skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
(This is armchair psychologist speculation...)

I wonder if numeracy is actually a correlated factor to the propensity for modeling systems, which is very much relevant to learning to program in any programming language. In my anecdotal experience, being fluid with numbers often comes from having a bias towards thinking about the world in terms of numerical relationships.
Well, of all the monitors I have, I think one of them supports >60Hz refresh. Overwhelmingly (including on windows7) I've disabled compositing because it makes the machine seems laggy. A bit of tearing when I'm scrolling fast, or moving a window doesn't bother me. About the only time its annoying is low frame-rate video.

So, if you think about what the tearing is it makes sense, your getting a partially drawn frame because the application didn't provide the full frame in time for the vsync, waiting to display the update for and additional one or two frames simply to assure a complete frame can only slow things down.
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I really get irritated by the use of the term. I've heard it too much in the wrong situations. Use with caution.
A different way of thinking about resilience [DARPA]
The scatter plots seem quite spread out. If you removed one outlier person from the numeracy plot it would be much more correlated. Maybe that person is a special case somehow.

I wonder if there is any formalized way in statistical hypothesis testing to quantify how much the conclusions could be changed by removing at most k (e.g. k=1) number of datapoints.
Except we do have data, that’s my point. China’s study is being cited by most experts as this situation unfolds. It doesn’t mean these numbers will hold — it’s possible that what we see out of South Korea over the coming month might be more representative — but it’s what we have, and it’s not nothing:

http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/02/study-720...
kind of silver lining of production slowdown "Maps show drastic drop in China’s air pollution after coronavirus quarantine" https://www.theverge.com/2020/3/2/21161324/coronavirus-quara...
Hi! Thank you!!!! That's great! I started playing a little bit with your bot :)
Minecraft AI Learns to Hunt Chickens – ChaosCraft v0.3.8
Kenneth Rogoff on Supply Shocks and an upcoming recession
Yes like open office plans.
Top Qualities to Look Out for in Online SEO Companies
Comments about events "priced in" are absolutely right. With a little work, you can make it transparent and use it to your advantage.

In simple terms, the price of an option at a given time is equal to the product of what you can expect to gain from it (its payout) and the likelihood of each payout (the implied distribution of the asset at maturity). The interesting consequence is that you can reverse-engineer option quotes to derive the "market-implied probability distribution of a given asset at expiry". You can then compare this to your expectations to enter positions (for example if you think the market overpriced/underpriced a given event, trade against it with options).

You first need to calculate the implied volatility of options quotes (both calls/puts on both bid/ask) which requires you to correctly adjust your forward, i.e divs and rates to obtain put-call parity. If your forward is wrong, your implied volatility curves will look off (for example put bids above call asks) which means you have the wrong rates or dividends expectations.
Once you computed the implied volatilities and are happy with your forward, you can fit a curve between your 4 series (call ask, call bid, put ask, put bit). This is your implied volatility mark. You can then use this volatility mark to derive an implied probability density. There is a simple example of how this is done here:

https://www.mathworks.com/company/newsletters/articles/estim...

This is actually really useful when you are trying to manage your risk for a given event. It also has interesting dynamics. Back in 2014 for example, we were worried about our risk on PBR US (a massive petro company with strong political links) ahead of Brazilian elections. By using this method, we found out that the implied distribution of the stock was bimodal, each mode corresponding to one outcome of the election. This gave us an idea of how much the stock could move either way and helped us cover the risk.

If you would like to see whether a given event is indeed priced in as you would expect, you can use this method, bearing in mind there is a timing element and you should seek the option expiry just after the event or horizon you are considering.

One last point that is important to consider is that this is “market-implied distribution” and does not imply a future behavior for the asset in question. It merely gives you an idea of the expectations of actors at this moment. Moreover, it is highly dependent on your inputs (dividends, rates and how you fit your volatility curve between bid/ask options quotes, particularly on the wings).
Sure, but guranteed stop losses are a form of insurance where, even if the platform's out and stop losses don't execute in time, the customer will be reimbursed for any money lost as a result -- this is what's really more valuable here.
Show HN: Hacker News for Books
Nice, thanks for the honest answers about the tech. I think focusing in on what makes hardware different is definitely the right move. I have been working on using Gitea as the Kitspace back-end as well.

Regarding the BOMs, the manifest is documented on the Kitspace readme [0]. The BOMs themselves are mainly documented in the 1-click BOM readme [1]. I also put an MIT licensed parsing library on NPM [2].

The parsing library has seen a lot of feature creep, expanding what it accepts: it can now parse Excel, ODS and even .kicad_pcb. However, what it outputs may be the more useful standard. BOMs in this format have predictable headings, are tab-seperated (so you can actually just parse by splitting on \n and \t) and are always served on

https://kitspace.org/<project>/1-click-BOM.tsv (e.g. [3])

My email is in my HN profile, always happy to talk more about it.

[0]: https://github.com/kitspace/kitspace#kitspaceyaml-format

[1]: https://github.com/kitspace/1clickBOM#all-cad-programs

[2]: https://www.npmjs.com/package/1-click-bom

[3]: https://kitspace.org/boards/gitlab.com/bath_open_instrumenta...
rsync.net is built on ZFS which is anything but simple. Having worked with multi-petabyte ZFS systems, you can run into some seriously hard to track down issues.
Interactive coronavirus graph with total and incremental tracking
https://archive.md/JeaX1

This is from last Thursday btw.
Never heard of that, I don't think it's commonly used.
>but also means employees are not forced into massive corrupt labor unions that halt efficiency.

The funny thing is that labor unions in Germany work great, and that country leads the world in exports. Labor unions in the US, however, seem to frequently become corrupt. The problem isn't unions.
They're encouraging the scientific process, which is the method by which we validate science. Your objections to scientific process only serves to detract from that process.
It's supposed to refer to an object that is in GPU RAM. You can map it to CPU RAM to access it, but obviously that is slow. The userspace function you normally want to call to do this is "gbm_bo_map".
The situation is probably better now that ARMv8 has some crypto-specific instructions, but AES-GCM on older ARMs performed awfully without the instructions specifically for doing AES and Galois field multiplication
That's exactly why I want this thrown out of court as hard as possible, rather than an expensive court case, even if it can be won. This stuff is just harassment by the big corporations and showing off their power.
"Applications are harder to use, yes, but because they do so much more."

But do they? The move to web browser apps and the loss of rich native desktop functionality means that many web apps offer far less functionality than native desktop apps. The companies that offer these web apps sell them on their easy sharing capability and collaboration features.

An example: thirty years ago (or more), you could use any desktop word processor and perform basic tasks like spell check, change the colour of text, choose fonts and change their size.

Or today, in 2020, you can use Dropbox Paper without any spell check, no way to change the colour of text, no ability to choose fonts or even alter their size. But it does runs in a web browser. This is apparently progress.
Well now you are just being willfully misleading.

> Case in point the incubation period from your own link. "Most estimates of the incubation period range from 1-14 days, most commonly around five days. These estimates are updated as more information becomes available."

Yes, it continues to become more accurate. Initial reports thought the incubation period could be up to 20-30 days. Continued study of the virus has refined the numbers and will continue to do so.

> How long does it remain on the surface. "It is not certain how long the virus survices on surfaces."

Interesting that you purposefully leave out the rest of the quote:

"It is not certain how long the virus that causes COVID-19 survives on surfaces, but it seems to behave like other coronaviruses. Studies suggest that coronaviruses (including preliminary information on the COVID-19 virus) may persist on surfaces for a few hours or up to several days. This may vary under different conditions (e.g. type of surface, temperature or humidity of the environment).

If you think a surface may be infected, clean it with simple disinfectant to kill the virus and protect yourself and others. Clean your hands with an alcohol-based hand rub or wash them with soap and water. Avoid touching your eyes, mouth, or nose."

> How deadly is the coronavirus? "We don’t yet know."

Again, you leave out the rest of the quote and this one has hard numbers behind it as the infection, recovery, and mortality rates are being tracked internationally.

"As of February 25, 2020, the reported confirmed cases and deaths in China suggest the mortality rate is roughly 3%. It is important to remember that early on in an epidemic there is a “tip of the iceberg” phenomenon where we overestimate more severe cases and mild or asymptomatic cases go unrecognized, so the mortality seems higher than the reality. That may be happening when we speak of up to 3% mortality. By contrast, SARS had a mortality rate of around 10%; the MERS mortality rate is closer to 30% to 40%. There appear to be many more COVID-19 cases confirmed than there were with SARS and MERS."

> Can I catch the virus by eating food prepared by others? "It's not clear if this is possible."

Yet another misleading partial quote.

"It’s not clear if this is possible, but if so it would be more likely to be the exception than the rule. That said, COVID-19 and other coronaviruses have been detected in the stool of certain patients, so we currently cannot rule out the possibility of occasional transmission from infected food handlers. The virus would likely be killed by cooking the food."

None of these are "guesses". They are scientific observations backed by evidence. Stop spreading misinformation. You claimed that we "know next to nothing about this virus" which is simply not true.
I didn't do a PhD, I was accepted to one though, but I turned it down last minute. If you plan to go back to the industry after, it can be at very least a waste of time.

Don't do a PhD 'for the fun', it's not.
For me, the biggest con of PDFs is that like physical books, the font family and size cannot be changed. This means you can't blow the text up without having to scroll horizontally to read each line or change the font to one you prefer for whatever reason. It boggles my mind that we accept throwing away the raw underlying text that forms a PDF. PDF is one step above a JPEG containing the same contents.
Convolutional reverb means you convolve the impulse response of a system with a "dry" input signal to get your output. If the impulse response has any content before t=0, that content will cause a sound in your input signal to have an effect on the output before it happens. "Acausal" is the jargon.
The Hagia Sophia was the site of a significant massacre when it was forcibly converted from a church to a mosque.
Congratulations on the launch. You are definitely tackling an interesting problem, but I will play a devil's advocate here, because I've spent some time researching similar use-cases for dealing mainly with triage of security & abuse incidents. From the demo, the application seems to be pretty basic, you accept an input and allow users to set actions, take actions, and move tasks through the tasks' life-cycle. You argue that your solution will lower the costs associated with the implementation and maintenance of such applications, but is that really the real added value of your solution for a customer?

In my experience, many teams have already established flows and homebrew solutions that are working "just fine". With your solution in place, how do you convince these type of customers to migrate? Why they should spend time on integrating with your application that offers just fancy manual triage of tasks? You list numerous use-cases which I would say are mission critical (onboarding of customers, triage of risk transactions, etc.) and your solution doesn't really help the operators (=humans) to resolve the problem faster. In my experience, the operators often times have to deal with so called "alarm/alert fatigue", how does your solution helps companies do more with less?
A related article from last year: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20163017. No comments though.
You forgot to include the assumption that everyone on the planet will eventually be infected.

Get real.
During the KDE 3 era, I heard a saying on slashdot:

First comes the Navigator

Then comes the Explorer

Finally comes the Konqueror

It is amusing that WebKit (forked by Apple from Konqueror browser) is now perhaps the dominant rendering engine for browsers, with Mozilla/Firefox being reborn from the ashes of Navigator.
Absolutely fantastic article.

The protagonists, in my experience, don't understand this nuance very well, and are quick to label you as "anti-science".
The first world, for as long as that has been a term, has had more than sufficient supplies of food. Unlike many other parts of the world in the same period of time.
Zigpoll with Exit Intent
Are there any other ways to guarrantee good pensions ?
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22457351
If it's done wrong it can definitely be a loss centre though, as in 'lose the whole company'. And arguably you see little innovation once you've outsourced it. This pleases accountants, as innovation scares them, and consistent billing fulfills them.

However, when technology is called upon to interface between the deeply technical (operations analysis for solving efficient container shipping and fleet Management), the thousands of people and manual handling and data entry operations per day, in just about every country and climate possible, then your IT operations are non-standard.
Which is yet another case of fix the problems with the existing stack rather than creating a new one.

Yah, you don't get to be a hero, and product arch, etc for making X work better. I have yet to see a convincing argument that X couldn't have been made more secure by bolting on another opt-in extension. Then once in place, like GL ES, you start deprecating all the features used by basically no-one.
you should take a look at https://www.pcbevo.com/ I think it offers analytics that complement your visualization.
weechat-matrix gets a lot of attention, works really well, has full E2EE support, and weechat at least is in major package managers. Matrix is evolving pretty fast though, so you'll probably have to install your own matrix plugin from https://github.com/poljar/weechat-matrix.

Meanwhile gomuks also exists and is usable and not abandoned.

On GUI Desktop, various clients are in active dev - e.g. Fractal for GTK/Rust, Quaternion for Qt/C++, Nheko for Qt/QML, etc. They are not as complete as Riot yet, but I'm sure PRs are welcome...
That link just tells me to go visit an AppStore.

I thought you said it was web-based?
I bet most porch pirates will have an easier time fencing a tv rather than a desk, and so would be more likely to take a TV box.
This is awesome !

We have been working on something similar in this space on Product Management ( From Brainstorming, Idea Validation to Execution, and we got our early MVP built ( check out the video here https://twitter.com/rebataur/status/1234462816834183169 )

Would you be open for some consulting, let me know
In general, by gathering enough information, you can make your expectation for an options trading positive.

In general, this isn't true of games of chance, except somewhat for games like poker.

That said, I think I recall that pros refer to amateur traders as "stupid flow".
Talk about what if something magically dissolves the concrete casks betrays that the person bringing that up has no idea what they're talking about. The wastes are not in any liquid or soluble form inside the casks. They're solid chunks of glass, like tektites, meteoric glass that's known to have sat in sea water unchanged for over a billion years.

Those interested in what is already there at Yucca Mountain should go to Google Earth. Search for "Sedan Crater." Scan south.

Guess what those 1000-ish craters are.
> Why does every application need to be "cloud connected"? What's wrong with having a normal desktop application that saves files to the filesystem like every application did for thirty-odd years? ... Users themselves are not asking for cloud connectivity.

Of course they absolutely* are. I keep literally all my documents in the cloud. I'm constantly editing my documents from different devices -- my phone, my laptop, my tablet. Users like myself are absolutely asking for cloud connectivity. I simply won't use an app if it doesn't have it. Your argument makes as much sense of "why does every skyscraper have to have elevators? Users aren't asking for anything more than stairs!"

> Mouse and touch are different enough that trying to handle both in one app is a fool's errand.

Except you don't have a choice. Many apps these days are webapps, and absolutely require both interfaces to work. Many laptops also support both. That's just how it is.

> The problem is that all of these new "best practices" are far worse, from a usability perspective, than the WIMP (windows, icons, menus, pointer) paradigm that preceded them... When today's best practices are worse than yesterday's best practices, I think it is fair to say that applications are getting worse.

Except WIMP doesn't work on mobile. So it's an apples-to-oranges comparison.
I just noticed I got an email at 1949 UTC. I guess they're still sending them out. Presumably some people will receive their emails after the revocation.
Congrats, looks really great!!
This is a good point. A lower fertility rate will probably result in a better quality of life for people in the long run since there is less competition for resources
Moviefone, Worth 1% of Its Former Value, Is Being Run by One Employee
Gomuks[1] is a maintained Matrix cli client that works well in my personal experience.

[1] https://github.com/tulir/gomuks
Google cancels ‘physical’ I/O 2020 due to coronavirus concerns
Dgraph is out bc of Bleve. Others have varying levels of shortcomings but aren't necessarily out. Like Arango supports custom analyzers but I'd really rather have more analyzers available out of the box.

Neo4j seems like a clear winner, but I'm a little skittish because so many people seem divided on using it in production. OrientDB also seems like it could be a very good choice.

I think my main problem with evaluating the multi-model alternatives to Neo is that I don't feel capable of reasoning about the appropriateness of implementing this in a multi-model database. I have to admit I don't quite get how their graph layers work beyond "graph something something linked lists". At best I have a suspicion that it could turn into some kind of composite indexing hell.
Not exactly sarcasm, but we will find out if bullying out high-ranking members of the CDC by the Trump administration was a bad move :)
Making Clinical Trial Eligibility Machine Readable
You can semi-productively talk to Matrix over a few lines of bash & curl fwiw, as per https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20949477
How is the AIDS pandemic an example of a wicked problem?

One of the definitions of a wicked problem is "Wicked problems have no stopping rule.". But the stopping rule for the AIDS pandemic seems to be creating a cure for AIDS / eliminating all cases of AIDS.

Am I missing something really obvious here??
as per elsewhere, just use weechat-matrix, which is excellent.
Journalling can be useful even if you never go back and read your journal. (In which case it doesn't matter that entries are repetitive.)

"Journalling for mental health", URMC Health Encyclopedia: https://www.urmc.rochester.edu/encyclopedia/content.aspx?Con...

"How Writing in a Journal Helps Manage Depression" https://www.webmd.com/depression/features/writing-your-way-o...
You probably don't need it, but you can use it if you really want. If you're using a fullscreen compositing WM in X11 then single applications can't disable vsync, it's the same situation as with Wayland.
Whinging conservatives. Maybe if the message wasnt hate based people wouldnt have to remove.
> Do you believe it's a human right to receive food, shelter and sanitary conditions?

Yes.

> I don't.

Then I'm assuming you're not American, or if you are, then you're a traitor (not that I'd necessarily judge you for that; a staggeringly large number of Americans are traitors by this metric):

"We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness."

That is: our very founding principles forbid us from denying our fellow Americans food or water or shelter or sanitation or healthcare or the other things that are necessary to achieve those three fundamental inalienable God-given rights¹. It is our duty - our imperative - as a nation and people to do what we can to provide those things to those unable to provide them for themselves.

> and if unfairly prevented by other people (and not by circumstances outside human control, such as mental illness), their rights are violated. But that's as far as the human rights go.

I can't tell which one of these you're saying:

- People who are able to work toward obtaining those things, but are prevented from doing so, forfeit their rights to those things

- People who are unable to work toward obtaining those things (due to e.g. mental illness) forfeit their rights to those things

I mean, both viewpoints are pretty reprehensible, but it'd be interesting to get some clarity on which one you believe, since the way you've worded that makes it sound a lot like you believe only one of those two groups are worth helping.

----

¹: Feel free to substitute "God" here for your deity or deities of choice, or the lack thereof; you don't have to believe in God to be a decent human being.
RiotX is approaching 1.0 in the coming weeks and is highly recommended over Riot/Android at this point.
Keeping in mind that generally technical people will join this server and may have a vested interest in the move from IRC? The issue around IRC is not a problem that can't be solved and really has been solved with the Web UI clients, for an every day user, to clients that make it simple otherwise.

See my other comment in this thread if you disagree but this is making something unnecessarily complicated because... reasons?
Cool library! I like it when libraries don't have too many configurations set to a default.

e.g. https://github.com/danielgindi/Charts has so many default options set for a graph that 80% of code is doing something like

chart.option.isEnabled = false