skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
UK did not declare an objective to get 60% of population get infected. If you have a source for that, please provide a link.

They told 60% will get infected eventually and this is very similar to what Angela Merkel said (she said 70%).
Social Isolation
World's most powerful handheld laser [video]
2010 and 2020
Link to an established study that says that the virus is not transmitted at all when there are multiple people in close quarters or you are knowingly spreading death.
Does anyone else think this is insane? Kubernetes is there to manage Docker. Docker is there to run software you don't have to install, which is something operating systems should let you do anyway.

Are we going to have a kubernetes manager manager soon?

If Kubernetes management is a problem, fix Kubernetes. Ultimately, Docker should be fixed so that kubernetes is not needed. After that, operating systems should allow you to simply copy a binary over and run it, statically compiled. This type of distribution should be the norm and not the exception.

We keep piling things on top of other things, and no one seems to care. There are no adults overseeing us, and we soiled our diapers a while ago.
Kotlin Data Class Builders
Unchecked, that means 750k - 1.5M people die from just this virus...that doesn't take into account running out of hospital beds for all other patients and seeing a spike in flu deaths, etc. Very serious question...at what number would you be ok letting it go unchecked? Or alternatively, do you think some other approach is better than shutting down sports games, etc.?
I did, a "natural health expert" was the person he used to backup the claim,if that is found to be the same as a scientific authority then i am all for the lawsuit.

Dude, it's a nonsense juice to you you can hate it and tell people not to use it all you want and that's fine, I will do the same too. I don't support or associate myself with this guy.

I don't think those people who didn't treat their Child should be convicted of a crime either, if someone says for example "eating grass will cure cancer" they have every right to believe that and excercise that belief. The parents of that child had genuine belief and intent their lack of acceptance towards scientific and proven medical treatment is their right. Perhaps the child should have been taken away from them or something. But the whole point of being allowed to believe in something is so you can excercise that belief. If you really believe your scientific beliefs supersede all other beleifs then attempt to codify it in law and I hope there are sensible people left that will resist either peacefully or by force.

You don't get to police other people's beleifs, they are not your slaves, your right to believe what you want including science and medicine and practice it is predicated on your ability to tolerate others who disagree completely with you! That's the price you pay, just like when someone is a Nazi you don't get to kill them or if they hate women you don't get to discriminate against them. However horrible you think a belief,race,eth icity or gender is yours is toleratee because you tolerate them.
I sell a paid Chrome extension that scans websites for SEO, speed and security issues: https://www.checkbot.io/

Traffic and sales are slightly up. Maybe businesses are going to focus more on optimising what they have over launching new sites.
Perhaps just me but Google wave had some potential to be 'email 2.0'
(I work at Stripe.)

If one uses the founder stock issuance tool for C corps, it assists in setting up 4 year vesting 1 year cliff for all founders.

For needs other than that, we’d recommend speaking to an attorney.
Given 1% IFR for the people from the cruise ship, where everybody was able to be treated properly (or properly enough for this paper's estimate):

https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/severity/diamond_crui...

and the current number of deaths in Italy: 1809 one could come to the estimate of actual number of infections in Italy being around 180K people. That big number is real only if Italians managed to treat that many cases as good as it was possible before the hospitals were overwhelmed. What's probably true, however, is that their hospitals already reached their limits and now the number of deaths per infection raises compared to the ideal case, lowering the number of actual infections.

But even not using that estimated "bigger number" Italy reports 24747 actually confirmed cases.

And assuming that the DNA analysis of this Italian researches is right, Italy's strain must have reached Italy not before January 19th:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-...

Even starting from one person at that date we get, for the number of confirmed cases a factor of close to 1.2 per day, or for the assumed cases (a bigger number) 1.24 per day. That gives doubling time between 3 and 4 days, and never longer than that.

Note that even a difference of using 24K or 180K infected can't give the factor you suggest: 1.15.

That's only observing Italy. I don't know if you are combining Chinese development, where they indeed contained the spread on their territory, with Europe and the rest of the world, where no comparable actions happened (and the actions taken still haven't significantly slowed down the growth), but if you do, that's not proper use of the data available.
KUSC listener here too. I agree it's great station, plus it's available on my quite old Squeezebox devices. It's owned and operated by the University of Southern California
What makes email so versatile with little rent-seeking is that it is a decentralized protocol. Companies that want to provide services involving email cannot do so by owning all your contacts or data (like YouTube, Twitter, etc.) — they must offer competitive services. And all because you can exit easily.

More things need to have this ease of exiting with all of the data (cryptographically guaranteed): banks and financial services, social networks, content distribution systems, etc.
I can see why he wants restaurants and bars to close. But why breweries?
Wow, I was really NOT expecting that.
It doesn't look like the items identified in his list are things that can really help now though. They seem like they're things that will only be useful in future pandemics.
Sure it’s V shaped based on the virus itself which causes a slowdown and I would also guess that it will recover just like someone does after a flu. It’s not a systemic issue like the Great Recession was.

The only problem with your logic is that you underestimate the longevity of the virus. This isn’t something that will slow us down for the month while everyone is quarantined or while events are cancelled. It’s predicted to continue for 3-6 months and likely come back in the fall and next year and the year after that and the year after that [1]. Its predicted the coronavirus will rise back up when quarantines are pulled back (and their economy put back into to movement) [2]. The only thing we are really doing is shifting the peak and spreading the load on our health care system through time. So if it is the case that our economy is tied to the state of the outbreak, which I as well believe is the case, it’s still not something that will blip in and out within a matter of weeks.

edited with refs:

This ted talk outlines the difficulty of containing the coronavirus, and how its here to stay:

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fqw-9yMV0sI

This interview of Infectious Disease Expert - Michael Osterholm - outlines the characteristics of COVID-19 and how its not a "corona-blizzard" but a "corona-winter" also suggests it will be back in China once quarantines are pulled back:

[2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cZFhjMQrVts
Why do should we spend on small businesses? I know this sounds a little harsh, but do we really need to keep them from shutting down? A lot of big businesses today had their start during an economic downturn. If a small business shuts down, the owner often ends up working in another more robust business and gets a good ride up.
If? Our health care system isn't equipped to handle a large-scale outbreak. People are panicking, and in really dumb ways, but there are two rational fears right now: 1) fear of our health care system not being able to cope; 2) fear of the idiot-panickers hoarding everything for no good reason and leaving others unable to buy even basic necessities.
>China internet users in urban areas account for 73.7% of total internet users. Among the Chinese population who don’t access the internet (which is 541 million)

Ok, sorry, I was off by 10%. That doesn't change my point that China is a nation of two worlds.

Also, with the degree to which information is controlled in China, these are likely Chinese numbers. Are you sure you want to trust them?
The Chinese government didn't just drop the ball. They actively stole the ball, stabbed it with a knife, and stuffed it down their pants. When asked where the ball went, they very angrily yelled "it wasn't me!"

The culture the government promotes results in mid-level party members to total cowards who are so afraid of looking bad, that they hid evidence that anything might possibly be wrong.

WHICH LEAD TO BIGGER PROBLEMS.

The word to describe the situation is "dysfunctional". Which our healthcare system is, also.
We used to think that rates couldn't go negative for exactly the reason you just described.

Turns out that assumption was wrong for a few reasons a) holding onto money is expensive b) in many cases banks have incentive to hold government securities c) sometimes they are outright required to hold government securities d) this is related to (a), but there is risk in holding onto cash where government debt is in many cases perceived as risk-free.

The thought today is that rates can go only slightly negative for short periods of time, which we will continue to believe until some government tries to push the lower bound again.
>and a lack of any compile time checking is what keeps me from even bothering to look at it.

Common Lisp more than compensates due to some key features:

1. any bug can be corrected at runtime without having to stop the program

2. the type system is completely strong, not weak

3. it actually has a pretty nice type system.

4. the conditions-restart exception handling system is world-class
> ..The node_modules package resolution algorithm is how JS does namespaces.. I wonder whether they got that right through sheer genius, or by accident.

I recall hearing Ryan Dahl's regrets about design decisions in Node.js, a few of which had to do with the module/package resolution algorithm.

10 Things I Regret about Node.js - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M3BM9TB-8yA

There are some good aspects of it though. I like how modules/packages are just imported objects (the path resolution is a bit weird and seemingly inefficient, i.e., checking every parent folder's node_modules folder). It goes together well, that modules are also self-contained function scopes by default (I suppose a kind of anonymous namespace), that exports a plain object with assigned properties.

---

Wow, I just learned about C++20 Modules, looks like a game-changing feature.

https://modernescpp.com/index.php/c-20-modules
If truck drivers stop delivering you'll soon have grocery stores with no food. As people start to get hungry things will get very ugly very fast.
Are you optimistic about the wealth transfer implications of their activity?
The estimates place 5-10k people died from suicide alone due to the 2008 recession. Others claim at least 10x that due to lack of health insurance and subsequent health care, so missed cancer diagnoses, treatment, etc.

I would not be surprised if the death toll from the ensuing recession is higher than from covid deaths. That begs the obvious question, since covid kills mostly old people, but the recession kills mostly young, which is better?
I already got my Chloroquine prescription and tablets a week ago, just in case, most pharmacies don't carry it anymore (an old drug), doctor part was easy at Seton ExpressCare, no appt. needed. With Medicare part D and Cigna health insurance I paid a total of 70 cents at the pharmacy, yes, you read that right, 70 cents total.

500 mg. Chloroquine must be taken with a meal, twice per day, for 10 days.

What the article here failed to mention is there is new research showing that Chloroquine is a zinc ionophore, it carries zinc inside the cell which assists in the process. Only a tiny bit of zinc supplementation might be recommended though, like 20 milligrams, or 1/10th of a zinc sulfate capsule per day. Too much zinc and your mouth starts to taste metallic. COOKED oysters have huge amounts of zinc.

Also, even newer published research just days ago recommends Hydroxychloroquine, apparently easier for stomach to tolerate, potentially useful immunomodulator effects.
In other countries, closedowns and event cancellations were enacted simultaneously with, or quickly followed by, locking down borders - making the airport issue mostly moot.

Beyond that, while it's unrealistic to immediately eliminate all mixing of people, you can vastly reduce it, and it makes a difference. That's the point of #StayTheFuckHome. Much less people on public transit, much less people in stores means much slower spread of the virus.
How to Effectively Work from Home If You Have to Self-Quarantine for Coronavirus
Google or-tools are quite fun although a little bit of a pain to setup and get started at least if you want to use the JVM and support different OS.
Just to share a little anecdote about my use case: The department I work in consists of about 40 developers and once a year we had a day together just to form new teams in a self organized manner. Management wanted about one third of a team to move to a different team to spread and gather knowledge but completely backed off during that day.
We had a special coach and scrum masters supporting us but still it was very exhausting and a lot of the developers didn't like it. The devs that showed motivation to change teams were more or less forced to go to the teams which were disliked the most (either because of their domain or the already present members).
So in the end there was not much rotation and the whole thing was quite expensive so that this year it was cancelled. That's when I started to use Google or-Tools to write a little tool that suggests teams based on some constraints like size, at least one experienced dev / software architect per team and an optimization function based on preferences of each dev for a certain domain as well as their sympathy towards other devs
When I announced it it got almost no attention and was dismissed as "inhuman".
Much of the tax avoidance from primary residence property has been removed from the tax code already due to the TCJA. Not all of it, but most of it. It also makes no sense to have a mortgage for the tax break. Rentals have depreciation and the interest remains deductible as an expense on them there, so that isn't really an issue.
"Application Whitelisting" Does that actually work anywhere except in an boring office? Everyone that has a functioning devshop always has too many holes in their whitelists to effectively protect them. Client machines WITH credentials has to be made untrusted.
That's why neither of these are stopped. In both Wuhan and Italy, the food were and is still available, and deliveries work fine.
He also had no idea anyone died from the flu even though his grandfather died of flu. And thought coronavirus might be treatable with a flu vaccine. That's all stuff you learn in high school or by reading the newspaper.
>I wouldn't say it's a broken idea. It's just an idea that doesn't scale. Working in a dynamic codebase - especially a Lisp one - basically means you have to be familiar with how everything you're using works.

That's FUD. Just make your code modular. Lisp gives you tools: namespaces, and systems.

>You can at least count on functions not having side-effects.

The great majority of functions in Lisp don't mutate data.
> This leads to an outsized focus on the latest sexy vulnerabilities (e.g. CPU speculative execution vulnerabilities) and fetishes for things like firewalls.

sounds like a fantastic plot for an anime. i can even see firewall san in my head :)

seriously though, maybe phishing and malware are common because firewalls are working?
I am a MathJax/KaTeX user, not developer, so some of what I say could be incorrect. I was under the impression that KaTeX does _no_ horizontal measurement to speak of, deferring it instead into CSS and styling calculations carried out by the browser. This is why at the moment KaTeX cannot write to a canvas / SVG representation, only to HTML. On the other hand, I think MathJax takes the more fundamental approach of knowing how to absolutely position every single glyph (although for HTML output, some of these absolute positions are perhaps replaced by more KaTeX-style rules).

This means that at the moment it would be fairly annoying to create a library which renders a commutative diagram such as [1] in KaTeX, as one would have to render each part of the diagram in the browser to calculate sizes, and only then compute positions for arrows - in particular this could only be done ahead-of-time by firing up some headless browser, taking measurements, and then hoping for the best (the client isn't using different font sizes, for example). MathJax seems more suitable for that application due to knowing the sizes of things.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monoid_(category_theory)#/medi...
Yes indeed, I really like this almost twenty year old article. It seems like I re-read it every several years.

Lisp is in even better shape now than twenty years ago:

Application delivery is a solved problem. On the commercial side LispWorks and Franz have portable UI frameworks and application delivery mechanisms that are excellent.

On the open source side, SBCL and Clozure are excellent, with different strength. Both have robust application deployment capabilities.

In the non-Common Lisp world, Racket (Scheme) just keeps getting better, and also has a good application delivery mechanism and portable UI that looks great in macOS and not so good on Linux.
I'm glad you're open to changing your mind. I'm no artist myself, but Minecraft definitely lets me express some of my creative aspect that capitalism reprehends.
Is there any evidence of that in this case? None of the changes you have said are shown in the link
Any body holding significant power is at some level accountable to the public, regardless of laws or regulations or how little the public may understand. If the Fed can’t make the case to most citizens that it should exist and retain its power, then it is doomed, and no philosophical arguments could change that.
If 4 percent of the people who got it died that would absolutely be a crisis. That would be somewhere around 2 percent of the us population dying over the next few months. Even disregarding the number of people with irrevocable organ damage that live through lung failure, how can you say that millions of people dying over a short span would be nothing? How would that not cause a huge strain on the hospital system, utilities, and general state of the country?
Is there some rule-of-thumb about that? like 3-days or something.

I know our grocery stores only average about 1 day worth of supplies in stock, plus 1 day of food at home, then it all kind of goes to shit?
Support local businesses by buying from them instead of amazon.
My Django page or API is slow, How do I find out why?
> so missed cancer diagnoses, treatment, etc.

Overloaded hospitals due to covid would also cause secondary deaths.
Well said.

The lockdown presents an opportunity. Imagine you run a small customer facing business where the premises could do with refurbishment.

Under normal circumstances you cannot close the doors for however long it takes to redecorate the place, maybe putting in modern lighting and air conditioning. Too much revenue would be lost plus there would be the matter of goodwill with customers discovering rival shops.

Most of these businesses are cash driven, there isn't a lot in the bank. So, right now the business has to shut up shop, game over thanks to consequences of the virus.

Now, if you did have the capital to spend on the premises, you could shut the doors to the customers and hire the usual team to help out on the refurbishment. They might not have the paperwork for the HVAC work or for doing electrical work but they could put everything in place for when times change and the electrician or HVAC engineer could be called out. Painting the walls or assembling shop fittings can be done by almost anyone, albeit not as quickly or proficiently as the professionals.

When the hysteria is over and 'herd immunity' is reached then the refurbished business can reopen. With more up to date premises and a fresh look this should result in better sales.

Sometimes 'charity starts at home' and helping one's preferred local business to make something of the opportunity rather than close is worth a go. If you are a customer then even just talking to your favourite shop about opportunities is useful, 'customer feedback'. It could be your hairdresser, a cafe or a shop that could do with the suggestion. Perhaps they don't notice the grubby walls as they work there day in and day out, whereas, you as a customer, might notice such things but never say anything as you like the staff. Time to speak up before they close.
Obama's admin let one of the world's foremost financial institutions fail and caused a mass market panic / giant economic setback. Their reasoning was entirely political and caused millions of people to lose their jobs. I'm independent, but claiming that Republicans cause recessions is pretty ironic considering the economic damage the last Democratic admin did.
The idea of admitting you're powerless is to admit that the worldview you've been holding so far doesn't seem to work against addiction. Which means it's not entirely correct. Which means some things you think you know are not so.
If you have a large amount of money (e.g., you are a mutual fund), banks will charge you to hold it.
The mortality rate will be much higher the more overloaded we allow the hospitals to become. CDC's 'worst case' numbers are 1.7 million dead, but CDC is assuming a 1% CFR which is the rate we observe in places where hospitals are not overloaded.

In Italy-- which has more somewhat more ICU beds per capita than the US does and is a about 1.5 weeks ahead of the bay area in progression-- the current CFR is 6.8% (which is likely an underestimate because exponential growth means that most people who are diagnosed haven't been infected long enough to have died yet) and the resolved CFR is 43% (which is likely an overestimate, in part because people are dying faster than they are recovering in Italy now because they're going untreated). [NOTE: CFR is not IFR, and the CDC analysis uses CFR and separately accounts for the fact that only a small portion of infections result in hospitalizations]

The best way to mitigate economic effects is to act stronger earlier, exponential growth means that little improvements earlier are more impactful than vastly more aggressive measures later.

After halting big public events, bars closures have probably some of the best ratios of reduced communicability to economic harm, especially given the data showing that young people are carriers are much higher rates than older populations.

Many people's informal observations that even last night many bars were very busy. I keep hearing from younger people that if it were an issue 'they' would close down and so concern must be over-hyped. This perception makes it more important to take stronger measures.
Is this a implication about Bitcoin, Toilet Paper or something else?
Because they're likely brewpubs, effectively a bar that serves that brewery's beer.
I thought China was a Tigger economy?
This. Well said.
He didn’t do anything at all. Football was cancelled independently by the football league or whatever it is called some days later, boris was advocating for no action at all and even football and st Patrick parade where actively encouraged.