skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I believe your analysis may be somewhat imperfect, I will endeavor to explain my reasoning. If you see flaws in my reasoning, I encourage you to point them out to me so I may sharpen my own logical tools.

The way I see it, what you have presented is a narrative. It could be 100% correct, it could be 100% incorrect, and it could be somewhere in between.

For the purposes of this exercise, let's assume it is true, or true enough.

Once a person holds a narrative such as this in their mind, it subsequently facilitates the ability to make a broad range of very precise predictions, both of the future, and the unknown in general. But don't forget: your mind is producing predictions, but sometimes these predictions have the nasty side effect of not being distinguishable from facts. Fields like psychology, neurology, etc have done significant work studying the particulars of this odd behavior.

Now, let's take an example of some predictions and think more rigorously:

"If anyone knows what's going on and what will happen in the coming future, it's him. Know when to follow. You can question his motives and intentions, but you must recognize his superior knowledge and preparedness."

I will clarify this a bit (please let me know if I've done this in a manner not to your liking):

- Bill Gates has a demonstrated track record of exceptional skill in the domain of pandemics.

- An event has occurred related to the domain of pandemics.

- Therefore, it logically follows that Bill Gates is the person who knows what's going on regarding this event.

- Therefore, it logically follows that Bill Gates plans should be followed, in their entirety.

Disclaimer: Yes, I do realize that I have taken the most uncharitable interpretation of your words possible, but that is my very point. I believe that if one desires to know the truth, uncharitable deconstruction of beliefs into discrete binary statements is the most valuable tool that humans have at our disposal. But rather than wield this impressive power in making the world a better place, it seems like instead people prefer to use it to engage in ideological arguments. Fiddling while Rome burns as they say.

And yes, I too see many obvious criticisms/shortcomings of this approach (thinking about reality in a highly skilled manner is a bit complicated, go figure) - again, I present this as just one piece of an overall larger puzzle that humanity should realize is sitting right in front of us, and has been for generations. It's waiting to be solved, but first you have to acknowledge its existence.

And finally, to be fair, you did note: "You can question his motives and intentions, but you must recognize his superior knowledge and preparedness". So, please think of this not as a criticism of you personally, but rather as an illustration of a larger generic principle.
The real difference lies in the responsible community surrounding you which doesn't behave like nothing happened.
8locate
Do you carry a smart phone? Does it not have a microphone designed to have hands free conversations and pick up audio from a distance? Does it have the ability to constantly track your location? Does it contain most of your private, electronic communication?

If we're talking about illegal wiretapping, a smart phone is significantly more risky and problematic than a smart speaker.
If an infected person without a mask coughs in a crowded subway, the virus is aerosolized for a good amount of time. If most are wearing masks, then even if infected, they're not spreading the virus.
Here's my and my partner's back-of-the-napkin calculation of maximum toilet paper hoarding capacity for what should be an average-ish person living in a two-bedroom house and buying six-packs of toilet rolls.

Suppose a two-bedroom house has 200m² surface with the ceiling at 4m. And let's assume that it's possible to squeeze 25 six-packs of toilet paper in 1m³. That's a capacity of 20,000 six-packs (800 m³ house volume times 25 rolls per m³). Assuming of course the person is willing to stuff every last cm³ of their house with toilet paper maximising storage efficiency, which means throwing out all the furniture and living in their car, not to mention not being able to go to the toilet in the house, in the first place.

It's definitely doable. 20,000 six-packs per person, no problem.

I'm afraid it's going to take a while before people are at capacity.

Edit: of course, when I say "back-of-the-napkin", it's just a turn of phrase. We ain't got no napkins.
Nothing, they still lock out those features. They have never locked out basic controls like changing inputs or start/stop/play, or some deep menu navigation. They do lock out things like typing a GPS destination, but not selecting a pre-set.

The NHTSA guidelines are here: https://www.nhtsa.gov/sites/nhtsa.dot.gov/files/distraction_...
For the past couple of years, I've been working on an IDE for music called ngrid (http://ngrid.io).

I hope to finish it soon.
This information is crucial, we need to know who to isolate in the long term.

If these shutdowns continue for too long, we'll be facing a bigger economic disaster than the great depression. People will turn into animals.

In contrast to that, if everybody above 70 somehow died immediately, it would be a major relief, economically speaking.

If you put two and two together, if this goes on for too long, there will be no more "civil society". You may think #boomerremover is a cruel joke. I think it's quite serious.
High Blood Pressure is listed as one of the conditions.

100M people in the US had high blood pressure in 2018. The population was 328M. That's nearly 1/3rd of us having just one of these "serious medical conditions".

https://www.heart.org/en/news/2018/05/01/more-than-100-milli...

http://usapopulation2018.com/
I am not a doctor, but there is a book named "Self-determined Dying: Manual for a rational Suicide by Chloroquine".

There is also a retinopathy named after Chloroquine:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chloroquine_retinopathy
The quarantine did not change much for me. I am still mostly working on EasyClangCompelete [1] - an easy to use (at least that's the goal) auto-compeltion of c++ code in Sublime Text. The goal is to make it work out of the box for as many systems as possible. I've been working on it for a couple of years now.

Otherwise, I did find out that now I have the time to learn some things I wanted to for a long time (like OpenGL) or play guitar again, so that takes the remaining time.

[1] - https://github.com/niosus/EasyClangComplete
Specification for ventilators for UK hospitals during coronavirus outbreak
I used ratpoison for a while on one of my Linux boxes and much liked it.

> The name "ratpoison" reflects its major design goal: it lets the user manage application windows without using a mouse. Unlike other tiling window managers like Ion, ratpoison completely ignores the mouse (or "rat"), and avoids window decorations as much as possible. The default keybindings are specifically designed to not conflict with Emacs.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ratpoison
And technically, SARS-CoV-2 is smaller than the filter on the n95. It's just that the virus clumps with moisture, and that is too large to pass through.
You released another app Goals a month ago? So how much development effort was Priorities?
‘Zoombombing’: When Video Conferences Go Wrong
Working on an open source light for photography and videography. Working mainly on the firmware now but the board layout still needs a bit of work and my school's shut down so all the resources I had got stripped from me. RIP
8locate
Мы придумали сервис, который помогает узнавать мир не по туристической обложке, а изнутри. Не по расписанию экскурсий, а сразу, как только ты захочешь.(https://8locate.com/ru.html)
I'd be interested to know how they implemented plugin sandboxing. From the site:

> 3rd party plugins are the weak link for any digital audio workstation. Waveform Free addresses this by implementing plugin sandboxing. Once activated your work environment is protected by keeping plugin crashes contained. Instead of the host closing, the plugin is simply deactivated
Melt-blown fabric is not a requirement. It's just what we have been using. It is good enough for the job, and it is really cheap if you already have the machines.

There are types of aerogel that are flexible. When created with embedded fiber for strength, it works great. Setting up the equipment would not be too difficult. The filtration is far better than with melt-blown fabric.

We have many more options if we don't insist on flexible fabric. Gas masks commonly use canister filters. With that style we can use a rigid filter. It could be sintered glass, sintered ceramic, sintered metal, metal foam, aerographene, aerographite, graphene foam, or diatomaceous earth. We could even go electronic, with a UV light.

Materials with high air flow resistance are usable if we add a blower. There is a doctor in China doing this in a makeshift way, with a HEPA filter on his hip and a plastic bag over his head. An advantage is that it protects the eyes, which are an infection path for the virus. Eye protection needs air flow to prevent fogging and because eyes actually require air.
No, the point of sanctions is to hurt the leaders of a country, not their citizens. That's why sanctions are applied to specific goods and not across the board.
I'm making a new tool for writers. With it, you'll be able to write your essays on "layers"

The problem? Tweets are easier to read than long-form essays, as they require less time commitment. If the content is not good on a long-form article, you'll find out way too late. With this tool I'm developing:

Layer 1 is the shortest version of your essay, the 1 min read — like a tweet. The idea boiled down to the shortest version

Layer 2 is the same text from layer 1, but with extras added here and there. What's already read by you is in black ink. What's new is in blue ink. This is the 2 min read version

Layer 3 shows everything from Layer 1 and 2 in black ink, but what's new is now in blue ink. and you keep doing that until you get to the full version.

I can post some screenshots here of my mockups, as I'm a designer. PM me if you find this intriguing!

——

Edit: Since people are showing interest, here's how I see it happening — https://invis.io/GQWINO2YKU2#/410298082_1_Min_Verison

The first thing that you see is the first layer (1 min version). Go right for 3 and 5 min version!

——

Edit 2: since I'm seeing the upvotes and the emails, I quickly made this sign-up form for the people who want to be updated when the product is done: https://layered-ink.webflow.io/

I would put up the https://layered.ink link but the domain hasn't been propagated yet.

@Admins — please do let me know if this is not permitted so I can take it down. Apologies if so.
Me too, was thinking about creating simple web app. for myself. Purely from the view of food wastage. I live alone and it's pretty difficult sometimes being able to plan meals when some food packs don't last. Freezable things are OK, but sometimes the salad goes in the bin. Tracking these things avoids purchasing any unnecessary items from the shop. Will check this out.
And likely no health insurance - - and then the "sharks" at all the NY hospitals are sharpening their teeth waiting for the ambulances to arrive - - and if you live through it - - you are greeted upon discharge with a $100,000 bill.

Welcome to America, sucka
I'm putting a bit more time than usual into refining Paced Email: https://www.paced.email

Things I'm aiming to achieve during this downtime include setting up some onboarding emails, thinking about team functionality and figuring out the best way to upgrade the power users!

Help appreciated!
I'm definitely interested if you OSS, I wrote a little about it here: https://jonathanotto.com/linear-search-benchmark
I'm rebuilding my Acid Machine web based synth + drum machine app using Vue instead of jQuery and handlebars as it is now. Adding some new features whilst i'm there and making it work on tablets.

I have also been working on a more feature complete web based daw type system but that's been on and off for years.
I've found that sometimes it is better to add a {{fact}} macro to incorrect information, and let others do the hard work.

Contributing to Wikipedia is unfortunately hard to navigate, with a lot of social trickery required just to get blatant incorrect information fixed.
This is what I replied with last time this was asked. I had big plans for April to August, including going to trade shows, and ramping up pop up shop locations. Obviously things changed quite a bit, but it comes to show just how out of control ones business can be at times:

Skincare for men (https://www.mendskin.co). I commented in a similar thread 6 months or so ago, and it’s been solid. First started as D2C, but that proved to be a terrible decision. D2C is effectively dead. Now working with online retailers and my own online store. Wasn’t profitable last year, but so far this year looks good because of our partners.
If most of the people that noted the loss from the infection also reported that they got it back, that would be decent evidence that it was temporary.
Viruses exist where there is life, it's not a mound I'm willing to die on, but it's accurate here on Earth. There is life that lives in temperatures higher than 70 °C, therefore there are viruses that can survive in temperatures higher than 70 °C: http://www.rcn.montana.edu/Publications/Pdf/2005/4_18Young.p...
Airlines deserve no sympathy from how they've spent 90% of free cash flow over the years buying back their own stocks.

Now when times are tough they have no cash reserves and are seeking government bailouts.

Just appalling.
The Oligodynamic Effect: How Some Metals Kill Off Bacteria (2013)
There have been a few astrophysics shows where they talked about 'why are we here?', with varying definitions of 'why' or special emphasis on here (as opposed to elsewhere).

In most of them, someone says words to the effect of "well if we weren't here, we wouldn't be having this conversation". Survivor bias, in a very literal sense.
> It's very useful when your mobile is pay as you go

Hmm, is this a regional thing? Prepaid mobiles here typically have 20GB to "unlimited" (note; not actually unlimited; they'll certainly throttle you if you take the piss) per month data.

> which makes referring to it while driving much safer

Eh? You shouldn't be using it while driving! Does it even work while driving?

> Not everyone, not even every Tesla owner, has an always online mobile.

They might be better spending the money they're spending on data service for their car on data services for their phone...
I already worked remotely, so it’s business as usual for me.

Edit: to expand, that means mostly client work, currently preparing/debugging/fixing for launch of their (client) second+third site using the same code base.
The heart does experience hypertrophy from exercise.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Athletic_heart_syndrome
My comment is incompatible with "If you drape yourself in the cloak of the victim, you make yourself socially impervious to any critical inquiry."

Victims are not socially impervious to any critical inquiry. Anonymous accusers might be socially impervious to any critical inquiry, because they are anonymous. But the distinction clearly belongs to "anonymous" and not to "victim".
I read up on Fowler and Wikipedia says this which is very very different from your take.

> Fowler's role in changing Uber made her into a business world celebrity. She has received book and Hollywood film deals and continues to work towards legislation and workplace protections for women.

How is that "getting her career destroyed"?
That sounds like a side effect of the gig economy, job insecurity, and a lack of safety nets, so it's all just a race to the bottom for laborers.
Probably a matter of tradition, not substance. Same with control theory.

(Curious who downvoted me, when we are in agreement... Maybe the buttons are too small and people just mis-click.)
Oh, and I might start looking into allowing users to use custom domains. I recently made the switch from SendGrid to Mailgun for the email ingress. Mailgun seems to have a more programmatic means of adding domains/DNS via API then SendGrid.
Factually the virus has not accidentally missed Japan. Japan has a substantial number of cases, on par with countries that are entering danger zones, just seems like there is no exponential spreading.
Is this based on non-public information? Professionally, it seemed like she had kept a job at Stripe during the post and at least its immediate aftermath. I am sure she dealt with a lot of personal harassment though, since our law enforcement doesn’t seem to care about crimes online.
Iirc during ww2 the military was there to just take union workers jobs if they went on strike in critical sections like mines.
And the US has a substantial obese population, which will skew their numbers.
Here's a couple of tutorials on various tools that might be useful for a beginner:
https://missing.csail.mit.edu/
There is a twitter thread that looked into public court documents: https://mobile.twitter.com/chick_in_kiev/status/124049711317...
This sounds like the beginning of a Borges story.
Mostly https://webhookrelay.com/, adding serverless webhook modification feature (currently to store config, secrets, execution logs for debugging) so lots of Go, Rust (For wasm) and Lua :)

This is mostly fuelled now by feature requests where people are integrating forms and other services to report covid cases. Trying to help them for free and ensure they don’t have to pay for service as they are non profits. Partner not happy about these late nights:)
A sqlite based web analytics tool, currently working on week-over-week, month-over-month view.
I imagine they've already eliminated the really obvious explanations of that sort.

IIRC, genetics and a high consumption of seafood, especially shell fish and other things high in iodine, seem to be likely factors.

If you tolerate seafood well, that's potentially of interest. People could look into studies relevant to that angle.
Probably hard currencies started out as debt and title systems like the rai stones.

If you look at a pidgin English dialect like Nigerian pidgin, and compare it to British English or for that matter Nigerian non-pidgin English, you might assume that pidgin English was the original form, since it's simpler, and that British English evolved from it. But in fact the truth is the opposite: pidgin English is a simplified version of English developed as a lingua franca for international communication.

The same seems to be true of hard currency and especially barter. Hard currency is pidgin banking; barter is pidgin hard currency. Rai stones show us the complexity of social arrangements surrounding money that in a homogeneous culture within a generation or two, but which are only legible to someone who grew up in the culture to which that money belongs. In Yap this heritage has been preserved, although diminished in importance; elsewhere it has been mostly lost.

Hard currency is sufficiently simple to bridge cultural gaps and even gaps between ages, like pidgin English or Glosa.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debt:_The_First_5000_Years
> Italy had over 1400 deaths by that point in their confirmed infection count.

Italy has the problem that exploding rents after the financial crisis forced many young people to live with their parents and grandparents which not only means that they're heading for a demographic disaster as it's hard to get kids when grandma lives with you but also that the coronavirus has it easy to spread to elderly patients which are at horrible risk for serious corona cases.

Additionally, the financial crisis aftermath has wrecked the Italian healthcare system as it's easy to "save" money there on short term. Hospitals were closed and nurses and doctors fled to e.g. Germany or Switzerland due to higher pay, which means that now when the crisis hits the staff is overwhelmed, the beds are overwhelmed and people, especially old people, are sent home to die so that there is a chance to save those young who do develop severe coronavirus cases.
Modulate.com - A project tracking tool for cross-functional, remote / async development teams building incredible software products.

Using Modulate will spark joy among your team.
A sound effects generator in the style of SFXR (or its many clones), but with a larger library of sound effects.

https://www.ultrafxr.us/

Under the hood, it’s a software modular synthesizer with certain limitations—for example, the modules can’t be connected in a cycle. The modules are connected with code in a simple language that checks units, so you write “500ms” instead of “0.5” if you need a 500ms delay. If you write 500Hz instead, that’s an error. This part already works.

On the surface, I’m figuring out how to expose the parameters with simple sliders and knobs in a web page. The idea is that you click a button like “explosion” and then tweak the knobs to get the explosion sound that you want. This is how SFXR (and as3fxr, BFXR, JFXR, etc) work, but they have a fairly limited set of sounds.
Bit more on my recent Show HN post too: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22544993
Is the intent to use this for a procedurally-generated game?
I worked so far with around 80 developers. I could count on my hand number of people that did any side projects. HN is biased towards people doing side projects.
Why should we assume different states have the same starting conditions?
As someone that was just curious about what sort of drama was going on I think you responded well and if it's made you a better person there isn't anything to feel bad about.

I have seen stuff from you pop up on here from time to time that I found impressive and cool. I hope you still find motivation to do cool and impressive things and share them with the world even if you are closing this chapter of your journey.
I've looked at these types of systems and they would still crash, actually even if you want to gracefully handle failed allocations it is possible that your program will crash due to lack of memory
Dropbox was great way back then but now it seems like they are trying to compete with Microsoft Sharepoint and my Office 365 already comes with a 1TB storage plan.

Perhaps Jobs was right ... it is a feature not a product.
Prettier 2.0 Released
Ask HN: What have you noticed people spending money on?
EXCLUDING common supermarket stuff.

I’ve noticed people buy board games.

Also books.
When is anxiety helpful and when is it destructive? Psychologist explains
I work from home anyway. Still plugging away, upgrading old hardware to old versions of Android.
Is Amazon only delivering basic essentials at a fixed cost? Where is this list of basic essentials that Amazon is so charitably ensuring the prompt delivery of?
Covid-19 is not an aerosol, except in certain hospital settings.
40% of the wealth in the stock market was wiped out over the last few weeks which drastically impacts the upper middle class and rich the most. Negative returns on capital do not promote wealth inequality.
Original poster here.

> and fitting ke^x to data doesn't make us informed

Well, yours is an interesting post but let me ask if curve fitting doesn't make us more informed then what does? There's an update to the data for the US in the past few hours and it doesn't improve things.

I very carefully stated out my limitations, and then pointed them out again when someone critiqued my approach (see edit on https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22645793). I have done my best to accept my limitations, but still I get people like you hammering me.

So the question is why are we even posting anything on HN? Bottom line is what is HN for - non-factual debate, or factual debate?

I strongly get the impression that much criticism isn't based on my admittedly trite analysis but because a lot of people just don't know how to handle really bad news and are trying to blank a nasty reality. Doubly so when I'm accused of of "hold on! I'll save the day!" which is purely your invention.