skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> I don't want my browser doing those things.

Your browser should let you decide whether you give websites access to this functionality?
In China, 9% of people are 65 or older. In Italy, 22% are.

Since this is a disease with the highest mortality for the older age groups, Italy was always going to have a higher mortality rate.
I'm not blaming anyone. I'm merely pointing out that at the moment, Republican areas don't have as many cases, and thus don't really have a reason to have doubts about the current Republican leadership.

This can be seen in polls of how the current administration is handling the Coronavirus [0], with an extremely sharp divide between Republicans and Democrats. The vast majority of Republicans approve of the current administration and their handling of it, whereas very few Democrats do.

This, of course, may change significantly between now and election time. The polls quoted by fivethirtyeight are also from early in March, and the public opinion may have shifted since then.

[0]
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-concerned-are-ameri...
>There are very minor differences, but I remember when N64 was such a vastly different experience from the PlayStation. Even the original Xbox was differentiated

Did it ever matter though? I played a lot of video games and owned nearly every system. I played the systems that had the games I liked, and I don't recall anyone I knew doing differently. Games sell consoles, not specs.

That said, I can think of one counter example: Sega Genesis and their "Nintendon't" campain, as well as the subsequent "blast processing" marketing push. I remember kids talking about "blast processing" during our console holy wars at lunch. The genesis was also initially targeted at the NES.
Massachusetts about to do the same, in addition to whatever federal measures. One time payment (to basically every households that signs up), then additional monthly payments to those who qualify, for as long they feel it needs to happen.

Here's the bill as it was submitted to the State House: https://malegislature.gov/Bills/191/HD4950
Right. Those are methods for IPC. IPC doesn't have to deal with all the same issues as RPC, and so those techniques are going to be faster as a result. You can't really compare them.

It's like comparing communication between people physically located in the same room and people located on different continents.
Political garbage like that doesn’t belong here. Please be constructive.
I'm a right leaning guy and I fully think her, and Burr, should be made an example of. I stayed in this market for a reason and now I'm at half the wealth I was. Fuck those that sold us out!
It really seems like there should be some kind of "SyncGUI" app built into Linux that does this sync with a nice GUI, and maybe there is one, I've never looked that up...

because all it needs to do is prompt for source and destination folders, with a stern warning about what it DOES. ha.
Birds and Frogs, by Freeman Dyson (2009) [pdf]
I wrote a basic model in Awk for US and global "RoW" (ex-China) spread of COVID-19. Both sets of confirmed-case projections (for US see comments for the mathematically correct model) are tracking remarkably close. Lagging slightly below, but only just. (Deaths have trended higher than projection for RoW, lower for US, but the delta remains only a few days.)

https://joindiaspora.com/posts/73d4e930421d0138028e002590d8e...

Exponential growth boggles the mind.

Script source: https://pastebin.com/raw/j89ZUdVq
Testing is insufficient. There is no herd immunity to this and that is what they are building. With a disease this virulent, without herd immunity, it will just spread like wildfire again as soon as you loosen up restrictions. There's two paths to herd immunity: vaccine and everyone gets it. Vaccine is probably a year off and not guaranteed. Until then they will be going forward with a hopefully manageable rolling # of infected until herd immunity is built. We're at what, 14k have been infected so far? We're nowhere close to the end. In my opinion, until you start seeing herd immunity scale of people who have been infected and recovered, or a vaccine, we will see pretty stark differences in our lifestyles.

Also consider the asymmetric knowledge here. The people in power surely know things they aren't telling you. Destroying the economy is not in their best interest. How bad must it have to be for them to be willing to destroy the global economy and potentially their own fortunes and power structures?
Forget insurance -- if there is no hospital capacity because the system is flooded it doesn't matter if they have it or not. I've read for those who require hospitalization it's a 50% fatality rate. For those who need hospitalization but can't get it, it's closer to 100%.
React v16.13.1
Big thinkers' predictions for how corona will change the world permanently
As chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee, he had and has plenty of current knowledge. He reports actual facts to donors/supporters and counter-facts to the public. About what we all would expect from him.
We haven't overwhelmed our healthcare system yet.
Since the "welded doors shut" thing borders on fear mongering, I feel the need to clarify.

Everything I have read states they closed off certain doors to ensure that you couldn't get in / out of the building without getting a health screen.
Another scary comparison is to overall mortality from all causes. 475/1734 (based on 633,000 deaths in 2018) is equal to 27% of all other deaths per day in Italy, period. If/when it takes off outside of Lombardia, it could well be 100%+.
Show HN: superstring - A fast and memory-optimized string library for Python
Or from reputation.

A company with a reputation for quality can charge more, because you don't need observers and can just rely on them. And they want to deliver on the reputation, so that they can keep milking it.
https://archive.md/8EcPa
Pence promised 4 million last week.

https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2020-03-10/...
In this instance, this service has to follow US law.

One in Saudi, has to follow the laws there.
There's a more information-dense article at https://reason.com/2020/03/18/title-ix-arizona-state-univers...
> "Developers" or average Joe's? Most people I know don't know what push notifications are. RSS? "Some kind of gov agency?". Sharing? "Facebook button!". And, no, they aren't idiots, they just don't care and see any of that. ;)

I think this leaves out a middle ground. The people who design web pages love this stuff, either business decision-makers (because they think it improves metrics) or programmers (because it's a cool way to implement the area of their technological expertise)—but you can be a techie, know exactly what all these things are, and not want them.

(RSS is a funny one to see on the list. It's practically ancient, and most browsers seem to have given up on integrating it—which is a shame, because it's a low-flash solution to a real problem and is user-centered and -controlled.)
I'll keep looking for when my landlord says anything close to this, if anything at all.
Do you think they're likely to have _over_ reported the number of cases they had?
I appreciate the offer very much. Unfortunately I’m not much of a hardware guy and these days my attention is a little scattered due to all that’s happening around us. I do think it’s an inspired project though —- being able to glance at what’s next on the calendar without context switching seems really useful.
Thanks for the write-up!

> He knew the reasons for each steps like import tax avoidance, cost/benefit analysis of using one vendor/shipper/etc, or even that they used to have a specific engineer at that one factory who was amazing at QA and tolerance checking or something like that.

Excellent example. Some of those you wouldn't be allowed to document in writing, even if you wanted to.
California Announces Statewide 'Stay at Home' Order to Stop Coronavirus
> Can't you say that at least for Italy as a whole, this is killing 2x as many as the worst flu seasons?

As I said above, I agree that this argument is plausible. I think your argument is at least as likely to be correct as any other, and probably not too far off the mark for the "true" CFR.

> Italy has a population around ~60 million, law of large numbers makes it impossible to have error bars THAT big

However this is not true. The law of large numbers helps with statistical errors. It does zero, absolutely zero, to control for systematic errors. There are so many factors in play that it is extremely hard to declare anything "impossible" with this pandemic.
It seems like it’s difficult to get an accurate sense of the doubling rate right now, because of the confounding variable of increased testing.
Laser Pointer Safety – a comprehensive resource for safe responsible laser use
Country by country, state by state, one by one...
When the Revolution Comes (2011)
Great link thank you - it looks like if the US follows China, is it nearly two months from the peak, with Washington state about 10 days closer. If China is even comparable. We will know more when Italy reaches its peak.
I was in elementary school during Copland and the NeXT acquisition and so I wasn't there, but based on everything that I've read, the reason for the long gap between the purchase of NeXT in December 1996 and the release of Mac OS X 10.0 in March 2001 had largely to do with the inclusion of the Carbon API.

The story goes as follows: after Copland was cancelled in 1996, Apple then pursued the idea of purchasing or licensing an operating system from another company and then building a new Mac operating system on top of it. Existing Mac programs running on then-current System 7.5 would run in emulation under what's called the "Blue Box," which would later be known as Classic Mode in Mac OS X. New programs would run under a then-undefined API called Yellow Box that ran natively on Apple's future operating system. The questions were: (1) what would be Yellow Box, and (2) what would be the native operating system? The choices were Windows NT, Solaris, BeOS, and OPENSTEP. BeOS and OPENSTEP ended up making it to the "final round." In the end, Apple bought NeXT, and work started on a project called Rhapsody, which was essentially OPENSTEP with a Mac OS 8-style theme. Yellow Box was the OpenStep Objective-C based API, which would later be renamed Cocoa in 1998. Rhapsody was supposed to be released sometime in 1999 if I recall correctly.

In the beginning, it was expected that Mac developers would port their software from the classic Mac API to Yellow Box. However, some developers balked at the prospect of porting their code to Yellow Box, most notably Microsoft and Adobe. Given the importance of products like Microsoft Office and Adobe Photoshop to the Mac platform, during WWDC 1998 Apple announced the Carbon API, which was similar to the classic Mac API but was designed to take advantage of features such as preemptive multitasking and protected memory. Also, Apple announced that both Carbon and Cocoa would be based on a common substrate of C functions, allowing "toll-free bridging" between the two APIs.

The addition of Carbon was a significant engineering effort that contributed to the delay of the release of Mac OS X. There may have been some other factors, such as designing the Aqua interface and incorporating the feedback received from users of the Mac OS X Public Beta, which was released in 2000.

In the meanwhile, Steve Jobs was able to buy time for Apple through the introduction of well-received, now legendary products such as the iMac and the iBook. By 2000 Apple got its mojo back, and the attention became less on when Apple would finally release Mac OS X and more on anticipating what type of products Apple would come out with next. Eventually Mac OS X 10.0 would get released in March 2001, just in time to compete against Windows XP, the first consumer version of Windows based on Windows NT as opposed to MS-DOS.
The fact that we know there was suppression means they aren't very good at it.
> I just think my method shows that barring highly unlikely scenarios, this thing is at least 5x as bad as flu, not a lower bound of 0.5 as bad. So we should act accordingly.

I don't think your method allows any conclusion of the comparison between SARS-CoV-2 and A(H1N1) or whichever flu is in Italy this year.

And it depends what "act accordingly" means. I think it's unwise to take extreme measures like school closings or shelter-in-place, which we know will have their own adverse impacts, without first retracting the flawed science that arrived at the 3.4% CFR and then seeking to replicate the study which I linked above.

I mean, do you think that study is equally flawed? Do you think that the researchers who submitted it for review today simply didn't think to compare the number of deaths yesterday with the mean deaths from flu?
Indians predated Newton 'discovery' by 250 years (2007)
Change that o for an a and now you're in completely different world
Here are a few things I can think of:

1. My Dropbox folder of paper pdfs is a total mess, only made manageable because I use JabRef to open them. From within LiquidText, I have a hard time finding the papers I want. Being able to find papers again at all seems to be the main productivity boost in my math research right now, and JabRef has been great for that, even though it doesn't do fulltext search of the pdfs themselves. One important feature, here, is that JabRef helps me see papers in some historical context -- both when they were published and which other papers I was looking at when it was added to my bib file.

2. I consume lots of papers (but not necessarily in careful detail, making LT features potentially less useful), and I found the friction of having to import and manage the library within LiquidText to be a little too much for me, especially through a touch interface.

3. I like having multiple papers in front of me simultaneously. On my desktop, I tend to have multiple documents open across two monitors. I also like being able to use a physical keyboard and to have the precision of a mouse. It's nice that alt-tab (or command-backtick) is a nearly instantaneous operation.

4. Since I don't use my iPad, it tends not to be charged, leading to less use. It's also a model that can't use an Apple Pencil, so I haven't been incentivized to move all my note-taking and thinking to tablet computers.

I would really like a pdf document viewer like LiquidText for both MacOS and Linux. I put my e-mail address in for hearing about the MacOS version.

I also think that I should be using it more. I might just be lazy and not using the right tools.

By the way, Jofish was the one who recommended LiquidText to me. I forgot to also follow up on his advice to send you some immediate thoughts I had in 2016; I'm not sure they'd still be useful, but here they are anyway:

> LiquidText really is good, and it makes me (mostly) happy reading textbooks digitally. My only complaint is that with long books, say 500 pages, I have a hard time scrolling to an exact point because it becomes too sensitive, but I'm not really sure how that could be fixed (maybe a reader device which a hollowed out book you can open up to a particular page? or maybe pointier fingers?) Search-and-pinch is one of the main ways I skip around, though creating temporary comments works well, too. I find "finger-between-pages" double-scroll causes it to crash too often with Springer pdfs, so I've just avoided that feature. Maybe what characterizes LiquidText is that it doesn't disincentivize jumping back and forth between different parts of a book too much.

> Every once in a while, if I want to think of buying something, I click the "multi-doc" button to see the advertisement. Though eventually I'll probably give the LiquidText people money just to support them.

(I did end up paying for some extra features.)
Keep looking up stream. The landlords have to pay property taxes and often their own mortgages on personal or commercial properties. Anyone with a balloon mortgage is probably feeling very anxious about now. The rental market is big business and many thousands of rental communities around the country are operated by corporations capitalized through big bank creditors with the power to unmake poor performers; if prospects of collecting rent look grim investment capital will dry up and these companies will be facing bankruptcy. It's times like these when you really need a good leader that's empowered to act but also capable of seeing the big picture.
The generally seem to be, especially corroberated by other experience:

- HK, SG, KR, and JP have similar trends.

- No "patriotic virus" -- infecting Chinese only after leaving China.

- Limited spread / impacts outside Hubei.

- Lifting quarantine.

Testing numbers are all but certainly low, but given shitshows elsewhere (IT, US, PH, DE, ES, likely IN and others), due to logistics and limitations. Comprehensive population antibody testing should be interesting.
I have read a number of public health orders relating to COVID and this is by far the worst written.

The Bay area one allows people to get out and walk for exercise. This does not.

The article doesn't bother linking to the actual order. https://covid19.ca.gov/img/N-33-20.pdf has the text of the order. It just said the critical infrastructure sections. The (non-linked) URL for which is https://www.cisa.gov/critical-infrastructure-sectors. Which is extremely vague.

For example should my local Best Buy remain open because it is part of the Information Technology sector? Or is providing people with headphone adaptors for work at home not critical infrastructure? I have no clue! I hope that they do.
lol. I didn’t know that
It's maddening. Some of us have been asking this question for the past 5 days and being told we're crazy for not simply believing what is obviously an indefensible denominator. [0]

0: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22580814
Please see the Imperial College London report, recently released, for a model that contradicts what you’re suggesting [0].

In particular, see Figure 3 for a direct refutation of the idea that simply applying suppression techniques to the infected or primarily-at-risk groups is adequate.

Anything other than immediate and severe suppression techniques puts us over ICU capacity in the next few months, and the estimated number of deaths skyrockets into the millions.

[0] https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s...
We've long been pursuing the supply side economics for far too long. Massive tax cuts and bailouts. Banks came back rather quickly after 2008. The citizens, well, it took a while.

I'm beginning to think that if businesses can't survive for 6 months in a catastrophe, maybe it's better that they die. Moral hazard, you know.

If businesses die, you still have the people to build more businesses. If people die, you'll have neither.
I did see the big warning labels everywhere. However, there is simply no replacement that is equally fast (protocol 5), easy to use (copyreg) and imports necessary modules when deserializing. So tradeoffs were made.
Everybody keeps saying this, but is China really “under control” right now? The virus is still here. Can’t it still infect everyone in China?
The value of trust.

JS Mill has some interesting observations going back a ways.

Auditing is still recommended.
I'm against this barbaric tradition of putting people in cages for whatever XYZ crimes. I think the isolation of the rest of the society from the criminals is essential but should be done in a much more humane way. For instance, prisons should be a place to learn and develop one's mind with libraries, documentaries, education and tools of creation but still making sure the person cannot contact the rest of the society. Prisoners should be making living to pay for such facilities by doing work. You might wonder what if this actually promotes more crimes but you can increase the lengths of sentences and exponentially growing lengths for repeated offenses. A way to think of prison is just another society with its own economy and rules with strict isolation but otherwise similar in most other respects. For example, a "prison town" may have cafes, restaurants, theaters etc with everything being run by this isolated community which is not allowed to be in contact with the rest. I know this is crazy and rather radical ideal but small cages and solitary confinement is inhuman beyond thought.
Fun project! Do you have links to the eInk module?
To further illustrate your point:

The UK and South Korea reported their first cases on the first day; SK has slowed new cases to a trickle and the UK is facing mass infection.
How long does it take to build PCR machines? Why can't we build 100,000 of them (or whatever the appropriate number is)?

If it costs tens of billion dollars, so be it. That's far cheaper than shutting the economy for months at time.

This is essentially a war-time effort we are in. I believe government has the authority to mandate that companies with relevant manufacturing capability build and sell these machines in order to combat the virus.
So only rich people deserve items demanded in a panic?

The proper control is limit purchase per person per day. Raising prices on things like masks in a viral contagion like this is unconscionable
I like it a lot. I mix it with Just Dance and Fitness Boxing. I only have fitness based software on my Switch.
Can't find the Italy link, but here's an article talking about hospitalizations and young people including alarming ICU cases: www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/19/younger-adults-are-large-percentage-coronavirus-hospitalizations-united-states-according-new-cdc-data/
Thanks Steve for the answer! HN is an amazing place where a random comment asking a question about Rust can get an answer from a core developer. I hope we will always keep it that way.
That was a good read.
There's an interesting discussion (and article) for those who prefer tea over coffee :)

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16129454
I'm more concerned about whether or not we can keep food, utilities, and housing running that long. If the front-line workers in the essential jobs are the most vulnerable to exposure, and the economy has screeched to a hault, can we keep everyone fed that long, keep the lights and sanitation going, while also not infecting everyone?
> Tariffs have been hated on economically, in part because the analysis values the generic profit creation over the risk; but it seems like one way to balance wage differentials to encourage de-risking our supply chain. I'm sure there are other maybe better methods?

What do you mean by 'balancing wage differentials'?

Global trade is on of the best ways to balance wage differentials. That's how China had crazy catch-up growth in the last few decades.

(Another great way to help poor people get more productive and thus richer is open borders.)

If downstream customers want to de-risk, they should pay for it. Either by setting up their supply chains differently, or by outright purchasing insurance, etc.

If they choose not to engage in this expense, perhaps they are right, and just bearing the risk is overall a better trade-off? Who are we to tell other people what level of risk aversion they should have?

Of course, once the calamity hits everyone wishes they would have bought prepared or bought insurance. But that doesn't mean we should all go out and make our roofs asteroid impact proof, or never ever go out because we might break a leg.
https://netmq.readthedocs.io/en/latest/router-dealer/
It’s this one: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B075JLP2LP/
Cut them a little Slack, will ya? Naming is hard.
The interstates, rail networks, oh and THE USPS, which makes the federal government, literally a shipping clerk.
Looking at the last few days, NY's cases are going up scarily fast. WA seems to have "almost" flattened the curve.