skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Using the same total expenditure, quadruple the amount to $4k, give it out over 4 months ($1k per month), and only give it to those who are likely to need it (based on current income). Use 2020 income tax returns to reconcile the payments when actual income is known.
I think all we're arguing is the latency between teardown and starting back up. Variables are going to be how long the Sauds and Russian can engage in a price war, how long until insolvency for producers and developers, and what it looks like when they arrive at insolvency, go through bankruptcy, what happens to the equipment, etc.

I argue this is going to go on for more than a few weeks. Saudi Arabia and Russia can hold out longer than most over leveraged US fracking orgs, especially with the US credit markets in turmoil. No one is going to be racing to extend further credit to frackers already in financial distress. Production won't start back up immediately because it'll take time to start back up.
If your comment never makes it out of moderation limbo (or maybe even if it does), would you mind posting it here?

How does not being able to assume the absence of UB prevent optimizations like those you listed? Not that I'm doubting you; this is an area I'm not very familiar with.
>Even if they had that $10.4Bn, they could not get through Coronavirus. Airlines have HIGHLY volatile margins on INSANE amounts of revenue. None of them could withstand a 70% decrease in air traffic for a year.

Ignoring Tech industry, most companies on earth could not withstand a 70% drop in revenue. The world we are in today is that everyone is trying to go for Big Revenue and Slim Profit Margin. A side effect from QE or worsen by it.
This is a massive overreaction. We are past the point of containment, yet we are enacting policies based on containment.

The virus is here to stay in the US for the next year. It doesn't make any sense to limit social interaction (for young people) for just 2 weeks. If there is no vaccine and the rate of expose gets down, after the "lockdown" is lifted, transmission will simply pick up again.

The media and WHO are complicit in spreading hysteria like claiming the mortality rate is 3.4% (https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2020/03/05/coro...) based on completely faulty numbers. These numbers are obviously flawed because they do not account for people who have not had major symptoms and thus have not been diagnosed.

The actual way to stop the spread is to tell elderly folks and people with underlying health conditions to stay at home. Not to keep young people out of their gyms (All bay area gyms are now shutdown). The hospitalization rate for under 45 year olds is very low. By allowing under 45 year olds to get sick and develop immunity, we can actually stop the spread.

There is no endgame for social distancing everyone other than waiting for a vaccine (won't happen soon) or hoping the summer stops the transmission rate (not guaranteed). It is selfish to expect the majority of the population to stay away from work and gyms when the risk is extremely low for them. Note that young and old will continue to cross paths in close proximity at grocery stores, the post office and other "essential" locations. It is just wishful thinking that a two week break will lead to a long term fix.
I don't see how a universal basic income could be sustainable in any way.

You either have debt hyperinflation, or you have taxes high enough that the universal basic income is meaningless.
I think its just pure fear selling off way too much. The stock market only appeared to be on a huge bull run, the amount of money in the system doubled since 2008:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MABMM301USM189S

Since 2008 money means something different. The fed will keep releasing liquid funds for banks to buy up all the cheap stock. Or the US government might even give away money to keep consumer spending going. Either way it will expand the money supply enough until the SP500 goes back to 3000 even if 3000 equals 1500 in 2019 money.
> “there was no reason to expect this even 6 months ago.”

You might want to re-think that perception.

I've recently heard Ralph Baric, an epidemiology Professor from UNC School of Medicine[0]. He's arguably one of the world's foremost experts on the topic — which makes it easy to at least listen to the man, you'd think... Have a look at his publications:

- Dec 2015 ⇒ A SARS-like cluster of circulating bat coronaviruses shows potential for human emergence.[1]

- Mar 2016 ⇒ SARS-like WIV1-CoV poised for human emergence.[2]

Few sentences from the abstract of the latter:

> Outbreaks from zoonotic sources represent a threat to both human disease as well as the global economy. Despite a wealth of metagenomics studies, methods to leverage these datasets to identify future threats are underdeveloped. [...] Focusing on the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)-like viruses, the results indicate that the WIV1-coronavirus (CoV) cluster has the ability to directly infect and may undergo limited transmission in human populations.

I mean... What more is there to say?

You may listen to a (great but rather technical) podcast[3] featuring him, among other experts, and there's even a layman-friendly companion post made by a listener[4] (whom I fully credit and thank for sharing the knowledge).

____

[0]: https://www.med.unc.edu/microimm/directory/ralph-baric-phd-1...

[1]: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26552008

[2]: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26976607

[3]: http://www.microbe.tv/twiv/twiv-591/

[4]: https://medium.com/@hpcngmoh/you-will-be-hard-pressed-to-fin...
https://cuelang.org is a unified logical language that replaces the need for all these data format enhancements and tools.

Definitely my new favorite language and tech, super powerful and solves a ton of problems all at once.

It's quickly improving, and while it is immature, I think it's safe to start building with. Docs need to be expanded once things settle in the next few months.
I really liked this article because they spoke more of their decision making process than tech. Rewrite It In Rust is a meme by this point, but the blog actually goes through every point that could be discussed in such a strategy and why it made sense for Dropbox at this moment.

Really good blog post, imo.
Hard to tell. We'd have to ping similar programs in order countries because there was massive depression on the value of the dollar than.
I’d imagine any current rush is correlated to coronavirus concerns.
obvious, bordering on pedantic, point. OP is saying that trying to time the gap up is less likely to pay off P/L-wise than just holding the course
Databricks is easily the best spent money in my stack.

I also love Hashicorp's products, but unfortunately I'm not paying them anything. Before Terraform Cloud their enterprise offerings were quite bad IMO (no SaaS, had to talk with Sales, provision infrastructure yourself, high initial commitment, etc...).

I will probably start using Terraform Cloud in a near future thought, just waiting for some key features to be released so I can integrate it to my pipe (Gitlab Groups integration, more flexible module layout).
Massive public investment is going to be needed after this and money will be cheap. That high speed rail can hopefully be built.

Airplanes and pilots will also be a dime a dozen I suppose, but perhaps it will even put.
Valves are not subject to copyright. These valves are patented, as noted in the article.

Probably an equally good valve design whose patent has expired could be used instead. It is not uncommon to patent a new design just different enough, but not actually better, to avoid competition.
I live in Beijing and came back early Feb after the new year holiday. We’re doing all that stuff too, even the single use tissue in the elevators.

The day after I got back we found out we had a case of covid-19 in our apartment block, so we were one of the first to get restricted entry/exit — each unit gets 2 cards and you have to present it when you enter or leave through the single open gate. I did 2 weeks going outside just twice to buy food, then slowly relaxed a bit. Many of my chinese friends are still basically not going out at all.

Now’s an exciting time for China because we’re at basically zero new cases in the country (had 4 new ones in Hubei yesterday, the rest were all retournees from outside the country). So since yesterday, it’s mandatory hotel quarantine for everyone who enters the country.

Really getting worried for my family and friends in the states though. Gonna have some long talks about how to prepare.
Homeferences
Is there any estimate of how many years the recession is going to last?
Nope, schools are still open.
>It'd be amazing if we could actually directly (from a technical perspective) message other people, without needing central servers between us.

How could you do this while also preserving network privacy between users? One of the big selling points of Discord is users can't see each other's IP addresses when they message or call each other. I believe you would need at least a simple relay in the middle to prevent that. Or layer it on some Tor-like anonymizing network, but I think that wouldn't be practical for this use case (especially video calls).

This is especially important for not just the typical privacy reasons: Discord is marketed heavily towards gamers, and some gaming communities are filled with script kiddies who rent "booter" (DDoS-for-hire) services to knock opponents online, to torment them and/or to gain an upper hand in games where disconnection means automatic forfeiture. This was one reason a lot of people switched from Skype to Discord, because Skype had many ways of seeing other users' IP addresses.
Accessible Audio Charts – An Open Source Initiative for Android Apps
Agreed. I'm currently sharing a studio basement in Vancouver with my gf, but if either of us was single it would be more suitable to just have a bedroom in a shared space. Living like students in terms of space shouldn't be looked at as temporary until you can afford a huge place with lots of stuff. One of my friends has a 3 bdr condo which she shares with 2 independent roommates and often her partner. Further to this, I'm often questioning my relationship to the dream of owning a place at all, as it often doesn't resonate with me.
Social engineering.

> Hi, AT&T, I was at the bar last night and I lost my phone. I still have my old phone, though. Can you help me transfer it? Mother's maiden name? Why yes, it is on whitepages.com!
Just to note that the relative test code to production code ratio in Hashicorp products is 10:1 (10 lines of test for every line of code).
Why is a buyback worse than a dividend? Both are a form of delivering ROI, it just happens that one is better for shareholders due to the tax system.

In fact if airlines had actually reinvested that money, they would be even more fucked up than they are now. At least now they have free cash flow to make a temporary drop in revenue hurt less. Reinvesting money in the corporate world often involves converting cash flow into debt, which they’re probably going to have to do now to meet their existing financial obligations. Much better than if they were midway through financing some large fleet expansion and had less FCF on hand to weather the travel slowdown
It would be useful if this could be broken down into separate categories - estimated CFR without medical intervention, and likely CFR at various levels of intervention.

The former suggests what your population mortality rate will be if your healthcare system is overwhelmed, and could possibly be derived from Italian data. The latter gives you a resources vs effectiveness sweet spot that maximises health system throughput, so you can save the maximum number of lives over time given the resources you have (or can build/find.)

The age profile is relevant, but worryingly there seem to be a number of reports that it's not just the over-65s who are at risk.

I haven't seen anything more recent about this than the Chinese estimates from a month or so ago.
It's not just death rate, but the rate at which it becomes severe. South Korea's severe case rate is also much lower than other countries.

The most likely explanation is that Korea is catching more mild cases that other countries are missing.
Series E have never been a good indicator for success, especially with the stock market behavior of late, and I don't see how HashiCorp's enterprise offerings are worth a 5.1B valuation. They've continuously struggled to find a good fit for their "enterprise only" features, and the amount of money they charge for these features is nothing short of extortion. Vault seems to be the only runway they have, and I see that area ripe for competition (or even AWS Vault like they did with MongoDB). Also, based on the company's glassdoor reviews, it seems the exec team are a bunch of jerks, which is an interesting contrast to Armon/Mitchell.

Unlike some of the other comments, I see HashiCorp as a textbook example of poor execution for converting customers. They clearly have the things people want, but they have always struggled to give people a reason to pay for them. They've created a community that would easily raze the goodwill they've floated on if they started to heavily monetize their products, so they're in a lose/lose situation to me.

I see them being acquired, but I can't think of any cloud provider that would pay for them. Maybe Oracle? :)
In the US, Comcast generally doesn't get a good rep - but they've done the same: https://corporate.comcast.com/covid-19

Now if we could take a second to talk about all the "From CEO..." emails that are being sent around...
Here in italy Fastweb pledged set up a 1-million gigabytes traffc pool from which all subscribers draw automatically. Once the million is over, traffic will be drawn from the account (granted, Fastweb offers ~50 GB/month for 9.90/month).

This is for now, i wouldn't be surprised if they extend it later on.

The thing is, Fastweb is big in residential internet connection but pretty minor as mobile provider.

No word from major providers (Vodafone, Tim, Iliad)
No, it doesn’t necessarily mean that. If you find a paper or expert testimony that totally unambiguously shows that I’m wrong, I will totally retract what I’ve said.
I agree that it needs to be addressed, but my worry is that it’s complete conjecture.

So many people were predicting massive inflation from quantitative easing but that never came to pass.

To me, the scary thought is implementing UBI without a mechanism to reel it back if our model wasn’t right
As a chromebook user with crostini, I'm wondering if this is going to work for me - as neither k3s, nor minikube, or minishift did (due to limitations in crostini).
I've been wanting to make a Windows app for my specific budgeting needs so that I can uninstall LibreOffice since that's all I use it for.

So my plan was to use React + Electron since it's easy and quick, but it feels like overkill.

So I considered downloading VS Community and using C# and .NET for it, but that also kinds of feels like overkill.

So I considered using Win32 APIs, but I remember the sample hello world program's source being surprisingly complex.

So I considered learning MFC and using that since I heard it's a decent layer on top of Win32, but then I'd have to relearn C++.

So I opened the WinUI page and the WinJS repo linked to somewhere else in here, and both seem like dead ends.

This is why I still have LibreOffice installed. Which of course also feels like overkill.
> it's just a vestige like "roll down the window"

Not to disagree, but I don't really see how the old rotary handles suggested the term "roll down the window" either. What was rolling? If I were supposed to describe the old way without knowing an existing word for it, I'd say "crank" was the closest option.
I don’t believe the DSM still uses the term anti-social for precisely this reason.
Boris asked nicely for people to think about maybe not going to the pub.

But they're crammed as usual.

And businesses can't claim insurance money if they close, as they're not required to close by law.
Calm down, guy. No one’s getting quarantined without water.
Yeah - pre-kids I used the robot vacuum regularly.

Post-kids, it takes 10 minutes to tidy the floor and 5 to vacuum it myself (and I do a better job), so it's not as much use.
Breaking Bad: The oil industry's dirty secret
I was being rhetorical.
I know of orgs who are writing 7 figure checks to Hashicorp without batting an eye. They are seeing rapid adoption in large enterprises who are willing to pay for it

https://stackshare.io/terraform

https://www.hashicorp.com/blog/category/case-study/

It seems like you don't think the value is there, and I supposed for some use cases that may be true, but I assure you they're getting paid for the value they're delivering (which is substantial).

Disclaimer: I am not associated with Hashicorp, just a satisfied user of their products who freely teaches Terraform and Vault usage and pays my own way to go to Hashiconf.
You're right, muh (short-term) freedom is much more important than a sustainable, livable planet.
I wonder why HashiCorp needs to raise more money as they seem fairly profitable and in a very good position in the market? Why dilute your stocks and ownership of the company?
I know Wireguard is better but how do I get my work to use it instead of openvpn?
It tends to work out better for those who overstate threat than those who understate, both in the moment (you get more attention) and after (if you’re right you get yet more attention, and if you were wrong everyone gives you a pass due to the mass collective panic).
then you find out that you need to run the site HA for reasons, and you learn just how much of a shitshow it is with WordPress.

Sincerely, someone with way too many Wordpress sites.
Kelly Sommers think about not being a programmer anymore
ahh ok its not like a light sabre :)

its like a half life thing, the energy from the UV radiation makes the molecules of the virus shimmy and shake until it breaks, and this is time dependent so for a given |dosage| of UV you need wattage over time at distance from the source. it might be better to hang the garment in a closet or enclosure and expose it for a period of time.

in particular, the cuffs, and the upper chest lapel area, and the hip/pocket area these are typical hotspots.
I really hope Bezos brings the full power of Amazon's distribution network to bear on this crisis. Traditional retailers seem strictly worse from the epidemiological perspective - you have to go to the store and there are hundreds of people there at least a few of whom will have the virus, if not now, then 2 weeks from now. They are also largely failing to cope with panic buying, whereas Amazon's efficiency only gets better if people buy a lot of stuff.

I also hope Amazon does this responsibly, and creates the conditions in which the strictest possible social distancing could be maintained for people working in the warehouses.

It's pretty clear to me that we can't shut down the economy due to this for any extended period of time. We also can't do these planet-scale epidemiological drills every year. If that's the case, we should figure out a way to alleviate our current predicament as much as possible until there is a vaccine or a cure. Amazon can be a large part of that.
Mathematically this makes no sense. If we all had it already it wouldn’t have an R0 of 2-3. And, if you model the infection rate, even with it being highly exponential, it still takes many many months to spread everywhere because of a) the ~4 day delay from infection of a person to their infectious-ness b) it being a phenomena that must be seeded in each local community and c) applying the prior to the exponential function.

I won’t bother re-creating the epidemiological studies as professionals have much better simulations than I could offer.

I will urge you to read up on the models before assuming this thing is “already everywhere” which also implies it won’t grow exponentially.
I've been doing .NET for about 10 years and tbh outside of .NET core itself for building web applications and services (not just windows services) I am not massively interested.
Aussie Broadband have announced unlimited bandwidth for those on limited plans, but also that those few making extreme use of available bandwidth will be throttled. They might slow their connections down, too.
FYI - AT&T and other major North American ISPs have also lifted data caps for the next 60 days.
There's still no lockdown in the UK, as of now
If Amazon fails to behave, Walmart is ready & able to step in.
True although my typo made my case appear weaker rather than stronger. Either way I’ve patched it.
> and distribution is over with accumulation channels being formed, which is when multiple supports are being built.

Noob here. I've worked out what the rest of your post meant. What does the quoted mean?
Except if they reinvest back to Customer they would still have the same problem today.

And generally speaking better leg room, amenities, and services dont sell more tickets. Your competitor will be gaining on you via even lower price. As shown by all the budget Airline. It was the customer than decides the more expensive plane ticket wasn't worth it.

I am not sure I have a solution to this problem.
>For reference, the current rate in France has an 8 handle.

I'm no expert here, but weren't the French literally rioting a few months ago..? And beyond the markets: you keep downplaying this and 2008 as not "being serious." I mean sure, maybe for your portfolio - but can we avoid trivializing the gravity these economic movements can and will have on the lives of millions of people?
As of today, Korea reports 274K tested, with 3.2% infected out of that. They also show strong signs of containment.
Those two datapoints indicate that they didn't miss many infected cases.
What’s it like? To be so cynical that it makes you so blindingly wrong? Terraform, packer, consul, and vault are all ground up products that solve very interesting problems. Nomad is a solid product. They’re all written from the ground up.

How many third party companies do you think get pre-release access to AWS, Azure, and GCE and many others so that their software (in this case terraform) supports it the day of announcement?

Yeah.

Do you know major financial and government institutions are using vault? Do you know how long it takes those organizations to use security software as core parts of their business? Vault is barely 3 years old and is extensively used by them.

Where is the thin wrappper in Hashicorp’s case?
Here's part of my HN comment from yesterday's article about this, which I feel is worth repeating here:

---

An excerpt from [that previous article]:

> Welt am Sonntag also quoted an unidentified German government source as saying Trump was trying to secure the scientists’ work exclusively, and would do anything to get a vaccine for the United States, “but only for the United States.”

Some of the questions you want to ask when you see an article quote like this:

- Who is this unnamed source, exactly?

- Is the article accurately representing what they said?

- In particular: does it accurately represent their intended meaning, in context?

- Does that person speak for the German government? Or is this one government employee's opinion?

- If a German company moves its research labs into the USA, but remains a German company - like the article says - wouldn't that make it impossible for them to hide the secret formula for a vaccine?

- Why would the USA (or any country) even try to keep a vaccine formula secret, in the face of a global pandemic like this? If you think about it, is that comic-book-villain scenario even plausible?
"social distancing" recommendation...but everything is still open