skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This is awesome, I've thought about building a home stuff crud app to streamline and minimize the stuff we buy. This gets pretty close to what I have in my head.

Is there a way to set up lists for different stores and different households? For example we live in a building with mostly retirees who are not going out. So we're doing their grocery shopping and delivering it. Managing receipts from different stores, keeping lists separate and then doing the math later to see who owes what is a pain.

It's not a long term pain, but thought I'd ask. :)
Sugar is not needed at all for bread baking. This is sadly a common myth. The yeast used in bread making cannot digest complex carbohydrates.

Sugar does serve a purpose in bread (flavour and colour -- sugars love to brown when heated) but it's not in any way a required ingredient. If you don't want your bread to be sweetened, don't add it.
I believe it's the opposite now.

This virus has shown the widespread economic impact and unpredictability that the uncontrolled spread of a virus can unleash on the world.

After this, I'm sure no superpower will want to take a chance releasing a weaponized pathogen: it might just come bite them back in the ass.
This is shallow analysis that adds little to the discussion.
They enriched themselves through stock buybacks over the last decade to boost stock price and executive compensation, at the cost of not having money on hand to weather bad times.

Does your discounted unregulated fare rate include the cost of the all the bailouts over the decades? Are you fine with letting the airlines fail this time?
Learning Svelte and using it to build a site that allows you to read public domain works, take notes on the words by selecting them, and then automatically make flashcards (Leitner method) to help you remember them.

For example, read the classics in Japanese, take notes on the words you don't know, get them automatically translated, and then automatically generate flashcards to help you remember those words.

I've always wanted to read Kokoro from Natsume Soseki (perhaps the greatest Japanese novelist ever) in the original and this is helping me to get past the words I don't know.

If anyone is interested in playing with it I would love a to share: xrdawson@gmail.com.
I play mandolin, but come from playing the cello: so chords are less familiar to me than scale based melodies. This looks really useful, thanks for sharing!
Thank you! I will copy your comment to the thread on my website and link back to your comment here. Feel free to share your reading, but the stress of feeling like I can help is a bit much. I’m going to collect information but for now I’m hoping the major manufacturers committed to ventilator manufacturing are going to pull through.
Note: that article also lists number of ICU beds per 100000 population, and it seems that it's not that highly correlated. Turkey has the most ICU beds.
I think the best answer is that it is under study and good science takes time. Initial indications are positive but anecdotal. More data is needed. This is from Dr. Fauci yesterday.

There is reasonable hope for better treatments from a range of drugs but for each one you need quality studies to determine the effect size, dosage, risk/benefit, and statistical significance. If we can slow this pandemic we will have more time for the science, plus many other preparations that are happening in hospitals.

Wash your hands, limit social contact, stay informed.
An app that persists your OS state as a "context" - saving and loading your open applications, their windows, tabs, open files/documents and so on.

Started because of frequent multitasking heavy work with limited resources, and I've found it to facilitate human context switching.

Open Beta (macOS) as soon as I finish license verification and delta updates.

https://cleave.app

Also working through Penetration Testing with Kali Linux (PWK) course toward the Offensive Security Certified Professional (OSCP) certification, and trying to write and record more music, and work out more at home.
That sounds incredible.

I have no experience with Java/JVM, but found OptaPlanner online and immediately had a usecase for it.

Spent a weekend trying to get through it's documentation and example code, it was so heavy and complicated that I couldn't even get a basic concept or learning exercise written by myself. Reached out on their IRC, and it was dead.

Will definitely be taking a look at this!
Influenza R0 has varied historically between 0.9 and 2.8 [0], where covid-19 is typically quoted as having an R0 around 2.3-2.5. It’s not substantially different in that regard.

Lethality estimates also suffer from being based on bad data. “Patients who have been tested for SARS-CoV-2 are disproportionately those with severe symptoms and bad outcomes.” [1]. For that reason, the CFR in the US at least has been around 1%, but the IFR could actually be significantly lower.

[0]: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19545404/
[1]: https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-a...
A steamy shower should not set off a smoke alarm. Perhaps it has a higher false positive rate.
> Meanwhile, neither is social distancing

It's effective if you do it right.
The Americas saw this rapid decline with arrival of Europeans. The diseases killed 90% of indigenous people ... Guns, Germs, and Steel, PBS adaptation ... "When the Europeans arrived, carrying germs which thrived in dense, semi-urban populations, the indigenous people of the Americas were effectively doomed. They had never experienced smallpox, measles or flu before, and the viruses tore through the continent, killing an estimated 90% of Native Americans." That far outstrips what we're likely to see in absolute numbers in this coming year worldwide from COVID-19.
> but should be correlated

It's not, as shown by the very link you posted. ICU beds are a separate column in that table. Japan only has ~7.3/100k.
You can't really exert yourself to the point of a heart attack unless there is some other pre-existing condition like a congenital heart defect, arterial blockage, history of cocaine use, etc.
This article only shows basic usage of pipes (this is what they mean by "how pipes works"), but doesn't explain at all "how pipe works" (as in: how are they implemented).
Simple Covid19 spread prediction model
The evidence that it helps as a treatment is spotty.

E.g. https://mobile.twitter.com/GaetanBurgio/status/1241201751916...
Learning haskell, getting some writing done, trying out some hacking/info security.
I didn't bat an eye at this until you dropped in with a "Respectfully..." that sounded awfully insincere. Did your sentence really intend to convey respect? Because it came off as disingenuous.
Sure. But in the end I'd rather have my bridges designed by people that are really good at math.
Looks : https://app.jogl.io/program/opencovid19
I’m working on an IT job platform which aims to improve on a range of aspects that generally suck about recruiting and getting hired.

We focus on actual understanding and clear communication of tech expectations, personality and team fit, culture and meaningful benefits.

There’s too much bullshit going on.

I’m currently in the phase of doing demos for customers, it will soon be available at https://moonka.space.

Meanwhile, whether you’re a developer looking for a job in the midst of this turmoil or an entrepreneur looking for people, join us on Telegram, https://t.me/moonkaspace
For NYT, put https://archive.is/ in front of the URL.
People spend years studying epidemiology. No one can write a comment here that will teach you how to do it properly.

But I'll try to help. You're looking at a graph of confirmed cases, in other words, positive test results.

That may be due to an increase in the number of infected people; or because the number of tests being performed is increasing, and therefore the percentage of infected people reported as confirmed cases is increasing; or because some positive test results (even with confirmation) are false positives. And there may be other causes that I don't know, because I'm not an epidemiologist either, just a statistics grad student.

Figuring out the the contribution of each cause is a job for the professionals.
Writing console applications with cool text UIs : https://asciinema.org/a/VUKWZM70PxRCHueyPFXy9smU8
Learn you a Haskell!
https://archive.is/oZhy4
I'm working on high frequency historical crypto market data API

https://tardis.dev
And yet I am excited!

Unless I misunderstand the article a lot, this comes from the head of an established hospital, not some Alex Jones equivalent!

Sure, it can still turn out to not work. And "90%" may well not be reproducible. But I'd bet a minor sum on this having a real effect.
How to Find Your Next Stop
Try Ctrl-F? It does mention NetHack quite a bit.
> I do, on the other hand, think the last few years might be peak globalization.

Peak globalisation, and likely peak capitalism too. Protectionism is the one Trump policy I agree with.
It’s untrue that natural selection always guides pathogens to be less lethal.

This is covered in ch. 64-66 of Quammen’s “Spillover”, which covers a seminal paper by Anderson and May[0] considering the case of myxomatosis.

Here’s some salient quotes:

Laboratory experiments showed that all field strains produced lesions that provided sufficient virus for transmission to occur,” he wrote. But the strains of very high virulence (grades I and II) killed rabbits “so quickly that infectious lesions were only available for a few days.” The milder strains (grades IV and V) produced lesions that tended to heal quickly, he added—and then the payoff, “whereas strains of grade III virulence were highly infectious for the lifetime of the rabbits that died and for a much longer period in those that survived.” Grade III, at that point, was still killing around 67 percent of the rabbits it touched. Myxoma virus, thirty years after its introduction, had found this level of virulence—being pretty damn lethal—to maximize its transmission. It was still capable of killing most of the rabbits it infected, but capable also of assuring its own survival with a continuous chain of infections.
The first rule of a successful parasite? Myxoma’s success in Australia suggests something different from that nugget of conventional wisdom I mentioned above. It’s not Don’t kill your host. It’s Don’t burn your bridges until after you’ve crossed them...

...they[Anderson and May] plotted a relationship between virulence and success. Their result was a model-generated prediction: Given this rate of transmission, given that rate of recovery, given those unrelated mortalities, then . . . an intermediate grade of virulence should come to predominate.
Son of a gun, it matched what had happened.

[0]: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/parasitology/article...
That’s awesome! Any more info on the libraries you’re using for it?
there is https://github.com/Forceu/barcodebuddy that integrates with grocy:
"If already in Grocys system, it will consume/add/open the product in Grocy. If an unknown barcode is passed, the product name will be looked up and a corresponding product can be chosen in the Web UI. Tags can be saved - if a new product contains the tag in the name, the product will be already preselected in the drop-down list."
Here's a review of one of the papers that has been causing some of the hype:

https://mobile.twitter.com/GaetanBurgio/status/1241201751916...

My layman's understanding is that there is theory to support it and some treatment centers are trying it out, but there isn't quality evidence to suggest wide spread adoption.
Cataclysm: DDA does a great job at being a semi-realistic 21th century zombie apocalypse. Vehicles, guns, prepping, martial arts, ridiculous amounts of crafting; it has it all. It's best in genre, IMO.

Cogmind was mentioned elsewhere; robots, guns and commercial-level polish.

(Personally, I'm working on a gun-oriented RL in my spare time, but it's going pretty slow ATM.)
Oh, woops – that makes sense. Thanks!
It would be more accurate to say that the desired customer for these devices has no expectation of running arbitrary code on these devices.

Apple is not going to stop you from purchasing the iPad, but they’re not going to deviate from their plans to accommodate you, either.
Dude, you're just noticing this now?

One of the single most terrifying facts about our modern space-age-a-go-go society is that there is only about three days of food in the pipeline. If the food stops flowing for more than a week the only thing to eat is our pets and then each other.

That's some thin ice.

- - - -

But I'm speaking in generalities.

This particular virus is unlikely to take down civilization. Remember how few people it takes to farm these days, eh? Something like 3 people out of 100 are enough to make bread. It's going to hurt but we will survive.

However, this won't be the last virus.

The underlying causes are the teeming numbers of humans going out into wild areas and getting exposed to new contagions, combined with our casual global travel and transport networks (this virus went international almost before we (globally) knew it existed.)

We are going to have to reconfigure our civilization.

- - - -

"It may seem a ridiculous idea, but the only way to fight the plague is with decency." ~Camus
I’m working on a site builder for small businesses that run live auctions.
Given that there are cases in hot, humid climates now, I wouldn’t expect summer to save us
You can’t find masks anywhere since more than a month. Few people wear them (I would say about 30%). Granted, people have less physical contact.

The real reason for the low number of cases is the lack of tests. I’ve spoken today with multiple Japanese friends and other residents, all think the government is lying and hiding it to save the Olympics. We will see the truth in a month...
Ah right that might be it then. The older models definitely had issues, to the point where you weren't sure if it had actually registered the press or if it was just being slow. The worst of it was the inconsistency, it would sometimes be responsive, and most of the time not. Glad to hear the 2020 models seem better!
I'd be interested in having a better sense as to what would constitute an underlying or pre-existing condition. Is limited to conditions which have already weakened the immune system?
It's due to staffing issues but it would make sense to cut travel to the state somewhat anyway, considering that it's the leader in infections among all the states right now. California, I think, is second and it has nowhere near New York's number, which is currently at around 8,500.
Just realized that sec (simple event correlator) is exactly what I need for home automation - and now creating / gathering logs from all devices (TVs, 433Mhz sensors, camera motions etc), shipping to central log, and setting / fine tuning different alerts. E.g. sending images from cameras while my mobile device is not on WiFi, similar auto on/off for home alarm etc
Nope. The dollar is so strong that other countries are trying really hard to get as much USD as possible. This means that liquidity is drying up and there is a shortage of dollars world-wide.
This is deflationary right until we see the banking sector collapse.
This is only true over the reals, not over integers. People are integers.
I think the masks make the most difference when the sick people wear them, which is probably happening in Japan I guess.
If the number of tests administered is the limiting factor, and if you only increase the number of tests linearly in time, then case numbers would grow linear as well.
Investopedia has a good definition of deflation after crises that might be helpful to you.

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/personal-finance/03091...
I'm working on promnesia, a browser extension to enhance web browser history.

It allows you to answer different questions about the current web page:

- have I been here before? When?

- why have I bookmarked it?

- how did I get on it? Which page has led to it?

- who sent me this link? Can I just jump to the message?

- which links on this page have I already explored?

- which posts from this blog page have I already read?

https://github.com/karlicoss/promnesia#demo
> Remember that the US is vastly more heterogeneous which translates into more crime

Care to substantiate that claim?
Isn't this a prescription controlled drug?
How is illness defined?
I don't know anyone who doesn't have some kind of illness. Some major, most very minor.
In Japan, people wear masks so they don't spread their germs. In the US, people want to wear masks to avoid other's germs. Totally different mindset. And in the US we are being discouraged from wearing masks because they don't block the virus from going in even though they could be keeping asymptomatic people from spreading.

Well I feel duly embarrassed for not thinking that way earlier. Just ordered some cotton masks.

I'm sure there are other reasons the spread is different in Japan but this is something we can do. Not the disposable ones though.
Not sure if that needs to be said but I am quite convinced not everyone is realising that: If you can work from home just as effectively as from the office - it doesn't matter if clients of your company can - companies who can work 100% well in the face of crisis still can and many will go bankrupt.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/health/coronavirus-chloro...
I guess you're not understanding the scope.

It's not like an overkill of shopping list, it's more of a small scale inventory management.
yes certainly but we havnt directly observed very many of them, and for most of them we were not even extant.
the extension is that near earth objects are quite common but we dont notice a lot of them. just like disease epidemic or pandemic, a number of them have happened already we just are not good as a group at noticing those things probably due to preoccupation with little rectangles of paper with famous historical figures printed on them.
I think the title should be changed to "99% of the people who have died to date from Coronavirus had other illnesses". It is irresponsible to frame this as a complete sample of deaths from this virus. In other words, it would make sense that the most vulnerable would die first.
Like it or not, BG is among the few public figures who currently hold any authority/insight on this situation. Watch his TED Talk from 2015. Look at his Foundation's activity.

See Event 201 from 6 months ago: "The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation hosted Event 201, a high-level pandemic exercise on October 18, 2019, in New York, NY. The exercise illustrated areas where public/private partnerships will be necessary during the response to a severe pandemic in order to diminish large-scale economic and societal consequences." (http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/)

So basically as recently as last year he was simulating/preparing for the chaos we are experiencing now: "Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic. The pathogen and the disease it causes are modeled largely on SARS, but it is more transmissible in the community setting by people with mild symptoms. ...
There is no possibility of a vaccine being available in the first year. There is a fictional antiviral drug that can help the sick but not significantly limit spread of the disease. ...
Since the whole human population is susceptible, during the initial months of the pandemic, the cumulative number of cases increases exponentially, doubling every week. And as the cases and deaths accumulate, the economic and societal consequences become increasingly severe." (http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/scenario.htm...)

This sounds somewhat similar to what we're experiencing now, and it was Bill Gates who possessed the foresight to see this before anyone else. If anyone knows what's going on and what will happen in the coming future, it's him. Know when to follow. You can question his motives and intentions, but you must recognize his superior knowledge and preparedness.
It seems to have been tested in a Chinese hospital before. So there is some experience with these two drugs.
Hgqwmhopaqhg, 30 – * Get more website traffic, Advertise now
Yikes Arkansas. That is not good news at all since it is one of the poorest states in the country.

Since you've been watching this search trend, do you have any insights you could summarize?
The Prepper: 80 box roll of Scott's toilet paper in stock $49
better or worse, item identification (i.e. deliberate information hiding) has been a core feature of roguelikes
I'm working on https://hackthe.company/ - a blend of HackThisSite and ProjectEuler, focused on real-life hacking events that have occurred.
Even worse, it’s leaving people with Lupus and arthritis in a position to quit the medication that’s keeping them alive/comfortable cold turkey.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/health/coronavirus-chloro...

And then you get this word salad that sounds like a forward from grandpa, early AOL era (even including all-caps): “HYDROXYCHLOROQUINE & AZITHROMYCIN, taken together, have a real chance to be one of the biggest game changers in the history of medicine. The FDA has moved mountains - Thank You! Hopefully they will BOTH (H works better with A, International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents)”

All based on some data from a Petri dish, and a non-randomized trial where they measured “virus load” by eyeballing it: https://mobile.twitter.com/GaetanBurgio/status/1241201751916...

This is insanity, Nero-style (only without actual style). You couldn’t kill more people if you tried.
> Wouldn't this be the most powerful moment for employees in 'essential' services to engage in worker strikes?

No, because there's currently/there will soon be an army of unemployed retail/service workers who will happily take their jobs.
It almost certainly has more to do with your society's overall approach to sickness than it does with just masks specifically. Here in NYC, loads of sick people have no qualms with squeezing in between two people on the subway, coughing into the same hand they're about to use to turn a doorknob with, and so on. Wearing masks might help a tiny bit against inconsiderate people like that, but not a lot. I'm sure such inconsiderate people exist in Hong Kong too, but I'd be willing to bet that there are fewer, and that wearing masks is an indicator that more people are actually considerate about their sicknesses in HK than in the US.
Timeline: The Regulations–and Regulators–That Delayed Coronavirus Testing
I really don't get where this comes from. It's a generic drug that's been used for 70 years all over the world in tens of thousands of patients to treat malaria. It's already standard of care in China and South Korea where the recovery rates are high and the death rate is low.

I think your extreme Donald Trump hatred is clouding your judgement.
> as an aside, I've noticed that my cohort of people who grew up sending hundreds of messages/texts to their friends every night don't really interact that way anymore over text.

Yeah, same here. Don't have time for that anymore! I also have the freedom to go an see people in person in a way that I didn't back then (well not currently, but most of the time!).
would you/your pm's buy a solution that would give this data without your intervention?
Embedded software development is still alive and well. No js required.
You can literally put your money where your mouth (and nose) is. Rub each bill you receive on your face for a month and report back. For science!
1. Supporting an online community of WFH people who have virtual happy hours on Zoom (wfhappyhour.com)

2. Launching https://cellars.la to support local Los Angeles restaurants

3. Help people navigate the stock market crisis by making free tools and resources available from my startup: https://blog.agentrisk.com/how-agentrisk-is-helping-investor...