skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
How much does every day in lockdown hurt the economy?

Flattening out the infection curve too much means increasing the economic harm by a much larger degree.

Calling a lockdown a week too early, means continuing it a week extra on the other end or you risk a sudden, unmanageable peak.

I don't envy any politician the decision, but pandering to panic and locking down too soon will cause a lot of harm too.
Paper Machines: About Cards and Catalogs, 1548-1929
Geese don't go supersonic.
It is very much more likely that, as it mutates, it will be to a less-deadly virus.

Evolutionary pressure works that way -- as a less-deadly version will spread faster and outcompete a more-deadly version (because it won't kill as many hosts -- dead hosts cease spreading -- and because less-ill hosts are less likely to stay in bed until better, thus encountering more people and thus more spread)

This is why, broadly, endemic diseases like influenza become less lethal over time

It's why severe influenzas are usually those that just mutated to cross over to humans from some other animal -- like swine flu from last decade, which was not that deadly to swine, but remarkably so to humans those first seasons, or avian flus which also have appeared occasionally.

The Spanish Flu was one of those -- an Avian flu that had newly mutated to infect humans.
From the summary:

Why the card catalog — a “paper machine” with rearrangeable elements — can be regarded as a precursor of the computer.
I think you likely missed the part where it is a 50% increase compared to last years March, not February 2020.
This is a global pandemic with a death rate of <1% to 6% depending on the place. The world isn't ending. Electricity isn't going away. Neither is bread. The whole idea is to not have to go to the store and expose oneself to the virus. It's not the zombie apocalypse or whatever dumb thing the people hoarding toilet paper think it is.
This is an amazing list and incredibly helpful. Thank you so much!
We are potentially looking at half a billion dead.
Why would you not deploy smaller drones via another platform?

Small cheap disposable drones are a game changer. Drop them on a military base and have them seek and distort any human shaped targets, any sources of RF radiation, anything that looks like a vehicle or plane...
I noticed your contact is in a discord channel and my first thought was how this is differentiated from discord. If people are actually contacting you on discord and this is "installation free", why not make that contact via your own service?
Amen to red team tests!
I saw a lot of kids using caps lock to type capital letters, that is even more painful. Thankfully they quickly utilized the new knowledge about shift key, I like to think I changed the way they use computers, but who knows if they actually have the motivation to learn further.
Yes, some people are "prepping" or "panic buying". There's various degrees. The complaint is that some people do it over the top which affects us all. Though how exactly over the top is defined isn't clear.
I know that we all love to dunk on Trump, me no less than most. However I want to point out that Google's statement does not say "no national coronavirus site anytime soon." Ms. Wang's statement was that Google will be piloting the site in CA starting next week, and then rolling it out more broadly "over time." This statement does not seem to be a straightforward disagreement with Trump's. It's just a bit more cautious.
Molecular dysfunction predicts pathology of lamellar cataract in transgenic mice
It would mean attaching a semantic meaning to tags, but git doesn't do that, ever, for any reference. You don't even have to have a master branch, much less tags that follow semver. Linux doesn't even use semver!
Personal attacks will get you banned here. Please don't post like this regardless of how wrong someone else is or you feel they are. Maybe you don't owe them better, but you owe the community better if you're commenting here.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
It is really easy to capture private data in screenshots without even noticing. I have made a Chrome extension to blur or scramble website content, so it is safe to capture screenshots in support or editorial scenarios. https://datamask.tech
But folks really cache auth related data? Isn’t that better handled purely through client <> server requests and handling caching for all UI or action based data?
Personally while it was a bit painful watching Trump (try to) speak in his typical style yesterday, I thought it was extremely compelling to see the lineup of CEOs from Walmart, Walgreens, CVS, Quest, Labcorp, Roche, etc. each of them announcing their support and dedication to serving their communities and fighting COVID.

“While any other day we are competitors, today we all have a common competitor, and that is COVID” was a beautiful line.

It’s emblematic of the US approach (I won’t say a Republican approach) to instead of showing a lineup of government officials to show a lineup of corporate officers saying that they are making this their mission.

My own political leanings gives me more faith seeing these CEOs commit yesterday to fighting this than anything the CDC or the FDA could announce.

So I personally give the Trump Admin a lot of credit for orchestrating that, and I’m excited to see them deliver on their promises in the next couple weeks. I think they moved quickly to close the border with China, and then we lost precious weeks when the CDC failed.

Certainly I would not expect any Administration to revamp FDA guidelines on testing before it became clear they were an obstacle. Overall we’ve moved incredibly fast in getting to a National Emergency declaration (e.g. compared to H1N1).

Honestly it may have been his “9/11 moment” and I thought he nailed it. Not with eloquent speech to be sure. But in the actions being taken.
>Get out of here with this. We had expert teams and processes in place to combat the possibility of this exact thing and his administration fired them without any replacement.

Ah yes, yet another person who looked at the Snopes piece's headline and nothing else. One would think reading only that, or the Twitter thread (!) the piece is based on, that to save money (or because the Trump administration hates science, or something) the entire "US Pandemic Response Team" agency was eliminated and everyone in a large DC office building was fired.

Actually reading the contemporary NBC News https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/tom-bossert-t... and Washington Post https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/to-your-health/wp/2018/0... articles the Snopes piece cites in the body, they seem to have been a handful of people in one team in the National Security Council hierarchy, that the new National Security Advisor reassigned to related agencies, as part of a desire to have his own hierarchical structure. Ziemer resigned because he wanted to keep his team the way it was.

COVID19 was not a surprise; that is, it was known to exist in China some time before the first cases appeared in the US. It is not unreasonable for a government to assemble a team to respond to something like a pandemic as needed, as opposed to having people dedicated solely to the purpose and nothing else. And that's exactly what the US did, implementing the ban on non-American travelers who'd been to China in late January, among other things.

You may or may not agree with this. But please don't claim that this is somehow prima facie proof of the Trump administration's malfeasance/evilness.

PS - No, Trump did not "cut the CDC budget" either. https://apnews.com/d36d6c4de29f4d04beda3db00cb46104
How to Retrieve Player Stats from the NHL's Undocumented REST API
Neither does the B2...
If I had a dollar for every COVID-19 vaccine that will be ready "soon", I'd have quite a few dollars.
Anything vaguely engineering in the US uses imperial, pounds and decimal-inches everywhere.
Do you have sources for those figures? The ones I find are suggesting up to 2 weeks incubation (but more typically about 5 days) and surviving on some surfaces for 3 days (less for others).

https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/sars-cov-2-study-c...

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/03/14/8116090...
Yeah, I think that's referred to as "the denominator problem". Have a listen to Sam Harris' podcast on it this week - the expert on there sees 0.6% as an upper bound for mortality for coronavirus as that's the figure from South Korea, where the testing has been most intensive, and even that doesn't cover everyone.
I strongly disagree with the approach in the UK. We should be following the WHO guidelines and the rest of Europe

It feels like we're the big version of one of those corona-virus cruise ships
then what's the point of cmake? won't legacy gnu make suffice? nothing is perfect including Make, but it seems gnu Make can put all its doc into one html manual at least. KISS.

https://www.gnu.org/software/make/manual/make.html
Don't use cmake for new projects. You'll regret it. Try meson instead:

https://mesonbuild.com/
Phenomenal, many thanks!
Is there even conclusive proof that people can be immune from the virus after being infected?
I did not claim that they invented the words. English is a rich language and some words resonate better. From your article:

> Herd immunity (also called herd effect, community immunity, population immunity, or social immunity).

Community immunity would rhyme and not be received as negatively by those that already hate the government as the herd word. It would also convey community, which is a caring nice word.
You've made some reasonable points in places but you've also broken the site guidelines egregiously. The latter is more significant, so we've banned this account. If you don't want to be banned, you're welcome to email hn@ycombinator.com and give us reason to believe that you'll follow the rules in the future.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
But even if you use a third party, tying identity in to your application almost always still has to be rolled on your own right? So no matter how bulletproof the 3rd party solution, it’s likely that a tremendous number of vulnerabilities on an application basis could come from faulty auth integrations as well
CEO, Founder, Reassurer
That's why I asked really. I don't think the immediate response is necessary. My slack lives only on the desktop and if I'm away for a bit, I'm away. If someone's blocked because I can't respond immediately, then maybe some docs should be improved instead. What if I'm on holidays / busy / dead?
http://archive.vn/oI92L
Inspired: How to Create Tech Products Customers Love
Those e-bikes also have special cheaper pricing for trips that start or end outside of Manhattan, in order to stimulate this type of trip.

Something correlation... causation... can't remember the rest... :)
Correct link (not sure what’s wrong with the current one): https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/14/technology/coronavirus-pu...
Terry Pratchett’s name lives on in ‘the clacks’ with hidden web code (2015)
FYI: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Faint_young_Sun_paradox

Solar radiation intensity has been increasing gradually since the earth was formed. Current sun intensity may not allow for the same CO2 concentrations that earth tolerated in prehistoric times.
> people buying in surplus isn't demand. It's just, well, hoarding

Of course it is demand. You may also call it "hoarding" those aren't mutually exclusive concepts.
Before they were bought, you could build (with the help of a WebApp hosted by them) an offline usable speech recognition module, that could comfortably run on a Pi, and that would output parsed sentences in JSON format onto MQTT.
Easy to integrate with everything in IOT. I loved it. Now i'm also looking for an alternative for the Speech-to-text(-to-json) part, like you.
Are we sure that you're immune once you've been infected?
I'm no epidemiologist, but I think we might have to wait another month or two to see if there are any resurgences in China before we can be certain the containment really worked, no? Infectious disease expert Michael Osterholm recently said on a podcast that he and his colleagues expect there to be another outbreak in China within the next few months, once people start fully co-mingling again.
The U.S. Isn’t Ready for What’s About to Happen - The Atlantic
The best source I found on the subject -- a disease modeler with CDC who was giving an interview -- said that their current estimates used 5-day doubling, 15-day median time to death, and 1% CFR to do their estimates.

For the modeler, the purpose was estimating the true number of cases (which they estimate as current_deaths * 800 for a first-order approximation) -- but similarly, you could use that to estimate CFR by taking (num_cases / 8) as the denominator. Except, of course, that you can't realistically estimate num_cases. With the exception of Diamond Princess and possibly South Korea, everybody's numbers tell you more about the number of tests they run than the number of infected that exist.

One doctor from John Hopkins, for example, estimated that there are between 50k and 500k cases in the US as of 3 days ago -- and my own admittedly-amateur estimations using CDC numbers for deaths from influenza and all-cause pneumonia could only set an upper bound of ~400k cases as of March 1st
Interest still accrues during forbearance as I recall. This allows that to stop.

And yes, it's still an option.
In fact, that's exactly what Rust already does today! Option<char> uses the exact same amount of bits to store as plain char, because the compiler has enough information to encode the Option-ness of char in what it knows is a garbage bit of the underlying type.

https://play.rust-lang.org/?version=stable&mode=debug&editio...
It's correct, the WTC is a collection of preludes and fugues. The first one is the Prelude in C Major.
Airbnb: Extenuating Circumstances Policy Activated Around the World
And the article, which is maybe the thing you aren't understanding ;P, is saying that merely reducing the speed by social distancing--which most people, maybe not you but then that is your misunderstanding of the background concept being talked about being here, think is going to be sufficient to not overwhelm hospitals, and that life will be able to return to normal soon--is not going to be sufficient to get the peak of that curve under that line... which again, is what the vast majority of people talking about "flattening the curve" are meaning: if this data were correct (which is not your argument, so let's assume it is) and you showed them the chart of the curve being flattened requiring a decade for the cute little infographic to work, I think the vast majority of people sharing those graphs would have a dawning realization that something even more drastic than mere social distancing is required, such as active tracing and containment, which no one in the US even seems to be contemplating attempting (source: I am a local government official who gets to peek behind the curtains a bit of the regional government above me, and I am absolutely horrified). You really just seem to have an awkward model of what people clearly are thinking when they say "flatten the curve" and share those little graphs, and are using it to cause a massive equivocation battle to undermine the thesis of an article that is effectively saying "we need to be allocating some effort towards active measures and not assume passive ones will be 100% sufficient"; trying to assert this article is telling people not to self isolate is such an on purpose misread it is painful :/. (Now, are the numbers in this article correct? Dunno. Or is it just too late to bother and we are all doomed? Dunno. But again: not your arguments.)
I've seen HNers assert that everyone should learn to code or know how a computer works which I think is just a level of hubris because they themselves happen to care about those things. Or confuse it with something particularly positive about themselves.

Meanwhile, there are plenty of things those same people don't care about knowing, like how an engine might work, how their girlfriend of five years puts on makeup despite her doing it daily, how electrical/water/gas works in their house, the history of civilization, how their government works, etc.

Life is a crap sandwich in so many ways that I don't think these expectations are fair until we're immortal with infinite leisure time.
Not quite. This piece has three voices. There are two half notes in each measure, that start on beats 1 and 3, and there is a dotted eight tied to a quarter note that starts on beats 1+1/16th and 3+1/16th

See:
https://www.pianoshelf.com/sheetmusic/728/bach-bwv-846---wtc...
I have occasionally thought to time to learn proper touch typing. But I never seem to get over the idea that my bottleneck is not in the fingers, but in the brain trying to figure what to type in the first place... Can someone prove me wrong and make me motivated to learn?
Please don't post duplicate comments to HN (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22577808). It strictly lowers the signal/noise ratio and makes merging threads a nightmare.
I stopped counting how many times we cured any forms of diabetes in various mouse models.

Then there is this thing that bugs me: amount of money spent on finding a treatment vs. preventing type 2 diabetes in the first place. Because 95% of type 2 cases are caused by life style decisions. And as climate change, healthcare costs, covid-19, and other self-inflicted societal crises we prefer to wait until it chronically costs a massive amount of money (add chronic deficit to the list).
It looks like to me just a comfort pill for the public. They basically acknowledged that they can't handle the crisis already. So what they gonna do? They want it to appear to be an advice from expert, to persuade the public, rationalize a forced decision.

The uncomfortable truth is, the British government have weighted cost and benefit, and they have decided, the death of thousands or more is not worth the cost of near-absolute lockdown of a country, It might lead to total breakdown of the economy, full-recession, and that may cost more lives anyway. These elder people are old enough anyway, and the death rate for young is just 0.2%. (which rise to 1.3% for people elder than 50, and 6% for elder than 60 according to data from China)

What does those number mean? If you and your partner's parents are elder than 60 years old, there is 25% chance, at least one of them will die. That is, very likely, you're going to hear it from your best friends that one of their parents died from COVID-19. Are you okay with that? (Under the assumption everyone will get infected anyway). And beware, these statistics are not final, and mostly from patients who received some level of medical care, although we do not yet know how many of those heavily-ill patients received intense care. Without medical care, the number could easily double, after all, it takes time to die, that's just how lung disease works.
Please don't post duplicate comments to HN (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22578012). It strictly lowers the signal/noise ratio and makes merging threads a nightmare.
CDC: Should I travel within the U.S.?
COVID-19 doesn't "survive" very long on copper surfaces.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.09.20033217v...
MIG-in-the-Middle (2012)
I suggested this a few days ago and it was not a popular idea, but if you can enforce a sufficiently strong quarantine for the elderly, I believe this could decrease the total number of deaths (although the total number of infections will be higher than with universal social distancing, the faster it spreads, according to most simulations).
Certain? No. Nobody can realistically be certain yet.

There is only one case that I've been able to find of a person who was diagnosed twice that can't easily be explained away as having been discharged while still infected. And even that case might be one like that.
That's why we need rationing in addition to anti price gouging laws. Anti price gouging laws make it riskier for people to buy large quantities with the intent to just sell it for a profit. If there was a high risk of punishment, people like the guys who went around Tennessee buying all of the available local supply of hand sanitizer with the intent to price gouge wouldn't have done so. Then rationing(like limits on how much of an item can be purchase at a time) would make it harder for individuals to buy more than they need. When there is a massive line of people just to get toilet paper and other basic necessities like we have seen at stores the past few days, people would be less likely to go through the hassle of finding the items and going through line again. Without a purchase limit, some people will completely fill up their carts leaving those who were not quick enough with less. The fear of people bulk buying the whole supply and the knowledge that people will do it to price gouge just increase the amount of panic and make more people feel the urge to go and buy in bulk.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tennessee-man-sitting-on-a...
And luckily they don't need to as lower birth rates means wrld population will likely peak at 10bn. African birth rates have dropped faster than predictions.
A better analogy might be that of Kodos the Executioner from an episode of the original Star Trek series: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Conscience_of_the_King. Guess right and be hailed as saving as many lives as one practically could in the face of disaster; guess wrong and be remembered as a mass murderer. Never thought I'd see it happen in real life.

(For Simpsons fans, this character is the one from which Kodos of Kodos & Kang originates.)
Purchase limit per customer? So a single person and a family of four and a family of six are subject to the same limit?

Much easier to raise the price then ask people to prove their need for a product.

And how are you going to prevent people from just having mom, dad, and each child purchase the items separately?
I think the current anti stealth capabilities are not clear, countries that use anti stealth radar are not talking about the capabilities, e.g. what does "The superior stealth target tracking capabilities ensure optimal performance in demanding littoral environments." mean

https://www.thalesgroup.com/en/netherlands/news/new-fire-con...

or "Within this enormous range it detects a wide spectrum of targets: air breathing targets, stealth targets and ballistic missiles."

https://www.thalesgroup.com/de/smart-l-multi-mission-radar-0

or "It is also claimed to be highly capable of detecting stealth targets"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S1850M
Children less sick from Covid-19, but still spread the virus
> Milkman’s doctoral dissertation concluded that people would choose either heroin or amphetamines depending on how they liked to deal with stress. Heroin users wanted to numb themselves; amphetamine users wanted to actively confront it.

This seems kind of silly in retrospect. In the US, most heroin users chose heroin because they got addicted to prescription painkillers, and heroin has a similar effect while being much cheaper.
Will their consumption of toilet paper increase? This isn't hard.
My "workaround" for using offline recognition in several languages in `snips.ai` was configuring a different wake-word per language, and then running several wake-word-detectors on the same microphone input.
I think we'll just have to agree to disagree.

It sounds like we just come from different development cultures. Your solution to lack of locking sounds like a top-down hierarchy that wouldn't be flexible enough to support the teams I've worked with.

Having seen both approaches(and how they break down) I'll take a centralized locking solution over communication mistakes that lead to days of work being lost.
You released it at th3 right time.
This!

There is a joke that goes like this: Economist is the one that will tell you tomorrow why their prediction was wrong yesterday!
I had the same story, my WP site would go down everyday. Switched to SiteGround and haven't looked back