skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> By delaying the "pandemic" designation, the WHO has inadvertently cost more lives.

... why?

I mean, it's not like the word of the WHO is a binding thing, where anyone is mandated to take action on any level because of a binary designation in a taxonomy. This whole this is just bureaucratic wheels turning; everyone who needs to take action has all the information they need to do so.

This is just the WHO doing what it does best -- having committees meeting endlessly to decide whether to apply a certain meaningless designation and then announcing the conclusion of that exercise.

Their actual job, of collating and disseminating information and trying to coordinate any large-scale responses, is actually hard, so nobody wants to do it, but having a meeting to decide IS IT A PANDEMIC is an easy bikeshedding meeting that all the MBAs and ex-McKinsey people can attend and offer their stupid opinion on what the definition of a word is.

EDIT: I said "everyone who needs to take action has all the information they need to do so", and that could be interpreted as saying that we know enough to determine what actions to take. But what I mean is that we have enough data to start to make a range of predictions and bound the uncertainty to some degree; having a more precise metric for any aspect of COVID-19 should not affect the response since those metrics are essentially made up and not comparable even on a per-hospital level, much less a per-country level or even a per-test-kit-type level. Uncertainty is part of the game here, and understanding the risk profiles is how people and organizations and governments have to tune their response.
Seattle just declared a similar ban but for gatherings of 250+ people:

https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/coronavirus-inslee-announce...
That's a good point and highlights a possible misalignment of interests between individuals and the community: me intentionally getting it now, before there are many cases might help me and my family but speeding up spread by doing so might increase the size of the peak for everyone else.

Related question: when I imagine the spread I feel like fast moving spread will burn itself out more quickly and completely. But if it slows down too much, might it become like the flu where if only 1/3 of the people get it in a given year we never hit that critical point where everyone is immune and it peters out within a season, giving it time to mutate and keep reinfecting populations year after year much like the flu does?
In S. Korea the mortality rate is 0.77%. In China outside of the Hubei provence where things have gotten out of control the mortality rate is 0.88%.

People in Italy are only admitted in hospitals if they have difficulty breathing by themselves. People that only have a fever or other mild symptoms are sent home, with no test administered. When the outbreak started they were testing asymptomatic cases, trying to be proactive in identifying infected people, but they stopped doing that once things have gotten out of control. And we will see this pattern repeating.

What's dangerous is spreading nonsense like a 6% death rate, which is factually not true.
("thundering" herd in case anyone wants to google it)
I worked in News Media for a bit. It's full of the most brain-dead, partisan, over confident and self important folk you can find. Both on the left and the right. You have no idea what they will do to get the views. They will target content at hypochondriacs if it makes them a buck.
I see people who diligently get flu shots ignoring the severity of corona :(

I think most people still don't grasp it here. Which is probably because the govt doesn't seem to be taking it seriously too.
Over here, they did the same. Now 'organizers' are already advertising 999 person events. Talk about social responsibility.
How does it compare to static analysis as rubocop actually does. Especially in who decides what anti-patterns are
I don't follow. Per the CDC link, seasonal flu hospitalizations result from 1.0% to 1.5% of flu infections. COVID-19 is currently at about 20%. That's a significantly higher hospital load for COVID-18 than for seasonal flu.
Allthough everything in this medium article might be factually correct, it doesn't seem to me that Tomas Pueyo has any kind of relevant medical or microbiological education to base the content in this article upon. It content just seems to be just a mishmash of stuff gathered on the internet. My fear of this kind of medical bro-science writing is that it is probably doing more harm than good. Please leave this kinds of writeups to the experts. The situation is far too serious for armchair experts to be doling out advice.
I disagree.

As a fan, Curry's return, had a full house the other day, and every single person in attendance knew we wouldn't make the playoffs.

The new people on the team are insanely fun to watch. Yeah, getting walloped by the Clippers last night wasn't fun to watch, but there are plenty of games which are really fun.
It does also say: "Google worked with a subset of its new HTC hires on a contract basis for the Pixel and Pixel 2".

This suggests they at least partially outsourced the work initially and then acqui-hired their way into in-housing it.

Though, yes, it is possible that some of it was done in-house from the beginning. Just because they leaned on external resources to some extent doesn't mean they developed no internal capability on their own.
Did twitter break mobile copy pasting? I can’t get the text of the tweet to copy paste
Got it. That makes more sense. Thanks!
Ultimately it's a matter of finding a provider of an evidence-based practice like CBT. CBT is shown to be effective for some DSM diagnoses, but there's a realistic question of whether they can be provided that care, as many insurance companies won't cover intensive CBT sessions, and you may not have a trained CBT professional in your community. Psychotherapy then may be a better option.

Also, psychotherapy would likely be recommended over CBT for someone if their behavior is related to adverse childhood experiences or having trouble with housing/money(poor ppl). Of course its not total black/white as even some CBT practitioners can incorporate elements from psychotherapy.
Curious, does it imply people in prison for rape murder and assault should not be able to have a book written, what about providing an interview?
For reference, WHO's pandemic definition is phase 6 in this chart: https://www.who.int/influenza/resources/documents/pandemic_p...

that is, sustained community outbreaks in multiple WHO regions.

For someone like the WHO, you'll either be criticized for sounding the alarm for no reason or not sounding it fast enough.
> Perhaps one day unsafe programming languages will be forbidden to use.

That would mean ruling out a whole lot of performance-critical software (including that written in unsafe Rust). Be careful what you wish for.
Introduction to RedisGears
My point entirely! Fun fact, so. Wr traveled to what was declared today by the German Robert Koch Institute as a risk zone in France. Travel 10 days ago, so self quarantine until Sunday.
A little more clarifying, but theres at least 18,000~ fans per Warriors home game, lots of money to be lost ($140~/fan). -
http://www.espn.com/nba/attendance
https://www.forbes.com/sites/kristidosh/2018/09/30/measuring...
Would recommend NextCloud.
That perspective is remarkably charitable to Trump, who not only claimed that the virus was a "hoax", but mobilized his loyalists in the media to spread harmful ideas about the level of contagion and lethality.

It is important to realize that Trump's comments about COVID-19 likely caused many people to defy their own common sense intuitions and do the opposite of what the experts have recommended.

In the US, direct censorship by government is not necessary. Voices that the government doesn't approve of are quickly censored/deplatformed by private sector firms, news feed algos are updated to suppress certain kinds of information, etc.

The extent to which firm authoritarian measures are necessary is determined by how compliant/obedient the citizens are. The Chinese government must be more heavy handed because there is an active culture of dissent, not because China is somehow innately more authoritarian.
Secret-sharing app Whisper shared secrets like last known location and
Hygiene is important, of course, but I've seen several people say that if you wash your hands, the likelihood of being infected is zero. That is absolute nonsense, bordering on irresponsible. Coronavirus spreads through air particles. For this virus, washing your hands has no particular benefit.
It could take two weeks before you develop severe symptoms sending you to the hospital. After that you may need intensive care for a couple of weeks. How sure are you that your local hospitals won't be overwhelmed in 2-4 weeks?

There are different strains of the virus and it's not clear if getting one of them gives you immunity to other strains.
You left out the phrase "in my opinion" from your very strong opinion statement that alcoholism is not a disease. You could qualify your opinion, such as "in my professional opinion as a psychologist", or "in my layperson opinion through my experience with people who believe they are alcoholics". Or even better perhaps "in my opinion as someone who thought I was addicted, I solved my problem this way...".

Try harder.
If you have 1001 people in your friend group then meeting up with your friends in a park would qualify as a public event that is now restricted.

Honestly, this sort of large gatherings restriction is just par for the course for epidemics, we just haven't had one that could potentially get this bad in quite a while.
Better link:
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/inslee-or...
Isn't it better for society to focus on improving public transit than electric? You could say "we don't have to choose" but it seems SV already did.
> You can let iCloud store large files now, for example, truncating the local file when it is rarely accessed.

Do you know how that translates to the BSD layer? Does such a file appear to exist and have a certain size, but is e.g. exclusively read-locked, unless you manually download it? Or does fopen(2) block, trigger an iCloud download, and then unblock once it's complete?
Yeah, I'm starting to think the disinformation campaigns are starting to affect HN now.
Same here. And it's not like I can just head home freely.
but 900 people are OK?

We need to really think about this...
I bristle every time someone describes Y2K as a non-event. It was only a non-event because of all of the effort that went into preventing it.
Reminds me that the church shooting in Texas was literally live streamed. The church I grew up with recorded mp3s of sermons at put them on their website, and that was way back in the very early 2000s.
Just breaking: White House orders federal health officials to treat coronavirus planning as classified, something that has never been done for public health emergencies.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-secrec...
Just crossed 29,000mi on our 3, and I've got a decent amount of seat time in the S (my dad has had one for a few years, I had one as a loaner the one time I took my car in for service, etc).

Driving the S never felt weird to me until I owned the 3 and went 'back' to the S. I was simply overwhelmed at how many buttons there are, everywhere, for everything. There are something like 4 or 5 stalks coming out of the steering wheel, somehow. So many buttons ON the wheel (reminds me of my old Golf; it's great when it's your only car, but when you switch cars it's impossible to remember which buttons are for cruise, which are for the stereo, which are for calls, etc). Which is pretty shocking when I remember the first experience in an S surprised me at how SIMPLE the interior was.

What I've noticed, from Tesla groups, is that virtually nobody is disappointed with autopilot. People who like it, LOVE it, and wouldn't buy the car without it. Those of us who don't think it's all that great, either don't buy it, or bought it cheap (I bought it during the 1 week it cost $2000, as a "why not"). IMO, it's too aggressive to center the steering, too late to brake (waiting until the car directly in front of you begins slowing), often closes the gap too aggressively, etc. Don't get me wrong, I am an aggressive driver, but the AP is too.. "abrupt" for me. When I'm in traffic I like to ride the wave a bit and let gaps enlarge and slowly shrink.

The car is fantastic without autopilot, and it really changes the driving/car ownership experience, and in an almost entirely positive way.

The automatic wipers used to suck; they're great now. The addition of Spotify has made me SO happy. Seat memory based on which driver's phone is on the driver's side when the car unlocks is magic, I'm glad they added it. In general, the phone-as-key is the best feature ever for a 2-driver car in particular.

Things that I wish were buttons/switches:

* Mirror controls.

* Glovebox

* Wipers, probably, though it's mostly fixed now.

And to be fair, the mirrors are only because I've swapped mirror glass 3x now (factory -> suma wide angle reproduction mirrors -> tesla OEM european mirrors) and you never get your adjustment right on the first try.. and we have to do it for 2 drivers.. clicking through the screens while driving is a tad unsafe. But then, once they're set, you pretty much forget them, so I can forgive this. Would be hard for someone borrowing the car to deal with though.
It's constitutional as an exercise of California's power under the 10th Amendment. This is a pretty well settled area of Constitutional law, as the US has had plenty of epidemics of various diseases (cholera, typhus, yellow fever, influenza, and even bubonic plague) in the 19th and early 20th centuries that provided opportunity to litigate these issues.
I think it was for this reason - the focus should really be on increasing supply and encouraging mask use if there is effectiveness.

South Korea went this route -> masks are in the post offices and other govt buildings to increase distribution.
(I am a lawyer, but this is not legal advice. Consult an licensed attorney in your jurisdiction if you need legal advice.)

I do not believe this is unconstitutional. It is not meant to keep people from exercising their First Amendment rights. It's speech neutral (time/place/manner restrictions are subject to a much lower level of judicial scrutiny than content-based restrictions).

It only applies to events in facilities owned or managed by the City of San Francisco. It does not prevent people from gathering in public spaces, nor prevent private venue operators who want to hold large gatherings from doing so (not that anyone with a modicum of liability insurance wants to take such risks).
Linux Foundation open sources disaster-relief IoT firmware: Project OWL
> They are incapable of occupying the same position at the same time. It's ridiculous. Pure tribalism at work.

That's not really what GP's poll indicates:

> About four of every 10 Democrats said they thought the new coronavirus poses an imminent threat, compared to about two of every 10 Republicans.

Both less than half.
I've read that you need about 40% of the population to be immune to it, for this to die down. Suppose you will inevitably get there no matter what we do (barring a deus ex machina like a vaccine) - you want to do it at a pace that does not overwhelm the health system.

Another thing to consider is, that this is like a friction coefficient. So maybe if people spend 80% less time outside, we can maybe equate that to having 25% of the people already immune or something like that, and then 10-15% actual immunity is enough to make it die down.
Gosh I hope the hammer comes down hard on folks trying to make a buck this way if they even briefly creep over 1000 - since 1000+ events are banned maybe target events in the 100s range.
According to the Supreme Court, too: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compagnie_Francaise_de_Navigat...
The flu theory was never reasonable. Clinical case studies were available from the beginning of the pandemic and long before the first media personality came up with the flu thing.
Freedom from child marriage meant I could get an education
Streaming video could be saddled with a new patent licensing cost
shouldn't we be able to tell from countries on the equator? Or is too early to tell?
Of course. The risk in purchasing tickets for later in the year while they are still cheap is that we may not be able to use them if this situation continues and doesn't improve. I thought that was pretty clear in my original comment.
VCs Have to Fundraise Too
I showed someone a picture of one of China's metropoles a while ago and asked where they thought it was. Everywhere but China apparently. It is surprising how hard it is for people to let go of such badly outdated information.

Here is another one to take a guess at:

https://media.tacdn.com/media/attractions-splice-spp-674x446...
Microsoft takes down botnet that infected nine million devices
I don't agree that it's shortsighted. Switching to mass transit for everything would be a regression. There is no way to make cars obsolete by replacing them with something functionally inferior.
Aw. The best part of E3 was always the decor all the studios do to their booth. Hard to replicate that experience since it's very similar to visiting an art museum.

I wonder if the studios will just release the playable demos to the press now. The worst part of E3 was always waiting hours in line for a 5-minute demo experience. If they can digitally release the games, it'd be so much better.
16 days ago I wrote:

"The reason the WHO is not declaring the coronavirus a "pandemic" is likely to avoid causing a panic at this point. They will only use the P-word once it is clear to everyone that it is one." https://twitter.com/zorinaq/status/1232094407584710656 I was criticized for being "alarmist." But I was right. It was obvious to those of us who did the research (100+ hours reading peer-reviewed articles) that it was going to turn into a very big deal.
That's really unfortunate, but not surprising. Trump supporters seem to believe that he's incapable of wrongdoing, despite all evidence to the contrary.
With season flu hospitals are not overwhelmed but with covid-19 they probably will be so even more people will die.
I don't get why ATS isn't more popular. It's a really cool language.
Can they go back to Oakland if they so choose? Just curious.
I found this article which claims The WHO's use of the term is arbitrary based upon the conditions at hand.

https://www.theverge.com/2020/3/11/21156325/coronavirus-pand...

I suspect The WHO declared this a pandemic, based upon the article, out of concern for what they perceive to be insufficient government activity.
> I dunno, how do you distinguish "April" (the month) vs "April" (someone's first name) or 18 (kg) vs 18 ($) vs 18 (-th of the month) vs 18 (page number)?

Types! Extensible types. Like I said above, Transit is a good solution to this. With a fixed set of types, arbitrary data will always have ambiguity.
I've always wondered why I haven't seen a DBMS built as a unikernel. A DBMS is already a "managed runtime" for data, with its own memory allocator, scheduler, filesystem (in some sense), etc. And you're almost always going to want to run a DBMS "workload" on its own dedicated hardware/VM, anyway, for predictability.

So why not just take that set of DBMS services and put them in ring-0, where they won't need any context-switch overhead, will have fine-grained control over their own queuing for kernel resources, and where they can pass data structures by reference all the way from the network to the disk and back?

In Linux, we already have Open-iSCSI, which just has the control plane in userspace, while the data plane is entirely a Linux kernel service, gaining it all these advantages. This architecture works very well there; I'm unclear on why others attempting to provide the higher-level "data-management solutions", with the same high-throughput/low-latency requirements, haven't copied it.
(Kudlow is the Director of the National Economic Council and advises WH)

The book Superforecasting (2015) uses Larry Kudlow as an example of 'hedgehog forecaster' that is consistently wrong.

Not only is Kudlow consistently wrong in forecasting, he also fails nowcasting. When Financial crisis was unfolding Kudlow did not realize that something was going wrong.

>The National Bureau of Economic Research later designated December 2007 as the official start of the Great Recession of 2007–9. As the months passed, the economy weakened and worries grew, but Kudlow did not budge. There is no recession and there will be no recession, he insisted. When the White House said the same in April 2008, Kudlow wrote, “President George W. Bush may turn out to be the top economic forecaster in the country.”20 Through the spring and into summer, the economy worsened but Kudlow denied it. “We are in a mental recession, not an actual recession,”21 he wrote, a theme he kept repeating until September 15, when Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy, Wall Street was thrown into chaos, the global financial system froze, and people the world over felt like passengers in a plunging jet, eyes wide, fingers digging into armrests.
And I honestly do want a $400 sweater if we have a prospering manufacturing business. How many people stuff their house with clothes that they wear only once? How many people buy toys that their kids play only a few times? How many people hav a whole closet of shoes? Why do we have twice as large of closet room compared with people living in the 50s? Why do people just have to buy clothes every quarter, every month, every week? People around the world seem have been consumed by modern consumerism.

If people around me can get decent jobs because of local manufacturing, if US can keep developing talents in mechanical engineering, chemical engineering, and material engineering, hell yeah, bring me the $400 sweater.
> China made some critical missteps early on in silencing doctors who spoke up about a novel virus.

We are doing that too. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/10/us/coronavirus-testing-de...

> They also downplayed the crisis to avoid bad news around the New Years celebration (and kept the banquet in Wuhan that was a turning point in the explosive growth of the virus).

And we're downplaying the crisis to avoid bad news in an election year.
It’s the best part of sitting close to the court. So much shit talking and bravado.
No judge is going to sign off on an injunction when an epidemic is raging nationwide, with a large number of confirmed cases on the west coast [1]. I'll eat crow if you find one with that much chutzpa.

[1] https://infection2020.com/
Why does one’s intuition bring up classiness of all values at play....
For some, a definite never.
As lovers of life, we tend to feel the fewer the better.
Will populations "never" normalize whatever comes to pass?
Extremely doubtful,
we seem incredibly adept at amnesicly moving on.
Verizon launches Yahoo Mobile phone service
This didn't happen in WWI at the same time as the 1918 Flu pandemic, so I don't see it happening now. It was not a presidential election year, but elections were not cancelled from what I can find.
Essentials of Interpretation
Phase 6, the pandemic phase, is characterized by community level outbreaks in at least one other country [Italy|Iran] in a different WHO region [Europe|Eastern Mediterranean] in addition to Phase 5 that is characterized by human-to-human spread of the virus into at least two countries [China & South Korea] in one WHO region [Western Pacific]. No threshold of cases or deaths triggers the community level definition and is left to discretion of the WHO.
I actually wonder whether they will consider selling 500 very expensive tickets.
I don't think that's the implication, they just have to draw the line somewhere. I would think starting with 1000 is meant to have less dramatic impact on things like schools and workplaces with ~500 people, giving them more time to prepare before the limit goes down further.