skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This isn't market volatility. The is a global geopolitical event exposing the weakness of the US and global markets that people have been warning about for something like 3 years.

Some treasury notes have dropped by more than 30%. We're years overdue for a cyclical recession. The fed has little room to lower rates. I could go on but the point is this is the closest we've been to a Black swan in decades.
Well they wouldn't have expired until 4/17, so even if the market didn't go down today or went up it wouldn't have dropped anywhere close to $0.
How a Remote Conference Works
I agree with your point and it seems (to me) to be a natural progression/emergent behavior of the current implementation of capitalism we subscribe to.

It could potentially be even more axiomatic than that and an unavoidable result of core/firmly held beliefs with trade systems that there will always be those to exploit the weaker (in an economic system) to the point where the system becomes unsustainable.

It often reminds me of agent based models of predator/prey systems where ultimately, the incorrect balance of predators, their efficiencies and successes result in a systematic collapse where the predators starve themselves to death by not allowing the prey to procreate and gather resources necessary that predators ultimately survive on.

In this case, if the wealthy (predators) don't allow the labor force (prey) to collect resources, create value, etc. before snatching added value up ('eating' if you'll humor the idea), they ultimately end up with no future value added from labor force (prey) because the labor doesn't have resources anymore to add value.

From your example following the same basic model, if some of the predators allow themselves to refrain from eating too much and allow the prey to better maintain stable set resources through self control, nothing stops their competitors (other prey) from focusing on their short term gains with no control (yum, more dinner). Ultimately, those predators looking at maintaining a long term stable system will starve if his/her competitors don't share the same views and are allowed to follow the more basic rules. It seems to me, you have to introduce artificial rules into the system to maintain the system (e.g., government regulation or new fundamental underlying rules to the dynamics).

Obviously, the real relationship is far more complex than this view and this model has many shortcomings, but it seems to provide at least some potentially valuable insight to the situation, IMHO.
Sometimes I forget that France isn't winning culturally.
> Those with high risk tolerance I would advise to buy now, but be prepared to lose everything. If you're close to retirement you lose nothing by pulling out now.

If your risk tolerance can't handle what's happening, your asset allocation was already wrong. Trying to "fix" that now, as a response to this downturn, would very likely be a mistake.
>good news for most of the economy (outside of oil industries

Not quite, it's bad news for renewables as well to see fossil prices fall.
Annual vaccine!
No but earning growth should be and I don't think it supported the rally.
Enterprise Architect: 11 mandatory hours this week, and a number of regular meetings have been canceled. Optional meetings amount to around 7 hours this week; pretty light.

At my busiest, it is closer to 30 hours a week, and my longest regular meeting is a quarterly planning offsite that's ~3x 8 hour days.

EDIT: I can't say that I resent any of these, since they're simply a part of the job. My role has a component that I have come to call 'state synchronization'. I act as a bridge between multiple groups by syncing up technical knowledge, status, and blockers between the various engineering groups (and other technical leadership) who I work with.

Standups work great for small groups, but they don't scale well beyond 10-15 people.
I don't claim that this technique is impossible in OOP; it's just not as natural without discriminated unions and match expressions.
I do believe you are correct that the money the average consumer will have in their pocket will be good. But can’t help but think there are other economic implications in this huge oil drop. The drop was not initially put in place by breakdowns in opec talks. But COVID-19. So what I am getting at is a drop in manufacturing, consumer spending, and travel. I’m just scratching the surface but I hope you understand what I’m getting at.
> Authoritative expert opinions that require belief are worse and more dangerous than a random person's honest analysis

Really? Believing multiple named doctors' opinions from a well-known journalistic source on a technical issue is more dangerous than believing a random stranger who I know nothing about other than their username? On the balance of risks, I'll take the doctors, thanks.
I don't think it's unexpected. Browsers are _the_ lifeblood of CAs.

Unless CAs insert themselves more into the process of code signing, S/MIME, GPG or something like that. They will remain under the heavy influence of browsers.
How do you sell stock if no one is buying? If people are selling, others are buying.
Both Twitter and Groupon scaled to many millions of users using RoR. I don't remember it being especially more difficult than scaling any other kind of system to millions of users.
Makes you wonder if the nearly half gigabyte software kits are really necessary to make a simple website. I am looking at you Angular and React.
So, children of summer (there are many here who have only known the longest bull market in the last century), let me give you some free advice.

If you're looking at this and wondering when to get in, to bargain hunt essentially, and you're asking yourself questions like "today? next week?", you need to step back and think again. Some points to consider:

- If your time horizon is 10+ years out probably none of this matters

- If your time horizon is less than 5 years out, you should really question if you should be in the stock market at all

- Be familiar with the term "dead cat bounce". This is a temporary period of recovery followed by a steeper drop. You're going to see this kind of thing.

- Large market drops often lead to or are because of a likely recession. This can go on for months or years.

- After the GFC the markets went down and then sideways for over a year. You essentially missed nothing by waiting two years. This could easily happen again.

- Learn what "reversion to mean" means. It means that at times the markets generally follow a long term upward trend. At times the market will go above or below that. This can be a useful indicator of whether equities are cheap or expensive. In a given cycle you have boom (above the mean when equities are overbought) to bust (an overcorrection to below the mean when equities are oversold).

Bear markets are paved with the blood of optimists.
Thanks! This is super helpful.
Almost all of our current customers are using us to offer health benefits to their employees for the first time.

I understand there is frustration with the larger healthcare system. No question there are large, systemic challenges. We saw a problem that SMBs weren't offering health benefits, and felt like there was a solution to help them. That seemed preferable to waiting on the sidelines for a complete overhaul of US healthcare.
Does this also work for insurance alternatives that qualify as having insurance on an 8965?
Italians have custom to kiss when greeting people, that can increase the spread.
Check the comment from the original presentation's author too. Apparently Bachrach didn't send this memo to him, but to the boss of his boss. I'm happy I've never had to work in an environment as hostile as that.
todas las experiencia son buenas
http://lesitedudccn.com/ocio/las-mejores-peliculas-de-disney...
I thought these circuit breakers actually existed to stop algo's from going haywire?
Isn't that thing on the screen just fold.it?

EDIT: pretty sure it is.

https://fold.it/portal/files/newcompetition.png
"Serious question, is anyone watching this carefully and trying to determine when things will bottom out (perhaps in a week or two), to buy stocks, ETFs, and such at the bottom of the dip?"

I am watching very carefully to see if the VIX goes to an outlandish number, such as 90 or 100. To give some context, the all-time high of the VIX was ~80 during the 2008 financial crisis, etc.

It is a fools errand to try to predict, and make bets upon, the VIX.

However, while we can't say anything for certain about how long markets can stay calm or how long markets can stay euphoric, we can say with some certainty that you can't panic sell forever. Your hair can only be on fire for a little while. You can only throw yourself off the top of a building once.

So if you believe you see a VIX-crisis-top it is a very good bet that the movement from there will be in only one direction and very precipitous.

IANA*.
If you are approaching retirement, you should already have a good % of your portfolio in bonds and other lower risk investments. If you have indeed done that, there is little reason to rush off and potentially buy high and sell low right before retirement.

For everyone else not near retirement, most are going to be better served by ignoring the volatility and continuing to invest as usual. Time in the market vs timing the market and all of that jazz.
I'm not familiar with the situation. Is it different from Elon Musk dividing his time between several companies (seemingly with success)?
MySQL features you need to know
The markets are not a public utility, they have owners (I own a teensy, weensy piece of NASDAQ (NDAQ), for instance). The owners can do what they want, within regulations. Use whatever metaphor works for you, but after 1987, it was thought to be a good idea to have an automated breather so that we can get our collective heads back in the game instead of panic-selling.

There is, however, no "liking" or "disliking" market direction. It's automated, with clearly-outlined rules. There's no manipulation; if A, then B.
Twitter botches fact-check of manipulated Biden video retweeted by Trump
A Detailed Look at the Koenigsegg Gemera's Mind-Blowing Engineering
It's spreading in Australia where it's summer with cozy 30°C
I've long wished for a browser extension that did DNSSEC and DANE validation and displayed which country's CA signed the current cert.

CT helps somewhat, but given that Firefox doesn't enforce it leaves a lot of people vulnerable.
You start buying when nobody wants to have anything to do with stocks.

As long as you hear (even here, today) that this is a good opportunity, good time for buying at a discount - it is not a time for buying stocks.
The main use would be exactly what the article says - a higher output generator for when windmills operate at slow speeds. The car motor conceptualizations are purely there for click bait.
We are really focused on providing this as an "on-ramp" for small employers. Providing large employers an "off-ramp" isn't a use case we have seen much interest in. However, there is an interesting historical precedent with retirement plans, which suggests that there can be systemic benefits that come when employees have more control. Pre 1978, employers offered pensions as a retirement benefit, and like health insurance today, they were selected and managed by an employer — and all kinds of bad behavior resulted in this misalignment of the buyer and the beneficiary. 401(k)s were the consumer-driven answer to this, allowing companies to offer tax-free funds that the employee could manage themselves. Since 401(k)s were easier for employers, the number of businesses offering retirement benefits grew significantly, and the number of employees reaping the tax benefits grew as well.
The stock market must break records week after week. This is a direct order from the president to the Fed.
The move to 1 year is what was unexpected to me. Browsers taking over the rules around CAs, I agree that it's a natural expansion.
Healthcare is a human right. For-profit health insurance shouldn't exist.

This startup feels like a grift.
Into the future, indefinitely? I'm unable to do that, but here are a few ideas:

- Hospitals have a harder time sourcing equipment and treating other conditions, because of the demand

- Violence against perceived bringers of the illness (Asians, refugees, etc)

- Economic damage leading to long-term pollution (poor people burning wood and coal for survival)

- Economic damage leading to violence & war
"We" (the group of people represented by the government) do not control the algorithms, so we can't easily and without many other side effects force that to happen. We do (indirectly) control the stock exchange rules, so we can put systems like this in place that limit the damage done to us when it does happen.
Definitely, especially in light of a probable recession.

One possible enhancement to the PE ratio I've read about that seems really helpful is to make it after tax, since the tax rate on companies can vary depending on locality and time.
This can be explained by market consolidation. GDP and market returns are not supposed to be perfectly correlated.
as usual, the financial advice is "who knows what to do good luck"
I'm a pretty fast typist but if you ask me to transcribe latin text of gibberish or of a language I don't know.... not so fast. A lot of it is how much I have to slow down to be accurate in recognizing characters.
It seems so. It's fold.it. It's a bit more relevant than the movie equivalent of webpage sources on the screen, but a vaccine it isn't.
Waiting until things actually get bad before giving people permission to take reasonable precautions is only going to make stampede worse.
The closest I have to this today is the grocery store nearest me - I walk in, I pick up a scanner (you can use an app on your phone but I use their scanner because my phone locks immediately with a passphrase when unused so it's ghastly for this purpose) and I just wander about scanning items and putting them into bags. The scanner shows its estimate of the price paid, which in my experience is always 100% accurate but I guess "estimate" is needed because legally the shop is not promising to sell at this price yet. I walk to the exit and scan the exit and give back the scanner, it tells me the final price which is the same as that estimate and then I pay with my card and walk out.

This is still extra steps compared to "Just walk out" but it's close. There is no interaction with store employees (which suits some friends who struggle to do human interaction on "bad" days) for example, this store would seem to work just fine without any employees although of course it's a huge grocery store so it has dozens doing various things and couldn't in fact function without some.

The really nice optimisation of course is to get rid of the money. If you stop caring about trying to make the numbers add up and just rely on people going "Huh, I only need two cabbages, why would I take sixty cabbages? What am I going to do with sixty cabbages?" then this is all much simpler. But I think even Amazon doesn't expect to deploy this to a culture where that's realistic.
Very possible.
I think you're missing the point "Nobody can time this" and "If you haven't already, put your retirement into bonds and hold on" are completely at odds. Pulling out of equities to buy bonds is timing this.

People should have an asset allocation, and stick to it. Right now, people should be re-balancing by selling off their now overweight bond allocation to buy equities. What you're suggesting is counter-productive.
>I don't know a single broker or sales-trader who would intentionally reject orders from a well-meaning customer.

It happened aplenty in 2008, when banks were rushing to offload toxic crap that they owned on to the market FIRST, and only THEN were they willing to help their customers do the same.
I don't know why, but the movie is available via the Internet Archive:

https://archive.org/details/ThreeDaysOfTheCondor
Browsers did the same thing with Certificate Transparency earlier, unnoticed to many.
Show HN: Hide Feed – Replace distracting feeds with minimalist layouts
It pays to remember that when one sells their shares, there is someone else who's buying at the other end of that trade. Right now that someone is me. 20+% discount sounds pretty awesome even if it's not "the bottom". I typically buy and hold, and not worry too much about turbulence, since I'm not on margin.
> Two years is nothing in terms of an investment strategy, and real estate, along with pretty much everything else, has rebounded since then.

Where I live real estate was massively overpriced, so still hasn't rebounded, more than 10 years later.
It’s a simple material ui design, similar to let’s say whatsapp. May be that’s a problem since it doesn’t look like a business application
It's "high definition". Since the graphics are all vector graphics, it doesn't seem to be too far of a stretch. All the rendering will be done at the resolution available.
Yes, it's Wall Street's job to watch this carefully and determine when things will bottom out. Financial services account for 20% the US GDP.[0]

I don't think it's well understood by the general public how many people work in finance or the scale of their endeavors.

[0] https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/03/2...
No. This is just one of several places where the laws systematically favor the bulls.
_Is_ kissing people you don't know a thing in Northern Italy? I'd associate it more with France.
Coronavirus (Covid-19): How Google is helping
Except for all those bots counting as users for growth, and the fake engagement by bots counting as growth, and the fake news driving real clicks from real people counting as growth........
Sure, but I think it makes sense to say that one market is more free than another, even when neither is controlled by a government. In many cases the reasons why it's good for governments to allow free markets are also reasons why its good for private entities to allow free markets.
They have existed since the crash of 1929. There were no algorithms in place then. The goal was just to force human traders caught up in the moment to take a break and stop panicking.

I assume they have been tweaked since 1929, but they started with the crash back then.

Edit: someone else is claiming 1987 as the start. My memory says 1929. If this matters do your own research.
Note that you may take too much vitamin D https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypervitaminosis_D
That is a nice way to summon a terminal! I wish kitty supported it.
How the Athletic Built a Successful Subscription Media Business
Growth is the implied motivation for not cutting down on fake news, astroturfing, and bots. When you are selling yourself on engagement and user numbers, you have an incentive to continue allowing fake engagement and users.
> Tbe symptoms are basically the same as flu

there are some nuances to that and the symptoms are not basically the same. One of the MSFT employees who ended up testing positive was initially turned away from testing at the hospital as there was no travel abroad involved. She/he self-quarantined and ended up being tested by the 'Seattle Flu Study' which came up positive. A lot of reactions to that were along the lines of 'well, if the result is the same (you need to self-isolate, same treatment as the flu) why is it useful to know if you have the novel virus?'.

This is bad, IMO. It sends the message that there's some entity who wants the numbers to stay low via denying testing, while at the same time sending people on their way thinking 'it's not serious' who would then get back to their daily routine which would infect others.

As a King county resident looking at what's happening in Italy, I have this constant anxiety that this is only going to get worse. Coupled with the amount of bullcrap thrown around on Facebook, I'm worried that some people who were on the edge prior to this outbreak would snap. There's a Facebook group full of preppers (because of the Seattle big earthquake thing) which completely blew up with this outbreak. I'm talking people stocking up on ammo to ensure nobody steals their stash.
Nothing about Guantanamo bay is legal. Cuba has requested we leave and stopped taking payments for the "lease" of the land there. It being illegal means nothing if there's nobody that'll do anything about the US's crimes.
Overall mortality rate for the flu is around 0.1% and most of those are very old or very young.

Mortality in your 30s for COVID-19 is around 0.2% which is twice that if flu overall making the rate much, much higher than normal for that age group.
> Genuine question: They can just do that ? Issue a trading halt because they don't like the direction it's going ?

This is a dangerous game, in that it is indeed revealing the artificial, make-belief, nature of financial markets.
Making Recreational Drug Cocktails
Seems like that kind of thing would be implemented on the algorithm side, not the market.
Using simple geometry to make organic 3D city layouts
Twitter had massive issues scaling. Their blue bird of death was infamous for it.

Groupon wasn’t anywhere near real-time that a trading system requires
^ found a guy I've been buying from.
I encounter about 1.5 hours of meetings per week. At my last job, that was probably around 3 hours on average. I feel fortunate after reading the comments here.
You're not being told to ride the wave down per se, you're being told that you can't time the market so there is no point in trying.

You got lucky this time, but next time you might pull out just as it's about to swing up again.

Or when you eventually buy back in, it might not be the bottom. Or more likely, it will be after the bottom on the upswing and then you've lost out even more.
People need medical care for emergencies in the middle of the night. People don't have the same need to trade 24/7.

Matt Levine and others argue that shorter trading hours would actually increase market liquidity. Synthesize market information outside of market hours, then trade during a shorter window: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-03-09/stuff-...
>we are in a 7-sigma event

On a more general point, I never understood why market returns are assumed to be gaussian - these "one in a billion" events seem to happen far too often.