skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Often tests are not performed on a random sample of the population but only on people that are symptomatic.

But not all symptomatic people receive tests.

Knowing those two number (number of symptomatic people who would have qualified for a test, were it available; number of test performed) could paint q better picture.
RC2014 mini comes to mind: https://rc2014.co.uk/modules/rc2014-mini/
It's not a meme, it's an analogy.
You think there would not be widespread panic if we just let the health system melt down?

What do you think a world without a health system would look like? Unemployment is going to be very hard to deal with, but it really feels like the best option out of the very difficult choices we have in front of us.

Fact is, shit is seriously bad whichever way you look at it.
We collected images, labeled the data and trained our model all on our own. We now have about 330k images (about 1800 models). We used resnet152 to train it.
So you're giving a javascript feature as an example of a pattern that doesn't fit javascript. Then you claim to use an equivalent but syntactically different form in js? How does this constitute a different pattern?
Novelty accounts making idiot accusations is nothing new here, unfortunately.
Daily New Cases isn’t actually trending upward at this point;

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-kore...

The article you linked is based on a single day’s new case count.
I find these stones fascinating. You might be interested in this NPR article: https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2011/02/15/131934618/the-...
Review: With Charterstone, a “legacy” game goes digital
A first look at Microsoft’s xCloud game streaming service for Windows PCs
"All this to say: I think we are losing our economy and I think probably this isn’t effective."

Fixed this for you.

(Additional comment: I will counter with I'm really amazed how quickly people threw away the economy in an effort to reduce lost lives. Normally, I expect people to be much more mercurial)
counter points:

Many doctors lack training in epidemiology. Many epidemiologists aren't actual doctors.

Healthcare in general is horrible with generating accurate raw data (JHU data comes often from scraping websites and the CDC itself has stopped publishing number of daily tests weeks ago). <-- this in fact is a technical problem not a medical one!

You don't have to be a Dr. med in order to see gaps and problems with statistics and a large part of the conjecturing actually comes from gaps and flaws in the sources and the way data is presented. A background in an isolated discipline (only med, only statistics, only Math, etc) is not enough to harness and make sense of complexity.

Finally research papers themselves are all pre-print and not peer-reviewed which is a trade-off in accuracy for speed.

We're all finding solutions as we go and the more eye-balls from different discipline this gets, the better the outcome!
This site shows the number of tests performed in each state in the US:

https://covidtracking.com/data/
This site is not sketchy at all. If you knew how to review HTML you would realize that quickly.

Why are you on hacker news?
You're basing your curve off faulty data. We haven't been doing testing so we don't really know. Until a week ago no one was doing anything about it and staying home like they are now. Again that will vastly throw off your curve. It's still too early. Give it a week and re-run your model.
Gabe Newell Talks Half-Life Alyx and Valve's Past and (Unexpected) Future (2020)
Cambridge University Press has made higher education textbooks free online
"We're virus free! Our strategy of extensively not testing has eliminated cases of the disease! Come to the 2020 Olympics, stay long, and please spend money here."
While clever, I’m not a fan of this argument as it ignores the fact that each of steps are different things requiring different skills. Putting samples together is more arranging music, while creating the notes is composing. After that, you have sound design, playing an instrument, making an instrument yourself...

Sure none of these are “cheating”, but someone somewhere has to do each of those things, and the further down the chain you go, the more “control” you get over your sound and composition. The law of diminishing returns of course hits at some point (although someone may argue that their breed of goats has a certain sound they can’t get any other way).

It’s the same thing in programming: someone chaining together libraries may eventually run into a point where there’s nothing out there that does exactly what they need. That doesn’t mean it’s not your work unless you’ve written the compiler yourself, or have your own fab in your garage, it just means you have to be aware of the degree of control you give up the higher level you go.
The death curve is a lot less deceptive than the number of cases.
Correct.

Statists and the government (as well as various Big Data businesses) use every opportunity to curtail freedoms. The government has no business deciding for me how I pay.
In America at least, the functioning, advanced health care system is a barely accessible to people who are unemployed, and the government doesn't look like it's going to do anything to change that soon.
Why not incrementally convert it to modern C++?
I see. Sounds pretty similar to what we do.
> bad actors

Who?

The only off-base individual I see relating to blockchain is you, commenting on all my posts, with false, libelous comments.
I suspect after 1 or 2 months people will say enough is enough and force their reps to call off the quarantine. We can't do this for 18 months.
I suppose so, though pre-edit certainly seemed to be masks generally, including a WHO statement on masks generally. Not to mention there have been some vigorous arguments on HN where people dismiss masks wholesale (including N95 masks).

Though while dismissing DIY masks, it's worth noting that the CDC is now telling actual front-line workers to fashion masks out of bandanas, etc. Anything that slows/scatters air is going to have some effectiveness.
The United States "abolished" slavery in the 13th amendment of its Constitution;
however, the amendment explicitly makes an exception for punishment for crime.

Text of the 13th amendment of the United States Constitution, Section 1 (emphasis
mine):

> Neither slavery nor involuntary servitude, except as a punishment for crime whereof the party shall have been duly convicted, shall exist within the United States, or any place subject to their jurisdiction.

It's really not pushing it when it says so right there.
Yesterday's evening jump was unexpected. We jumped yesterday, instead of 1.5x the day before, all of the way to 2x.n If 10k is the new baseline and we return back to 1.5x we're going to exceed Italy in cases by Monday and exceed China by Wednesday.

Then, I fear, St Patrick's day partiers will only be measured by next Wednesday; 5 days incubation + 5 days to have test results.
> Update: Why the down-vote?

A guess: nautil.us doesn't support https.
Yes.

Also, we have massive campaigns to immunise as many vulnerable as possible against flu every year.
Some US specific data is at https://covidactnow.org/
..and it's nasty, my wife only just recovered from it a week ago after a total of 8 weeks in bed.
You’re conflating all-causes death with novel death. It takes the expected death rate of the cohort from 10% to (given full penetration) 30%.
Well I am equally not sure why it is federal governments responsibility to help and direct

In our system of government the State Governments are suppose to be the most powerful, not the federal government

it is a Union of States after all.

The fact that in the last 100 years or so we continually have centralized more and more power into the hands of the federal government is a huge issue, but instead of recognizing that issue people seeming want to put more and more power federally and continue to strip their local governments of power

The smaller the unit of power the faster it can react to local changes. In situations like this it SHOULD be local government leading the charge not a slow monolithic federal government
3blue1brown did a good video explaining the logistic shape of pandemic curves:
https://youtu.be/Kas0tIxDvrg

My key takeaway was that once you see the inflection point, you know that you’ll have roughly 2x the number infections by the time it’s done.
Are you referring to preheating the oven (i.e. the big box with the stove on top that gets warm) or the Dutch oven (i.e. the cast iron bowl with a lid)?
Trying to Write When You’re Worried and Concerned
We have plenty of flu tests. Covid-19 is also pretty distinctive on chest CT scans, if it's advanced enough to kill you.

The numbers may be wrong in that article but the math itself seems straightforward. It's certainly true that we need more tests to be sure of the numbers.

Here's a pretty interesting simulation from a research group at the University of Basel: https://neherlab.org/covid19/
The whole satellites-for-Internet space is like Global Crossing 2.0. I mean, business 101 is that high fixed costs + commodity business + high likelihood that technology that will decrease future fixed costs + no ability to repurpose fixed assets = no profit.

Good for society. Bad for investors.
If we look at the Spanish flu, which was worse than this, there wasn't much panic and the economy recovered fairly quickly. Here's a random article I found online arguing that we'd get better results (both for public health and the economy) by testing more and isolating the at-risk populations than by quaranting everyone: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/opinion/coronavirus-pande...
It's essentially a nuke. It's pausing revenue in a lot of situations. Some of that revenue then goes on to pay other workers.
You also don't need to wait 16 hours for a leavening. Just about 2 hours with the process explained in the article may be sufficient as well.

YMMV though since, in my experience, the simplicity of it all is actually quite nuanced and delicate. Small changes in water amounts or yeast preparation can yield big differences in the end product. Curious to hear someone's thoughts on this...

Edit: This is also often called a "no knead" recipe...
Single and Multi family office software management solutions
So we start with your parents and grandparents? Think of all those lovely assets you will get.
No. It's because of everything in the posted presentation - 50% of companies are SMBs (in the States), and they understandably don't keep enough reserves to weather 3 months of losses.

The stock market is reflecting that the damage this will do on the economy is real, and currently unknown but expected to be pretty bad.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergency_Medical_Treatment_...
The FireEye Approach to Operational Technology Security
Yes, I wrote 'identified infections' and spoke of the general magnitude rather than using the 3.4% from the WHO.

In South Korea, where testing criteria are relatively broad, the death rate for the positive test group is over 1% (100/8700).
She is obviously a guy! :P
Ah yes, a creator of a language wanting his pet language to be the best language for everything. That's a first
Adding onto this, people are indeed being arrested and charged by the NYPD for disorderly conduct and failing to disperse: https://www.nydailynews.com/coronavirus/ny-coronavirus-state...

More broadly, if you live in NYC and know the NYPD, then of course they're going to respond in this manner when such orders come out. When they have authority, they use it.
Thank you. I didn't notice that before.
Probably wanting memory safety.
I don't write C++ though I have written some C. I imagine it's easier to shoot yourself in the foot with C++ compared to Rust; it's specifically designed to be a safe language, whereas C++ had things like auto_ptr added

Why have a half-way solution of porting to modern C++ when you can just write it in Rust?
I was referring to the comment to which I replied, not the trilemma.
Why don't we know the extent of seasonal transmission? At the very least, we have data from areas that are in opposite seasons, even if we've yet to collect data on the transition from one season to another. Can't we get some insight from comparing the rate of transmission in Australia, where it's summer, to the UK, where it's winter?
I’m using it right now - it feels quite natural, and you can turn off the “snapping” effect if you want - the control will still highlight underneath, but you also still see the cursor.

With the effect on the cursor “snaps” to button targets, and when it does the effect has a pulling effect, so if you apply a little motion it will move out of the control, but you see the effect visually.

It serves the purpose of knowing that you can click on something, plus also makes clicking things faster because of the snapping to targets. It’s kind of like auto-aim but for your trackpad.
Creating an iPhone-Enabled Raspberry Pi Squawk Box
Surgical-style masks are designed to catch droplets from the wearer, and therefore prevent the wearer infecting others. They are not useful in the reverse direction, only those other super-tight masks are.

So if you are healthy right now, you should probably not be wearing a surgical mask. However there is a use for healthy medical professionals wearing a surgical mask, which is to prevent them from becoming a vector for the virus as much as possible. Since a medical professional may see many patients in a day, and only days later learn that one of their patients was infected (and therefore they may be also), the surgical mask will be moderately effective at preventing infection of the numerous people they have seen in the meantime.

Hypothetically it would be great if we could all wear masks for the protection of others, such as they have been doing in Taiwan (amongst other places). However, the shortage of masks means that we should deploy them where they are most effective, which is medical professionals. (Taiwan actually mobilised their military to ramp up mask production, it’s not like they just magically had enough masks for everyone).
You are in denial.
>but also seeing people as numbers on a spreadsheet.

Looking at numbers in spreadsheets is how you stay in business.

>Some people are in a situation where they need work now or very soon.

Then they should lower their rates until they find a market clearing salary.

I'm flabbergasted at the argument that a business should pay a potential employee whatever they demand, because that person "needs work". It flies in the face of all logic.
Great write-up, when I checked out TS a month or more ago, documentation was severely lacking, and the repo wasnt out there. Lot of docs confused things as they talked about some logging services (pivoted product??).

In any case the one concern I had was the coordination server being able to add new nodes as another commenter mentioned. Indeed when I first set it up, they added some dev node for chat to my peers by default! That worries me a bit. You basically have to trust their coordinator is super secure. Otherwise if someone can abuse it, they could add nodes to your very private network.
I am worried that we are choosing the second route with articles like this one: https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-03-20/coronavi...
I have a son that I put in gymnastics when he was a child. One of his teachers basically told us "Put him on Ritalin" because he never sat still in class. ADHD had already been ruled out, so this "Let's skip diagnostics and go straight to just drugging your kid for my convenience" attitude really pissed off my husband.

If he was exhausted enough, he occasionally sat still. So he was in gymnastics for a time and, when he was younger, I just made sure to take him to the park and stuff a lot so he could run around some every single day. Otherwise, there was no hope he would actually sleep.

He's also a kinesthetic learner (and thinker).
> If companies don’t behave responsibly they should lose that privilege and the owners could be held liable for debt and these kinds of mistakes personally.

What mistakes? Is it a mistake to not keep a rainy day fund that will allow a company to weather a once-in-a-hundred-years shutdown of the entire economy? If this turns out to last a year, will you think it's a mistake that companies didn't keep a year's worth of reserves?

Especially since we're talking about SMBs here. Your local electrician, who has a staff of 3, should keep enough money saved up to pay all staff for the next year just in case?

You're saying a bunch of buzzwordy slogans kind of like "limited liability is bad" or "obligation to shareholders was invented by Friedman", but not dealing with the actual facts on the ground or the current catastrophe.
And I am having serious misgivings about posting it, nonetheless, many people have expressed deep concerned, and I'm doing the same, only with actual data.

I made it clear the limits of my knowledge - which may still not excuse me, however I have to ask if you are an epidemiologist and if so, please tell me how to model the data better. And I don't mean randomly google up some papers to dump here and pretend you are an expert (unless you are).

How far can I extrapolate e^x before it becomes useless? What are the confidence limits I can use in the extrapolation? How much can I approximate the logistic function with an exponential, when as now, the cases are currently a small fraction of the population? Why is this site http://nrg.cs.ucl.ac.uk/mjh/covid19/ done by experts using log axis any different from mine using curve fitting with exponentials? Why does http://nrg.cs.ucl.ac.uk/mjh/covid19/#w say the USA is 11.5 days behind Italy whereas my amateur attemp suggest ~9 days? (and yes, I wish I'd seen these graphs before I posted)
What else have I missed? Criticise freely, with reason, don't just accuse me of misinformation because I posted my fears, which others have done too, only I did the maths.

Now please excuse me while I look at the logistics curve and compare its early stages with exponentiation.
You can use strict types and enforce that all types are correct during runtime. Check out mypy with "--no-any-expression" flag and Pydantic.
There is no runtime typechecking, but with an offline typechecker like mypy they're still far more than just IDE hints. In my experience you can catch most typing problems that way.

PHP went with runtime typechecking, and it isn't pretty. The type system is much less powerful than Python's because it's really hard to add complex runtime checks to an already existing dynamic language. You can make a function check whether its argument is an array, but you can't make it check whether it's, say, an array of integers, because that would require walking through the entire array, or making every array do expensive bookkeeping in case it's needed later.

If you want more complex types you have to resort to phpdoc annotations, which are only useful for offline checkers, like Python's.

When I wrote PHP we used Psalm for offline typechecking. Between that and PhpStorm the runtime checks didn't add a lot of value, and they even made mocking a lot harder at times.

On the other hand I imagine runtime checks are more useful for legacy codebases that are too messy for static analysis. I didn't work on those.
Some (most?) also have a dough setting. They’ll mix, knead, and let the dough rise (warmed, usually) for you, and notify you when they’re done. You can get about 80-90% of the way to the results of a fully manual process by doing that, then baking, especially if you’re making a fairly plain loaf. The bake is where bread machines fall short (in my experience) so doing just that part in the oven bridges most of the gap. Easy clean up, low effort, good results.
> There’s nothing to stop calling functions with incorrect datatypes at runtime

You can enforce typechecking of your code on the CI with a tool like `mypy` if you want additional safety. But you'll never get the same guarantees you'd get in OCaml or Rust. It's a tradeoff between flexibility and safety.
Shorthand CSS Framework
I still don't quite understand how folks could use one for most work, aside from using one as an SSH terminal or if you're an artist who can make use of the (excellent!) Pencil. I have a 38" monitor on my desk and literally everything I do absolutely screams for more real estate. The most I can have on screen at once, the less cognitive overhead.

But, I really love our iPads for enjoyment purposes. Apple Arcade is a really nice gaming deal and you can pair Xbox/PS controllers. It's also obviously nicer than a phone for reading and watching things.

It's nicer than a laptop for reading some things, thanks to the option to switch to a vertical orientation.

The speakers on the iPad Pros are actually quite impressive as well. Not as good as the 2019 16" MBP (which are REALLY impressive) but they are very enjoyable for watching videos.

iPads are also nice for kitchen use - watching videos or looking at recipes. No worries about things getting into the keyboard, like with a laptop.

iPads are far from essential. I could easily live without one. But in our house they've finally carved out a very solid niche.
> I think it should be up to the API to specify which types are allowed, not the developer just hoping it works.

This assumes:

- the dev is thinking about the API

- the dev has the knowledge and experience to do it

- the dev has the resource/constraints that allow to do so

- dev has an interest in doing so

- this is a good investment for that particular project

Thinking in black and white does not make for good language design.

I'm glad Guido designed Python and said no to so many requests to make it no Python. Because he sure been pressured to.

> When you’ve worked on a sufficiently large and complex code base maybe you’ll understand.

I do.

I also understand Python projects that have a favorable cost/benefit ratio for type hints are not that many.

When you're used to hammer you see everything as a nail, and people loving a specific language feature tend to want it everywhere.

A huge number of dev in the Python community are not professional nor even experienced programmers. And a equally big number of projects have a size or a nature that makes type hint a bad value.

When you’ve worked on a sufficiently diverse project base maybe you’ll understand.
Locked-down lawyers warned Alexa is hearing confidential calls
If you haven't heard about the Seattle Flu Study - this is a great read. Coronavirus was in Seattle before officials confirmed it. The federal government also prevented the researchers from doing more testing, delaying valuable time.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/10/us/coronavirus-testing-de...
Haskell is lazy, all data structures work this way unless specifically annotated otherwise.
Within standard haskell 2010 it is hard to declare a linked list that doesn't work this way.

It is also worth noting that haskell has library specified fusion rules so the closure isn't even allocated most of the time. So

sum (take 10 [0..])

compiles into an allocation free loop. I will give you that this isn't a linked list anymore, though.
A CS prof of mine said studying CS to later do programming is like studying architecture to later be a house builder. I find it an apt comparison.
Would this be applicable to SETI?