skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It's a good explanation for a lot of cases and patterns, and it must be the first explanation to try. For example for cancer, that apear with a random distribution, there are spatial and temporal clusters. People usually try to find an explanation for them, but most the patterns are just noise. Even uniform random produce more clustering than what people expect.

But in this case I disagree. When there is an initial part of an epidemic with an exponential growing, the time of arrival of the first infected person is very important. It is growing like x2 each week, so an alternative explanation is that the first case arrived to the city one or two weeks earlier.

It can be a mix of the two cases. The x2 grow per week is only an average.

@OP: Sometimes is good to run a few simulations to see how this work. Start 1000 or 1000000 towns with 1 infected "person" and each day the total number of infected persons is multiplied by a random number between 0.9 and 1.3. After two months, look the distribution of the outcomes of the simulated towns. Most will be near the mode, but there will be some lucky and some unlucky outliers. Note that this is a very bad epidemiology model, and the numbers are totally made up, but is simple and enough to see the clustering.

(I made and Exel with 1000 "towns", and I got most of the towns with 10-11-12 ill people. But I got two towns with only 2 ill people and a vey unlucky town with 81 ill people. YMMV)

If the initial patient reach the town a different day, you will see that the towns that started the infection earlier usually have more ill people, but some lucky or unlucky towns are in the wrong order when you sort them by the number of patients.

Formatted table

Name # Population # Contagious
=========== ============ ============
Mantova 49400 32
Castiglione 23700 29
Suzzara 21300 4
Viadana* 20150 64
Porto M. 16000 9
Curtatone 14900 11
Where's the contradiction?

Ordinarily: have to file and pay by April 15

News: ok to take up to 90 extra days to file and pay
Workday will give employees a cash bonus worth two weeks of pay amid pandemic
> People using unproven remedies is not really a problem

If someone tests positive or feels ill, and thinks they can solve the problem with homeopathy or Ayurveda, that could boost transmission and mortality rates.
It's brilliant isn't it? They've managed to really do a good job of updating it.

The only things I would like are slightly longer battery life and more options for syncing with other services like Dropbox etc
Nah, you could never pay enough (in the short term) to keep everyone going.

Suspend loan repayments and rent collection for 6 months, and print food stamps for the unemployed.
Culturally there is very little physical contact. Bowing instead of handshakes being the big one. No kisses on the cheek as greeting. In general, more refrain when it comes to touching. Also widespread mask use.

On the flip side though we have crowded public transport, and I've heard that people often brave it to work even if slightly sick.
I have read many reports of people improving during the middle of the disease when it suddenly takes a bad turn (respiratory failure/cardiac arrest). I wonder if that is at all related to this.
Redesigning Instagram to be less addicting and more social
Really great, has push notifications all that.

I just wish I got a push notification...for when I'm assigned to review a PR. Really annoying.
The Apple Maps service doesn’t have a web presence, so they’re not even trying to compete with Google Maps on the web. A map service is objectively more useful than a promotional page trying to sell iOS devices with a built-in Maps app.
Yeah, give it a month and come back to this comment section
> I have a nice moss carpet and little plants that bloom purple flowers in the spring

Probably wild violets. Moss gardens are an interesting cultural thing. Begin Japanology has even a chapter dedicated to moss in japanese culture.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Up5jKSreGrA
Flicker?? Are you talking about CRT monitors still?
I don't mean as an investment per se, just as a more reliable store of money.
DNS Census 2013 – public dataset of registered domains and DNS records
Search for github the developer. It will show all of github's apps.
I have seen some projects use DynamoDB for relational data, with the "single table design" approach, anyone who did this, how was your experience?
I'll pick the one that isn't self-replicating and rapidly spreading undetected.

In fact, we've already cancelled our babysitter's visits. She's a nurse-in-training, so she understands.
The majority of people on the cruise ship were older and it's not at all representative of the real population.
Lessons from Remote Work after 3 years of living it daily
Having played a lot of strategy games in real time against human opponents, I am not sold on the "faster iteration" tactic re: the OODA loop, nor it's timing-based cousin presented here.

Or at least, I'm skeptical that that's the best way to frame a lot of problems.

A better way, IMO is to frame it in terms of mental models.

Some mental models are more efficient to think in, just as some programming languages are more efficient to write in. Many domains are amenable to study beforehand, allowing you to figure out the right model to think about the domain, effectively pre-compiling the Orient and Decide steps.

This can be a big deal for two reasons. The more boring one is that pre-doing anything will probably give speed gains. The much more interesting one is that you can get qualitatively different Orient/Decide steps. A buttload of contemplation, condensed into a few maxims, is usually worth a lot more than thinking slightly (or even two or ten times) faster in a critical situation.
(Answered in the parent comment.)

The hardest part of these docs was actually just writing the docs. So hard to come up with simple language for super complicated topics. And so much more still to do!
> Or do we let people have "personal responsibility" and vote for more Brexit?

Listen to yourself. "Should we really allow voting when people might vote wrong?"
I find GitHub's app strategy incredibly bizarre: On the desktop, where there are tons of git clients already (not to mention the command line) GitHub's app is just another git client. Here I'd expect them to emphasize their social features because that's what would differentiate it from other git clients, and it's what differentiates their entire product from other git hosts.

Then on mobile, where there's very little git client competition, pretty much just Working Copy, they don't make a git client, and instead emphasize the social features...
Though not properly a "PC", at the time the PSION series 3 were pretty good:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psion_Series_3
You need food, sure, but Jimmy's Bar and Grill isn't the only place you can get that food.

It could be argued that you need a personal car. If your car breaks down, you need parts to be able to repair that car.

The consequences of Jimmy's Bar and Grill being closed is that you just go somewhere else for food. The consequences of being unable to fix your personal transportation means you lose a lot of freedom to provide for yourself.

Imagine an old person whose car breaks down today. Is it essential for them to be able to repair it (so they have a means to buy food, get to the doctor, etc), or are they going to be able to walk to the grocer, ask friends/family to bring them food, break a retirement budget on repeated delivery, etc?
It's a spectrum. We normally eat out a lot and usually had a reasonably full fridge but ever since this all started I made sure our pantry and fridge were full, and we've been cooking at home ever since.
I use the iPad Pro 24/7. Nothing can come close or change that for me, it's such a good interface and surface to work with.
For me the competition to this is the Rocketbook.

You write or draw with real pens and still can scan and digitize the things you write.

And in price the Rocketbook wins hands down.
__blockcypher__ at least gave some reasoning behind the expressed position. A fact-free, argument-free rebuttal does little to refute such a post, even if the post is wrong.

Could you give some evidence or argument or both to explain why you think __blockcypher__ is wrong?
I regret making this original comment at all. It was stupid. I apologize to all.
Nobody saw the Japanese coming in 1941, either.

And yet, millions of Americans sacrificed, liquidated their businesses or shifted them to a war materiel production footing, changed jobs, bought war bonds, etc. Tens of thousands of diners and clothiers closed their doors in 1942, and Americans were largely happy to do it for the greater good.

This is precisely the opposite of what is occurring now - demands of bailouts, monetization, handouts, 50+ person St. Patrick's Day parties still going, bitching about having to learn how to cook, etc. A complete and total unwillingness to accept even a modicum of pain or sacrifice.
U.S. Military Prepares Hospital Ships for Deployment
If you like the technical aspects of "tech", you could learn to love the technical aspects of cooking. You can treat cooking as a chore, an art, or a science. Your choice!
Sure wish this stuff wouldn’t get buried. It should be fine to question and criticize the course we are all taking. Humans can be panicy creatures that love to imagine doomsday scenarios. We live in an age where feeding our imaginations with crap on the internet is a trivial operation.

We owe it to all of us to put on our critical thinking caps rather than downvote anything that says something other than “lockdown more, harder, faster, longer”.
Well then cut the trade and declare them official enemy. For now big corporations from either country laugh all their way to their banks while we conduct holy battles on HN.
The best way or reducing new positives test-results is by not allowing any new testing.
Is the story that this is happening or that people are honestly surprised this is happening.
I immediately found display issues on an iPhone 6. I know it’s barely supported any more, but doesn’t Xcode give you the tools to make screen-independent layout? Doesn’t seem to be helping much across the apps I’ve used.
A way to save some cash, you set aside your reserve amount and some EC2 magic makes it happen.
> The economics are no different than a shop keeper getting a loan at .05% to pay himself.

> the actual action in and of itself makes no sense from a business perspective.

At 0.05%, I'm pretty sure almost any business owner would take that loan, because if there's anything that can return more than 50 cents per year per thousand dollars invested in profit or avoided losses (e.g. solar panels or an ad campaign or a camera system to prevent shoplifting or whatever) that 0.05% loan is free money. I would happily take a loan at 10 times that interest rate for as much money as you wanted to loan me.
But if the door opens towards you, it's really hard to pull on the handle with your forearm and this would provide something to hook your arm around for leverage.
ScummVM: A Magic Box That Runs Classic Games
Also most of Europe does very little testing, but assuming they have uniform criteria, the growth rate should still give some idea of the propagation.

For example in Switzerland, they barely test anyone, but it's pretty clear that with +30% d/d growth this is either already everywhere or going to be.
> China says this is a possibility that the virus naturally originated from the US. Huge difference from "planting". This claim is based on DNA research of the virus

Their theory doesn't hold : if the virus first started in the US there should have been loads of cases of "flu", hospitals flooded with patients etc like we saw in China and see in Europe now.

In absolute this virus is not that deadly (what's a few thousand more deaths for a country ?), what makes it so problematic is the massive number of people needing intensive care for up to a month.

I think the Chinese are trying to counter the bad propaganda they're receiving from the West so that they're not held accountable for it in the eyes of the rest of the world.
That's a double-edged sword. It means a lot of people will be working in the same factory, increasing risk of exposure.

Easy answer if you're Musk: just pay them to stay home.
It essentially means we need a vaccine to create immunity at scale, and will need to have fairly strict measures in place until that can happen.
I'm sure I'm not the only one who has had to question the intelligence of family and acquaintances whom I used to hold in high regard. I've been asked to participate in "measle parties" with my kids. And to do a community stationary bike ride a the local gym to support them.
Car insurance is price regulated? In what country (or countries)? I'd be surprised if it is where I live...
It's a free market, shop someplace else.
Israel enables emergency spy powers to tackle Covid-19
> I'm not a Rust expert though so please correct me if there's a way to right large Rust programs without worrying about memory management.

That's the thing: it depends on what you mean by "think." At this point, I never think about memory in Rust; that's what the borrow checker is for. I write my code, usually it's just fine, sometimes there's an error and I go "oops" and fix it.

Consider how you'd feel if someone said "ugh, you know, Haskell makes you think about types throughout your program's logic and structure. That's a cost many programs don't benefit from at all." I would assume, given that you like Haskell, you understand that types are a tool to help you write programs, and dealing with the compiler telling you about types isn't really a burden. Same with Rust. (lifetimes are types!)
This assumes they aren't already squeezing every cent they can out of people...
Yes, that's been my experience so far - trying things (now) on microk8s and managed azure k8s.

The main thing is that documentation for microk8s and the design seems aimed at "behave as/pretend to be a real k8s" - including things like ingress.
I have a terrible sense of smell to begin with. I always wonder what people with good senses of smell experience on a daily basis.

But I can generally taste things, so this is good to know.
The SQS vs Kinesis summary is particularly bad

Kinesis has strict ordering but SQS does not?

No.

Kinesis has strict ordering PER SHARD. Which dilutes your throughput, unlike SQS. And it has limitations on throughput in terms of total event size, which are different from SQS's 300 TPS for FIFO.

It's apples and oranges. More significant, this comparison really makes it seem like you should pick Kinesis for a simple starting project rather than SQS, which is the exact opposite of the truth. SQS is the simpler choice for 90% of the cases, and Kinesis is an advanced powerful tool for the other 10%
FYI the new one is on pre-order for 600CAD for the package including taxes and shipping. Tempted to buy one myself.

EDIT: Ok, 719CAD if you want the marker with an eraser and the book-style cover instead of the pouch.
The best way to learn rust depends on your learning style, the Book (https://doc.rust-lang.org/book/index.html) is fantastic even as a reference. To learn rocket I'd start with the official tutorial here: https://rocket.rs/v0.4/guide/getting-started/#getting-starte...

It might sound canned, but the rust community generally has fantastic documentation and the few edge cases you'll hit are generally well-known in the github issues with well-known causes. My advice would be that if you feel like the compiler is giving you too much grief, take a break for a day or two and then come back to it, you might find that what was giving you trouble isn't so bad anymore. The compiler is very helpful with error messages but because of the litany of information that it gives you it can become a bit of a brain overload, especially if you hit a particularly nasty diesel type error (compile time SQL is no joke!)

It's also good to know in advance that the rust standard lib is great, but fairly bare bones if you want things like JSON support. Check out https://www.arewewebyet.org/ for the tools that can help you out!

EDIT: The only other thing that I just thought of is that authz/authn doesn't have a good story in rust just yet, so I'd rely on an external service of some kind to handle that for you unless you want to do basic signed session cookies.
Italian Government Takes Full Control of Alitalia
yes, but you need to remember that "reckless behavior" was extremely heavily incentivized by central banks across the world that lowered interest rates, way too long. 0% should NOT be the norm (it should be only used in the most dire emergencies). The Feds of the world ran the economy hot for way too long and punished savers (both companies and people) with extremely low intrest rates now we have the result.
> Is journalist a title that's "officially" bestowed or gained from honestly trying to report the truth, as the journalist best understands it?

If that was what would earn you the title of journalist, the world's journalists would fit in a typical high school gym.
This is just one example, what conclusions can we draw from just that one?
Freedom of the press prevents punishment for open publication of facts, but it does nothing to protect the sources for those journalists. For all the lip service given to whistle-blower protections, the whistle-blowers get punished anyway. Every time. It is always career-suicide.
How open-source software is tackling Covid-19 coronavirus
> We'll probably see a Democratic wave in November.

I'm still on the fence about this.

It's certainly conceivable that the Trump Whitehouse will throw excessive amounts of money at the problem - i.e. going downright socialist by giving millions of citizens $1,000 to $2,500/mnth welfare cheque through the spring.

The almost certainty is that Trump (GOP et al) will do anything possibly to remain in power come November.
I have a modest proposal of how to fix the rent issue. If poor people just sold their children as food, then they would have enough money for rent. And then they wouldn't need jobs, which would lower the rent! Clearly more money more problems. If we take away the their jobs then the market will respond by lowering rent.

[for those that don't get this historical reference] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Modest_Proposal
Containment is moot in this case. Quarantine only works when immunity or absence of infection vectors (infected individuals, individuals still in a shedding state, surfaces or aerosols) is the outcome.
Polar and org feed into Anki. Readwise gets Kindle highlights, will try to get safari sync working.
In the OODA model, acting at the wrong time just means you made the wrong decision. Waiting, changing tempo &c. are all actions, if done with intention.
Resource and Energy-Efficient Software Products: Basic Award Criteria [pdf]
But they took that money to PAY themselves.

Making any of the reasons you stated above would make sense, but that did not happen
Read medical journals like the Lancet or JAMA. Much of the initial research were from Chinese authors and they are peer reviewed.
Repeatedly saying "flatten the curve" isn't a response to someone saying "flatten the curve without destroying the economy when you can avoid it".

Taiwan, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Singapore...all have managed to contain this virus without kneecapping their economies. We should be following their examples.

Most of the US is nowhere near a crisis point, and locking down an entire city (or worse, country) over a small number of cases is like killing a fly with a nuclear weapon. Other, effective tactics exist to manage this kind of a threat.
That software engineer would spend it elsewhere in the industry, likely some non-essential.

That hourly worker w/o a job will pay rent and food. Software engineer...a carwash, new lawn equiment, or hell even a vacation.

Giving an airline a tax break won't drive them more customers. Giving their customers more money will give them customers.
Ask HN: How do I cook at home?
As a tech yuppie, spoiled by takeout and company food, I'm looking at eating a lot of fast food in the next 3+ weeks, but I'm starting to think that's not great and that being locked at home would be a good time to learn how to cook.

I've tried before, but my main hangup is knowing what to make and what to buy. Part of the hurdle is that I have no ingredients. If a recipe calls for a quarter of an onion and a dash of garlic powder, I end up with 3/4 of an onion and an almost full bottle of garlic powder. If anyone knows some recipes where I'll buy a reasonable amount of things and use all of it, I'd be all ears.
> A lot of trading is done via indexes. So if people are bearish, the whole market ends up tanking.

The evidence appears to suggest otherwise.

In the previous almost-bear (19.5<20%) of Q4 2018, there were net inflows into index funds.

* https://www.morningstar.com/insights/2019/01/28/us-fund-flow...

While a bit self-serving, Vanguard showing that index funds are not a factor:

* https://www.vanguardcanada.ca/individual/articles/education-...
Herd immunity is basically doing nothing right? How is that any different from what happened in the Spanish Flu? I'm sure herd immunity came into play eventually but at the cost of all those lives.
French researcher posts successful Covid-19 chloroquine drug trial
even worse, Tesla buses them there, look at the scene this morning: https://twitter.com/russ1mitchell/status/1239976885867573249...
I suppose you have a point there. I was thinking that it could be bad that so many are spreading without knowing it.

Also, if many are asymptomatic, and the test is creating a large number of false-positives for those that are asymptomatic, there is a chance that this crisis is not as big as we think it is. Let's hope...
Containment actions began less than a week ago in many european countries. It's expected the known cases grows unaffected for 7-10 days after containment comes into place.

The reason is that real cases start long before they become known cases.
*financial engineering
The virus has been in Japan a lot longer than Italy.

Over 2,000 have died in Italy, fewer than 50 in Japan.

I have yet to see anything close to a satisfactory explanation.
Seems like a weird mistake that somehow got propagated to multiple platforms at once. What would be the ulterior motive of portraying Californian prisons as ornate places of worship? I don't see any political angle here, so it seems reasonable to assume it was a mistake.

(I didn't downvote you. As far as I'm concerned, CNN is frequently sloppy and deserves criticism for that.)
They are saying you are wrong because there are other things in the market besides housing. If you inverse your logic it means lowering wages provides cheaper rent. And that just sounds ludicrous.
I'm really curious why would you need a special app to view text? Why browser is not sufficient enough for that use?
> Maybe competitive tailoring

That exists (kind of). I'm familiar with Project Runway, although that's more fashion oriented but has a strong technical tailoring aspect to it. I'm sure there's more Bob Ross-style shows around sewing/tailoring too.
The author (and some of his coworkers) gave a lot of interesting answers on reddit as well: https://www.reddit.com/r/rust/comments/fjt4q3/rewriting_the_...
I heard "all over 80" on HN and reddit multiple times as well, but could not confirm. Regardless, Italy's official average age of death is 81, so it wouldn't be surprising.
I hope you get better soon.

I think your comment describes very well the economics of the pandemic when it spreads further. Basically you can treat everyone with Corona-like symptoms like a corona patient. It doesn't make much difference anymore. Isolation and monitoring of the condition.

If it's a severe common cold the advice isn't that much off, too.
Iranians Defy Authorities in Bid to Access Holy Sites Closed Amid Coronavirus
I understand that false negative PCR tests are almost impossible?

EDIT: for those down voting. What about this paper then?

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32133832/