skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
For people who think that this is just automatically a buy because "prices have to go back up again, right?", it's worth looking at the Nikkei[1]. Note the peak in 1989 has still not been regained, and the market is about half that level now. Now is the US economy fundamentally less messed-up than Japan? Absolutely (in general). But every fall is not necessarily a buying opportunity even if you have a very long-term horizon.

[1] https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225?p=^N225&.tsrc=fin-sr...
You mean the article rather than the movie?

Edit: Don't let the article put you off the movie - its very good (although it is arguably both more optimistic and more pessimistic that the situation we all currently face).
My question is, how much is too much? Does it have to cost fifteen billion before it stops being worth it? Twenty? Fifty?
Here is a two-fold win: use the Vimium extension for navigating the web.

It lets you navigate web pages via keyboard shortcuts much faster than a mouse.

Also, it readily exposes issues of non compliant links and navigation elements that would also be missed by a screen reader.
You should start moving from stocks to bonds about 10 years before you retire just because of things like this.
I bought 20 spx 2500 put options on February 10th for $1.30 ($2,600 total invested) because I had a gut feeling.

Today, those puts hit a high of $310,000

It's a shame I sold them too early!!! But still made about $20K.
I see only doom & gloom comments here. Did people miss this positive note:

"On Thursday, China said it had just 15 new coronavirus cases and 11 deaths over the previous day."
See: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/12/world/coronavirus-news.ht...

China has controlled the problem. By taking drastic measures the rest of the world will too. In a couple of months the virus will be under control. The stock market will not recover as quickly as it crashed, but it will recover! How do I know that? Because crashes have happened in the past, and the world didn't collapse and disappear. A single company can collapse and disappear but not the entire stock market.

The only question is, how long will it take to recover. I think it will take 2 to 3 years. People who sold during the financial crisis of 2008 did not get to participate in the recovery that followed. There isn't an email or a notification that goes out when the market starts to recover. Attempting to time the market is futile. Staying out of the market will only mean that you will miss out on the largest portion of the recovery.
that's why we have invented the concept of "greater distance" :)
Rogan was interviewing Michael Osterholm, who seems to be of good reputation.
seL4 does very little, but it provides the fundamental pieces that a secure system can be built on; The capability model maps very well to this problem space.

Trying to build a secure system on a kernel that is not secure is a hopeless effort. An example such kernel is Linux, with over a million LoC running in supervisor mode. There's no use trying to make that secure. It only takes a single bug in Linux's code to compromise the whole.
Buy an index fund, not individual stocks. All companies don’t go to zero at the same time.
Sounds like Dactyl Nightmare!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Xj7qPEUEq0
Right now? US treasuries. They’re paying below 0.5% for the first time ever.
I live in the US and have a local US IP. A year or so ago, I made a site for a side project using vanilla HTML. No frameworks, no JS. Every word on the page was in English and could be found in an English dictionary.

When I first stood the site up and tested it, Chrome would always break in as soon as it loaded, with a popup to translate the site into _English_ from _Romanian_!

I was able to suppress this only by turning on every single language hint in META.
Addendum: far larger than the one that created the moon.
I would rather get covid-19 than have to endure another conversation about the federal government and the current administration's handling of it.
And what if China is wrong, lying, or only temporarily correct, causing the virus to resurface when society resumes?
We'll see but I think in six months the outbreak will be a distant memory. And we'll be wondering why were we so unprepared (psychologically) that is. The disease is not nearly as severe to warrant this much worry. 15K people already died of the flu this year in the US alone (what is that, 200 people per day?), yet nobody talks about that, it is "normal".

That being said I do think that some segments won't be the same for a long time - especially the type of superficial travel, where people only go to a place because other people did it and seemed so cool.

I think "instagram travel" will have lost its shine.
Great part of browsing internet from Swtizerland is seeing webpages that are partially German, French and Italian. Even when set to english :D
last I heard it's down -7% total return.
System76 has nice gear (I'm on my second System76 laptop now), but I really can't recommend them for anyone not in the US (or perhaps Canada). Warranty and shipping are an issue here in Europe. They really should partner up with a European company to handle the EU market.
and they have lot of old people.
>Face masks need to be worn properly to work, and in cultures where people don't wear them normally this is an issue.

But clearly this is not insurmountable.
I think if things flip and remote becomes the primary, and co-location becomes rare we'll also see some companies that are able to use co-location as a competitive advantage.

But I agree that remote (and the practices it encourages) are currently a competitive advantage.
For me, the syntax is ok, however it doesn't always do what you expect. For example:

if (some_condition) {
x = 2;
}

x doesn't get set to 2. Or even better, this:

x = 2;
echo("x = ", x);
x = 5;

This prints out that x = 5.
this is really taking the Befunge way
Costco sounds as bad as a flight
It's also context-sensitive. If you are talking about investing and mention crypto, it's pretty obviously implying cryptocurrencies.
I used OpenScad a few years ago and was also initially horrified by the language until someone pointed to me the "nightly build" versions which supported the functional feel and compositions that I think you are describing. Those made a world of difference for me. I wonder if the parent is referring to a really old version (many Linux distributions still ship those). Just a guess.
Highly encourage everyone to heed the advice in OP's last line.

Hedge your investments. Rather then dump 100k at once into SPY (SPX if not using your 401k) or similar. Invest 10k per week/month. Thousands of people way smarter than you and with 20-30 years of experience fail at timing the market. You will not be able to time the market. Hedge into your investments.
Researchers find beauty in cell stress
You will
Excellent reply, thank you.
IBM wants to make computers fluent in human language
Hey Jack, thanks!
Good question. It's because we are currently building the paid plan.
As you signed up before we put the paid plan online, it means it will still be free for you forever with the current set of features. Cool right?
And if you want to try it, it's a good time to, as they have just released a new version of Sculpt, a general-purpose system built on Genode.
Show HN: Find people like you – Join interesting communities – Wylo App(Beta)
Average people should not try to time the market for good or for bad. It's a fools errand.

Keep putting money into low cost mutual funds, preferably though some tax efficient vehicle (e.g. a pension if possible).
> Plus, the WHO and others have these models and tools as well.

Assuming they have[0], my core issue is: why won't they share them? Society is not 100% made of illiterate rubes who can only add (but not multiply) and read a line chart (and get confused by a log scale). There's enough people who could make use of more sophisticated information, including politicians and political advisors.

The discussion about e.g. whether a country should stop mass gatherings now or later would be infinitely better if it wasn't just "I think so" and "we have to flatten the curve!!11", but instead if one could say "look, the WHO model shows it won't help much", or "an alternative model proposed by virologist X suggests that it has most benefits if done today; here, look at this chart", especially if people could play with the models themselves and propose corrections.

--

[0] - I'm not convinced; I have the feeling most work in this space is still done with Excel or basic Python and R toolkits.
Packs and Pipelines
Ways I can think of to identify if someone is/has been in a crowd (in rough order of difficulty):

1. Cell phone data from bluetooth [1]

2. Cell phone data from your carrier [2]

3. Cell phone data from Google/Apple/etc [3]

4. Face recognition with automated methods

5. Face recognition with human super recognizers [4]

6. Gait recognition

7. Using WIFI to detect body shape [5]

8. Using lasers to detect your heartbeat [6]

So once technology gets advanced enough, you'll have to wear something and take measures to protect yourself from potentially all of the above if you want true privacy... which would ironically immediately single you out :)

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/06/14/opinion/bluet...

[2] https://www.theverge.com/2019/2/6/18214667/att-t-mobile-spri...

[3] https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/20/us/data-privacy-fbi.html

[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super_recogniser

[5] https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2016/08/using_wi-fi_s...

[6] https://www.engadget.com/2019/06/27/the-pentagon-has-a-laser...
I have a Casio F-91W watch. Like $15. The strap started disintegrating (a known issue) in a year or so, but I replaced it with an awesome NATO strap ($10) and it has served me for years.

Ultra minimalist. Super cheap. Love it.
Flattening the curve depends entirely on the kind of measures taken, and the curve also depends on how is the epidemic spreading. Measures taken depend on their effectiveness, feasibility and side effects given a certain situation. It's very hard to argue the economic effects based just on the curve of cases.

However, this guy (who, by the way, is just a developer who has given "a few days of thought" to this issue) does not seem to know anything about this issue but still proposes a conspiranoic theory that HN entertains way too much.
IBM sues Airbnb for patent royalties
Hm, everyone mentions chairs. Biggest improvement bang-for-buck was setting up better lighting in my home office: I now got three decent 5.5W 4000K MR16 LED spots over each of my tables and oriented to my liking.

Also, props for letting them use their office equipment at home. Asked my boss for the same and he was happy to allow me to carry the better of my monitors to corona/home office with me :)
why is this one downvoted ? It works like a charm.
Good communication, both ways. As an engineer, you'll be faced with situations where you have to explain something highly technical to someone not so technical, and more likely more often, understand what someone non-technical is asking for. Being able to interpret non-technical requirements into technical requirements is a really valuable skill.
Plumbing explicit synchronization through the Linux ecosystem
I think it was in a video with to mscott where woman from twitter talked about this, yes false positives are a big problem when detecting fakes.
But Twitter is working hard to keep bad bots / fake accounts away. There was no last time, right now people are working on banning fakes. It a 24/7 game.
> representative democracy, in our day and age, quite evidently no longer works as intended

What is your solution, almost all dictators are not benevolent.
Call for the resignation of Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO Director General

http://chng.it/vj6Kwnsz8R
I have a GalagoPro I bought from them about a year ago. The machine died on me at 12 months. After running through some diagnostic steps at home it seemed to need a new motherboard. I didn't address this issue with them until one month after the 12 month default warranty and they were unwilling to work with me on replacing it at a discount so I didn't seek repair because of the cost and I lost faith in their products. I don't expect special treatment but was disappointed the GalagoPro died within 12 months. I would not recommend their products unless you buy a longer warranty or they source their hardware from elsewhere.
You can model the quality of your data too, with proper tools. No articles in public circulation do that, though.
In my circles, it's one of the most discussed on the Recurse Zulip, it was shared by one of the Quakers on our Ministry committee (a college prof), and it was posted by one of the game developers I admire and follow on Twitter.

It does a good job of visual storytelling, the author obviously is good at being a "growth hacker," but it points to something deeply wrong when people are basing their decision-making on a document like this rather than communications from actual public health professionals.
It's not wrong: it has produced extremely good predictive results day after day for total cases outside of China for months now. Using a simpler approximate function in place of a more complicated exact function is far from wrong, it is bread and butter for getting practical results in all areas of science.
You should pay off your house as fast as possible. This reduces risk greatly because you always have a place to live in the worst case.

You should max out your IRA and 401k plans, or whatever similar applies to you. However that should be regular investments by a plan that you arranged years ago and don't even bother to revisit. When asked their 401k strategy the most common answer of those with the best returns "I don't have a 401k" - which is to say you set it up at 30 and forget about it until you retire.
Stop bringing this up, it’s been debunked that this isn’t an accurate example.
And the prescriptivist approach is dumb, because no one has the authority to prescribe English usage. We don’t have an Academie française, and even English dictionaries explicitly disavow any intent to mandate correct usage and state that they are only cataloging real world speech.
The same layout is not going to work best for both sighted and impaired people. Attention spans are short and sight has an order of magnitude more information bandwidth than hearing.
The market call still go down after you call a bottom. The market can still go up after you call a peak. The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

I don't think it's wise to judge based on the peaks and bottoms. Those are the outliers. The price touched there for a fleeting moment and then backed away. I'd rather calculate a trend-line over a long timespan that covers multiple boom-bust cycles, and note when the price crosses it. When the price is below the line, that's a relatively better time to be buying, if you have spare cash, and when it's above the line, that's a relatively better time to be selling, if you have the stocks.

You'll drive yourself crazy trying to predict the optimal timing for large orders.

Putting in a little at a time, or taking out a little at a time, based on broad criteria and your own goals as an investor, is way better than intensive analysis or day-trading. Once a paycheck or once a month is fine. Even better if you can set it up to be automatic, and you don't have to think about it too much.

Unfortunately, I don't have any spare cash, but those who heeded the warning of inverted yield and switched from "gradually buy" to "gradually sell" back then probably have enough cash savings and downward movement to switch back, or to at least stop selling for a while.
How's it ignorant? I'd love for you to elaborate on that. Keeping stressed animals in close proximity in filthy conditions and packing them full of antibiotics is not good for anyone (especially the animals). It's a disease breeding ground and all the antibiotics breed antibiotic resistance.

How's that ignorant again?
Easiest way I've found to spot bots on Twitter is username patterns where both the handle and display name are similar or the same with 1 or 2 words (often a first and last name) and a random number. For example JohnDoe127474. For a more realistic example: I just went to the first trending semi-poltical topic and this was the first bottish account I found (the tweet itself is pretty benign):

https://twitter.com/Elsie43733196/status/1235724530716377088...
Right - the chart shows that there was significantly more ice on average for 1981-2000 than there has been in the last 5 years. Hence the ice is decreasing. Go look at the chart again.
Kinda neat, but it breaks the APL convention of reading right to left. J version of their example:

+/ 1+ i.100

Interesting that it was developed for the HP48:

http://archive.vector.org.uk/art10500710
"Why would I pass up on a 100% chance to make 100k when someone is offering a 0.01% chance to make a few million?"

You don't have to start a startup. And if this is your attitude towards risk, you probably shouldn't.
Just imagine if no one had ever lifted a finger to fix any of the bugs. We only talk about it being a scam because everyone collectively did such a great job mitigating it in time.
Yup. But to make that point, you have to show the trend that the disease will follow if you won't restrict movement - and shouting that "it's an S curve, not exponential" isn't particularly helpful here.
It's even worse than useless. Giant states are often assumed to be much better than small states, because "efficiency". Yet, whenever actual conditions are examined, and (inevitably) small states turn out to be better for humans, we get this sort of "well of course smaller problems are easier to solve" apologia.
I found the previous Hamiltonian Neural Networks [0]. If the authors are here, I'd be interested to use [1] for a version with dissipation.

[0] https://greydanus.github.io/2019/05/15/hamiltonian-nns/

[1] https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.04598
Instant vaporwave aesthetic:

$sun1: cyan;
It may be a matter of perspective because from my point of view, the comment you have linked is the past to which I was referring: that is from 4 years ago.

That may have flown by for you but is much of the time I have been visiting HN.
I don't get the complaint of "hey we have this overlap and it's killing us". This isn't BART. This is an industry. Please do compete, even if it is painful, and lower prices. This is why we have antitrust. You know the industries that were allowed to overconsolidate... do they add joy to your life?:)
How to manage auth flows in React Native with react-navigation v5 and Firebase
It may be engulfed by the Sun by that time, so... yeah?
All things are possible.
I don't know if I would use that term to describe them. They're investments like gambling is an investment.
Alright Captain Literal, but my point still stands that generally speaking, bats do consume mosquitos, maybe that _not that specific type_ of bat, or _that specific type of mosquito_, but yes, bats consume mosquitos.

Christ talking to people on this site is like talking to the most literal supernerd of all time who just needs to always have a point. It's like reddit 2.0.
I've been slowly winding mine down, it's hurt seeing what the ones I sold would have been worth, but at least I still have some left :) also hurt that I didn't spend more at the start. But I can at least take solace in the fact that the measured approach was probably wise.
I literally died reading this
Exactly - if I had lots of money lying around I'd probably invest some of it now. But it's not worth the risk if one doesn't have sufficient cash for bridging at least an entire year.

If it's just a dip - then I'll have to live with not making that money - whatever. But if it is the beginning of a recession then investing earlier than one year from now is financially inefficient.

For now I'll stick to me regular investment strategy/cycle aiming at long term gains.
I hope you're right. On the other hand, we can see six months into the future by looking at the southern hemisphere. Tom Hanks and his wife got Covid19 in Australia, during the Australian summer. I worry that this doesn't bode well for hopes of the spread abating in the warmer months.
How about people that have recovered from the virus ?

Assuming that immunity from the virus lasts longer than a few days/weeks.
"If you have four groups working on a compiler, you'll get a 4-pass compiler."
I would be fine with every restaurant having a pdf menu because that would still be better than the modern approach of not showing a menu at all until you give them your location and start an online order. Frankly most of the time I just go to their Google Maps page where I can expect to find a photograph of the in-restaurant menu taken by a helpful reviewer.
I still assume it is possible and likely that something like cryptocurrency will eventually become incredibly valuable, but I see that happening only when technical and social hurdles are overcome to make it as widespread and scalable as the current credit card system for everyday transactions.

Unfortunately for current cryptocurrencies, they just don't have what it takes to compete with decades of trust to get everyone to put their daily spending money in them, that is what will make a future system valuable. The current role they play as a speculative investment seems quite silly to me, literally they only thing they are good for is transactions, if you can't do that effectively I don't see value in the tokens at all.

Imagine if someone started a stock exchange and listed a single stock, their own, the stock for the exchange itself, and no one else's. While you can buy some things with bitcoin or ethereum, it's nowhere near widespread, so that really seems to be effectively what it functions as for now, which looks very bizarre on its face. Unfortunately for the people who do want to get rich, if there is an eventual winner in crypto, their rise will probably look something like what we see now, limited buy in from speculators followed by some inflection point, so it's entirely possible buying this dip of ethereum or some other coin might be the right thing, but I'm just not sure any of them are ready yet. Even with SegWit and other stuff happening in bitcoin, it just isn't clear to me that becoming a cash or credit card replacement system is even the goal anymore, which seems like they are just riding on their first mover advantage to prop up the value more than anything at this point.