skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Does anyone know if this is actually true? I was under the impression that climate models have been mostly overshooting reality over the past 40 years

> One question modeling can help answer is called “climate sensitivity,” an estimate of how much warmer the planet will be once it has adjusted to atmospheric CO₂ at double the pre-industrial level. (At current rates, CO₂ could reach a doubling point in the last decades of this century.) This is the old, reliable number that’s come out to 3°C for 40 years. It was as close as anything gets to certainty.
Zenduty – End-to-End Incident Management Platform for SRE/DevOps/ITOps
DNA Testing Firm Blocked a Rival from Using Its Database to Solve Crimes
If you are like me, you hate reading articles like this. You know there is a problem but you feel like you can't do anything about it. You recycle, you turn off lights, you have a programmable thermostat but you know it's a drop in the ocean.

I finally decided to do something about it last fall. I researched and have committed to purchasing green power. Every month I purchase 850 kWh for $22 from Bullfrog Power (a Canadian company, I have no affiliation). It's much more reasonable than I thought. I still conserve as much as I can but $22/month allows me to feel like I am doing something. If in 40 years, my kids ask me what I did to prevent climate change, I feel like I'll have an answer I'll be proud of.
I agree, earth orbit is great for deploying tech that helps us on the surface. The moon may prove useful if there's something of sufficient value to bring back. Mars is pure 'human endeavour', putting it kindly. Some individuals with large egos and wallets are pursuing it just because they can. Any sense in which Mars could be 'colonised' is indeed fantasy unless we are talking over a hundreds-to-thousands-of-years timescale, and you can be sure that it wouldn't be some haven. For one thing, the military would be the first to occupy, and if that was the military of one country you can be sure that they'd be joined by another fairly soon, and then...

Given we seem to struggle with working out how humans will get on okay on earth in the coming decades, we should not be distracting resources (our own and our planet's) until we have solved some more pressing issues. Given most of the 'wealth' that we have today has been created by exploiting fossil fuels (or exists only within financial systems), we have a huge job ahead in transforming society into something more sustainable.

> there is no future event that would make earth as uninhabitable as Mars is today

As I heard someone say recently: while we think about terra-forming Mars, we are busy Mars-forming Earth.
It is challenging, very much so, but it can can be done. I built a prototype for Word files based on Git (can also use the GitHub
API, so making it work with the Dropbox API should be doable). I implemented sort of a blame function as well: Jump to the previous version of a paragraph with just one click.

As OP said, it took a lot of effort to get the UI ok. Probably takes even more effort to create a great UI, but I guess Dropbox has some resources, right? Shameless plug: Landing page at https://julesdocs.com

If anyone is interested in pushing this forward, I'd love to hear from you (mail address on the landing page)!
If we were letting racism against the Chinese dominate our response, we’d be dismissing the outbreak while numbers outside China were small.
I’m a climate change skeptic almost entirely because I don’t trust models. I believe there are too many dynamic things happening in the world for anyone to be able to predict accurately say the next 100 years (solar, earthquakes, volcanoes etc). One way to make me a believer though is an experiment: if I were to give you a 100 year stretch of history and you were able to accurately predict with the models what exactly happened in those 100 years.

The article talks about it a little bit about how the models are used to predict the 19th century to see if they are correct. But the models use the last 100 years as input so of course it will give you accurate output. But the real challenge of the models would be to accurately predict things that are not part of the inputs into the model. I don’t believe that these models can do this and are thus an exercise in straight extrapolation based on very complex and interconnected inputs.
> That's why when I talk about overpopulation, I talk about success cases like Thailand. Or how Mexico's soap operas helped lower that nation's birth rate. These cases brought prosperity, stability, and abundance.

Can you elaborate on these and/or provide links?

At first thought it seems absurd that telenovelas could significantly impact the birthrate.
Let's not anthropomorphize things, they don't like it.
There is oil on Mars?
Applying SOLID principles to your TypeScript code
Getting a sofa from people in the building or friends is less risk than craigslist. I know someone who got bedbugs from a sofa on craigslist. So there’s a slight risk right there
> where one party must best the other ... you're not trying to claim more of the pie directly, but rather make the pie bigger and then claim a larger overall slice.

If you're claiming more of the pie, but the pie isn't really bigger, you're just indirectly attempting to best the other. It's the same outcome, but with a different approach couched in friendlier wording.
I played it a few weeks ago on Win10 without issues.
> NSW and Victoria just moved slightly more than the rest (1.8m vs. 1.5m or 1.7m for other parts).

More that the other states haven't yet updated their data to account for the changes at all, yet. They have until June.
Really? I was like "wao, he has found a way to break encryption" only to figure out he is decryption using the key. End to end encryption is all about preventing man in the middle attack. Not about preventing a second way for decrypting at end points.
Mars is not a solution to a destroyed earth. Billionaires living on mars would suffer a quality of life worse than homeless people living on Earth.
There's no comparison here.

Musk acquired his money through voluntary exchanges with buyers freely and willingly engaging in market transactions.

The government uses coercive force to raise taxes, it is not voluntary.

Tax money is public property and we should have a say in how it is spent. Musk's money we gave to him freely and is his to dispose of as he sees fit.
Fedora Silverblue and Endless OS do this, they're both based off of OSTree for treating filesystem-as-image and expect software to be run in Flatpak or OCI (Docker) containers.

There's some rough edges in Silverblue at least, but its a neat way to work.
Nuclear winter is probably quite survivable. Its mechanisms are the same as volcanic winters, with the caveat that it requires the assumption that nuclear weapons will result in uncontrollably large fires in cities that are as effective stratospheric soot pumps as volcanoes. And the worst volcanic winter in recorded history was in 1816, and the fact that you probably never learned anything about it in your history class should give you some indication of how close it was to a humanity extinction event.
How to publish on gov.uk - Markdown
People are never impressed when they find out where I work but always are impressed at the perks and prestige of other companies. It feels like a “normal” job, not an elite one.

And yes I have asked others...it’s important because I agree with their thought process on this.
There's a lot of real-world input situations in which I want NULL to indicate that a record field hasn't yet been collected, versus a record in which the answer to that field was "" – i.e. left blank by the respondent/data source. Sure I could have the front-facing data app auto-convert blank values to "N/A" or "(blank)", but that's unnecessary complexity.
Typically it's not obvious what to switch on and off for "accuracy".

If your model produces wildly different results from previous models, either you hit on some really big discovery or you made a mistake. An ethical scientist will try to rule out the latter possibility before accepting the former.
No worries! Incidentally, Go has something for that too (which I used semi-recently): https://golang.org/pkg/net/http/#ReadRequest
Yellow and black is unreadable? It works for me.
What standard am I being held to? Where am I failing to meet that standard? Do you actually have any disagreement with anything I've said, or are you just going to make snide remarks from the sideline?

You aren't making any concrete statements on where you think I'm wrong, and you are evading any questions I've asked to try to get clarity, so to be honest, I have no idea what you actually think I'm wrong about, or even whether you think I'm wrong.

If it were someone else, I'd just dismiss you as a troll, but I've read and respected your opinions in the past, which makes your current method of arguing a bit disappointing for me. You're well-positioned to change my mind if you ever decide to share what you actually think.
I mostly somewhat agree with you but unless you find a more appealing package for your arguments, you're just going to exacerbate the bifurcation on issues like this, and definitely not convince or enlighten anyone.
Removed - I misread the table.
How do you known things are correct for NASA and others?
I don’t understand, you don’t have to interact with the sales team in order to get warranty services.
Node.js rival Deno emphasizes security
I have two big issues here:

1) in your math you are assuming he took no money off the table in the 4 years before this point; that is just plain not true, he go bonuses every other year before 2019

2) I believe that profits/growth on a whole ate a trailing indicator, so his actual impact will be seen over the next couple of years; and if you look at 2019 as the first time in 22 years that the company posted a loss...
NULL in SQL is often interpreted in many different ways. The most helpful I’ve found is to think of it as unknown. Postgres has the IS DISTINCT FROM operator to capture what you’ve intended above:

... WHERE my_column IS DISTINCT FROM 5
I use two browsers for this scenario both on iPhone and desktop. The first browser is my regular one (take your pick) and the second one is Brave with scripts Disabled (one click option in settings). I use Brave when going to sites like this.

Disabling scripts generally doesn't break these types of sites but it does stop them from detecting whatever it is they are trying to detect.
We only verify them for completeness; then we submit them to the relevant regulator and wait for them to give the documents the OK. We don't assign the phone number until we get the OK from the regulator.
Well, not surprise at all.
I did some very cursory research on these a few weeks back, and I ultimately decided against buying anything atm, at least in the clearnet sites. While many of the "research chemicals" are legal, sounds like a handful people have ended up in jail for quite a while, even for legal substances.
Similarly, I used to play a game called San Francisco Rush, which was all about driving off of hills in sports cars and getting absurd amounts of air. It was essentially a high-speed gliding game where you try not to smash into buildings on your descent. It was absurdly fun and not at all realistic.
Positioning fair market value as your asking price (whether it's 500k or 25k) isn't what I'd call trying to win. It's just asking for fair compensation. If you know the rough value of your position, which isn't normally too difficult to ascertain with reasonable accuracy, you can feel pretty good about making such a request. (And of course, if you are in the top x% for your role, then that just tips the scales further)
They aren't dead, just infected.
Good work so far!

Some suggestions:

- Export to Google sheet

- API integration

- Choose language & location
The Delft Explosion
Imo the model of those Australian scientists from a few days ago forecasting 75k infections in China by Feb. 4th was pretty spot on.

Official numbers in China right now are 17k infections plus 21k estimated unreported cases.[1] Let's assume their numbers are a little too optimistic and there you go, 75k by tomorrow.

[1] https://news.qq.com/zt2020/page/feiyan.htm
Free time, salary (from dev job only) and improving my skills. The goals right now are money and time to spend on holidays, hobbies, and hobby business. In the future when I have children, swap out hobbies for children (I live in the UK where it's cheaper to be a stay-at-home parent if you earn less than £ 22k).
It's supposed to be outrageous. This is called "anchoring" so when the counterparty brings you down to your desired salary he thinks "he won". That way, they aren't mad and return to the guy for another negotiation where, presumably, he does it to you again.

Not sure if this is a cultural thing, but from my experience most salespeople and lawyers in america employ this tactic (and many others like htem!), so I recommend everyone on HN read these books to know when you're being taken advantage of. Merely identifying the tactic often neurtralizes it in any real world way.
https://twitter.com/Akileese/status/1224349659818348544
I don't know, I haven't seen the raw text. I trust that they would, though, they've lost most of their journalistic standards.
We must really really destroy earth to make mars even remotely interesting to try and inhabit.

To me the whole Mars thing looks like an attempt to find unclaimed territory. The earth has been claimed, there are no vast riches on a mysterious far away continent anymore. The digital, as the extension of the world, has been claimed. Where to expand now? Mars.
I have no idea how you came to the conclusion that car based commute is inherently quicker than public transit based commute. Especially in the aggregate.
When I said consideration it was obviously referring to us as conscious beings. Still forest fires happen, species invade other spaces (people think it’s only human-triggered), and other things happen, but we can most of the time at least try to assess what it would mean for US to introduce such drastic changes. The only delusion is thinking it’s cool for Hippos to forcefully co-exist in another habitat different from where they came from.
So if I asked you to bet at 50/50 odds that next year would be colder on average than this year, you'd take the bet?
Earth is heating at a rate equal to 5 atomic bombs per second
Is it not possible to backtest these sorts of things? If it were, I would assume results would be the first bullet point on articles like this, but I also don't understand why it wouldn't be possible.
I didn't write "The difficult part is in correctly estimating which type of situation you are in." for nothing, and the hypothetical trinket vendor is just an example. Like you say, any situation where negotiating actually matters is unlikely to be about a one-time transaction.

That said, the GP comment was about trying to win the long game by sacrificing the short game, and I meant to point out that there is not always a long game and even if there is, not everyone subscribes to the same win/win philosophy and recognizing when your negotiating partner doesn't is a valuable life skill.
Show HN: A Stripe Atlas Alternative – Blook
Ham radio volunteer and emergency communications is an awesome way to serve the community.

It's also 99% of the reason why I got into electrical engineering and landed in the career I'm in. It's still a fun and technically relevant STEM hobby.

de NØSSC
Tracking iPadOS
We replaced Kinesis Analytics with Kinesis Firehose + AWS Batch with Spot pricing to process analytics offline from blobs stored in S3, and it was a significant cost saving for us.

Spot pricing gives you EC2 instances at 70% to 90% discounts, and the complexity of bidding for those is handled by AWS Batch out-of-the-box.

Batch supports Lambda as a compute node, too, fwiw, and is free to use (that is, you only pay for the resources Batch runs your jobs on). If you're into ECS/K8s, AWS Fargate supports spot pricing, and scheduled or CW Events triggered invocations.
Tweaking the inputs would help one to identify what factor is causing the difference, which allows you to focus on that. It doesn’t mean you permanently leave it out.

And it does not make a credibility issue. This is how science works — it is a process that strives to be as accurate as possible, not come up with a static answer and stick to it (that’s what religion does).

The ability for science to change and adapt is what makes it so strong. That is the message that needs to always be driven when discussing science; not throwing hands in the air and saying “why do these scientists keep changing their answers? They obviously don’t know what they’re doing”
I have a chance to test it in its early beta stage and I must say it is really easy to integrate and help me a lot debugging my webservice API.

With just a couple lines of code and you're good to go.

Really promising project!
Keep up the good work!
They have the mass of the neutrinos as a fudge factors. (I think they are using only 2 of them, but they list a third number ...) (And perhaps the mass of the electron.)

The table 1 they have a lot of baryons, each of them has two numbers nB and lB. These are small numbers like 1, 2 , 3 so they are not very fudgable. The problem is that the numbers are somewhat arbitrary. For example it's not clear how these numbers are related to the spin of the particle. Also it's not clear how they are related to the "strangeness". Both are clear an easy to measure properties. It looks like they calculate the mass for possible particles with small nB and lB and then they cherrypicked the real one with the closest mass. (There is a missing particle with nB=2 and lB=1. Why?)
I think you misunderstood what I said so you could accuse me of ranting.
The No. 1 Reason Why Most Startups Fail
Could you please spell out how would nuclear MAD stop working?

The way I see it, the Mars base could be ignored for MAD purposes unless it's self sufficient and large enough to be considered civilizational survival. By the point it can no longer be ignored, the other side will just aim a couple nukes at it - what will the colonists do, move the base in months?

(Also, tangentially, I don't think the whole transit time would apply to something expected to blow up on arrival. It doesn't need to slow down enough to land, just enough to survive plowing trough Mars' thin atmosphere before slamming extra hard on the ground. Heh, for a small enough base the attacker might skip the actual nuclear warhead altogether.)
>For example, Oracle database won’t allow you to have an empty string.

It's also true for AWS' DynamoDB offering.
It's surprising the article doesn't mention CFCs:

> The simulations showed that the rate of Arctic warming in a world without CFCs would be cut in half – a striking effect for a category of substances that are only present in small quantities to begin with. To ensure the result was not simply a quirk of the simulation, the researchers ran the experiment using two different climate models and arrived at a similar outcome.

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-cfcs-are-a-ma...

The danger here is that there's something else we fundamentally don't understand about the atmosphere.
> If you're an above average driver, a below average driver will ram your car unexpectedly. And there will be nothing you can do, because your reaction times are human.

That doesn't require level 5 self driving cars, only brake assistants.

> Also, you're likely not as above average as you think yourself to be.

That doesn't mean that there aren't above average drivers. I'm not assuming I'm among them, but for them, driving in a self driving car would make matters worse.
Not sure about the timeline anymore, just that I bought TPW shortly after it came out.
History is dominated by the vagaries of human behavior.

Climate is a physical phenomenon which can be modeled. One problem is that humans have an effect on the climate, so models can't predict how much effort humanity is going to put into averting that change. Since that aspect can't be modeled, they produce different projections for multiple cases of human behavior: business as usual, modest efforts to change, aggressive efforts to change.
Ask HN: What is with all the anti-veganism on the BBC lately?
This week the BBC bashes new plant-based protein:

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200129-why-vegan-junk-food-may-be-even-worse-for-your-health?utm_source=pocket-newtab

Last week the BBC claimed veganism makes you less intelligent, and their nutritional claims were soundly debunked by HN.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22174445

What's going on over there, UK friends?
To me, that reads like the commentor displayed plenty of clue. The use of 'the' here highlights NetBSD in particular while tacitly acknowledging that other BSDs may have gotten there first.

(edited for grammar)
Another tool which was posted on HN a couple of days ago to demonstrates how to decrypt encrypted media files downloaded from WhatsApp: https://github.com/ddz/whatsapp-media-decrypt
It's a specific case of a larger symptom: when you implement something in JavaScript that replaces default browser functionality, you also have to re-implement all of the related error handling, edge cases, etc., and can't rely on the work that has already been put into making things work correctly in the browser. But in practice, JavaScript developers never fully re-implement the features that they replace, which means all that work on the browser has gone to waste.
Somewhat related... Braess's Paradox.

Take the toy example illustrating that paradox ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braess%27s_paradox#Mathematica... ) and an enlightened Google maps may do the altruistic thing of telling half of the drivers to stick on the upper route and half of the drivers to stick to the bottom route, but then some 3rd-party app will come along with the "shortcut" down the middle.
Pragmatic Programmer and Code Complete are usually mentioned as classic programmer text books. I own both and have probably read 10 pages between the 2 books.
Terminal 1 at CDG may be horribly dated, but I love that design and look.
There being no accurate model doesn't imply climate not changing
As someone who's never tried the classic xcom games what's the main selling point for how that's better?
Gov.uk style guide – words to avoid
That's awesome and I'm right there with you on wanting to do more.

Have you considered your next step, and do you have any suggestions? Purchasing green power is such a minor sacrifice for my household, I'm still looking for something more.
Tiny diamonds wrapped in graphene get rid of friction
People use models to try to nail down the details, not to see whether climate change from CO2 emissions is a real thing. That's well established by physics and geological history. A good presentation of this evidence is in a couple chapters of Hansen's Storms of My Grandchildren.
>I might be the only person who likes SQL nulls
From my understanding, null values are bad because its a sign that the database design is flawed (See database normalizations)
Perhaps you have a more practical experience?
A lot of people get fooled into thinking that because Mars lacks an atmosphere due to a lack of a magnetic field, a magnetic field is required to have an atmosphere. The atmosphere was stripped away from Mars over hundreds of millions of years.

If you could somehow restore the atmosphere today, it would remain just fine over any reasonable human timescales. Giving Mars at atmosphere is of course very difficult.
The Zoning Straight-Jacket
Those would be classified as "isometric pixel art" -- "2.5D" specifically refers to games like Doom or the Build Engine games that "fake" a vertical dimension from game data that only defines horizontal dimensions.
I really wish the hypercasual trend would go away. It's closer to slot machines with ads than to Tetris, and I think games as a medium are worse-off for it.