skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I find myself mostly agreeing with this article, although I think it over-states its case slightly and this section highlights why.

Chemical weapons are not very useful on a tactical level, and modernly nuclear weapons are superior on the strategic level. But for a brief period between 1915 and 1945, they were an attractive solution for mass death on a strategic level. A 1,000 pound explosive bomb, with WW2 level targeting, is very unlikely to hit its target and will likely explode some random unpopulated building. A 1,000 ton mustard gas bomb, though it won't hit its target (because WW2 era bombing accuracy), will still have its payload disperse over a wide area and is utterly horrific to deal with. As the article notes, the 1995 sarin attack in Japan injured over 1,000 people. Chemical weapons may not be good for winning a battle, but they're perfect as a terror weapon meant to go after civilians.

In a sense, chemical weapons are a kind of 'poor man's nuke'. Russia and America are standing down their chemical weapons because they have actual nukes, and don't need to also have 2nd rate knock offs.

The article tries to point to WW2 as an example of nations being in existential peril, and still not using chemical weapons, and concluding this means they were ineffective even as terror weapons. But I think that doesn't hold water upon closer analysis - the moment a single German soldier's boot stepped foot on the British isles, which is to say the UK actually faced imminent threat of conquest, Churchill planned to quote "drench [Germany] in gas".

Later on in the war chemical weapons were avoided not for fear of retaliation in itself, but for fear of how one's own people would respond to said retaliation. If you are Great Britain, and public morale for the war is hanging on by a thread, do you want to roll the dice and gas attack Germany - thereby causing Germany to gas attack your civilians - and risk support for the war collapsing? In 1944 Churchill asked for a 'cold blooded analysis' about gassing Germany, and the response that came back was basically "We're already winning the war, and mass gas deployment would be needlessly taking chances. Do not do it!". Churchill famously disagreed with this analysis, but didn't push the matter any further.
https://typora.io/ is also excellent for that
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Ahahaha I love this because of how accurate it is.

For most its the unfamiliarity with the idea which prevents the rational thinking behind it
UV does not kill coronavirus.
I think SK's numbers are becoming more reliable by the day though. The new case rate has stabilised to a small number in the range of 50 to 150 per day and the active case count is dropping at a rate of over 200 per day. The daily death rate has been below 10 the whole time I believe. If that trend continues then SK's CFR will be well known soon and I would guess not dissimilar to current estimates. Though it's always possible a false sense of security will set in and people will relax their habits and send it higher again.

Compare to Germany: weeks behind SK but already more than three times as many cases, new case rate in the last few days of 2500-4500 (SK's max: 851), daily deaths in the last few days 10-29 and heading north. Actually the death rate must reflect an amazing health care system given 30k cases, but it's early days for Germany. Their pipeline is very full, agreed I wouldn't want to make a prediction there.

EDIT: sensitivity.
If you pause to think about it is toilet paper actually an essential good? There are other ways…
First day after mandatory shutdown of various businesses where people congregate in a "disorganized" manner, and Centrelink (Government service for the unemployed - to put it very crudely) has massive queues and the website crashes due to overload[0]

Article linked to specifically says:

"The Government is estimating at least 1 million people could be made unemployed, joining the 700,000 people already receiving unemployment benefits.

That could take Australia's unemployment rate from 5.1 per cent to closer to 15 per cent."

700k unemployed = 5.1%
1.7m unemployed = 15.0%

Therefore employable population is between 11.3m and 13.7m

[0]https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-24/centrelink-minister-s...
@jakew can your product work as front-end for Joplin?
> 150,000 fatalities

Which COVID-19 will reach quite soon now.

Infecting someone through stupidity or ill will is closer to putting poison in their food than to driving a car.
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Circadian Risk aims to improve enterprise security and physical risk mitigation.

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Team:

We are a hard-working team who loves building great products that improve people’s lives. We have an HQ in Ann Arbor, MI, but we try to keep our processes sensible, lightweight, and asynchronous to enable a remote-friendly work environment. Every new hire is asked to read Maker’s Schedule, Manager’s Schedule so that we collectively internalize the importance of getting engineers into a flow state as much as possible. When we do have meetings, we strive to make them impactful and often lighthearted. We celebrate execution and personal growth. We enjoy rapid prototyping and sharing what we’ve learned across the team in weekly Dev Dives. We would love to find more self-motivated, strong communicators who can help modernize the physical security industry.

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I don't think many people knowing the facts are expecting that. It's that people, including me, dread the moments when the facts become manifest. This will prove us right but I will take no comfort in that confirmation. On the off chance that these (implausible sounding) arguments turn out right, well, woohoo, great.
WWI happened.

Historian see WWI as the war of chemists.

And WWII as the war of physicists.
> The rational way to behave is to not live roll to roll, so to speak. A well stocked pantry won't have trouble in a scare because... well it will have stock.

Just-in-time manufacturing succeeded because supply chains became reliable enough that factories didn't need their own stockpiles. If you're out in the country and you have a big pantry then sure, stock up, but those of us living in the city may not have space. And even if you do have space, if everyone realises they have no stock and decides to buy up a month's supply, that has pretty much the same practical impact as hoarding.
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The website itself says they have several weeks of delay in reporting and outbreaks are focal in nature
Killing Parse really surprised me at the time.
Even in Italy, the National Health Institute said that 88% of the declared "dead by covid19" had in fact at least 1 or 2 other pre-morbidities.

If a 80 years old dies from heart attack and is tested positive by covid19, it will count as "dead by covid19".

The numbers we see in the news of "CFR" for the covid19 are, in my opinion, inaccurate. The number only shows the spread of the infection, not its actual fatality rate.
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30% in South Korea.
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Toilet paper is relatively new in human's history. I'd love to see the current crisis as an incentive to go back to some alternative... All this cellulose could then be allocated to other uses.
Well, I didn't want to say it, but I'm sure that plays a role as well.
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I think most people are happy to buy a 24 pack at the moment (and would probably buy multiples of smaller packs otherwise), and it's probably easier to distribute only 24-packs than a mix of sizes. I'm all for manufacturers prioritising throughput over convenience for the duration of the crisis.
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Raytracing – In Excel
US$1 ~ 30.2NT so the original numbers seem correct.
UK Dementia Research Institute at Imperial College London | London, UK | Full Time | R, Python, NextFlow, WDL, Bioinformatics

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/jobs/description/MED01750/researc...

I'm recruiting postdocs (research associates) to work with me on figuring out the biological proceses underlying Alzheimers and Parkinsons. I take a neurogenomics approach, mapping GWAS loci genome-wide onto cell type specific genome annotations [1]. We use advanced machine learning methods to extend the reach of available datasets. I'm looking for someone with great programming skills, that's familiar with genomics, ideally with a maths/CS type background.

The lab's going to be generating substantial amounts of single cell genomic data from post-mortem human brain and projects will involve analysing this (am also very happy to hear from people looking to be involved in generating this data).

Would be great to find someone with an entrepreneurial bent interested in commercialisation of research.

[1] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41588-018-0129-5
> Full keyboard and mouse support is in iOS 13.4.

Sorry, that was the point I was trying to make. Apple isn't afraid to cannibalize their own product lines by improving their "lesser" product. Rather than being a sign of "big-company-itis", it's a sign of being agile.

> The Surface is just another Windows computer with all the baggage that entails

Microsoft has a history of evolving their products until they are a success, I wouldn't count anything out on it's current iteration.

There's not just the Surface either, the Chromebook could have a future as software moves more and more onto the web and people don't really leave their browsers.
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Possibly relevant for those looking for easier ways to create Markdown tables: A few years ago, I wrote a spec for Markdown tables using a subset of YAML -- no GUI required for authoring.

Curious what HN thinks of it:
https://github.com/IFTTT/tablerize
It's common even for embedded systems which use busybox to provide /bin/bash because bash itself is not that large.
> No, not just other peoples - that includes my own life too.

Yes, I agree, your own life is important too.

If you're not familiar with "your right to swing your fist ends at my nose", it refers to when your exercise of your personal freedom deprives another person of their personal freedom.

> The freedoms enshrined upon us by the constitution are not negotiable

And yet here you are, advocating depriving people of their freedom to live.

In the present case, your right to freely wander around, asymptomatically spreading COVID-19 contributes to depriving others of their freedom, by killing and disabling them.

The cold harsh reality of the biological world right now is that some freedoms exercised by a person are causally depriving other persons of those same freedoms.

You might not like that, but it appears to be the state of biological nature right now.

To assert that the freedoms enshrined by the constitution are "not negotiable" involves irony, denial and paradox: Because in exercising those freedoms, you yourself are taking them away from other people.

That's my argument and moral basis, anyway. The point is to persuade you to comply voluntarily due to compassion, whereby you ideally make the choice to do so out of consideration for the welfare of others in a situation where your actions affect others.

I've been stuck at home for a while now, so as to not kill another person staying with me. It's not like I enjoy being stuck at home.

I'll be mighty unhappy, and unimpressed by constitutional arguments, if they get killed or disabled because other people make an informed decision that their inalienable right to spread COVID-19 outweighs my person's inalienable right to life, liberty and dignity.
If you haven't tried it, you don't really know. The advice isn't coming from people unacquainted with your method.
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This didn't get enough attention the first time around.

We know enough now to act decisively against Covid-19. Social distancing is a good place to start - Marc Lipsitch reponding to John Ioannidis.

Previous conversation
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22620283
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Good point, but what's the relative difficulty of recording all your MITM'd TLS traffic org-wide as plaintext versus attacking specific sites with custom JS to exflitrate JS encryption keys? It's additional friction for lazy spying, mostly, and for a situation where TLS traffic is passively snooped and broken by other means than MITM.
Not the person you responded to, but I just joined somewhere new and it's clear Firebase was the biggest mistake / is the biggest source of technical debt. It was helpful for bootstrapping 6 years ago, but now it stands out as the worst part of our tech stack. For our small shop, we will not be able to migrate any time soon.

- Most frustrating are the outages we have no control over. It seems like every other day, the server running our firebase instance mysteriously disappears from the internet. We can ping `my-app.fibaseio.com` but receive no events from it. This lasts anywhere from 5 to 25 minutes. Usually there is no blip in the firebase status page. The main devs have given up trying to debug it.

- We are nearing the resource limits of the paid plan for a single realtime database. We're working on splitting our one database into a master and sharding what we can.

- The particular eventual consistency and transaction semantics require workarounds everywhere. If you want an atomic transaction, you have to perform it on some common parent, but you are also encouraged to keep your data model flat and normalize as much as possible. Our integration test suite is tiny and horrendously slow because we cannot rely on Firebase to be timely, so there are huge timeouts everywhere that regularly take ages. Every past attempt at tuning the timeouts to be shorter eventually causes spurious failures a week later.

- Unless your data closely models the kind of chat application Firebase was built around, you end up needing a real database eventually. Not just to perform real queries with joins and complex logic, but also to essentially maintain indices that anemic mobile clients can use because the firebase filtered query semantics are limited to a single key. Now you need some kind of daemon to shuffle data in and out of your real database. Unfortunately, your real database is missing tons of foreign key constraints because that's the easiest way to handle firebase's eventual consistency.

That's just my take a month after joining somewhere intimately coupled to firebase.
That ‘careful thought and consideration’ let to the Reign of Terror.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reign_of_Terror

The road to hell, & etc.
Yes! I remember browsing this site as a child. They had all sorts of whacky stuff for sale, like “anti-gravity” devices. I think I found it through the ads in the back of Popular Science.
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7% of Italy did not die.
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Normally I'd agree with "definitely not normal", but that was also my experience at Amazon less than a year ago.

4 hour onsite, no message afterwards. That was not the only procedural mess with the interview, either. No biggie, though, because the interview convinced me that I didn't want the job.
I never experienced any problem either until I moved to Asia and now whenever I visit the west I can now feel how poorly cleaned my butt actually gets. I actually took to hopping in the shower again if I took a dump in the morning before leaving the hotel room...
Like Reelin said, it's effectiveness may be related to it's ability to modulate immune activity by affecting pH.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27927040

Course, that'll only work if the symptoms are being caused by an overactive immune system and it's able to mediate that immune response in time.
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"And yet it moves" Galileo Galilei https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/And_yet_it_moves?wprov=sfla1 . I agree that in many axpects the situation is exagerated, in primis by general panic. But If the Covid is not much worse than flu why in Italy we have military trucks convoy that transport death to southern regions because the wait line for crematory in North is becomed too long?
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Python 3.9.0a5 is now available for testing
I'd adopt this immediately if it could integrate with editors like vscode
For people that didn't read: it's "disappointing" because both the control and study groups largely tested negative (93% and 87% respectively). That 87% figure sounds worse than the control but it actually is better than in the French study.

What happened in essence is that almost all cases were mild so the patients almost all got better after a while, with or without medication. This doesn't mean HCQ is ineffective, only that its efficacy couldn't be measured in this instance. And I wouldn't call a study where almost everyone gets better at the end "disappointing".
> 1 - article has wrong info. Under Windows 10 the name is ATMLIB.DLL. ATMFD.DLL is the name for older version of Windows

I don't think they have the wrong info. According to the MS advisory they linked (https://portal.msrc.microsoft.com/en-us/security-guidance/ad...) it would appear that ATMLIB.dll is not actually affected as there is no mention of it at all, only ATMFD.dll. Also implied by the advisroy is that ATMFD.dll is present on Windows 10 but only versions prior to 1709:

> Rename ATMFD.DLL

> Please note: ATMFD.DLL is not present in Windows 10 installalations starting with Windows 10, version 1709. Newer versions do not have this DLL.
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For more context, The History Guy recently did the history on toilet paper: https://youtu.be/IVTRpTHPs3o as did Today I Found Out: https://youtu.be/1Xiu-L0BYak
>The hospitals are being overrun.

Which hospitals in the US are being overrun by Covid cases? Close friend works at a large hospital just north of Sacramento (near the first Covid death in California)... not a single Covid patient in their hospital. Heard a guy from NYU Lagone on the radio earlier - said they're nowhere near capacity. I'm not saying this isn't serious, but a lot of the rhetoric is alarmism with no basis in fact at this point.
> In other news I've got fourteen pounds of beans if anybody wants any.

Let your neighbors know, and be sure to tell them that there is no condition to wanting to eat them. Many people are going to go more hungry in the coming weeks or months, and helping those around us is one of the best ways to apply surplus.
I can’t recall exactly, I want to say 16 vCPUs and 64GB. How well a project can make use of the cores depends on how wide your dependency graph is vs how tall, as the unit of parallelism is a package.

The EC2 instance was on continuously, and I would ssh+tmux in. You could probably replace this with a server plugged in under your desk, depending on how much you trade off operational costs and capital costs.

More often than not I wanted passing tests to send something for review. If I needed an artifact, I would publish a docket image on an internal registry.
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Just use a towel or water, or whatever. This American obsession with toilet paper is very strange. I lived in Africa for two years and guess what they do there? They dip their hands in some water and wipe their butt with their hands. I wouldn't necessarily recommend this, but like, people need to get a grip and realize how many "essentials" aren't really essential at all.
Nice article! The only thing I'd add is that you can extend this to multiple GitHub identities, too, via SSH configs: https://www.bendb.com/blog/ssh-with-multiple-github-accounts...

I've been using variations on this technique for a few years now. It's kind of a pain to remember which URL to use to clone a repo, but is great for keeping that veneer of separation between work and personal projects.
In Taiwan, shops / restaurants are open as normal and people are walking around freely, other than the tiny percent in quarantine. Meanwhile Europe and the US are increasingly locked down. So which one has more freedom?
>> An economy is not something that one should have to shovels lives into to keep going.

I mean I want to agree in principle, but this is just an incorrect statement. It's a matter of what is a good-enough tradeoff of risk and reward. If you make people drive to work, some will die. If you want to mine lithium, some people will die in industrial accidents that wouldn't have died if you never built a lithium mine. If you are only willing to accept 0.000% risk, then we have to respond with a full economic shutdown whenever there is a flu outbreak, or even a common cold outbreak, because people will die if we don't stop the spread. All economic activity leads to deaths, most of the time the deaths are less obviously linked, and at a much lower rate, so we don't connect the fact that people commute to work in trains, and so the economic activity they are commuting into work to engage in directly causes their death in the form of the flu, train crashes, pedestrian accidents, and so on.

There is also a question of net lives lost, or harm minimization. Economic activity also leads to resources which can be used to tend for the sick and elderly, or better nutrition, or education, and to sum up everything that isn't eating acorns you can find on the ground (except even that is a form of economic activity). I would assume that just letting covid run free would be dramatically worse than shutting down the economy for a few weeks, but then what the endgame is I'm not sure, it really does depend on the death rate in an ICU vs with limited medical support, and the amount of economic harm this causes.

However, I think we can learn a lot from this outbreak. I was very, very embarrassed to wear my filter mask when I went to the store, so I only wore work gloves up until yesterday. Now I'm sitting in bed with a fever wondering whether I'm about to start coughing up blood (probably not, it's still more likely to be the flu). Next flu season (or, sadly, next covid season) I think I will wear my mask, though.

If people start wearing fashionable masks and gloves in the winter, we can virtually eliminate lots of communicable diseases.
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Intersting. Can you post what you did maybe on a Jupyter notebook?
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