skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
There's been a lot of shifts in thinking recently, including by myself, as some things that were explicable via either the typically bad data from an emerging outbreak or "just so" stories about stochasticity, like the cruise ship cases, or the bulk of the cases in South Korea being due to a single massive spreading event in a fairly insular community, turned out to be...well...more common than would be desirable.

The field, as a whole, has started talking much more about mitigation, and less about containment, because attempts to intensively trace and isolate cases are only partially holding the line.

That being said, important caveats to all of this is:

- As Marc Lipsitch notes, those estimates don't tell us how many of those cases will be asymptomatic or mild, because we don't have good numbers for that yet. The difference between "Under the weather for a few days" and "Needs respiratory support in an ICU" is obviously massive.

- Epidemic models inherently assume exponential growth (because that's how epidemics work). But that does mean that small perturbations in how we understand how the disease "works" can dramatically chance projections.
would you change or add anything to what I wrote from what I understood about the covid situation?
The nuclear option: EA bans “abusive” FIFA player from all of its games
I'm not a VJ and will never be, but this brought such a sweet smile to my life. So thanks. Pleasant memories of bad songs, and good visualizations, in Winamp abound.
Which country are you in/which countries do you see this happening in if you don’t mind me asking?
It's not a quantity that has any natural zero, nor is time (year since Jesus?). So you can start it wherever you want.
And in doing so creates multiple ways to do the same thing which is SUPER SUPER annoying.

There has been a recent effort to add all these new operators that don't actually let you do anything you couldn't but now you can confuse everyone by doing it in other ways.
I think China has demonstrated that countries are willing to do that.
The easy-going syntax of Awk commands
Stay safe everyone!
Seems like children under 9 are not effected much at all, not sure about under 2 tho.
Almost everything you write makes sense, but “entire families wiped out”? Do you have a source for that?
Quick look at a couple of current online scam campaigns
The meta-business of evaluating human-capital investment seems like a wood&shovels/gold-rush equivalent.
If you consider hash table insertion as O(1) then it is O(n) I guess.
Besides my usual request not to follow Eric Feigl-Ding as an authoritative source?

Not really? This is the currently understood state of the science. I would say though that right now several things have broken the "wrong" way in terms of optimistic projections, so it's still possible for the situation to improve.
I don't disagree exactly, but:

One: SW has always had a hefty focus on merchandising, and porgs are at least better than Ewoks. (Also, I kind of love the porgs, and may in fact own a porg plushie. And have a porg desktop wallpaper. And some porg vinyl figures on my desk.)

Two: I think a release cycle of a movie every year could have been sustained with better movies. I, for one, would be thrilled if another Rogue One type movie was coming out this year. And the MCU (which I have to assume was their model here) has been doing okay with 2-3 movies per year. The fans didn't get fatigued by the quantity of movies but the quality IMO.

I think their execution was absolutely terrible and the result was quite bad, but the strategy was fine.
Wow, one more point for python 3.

Just override ‘__and__’ in your whatever class to replace default return.

Pretty explicit in my book.
I don't know. The reason why I ask this is that I want to replace my Macbook's startup chime with something else.
For anyone looking for more, try the subreddits /r/Covid19 (scientific/medical info), /r/CoronaVirus (maintstream news), and /r/China_Flu (social posts).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sJtm0MoOgiU
> Am I overreacting?

Probably not. Mortality rate aside (anywhere from 2% to 5% depending on source), the biggest issue is hospitalization rate (about 20% based on Chinese numbers). No country on the planet could handle that hospitalization rate all at once.

The priority going forward is about managing spread. Keeping spread as slow as possible so the absolute number of people who need to be hospitalized at any particular point in time is as small as possible. That makes it possible for hospitals to keep up and keep the mortality rate as low as possible. You want to have a trickle of patients coming in over a very long time, not a one-day tsunami.

The other thing is that this will absolutely result in shortages. China has already banned the export of many medical supplies and as this sort of nationalism spreads the shortages will be more tangible. New supply chains will eventually emerge for many things, but they will take a while to do so. If you need any medications, now is probably a good time to stock up with as much as reasonably possible.
> When you explain that this plan would not only replace private insurance we have today, but in fact make such insurance illegal, Republican support drops by ~50%.

And if you phrase it as "are you in favour of a healthcare system where you are forced to pay for other people's healthcare, without any opt-out, the government decides if you get treatment, and price-fixing the cost of drugs resulting in reduced pharmaceutical profits thus threatening the economy" you would see support drop even lower. Now, you could argue that phrasing is technically accurate but it's clearly biased to get respondents to answer in a particular way.

The way you phrase questions in polls matters -- phrasing it as "making private healthcare illegal" is placing a bias in the question (if it was phrased as "giving everyone the same excellent standard of healthcare as provided by Medicare" it would also be a bias but in the opposite direction).

> most respondents are going to think if you're asking if everyone should be allowed to have access to Medicare when you're 65.

In 2018, a very large number of Americans understood what "Medicare For All" specifically referred to. Sanders had been campaigning on it for more than 3 years at that point (it was one of the major topics of debate in the 2015 Democratic primary), legislation had been drafted and so on. I don't know why someone would think "Medicare for All" would mean anything other than "Medicare for all [Americans]." The vast majority of Americans over 65 are already entitled to Medicare in the US (unless you only recently became a citizen or haven't paid Medicare taxes for the past 10 years, and don't have a disability).
Misconceptions of Working for Free
I'm still confused by this study. If the brave browser is not contacting the backend, how does it fetch the latest ad block sets or the native ads? It seems like the browser has to contact its own servers to do any of these things.
I had just kind of learned Knockout around the time that I discovered Vue. It felt familiar and didn't have some of the problems I was running into with Knockout.

Learning Vue (and in general, JavaScript) is one of the best decisions I've ever made. I'm a person with a severe disability who can just barely move a mouse around and twitch a finger to click. But I found a job on a job board dedicated to Vue jobs. Now I'm able to work from home and make (to me) good money. Thanks Evan & friends!
Agreed; I just didn't want to continue arguing with myself and post a counterpoint to the counterpoint; glad others are doing it :-) (Actually I posted a comment along the same lines in another thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22409822) BTW one of the features of WEB is/was that it allows arbitrary-length macro names, which mitigates against the Pascal requirement that only the first 8 letters of identifiers count: https://texdoc.net/pkg/webman)
Chainsaw diplomacy. You say something that unequivocally you would not be able to flip on later.

"Haha, but no way. I might be able to run Disney for 20 years, but I could never run a country. I'd have to be an arrogant fool to think my business experience converts to governance experience, and I'd definitely screw it up. Besides, I would make an awful politician, I..." etc etc etc.

Don't politely deny it, torpedo the idea.
Organizers have to take into account transportation costs and administrative costs. unless as close as possible, such as the World Cup in South Korea and Japan, but that also means no distribution.
Obviously, there will be a choice not to buy them / keep them offline.
> I personally perceived a benefit to focus, concentration, and problem solving

People often describe the same things about ketogenic diets and fasting, which are both fat burning modes.

The issue is if you only get into the flux state where you're in between modes. That's where you're hangry, irritable, and can't focus because all you can think about is your hunger. In that condition feeding restores normal operation, and can seem like the only path to recovery.

But it actually passes eventually, and what happens afterwards seems kind of remarkable if you've never done it before.

Water is a different story, but food is really quite optional until the fat buffers start experiencing underruns and your muscles start getting cannibalized, then you're starting to get into trouble.

We've evolved to not just struggle through periods of food scarcity, we actually perform well and can be surprisingly athletic without food. It makes sense to me, since when we're without food we need to be on our game and go find some or eventually we'd die.

When fasting, for me anyways, it really feels like a keyed-up high-alert almost stimulated mode of operating. I've gone on long hikes and runs after not eating for multiple days, it's kind of preferable now so I don't have to carry any food and it's more pleasant to do physical activities with an empty abdomen.

Edit:

Above where I wrote "feeding restores normal operation", I'm assuming that "normal operation" isn't a ketogenic diet, and feeding includes carbs.

People already in ketosis don't go through this suffering phase when starting a fast, because it already happened when they ceased consuming carbs.
The best way for in my view is .union(), the new syntax additions are too cryptic.
I personally am watching others around me do what I consider "overreacting". Once it starts spreading locally though, the response will be reasonable.

The biggest gain in working from home is not protecting yourself, but the spread to all of your coworkers and then to all of the next infections beyond them leading to actual deaths.
Studies get created by people with their own biases. Historically, IQ tests were used to insist that people of color were inferior to whites, not because it's true but because it served the agenda of racist whites.

Social phenomenon are inherently hard to study in some kind of objective fashion. People will give the answers they know are expected of them in a world that is openly and unapologetically hostile to them.

"How to lie with statistics" is one of my favorite works. Two people with different points of view can look at the exact same data and reach completely different conclusions about what the data means.

Humans are incredibly prone to confirmation bias. Humans look for the data that supports their existing world view and hand wave off data that conflicts with it. This is a very well known phenomenon.

Edit in response to your edit:

We’ve had this discussion before months ago. We can just agree to disagree.

Sure. I don't recall discussing it with before and I didn't start this discussion. You did. You chose to reply to something I said here, knowing we've discussed it before and we don't agree.

So calls to "agree to disagree" sound a bit like I should just shut up and let you have the last word.

I'm not rebutting every single comment in the discussion of the article I wrote. If you didn't want to actually talk to me in specific, you absolutely didn't have to.
You may have less energy, but after a few days of no food, the feeling of hunger doesn't get worse -- it goes away.
The Prequels were episodes 1-3. The Original Trilogy was episodes 4-6.
The democratic party, up until 2016, used a system of "superdelegates": hand-picked people who had way more sway in choosing the party nomination. Sanders won the primary vote, but superdelegates widely picked Clinton. So, no, direct democracy was not an option in 2016.

After lots of complaints, the process was completely redesigned in 2018. Now, the candidate to get the majority of delegates becomes the party nomination.

Since Bernie has been clear as an actual candidate with potential to win, some democratic members have been caught speaking about returning to the superdelegate system [0].

Some believe Bloomberg's surprise entry in the race are an attempt to "crack the vote", that is, ensure that enough people vote for Bloomberg that Sanders does not win the majority, in which case the superdelegates are the tiebreakers to pick the nomination. This theory is very loosely backed up somewhat by an overheard phone call with John Kerry advocating him to join the race, to stop Sanders. [1]

[0] https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/31/dnc-superdelegates-...
[1] https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/john-kerry-ov...
Wall-Mounted E-Paper Display Frontpage of New York Times
Seems worse than the average flu AND unlike the flu, there's no vaccine (and there probably won't be one in time to make much of a difference).
This is a more-deadly-than-average coronavirus, or so it seems.

It is really hard to tell, because it is still very new outside of China, and you can't trust any of the data coming from there -- so we won't really know for 2 more weeks, until the first big round of cases from open countries end in either recovery or death. That said, the Chinese statistics put median time between first symptoms and death (amongst fatal cases) at only 8 days -- and the 600 cases from the cruise ship are all older than that now, with 3 deaths as of yesterday, which suggests that the 2% mortality rate being bandied about is probably not wildly wrong. (It might be 1% or 3%, but probably not 10%+ like fearmongers are saying or 34% like MERS was -- unless fatalities from the cruise ship are being suppressed or there is something special about that group, or, I guess, if the median of 8 days turns out to be wildly, wildly wrong)

Concern seems highly warranted. Vigilance seems warranted. The "ZOMG we all gonna die!" going on does not.

But it sure does get ratings and score political points.

Edit: I have been using https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ to view graphs and tables of the coronavirus data chopped a bunch of different ways. They list sources for all of it, though I haven't vetted the sources.

One of their charts shows a breakdown of closed cases into % cured and % dead. That is currently at 92%/8%, with the recovery rate continually improving, but flattening out. That graph makes it look like the mortality rate may end up higher than 2% -- but still probably not radically so, and we really are extrapolating from very little data.
TL;DR: We need dirt cheap energy.

It would have a couple of benefits: First CCS would be feasible. Second if (non-fossil) energy is dirt cheap, nobody bothers digging fossil energy sources from ground. Third, there are always more fun things available when energy is cheap vs when energy is expensive) So, keep on pushing solar and try to make nuclear competitive with something like small modular reactors, they are pretty much only ones with massive enough potential to properly disrupt energy markets.
Not just development of the vaccine, you will need to perform sufficient clinic testing, get it approved by FDA or equivalent in other countries, and most difficult, get it mass produced. In addition, treatment would be a entirely different story.

I agree it should be contained, I just don't see it can be contained to an extent where the Olympic Games can still proceed as planned.
> They've also opened up Galaxy's Edge at one of their parks which brings in a lot of visitors.

Yes, but it's bringing in a lot less than they expected. See, eg:

https://cosmicbook.news/disney-star-wars-galaxys-edge-low-at...

https://www.disneytouristblog.com/star-wars-land-crowd-predi...

https://deadline.com/2019/09/key-disney-parks-executive-exit...

Nor are merchandise sales doing very well either:

https://wegotthiscovered.com/movies/star-wars-merchandise-sa...

https://fortune.com/2018/01/18/with-star-wars-toys-the-force...

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hasbro-ceo-says-error-made-21...

> Yes, they had to relax their movie timeline a little bit, but they're operating Star Wars close to their monetizable limit.

Maybe. The fact remains that Disney had projected better performance. Whether that means Star Wars is less valuable than they thought, or whether they're doing a worse job of realising that value than they'd hoped is a fascinating question though. :)
The prepper contingent has been on pretty much every possible end of the world as we know it scenario, so it's kind of hard to say that they were "on this"
Your response did not address privacy which was the main thrust of my point.

wrt third-party ads being more secure... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malvertising

You also point the arrow of causality in the wrong direction. It's not as though Brave magically shows up on devices. The current ecosystem and its host of problems (including privacy and security) are precisely why users are choosing adblockers of all stripes.

In Brave's case, at least they're conscientious enough to provide an alternative path to monetization for creators.
Yeah as I said it was a tongue-in-cheek comment and I don't believe it, just wanted to provoke some discussion. :-) But in any case what I meant is that TeX/MF are among his biggest programs (that I know of), not that 20000 lines is a large program (he calls it "medium" IIRC).

(Ironically, in my previous job supposedly using "modern" programming practices, a single Python file had organically grown to over 25000 lines in length and people complained to GitHub about the file not being rendered in full in the browser.)
73-75.com Makes some really nice DIY kits and clones
I have this problem right now, sort of. I purchased dozens of Kindle books through my personal Amazon account over the years. Now I prefer to do so through my business account. Yet, I want all of them available through the same device. Well, that’s a pain in the behind. I have to call Amazon support for help and have been procrastinating because I know it will be a one hour ordeal.

This is why I prefer to purchase digital books as PDF files. I keep them on Dropbox and my local drive and they are great to handle and read.
Exactly. I'm 0% worried about catching* COVID-19. I suspect I'm at much greater risk of dying from my daily commute. The reason to stay home is for others' sake. We in the tech industry often have jobs where we can stay home with no impact, so, why not do it now?

* There's probably a 100% chance I'll get it at some point, I just don't fear severe consequences from it.
Where do you find how many people the US has tested? I can't find that anywhere.
For some reason, coronaviruses generally rarely affect children -- and those that get it rarely spread it to others despite children being fucking disease magnets.

This seems not to be very well understood, but it is really interesting.

So far there are no known cases affecting children under 2 (as of two days ago when I read the paper about coronavirus and children)
Here's one of the higher-profile examples:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coronavirus-kills-chinese-film-...

> Chang's father, mother and sister also died from the disease, Chinese financial news outlet Caixin reported. His father first exhibited symptoms of the coronavirus on January 25, but was turned away at hospitals because of a lack of beds, leaving him to fight the disease at home. He died days later, followed by Chang's mother, who also succumbed to the illness.

> After caring for their parents, Chang and his sister were infected with the coronavirus; according to Caixin, Chang died on February 14, and hours later, so did his sibling. Chang's wife also contracted the virus and remains in serious condition.

I've also heard of some totally unconfirmed posts on Weibo, WeChat, etc. with similar stories of entire families being infected and stuck at home without treatment, but those are of course just rumors.
That was a bit snarky and didn't specifically meant it that way. Sorry if it was understood that way.
> Separate to this, Brave has a rewards system users can choose to enable which can show OS-level notifications of advertiser content in a privacy-respecting way.

Can somebody expand a bit on how the ads are shown in privacy-respecting way? Are they not personalized? That seems unlikely.

If the matching is done locally, is Brave downloading hundreds of ads on the device, and then showing only the one that were picked by local ML algorithm?
No date for this article? That’s odd....
I’m also a life long Astro’s fan. This whole thing is rough. I personally believe they should all be banned for life. It’s just too much wrong. As is, the whole organization needs to turn over, ownership included before I can even see myself wearing a ‘stros hat again. That’s because of precedent and norm of the game we know.

However, on another side. I’m tired of all this crap and dumb rules. Steroids? Use ‘em if you got ‘em. Why police it? I say Let the players decide. But I understand why that’s a unpopular opinion too.

Signs? Really? We literally have one guy on the field announcing to another guy what the next play is going to be and the opposing team is supposed to ignore it. How about let’s figure out a better way to communicate. There’s always going to be people that want to exploit such low hanging fruit. Especially with modern technology. The stupidest thing the Astros did was the banging in the dugout. If they had some silent obfuscated signal they would have never been caught (again, not defending the cheating but this is like a bank robber using a unicycle as a get away vehicle).
And how are we going to setup temporary hospitals when portable bed factories are probably all in China?
Here's one source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/02/25/cdc-coronav...

> While South Korea has run more than 35,000 coronavirus tests, the United States has tested only 426 people, not including people who returned on evacuation flights.
The Shermanesque Statement is considered the standard in the US:

If drafted, I will not run; if nominated, I will not accept; if elected, I will not serve.
Sure; you can grow it.
No, my metric is output per engineer which losely correlates with hours spent at desk. The output quality and quantity was the lowest at Google
I had the same thought as well. It's an option, but the energy required to cool air to the precipitation point of CO2 (-79C) is pretty large, and the cooling process itself will produce greenhouse gas, so you end up with a pretty small return.
This is not true. A recent study from China showed the mortality rate for 30-39 year olds to be .2% I believe. And the rate goes down from there as age decreases.
> starting at ~600 calories per day--all sugar as fat and protein prevent hunger from subsiding. After the hunger subsides it's easier to taper off entirely.

I think that statement was easily misinterpreted.

After not eating you start to feel hungry. After a couple of days, that hunger will fade. Eating fat or protein will satiate that hunger but will sort of reset that timer on the hunger going away entirely.

I think the idea is you do a 7 day fast, eating a small amount of sugar during the first ~3 hungry days.
Very likely not. Olympics are in the summer, the virus doesn't even survive the spring. By May it will be gone.
China is a special case though. They're large enough to populate their own internet with things. Most countries aren't that large.