skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Most mild cases are reported as they perform temperature check for everyone who enters and exit most if not all enclosures, so unless those people self-quarantined and never go out, they are likely be included in the statistics.

Asymptomatic cases are extremely rare, if they infects multiple others, they will likely be identified through retrospection. Overall, I'd say those cases are unlikely to result in significant difference in the estimate.
"If we're mobilizing to stop a pandemic, why the hell aren't we mobilizing to stop climate change?"

Because a frog boiled very slowly usually doesn't complain until it's too late.
Had this pandemic infections happen two orders of magnitude slower, nobody would give a damn.
For insurance, I have found it's difficult to beat the negotiating power of the multiple large Federal Government offerings - and you can shop before you decide to join:

https://www.opm.gov/healthcare-insurance/healthcare/plan-inf...
It is not the most popular opinion, but unless the modeling is coming from legit experts, as compared to some people playing with numbers, I prefer to ignore them. I stick with sources like the WHO and local health authorities, simply becasue they have the knowledge, expertie, man power and data basis to come up with reliable numbers.

That being said, Austria is closing schools starting next week, Bavaria is discussing the same. Denmark and Plnd are closing schools as well. So even if Italy is 7 days ahead, other Eurpean countries are closing down sooner.
Blaming? Or encouraging?
I don't know about embedding, but I've been happy with the Metabase UI for building these kinds of queries:

https://www.metabase.com/docs/latest/users-guide/custom-ques...
Shouldn't be an issue, insurance companies routinely do this.
Anecdotal evidence is horrible. I’ve heard people in their 60’s say the same thing.
I believe trolling is against the rules.
Interesting. I was never a fan of AA and I was very critical in the lack of science and rigor in addiction treatment, and actually for mental health in general. I always felt there were better treatments, but CBT-based group therapy / 12-step alternatives are pretty rare. All you really need to start a chapter of AA is to not have one nearby and a place to host it. It's comforting that AA at least doesn't make things worse, on average, even if its not amazing. I'm still not comfortable with the fact that the government will require people to attend what is essentially a religious service as criminal punishment, and there are certain aspects of AA that they should probably at least de-emphasize.
Newsweek is a dead, empty brand at this point. A badge that gets passed from owner to owner.

https://nypost.com/2020/02/14/ex-newsweek-owner-dodges-jail-...
It has been motivated at least in Denmark (limit was 1000, now 100) and Sweden (limit 500) that larger events attract people traveling to it. This traveling and being among large crowds large is what they want to avoid.
While smaller events, say a local low division football team, doesn't normally attract a tone else than locals. The exact number is arbitrary but has to be something, right now 100 in Denmark, 500 in Sweden and will likely change over time.
Show HN: I'm launching Cybersenshi.com, give me your domain to scan it for free
Hi, before 8 months I've started to build Cybersenshi.com to automate Cybersecurity testing for non-Cybersecurity people in a simple way and for Cybersecurity professionals to automate many testing for recon and vulnerability assessment.

I've wrote about it here:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20293341

I'm about to launch it to public and I want to test it thus provide me your domain name and send me an email from it so I can verify the ownership and I will give you Cybersecurity testing report for free!
Subcontractor for one of Polish mobile carriers here. Around 5pm we got a memo to work remotely starting tomorrow until further notice. Until now the company has been rather reluctant to embrace remote work to the full extent (maximum 1 day per week with quite a complicated procedure to go through to get approved). I've never worked remotely for this company so this is going to be an interesting time.
The good thing is that probably you can come up with an educated guess, if you put in a formula, based on that we saw until now how the propagation works. The bad thing is that you will come up with a number much smaller than 100 and it will lead to panic
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At this point we have had 1C of warming, and the economic effects have been minimal. The most aggressive IPCC model shows another 1C by 2050. So that's double the warming. What will the economic damage be? Probably more than 2x, but almost certainly not 100x, which is what it would take to have a meaningful impact on the economy. This is why the market isn't worried about it.
To the people here with older parents (70+), there's another thing you can do:

Call your parents. Tell them they need to take this seriously, because they are the ones most likely to die from this virus.

Tell them that while average mortality rates may be low, it is highly dependend on age. Dr. Drosten of Charité in Berlin estimates mortality from corona in people aged >80 to be around 25%.

Tell them that exponential growth always looks harmless at first but that this exponential growth is also what makes atomic bombs explode.

Tell them that dying from Corona means dying alone.

The last point finally convinced them to stay at home.
Both [your observation and mine] are true. I am not talking about mainstream scientists. Sadly, they don't control the larger conversations.
Yeah, your country sucks.
JS, C++, C# are what I'm coming from. There was no need to put things in strange orders and otherwise do so many other things different from C style for no apparent reason. Sure, you can find some example of another language doing something any way, but that doesn't make it a good idea. What tangible benefit is there to having to put the type after the function declaration?
In response to question she also emphasized that all unnecessary activity in society is essentially discouraged.
I don't think it's that dire. All we really need to do is get R0 below 1.0.

In Wuhan, they got it down to 0.3 with the huge lockdown and also aggressive testing and out-of-home quarantine. We will need a period of that to get the case count down to near zero.

Then it's possible to let up, but just a bit. People will need to wear masks and wash their hands a lot, but if R0 is say, 0.8, each new case leads to just a few more cases and then it dies out instead of exponentially growing. That's the flip side of an exponential function.
Anyone have thoughts on companies that don't include authors' names in blog posts? My (big N) employer anonymizes our technical blog posts.
An economic analysis of ransomware and its welfare consequences
I remember! Pouring one out for FF right now.
> But rather highlighting that maybe people who accept 'surrender' of their own will are more likely to get better.

There's a correlation/causation trap here. It can be very reasonably hypothesized in the opposite direction: people comfortable with surrender to higher power are more likely to respond to AA as a treatment.
The 2006 Cochrane Collaboration review was based on just eight studies, and ended with a call for more research to assess the program’s efficacy. In the intervening years, researchers answered the call. The newer review also applied standards that weeded out some weaker studies that drove earlier findings.

In the last decade or so, researchers have published a number of very high-quality randomized trials and quasi-experiments. Of the 27 studies in the new review, 21 have randomized designs. Together, these flip the conclusion.

(from that NYT link)
you're focusing only on one uncontrollable thing. the point is to be responsible and lower as much as possible the daily contact you have with people for a while. there are plenty of yuppies where I live who still dont mind going to extremely hot and packed yoga classes, or going out to bars or partying, etc etc. none of that is required, at all, in your daily life.
> Nobody is dying from global warming.

Citation needed. Many (also old) people died in the European heat waves of the last summer. And every year these summers are getting hotter.

Once crops closer to the already dry and hot areas of the globe stop to yield, and people migrate away from those areas — how many people die in the resulting conflicts, how much human suffering will be produced there?

What impact will the usage of resources we use to safeguard costal cities against rising waters have on other areas that prevent human suffering?

Answering the possible fallout from even a moderate change in global climate is nowhere near as clear cut as you make it out to be.

On top of that: the ddcisions we take now could potentially be multiplied by the next 1000 human generations, only idiots would take that risk lightly.
Has it been? Those 65 and older (Medicare), those on assistance (Medicaid), and current/past military service members (Tricare) all appear to be very satisfied with their single payer healthcare.

I genuinely don't understand why this is considered a radical idea when so many citizens are happy with this public benefit. This leads me to believe that the only cohort who believes it to be radical is that which is to be disrupted by such a policy.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/186527/americans-government-hea...

"Americans' satisfaction with the way the healthcare system works for them varies by the type of insurance they have. Satisfaction is highest among those with veterans or military health insurance, Medicare and Medicaid, and is lower among those with employer-paid and self-paid insurance. Americans with no health insurance are least satisfied of all."
Perhaps its because we already have technological solutions put in place or still actively developed to actually reduce climate change ahead of time even when eventually we'll see the real devastation in action in 10 - 20 years time.

Compared to this, the virus spreads extremely fast and healthcare systems across the world are being stretched and tested since there aren't any vaccines or solutions yet to tackle COVID-19 except for reminding everyone to wash their hands regularly.

So the world now has to focus on battling a pandemic now rather than improving on the technologies already put in place to save us from climate catastrophe. At least taking a flight should now be seen as a double negative at this time for the kids of today.
That's very subjective though.

I could just as well say "White and ignorant of racial differences? Good for you. Now stop destroying our grandchildren's homelands."

To me, one of our headlines is hysterical and dangerous, while the other is a deeply serious, indisputable reality. I think you might say the same.

Perhaps we could both agree that this is a very odd time and place to shoehorn in either polarising political narrative.
might want to merge this with https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22547324
I've tried white boards few times and it never stuck. I do like to use small paper notebooks, one for each project.
There are C interpreters, commercial and open source since the mid-90's, don't mix languages with implementations.
Of course it's terrible to say, but it might help the USA with social security payments.
What we currently have is what people are voting for

We have something similar with respect to climate change policy in Australia - most people in polls and surveys claim to want more aggressive mitigation policies, yet they will just not vote for it.

A complex web of fears and other factors seems to have caused a sclerosis in most of the liberal democracies, and any significant change from the clearly dysfunctional status quo is almost impossible to bring about. Polities that can't respond to changing circumstances are not going to fare well & we clearly have deep troubles in our very near futures.
If Merkel's assertion that 60%-70% of the population in Germany will be infected is accurate, and we end up with similar numbers in the US, the math is pretty stunning.[1]
With a US population of 330,000,000, we end up with 198,000,000 infected, using the lower estimate of 60%.[2] A study in China concluded a 2.4% mortality rate and the WHO reported 3.4% among reported cases.[3][4]

Using a (hopefully not) conservative 1% mortality rate, we're talking about 1,980,000 dead Americans. That's more than the American Revolution, the Civil War, WWI, WWII, the Vietnam War, the Middle East wars, and indeed every other military conflict the US has engaged in since 1775.. combined.[5] And not just a bit more, it's roughly 3 times as many as all US combat fatalities since the beginning of our country.

[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/11/angela-merkel-most-people-wi...
[2]https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/us-population...
[3]http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/02/study-720...
[4]https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1234872254883909642
[5]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_military_casualt...
And yet anyone I know who actually approves of Trump behaves nearly identically to these bots. He has an absurdly high approval rating in his own party
This is the exact attitude described as being destructive in the article. It is also plainly illogical. It is so obviously illogical that it is boring. By doing normal things one spreads the virus, killing people and grinding businesses to a halt. This argument boils down to stopping deaths by increasing infection rates.
Location: Vancouver, BC

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Doctors share stories from inside the Italy coronavirus quarantine
Which is a good thing in both cases you mentioned. Though seeing those visualizations could put things in a proper perspective and prompt officials to act quickly while they could still do something about it. Many health experts are worried and are expressing their concerns publicly already.

/r/covid19 is trying to keep all posts scientific and high quality, maybe you can monitor it over there for latest info.
Except that second guessing still happened after the classification, which disproves the point entirely.
We changed the URL from https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-03-alcoholics-anonymous-... to one that gives more information about what's going on here.
Did the article previously mention daycare facilities? Not explicitly stated right now.
I don't think you can ever truly have equality with separate leagues.

Segregation is inherently unequal. We learned this in school with Brown v. Board of Education.
The headline is what brought many participants to this discussion. It's a part of the article, and comment-worthy.

This looks like an editorial, for which it seems that at least some authors choose their own titles. For example, see:

> Use a catchy title that ties into the theme of your piece. The title is what the reader sees first. Your title should entice the reader.

https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/writing-op-eds

There are other sources that give similar advice.
And fortunately, you don't have to.

People come to AA when their lives have completely fallen to shit. They need something, even if it's something that they have to completely make up for themselves out of whole cloth. They'll believe it because they need to believe it.

People who can quit cold turkey, or manage their alcohol consumption, should do so. AA is a last resort, when you're so desperate that even an atheist is willing to give up something of themselves in order to stop drinking. For atheists there are ways to make that "higher power" palatable, but it's still going to be horrible.

Most people will never have to do that, and they should happily pass that by. Just be aware that there are people whose lives are that bad that they'll try to force themselves to believe. Even so, many will fail. Addiction is a terrible, awful thing.
Additionally, how many people will the economic fallout of shutting down everything for 4 weeks kill?
Last I heard, KaiOS was working on migrating to Blink (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19012709). Looks like Gecko isn't out of the running yet, which is good news from a browser engine diversity point of view.

I'm curious how this'll work out, especially with Mozilla making good progress on the new Firefox for Android as well lately.
> with climate change it's not only difficult to measure easy-to-understand direct correlation sometimes, it also is at minimum on time scales of months to years.

Isn't this, exactly, why we are in trouble with the coronavirus. Our inability to see a disaster looming ahead?
It's hard to tell without testing patients, of course.
But with unrestricted intercontinental flights spreading diseases requires bad luck, not time: in December (or earlier) the streets of Wuhan and any city in the world were only one cough in the street apart.
I didn’t do AA but did AlAnon for children of alcoholics recovering from trauma. Despite what people think, the 12 step program is super light on the spirituality stuff and very atheist friendly. As a recovery group AlAnon was super useful for getting some closure on the hell my parents dragged me through and just leaving that stuff behind.

Edit:I guess I should have qualified that I’ve only done support groups in SF that have been great and usually hosted by churches.
This is so laughable.
I agree with this as well. Products like this seem to be designed primarily for well-structured and lovingly maintained databases. If you are lucky enough to have one of those, congrats!
> Tell them that while average mortality rates may be low, it is highly dependend on age.

Mortality rates are also highly dependent upon healthcare system capacity — especially so for elderly and at-risk, because they're the ones more likely to require hospitalization to survive.
Does that include signing a BAA? (I asked this in another thread on this post, sorry for double-posting, but I'm curious the answer).
source? China seems to have very low numbers of new infections right now
The faster your community does the same, the more people will live.
The Clitoris, Uncovered: An Intimate History
> extremists have subjected us to at least three decades of climate alarmism poisoned by bad science and failed predictions.

I'm sure someone said something dumb. But straightforward models of long term climate change and CO2 output going back to the 70's have all been largely proven out. Which "extremists" are you trying to point the finger at, specifically?
Lets not forget that the US could dodge a lot of these issues (and increase the chances of a good outcome) by simply putting out a few tens of millions for tests and distributing them to providers free-of-charge with an agreement that there be no administration fee.

That is, honestly, sorta what a government should do in a crisis, just eat the cost to make sure everyone is safe - instead the government is "letting the market decide" and continues to dump millions times the cost of resolving this crisis into boondoggle never-gonna-work F-35 fighter jets.
Yes, this!

I think there is some degree of alarmism in the reporting, but this is deadly serious for older people.

IMHO, we should have very strict rules around senior centers, retirement homes, etc. at this time.

For younger people, I am not so sure. Merkel just said Germany can expect 60-70% infection rate. I'm not sure anything can be done to make this lower for the rest of us. (Even China, where quarantine is executed with military precision, is having a failure in this regard.)

The older folks should be a top priority.
Even better: get a copper spoon as copper is naturally antimicrobial

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antimicrobial_properties_of_co...
Regulation doesn't have to be binary. The point of it isn't to eradicate behavior, just lessen it so the risk can be mitigated and contained. Perhaps I should have said "lessened wildlife trade" to be more specific.

Regulation sucks until it saves your life.
> I am not talking about mainstream scientists.

Then who are you talking about?
Senate GOP Blocks Emergency Paid Sick Leave Bill from Moving Forward
Uh, that’s not clear at all given how they report cases.
Thanks! Yes, we use JavaScript as the most popular language, however the code should be easily portable to any other language.

The multi-paradigm nature of JS, with its first-class functions, closures, static scope semantics, class-based and prototype-based inheritance fits the best to study semantics of programming languages -- and all these concepts we implement in the course.

For low-level bytecode interpreter there will be a C++ implementation.
Apparently Microsoft, Google and Apple see it otherwise, hence their initiatives to improve C++ static analysers, lock down the use of C and C++ on their platforms with focus on safer languages, and even start making use of hardware memory tagging.
Let's try to reduce the damage on all levels, by all people? There's no need to choose between one or the other, government action and personal responsibility.
Congressional doctor expects 70M to 150M people in US will contract coronavirus
I'm surprised they don't just provide a day care service for the children of healthcare workers, considering those children are more likely to get infected by their parent anyways just preemptively treat them as patients with some shared curriculum and oversight.
Alternative to the complete ban would have been forced quarantine for every person entering the country like Israel is doing.
ty for the pointer!
VAT is postponed but only for larger companies.

This will hit smaller companies hard; particular service sector such as hair dressers, restaurants, contractors etc.
> They make a good point in this article, I just wish Newsweek and other media outlets would get this pissed off about climate change. "Old and unafraid of the climate crisis? Good for you. Now stop killing future generations." If we're mobilizing to stop a pandemic, why the hell aren't we mobilizing to stop climate change?

> Help to fight climate change. Kill old people with the corona virus.

I knew someone was going to take it to this level after I read your initial post an upvoted it, a part of me laughed, another part made me wonder if that's what it would take...
I don't mind it, the use of commas and semicolons to accumulate layers of meaning without resorting to parenthetical interruptions comes across as both deliberative and spontaneous.

It sort of feels like I am reading the author's thoughts as they organically map the domain of their argument, but with all the backtracking pruned out.

But if you want a cute term for this style, how about "run-on sentience?"
Transmeta Code Morphing: Speculation, Recovery, and Adaptive Retranslation [pdf]
Well, let’s think about what might happen: people still need to work, and children want to play. Hey let’s meet all at one parent’s home today and tomorrow at the next...

I really doubt it is as effective as many think unless there is a general lock down and people are expected not to visit other people.