skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
We were able to essentially starve SARS out of new people to infect. It had a 2-7 day incubation period, was not contagious before symptomatic, and spread by bodily fluid (coughing up water droplets, spread by touch to another).

COVID-19 has a 21+ day incubation period, is contagious before you're symptomatic, and is possibly airborne (I haven't heard strong confirmation of that yet, but it's definitely more virulent).
/R/ProgrammingCirclejerk
Not just within that year. If you look at the graphs, within less than 6 months. I remember those "we're all gonna die" predictions as well, and then poof, and it was gone by June, and where I live was not affected by it at all.
Is that a rhetorical question, or do I really get to argue the benefits of contributing to one of the most installed calculators on the planet? Contributing to small projects is good, but it's not for everyone and you're definitely kidding yourself if an MIT licensed software on Github doesn't qualify as "actual open source".
This skewers the notion that old programmers were honed and refined by their resource constraints. Whoever wrote these files was using a slow, expensive physical format and wasting virtually all of it on padding.
I read in a news article that people were catching it again after recovering, IIRC it was in reference to medical professionals working in China.
For others following along - this is https://github.com/golang/go/issues/5901 to register custom marshallers on an existing `json.Encoder` instance.

I feel like it's generally possible to work around this by creating a wrapper struct with an overridden MarshalJSON method? But maybe that's infeasible for deeply nested structs.
How low comp?
Wow... that was pretty unexpected.

But to be honest they haven't done anything too notable within the last year (Plus.ai is pretty much the biggest thing I can think of right now and maybe Ike in the trucking space).

Really interesting to see how everything in the AV space plays out: Deepscale/Drive.ai were both aquihires, Cruise/Torc/Argo/Aurora were bought out mostly, and the others are either just starting (Ghost and Voyage) or doing something that aids them (Renovo).

So essentially: either you're bought out by an OEM or funded by VCs hoping to get acquired (I don't think you can surivive in this space without being bought out or aquihired).

Disclaimer: I worked at Renovo.
> We are orders of magnitudes larger than the SARS outbreak at this point

an order*

SARS had ~8500 cases, ~800 deaths [1]. COVID-19 is currently ~81000 cases and ~2700 deaths.[2] It will be orders, plural, at some point, but remains to be seen how big (and I won't speculate on that).

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:2003_Probable_cases_of_SA...

[2] https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.h...
My non US experience is I have seen no correlation of the boom/bust cycles and "how good it is to be an engineer". I realize that FAANG employees are of course raking it in like never before. But I thought that was because of a lack of a salary cartel and general software eating the world.
I didn't know much about him and Googled him out of curiosity to read about his affiliation with Mozilla. It is rather eye-catching to see "Known for: JavaScript, opposition to same-sex marriage[1][2][3][4]" under his photo.[0] Seems very easy to "bring up" unwillingly.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brendan_Eich
No solid data on that. Everything’s rumor at this point in that front.
Is this a good time to flag HNs self-conceited hive-mind ? Two days ago, HN was full of - 'LOL this is some Alex Jones level conspiracy'. Warnings by Harvard epidemiologists ? No. Virologists ? No. China quarantining half the population ? No.

Only the tech 'wizards' from SV, have a monopoly on truth don't you know. The Orwellian censorship that has been unleashed by these idiots will do the world much more harm in the long run than we're led to believe.
And some people say 10x programmers don't exist.
AFAIK that's still to be determined due to the number of false positives/true negatives with the testing. Same with the incubation period.

Edit - on the more worrying side of things this article (https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/14-of-recovered-...) was released today saying 14% of recovered patients Guangdong tested positive for the the virus. One of the more annoying things during this is that I have no idea which sources are awful tabloids and which are trustworthy like I do in the anglosphere.
What saddens me about the threads here is that it seems that some paint a very deliberate picture of Brave as a bad actor worse than other browser vendors.

I was using Firefox and then I switched to Brave. None of their featyres/business model is shoved down my throat. I just use it to browse the Web, I do not see ads, I do not participate in their crypto currency program. Heck I don't even see their icon for crypto currency on my browser UI.

I found Brave to be faster and more user friendly than Firefox which is why I switched. What I meant by user friendly is not just the UI components but also requires a minimal setup effort. I would like to hear more about technical and privacy related merits/demerits of Brave as I feel that's more pertinent at the moment when it comes to browser. However, the hate I hear about their business model/crypto currency somehow is baffling and ironically it seems to come from Firefox users. Can anyone point out some interesting technical and privacy related drawbacks of Brave? That'd be useful for a lot of us.
Mobile World Congress was cancelled two weeks ago. 100,000 people. $500 million in economic activity in Barcelona. Many exhibitors from China.

It's already happening.
Specifically I was thinking about this:

> Don't be snarky. Comments should get more thoughtful and substantive, not less, as a topic gets more divisive.

The original comment had equally strong phrasing on what amounts to an informed opinion:

> I'm so sad to see Mozilla move forward with this massive attack on user privacy.

The insinuation that this is an attack on user privacy is a bit of an escalation in description. In truth much of the following information describes a potential threat to user privacy, for it to be an attack one would have to provide evidence of intent.

> Firefox DoH is snake oil, plain and simple.

I would argue this statement could be construed as snarky (at least that is how I interpreted it).

Generally speaking, I don't consider myself an expert, but I do think I have a more informed opinion than most (and no doubt many HN readers have even better informed opinions than my own). And while I do see the merits behind the points raised in the original comment, I do think it could have been presented better.
First image of Earth-like planet expected in 2025
You realize there are reasons we have old people and computer tech support memes right? Replacing humans in the loop would do absolutely nothing to help.
Italian health care system has performed 10x more tests than neighbouring EU members such as France or Germany and founds 10x people positive to the virus. Italy is now the third most affected country (for some definition of "now" since the situation evolves rapidly)

That doesn't mean it's necessarily a statistical artifact of the stance on testing.
It could really be that Italy has been unlucky and once the infection spreads there the number of tests might be commensurate to the number of people showing symptoms.

But it can also be an artefact of the engagement rules: the WHO guideline is to perform the test under certain conditions, some of them are clinical (e.g. specific symptoms of the respiratory system) some of them are not, e.g. whether you've been in an area that has been identified as affected.

That is reasonable of course, but makes the numbers hard to compare. Imagine there are a number of undetected cases in a town in Germany, and that number is greater than whatever threshold would turn the surrounding area as a hotspot.

Now anybody that passed through that area becomes eligible for testing and it's quite possible that the number of positive test results skyrockets (possibly triggering the creation of new hotspots etc).

The situation on the ground hasn't change
; just our awareness of it (i.e. our information)
Not as well as JFS2 nope.
I know a guy that's not buying a new computer because he's holding out for Quantum computing.

Last talked to him some time around 1998 but, you know, the logic was sound.
The average human does not read said datasheet. Shit, I would say the majority don't.
Seems like yes, but not because it mutates, it's just that the immune response can be weak. Probably more of a risk for people with weak immune systems to start with.

Everything I've read suggests that Coronaviruses are more stable, genetically speaking, than the flu.

https://www.iflscience.com/health-and-medicine/its-possible-...
What Happens After You’re Cancelled
In my mind at least, all of these numbers are applesauce. Our ability to trust these numbers hinges on our ability to trust information reported by China's government and other authoritarian regimes (eg Iran and North Korea).
Presence detectors work well for this.
I have spent a not inconsiderable amount of resources reducing my footprint and I will be thrilled to death if we can manage our way out of this crisis and people get "free lunches". This is just trivial game theory and the sunk cost fallacy.

Regrettably, the numbers involved make me pessimistic. I think your idea of some deus ex machina technology is ungrounded optimism, wishful thinking, or denial. Nothing in the linked article gives any cause for such optimism.

Climate change math is like the ballistics equation. It is just a cold hard reality check. There is no free lunch in terms of the energy of a chemical reaction.

We are all getting really, really close to failing here. I think it's imperative not to be hopeless about it, but we should be honest with ourselves that we may not have modern human civilization as we understand it within a generation or two [edit: unless we act immediately, not soon]
Check out Ryan's Negative Emissions reading list: https://www.orbuch.com/nets-reading-list

"Carbon Removal 101":
http://bit.ly/carbonremoval-101 (I helped write this one)

Covers a reading list, accelerators, conveners, platforms, newsletters, and funders.

Index of startups working on negative emissions: http://www.airminers.org
Pretty soon people are going to run out of elements to name their products after. Naming things after letters in the alphabet is a better strategy.
Wait, what? I thought fat and protein were generally what gave the feeling of satiation?
It will be cancelled.

Mathematic models made by epidemiologist experts from Harvard and prediction from John Hopkins guys are giving huge numbers

between 40 and 70% world adult population will be infected in one year and numbers of deaths will be between 30 and 150 million if their predictions are correct and china didn't lie with the 2% death rate

Read the threads from their twitters, the situation is much much worse than the media is telling constantly with the influenza comparison, and this guys are not nuts, they are top minds of epidemic control.

A brief from their conversations and information would be:

- It is absolutely impossible to stop covid and will be a pandemic

- The death rate could hit 10% in some countries

- Expect between 30 and 70% of the world to be infected

- millions of deaths

- Governments duty now is not to stop the disease as they can't, but try to slow it until we understand it better, have real numbers (chinese ones cannot to be trusted), and we develop a vaccine so the R0 can be <1

- Governments are likely going to adopt the hardest restrictions they can get away, expect quarantines on every country

- Health services on third world countries will collapse, first world will have problems as we are not prepared

- CDC is already saying the virus will be with us more than one season

- hope we can avoid more deadly mutations

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1228373884027592704.html?...

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1231425805898657795.html

https://ccdd.hsph.harvard.edu/research/ncov-making-sense-of-...

https://twitter.com/T_Inglesby

https://twitter.com/DrEricDing

https://twitter.com/mlipsitch
I remember coming across this in a kaggle challenge:
https://twitter.com/jeremyphoward/status/1184453643287683072...
It seems that there are prerequisites for learning FP. Damn! :(
Wait, are you complaining that Google knows too little about you?
Cancel culture is getting out of hand.
Would a vaccine for Covid-19 work if the virus can re-infect people who have already recovered from it?
You have a overpriced dentist.
I pay mine $300 for 2 cleanings + xray a year in cash. And this is in a high COL area.
I didn’t think it was airborne, but also transferred via droplets
That reminds me of this: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22374991

Those tools perhaps will be useful for automated testing or accessibility, etc.
explain please
You said it yourself but I'll spell it out anyway

What you're saying essentially is you're not that invested in your work

That has societal repercussions in an organization when so many people who are essentially uninvested show up to work on any given day there's an unspoken ethos of defeatism that permeates every interaction

The casual clothing is a smell like any other in code that indicates precisely this bullshit mentality and it doesn't scale beyond the very initial phases
I'm interested to see what comes of this: https://projectvesta.org/
It's not rhetorical and it is not literal either. A rephrase can be "what you are saying makes no sense for the reasons I am about to lay out and I would like it if you can address my points below, based on my understanding the argumets you made lack basic coherency, please tell me what you think of my counter-argument".

If this was a work email in a super-uptight place I would say something like that. Had I known that simple phrase I use all the time would be so controversial I would have avoided it or rephrased.

You chose to question my motives and assume the likely explanation is that I am atracking the person instead of their are argument. I am insinuating that their argument sounds ridiculous but I am not implying that as a fault of their intellect or personality but a lack of perspective where sharing my perspective might help them change an opinion.

I will not defend my personality and motives being questioned when I made no attempt to do so, I also did not the attack the person themselves in anyway. You should not assume malice. I think @dang saw me break rules in the past over one of the politcally charged threads and assumed it was in my personality. Feel free to review my post history on technical topics like this, I make best effort to avoid ad-hominem or anything resembling an insult. Presumption of malice itself is unfair.

I have nothing to gain by attacking anyone. And even if I did, you should look at the context od what I said after that phrase to find out what my intent was. If I don't promote myself or say anything against the person why are you assuming malice?

What about when I said "please try some threat modeling here" is that being snarky as well? It can be if you assume malice. I hope no such assumptions are made.

Either way, I did make a mistake: after years on HN, I keep forgeting that it is to be treates like a corporate/work environment. Two friends using my ever so controversial phrase would not assume malice or police for snarkiness, but two coworkers or paries of a business meeting/engagement would.

I will be careful to be more aware of the environment.

Oh, and not all discourse is interpersonal. It is done interpersonally but the subject of the discourse is does not have to be the other party themselves,their intellect or character (and was not the case in my response -- very obviously)
What is GP?
Has there been a single case in the US in the last decade where having a star athlete flight attendant would have saved someone’s life? I can’t think of one.
And apparently it can survive on a stainless steel surface for 36 hours. [0]

Also from [0] however:

"Sunlight will cut the virus ability to grow in half so the half-life will be 2.5 minutes and in the dark it’s about 13m to 20m. Sunlight is really good at killing viruses. That’s why I believe that Australia and the southern hemisphere will not see any great infections rates because they have lots of sunlight and they are in the middle of summer. And Wuhan and Beijing is still cold which is why there’s high infection rates.

In regards to temperature, the virus can remain intact at 4 degrees or 10 degrees for a longer period of time. But at 30 degrees then you get inactivation. And High humidity the virus doesn’t like it either. That’s why I think Sars stopped around May and June in 2003 – that’s when there’s more sunlight and more humidity. The environment is a crucial factor. The environment will be unfavourable for growth around May. The evidence is to look at the common cold – it’s always during winter. So the natural environment will not be favourable in Asia in about May."

I believe this is the main reason May is the deadline for containment.

[0] https://www.fwdeveryone.com/t/puzmZFQGRTiiquwLa6tT-g/confere...
Someone texting, driving drunk, or not paying attention is still gonna hurt you more without a helment though.
Numbers are suspect from everywhere. Most jurisdictions are only just beginning to test symptomatic patients who don't have a direct link to the initial outbreak locale. One of the difficulties of a disease with symptoms almost identical to the seasonal influenza.

But having some numbers to compare is better than having none (or trusting gut instinct).
But then you ended by three generations???
I'm curious how other folks who work at large tech shops in the valley feel about working from home for a while. There is nearly zero reason for me to show up at work. I can do nearly everything from home, often better. At work, I'm in a large, open building surrounded by thousands of people.

Am I overreacting? I know there's a good chance we're all going to get COVID-19, but if I can delay it a bit, I lessen the hit to our soon-to-be overworked heath care system and preserve resources for those who can't hide.

I think those of us who have the ability to work from home for a while might want to consider agitating for it to be official policy for the next month or so.
> which is likely but certain to take some months

The news today reported 12 to 18 months for mass availability of a vaccine.
Even so I'm grateful to the comment you wrote because it very succinctly expresses the crux of the issue

"I prefer casual culture because I'm not that into it anyway" I'm very grateful to that I wonder who else is willing to admit this?

On the other hand I'm highly invested my whole life and my family depend on my work not to mention those suckers I call clients
> What it comes down to is, people feel that they suffer an indignity that someone would dare risk everything to be free rather than be conscripted to an employer.

If this were the case wouldn't retirees be a widely hated group? :)

I feel like this essay comes from much of the same spirit as your comment, but is a lot easier to stand behind: https://hermetic.com/black/the-abolition-of-work
GP = Grand Prix
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Perception and reality don't always align and our existing point of view shapes our perception.

While homeless, I was throwing up my lunch one day in the bushes because of my medical condition and someone driving past in a car yelled out their window "Drink too much last night?" taking glee in what they were all too happy to assume was evidence that their prejudice against the homeless and hatred of them was justified.

I will also note that I'm quite nonplussed by the people showing up here to insist in writing in public that they were part of "the good homeless," the deserving homeless, the folks in need of a small break and not like those people.

My father was mixed race and routinely told racist jokes. I've recently realized he probably looked a lot more mixed race than I understood growing up because of photos I've seen of a full-blooded Native that bear an uncanny resemblance to my father. So I strongly suspect that my father told racist jokes to implicitly signal he was white and "not one of them" in a racist world that does terrible, horrible things to non-whites on a routine basis.

To me, that reads as an expression of fear and an act of self preservation in an ugly, hostile classist world. But it's an act of self preservation that preserves the status quo.

I blog to try to present the data and point of view I'm aware of that conflicts with the accepted narrative that I believe keeps these problems entrenched.

Perhaps it won't make any difference. But perhaps it will.
> If you played against grandmasters your fundamentals were likely extremely good relative to most players

Relative to most players, no doubt. To be fair though, even someone in diamond is "extremely good relative to most players".

I was a mid+ NA grandmaster zerg, and took games off players like EG demuslim. And even at the level I was at, fundamentals were the most important thing. And even at the level I was at, I could see the fundamental errors that I or my opponents would make.

Certainly though, when facing off a player of a similar skill, knowing the meta can be really helpful. Even more important is knowing that specific player's playstyle.

When you practice with a certain partner consistently, you start doing things that you would never do against an unknown player, to exploit quirks of their playstyle. The best players had incredible game sense and thus were really good at doing this. (My favorite player for a long time was Stephano, who absolutely excelled at this)

--

I'm not sure I had an actual point I was making :P
> Most homeless people seem to be dealing with a lot more personal drama than gets genuinely acknowledged. I think if you think of them as sort of guerrilla warriors fighting an unacknowledged personal battle with those problems and with the systemic issues we have, it maybe helps to see them with real respect and not just view them as losers.

This is both the most succinct and most “beware” statement about the homeless. You don’t know how correctable/systematic the hidden problems are, and some of them could explode into violence...
How do you manage to afford such privileged luxury?