skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> The story makes a good deal of sense if, in general, wages are set only partly by supply and demand, and partly by the employers-as-a-class's feelings of how much money people doing that sort of job ought to earn.

In my experience, this is exactly how business owners feel. The skyrocketing salaries of tech workers in recent years is a prime example. It isn't just supply and demand. Its also norm-breaking behavior by a handful of exceptionally profitable employers.
I was going to say "a Bond movie where he the biggest threat to his life is not being able to work remotely", but then that is generally the biggest threat to his life all the time. I guess these problems here are the actual ones that should be addressed in the Sam Altman investing in covid-19 startups thread.
No it doesn't. It's an extremely basic model to introduce the CP-SAT solver to people with little to no experience in scheduling problems or CP. Pairing up people based on such criteria requires turning the problem into a MOCO or incorporating it with the current objective function.
it is somewhat universal. type-O blood can be used for all groups (in general), but type-O patients can only receive own
Splunk: Bringing Data to Covid-19
Yeah and if you actually read the Reuters report it says the exact opposite of this business insider drivel.

> The U.S. government has spoken with many (more than 25) companies that claim they can help with a vaccine. Most of these companies already received seed funding from U.S. investors... any solution found would be shared with the world

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-german...
> What's the blockchain for? It serves no purpose here.

Non-trust based verification/consensus requires that many parties, ideally opposing ones, have the same data/ledger to validate the information desired: in this case, real-time acquisition of passenger weight.

You could argue SQL does the same thing, and you're probably right at least on paper, but it cannot be independently validated as a blockchain can. The idea being, if all have a copy of the information then it isn't subject to custodial manipulation, and corruption.

I see it as having the same features that open-source software provides: in that it allows people to look through the source code to ensure it doesn't contain some malware or some bug in the software and can do so independently from the owner/company of said software.
Elephant is an open source, cross platform note taking application
If you, in your ignorance, are contagious before you decide to self-quarantine and end up transmitting the virus to others who will suffer and die for it, will that weigh on your conscience?

Given your apparent self-centered attitude and lack of empathy, I would guess that it will not bother you one bit.
How true. I believe the US will see an even worse fallout than Italy - because people who can afford private medical personal tend to question whether healthcare is a business model at all ("Is curing patients a sustainable business model?", GS).

America has the most uplifting and free-spirited legacy, but it has been transformed in the past decades into the most primitive form of greed and selfishness possible. Covid-19 is only the eye-opener.

FTR: I believe the US will lose 5% of its population to the coronavirus in 2020. Not being panicky, just multiplying.
This is spot on. I emailed officials in my city and county with this suggestion earlier this weekend and received some mild interest. From my research into the situation they do have stock and the current bottleneck is shipping, but stock is making it over in 2-3 weeks.
This graph explains what it is they're going for. Basically, they're trying to keep the health system below saturation, but busy, in the hope of chugging through the "inevitable" number of cases at a sustainable rate.

Of course, that requires them to be able to "apply the brake" appropriately to keep things from becoming saturated. Which is why I thing the best word to describe the attitude of the UK government is "ballsy".

EDIT: Link to the original Lancet article the figure is from

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...

The risk of overly-strict measures is the blue line; the aim of the UK government is to go for the green line.
The reality is even more complicated - sure, a logistic curve is a reasonable fit if we assume that the data is accurate and the population homogeneous and well mixed, but in practice things get more complicated quickly. There's a huge network of potential contacts, with a large degree of heterogeneity and important subcomponents at multiple geographic scales. In addition, the network is dynamic, not static, so that both highly granular and population scale phenomena can change the contact distribution. Two important questions are:

1. What can we actually measure with confidence to relate to a model of interest
2. At what level of sophistication is it feasible to actually model things

Neither question is particularly straightforward in the face of ongoing epidemics.
This seems pretty insane to me. ECMO in general is much more dangerous than mechanical ventilation because the risk of infection and sepsis is so much higher. Certainly understand it as a last ditch effort, but the resources and risks WRT ECMO is much higher than mechanical ventilation.
Ya, Scheduling tools are often pretty bad in general and constraint optimization does too much assuming that things won’t change or that people are just automatons.

We ended up deciding we needed to build our own tool and have also started to sell it https://happy.tools/
O-negative means the red blood cells lack the A, B and Rh antigens on their cell membrane. It is these antigens that (most) often lead to a host immune response.
The time this was discovered was an incredible time of discovery, largely due to the new availability of high vacuum pumps and high voltage in glass. People were messing with these cathode ray tubes all over, and they led to so much.

Roentgen found x-rays in 1895 in a high vacuum, high voltage glass tube. This led to the discovery of the electron and quantum physics at the time (and later, the double helical nature of DNA was found from xray diffraction). Following that work, Becquerel discovered natural radiation. Curie and Rutherford followed that up with nuclear physics, which eventually led to atomic warfare, radiation therapy, mars rover power supplies, and nuclear power stations.

Meanwhile, CRTs also gave way to vacuum tube electronics like radios, amplified music, and large-scale telephone networks.

And of course the TV.

Man I love cathode ray tubes. Wrote a thing about them once:

https://partofthething.com/thoughts/the-modern-era-passed-th...
This is likely because Italy has underreporting for younger cases:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1103023/coronavirus-case...

There’s two reasons that I could guess at: the age of the population itself, and the mild or asymptotic presentation of young folks with the way testing is ordered.

Unless you’re got widespread testing for even mild illness, you’re unlikely to see real numbers. South Korea has wide spread testing, so if you look at their numbers it also explains their low death rate:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1102730/south-korea-coro...
Without trade policy you have only words or war. For any stress you place on a country it's always going to be the poorest who suffer, even if it's a natural disaster or pandemic.
The department of justice has limited resources. It's impossible to go after literally every case of fraud, "all the time". Law enforcement is always picking and choosing what to target, and this guy advertising a coronavirus cure at this current time is like shooting off a flair in the dark asking to be noticed.
I'm not saying that they should never release the details.

I'm saying they shouldn't release the details right now because right now those details are great for Trump.

Irresponsible disclosure is just as bad as non-disclosure.
Awww Soulseek. I discovered so much great music there...
Something is missing: the average duration of covid patient in hospital. Hopefully, it is less than 30 days so some patient will go to hospital, stay a few days (then die or go home) and then leave their room in hospital...

I don't think that it was accounted for in the calculation for number of beds in hospital
How do you read the books? Or is this just a structure?
You’re right. I should have said AssemblyScript, not TypeScript.

Also, As someone familiar with Rust, it is a very high-level language. It’s zero-overhead features make it a bit of a steep learning curve, but you rarely need to drop to its low-level unsafe features.

That being said, incorporating it into a new WASM environment probably means doing a lot of low-level stuff.
You are indeed parroting the advice of many people (lots of whom are anything but experts) but that advice contradicts the current guidance from the UK experts, who btw are these guys: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Whitty and https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patrick_Vallance

Who should we believe, them or CaptArmchair?
Neither agreeing nor disagreeing with your point, but deliberating over what could have been done in the past does not help solve a crisis in the present.
I live in Mexico where the government has been heavily criticized for not making more tests even to people with symptoms. They are taking very tepid measures. Schools will close by the end of next week and there will be recommended social distancing measures starting in about 10 days.

This weekend there is a huge festival in Mexico City with about 70k assistants every day (Vive Latino). Monday is a national holiday so millions of Mexicans are traveling all over the country.

Mexico City has +20M people and a very fragile public health system. Every month only the underground moves 130M passengers. I hope I'm wrong on this but I fear this will be one of the worse impacted cities on Earth. Thankfully we do not live there but we've been on self imposed lockdown for about a week anyway.
I didn't mean a non-specialist as in an average Joe; I meant an above-average Joe with some interest in one or more of: economy, physics, electronics, mathematics, biology. There's loads of such people.
> I don't say these things to whip people up in a panic, I say them because we are about to get hit hard here in the US.

The average person in the US rightly did not have much reason to be concerned a few weeks ago, but that's not the case anymore. It's important to understand that the situation has evolved rapidly for the worse here, and our response ("panic level" if you will) must escalate accordingly.

In particular:

- Each one of us is now at much higher risk of infection, possibly orders of magnitude higher than the official numbers suggest. The bungled testing rollout, the high level of community spread and the number of deaths together suggest the official numbers are grossly under-counting. [1] This is very different from a few weeks ago when the cases where mostly imported or had known transmission routes.

- A few weeks ago, the CDC was still hoping to contain the epidemic by tracing and quarantining cases. But that has changed. Whereas China, Hong Kong, Taiwan etc have succeeded in containing the disease so far, the US has already failed and the CDC now expects it to eventually spread to most of the US population. [2] Its strategy is now to slow it down enough to avoid what's happening in Italy.

- The situation in Italy has shown us the magnitude of human suffering that will result from people "under-panicking" and going about their daily lives at a similar stage of the epidemic. There will be a rapid explosion in cases, leading to a meltdown of the health care system. Many of us will lose our loved ones, and many of us will die unnecessary deaths from hospitals being overrun. Not to mention the impact on the economy, which we can't measure yet in Italy but could well be greater than the cost of locking down early.

So stop thinking "it's fine". It was a few weeks ago. It's not anymore.

[1] https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-peop...

[2] https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/summ... or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9cfYC4YLsu4
Security guy here. I work in finance, but the calculus around how you look at risk doesn’t change much from industry to industry, what changes is risk tolerance.

Fact of the matter is that some things you don’t ever want remotely accessible. No security is perfect, and if your worst case scenario costs human lives, you simply cannot tolerate any level of risk.

That being said, there are probably companies out there with security that poses more of a barrier to employees than it does protection to the organization. In those cases it’s important for orgs to do their own disaster planning (there are many scenarios where office become unavailable) and make appropriate plans to deal with that.

Some orgs will not be able to function without an office depending on the nature of the work. Many can if they take the time to set up secure ways for people to work remotely beforehand.
Most companies that I worked for and which had troublesome remote work setup used the "security by obscurity" approach. The IT there were completely incompetent and the only way they knew to make systems "secure" is to limit outside access. And most of those crippled infrastructures were windows-based.
As usually there were exceptions though.
Paracetamol aka acetaminophen is a destroyer of glutathione, one of the bodies great antioxidants, you can google it. I wouldn't take this drug if my life depended on it, it's POISON.
He was the first person to prove that capitalism is not a self-sustainable solution either. Everything he said about capitalism was true and remains true. E.g. the current crisis could be predicted and it will be a super-crisis, because there're no new markets in the world. No more countries left to plunder. There's no way of solving the current crisis without starting a 3rd world war.
The 90% might be conservative. If the rate of spread can be reduced by 50%, it will reduce the number of cases after 30 days by 96%.
Other could point to a formal paper, but you can read this in the meanwhile,

https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-recovery-damage-...
There are trees in London?
I agree, employers like to reduce cost by acquiring loyalty and encourage workers to look negatively at a lack of loyalty.
For example complaints from management, "Hey, these job hoppers sure make the work harder." They could pay more as Ford did, but it's an attempt to color perceptions and purchase compliance (e.g. less turnover) at reduced cost.
https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=garmin+forerunn...

Worth trying to fix perhaps?

Likely not a “good” use of your time, but fixing stuff is strangely satisfying. You seem skilled, but if you are just learning, then try to fix stuff that you would otherwise throw out and that doesn’t need expensive parts. It does “waste” time, but many people get a lot out of it.
"OR-Tools is open source software for combinatorial optimization, which seeks to find the best solution to a problem out of a very large set of possible solutions."
It's also a performance optimization though, since otherwise would might instead just use 400 digits of precision (or whatever) all the time, and round just the output.
Minecraft has books that you can type into and read later.
I guess fixing the problems listed here would be the most useful to invest in startup wise https://www.wired.com/story/high-stakes-security-set-ups-mak... as they will be problems that persist after the pandemic is over, and can secure clients in wealthy firms for the product that fixes them.
I enjoyed your comment, but it is an unfair criticism of the article. The subject of the article is not Henry Ford, the subject is his $5 a day wages. It's a business article (vaguely economic) not a historical account.

Will probably buy that book though. Thanks.
I have used lua this way myself but I don't understand how installing python is a barrier. I understand that depending on a secondary programming language to build your software is sub optimal because only the person setting up the build system gets familiar with the "build language" and when something breaks that person is the only one that can fix the build. Switching away from python to lua only makes that problem worse because python is more popular than lua.
We have a lot more ECMO capacity than people think, CPB machines from heart surgery cases can be used to provide ECMO which are at least an order of magnitude more common than classic ECMO machines.
Analysis of population density thresholds in the influenza pandemic of 1918
Translation from French: paracetamol is preferred over nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAID). Dose of paracetamol should not exceed 3g/day and doses should be spaced throughout the day.
> No one knows how this is going to play out

It’s entirely predictable how this is going to play out. Sadly, not for the best, if the current trajectory is not adjusted.
>The Bay area currently has 204 confirmed cases (as of 3/15). Multiplying that by either 10x or 50x (Harvard's estimated ratio of confirmed:unconfirmed cases) to get the actual number of confirmed cases today: 2,040 - 10,200 actual current cases in the Bay area.

>...

>80% of those will be "mild" which means "possibly as bad as having pneumonia but not needing a hostpital stay." 14% will require a hospital bed.

I have an issue with extrapolating the number of serious cases this way. I assume the 80% figure for non-serious cases is based on the number of formally tested patients.

Therefore the 80% figure doesn't include all the community-spread undiagnosed cases that must also be non-serious (or they would have been in hospital).

The percentage of serious cases amongst the true number of cases is presumably much smaller than 20%?
Forbes, the blog farm that used to be a magazine.
For reference, current population density in popular places:

- Population density threshold from the article: 175/sq mi

- Santa Clara county: 1,400/sq mi

- New York City: 27,016/sq mi

- San Francisco: 17,246/sq mi

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_b...

I believe that suburban population density still can provide significant advantage in infection rates/population loss over urban areas with extreme population density, despite being 10x the threshold for the last pandemic.

I guess we'll get access to that data pretty soon.
What odds are you giving for the 5% prediction?

COVID-19 is going to hit us hard, but I believe deeply in America's ability to adapt and pull together. We are fractured and almost-leaderless today, but the United States tends to do very well against a common challenge, once the scale of the challenge is understood.
Whole this is a correct application of Bayes Rule, a risk adjusted perspective still indicates that you should act as if you do have the virus. This is because the probability of having the virus multiplied by the damage of an infected person spreading the disease is much higher than the false positive probability times the personal impact of self-quarantine.
Wonder how long this will be accessible from China.
Can you explain how false positive PCR testing plays into this and how anyone with respiratory illness can get miscategorized if the test is miffed or the stats used to determine test results are bogus (which stats analysis as it relates to human death is riddled with problems, specifically the problem with the observer effect)
VMware purchased a monitoring tool which was previously called Alive, I think it's part of vrops now. The tool modelled measured values and created channels for expected ranges. Nothing earth shaking but the models would adapt to regular deviations so (as an example) Friday night batch runs didn't trigger CPU alerts for 100% CPU but going that high on a Tuesday might.

The tool also had the idea of noise built in so it would suggest that in general three monitors could be out of a channel and might not alert unless six were. Still we very rarely turned on alerting out of the tool because so little of the data was actionable.

It was still a huge improvement over the Tivoli system it replaced that had one size fits all alerts which generated tens of thousands of unactionable tickets monthly.

The most interesting thing it caught for me was when a system deviated on the low side of a channel and I discovered one of three DNS servers was no longer answering queries.

So Google seems to have the right of it (at least for their business) by measuring user experience and reacting to those metrics and leaving infrastructure metrics for post mortem.
Divide and conquer - the single strategy that has consistently worked to defeat and/or control humans throughout all of history.

If you trace back to the owners of the parent companies of the media outlets printing stories like this, you are left with a handful of individuals with a very clear anti-Trump agenda. They push stories like this to divide the populace, because a divided populace is easier to control and steer towards the media's own agenda. Need to think for yourselves rather than let the media tell you what to think!
There was a comment yesterday about how easy it is to manufacture iron lungs. A quick search indicates they might be effective (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15065832)

Is this being explored?
Type O is the universal donor.
“ Polio does still exist, although polio cases have decreased by over 99% since 1988, from an estimated more than 350 000 cases to 22 reported cases in 2017. This reduction is the result of the global effort to eradicate the disease. Today, only 3 countries in the world have never stopped transmission of polio (Pakistan, Afghanistan and Nigeria).” -WHO

You can make a very large dent. My guess is in these 3 countries you’re not seeing every child vaccinated with Polio. Hopefully with COVID-19 the anti-vaxers will quiet down and we’ll get more herd immunity generally.

We don’t know what measures China will take to ensure their curve stays flat. They might keep the lockdown until there are 0 cases and fully close their borders. This is where having a competent authoritarian government that people trust is actually beneficial. They might be able to do it.

Meanwhile I have zero faith that the US gov (where I live) will be able to handle this situation. It’s going to be wide spread, and will leave a giant unemployed workforce in its wake.
The goal of censorship isn't to get 100% lock down on information; its to make it hard for most of the populace. So governments don't really give a fuck until this becomes very popular and a lot of their citizens start using it at which point they will clamp down hard on it.
Londo Mollari finally spoke out AFTER the Narn homeworld was destroyed. A lot of good that did.

You're perpetuating the myth that Trump is invincible, that "there is no such thing as bad press for him", and echoing his enablers who are whining that "now is not the time for finger pointing and talking about the past, there will be a time for that later", at the same time that Trump himself is doing nothing but finger pointing and talking about the past.

If finger pointing and talking about the past is so ineffective and off-limits, then why is Trump doing it so much, why are his allies breathlessly admonishing everyone else not to do it, and why do you think at the same time that Trump is so invincible?
This seems similar to how crypto wallets are often generated -- with a seed phrase. Exposing that master password regularly seems dangerous -- if it leaks once, you're screwed. Hence why crypto wallet seed phrases are (supposed to be) carefully secured offline.
> The public has been educated and told to stay at home if they show symptoms. If people were uneducated they'd be at work with a slight cough spreading it around.

The evidence is overwhelming that people who have not developed symptoms are contagious. (It's also extremely likely that people who never develop symptoms are transmitting the virus.) This simply isn't sufficient.