skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> People were calm. It was on the news, but there was no panic.

Because it wasn’t an election year in the US.
I am not sure if you can infer from two past epidemics that this one will be the same. Every epidemic is different. This one spreads way faster than H1N1 and is harder to control because of asymptomatic carriers.

Sure, information (and misinformation) travels much faster now, but I am not sure if that is necessarily a bad thing. It might have done more help than harm in this case for all we know. I think that is the case because this one is not as deadly, so sensationalization and fear-mongering is not easy. If the fatality rate was like 50% (as it was for Avian flu, I found recently to my surprise), it could have been way worse with the media.
Looks like early day project. Had this exact project in mind when working with Postgraphile. JVM tooling around databases are amazing. Using clojure on top of that foundation with honey-sql was something I wish existed. Good luck! I might look into helping build it someday.
Conditional, for 2021.
Show HN: Pomidor
You can also take any deep learning project you have, train it with corona data and milk least little publicity.
The good thing is you already have the H1B, so it's easier than having to go through the lottery.

My advice would be to hope for the best but expect the worst. In other words, keep applying to jobs super aggressively, but at the same time, start packing to leave, if there aren't other options.
Technology and R&D are always creating new treatments, but the new ones are rarely cheap, as is true with any new technology. The first desktop laser printers cost almost as much as a car, for example. It's good to have new options, but those options do have a price.

If you are well-to-do, you have a lot more options in the US than other countries, which tend to subsidize the lower end with the higher end.
How well does it work if your backside could be mistaken for a Yeti?
The only extinct language used in scholarly publication is Latin, AFAIK.
I want to see serological testing results from random samples of the population... hopefully we get that soon.
I run my 2 27" 4Ks (off a Hackintosh) at 1080p HiRes. Is for me the best balance of aesthetics and resolution.
My predictions:

DISCLAIMER: I'm not a expert wrt. any of this. Don't listen to me ;=). It's all just speculation.

Companies which plan to downsize since a will will do it now, using COVID19 as a excuse.

Companies who have shifted some "bad consequences" into the future might now book them using COVID19 as a excuse for why
they exist.

Companies who are already on the last straw will end now, (Such which without COVID19 might have survived a view more month up to a year but didn't see a chance for long term survival without a wonder).

A bunch of companies will go insolvent because COVID19 or following marked situation.

Because of this investors will be a bit more careful then normal, for most kinds of "fresh"/"new" startups it likely will not be a good time.

A small number of startups will have massive opportunities.

Marked will recover after at most 5 Years more likely 3.5 Years. At least if no further crisis happens (like WW3 or one of the massive Vulcan's going off).

Unrelated tip: Be a software engineer not "just" a programmer.
Schools and businesses weren't shutting down for months during the swine flu pandemic. Experts are treating this as a serious threat and that's not something the media is responsible for.
If you want rigid certainty, you're not going to find it in epidemiology so you should turn back now.

Nobody knows how many people died from H1N1 in 2009. The CDC has only estimates and the range is huge:

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/spotlights/pandemic-global-estimates...

And that is why I used the words I did.
Some contend that gold is money. The historically most important one and the second most popular right now behind the dollar.
There may be some bias in your view. Yes, people were saying these things early on Twitter. But I'm pretty sure people were also saying "it doesn't need a lockdown, it's no big deal" as late as today on Twitter. So...

Twitter is ahead of the newspapers. And it's totally behind the data, with its head in the sand. And everywhere in between. Twitter doesn't give you an answer; it gives you 10,000 answers. Sure, the truth is in there... somewhere. Good luck finding it reliably, though.
Certainly, and I get your point, but none of them were sources I would have considered reliable in the first place. There's always a selection problem, just as listening to reliable traditional media requires you to screen out conspiracy outlets who pretend to be legitimate newspapers.
I'm confused as to what this comment is replying to - the GP never made any comparison between SARS and COVID-19.

I suspect that you might have confused SARSCov2 for SARS?
NYSE to temporarily close floor, move to electronic trading due to coronavirus
It's almost completely different. There is only some superficial similarity in syntax.
> but they lack so much: reliability engineering, failure testing, ruggedness requirements, industry certifications, QA, I could go on.

Sometimes you don't need all that stuff. Sometimes it's as simple as using a neural net to count the number of people in a room at a given time, or get a sensor to publish data online, or provide a networking shim for a RS232 device that fits in a small space.

There are also many use cases where having 10 working backup copies of a $35 device on a shelf that can be swapped in under a minute is a much better reliability guarantee than 1 $2000 industrial certified, QA certified, FDA approved, UL listed, GDPR compliant device whose tech support is in some other timezone, takes holidays, and isn't 24/7.

It's just that the easiest thing that can fail on a raspberry pi in my experience is the stupid micro-B/USB-C connector, so fixing that, which would cost pennies to put a slightly more rugged molex or other connector on the PCB, would be a really nice addition. The rest of the Pi is actually pretty reliable in my experience.

> stopped the production line at 2 a.m.?

Production lines aren't the only use case for Raspberry Pis in industry. Many production lines also don't run at 2am.
Stop shutting your brain off because you don't like peoples terminology.

This argument pops up regularly on HN and it's always the same - it's all people talking past each other. One half is saying "iPads don't cover as many use cases as laptops" and the other half is saying "but look, my specific anecdotal use case is covered". You're not even disagreeing with each other, just missing the point.
>Second: I worry that “nobody could have known” will be the narrative. A very large portion of my circles was aware that COVID was about to explode and that the prevention measures would either drastically slow the economy or not be taken and the impact would be worse. Super uncontroversial. And like, I’m just a guy.

Big same. I'm just another software engineer, albeit one with a taste for international news and a few China-focused specialists & one or two PRCs citizens that I follow on Twitter.

This was predictable in early-mid Jan. Once the pics and discussion of the overloaded Wuhan hospitals and the measures the PRC had to take hit the English language world, it was pretty bloody obvious. The news had hit the popular English language papers by Jan 27[1], although I was reading about it somewhat earlier - Jan 12 at the latest[2]. A timeline can be found in [3]. Anyway, by Feb 1, institutions with a specialty in disease control should have been going full bore to address the incoming wave.

Our public health officials, the officials they advise, and other health institutions should be held up to scrutiny and not covered with glory dust just because they had to act by the pace of events.

[1] https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7933719/Incredible-...
[2] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/11/china-mystery-...
[3] https://www.who.int/csr/don/12-january-2020-novel-coronaviru...
Good. Stay on sabatical.
"Yeah with all the stress of this situation I must have forgotten to tell my employees who are working without pay to perform that costly work that you ordered me to with no discussion of renumeration."
Here is the bill that already passed both house and senate that has relief for small businesses as well. Short summary:

The programs funded by the bill address issues such as

- developing, manufacturing, and procuring vaccines and other medical supplies;

- grants for state, local, and tribal public health agencies and organizations;

- loans for affected small businesses;

- evacuations and emergency preparedness activities at U.S. embassies and other State Department facilities; and

- humanitarian assistance and support for health systems in the affected countries.

The bill also allows HHS to temporarily waive certain Medicare restrictions and requirements regarding telehealth services during the coronavirus public health emergency.

https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-bill/6074

Another one that is now in senate:

https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-bill/6201
> number of people that die from the disease out of total cases.

Out of confirmed infections. The fatality rate would only decrease as more people are discovered to have been infected.
The difference is Playboy models are expected to be pretty not by hidden rules.
And I thought the $100 Surface Pro keyboard is expensive.
Is Shakti the reason we've had such a large influx of APL/kdb/q posts on HN recently?
I usually avoid snark here but: isn’t there someone higher government that owns a bunch of hotels that are not in disrepair in major cities that likely have few if any clients currently?
Yeah, the problem is that diseases have effectively 2 different fatality rates: one for those who get medical attention, and one for those who don't. As a medical system approaches saturation, it becomes harder to get medical attention to those who need it, and the fatality rate rises to the second value. That's why fast-spreading illnesses end up deadlier.

Hopefully we can avoid saturating the medical system in the US.
Well, at least the situation in Italy is not simply a (social) media phenomenon; the health system is overwhelmed for real. Stuff like this has not been the case with the 2009 swine flu pandemic, or has it?
We can call it Qt5.
Which epidemiologists were downplaying this virus 6-8 weeks ago?
How to Increase Returning Visitors to Your Website
Thank you for clarifying, but what I'm thinking is that our CFR denominator is off by a whole lot right now. Could be wrong, of course, I'm still not an epidemiologist.
Android 11 – best features until now
Interesting. Using a Cintiq can be better than a tablet with some applications ("feels more natural") too.

https://www.wacom.com/en-us/products/pen-displays

Have you used a Cintiq much? Would be interested in a comparison of that vs the iPad Pro's. :)
I think it contains recommended articles ie ads by default on the home page. They also launched a campaign for booking: https://www.cyberciti.biz/web-developer/firefox-is-now-placi...

Telemetry = tracking.

Not sure about what he means regarding plugins.
Perhaps, but financial analysts predict that the hotel industry will go bankrupt by May without extraordinary intervention. The hotelier can choose not to comply, but that is likely to risk the government at all levels denying support he will imminently need.
This is what happens when you ask celebrities and politicians for their input on critical things for which they have absolutely zero qualifications or expertise. They are not experts, and we should not ask them, or even give one second of airtime to their opinions.

Why we give them any time on the stage is beyond me.

The video of the football manager biting back is perfect[1], and we need to realize this every time a politician or celebrity is asked something of consequence.

[1] https://www.cnn.com/videos/sports/2020/03/05/jurgen-klopp-no...
We have water in NC as cold as you're likely to see anywhere indoors. Our municipality uses water towers to supply pressure so when it below freezing out, the water is definitely in the low 40s (F) if not below.

It's refreshing but you get used to it. My wife hasn't complained either. She rolled her eyes at me when I first ordered the bidets but was an instant convert.

(I just happened to install them in all our bathrooms last fall. Lucky timing. The model I installed was $35 on Amazon but it's now more than double that and not currently available.)
Bad URL.

Maybe this one?

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-60867-w
I haven't tried it myself with encryption, but I can't see it making a difference. The bootloader, and initial ZFS setup will be what needs to be changed to facilitate encryption.
Corona has swamped a lot things.
Bingo. Our whole business was debt fueled M&A. So opex along with interest are big nuts. Shoveled every dollar back to M&A not much safety net.
Honestly, "China Virus" is just xenophobia and deflection - it wasn't a term adopted by the populace at large - pushing it as a name for the virus has been a right wing effort.

The usage of that term is solely to try and deflect responsibility for anything domestic to China and pass the buck... it also has the potential to cause hate crimes in a time when we really should be unifying as nations.
I forgot: Small non-software companies with 1-2 People will have a large hit, and likely many insolvencies.

E.g. it looks very bad for professional flea-marked trader or the small shop around the corner.
IANAL.

This is not correct. If you leave/lose your job, you have a 60-day grace period where you're not considered out of status. You need to find a new employer willing to petition a new I-129 for you.

Please check the specifics with a lawyer. Immigrations laws keep changing in very subtle ways.
I think OP means that since we are in a recession, none of the startups will be hiring fresh grads (or anyone) on H1B, since its just too much of an investment.
Well at least it finally has a trackpad, after years of insisting that no one would ever want to manipulate the UI with a mouse pointer.

un-prevention, of sorts.
You have to cull the herd once in a while. I’m certain a lot of children with parents living expensive, meaningless lives at the local nursing home are hoping nature takes its proper course here.
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> Just this morning, CNN was frothing at the mouth at Trump calling it the "China virus" -- I mean, yeah, it's a virus that came from China -- and they have an op-ed on how this term is stoking xenophobia.

That's because it is. There have been many reports of harassment and assaults on Chinese Americans, and this kind of label doesn't go away. The term "Spanish Flu" is still used 100 years later, not because it originated there (it didn't -- it almost certainly originated in midwestern USA) but because the media paid more attention there.

The terms we use matter.
I believe it is mostly hindsight. For any outcome you will find someone who predicted it a month ago on Twitter. It does not help you to determine which of the thousand current predictions will be correct.
They see decades of low inflation until they don't. The post-WWII US had a couple decades of low inflation in the 50s/60s, followed by a couple decades of high inflation in the 70s/80s. Central banks do know how to stop inflation, but there can be pressure not to in some situations.
French Ministry of Health tweeting that is solid enough for me.

But feel free to wait for scientific paper in 18 months!
Totally off-topic, but the COBRA panel is now too big to fit in Briefing Room A, and use Briefing Room B now, hence the occasional references to them as Cobr in the press now.
You can buy more things with bitcoin right now than you can with gold. Euro, Yuan, and Yen etc. are also way more popular forms of currency than gold is. However if you mean “money” as in “investment vehicle” then yes at this time it is popular.
Twitter also promotes a bunch of stupid and wrong information as well. There is always some “watch out” tweets concerning pretty much anything that happens. Twitter is noisy and unreliable. It’s basically gossip, some that happens to be true, much that happens to be false.
curious where you would start tackling it? what are the right building blocks that can be accessed for devs building solutions? from an outside perspective there is little access to data across the silos. im helping coordinate the project, not a healthcare expert myself (rather coming from the api / data side from other verticals), so happy about your thoughts.
one of top Apple podcasts right now is "A White Nationalist Has Rebranded Himself as Coronavirus Expert. And People Are Flocking to Him." https://news.yahoo.com/white-nationalist-rebranded-himself-c...
Postponing Wikimania Bangkok until 2021
> I don't understand Google's decision here - I wish they simply predicted a longer than normal release cadence, versus none at all

It's reasonable to not understand their decision, but it's also reasonable to give them the benefit of the doubt that they know what's best for their team and product (and in that order).

Googlers (like myself) are probably the least materially affected by COVID-19. We are well compensated and most aren't living paycheck to paycheck. We have great medical benefits. Our schedules are flexible and working from home is fairly feasible for most teams. Many are young enough to not have kids, or compensated well-enough to have a stay-at-home partner.

And technically, for many of us, working from home is fairly straightforward. Google already has much of that infrastructure in place. Many teams are already distributed across sites and used to working over email and VC. We all have laptops, etc. Some of us work on open source where it's trivial to have full access to source code when not on the corporate network.

Even so, my rough estimate is that my team is about 30% less effective right now. Like you say, it's not because working from home is hard. It's because staying focused on code during a global pandemic that will kill unknown people, is causing massive suffering for people who aren't as fortunate as we Googlers, and may lead to a depression the likes of which haven't been seen in a hundred years is really hard.

We're all trying to survive a monumentally catastrophic event with our health and wits intact the best way we know how. The history books are going to write about how millions low-risk young people self-quarantined to protect the older generation. They will remember the states and countries that suspended evictions and mortgages.

No one's going to give a damn that Chrome skipped a release or two. At the scale of shit the world is dealing with right now, it just doesn't matter.
I do not have ads at all and did not have to disable them. This maybe because when I install windows I do it using local account. Not the online account with MS. And of course I answer NOOOOOOO to every question they ask during install.
Exactly. In this study of 207 infected patients, the chief complaint of 99 people during admission to the ER was GI distress. How many people have not sought help because they only have GI issues?

https://journals.lww.com/ajg/Documents/COVID_Digestive_Sympt...
This is the best explanation I've ever seen of how the Fed and US Dollar money printing actually works:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iFDe5kUUyT0

Most people also don't realize that the Fed, which buys Treasury's drawn on a bank account with $0 in it, is privately owned - and distributes dividends to its private shareholders holders (who are not disclosed).
Yeah, there's so much complexity here that a simple number could lead someone to miss.

So, 99% of those who died had another illness. Almost everyone has illnesses, so what kinds are we talking about?

A patient surviving doesn't mean the patient didn't need intensive medical care.

So you survived, are there any long-term symptoms you'll have to learn to live with?

I've also heard that (at least in some contexts) a "mild" case of COVID-19 is defined as one that didn't need breathing assistance. That's not the colloquial definition of "mild."
I agree with the general aims of the article, but I doubt that the demand that the author makes - that China closes its wet markets - will be practically doable.

With a billion people that have no reason to trust their government, it's going to be hard to convince them to drop what they and their families had learned with blood during the Mao-era famines.
Didn’t the US get the Wuhan virus first?
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Yes, there’s a possibility. It’s highly implausible though for many reasons, including: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9
I remember the time I started worrying was when the former leader of CDC sounded the alarm (forgot url). And then confirmed after the House Hearing Feb 5th (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BSO8jW_TDCI). This combined with the Chinese situation then together was much more convincing than my bumbling Swedish government.
The containers on fly.io can go up to 8CPUs. So you can do a lot of computation for images, video etc.

They can also accept any kind of TCP traffic (and we're trialing UDP), so lots of interesting network services. This is especially interesting for people who want to do live video.

AND we have disks. So you can deploy Varnish, or nginx caches, etc. This is something we enable by hand per app.
I think a major difference between Swine Flu and SARS-2 is that it did not affect as many countries simultaneously as now, and, we did not see so many people ending up in the ICU. As I understand the numbers being: 10-20% end up in a hospital, 5-10% end up in ICU, half of them die. I don't remember anything similar for the 2009 pandemic.
> it looks edging close to 10% right now in Italy, which is alarmingly scary

Please stop dividing deaths by confirmed cases and reporting that as mortality rate.

The number of confirmed cases is much, much larger than actual cases, in particular in outbreak zones where testing is very limited.
All of your speculations seem entirely rational to me. Good analysis.
Your and GP's comments are a perfect illustration of the social media bubble effect. Some people saw an entire news feed telling them it was nothing to worry about, and another group saw a news feed saying it was going to be a global pandemic. It's easy to point the finger after the fact, but you have to understand that people will believe what they perceive as being "common knowledge", and in this day and age that means whatever their twitter and facebook friends say for the majority of people.
> If a surgical mask can stop germs from going out of the mouth, then I better hear a more rigorous reason why that same mask doesn't work in the opposite direction.

One word: leakage.

Watch this:

Healthcare - Mask vs. Respirator Video -
3M Worker Health and Safety

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JR2uLfEVD2w
Absolutely. The worst thing is that whenever these pandemics happen China does ban them but they a few months later they allow them to reopen. Do they think that the same thing won't happen again? Vox put out a pretty good video on wet markets recently.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TPpoJGYlW54
I remember when I was small, I accompanied my mom to a wet market, and saw a frog butchered in front of my eyes (chopped into two horizontal cut), and that gave me chills till this day that I actually don't eat frog meat. I do other stuffs though and have no problem handling knife for meat work.

On the other hand, wet market like Tokyo's Tsukiji is very fresh and clean. Actually, wet markets through Japan are usually really fresh and clean, and have no noticeable smell. I wonder how they do that.

Traditional Chinese culture at it again. Seems like another tool for CCP to control its people, and "culture" is just an excuse. They do the same thing for traditional Chinese martial art vs MMA as well (see the whole Xu Xiaodong fiasco).
Gold was the best performing asset class the last decade.... better than the SP500
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