skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Can you cite some references on "there was really going to be a curve"? I haven't seen any models that expect it to die out on its own without infecting a significant proportion of the population first - all of them assume exponential spread, just different rates of it (which is exactly what social distancing lowers).
I'd realize immediately since those links would be broken. I have had:

network.ftp.enabled: false

set since it was introduced in Firefox 60 (over a year ago). I've had a total of one link broken in that time.
I think the solution should be to use the "accesskey" attribute. Unfortunately, not enough web page writers use it.
I don't know how much precedent there is for this type of testing (have we used similar things for Ebola or SARS or measles or anything else?).

I've read that this will be useful in broad studies to track how widely the disease might have spread without being diagnosed. But will this type of antibody test eventually be available for any doctor to order for a patient? I'm just getting over a fairly mild but persistent chest cold which also had me with a slight fever last week, and would really like to know if it is/was covid-19 or not. Last week when I still had the worst of the symptoms, my doctor said I didn't meet enough of the criteria to be tested.
And also this.

>Positive results may be due to past or present infection with non-SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus strains, such as coronavirus HKU1, NL63, OC43, or 229E.
True, but if you have digital display - that is, which have separate, immovable pixels, working with pixels and not with vector-based analog primitives - you'll eventually have to convert "vector" picture into "pixel" picture.
Bear in mind in relation to immunity -- "Positive results may be due to past or present infection with non-SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus strains, such as coronavirus HKU1, NL63, OC43, or 229E."
that's usually a seller that has Walmart or Amazon fulfilling all of their orders and has multiple storefronts connected to that fulfillment program. Shopify is one, but there are many others i don't know about. I've been looking into it to resell some small parts in small quantities. just bag and tag them with an SKU that matches what you give Amazon, and they will pack and ship it for you.
If the test was not measuring anything at all, then you would expect repeat takers to have completely unrelated scores on first and last test.
Citation?

I saw the one story about people "testing positive again" but that seemed to be a testing abnormality, not people getting sick a second time.
How much do rockets pollute?
Sure, have some home made barotrauma and pneumonia to go with your COVID.
I remember the days of surprise phone calls, and enjoyed them because there really weren't other forms of distraction. People usually called because they were interested, not always because they needed something or to work out the logistics of something else.

Today, surprise phone calls seem unwanted because we already have other devices beeping, vibrating, and popping up at us constantly. Because people overshare their lives on social media, few talk one-on-one to ask each other how they are doing. When they do call, it's because they need something, or because of bad news, like a relative dying.
I think if you test positive with an antibody test but not an rna test it means your immune system has the ability to fight it off from a previous infection but the virus isn’t currently multiplying inside you.
Yes, and it's the best proxy we have.
No, the course is 10 days IIRC.
> Nobody is proposing we just let people die.

Agreed, but a lot of people are arguing for the thing that will almost certainly lead to a lot more deaths.

Right now, as I type this, many hospitals in the United States have had all of their excess capacity filled with Covid-19 cases. Not most, but many.

Now, please click this link, then click Logarithmic on the top.

https://mackuba.eu/corona/#united_states

Once large groups of hospitals reach saturation, people who could otherwise be saved will be black tagged and left to die.

Two women my wife is Facebook friends with, after two weeks of a mild fever, malaise and a moderate, unproductive cough, started having a hard time breathing. They went in and were both positive for Covid-19. They were placed on ventilators, and were soon in critical condition. One of them died this morning, the other is clinging on to life.

Neither of these people are old; neither of them have any substantial medical history or other comorbidities.

This bug is dangerous for all of us; it's extremely dangerous for some of us.

It's true that few people are soberly thinking about the mid and long term economic cost of this pandemic. In my opinion, there's a good chance we're facing something on the order of the great depression.

Be that as it may, lives must come first.
As long as money is cheap, the rich (VCs, Angels) will throw cash at you to satisfy their tax liability. A unicorn going public is just a side benefit.
i ride bike/take train to work, and have my personal phone, work phone, work laptop, some other things such as power adapter, and a drink to take along the way (all in the same bag)

the other thing is, even though i mostly program, at work we are always up and about, going for meetings, or offsite etc etc

so for me, being as light as possible helps a great deal... the last gen macbook w/dual core i7 (4 thread w/hyperthreading), 16GB ram and 512GB storage, retina display, and all being less than 1kg is a huge boon
Presumably that doesn't mean people forgo gloves in the lab though, right? The point is you get them dirty, and then you take them off.
But there are other tests, the US just didn't use them. South Korea has had tremendous success with testing.

> On Feb. 4, two weeks after South Korea reported its first coronavirus case, the government gave “emergency approval” for Seoul-based Kogene Biotech to move ahead with the test kits.

> Kogene currently exports test kits for the novel virus to 35 countries in Asia, Europe and the Middle East.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/coronaviru...

> Researchers say a viral test is relatively easy to develop. Rather, scientists say, the chasm between the testing haves and have-nots reflects politics, public health strategies and, in some cases, blunders.

> South Korea opened nearly 600 testing clinics, including dozens of drive-through stations. More than 250,000 people have been tested

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/world/europe/coronavirus-...
We have a pretty good idea in Italy how many cases are asymptomatic or very mild and it is enormous. Traveling right now but if you are interested I'll update tomorrow
https://www.jci.org/articles/view/138003

It's far to early to call it a slam dunk for nCov-2, but it is a treatment already used for rabies and hepatitis.
I faced this same decision a couple years back and one thing I would say is I have tried flat file services like blot (https://blot.im) and even building my own CMS and ultimately just ended up wasting time as I needed more functionality over time. I built https://radarthemes.com which I used to build blogging themes for developers, creators, and for myself. I even released a free theme for others who faced the same road I faced.

- https://radarthemes.com/theme/trooper-lite/ (free)
- https://wordpress.org/themes/trooper-lite/ (free)

WordPress is a fantastic cms and I highly recommend it for blogging. If you do not care about additional functionality then blot.im was a great service.
I have the same opinion as it relates to 2D RPGs, e.g., FF6. The level of detail that could be added into the most benign piece of background art added so much more weight into the entire scene.
> That's an antibody test, not an RNA test.

Yes, this is an exposure test - which works okay for a completely novel virus like this one.

The real question is whether this has a drop-off factor for immunity for instance (i.e non-infectious herd immune) or if it can differentiate between exposure and carrier for the disease.

It might be useful right now, but it will get less useful as the months go by.

For instance, the QuantiFeron test for TB tests me as positive because my white blood cells take TB very seriously (or so it looks like).
OK, good. With both antibody tests and virus tests available, people who have had COVID-19 and recovered, and now presumably have immunity for some length of time, can be identified, even if asymptomatic. They can go back to normal life. In China, they'd be given a green card with a QR code to identify them.

How long immunity lasts after recovery is still an unknown. Maybe for life, maybe for weeks. Repeated tests over time will tell.
Citation? IIRC all of the examples were either false positive re-tests or atypical patients (i.e. with some immune issue that only supressed the virus when they tested negative)
China had a similar shortage (actually more severe due to their population size) but they got on with the program and furiously ramped up their production. We need to do the same here. Remember the whole world will be looking to buy masks and we have no reason to believe that we will be in the front of the line.
Everybody feels the same way - mechanics feel exactly the same. IT tech support people feel the same.

And, you know, it seems like an increasing number of medical professionals just defer to whatever the patient wants anyway. What's the point of saying you're the expert if you won't be the expert?
Concurnas vs. Java – JVM Language Comparison
that's actually a very good idea! thanks for sharing this.
Intel Scales Neuromorphic Research System to 100M Neurons
The time can be used to do a lot of things:

* Rapidly expand healthcare capacity

* Develop a vaccine

* Build out a testing infrastructure that allows for targeted containment, rapid response, and chain-of-infection tracing without needing a full lockdown
jekyll hosted on github.io or netlify seems to be in vogue
That is correct.

So the SATs are (almost certainly) 3-pl (actually 2) IRT models. Essentially, it's a multivariate generalised linear mixed model to estimate both question difficulty and participant ability.

Normally, they'll estimate the abilities on the logistic scale, and use the percentile to back transform to a standard normal.

Most people don't cluster at the top because they are a good proxy for g, which is an imaginary statistical construct that we use to explain differences in school outcomes.

So I had a long digression here about the usefulness of penalties for guessing, but it turns out the SATs don't do that anymore, so wth?

(ETS invented IRT, that's why I'm pretty sure).
You don't need to keep your borders closed forever. You can allow outbound flights without restrictions and make everyone on inbound flights go to a centralized quarantine facility for 2 or 3 weeks + test them.
There is a perfectly good reason that NodeJS does not run on RISC-V Linux, which is that NodeJS has not been ported to RISC-V. Projects like Node (or rather the underlying V8 engine) have nontrivial amounts of architecture-specific code.
Spaghetti Disco
But there’s a much greater correlation between parental income and other measures you could use to evaluate applicants. Even height has parental income correlation, you can‘t eliminate it completely.
Not sure you can have it both ways.

Either shutting down all Chinese factories for a period of time reduced CO2. Or they made no difference and we can run those factories without fear.

Wouldn't a global recession/depression reduce production?

Increased funding for scientific output or more climate models isn't going to make a difference. People have to buy and use less. You can't have it both ways here either.
Depends on what you're storing. I don't care about speed for my music and movies.
I think they are referring to the (mis)spelling of 'qualatative.'
Insider trading is _effectively_ legal for congresspersons after the STOCK act of 2012 was amended in 2013 to remove the online disclosure requirement.

https://investmentu.com/why-congressional-insider-trading-le...
It was pretty late in the lifecycle, probably around ps4 launch time.

I'm one of those weird people that spends more time playing games on consoles from past generations than I do newer stuff.
Reading List for Leaders in Uncertain Times
Have you seen the foto of the convoy of military trucks with corpses out of Bergamo, Italy?
There’s not good evidence of that. There have been cases of people testing negative then positive again but that doesn’t mean they had cleared the virus and got reinfected. It more likely means they had a false negative. (E.g. I have a friend in hospital right now with COVID-19 that has had four tests, one positive, two negative, then one positive again, all tests within the space of four days.)

It also can be the case if you are immune compromised that you may clear the virus through good luck, drugs, and your innate immune response. But you never developed a good adaptive immune response and so don’t show a strong antibody response.

Immunity to this virus may not last 10+ years, but it’s seeming unlikely that is lasts less than 6 months.
IMO golang docs are really really good. You can just click on everything, search the std library easily, find functions you care about easily, etc.
Does that study control for school quality? If grades are normalized for a local school population, then good grades at one school can be worse than mediocre grades at another school.

This was exactly the purpose for which tests like the SAT were created. If that factor wasn’t controlled for, then the quote above is misleading.
Ask HN: How long did you wait until your product started generating revenue?
Its so easy to take in news we want to hear. You are right, this needs better sources.
I wish it could be safe, but real electronic voting fraud may be far more common in practice:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zsNXnAv131g
Computer Programmer testifies that Tom Feeney (Speaker of the Houe of Florida at the time, currently US Representative representing MY district ) tried to pay him to rig election vote counts.

Usually they can be detected when exit polls differ from the voting results. But that seems common nowadays. So that is why I think that voting fraud may be common.

But back to the whistleblower.. How many have accepted the money? And how many of them are able do some underhand programming? Sometimes just to leave small security holes.

I don't think that MIT can detect them that easily. For a long time we did not even know the NSA encryption was compromised by NSA themselves.
Yes. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G_factor_(psychometrics)

An individual's performance on one type of cognitive task tends to be comparable to that person's performance on other kinds of cognitive tasks.
A test for who is immune seems very important a few months down the road!
Korea could test their way out of it, because they started early enough to contain it. US is past that point now - the scale of testing that we need to catch all the heretofore undetected cases is much bigger. And we need to find those cases to switch from blanket measures to targeted ones.

In the end, that's likely what we'll have to do anyway. But it'll take longer than 3 months.
A lot of the reason the SATs are able to maintain a spread that lets them normalize the distribution is that they fill the tests with stupid tricks that fool people into wasting time. If you do a ton of prep then you learn to spot these tricks and then a lot of the questions become really easy and you can knock them off quickly.

A poor smart student may have mastery of the material but their score will suffer if they don't know the tricks.
There's a correlation between parental income and IQ scores too. There's also a correlation between parental income and GPA. It's just a correlation, though, and it does not follow that a good standardized test would result in the average score would match across different parental income groups.

Just because a test is standardized doesn't mean it completely eliminates all confounding factors outside of the test, but it does mitigate some of them. Equality and equity aren't the same thing.

Certainly, without reliance on standardized testing I'm somehow certain that Braden who got a helicopter pilot's license at 16 so he could fly the family helo from Manhattan to Westchester is going to do better in admissions than Tyrone who excelled in academics and was lucky enough to attend a technology magnet school, but grew up in the projects and had no access to anything outside of what school and the library provided. With SAT tests included, the fact Braden made a 1530 and Tyrone made a 1970 plays a factor.

That's what folks are saying.
What makes you think those questions haven’t been asked by the public health experts working on this?

And you didn’t answer my question. What is your plan?
I remember installing a copy of QuarkXPress (3.1 I think?) way back in the day. It was an upgrade copy, so it wouldn't install unless I pointed it to an existing QuarkXPress executable, but it was a freshly installed system so I didn't have one handy (and didn't fancy digging out the original floppies for 3.0).

On a whim, I pointed the installer to the application on the install floppy, which it happily accepted and proceeded with the installer.

TL;DR bad DRM has existed since DRM existed.
This is probably happening because it takes a lot of effort to get a keyboard controlled interface right. When everything is controlled by mouse you can separate concerns more easily. We had to put some thought into our state management which is even harder in the browser than it is on the desktop.
We needed early detection weeks ago. That ship has sailed. At this point a test like this is probably more urgent. The lead time on getting tests for patients showing up to the hospital (i.e. they have symptoms) will make a massive difference in how much PPE the hospital goes through.
Wait, why do you say GPUs support parametric curves? GPUs are based on triangles mostly.
https://music.apple.com/us/artist/q-lazzarus/279810501
But why do you assume that someone like you rather than someone like me is in charge here? Statistically there are orders of magnitude more mes than yous. And empirically, it seems as though the people in charge right now are even more catastrophically incompetent than anyone thought.
How do you know that none of these open design devices are fit for purpose? There are an awful lot of them, and the people behind this one have a lot of credentials...
"Panic" is associated to irrational decision making, and is usually not what produces the best outcome. This is why there is a lot of training provided to professionals and even everyday people in potentially serious situations. If a plane crashes, they don't want you to panic and storm your way out of the plane, you'll just end up putting more lives at risk.
Wow I actually never heard of this! I will definitely consider it while implementing more features of Emvi in our new UI.
Did you make this track and are trying to make it popular?
Body panels with insane gaps and light housings that allow moisture in were already signs of bad engineering. Tesla is a joke propped up by social media fanboys.
Just map the URI to a real FTP client using the operating system.
Prior to the pandemic, Government spending was out of control. Considering we were/are paying billions for an already obscelete border wall and our defense forces (ironically totally defenseless against the C19 enemy)are soaking up almost a trillion$ of our national budget, it may be time for the our fearless leaders to re-prioritize.
They don't identify that directly. But they do identify the potential to do something productive. Obviously that can't be the only thing being used to judge people; but some objective standard like that has to be part of what is being used.

Also, regardless of what standardized tests do or don't do, judging based on "articulate, socially well-adjusted person who can communicate their values and opinions in an intelligent way and who is comfortable making connections with others" is, IMO, a very poor way of filtering out people who will prey on other people, since anyone who preys on other people has to have those skills (or at any rate be able to fake them well enough to pass a test for them) to be successful at it.
This is equivalent to all the thousands of lies Trump said during three years. It's so unscientific and dangerous I wish you didn't belong to this community. This analysis will kill people and is equivalent to convincing people to stop chemo.
The alternative to over reaction is under reaction. I'd rather take extreme precautions and deal with the economic fallout then under react and deal with the situation that italy is currently in.

I think in this situation fear is good, it ensures urgency and assists with decisive action making, coupled with humility to change course when your wrong. Apathy is much scarier than fear in these situations.
What about cargo? Better yet illegal cargo we can't seem to get a grasp on. Or illegal border crossings? It only takes a single thing/person to kick off a chain reaction that gets us back to here.
Insightful read in plain-spoken, non-specialist language! Thanks!
>Could someone ELI5, please?

Smart, high-dimensional interpolator.
I don't think the keyboard is particularly reliable. And the storage is not upgradeable.
If you're testing positive for antibodies and negative for the virus RNA itself it means your immune system has been exposed and recovered. This is also what you'd expect to see in someone that has been vaccinated. They would not be contagious at that point because the virus is not present. This is not the same as someone that gets infected but is asymptomatic - they would still test positive for RNA.

The percentage of the population that would naturally fall into this group would likely be very small given this is a novel virus so pretty much nobody's immune system had been exposed prior to a few months ago, and we're seeing pretty massive infection rates globally.
So other people don't have to google like I did: this means this test should correctly diagnose 97.9% of people with the disease, and should correctly diagnose (i.e. give a negative result to) 91.77% of people without the disease.
You didn’t answer my question. What is your plan?

It sounds like your plan to deal with an exponential outbreak is to wait a few weeks until you have better testing to see if this is really something to worry about, or if those disaster countries that came before you were just a fluke.

Do you not see the problem here? No one is suggesting we don’t test. But the disease is rapidly spreading while we dither about, and if you’re wrong about the CFR, it’ll be way, way too late by the time we know that.
There's a commercial box which pairs with phones over Bluetooth and offers an RJ-11 jack for classic wired phones. Even provides proper ring voltage and will ring the phone. I've used one at steampunk conventions to provide a phone line for an antique dial phone. It's amusing to let kids try it.
Interesting! Could not find the part of the video where the claim is made. Can you help?
Slate Star Codex is one of my favorite blogs, much needed corporate and political philosophy. The musings on Moloch are psychedelic :)

It’s interesting to me also how these sorts of “skeptic” blogs are such strong affirmations of faith for me. Skepticism is what makes faith real.
You're right! I always forget about the MacBook.

But the 2015 MacBook Pro still had a keyboard deserving of the "best laptop ever made": https://marco.org/2017/11/14/best-laptop-ever
The problem is that those changes are highly politicized, because they hit a bunch of culture war buttons about "socialism".

And it's been a while since American legislators have considered the possibility of torches and pitchforks, so they still prioritize their electability (especially in the primaries, where ideological purism is more important) over social necessity.