skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Of fucking course, China does that. Watch the videos on how they are dealing with it. There are several on YouTube. When you get in and out of a subway or a building or whatever you have to scan a QR code with WeChat. Otherwise, you're not allowed to proceed.

They also take your temperature in all these places and if your temp is higher than normal they send you to a fever clinic, where they determine if you have the virus. If you do, you're isolated and your movement data gets flagged to track other potentially infected individuals.
>The article is about how economic class and educational inequality prevents everyone from having meaningful technical experiences that lead to technical literacy

No. That's exactly what I'm arguing is wrong. We're putting the cart before the horse. The internet is ubiquitous, even if you're poor at this point - it's in your schools, it's in free libraries, and entry level smartphones are cheap enough that all but the poorest can afford them if it's a priority.

The problem is none of that. It's that not everyone is technically competent - and no amount of education or money will fix that. Intelligence is a high dimensional spectrum and technical details regarding computers are out of reach for a sizable proportion of the population. This is exacerbated by poverty and/or poor education, but those are at most half of the problem.
Myat Yate App 4
I don't really see the need to use headphones. Almost nobody in my team does, and we were already working from home ~50% of the time before the current situation.

Despite all the bad things I want to say about the Macbook Pro provided by my employer, its speakers and mic do a pretty good job during videochat.
Iran is likely the worst case, but it’s hard to know the full situation there.
I didn't know folks put their radios on the internet like this. Pretty neat discovery. I found some folks by looking at the waterfall spectrograph talking about toilet paper for $2.50 a roll on their CB near Orlando, FL.

http://w4qed.hamshack.info:8073/

Does anyone know if one of these radios can tune into satellite transmissions or if there are any satellites that can be used as a relay?
Here in France even with the Italian experience relayed in the press, i.e doctors having to make many times a day a choices between the ones who will live or die, many people don't take it seriously.

I am shocked but not surprised by the behavior of my fellow citizens. Many people still went out shopping, went to the restaurants, still think it is a simple seasonal flu and do not at all comply with the recommendations of avoiding contacts.

The government decided at last today to close the restaurants and most of the shops except grocery stores and drug stores.

Also I think in France at some point the army will have to be called to help, to let policemen enforce the rules and be used to secure sensitive sites.
With the periodic social unrest that France endures since the last major "ethnic" riots of 2005 and the more recent and more social yellow vest protests, I am afraid that in France there will be also a lot of indirect deaths of the sars-cov-2 pandemic.
Thoughts on the Pandemic
This is March 1st press conference from South Korea: https://news.v.daum.net/v/20200301162614985. It says Seegene accounts for 37.8% of test volume. The context is that Seegene (and only Seegene, other companies have other supply chains) had supply chain problem. As I understand problem is now resolved.
This is pretty cool please keep it running
> 10 to 15% of their population in intensive care

Estimates are closer to 10% of the infected getting severe cases, and some small-ish fraction of those requiring intensive care. (The higher percentage numbers are usually an artifact of low testing rates of infected people.)

Also, epidemiology suggests that 20-70% will get it. So, we’re looking at ~1% of the population in the hospital at once.

The rest of your points stand; we don’t have nearly enough hospital capacity for 1% of the population.

Note that with a two week active phase, the pandemic would have to drag on for 20 weeks to get that number to 0.1%. I doubt there is capacity for that either.
I thought that was an excellent analysis. Thank you.
In part, because they think they already understand the situation, and the nature of that understanding precludes taking things like that seriously.

“It’s just the flu”

“It only kills 2% of people”

“The flu, cancer, car accidents, malnutrition, etc have killed far more people”

“People were worried about SARS, Swine Flu, and H1N1, and they turned out to be hardly kill anyone.”

“There number of cases here is small. Why are you panicking over nothing?”

“People need to stop panicking. People are going hysterical. The media is trying to make people panic. Just look at them hoarding toilet paper”.

“People are trying to ruin the economy over nothing”

“The experts — epidemiologists — say there’s nothing to worry about” (I’ve had this said to me and I was given a link to a news article that spun statements from some epidemiologists to make it sound that way. They were saying that they didn’t know how the situation would pan out, and this was presented as if it meant they didn’t think there was any issue).

I imagine that most people aren’t aware of the graphs. I imagine most people would be dismissive of them for reasons like the following:

They simply believe the apparent normalcy in front of them more than some abstract maths. They don’t grasp the notion of exponential growth, so it seems fanciful. They also don’t understand how it’s possible to project into the future like that. Maybe they think it’s just fear-mongering speculation. What concrete evidence do they actually have for the situation in Italy? And why should they believe what’s going on in a different country will apply to their country. Maybe their country has a good health care system, and they assume that Italy doesn't.
We won’t know for 2 weeks. If the hospitals are overrun, that is a massive policy problem. If they aren’t, it’s a massive policy success.

Math was known and the results fall on our politicians
That’s a misconception though. Economic depression and deprivation also causes death, and staggering amounts of human misery.

Evil is reserved as a description for gross failures of moral duty. Choosing pragmatically between several terrible options with highly unpredictable outcomes does not meet that standard.
Example of generic COW implementation in C++:
https://github.com/ClickHouse/ClickHouse/blob/master/dbms/sr...
DeepRobust is a pytorch library for adversarial attack and defense methods on images and graphs. It is demonstrated that some imperceptible perturbation on the input data can fool the systems based on deep learning.
>log scale

There's your answer. To 90% of elected officials, a "log scale" sounds like something a timber company might weigh their product with.
These are clearly the good guys, and it's because you hate them.

Stores refuse to raise prices because customers will dislike them and it will harm them in the long run. People like this take the reputation hit (and are financially rewarded) for keeping the market liquid, which is a good thing!

Anti-gouging laws are the problem here, and there's no doubt about it. There's not a "real" shortage, non of the usual arguments even apply, it's mostly a short-term run which would be easily stopped if prices could just.
Like China, "the USA" is very large and probably not something that can be treated as an atomic entity. Even much-smaller Italy is probably too large for that. While there may be hot spots that develop in the US, I can tell you from personal experience that there states that have taken strong measures when there are still single-digit numbers of infected in them. The state I'm in is not in a mandatory full lockdown per se, but pretty much every vector the virus has to spread by the dozens/hundreds/thousands at a time has been eliminated; what few are still left are fading fast. I don't know what will happen, but a full on r0-2.3 (or whatever the latest number is) spread isn't going to happen here under these conditions. (I highlight those last three words.)
I'm curious if it will be adopted. I assume cost is a big issue. Hyundai considered it, but decided to roll their own (of course they were already pretty invested in their own technology, but Hyundai is known for reliability and Koenigsegg is not).

https://www.roadandtrack.com/new-cars/car-technology/a312246...
I found this site about Singapore yesterday. This kind of detail would never fly in the US. But they do seem to have used it effectively to track the spread of the disease:

https://co.vid19.sg/cases
Were DNA tests made? Iceland is a homogeneous society. It's possible that nurture doesn't explain the cause but rather nature.
It is basically nothing like that in any way. If it works, it will not be at the expense of extra "sacrificed" lives, that's nonsense. The basic idea is to isolate the vulnerable and eventually protect them with herd immunity. You are allowed to opine that this will fail dismally, but you're not allowed to just make shit up and accuse people of sacrificing lives. Have an ounce of shame.
Koenigsegg claims that because of modern catalytic converters and improved cold starting process for their engine, there are virtually no particulate emissions: https://www.koenigsegg.com/gemera/tiny-friendly-giant-engine...

I wonder how well these claims will hold up. Seems like a very big deal if true.
This is a pretty good milestone for SpaceX. It has been a while in coming but hey, its pretty amazing. The "new" things on this rocket (not counting the stack of satellites) are the second stage with its single vacuum Merlin engine and the propellant. If it costs $10M for the second stage and $100K for propellant, that leaves launch site operational costs.

That means about $17K/lb to launch Starlink into LEO. Using 600lbs for the cluster, that is 10lbs per satellite, so $170K per satellite. I wonder how long the satellite has to operate to pay that back. Let's assume they are shooting for a lifetime of 5 years, that is $34K/year, and say 12,000 satellites for full up Internet service that's $408M per year depreciation costs. So Internet service at $25/month for 50M subscribers is gross revenue of $15B/year. That is some sweet margin.
> As an Italian, I raise my eyebrows every time China is mentioned as an example for the successful containment of this virus. It could do that because it could afford to take the economical hit and because it is an authoritarian state,

You know what is MUCH more effective than an authoritarian response? An _earlier response_.

An earlier response, even if it weaker, is much more potent than a stronger later response.

The intensity of china's response would not be necessary where the response is faster.

> but following rules in place in an outbreak does not mean one should not question their principles.

The best way to preserve civil rights and not have to bend them to protect against loss of life is to respond as early as you can reasonable justify.

In the US the fact that our principles (and laws!) tie our hands somewhat is all the more reason that it's important that we act aggressively within the space that our society allows.

> Personally I'd like fast-tracking of anti-SARS-CoV-2 drugs instead

Responding earlier keeps people alive longer for those drugs to become available.
Really? What’s wrong with TCL/TK?
Modus Operandi
Absolutely, I was in an Icelandic elementary school about a decade ago. While i was in school i saw a general decline in anti-social behaviour, now in that same school i see a dramatic rise in anti-social behaviour (violence drugs & drug use) through my siblings.
The linked article stated that the impetus for the research was mainly a long-standing issue with the alcohol consumption levels of the young, so I think it's an issue they consider very important and related to drugs, but they separate it as drugs and alcohol have a different social and legal stigma and thus aren't directly comparable to each other.
It's not creepy as long as it's opt in.

South Korea has an app, it could be done by anybody actually, but a known company would have more resources and branding power.

The reality is that after Eric Schmidt went away, Google changed: it's trying to make money by focusing only on its products instead of focusing on its image by doing good to people (while building its products).

Also Trump doesn't have the same relation with these companies as Obama had.
> They already have a preliminary trial result in China that says Chloroquine works

Chloroquine has a long history with many diseases of "sorta, but not really" working when subjected to actual test.

Please don't spread unsubstantiated info.
I'm always disappointed when things like this aren't partially or fully open sourced.

Makes me wonder what the profit model is, and when the thing is going to die forever.
There is solid debugging support for most Haxe targets on VSCode[1].

[1]: https://github.com/vshaxe/vshaxe/wiki/Debugging
This is NOT a creative experiment.

It's exactly the same as everything that's being done, no one knows what's best, they are all creative or none are.

We have no idea what the downsides are for massive lockdowns. Look at the deaths that happened over summer in Britain when the heatwave struck. What will happen to the elderly in a lockdown?

Lockdowns are not conservative. They are what the rest of the world's doing so they are politically conservative for weak governments.
I can give China the benefit of the doubt that not everything was known. Or even blame them for suppressing info.

But we (the world, US) knew the severity 2 months ago and Trump was still trying to downplay it. Fox News is still downplaying it. They called a "Democratic Hoax".

I live in a conservative area and residents are cursing out local leaders for canceling events, canceling school...
I'm terrified of what's coming. I feel so helpless.
A third side is a majority of the infections are still early stage, as was the case in Italy a couple weeks ago.
You get national cell phone providers to do that, not tech companies.
I think it's more of, quarantine isn't economically feasible. But then, things that aren't feasible can often become feasible in different circumstances.
Linnaeus has already named the animal Bos taurus, which perfectly distinguishes it.

Commonly, the animal is referred to as livestock.

...

No, we're going to call it "cow".
Well since there are so few B2 and they are essentially irreplaceable, I imagine standard wartime doctrine for the adversary would be to ignore target protection as a concern and go straight for the plane even at the risk of losing several of yours by flying over territory you don't control.

In reality, what would make a difference is coordinating communications and decision making.
OK I'm convinced. What's the 52 for, then?
The press reports several models which say between next week and the end of April for the so called "peak" (I don't think the press understands what it means, however), but at least to me they're useless because the confidence intervals are not given (I can't expect a newspaper to do so, but providing a source to consult in such cases would be beneficial).

Some of these models are also different in nature, which adds to the uncertainty: some are epidemiological models, some are economical (used to evaluate the impact of the measures on the long term).

Lastly, a lot of qualified people speak and try to give estimates. I'd love if they don't, because currently the best answer is "we do not know yet".

That said, I think that going over two months of lockdown will be probably ruinous for the country as whole.
I think most people agree that cyberpunk is pretty cool, right? Even if you just see the movies, blade runner, ghost in a shell, johnny mnemonic, etc.
Agreed. And where is Trump's response? We don't even have enough testing kits. We had 2 months to ramp things up.
China doesn't have a small population and has it under control. I don't think it's a population size thing.
> “As Lawrence O. Gostin, a professor of global health law at Georgetown University, put it: “The truth is those kinds of lockdowns are very rare and never effective.””

uh, except... the one we all just watched be successfully implemented in wuhan?
You can see a map of your location history at any time. It's heavily promoted in Maps.
Except that Google isn't doing that and said so.[1]

[1] https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/03/13/google-says-its-not-p...
Anyone got a guess which manufacturer is which?
The bit I don’t understand is how you carefully infect the bulk of young people and simultaneously keep the older folks uninflected.
This is something that has been attractive about the blockchain space. The more generalized you become the more you get paid.

Offer trusted escrow because multisig is too complicated? Win.

Compiled a slightly better mining software? Win.

Learned how to host and run an exchange? Win.

Learned how to launch an irrelevant, redudant new blockchain? Win.

and the list goes on and on and on

Absolutely nobody is going to say "hmmmm, it looks like you've been doing trusted escrow for years, we need someone that knows React JS and can hit the ground running"

(Only traders and holders lose money in the blockchain space bear markets. A lot of people earn, and earn quite a substantial amount regardless of exchange rates.)
Google No Longer Claims Chrome Tracker Contained No Personally Identifiable Info
I don't need to be. Just look at the graphs across various countries. Then ask yourself, has the US response been better or worse, to date?
Agreed. Responding to these situations is in part a collective test of practical intelligence -- or of collective intelligence if you will. Part of practical intelligence is to be capable of precise language (and separating concepts, as you say).
In a very dark-humour fashion, it sounds like this would change the balance of brexiters-vs-remainers fairly drastically too. No longer ~50/50. ;)
Some South Korean tests do run on standard machines. See https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22571551.
This could also be a measure of the rate of test kit production by country.
As someone who is a remote manager of remote colleagues, I would ask any employee giving me a daily update to stop. It is one more distraction and I prefer to evaluate people for their long-term productivity rather than daily. I may be an outlier though.
I'd assume waiting on an Arc lock?
One more, by the way: that the virus doesn’t mutate.
Well, in some frequency ranges, using a conventional radar, yes.

And for some applications, that is important.

But even state of the art modern stealth planes are way less stealth than some people expect.
I don't think the President ever mentioned it being next week. Also, see this from Google communication: https://twitter.com/Google_Comms/status/1238989460127338497

This effort for a nationwide testing website is different from and in addition to what Verily was already doing at a smaller scale in Bay Area (although I imagine there will be lots of overlap and shared code etc.)
No, not even close. Those wet markets are a fucking nightmare. There are truly optimized for pulling new diseases into the human population. Thousands of animals, hundreds of different species, many known to be reservoirs of potential human pathogens, crammed together in close proximity with each other and with humans who eat them.

In his interview with Joe Rogan, Michael Osterholm called it "the perfect experiment that no university would let you do":

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E3URhJx0NSw

Their discussion of wet markets starts at around 1:01:00.
Herd immunity is particularly insane idea if it's confirmed that you don't, in fact, get immunity:

https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/prevention-c...
Chris Martenson likes to say "If the facts scare you, the problem isn't with the facts". (also check out his COVID-19 updates, I think they are very well done! [0])

You may think "it's not here yet". It is.

You may think "the numbers are low". They aren't. We are failing miserably in our testing, our numbers are easily off by a factor of 10 (for infections).

You might not want to be "weird" and not want to practice social distancing. You need to.

You need to act when it feels too early and honestly, in the US, that was a week+ ago so at least act now.

I don't say these things to whip people up in a panic, I say them because we are about to get hit hard here in the US. If you know a nurse maybe send them a text and ask how they feel. I can tell you the nurses I know are freaking out because they know we are not prepared. A have a friend who works at a big hospital. They have 2 cases (at least as of a day ago) and they almost buckled under it. They don't have many masks, they don't have training, and the hospital itself has no plans in place. When asked "How many masks do we have?" the answer (on Thursday of this week) was "I don't know" from the head of infections diseases. Let that sink in. March 12th.

I can understand not knowing the count off the top of your head in November 2019, I can understand it in December 2019, I can still wrap my head around not knowing it in January 2020 but damn it... It's March, you are in a meeting to discuss COVID-19 and you don't know how many masks you have on hand?

The world has been warning us for months now and they had no plans for how to handle visitors. The nurses have not done n95 mask fit tests. They are not getting clear direction on how handle mask reuse. We are not prepared for this. If this hospital (which I would trust for any major procedure) is feeling the strain with 2 patients what happens when there are 4? 8? 16? 32?

[0] https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLRgTUN1zz_oeQpnJxpeaE...
3. the immunity gained through an infection holds for a long enough time (how long would need to be checked with the infection rate), which we do not know yet

Additionally, we know nothing of the long term effects even for the "young and healthy". Mortality rates for people 10-39 is 0.2%, 40-49 it's at 0.4%, 50-59 1.3%, 60-69 at 3.6%. Serious conditions develop in a bigger proportion of cases, so you are looking at 4-10% of under 60 population in ICU with unknown long term effects.

Translation: good luck!
I read it as he was doing it to get himself into “work mode”. Video processing isn’t a substitute for that.
I think just living teaches you that lesson.
Hang in there
I would rather anyone with symptoms and ability to self quarantine instead of burdening the economy and healthcare system.
I purchased USB speakerphones for my team. It eliminates echo without requiring headphones.
If Trump said he cured cancer, but the truth was that only a few strains were cured, these same people would literally be upset. This is getting worse than the Bush Derangement Syndrome and all the Obama hate/conspiracies.
this. When management is no-kids, it's going to be a problem
“Out of an abundance of caution” – An overused phrase (2015)
No it already spread to the UK so it was to listen for that
Chinese lockdowns are the most extreme form of social distancing -- everyone in Wuhan and similar hotspots stays home, not just ones for which there's some reason to suspect infection. In South Korea and elsewhere in China, there's special attention to quarantining people who are starting to show symptoms, and close contacts -- but there's also substantial social distancing as well (closures of schools, museums, retail...). There are examples where quarantines have been part of a successful strategy, but it's hard to find one where they've worked with no other elements.
How do you make vertically concave pieces?