skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> It's not statistically inconsistent. When China had 100 cases confirmed, they had reported only 2 deaths. Now there are 100 cases outside China, so statistically we should expect 2. 0 actual vs 2 expected is statistically insignificant.

My point here was that the China data is probably biased because the medical system there is overtaxed, but outside of China it isn't. Therefore, estimating mortality based on non-China data seems safer, and no one outside of China has died so far.

If I take your low end mortality estimate, 20%, and apply that to the number of non-China cases 6 days ago (12), you get only a 6% probability of all of these people surviving. Note that this already contains a lot of assumptions (going back 6 days, taking your lowest mortality estimate) that work in favor of your alarmism.
I was still using it at my previous employer that I left a few months ago.
If you think you are having no default mode activity, you are likely fooling yourself. It is externally observable when humans have a quieter default mode, through subtleties of behavior, one can notice a calming presence, like that of non-linguistic animals. Even without language, default processing loops can be quite complex, not even taking into account multiple diverse parallel processes. Inner dialog can be very useful. Not having inner dialog is not stupid. I agree though, that in many situations, or for some people, default mode inner dialog can have a debilitating effect. But in an evolutionary way, thinking "I can survive" in a perilous situation, likely outweighs thinking "wtf I am I doing w/ my life?" when sitting on the couch. But consider the evolutionary effects of the modern externalization of inner dialog through devices.
Compared to Helm and other common kubernetes templating solutions that try to use blind textual replacement in whitespace-sensitive language, this (or something like it) looks like a god-send.
I meant this to imply that my experience likely did not include the new data or experience or whatever they updated.
I’m always cheering for a really good G Maps alternative and will give Apple Maps another shot
corrected - thanks !
One of the key problems back in 2008 was that AIG was issuing something equivalent to insurance to everyone. Different investment banks were helping their customers to make big bets, and if things went south, they had "insurance" from AIG.

In hindsight, AIG wasn't charging enough for this "insurance", and didn't have sufficient reserves to cover their losses if real estate prices across the whole country went down at the same time. Almost no one seriously considered that as a possible scenario at the time.

So the important questions are:

- Who is providing "insurance" this time around?

- Is the company providing "insurance" charging enough?

- Does the company providing "insurance" have enough reserves to cover losses if we have another situation where everything goes south at the same time?
There have been a few threads on these subjects recently on HN, aphantasia was a pretty hot topic.
You've just described the GBU-39 Small Diameter Bomb. It's a GPS guided glide bomb with a 93kg warhead and a range of 110km which costs $40000 per unit. However, the successor is the SDB2 which is far more expensive because it contains a radar and can hit moving targets. It was developed in 2006 so your idea has been done a long time ago.

Sure the army could build much smaller ones but how would it use those effectively? Would they have to use face recognition to lock on to individual humans?
For each of these examples, we can go back to the actual time when the product category didn't exist, and ask how they were introduced.

Before video-display terminals, there were teletype terminals. A VDT was faster at displaying information, could be addressed randomly in a 2D matrix, and didn't run out of paper.

Before text editors, there were line editors, and before line editors, there were card stacks.

Before web browsers, we had GOPHER, and FTP, and TELNET. When I first saw a web browser, I dismissed it as an extravagant way of navigating GOPHERspace.

So: what's the predecessor for your invention, and what are the improvements that your invention offers? Make them obvious enough, and you'll have a hit.
actually glanced over the blog post. so this is inspired by ytt, which is pretty cool.

However, I am not totally sure that the use of exclamation mark and question mark to start expressions makes it any more readable than embedding code inside comments.

Also not sure what a "single source for template values" means , since in ytt you can have multiple input sources
Just wanted to comment that I don't seem to be able to do internal Darth Vader voice. No idea why.
> can't create a self-consistent system of logic that explains the reasoning behind why people vote the opposite way that I do.

Have you read any SlateStarCodex? He may have some relevant thoughts, see for example top posts [0] especially #3 and #4.

Also maybe worth researching: cultural evolution and memetics.

[0]: https://slatestarcodex.com/about/
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So a retired person should be forced to move from his little 3 bedroom house because some Googler decided the house next door was worth $3.5MM and his property tax goes up to $75,000/year? That's pure evil.

I fully supported SB50. Build. More. Housing.
OSM edits have been an "optimistic lock" -- changes are deemed good until they are proven not good.. all changes in OSM have an author ID associated, so that they can search and "rollback" bad changes.. it has been that way since the beginning..

post-New York renamed and a few other embarrassments, there are new steps added for verification, by some workflows, but it is in transition AFAIK
When picturing things or dreaming I assign colors by the shape of things.
You don't seem to use the common definition of a patent troll. Caltech very clearly is in the business of inventing real, new technology. You can disagree with their filing of infringement lawsuits, but they're not a troll in the way the typical NPE is.
It is also very distasteful to accuse others of lying. It's about the least charitable assumption you could make, and therefore against the site guidelines.

Not everyone who disagrees with you is lying. Not everyone who disagrees with you and is factually wrong is lying. Some repeat what they've heard. Some just lazily assume without doing the research. Some mis-remember.

State that they're mistaken. Cite the evidence. But don't claim that they're lying unless you can prove that they are deliberately stating what is false.
Many employees cannot or are unwilling to up and move so it is quite difficult for a company to relocate a headquarters. Companies can open a regional office elsewhere but that has its own problems with communication and distributed teams. Problems which are manageable but can require new processes and training.
Interestingly, Path of Exile had a bug back in the Delve (infinite dungeon) league where some characters had a RNG seed that meant they would never see certain valuable items.

I think such a thing would be hard to find in testing and a shuffled deck or 'pity timer' weighted-RNG approach would ameliorate it but might hide the root issue.

While I'm on the topic, POE tends to use pure RNG in all cases except evasion. Evasion is a pretty useless defensive layer if you get hit 3 times in a row by random chance, ending your run, which gives a terrible game experience. So they use weighted entropy system to dial the chances up or down depending on how long since you've been hit (or since you've hit the enemy).
Just getting stuck in hyperspecialized jobs, so I can't really choose location. But quality of life in Belgium and elsewhere in Western EU is IMHO much better than Southern England.

I really enjoyed, in particular, living in Ghent.
It's actually a big problem for web servers. If you consider apache for example, that has to do one thread per connection. (yes, apache still doesn't support events for websockets in 2020).

Let's say you configure it for 2000 max connections (really not much) so that's 2000 threads, so 20 GB of memory right away because the thread stack is 10 MB on Linux. It's a lot of memory and it's obliterating all caches.

You can reduce the thread stack to 1 MB (might crash if you go lower) but any caching is still trashed to death.

Next challenge. How do you think concurrency work on the OS with 2000 threads? Short answer is not great.

The software making heavy use of shared memory segments, semaphores, atomics and other synchronization features. That code is genuinely complex, worse than callbacks. Then you're having issues because these primitives are not actually efficient when contended by thousands of threads, they might even be buggy.
I admit I’m in the minority but for my purposes my iPad fits every need that I have for a computer which is I can do all of my work when I’m away from my desk on it.

I do a lot of work in Salesforce, I write a lot of sql, I write a lot of JavaScript, I write a lot of Python, and I write a fair amount of Go.

I write and respond to a lot of emails.

I talk to people on Teams.

I do a lot of work in Adobe Analytics, Hue, Jira, SFMC.

The main thing that I’ve had a tough time replacing (and I’d be so thrilled if someone here has a good suggestion) is Postman. Because I write tons of little example payloads for APIs to send off to developers to get them started on projects or to test internal stuff. I’d love a native solution for that.
I'm in my late 50s.

I'm choosing to have a largish bankroll this time because, quite frankly, I don't want to have to make the sacrifices that are otherwise likely when you don't have an ongoing income -- and during the initial stages of a business, you won't have a meaningful income personally, it will be going into the business.

I could get by without the bankroll, as I've done before, but this time I want a little bit more comfort.

I should add that this is because of how I prefer to do business -- I am unwilling to take debt, large investments or VC money. Not that there's anything wrong with doing those things -- they just don't mesh well with my personality.
This was disturbing to me as well, but one way to think about it is how babies end up learning to talk: they don't speak any language initially, but they are still capable of thinking, since you need that in order to learn to talk, so they must be using something else other than language to "think", and since monologue is mostly language, this "something else" is unlikely to be a monologue.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Reports More Americans Are Telecommuting
I couldn't agree more wth you, how dumb do they think people are to write off dozens of eye witness accounts to hysteria, And I really disagree with this statement Vice makes:

">That’s because the drones never existed."

is absolutely not the same as:

">CDPS confirmed no incidents involving criminal activity, nor have investigations substantiated reports of suspicious or illegal drone activity."

Basically it could have been legal drone activity by either a company or Govt. agency. My thoughts when I initially heard about this was this could have been a mapping startup or maybe something a larger tech company is testing out.
Your brain handles facial information differently than it does any other visual information.

Most visual information is processed by your Occipital Lobe.

But facial information is processed by your Temporal Lobe.

To be fair, facial recognition is a major part of human cognition, so this isn't all that surprising that it's specialized.
The trend I've noticed is most good opportunities (and even plenty of the less-good ones) now have ridiculous amounts of red tape and frankly gatekeeping. Just to become a hairdresser in Arizona requires expensive and time-consuming schooling (to the tune of tens of thousands of dollars). And that's just one example of what I would consider a fairly average-skill-level position, nevermind doctors, lawyers, or engineers.
My other comment ITT is touting the awesome library compatibility I’ve experienced on ARM, but the problem I see with ARM laptops is that I haven’t seen tons and tons of consumer desktop/laptop apps compiling for ARM (with the sort-of exception of Android apps, many of which rely on Google Play Services).

Getting ARM laptops to work is going to require OS-level changes. If Amazon shipped one now, they’d either need to ship a fork of a linux desktop OS with good app compatibility or wait for MS to crack the ARM walnut with one of their ARM compatibility projects.

I feel pretty confident that this is a “hardware follows software” situation: laptop manufacturers may be tempted to make ARM laptops right now, but I think they’re probably waiting for MS to ship a version of “Windows for ARM” that is generally seen to be successful.
Ltac2 in the documentation: https://coq.inria.fr/distrib/current/refman/proof-engine/lta...
The cost of developing 3 aircrafts is less than linear with the cost of developing one (there are some commonalities). The cost of developing one aircraft that meets the requirements of all, that can be astronomical, assuming a solution to that problem exists. Let's say you want a motorcycle-truck-helicopter that rides on rough terrain like a cross bike, carries 40 tons of goods like a truck and flies. Good luck with that :D

Designing a plane that can be used by the Air Force and Navy can be done; adding the vertical flight to it, you break it: it makes it fat (aerodynamic), heavy and all this for a use case that is rare and useless to the other branches. For example, an F18 can be used by USAF and Navy, a modified F16 can be adapted to carrier operation with a reasonable cost and still you have good planes. Take one of these and put the VTOL in it: there is no high-performance VTOL plane ever built, so what are we dreaming about?
Yes. It is great that NASA is trying to get away from this model with the Commercial Crew Program. Boeing would eat this cost, just like SpaceX does when it has problems. Cost plus contracts, while maybe necessary in some situations, evolves huge cost bloat in defense, large public works, and health insurance sectors of the economy.
How do you remember music? Can you try to describe how you recall it?

I have this problem with music/sound specifically. I cannot remember it at all. For example, I have favourite artist that I heard all of his albums 50+ times. If you play a random track of his to me I won't be able to identify it. Another example; My favourite all time soundtrack that I heard countless times, I cannot recall how it goes. If somebody asks me to "sing" the melody I will fail miserably. Oh and I don't know lyrics of any song. Any. I tried to learn though...

I still get tired of listening to the same tracks over and over again :( .
If you really had to send the data from multiple sources into a single MIDI destination over a single cable, then if a small global delay were acceptable, a smart scheduling algorithm with a 10-20 millisecond jitter buffer would probably take pretty good care of it so that the upstream data wouldn't have to be tweaked.

(Note that if you stand with your guitar 5 meters from your 4x12 stack, you're hearing a 15 ms delay due to the speed of sound.)
anvaka: your work is just amazing! The viz you did of software repos is outstanding. I just wanted to express thanks to you for sharing as I am a big fan of all things graph as well.
I think it's more precisely referred to as "agglomeration effects" [1]

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economies_of_agglomeration
Ok, I read 5 years ago that microservices are the future and that monoliths are dead. I'm glad we're making progress.
> All early characteristics of the novel coronavirus indicate it's far more dangerous than SARS

Would you consider fucking off?

This is your third or fourth bullshit post on this thread combining a sensationalist falsehood with a link to your Twitter feed.
Wow, as I'm aware of the idea, that our brains may indeed host several consciousnesses, I did not expect to be freaked out by any of this. But if my inner narrator is another consciousness, holy.

Just at the realization struck me, my inner voice said knowingly "Heeeellloo there". Ahaha, I'm going to bed now.
> This seems unbelievably credulous on the part of Vice.

Water is wet. News at 11.
Do you feel that it is fair to evict an old couple because they purchased their house in the 70s when it was in the woods, but now that people have built up a town around them, they have to go because they didn't plan on paying $7,400 per year in property taxes in their retirement planning, and then also can't afford to take on a new mortgage in the region, so move really far away from where they saved for and planned for retiring?
You move to microservices now you are in the land of distributed systems so unless you are at a scale that leaves you no choice be very aware of this. You are multiplying edge cases by a factor of 100 in many cases.
Websites as Graphs
In Australia, a larger factor is that cotton farmers have literally been stealing water from the Murray-Darling catchment system, resulting in the entire bush becoming much drier for the past decade.
Seems to hold up for most google stuff I tried. E.g. kubernetes and angular.
The tough part about finding new music is that there seems to be a very strong negative correlation between the formation of new bands that produce good music, and, oddly enough, the year when I turned... 25 I think. It was a while back.
> governments are the least-worst solution

No, they're not, because while externalities and other forms of misaligned incentives are departures from the norm in free markets, they are the norm in governments.
You're saying that the iPad could do these additional Mac-like things with a few tweaks or additions. I'm saying the sweet spot is in the other direction. You want it to do more (essentially 'real work'). The device that's doing better is the one that's just like it, but is smaller and does less.

That's why "real work" is a bad criticism. I put it in quotes, because yes, I read what you wrote and you're frustration. It sucks but I don't think the iPad is ever going to be that. It would be better for you, but it won't make the iPad a more popular product.
It's helpful in other domains, too.

For example, in ETL pipelines, I would greatly prefer to have an entire DAG go down quickly and noisily than to risk having it generate incorrect data. It's the difference between a crappy morning, and a crappy day or even a crappy week.
You’re taking it a step too far. People with no inner monologue are not incapable of thinking and feeling. What they expressed to the author just wasn’t expressed internally the way you and I would (by thinking and talking about in our heads).
"I can visualize but not very well, if I were to try to actively visualize a structure I'm pretty sure it would be rotated wrong or have different problems"

Some claim that's nearly everyone. Someone did an experiment where they asked a bunch of people to draw a bicycle, which they had all seen in their lives, from memory without a model. Not a particular bicycle, just "a bicycle". The configurations were very diverse and different from the geometric/physical arrangement of real ones.
If Apple was legally obligated to contribute back, they would do so.

They have a good history of community contribution (eg. Darwin, WebKit) so I’m willing to give them the benefit of the doubt, instead of some random anonymous internet commenter angst.
The memories of not hearing the voice of professor Farnsworth when reading the meme (from before I watched Futurama) feel very weird.
The linked site on the slides is password protected, and internet archive is silent on it as well; Does anyone have a copy of the referenced materials?
It is said that science advances one funeral at a time. As a student I would prefer someone with a medium amount of teaching and research experience.
Freeleech was one of my favorite ways to discover new music on What.cd even with a buffer well built I'd go for it anyway just to see if I could find something new I liked.
Yes, that's true, but look at the F-35 orders. There are 563 orders for the B model out of 3200 total. The foreign customers are the UK with 138, to operate on their Queen Elizabeth carriers, 30 for Italy to operate on their small carriers, and 42 to Japan for the same.

In 2010, the UK decided to make the QE carriers ski-jump and operate the B model for cost reasons, however they considered making them CATOBAR and operate the C model. If the B model had not existed, they would have simply spent another couple of billion dollars to make them CATOBAR.

It's probably not practical from a budget and political standpoint for Japan and Italy to make CATOBAR carriers, but does it really make sense to compromise a 3200 aircraft program that's the backbone of the USAF and USN's fleet so that Italy and Japan can buy 72 aircraft? Italy and Japan could just buy tanker aircraft for long range power projection.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning...
> How can they form the thought 'I wish that was real' if they have no monologue? And to convey that thought they just open their mouth and spew forth a sentence with no knowledge of its shape?

For me, the thought exists in concepts/feelings/imagery until I perform a "reduction in dimensionality" by bringing it down to actual verbal speech.
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> works.

I wouldn't be so sure:

"ODIN will be based in the cloud and designed to deliver data in near real time on aircraft and system performance under heightened cyber security provisions, Lord said."

Independently of that "cloud based" ODIN as a replacement of ALIS ("Autonomic Logistics Information System"), the mentioned ALIS doesn't seem to me as what Lampson's source worried about.
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It’s horrible even in the U.S.: the model seems to assume left turns are cheap so I always get these routes which involve 15 minutes sitting at an unprotected turn across heavy traffic. I, and apparently a number of other people I‘ve heard mention it, have largely stopped using it because the times are wildly off - and that’s along the East coast in some very popular areas, not exactly an obscure edge case.
Their consulting business should also basically print money. They aren't great, objectively, but they are far ahead of the average in that sector.
Visualizations connecting chaos theory, fractals, and the logistic map
Thank you, I feel more normal now
>The F-35 was not built for dogfighting. It is supposed to sense and launch long before the opponents are even in visual range.

The very same hubris caused trouble in Vietnam, which were fixed with rapid re-introduction of guns to fighters, and dogfighting to fighter schools. Sad to see this lesson having been lost.
Makes me wonder how they define 'customers'
> If I create something novel, I deserve a short term monopoly so I can compete against established corporations.

I agree, but I don't think the current patent system does this. I think the length of patents should be reduced dramatically, 5 years sounds reasonable.

It's crazy when you think about how patents last for 20 years, which doesn't really work with the current pace of technology IMO (as an example, the iPhone wasn't released until 2007). So you can't use anything Apple patented to make the ORIGINAL iPhone work until... 2027? That doesn't seem good for humanity to me.

If the lengths were reduced, and the requirements much more strict, I think the world would be a better place.

- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Term_of_patent
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This sounds sorta like this "Gambler's dice" project to me: https://github.com/xori/gamblers-dice

It appears to use the gambler's fallacy as a heuristic for how dice _should_ work.

Nice idea!
SpaceX also has a contract with NASA to build a rocket and spaceship for astronauts to get to the space station. It has passed its last big test recently. If there are no further delays, NASA will be using it in a few months.