skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Sounds like Hooli in HBO's Silicon Valley unintentionally skewered them.
One thing to note is that even though there are age range breakdowns from this initial analysis (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32064853), there is also a breakdown based on pre-existing conditions, with Cardiovascular, Diabetes, Chronic respiratory disease, Hypertension, and Cancer being 5-10X hazard ratios vs those with no pre-existing conditions.

Sadly, the paper is in Chinese, but you would probably want to look at the percentage of non-mild cases in your age bracket and adjusted for your pre-existing condition risk to see how your actual risk might be modeled: http://rs.yiigle.com/yufabiao/1181998.htm

But I think we'll just have to see how the medical response is in each specific locality to really get a good idea of what the real risk is.

I don't necessarily think that a dollar amount is actually the best way to think about it. It's very hard to think about what value you'd place on avoiding a hypothetical 1/500 risk of death (adjust based on percentage of population you think will contract this). Note that as a 40yo, your odds of dying period within that year is actually about 1/500: https://www.finder.com/life-insurance/odds-of-dying

You can then split this up by percentages for cause of death: https://www.advisory.com/daily-briefing/2019/01/16/deaths (Chart 2, select your age category)

UK chart, but also some charts on annual death risk: http://www.bandolier.org.uk/booth/Risk/dyingage.html

And lastly, the almost useless CDC data/charts - they include leading causes and absolute number by cause and age-group, but not the population size so you have no idea what your odds are: https://www.cdc.gov/injury/wisqars/LeadingCauses.html

In any case, once you have the odds down, you can place the amount of effort you'd spend relative to the amount of effort you spend on other risks.
Elliott Management’s Paul Singer Seeks to Replace Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey
The problem isn't necessarily having no math/crypto credential, but falsely believe one has unique insights, while refusing to learn even the basis of a subject. It's more of an issue in psychology, than an issue of knowledge.
Meanwhile, Hong Kong is able to test dogs (https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-dog-isolated-tes...) and Singapore is able to provide detailed updates to the public (https://www.moh.gov.sg/news-highlights/details/four-more-cas...)
You just have to look at the front page of 'hacker' 'news' for the last few weeks, it's completely dominated by the mexican beer virus. no technology is being discussed here.
I heard him speak in 2004, when I was 17. Here's what I wrote in my LiveJournal at the time:

On Thursday, I saw Freeman Dyson speak at Cornell. He was so amazing I can't even describe it. I didn’t look at my watch once during the speech. Not long into the talk, the elderly gentleman next to me pulled a scrap of paper out of his pocket and began scribbling notes. He kept writing until the end of the speech. I glanced behind me during the question-and-answer period, and noticed that Schwartz Auditorium was so full that people were standing in the balcony and sitting on the railings just to hear Dyson.

The text of Dyson’s speech would have impressed any English teacher. He structured it as seven short stories, with each one slowly building on each other. The style of his writing––the way he chose his words and structured his sentences––would have been impressive if he had been giving a lecture in the humanities, much less a field stereotyped for less-able communicators. The way Dyson was able to convey the sheer wonder of science was an orgasmic experience equivalent to reading my first Carl Sagan book.

An 80-year-old physicist who had the energy of a young assistant professor, who delivered his speech fluidly and responded deftly to the audience’s questions––a scientist proficient in more than one science, and fluent enough in biology to give an entire lecture on biotechnology!!!! Oh wow...
Just waiting on the olympics... any day now..
Would you happen to know it that takes 6 hours on the CDC's side or 6 hours in the doctor's office?
Their Fire Eye lab claims to process 10k tests per day. Wuhan in total can process 25k per day [1]

Plus China recent donated 12,500 test kits to Japan [2]

Of course, you seems to dismiss anything from China's official account, then you can choose to believe whatever depends on you political stance.

[1] https://m.chinanews.com/wap/detail/zw/kong/2020/02-26/910563...

[2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E18_1mwDTrM
There’s not going to be one for several months.
You should be bouncing that up against net income rather than revenue. T-Mobile was $3.5B for 2019 so a $91MM fine is 2.6% which feels like a material deterrent.
Opinions on how well they’re handling things aside, I must say, I was pretty impressed with how quickly they built that hospital. We could never do that in the US.
Anothet example of CDC dragging its feet during the same time period.

https://www.reddit.com/r/nyc/comments/fayko1/my_covid19_stor...
No need for hypotheticals, there's already a case of community spread in Mountain View https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-02-28/intense-...
A genre of web fiction with scary x-files like stories.

Great source of ideas for scary monsters/dungeons/villans/legends after reskinning from modern times to whatever setting you need.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SCP_Foundation
The plague of 2020 will be taught in history classes for hundreds of generations.
I used to work in penetration testing. It’s funny (scary?) how far dressing business casual, carrying an open laptop, and claiming to be IT gets you.
Is the main goal just to delay the widespread infection until we have a vaccine produced?

It seems like this was always an impossible goal. So does it even matter when this goes pandemic? Sure, more preparation would get us more masks or something, but anything that would really help?
What Went Wrong at OpenAI?
The south tower had begun evacuation when "an official" announced over the building wide intercom that everything was fine and the people in the stairwell needed to turn around and go back to work. This story, told by survivors who ignored the command, was vehemently denied until the 911 commission reviewed an audio recording in which the message could be heard.
Do you mean more profitable companies should be fined more than less profitable companies for the same scale of wrongful behavior? If one wrongdoer happens to have other lines of business that generate a lot of cash but aren’t implicated in the misbehavior, they should get a more severe punishment? I think the endgame from such a punishment regime is companies will reorganize their corporate structure to section everything off from such liabilities.
What I appreciated about Dyson's view of climate change is that he doesn't jump to the conclusion that change is bad and should be feared. I'm not myself saying it is good, but it was the point I appreciated most in his view.

When I read articles about species dying, ice melting, etc, I think to myself "what would it be like to travel to and live on that strange new world, with less ice, different species, wild weather?"

At the same time I've converted pasture into hedgerow and I plan to bury the wood in trenches.
I think the more important part is the laundry list of frameworks, cloud services, etc. to manage, not the pleasure you draw from working with the services themselves.

If you get minimal returns for managing 5 extra services, it doesn't make sense most of the time.

I do agree though that the cost should not be the thing the poster brags about with this architecture. It's the tradeoff between simplicity, cost, and functionality.
WebAssembly adds new functionality to the browser runtime environment that isn't available to regular JavaScript. It was originally 1:1 with asm.js/JS but that stopped being true relatively quick.
Purchasing over the counter animal drugs for use in humans is somewhat common in prepper communities. Perhaps the wording was aimed at them.
And also if he gets sick, it will make things more difficult for his wife (who will probably recover earlier). That hurts the health care system.
It already does. Stock markets are crashing. The tourism industry worldwide will take a hit. Olympic games may be canceled. Concerts and conventions are also canceled. If this thing keeps spreading cafes and restaurants will start loosing clients by the dozens, companies will have to rely heavily on remote working and who knows what other economic implications will ensue.
Think about capacity and throughput of hospitals. If everyone gets it all at once, they'll be overwhelmed and many people will die, since severe cases often need respirators, drugs, and close monitoring.

The goal is to smooth out the cases over a longer period so we're less capacity limited. That means everyone taking extreme precaution with hygiene.
Sure, but it still doesn't mean anything.
I personally have only used the free one. To me it isn’t even entirely clear what the paid version gets you.
https://tribe.so looks suitable.
USA: Lower interest rates and the corporate tax rates to save the stock market. Pretend coronavirus is fake news.
> It's unprecedented, but it's not the black plague by any stretch.

The disease may not be unprecedented, but the response to it certainly has been.
Nothing.

The POTUS just said this was a "democratic hoax." After appointing someone to deal with it.

It's beyond politics at this point. Trump can't run the country, and because of his policies, our response is limited and ineffective.
Good luck and stay safe.
I don’t know, but I certainly hope not. If this happens I don’t know how I can shop.
Strange to say but I actually don't mind being woken up due to someone else's alarm. It lets me experience the pleasure of knowing I get to go back to sleep :)
SFO is an airport, not a city.
This is total lunacy. It has nothing to do with exclusivity and everything to do with verification.

There are established KYC processes followed by every serious company, like a bank. Yes, there is no straightforward api, but that is irrelevant.

Banning real people would actually have an effect, as you could only sell your ID once.that would massively drive up the cost of using fake account to post propaganda. People can sell out in real life for real, you can bribe real voters too ( and sometimes even officials!)
> Because if anyone took this seriously

You mean if everyone took this seriously. Which is obviously a lot more difficult. It would probably not be possible to get everyone to agree that the sky is blue or 2+2=4.
Ideally, I could set up a forum, create an account for each unit, and then slip a card under their door with the their login info.
Which sources are you going to believe? Medical researchers potentially trying to warn the world, or sources aligned with the repeatedly demonstrated goal of the CCP to minimize this event by censoring and removing information, and providing misleading information, like a case rate when hospitals are turning people away and tests aren't being conducted?

Look at China's absurd response. There has never been a point in history where so many people were placed in lockdown by a single government. Over the flu???
only if you use a name or otherwise identify a patient
In short, yes. Advertisements are a huge way to get malware onto people’s computers. This just one random article from a google search for “malware advertising” but there are tons and it still happens today.

https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2016/03/big-n...
A black ink HP 64XL cartridge can print 600 pages assuming a 5% page coverage of ink per page. We're actually coverage roughly 50% per page, and we do that on both sides, so we can only effectively print 30 pages with our HP 64XL cartridge.

The cartridge costs about $40. We can expect to spend around $407,060,000,000,000,000 on printer ink for this endeavor, but HP might consider a bulk rate at that point.

The global world product is roughly $77,868,000,000,000. If we all unite under this noble cause (and assume no economies of scale), we can payoff the cost of the ink in only 5227 and a half years, assuming paper is free (which it totally is, it grows on tress!). If someone works out how much carbon this captures, we might prevent further global warming to troll domestic courts.
This guy got stuck at the first peak of Dunning-Kruger and won't move off it, on any subject it seems.
I've done quite a few wireless surveys as a consultant in businesses, colleges, etc. I pretty much was never questioned when walking around, knocking on doors and going into offices with my laptop opened and saying that I was "scanning the wifi signal level for IT". I sometimes was given a set of keys and if they didn't work on a door I'd ask someone in the department there if they'd let me in.
You have a citation for that quotation? Looks fake.
This is discussed in the NYT:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/27/us/politics/coronavirus-u...
The same with compression, amazingly enough, where you just have to implement your algorithm.
Good catch! Here's a better link specifically talking about mobile: https://blogs.opera.com/news/2016/06/ad-blocker-android-ios-...
What you suggest seems plausible, but I can't immediately calculate, for example, DNA repair rate vs. X-ray photon flux and cross-sections. Can you point me to something that confirms incidence or severity of radiation-induced disease depends on flux rather than dose? Tnx.
It seems the odds are high there is more than 1 because if there is only one there would be something in common between these two recent community cases. But from what I’ve seen there’s nothing linking these two together which means there are at least two distinct groups in California at the moment in which community infections are happening.
It is left as an exercise to the reader to implement this algorithm efficiently, but I really like the elegant use of recursion.

For those who can't be bothered diffing, the fix in the corrected version is inside the 3rd condition of subst().
Costa Rican presidency raided for alleged violation of citizens’ privacy
That sounds about right. You should check this out of haven’t yet https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Expanse_(TV_series)
> I don't necessarily think that a dollar amount is actually the best way to think about it. It's very hard to think about what value you'd place on avoiding a hypothetical 1/500 risk of death

It's not that hard if you try. We face risk-benefit tradeoffs everyday. You either (1) have an implicit price you put on small risks to your own life in the sense that you accept risks below that price and reject ones above it, or (2) you are acting inconsistently, in the sense that you could strictly reduce risks to your life while making more money (or saving more time, etc.).

> Note that as a 40yo, your odds of dying period within that year is actually about 1/500:

Sure. And I think that if people could purchase immortality for their 40th year for $20k, they should probably do it.

> In any case, once you have the odds down, you can place the amount of effort you'd spend relative to the amount of effort you spend on other risks.

Sure, now just find out how much you pay routinely to avoid this effort (e.g., how much you pay your accountant to do your taxes), and you've got a risk-dollar exchange rate.
G Suite costs $6 per month.

"G Suite customers own their data, not Google. The data that G Suite organizations and users put into our systems is theirs, and we do not scan it for advertisements nor sell it to third parties." "There is no advertising in the G Suite Core Services, and we have no plans to change this in the future. Google does not collect, scan or use data in G Suite Core Services for advertising purposes."

https://gsuite.google.com/learn-more/security/security-white...
Would it really have made any difference? As far as I have observed each and every country ( and in some cases states and provinces) are setting their own levels of containment and will continue to do so.
There are only 4 countries outside of China which have at least 100 confirmed COVID cases.

There are only 3 countries outside of China which have had at least 10 COVID deaths.

The story at this point has been blown massively out of proportion relative to a typical flu season. How many more people died last week from flu-related complications than died of COVID?

It’s wise to take precautions, but it should be done rationally. IMO, I think prophecies of WWIII level calamity should be flagged, as it’s not healthy discussion but more like gruesome fan fiction.
I could tell you how I have handled millions of requests on a free AWS tier ubuntu system, but its not interesting enough. Just like this...
Would you mind elaborating on these points?
I am slightly disappointed that the crypto book did not use a picture of Tux to demonstrate ECB https://blog.filippo.io/the-ecb-penguin/
US citizens are still allowed to travel to and from China, and there are multiple flights every day.
Making abortion an option for everyone's one step away from making it mandatory for everyone.

Nope, doesnt make any sense.
I've literally been using desktop Linux since I installed Ubuntu in 2006 in the spinning cubes era. It was never good. Windows (except Vista) always had a snappier interface. Xfce and GNOME2 are fast, I'll give it that, but don't have any animations or aesthetics whatsoever (and yes that does matter--it makes you happy to use your machine). If all I cared about was resource usage, I'd not use a DE at all and only use something like dwm. GNOME3 is polished and works, the best and only free contender to Apple and Windows desktops.

Bloat is something only insiders care about. I care more about adoption of free software than I do about its quality in the academic sense. The way to get adoption is UX and looking nice. If you're trying to convince someone to switch from Windows, what would you show them, Xfce or GNOME3?
This is also in part because the White House fired the CDC Pandemic Response Unit and cut their funding in 2018.
I don't disagree with your point. However, if they brought in a billion selling location data, and only get fined $200M, it was still profitable. If they only profited $20m, the fine is 10 times what they earned.

Without this context, it's hard to ascertain how meaningful of a deterrent the fine actually is.
Is there any accuracy to my belief that China caused this by arresting the doctors who were talking about this instead of investigating it? If so, are people in China aware of this? Do they see it as an issue?
people who purchased plane tickets and booked hotels to watch the Olympics are gonna be pissed...unless they can either get their refund or also postponed bookings for free.
If you’re referring to Milo, it was stripped for violating the terms of the checkmark, not for being controversial.

His profile claimed he was a Buzzfeed reporter IIRC. Although he was being satirical, he didn’t indicate such, and this causes problems because the whole point of the checkmark is to signal that this person is who they say they are (including any claims in their bio). Since the average random person doesn’t even know who Milo is, they may see his verified profile and attribute his inflammatory comments to Buzzfeed staff members.

Twitter has many examples of taking enforcement actions for silly reasons, but this one actually made sense given that logic.
Are you making a typo? The disease is definitely contagious in gestation period, which is why it is so hard to contain the spread.
the goal is simply “fine them enough so that it hurts and works as a mea culpa, but doesn’t destroy them the first time”
> When I was pursuing environmental studies, there was a cartoon in one of my textbooks depicting microbes giving off oxygen and some of the microbes protesting that they were destroying their environment and needed to stop. Microbes that off-gassed oxygen are how we got an oxygen atmosphere on earth.

Yes, that is called the Great Oxidation Event [1] and it was the Earth's first major extinction event.

The microbes were absolutely correct that their environment was being destroyed. The Earth then shifted to a new atmospheric makeup and new life blossomed but it was still a termination event for most life that existed prior to the event.

> The truth is we don't really know as much as some people like to pretend we do

Yes. Which means we shouldn't run a giant experiment with the atmosphere and the oceans. This is called the precautionary principle: if you're doing something that may result in systemic disaster then it's better to not do it. People who say that this giant global experiment won't do any harm (or go further and say it will be beneficial) are pretending knowledge that they don't actually have.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Oxidation_Event
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/28/trump-says-the-coronavirus-i...
https://www.businessinsider.com/nassim-taleb-heres-what-peop...
> Another ice age would be pretty terrible too.

OK, but the next rational step would be to ask which scenario is presenting the greater risk. Just raising an issue without following through is not helpful, and, I am sorry to say, that is what Dyson tended to do on this issue.
Mostly one government.
Really? Seems pretty in-character for him.
What would this be called... cowboy business decisions isn’t snappy enough as a term, and I’ve seen this often enough that it would be good to have a term for it!
No need, the Britishisms add character.
COVID19 overloads medical systems. It doesn’t matter how great Stanford hospital is when it is out of capacity.
There's no PII or remote possibility of linking it back to the person, so no.
(I work for Mozilla, but not specifically on mobile.)

The reason I've heard is that the new GeckoView architecture requires piping each and every WebExtension API through a Java layer (that naturally doesn't exist on desktop). So it's some amount of manual work per API entry. The definition of the MVP only included critical extensions like reader mode and uBlock. And there's still a fair bit of other work remaining for the MVP, so nobody can spare time for noncritical tasks.

Whether that's the right definition of the MVP, and how many resources we'll be able to spend on it post-MVP (especially post-layoffs)... your guess is as good as mine, I'm going by the same public info you have.

Extensions are a pretty important distinguishing factor of mobile firefox, though.
Of course not. Did you see the article of a person being billed $3000 for a coronavirus test?

Testing it should be free (based on symptoms) if US wants to stop the disease from spreading.
All of the above APIs except ALSA run on top of ALSA, except OSS which was deprecated more than 20 years ago. The CoreAudio API has changed just as much in that time period.. there are huge chunks of the CoreAudio API that existed back in 1999 that no longer work or even exist.

Also, note you can't use the audio APIs from macOS "classic" on macOS/OS X (and never could - Apple banned it from the start, so every single audio app that existed for macs pre OS X had to have its audio I/O completely rewritten. Apple didn't pay for this - 3rd party developers did).

I write pro-audio/music creation software for a living, and I can assure you that from this perspective, CoreAudio is definitely not an amazing API. That's without even taking into account the differences between CoreAudio on iOS and macOS.

The only Linux distributions that had problems playing patent-protected formats over the last 20 years were the ones that stuck to a strictly libre software policy. If you picked one of them (e.g. Debian), it's hardly Linux' fault that you chose a distribution one of whose raison d'etre's was to exclude any non-free formats of any kind. I used RedHat starting in 1997 and it never had a problem playing mp3 files.
Dr Anthony Fauci barred from speaking publicly about coronavirus with o approval
It was in fact broken by the Times and it is an inside source talking to their reporter that we know it happened.