skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
None of that is really the point though. The point is that so many other countries are dropping the ball in the same (or worse!) ways than China did after having the luxury of seeing what happened in China.

If you have 3 people and one slips on a patch of ice and falls you could argue they should understand how ice works and should have been more careful, but if you have 2 other people see that person fall and they blithely walk across the ice and also fall, who should you judge more harshly?

For me personally, I'm going with the people who saw the result of the first event and then followed the same path.
Which is why I honestly don't understand why the mainstream media isn't saying "do what Korea/Japan did". Other countries have handled this admirably (e.g. Taiwan and Singapore), but Korea and Japan are larger and had very sudden upward trajectories in infection rates. Both countries acted decisively and they got this under control incredibly quick and with minimal loss of life, all without resorting to extreme authoritarian measures.

What China did is not something that other countries may want to replicate, but we should all be replicating the Korean and Japanese measures. Actually we should have been doing it weeks ago instead of pretending that if we didn't test then there would be no cases.
Found it strange that some parts of media decided to focus on the semantics of Google and Verily being different subsidiaries of Alphabet. This is an almost meaningless detail.
Show HN: Talentako – format candidate resumes into a standard template
You mean like making the DNA public, posting statistics daily, sending doctors and resources to other countries to help train ...

That kind of not sharing information?
I work on my own and make ~$20K/week without a boss or investors. Don't need a big company or edgy startup.
Oh come on scientists, doctors, engineers all mostly use Metric units and are quite capable of converting units. It's basic math. There's no reason we wouldn't have the same machines.
German driving is way-way-way better on average than anywhere in the US. The test here is a joke, there is no lane discipline, and most folks drive very selfishly: driving in Germany has always been a much better experience, I'd understand why you'd need to on a bike in the US.
That makes sense. It’s challenging to think of a “problem to work on”. If it was programming or math, I’d find a project to try out whatever technique I’d picked up. There doesn’t seem to be a ready analogue for that here.
Perhaps you should ask those people how they feel too!

Still, if there's a problem, perhaps they can get a ride on your high horse?
Usury/interest are banned according to Islamic Law. This means that until very recently when Western banks were forced into the Middle East, all the nations there were operating interest-free. This includes the Ummayad, Abbassid, and Ottoman empires. The well-known and prosperous Islamic Golden Age[1] took place during those eras as well.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islamic_Golden_Age
NY hospitals pitch tents, nix surgeries to prepare for influx
How would one know the parameters to listen for example to maritime radio ("VHF" for me) LSB, USB, IQ ? What are those?
I could only listen to local "MW Broadcast" that I gess is AM radio.

Also: Any way to decode CW from a recorded mp3 or similar from this websites?
plus everyone is wearing a mask
Curious about why you're using SOPS [1] instead of say, hashicorp vault or AWS/GCP's integrated keystores or git-crypt, etc?

[1] https://github.com/mozilla/sops
That is... not a good description of herd immunity at all. It has nothing to do with vaccinations or time scales. Wikipedia's is quite clear: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herd_immunity

The idea is that once a significant fraction of the population has some immunity to an infection, the ability of an infected person to spread the virus (a term called "R0" in the jargon) is fundamentally impeded by its ability to find infectable targets. So the R0 drops, and so does the exponent to the growth. Once that exponent goes below 1, the number of cases drops over time instead of growing, and new infection clusters can't start.

This works. It's why we don't have things like measles outbreaks (or didn't, until the anti-vax crowd messed things up) and why newly mutated flu strains can't find purchase and become pandemics.
Because that would be an incredible violation of privacy and is probably illegal?

I’m not even sure China does that.
> it does require python to be installed on the target hosts for most modules

I recently learned that ansible supports binary modules, in addition to the OOtB support for modules written in any already-configured scripting language (including shell): https://docs.ansible.com/ansible/2.9/dev_guide/developing_pr...

However, while I know you meant "all the provided modules," it seems they are headed toward a less "batteries included" style and more (pypi|maven|npm|rubygems) style of "the community will sort it out" mechanism of distribution: https://docs.ansible.com/ansible/2.9/user_guide/collections_...

Which I welcome wholeheartedly because landing even the simplest fixes to ansible modules is currently a very laborious and time intensive operation
> Track your time, say in 10-15 minute blocks

I've read this advice a lot, but quite frankly I don't believe it. 10-15 minutes block is too short, and it would probably take too much in terms of overhead (at least at the beginning).

Plus, it's known that 10-15 minutes is what it takes for the average person to "get in the zone" as in "focusing on something".

If we're talking pomodoros (25 minutes) that could work. I used to try 45-minutes pomodoros, but always stopped at around 30-35 minutes (focus lost, got tired/distracted, took a break).
> This is a certainty.

Are you an epidemiologist?
What I don’t get is that we keep hearing quarantine isn’t effective, yet it seems to be in China and South Korea: https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-lockdowns-work-s...
I work as Principal ML Engineer, and did a little epidemic modeling in my ML PhD.

I wrote an analysis of how this is going to hit Ireland, including the best calculations I could find on fatality rate:

https://medium.com/@fergal.reid/predicting-the-impact-of-cor...

I think that left unchecked this could kill millions of Americans in a couple of months. I'd love to be wrong.
Germany seems to be doing the South Korea solution of very extensive testing and quarantine so that they end up with more confirmed cases that in other places would not even be found. That drives down their mortality rate just because the denominator is bigger. But that just means they're more days behind in the exponential than the confirmed cases number would suggest. It does not mean they have it under control.
I don't think the location history is very accurate. Either the polling interval is too low, or they use less power consuming location services, but Google fudges my history a good amount of time.
It would probably be bad PR for them to reveal the extent of their surveillance.
How many do you need though? If you take 0.1-1% of your testing capacity, those handfuls of samples a day give you some information. Not regional level or very reliable data, but it gives an idea of whether people (as a population) are having it and are having mild symptoms and are not reporting anything, or if it isn't widespread yet and the hospital cases are the only cases.
google pr team probably asked them to
The problem you run into is that every time an expert or mainstream opinion is wrong, those social media feeds gain legitimacy.

You would think this puts a huge onus and pressure on mainstream media and experts to be measured, fact checked, and accountable right? Nope! Publish first, then when you've done your damage add a little end note saying that you've editing the article a week later so you can pretend you're a "journalist" instead of a tabloid blogger.
Everything on this rocket is recycled except for the second stage
>> processed by their bureaucracy

That is the issue here. They completely ignored it until people were dying in the hallways of hospitals and then implemented a draconian policy.

And now they're locking up anyone who criticizes them. See this article about "Gratitude education", a term that tops Orwell in its dystopian implications:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/09/gratitude-educ...
I'm not sure I should share my secrets now lol. But the answer is linux. I haven't tried screensharing before. But I have tried with other DRM stuff and it got blocked. So I wouldn't be surprised if this was a fluke. Definitely makes making memes easier though.
Former IV opiate addict here. Medication is great and important for breaking the physical addiction. But it does nothing to resolve the mental health issues that led to the dependence in the first place.

Buprenorphine helped me get into a state where I could deal with my mental health issues with a professional. But until I began to deal with the mental stuff, I was still very unwell. Addiction is transitive, it pops up in new and unexpected ways.

Discontinuation of use is only a small aspect of recovery. Don't get me wrong, I think what you are doing is great. Access to medication is definitely an issue in the USA. But in Canada, we have easy access to addiction doctors in urban areas, and we haven't ended addiction yet.

A big part of the problem is general ignorance. Most people still think addiction is a moral issue. Shame and guilt are fuel for addiction. So hiding away and getting help in secret compounds the problem both for the individual and society at large. When people start to see that it affects many people close to them, that is when the stigma is destroyed.

You wouldn't say you are too busy to get treatment for any other life-threatening condition.

All treatment centers are not alike. Some are downright harmful. There is a heady mix of science, mysticism, greed and benevolence. There can be benefits: removal from environmental stressors, reduces shame by showing you are not alone, learning about the neuroscience of addiction, bonding with people over a common struggle, a chance to feel good about yourself.

The human mind loves to simplify things. Oversimplify and your model does not reflect reality.

Recovery from addiction and underlying mental health issues is not a simple process. It requires a multifaceted approach, strong personal support and constant honest self-evaluation. It requires letting go of shame and guilt. It also requires, of course, discontinuation of use and withdrawal management.

I could go on and on about my experiences and what they have taught me. One day I might write it down. I want nothing more than to make the road a bit easier for others. I have spent thousands of hours trying to distill what I have learned into some sort of essential truths. I haven't got there yet.

I'm going to have to stop myself there. To anyone out there interested, my email is in my profile. To anybody struggling out there right now: Be kind to yourself. Find your own path and make your own honest definition of success. I found keeping track of days of abstinence to be actively harmful. It resulted in more severe and longer relapses. So I stopped counting. Some said this was bad, but they were wrong because it worked for me. I identified that the shame and guilt of "losing" all those days was more harmful than motivating. It's been a long journey, I couldn't have done it without the support of family. I wouldn't change a thing though because I finally like myself.

Addiction is a symptom. Treat the symptom while working to address the underlying causes.

Thank you for your work.
I think it's about 19K "SPECIMEN" tested, not people. Maybe 8K people tested as of today, but only <1K people tested until about a week ago.

So, yes, I think claiming the US had widespread testing is stretching the truth beyond BS level.
The virus cannot have started back in November and started at the wet market at the same time.

Either one is true or the other is true.

People don't live with bats. The animals they farm live near bats.
That was also around the time that -- according to credible sources -- doctors in China were given a quota of cases that they were allowed to report each day.

I guess we'll see what happens with other countries, and then that can give us a sense of how many patients went unreported in China. Perhaps it was a lot, perhaps it was only a few.
People are very quick to blame Chinese officials, but I think they were correct in avoiding panic before knowing for sure the true dimensions of the problem they had at hand. The government has its credibility at stake: if you start using harsh measures without evidence, you lose credibility for the next time it is really needed.
> The current worst case scenarios on the table are between 1% and 5% of the individuals catching the disease dying (there are better numbers, but we're worst casing it). For achieving herd immunity, numbers like 40-70% of the population infected and recovered are bandied about.

Yes, those numbers apply if it spreads indiscriminately throughout your entire population.

But we know the virus is here, we know who is in the risk group, which means that if you isolate and self-quarantine people in the risk group, and let the virus slowly roll through the rest of the population, you will get a much lower death rate.

There's a ton of variables that determine the death rate, and yet everyone is just staring themselves blind at the first best numbers we have. No. Come on. It depends on the quality of the care available, it depends on the knowledge of doctors who have experience with it, but most importantly it depends on the demographics of the people who get infected.

> shutting down the entire US economy for a year makes sense

Except "the economy" is made up of millions of individuals. Some will still have an ok quality of life, but many people won't. They'll be fired, or their companies will have gone bankrupt, they'll have no money, no food.. Then what? Do you think hungry people won't food riot just because there's a quarantine? Or go stir crazy? Or ignore it? Or spread propaganda that the entire thing is a hoax so that the New World Order can take over?
Exp is the simplest, and works very well with this virus.

To not get exp you have to basically eradicate it (can be done locally with strict lockdown measures, but one day or another you will have to lift them...)
Could you expand on that a little? Bottleneck in what sense?
There are software auto CW decoders.

For instance:

https://www.pa3fwm.nl/software/rscw/
Stuff from Warren Buffet is usually good. You could browse the shareholder letters a bit https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html
Because that would shine a light on just how creepy this all is. We know they do it but the normal person might be a bit concerned if Google and Apple just announced "We track you everywhere and who you interact with."

My sister finally came around to thinking Facebook was going to far so she switched to Instagram. We had a uncomfortable conversation last month when I broke the news to her.
> This destroys deep work

yes, but not everybody has to do deep work all the time.

for example, part of my job is to be available to colleagues for consultation. it might be something to which i can quickly respond "ticket or gtfo" or "busy right now, could you ask me again in 10-15 minutes?". But it could also require me immediate action (some production environment is failing).

As a company culture it is important to empower people to tell "not now", to educate people to only tell "not now" if you actually can't right now, and to train yourself to write "not now" without losing focus.
That's not true, look at the light blue area in the distancing models.
It’s par for the course for the media to flip on any minute detail of a Trump comment that they think will get a rise out of people.
Most of Manhattan is north of 59th street and most of the day is not rush hour. It is so bizarre to me that I would be accused of lying about something like this. I hear complaints about cyclists from all kinds of New Yorkers, especially those who are cyclists and bother to follow the rules to the best of their ability.

Edit: I am abandoning this account. I was downvoted below for refusing to specify where I live. This community is not worth being a part of.
Develop and validate a low effort contamination free means of n95 reuse than does not increase the burn rate of other difficult to substitute consumables (eg gloves and calstat)

Not sexy. May be irrelevant in 3 weeks at crisis standards. Right now with the supply chain as is and attempting to surge standard of care capacity this is the thing that would be useful. If we cannot manage ppe lack of providers will make lack of anything else moot.
Because what was said in the press conference is very, very, very, very, very, different from whats going on inside Google and Verily. Think: someone had an idea for a much, much, more limited in scope project for a very small area _that morning_. Not a nationwide exposure detector somehow built by 1700 engineers to be launched in the next week.
This has a lot to do with their age distribution. Their fatality rate by age is similar to elsewhere. A large fraction of the infected cult members were young.

Korea also hasn’t had any hospital breakdown related increase in the death rate.

Chloroquine may indeed work, but the Korean stats are misleading if you don’t adjust for ages.
This is only the first part of the problem.

The second part is, optimized supply chains that are effectively as empty as possible, all the time.

Here in Canada an 18-day rail blockade by native bands was enough to cause serious concerns in the supply of propane and other fuels in the eastern part of the country.

It's shocking that eastern half of Canada, the majority of its population, faces winters with just 3-weeks supply of fuel. The reason? Nobody wants to carry inventory.

So for many things, we outsource creation, AND we optimize-away buffer stock.
Chinese containment measures gave other countries a head start of at least two months. Too bad that no government took the challenge seriously.
That got flagged dead
Right now I'm on github -- for about 2 months now. The integration with Visual Studio is simply amazing!

I used to be on bitbucket (mercurial), until they announced they would no longer host it. I tried to convert it to git - even though manually doing it is not very pleasant. But now they have a 2GB limit which I almost reached -- that ended up being a huuuuge no-no for me, because I would clearly reach it in the short term.

So, I've created a new repository on github (could not successfully import the one from bitbucket), and I'm still keeping the old (ported to git) bitbucket repository for historical reasons.
Korea has a map of all of your travels for the public to see.
S. Korea has a very aggressive investigation of movements of infected persons. Once a person is found to be infected, they go through CCTV recordings, cellphone location records, etc and warn people who were in the same location at same time.

They also release to the press the location/time infected person was at, such as name of hospital/events. And these are reported to the public.

So S. Korea does not do a carpet bombing type of lock down as China but more of a surgical strike type of lock down. But it is a lock down.
German cities are starting to lock down.

Berlin has canceled any gathering with more than 50 people. If it's less than 50 people, you have to keep a list of everybody who's there for a month. Schools are closed. As are recreational places (cinemas, clubs, museums, gyms, baths). Restaurants have to enforce 1.5 meters separation between patrons.

https://www.berlin.de/rbmskzl/aktuelles/rathaus-aktuell/2020...

It's not quite Italy yet but it's close.
> By the way, you can prevent a malaria death for about $50 in Africa.

Could you point at a source of that? Last I've seen the Against Malaria Foundation was estimated to save 1 life for every couple thousand dollars.
Made worse by the same thing that plagues Homebrew: making up cutesy vocabulary for things. I've been working with computers for a long time, Salt, you can feel free to use Adult Words when describing a thing to me
We are writing Pulumi in node (far more mature then their Go offering, but that has been recently improved) and version our releases into private NPM packages. That isn’t strictly necessary, as every update Pulumi pushes gets versioned internally along with associated code changes, and is always accessible in the stack’s history.

If you’re a K8s dev, they recently announced the ability to output Helm3 files rather than deploy directly.
If I were flippant, I'd say it appears par for the course for you to blame the media for the gov't lying. It's been well-reported that what was said in the conference was far from the truth. See my other comment for details.
The purpose now of social distancing and quarantine is to spread out the infections so that the hospitals are not overrun by everyone being sick at once.

A significant proportion of infected need hospitalization to survive. If we all get sick at once, there simply aren't enough hospital beds to go around, not to mention other supplies. If the hospitals go far beyond capacity, the fatality rate will be _far_ higher than otherwise.

As to how long, I haven't seen good models. In the US we don't have very good data either, because we're testing basically noone.
Trampolines are great for naked eye stargazing. As a kid we would sleep out on the trampoline during the summer. It didn't take long to learn the constellations and then start making up our own.
> such as presumably a majority of those advising the government

Why? Politicians have shown several times that they prefer to listen to a minority of scientists that tell them what they want to hear, rather than a majority that doesn't.
After driving around our area today, in the Seattle metro, it seemed like activity (cars in the parking lot, people on the street, etc) was off 25-30% from a usual Saturday with nice weather in March.

I feel like a lockdown / closure order for the Seattle metro counties will be coming within a week or so.
Because the public, and HN, has convinced itself that big tech has tools and capabilities it actually doesn't. I wish it did! It doesn't.

EDIT: Before you downvote, for a simple example that fits within existing ideological battlelines, how would Apple do this?
> People are very quick to blame Chinese officials, but I think they were correct in avoiding panic

That's for sure but there's a useful middle ground between mindless panic and total complacency, and these Chinese officials were way too far on the complacency side for quite some time.
> but grew 25% vs the previous day. If that rate keeps up, number of infected will keep on doubling every 4-5 days

1.25^3 ≈ 2 so the doubling period for 25% growth would be closer to 3 days.
But no lock down strategy is about halting the virus!

They are about slowing it, so that the load on the health care system isn't too grade.

Current data show that dath ratio in case of slow spread can be reduced to 1%, potential even less. While with overload it's more like 5% and with collapsing overload even potentially more.

Also work slowing the number of total infected people without usable medicine against it can potentially be drastically reduced. Especially if we find some usable but imperfect medicine in the near time which reduces ICU cases.

Also let's remember 1918:

The first wave killed the old, the second wave killed the young, the third wave killed without discrimination.

I.e. we are still in the first wave, it's not impossible that a mutation occurred which makes it especially deadly against the young (through maybe quite unlike). Just consider what happens if that overlaps with the UK plans and they notice it to late. It would be a lost generation.