skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
A fair comparison would be e.g. CTR or incrementing the key for each block.
This is a problem much lower.
"Old" is ambiguous, but I meant that COVID-19 mortality risk increases steeply with age.

If they're 60, their risk is slightly higher than 3% because they're male and on the edge of two age groups.

Their previous state of health would be the biggest variable.

80+ years old 14.8%

70-79 years old 8.0%

60-69 years old 3.6%

50-59 years old 1.3%

40-49 years old 0.4%

This preliminary data from the Chinese officials maybe wildly high or low because dividing current deaths by current cases is invalid within an active event due to the two week incubation period. Additional math would be needed to estimate a range of total current unknown infections in order to make the percentages accurate.

What is known, is that like the flu or pneumonia, very old, males and unhealthy have elevated mortality rates.

http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/02/study-720...
Given the long incubation period for this disease, and the fact that it has a—give or take—3 percent lethality (though less for the young, but more for the old), then IMHO people should take it very seriously.

Some people even report a total of 3.4 percent lethality. To put that in perspective; that's one in about thirty people(!).
No, it's not "Ebola," but it's still contageous and deadly. In that regard, the media is actually helping. If it's perhaps making some people more anxious than they really need to be, then it's a price worth paying.

As for how serious people take hygiene, IDK, man. I'm taking it very seriously myself, and so should you. If you see people caughing or sneezing without covering themselves, I'd politely ask them if they can please use the bent elbow in instead.
Fully Self-Driving Cars Are a 'Scam' and Silicon Valley 'Needs to Die'
um mortality rate is something like 1% ... hardly high
Reinsurance exists for outlier events like this.

It may well not be covered but insurance companies have their own insurance too.
The Sievert unit is based upon the Gray unit of radiation dose, but it also includes a weighting factor for the type of biological tissue that is exposed to radiation. You can also read up on the linear no-threshold model of radiation exposure for more information. In terms of cancer risk, radiation doses on a range from 1 mSv to 100 mSv can definitely be compared, regardless of the duration of the exposure. There is a range of higher doses e.g. above 1 Gy that would cause acute radiation syndrome if received all at once, where different biological effects would predominate.
Boss doesn’t care if I’m sick even if the rest of the office might. Deadlines are still deadlines to him so I worked through my last 3 illnesses.
They can still get infected and bring it home as well as to the rest of their extended family. And they can still get very ill even if they don't die. I've had pneumonia in the past and I don't wish it on anyone, least of all my kids.
Read the Risk Assessment part https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/summary.html
To add on to your point, this is an argument for taking it very seriously right now, not shrugging it off. Good policy decisions right now can save lots of lives; a million people requiring hospitalization over a year is far, far better than a million people requiring hospitalization over three months. Slowing down the rate of infection isn't just kicking the can down the road, but something that will save countless lives.
... or you cannot afford to take unpaid time off
I just got sent a coupon for three free nights. That hasn’t happened since... 2008.
> People's lives are at stake

Just to proactively avoid any misunderstanding here, I'd like to point out that the virus is expected to spread in the US at this point. It's not a matter of _if_ you will be exposed, but rather _when_. From a logistical perspective, it's important that cases are spread out over time as much as possible in order to avoid the health system being overwhelmed.
AFAIK this is good because some renewable energy sources cannot produce continuously (solar, wind), and therefore storing their production is a major challenge. As stated in this article generating hydrogen can be done with electricity. Moreover fuel cells may also power trucks and even cars.
Quit and move on
Yes, I understand that. Congress needs to pass legislation that guarantees a paid thirty days worth of sick leave.
Moscone actually but I like your take. ;-)

Bsides SF too and I was there. They reminded people to take precautions but you know...
> In fact, if anyone knows an easy solution for that I'd love to hear it.

What’s this? You’re asking for a solution to “things that don’t work” ️
I love the little tangent you’ve created here. It’s textbook HN. I wonder if there’s a word for it.
The onus is on employees to "feel insecure" and take extended work-from-home time, instead of being the default position that one can opt out of.

In practice, that means most don't exercise that option and those who do for any real length of time take a career hit (unknowingly).
http://web.archive.org/web/20060429213545/http://www.gieis.u...

And then just fast forward a bit in time.
That is very high, both compared to influenza and to what our health care system is able to handle.

And when the case load is higher than what the health care system is able to handle, mortality jumps to 2% or higher.
Golang is such a joke of a language. The compiler won't even compile if there is an unused variable but won't warn you if there is an unchecked error! This language is meant to produce buggy incorrect code that can only be mitigated with writing excessive repetitive tests that have nothing to do with business logic itself.

Golang is probably the biggest embarrassment of a modern programming language ever conceived. Again, if you don't believe me, just start writing your first Kubernetes controller.
Get a Ryzen CPU and mine Monero with it.
That's correct. If they can afford more, they should pay more. I think it's similar to speeding fines in Finland: proportional to your income. A wealthy person can ignore a $150 speeding ticket.

Deterrence is the goal.
Solar powered server?

https://solar.lowtechmagazine.com/about.html
that date seems to be the date "sitemeter" passed away
Just to play devil's advocate...

3711 passengers and crew on board total. 709 tested positive for COVID-19. So sub 1% mortality for the infected. And that's in a population that's likely much older and less fit or healthy than the rest of us. And in pretty ideal conditions for the virus to spread (close quarters, shared living spaces etc).
‘Particulate Filtering Facepiece Respirator’ is the NIOSH term.
Swift is not similar to Haskell and Miranda. It's an imperative refcounted manually managed language with strict evaluation, while Haskell and Miranda are GCed languages with lazy evaluation and immutability. It's hard to find languages more different, really.
Aside from the problems with training 300M people to use a mask (and guaranteed, most people won't wear them properly - a properly fitting mask is uncomfortable), it's not just "1" mask, it's at least one mask a day.

So to cover the USA for 10 days, that's 3 billion masks. There aren't that many masks available.
Would you mind sharing it? I considered doing this exact same thing but found the mess of standards a barrier to entry.
Only if you shard it.
> they are gambling with their lives

Please don't spread this sort of misinformation. At this point, widespread transmission in the US is expected. You _will_ be exposed and most likely infected at some point. Most cases are mild! The concern is logistical in nature - if the health system is overwhelmed, those with severe symptoms won't be able to get the care they need. It's important to slow the spread as much as possible.
Context: < > is one of the two mechanisms suggested by the URI RFC [1] for delimiting plaintext URIs (the other being " ").

[1] https://tools.ietf.org/html/rfc3986#appendix-C
Scaring the fuck out of yourself is the last thing that is going to help you. We all need to do our best, and then...relax into this thing.
I personally think we're nearing the end of a golden age where sites can support themselves through advertisements that 90 percent of users see while we, the nerds, are able to easily block almost all the ads. The more widespread blockers become, the more incentive there is to create unblockable ads, e.g., YouTube inserting a video ad directly into the video stream so that even if you had some kind of content-aware AI blocker running you still wouldn't be able to continue your video until the ad is over and the unedited stream resumes.
does anyone know if the code for the dashboard is open source? I can't seem to find a link.
Did they contract it in CA or while traveling?

It seems to already be spreading in Bay Area with 2nd case of unknown origins..
There's already community spread, it's too late to test only people who visited infected countries.

Testing everyone, including asymptomatic people is not feasible, there aren't nearly enough testing supplies (right now, California has 200 test kits for the entire state). And even if they had the supplies, finding the staff to do the tests is nearly impossible.
Where are you shopping? Whole Foods?
Most likely you'll be aware of any increased risk, from reports like this, before you come near it.

Control the things you can, wash your hands and keep a healthy mental state.
Lots of crime, someone was shot there not long ago.
Photos of Greece border gate as hundreds of migrants walking toward
The regular flu is 0.1%. The 1918 pandemic had a mortality rate of 2%, and killed 50 million people.
I've heard this repeated many times over the last few weeks. Never heard the aerosol angle.

On the surface it makes sense that masks wouldn't help. The more I think about it I come to a different conclusion.

Masks do cut down water vapor being absorbed through the nose/mouth. It's not 100% but this isn't anthrax where a tiny droplet could kill everyone. Many people would use it improperly but simple public service announment instruction could solve that issue. Instead they use valuable public serivce announment time to tell everyone not to use a mask. I believe they do this to get people to not buy masks because they are afraid of supply issues. If we had a huge supply of masks people would be encouraged because it would cut down on spreading.
China's fastest-growing AI chip unicorn plans going public
Our D paper got accepted, too!
The first sentence in particular has a very "the department of redundancy department" structure. Also took me a few tries to realize what it was actually saying.
China produces 200,000 N95 respirators per day [1]. So it would take China about 5 years to produce the asked-for 370 million N95 respirators.

I can't find numbers for the US, but most people seem to assume that production is lower than in China. Whether that could be quickly ramped up, I also don't know.

[1] https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3050717/c...
Hope you have plenty of guns to kill the zombies
But how do you do that in a way that is superior to simply just showing the numbers? The point of the OP was to argue that absolute numbers aren't meaningful in topological maps. But how do you communicate these more specific facts in topologically useful ways aside from just showing the numbers?
If the brain cannot consciously reprogram itself, why does studying work?
Are you male and have a chronic cardiovascular or pulmonary condition?

--- CFR (males and females) ---

50-59 years old 1.3%

40-49 years old 0.4%

30-39 years old 0.2%

Male 2.8%
Female 1.7%

These are averages across ages, and they maybe wildly inaccurate because of the on-going situation has unknowable data on those who are sick but won't seek help or those who will become sick before it's over.

Figure 24% higher if male, so roughly 0.5% (1/200) or 24% lower if female 0.3% (1/300) if female, and average health for both. Health condition makes it too unpredictable to guess further, but good health appears strongly correlated with good outcomes and vice-versa.
Here are two good reads on asynchronous programming

http://krondo.com/an-introduction-to-asynchronous-programmin...

https://nullprogram.com/blog/2019/03/10/
I've noticed people in Beaverton/Hillsboro are really bad at washing their hands in public. I'm at the movies a lot and every single time I go to the bathroom there's someone walking right out. I've been seeing a few people with masks on (although way more when I was in Toronto three weeks ago), but like those wont help you at all if you're not washing your hands.
Crank
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crank_(person)
Personally if I start hacking on something, and the idea doesn't immediately stand out as something I might want to build a business out of, it goes straight to a public GitHub repo.
Also, caseload straining the healthcare system boosts mortality for other conditions.
Excerpt/Favorite:

"Sameh Attia‘s paper on “StateMover” (with Vaughn Betz) described a fascinating system for debugging hardware that sits halfway between simulating it and executing it. The advantage of simulation is its flexibility: the designer can inspect (or even change) the contents of every component, and they can run the clock forwards or backwards until they pinpoint the problem in their design. But the disadvantage of simulation is its slowness: simulating a design can take about 100000 times longer than executing it properly. Sameh’s work describes a way to move the entire state of a design back and forth between an FPGA and a software simulator. His proposal is that a design starts running on an FPGA, then at some predetermined trigger point, the clock is stopped and the current state of the FPGA is copied over to the simulator. The designer can then investigate what is going on at this point, and maybe step the clock forwards or backwards a bit, and then they can copy the new state back to the FPGA and carry on running it. The best of both worlds is thus achieved: the fiddly parts of the design can be run in the simulator, and the long, uninteresting parts can be left to the hardware. Myself, I wondered whether this system could form the basis of an exhaustive hardware simulator: one that runs a design in hardware until comes to some sort of ‘branch’ or ‘decision point’, at which point it saves its current state, and executes one of the paths. Later it restores this saved state and executes the other path. Thus, it might be feasible to explore all the possible behaviours of a system."
It's not misinformation, you can run the numbers yourself. Some governments have already banned any events with > 1000 people.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/swiss-government-bans-all-...

I figure they've run the numbers too.
Realistically, widespread transmission in the US (and the world over, honestly) _is_ inevitable at this point. Not everyone gets the flu every year because we have natural immunity to it; that's not the case with this virus because it's new.

Your advice is good though - take preventative measures!

That being said, most cases are mild! The logistical concern is to minimize the number of severe cases that require hospitalization at any given time so that the health system isn't overwhelmed. It's important to slow the spread as much as possible so that those with severe symptoms can get the care they need.
Electrifying rarely used tracks makes little economic sense. There is a huge up-front cost and you have significantly increased maintenance costs. Hydrogen powered trains can be rolled out incrementally.
In 1918 the world population was 1.8B. If every single person got infected, and the mortality rate was 2%, then that's 36M.

Something wrong with your numbers.
Ah, so there we have it. The definition of problematic is: Problematic for Twitter's brand.
How long would it take to set up the factory and the are the source materials available?
But that's still an issue.

Twitter knew who Milo was, they'd verified his identity, and although he broke the rules, removing the checkmark told his followers one thing: "we now know anyone Twitter verifies is someone they agree with politically". This puts them on the hook for everybody who's verified.

It should be a verification only. If they didn't like what he said then they should've removed the account.
You make the assumption that China's numbers are accurate. Given the obfuscatory nature of mandatory cremations and a ban on funerals, it's hard to imagine that China has been forthright about the statistics on its domestic outbreak.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/02/china-virus-funeral-o...
You don’t know about actuary tables?
I don't think it's necessarily an attitude problem, I think it's a fairly inherent part of writing libraries and APIs. You always need to make trade offs between complexity (or lack of) and correctness, the authors of the go standard library have swung the needle a bit more in the simplicity direction while the authors of the rust standard library have gone a bit more in the correctness direction.
I just wrote a script that cover the first 2 points (though it does create a pdf rather than a simple curl) and allows for searching the database. Org-mode stuff could be added later.
github.com/websalt/bmark
Net Income is endlessly manipulated to avoid income tax, if you want to be generous, maybe compare against operating income which is $5.7B. But remember, they've been doing this for years so the most appropriate calculation would be against their operating income for the number of years that they've been abusing people's privacy. In any case, it results in a laughably small fine.
I wonder how Oktoberfest will turn out this year. It's like 6 million people coming here each year to share all kinds of things for 16 days. It wouldn't surprise me if the city would at one point decide to cancel it for 2020.

Construction usually starts in the beginning of July. They'll have to get to a conclusion at one point in the near future.
Biodiesel has absolutely terrible efficiency and uses up valuable land. Outside of very niche applications where demand can be satisfied with food waste we shouldn't use it at all.
> Iran has reported a death rate of up to 17%.

Apparently Iran also had a high death rate for spanish flu.

From wikipedia:

> In Iran, the mortality was very high: according to an estimate, between 902,400 and 2,431,000, or 8% to 22% of the total population died.[67]

> -- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu
Here's an idea I have: never close-source any programming language, make 'em free and open from day zero. Languages are not products, but infrastructure, like roads. They benefit and grow from the number of users, not from paywalls. Closed languages tend to fade into obscurity. That's why everyone knows Haskell and nobody knows Miranda, everyone knows Java and nobody Eiffel. I laughed when I read that the author of Shen/Qi changed the license from a commercial to a slightly more permissive one, when no one cares about his little language. Such conceit kills languages. Microsoft has realized this only recently with .NET, when the JVM was already miles ahead. Which is sad because the CLR is so much smarter than JVM.
The ethical thing to do would be to self-quarantine.

Feel better soon
The recording of the press release is on YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kILL-maWoJw).
Turkish hackers target Greek institutions
I'm a lot more worried about the economic effects of the pandemic than about the actual disease as I'm young and healthy. But I think now is the time to buy a big sack of rice and beans, just in case.
How so? Have you seen Italy’s numbers?
There’s no reason to believe the Iranian number is anywhere near accurate. On the contrary, it’s likely that the cases confirmed number is too low everywhere except maybe the diamond princess. Quoting 17% as the possible death rate is just inciting panic. It’s likely much lower. Which is not to say you should not worry; I think it’ll reach most people and end up killing millions.
https://ahvalnews.com/hackers/turkish-hackers-target-greek-i...

https://balkaninsight.com/2020/02/28/tensions-between-turkey...
>There are only two kinds of languages: the ones people complain about and the ones nobody uses

Repeating this quote again and again won't make it correct.
I live in the Portland area and I’m doing my very best to not panic. My family has stocked up on a couple weeks worth of food and medicine gradually over the last few weeks and we have an “earthquake kit” that we already had in place. I feel like we’re relatively prepared for a quarantine situation if it comes down to it.

The main reason I’m anxious, however, is that I have asthma and one of my biggest fears is suffocating to death. I remember going to the ER as a kid and blacking out because I basically stopped breathing. I still have nightmares about it.

This is not a great time for someone with anxiety. If you’re like me, please remember to take deep breaths, get enough sleep, and remember that in the vast majority of cases things will be okay.

But also please, please, please wash your hands.
It's already horseshit that the income is taxed on exercise. Just treat capital gains as normal income and tax it when the gains are realized as cash.

I hope this doesn't apply to options without liquidity. Otherwise we should just go ahead and tax scratchers on their potential prize value at purchase.

If this goes through I guess I can't work for a startup anymore. I'm already paying too much in taxes and rent to build wealth, might as well give up on innovating for a small company and work someplace that can pay me and give me options on stocks that I can sell. What a dumb idea Bernie, and I want to vote for you.
I thought The Who were a rock music band.
Well, it would surely suck if the cable companies did it. But a business that prioritized user experience above all else could make something great.
While it's nice to hear from someone that's recovering well, this blog doesn't give me much solace since it's a form of selection bias. The people that have COVID-19 and are intubated and on a respirator in a hospital likely aren't blogging about it.
The Mystery of What Drives Bob Iger
https://styleguide.mailchimp.com/voice-and-tone/ (previously voiceandtone.com)

https://mkaz.blog/misc/notes-on-technical-writing/

https://spin.atomicobject.com/2014/09/09/never-use-the-word-...

https://developers.google.com/tech-writing/overview
Everything else doesn’t point to that. Media FUD points to that.

If we have a similar experience to that of China it seems like it won’t be a big deal.

In 2018-2019 80,000 people died from the flu in the United States. 80,000. No one really cared.

The death rate for the current coronavirus seems to be about 2%, but it’s likely even lower than that since so many cases are going unreported since the symptoms are so mild in most people.

I see this whole thing as some kind of bizarre media externality. The disease here is a social one. It’s like the media has evolved in such a way that FUD has manifested into something that is almost tangible.

It’s not the coronavirus you need be worried about, but the meta-coronavirus. It’s making people crazy.
Not everybody gets coronavirus either. The Diamond Princess cruise ship is pretty close to a worst case scenario, and even there "only" ~700 of 3700+ (20%) have tested positive.
The Spanish flu infected about 500 million people and killed about 50 million according to most estimations. That's a death rate of 10%.

It should also be said that the 1% rate for COVID-19 is probably too high because a lot of cases appear to be hardly symptomatic. The cruise ship had 3 deaths up until now, all over the age of 80.
Have to second this comment. The Audible version of it had me riveted. A great story well-told, with a raft of good quotes, such as "People didn’t like game changers in the 90s anymore than the owners of of the Erie Canal liked the transcontinental railroad. New technology always leaves a battlefield littered with bodies."
We generically refer to this in the security community as "ConFlu," because it happens at every conference.