skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This is cool! I have some things like this around my house but via a different approach that I'd like to share: each one is just an old-ish e-reader from eBay or Craigslist, a mix of Kobos and Kindles. Both brands can be made to show a full screen web browser (Kobo: by editing a config file from a computer, Kindle: by jailbreaking and installing Kindle-Web-Launcher), so I have them display a page from a web server on my LAN.

Since the browsers support JS and some mix of WebSockets, EventSource, and, at the very least, long polling, it's possible to send messages out to them to update data in real-time or refresh the entire page when I change it. The screens are sharp and the browsers do partial updates, fast enough that I have some touch-draggable sliders that follow your finger.

They cost me from $16-50 each, depending on model. They tend to be cheaper if there's a lot of wear/damage to the case, but if you put it in a shell or cover the whole thing with gaffer's tape, that's not a problem!
My sister's an ER doc in Baltimore and they're getting one mask per 12-hour shift. That quantity doesn't protect them from anything or their patients
> 0.05% is just ridiculous.

It is absolutely not ridiculous as a lower bound!
You don’t get it: letting old people die will just magically solve all of our problems!

Parents? Grandparents? Who needs them! They’re just a strain on the economy.

/s
What you described (isolating older people but not younger people) seemed to be the approach of the UK but it looks like political pressure might be changing that and they will close schools and so forth. Herd immunity won't develop if everyone is at home.

It seems like their current plan is to do what everyone else is doing, after wasting a lot of time.
I have an old kindle where I was trying to repurpose it for this kind of thing but got stuck after trying to flash it with some custom firmware.... will try again this weekend.

These kinds of projects are cool, but I think they’re even cooler if they’re reusing stuff you already have in random drawers in your house
That’s a quote out of context. If I ask what’s the worst thing that can happen, the replies are going to seem horrific as predictions.
Congresspeople on ventilators still sends a pretty strong message
I think about this a lot too. China in general has a much higher savings rate. Where as the US has a large proportion of the population that live pay check to pay check. What happens after a month and things are still not contained?
I honestly find it quite humorous when companies add "gaming" to a product name:

>Gaming Browser
>Gaming OS
>Gaming Optimizer
>Gaming Antivirus

It's usually just a cheap gimmick.
Dupe was apparently flagged
I wasn't comparing it to nCoV-19, I stated it was a lot of damage in absolute terms.
Covid-19 symptoms explained (motion graphic)
In recent years, Louisiana made efforts to reduce prison population then filled those for-profit spaces with higher paying immigrant detentions. I wonder what plans are for them?
How is anybody still making this argument?

"It stopped in China, so we don't need to do anything."

It stopped in China precisely because they did something. Diseases don't magically stop themselves. This is on the level of thinking your dirty dishes wash themselves, because your roommate grudgingly does them.
Even so, I think battery API is not the proper way to do it. Some sort of interrupt command (like UNIX has) may be better.
I think this might be yellow journalism.
I'm not sure it's intellectually honest to put all the blame on stupid investors, as a founder it's your job to deliver what the market and the investors want, or convince them otherwise. And if in fact investors and the market is just stupid, that's actually a great sign: you were just early and have a shot at doing it again in the future.
>stamp out all existing cases with aggressive testing,

We still lack the capacity for even testing all the people showing significant symptoms. That is why we can't contain it.

The rejection of the WHO tests in order to belatedly come up with our own tests is a massive scandal.
I'm not a lawyer, but this sounds like valid grounds for a class-action lawsuit.

Their advertising touts their 4K streaming and HDR quality, but then in practice they silently downgrade most non-television devices to HD resolutions and SDR. There's a footnote in some tech support article if you know where to look, that's it.

Under Australian consumer protection law, for example, this kind of deceptive or false advertising is flat-out illegal, and comes with eye-watering fines. Telecommunications companies have had huge fines for saying their Internet is "broadband" when it wasn't qualifying, for example.

If it wasn't such an enormous pain in the arse, I would love to get the ball rolling on a lawsuit, because flagrantly anti-consumer behaviour like this needs to stop.

Look at this this way: If you ask NetFlix about why they insist on DRM, particularly when most of their content is available in glorious 4K on certain pirate-themed bays, they mumble some excuse about contracts with their content providers. However, a huge chunk of their content is made by Netflix!

That's like a self-employed person saying "Sorry, this is company policy. My boss told me I have to do this nonsensical bad thing."

It's just absurd.
China's case fatality rate is half Italy's -- if anything, that tells us the Italian numbers are too low.
New here. What's the difference between these two?
In particular, if we have serological tests we can find out who has had the disease with no symptoms or mild symptoms.

Anyone who has had the disease and recovered can afterward go about their life again, as they cannot (for at least a few months, if not longer) be reinfected or spread the disease.
This is why the US is not a good place to live in.
I don't want to put a price on life either, but that doesn't mean there is not a price.

The decisions we make now will affect everyone, not just those who die.

My point is that we can't avoid the trade-offs. We cannot pretend that saving the lives of sick people does not affect other lives.

Our society is not having that discussion, but is focused on saving as many lives as possible. Not enough attention is being paid to the other side of that trade-off.
Is it? It's a letter intended to persuade President Donald Trump to act in relief of California. I think the statistic is not out of context. There's nothing in that letter that changes the meaning.

We have outside knowledge with respect to the letter that changes how we understand that number, but it has been rhetorically used in the letter just as it is quoted in the title.

Often times things are sensationalist, or out of context, this is not one of those situations.
Mostly agreed. However, if the screen is split into the system area and document area, then the battery indicator could go in the system area, and the game need not know where it is; only the size of the document area needs to be known by the game (and not whether or not the system area is present, what it contains, etc).
And international hotel chains, and... the list grows so quickly, who can possibly keep up?
I hadn’t known exactly what srcset did until reading this, thank you!
I would disagree that the title should be changed, since the linked content does not reflect the additional context you’re referring to.

I suppose a more fully-qualified title might append “in letter to the president”.

But appending “if no measures are taken” is not accurate, since this article — his letter to the president — doesn’t include this context.

Saying the title is sensationalist is equivalent to saying the letter is sensationalist.

And if that is the case, the most you could say is a sensationalist title accurately represents a sensationalist letter.
> Aiming to let 56% of your population get infected of which more than 3% will die

Not a single paper to come out in the past 72 hours has a CFR that high. We have been inundated with these very high numbers, but they are based on an almost certainly underestimated infection rate.

Several experts have no opined that the CFR is likely less than 1%, perhaps much less.

A paper today projected it at .04% [0].

0: https://www.reddit.com/r/PrepareInsteadOfPanic/comments/fljz...
And when we deploy effective treatment plans, the fatility rate goes down.

Or the virus mutates with deletions, the fatility rate goes down.

Or when testing capacity finally reaches demand and lets us find infected folks sooner, the fatility rate goes down.

I'm not trying to be mean to you, just pointing out that there are potential positive outcomes ahead. We honestly don't know what's going to happen next, but there are plenty of reasons to have hope.
I did some back-of-the-envelope maths on this topic using South Korea stats, Diamond Princess stats, and the CDC Influenza and All-cause-pneumonia death dashboard.

Assuming that South Korea catches most of their cases and Diamond Princess caught all of them, and assuming also that those two populations are of the same basic age-and-health distribution as rest-of-world, and assuming that the virus is roughly equally deadly everywhere.

Further assuming that all deaths caused by COVID are deaths involving pneumonia, and that all deaths of elderly, I'll people whose proximate cause of death was pneumonia or pneumonia as a complication of their other illness, and yet further assuming that none of those deaths would be recorded as death by cardiovascular disease or chronic respiratory disease (as those two causes of death are in the top 5, and could hide the entire population having COVID)

All of those assumptions led me to an upper bound for undetected COVID cases as of March 1st of 350,000-400,000 cases. (That is how many cases would have produced a death rate that could have hidden in the moderate spike of influenza and pneumonia deaths from Jan 15th to Feb 15th)

My assumptions are massive, and have wide error bars in both directions, but each assumption either seems entirely defensible or else was mandatory to get an upper bound other than "everyone, plus or minus everyone"
Doesn't my analysis of Italy prove lower bound can't possibly be lower than 5x flu death rate, around 0.5%?
Yes, I and others commented on other threads about such thing.
Om Malik: Invisible
Black Fax
Home Remedies for Enlargement of Breast
Sure. And yes, Italy's population is more elderly as well. So I agree it's possible the death rate will be less than 5%. (Although I believe they're currently at ~8%, so we don't know that.) But those are the closest parallels we've seen so far as to what happens when a modern heathcare system gets overwhelmed by this, so they're the best estimates we have to work from.

And regardless, it would be very, very bad. If it's only 5M people instead of 15M, that's still catastrophic. Also while the hospitals are completely overwhelmed with COVID-19, people will die of other things that would normally be survivable.

And finally, we have an alternative: keep employing distancing and, where necessary, lockdown measures while scaling up testing. These lockdowns will get the cases under control, but they would flare back up as soon as they're ended. However, with the expanded testing, we can instead perform sufficient testing across the entire population to catch outbreaks before they start. With sufficient testing, things can go back to normal while remaining confident that we're not spreading the virus undetected and seeding a new outbreak. It needs to be orders of magnitude more than we have now, but it's entirely possible.
> From that he estimates the the mortality rate is between 0.05% and 1%.

No. He estimated the case fatality rate is that low. The mortality rate is much, much lower.
This is only true if you don't count the cost of massive casualties that are impossible to fully quantify the cost of and only count of the cost of running the healthcare system at existing capacity.

Let's cook up a fantasy scenario where we have unlimited resources and can treat as many patients as needed. Let's also optimistically pretend that only 1% of cases need ICU treatment. Take 1% of 327M and you get 3.2M ICU beds required. Now let's say that at the peak, half the population is sick (likely given the unmitigated exponential explosion scenario), meaning we need 1.6M ICU beds at the peak. We have roughly 100k ICU beds in the country, 1/16th what we need. The cost of those beds would be trillions of dollars. Of course we can't magically materialize ICU beds, so hundreds of thousands will die. I'd choose 6-12 months of the GFC over that _any day_.

Do you not believe these basic facts or just don't have empathy for other people who are at risk?
Coronavirus: From 93inf to 0 what did this Chinese City do to contain the virus?
I'm sure if they remake Logan's Run( they probably will) That would make a great tagline for the market of today.
And just like Gaming PC, Gaming Laptop, and Gaming Keyboard and Mouse, they double the cost.
No one should be surprised. This site, and its moderation, has (possibly even unintentionally) favored a certain political ideology for years. I and others stopped maintaining accounts over it. Any economic discussion is inevitably political, but strangely only certain types of comments and discussions get slaughtered by public opinion or admonished by moderators. (Easy to see in each passing day as it becomes obvious that direct relief / UBI are necessary and the libertarians of this site realize that caring for fellow human beings might benefit them too!)

I mean in the last week, multiple legit stories have been flagged off the home page about Coronavirus. Go back and look at the comments on the story that hit the frontpage about Trump trying to buy exclusive rights to a vaccine... A story that was ultimately confirmed as true. But yet it was flagged off the frontpage by Trump supporters that denounced it as "fake news" of course, as if he doesn't regularly do things that would be unbelievable without video/audio evidence.

Meanwhile, any comment, like yours, that mention the BLEAK REALITY THAT THIS IS GOING TO LAST MORE THAN 3 WEEKS is getting downvoted. Systematically. As if downvoting you changes basic fucking maths.

Frankly, I think it's massive cases of denial. I think people are just starting to get an image of how bad this is going to be and how fucked our social structure is about to be. Especially if this drags on for many months (like those of us paying attention understand is likely).

HN has just generally been particularly insufferable the last week and a half, but at least the really obnoxious deniers have mostly ... stopped.
Honestly, I'd be tempted to use this as my daily driver web browser, for the throttling capabilities alone.
Adblocker Ultimate shouldn't be recommended by Firefox
It's pretty clear that the current policies are misguided, IMO. The vast majority of those dying are the elderly and people with pre-existing conditions, most of the time, both. THOSE people should be locked down tight and they should receive testing and resources if we are to minimize the death toll. We're also fortunate in the sense that only 16% of US population is over 65 years old. Germany and especially Italy are nowhere near this lucky.

Instead, we're spreading limited resources super thin, and fucking up the economy in the process for everyone. Seems like offering these vulnerable populations temporary shelter and supported isolation for a month would do a heck of a lot better job than locking down everything _and not providing any support to the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions_. And you could easily offer such isolation: millions of hotel rooms are currently empty, and hoteliers are hurting for cash, which bodes well for getting those rooms (and room service to go with it) at cost.

Case in point: as of March 17, only 17 people of those who died in Italy were under the age of 50. That's out of something like 2800. And the median age of those dying was 80.5 years. Same stats on the ship: all of the deaths were among 70-80 year olds. This shows you who's really at risk in a Western-style medical system in a developed country.
The letter — which is what is linked — has no additional context. So I’m not sure how one could say it’s taken out of context.

It’s reflective of the actual content of the letter.
This is worthless
I would perhaps grant you "evil", but "bad", definitely not. This is one of those rare things economists seem to agree on. [0] The scenario you described would be unlikely if price gouging was legal/encouraged as the extra profit would largely be captured higher up in the chain (e.g. by the production factories). This would incentivize the re-purposing of factories to manufacture the high demand products, discourage hoarding, etc.

[0] https://www.econlib.org/archives/2017/09/a_poll_of_econo.htm...
Well given how widely people have carried his "0.05%" as lower bound, I'd imagine he'd have said something if he didn't really think it was a "reasonable estimate for the case fatality ratio in the general U.S. population", as he said.

I do agree though that more data is critical. Although we have far more than enough evidence now to know that we need to act strongly at least for now.
The parent is playing on the definition of "case." Cases are known infections, infections are infections. For example, the case fatality rate is the fraction of people who test positive and die, the infection fatality rate is the fraction of people who catch it and die.
Perhaps within the next five years we will see the number of deaths decline, as a pandemic results in people who would die in the next few years instead die earlier.
In SF they said it was a misdemeanor, but that being cited for it would be a last resort, that they would seek voluntary compliance before getting to that point.
>Take deaths, multiply by 400 and that's how many cases you have. This comes from the assumption of 1% mortality and 3 weeks to die.

So that 400 multiplier gives the number of cases as of 3 weeks prior to the death count used in the calculation?
But, this is not discussion at all--it's a doubling-down on various points of the manifesto. "Maybe you didn't catch my subtly brilliant note about tab spacing; now read a further two paragraphs of microdosed wisdom on the matter and you may become enlightened."
Will we still be able to get food delivery?

The order says only those part of CISA define critical infrastructure should show up to work, which doesn't seem to include pizza delivery or short order cooks.

https://www.cisa.gov/critical-infrastructure-sectors
This is pointless content marketing. Please don't upvote this.
I do think that this is one of the ways that the virus is currently spreading.

Evidence for this is on the Covid-19 map at Reuters website. [0]

I noticed that the counties in Texas with reported cases mostly lie along the I-35 corridor, the I-45 corridor, and the I-10 corridor. Then, if you follow I-35 north into Oklahoma you see cases along the route. In fact you can track it all the way to Minnesota along I-35. The exception in Texas is the recent cases coming out of Lubbock County but those could be spring break travel related or related to cases from people visiting relatives in DFW area since a lot of kids go west to Texas Tech from there.

Then I noticed that the Gulf Coast counties affected are along the I-10 corridor. Florida has a lot of cases along the interstates too. I-20 across northern Louisiana in to Baton Rouge. Travel west out of Denver and all the counties in that direction are reporting cases. I-25 from New Mexico into Wyoming has scattered cases in those counties too.

It almost looks like rest areas, convenience store rest rooms, motels, or other sites commonly used by people who travel by car, truck, SUV, or big rigs are focal points for spreading.

One has to wonder how many people who were already infected but who were still asymptomatic decided to take a car trip instead of flight across the country so that they wouldn't get exposed on a plane, and then unwittingly ended up spreading it everywhere.

I don't have city data for the reported cases nor do I have any information on where the infected people worked or whether they traveled but this sure looks a lot like widespread transmission along normal interstate commerce routes.

[0] https://www.reuters.com/
Bulgaria. YouTube is King still. To my knowledge, Hulu is a US only thing so...
Yes, and not only permissions, but overrides, too. (For example, to specify that the battery level should always be reported as a user-defined constant, rather than the actual level, or to use a file instead of a camera (or vice versa) if the user wants to.)
What is “just fire up” for you and I is an insurmountable hurdle for most people who use computers, either due to skills or ignorance, and is one of the main reasons that people use hosted, censorship platforms as default.
> So when people are talking about eradicating the coronavirus, they also mean in the animal population?

I think so:

https://www.who.int/csr/don/2003_06_19/en/

> Seems to me that the virus that can spread among humans is a different version than the one common among the animal population.

Not necessarily. Ncov that spreads in humans came to be in bats and skipped effortlessly to other species including humans with no meaningful changes.
I know many people are discounting chinese infection numbers because they are China but this is how they controlled the virus. The video is in Japanese with english subtitles by a japanese reporter.
Maybe for 80% of people, it doesn't matter that your HTML isn't semantic, but for the 20% of other people who have need for accessibility features, that's basically the same size as the entire market of web browsers not named "Google Chrome".
Fair enough. I stand by my guesstimate. I hope I'm more correct than the governor.

Also though, NYC is likely to need that hospital ship more than CA.
New York State Ventilator Allocation Guidelines (2015)
I mean honestly because of the geographical density of acute cases (this is relative to total cases, not a population normalized value) I can't help but believe that there is in Italy a regional concentration of some sort genetic susceptibility, especially among the elderly, who are less cosmopolitan.
The Labor Department is set to release the number of unemployment insurance claims next Thursday. It looks like there will be a lot more than this weeks 281,000
I wonder if anyone has tried forsythia against covid? I’m just saying... we’d all feel pretty foolish if we find out in a couple years that it is effective.

Edit: yeah, yeah... you downvote me, but I bet you secretly wiki'd forsythia to see if it's a real thing.
You can't have it both ways. Either

1) There are 10x (or 40x if you think) more cases out there and this is less dangerous than the flu or

2) There are 1x the cases out there and the transmission rate is what it is.

Bayesian stats is leaning towards 1) right now, and has been for a while given the evidence from SK and the cruise ship. However, when lives are at stake, it's incredibly important to err on the safe side until you're sure. In other words, be willing to lose $1 million dollars rather than lose 1 life (just throwing numbers out there).

But at some point, the greatest western economy crashing will lead to more loss of life than the flu. Let's just be sure 1st that it is just a bad flu and not potentially something worse.

Another critical reason for death rates to vary so much per country: Death rate is very dependent on quality and access to care.