skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
That doesn't work either because the definition of 'recovered' is something like 'symptom free for 40 days' and most people dying are doing so within 1-2 weeks. What you really need to do is divide the total deaths by the total known cases two weeks ago (roughly when the most recent deaths would have been infected).

Last time I did this it looked like the overall death rate would come out at ~4.5%, reporting methods have changed since then and now it's coming out as more like 4%.
That may not actually be true:

https://www.tampabay.com/news/health/study-finds-nicotine-sa...
The article provides some relevant details:

> Facebook said it used to have a step in the account verification process where some users had the option to confirm their email address and voluntarily import their email contacts onto the site. The feature was meant to help them find their friends more effectively and improve ads, according to the company.

> That process was redesigned in May 2016. While the language, which explained the step, was removed, the feature itself was not, Facebook said. Hence, email contacts were still being uploaded to the site without users being aware of that fact.

The claim isn’t that the feature was created by accident. It’s that they failed to disable the feature in the backend when they removed parts of the UI. I can definitely see how this could happen by accident due to poor communication between managers and engineers across different teams. You could also choose to believe that it was an intentional error.
PSA: if you are a VJ in any kind of seriousness, avoid this like the plague:)
I think that the vast majority of travellers are on short-term trips, such as tourists, visits to friends and relatives, and business travel.
Because you can still buy and sell the coins on an exchange.
It's just that you can't withdraw or deposit coins from your exchange account only trade between other exchange accounts. No wallet to wallet trades only trades of the coins sitting in the exchanges wallet (so basically trades on the exchanges private(non block chain related) ledgers rather than on the coins ledger).

Actually now that I think about it I wonder what liability the exchange has in this. Obviously the exchange can't send you your coins because it's physically impossible and the value is purely speculative but currently being given value only on the exchange. Would they need to reimburse you for the 'value' of the coins if you can't withdraw? Though if we're playing a game of silly buggers I guess the exchange could put up a sell for 0.000001 cents a coin, execute the trade and immediately freeze further transactions then claim any payout would be at the last traded value (which obviously wouldn't work as there are multiple exchanges). Perhaps they could 'give access' to the exchanges wallet key with instructions that the person trying to withdraw is entitled to take out their share of the coins thus it's the account holder who is 'in control' of the coins.
Can you provide any technical detail as to how a real-time count of every person is possible? What databases are used to track births and deaths and emigration in real time? How about income/housing/education characteristics? Are you a Turkish citizen? If so, are you able to query the government for the exact population count right now?
https://archive.md/iiz0s
i forgot you were a VJ, so all hope is lost by default
> I fail to see why such an infrastructure would've been unnecessary if Moore's law had not ended.

This is because Moore's Law in the heyday of the 1990's provided a 2X boost every 18 months to software for "free". This meant for many cases, it was a waste of engineering time to try to optimize other than selecting good algorithms.
Assuming using all the mass in the solar system (1.82 10^26 kg), and 1AU, you get something that is about 8-20 cm thick depending on density.

r = 1AU gives a surface of 12.57 square AU (that unit boggles my mind as I write this)

r = 3.5 AU for Betelgeuse and the surface area is 153.94 AU. That 3.5 puts the sphere at the surface of the star.

The 8-20 cm thick surface becomes roughly 0.8 - 2 cm.

Betelgeuse is roughly 100,000 times more luminous than the sun (it is a variable star so I'm using a very round number).

The habitable zone is a function of luminosity only ( https://www.britannica.com/science/habitable-zone ). The approximation then is for the sqrt(L). For 100,000 this is 316. The habitable would be about 320 AU away from the center of Betelgeuse.

This gives the mind boggling large number 1.3 x 10^6 square astronomical units. The thickness of this material on the scale of proteins and Wolfram Alpha says it is about three times the approximate diameter of a carbon nanotube.

---

Hoping to see a Dyson sphere around Betelgeuse would stretch the limits of physics. Or I've got my math off in a few places - which is quite possible.
To me, his last paragraph was the most important part. We've seen that the case rate increases dramatically as more tests are administered.

This is implying a very strong selection bias in the past testing towards the most severe cases. The mortality rates are certainly much lower than these estimates.
You're putting a lot of emphasis on ads, but lots of major SV companies have nothing to do with ads... Netflix, Uber, Apple, for example. Maybe you mean "software companies"?
You wouldn't know if you were competing against the parent companies of those libraries unless you checked and did the legal legwork.

>There must be a way to differentiate between these two scenarios.

That is covered rather succinctly by the commons clause, but it's not open source and will give you similar concerns from companies. If you want to skip that and go with an actual open source license, you'll have to find a way to differentiate your service offering. Don't compete on price. The AGPL approach also does move towards the same goal and is still considered open source, but as you've seen, you have to do more work to implement it and please your downstream users.

There are generally no shortcuts here: the popular open source licenses are used because they are widely understood and don't have much in the way of legal risks. Any company including yours can just pick it up and go. When you start trying to discriminate against certain customers, that's when you stop being able to just get into any given company without going through legal. So pick your poison.
Also we shouldn't forget that by know the virus head spread through many places in the world (through is still under control in most places it spread to from China).

So by know it's quite possible for people to become infected through people of more out less any (widespread) nationality/ethnicity etc.

Also it seems that most European who carried the virus to a new EU country where people traveling legally (business or holiday) _to a region believed to be not a risico region when they went there_.

While illegal immigration can complicate things I believe it's very unlikely to become the main source. It's much more likely to come through legal travels, e.g. tourists.

One problem I see which the US _might_ get is that due to their health system infected people, especially if the syntoms are not to bad, might be less willing to go to the hospital (for monetary reasons). I hope for the US that the state will cover that expenses independent of insurance status or something like that. It would be quite ironic if the US ends to with a uncontrolled outbreak due to monitor reasons...
US military allows Sikh men to keep their beards IIRC. I wonder what those men will do in the case of a chemical attack.
Exactly. The big tobacco companies, while playing in the e-cig space, would MUCH rather see it go away. They completely own the tobacco market. They have a never ending stream of competitors in the e-cig space.
This is a naive view of how things work in big corporations. They work hard on many levels to make sure different teams are aligned under the strategic interests of the company as a whole.

Sure, different teams might get in the way of each other now and then. But not at a strategic level and the managers don't let the veer too far off the main course. Unless I miss my guess, Chrome isn't just any product to Google. It had great strategic importance to them just like Android. I'm not sure if the main purpose of Chrome's existence is to drive open Web standards.
Data analyst: "Hmm interesting correlation, 50% of people unsubscribed had moved to California".

They figure it out.

Later.

"Moving to California? We hope you enjoy the change in your life, and hope we can help you celebrate by giving you a 50% discount for a 6 month prepaid subscription, and we hope you stay with us and enjoy this great publication. Thank you for your loyal support."
Nature doesn't need people, but people need nature (2018) [video]
There’s no need to speculate - the article we are commenting on informs us that happened through email contact sharing.
> The virus has a ≈15% critical illness rate[1].

This is completely implausible.
Show HN: Salut.us – bring order to the chaos of group chats
Some junior facebook dev: "Oh look, here's this ancient library for email logins, I can use this to create a way for people to confirm identity"

Oh, the library was for 10 years out of fashion, People You May Know? Well craaap.
The idea that the US federal government doesn’t know where people are and who they are talking to is hilarious. We have the biggest spying apparatus in human history.

This is 100% political.
Italy has a coronavirus outbreak, but I still plan to travel there with family
I'm fond us using a base100, made of up 2 letter syllables. It results in a vaguely pronounceable string.

For syllables, I use:
syllables: %w[
ba be bi bo bu
ca ce ci co cu
da de di do du
fa fe fi fo fu
ga ge gi go gu
ha he hi ho hu
ja je ji jo ju
ka ke ki ko ku
la le li lo lu
ma me mi mo mu
na ne ni no nu
pa pe pi po pu
ra re ri ro ru
sa se si so su
ta te ti to tu
va ve vi vo vu
wa we wi wo wu
xa xe xi xo xu
ya ye yi yo yu
za ze zi zo zu
],

I can dump an implementation somewhere if people are really curious
Not super scientific but Linus Tech Tips has a video comparing the latency of wired and wireless mice:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=orhb7Njj3h8

TL;DR: wireless and wired gaming mice have the same response times, but normal wireless office mice have slower response times than their gaming counterparts.
What's a "theta" ?
> You can buy property

Most people can't afford to buy property. That's sort of the crux of this discussion. Half of Americans live paycheck to paycheck and about the same amount have less than $10k in the bank.

> I've been in business and associated with business entrepreneurs ever since Caltech. Consistently, those with positive outlooks and willingness to take action have done very well.

Yes, people who have money can easily acquire more money. Most people don't start out with money though, so it's rather selfish to judge the world solely from this perspective.
Why would you exclude people over 50, transplant patients, people with lung ailments or cardiovascular disease, people being treated for auto-immune disease, etc?

This reaction that it's OK as long as it doesn't kill young healthy people is sociopathic.

By the way, your "blown out of proportion" comment means you are fine, just fine, with an expected death toll of 4 million Americans, if it were to go epidemic and infect 40% of the US.
Just make a 10 feet cable and route it from a push button double sided to back of your display all the way to PWR_BTN header. That’s how I do it.
Brain banks have struggled to convince unaffected individuals to donate
Not bad, I mean, I’m not lining up to implement it in C tomorrow, but if it gets an RFC I could definitely see using it.

I have an application where I’m using a 32bit serial for the event someone has to read it to sales staff over the phone. I would have liked to use 64bit and encode some more details into the serial. This would satisfy that.

I like the idea of removing ambiguous chars. I have a Base64 system that prints where I and l use the same font (infuriating).
You made three claims that averaged $40 each? And you weren't aware until your agent told you that you were paying for full glass coverage?

The lesson may be that insurance agents are terrible people. I've heard plenty of FUD about Geico, but I wonder if it's really just because they sell direct.
What is the 'technical impact' of a defect, and how can you divorce it from the user impact? How can it be stated objectively?

Crash bugs aren't bad because crashes are inherently bad, they're bad because they have negative user impact - if the program crashes and loses user context, or data, or takes time to restart... those are bad things. If it crashes a little untidily when it receives a shutdown event from the operating system... maybe not so much.

Same goes for performance issues, scalability problems, security flaws, even badly structured code - they don't have technical impact unconnected to their user (or business, at least) impact.
Commenting on your comment, the cost of the battery pack is roughly 70% cells and 30% battery pack. Using those numbers, cells at $100/kwh would result in packs costing roughly $143/kwh, vs the current situation where cells are costing them roughly $105/kwh.

It doesn't seem like enough of a drop to warrant the hyperbole in the article if is a ~5% drop in cell price. Maybe they are talking about making packs for $100/kwh, which would be more impressive.

Given that pack prices have been dropping 18%/yr, pack prices dropping to $100/kwh is about 2.5 years away. Hiring for a production process that matures ~2 years in the future seems feasible. Maybe they are talking about pack prices?

Educated guesses of pack vs cell cost: https://about.bnef.com/blog/behind-scenes-take-lithium-ion-b...
It does attract bacteria plus other pathogens, plus makes them hard to remove.

For example, in the 90s, roll tape (versus now: single use sterile IV tape) was sometimes used to secure IV lines. Here is a study on IV lines (not central lines):

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1496597/

I was phenomenally stupid and also phenomenally lucky not to go in to sepsis for this move.

I do know. Even though I am currently in pharmaceutical remission, I have cheated death a few times as an adult, and I am more aware of medical risks. You would be surprised to know that I am doing well and prospering, especially if you knew my health situation.
For some reason, that rubs me the wrong way. I had a manager who acted the same way, told us all his flaws and then expected us to cater towards him, without him making much effort. If anything went wrong, and we somehow didn't cater to his flaws, he would blame us for it.

He also came into one of our retrospectives, and said "I'm feeling really emotional today, so I might act a bit strange". Everyone asked him to leave so the rest of the team could have our retrospective, but he insisted on stay and just asked everyone to be aware of it. Of course nothing productive came out of that meeting, in fact, I'm pretty sure that's why a few engineers resigned.
I agree, a lot of them do seem useful, but I do admit that the situations where I might have found them useful were situations where I was doing dumb stuff.
"The virus has a ≈15% critical illness rate[1]. There are less than 100k ICU beds in the entire United States. They will very quickly be overwhelmed, exactly as they are in China, SK, Iran, Italy...the list is getting too long to keep up with. At that point the mortality rate approaches 15%"

It's not just an ICU severely ill people need, but artificial respirators. I haven't seen numbers on how many the US has, but it may not be enough.

In addition, this illness has the potential to take a significant amount of medical personnel out of commission, either directly by making them sick or killing them, through attrition as they overwork themselves and collapse (we've been seen all of the above happen in China).

So even if you get in to an ICU you could still be screwed.

That said, the numbers coming out of China are just not trustworthy right now. We'll have to wait and see how bad it is outside of China (assuming enough people get tested and the tests actually work, neither of which are a certainty yet).
I didn't specifically know about this... But it's easy to believe, and it's a terrible thing.

Even worse, it hasn't been punished by law enforcement.
Computer science TA removed from staff following potential FERPA violation
List of Pies, Tarts, and Flans
Yes this is what people miss. There is a delay between known cases and deaths.
That’s what the requests page is for. You can add a request for an open-source alternative to commercial software that does not have it yet.

https://opensource.builders/requests
Y Combinator-backed Dahmakan raises $18m Series B
Join the beta tester discussion group by clicking https://salut.ws/Hn95V3EvUBSHMoeX7 from mobile
Thank you for understanding this.
bullshit, milkdrop for the masses, i use that stuff for my supersized room discotheque and it is nice.
There are ads on the internet? Is your ublock broken?
Microsoft product keys were base-24 with the following alphabet:

> B C D F G H J K M P Q R T V W X Y 2 3 4 6 7 8 9

they were 115 bits encoded in 24 characters

see also human-oriented base32 encoding:

https://philzimmermann.com/docs/human-oriented-base-32-encod...

which includes this nice trick:

> We have permuted the alphabet to make the more commonly occuring characters also be those that we think are easier to read, write, speak, and remember.

edit: to add, an interesting human-readable and memorable base52 alphabet that I've never found a use for is to use playing cards
Having easy, open access to testing kits would be helpful, but unfortunately it's not feasible: the test kits are already in short supply, and it would be impossible within the next few months to scale up to providing 300 million tests per day or even per week, and that would be for the US alone. There will almost certainly be a shortage of the reagents needed for quite some time.

Only 4 states plus the CDC presently have the ability to test for Covid-19 in centralized testing centers: https://www.livescience.com/covid-19-coronovirus-test.html So we are far, far, far away from deploying test kits to individual households.

Furthermore, a very large percentage of the population would a) refuse to take the test on a regular basis, and b) refuse to self-report in the event of a positive test, because many people are belligerent about quarantine.

If we already had a massive supply of the necessary reagents, and the ability to quickly scale up manufacturing, your approach might work. But given current constraints, it's unlikely.

I wonder how microfluidics might some day help to deploy the kind of household-level testing you are wishing for. Actually, if there's any hope for your solution, it's probably through this guy's lab + multiple industry partners, or something similar: https://www.bioanalysis-zone.com/2020/01/02/microfluidic-dev...
My opinion is that this type of "dark financing" is more common than many might suspect.

I believe this tactic, used by some tech companies to attack competitors, is fairly effective. I imagine it is mostly employed by those like Oracle that aren't winning in the market.
Maybe the business should be set up so there’s less chance of such devastating breaches of privacy happening.
Are there any pre-colonial African nations you would like to name as a counter-example? One that had a tradition of setting up and documenting long running businesses?
so how many VJs do yo u employ?
what's the inverse of WSB look like? holding for the long term? it's the only thing none of them are doing.
The population counts are released yearly and I believe you can do what is the Turkish version of FOIA request to get the live count, though don’t quote me on the latter part.

Turkey has a central database, called TCKN, that everyone is assigned by birth or by getting an immigration visa. The births and deaths are tracked by hospitals and the Revenue Service. Income / education / housing - all of these are tracked by the central registers and licensing boards. Every Turkish citizen and resident has an online account at https://www.turkiye.gov.tr/?lang=en_US (for English version) which you can use to view taxes paid, your previous health records (MRI scans and all should be downloadable) see scripts fillable, paperwork for legal action by you or against you, census records, even mobile and landlines registered on your name, and basically pretty much everything you’d expect a state can do. All of the outputs from this site are printable PDFs and they have a barcode on them which I think the government cryptographic signature. So you can get some doc from here, print it out and bring to someone else and they’d be able to verify it by scanning the barcode.

In other words, they have total knowledge. It’s not just the number of people in the country. What’s interesting is that it doesn’t rely on self-reporting, but on ambient data providers. It’s kind of dystopian, but technically fairly impressive and so far (ominously) relatively benign. Failing all else, it’s very useful.
Why did he not run away to Russia?
none, i use auto random
While you're correct, there's lots of plain-RF wireless mice and keyboards that work just fine before the OS loads, and many people confuse "bluetooth" with "all wireless".

Plus, some wireless mice are actually faster than some wired mice.
I am not talking about machine-to-machine API calls. I'm talking about human communication, which is clearly the topic of what I replied to.
I’ve read somewhere that manufacturers use extenders as replaceable receptacles for testing. The slots are rated for so many insertion/removal cycles so you’d want them replaceable.
Like an iMac! Except the ports are accessible.
A lot of us take controlled medications :/..which are also usually needed more than the easier to get ones that you can stock up on.
It might be easier to convince a VC to give you a few million for salaries than to find 10 world-class developers currently looking for a new job in a rust belt city.
Not that I think this an especially scary vulnerability, but I wouldn't use CVSS scores as a basis for evaluating any kind of bug. CVSS is a ouija metric without any real merit.

The underlying work here is good and interesting. If companies are going to hype bugs, let it be for stuff like this!
unfortunately, that wastes a good deal of power in the modern age of USB keyboards...
Did you see that "South Carolina" is an option in the drop-down? It has a value of 0.7, which seems pretty generous: it's higher than New Jersey (0.633), and is the same as Atlanta, Charlotte, and Connecticut (0.7), all of which have higher cost-of-living than most parts of South Carolina.

The fact that the urban areas of South Carolina aren't broken out actually seems better for anyone who would plan to live in a rural part of the state. By comparison, "Everywhere else, Georgia", "Everywhere else, North Carolina", and "Everywhere else, Virginia" all have a multiplier of 0.633. This seems to indicate that you'd get paid about ~10.5% more in rural SC than you would in other rural places in the SE.
> not filling out the census form may cost you something in the long run.

On the average each uncounted person loses their district $2,000 per year in federal payments (i.e. tax money returning to the district). Losing $20,000 over the ten years between censuses is a big deal for school and other program funding.

PLEASE BE COUNTED!
There's another reason for this, too: most of the restaurants that are long-lived are on land that is owned by the restaurant and has been for some time. It is incredibly expensive to operate a restaurant AND pay rent to someone, especially city prices. It's not as bad when you're just paying maintenance costs and property taxes.
Oracle, always on the dark side. Who would have guessed...
Wayyyy too much research went into this but it is worth it in the end