skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
and small groups or tribes had a nice common goal, using a bit of land to live together

the hyper decoupling benefits costed us that
whew. Good thing isopropyl alcohol isn't explosive in vapor form or someone might make a bomb!
Tips for navigating the 5 phases of this pandemic
That is sort of like turning off a heart rate monitor during a heart attack.
I think there will be some pent up demand, but some parts of the economy don’t benefit from that —e.g. I’m not going to buy more lattes when things return to normal, I will just go back to my daily fix.
Don’t 3d printers produce fines? I’d double check before bringing them home in your circumstances.
No, that's not true. The problem isn't there protocol, it's the security argument. Bitcoin works with three people with one computer each, as long as none of those people has access to two more computers. As soon as one of the three can get three if their own computers, the chain's security arguments are broken. PoW doesn't work on compute, it works on scarcity of compute.
Cool. I covered all the pathogens too, though I think I had quite a few genes left to unlock.

I've never played the original Plague Inc, so I can't tell you the difference from experience, but according to Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plague_Inc:_Evolved , isn't it amazing that it has its own Wikipedia page?):

The core game of Plague Inc: Evolved is the same as Plague Inc. - the player controls a plague which has infected patient zero. The player must infect and kill the whole world population by evolving the plague and adapting to various environments. However, there is a time pressure to complete the game before humans, the opponent, develop a cure for the plague.
[...]
It also includes all of the expansion packs from the original Plague Inc. game

Great game concept, though still with some untapped potential in my opinion. I keep getting inspired to replay it by the news right now, but we really have much, much more urgent things to attend to. Prepare, and help out, but stay safe!
Two points.

1. Today's drop is sort of misleading because it followed an irrational (IMO) low volume rally on Friday. We're still roughly flat from last week.

2. A recession is pretty much what we're ASKING for in order to stop the virus. People need to stay away from one another. So if it's not online, the business should be closed.

3. (bonus point) Unlike systemic recessions (like 2008), this one is purely externally driven (like 2001) - which means it's temporary. Whether we deploy a vaccine, deploy anti-virals, flatten the curve, or just suffer, it'll still be over in a maximum of 18 months. Since stocks are valued by their 20 year forward earnings, the market is very much oversold. (the exception being for companies that is going to go bankrupt in the next year due to cash flow issues - and receive no bailout).
> Even liberal states like New York are ignoring the downstream economic effects these closures will cause.

They also understand the effects of not closing right not in outlook of a deadly decease without available treatment.
Sorry for a maybe dumb question but what is the logic for 43% gain needed?
Deaths will also shrink productive capacity and demand (severe illness would presumably only shrink productive capacity).
My read of "I think a severe recession is all but guaranteed" was that OP thinks prices will continue to fall. Am I misinterpreting?
Just documenting for the future: today the NYSE halted at least once and Dow dropped 13%. PA announced shutdown of all non essential businesses.
maybe I'm just ignorant, but I always have a chuckle at stuff like this:

wndclass.cbSize = sizeof(wndclass);

why does a struct need to be told its own size?
Uh.. any single person who owns more than 50% of the computation can basically mess everything up, unless I'm mistaken?

So, maybe you mean 3 independent parties.. but what's to stop those 3 people from colluding for their own benefit, etc..

Anyway you need a hell of a lot more than 3 to run it.
Every time I see this, I fail to grasp the logic. So you had money sitting on the sidelines for safety during boom times, and you elect to put it in a riskier asset class during a panic?

I'm not saying this isn't likely the most profitable action, I just don't see how the principles are consistent with each other. The former is conservative; the latter is wildly speculative and risky.
I agree it’s certainly something to watch for. One difference is everyone is paying attention. People didn’t care about the details of the patriot act.
Or at least, things claiming to be hand sanitizer. Which just makes the rule more absurd. If you've got a favorite shampoo, time to go looking for a nice large hand sanitizer bottle to transfer it to. (Though I wouldn't do that for contact lens saline, a thing I'd kinda like to bring on in large bottles, since the small ones are absurdly expensive and somewhat less available.)
I'm not sure why they don't add BRK-B though.
Staying active is probably good for your immune system. At least that's how I'm going to rationalize it :)
Deaths so far is an astonishingly bad metric to use for this, it's analogous to 63 grains of rice on the 6th day of the classic chessboard story.

If we don't do drastic measures, many experts are citing numbers in the high hundreds of thousands to over a million (example [1], which is well worth reading). But if we do act, the experience of China, South Korea, and Singapore teach us that we can do better.

[1] https://tincture.io/dispatch-4-from-the-front-lines-79c74fa6...

(I want to link https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/notes-from-ucsf-expert-panel-... which actually does give numbers, but that might no longer be available)
If you’re writing for a very wide audience, many of whom may not have good literacy, then avoiding anything slightly complicated matters a lot. There are all sorts of words one often sees in documents from governments (and this article is from and for the us government) that are not suitable for wide audiences. For example:

- shall

- one as a pronoun

- whom (instead of “incorrectly” writing who)

- sentences with lots of clauses

- basically any uncommon word, especially a long word or one with an uncommon morphology that makes it hard to sound out

People with poor literacy will not be able to scan text and so every sentence and paragraph should be short and to the point (as it may be read in its entirety and if it is too long it will be skipped). I think something like 40% of the US has this level of literacy.

Incidentally, writing for an audience like this improves the efficiency and engagement of mere literate people too.

As an unrelated point: many legal phrases use both a Germanic and Romance word, eg assault and battery; breaking and entering
> Maybe a better question is this: how do you write code that does the most possible to prevent a maintainer from screwing it up?

By writing tests, that's the only way.. I remember recently writing the test two weeks after I added the feature, the feature was already broken!

The difficulty is that maintainers are very creative in their way to break your code so it's difficult to write 'thorough' tests.
WeWork to Sell Iconic NYC Building to Amazon
I believe you are speaking of a fragment. https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/API/DocumentFra...
Colorado, I ordered some grilling stuff yesterday and it's another three days out.

They're definitely struggling for the same reason grocery stores are; it's not a stock limitation, it's not enough hands to move it.
there's a slight paradox in that modernity was half pushed by people to free themselves from all of these. independance has two edges
Good point. I didn’t consider the getting injured aspect of it.
I wish they'd treat their warehouse workers better, and pay a fair tax, so until they do I'm not buying anything from Amazon.

I use alternative, usually local or national rather than multinational, suppliers.
Here, we can stop “debating” dumb st:

https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/coronavirus-uk-strategy...
Patient Access API: Mobile Developers Prepare for New Era
Rapid Response Was Crucial to Containing the 1918 Flu Pandemic
WinUI 3 supports .NET 5 : https://youtu.be/tasbSc3771A?t=186
Could be both
> Even liberal states like New York are ignoring the downstream economic effects these closures will cause

What do you suggest they do? Keep restaurants open? Also - I think they're hoping that people will still order restaurant food - just at home and have it delivered.

...might be a boon for Chinese restaurants, ironically.
Not in Quebec. The healthcare system in Quebec is in ruins with extended wait times and walk in clinics turn off walk ins frequently. Nurses & Doctor shortages are acute in Quebec to the point that retired nurses are being asked if they could come back to work.
Same in Colorado as of yesterday at least.
Cancellations, sick leave, and takeout: How food businesses are handling
WeWork closes two floors of NYC office after worker diagnosed with coronavirus
Edwin reached out to me when I had an issue with Stripe and was really thorough in getting everything resolved to my satisfaction. He's top notch.
I agree with both of your three points. (ha!) It was why I stated that it felt like a panic. The problem is panics are much like stampedes, they can take on a life of their own once they get started.
Did you see those videos of 1000s of people in line to enter Costco? Same thing is happening with online shopping.
I don't really see that argument, it looks more like "you shouldn't think of humans in those terms".

Not "this doesn't work, look, that model has no predictive power", just "it's not okay to think like that". To me, that's mostly just closing your eyes and wishing really hard that human reality isn't profane and cannot be (roughly) described by (relatively) simple models.

I see similar reactions in discussions about free will (or lack thereof) where some people seem to be insulted by the idea that humans aren't special and fundamentally different from animals, not just (much) smarter versions with opposable thumbs.
If you think prices will fall, sell now and then buy back in after they’ve fallen
There's some fantastic artists on youtube who produce in similar circumstances. Here's one of my favorite examples (the video was also made in the artist's room) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VYv6-5VmNEM
Lots of bottles of hand sanitizer, and a ban on fist-bumps and high fives from managers.
I'm not worried about me personally getting pulled over, I'm worried about moving companies not operating. I need a moving truck in order to vacate my old apartment or I'm stuck still paying rent.
> Those expenditures increase the size of the economy.

If that isn't broken windows, I'm not sure why.
2008 was one sector of the economy dragging down everyone else. Shutting down everything for weeks to months is going to wreck everything. There's not a pause button. It's an emergency stop that's going to take a long time to recover from.
I don't see why. Can you spell out what's inherently slow apart from the observation phases?
WinUI, WInjs, UWP, WPF, ReactXP. Any other?
Let's see in the following weeks. No testing = low number of cases but when the dead pile up in hospitals it's easier to infer the real number of cases.
No it means you may be able to get it working on more than one windows PC. Don't bet on it though.
I mean, leaking an SRP verifier into the logs is analogous to leaking a salted password hash. (Same story if a client key is leaked, since replay attacks are not possible.) That is still 1000x better than a plaintext password leak. Which happens... how often again? All it takes is one oversight by one developer and one rushed code review. Addressing arguably the most common way passwords are stolen nowadays is not what I would summarize as "essentially no benefit". And no, you don't have to trust the server to get that protection. Your password never leaves you, that's the point. An entire class of attack vectors just doesn't exist here. Including phishing attacks - if the browser gives the user unambiguous visual clue that the auth is happening through SRP.

About browsers: The default CSPRNG on Win10 and Linux don't need a constant stream of entropy to generate strong random numbers. But just for good measure, both of them incorporate mouse movement [1] [2], among other things. Your other comments assume the client code is in the JS, which I agree is a horrible idea (tangentially related: [3]). That's why I said it should be built into the browser directly (a pipe dream, but still). Though on a second (and rather perverse) thought, even if it's in the website, it will not provide worse security than sending the password... Nothing can provide worse security than that unless you downright "mutilate" the entropy of the credentials. Assuming everything happens over HTTPS, of course. Still, not something I would be proud to publish on github :)

About complexity: Good choice of words; password hash verification is EASIER to do than ZKPP. Not simpler. If you need to supplement it with an online password manager, or very good recall, or 2FA to ensure basic security, that's just pushing complexity onto the user. But I understand how you might see that as an unfair comparison, given that all of these things can benefit ZKPP as well. Just not as important - assuming the client side is properly implemented and the user chooses and handles the password with care.

Oh, and SRP doesn't define its "own" hash function. I've never heard of a protocol that does. Such things should always be configurable and left to the security architect's decision.

[1] https://aka.ms/win10rng

[2] https://pthree.org/2014/07/21/the-linux-random-number-genera...

[3] https://security.stackexchange.com/questions/214784/can-ads-...
That was an observation of fact.
We’re destroying valuations, not money.
blistering means fast.
Having been roughly in your position back during the 2008 dump...
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=318595

Don't forget, the market can drop 20% a day for awhile. Plenty of smart folks are sitting on the sidelines with cash, but time will tell if this is the trigger for a much larger longer-term 2020 deleveraging.

Markets aren't even where they were pre-Trump election yet, so this 30% haircut from the top isn't even a "correction" from some viewpoints.

I personally wish I was ballsier back in 2008/2009 (Ford for $1, BoA for similar prices, etc), but it'd also be premature to jump into this market if you truly think it's the tip of a recessionary iceberg. Recessions take 3-6 months minimum to spill over into WallSt. If you're not jaw-agape at the prices of some of your favorite companies, it's probably not the bottom just yet.

Further, if you take the pessimistic view (ala Japan Nikkei), you might get stuck holding stock that never recovers. Be patient.
Bankruptcies can be pretty damaging. If we see a lot of loan defaults, we might see a banking crisis.

...but probably not. Banks are very well capitalized these days - much much better than 2008.
The government has a right to that information. For-profit companies do not. (Also, traffic counters can easily be anonymised, if they're not already, whereas Google's data is essentially worthless to them if anonymised.)
Why do you presume there won't be another external or systemic recession in the next 18 months?

You can't just assert it's temporary. You can say, "The causes of this downturn are temporary."

We have no idea what the market will do in the future. We have strong evidence it will recover, but that's not the same thing.
Many believe the economy has been propped up by the Fed (by lowering interest rates) because they've been afraid of a recession. The Fed also doesn't really have any more ammo left to prop things up.

So, the cause is that the Fed has been propping an economy that is ripe for a recession and a reset. The coronavirus is the trigger that will force the hand.
Only if you want to re-enact 1929 for real.
Curious... If I need to measure 70kV, but HV meters go up to 40kV, can I put two meters in series?
> Laws should be black and white and people "toeing the line" should be treated no differently beyond verifying that they are indeed on one side or the other.

There are some laws for which this will never be the case:

https://fairuse.stanford.edu/overview/fair-use/what-is-fair-...

> In its most general sense, a fair use is any copying of copyrighted material done for a limited and “transformative” purpose, such as to comment upon, criticize, or parody a copyrighted work. Such uses can be done without permission from the copyright owner. In other words, fair use is a defense against a claim of copyright infringement. If your use qualifies as a fair use, then it would not be considered an infringement.

> So what is a “transformative” use? If this definition seems ambiguous or vague, be aware that millions of dollars in legal fees have been spent attempting to define what qualifies as a fair use. There are no hard-and-fast rules, only general guidelines and varied court decisions, because the judges and lawmakers who created the fair use exception did not want to limit its definition. Like free speech, they wanted it to have an expansive meaning that could be open to interpretation.

Yes, that means that any of the "rules" about things which are guaranteed to be Fair Use you were taught are wrong. The law doesn't work that way, it's designed to not work that way, and the courts will never be persuaded that it ought to work that way.
You need to think more along the lines of Zimbabwe during massive inflation of local currency.
100 - 30 = 70

70 * .43 = 30.1

70 + 30.1 = 100.1
I agree that this analysis should be the basis of the decision, and I'm sure it's not simple tradeoff between lives and economic cost. For instance, no preparation, no response, and huge body count 4 weeks later when a huge fraction of the workforce is sick will damage the economy as well.
Start with a justification for sharing. Don't cause a run on any of the food suggestions people are giving.

Be sure to allow large families. People can have over 20 kids, at least 4 generations in one house, or lots of cousins together. Some people even rent out rooms or live in a commune.
Timing the market is possible if you know more than the market otherwise it’s just gambling.

But what do you do if you got lucky selling now?

I sold three weeks ago figuring it would be bumpy ahead, but I don’t want to miss the bottom entirely. Now I’m thinking the low risk strategy is to buy very slowly over a long period.
If our response has been commensurate with the threat or an overreaction is definitely an open question. One we probably won't be able to answer definitively for a while.
Naive answer: your money never left you. Its velocity was reduced and your home's buying power has been adjusted to reflect that.
I'm no expert, but I think I get what he said.

If I have $100 and I buy a stock worth $90 from you, there's $100 in the economy.

If the stock goes up to being worth $110, there's still $100 in the economy.

If the stock goes bust, there's still... $100 in the economy.
It's fairly easy to reason about the factors that go into the spread of the disease. We have diligent data from Japan, Korea, Spain, and Italy. All show infection curves with very similar shapes along the same timelines. What's more, we can see how quarantining measures have benefited Japan and Korea. Not to mention that the spread of infectious diseases, especially the flu, has been studying quite heavily with modern scientific methods for over a century.

It is far more likely that these measures are being taken because they have been proven effective to prevent harm to citizens, than as a conspiracy to destroy small businesses.

This disease is both very infectious and relatively very deadly. We know that the death rate can double or triple if emergency health care is not available. We also know that without dramatic quarantining measures, the number of people requiring emergency care will overwhelm our health care capacity.

I am a San Francisco resident, and I am grateful that my local government is taking action. I agree with Mayor Breed's assessment that the federal government's response is terrible.
I’m a fulltime Firefox user personally, and I have not noticed a whole lot of nag. Does it not show up under Linux or something?

edit: So far I’ve tried switching my user agent, turning off adblock, using a private/logged out window, on docs and search. Not that I’m doubting you or anything, but I am surprised I’ve not noticed it much since switching back to Firefox.

It’s also probably worth disclosing that I work for Google, though at home I am using Firefox and Duckduckgo.
A sane rational logical person has an addiction. The sane rational logical tools he has do not help him to get rid of it. This means he cannot trust them. There's a flaw somewhere and he doesn't know where. They are not good for any conclusion, including the agency and power of that bar. The best he can do is to drop them and admit he knows nothing. Then there's a chance to learn something new that may help with that addiction.
I can't see how going on unemployment is "perfect strategy". Perfect for whom, exactly?
Told you all:

https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/coronavirus-uk-strategy...
Remember pandemic2 flash game?

It was almost impossible to kill all humans without starting the infection from Madagascar. If you started from somewhere else Madagascar always had time to close the borders.

Lo and behold: Madagascar is one of the few countries without infections in Global Cases tracker. https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.h...
Yes, that's exactly my issue. People see it and just immediately throw up the red flag as if it were an actual grammatical/syntactic error.
30% loss from 100 is 70.

30% of 70 is 21. So a 30% gain at 70 gets you to 91.

1/.7 = 1.429
100% this. Usually reviewing code of juniors one of the things that appear the most is how they try to apply patterns they read online to over abstract things that do not need to be abstracted instead of solving the business issue with the minimal code necessary.
Most businesses don't have the cash reserves to handle effectively shuttering for 1-3 months, which is probably what will be required to get a handle on the Coronavirus outbreak without overwhelming our medical systems. This means those businesses will be forced to lay off many (if not most) employees, possibly going bankrupt altogether, and those laid-off employees will themselves have trouble paying their own bills causing them to go bankrupt, lose their house and car (and health insurance in the US!), etc.

It's a huge vicious cycle that will almost certainly lead us into a deep recession in the short term, and will likely require huge fiscal interventions by the major governments of the world to prevent an outright depression (as all the remaining monetary options have already been used up to little effect). It's telling that Senator Mitt Romney was floating a temporary Yang-style UBI today... even a week ago that would have been unthinkable to hear from a Republican, even a moderate like him.
I think this construct is quite formal and quite unfamiliar to people who have not read the kind of academic literature where it is common
San Francisco will require people to stay home except for essential needs
Love to my downvoters — hope you bought some stock Friday. ;)
I'm actually arguing the opposite.

The shaky foundation aside, if everything was valued appropriately, and there was no speculation, the impact of coronavirus alone would be enough to send the global economy into a recession due to lockdowns, change in consumer spending behavior, and the lack of income for million of people for even two months who are already living pay check to pay check.
Maybe, but why don't you think the markets will bounce back once we're on the other side of this? Have underlying fundamentals changed longer term?

South Korea, China, Singapore are encouraging and seeing a return back to (almost) normal life. Granted, we're not dealing with this nearly as effectively and there may be a 2nd wave to come. But at this point they seem to make the case for optimism.