skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Almost everything grows “exponentially” when it grows (companies, population, virus infections etc). When exponent is 0.000000001 it is also “exponential” grows. And decline is also usually “exponential”. It is basic math and common sense. The author actually meant “fast”, and the word “exponential” is a marker of poor quality title.
I do host my own website and manage all of those things, but it's not a question of the cost it's the fact that I can't opt out. It impairs my ability to predict & control my expenses, and it forces me to subsidize Etsy's ad campaigns that compete directly with my own website.
There's quite a lot of code in the packages dir - 76,000 lines of typescript.

It was all added in the first commit 45 mins ago. Why would they hide their commit history?

Also I found this funny - comments in package.json:

"//": "Look! No deps!",
"dependencies": {},
"///": "Only used for static type checking",
"devDependencies": {
Where are you seeing so much "toxic negativity" on Reddit? The homepage is pretty generic news content if you're not logged in, but the typical logged-in experience with any social network comes down to who and what you follow.

EDIT: I'm curious what people are disagreeing with here. I'm in dozens of subreddits that are all great communities.
Cách ly 92 ngườI nghi nhiễm virus corona ở Việt Nam
https://soho-berita.blogspot.com/2020/02/kabar-duka-cita-innalilahi-sule.html?m=1
I wonder, was it an honest attempt? After 20 years, you certainly have nothing to hide. I mean, did they expect it to work, or they were just having fun working on a hard problem they loved working on, for someone else's money?
If you didn't care about the "still in business" part—implying the same line of business—Stora Enso of Finland would date back to 1288: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stora_Enso
Might be a non-answer, but I think this really depends on how much leverage you have in pulling engineering + product culture levers.

In my experience, you need to first define a small set of north star metrics that lead to the promised land, which could be years, if not a decade away. Ideally, this should not be more than 3 so there's focus in the long term. If you define this well, everybody will understand the significance of it and be aligned to hit those objectives. Any increase, exponential or not, is progress the team should feel proud of. This is 80% of the "selling" for long time scale projects.

Once you've done that, all other initiatives should focus on improving only these metrics. Generally speaking, very aggressive milestones and keeping that momentum going, while not punishing teams for missing targets will move the needle faster than the other way round.
I'd love to agree with you, but I keep being reminded that 'the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.'

Sure, I'm nearly certain this is going to give us 2-4 quarters of negative growth, worldwide, but I don't know when the market is actually going to price that in.
That seems the likeliest explanation
I still keep around DB9 connectors and housings/pin kits. The field I work in still uses a lot of different serial communications and various vendors seem to like to design their own pinouts so they can sell you their own cables.
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1224206741602062336.html
Doesn't Supermoderators can hijack and own user's sub, too?
Geezus the day Reddit userbase becomes the same as TikTok is the day I'm fully migrating here.
I haven’t understand the details, but supposedly Java generics are also Turing complete: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1605.05274.pdf
> 80+ years old: 14.8%

Great. My grandparents have a more than insignificant chance of dying if they (probably) catch it. This really assuages my fears.

> Mortality rate is much, much lower than 3% if you exclude the elderly and the critically ill.

Why would we do this?
Here are estimates from MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College:

=> Estimated fatality ratio for infections 1% (including those who with mild cases and don't go to see doctors)

=> Estimated Case Fatality Rate (CFR) for travellers outside mainland China (mix severe & milder cases) 1%-5%

=> Estimated CFR for detected cases in Hubei (severe cases) 18%

The last line (18%) applies when the outbreak becomes prevalent in an area and overwhelm hospital capacity.

No country has sufficient ventilators, ECMO machines, and medical staff if infections become widespread since about 20% of infections requires hospitalization. People who need medical care from other causes would suffer from resource shortages as well. If not contained, dozens of cities around the world may become Hubei!

Marc Lipsitch, Professor of Epidemiology at Harvard, believes that it might infect 40-70% of population (excl. kids) without effective control measures.
His articles here: https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1232504457377861632

--

Reference: Report 4 here: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-ana...

From Report 6: "we estimated that about two thirds of COVID-19 cases exported from mainland China have remained undetected worldwide, potentially resulting in multiple chains of as yet undetected human-to-human transmission outside mainland China."

For concise interviews with experts and other info: Follow their Twitter at @MRC_Outbreak https://twitter.com/MRC_Outbreak
You had me until the second paragraph.

Perhaps we can have a way to reduce global climate change without mass suffering and death.
Either we know different Americans, or have different expectations of what their response is likely to be. I have heard from several friends and from family about their acquisition of significant quantities of non-perishable food, boxes of face masks, and ammo. Definitely don't have their heads in the sand.

I'm somewhat closer to "head in the sand" myself. I am watching the news closely, but don't feel anything I can do in my immediate daily life is consequential to the situation.
Its amazing how there can be such a long readme file and it still does not communicate what this actually does...
> Coming up with good names for things is one of the hardest jobs in programming and this style forces you to name everything.

People say that. If you build stuff in components like you are supposed to you almost always have a server side component or component logic that you will have to name. So you are going to have to start naming things properly somewhere.

You are simply kicking the can down the road.

> I've been building sites the way you suggest for 20 years. I also had a negative knee jerk reaction to tailwind.

It isn't a negative kneejerk reaction. I've worked with sites where they have done similar things to tailwind and it is a nightmare to understand what is going on with the page.

> But I had enough of an open mind to try it and now I have no interesting in going back.

The markup is almost unreadable, it completely defeats the point of what CSS is supposed to do and it creates considerable mental overhead for someone who isn't familiar with it.

But I suppose I shouldn't really expect anything else from other web developers that over the last 20 odd years somehow manage to not understand the tech they are given.
A "small experiment" needing like it or not 7 TeV for hadronic collisions or 126 GeV for leptonic collisions (now we know that, before the LHC we didn't, just that something had to happen with, say WW at 1TeV). And how exactly can you do that with a "small experiment"?

And no, you can never see what happens at that scale with a low energy experiment, because actually you can't and the reason happens to be technical and related to effective theories and the behaviour of Nature you can only find out by doing experiments... At low/cheap energy you're stuck with Fermi's 1933 four fermion interaction and that's that. No massive vector bosons and no Higgs.

I don't understand how when it comes to physics there are people who think they have a point but can't be bothered with acquiring the domain knowledge. Meaning being able to do some Math beyond the platitudes. It's actually insulting to professionals, not specially well paid, who make quite a few personal sacrifices by choosing research, with its slim chance of getting tenure, instead of tracking users, trading ads or pitching vaporware, for instance.
Sewage treatment plant. That doesn't work.
> a pandemic that kills off a large enough portion of the global population...will solve the global warming crisis

The global warming crisis is a crisis because it has the potential to kill off a large portion of the global population. I'm not an expert or anything but a pandemic that does the same thing doesn't seem like an improvement.
Hong Kong is giving 7M people $1,200 each in cash to boost economy
> That C code wouldn't work if the strings in the map are mutable (which they are in C++). It wouldn't work if the strings were allocated dynamically either

I don't see why not? You'll have to decide the ownership semantics if they're dynamically allocated but that's it?
antagonistic
I remember seeing someones rough estimates about effort required to automate a task vs the time saved by not having to manually perform it. Their claim was automation wins a lot more than you would think.

Consider you have 4 workers using your software. Doesn't take much of them having to wait around for your slow ass software before you need 5 workers.
That's silly.

Unlike Oracle, Facebook has embraced the OSS community adopting their tech, and hasn't wielded the patent threat ever.
and ammo

Yeah those type of people always think civilisation is about to collapse. And lots of them are looking forward to it.
Mostly the preservation of brand name, which is never the same as the company.
Especially true for different public facing things like restaurants and breweries, which is almost always a retrobranding trick.

Family tree washing.
Reddit is now banning folks for upvoting content!

Im on mobile, but there is a screenshot of huffman promising for life to not delete content by users.

Reddit is a propaganda tool 100% now.

(There is another post by him saying as so, they removed both)
There's a spectrum of these. There's terminals that have their own modes, like Termite. There's also terminals that have their own scripting/extension frameworks, like hyper.js or secureCRT.

My personal favorite is Emacs. It's the only environment I've ever been able to rig up that's truly, fully hackable. Since terminal output is treated like any other text buffer, I can roll just about any package I like on top without issue.

In particular, this solved my ssh woes. There's no need to reconfigure my terminal dozens of times each day, because all my preferences and tweaks exist on a higher layer.
Yep, make your own sub!

And then they shut it down, take it over, give it to other people, or quarantine it if they don’t like what you are saying.

The comparison to TikTok which is popular despite being Chinese run and Reddit which is acting in a way that makes me wonder if they are Chinese run is curious.

I wonder which service really has less free speech atm.
Great, so you can feed your family of 4 for $800 - where are you going to store that all in your apartment?

I didn't say it's impossible, but not realistic to expect all or even most Americans to stockpile that much food... especially when the government insists everything is under control.
> Why would they hide their commit history?

I'm the only author at the moment. The project started off years ago as a side project without any commit history, and what little history there was over the years wasn't very thorough. Prior to the open sourcing I've been working on it internally and still did pretty massive diffs that changed thousands of files, still without good history. It's something I'm working on though and will obviously need to be accountable for now that the project is public.
How do you push a 6 year old piece of software 2 decades back? I know you're exaggerating, but after admitting that you don't work with front end anymore (so I'm assuming you haven't really worked with hooks for very long) it's hard to understand why your opinion is of value here.

I've been working with React for 3+ years now and hooks are a major step forward in terms of both productivity and writing clean, efficient, reusable code. Anyone who spends some time wrapping their head around hooks realizes this and from what I see, a large majority of react / react-native library developers are on board as well.

Hooks can be adopted and implemented gradually along side class based components without issue, and no one has trouble when both exist along side each other. There is no rift in the react community because of this, and to suggest there is just reveals your ignorance, it's only pushing things forward.
How are you curating what goes into the newsletter? Who decides? How?
TikTok: get in trouble if you criticize the Chinese president

Reddit: get in trouble if you praise the American president
The big problem when Covid19 hits the US won't be the number of deaths (although of course there will tragically be many).

It will be the number of medical bankruptcies.

Also it'll be interesting to see how much more contagious it will be in a country where people avoid hospitals because of the cost.
Reddit is the worst.

Catering to constant conflict. Always testing limits of what is technically legal and what clearly falls under hate speech laws; all under the banner of free speech.

Reddit would love to be as technological advanced as TikTok but will never adopt their heavily edited approach because they know that there are far more eyeballs and moneys in constant conflict.
Well, a lot of the folks I know who stockpile ammo are cops or veterans (or both) and as such would very much not be looking forward to any collapse, since they've very likely experienced a taste of what that would actually be like.
don't worry guys, I'm creating the new reddit. It's called fuckkit
Hahaha do you remember when humans used to put data in through the front of the computer?
I have kids too and wondered about this. Chinese CDC epidemiology study indicates that kids seemed to be spared from Covid-19 (See table 1)
http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9...

Age is very significant for mortality rate: 0-9: 0%, ..., 60-69: 3.6%, 70-79: 8.0%, 80+: 14.8%. Also the regional breakdown is apparently a useful approximation of what happens when the healthcare system is overwhelmed (Hubei 2.9%) vs not (other Chinese provinces 0.4%). Also 81% patients reported mild symptoms.
A 15% critical rate is very plausible. A widely shared report [1] on Chinese media described how an entire family died to virus. A man, his sister, mother, and father all died to the coronavirus. His wife is in serious condition.

Using the reported death rates posted above, the odds of this happening are
1.3% * 1.3% * 8% * 8% = 1/924556. That's nearly 1 in a million. I concede that the medical system in Wuhan was overwhelmed, and these 5 patients did not have access to medical care.

[1] https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-02-17/four-deaths-in-one-f...
They were actually used? by who?
Good point, but I would think even the current travel restrictions being imposed by various countries must result is a reduction of greenhouse gas production.

I would also imagine that there may be a reduction in holiday travel plans just out of fear of being quarantined.

Not to mention the effect a global recession would have on CO2 production.
Not that I disagree, but for some context, this is coming from the man who said "We know all of your interests. Not only just your interests you are willing to declare publicly on Facebook - we know your dark secrets, we know everything"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6PCnZqrJE24&feature=emb_titl...
Spoken like somebody who has no idea how that particular market works.

Let's take handmade jewelry for an example, because I happen to know that somewhat. Unless you want to do luxury goods, you're talking mostly beading & wire wrapping. There's a very clear ceiling on the price by mass-manufactured goods from mostly Mexico.

People still want to buy handmade in the US, because they can talk to the seller, because they can influence the design somewhat, because it has a feelgood factor. That gives you room to charge a small premium. That premium, however, is limited. Demand for jewelry is fairly price sensitive, especially given that there's a fallback good that's almost as nice at a lower price.

And so there is both an upper limit to the price you can charge, and an upper limit to what you can produce. (You could manufacture, but it's fairly easy to tell, and so you lose the "handcrafted" clientele)

Yes, in a rational market, you'd fold up and move to higher margins. We know for a while now that markets aren't rational. And the craft market especially is deeply suffused with all kinds of emotions. So, no, that's not going to happen either, because people like making stuff with their hands, and this particular market allows them to finance that.

Maybe save the glib advice next time and ask some questions first?
Social distancing, avoiding crowds and certain events, washing hands routinely and before meals, wearing masks when ill would help reduce the spread speed a lot.

Wearing masks also helps set a new social norm. It is now common in Taiwan subways and trains--basically everyone wears a mask.
The measure of interest isn’t that those people exist, it’s whether there are more and how much ammo is bought. That change is of interest to me.
The front page of hacker news is heavily moderated and political discussions are quickly gone.

You can either have productive interesting discussions (or in TikTok's case fun videos) or you can have free speech.
second site is best, I used it for years.
How many watts does your USB keyboard draw?
> The 10%-margin shop doesn't exist; they already went out of business.

Exactly, just comes off as crocodile tears to me. This is a red herring and distracts from the real issue of not being able to opt-out of Outside Ads.

I'm willing to wager that not allowing opt-out is the only way they can reach a saturated-enough product catalog to make advertising profitable.
Well, none of them are the weirdo doomsday prepper types who (as you say) seem to almost look forward to societal collapse in a creepy, power-fantasy way. For these friends and family, it is just a commonly-assumed, shared ethos. They do the same every time a hurricane draws near their part of the gulf coast, and are the first to try and help neighbors, friends or even strangers who need it if those folks are in need.

Stocking up in advance of $WIDELY_REPORTED_THREAT is not something you really question, because it is what you, and everyone you know, has always done for as long as you can remember. Sometimes it has even come in handy and helped people.
I still don't understand LA's case for needing the data. How does it intend to use it?
The "Project Philosophy" section is just brilliant. I wish more projects consciously adopted it.
>try to avoid touching your face after you've been out in public.
What does it actually do? Is face or mouth more susceptible to contracting virus?
I left Etsy as a member of the relatively new ads team in mid 2015. We generated a lot of revenue for the company in a very short period of time, but we made sure to make the whole thing feel like Etsy - homegrown, ethical, thoughtful, etc.

We made the tools mentioned in this article - the ads console and search ads. It was basically first party promoted listings where you could bid on keywords in the internal site search. We also let sellers opt into ad campaigns run through google and facebook that we helped manage through a console. It was all optional, and it was a decent equalizer for smaller shops, although it was mostly used by large shops iirc.

I have no idea what the hell they're thinking with this. This is downright hostile to sellers. I spoke to a nonzero amount of sellers who were against advertising as a concept - they didn't want to be part of that machine (I think quite a few of us here can relate). Now they have no choice but to pay Etsy for this. It's a huge middle finger to the sellers and that made Etsy rich and who Etsy continually takes advantage of. This is mafia-esque style extortion where they say they're doing this for you as they take your money.
There's room for a competitor. Digg v4 2.0!
Well, you've just pointed out the problem with centralized social media platforms. Someone else owns them.
I don't know if it's better or worse, but since governments have a much longer time horizon they can fund more basic research.
Hello pot, here's kettle. Silicon Valley tech is really gonna eat itself
This just isn't true. The 1918 flu mortality rate had a peak for people in their 20s (the so-called W shaped curve). But COVID-19's mortality rate is much lower for the young, like most illnesses.
I have lived in Asia, so I am familiar with the model. Currently I am in a medium-sized city that isn't a major transit hub. I would take my own personal medical precautions, to be sure, if anyone within 2-3 counties away were a suspected case. That is the reason for my keeping an eye on the news. I don't have money to stockpile, much less concern myself with market-related shenanigans.
> It took four days for the patient to be tested for the coronavirus by the CDC, according to the letter, because the patient didn’t fit the initial criteria of a likely patient. The CDC confirmed the diagnosis on Wednesday, according to the report.

This is what’s scary to me as that means the patient probably wasn’t isolated with daily healthcare.

Does this mean everyone who came in contact with them during that time is self monitoring for symptoms for some large number of days?
Aren't they entitled to enforce some standards in line with their views? Nobody condemns reddit for enforcing site-wide pro-LGBT sentiment; I find it extraordinarily self-righteous and hypocritical when people condemn a platform for encouraging pro-family content.

Not that I'm suggesting TikTok is a bastion of virtue or anything like that. Quite the opposite from my limited exposure.
Winger takes the Chelsea headlines,Striker Willian replacement way in? [video]
Its ridiculous to suggest that lgbt content prevents fun videos. Also there is a lot of political content on HN. Its just shit flinging and random off topic rants that get removed.
> it strikes me as very insensitive

It's a physical fact that older people's bodies aren't as able to fight off diseases, and they are likelier to have mortality rates.

If no one's allowed to actually explain the physical facts of how the physical universe works, because it's "insensitive" to mention that older people are more likely to die when they're sick, how is our society supposed to come to correct [1] answers when it comes to medical science and health policy?

[1] By "correct," I mean minimizing the incidence and severity of illness within relevant resource constraints.
The controversial subreddits get a lot of attention (up and down votes) and so show up as hot/interesting threads, and have the most visibility. If you limit yourself to politics and news, then yeah, you'll see a lot of extreme comments and hotheads. But if you stop there and write off reddit as nothing but "toxic negativity", you've judge the 95% based on the 5%.

Go to, oh, r/bass (the musical instrument, not the fish), or r/rtlsdr (sofware defined radio), to name two I visit sometimes, you'll find pleasant, helpful communities. I imagine there are tens of thousands of other civil subreddits.

As a very small experiment, I guessed the names of a few subreddits that seem like they would exist and had a look around. r/poker, r/weather, r/airplanes, r/needlepoint, r/darts. 5/5, all nice communities.
Stocking up on ammo seems very weird for someone outside the US.