skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Nope, SARS and MERS are way deadlier than Covid-19, not just in initial estimates. South Korea tested hundreds of thousands of people and we have the Diamond Princess. That makes it unlikely that we are overestimating CFR by an order of magnitude due to uncounted mild cases. If you have someone reputable who thinks true CFR could be as low as 0.1%, please share! As far as I can tell no one believes it can be significantly below 1% for a country with similar demographics as the UK.
To me the real tension seems to be between individual interests and societal pressure. I suspect most people, if left completely free, would end up undertaking quite a wide range of endeavors and might not even end up specializing at all. There is however great societal pressure to find a niche (ideally as narrow as possible) and occupy it exclusively. That's what's "best for the economy", however stifling for individual human development.

This is not to say that there aren't people out there more than happy to have a deep specialization. That's perfectly fine as long as it's done as a free individual choice and not as some parental/scholastic imposition.
Specializing yourself out of a job is certainly something you need to be aware of. There wasn't a lot of demand for Y2K experts in 2002.

I also remember hanging out in a tradeshow booth in the 90s with a consultant who may have been the world expert in performance of a specific, by then legacy, computer architecture. Or someone else who had the inside track and wrote about a company that got acquired and dismantled.

A narrow uber-expertise is fine. But it can become yesterday's news. To be sure, it can also be a legacy in-demand skill but there's no guarantee.
This is all Youtube's doing. Youtube rewards channels that upload a full video every day, and for individual creators the only way to do that is to talk into a camera for 30 minutes and just upload it.
> You can read that between the lines of the comments.

Yes. I see the veiled racist comments, the completely anecdotic evidence, the sofa-experts disregarding the article findings... It is tiresome the coordinated attacks against progressive views.

We should work together to make this a better world. I really do not get what is the goal of the people that writes this kind of comments. Don't they have families? Don't they depend on the same world stability and technological advances?

I am happy for Iceland and I hope that their example extends.
This looks nice, thank you. It's only web apps though, right? Ie no native components.
'Yes Minister'. There is also a follow up series called 'Yes Prime Minister'. Very funny stuff - especially if you have any insight into the public service bureaucracy.
It wasn't a criteria; it was an observation that a system that allows people to help themselves in parallel to the experts is better.

The options aren't "experts hold all the power" or "paniced hoarders have all the power". At the moment, the US has set the dial to experts holding all the power and badly flubbed the response; the obvious solution is a mix of expert- and non-expert- control so that when the experts inevitably muck up it isn't the end of the game.

If people want to allocate a massive % of societies resources to masks, ICU beds and COVID-19 tests they should be able to. At present, they aren't allowed to and the government doesn't seem to be reacting very quickly.

This is classic economics; centralised control and price control where vendors are scared of being dinged for 'price gouging' have immediately resulted in massive shortages. If the government encouraged prices to rise until supplies were only just running out and gave the medical system enough money to buy what they needed in that environment then the situation would resolve much more quickly.

The people making face masks, ventilators, ICU beds and similar should be rolling in so much money from panic buyers that it makes sense to hold emergency reserves for the next crisis. That isn't what is happening, so instead we won't have resources for this crisis or the next one. So called 'panic buying' leads to a very healthy economic response after a month or two; which is where we happen to be vs COVID-19. If we'd had more panic buying earlier we'd be in a better spot now, and rapidly moving to a better spot in a month or two. If we allowed people to allocate resources to testing and hospitals despite the opinions of centralised agencies we'd also be a better spot. People like Bill Gates can fight malaria but they can't fight the CDC.
I'm a high school teacher, so focusing on a younger age group that your demographic, but they absolutely don't teach kids these things. The only class we have with a computer is a typing class that lasts 12 weeks where they essentially play games online (the teacher is also a nutjob; anti-vaxer and flat-earther!)

These kids type their entire papers on their phones and save it via Google Drive. It's not surprising they really don't know how to do anything with computers.
I think transit apps is a really interesting problem. Transit App was a favorite until a redesign they did a few years ago. And they have never tackled the user interaction challenge of making transfers make any sense.

This space has very tangible information/ux problems.
>What Can a President Do During a State of Emergency?

Possibly, get in a round of golf.

We'll see.
Walking is more efficient than driving, it’s not viable beyond short distances.

Most vehicles are not electric yet.
My impression is that specialist is just used as a label for imperative knowledge (process knowledge of how to do something), and generalist a label for process selection and management, declarative knowledge essentially.

What's ignored are cascades of knowledge, where specializing in the right thing can make you an expert in an adjacent task with very little effort, where the barrier might be just different labels or terminology. So you can become both a potential specialist and generalist by chosing the right thing to specialize in.
> They’re community centers, give people access to computers, host classes, and some have maker spaces.

In some places, they do this and are open enough that people can actually take advantage of them. But there are many communities in North America and Europe where library opening hours have been seriously cut back. They simply cannot serve as useful community centers any more if they are closed more often than they are open.

> And libraries share with each other so it’s possible to work with a local library to borrow from other libraries around the world.

Whether one’s local library participates in ILL schemes, and whether that is available to patrons without oppressive fees, is also something that differs from place to place.
I think business people were definitely cool into he 80s. I wasnt there but the whole wolf of wall street Reaganomics thing was definitely cool even if it was destructive. And startup founders were definitely cool for a bit until we started hating tech. Rich people making money is almost always cool in American culture, whether it's startups or wall street or mob bosses
Careful, with extra large repositories it actually slows down the cloning while, obviously, significantly reducing the space usage.
Is the pub the only place where you get in contact with other people?
Probably due to statements like "we'll have a vaccine in two weeks", "some people go to work and they get better", "foreign virus", "our numbers will go to zero", "I don't want that cruise ship docking and making our numbers go up", "Google have 1,700 developers on a Coronavirus website", etc.
Volumetric Raymarching of Electron Orbitals
Particularly with respect to alcoholism, that it was quite a very long trend downward, and the fact there's only 400k people it would seem there's been a generational and fundamental change in societal attitude towards alcohol.

It means 'everyone' was thinking about it different over time, and this thinking would have manifested in a variety of policies, awareness, socialization, and probably a lot of 'indirect shaming' i.e. getting alcohol distributors to realize the consequences, bar owners taking underage drinker more seriously, police actually nabbing drunk kids as opposed to turning a blind eye. IE 'hey, we drink here in Iceland, it's normal' to 'we have a drinking problem, let's talk to our kids about it'.

We've seen a significant change in all the Western world on smoking for example, so it's no surprise they couldn't change drinking and tobacco over time.

The marijuana thing is different obviously given the more liberal attitudes in many places, but consider the supply issue in Iceland, as compared to Canada. In Canada, there are grow-ops everywhere with low-level organized crime involved sometimes (not always). In Iceland, it just maybe 'that much more difficult' to get a hold of, thereby limiting the possibility for weed to establish it's behavioural premise as 'being cool' or whatever. The critical mass might not have developed.

It's highly unlikely that 'one policy' was the deal maker on any of these issues, though surely some had more of an effect than others. For example, raising the drinking age by 2 years will have not much effect if it's a social custom to simply ignore those rules anyhow. But raising the drinking age, coupled with public awareness, with messages from law enforcement to alcohol stores saying 'we mean it, we will find out' to random checks to make sure they're following the rules whereas there were none before etc. - this will surely have some change.

I object to anything that the UN has to say about 'Children's Rights', the wellbeing of children is a function of the overall wellbeing of a society, and Iceland, like other Nordic countries, is way ahead of the curve already. Ironically, only such advanced countries would even care about what the UN has to say in the first place. The UN is a highly politicized body of people usually very far removed from any given situation and though I don't doubt their intentions, these things become entirely academic in their hands. The 'real good' they will do is in developing places which are in need of economic development, which in turn provides the basis for the wellbeing of children and all citizens and not just in terms of 'rights' but in everything else as well.

Any nation that has managed to create some kind of positive social change is probably worth studying, that there is ambiguity is fine, the facts are what they are i.e. that substance abuse of certain kinds has dropped quite a lot. That evidence is the underlying bit of credibility which makes the mystery worth solving, or at least learning from.
> If you scale that linearly you still "only" get close to 350 , so you have an idea of how much stress is on this design to push 600 on 2l.

-Removed, I misunderstood the original post, still you can design an engine with more power if torque requirements are low, and they claim 280hp at 2l which is a lot but doable if you don't intent to run it like a roadcar and have infinite budget like with those super/hypercars-
Apple to Close All Retail Stores Outside of China Until March 27th
I just found some strong counter evidence in tension with everything I'd been hearing:

Francois Balloux (Computational biologist, director of UGI at UCL): "How long immunity lasts for following covid-19 infection is the biggest unknown. Comparison with other Coronaviridae suggests it may be relatively short-lived (i.e. months). If this were to be confirmed, it would add to the challenge of managing the pandemic.

https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/12388371671426416...

It's not inconsistent per say, since it still seems that the recent reinfections were likely due to test error or rare poor immune response, but my initial comment is misleading enough that I retract it (and would delete it if I could).
The biggest EU countries are 1 to two weeks behind Italy:

https://twitter.com/MarkJHandley/status/1238604695700209664

(mind the log scale)
My eyes are glossing over trying to understand the equations in this article, but isn't the solution as easy as comparing a cryptographic hash of Alice's wealth with a cryptographic hash of Bob's wealth for equality?

The fact that Alice could guess Bob's wealth within a certain range, even if that range is "between $0 and $1 trillion," and then have a finite range to search for a collision could be mitigated with a sufficiently slow hashing algorithm and/or an absurd number of iterations.
Tangent: this neatly illustrates that trying to express yourself in a foreign language and failing outright, such that what you said doesn't make any sense, is not actually the biggest problem you can run into. It's much worse when you try to express yourself and come out with a perfectly-formed sentence that means something quite different from what you were hoping.

It's easy for people to make adjustments allowing for your badly-formed sentences. It's much harder for people to make adjustments allowing for the possibility that even though you said something natural, you might have meant something else entirely.
I like that I don't need to register first.
For security purposes and everything it's probably better to abstract away the idea of files and wall off apps like on mobile, and usability wise this is probably making tech more accessible to users to have super efficient search. They might not know how to use a file manager, but they still know how to use their computer
huh. that’s an attack other browsers have fixed by using punycode. i wonder does safari have blacklist for homoglyphs but renders others as the intended glyph.
I'd be surprised that they could build tires to go on for 22 GPs with the same performances, but who knows. The goal was raw speed when there were multiple manufacturers. The only year with a rule to forbid tyre changes during a race was 2005. Maybe you remember that Indianapolis GP with only 6 cars racing because thr banking destroyed the tires of the other manufacturer (which won all the other GPs.)
I was not tested although I went to the doctor 4 times over 5 weeks. I went to Milan from Munich in January. Upon returning to Munich, I was hit with a sudden, dry cough. It was noticeably different from anything I had experienced before. I went to bed and woke with a fever of about 102. It lasted for days and I developed a very strange lung issue. On every exhale it sounded like 1000 pop rocks going off in my upper lungs/throat. The sound was loud enough to wake me. I “recovered”, with lasting lung issues for about two weeks. A week later I developed another fever that lasted 3 days. I then had intense night sweats for 2-3 weeks.

If I had it, it would go against many of the models of when it reached Milan. If I didn’t have it, I had some other monster illness that hit the lungs hard.
Stealth bombers aren't going to dodge missiles. They need to reach their target before they are noticed at all. Otherwise the enemy will mount a response and intercept the bomber.
Good!

In order to do that, people will have to get cash. Cash has a far more tangible effect in terms of inspiring frugal spending, and it may not be a bad idea to get cash out of "the system" anyway.

If not, simply vet the card making the purchase. This isn't novel or groundbreaking. Way back when, you'd have a Government issued ration card I believe. Though I'd think a voluntary program implemented by The practice of private ledger keeping, while out of vogue, is still quite practicable. All you have to do is talk to people. Of course, if you went balls to the wall laying off cashier's, you may be in for a bit of a bad time, but hey, shareholder haircuts happen. Price of doing business.

This is not even the slightest bit untread territory.
That's fair to agree to disagree but I also again think it's unfair to characterize my pipelines as not flexible enough.

For context I developed the publishing pipelines for the majority of departments in the studio. I have several hundreds of assets being published through my pipelines on a daily basis, if not more, from a variety of departments.

We only hit collisions on a very rare basis, and which were often resolved in an hour or two in the worst case.

We've scaled this from very small teams to large ones, from very scrappy realtime productions to feature length offline rendered films.

I don't doubt that locking helps. I just argue that maybe it's not as critical as people make it out to seem.
Undeveloped World War II Film Discovered (2015)
Musk told employees: much higher chance of dying in car crash than from corona
Merkel apparently is trying to (or tried to), but was more coy about it. But none of the technocratic Asian governments seem to.
I mean, I'm not allowed into the office and I get my groceries delivered from a CSA box ^_^
And that’s the real calculus here: how will this be perceived after the dust settles? If the population doesn’t think their leaders did enough, there’s risk of reprisals. If the government does the wrong thing but people think it was right, everything is fine. But if the govt did the right thing and people think it was wrong, correctly or incorrectly, there may be reprisals.
The caption "The equation 1⁰² + 1¹² + 1²² = 1³² + 1⁴², whose answer is that both sides equal 365, was immortalized in a different form in this 1895 painting: “Mental Arithmetic. In the Public School of S. Rachinsky.” (NIKOLAY BOGDANOV-BELSKY)" has funky exponents. Medium requires that I make an account to say that, so I am saying it here.
Show HN: Supermind – The easiest way to improve memory in all you do
>It's not surprising they really don't know how to do anything with computers.

but... they know how to type a paper and save it to Google drive.

I'm not trying to be pedantic but that's how computers are used nowadays.
I'm going to go with the guy who was awarded an OBE for his work in infectious disease control: https://www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/news/2016/leading_infecti...
Arguments in favor of remdesivir for treating SARS-CoV-2 infections
I meant the Socialist Millionaire Problem
That's almost a BBC level of "debate". An expert, plus some dude who disagrees and makes good television. Could they not find an actual qualified person with a different opinion instead of a "SV Tech Executive"?
Morph is lovely because it ends up being a very thin layer over the existing Nix toolkit. All it does is deploy your NixOS config to a remote machine.
"could be mitigated"

This is the issue with your solution, it isn't really mitigated in such problems because the domain is too small.
No, generally speaking, people agree in abstract terms on what virtuous principles are, such as honesty and courtesy; they disagree about what virtuous acts are, because in every act we resolve a conflict between conflicting virtuous principles, necessarily subordinating lower values to higher ones.
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/jasonleopold/nsa-corona...

The Department of Health and Human Services has recommended that intelligence community personnel have at least three months’ worth of food on hand in the event of an uncontrolled pandemic.
Kick off the side mirrors, that will teach them.

Im joking. But it sucks that the law is not enforced, despite this being a serious hazard.
The lockdown as implemented by Italy and France aims at slowing down the spreading of the virus. It is not meant as a strategy to overcome the virus. It is meant to flatten the curve of the exponential growth of infection to minimize overloading the health system and to provide more time for preparation and for the acquisition of best practices regarding the situation. There is no disillusion that this might somehow stop the virus. The expected total infected percentage of population, with lockdowns is still in the range of 50-60%. Italy went into lockdown on March 9th when # of new cases reached 1791 and total deaths was 463. This does not seem to qualify as a very drastic early lockdown, as stated by parent.

Given everything we know regarding exponential spread, the high percentage of cases requiring icu treatment, and the mortality rate, I fail to see how the absence of any measures to mitigate the spreading of the virus makes sense.

The assumption that there are only two viable strategies, lockdown & no measures, is a plain wrong oversimplification. There is a wide range of intermediary steps that can be taken in between to attempt to slow down the virus.

Attempting to minimize the degree of overload on the health system by applying such measures in a coordinated fashion is meant to reduce casualties caused by system overload.
Ptolemy's theorem is another Pythagoras on steroids

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=bJOuzqu3MUQ
Suddenly in UK groceries became very expensive. Same exact shopping two weeks ago £50, today £80 :/
oh yeah like the paper says it's doing SAT a lot of times. Nearest I can tell the time complexity for each bit of the output is O(n!) where n is the size of the (unknown and you are solving for it) input bit pattern. So total time complexity is something like O(n! * w_n * h_n) which is BIG and stupid and might make this actually not a way to beat the optimum compression ratio dictated by entropy.
Thousands already died in Italy over the last several days with less than 20,000 cases (most of those cases are still active so thousands more will die in the coming days before the lockdown even shows effect, if it is effective). You're looking at millions dead if a significant portion of the population is infected.
But if you are in contact with someone under 31 who has no choice but to be in contact with someone over 31... I guess the question you have to consider is how much to blame is each individual who chooses to ignore recommended procedures yet passes the virus on to someone who ends up dying.
Their reasoning is that if the only things you can do are China-style lockdown or nothing, then the disease will just resume exponentially growing the second lockdown ends, so it's pointless to do it at all.

While that may be technically right (under some optimistic, unverified assumptions, e.g. no reinfection), it's a false dichotomy. Singapore, Hong Kong, and South Korea aren't under lockdown, they're stopping the spread by just having good testing and case tracking capacity, and good hygiene. And the longer things go on, the better they're getting at doing that. If things are getting out of hand, a temporary lockdown is effective (as it was in China), to get the numbers down while building up this kind of capacity. But lockdown doesn't have to last forever; China has already lifted restrictions in most cities.

The UK seems to be ignoring this, and I don't understand why. I suspect the real logic, as some government officials have outright said, is that a completely failed response would free up money for the NHS by killing off "bed blockers".

The social signalling around it is "prudent caution", in the sense that they are talking slowly and confidently while using big words. This gives some people the gut feeling that this must be the "rational" thing to do, but it's just window dressing. The plan is neither prudent nor cautious; it's recklessly endangering millions of lives. Experts in the UK are horrified; there's an hours-old petition against this with hundreds of academics already signed on [0]. The WHO has condemned it, and half the people I know studying abroad in the UK have fled the country over it.

0: http://maths.qmul.ac.uk/~vnicosia/UK_scientists_statement_on...
I think it's easier if you just put everybody on a big scale, like that episode of the office.
Several did, and they either reduced the mortality rate or slowed the spread of infection.

Some made the changes during SARS, some did it now.

A large population CAN change it's ways.
If you can localize down to the range of a km? Can't you just shoot down optically? A giant dark plane blotting out the stars...
You don't study governments much, huh
Cause and prevention for bugs found in rice and grains