skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The estimate is from Prof. Drosten of the Charité in Berlin, a highly regarded virologe. His lab developed the first diagnostic corona test. Before that they also developed the tests for SARS, Zika and MERS.
> The China approach shutting everything done can further slow the spread, but at massively increased costs and long term risks of reinfection.

china did the things they needed to. if they didn't, the costs would be many magnitudes greater. it's clear that china's efficiency and response will not be able to be duplicated in the west.
Yep, this looks completely out of control. I imagine in 2 weeks the entire country will have pretty much shut down like how china did a few months ago.
Masks do not help prevent spread when worn by someone who is not infected (except by reducing hand to face contact to some degree). They help prevent infected from spreading to others. [1]

[1] https://www.cnet.com/how-to/which-face-masks-protect-against...
I lived at Simmons Hall my first year and one of my reasons for moving to EC was kitchens.

It was plain ridiculous that they were fixated on requiring me to eat dining hall food. Cooking is one of the most basic and healthy life skills anyone can have.
> The fatality rate with care is no higher than around 2%, and maybe less. Without medical access, it is around 15%, guaranteed.

Literally nobody is saying that. Please stop spreading misinformation.
Wasn't KASLR (really KPTI, originally a KASLR hardening technique) a mitigation against Meltdown, which AMD isn't vulnerable to, rather than Spectre?
Cardinal numbers are sets. And after that comes ordinals, which are enumerated numbers.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cardinal_number
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ordinal_number
I'm more concerned with mass prison riots and escapees. Couple prison riots have been reported abroad.

Then again, though we have one of the highest per capital prison rates in the world, most are non violent drug offenders so there may not be much to worry about.
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This is the right answer. And it’s also why mortality could potentially shoot up to the +/- 7% of patients that need ICU care, if that capacity is exceeded.
I just flew through Seattle, Spokane, Orange County and Salt Lake City this weekend.

TSA agents physically touched my passport and boarding pass at each one. I wonder what are the chances they've given it to me?
It not about historical order, it's about the order in which you need things to build upon mathematically.
That would be the good scenario because then we can move the critical ICU equipment from outbreak to outbreak. The bad scenario is if it becomes too much.

China sending equipment to Italy now is a good sign.
The average US citizen probably thinks they deserve it.
That requires mindfulness, and with knowledge workers the mind is elsewhere.

Really, he is giving up the benefits of specialization, which has uplifted mankind since the dawn of time.

(pod coffee with all its faults seems to be popular)
Presumably companies who are not willing to give back to the community are not part of the community for them, nor are people who enable people who do not give back to the community part of the community (in certain cases). (The community, of course, being "people who are willing to keep their work available to all other members of the community".)
Also a stronger aversion to control orders. Can you even imagine telling someone they cannot buy as many X as they want? Or locking down a city?

I find it fascinating that authoritarian regimes have an advantage in that they can rapidly implement lockdown.

Freedom has a price.
The estimate is from Prof. Drosten* of the Charité in Berlin, a highly regarded virologe. His lab developed the first diagnostic corona test. Before that they also developed the tests for SARS, Zika and MERS.

He also constantly warned to flatten the curve, spreading infection time as long as possible - preferably over multiple years...

For those speaking german - there is a daily podcast update from Prof. Drosten
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLkKON9te6p3OpxqDskVsx...

*Head of the Institute for Virology at the Charité
I think by "Copying a functional spec" he meant to say implementing someone else's functional spec, rather than just re-publishing it. So that what's being copied is not the copyrightable text of the spec, but the non-copyrightable abstract ideas described by the spec.
the greatest weaknesses in the u.s. is a sense of self-entitlement, selfishness, and an inability to stay calm in any sort of "panic" situation. the u.s. government and general public have no idea how to sanely handle emergencies on its own soil.
Users can manually choose to run unsigned executables. Please stop spreading that FUD.
Sanitizing input that you will then execute is known to be Turing-complete.
Amen. Rushed, sketchy, unverified stories lead to getting the facts wrong and missing implications and the bigger picture.

Fools rush in.
I think China's and HK's experience with SARS made a big difference in the response. The US has no such experience in
living memory, so there is no collective gut understanding that epidemics are best dealt with decisively and kept small.

Once China's national government took the response seriously, the instantaneous and speedy construction of hospitals was really impressive. We see a little bit of that here in Seattle, with quarantine sites/hotels being prepared, but nothing on the scale which may be required.
I'm glad they're moving Demo Day up. The whole point of YC is to level the playing field for all kinds of founders, and this would help keep the focus on Demo Day rather than the behind-the-scene investor meetings that tend to benefit connected, established founders.

Personally, as a YC W19, first-time founder of Wanderlog [1], I didn't do any fundraising before Demo Day. But I heard from friends in the batch about cold emails, "informal" dinners, and all kinds of shenanigans to get ahold of founders earlier.

Demo Day helps even things out by giving attention to all startups in YC, and not just the companies with connections. Everyone's given the same amount of time on stage, and off stage (in any other year), everybody's milling about in a huge hall. You can't tell who's the recent college dropout, and who's a former co-founder of a co. with a billion-dollar exit.

I can totally see investors really taking the coronavirus/lack of an in-person Demo Day [2] as an excuse to double-up on their outreach, leading to an even more imbalanced process. Good work on the YC Partners' part for short-circuiting this and helping the first-time founders and the traditionally disadvantaged

[1] A trip planner for vacation itineraries: https://wanderlog.com

[2] https://blog.ycombinator.com/yc-w20-online-demo-day-now-on-m...
> Higher Regional Court issued a press release expressing "doubts as to whether the independence of the Polish judiciary"

Germany has a very long history of caring about the status of Polish independence. In other news

https://www.dailysabah.com/investigations/2016/10/06/german-...

https://www.newsweek.com/german-neo-nazi-acquitted-2000-duss...
How long do you propose we maintain this "lockdown"?
Should continue to do online demo day in conjunction with live ones. Would be a great way to scale the platform
When confronted with a mob you won't have any questions or about whether is or is not.
> Combined with the savings from not having to transport yourself to an office, it should be affordable.

Until it isn't. That's the magic of the invisible hand at work. And when you can barely afford rent on a WFH-friendly apartment with work subsidies, think of all the regular families with non-tech salaries that can no longer dream of it.
Though I don't have much knowledge of this area, I'm waiting for someone to make a PoC exploiting this from JavaScript ;)
Coronavirus Conference Gets Canceled Because of Coronavirus
I read the article, which is kind of clueless. Nice pics, though.

Any history book of Silicon Valley details the origin of organized VC. After reading that, you can understand the overall context of informality before that.

Also, saying Tesla was funded by Westinghouse is a strange way to look at it - his patents were used to create the company in the first place.

If you're interested in seeing those "heavy metal" early inventions in person, I highly recommend the Henry Ford and Greenfield Village in Michigan:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Henry_Ford

For a more modern example, Frank Robinson founded Robinson Helicopter in SoCal, which is the world's largest producer of helicopters by shipments. I think he self-funded his first R22 prototype, then a local businessman who was intrigued invested after that:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robinson_Helicopter_Company

Similar to SpaceX, Robinson had to in-source a lot of components to get the repeatable, aerospace-level reliability needed.

The R22 and R44 are the dominant helicopters used in flight training, LEO and newsgathering in the USA and are about 25% of the cost of a Bell helicopter, so a real game-changer.
What's the reasoning behind the $30? Seems pretty high considering the hardware platform.
Better Place tried and failed big time, after spending next to a billion dollars.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Better_Place_(company)
Not making your bad could be healthy as it helps killing dust mite: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10493-006-9003-8
> Can you imagine if even every other room had an appliance pulling 1000W whenever the hell a student felt like warming up some soup?

Imagine if every other room had a computer the student could just turn on whenever he felt like it.

In reality, the number of computers is of course more than one per room. No one is worried about the power supply.
If you said this last week about Singapore I would agree with you. Have you looked at their graph in the last few days?
Flu and cold is seasonal. There’s a bunch different theories around it from cold air lowers our defenses to vitamin d production from sun light. Sars burned out during the summer months so hopefully we see a reduction with this virus.
Assuming someone can or wants to drive, and owns a car, is a massive assumption in today's world.

Many people who live in urban areas neither own a car nor want to drive.

Also, suburbs are boring as hell. There's literally nothing to do outside except stare at parked cars and locked houses. Taking a walk for more than an hour is impossible because there is nowhere to go to the bathroom, unless you want to do your business in someone's bush. There are no drinking fountains, and if you get hungry on your long walk, you're screwed. It can get (seriously) depressing, compared to cities, where most of the stuff you pass by on the street is generally open to walk into and explore, and food/water/restrooms are readily available.
> I'm trying to arrive at a rational prediction of how bad things could be in the US, and how soon.

As a whole, USA is around 11.5 days behind Italy. (some others say 14 days)

https://mobile.twitter.com/MarkJHandley/status/1237144386569...

But this is not so simple to translate, because of the very different sizes between USA and Italy (population, geography, and pop density), and the resources available (if the federal gov finally reacts).

So, while that chart counts the cases per country, maybe the best thing here would be to consider the evolution in a single state, instead of the whole country.
That depends what you mean by "regular."

When I was there as a software engineer, I worked from home one day a week.

But at least at a few years ago, you couldn't work from home full-time forever. I knew folks in the Atlanta office, and after it closed they could work from home for a long while (many weeks), but needed to eventually find a position at another office or leave the company.
Sort of depends on demand. Extremely cheap petrol - which we just got courtesy of OPEC+ - and a recession - courtesy of COVID-19 - are not exactly a hot market for new vehicles, much less luxury EV vehicles.

On the bright side, this might be excellent for the environment because the best car for the environment is not a new car, it's to continue using the car you already have.
pg_featureserv: Lightweight RESTful Geospatial Feature Server for PostGIS in Go
In the U.S., the number of per-state ICU beds varies quite a bit. When we count the number of older state residents weighted by their mortality rate, some have twice as many beds available for them on per capita basis: https://twitter.com/LechMazur/status/1237545167659253763
There are plenty of algorithms that are also O(logn) that are much faster in practice, because of how caches work.
I would look into China's experience for guidance. I know the costs would be monumental, so it's not an easy decision, and would not like to be in her shoes right now. But if the alternative is what Merkel suggests...
9 Years of AMD Processors Vulnerable to 2 New Side-Channel Attacks
Would having a mode that restricts the types of numbers it accepts (in my particular case: no scientific notation) speed it up significantly?
The benefit of WFH is your actual location doesn't matter too much. If the inner city apartment is too expensive then find one further out. Anyone with a full time job should be able to find something with 2 bedrooms somewhere in the country/state of their job.
High risk individuals needs interaction with nursing and medical staff all the time. They are among the most difficult to quarantine.
It’s honestly impressive how I seen daily predictions of infections in single countries exceeding the entire confirmed infected global population by 100x.

It’s either the idea that this is a generally mild virus with some random severe cases and basically we’re all already infected, or this is going to be an endless, multi year spread and they’re accounting for that.
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"The total number of people getting sick is not reduced by that."

Correct, or at least possibly so. But by flattening the curve you can greatly increase then number of people that survive. Entering respiratory distress because of serious case of corona virus in a overburdened hospital is likely to be fatal. Much less so if there's a bed in the pneumonia ward for you.

Also early treatments are showing promise, in particular zinc + the malaria drug.
I would not say that authoritarian regimes necessary have advantages, Taiwan and Japan seems to handle this crisis much better than Iran for example.

Culture does play a big role into that indeed though, if you can manage to close off events & cities and having your citizens obey all the health precautions, it has a big impact on how it spread.
This. Cognitive load is largely ignored when it comes to these arguments on HN, which is ironic given the demographic's profession. Traditional manufacturers have made it so unnecessarily difficult to feel good about your purchase. They offer "choices" rather than choices. No matter what configuration I choose, I just know I'm being screwed over somehow, just not sure how exactly. You make a decision based on reviews of a particular model only to find there are 300 sub models and everything good you read is dependent on very specific trim choices. Choose the wrong suspension configuration and the car is far from what it could be.

You can't expect normal people to keep up with the minutae of every combination of trim levels to make the best decision. And we can't rely on dealerships for their expertise to get correct info because they have proven themselves to be scam artists over the decades. I have a hard time believing that companies could be this bad at organising and categorising their offerings unintentionally. This experience has to be intentional.

Tesla makes this process much simpler. I'm a motorcycle enthusiast, I don't care to keep up with boring car minutae. I need something that works, and is simple to deal with so I can focus on other aspects of life with its utility. Virtually every other big manufacturer lags behind Tesla in this department.
Never trust Twitter API or waste time developing on it. Many burnt bridges.
This is truly interesting because obviously virus does not prejudice. So what is so special about Italy than other countries like Germany or France or Spain doesn't not have same size of an outbreak?

Initially I was thinking its the testing part. If you test nobody then nobody is sick. But that's not the case because with such high level of mortality, we would know that people are dying from COVID-19.

So my take is - what I read via WHO, is that this virus has two or more strains, one more deadly than another. So its quite possible that one or more passengers from China traveled to Italy with that more deadly type in them.

Of course next logical question would be - is it only in Italy or we have those in other countries and perhaps incubation period is longer? That's probably a billion dollar question...
The comment I was replying to was extolling the virtues of buying a Nissan Leaf.

The people interested in buying a BMW are not going to be swayed by "cost effectiveness" arguments.
The point of stocking up on food is to avoid the need to go to the grocery store during the highly infectious phase of the pandemic.

The best way to minimize the chance is to not leave the house. The best way to avoid leaving the house is to have enough supplies in for a few weeks.
Flatpaks and snaps, while maybe not as popular, are also containers
Well, since we seem to have woefully inadequate testing capability right now, we don't know who is infected.

If everyone wore masks, then the would be one way of making sure that infected people wore masks.
Developing PostgreSQL for Windows, Part 2
> screwing customers with exploitive dealer networks,

Not sure if Tesla's approach to that is more customer friendly. Their cars are basically iPhones on wheels, they are locked down to the same extent. iirc you cannot even get replacements for the most car parts.
With traditional cars however, you can basically go everywhere and get your car fixed. No matter if it is a brand dealer or third party repair shop.

edit: fixed typos
> Sun wanted Google to use Java. [...] Oracle doesn't.

By your reasoning, IBM could spin-off a division with intellectual property rights to SQL, sell it to Google for 10B, who could then claim "we never agreed SQL should be free!" and sue Oracle into bankruptcy
I don't think his issue is with lack of food in stores. I think his issue is that you would definitely not want to go to do your daily grocery in a city with such large outbreak as Wuhan. Better stock up and when the high infection ratio hits in your town, (if ever (?) then at least you don't have to expose yourself by going outside.
Don't forget average length of loans too. A lot of people are using up to 8 year loans to spread the cost even longer.

Incomes haven't kept up with car prices so the only way people have been affording the same types of cars is with extending the loan payback period and paying a lot more in interest.

Great for banks though.
How to create a memory leak in Angular
Just because you can leave your home doesn't mean you should. I don't say this just for personal precaution. I saw this so people can act selflessly and self-quarantine at the first sign of problems. Most of the people reading this are probably healthy people in their 20s-50s. The virus doesn't pose too much of a threat to us. But these people can also be prime carriers of the disease and increase its spread. If you or someone in your house gets sick, you really shouldn't be going out in public to buy groceries even if it is technically still possible to do it.

And for the record here is a 12 day old article that says Italy has had 650 cases and 17 deaths[1]. The CDC website currently has us at 647 cases and 25 deaths [2] and plenty of other places are reporting higher numbers[3]. I don't think I am raising a false alarm here.

[1] - https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/02/27/8099845...

[2] - https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-in-us.html

[3] - https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/live-blog/coronav...
How to Use Modern Farming Technology to Prevent Agricultural Risk?
Children aren't at risk, but can still act as vectors of infection. And it's not just kids, many adults work in the school system.

Shutting down schools is almost assuredly an effective measure to slow the spread of the disease. And slowing the spread is the overriding public health imperative. Even if the same number of people get infected, fast transmission means the healthcare system gets overloaded with all the patients at once.

A 5% reduction in the rate of transmission could plausibly reduce the number of fatalities by 50% or more. We need to do everything possible to institute "social distancing" to slow the process done.
Which is fine as long as you're willing to limit your travel from city to city and ignore the rest of the country in between.
They were, IBM failed to sue Compaq due to the way they did their reverse engineering.

https://www.allaboutcircuits.com/news/how-compaqs-clone-comp...

IBM tried to regain control with the PS/2 architecture, but it failed to do so, and only the mice connectors survived.

Big difference in regards to legal process.

Siding with the company that created a fork in the Java eco-system, just like Microsoft did with J++, just because "Do no evil", without legal understanding, is just typical.

Like wishing for IBM to sue Oracle for SQL, without understanding unlike the way Google screwed Sun and the Java community, there was eventually an agreement between both companies, because hating Oracle is cool in some circles.
Did you just rent places for an extended period and work there? Sounds amazing.
What’s going to happen during the next pandemic if these measures are successful? I could easily see a few months from now people complaining about how we shut down everything, took a big hit to the economy, and it all turned out to not be a big deal. Next time, some people will say “oh we did all that stuff for the coronavirus and it was just a big hoax. We don’t need to do that stuff again.”
I could be wrong, but the required note from the doctor isn't paternalism, it's (I think) related to how workplace insurances and the healthcare system work in Europe, requiring proof for everything.

With the epidemy, remote consultation with a doctor will be more mainstream, it will be easier to book a quick 20 minutes consultation and get the dematerialized note.

In my opinion, requiring people to consult a professional only has benefit. People get help, employers get proof, doctors get work.
The content's faster: https://presentio.us/view/cbf30a
So buy a coffee machine! A quality one, if you care about your coffee that much. We bought one (my wife loves her morning latte) and it turned out to be the best QoL expense in the last few years. And it isn't even all that expensive!
Sure. Naming things is hard :)
Why are they giving us details like sorting options on the website, it’s not going to be open to the public is it?
They are throwing Europe in with those sand-figures? Curious.
This title is highly misleading. Tesla isn't incredibly successful 'in Europe'. It's very successful in VERY few European countries (Netherlands, Norway). And it's due to local incentives mostly. You aren't going to be blown away by a number of Teslas in Italy or Greece or Poland or France. But when you walk through Amsterdam - yes, there are a ton of Teslas parked everywhere.
My local Costco is already telling people they can only buy 2 waters, paper towels, and disinfecting wipes. No one is rioting.
Name a billion dollar company that was income positive 5 years after it was founded.
Thanks that makes sense, I'm still a bit confused as to the fact it's going to be summer in the northern hemisphere but winter in the southern, does that mean things will get better in Europe and North America but worse in South America, Australia etc?