skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Predictions

1. Dark silicon will push us even further into heterogeneous computing. Major cloud providers will build their own silicon and proprietary software stacks for things like databases and other common computing tasks.

2. Nationalists focusing on Making their own country great will keep doing nothing about climate change. This will in turn create the inevitable need for people from poorer countries to become climate refugees. This will in turn create even more nationalism and fortresses build around rich countries.

3. The push towards sustainability will come from the economics of clean energy actually becoming cheaper than dirty energy. It is still too late to limit us to 2 degrees.

4. Speciality vehicles will reach level 4 and go driverless. Ie trucks in mines will be totally driverless. Long distance trucks will be driverless on highways and run to depots outside cities where drivers will jump in and take the wheel.

5. Most embedded control systems where correctness is more important than latency and computation/watt will move to Linux from microcontrollers and get a standard software stack. Probably built first by a cloud vendor for IoT devices. Thus making embedded systems will be far less work (and less interesting engineering problem).

6. There (finally!) will be a remote work solution which makes it economical to have most teams remote most of the time. Economical as in the the decrease in productivity for complex (see Cynefin model for definition) problems in remote work will be less than the increase in productivity given by removing commuting and the ability to get the best people no matter where they live. This in turn (past 2030) be the thing that starts to decrease traffic around cities, maybe even start people moving to smaller cities or villages closer to nature.

7. Mainstream microwaves will go solid state and stop making that annoying sound!

8. A standard to electrify roads (highways) will be set.

9. 6G will be released. Will allow sending and receiving on the same frequencies simultaneously.

10. AR/VR glasses will not become a thing for the general public.

11. Remote surgery (with VR glasses and robots) will become a thing where specialists in a few major hospitals will serve smaller local hospitals for specialist surgery. (Past 2030 for it to become the norm)

12. Same with Air control. Smaller local airports will be controlled by air controllers in a few hubs by standard.

13. Tech for the care of the elderly will spawn a unicorn.

14. Meatless meat will overtake meat in a few European countries.
I'm surprised you've put that ;-) smiley face in your message. Instead of a sad one. You say you are older, wiser, would never do it again. Maybe, when there is an autocratic regime in your country, you'd put that sad face there.
Grand Theft Auto and a Life in Simulation
Iran & Iraq united is probably the worst outcome possible, as it will ensure our continued involvement to protect shipping throughout the persian gulf.
But what will it look like tomorrow?
> There was an additional checkout process to visit Catalina Island

Normally, I'm with you on this but isn't Catalina somewhat unusual as an airport?

I don't completely remember what the issues were from my tour, but I thought it was somewhat treacherous.

This is similar to people wanting to fly into Burning Man. They explicitly discourage it unless you have significant desert flying experience and even then they discourage quite a few of the lower powered planes. (Deserts can be particularly bad for generating enough lift.)
At some point, electric cars will boom like ssds replaced hdds. People will see how low easy and cheap EVs are to maintain and the ICE market segment will collapse entirely. The speed of the change will surprise industry expectations.

I’m also really hoping Musk and other space projects like Virgin Galactic surprise us all. Musk clearly wants to build out massive infrastructure in space. That could have hard to imagine consequences.

I think we’ll discover life either in the past of mars through fossils there or bacteria or in the oceans of Enceladus. Edit-this will likely first come from NASA projects and could happen this year with the mars drill platform.
How David Stern Revolutionized the NBA [video]
Looks like it's on Netflix
This [1] is a useful reference. Today likely marks the end of friendly relations between Iraq and the US.

[1] http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_world_/2014/07/17/the_middle_...
Please pardon me, genuinely for feeling like the goalposts have been moved, on the topic, here.
I used to have my laptop setup to require my specific Yubikey to be inserted to allow waking from sleep and booting, and when you pulled it out it locked the machine, logged you out, suspended, or shutdown depending on which modifier key you were holding down when you removed it.

Worked pretty well as a "kill switch" when getting up from my desk.

I probably have the udev scripts laying around somewhere.
I agree, the prediction is basically; "the status quo will continue"...
Why 92.6% of Dutch Trains Arrive on Time? The Answer Is Big Data and Analytics
Already happened. They have search ads for apps; safe to assume they can tie your use of apps into that dataset. Just because their primary business model is hardware and software sales doesn't imply they don't have a hand in ads; the ROI and margins in ads are stupid high.
https://developer.apple.com/documentation/apple_search_ads/s...
Age and pregnancy status are very specifically listed in law as being illegal to discriminate on (in the US). Anything else is fair game. Assuming you enjoy being able to eat, your life belongs to your employer.
The gist of the articles I've read about Amazon is:

The Amazon department responsible for AWS is awesome to work in. Amazon, the online store, is terrible.

I get this sort of advice from all sorts of career posts. Try to avoid working at a place where IT is a cost-center, a thing grudgingly needed to support the actual business.
2020 already feels like a train-wreck. The next thing will be caffeine... after that will be non-hiring based on DNA predispositions.
There are three options. I'll call them options E, S, and G.

Option E is to run healthcare entirely as a business. Payment up front, and refusal to treat anyone without payment.

Option S is to take option E, but avoid immediately attributable deaths. Treat somebody at the emergency room, even if they don't have a line of credit with them. Patch them up enough to walk out the door, but don't treat the underlying issues without additional payment.

Option G is to treat patients before they reach death's door, when it is cheaper to do so. To give the preventative care that keeps costs down, even if somebody isn't able to pay for it. To treat public health as a public good, rather than as a series of purchases.

Option E is evil, to let people die unnecessarily. Option S isn't openly evil, but is stupid. It is where the US is now, and inflates the costs tremendously. Option G is to actually be good.
Qassim Soleimani, head of the IRGC, has been killed via US airstrike in Iraq
Predictions are a fun mental exercise, but they read an awful lot like horoscopes. They're just too subjective to be truly interesting. It's not really all that different than predicting the weather ten years out. It'll be hot in the summer and cold in the winter. Things will be pretty much the same but different.
The Inverse Problem in Material Discovery: Given Target Property, Find Material
Third path: It's a fun way to pass the time once in a while.

Fourth path: You learn what you need from it, that the world is just various inputs into your brain and gives you perspective to slow down.

As an aside, your post is full of negativity. I hope you get the help you need somewhere.
>It wasn't a merger.

it really sounds like a merge based on two companies becoming one. Not having negotiating power or control doesn't make it not a merger.
A key difference is that Digg's traffic cratered after their redesign, while Reddit's traffic has grown like crazy since theirs.
I had hoped that the internet, beyond the 90s, would be a place where almost everyone has a webpage like ours populated with whatever it is the individual decided was noteworthy.

To an extent it's come true in a small subset. But discovery is the hard part. Right now discovery leads you to social media pages full of, for the most part, a low budget substitute for air.
His vocal track separated. Try around 3:25 or so: https://youtu.be/IArxakPsPE0
This is a weird thread. I too would be interested to know about these uses of UDP that don't use ports to post data to processes (or even traverse NAT I guess?).
It's certainly discriminatory. The question is if it's legal to discriminate in this way or if nicotine use is a protected class. That they're choosing to only implement this in some states may indicate that they're not totally confident.
Moore’s law will peter out and everyone will be forced to squeeze out more performance out of existing hardware.

The tide will turn hard against “the cloud” when companies figure out their cloud spend is many times worse than their own data centres cost them. There may be a new wave of “lean” cloud systems.

Fast programming languages will be in vogue again once the wastefulness of things like Ruby/Erlang is finally understood.
Last time I went skiing I realized ski goggles could very easily become the future of VR/AR/mobile phones/headphones/sunglasses/fashion/ski goggles! They are big enough to handle the current electronics needed (including batteries/radios), they cover your ears so can include microphones, cover your eyes entirely so can do VR/AR, and already look kind of cool and are associated with cool activities. They’re easy to pull up and store on top of your head when you’re not using them too.

You heard it here first.
Are you sure? This doesn't match my experience. I've had 2fa enabled on my G account for years, and it still worked.
Canada is fairly captive...
You might benefit from a Tile. Put one on your keys and/or wallet, they locate bidirectionally via sound blasting (e.g. keys > phone, phone > keys). Or maybe Bluetooth beacons would work just as well?

Though if you’re in it for the fun factor then go for the wifi option!
The hard question is how to put an easy-to-use self-destruction mechanism in an existing machine (only the NSA can make a customized machine), and, at the same time, ensure the safety of the self-destruction mechanism. A self-destruction button is a safety risk if it can be triggered accidentally or maliciously, on the other hand, a secured self-destruction button is a safety risk if it's too hard to trigger.

The NSA laptops have two buttons on one side of the machine, to destruct crypto keys, one needs to open a cover and press two buttons simultaneously. It's a pretty good self-destruction button. But you cannot find it in your laptops.

Or perhaps you can design your kill switch like the Russian nuclear Dead Hand - the automatic nuclear retaliation mechanism is only armed if a safety switch has been explicitly switched on, in peacetime, the switch is turned off to avoid an accidental nuclear apocalypse. But remember to arm the switch every time you travel with your laptop became a question.
Smokers and drinkers are (generally) not a protected class in US employment law whereas pregnant people and older people are [1]

Some states may have additional employment laws that protect smokers.

[1] https://www.eeoc.gov/employers/smallbusiness/faq/who_is_prot...
I wonder if Microsoft, Oracle, and Amazon employees ever dare to say such things about their company polices. No wonder these companies are thriving. Sad thing is When startups and new corporations would like to use the clouds then they don't check the human rights policies and work culture and instead of Google goes to such corporation and then Google executives think Why are we even on moral policing part? As this doesn't help. So problem lays within us, like me using Windows 10 in computer and buying things from Amazon.
As I said, if you like writing code in VI.

The vast majority of what I do is C or C++, and I do as much of it as I can in Xcode or VS even if I have to cross-compile it later to run on the machines it's written for. A good IDE is worth its weight in gold, and VS is the best.
Reminds me of Henry Ford:

> The $5-a-day rate was about half pay and half bonus. The bonus came with character requirements and was enforced by the Socialization Organization. This was a committee that would visit the employees' homes to ensure that they were doing things the "American way." They were supposed to avoid social ills such as gambling and drinking. They were to learn English, and many (primarily the recent immigrants) had to attend classes to become "Americanized." Women were not eligible for the bonus unless they were single and supporting the family. Also, men were not eligible if their wives worked outside the home.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2012/03/04/the-stor...
1. I believe people will get tired of the daily Twitter war over politics and social issues. I don't think we will solve many or any of these issues, but just the temperature will lower a little bit. Can't wait to laugh ruefully at this one in 10 years.

2. Displaced people, possibly due to climate, will be a major problem and we will be judged by future generations on our response.

3. We are approaching a period where we will start creating new institutions rather than reforming old ones, similar to the wave of land grant colleges or the "alphabet soup" of the Great Depression in the US.

4. I think self-driving cars will be dependent on new infrastructure, and primarily used for freight/mass transportation if they become widely adopted. China, Japan, Korea, and the EU will be leaders on this. I don't believe my car will drive itself down the dirt road to the cabin I visited last summer.

5. I am not convinced the software development profession will go away or fundamentally change (though surface level changes will be endless). Problem solving with code is still going to be a path to a middle class lifestyle.

6. Blockchain/crypto will be a niche thing, but will be interesting in that niche.

I wish all of you good health and happiness over the coming decade! There really is a chance to make it a good one.
Machine Learning in Healthcare
We’re the best, but we’re still not good.
I feel very conflicted about this. This man has an insane amount of blood on his hands but I cannot help but feel anxious about what happens next. Iran's paramilitary forces have entanglements in Syria, Lebanon and Yemen... this seems to be the type of thing that could spiral into a regional conflict if cooler heads do not prevail.
I agree.

when a mafioso high boss talks t his son, he would say that thanks to the mafia Italy did not became a comunist country, that the politicians (center, in power) were extremely corrupted and useless.

I am serious.

nobody thinks to be evil (as nobody thinks to be an idiot)
1. As Enterprises get cozy in the cloud, the next wave of startups will get their infrastructure else where in order to compete and differentiate. On-prem becomes sexy again.

2. Biotech laced with computer science really hits it stride.

3. Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies as a financial instrument go extinct but the idea of distributed payments for services directly to providers lives on. Blockchain is replaced with ledgers and protocols that allow companies to give consumers transparency without all the blockchain and mining shenanigans.

4. We finally figure out how to compensate open source developers for their work.

5. Social media use looks like it dies down hard but it just evolves into something else, especially with the under-40 crowd. Probably driven by wearables and AR so ad companies can still get metadata.

6. Intel nearly goes belly up and gets bought by Dell. VMware goes bankrupt because Kubernetes doesn't pan out.

7. AI winter part 2 and it's really ugly. Tech is the center of the next recession.

8. Google becomes like Yahoo is right now, not because a better search engine emerges, but because search becomes less important.

9. A new operating system emerges. It gives programmers much better access to hardware and has distributed systems primitives built in. RISC-V leads to lots of domain specific chips.

And just so I can be sure to get one right:

10. A new market leader in chat emerges to supplant Slack.
If we're including hitches, the progress capture clove hitch is amazing.
Are you sure it hasn't happened already?
Nice work. I like the design, and the names you generate are better than others I've seen on similar sites.

Question – why is "anrdoezrs.net" prepended to all of the buy links? (I'm assuming it's an affiliate link?) I use an extension (uBlock Origin) that flags it.
Sure, parent comment made a faulty assumption about your policy preferences and the reasons you have for them. In responding to this grievance, you've entirely missed their point: the consumption of meat is above all else a moral issue—yes, a sin—and making other lifestyle choices of below-average ecological impact do not make up for it.

I could elaborate, but I don't expect to change your mind; you've already stated outright that you're determined not to. In any case, I'm not here to cast blame on you personally for eating meat. I still do it, too.

It's a shame about your stubbornness, though. You seem to be smart enough to engage in careful, reasoned analysis about a complex issue. In fact, I'd wager that you'd scoff at an anti-vaxxer or a Holocaust denier who shared the strength of your convictions. Of course, scientific and historical truth are a little more objective than basic moral principles—but when it comes to the way animals are manufactured in America today, not by much.
Unpopular opinion: I'm pretty sure the US bears some responsibility for putting thousands of US soldiers in Iraq, not to mention initiating the entire quagmire by overthrowing Saddam without any plan for what to do next.
Preventative care doesn't actually save money (source: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/29/upshot/preventive-health-... )

But a moral argument could certainly be made for option G.
Jacking up meat prices would upset a lot of people. Meat-substitutes would have to be cheaper than they are now. Food By Products are already used in meat as filler. Like ground beef and hamburgers have cereal or soy in them.
HMBradley | https://hmbradley.com | Santa Monica, CA | Fullt-time, Onsite | Multiple positions - 1x Devops 3x Senior Engineers, Front-end (React), Mobile (React Native) or Backend (Golang)

We're a small team tackling a HUGE industry. Building a bank from scratch is no joke. We've built directly into the our banking core provider and the processor.

This is as close to the metal as you're likely to see today, not some app on top of a set of "FinTech" APIs.

If you're passionate about finances or saving money this will be an amazing place to work for you. We're on a mission to drive Americans back to saving and everything about what we're building will encourage our customers to do exactly that.

We're building a bank account that pays higher interest rates when you save more of your income. If you save 20% of your monthly income you could make as much as 3% interest with our account.

Unlike a lot of others you'll never see us advertise things like "Get Paid Early" or "No Fees" because we're building the bank we've always wanted as consumers. One that does not make us think about things like filling out applications but instead does our best to identify the kinds of products our customers want and helps build products tailored to them.

It's early but we've raised a fair amount of capital from some wonderful investors and we have a real chance to make a difference.

If any of this sounds interesting feel free to reach out to me directly – my email is zach @ our domain
Hacker News will be orange
Move fast and complicate things.
Pentagon Tells Military Members to Steer Clear of Consumer DNA Testing Kits
Envisioning Chemistry, Series on the Beauty of Chemical Chain Reactions (2017)
You could make a simple 3-part product that does just that. You place them in various parts of your house, they calibrate together (play an inaudible sound and measure delay), and then have them manufacture traffic to your target device to figure out where it is.

I imagine they could be somewhat close together (e.g. same room), which makes setup way easy.

I can't imagine it would be very difficult to make, provided small Wi-Fi capable devices are sufficient, it just needs some work on the details.
You'll probably find Tom Forsyth's blog on this to be interesting reading: https://tomforsyth1000.github.io/blog.wiki.html#%5B%5BWhy%20...
DiskStation Manager 7.0 Preview
Slightly odd that they're conditioning this on nicotine and not tobacco or smoking. If someone quits smoking but relies on nicotine gum to get through occasional cravings, they would presumably still fall under the ban.
In fact wouldn't it be in both parties' interest to agree it was a mistake?
Qasem Soleimani: US Kills Iran Quds Force Leader, Pentagon Confirms
1. Religious affiliations will increase due to folks feeling more and more disconnected from other people

2. US football will be on the decline as more parents pull their kids out of the sport.

3. Electric cars will be mainstream and taxes on electricity or miles driven will be applied

4. Meat consumption in the developed world will be reduced significantly per capita, though aggregate consumption will go up.

5. Global temps will rise, more natural disasters due to climate change and as we get near 2030 we’ll see the US signing onto international agreements with teeth.

6. A major recession in there which is either caused or will be a trigger for an armed conflict

7. The next iteration of Al Qaeda/ISIS will rise, likely targeting moderates

8. Backlash against some of the addictive qualities of smartphones and their apps. Limiting screen time will become more important especially for young kids.

9. Electricity goes even further in renewables and nuclear. Planning to remove dams will pick up though likely won’t be done until the 2030’s

10. A public option for health insurance in the US
I've never met a trader who ignored effects coming from things they couldn't invest in.
Why do you seem to think that bull markets have to have an expiration date? It seems entirely plausible that with the right "management" (think the right people at the Fed and being the President) the bull market can continue forever with only minor corrections (on the order of the end-of-2018 correction).
It’s legal in almost half the United States.
Jesus that's not fiction?!? What the actual f*ck Florida! 111 years of this?!
> The truth is that this alternative is being rejected a priori, indeed not even acknowledged, by the authors of the article or most people in this thread, because it is an affront to their core beliefs, not through pure logical reasoning.

I think it isn't acknowledged because it is inconsistent with literally everything we have learned about physics and the universe, and even if it were true, as you said, they are outside this reality and don't care. They set the simulation parameters, and then walked away, so they are irrelevant.

If however, you point to something like miracles occuring in our reality to back up the "gods" view, then you aren't really having the same discussion as the authors.
Weirdly, age is only discrimination if they're over 40 in the US, while below that you can do as much "illegal discrimination" as you want, which is pretty messed up.
Not all discrimination is illegal. Hiring people who don't know how to code for a software job is also discriminatory, but not illegal.

https://www.eeoc.gov/employers/smallbusiness/faq/who_is_prot...

>Applicants, employees and former employees are protected from employment discrimination based on race, color, religion, sex (including pregnancy, sexual orientation, or gender identity), national origin, age (40 or older), disability and genetic information (including family medical history).