skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
He was smart (if unstable) but overall a huge pessimist.

Technology has reduced suffering to an incredible degree. It's created some of its own suffering, sure, but overall I'd much rather live today than any time in the past.

And 100 years from now we'll have created a world with incredibly low amount of suffering. It's inevitable if we don't suffer a major setback like nuclear war.

He seemed depressed and pessimistic. Not a good state of mind for evaluating the world objectively.
I’ve never written in lisp, and my lack of knowledge of it always makes me feel a bit of respect towards people who do. Like maybe it’s this amazing thing that if I was smart enough to understand, I would achieve transcendence, or something.

But the biggest thing I look for in a programming language, is “how many bugs can it stop me from writing”, and a lack of any compile time checking is what keeps me from even bothering to look at it.

I’ve spent many years programming in perl, then ruby, before finally using Go and then Java and then Typescript and now Swift, and I feel like the period of time where I would tolerate a lack compile-time type checks is gone. It’s just table stakes at this point.

Maybe lisp is the end game for non-type-checked languages and it’s the best a dynamic language can hope to be. But I just don’t care at this point, because that whole category of languages seems to be a broken idea to me at this point.
its a bit weird to watch a state that snored through 30 years of medical knowledge on the safe and effective practice of abortion in favor of christian pseudoscience suddenly become concerned about the pseudoscience of a televangelists snake oil.

this is the same Missouri that insists women read a pseudoscience pamphlet prior to getting an abortion, including an entire passage about "fetal pain"

https://health.mo.gov/living/families/womenshealth/pregnancy...
> There are still no sponsors paying for a C++ repository with disk+bandwidth that everyone will upload their code to.

This already does exist: Conan, for example. And cppget for build2.
That’s not censorship. He could publish it online or at his own expense whenever he wants, but nobody else is obliged to help him do it.
"The Bay area currently has 204 confirmed cases (as of 3/15). Multiplying that by either 10x or 50x (Harvard's estimated ratio of confirmed:unconfirmed cases) to get the actual number of confirmed cases today: 2,040 - 10,200 actual current cases in the Bay area."

Er, ah, uh, .... Multiply 204 cases by an estimated ratio of confirmed to unconfirmed cases of 10 to 50 gives 2040 - 10,200 estimated current cases in the Bay Area.

"Just because if I multiply by a 50x ratio, it returns a number larger than the 7.8MM total residents in the Bay area."

As you just discovered, a raw exponential increase cannot continue for very long, if only because infected individuals begin to have difficulty finding uninfected individuals to infect.

"80% of those will be "mild" which means "possibly as bad as having pneumonia but not needing a hostpital stay." 14% will require a hospital bed."

You may want to knock down the severity numbers a bit, since it seems likely that severe cases will be reported and confirmed in larger numbers than less severe cases.

"Potentially, even assuming aggressive social distancing, the Bay area needs 11x more beds than it has available in the next 30 days."

You probably should do this calculation in terms of bed-days: how long a given case occupies a bed on average before release/death.

Finally, as far as I know, the severity for old and infirm cases is much, much higher than the severity for those of you who are young and healthy. You may want to modify your model for local demographics.
Keybase Proof
[ my public key: https://keybase.io/gtmadureira; my proof: https://keybase.io/gtmadureira/sigs/e42fTjAt8cjEJLtxFQiwKnbwi-6ON8T6JOrdEJaBlVk ]
> president Xi was at ground zero and then it's obvious he would catch the virus too.

It's a virus, not nuclear radiation. Fucking hell.

As for the rest of your argument, it's not coherent. I'd tell you to rephrase it, but I don't think I'd get anywhere.
Our kids have been all over the world and enjoy traveling. It’s a bit naive to think every child is the same. I question your judgment regarding other people’s parenting.
both rename and mmv are pretty handy
Maybe there are different recommendations where you live, but here in Sweden and most of the hits on a web search suggest max dosage of paracetamol is 4g/day spread out.
Luck (current philosophical theorising about the concept of luck)
The active dose is nowhere near the lethal dose. It is however close to the dose where you could see some minor damage to the liver. It causes problems because people are addicted to opioid drugs that are typically combined with acetaminophen, not because they are loading up on acetaminophen itself.
I have a question about test positivity rate. UW Virology has been at about 8%, and that's them soliciting tests from all over the nation over the last week during a time when testing was very constrained. Even then, UW only reached capacity yesterday, they had capacity to spare until then. Divide worldometers "cases per day" stat by the the CDC website testing data as of a few days ago (the most recent day they declare their numbers complete), and you get around 8%. Finally, the Friday press conference mentioned the LabQuest LabCorp tests coming online and adding significant capacity, and that their test positivity rate as of then was about 2%, and this is all during a time when testing is limited, and presumably, only the most urgent or probable cases are being sent off for testing.

I don't have a lot of exponential-math insight, but those rates seem low if the virus has spread like crazy already. How does that reconcile with the math in this article?
Ted Kaczynski offered a critique of 'leftism' that still seems to be accurate. The 'Bay Area Liberal' stereotype that prioritizes defense of victims over all other matters.. well we've definitely seen explosions in that arena.

The larger picture of technology taking over society seems to be accurate as well. It was only 13 years ago when we got the iphone, it's bizarre to think that people didn't stare at their phones constantly only 15 years ago.
The United States's greatest challenges of the 20th century were only dealt with after the country had strong leadership at the top. There is zero chance the U.S. will get that aforementioned strong leadership before January 2021 at the earliest.
Well, then they're idiots. Plenty of people under 50 will end up in intensive care, roughly half of them survive, the remainder will have a good chance of lung issues for the rest of their lives.
yes, in the US, 16"-on-center is the standard for stud spacing (12"-on-center used to be used too but not so much anymore).

one of the interesting tidbits about passivhaus construction is that it tries to minimize even more the wood content of a building (in favor of insulation), so studs can even go to 24" apart.
I personally believe that there is a genetic susceptibility to the virus, but unfortunately, any kind of academic study regarding this is mostly suppressed/shamed. But if you go back an read studies of SARS, many will straight out say that specific genetic pools within China were more susceptible than others.
Science, the Endless Frontier: A Report to the President by Vannevar Bush
It's interesting that preventing a cyber virus and a real world virus is mutually exclusive. Some things require connectivity, when it's virtual connectivity you're exposed to virtual viruses and when it's physical connectivity you're exposed to real viruses.
paste is an important part of the shell wizard's diet. paste with one input from `yes` is quite useful.
This is a negative and overall unhelpful comment.

Not only do I not agree with your characterization of what is useful for him to do, your ideas about health care policies and mandatory sick are irrelevant, distracting, unimaginative, and an example of moral posturing that takes the form of demanding employers somehow take this burden, basically it is moral for you to demand someone-not-you foot the bill for something you think should happen.

I deeply wish this wasn’t the highest voted comment on this submission.
or cal -3 -m 3 2020
Sir Patrick Vallance, England’s chief scientific adviser, said the government was looking “to build up some kind of herd immunity so more people are immune to this disease and we reduce the transmission.” [1]

Britain’s chief scientific adviser ... said that about 40m people in the UK could need to catch the coronavirus to build up “herd immunity” and prevent the disease coming back in the future. [2]

Sir Patrick told Sky News that experts estimated that about 60 per cent of the UK’s 66m population would have to contract coronavirus in order for society to build up immunity. [2]

Read more:

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/world/europe/coronavirus-...

[2] https://www.ft.com/content/38a81588-6508-11ea-b3f3-fe4680ea6...
Thank you! Stay tuned for the things you mentioned. :) And yes, we are very happy to have raised this Series B now so that we can be a bastion of stability for our team and customers given the uncertainty out there.
you seem to believe that the government can control a function exponential in time but with incomplete and delayed information. what could possibly go wrong? you only have to miss one super spreader event and you're left with a runaway transmission that you only get to know about 5-10 days after it happened.

also, if bojo wants to ask old people to stay home for 4 months in a couple weeks, why not ask them now to stay home for 4 and a half months? not enough dead in the calculation or what?
Somewhat, in that it doesn’t use more precision than needed, but the real issue is you can’t just pick some arbitrarily large precision and round at the end. For some calculations, even 400 digits during intermediate steps would not be enough due to catastrophic cancellation and you would need to go even higher precision to get the right answer. It really is about solving an accuracy issue and not an optimization. And determining that you are using sufficient precision to get an accurate answer is an extra cost, so it is always more expensive than just plowing ahead and calculating an inaccurate answer.
But aren't their elder people highly likely to be conservative voters, and also voting in large percentages. If those people do not vote in the next elections, won't the tories lose by a large margin?

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2019/1... (And anything else I could find by googling gives similar stats)

The government may not be moral, but I don't know if any government makes plans for losing election in a landslide. Is there something I am missing here?
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: 'Why you are harming others by not 'overreacting''
Your portfolio should already be no more than 60% equities if you’re near retirement.

If you’re not ready to retire, you have much time for the value of your portfolio to recover and continue to grow.

“Time in the market” is the primary consideration, but also proper diversification (less growth, but also less risk) as you get closer to retirement.
Aws, gcp and azure are unlikely to delete your shit the moment your card expires?
> Seriously, please read about how creepy Ford was, this article does not do it justice.

What surprised me the most is that Ford's decision to increase wages was actually to use Ford's dominance to pull an anti-competitive play on his rivals to try to dry them of talent and manpower, which back in the days actually was deeply tied to the throughput and quality of the product that comes out of their production lines.

Thus by paying a little extra to their workers, you in practice are killing off your competition by strangling their ability to produce competing products.

It surprised me that the author showed ignorance in a way that forced him to use some imagination to come up with absurd argumrnts when he did not needed to.
That's roughly three weeks from now. Once ICU capacity is saturated it goes downhill very fast. In Italy that took less than three weeks because their population skews elderly, so in the UK it might take a bit longer.
> We’re talking about Folding@Home not any (or all) distributed computing project(s).

Oh, that wasn’t really clear to me. Anyway, there is a close relationship between the SETI project and the Folding project, so this doesn’t seem like a weird stretch to me to compare them. Whatever SETI@home has achieved is evidence for what Folding@home might achieve.

> plots available through an easy google search show that in the past it was never even larger than the biggest machines on the TOP500

But that has little bearing on either what’s possible in the future, nor why they aren’t scheduling compute time on Summit, right?

Maybe the best answer to your original question is posted in the FAQ section on folding at home.org: see “Why not just use a supercomputer” https://foldingathome.org/support/faq/project-details/

> Also AFAIK garbage flops also count.

That’s always true in these peak performance measurements, both for distributed projects and for supercomputers too. Also true for CPU & GPU peak flops specs.

We can’t actually know how much ‘useful’ work is being done in any case, that depends on all kinds of things like what kind of problem is being solved, how data-parallel the problem is, how well the problem is even understood, what algorithms are being used, what bottlenecks there are on data & IO, whether the implementers used python or CUDA.

I just don’t see any reason why Folding@Home would or should refrain from distributed crowd computing just because supercomputers exist. They can both happen. We don’t need to try to come up with efficiency numbers or compare utility/flop in order to see that Folding@Home is producing some useful research results, right?

Maybe it’s worth pointing out that compute time on TOP500 supercomputers is not free, and Folding@Home is not a job you can run for 1 day or 1 week and be done. Nvidia or IBM could donate some time, but it won’t finish the project, so it might make no sense to donate supercomputer time, just like it makes no sense for Folding@Home to seek out or purchase supercomputer time.
You proved my point. Aggressive testing will plump up the denominator. Deaths cannot escape so the numerator is accurate.

In Germany and Switzerland if all the serious cases are deaths then the death rate is 0.1-0.5%.
"A U.S. official said: “This story is wildly overplayed … We will continue to talk to any company that claims to be able to help. And any solution found would be shared with the world.”
Ohio Closing Bars and Restaurants Effective 9PM EST – March 15th
To join the minecraft server:

visit.uncensoredlibrary.com
How is it “good” when they’re turning away >80 year olds?
Ask HN: What Can We Do?
It seems to me that there are people in this forum who are either decision makers at tech companies, or are in a position to sway those decision makers. One thing that occurs to me is that as schools switch to distance learning models, companies like Zoom could (if even only temporarily) offer their services for free to affected school districts. Given that most of us are not first responders or health care professionals, what are the other opportunities for us to make a valuable difference at this time?
Is it news that he acts like a sociopath?
The Johns Hopkins data (used in your link) has had a lot of problems the last couple of days. They've been doing various refactorings such as switching from per-county to per-state data, and it's causing a lot of issues. (It's a bit alarming that the number of cases is so high that even the people just tracking the data are getting overwhelmed.)

I've been following their data for a while and I admire their work, but I've stopped believing their numbers without double-checking. (Yes, I've filed bugs.) In addition, the last day on the graph has always made it look like cases are tapering off because it's partial data.

https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/issues/650
> And your point is that it would be better to write pre/postprocessing logic in the build system

well, it has to be somewhere and i'd rather write my build configuration in a language instead of N. So yes, that's what I do currently and it causes me exactly zero issues.
Realistically though, looting during a quarantine is pretty much the dumbest time to do so. The best scenario for looting is that one gets something valuable with minimal risk (eg. taking from an abandoned store or house).

Looting houses during a quarantine means that the looters would go into houses that are actively occupied, at a time where the occupants are nervous and potentially armed. Pretty much the worst case scenario.

Doesn't mean there aren't dumb criminals, but between looting houses for food or shoplifting food from stores, one is clearly less risky.
Could you expand on your observation regarding the true growth rate? I don't think that's accurate. Italy's outbreak is entering its fourth week, they have a very constant daily factor of ~1.33. Most countries are on the same trajectory. The only ones to have slowed down are China, South Korea and possibly Iran, though I really doubt the Iran numbers.

You can see that here, all the others are linear in a log plot: https://studylib.net/coronavirus-growth
I only see the ‘Buy’ option. How do you get the free access?
Upload small file to a large number of emails using star operator
Hi all,

I was reading RFCs and am now wondering how to use the '' wildcard char to send emails to all the users mailboxes of a given server with the IP
I use IPs instead of domain names for efficiency and the domain name gets translated to IP anyways using DSN and the IP approche lets me
get exhaustive list of IPs. Or coarse there are reserved/excluded IPs such as 127.0.0.1 (loopback).
For example mail @1.0.0.1 < email.txt => sends email.txt to all users of https://www.cloudflare.com/

this approche has several advantages, first its exhaustive. don't need to input all domain names, second you don't get "mail undelivered"
email messages bouncing back to mailbox for non existing users. third for stealth (using Tor or coarse) make you email untracable.
The only thing the receiving end user sees is "@" in "From:"

I have tried different approches for *@1.0.0.1 but the command fails even when using mutt, pine, etc

any ideas ?

thank's
Service guarantees citizenship.
That number is a crude estimate based on reported cases. The real number of cases is obviously higher than the ones being reported.
It was on the public bulletin board for a apartment complex.

The complex changed hands and the new complex management was in the habit of closing with that remark. We took it as a sign and moved.
Is it rational to choose economy over lives?

At the very least it's morally repugnant. The majority of the politicians are in vulnerable demographics, so at least they'll pay the price like everyone else.
The conservatives have just come out of the largest win in modern UK parliament history. They also posses an uncanny ability to be able to not see beyond the next year. They won't be concerned with the next election yet.
I don't know why they downvote you. The best think Hitler ever did is kill himself, but still, the poison he has put on paper must live on so we never forget what happened. We do have the risk that some people may follow those writings, but we should not erase history.

From Wikipedia: Thucydides has been dubbed the father of "scientific history" by those who accept his claims to have applied strict standards of impartiality and evidence-gathering and analysis of cause and effect, without reference to intervention by the deities, as outlined in his introduction to his work.

I do NOT imply that Allen, Weinstein, Hitler are the modern Thucydides buy if we silence them we become them. Let their works be forgotten because they deserve it, not because they were censored (imho).
Bridge Command – Interactive 3D ship and radar simulator/training tool
> "The temperature is on a trajectory to breach the machine's operating limit in N minutes" seems pretty actionable.

Do you really think that the folks in the Google datacenters are not monitoring rack temp? Implemnting Symptom based alerting does not mean you should not be monitoring other system metrics. Their monitoring system probably filed a P1 or P2 ticket for someone to go take a look at it at some point. But should a person be paged at 2 A.M to repair this? Absolutely not.
#2 is impossible to satisfy, even moreso without ruining the states goal of the project.
Elon Musk hasn't found a crisis yet that he did not use to put his foot in his mouth somehow. I've given up on believing that he will grow up at some point.
I suspect the Raspberry Pi issue is avoided because technically, it doesn't do squat until you install software on it. You might get a preflashed Raspbian card in the box, but I could just as easily be running RiscOS
> Is everyone in a high-risk group supposed to withdraw themselves from society for six months until they can emerge once the (so far entirely imaginary) second wave has been averted?

OK... but... isn't that what everyone is being advised to do right now? So maybe not a great example of something unrealistic to ask? Since in fact the UK would be asking it of fewer people than... many are saying it needs to be asked of -- although the US government isn't actually telling us to... yet? But that's the alternative those who who think the UK's plan is madness are suggesting, right? Asking everyone to withdraw from society for months?

I can see the desire: Wait, could we just ask high-risk people to withdraw themselves from society for months, instead of asking everyone to do that? Cause that'd be a lot less disruptive to our social and mental health maybe it'd be just as good? (There are real costs to mental health and social functioning of asking everyone to avoid all contact with everyone else; it might be the best option anyway, but it's definitely not without it's own health risks and consequences).

But I'm no expert. It kind of sounds like the experts are saying "not really, that isn't a good idea, everyone has got to do it". Sometimes what we are called upon to do is not easy or pleasant.

One of the frustrating and anxiety-producing things here is that we aren't getting very consistent messaging from the governmental authorities and experts. It seems like really a failure of the kind of consistent and pervasive public health educational messaging that would actually maximize compliance. Instead it's "everyone picks what forwarded chain letter on facebook makes sense to them" and we all know how well that works...
MergedTrie: Efficient Textual Indexing
> In my experience, this is exactly how business owners feel.

Anyone who consumes a good or service is aware of its market price, and is very well capable of comparing it to any value offered. There is no need to pull a classist conspiracy card because, in the very least, those responsible for doing the hiring have interviewed multiple candidates and heard what wages they were asking, and were more than able to compare offers.
I remember reading this when it was first published, in the newspapers.

It was an eye-opening experience -- previous reports had all described the manifesto as rambling, incoherent, crazy, etc. It turned out to not be like that at all.

It was the first time I really had my eyes opened to how deceptive the media can be.
The only person taking anything I said out of context is you. I've been very specific about the 7% estimate being unique to Italy, replete with a source. I've never claimed that to be the overall wordlwide mortality rate, so read before accusing someone.

> Please, act responsibly ..

I suggest you practice what you preach, and read someone else's well intentioned, informed opinion without attributing malice or intent to spread falsehoods.

Most of all, the false narrative that a universal health care system somehow handles pandemics any better is clearly being proven wrong in the case of Italy, which is what I was trying to point out