skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Just spitballing here, but to what extent can we streamline or automate COVID-19 treatment for non-comorbid cases?
At that point, you might as well just give that money directly to the restaurant owner, and all the employees, for the duration of the crisis.
But if chloroquin , with or without zinc, halts viral replication as is proposed

" Chloroquine Is a Zinc Ionophore"

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25271834

then it _is_ a tool to contain the spread of SARS-CoV-2 b/c it could also be used prophylactically. i.e., the virus can't replicate in the human cell if the cell already has adequate chloroquin + Zn++ present.
There are probably more ventilators in the US than the total number of hospitalized covid patients in China at the peak.
This is getting crazy.
Has anyone happened to notice that this disease is not ravaging the rest of China, malayasis, Vietnam, Japan, or the US for that matter?
It's been FOUR months -- at least -- and there are fewer dead worldwide than the deaths in Florida during a nasty flu season.
Ask Me Anything: Apocalypse Edition
I have no idea. But I can tell none of the commenters here have any clue. Source: I worked in finance for years and like to keep informed.

The level of Dunning-Kruger in this thread is appalling.
Toronto distillery produces free hand sanitizer for vulnerable residents
Thoughts on Boeing?
May history judge him as he deserves.
China becomes world leader finally replacing USA

EU disintegrates

Real estate prices drop 90% due to corporations adapting work from home

Outflows from large urban centers

Consumer capitalism ends as a model
You don't know if that's already priced in. The key to investment is timing (alpha). If others figured it out before you it's priced in.

That's why insider information is highly regulated.
JDK 14 Foreign-Memory Access API Overview
It seams to me that this bust of economy that is rolling has potential to be even more destructive than previous one of 2008. Brace yourself.
Here is good list of advices in case of layoff, it was posted in HN few days ago https://jacobian.org/2020/mar/13/layoffs-are-coming/
Just curious about your statements regarding SQ. Their entire model is that they're a bank (I think they got approved a day or two ago) based on credit-card transaction volumes in retail business. Retail businesses are the shadow of SEARS and it is likely to be the slowest segment to recover after this pandemic. So, I am not so sure about SQ - their credit-card gateway isn't as successful as Stripe & Braintree. Personally, I would stay away from any business that depends on retail foot traffic.

Also, I would add:

EA/ATVI/TTWO: They're outperforming relative to the SPY

Innovo/Moderna/etc. : Any of the Cov vaccine companies, a pot pourry of them

OLED/LG: LCD/OLED semiconductors

And, I would disagree:

AMD/INTC/AMAT/KLAC/NVDA/MU: Semiconductors are a solid investment, not beaten down enough because the demand of semiconductors will soar in the future.
The company I work for is looking for software engineers in the LA or Chicago areas, email me if you want more details :). Our product isn’t the most glamorous, but we take work/life balance really seriously.
China instituted massive lockdowns. People are suspect of Japan’s numbers.

You need to compare rate of growth, not the current number. Otherwise you are arguing that a Camry at 60mph is faster than a parked jet.
This is trivial to explain. Only the young and rich in the US can afford hospital care. most of the elderlies, out of the workforce, can not.
Are they self sufficient in most parts of Alaska? Do they depend on US or Canada for survival?

It seems like the kind of place people can isolate trivially. He might end up being right.
If you are so confident with how the market will move you should put your money where your mouth is and trade options accordingly. Hint: you shouldn't be so confident.
Is this already been supplied to doctors in US? If not, I can fwd it to anybody who is a doctor in US.

Sadly, a lot of US hospitals currently don't have the resources to do all this. Some can't even get enough N95 masks.
Albert Bierstadt, lavish, sweeping landscapes of the American West
IMO, the biggest unknown right know is that we don't know how long this pandemic is going to last or when the new case curve will start to flatten. This creates uncertainty and markets HATE uncertainty. I think once we get a sense of this, the market will be able to price in the overall impact and thus bottom out. Other things that would accelerate this understanding of the timeline would be things like a vaccine, cure, etc. Obviously, a big risk is that we continue to see infection rates rise.

Some interesting statistics I found regarding US Economy, According to the BEA, Housing and Heath account for more than 50% of services spending in the United States. Transportation, restaurants and recreation account for a bit more than 20%.

The other issue the market is trying to digest is the Oil shock brought on by Saudi/Russia price war. I almost want to say that I'd wait for some sort of agreement on this as well before I even attempt to invest in the sector.

In terms of what I'm investing in, I don't currently try to pick individual stocks, something I did for nearly a decade for Institutional Investment funds, instead I prefer to diversify across market cap, so a large cap (Russell 1000, IWB), mid cap (Russell Mid Cap, IWR), and small cap (russell 2000, IWM) index to diversify.
Did anyone really think the US healthcare system is even remotely equipped to handle a large scale, national emergency? They’re highly optimized to treat chronic conditions and not much more. Hell, most doctors don’t even use email and insist on faxing over documents.
I am wondering - coronavirus (the usual one) is associated with common cold; we don't have any vaccine against it nor do we actually understand the common cold itself; moreover, COVID-19 has a similar genomic packing as HIV/Ebola, two diseases we don't have vaccines for either. I am wondering if it is just wishful thinking we get a COVID-19 vaccine anytime soon (i.e. in the next decade). Are there any reasons to be optimistic?

Also, regarding herd immunity - we aren't immune against flu, is there any reason to think we could develop (long-term) immunity to COVID-19?
An entertaining related concept https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aumann%27s_agreement_theorem

Also, in some ideal sense, since we attain consciousness as pure minds untainted by experience, tabula rasa, all that follows is the result of sense information on the network. The concept of individuality is weak. Two pure minds, fully rational and capable of honest communication, can be different by having different sense information, but if they are able to communicate with each other they should, in time, be identical. i.e. once I have given you everything I know completely and you have given me everything you know completely, we are not distinct, you and I are the same. A full mind meld.

We can't do this for all sorts of reasons, but two AGIs truly meeting may, which means that there is a sort of greyness to this true meeting of AGIs: by meeting they achieve unity. All AGIs behaving in this manner then become the same purely by meeting. Interesting.
> Anyway, they're not buying subprime auto loans or overinflated stocks. They're buying long term risk-free debt, and are going to start buying commercial paper (which has some risk, but not much).

From their press release on 3/17: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/file...

Eligible Collateral•Collateral eligible for pledge under the PDCF includes all collateral eligible for pledge in open market operations (OMO); plus investment grade corporate debt securities, international agency securities, commercial paper, municipal securities, mortgage-backed securities, and asset-backed securities; plus equity securities. Foreign currency-denominated securities are not eligible for pledge under the PDCF at this time.

--

equity securities == stocks. I admit I was exaggerating about the subprime auto loans, but they also state that: Additional collateral may become eligible at a later date upon further analysis., so who knows?

I agree with you they have plenty of stuff old stuff to sell from QE 1-4, but this certainly is a new class of assets from them, and is almost certain to lose money.
>That's not about shifting blame from the US government. That's placing the blame where it belongs.

But for some reason Japan and South Korea were informed and handled the problem, so what conspiracy explains this? Japan has good spies? Japan has supernatural future prediction technology?
"extreme measures" - the term used before the pandemic.

"insufficient measures" - the term used after the pandemic.
I understand maybe half of what you said, but darn does it sound cool and super useful. Can't wait to see how it does!
China travel was banned on 9th February, when dems were busy with impeaching trump for investigating the precious vps crimes. Congress messed up and wasted time. Thr brouhaha now is a deliberate attempt to crash economy to prevent Trump's reelection.

Edit: all I am getting are drive by downvites, I dare anybody to counter with facts with sources (not from cnn preferably)
General philosophy: Buy ETF that is (1) below at least 52-week lows and below Dec 2018 price point (2) too big to fail (i.e. large market caps), preferably with investments from big wall street+political influencers (3) diversified, and (4) you have reasonable assurance of rebound in 1 year time frame.

With this, I think good buys are XLE, SPY, VFH, VNQ.
Exclude the [non-people] in that age range and it would be much lower.

We are all humans. All life is sacred.
> I believe the FDIC is supposed to insure up to $250k on each bank account.

Close, it's actually $250K per depositor per ownership category per institution. Multiple accounts in the same category don't add insurance limits.
The irony is he is quoted as referencing China as "look things are fine so America will be just fine" but conveniently forgets China's response was heavy handed and the fear was high.
"As the Governor of Colorado put it, saving the economy doesn't do a lot of good if everyone is dead."

That's ridiculous, and I hope it's clear to you why it's ridiculous. You should feel silly for repeating it.

There's no rational, educated person who believes that "everyone" is going to die from this. It's not even close to a true statement.
How does that square with a system that has the most critical care beds per capita:

https://sccm.org/Blog/March-2020/United-States-Resource-Avai...
Amazon retail's profits are a modest share of Amazon's value. The stock could get some action from people that don't understand what makes up the large bulk of their market cap at this point (AWS & ads). The problem is it's hyper valued here, even after the decline. It has a long ways to fall if investors decide to apply a more reasonable valuation to its income (even a slightly more reasonable valuation, like 50 times earnings instead of 70 or 80). Basically so what if they earn an extra $1 or $3 billion in profit in the quarter from retail (it'll be a temporary surge anyway), it's almost meaningless vs $910b in market cap, doesn't move the needle much.

Plus, on Amazon, watch for a spending hammer against AWS and its growth. You might see a severe slowdown for several quarters (eg growth cut in half or worse), which will trivially destroy anything positive out of retail in regards to optimism. Business spending is going to get hit pretty hard for a while.

Costco for example, I wouldn't go anywhere near the stock, despite the way it has held up. Who knows if we're going to see serious supply problems next (which will get them from another angle, rather than demand side as with many businesses in this environment). If we see much of a supply crunch, it'll take back anything positive retailers see short-term from the demand surge.

The market is (properly) worried about a big thrashing to the ad market in the US, due to business going into the freezer. Businesses of all sizes are going to pull their ad spending - some as a part of survival mode (cash conservation) and some as a shift to being more cautious on spending in general for a while - at some point if this continues for very long (I'd expect weaker businesses have already begun pulling their ad spending). It's why Pinterest took a hard dive (ad spend worries), despite people sitting at home in quarantines screwing around online.
Josh you should put a call to action on the repo. There are no issues listed. I don't see links to anywhere that would let me help listed on the readme.
Wow...really? A MIT project with HN post is what kicked this off. As in...no one thought of this until then?
So basically advanced tracing GC allocation algorithms for C++, but lets not call it like that, as we might scare the crowd away.
https://github.com/lukasz-madon/awesome-remote-job

There is an issue in my repo with a really good spreadsheet contaning a lot of companies. I was planning to import that but havent got time and now im stuck in Japan with just my phone.
No, this is not the conclusion that analytic epistemology has come to. Have a look at coherentism, foundationalism and reliabalism for example. The view you describe is skepticism and is held by a very small minority of modern philosophers.

https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/justep-coherence/

https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/justep-foundational/

https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/reliabilism/

https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/skepticism/
Which is still dumb reason to lie. Especially when state can demand that official masks go to hospitals full stop.

People can make homemade masks. Here, women who have sewing machines are making them for everyone around.
The entire suite -- G6, F2, etc -- is very well done. This appears to be a great addition, looking forward to using it soon. Thanks!
Yep. I got into this field for the money. If there’s no more money I’ll leave. Already trying to figure out the next move.
If you read the entirety of [3], the American CDC's test was produced and approved at roughly the same time in early february as the Korean tests. The problem was a flaw in the test setting the process back, not a lack of government initiative. The remaining lesson in comparing SK and US here seems to be to rely on the private sector and not the govt in a crisis.

by the way, on reddit I see people from practically every western country complaining about their government initially downplaying and being slow to react to the virus.
Because they are not the bottleneck. Intensivists that can operate the vents are the bottleneck

https://sccm.org/Blog/March-2020/United-States-Resource-Avai...
Assuming they know they’re vulnerable they presumably wouldn’t go to these parties. However that’s quite an assumption, particularly among young people.
> But for some reason Japan and South Korea were informed and handled the problem, so what conspiracy explains this? Japan has good spies? Japan has supernatural future prediction technology?

According to the timeline of Japan's response in [1], the US responded at the same time as Japan. Their first countermeasure listed in [1] was a travel restriction enacted on February 3, the same time as US restrictions[2,3]

1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_J...

2: https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/traveladvisories/...

3: https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/02/us/coronavirus-us-travel-rest...
Microsoft and Apple diverged down two evolutionary paths.

At release the Surface seemed ridiculous, adding touch and pen tools to a normal computer. Apple went the other way starting from scratch, touch only seemed the sensible choice.

Now year on year as Apple adds more and more laptop computer into the iPad and it's Mac line lacks any modern input flexibility it's starting to look absurd they went down this route and the Surface line is making more and more sense the further we go down this road.
> ... every statement of fact is just a statement of belief, it seems.

Perhaps. The "just" part gets me thinking.

There seems to be an important qualitative difference between prototypical statements of belief---e.g. I believe in the healing power of reiki---and prototypical statements of fact---e.g. This is a glass of water.

While both of the above do contain elements of belief---namely, narratives about what things are in the world---they seem to operate quite differently in many respects.

Belief-style statements tend to more overtly signal traits like social ingroup or self-identity. In particular, declaring belief in the power of reiki seems more likely to influence how others think and concieve of you as a person. I doubt that declaring the existence of a glass of water is likely to do the same.

More generally, this line of thought makes tempts me to say that fact-like staments tend to have less social content than belief-style ones.

Or, more susinctly, facts are a proper subset of beliefs.

In the same way that 2D space differs wildly from 1000D space, despite the former being a subset of the latter, I think it ignores a lot to treat "facts" as "just beliefs." How a belief operates matters.
Experts seem to rapidly change of opinion about that :

https://www.sciencealert.com/who-recommends-to-avoid-taking-...

Actually not sure who to trust about this anymore.
This was roughly the UK strategy until the message that it would result in about 250k dead finally got through.

Natural spread is already outpacing likely ventilation requirements; we'll find out in a couple of weeks how badly.
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I've never seen a job listing for C++ development that doesn't require professional experience in that language.
> The 1918 pandemic, deadly as it was, is still around today in the form of a mutated seasonal flu. Following global exposure and culling of the most vulnerable populations - middle aged adults that were most affected by the negative effects of the war - the lethality of the virus is significantly less.

OK, but was there some kind of seasonal flu before that? That is the real question to me.
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Yes, absolutely. In NL one quarter of the total confirmed infections is hospital employees and other healthcare workers!
You can do both simultaneously - make more while solving the issue of communication and distribution. Again, you seem to miss the point - while there are currently enough, it is likely there will not be enough in the near future. If we don't produce more before that point, it is too late.
Yeah, remove the limiter, and how long does it take to make a doctor? I mean, sure, some people are saying that this thing is still gonna be here in four years (I am not a medical person, but that's what some of them say. something about the type of virus this is that will make a vaccine difficult) so that might not be a bad idea, but... I think we probably need to be focusing on how we can increase medical capacity four weeks from now more than four years from now.
Most infections never turn into "cases", which is why the IFR (Infection Fatality Rate) is a lot lower than the CFR (Case Fatality Rate). How much lower is very, very hard to say.

Also note that there's no strict definition for how to calculate the CFR, so you'll see conflicting numbers even for the same area/country.
That "Technology for the Youth" (Юный Техник) was magazine for teens with focus on technology and DIY projects. You can find them here: http://jt-arxiv.narod.ru

I've never seen "Знание — Сила" in real life so I cannot really comment on it.

There was also a very popular "Наука и Жизнь" (Science and Life) which was more serious popular science and technology magazine.
Fair point, but how do you determine when to stop following the consequences of the contradictions? Furthermore, from the point at which you stop, you are then re-enforcing the principle of non-contradiction, so why not enforce it from the start and call it a day? To me, dialetheism has always seemed very arbitrary, but maybe that's exactly the point of it. If that's true, then it's just another flavor of extreme relativism where anything can be true or false and any reasoning is meaningless.

On top of that, it seems to me that even in denying the principle of explosion, one must follow it if they want to be consistent in the denial. Otherwise the denial itself won't hold, because if you allow contradictions, by definition you must also allow their opposite, which is the principle of non-contradiction. And as far as I'm aware there is no proof in logic that allows for an exception to ECQ. Because once you allow any contradiction, you implicitly allow anything, which makes thought impossible.
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it isnt trival to isolate there are suddenly 9 cases blooming over the last couple days.

there is a lot of travel in and out and only two major cites anchorage and fairbanks. A ^lot^ of people here are seniors.

most alaskans are not actually self sufficient if you look at the difference between anchorage lets say and somewhere like barrow or north pole. its a stretch to just suddenly be self sufficient here, there is some lead time required.

oh and about the national dependence thing its US goods that ship in and sell in the costco's and walmarts etc.

id estimate about a third of alaskans hunt fish and garden for at least part of the groceries
Counterargument: skepticism is kind of boring compared to the other positions. There's just not much to build on if you flatly reject the ability to build things. People who're inclined to take that route are likely to avoid modern philosophy, so of course they would be a small minority of philosophers.
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Unfortunately I don't think that undermines the essential conclusion of the report.
Right. If your tagline is privacy first, the defaults should be set to maximum privacy (unless if it might break sites - in which case it may be acceptable to set to a less intense config). Any features that is a compromise between privacy and convenience, should be easily enabled/disabled through the UI (not a bloody config file). If they can build a ui for everything else, I don't think it's too much to ask for a simpler switch for privacy related options.

Trying to save my passwords is particularly annoying till I disable it.