skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
30% returns on chump change is still chump change, but if you already have a yacht, 30% returns will allow you to gold-plate it.

It's far more likely that those financial geniuses are just not worried about retirement or college tuition for their kids. Because the strongest correlating factor for getting richer is already being rich, and not being smart with money.

The real question is... why aren't all yachts now gold-plated yachts? If my father gave me $1 billion 40 years ago, I would have to be literally the dumbest idiot in the world--or the unluckiest schliemazel in the world--to have less than that now. Instead, I just got a debt-free bachelor's degree, and so I'm not rich now, but still doing okay.
Wacom tablet? Or even just a plain cheap tablet+stylus.
Co-founder here - we'll be happy to add this in the future like Ivo already said. If it is something that many people want, we'll add it sooner. It will be really helpful if you could submit a feature request issue on our github - https://github.com/getapid/apid-cli/issues/new/choose
Url changed from https://news.bloomberglaw.com/ip-law/ibm-sues-airbnb-for-pat... to one that isn't hardwalled, even though all it does is summarize this one. Is there a URL to another, fuller article?
The argument would be that there's too much savings chasing too few investment opportunities. That causes investment to become speculation with periodical bubbles that do nothing to direct investment into productive areas.

The thing is, there is so much opportunities with long-term pay-off. E.g. high speed rail, transitioning to renewable energy, research into new technologies, etc. they just seem to lack political/societal (or generational...) will?

If the FED or EZB starts buying stocks like the BOJ, like some economists already propose, I'll see that as direct transfer to retirement savings btw. and further encouraging misdirected investment, especially if there is even a notion of doing it for propping up the stock market and not to increase inflation. Needless to say, I'd be very angry about that.
I couldn't agree more. In the next week, we'll see flights canceled to and from most countries in Europe anyway, so this is a cheap attempt to point the finger at Europe, and away at this administration.
A Guarded Generation: How Millennials View Money and Investing
If they were competing markets and the demand transferred sure that would make sense to see that dynamic. But it is common cause in this case and it doesn't privledge Cryptocurrency as it is a delivery and demand issue.
A recession will depress oil prices all by itself. Plus dramatic reduction in air travel and now people teleworking (reduction in domestic fuel consumption). China has reduced output a lot, restricted movement (work from home), and exported less stuff, meaning less shipping and train oil consumption the world over.
Hi,

I'm interested in responding to your comment.

>Not to be overly dismissive, but my first impression is that you have a bunch of devs finding something interesting and wanting to follow along rather than a key cohort of people who will "disrupt covid-19."

The group was founded with the intention of coordinating mechanical engineers and medical clinicians to build physical devices.

For the developers and engineers coming in, most state they have considerable mechanical or device background. It's possible that the value of some of these people is low. I don’t think so. I'm not willing to have to pay the admin costs and externalities of gatekeeping access right now.

To be clear, I think we're conscious of the challenges and ways we can fail. In actively figuring out designs or devices to build, we're trying to organize hundreds of disparate people. One of our admins seemed to just have pulled a 24 hour day, and most of us have regular jobs. I think there's an underlying assumption that we only have a short period of time. We may fail but we want to give the best effort we can.

I agree with your premise, that engineering help alone is insufficient. We have a dozen doctors who trickled in but a major deficit is medical clinicians with organized opinion to advise us. These people may become fewer and less available in the weeks to come.

NOTE
Please contact us (email in profile) if you are a clinician who has insights in what is needed in a situation where there is a vast surplus of patients in respiratory distress, or other ways we can help (e.g. we have heard requests for PPE needs from clinicians). Note that one reason we need multiple opinions is because of the different cultures and organizations that might exist in emergency environments.

>If you have hundreds of members, why not ask each for a couple of dollars to cover slack costs?

I’m not uncomfortable raising money, but right now, the organizational demands are extreme. I'm unwilling to add to this by having some sort of finance committee and managing the ethics and optics of raising money.

Also, narrative is important and raising say, X dollars for operations could affect efforts to raise 100X dollars to actually build medical devices to alleviate suffering or reduce the burden on clinicians.

>I don't see why Slack should pay for a bunch of people to use their platform. They are in the business of making money, and offer reduced costs for non-profits. If that doesn't work for you, use something else.

There's significant costs Slack incurs to engineer and build its services. We're grateful for this.

However, the marginal cost to slack from our existence and activities seems to be about the same as this discussion is to HN.

> Or use a different platform. Or self host something else.

I'm not sure there's a lock in effect, but given our presumption of urgency, we couldn't migrate without losing many hours of everyone's time, admin resources, etc. The culture here among engineers seems to prefer Slack and I expect there would be abundant residual effects from a change.

Charles He
I’ve been working from home since 2006. I learned a lot in that time. I wrote up a bit about what has helped me, maybe it can help you or others - https://accidentaltechnologist.com/remote-work/10-steps-to-s...
Something Weird Is Happening on Wall Street, and Not Just the Stock Sell-Off
Sorry! It's the opposite for me. What is incredible is having access to Google and 4 days worth of reading material, people(non-experts) want to weigh in on everything from geopolitics, to how to run healthcare institutions, or what the federal bank should do.

If you are an expert in anything watching this play out everyday has become a gigantic nuisance and a distraction. Not because it matters what the herd is debating but because of the effect it has on leaders, decision makers etc. It piles pressure on them to waste time/resources/energy reacting to the herd.

Even with the info explosion the educated herd is as dumb as it has ever been, probably dumber, for the simple fact there is always more info than whatever you hear on the news or can read up in 2 weeks.

As if the educated herd made a diff to the election of Trump or Brexit. Some people argue the response is evolving with each crisis. I haven't seen any evidence of that.
They shut the land border with China pretty early on, that's when I realised that things were pretty serious in Wuhan and in China as a whole.
You can hide behind "I lack the legal authority" or you can act. This is one of the rare occasions that absolutely do call for the old "ask for forgiveness" mentality. Nobody in the lower tiers would complain about central government to take a very difficult decision off their plate. (some people will complain, those who still think they can just pretend that the epidemic does not happen, but they will complain anyways)
> for reasons they can't explain

Well I think they know why (vc funding, concentration of talent, etc), they just can't explain why you as an individual would want that.
The biggest sign mentioned in the article is the insane number of tweets since the inception of the account - surely this must set off some alerts on Twitter's backend?

I know that this is an extremely difficult problem to solve and that they probably ban accounts in waves but with something as obvious as this you'd think that the ban could/should come more swiftly...
They couldn't impeach Trump.

So they released corona virus on the world.

China concealed and ignored it for 30 to 60 days to give the virus the head start it needed to become a global pandemic.

All so socialists, communists and the left would have an excuse to push impeachment 2.0
Independent headsets are getting good enough that all the computational power can fit on your head. Getting rid of the PC is just the natural progression of hardware like this.
What are you suggesting exactly? Do you want them to delete "alarmist" posts? That sounds like a recipe for a total collapse in trust in public institutions.
Still the same eon, though.

Life is old. The time between stegosaurus's day and T. rex's is longer that between T. rex's and today.
Why? "cryptos" only refers to cryptocurrencies since nobody says cryptographies.
It's only hard to tell if you don't talk to the developers who were working in the late 90s.
I think you have it backwards. Days are getting longer. So assuming tidal lock with Sun in the future which means 1 year = 1 day (1 revolution per year). So how long until 1 day becomes 365 days long. Assuming the 30min per 70M years is linear, this would take 1.2 Trillion years.

Somebody double check this please. ;) Also, the Sun will only last for another 4B years.
This comment didn't age well.
Researcher warns new coronavirus may cause testicular damage
so isnt it bad to manipulate a free market? I know China gets beaten up about it all the time.
retirements these days can last 20+ years (65 => 85 or earlier if wealthy). Federal Reserve mandate means your money loses significant value every year if stuck in a savings account. i am not aware of savings accounts paying 3%+, even bonds don't return that YoY. yes you may "avoid" losing 20-30% in one year, but those tend to come back quickly; with risk averse investments you're just stemming losses, not breaking even.

also see cFIREsim for an idea of the math: you're basically guaranteed to run out of money if you try to park in safe havens and you end up living a fair bit after you retire.
The term 'dollar-cost-averaging' is used ambiguously. Sometimes it refers to intentionally delaying purchasing compared to a lump sum, in order to spread the purchase out. That's what the paper you're linking to is talking about.

However, what retail investors should be doing is investing some fraction of their paycheck each pay cycle, or something like that. That's not the same thing. There is no lump sum at their disposal to invest - they're investing as soon as they have the money. What they're not doing is saving up cash and trying to buy the dips in lump sums, which I think most would agree is a bad idea.

So they're both investing as soon as they have the money available, and they're benefiting from the averaging, which you may or may not call 'dollar cost averaging'. It seems ideal to me, and this is what I think the comment you're replying to is referring to.
Tax guy. I second this comment. It makes a huge difference for the non programmers how this is done from both an employee cash flow and tax perspective.

At my previous job, I was asked to go to an international networking event in Europe. The firm would have reimbursed my expenses. I was prepared to go until I discovered that the trip would cost $22,000. The firm wasn't quick enough with reimbursements for me to justify paying for it upfront, so I had to pass.
No it was not a crisis. There were plenty of bugs in legacy systems that needed to be fixed, but legacy systems have bugs all the time, for example when the dates for daylight savings time changed. The general public was not well informed and also generally didn't have a software background to understand the problem.
Steps to Survive Working from Home
From the second paragraph of the Wikipedia article you linked:

> In modern vernacular usage, however, begging the question is often used to mean "raising the question" or "suggesting the question".
You know who's not propagating climate crisis hysteria just to secure a lifetime paycheck? The Exxon climate scientists of the 1970s.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ExxonMobil_climate_change_cont...

> In July 1977, a senior scientist of Exxon James Black reported to company's executives that there was a general scientific agreement at that time that the burning of fossil fuels was the most likely manner in which mankind was influencing global climate change

Take it from the horse's mouth; these guys had no reason to propagate some kind of hoax, quite the opposite. We've known that since the 1970s that climate change is the likely outcome.

And you know what; climate change has arrived and - surprise! - it's a climate crisis!

According to IPCC 2018, we're CURRENTLY between +0.75 and +1.25°C, with the very real possibility of reaching +2°C by the 2040. These are undeniable facts.

So, the people that have been warning us for 50 years were .. actually correct. Who would have thought that science could work!
Leveraged financial instruments can create a negative bottom. Don't assume anything magical about zero.
Coronavirus will shrink the global economy, 'Dr. Doom' economist warns
It is always a matter of how they are programmed. And no, I am not drunk.

Thanks for registering yourself to make such constructive remarks.
"incredibly smart dude"

He is an average engineer at best, we smart people get real jobs.
Yeah, so...

Why the downvotes?
Another sign is if they accidentally repeat themselves. It shows it could be a bot account
Would you please stop posting sensational stories like this? HN is for intellectual curiosity.
There is some deep truth in your comment, however simple it may seem.

Joe Kennedy, a famous rich investor in the 1930's, exited the stock market in timely fashion after a shoeshine boy gave him some stock tips. He figured that when the shoeshine boys have tips, the market is too popular for its own good.

In general the public consensus seems to be always one step behind after the developments on the stock market.
It might actually make sense to do exactly the opposite of what everybody is advising.
I've also found myself musing on a similar question, but one where you may have a different temporal perspective at this particular moment: In six months, are we going to collectively believe that the Coronavirus was nothing and we massively overreacted to it? Because if we do react strongly, and it does largely contain the virus, that will also be "proof" (quote-unquote) that it wasn't anything we needed to be so proactive about in the first place.

Unsurprisingly, humans are not good at accounting for black swan events, and even less so for averted ones.
I've been working remotely for almost 4 years.

- As others have mentioned, wake up on routine. Shower, get dressed, make your coffee, etc., and aim to do this at the same time every day. My wife works 2 days from home and the nights before we tend to stay up a lot later -- it really throws off the rhythm and it's better to not do that.

- Many people have said to make the office space a space you don't go in the rest of your time. For me, that's not an option, since it's the only space I have for my gaming computer and for doing personal work. To cope with this, I change up my office. I have a Bamboo standing desk, so I'll stand while working most of the time and sit while playing games and relaxing. I also use a different keyboard/mouse for the two, which helps to draw that distinction.

- Many have mentioned to avoid distractions, and find something to do in your office when you are struggling with a task, like write on a whiteboard. This is really important and somewhere I still need to improve on. When I get distracted or stuck on a task and need to get away from it for a while, my goto is a snack or a youtube video -- the latter is something you wouldn't really be able to do at work. That being said, a LOT of time is wasted in the office with casual chit-chat, which is it's own coping mechanism. It's important to take breaks just keep it under control.

- I get scolded for checking slack after work by the wife. She's right (as others have mentioned). Have a time where you cut it off otherwise you'll never feel like you're not working.
Shiller P/E ratio is 24.2 today, which is ... slightly below the level of 2006 before the last recession started (25.6 in 2006.3).

Frankly I won't be surprised even if S&P loses more than 30% from the current price. It is simply not a unthinkable scenario, considering that the historical median of S&P500 P/E is around 16.

* https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe
Lasers can be reflected. Best target the cameras, because their photosensitive chips are actually quite sensitive and you would have solved two problems at once.

I don't think that technological feasibility implies broad use. That would be pretty terrible with a lot of technologies.

I could permanetely X-ray your house for example. Aside from advances in image recognition which I think largely is due to the available data, the main factor for camera surveillance will become a problem is that high quality cameras have become that cheap.
Thanks.

Do you think it would be useful to have had AR glasses to do this while walking down the street?

World Lens was free on Google Glasses, there are almost no reviews though, here's one of the few not ads -

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qQ_QWPyDgYk
I'm calling uBO temporary because adTech is evolving to evade adBlockers (in-domain tracking and ad obfuscation).
Surfing the web is a nightmare for the average user, and the tech industry barely notices. The web has an unsustainable business model, and we need to address the issue.
There were parts of our telecom infrastructure that weren't ready but got fixed before y2k. A certain mobile phone switching vendor (think cell towers, etc.) ran tests a year before to see what happened when it rolled over and the whole mobile network shut down (got in a wedged state where calls would fail, no new calls, signalling died). They fixed it and got customers upgraded in time.
I agree. Originally SPIR (without a V) was just a 1:1 copy of LLVM IR with no commitment to backwards compatibility. Every time LLVM IR changed SPIR had to change as well. This lead to two major versions of SPIR. Clearly this is not a sustainable solution. Implementing several versions of the same IR is a huge support burden for almost no benefit. Now we have the successor SPIR-V which is no longer tied to LLVM IR. Anyone can implement SPIR-V support without LLVM. There is no excuse to not use it. It's basically the same story with WebAssembly. LLVM IR wasn't good enough so someone had to actually do it properly this time.
It really reads like that doesn't it? If you were from the future this wouldn't be a bad way to share that information.
For those new to a tough economy, here's my story from 2008:

I was laid off from the digital agency I worked at. I had been trying to find a new job for a while but no one was hiring at the income I needed to pay the mortgage on the house I just bought.

So, I started my own digital agency. I tried to think of ways to make their model better/faster/cheaper. Better: I would routinely measure the impact of my work. Faster: I would do it myself, no teams slowing things down. Cheaper: I'd charge half of what my old company was charging.

The business grew considerably despite the economic tough times. Everyone was looking for great work at cheap rates and I was willing to work long hours (8am - 3am for a few months to get off the ground).

As the economy improved I hired a team, raised my rates and worked reasonable hours again. After 5 years it was a successful enough venture that I was able to sell the business.

It's possible to make a great living in a bad economy, but you need some luck, some skill and a lot of hard work in my experience.
Oh no, I meant I really felt the pain of people biting my style and that no one liked steeze biters in H.S.
Tweeting at 4-6am and 1-3pm NY time is pretty unusual, and showing up as a dead lawyer in the registry is another quirk. That said, while interesting, I don't know if this article has offered any practical advice. They essentially said, become a private investigator to find out if they are fake.
Then there are still some drugs in the pipeline which are proofen to be safe + helpful and only need official approval (if you trust China on that).
Watch it happen...

https://twitter.com/basiccomic/status/1099332074983641094
There are a lot of communities, from Reddit's /r/crypto to Freenode's ##crypto channel, which use the "crypto" shorthand for "cryptography" have been around for decades and in the past couple of years have been inundated with cryptocurrency obsession.

TL;DR - The main goal is: "Get off our lawn."
An even simpler and mostly equivalent formulation is the "your age in bonds" rule of thumb.
I think it is mostly required because trades are executed so quickly now by so many bots that it's possible for them to get into feedback loops that are hard to model. Stopping the market gives everyone a chance to decide what parameters to tweak before getting back at it.
Imagine that 1% of all software had an issue, across all of the economic tissue of the developed world. Now imagine that this software would start failing, all on January 1st 2000, everywhere around the world. Or better still, not failing, just silently corrupting data.

Just like the crisis we are currently facing in our health systems, it seems unlikely that we would have had enough IT resources to deal with the issues in real-time.

This is one of the cases of a "self-denying-prophecy", much like acid rain. There was an issue, we collectively dealt with it (better yet, we actually anticipated!), and now people are saying that in the end there was no issue.

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20190823-can-lessons-from...
A guide to starting a k-8 school in your home
Please email me, in my profile.
Here is the paragraph from the transcript (https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-pres...)

> There will be exemptions for Americans who have undergone appropriate screenings, and these prohibitions will not only apply to the tremendous amount of trade and cargo, but various other things as we get approval. Anything coming from Europe to the United States is what we are discussing. These restrictions will also not apply to the United Kingdom.

It reads a whole lot cleaner, i.e. like you would expect from a speech, if the statement about cargo was intended to say it was not prohibited.

My best guess is honestly that it was meant to be "these prohibitions will not apply to the" instead of "these prohibitions will not only apply to the". Inserting an extra "only" is a pretty easy mistake to make when reading text out loud.
https://github.com/apple/darwin-xnu/blame/a449c6a3b8014d9406...

It's been there for 11 years in this repo. Along with DECnet. Suppose there's no real drive to remove it.
Excerpt:

The Principle of Least Action

[...]

At first glance, S seems like an arbitrary combination of energies. But it has one remarkable property.

It turns out that for all possible paths between x0 and x1, there is only one path that gives a stationary value of S. Moreover, that path is the one that nature always takes.
South Korea however did that one thing that the US is not doing: testing the hell out of people.

Oh, and communicating well-measured responsive actions honestly to the public. That one thing, too.
Only tweeting politics is a flag too; real humans have more than one interest.

Another indicator that's non-obvious is posting time distribution. Humans can't post 24h a day. But on the other hand if they're all in a 8h window, that person is posting from work - are these posts their job?
What Will You Do If You Start Coughing?
Please email me, in my profile.

Short answer: there's sort of a lock-in effect and we really have other needs right now.
I tell you a secret: if not traveling for a year means that even my grandfather with 91 lives a year longer, I'm on board.