skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The saddest truth is perhaps that functionally, we have the leaders we deserve.

It's a simple projection from voter space to elected space. As a former pol.sci. student/researcher, I've grown disillusioned by the fact that representative democracy, in our day and age, quite evidently no longer works as intended — the projection is flawed with regards to the conduct of affairs.

I don't know why:

- might be that voting is skewed by marketing (permanent campaign) money, government is too corrupt and establishment too entrenched, the "conspiracy hidden in plain sight / normalcy" idea;

- could be that democracy simply doesn't work as a system, or maybe not anymore, because the "average" is somehow not good enough — that was certainly not my belief, not for a decade, but I had to come to terms: it's a question worth asking, I assure you. Just considering the quality of information and the noise/signal ratio throws a huge wrench in the mechanics of any sane decision-making process...

- ... (many more hypotheses)

Regardless, this may help us craft the next-new-better political system, which might or might not be a regime of increased freedom compared to now (my guess: much more in some domains, much less in others, and not everyone will like the distribution).

I mean, look where we are. We had 15 years to get ready for such an event since coronavirus of the 2000's — tons of reports and words of good will. “Guys, we're not ready for a massive outbreak!” — everybody and their Bill Gates said so! But alas, the political fantasy kept going and it's all been just words. It wasn't that hard to stockpile masks and various supplies for when the day comes...

It's a sad day in history when we must face the consequences of our choices, but it's like a cycle... We get too complacent and something slams us, again and again and again (give it 3-4 generations apart to "forget", it's as if written language doesn't exist).

I'm jaded at the irony of our collective behavior, and sad for all those who will suffer and leave. Hopefully this will be a painful but learning experience that will last. I'm sad to report that it almost exclusively takes real pain, real hurt for societies to learn anything meaningfully in the face of history, of evolution. So, here we are, destiny.
How do you buy a put option if you have zero savings and donate your income?
What is the proposed mechanism for the bond market popping here?
Not OP, but I’m guessing they were referring to the drastically higher costs involved in actually opening, diagnosing, and replacing a part in something as complex and intricate as an iPhone.

Since it will be prohibitively expensive to take your phone to a store and have someone actually do that (ie: repair it), instead the rule will amount to some complex and less-than-ideal alternative where you can turn in your phone and get a refurbished one instead...

They then “recycle” your old broken phone - ship it back somewhere with significantly cheaper labor (and less strict disposal regulations) where they do some very basic component harvesting (such as screens and storage for those refurbs) and then melt down or simply trash the rest.

In the end you still can’t actually repair your old device (and really, that’s often just an unrealistic expectation this day in time, they’re just too small and complex) and we’ve just institutionalized a wasteful system to make ourselves feel better.
I guess I don't read the parable as insisting that we have to keep the fence if we can't find the reason for it after due diligence. It simply doesn't try to speak to that case.
10+ years looks a bit extreme.

But the small amounts is a wise advice.
I am paranoid about the testing. Indian government doesn't seem to be handling this as well as the media or official report says. There is no mention of tourists from china/itlay present in my town a few days ago and taken away by the authorities after someone complaint.

Total number of tests are too low when you factor in the population size. The airport measures were initially blanket statements and people were coming home without any tests that should have been done at the airport. The healthcare system is already jammed and there is an unusual amount of unidentified deaths (pneumonia deaths increased locally).

Testing facilities are lacking. Even though, there should be 53 facilities across country. Most of the tests are sent to a few only especially pune which makes me wonder if that's also just a useless number.

People are bathing in cow dung, drinking cow urine, selling herbal tea, politicians and health officers even repeating the same. Holi was supposed to be banned but here, locally THAT DIDN'T HAPPEN but in newspaper, it wasall over that it did. Weddings, large gatherings are still happening. No one is taking any precautions. Convincing my family to do anything gets me yelling because they won't listen.

And given the history of Indian government tackling such issues, I feel even more worried. Most statistics for deaths are severely underreported and for this, they will underreport the underreported. There is also swine and bird flu to deal with.

I am surprised there is no internet ban to curb the "panic".

0] https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/03/09/hindu-nationalists-magi...

1] https://youtu.be/_QzKbMF7Kz0

2] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6022378/
Just ordered !
My goodness.

I transferred most of my retirement savings out of stocks in early March, realizing a 9% loss. The market had a little upswing that day, so that worked out as well as possible for me, considering.

I was hearing advice from an acquaintance to just "ride it out".... yeah, no. After hearing about the inadequate testing and other half-measures taken by the Administration, I was convinced it would get much worse before it got better.

I had thought about cashing out on January 31st, because I figured Brexit would trigger an Europe-wide recession, which would lead into a worldwide recession. But I didn't get around to that (lazy).
The trouble is that pretty much all of the data is garbage quality, and if you feed garbage into a computer you of course just get garbage out. The figures from Wuhan are particularly bad, probably just a function of their testing ramp-up until well after the peak, and the ones from Italy might not be much better. (The other problem is that China has taken the position that their numbers are an exact description of reality and their approach is a model for the rest of the world to follow, basically for domestic political reasons, and the WHO seems to be eagerly regurgitating this to the many people who'll listen.)
The problem is, exponential for how long?
For instance, all seems to indicate measures in Italy are taken too late: and the exponential growth is still happening there (almost 3 weeks after the problem started)

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
%matplotlib inline

it = pd.read_json('https://raw.githubusercontent.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/master/dati-json/dpc-covid19-ita-andamento-nazionale.json',
convert_dates=True).set_index('data')
plt.plot(it[['deceduti', 'totale_casi']])
plt.xticks(it.index.values, rotation=90);
Smart approach.

Pay attention to unwind it before April please IF it is short duration. Mainly sharing since you state you donate your income (much applauded!). There will be a sharp short slaughter rally in April, but then dropping off a cliff.... (do own due diligence). If you have a put into summer you're fine.
For now. In business, people deciding on the very weak data basis we have to discuss we have, would rightfully be have their asses kicked. Yet, here we are, doing exactly this.
People seem to ignore the relative success of South Korea. Wouldn't say life is normal, but it's not under lockdown and new cases have dramatically fallen.

If I had cash lying around or was less skittish about leveraging myself, I'd be buying here.
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This is blatanly false.

> there isn't anything governments can do about it.

Banning public events, locking down geographical areas, closing schools, pulling in retired medical workforce etc.

> doesn't mean that that something is meaningful or will have a positive impact

You can see the impact of measures such as enforcing lockdowns (e.g. Wuhan cases) and you can compare the spread of the virus in countries which take measures vs those that do not.
Hi all, it appears that Slack has upgraded our plan so we are not faced with the 10,000 message horizon issue.

We're extremely grateful to Slack for the rapid response.

I would edit the post but I cannot any longer.
I have both a Magic Leap One and a HoloLens 1. I've done work on both. I also have every major VR headset, which I have also written software for each. I've been working in AR for about 10 years, and VR for almost 6.

And honestly, with the latest OS updates, the HoloLens 1, even today, is still the better device. You can compare specs on a sheet of paper all day long, but there are fundamental flaws in the Magic Leap hardware and software that prevent it from being a good user experience. The HoloLens, on the other hand, is just old.

Magic Leap's battery/compute pack turned out to not give it an appreciably longer battery life, while also making the device uncomfortable, as the cable constantly tugs on the back of your head. The HoloLens isn't comfortable, either, but that's mostly because the vast majority of people completely ignored the little, rubber strap that came in the case that you attach across your to take the bulk of the weight of the device.

The WiFi and Bluetooth an my ML are constantly failing. I've used three different units and have had the same experience on all of them.

The controller constantly loses tracking. It uses magnetic tracking and it just doesn't do well. Also, the sensor is on the right side of the headset, and it is legitimately worse to use the controller in your left hand. It's also way too complicated for just-a-pointer, while not being complicated enough for a bespoke user input device. HoloLens has a clicker instead. It's superfluous, but it does the job and doesn't fail.

The hand tracking is too broken to actually use. HoloLens' hand tracking isn't anything to write home about, but I've never encountered it doing something blatantly wrong. It's just slow. Magic Leap's is similarly slow and often wrong.

This goes hand-in-hand with the ML SDK being poorly documented and rather incomplete. One way HoloLens gets around its rather limited user input capability is by giving you voice recognition out of the box. And in writing software, it's incredibly easy to setup. It's also relatively easy (though takes some thoughful design) to create a speech-based UI that works reliably. Magic Leap, on the other hand, talks about how great it would be to have speech-recognition, but offers nothing in their 1st-party demos to demonstrate it and nothing in their SDK to implement it.

The operating system on ML is a hacked-up Android system. I'm sooooo over trying to do 3D graphics on Android systems. All the standalone VR headsets are also a gigantic pain for developing software. If you've ever developed software for the HoloLens, it's a joy in comparison.

And Microsoft did a lot to make 2D applications an integral, usable, and useful part of Windows Holographic. While Magic Leap has its own version of that feature, they bury the documentation and don't provide any good samples. Whereas, on HoloLens, you can basically run any pure UWP app, whether it was made for the HoloLens or not.
The artist describes this piece as "The final part to my pointless trilogy" and links to these works in the comments:

Still Life
https://codepen.io/ivorjetski/pen/xMJoYO

Portrait
https://codepen.io/ivorjetski/pen/dBYWWZ
It's well-known Apple has been moving towards a "net cash neutral" position for years, which is done with dividends or buy backs.

Both return capital to share holders but dividends yields a negative impact to their Market Value since it's dispensing their profits outside of the company.

AAPL is currently valued at a 20.38 P/E ratio, the lowest of all FAANG stocks, hardly overvalued.
Does this bode well for the private equity technology sector? Intuitively it would seem that people will be looking for different investment vehicles, and here we are in startup land already working remotely, ahead of the curve. Of course the risk is higher and it could be wishful thinking.
German stock market suddenly fell another 3 percent within a few minutes. I wonder if that was triggered by the circuit breaker in the US with traders trying to sell on other market places.
So the people who are living the life in the developing world are the ones who should take they pay hit because you want to socialise with hipsters?

Also, why must you move 'there'? I understand that my life is more expensive where I live than it is in the developing world, but I get a in return for living here. I wouldn't find it fair if a remote colleague made less money than I do just because of them living somewhere else.
In what way was the Apple watch innovative over the Pebble?

Edit: I realize that might be very direct, I have no knowledge of the smart watch market, only remember that Pebble seemed to be first in the space.
Good luck getting them off China.
I don't think it makes sense for there to be such a thing as a bear market. If everybody knows that it's going to go down, then they will sell until the price drops to about the place where they expect it to eventually hit. That's what a crash is. The final price after the crash is the price at which the market is split between "it will go up" and "it will go down." If the bears and the bulls had any other proportion than 50/50 then the price would go up or down until the bears and bulls changed teams back to 50/50. The only thing that's guaranteed about stocks is that the average person is always uncertain.
Yeah the last day (12th) indicates that it is exponential.

But if you look at the curve before that, it gave indication that the growth rate was slowing down.

Let's see what tomorrow brings.
This is a mantra repeated by everyone in the field but what about if I have been in the stock market for 10+ years and I wanted to get out in the next month for my retirement? Sure, maybe I have gained something anyway but between this periodic crashes and the commission fees everybody applies looks likr the real winners are just the bankers
Why would one buy the dip when momentum is heavy downside (long term)? April will most likely be a short slaughter, sure, but after that very unpredictable.
also recommend a strong understanding of SQL ( https://training-nyc.com/learn/sql/why-learn-sql )
Yes, absolutely, but must people will misunderstand "speeding up" as increasing rate of rotation, which is why it's useful to clarify.
If you thought "cold boot attacks" were a problem with DDR, using memory that still holds data 50 years later might be an issue.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_boot_attack
Perfect.

Thank you. I really like it :)
In many cases, you'd be working without a work visa. Of course, many people do it and get off with it. But there are occasional crackdowns. [1] Perhaps more to the point, as the sibling comment asks, "Whose promise?" GitLab explicitly requires you to obtain permission from your manager before moving elsewhere for an extended period. [2]

[1] https://www.chiangmaicitylife.com/citynews/general/immigrati...

[2] https://about.gitlab.com/handbook/people-group/global-compen...
Shutting down borders helps if the virus hasn't reached your country.

If it has, there's no point in banning incoming people (maybe you can stop people from leaving so other regions don't get infected, but that's a less strong incentive). If you already have the virus in your country, the best thing you can do is slow its spreading, by banning large groups of people from congregating.
I expect that it will, quite severely.

Plus there's already tales of paranoid anti-government people shooting at, assaulting, or killing census workers. That's going to get worse this year, I feel.

EDIT: I am not saying that all anti-government people are paranoid. Nor that all anti-government people are murderous, or mentally ill.
Yes - in OPML and JSON.
No, but companies must have some value greater than zero since they generate future cash flows.
Meanwhile people about to retire are watching their retirement funds evaporate.
The Coronavirus Could Spark a Humanitarian Disaster in Jails and Prisons
usage defines language not the other way around

Like it or not, "crypto" now means cryptocurrency, and "cryptography" means cryptography
Apple is a bad example. They took out that pile of debt primarily to avoid repatriation costs as they sought to return some capital to shareholders. It made perfect financial sense and it was not a manipulation of the market. They could reasonably afford to do it and it posed almost zero risk to the business.

Shareholders were clearly happy with receiving slightly less capital (that which will be lost to debt costs) in exchange for receiving it sooner. That is not a bad exchange, so long as the debt cost is not steep.

Apple can trivially afford their low-cost debt, both out of their extreme cashflow and their cash hoard.
On the contrary, there are many people who consider using obscenities to be praiseworthy or even obligatory under certain circumstances. Generally they belong to social classes that you evidently have carefully avoided having any experience with.

The ideological line you're laying down here is a specifically upper-class ideology, as revealed by its content, not just the words you use. Your lack of awareness of the origin of that ideology comes from does not liberate you from that origin; on the contrary, it enslaves you to it, making you an instrument of agendas you do not understand and cannot question. Please see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22551881
They might be, but hopefully they realized that you need to change your composition as you get closer to retirement.
It's legitimately hard to talk about this without bashing the current administration.
Coronavirus Cluster from Mexico Cruise Ship Grows; New Case in Alameda County
Coronavirus News Clustered Chronologically
factroot.com is clustering all coronavirus news chronologically.

It was developed in a short time frame, using rather simple NLP techniques (Not a NLP expert). I did not find much high quality news chronological clustering, out there. I do like it's clustering and usefulness for serious readers, through some more improvements will be needed.

Please feel free to critique or suggest improvements.
www.factroot.com
I'm sure they have just as many cases as we do here in the US, where we're extremely diligent about testing. History will prove you correct.
Deal with the pandemic. People won't invest again until they feel safe. That doesn't mean tax cuts or propping up shale oil companies. It means getting the deadly disease under some semblance of control.
In a bull market, every explanation seems right. In a bear market every explanation turned out wrong.
How to Launch an Advanced Direct Marketing Campaign with Marketo Mail
updated, sorry.
Interesting. Where can I learn more about this hypothesis?
In three weeks we're having an Extinction Rebellion Exhibition next to our local grocery store where we sell cakes and cookies and show how much the local fauna and flora has suffered in the last 50 years. We will also feature a list of five local species that have gone extinct in the last 20 years.

We try to keep it 'local' so people realize that it actually concerns them.
Looks like the last commit was in April of 2019.

EDIT: There's a giant V2 branch with newer updates and updated links to their new community. I am not sure they realize how dead the project looks with no commits to master since 2019 and Google+ links on their homepage and readme.
Ask HN: Should not we control spread of Covid 19 news on social media?
IMHO spreading fake COVID 19 news on social media is creating more panic than coronavirus itself. Should not we raise voice and concern on it.
The German perspective is, that their hospital system, especially regarding infections and diseases, is the best practice everyone should follow.
A number of watch stores in my area won't replace a battery in any watch. It's not because they're not able, it's because they've been burned by people who claim that the store ruined an expensive watch while changing the battery.

It's a liability issue, not a capability issue.
Your next, I'll follow
The reason they perceive it to be offensive is that they are unconsciously enacting a dynamic of class domination that they cannot even question due to their lack of awareness, as further explained in https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22551881
So is it because the earths' density is moving away from it's center? Like when you're spinning and you tighten up?
A local restaurant had their menu redone in React! Not just React, but React done badly. Click on "Lunch Menu", say, and literally nothing changes for 30 seconds. Then the new page appears. I took a while to realise it wasn't completely broken. God knows how much they paid for it. It's awful.

Edit: I should add, this reactivity serves no purpose. It's a sit down restaurant. You can't order electronically.
The swine flu in 2009/2019 was a worldwide h1n1 pandemic that killed 150k to 500k depending on who you ask/how you count.

The h1n1 prior to that was the 1918 one that killed 500M people.
I'd really hope that people about to retire don't have a significant amount of their investments in equities...
No.
Whiteboard is not essential.
It is NOT inseparable form teamwork.
That is just one possible tool.
Maybe the only way you know perhaps?
If you must use it because that's the only way you know for collaboration then look around for better ones than the ones you know. There are physical ones connected to net (practically a huge touchscreen on legs), or there is this novel concept called tablets, those usually come with online connection too, spectacular, eh?!
Alternatively you may use the traditional whiteboards to brainstorm about remote whiteboards. ; )
That's what I'm saying. I see too many people get too mechanical about it when they would be better off making adjustments on significant news.

If you don't see some sudden positive in the next quarter, there's no reason to buy in now.
You should have been buying bonds in larger amounts over the past years. Any target date retirement plan is doing that for you, because you are targeting a % of your portfolio in bonds/stocks you are probably buying more stocks than bonds now to get into balance. If you are self managed and haven't been doing that - well too bad, delay your retirement.

Note that even if you are retired you should still have some stocks as a hedge against your retirement having more than a year left before you die.
> “We were ground zero and you have 2500 people walking out — right now in Sacramento, up in the foothills, whatever that might be carriers,” she said. “What is going on…Just for my sanity (I would like to be tested) because I don’t know if I’m a carrier or not.”
A bottom always exists. It is zero. There is no top however.
Maybe cultural. One of the reasons I love working with the Dutch is their calm professional approach to things. Not the worst trait to have in times of crisis.