Why not deliver this as a desktop application that users download and pay for one-time?

Because when given the option, sellers usually choose more money than less money.

Anyone is welcome to create a competing product and take their margins.
how is a massive change in the predicted death rate used to justify the current measures propaganda?
I watched that video.

I am of the opinion that it is only partially correct, and that the "Russian trolls on Reddit" meme is actually an example of the very psychological manipulation that the video claims to be exposing.

I also believe I am correct about this, because I am willing and able to have an evidence-based discussion about it, and no one else is (unless they get to define premises that ensure victory of the argument before it even begins).
> game community opinions wouldn't matter.

That's ludicrous. Because of game industry demand for programmable graphics pipelines we now have the modern AI industry. You're welcome.

Because of game industry demand for high-performance, low-latency programming languages C++ stuck around. You've scoffed that it's basically used as C-in-a-C++-compiler, but that's because the steering committee seems to be completely out of touch with what people want C++ to do.

Worth watching:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYN6eduU06s

Sure, game devs ignore modern C++ and the STL, but they do so because modern C++ and the STL, as defined, are not zero-cost abstractions. If we wanted a language with a predictable 30% overhead we'd use C#, and we do, but when it matters we want something where the core language is without serious burden in its use.

Why use C++ if zero-cost abstractions aren't important to you? Honestly, what's the value? You've already given up frames, you may as well accept some to handle memory management, continuous garbage collection, ownership safety and so on.
Wikipedia claims:

It was created primarily to modernize the flow of healthcare information, stipulate how Personally Identifiable Information maintained by the healthcare and healthcare insurance industries should be protected from fraud and theft, and address limitations on healthcare insurance coverage.

Is the protected from fraud and theft part somehow incorrect?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Health_Insurance_Portability_a...
>the picture of the Mac Plus is dithered using Bill Atkinson's dithering algorithm.

That explains how that it had that classic Macintosh feel. Thanks!
Yes. The shell colour is genetic. https://www.canr.msu.edu/news/why_are_chicken_eggs_different...

Also, the thing farmers do have control over is the colour of the yolk.

You can buy Egg Yolk Color Charts: http://www.robotmation.co.jp/keiranycceng.htm

This article talks about it a bit more: http://blog.chickenwaterer.com/2013/03/influencing-egg-yolk-...
Is loss of smell and taste a symptom of Covid-19? Doctors want to find out
It has always been hard to reconcile the rhetoric that labels the “Democrats” as “elites” who are against the “working class” or “under class”. Especially as the grandson of sharecroppers and “maids” and a relative of many other Black folk who would, in terms of wealth and household income, be in the “underclass”.
As an exercise, started reading the French edition — I guess even poor Black folk can be “elites”
This article has an unfortunate omission by ignoring drives' S.M.A.R.T. reporting system which can give a surprisingly thorough view into drive metadata, like how many blocks have been remapped due to media corruption.

After running `badblocks`, run `smartctl -t long $DEVICE`, which is a "long" self-test. This will take upwards of a day to complete, depending on the drive.

After that completes, check the status by running `smartctl --all $DEVICE`, and verify that there are only zeroes in the RAW_VALUE column for Reallocated_Sector_Ct, Used_Rsvd_Blk_Cnt_Tot, and
Uncorrectable_Error_Cnt.
I always find this topic interesting, because it shows such a diversity of... aesthetic instinct? If you ask a dozen people why they don't like something that's known for being divisive, you can easily get a dozen different, incompatible answers.

People talk about the subjectivity of beauty, but I've never felt like the sheer polarity of opinion gets enough emphasis...

(For the record: Dwarf Fortress's controls never bothered me, and I've never been able to play without a tileset. The same for NetHack and other ASCII games.)
Back around 2010 I got a great deal on eight PACER SSD's from China. At the time, SSD's were still quite expensive compared to spinning platters.

My performance benchmarks were fantastic, but I started seeing some corruption issues. I wrote a C# program to fill the entire disk up with pseudorandom bytes (starting with a known seed), then read it back and compare.

Nearly all of them gave back different bytes at some point in the test. These were silent errors, and didn't trigger any read warnings or CRC/ECC failures reported by the drive's controller.

I suspect they achieved the performance by simply ignoring any errors and steamrolling right along.
I had a rich roommate that once remarked that "most people make more than $400k a year." He had made it to college and believed that most people lived in a literal 1% salary.
I disagree with this — more regulation will make it harder to innovate.

For example, I’ve met several founders who wanted to enable tele-medicine years ago but decided against it because “the lawyers cost more than the engineers”, and walking-on-eggshells destroys morale & iteration speed.

I’m not arguing to de-regulate heath data — my point is that we should selectively apply regulation.

It’s likely a great thing to regulate self-driving cars. But please keep the lawyers away from my niche online forums, 3rd-party clients for social apps, blogs, video games, calculators etc...
Does not feel like a high-coefficient source.
There's no control group for a single event.
The failure goes well beyond just the federal government too.

One example being NYC leaders and even health officials encouraging New Yorkers go participate in parades and other large gatherings through Feb and even into March, with messages of defiance against Coronavirus concerns:

https://mobile.twitter.com/wesyang/status/124303311804449997...

Edit: Removed ventilator comment as that specific claim seems to be misleading, and it's not something particular to NY. Many governments weren't prepared for a surge.

The U.S. as a whole had plenty of advanced warning about ventilator[1] and pandemic preparedness[2].

1. https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/disaster-medicine-an...

2. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Af6b_wyiwI
C++ is in some ways a job security mechanism. Careers are made on deep knowledge of the language. There are whole conferences about language details...
We're talking about the filesystem driver itself issuing the write.

The above is a discussion about whether the filesystem driver or the block device driver would issue the SCSI commands.

This would never happen from userspace.
> Waterproof furniture: unclear how this actually makes cleaning easier.

You don't have kids do you?
"this is a detailed simulation, so things move a lot faster if you're not spending CPU on graphics"

Consider Battlefield or COD Warzone, which simulate the effects of actions by multiple players (including projectile travel) in real time and still manage upwards of 100FPS of near photorealistic graphics.

Or factorio, where people build insane megafactories with millions of machines in them and yet performance is great and the graphics will still show you the shadows of clouds passing overhead.

Dwarf fortress is a very interesting game and a very deep simulation, but the idea that it's such a detailed simulation that graphics would not be possible is just untrue.

Honestly the UX in dwarf fortress is generally just insanely user-hostile and graphics are only a tiny symptom of that. And I say this as someone who plays and enjoys the game - I've had forts with upwards of 100 idiots^Wdwarfs in them, magma moats, breaching multiple cavern layers, surviving necromancer seiges etc. But every time I play I have to go through that thing over again where I try to figure out how to assign a pet to a person, when I set up a military squad getting them to wear the right equipment is a total chore, minecart UX is completely baffling. Also the simulation is very detailed but kind of broken in lots of annoying ways, like female dwarfs randomly dropping their babies while working, forgetting where they put them and then freaking out, random tantrum spirals because someone went out in the rain and so just decides to murder their colleagues etc.
Snowflake had only one meaning in the 50s.
A great open-source resource. To be honest I would appreciate if the project would prefer an open-source IM solution like Matrix, IRC or Mattermost.
well as long as it works...
On the license page, the link in "For more information read the Terms of Service." seems dead to me.

Besides that, this looks really nice. Hope it gives some success! Simply as a list of pictures to scroll down and be inspired by it might be really helpful. Thanks for sharing!
Location: Roanoke, VA

Remote: Yes

Willing to relocate: Yes

Technologies: JavaScript, Node.js, Java, C, C#, Git, SQL

Resume/CV: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1L-7pPz-VMbuPxdus5MNNDYHF...

Email: nbolin@vt.edu

I'm Nick, a recent grad with a BS in CS and an MA in History looking for junior or entry-level positions in software dev. My previous internships have been back-end or internal testing tools, but I'm willing (and excited) to learn.
Thanks a lot, hopefully you'll find it useful! Yeh, that's my genius feature, it is triggering with a delay lol. I think I'll increase the delay or something. Sorry for the inconvenience, I've been told it's pretty frustrating :P
Semi-rhetorical answer:

1. It still provides more value than the monthly subscription.

2. People have shown a greater willingness to pay for ongoing features and support in a SAAS model than in other formats.

3. It better aligns with the costs of support and maintenance that the provider needs to provide.

4. It's less risky for the consumer to get started.

5. There's no piracy or people decompiling your app and putting it out under their own name.

6. No updates to fiddle with and works across machines.

Not all answers above directly apply to the podcast->video service here but these are the general reasons.
Actually, someone just shared an article about this check out the original post, I liked the idea behind. They are doing bad generalisation.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22697916

I don't wanna go into ChiComs thing but I have a question about why the f*ck you have a regulation which allows you to hunt down wild animals and sell them on the bazaar? Yeah I know the famine history, but WTF it's 2020
> [LTV is] an idea long since thoroughly discredited

Not really? It has neither been proven nor disproven, not because of unsoundness in theory, but because of lack of ability to measure the data needed to (dis)prove it (http://bnarchives.yorku.ca/308/2/20101200_cockshott_nitzan_b...).

On top of this, sure Marx made some bad predictions, but the breadth of his work was not predicting the future or describing what a socialist economy looks like, but the analysis of capitalism and the social relations that form around it. This analysis is still extremely relevant, regardless of his value theory. Sure some people cling to it and pretend all parts of Capital are still relevant even though things have changed drastically, but that doesn't negate all of Marx's work or ideas.
I think it's important to look at these things in the context of the features they're enabling and user expectations. The fact that Zotero is a local, configurable, open-source tool is what gives you complete control over it, but it's not just a local database. It's deeply connected to a world of constantly changing websites, metadata sources, and services, and using most of Zotero's features implies relying on those things. If you want to save metadata from a website, Zotero might need to retrieve metadata from Crossref. If you want it to find an open-access PDF, it needs to connect to an online database to check for one. And if you want saving to continue working as sites changes, it needs up-to-date translators. From a normal user's perspective, the alternative is just Zotero not doing the things they downloaded it to do.

> My own understanding of privacy best practices, includes data exposure being opt-in rather than opt-out

Surely you don't expect software to default to not receiving updates automatically? As the linked section says, if you disable translator/style updates and don't use auto-sync, there won't be a persistent connection. But if a high-profile site breaks and we roll out a fix, the longer the delay the more people will just get an error trying to save.

> those privacy preferences being easily seen and changed in one place

We document every single network request that Zotero makes. Expecting them to all be configurable in one place in the software just isn't reasonable. Normal users think of features, not HTTP requests, and auto-sync doesn't have anything to do with translator update checks.

> I'd be fine with "we have limited resources; know privacy is important; are improving; know we have work to do to implement best practices, are working towards it".

OK, but I'm not saying that. I'm saying we consider privacy in all our decisions and believe we've made the right calls (and, for what it's worth, I can't recall a single complaint about our approach to privacy in many years). If you disagree with a specific decision, that's fine — come to the forums and we can discuss. But let's be clear about the features that would break for users as a result.
This seems entirely reasonable, but you forgot the 0'th step.

Create a source of truth. I'd bet a 'source of truth' internal to the bank doesn't exist right now, and they're probably pulling something manually from an external 3rd party.

And on with the regress..

Step -1) What form will this internal source of truth take, how much will it cost, and who builds that system?

Step -2) Who gets to make that decision?

My uncle used to do this kind of work and man, he has some horror stories. The common thread among his clients seemed to be 'We know we need to do something, we know it will cost a lot of time and money, and it absolutely cannot fail.' The hard part always seemed to be finding the person within the org who had both the authority to spend the money, the political clout to make the decision. Nobody wants to own something like that going wrong. The actual technical part of the work, they had that down pretty well as it was all they did.
"lx64", not "xl64". (Article has this wrong, but documentation sets it right.)