skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I am Dr. Riciu Andrei, board certified dermatologist from Europe with a strong interest in infectious diseases and rookie web designer - please be kind :). I've been keeping a close eye on the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic since it only numbered a few cases in the Wuhan - Hubei province.

I remember reporting on a medical website I had back in 2011 about a Dutch Researcher that created a superinfluenza virus as a research project, that was hypothesized to be able to infect millions simply by combining five distinct natural mutations into one H5N1 strain. The times we live in right now aren't pretty much different (except this time the virus is not in a cell culture locked in some research facility). The emergence of SARS-COV-2 that has spread from animals to humans gave birth to a true pandemic in a matter of months.
The abundance of fake news and claims being spread over the internet as we speak generate a lot of panic and irrational behavior that obviously does more harm than good.

I managed to get a team of dedicated medical professionals, data scientists and programmers and we decided to create a resource website namely CoronaWiki dedicated to the new Coronavirus / SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in order to help as many people as we can gain access to reliable medical information ( documented sources) as well as statistics regarding the COVID-19 disease outbreak.

Our Sources

In our struggle to get the most accurate data possible, we're using literally over a hundred sources every day, including official government data and private trackers. The data is gathered both manually and automatically.

Please let us know what other new features you would like to see on the website. We are really keen on helping as much people as we can gain access to safe and reliable medical information in order to better fight this horrible outbreak.

https://www.coronawiki.org

Stay Safe! Dr. Riciu Andrei
> Is there a particular kind of asset, the collapse of which will seal this drop as a proper depression ?

That's a good question. Right now the market is reacting to on-the-ground realities. The follow-on question you are asking gets to: what will be the aftershocks?

The thing that I'm concerned about is the amount of risky business loans[1] that have been handed out in the past decade because rates were so low and mutual funds were looking for high returns. If a lot of businesses go bankrupt and that, in turn, puts the banking system at risk, then things would be ... bad.

[1] including businesses taking "no covenant" loans to—in some cases—pay their earlier investors dividends!
Consumer habits and psychology are going to be affected for years. We're going to see jobless rate skyrocket, small and large businesses defaulting left and right. Your tech job is definitely not safe either.
What do they do with all the homeless ?
ICE itself routinely breaks laws in trying to capture undocumented people. But to speak to your point directly, I would love to see immigration reform. Until then, I’ll absolutely keep speaking out against ICE. That’s not “virtue signaling”, it’s just advocating for a cause I care about.

Furthermore, basically everything Microsoft did that made developers hate them is legal. Why is it okay to hold a grudge for “embrace, extend, extinguish” but not for aiding and abetting an organization that consistently violates our civil liberties?
The terms "limit order" and "market order" are more than a little bit dated. A limit order is just an order to buy or sell at a specific price or better. It's like going on e-bay and bidding at a specific price, you may or may not get it if there is no one to sell at that price. A market order is to buy or sell right now at the market price no matter what. You may get a terrible price, but you will get the deal done.

So let's say you are looking to buy a stock. A limit order puts your bid price on the market and someone can come along and sell it to you at that price, but only after all the higher bids and all the bids at the same price that were entered before yours were executed.

The other option is to try to pay the asking price of someone who is trying to sell the stock. Let's say you see an ask at $80.00 and you are willing to pay that price so you put in a market order to buy. But someone could see your order and "front-run" you by buying up all the $80.00 asks and relisting at a higher price so you get stuck with it at that new higher price.

The safer option is to try to match that $80.00 ask with a limit order of your own at the same price, but there is a risk that it might not go through if someone beats you to it.
I think the responsible thing to do is limit yourself to minimal risk activities s.a jogging. You do not want to find yourself seeking medical care.
> This project collects usage data and sends it to Microsoft to help improve our products and services. See the privacy statement for more details

Telemetry to help your own products or Microsoft?
Are You Shipping Enough?
California has had this in place for a few weeks now: https://www.edd.ca.gov/about_edd/coronavirus-2019.htm
Banks can cover some things going wrong, sometimes, not everything going wrong at once.

Just takes one queue at a bank, few social media posts and next thing, all those branches have queues due to panic and end up with a self fulfilling prophecy so to speak.

Heck, if people can panic buy toilet roll, nothing is out of the reach of stupidity.
Italy MP being discriminated because of wearing mask
What is essential job?
Serologic tests that could reveal full scope of coronavirus outbreak
In my opinion, BRK shouldn't really be in the S&P 500 anyway. I don't get why a company that owns AAPL should be in an index that already owns AAPL.
PSA: No, wrong. It might not be the very best but it is absolutely not terrible. A cursory look at the correlation over time could have told you this.
That's a subjective political opinion of a far-left vocal minority. Not everyone has an issue with ICE (a federal law-enforcement agency that stops criminals and saves lives) nor finds a problem with a company legally providing services to the government.
Never thought of it that way, but you're right!
> "I have a hard time believing he'd go so far as to deny the world a vaccine for this"

It's hard to imagine anyone would think like that, but keep in mind that Trump sees everything as a zero-sum game. For him to win, others have to lose. If he's losing due to Corona, he assumes others are profiting from it somehow. That's probably where the hoax talk came from.

It's a bizarre and harmful way to view the world, but all evidence suggests that this is how he really thinks.
Won't this just delay the outbreak for three weeks?

It seems we're just trying to delay the inevitable.

And before you respond about how we're trying to slow exposure so medical services are available -- that would imply we're going to need to quarantines for a few weeks every few weeks for, what, a year? More? There's no way this action is sustainable.

This analysis suggests that actually flattening the curve would require us to slow this virus down over the course of a decade:

https://medium.com/@joschabach/flattening-the-curve-is-a-dea...
They'll be put in hotel rooms

Edit: https://www.sacbee.com/news/local/article241216061.html
The S&P 500 is down 30% since Coronavirus started [1], back to April 2017 levels [2], about three years worth of gains erased.

But this comes after a decade-long record bull run that's been begging for a 15% correction. Treasury yields were inverted a few months ago, last week bond prices got disjointed from their underlying assets, QE has been incessant since 2008, rates are at literal zero - the bull market was fake, propped-up and political; there is nasty sausage festering in the belly of our financial system and it's set to explode. Get ready for at least another 30% drop.

Or:

The internet is truly the greatest invention of all time. There is nothing more valuable than the exchange of ideas. We have only begun reaping its rewards. It will be responsible for another 100 year bull run of greater magnitude than the industrial revolution. Not only is innovation at record levels, but the pace of increase of innovation is at record levels. The bull run was not fake, P/E levels of the S&P are in line with historical averages [3]. We are taking Coronavirus very seriously and China has shown that you can "flatten the curve" when you do [4]. This will blow over in a few months and the economy will be right back to where it was. But the stock market is forward-looking and can recover in an instant, the buying opportunities are now.

[1] https://imgur.com/a/aq2yw70 (chart)

[2] https://imgur.com/a/EOWR4Kf (chart)

[3] https://imgur.com/R0zpJiP (chart)

[4] https://imgur.com/VTMOeh9 (chart)
Out of an abundance of caution I've just been leaving packages in my garage for a week before opening them.

If you have the space and can order stuff a week before you need it, I suggest this.
> Sometimes they know better, but there is a failing to ask the question: “what does it cost to only act on symptoms not causes”

I imagine hardware breaking is the cost -- but as long as an engineer's time is worth more than the hardware, that tradeoff will be made.
I expect far WORSE in a month or so which is the scary part here because it is questionable how many companies will survive this long period of salaries with zero demand even with emergency aid packages. By next month the infection rate is calculated to barely having plateaued yet, with exponential rate until then.

I worry this will go so far that it’ll take a very long time for worldwide business to heal due to layoffs and wrecked personal finances killing demand even when we’re past the corona spike, and by then weapons like Fed’s lowered rates will have already been used.

I wouldn’t be surprised if we’re leaving this year with a -50% stock market value and 5-10 years for everything to get back to speed and valuation like it were.

It’s not even uncommon advice to not be heavily into the stock market if you have less than a >7 year savings horizon for these reasons.
Zorg from 5th Element might be a more familiar 'parable', with a cherry on top:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SnzzWGcdMqY
Do not buy and hold leveraged ETFs interday. Buy puts if you want.
That's the compromise: An idealized UBI would allow folks to live without working if they so choose. You might need to be slightly frugal, but you'd have normal things (phone, internet, car, etc). Most folks simply would keep working, though. It would allow folks to retire on their own terms and stop working for sickness if they choose.
Yes, this was what I had in mind when I made this comment.

We would be screwed, IMHO, based on the current mitigation strategies around curve flattening that are not being communicated realistically to the public. The crop of shutdowns over the weekend were billed as 2-3 weeks.. Err, what? How are we even going to know what effect that's having without massive blanket testing? Then, nobody seems to believe anything less than 8 weeks is enough; and that's full-blown lock-down not fractions of half measures.

But as you say, the just spreads it out. So what happens in 8 weeks when we still can't let up the restrictions because if we did that the number of cases would just explode again among the uninfected population? If we aren't turning the corner by June and getting the 40% of adults who can't afford $400 in an emergency back to work..

I'm sympathetic to the UKs strategy and hope the best for them.
This is a 2018 screenshot I took: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DoEPgo2V4AA4Ql5?format=jpg&name=...

Your mileage may vary on any given month, as Google frontend code seems to come and go regularly and randomly, indeed varying by platform, OS, and lunar cycle.
I've never used WPF, but I've done alot of UWP, and from the code samples I've run into for WPF while searching for UWP solutions, UWP feels like it is pretty much the same thing as WPF, with a few namespaces or classes missing. I can look at WPF code, and easily copy+paste or translate it to UWP with minimal effort.
First, if you are driving and wondering why people are flashing their lights at you at dusk or at night, check to see whether you have left your own lights turned off in the dark. Getting people to do that would be the low hanging fruit here.
A new computer chip mimics the neurocircuitry of our noses to smell
In Europe countries are bounded by language, people don't travel cross country nearly as much as people travel cross state in the US.
TypeOfNaN JavaScript Quizzes
If anyone could predict the stock market they wouldn’t be telling you.
They are obviously exempt.
Scientists Accidentally Discovered a New State of Matter
Not all of them.

https://streetlifesolutions.blogspot.com/
Paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s42256-020-0159-4
I have puts on a bunch of stocks that target the 52 week low or 10-15% below that in ~3 months. So far that strategy has been wildly profitable. There have been tons of stocks that doubled or tripled in value in 2019, no way that is a realistic price in the next 2-3 years.
I think I just broke it by submitting it with empty fields...
a service like paypal would not have helped in a (dramatic) example like the hypothetical jew in nazi germany. the nazis would have given paypal a list of known jews and told them to freeze their accounts if they wanted to continue doing business in germany.
About 10-20% of people need a hospital bed and we have concurrent beds for about a hundredth of that.
The S&P500, the best general index, closed at 2386 today. It's risen over 300% since the last crash, the GFC in 2007. It's been an extraordinarily lengthy bull run, and well overdue fo a crash.

Before the GFC the index was 1550, and after it was ~760 (~50% drop)

At the peak of the dotcom boom it was generally under 1500.
In 2002 after that crash it was 800. (45% drop)

The recent peak was ~3380. A 50% drop is ~1700, which is almost 30% below where we ended today.

The question to ask yourself is how does this collapse compare to the dotcom collapse and the GFC?

The dotcom collapse affected internet businesses and was contagious (sorry) from there.

The GFC start with banks and finance and was contagious from there.

This starts with pretty much every industry, and has immediate impacts on supply and demand. It's going to be very ugly.
If someone takes away my ability to see while driving, I become a danger to others, and those I am responsible for.

My concern is to mitigate this danger.
Sorry to single you out, but the stock market usually trades in anticipation of recessions. It's not a proxy for the current GDP, it's an expectations market. The stock market could start a slow rise tomorrow and go until the end of the year and the entire year could be in a recession.
Good for you. However, the general sentiment doesn't seem to behave the same way. I haven't noticed a mass Github exodus at all, aside from some people on the internet being vocal about it for the first month after the Github acquisition. Same with VSCode.

I realize this is just pure anecdata and not a legitimately researched observation, but I don't know a single dev in real life who either switched away from Github or VSCode due to those concerns, despite having a wide variety of dev friends from all kinds of backgrounds, including big tech devs, non-tech company devs, fully remote devs, self-taught devs, small startup devs, outside of the US devs, freelancer devs, etc.
That didn't go well for Seattle.

https://q13fox.com/2020/03/13/king-county-changes-policy-for...

Edit: Not sure why adding information to the discussion is being downvoted - I didn't even convey an opinion. Maybe this is a sign that HN is now Reddit 2.

This is my last post here. Heading to Wikipedia, where at least facts are appreciated. Hope the like-minded ones join me.
People are interested in the content. No need for HN to start filtering because the blog service. You can avoid the site if you want.
It does.

https://aws.amazon.com/about-aws/whats-new/2019/07/session-m...
Most (all that I am aware of) health facilities here in Toronto will charge you before you get service unless you can prove you have coverage in the province. So yes Americans who are visiting will be charged for health services.
I couldn't find the exact line from the citation in the pdf[1], but I assume "Accounting" means financial accounting ("For example, when you purchase apps from the Play Store or products from the Google Store."), which is a legal obligation?

[1] https://policies.google.com/technologies/retention#purpose-f...)
Assuming I already have a guitar, bass and electric piano (with midi) how much would I have to spend on bits and pieces to do something similar. I have a couple of low spec windows laptops so might well need a new machine as well?

Guess the main costs would be the digital interface and software plus a new computer maybe (does it really gave to be a mac!!)
WPF, broken?!?

I had the pleasure to work it during 5 years.

Qt is also no walk into the park with multiple iterations of the UI scripting language, unclear roadmap of QML vs C++ based widgets, bugs left years unfixed for mobile platforms since they decided to pivot into IoT (aka Devices), the whole non standard C++ macros, and several other issues.
Show HN: Hadlock – X window manager written in rust
The distinction serves a real and practical purpose, as mentioned in the introduction: responsibility/blame assignment.

In legal situations, this blame assignment is critical as it helps identify who is actually responsible for some bad outcome.

Would you agree?
Microsoft Teams Issues
The government has likely overstepped its legal authority here. It is likely a violation of Constitutional rights for the government to declare that you may not visit other people in person, and it takes a damn high bar to clear the necessary scrutiny to render it legal — high enough that courts have declared some Ebola quarantines in the US to be a violation of civil liberties (see: Kaci Hickox).

I am curious to see how long this lasts, and whether there will be lawsuits to that effect.

(Also. I am being modded down for this for no apparent good reason. This is not a violation of my civil liberties, though there may be ways to make HN a better place that are more consistent with site guidelines.)
If you're not sure if your job is essential or not, it's not.
If it vanished instantly then yes, but a huge number of packages on Central are mirrors from jcenter. There are not only theoretical competitors to Maven Central but an actual widely used one (jcenter/bintray), which is easier to use anyway. There's also jitpack too. So people could migrate pretty quickly to alternatives.
flattenthecurve.com has a good general audience to smart person presentation on why this is needed. For a more expert audience, the recent report from Imperial College [1] provides detailed analysis.

[1]: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-ana...

[edit, as apparently you edited your comment after I posted my response] The essay you linked praises the complete lockdown in Wuhan as being effective. That said, it's written by an AI researcher, as opposed to a public health expert.
Thanks for the heads up. I fixed it!
by June when it will be available I'll be either dead or immune, same with most of the population
Not in SF, but they closed the schools were I am.

I went to pick up my kid's medication and iPad at school today.

They opened their library and were letting kids checkout extra books to take home. I thought that was a nice gesture.
Did they also ban driving? It's a lot more dangerous than riding a bike.
I manage a fund for a living and have been doing this stuff for a while. I'm generally an optimist...and I've never been more terrified in my life than now. This makes 2008 look like a keg party. We have a health crisis and the prescription from government has been to induce an economic crisis, one that's possibly (and increasingly more likely) orders of magnitude worse than anything we've ever seen, including the great depression. We are committing suicide. This is a battlefield triage situation, you save the soldiers you can and read the others their last rights. It makes me utterly sick to say that, but that's the grim reality. We need to immediately change our approach and adopt what the UK is doing. AMA
Does that assume the military is immune from the virus?
Vitalik Buterin on AI Podcast with Lex Fridman
Three levels of highly available apps on Kubernetes
Jack Ma donates 6M masks to 54 African nations
The people that bought right before the crash also made out like bandits. It’s impossible to time the market, just buy if you have money.
This amplified by the availability of really good translation tools today. bing translate really rocks and seems not to be as prone to censorship as google translate at the moment.

E.g. https://www.translatetheweb.com/?ref=TVert&from=&to=en&a=Cor...
Could you define 'much better'? Because we actually do know what the incubation period of this disease is, and we know how the virus has spread. It's a practical certainty that the spread of Covid is goingto gte worse, not better over the next month and that the mitigation strategies are going to completely tank some companies over that time.
Many countries seemed to operate with the assumption community spread wasn't happening. And due to this assumption didn't test for community spread.
This is the moment that management cuts staff and pushes survivors to work harder than ever with no more than the threat of the axe. Realizing productivity gains from job insecurity is unethical, so it only gets used under the illusion that it is the only way for the employer to survive. The reality is that the employer could have operated like this all along but couldn't drop the axe without looking like a butcher until now.

Getting laid off is sometimes better than surviving the shit show that is now to come. Quitting for new work, even better.

Seize the moment, people. Do not be a victim. You can rebuild your careers. Do not stay with a butcher.
Can't speak to OP but I always think about the "buy low, sell high" cliche. If you follow that idea then when you think the market is high you should not buy.

My personal feeling the last 2 years was that the market was higher than it should have been. So I avoided buying equities. Now that the market is going lower I'm considering buying again.
Emergency UBI
Covid-19 Fatality Modelling
Yes, taking lost bitcoin into account, the supply inflation rate is maybe 25% lower, and long before 2140, emission will be too low to compensate for ongoing coin loss.

In this model of inevitable coin loss, the alternative constant emission will eventually, perhaps in 50 to 100 years, reach a rough equilibrium where yearly emission roughly balances yearly coin loss. Like a softcap instead of a hardcap.
Actually React Native for those that are into C++, and Xamarin for those into .NET.
"apt to" -- presented in the hopes it is useful.
> I have a GED so am not too marketable if I lose my job

I'm the GP who started this huge thread but I just want you to know I got my GED in 2007 right before the last recession. Don't be so hard on yourself - you could have a remote job working for a company in SF like me :). It took a lot to get here but almost anyone can do it.

> Add to that I'm supposed to be getting married in 68 days and who knows what's going to happen now. I don't even know if the courthouse will be open to get the marriage license (it's only good for 60 days).

Why not just go down to the courthouse tomorrow and get married? Can you think of a better time? You're not going to disappoint anyone by cancelling the event.

> None of this is good for my sobriety. 7 months 25 days, 15 hours. I got this. I can keep that number growing.

Every day I wish I could get sober so in a way you have a wealth that I deeply desire :) Keep it up, it has got to be worth it.

Good luck and don't wait for the dust to settle to find yourself in a better position. I'll try to do the same thing.
I thought a recession was defined by GDP rather than stock prices.
In your case it seems the use of a car is warranted. I don't see the problem.