skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I am struggling to reconcile this story with the numbers of deaths so far vs the number of deaths in any given year. A french infectious disease specialist mentioned that 2017 had been a bad year for infectious respiratory diseases in France, with over 60,000 additional deaths in winter, to the point that it affected life expectancy tables [1]. I don’t remember any mention of hospitals being overwhelmed and doing war-time triage then.

It is possible than one hospital may be overwhelmed, but surely it cannot be representative of hospitals across Italy or even a region.

[1] for french speakers: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pb8Q1yr2cjo
CT for a virus? You can only see that something is inflamed. I mean you can guess the diagnosis, but that doesn't really increases my confidence in testing. If inflammation can be detected, you probably also have symptoms already. That aside, you should limit CTs if possible. And you won't be able to do mass scans anyway. So it is just for specific cases. MRTs could also help and are not as invasive, but maybe they don't show enough.
Going with the abysmal handing theory. What concrete steps should, in your regard, be taken to contain the virus from spreading? How would these steps contribute to contain the virus and how would the be implemented without causing disproportional damage elsewhere?

Just saying the situation is handled badly is easy. Just like being a better football coach after a big game. There is a german saying that everytime the national soccer team looses Germany has 81 million national soccer trainers. Providing better solutions is the hrd part, almost as hard a judging why exactly current solutions are not sufficiet.
> Of course anyone that eats a bag of potato chips is at risk of that anyway...

Infinitesimally larger than when eating just about anything else.
But doesn’t the normal cycle of water to the reactor and then to the turbine move heat? Why do you want to cool separately to taking useful heat energy away?
If there is one thing I’ve learned, from many posters on HN in many different topic, it’s that human civilisation is apparently incapable of achieving more than one goal at a time.
Trump and the Pandemic (WSJ)
IKEA launches flagship store on Alibaba’s Tmall
I mean, without all that stuff, is it even still Java? Is it even something more than just a few text-replacements on identically-mapped syntax elements?
It depends what the meaning of "is" is.
Yes they do mutate and there are really pretty graphs for it: https://nextstrain.org/ncov
Sure they did let do it, as long as that C file as compiled as C++.
Diesel makes a great solvent too, requires some patience though
You qualify your own speculation and immediately demand somebody else not do that.

> Don't waste your time

I prefer to waste my time watching memes about people hoarding toilet paper.
For healthy young people, covid19 is a mild-ish flu. The ones in danger are their parents and grandparents, which is why Italy has been hit so hard - many young people still live with their families in cramped conditions because they cannot afford renting or much less owning their own places.

Probably it will become a huge problem in the US too, with the added difficulty that even seniors often have to work to survive and there not being a properly funded healthcare and sick leave system.
Sincere question: Anyone know what would be involved in igniting Jupiter, and what kind of heating that would provide to it's moons?
Given the source, I interpreted it as referring to how companies treat their employees (i.e. worker bees). The story suggests that, all other things being equal, consumers might gravitate towards companies with a reputation for treating their employees well. Mark, Barry, and Willy produce the same product at the same price, so how they treat their employees becomes how they differentiate themselves and win over consumers.

The problem is, all things are rarely equal and, if they are, businesses usually find ways of differentiating themselves that consumers care more about than happy employees. When Mark starts losing business to Barry, he's going to cut his prices, spend more on advertising, etc.. Treating his bees poorly may actually help him squeeze more honey out of them at less cost, so Barry might not be able to match him without starting to mistreat his bees a little too. Willy's costs are probably the highest of the three, but maybe he can use clever advertising to portray his product as a luxury item that's somehow better than Barry's or Mark's, even if it's identical. If that fails he'll have to choose between happy bees and not going bankrupt.

I'd like to live in a world where a virtuous feedback loop would lead to companies treating their employees better and better, but history says that's not the world we live in. We live in a world that has had to come up with labour unions when spirals of mistreatment and cost-cutting got out of hand. We live in a world where executive pay is going stratospheric while employee benefits are stagnant. Perhaps it would be a better world if people cared more about how companies treat their employees, but I honestly don't see how you get people browsing Amazon to choose the honey that's $2/jar more just because it came from slightly happier bees.
I think it was in Kim Stanley Robinson's "Mars" universe that they colonize Mercury by making an equatorial train, that's pushed along by the thermal expansion of the tracks. Always struck me as nifty, if kinda silly, when you could do the polar thing like you're suggesting.
98% of cases in S Korea are classified as "no outcome" at this stage - that is, it's too early to make a call. It takes 11 days on average for the disease to get really severe, so we won't see the deaths for a while. With exponential growth the pct will consistently under report the severity.

Note also that S Korea has 3x the beds of the US, and covid-19 requires very high hospitalization rates and oxygen for weeks.

Tldr: don't expect US or Europe final stats to look anything like S Korea"s current stats.

Lots more detail, and responses to common misunderstandings, here: https://www.fast.ai/2020/03/09/coronavirus/
Upbge, the spiritual successor to the Blender Game Engine
Good to know about the positive rate. The media has not been very forthcoming with actual data an usually only quotes wide numbers. What I meant is that is test alone will not do the job perfectly and that is what people expect. Higher false negative rates is what bothers me as people generally think "oh I'm safe now" when that might not be the case. Considering they wait here with testing to after symptoms it would likely make the tests way more useful then to test everyone. It requires labs and those might also be stressed to a point of breaking if you start testing everyone (if that is even possible) for instance.
They have some history of selling out their users... by literally selling their history: https://blog.mozilla.org/press-uk/2017/10/06/testing-cliqz-i...
If anyone wants to help out they might like to consider joining this volunteer effort. There are people working on data analysis and visualisation, communications and messaging, and other efforts.

https://www.endcoronavirus.org/
Thanks.

What does tubed mean here?
Yes, not only are Chinese and Italian cases related, most southern German cases are also related to those in Italy.
My Predictions: Covid-19 and the Everything Bubble
This post is not about facts, evidence, or deep analysis. I am posting my predictions for the coming year based on my feelings and current thoughts.

1. COVID-19 will be (if it isn't already) the event that bursts the "everything" bubble and leads to a global economic disaster whether or not it becomes, or already is, a pandemic. I feel that the media is misguided and may blow things out of proportion, after 9/11 and false reports of weapons of mass destruction my trust in the media has been badly tainted.

2. The unfolding economic disaster will play a huge roll in the upcoming U.S. election, "socialized medicine" might not seem so bad, and people may begin to doubt in the strength of capitalism. My feelings are that the unfolding events are tied to the election, that claim is not supported by any facts, and I believe that post election the economy will begin to slowly recover as people are rejuvenated with hopes and promises of vast change and reforms.

I think that this year is going to be a tough year, those that come out of it with a job and some savings will be able buy fruitful future investments cheap, whether it be stocks, property, or anything else. I do not want my predictions to be true although I am generally a bit more of a pessimist than an optimist and may be why I see things the way I do. I am curious how this years events will unfold and how my feelings and predictions now will compare to those I have toward the end of the year.
It's devoid of volatiles though? And in a deep gravity well. I may be very expensive to leave. So it would feel a little lonely, and psychologically I think it would be scary to be so close to the Sun.
>Firefox is like that really ugly flower that blooms once every hundred years, they leapfrog the competition briefly and then eventually degrade back to being crap for regular users.

Firefox is the AMD of browsers.
most people outside of the previous red zone is uncaring about the new emergency restrictions

step 1 should have been to bring military in the streets to enforce the thing, because police is both decimated by the virus and overwhelmed from the new responsibilities and cannot handle what's happening
it's among the hardest hit ones, there's a reason why more developed countries don't get it as bad
That's my point exactly, if you are adding microformats to your site in good faith because you believe it is the best thing for the web and enables peoples tools to work with your site better, google penalizes you by reducing your site traffic and increases their sites utility for users, effectively increasing their profits off of your labor while starving you at the same time.
I think that’s a German hobby computer parts retailer. Won’t data centre sales dwarf that? I’m not sure you can use that as really representative of the market.
Yes, that doesn't claim that the center of lift shifts ahead of the CoG. Nor is it a reliable source.
Impractical, but Venus Cloud Cities would work maybe. 1 Earth atmosphere at 20 degrees Celcius if I recall correctly.
It's not about me, I'll probably survive. It's about all other people. No matter if it's 1% or 4%, I hate to see people go.
Omg, Milestone reached https://www.posterdp.com/tesla-cars/
How to overcome procrastination by understanding the Fogg Behavior Model Part 2
The numbers part is where people are confused. Becase the baseline is scetchy, depends on testing (so you risk measruing your tsting at least as much as the spreading itself) and moving. Add to that a methodology that requires a lot of domain knowledge to properly understand these numbers, and this reaction is kind of expected. Which is basically the only point I have to call the WHO, CDC and other, similar bodies out on. Explain what you are doing, why and how these things work! Especially the numbers part, I have the impression most of the panic comes from not understanding the nmbers and less the disease itself. Then people toy around with incomplete sets of these figures, usually out of date as well, and come up with stuff like 20%.
And what's good for iOS? I've tried Firefox Focus, but you can't customise what lists it uses, and the lists it comes with are not that good.
There have been at least two cases of a second infection, and that's information from a week ago. I don't know what the consensus is, but immunity is not something we should count on.
Throw in more mass, than it will ignite itself and be the second sun.

Actually, when you think about it, Jupiter is a good candidate for a dyson sphere.
That's very cynical and definitely not true at all. Human civilization constantly achieves multiple goals at the same time on a daily basis. If you are not seeing that, you are probably reading the wrong newspaper.
I've found that a lot of software that moved to Electron or similar solutions has trouble adhering to OS settings. Heck, even Chrome ignores my date format in the history tag. That's what you get with a technology that's not really supposed to interact with the user's OS settings much.
Combustion requires wholesale access to oxygen.
But if you don’t understand exponential growth and you look at China’s example you might think (mistakenly): “they had this illness and over reacted. Look how much it hurt their economy, and it wasn’t even anything big as it turns out!” This is obviously wrong, but you can’t recognise the precipice they pulled themselves back from without understanding exponential growth itself.
Thanks for the explanation! I think it makes a lot of sense and I don't mind it at all. I was just surprised when I noticed the pattern at first, and was curious if HN was trying to reduce misinformation or what was going on.
Is there a theoretical minimum size for a nuclear reactor (based on current or viable near-future technology)? If so, what kind of dimensions are we talking?
I thought this was interesting so did a quick search: it does not look feasible [0].

Note: even if it were possible, the small relative increase in radiation received by Earth may have a butterfly effect similar to greenhouse gases and make global warming even more difficult to manage than it already is.

[0] https://physics.stackexchange.com/questions/776/can-jupiter-...
Yes, that's definitely what this is about. Rachel recently quit working at Lyft (the title = "No More Pink Mustache"): https://rachelbythebay.com/w/2020/02/29/poof/
Only that the referrenced account is not the primary source. See the very first sentence.
It is "terrifying" (may be bit of an exaggeration, I'd call it deeply worrying) because if people who are sick is not tested, and is afraid of staying at home due to job concern and/or not caring since the disease is mild, they'd be spreading it further.

The sickness is not very serious for the young and healthy, it is quite deadly or the elderly (21%+ for 80+ people https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-se... ) - speaking as someone who live and work with elderly and/or compromised people, the long asymptomatic period is worrying enough on its own, the thought that there are people who are showing symptom but are still walking around going to work / movies / etc is scary.
They are mostly talk because the EU has little actual power. Giving debt relief to Italy has to be decided by head of states. I'm pretty certain that there's a lot of public support across the EU to help Italy if they need to. If Italy cannot refinance, issuing debt backed by several countries would be an easy option. You wouldn't even need support by all EU countries, Germany, Netherlands, Belgium and France backing it would be more than enough. And those would certainly be sympathetic to do that, a collapsing Euro would hit all of those states harder.

But so far, debt markets are still open and there's no reason to panic. Therefore governments focus on more pressing problems for now.
By igniting I assume you mean nuclear fusion. Jupiter does not have enough mass. So what would it take? Transfering mass from the sun to Jupiter I guess.

Not sure how much heating it would provide to its moons. It already provides an unhealthy amount of radiation.
Mainly because right now, any significant endeavour is tied to using massive amounts of fossil fuel.

As long as it will be the case, we won't be able to start new, large scale projects without jeopardizing our ability to live on earth.
The ECB can (and has in the past) given out cheap money under the condition that this is used for loans. They could do that again easily.
If you want me to read this book, why isn't there a prominent download link on the front page?
One difficulty with mercury is that its magnetic field is about 100x smaller than earth's. This means much less shielding from cosmic rays for the same incident flux. Since it's about twice as close to the sun as earth, its sitting in 4x the radiation field. Not insurmountable if you can dig down, but less of an issue further out in the solar system
Yes. Italy experienced 24k deaths in the 16/17 influenza season alone. But we didn't try to annihilate the global status quo to contain it.
Here is a report of a 21 year old, seems like more than a mild flu

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/29/to-hell-and-ba...
I don't think we'd want to put those in our laps if they were dropping that much over linear regulators... Roughly (Dropped Voltage)*(Current through regulator)=(Power Dissipated)
It looks a better bet to colonize Mars with genetically modified humans to sustain radiation. If such technology is not available at the time, having DNA correcting machines to give birth to sane humans is probably going to be a solved problem by then. Even though adults will suffers from the radiations.
90-year-old widow who brought down a Manhattan building
I think it’s a better idea to just build a rotating space habitat.

Harvest the metals from the moon, and build a mass driver to launch it into Earth orbit, where it’ll get assembled into the space habitat. Then spin it to get 1g.
A plan for planned obsolescence?
well the other reason is that if you bulk buy things like milk and bread it will be gone off within a week
How to Increase VM Backup Speed
My company just open-sourced the Covid-19/Coronavirus tracker map we built
The article argues that on Mars we'd have to live underground which requires a lot of construction of tunnels and excavation. It does not appear to take into consideration the huge lava tubes that are present on Mars (and even bigger on the Moon). These are estimated to be dozens of kilometers long and hundreds of meters wide. They could be very attractive for human colonies.

On the other hand on Triton, even if you live at the surface, the Sun will be very weak. The main advantage of not living underground will be less resources to create a habitat.

I consider sufficient natural sunlight to be important for human wellbeing.
> In a Malcolm Gladwell kind of way, he uses a bunch of anecdata to prove his thesis.

In my opinion this is perhaps the best 1 line description of his work in general. I think there are some interesting ideas which are worth discussing, but sometimes his attitude and use of "anecdata" tires me out.
You got me at "Grocer News" :)
Poor Estonia suffers neglect. :)

‣ https://satwcomic.com/new-nordic

‣ https://satwcomic.com/greatest-authority

‣ https://satwcomic.com/imposter

‣ https://satwcomic.com/party-crasher
I'd do something else before #3:

3. Unfollow everyone in order to disable the news feed.

I did this to reduce usage and force me to actually visit friends' profiles, but it did its job too well. In the end I noticed that I wasn't really interested in anything I couldn't know by chatting in some other app or in person. The only thing hooking me up was the news feed itself.
There are several minor grammatical issues in the copy. Not a big deal, but I suggest fixing them as they can make you come off as less professional.
I believe any efforts directed on pushing more and more money into the already heavily overfunded, corrupt healthcare industry, are counterproductive and not going to fix anything. Give them more money and they just increase the prices, they are at the controls anyway.
Note that OECD's 9.9/10 is based on mortality rate and life expectancy, and therefore not a direct indicator of health service quality. Maybe the air in Italy is just very clean and the food healthy.
Oh, sorry, I really couldn't see that (no sarcasm on my part).
> Mainly because right now, any significant endeavour is tied to using massive amounts of fossil fuel.

But does that actually matter in space? I am asking out of genuine curiosity here: does using fossil fuels in space have any real downside? There is no atmosphere, ergo no greenhouse effect. The vastness of space would seem to swallow up any sort of pollution.
Not a doctor or biologist.

From my understanding (I.e. someone who wasn't a doctor or biologist once told me), the flu virus is special in that it is very big for a virus and has something akin to primitive sexual reproduction: it is made of six(?) parts and if two strains of flu infect the same cell, the cell will give birth to viruses that have each part chosen at random from one of the two strains (e.g. aBCdEF or AbcdEf etc').

That's why there are so many strains of flu and the vaccine changes every year.

Apart from that, every virus mutates, and from what I've read there are already at least two known functionally different strains of nCov-2019 (one more aggressive than the other). However, I'd wager the same vaccines and medicines would work for both - to get resistance you need selection pressure or the amount of variance you get from sexual reproduction.

Edit: oh, and nCov-2019 attacks the immune system in a way that seems to lower or prevent acquiring immunity from reinfection.
Portable nuclear generators exist in many navies worldwide. Russia has ones on barges. It feels like this is a design imperative we know works because we have many working examples.

I never understood why the same people who make submarines cannot make commercially viable seaborne reactors for power. Probably the cost benefit didn't pan out but does the tech work? There is no question.

The whole "safe at any speed" thing is the problem, not the underlying physics.
I'm curious what kind of person could see titles like those without groaning.
I assume it meant 'intubated', in the context it would probably mean to be put on mechanical ventilation?
> I never suggested in any way that these diseases were similar.

> How does that differ from a widespread flu outbreak?

Uhh, are you having a stroke?
That's totally app's fault rather than Silverlight as a tech.
Unfortunately it isn't very clear about it at all, and it actually only talks about it in advice about the legislation - not in the main body of the legislation. It also isn't clear if you can do things like "Click here to continue for free with tracking, or pay to access without tracking".
I'm wanting to learn Graphql as well. Specifically I want to learn a good JAM stack to match with Hasura. I'd like to learn a more functional way to build web apps with a database first approach to the architecture.
Daily Task Tracking Platform
And tesla isn't making luxury cars? Their cheapest car is significantly more expensive than the cheapest mercedes!
How is the USA considered a “developed country”?
> Maybe they'll pay their bees better.

As an aspiring beekeeper: Please no! I can't afford to pay 100.000 Bees!
We can talk about an retirement plan though, as they all die working.
Intubated for ventilation
As someone who has also worked on various bits of HTTP and URI parsing I have also wished for such a test suite - or even that these RFCs and specs would come bundled with such a suite.

There are a lot of weird cases to consider. For example, how many tools correctly handle character encoding in HTTP headers?

https://tools.ietf.org/html/rfc8187#section-3.2.3
"What makes China feel alien to us is that this is their default stance" - Very well said!

I relate to this a lot based on my visit there. Things seem very unified. Hell, even dozens of old people get together every night and dance on the street. When have you ever seen communities like that in the US? We're too busy being self absorbed. We have no shared mission.
obligatory xkcd

https://xkcd.com/2278/
I'm very worried about southern Italy; the medical infrastructures are not really top-notch down there, sadly.

Disclaimer: I've spent quite a lot of holidays in the south, since both my parents grew up there.
Getting stuff to mercury is hard though. IIRC it takes around 16,000 m/s of dV to get from LEO to the surface of mercury. Titan would take even more (19,000) but a huge chunk of it can be reduced by making use of aerobraking.
Russian hackers behind 'terrible' Toll cyber attack