skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> It isn't about the facts. It is about the principle.

What you're saying is that your personal "principle" is more important that facts. And it seems you're saying it should be that way for all time because you think your principle is just and right - even if automation replaces a ton of jobs, or even if something else happens so people don't really have to work much anymore, your moral principle demands that everyone work.

Don't you think the world changes and that what worked before isn't necessarily going to work for all time? I mean, read a book about being a good housewife in the '60s if you want to see how far we've come in just 60 years.

I understand you're a bit put off by people getting "money for nothing" but as I said, maybe the facts here are showing you live a better life because you do pay a little for people to get money for nothing. i.e. crime is lower, people are happier, etc.

As I showed with facts, it's only 5% of the Australian population who live that way, and of course some of those would only get it until they do find a job. Certainly not all of them are slackers (of course, some are)

> When I am working I don't want to be paying my tax for someone sitting on their behind.

As I said, you need to keep it very clear in your head you are already paying for millions to do exactly that, and society as we know it would utterly crumble if we didn't. Who would pay for prisons, the elderly or handicapped?

The part I find most fascinating of all about this is how the media has conditioned people to be outraged about real and everyday people getting "money for nothing" and how they're slackers and are ruining the economy. Two pages later we learn the banks have another multi-billion dollar bailout, large companies are pay extremely little tax.

Do you honestly think it's the 5% of people who choose to be slackers to the tune of $1000 a month who are causing a problem? or are you just outraged they are actual people who get to sit and do nothing while you go to work, but you can't feel that same outrage at a faceless corporation?
Over sixty percent of Russia's exports are in oil and gas.
This isn't really a debate:

- "Liver toxicity from acetaminophen poisoning is by far the most common cause of acute liver failure in the United States, researchers reported" [1] in 2005. It was also true before the opioid epidemic really began.

- "The recommended dose of acetaminophen in adults is 650 to 1,000 mg every 4 to 6 hours, not to exceed 4,000 mg in a 24-hour period." [2]

- "Single doses of more than 150 mg/kg or 7.5 g in adults have been considered potentially toxic." [2]

- "The minimal dose associated with liver injury can range anywhere from 4 to 10 g" [2]

The active dose is very close to the dose at which liver damage occurs (4X single dose or 1X daily dose) and also a fatal dose (10X single dose or 2.5X daily dose). Further, it's exacerbated by alcohol use, which is why you should never drink and then take Tylenol.

Wheres, ibuprofen the safety margin is 120X a single dose and 40X a daily dose. For naproxen, it's 63X a single dose or 21X a daily dose [3].

[1] https://www.medpagetoday.org/psychiatry/depression/2233?vpas...

[2] https://www.uspharmacist.com/article/acetaminophen-toxicity-...

[3] https://www.advilaide.com/safety/overdose
>> Seventy-eight percent of Americans are already living paycheck to paycheck; almost half can’t afford an unexpected $400 bill

On big part of this is Americans a whole need to get better with their money.

I know many people can't save because of low income (or lack thereof), but 78%? Don't forget about all those people making six figures who can't get it together.
This may not be a movie, but there's no way in hell this timeline isn't some bored kid fresh out of doritos playing with random variables in his universe simulation.
Here are the death probabilities for males in their 80s based on the 2016 social security life table:

80 5.8%
81 6.4%
82 7.1%
83 7.8%
84 8.7%
85 9.7%
86 10.7%
87 11.9%
88 13.3%
89 14.8%

https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
Does that testing include people who had it before and just have antibodies? Or just active cases?
South Korea's CFR of <1.0% is a very optimistic figure. It is a naive calculation based on current # deaths / # infections.

1) But # infections were growing exponentially, we need to use numbers from the same cohort, which implies much lower # infections & higher CFR. Naive CFR will go up once infections grow more slowly. (It is already going up over time.).

2) South Korean confirmed cases are much younger than their median age, mainly between 20-29 years old (perhaps because of where superspreading events happen—that church). This age group has a much lower fatality rate from Covid-19.

3) # hospital beds per capita in South Korea is second highest among OECD countries (1st is Japan) and ~4 times that of the US. They already have patients waiting for beds.

Most countries will do much worse if they reach the same # infections per capita, since fatality rate surges to multiple times as high without proper care (as can be seen in several places around the world now, unfortunately).

(SK has ~12 beds/1000 capita; China ~4.3; US ~2.8)
Universal to offer three movies in theaters to be available for streaming
Trackpads are no longer a Windows vs Mac thing. On the Windows side, if the manufacturer implements Windows Precision Touchpad, the scrolling, gestures, and multitouch experience is (for the vast majority of users and manufacturers) excellent and near-Mac quality. If the manufacturer does not implement Precision Touchpad, then it's on them; their trackpad experience will suffer and will be closer to the terrible experience you have with your HP Stream 11.
Yeah, no. When Greg Mankiw, probably the foremost conservative economist in the world, endorses Yang's UBI, then it's probably worth considering seriously:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/27/business/yang-warren-taxe...

https://youtu.be/HDKfdmbCuvw?t=31615
Unfortunately that will be really tough. I have a live audio background and the recommendation I have always heard is to keep the latency of your signal path at the 1 ms level when dealing with monitoring applications. That's a solid order of magnitude below what is common for VOIP let alone video. You could maybe get away with audio only, but round trip latency is still getting up there.

Edit: I know of some pro-grade point to point audio solutions that are able to handle this problem, but I'm unsure if there's anything consumer ready.
Enfani (previously don't port) has a product to prevent this: https://efani.com/

I haven't used it. I want to, but haven't wanted to deal with changing my family plan. It does make me more interested in a dual-sim phone.
"Oh my god, it's we that have been inside the tank! Look, here's that bench that the human chicks like to stand on!"
That's not even true of Docker. Their business might have been poorly run but Docker containers as a universal package format and easily accessible over HTTP is a major innovation over what we had before.
> honest question: what is the death rate for an average person in their 80s?

That's a standard actuarial problem, answered with life tables (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr61/nvsr61_03.pdf -- pdf, US 2008). In said life tables, there is a 7% death rate between ages 83 and 84.

To an order-of-magnitude approximation, infection with the novel coronavirus seems to impose roughly one year's worth of mortality risk on the victim.
> symptoms and mortality rate have been exaggerated by the media

Dude, believe what you will, but in the most affected areas, they can't even bury bodies fast enough, they are literally filling up churches with coffins. This does not happen with influenza, because we have vaccines and mitigation techniques that we do not have with Covid19. We don't even know for sure if or when reinfection can occur.

In a regular year, influenza in Italy kills 400-500 people, and simple pneumonia kills another 6,000 to 8,000. We've had 2,000 deaths from covid19 in 2 weeks, and concentrated in 20% of the country. Do we really want to "let it run its course" for a full year over the whole of Europe? At this rate, in two months we'll have broken all records.

You underestimate this at your peril.
There are 2 issues that I was attempting to demonstrate, but perhaps I conflated them a bit. Here is second attempt:

Inflation requires a persistent and durable increase in the price of a good. The first issue is that a large proportion of individuals in modern economies are barely making enough money to make ends meet. They are very sensitive to price. An increase in the price of milk would likely cause them to switch to alternatives, thus lowering demand for milk which would then bring the price back down. In effect, the constraint on the wages of the lower classes acts as a constraint on prices of goods. And the second factor, is that in these modern global economies, we have plenty of replacements for almost all types of goods. So if a drought in the mid-west causes soy prices to spike, people will just east less soy based products and switch to something cheaper for a while.

COVID-19 could disrupt that of course. But my hunch is that within a few months after the lockdowns are over, most supply chains will be back up and running. At that point we will be back to being demand constrained (perhaps significantly so if the economic impact is severe enough).
Unfortunately it will come back, as all bad things do.
Yes, there were a tax rebates in 2001 and 2008 which served as a natural experiments for studying consumer spending in response to a fiscal stimulus. The timing of cheques sent were pseudo-randomized on last four digits of social security number. See [1] and [2]. They're sort of dreary reads, but the TLDR of both is that consumption on non-durable goods increases the most, and has the largest impact on those with low-income or don't have access to credit.

[1] Household Expenditure and the Income Tax Rebates of 2001.

https://www.nber.org/papers/w10784.pdf

[2] Consumer Spending and the Economic Stimulus Payments of 2008.
https://www.nber.org/papers/w16684.pdf
> ability to test for residue (computer geek here, forgive my ignorance on biology)

I came across the correct terminology recently. The tests that test if you were infected within a certain time period, even if you did not have symptoms, are called serological tests.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serology
I'm not OP, but I the inference I draw from the comment is that with Yarn declining in quality the probability is higher than NPM will once again become the de-facto standard, thus, it is ideal that any company responsible for its stewardship serve not as further consolidation of power in the industry (which currently leans Alphabet/Facebook).

IMO its crazy we're here, growing up in the IE days, but Microsoft acquiring influence over the JS ecosystem in this day and age is at least arguably, as OP stated, a distribution of power.
If anything the USSR economic policy was far more sustainable than what they have now. They had _manufacturing capacity_ and were almost entirely self sufficient. That is not the case today. And the stuff they import, they have to pay Euros and Dollars for. Ruble has been pretty much in free fall for more than a week now. Their population today (unlike back then) is not ready for a drastically reduced quality of life.

Source: Russian-American, lived through perestroika and the "wild 90s", still have family there.
Bezos uses the three sea shells. Plebeians like you and me use toilet paper.
Its not going to happen, the government will bail out the banks again and this time they won even bother to punish them of police them because "it was a pandemic", so congress and who ever gets the presidency will agree because it is personally profitable and they aren't the ones standing in line at the foodbanks. Everything will pick up again right where financial system left off and in another 8 to 12 years we will have another crash maybe that time we will get some reform but we wont have a middle class anymore by then.
Discord has <200ms latency for audio chat. Is that sufficient? Not Enterprise ready but it may not matter for your use case.
We've been using the Session Manager with instances in private subnets without issue, works like a charm.
Mortality rates are freely available:
https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html

There's a ~6% chance of dying during the year you turned 80. That chance goes up dramatically every year you get older. By 85 it's nearly 10%.

It would be interesting to calculate how this virus changes those rates. I feel like these kind of analysis are completely lacking in any reporting.
Scary. Wouldn't/isn't it easy to hurt your lungs with something like this?
It really seems that the bigger risk is that they will sacrifice the simplicity of iOS to shoehorn the iPad into productivity use cases
I take issue with this claim regarding CPAPs/APAPs There are many doctors who support making CPAP machines purchasable without prescriptions. The story line that they need to remain prescriptions only is, not surprisingly, funding/pushed by sleep clinics and the machine industry players because ... you guessed it ... profit.

I started using an APAP (Resmed10 autoset) about 2 years ago. My sleep study (overnight onsight at clinic) said I needed CPAP for sure and they slapped one on me in the middle of the night to "titrate" it just right for me. After got my machine, they were useless to adjust it. I did bare amount of research and found everything I needed to really adjust settings to work for me over couple months. I don't even take 30 minute nap without it now. Godsend.

I've also snagged the same model machine off ebay with only 30 hours on it (VERY hard to come by because the machine manufacturers are diligent and aggressive in getting them off resale market because of their status as prescribed medical equipment). Anyway, put my brother on said ebay machine, spent week or so of monitoring results and titrating his settings and he has been happy camper since. He had worse apnea than me, but alas no medical coverage at that time.

Of course, ventilators are in different class. That said, keeping CPAPs as prescription only medical devices is a scam and many lives could be extended and saved if could buy without script.
'All is well'. In Italy, triage and lies for virus patients
Teaching technology stands to be rare winner from coronavirus
Also, a very recent Lancet report calculates global CFR at 5.7%.

CFR (Case Fatality Rate) is based on the # people who were tested. IFR (Infection Fatality Rate) which includes people with no or mild symptoms will be lower.

"On this basis, using WHO data on the cumulative number of deaths to March 1, 2020, mortality rates would be 5·6% (95% CI 5·4–5·8) for China and 15·2% (12·5–17·9) outside of China. Global mortality rates over time using a 14-day delay estimate are shown in the figure, with a curve that levels off to a rate of 5·7% (5·5–5·9)"

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3...
And much needed jobs.

So evil!
Trump says the states are all on their own if they want to get ventilators. Looks like we better stock up on the Arduinos.

https://www.sfgate.com/news/article/Trump-to-Governors-on-Ve...
Weird how every expert, who all have decades more experience than you, disagree with everything you said. I guess they are all wrong.
I was in the same boat as you, so I wrote stuff up so you don't have to wonder:

https://www.stavros.io/posts/how-to-configure-wireguard/

It takes hours to set up if you don't know how (and the docs aren't amazing), but it should take you ten minutes using my article.
> If uniformally randomly distributed

It's certainly not uniformly distributed. Testing is not random. Typical test guidelines are to test when some combination of the following are present:

* Flu-like symptoms, after ruling out all other infectious causes

* Travel to a known outbreak region

* Close contact with a confirmed or strongly-suspected case

Asymptomatic people without known exposure are left untested (as is sensible to economize resources), and even people with mild symptoms but no known exposure may be left untested -- this makes it particularly difficult to catch the early stages of community spread, before people have had time to be hospitalized.
Plus, there's the problem of delivering the DRACO protein inside enough cells to be effective. Intracellular delivery of proteins is a very difficult challenge.
What’s the Covid-19 end game?
Santa Clara County reports two additional deaths from Covid-19
> This is a corner of C I'm not familiar with, but does the standard say anything about functions that never return?

A few things, but not a lot of detail.

> A function declared with a_Noreturn function specifier shall not return to its caller 6.7.4-8

It is recommended, but not enforced, that the implementation warns if this might not be the case.

> The implementation should produce a diagnostic message for a function declared with a_Noreturn function specifier that appears to be capable of returning to its caller 6.7.4-9

They do provide some example code that explicitly says that non-returning functions, that are marked as such, need to be explicit that they don't return. (As C implicitly attempts to return if given the opportunity). Not doing so is Undefined Behaviour.

_Noreturn void f () {
abort(); //ok
}

_Noreturn void g (int i) {
//causes undefined behavior if i<=0
if (i > 0) abort();
}

So a compiler should be able to assume that a _Noreturn function either loops forever or terminates. Anything else would appear to be UB.

The compiler can't assume that a function always returns.
Surely McDonald’s already knows everyone has an extra two dollars but they don’t raise their prices because of it.

The thing is people would still shop around for the lowest price. The vendor with the lowest price gets the business. Even opec can’t raise their prices in unison without someone cheating.
I have a major treat for you both if you haven't already listened to this A16Z episode with the CEOs of both companies - https://overcast.fm/+BlzGXPbI0
The tone of the article is a little contradictory. It quotes someone as saying we haven't seen a situation like this in history. It also says prices could be in the single digits for the first time since the '97-'99 price war. Which doesn't seem that long ago to me. I remember filling up for less than a dollar a gallon around then, for the first and only time in my life. It's not that cheap yet, is it?
They would have likely been right if not for Covid 19. It's not just guessing.
I was pretty sure most US Internet vendors pledged [1] to "not terminate service to any residential or small business customers because of their inability to pay their bills due to the disruptions caused by the coronavirus pandemic."

[1] https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/DOC-363033A1.pdf
I'm not sure exactly what you're asking. The chip's inputs and outputs are wired from the chip's pins to metal pads on the die. These signals then routed (mostly) through various metal layers to the transistors. For a MOSFET, the source and drain are in the silicon, while the gate is a polysilicon layer over top. The source, gate, and drain usually have contacts connecting them to the metal layer.

I wrote a post explaining how some of the MOSFETs in the Z-80 microprocessor are wired up. It might help you: http://www.righto.com/2013/09/understanding-z-80-processor-o...
Iran has pretty good baseline health. It's not amazing, but it's much closer to the US than the US is to Japan or Singapore. (And Italy is very healthy, one of the healthiest countries in the world in most rankings.)
If it gets bad enough (and I don't want to seem insensitive here) a bunch of elderly people die and their houses are on the market.
i knew i heard it before!

that's my wasted youth :) iam. 1997. l'ecole du micro d'argent. hugely recommended for true hip hop fans. the best from france.
> an 80 year old has a 15% chance of dying. Is that actually "extremely bad" though?

Yes.
Would you mind sending your feedback?

terraform-cloud-beta@hashicorp.com
If Bezos was a villain then Amazon Basics would have Mao suits. And drones. With sharks. And lasers.
what UI failure is letting you comment on a wrong thread? Is there a mobile app where nav is more obtuse or something?
Yeah, it was great - but remember inflation:

In 1997 a $20 dollar barrel of oil is $32 in today's money.

Calculator:
https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/
There are two things that bug me:

1. The insistence that because complicated protocols are still in wide use, that complications are not a big deal. This is weird. Are we just not acknowledging all of the costs from complicated protocols? Look at TLS.

2. Focusing on a broken benchmark and encryption algorithms and coming to the conclusion that Wireguard is not faster seemingly with no actual testing. Well, maybe it somehow isn’t, but in my experience I get significantly better performance using WireGuard as a drop-in replacement for OpenVPN in a couple of circumstances, on top of better latency. I am no expert but I’d be willing to bet there is some truth to the performance claims.

IPSec, of course, has its issues too, but that’s an entirely different story.
"there's a medallion signature on the transfer, so your brokerage is on the hook for it"

I'm...not sure that's how it works. Yes, common sense suggests it's much more difficult with conventional financial assets, but is that signature guarantee or whatever you call it protecting you or the institution? In the sense that, if someone successfully forges one, what actually happens next?
For the death rate to rise, a lot of people have to get infected and die. Keep in mind there are a lot of deaths from everything else, so for the corona virus to bring that overall death rate number up in any meaningful way, it would have to be huge.
Our Houses Back to BBG?
You should at least mention the criteria for returning capital to shareholders - no NPV positive projects available. We can debate whether or not that is true but it’s not fair to just say “they should have reinvested in the business instead of returning capital”.
Sure, but the whole thing can start again from any amount of virus.
"The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed." — William Gibson
K8s YAML Alternative: Terraform
The same was true up until the 2008 crash. If it happens, it will be a cliff, not a gently sloping down fall.
Hacker News deep-thinkers have the answer for everything!
Limited liability applies to the owners of the company. If the company goes bankrupt, the company goes bankrupt. The owners are not personally liable. It doesn’t have anything in particular to do with what punishment is appropriate for an individual who harms the public and the owner as agent of the owner and management of the company.
Sea level is rising at an unalarming 2-3mm per year. About a foot a century. Believe me, we can adapt to that. Even if you could control the sea level, by the way, due to tectonics, a lot of land is moving at millimeters per year as well. Some landmasses move up, some move down. Change is constant on this planet. Adaptation is the only way.
Well, you would really have to be in a coma though where you or any company didn’t need any liquidity the market provided.
Hand sanitizer and wipes are completely unavailable here because of hoarding and shoplifting.
We can afford it if we print the money, that is, it is debt-free money. The fear if we print the money is inflation, but, as Steve Keen has shown, in the current situation inflation isn't going to happen, especially if we put the focus of this money on paying down debt.

I really highly recommend reading Keen's stuff.
> I suspected Amazon would do well...

Until people camping at home start getting sick, with their common factor being Amazon Fresh delivery.