skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> By the way, you can prevent a malaria death for about $50 in Africa.

This figure is fictitious; you just made it up.

AMF, one of the most cost-effective anti-malarial charities in Africa, averts one death for about every $2331 in donations, per GiveWell's 2019 analysis: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zLmPuddUmKsy3v55AfG_...

(Listed as: "Cost per death averted at any age.")

> How many dinners have you sacrificed to save those lives, personally?

Personally? Not that it's any of your business, but I've given $50k to the Against Malaria Foundation.
I don't misunderstand, the main difference is that I was going off an expert estimate that had a half percent fatality rate, and might have had a smaller ratio of infected. If you think that fatality rate is wrong, okay, but that's not on me.

> If you decrease the doubling time of a exponential curve, you still have a situation where most of the area, most of the deaths in this case, is in the last double.

The closer you get to affecting the entire population, the less exponential your curve becomes. Especially if you're assuming that a significant chunk of the population doesn't get infected, you have to have a curve that spends a lot of time slowing down. The max infection rate will be a lot lower than an exponential curve that keeps accelerating until it slams into a brick wall and somehow instantly stops.
Oh buddy, I hate "high rate of speed" so much. Speed is already a rate of travel. This is just adding words and blather in an attempt to sound official, and not too far from "utilize" in place of "use," or "methodology" in place of "system." Or "vehicle" for "car."
Thanks for the reply. Where do US citizens go get tested in each state?
I'm pretty confident you cannot produce a study backing up that claim.

I'm going to leave some semi-random links on stunting and hygiene and I think I shall bow out of this pointless discussion. I suspect the real issue here boils down to tone policing or something similar and has nothing whatsoever to do with actual medical science.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6843659/

http://riceinstitute.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/downlo...

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4216152/

https://academic.oup.com/nutritionreviews/article/77/4/240/5...
You mean like doing all that after they can no longer hide it from any one else and the world needs them before they started doing so.
Iran: Coronavirus burial pits so vast they’re visible from space
Dropping stuff and falling are good examples. If you're paying attention, anyway. I can still grab stuff that's fallen maybe 10-20 cm, but by 50-100 cm it's moving way too fast.
These sound more like passive voice problems. It might seem silly, but the military has many good resources for writers.

A silly one, for example: https://www.armywriter.com/NCOER/bmw.pdf

It also touches on when not to use passive voice. :)
or die _even sooner_ with this herd immunity strat.

On an individual level, i would not want this, even if it's "better" for the UK in the long run. As an individual, it's unacceptable for me to take this sort of risk, and i would not agree to it if i had a choice.
This approach is definitely negligent to the point of criminality. There's no practical way to keep younger and healthy people away from older or less-healthy people and once the virus spreads to the less healthy people it will likely spread further.

(I've been doing the arithmetic for this stuff all day but here goes).

The UK's population is about 66 million. Sixty percent infected is 39,600,000. A 1% death rate (which, per above, you can't escape by "just infect young people" or something, jeesh) implies 396,000 dying. That many people dying, spread out evenly over a year is 1084 people dying per day but 10,840 people arrive sick at hospitals. Which is something the UK surely can't deal with. So with the health care system overwhelmed, the death goes to 5% or more and you have 2 millions deaths, much the WWII casualties etc.

Also, the "herd immunity" reasoning is wrong in the sense that we don't cultivate herd immunity to black plague, Ebola or small pox because they are deadly enough that we containment. Covids is in this special deadly "sweet spot" where it doesn't seem deadly enough to isolate in small area but too deadly to allow to run rampant across a city or nation. The answer that's forced on nation is mass city-by-city quarantine. Harsh but China's Wuhan experience was nowhere near the horrors that this "herd immunity" plan promises.
*Hubei
Blocking time in your calendar will stop incoming meeting invites, and then at those times my IM status is set to DND.

This idea that people at work should always be available is not a good standard that we've set ourselves up in. If you're in support or some job then yeah, this model won't work for you. If you're coding then it makes a big difference.
Okay, if I haven't made it clear. Where do US citizens go get tested in each state? The answer is NOT Walmart!
Thank you for clarifying. I'm stepping away from this discussion. I've already said that, but wanted to acknowledge your good intent.
I don't like wfh because I don't like being all alone at home all day. But my preference for office hinges upon the presence of other people in office too! That's why I encourage everyone to come to office and work.
https://philip.greenspun.com/blog/2020/03/14/if-the-british-...
It’s somewhat arbitrary, but also, countries can’t detect the presence of coronavirus when just a single resident has it. 100 is a good starting point for “this country has detected the virus within their borders — what’s going to happen?”
I was mainly thinking of K2.
From what I learn, Japan is acting like UK. Nothing like China and Korea at all. They don't want to cancel 2020 Olympics after all...
Would love to hear more about this. Do you have a blog or something? Where is the center located?
No real information. Marketingy-pictures. This seems like total fluff? I feel like the other HN post about DIY ventilators is a lot more interesting.
https://left.it/2020/03/13/covid_19-open-letter-from-italy-t...

Had Italy isolated just a week, 10 days earlier, the deaths would be a lot fewer.

Infection numbers double every 2 to 4 days.
Agree with frequent tests. Also live video as much as possible.
I do now know what is right, but I am glad humanity has a diverse set of strategies
Spanish lead epidemiologist was telling us a few weeks ago that nothing was going to happen here.

I did my numbers back in December. In January was already pretty worried, but I'm not an expert I thought. Maybe there's something I'm not taking in account.

So I kept reading about models and stats. Not that difficult. Ran my numbers again and again, yep it seemed pretty bad no matter what I cheated myself with parameters etc.

Then it came to Spain. I was pretty nervous by that time, kept it cool, tried to warn to people that this was no joke, everyone thought that I was a bit crazy and alarmist. Days passed, government went absolutely erratic and irreposible, lost all my trust in the lead epidemiologist and the ministry of Healthcare, not to mention the HUGE amount of healthcare workers that were insisting that it was just a flu and some of us were alarmists for two month and turned 360 in a few days.

Too late. Now I'm in it.
Some people are better communicators in person while others are better using written communication.

Working from home changes the relative value of certain skills. It make sense why people would be resistant to their own devaluing.

The work place is competitive and no one likes to see the rules of game change in way that disadvantages themselves.
Might cost less than 1.5 Trillion. Just some napkin math.
How would they control the software on my modem? I bought it from a third party.
This is shocking, I have read a lot of comments and threads on this site asking what can be done to help with the current crisis.

Just a suggestion but could somebody produce a global memorial site that the loved ones of those who have perished can upload media and stories of them or even allow people currently infected messages and media of themselves?

A virtual cenotaph for the global pandmic victims. Ideally something seperate from current social media sites with its own domain name to preserve their memory.

I believe if more people saw this they might heed the warnings and follow the advice being given out.
Yeah, GiveWell estimates $2331/death averted for AMF (2019). See sibling comment for their spreadsheet.
I have taken a short position in the last couple weeks because I believe the market will go down, rather than up. I have given some thought to the effects of my actions, and I haven't yet been able to figure how anything I'm doing is harmful or unethical. Every transaction requires more than just my consent, somebody had to be on the other end of that deal thinking they were going to be the one making money, and they might be right.
> Among people under 50, the best data we have is that the fraction needing ICU care is something like 0.2%

Any chance you remember where you found this statistic? I have been looking for any details on hospitalization rates by age range, but haven't had luck so far.
It reads more like a convoluted screenplay pitch.

Suspense of disbelief written in all caps all over the South African radar screens. Meanwhile, the laden MiG-21s almost mowing the lawns with their deadly payload at low alt approach. Hardworking Soviet "advisors" painstakingly filtering out RF interference, noise, and mixing in Doppler shit and beaming the IFF code back over to the war beasts that those fearless MiGs are, while at the same time selectively jamming the South African's own comms... I get that.

I don't get why and how did this obviously retracted story make the HN first page?
Yes, milk is hard to replace for the specific nutritional value it brings when raising small children. You can't go wrong feeding them cow's milk

https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/pregnancy-and-baby/vegetarian-...
Neat idea, though I think it will be quite some time before it produces something that people can build or use.

Another option might be to figure out ways to adapt existing ventilators to be used by multiple patients. If you find 4 patients with similar tidal volumes and body size, you can grab some Y tubing, attach them to the same ventilator, then set it to 4x the tidal volume and breathe for all of them.

This has been studied before[1] and was done in at least one mass casualty event[2]. The main disadvantage is the risk of spreading germs (though the air return hose is separate from the incoming hose, so that shouldn't be too much of a problem) and the fact that patients sharing a ventilator require more careful monitoring of blood gasses.[3]

I doubt patient outcomes will be as good as having one ventilator per patient, but if it can increase our capacity by 4x overnight it seems worth pursuing.

1. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/m/pubmed/16885402/

2. https://epmonthly.com/article/not-heroes-wear-capes-one-las-...

3. https://www.resuscitationjournal.com/article/S0300-9572(08)0...
Personally, I would call my health provider, or my local hospital to inquire about their particular Covid testing protocol, seeming as some states are currently reporting very few confirmed cases, while others are already doing drive-through testing.
Lockdown has been shown to work in wuhan and china, except for the political willingness and population willingness in western democracies.
Will everyone who blasted Trump in this entire post apologize? Don’t hold your breathe.
What’s your take on this line?

> Partial Clone is a new feature of Git that replaces Git LFS and makes working with very large repositories better by teaching Git how to work without downloading every file.
It is a matter of fact because interest rates are determined by the Fed...who say: we look at expected growth. Don't make things more difficult than they need to be (you can also see this quantitatively).
Correct, this feature should be built on top of the source control system, not as part of it.
> Your argument would be stronger if you dropped the opinionated hyperbole.

Not actually true, hyperbole doesn't change the quality of the evidence or the strength of the argument.

> As of a few days ago, this would have meant that millions of dollars went to toilet paper manufacturers.

Nothing wrong with that. If people feel a desperate need to buy overpriced toilet paper then the toilet paper manufacturers and distributors should be encouraged to take advantage of that. If a roll cost $30 that would stop people buying trolleys of the stuff all at once. Instead, shops in Australia have held prices steady and run out of toilet paper; leaving me peeved I have to say. The situation is pretty much strictly worse than if the free market was encouraged in times of crisis.

> You seem to be of the opinion that a free market knows best in crisis situations.

No, not at all. But suppressing free market forces in a crisis is one of the worst possible responses because it delays the corrective action by suppliers. Prices should be shooting up and down, and governments should be giving hospitals emergency funding so they can buy what they need. That'll provide the best signals of what is needed in a crisis. I bet the free market understood the need for test kits a lot more than the CDC did in America; there would have been hospitals crying out to test people.
> Sometimes sites have specific password rules. For instance, some banks only accept passwords made of numbers.

An easy solution would be to append "A1!" to all generated passwords.

> You also can self host your LessPass Database

From a local stateless solution to managing a server, that escalated fast.
Far more importantly IMO is the Chinese gov not shutting down live wildlife markets earlier, stopping dangerous non-scientific medicinal use, and enforcing trafficking of known-carriers. Specifically with COVID-19, the trade of Pangolins which are the "most trafficked animal in the world", which largely end up in China and Vietnam often via other SEA countries:

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00548-w

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/05/opinion/coronavirus-china...

Xi was aggressive shutting stuff down but then went on to praise Chinese medicine (basically Naturopathy) multiple times after the Coronavirus became apparent. Which is where the quack medicine that results in people grinding up Pangolin scales and taking them like medicine, then eating the meat. Not to mention having markets with live wildlife in unsanitary areas in the middle of major urban areas with high density.

I'm surprised the continued spread of woo by Chinese authorities isn't taking more of a beating. Not just doing nothing, but promoting it.

Even the recent wildlife market "ban" has a giant loophole:

> The coronavirus epidemic prompted China to permanently ban trade of wild animals as food, but not for medicinal use.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/27/science/coronavirus-pango...
I wrote a similar utility but using scrypt a while back https://slaymaker1907.github.io/password/.
The medium of in-person communication is very different from the tools of remote communication. You're trying to force in-person protocols and expectations in a situation that isn't well suited to this medium. This just adds to stress and friction in your team.

Have a look at Gitlab's remote working guide for lots more insight on how they address this situation: https://about.gitlab.com/company/culture/all-remote/guide/
> Sidenote - stating that "you will find most people will agree with me" is an, um, interesting method of argument.

Not at all. That is the standard for determining what something means.

What you're saying here is that I expressed an idea, you agree with me as to both what I meant by it and what other people would understand by it, but, for unstated reasons, you think my expression was metaphysically incorrect. Why?

The project of communication is for the listener to understand the same thing the speaker intended. If that happens, the communication was correct. As applied here, if I think "responsible for a flow of money", elucidated by a negative example, means something, and everyone else agrees with me that it means that thing... then that is in fact what it means. Words hold their meaning by common agreement, and solely by common agreement.
Both Singapore and South Korea publicly report such data. Names are anonymized, but it isn't that hard to dox them.

I personally think it is bad that HIPAA doesn't have epidemic exemptions. Over you have widespread testing, having this info public allows:

* Exposed individuals to submit to testing, learning more about who may be exposed = more data and find more exposure

* Learn valuable patterns about disease transfer. E.g. Both Singapore and South Korea clusters suggest children aren't playing a significant role in transfer, but aren't enough data to know for sure. With more data, perhaps we would know they aren't and could avoid enormously expensive school closings.

Honestly, I'm not sure what the end games of lockdown in Western societies are with a disease that can spread asymptomatically. You need these kind of X area was infected at y time announcements to get high enough testing coverage of potentialy infected people.
The point is the gathering of a network of people to tackle open engineering needs.
This is madness. You can’t scale up ICU based ventilatory support to keep up with a pandemic.

All resources should be going towards infection control measures, a quick and highly scalable diagnostic test, and antiviral therapy. In that order.
It doesn't provide young children / babies with enough nutrition. Cow's milk is stupidly simple https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/pregnancy-and-baby/vegetarian-...
Some may perceive this as weakness.
GitHub doing something one way and GitLab copying it doesn't make a standard.
Sure, but they didn't go back in time to test more people.
This is already happening in my small neighborhood. In about 80 homes, residents range in age from 0.5 years to 86 years. Several younger householders today organized to buy and deliver items needed by older residents so they can continue self-isolation. Spontaneous and heartwarming.
What city, if I may ask?
I've taken Georgia Tech's OMSCS program. What really sets this apart is the active feedback on assignments / course interaction from Professors and TAs in Piazza.

Current online courses have really watered down content and zero/terrible ways of evaluating the material.

Things that I like too see in an online course:

- Keep assignments on a regular basis (on par with your campus schedule). Quizzes are great to keep them engaged but
do not use them to replace regular assignments.

- Design them to be auto-graded as much as possible. Bonus points if there was some way the students can evaluate their solution locally.

- Something like Piazza/Forum setup to answer student questions and have an appropriate number of TAs.

- Post all the resources used in the videos to be accessible for later reference (slides and links).

If you're recording content for future offerings, ensure that the content is consistently updated to stay relevant.
> Does anyone from the crypto community know if there exists a solution for a problem like that?

Technically it can be done, and in an obfuscated way no less without relying on self-reporting, which is always going to skew things; consider the following:

- At boarding have a scale underneath a padded area when scanning each and every passenger (calibration required): this will create a unique ID that corresponds with the boarding pass and seat number and weight while the ticket is being scanned, how long this takes is anyone guess as I'm not an engineer.

- Upon acquiring the weight of each passenger, create a hash for that ID and measured weight, and use that to associate the measured weight rather than the ID, such that it creates an aggregate of each and every boarded passenger with info rather than Jane Doe 55Kg (ID/weight). Record that info into a DLT/blockchain held by a series of parties to validate independently.

- With that info you can discern individual weights, without actually having an identity attached to said weight measurement. And in real time, no less.

This, albeit crudely lined out as its a rather lengthy process to describe, is the basis for why blockchain technology/DLT could be useful for voting as it was used in Sierra Leone's 2018 election:

https://techcrunch.com/2018/03/14/sierra-leone-just-ran-the-...

https://www.agora.vote/

PS: I don't think a token is necessary, simply having the hashed info recorded onto a blockchain is enough, assuming its held by independent parties to be able to validate.
So, it sounds like the UK is having a big chicken pox party?
I'm a technologist in Education. This frightens a lot of educators who are pretenders in Academia trying to lead technology development.

Supporting instructors, and instruction directly has been my main area of focus for the past year, in addition to being directly involved in developing online education platforms for the past 20 years in K-12, Academia and Industry.

I'm not sure if you have a tech background, but making sure you have competent technology advisement at all stages is quickly emerging as a key differentiator. If decision makers in academia haven't had technical literacy to make technical decisions, it shouldn't be a surprise if the experiences are not engaging, because they aren't leveraging digital interactions for what they're capable of, and instead only what a limited non-technical academic background can imagine.

Important:

- Not taking the lecture format classroom of the past 100 years and putting it online in video. MOOCs are handicapped before they even begin, quite often. Sure, great instructors who can explain well are good, but they are the exception, and not the norm. Another key problem remains.. god help you if you have to change the video. The key I focus on is how students are experiencing MOOCs as being the main lens. Academic institutions can have a hard time letting the frame go to be student centric instead of instruction-centric. Online education shouldn't be rooted in the practice of distance education (correspondence, textbooks, phone calls)

- The baseline of the student is that they are far more digitally literate and competent than the institutions they are walking to and most often more than their instructors.

- Much of the Academic online education world is designed and anchored in a past of a web browser on a desktop.. by educators who do not have competency in the possibilities or capabilities of tech.

- When it comes to making digitally engaging learning experiences, first you have to consider if academics rarely learn how to teach, let alone digitally.

- I would seriously pay attention to how students are interacting and studying digitally and focus far less on the existing taxonomies and nomenclature as it does not relate well to self-directed learning.

- The Copernican view of curriculum being the sacred cow of Academia is rooted in Math not changing much in a few hundred years, and generally the rate of change in curriculum being slow. In the real world, Academia is quickly reaching a point where they cannot update fast enough to keep pace with the change in the world, and the gap between students and entering a job is increasing.

- Again, see what students are doing to stay relevant - it's not always formal education.

- Learning how to learn is a course I reference early and often to all sides as the key skill being missed.
Influenza A started as the Spanish Flu. It likely won't go away - instead either vaccination will control it to much smaller levels, but more likely a less virulent form will evolve and join the other 4 common coronaviruses as another endemic virus.
This is what infuriates me so much about the new Mac portables...they clearly were designed by hunt-and-peck peons. Software "keys" that you have to look down to reliably hit, word suggestions (implying you should looking down at the keyboard instead of the screen, which is flat out wrong...) and scrolling emoji. Never mind the key failures...