skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
1. Technology sector will become regulated globally mandating minimal security standards, privacy protections and ethical machine learning standards. Enforcement will be economic and increasingly technical.

2. Governments will start to adopt blockchains for currencies and registers of record.

3. Real estate prices in city centers will continue to increase every year

4. Climate change enforcement will trigger a global trade war

5. By the end of the decade, every country on earth will have implemented a carbon emission trading scheme

6. All new cars on the road will be electric cars

7. Global poverty will no longer exist by the end of this decade

8. Assisted legal suicide will be legal in many countries by the end of this decade

9. Ultra-fast wireless internet will cause a major decline in wired internet-subscriptions

10. The middle-east will still not have any real democracy

11. China will see major popular uprisings leading to an increase in democracy but still not be a full democracy by the end of this decade

12. Latin America, Russia, east africa and SEA will transition to real democracies

13. Nuclear energy will make a comeback and new plants will be build

14. A cure or vaccine for HIV will be in phase 3 clinical trials or beyond

15. General AI will not exist yet and neither will fully autonomous cars

16. Politicians will fail to enact any regulation in regards to fake news leading to much deeper polarization of society and widespread acceptance of biggotry
Earth to accelerate this weekend at its maximum speed of the year
Pavement Light
Lionheart? Very impressive pixel art, too.
> Type theory will grow and will be applied to more domains.

I'll piggyback one here: category theory will still have no practical use.
I bought the logitech one, with a full keyboard. I would imagine this is similar but have the same drawbacks (for my use case). It's nice, but a bit clumsy and won't allow me to swap caps <-> ctrl. These days I'm using a very small stand and a 61 keys wasd keyboard: I can swap caps <> ctrl and even choose a dvorak layout at the hardware layer. Keybord is small enough that I can carry it with me on my backpack. It's not good for "laptop" mode, of course, but super easy to setup on any desk/coffee shop.

wasd keyboard: https://www.wasdkeyboards.com/wasd-vp3-61-key-custom-mechani...
My Nokia 3310 had significantly fewer headaches than my iPhone 11.

My iPhone 3GS had significantly fewer headaches than my iPhone 11.

Apple is particularly weak when it comes to cloud and services. Apple is pushing iCloud and other services really hard. There is absolutely no ability to troubleshoot anything in these platforms.

Every time I have a fault with my Apple Watch or my iPhone or iPad, I'm told I need to do a factory reset and not restore from backup to validate if it's something in my working environment that's caused it. If it is, well then, goodbye years of history, because there's no selective restore.

I tried to upgrade my Mac from "10.14.6 (Mojave)" to what the system preferences software update screen describes as "macOS Catalina (null) - 8.18GB", and when I hit the Upgrade Now button, I get a popup that says "This Mac is configured in a way that is incompatible with macOS Catalina." I have a single disk inside my 2015 MacBook Pro, single partition, FileVault2 enabled, and I after contacting Apple Support and going through a screen share, their solution is that I need to... backup my data with time machine and reboot into recovery mode to do an Internet Recovery reinstall. Apparently it may be because I have the weird non-standard configuration of having full disk encryption enabled, but the support person couldn't actually point me to anything that could indicate that on my machine, as even they have no ability to troubleshoot anything.

Seriously. Fuck Apple.

Note: I am thoroughly into the Apple ecosystem, and loving it about as much as I loved being in Microsoft ecosystem in the 2000s. Like Microsoft offerings were at the time, Apple's are better than the alternatives. They're still terrible.
Why should “public interest” and a judge in the case take someone’s BRAND issues into account? If that’s the case, doesn’t that prove that it has nothing to do with dmca and copyright issues?
Definitely clickbait and very annoying. I would welcome a browser extension which allows the user to temporarily self blacklist sites publishing clickbaity titles. In this case, a small button added to the page would make the site resolve say to 127.0.0.1 for one week and possibly populate an external server hosting a list of most offending ones. Probably a stupid idea, but I can't think of any solution other than taking away what they're after: ie clicks.
>One possibility to break through this scaling barrier might be to promote smaller organizations which assemble on-demand, akin to a film production team, and work on projects which the team is genuinely motivated to deliver. That requires a strong stated vision that a team can band behind.

aka strong unions.
I do wonder if the more we try and delay it the worse it will be when it does inevitably arrive. We might be in for a big one.
>No matter how many people say "but a well regulated mandatory multi-payer type of system is working in Germany" or "nationalized medicine is working in Canada" it's all just ignored and the argument continues anew.

I don't think their problem (at least of one side of the debate) is whether it will work or not.

Their issue is a moral one, whether they should ever pay into a health care pool for the benefit of other people.

Those that think they can manage on their own don't see why that should happen. And as a protestant inspired culture that took it even further than the original protestants, they find this appalling.

They'd rather see people die in the streets and step over them on the way to brunch, than have themselves, hardworking "good" persons that they are, contribute for the health of the poor and the "losers". Even more so if it's mandatory. Charity from their magnanimous heart, they can consider.
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This was cutting it close my best waste of time all day. :P
You shouldn’t make outrageous predictions if you don’t sincerely believe they will become true though.

Otherwise you will get what we see in TV everyday. a bunch of people making outrageous predictions just to sound exciting. Then when the prediction comes true, they will claim all the credit. when it doesn’t, they will say “haha I was just kidding of course”
There were also tricks to extend this simple rendering algorithm to allow limited rotations around the other two axes, to look up / down slightly (just move everything up / down; also implemented in the demo here) and to "lean" when steering left / right (just move everything up / down proportional to the distance from the center of the screen; not implemented in the demo here, but visible in the 1992 NovaLogic Comanche example GIF).

There were Turbo Pascal versions of this on websites in the 90s I think, but it seems they were lost.
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Honesty, repeatability, numerical analysis. Canonicalization.

Honesty: how many times was the exact same data processed? Was the result cherry picked and the best one published? For the sake of integrity how is it possible to scientifically improve on this result? (example, your AI outputs some life altering decision?)

Repeatability: In science, if a result can be independently verified, it gives validity to the "conclusion" or result. Most AI results cannot be independently verified. Not indepentently verifiable really ought to give the "science" the same status as an 1800's "Dr. Bloobar's miracule AI cure".

Numerical Analysis: performing billions / trillions of computations on bit-restricted numerical values will introduce a lot of forward propagated errors (noise). What does that do? Commentary: Video cards don't care if a few bits of your 15 million pixel display are off by a few LSB bits, they do that 60 or 120 frames a second and you don't notice. It is an integral part of their design. The issue is, how does this impact AI models? This affects repeatability -> honesty.

If error of a quantized size is a necessarily required property to achieve "AI learning that converges", there is still an opportunity for canonicalization -- a way to map "different" converged models to explain why they are effectively the "same". This does not seem to be a "thing", why not?

In my opinion, in 2020, the AI emperor still has no clothes.
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About me

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We are looking for full-stack developers who love creating products that people want to use. You understand that apps—and code—are for people, not for computers, and always strive to make our app and codebase more understandable and easy to use. You'll be helping to build an app using the latest best practices targeting the web, iOS and Android. We're using TypeScript across the stack, React with hooks client-side, an event-sourced architecture using PostgreSQL and Redis server-side, and GraphQL for type-safe communication between the two.

We've taken care to make our hiring process as transparent and stress-free as possible. We won't do any whiteboard / algorithm tests, and you'll be paid for any take-home test we ask you to complete. We aim to give honest feedback after any interview, so that the process is not a waste of time for you even if the role is not a fit for you for whatever reason.

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I check it a few times throughout the day, but idk if it can really be compared to reddit anymore. There aren't any discussions, so it's basically just a more focused manual Google News.
Seven Mistakes in Training the Abdominal Muscles
Did he really treat the "x" in "x64" as a multiplication operator?
The post office is in the US Constitution in Article I, Section 8, Clause 7 saying "To establish Post Offices and Post Roads". This has lead to rulings and decisions that give some monopoly situations.
Sorry, from reading another post about predictions for the next decade, I was thinking by 2030, not just 2020!

Besides, for AI, just 2020 seems a bit too short!
The IRC bridge shouldn’t restart that frequently (and we’re in the process of decoupling the irc connectors from the bridge itself so we can fix bugs in the bridge without bouncing all its connections). Membership should categorically be synced correctly - if you ban a Matrix user on IRC their Matrix side should be kicked out too. If not, it’s a bug and we need to know the details asap. The only scenario I can think of here is if the matrix server was lagging on handling traffic, but that shouldn’t cause a desync like this either.

For bifrost; we used to run one on matrix.org but temporarily stopped due to lack of ops bandwidth. There’s a community one somewhere though - come ask in #bridges:matrix.org about it
Here are mine. Note: I've deliberately tried to be novel for a few of these which will mean they're less likely to be accurate.

1. A book written by a machine makes a best seller list

2. AR goes mainstream towards the end of the decade. Google dominates the visual identification of things market.

3. WebAssembly becomes pervasive on the client and the server. Side effect on the client is that it results in pervasive DRM on the web with ads that are harder to block.

4. Earth's temperature rises by 1.5C by 2030.

5. Widespread and inconsistent / incompatible regulation in multiple jurisdictions breaks the open web with many web based organisations choosing to restrict themselves to local markets rather than implement all of them.

6. PWAs become more popular than apps due to lower cost to build and higher revenues.

7. Virtual partners become popular as generated humans break through the uncanny valley.

8. Recession in 2020 / 2021, just in time for a new US government.

9. House prices will stagnate for the whole of the decade as boomers retire.

10. China will be the dominant world economy by the end of the decade (measured in GDP).

11. AI will significantly improve medical outcomes especially in early detection.

12. Renewable energy (including nuclear) will power most homes globally (50%+) due to regulations and cost efficiencies by the end of the decade (hopeful but it'll certainly trend in that direction).

13. Increasingly the wealthy will have a curated internet / app ecosystem that actively protects them from manipulation. The poor will have the opposite. This will increase populism and continue to contribute to the wealthy being confounded by it.

14. Developing software in a remote VM / container will become very popular (see Visual Studio Code Remote Extensions)

15. "serverless" i.e. building applications where the host machine is opaque will dominate software development, although this includes building serverless applications using containers.

16. Docker is no longer the most popular container runtime.

17. Regulation kills bitcoin.

18. Identity verification becomes a massive industry.
Pair programming all the time comes from XP. Almost no one does it, not even Kent Beck. In fact, the only place that I know of that tried "real" eXtreme Programming was the Chrysler Compensation project, which ultimately failed.

I'd be amazed that Pivotal actually does pair programming all the time, except that they are in the business of selling tools to facilitate exactly this process.
At least a war in that region will hasten the transition to Electric Vehicles, by spiking the oil price.
> a lot of emphasis

Wouldn’t this be a distraction and an unnecessary cognitive load?
Because car-free city is the future and of 3 technology leaders only USA will fail to develop sufficiently good public transport in the next decade. It is the only culture so deeply attached to cars and individual houses that it will be always behind others in urbanization.
Show HN: Why Node.js libraries aren't promises by default
Right? And Why has Windows 7 got a higher disk space requirement than Windows 8.x (the only time it actually went down over time)
It would have the same effect that culling the bottom 10% would have. You promote mediocrity. Think of it like this: employees game the system by avoiding the "fireable" qualities and rush to the "hireable" qualities.

So everyone in the org wants to appear like a young firebrand and hide in the school of fish. As outliers are singled out, those who blend in well and play politically with their managers have the highest survival rate despite not being the most productive, as they devote most of their energy to not standing out.

In any persistent environment when you add pressure, you develop a counter-reaction. You can't change human behavior with simple levers, but you can bring out very human behavior by doing so.
>Apple agreed to acquire NeXT and its technology in order to bring back Jobs

Not really to "bring back Jobs". Jobs was not considered any kind of wonder CEO or miracle worker at the time. They wanted a new OS, as their own traditional Mac OS successor attempt had failed.

They also looked and negotiated with Be (for BeOS), so it wasn't that they wanted Jobs particularly.

It would just be a nice "back to roots" publicity side benefit, but nobody considered Jobs especially their potential saviour at the time...
Many jobs ago we had an outage caused by 2 drive failures in a Raid 5 system, that was resolved by banging the drives on the ground a couple of times before putting them back in.

If I still worked with physical servers I'd be carrying around a rubber mallet to apply "percussive maintenance"
1. 1-200m climate refugees each from the Americas, africa and south east Asia. 500m from south asia.

2. Automation threatens to displace 1 in 4 workers in developed countries

3. Wealth gap widens between the automators and the automated..society still hasn't figured out redistribution or post-scarcity economics

4. Automated out of their jobs and competing against desperate immigrant labor , the majority of voters choose socialist and anti-immigrant governments.
After 3 years Rust and 20 years of C, syntax of C and C-like languages (C++, Java) looks awkward to me, because in C I need to write more code to get uglier result.
1. Pull out of Syria
2. Assassinate Iranian General
3. ??
4. Profit

Happy 2020 everybody!
There's a weird thing that happens here with language: school shootings mean multiple things. So, if someone is shot at a school at an after-hours drug deal gone awry, that counts just as much as parkland, even though there is a very distinguishable difference between the two.
faasd tutorial - Serverless for Your Raspberry Pi
>Ah, the difference is that with iterations, there is never an 'end' and goals are just epics.

Jira uses epics in the same way. And I'm not sure what you mean by "there is never an 'end'" - how does that differ from sprints? Iterations and sprints are just two words for exactly the same thing.
If it's about the brand and not the IP, then Apple would be abusing copyright, no?
For frontend, I would say Svelte and Sapper.
Sure, my code is only a demonstration that you can fit everything in <100 lines. I remember that there were some sceptics in older HN discussions on this topic... :)

Again, thank you very much for all your education reverse engineering works!
The X rate is at least the negotiated professional rate, not necessarily the total bill.

Too often hospital care involves out-of-network doctors, that will bill directly as they may not have contract with your insurance. Knowing who'll be on duty ahead of time is not always if at all possible.
1. Deep-water offshore wind power will be an established technology, and capacity deployed will be >50% of shallow-water offshore

2. Addition of 20% low-carbon hydrogen to natural gas grids will be common in Europe

3. Still no commodity optical computing, still no restoration of full-blooded Moore's Law, CPU core counts will be huge, we programmers will still be rubbish at effectively making use of them all

4. Rust's lifetimes prove to be the crack in the dam for type systems which regulate more aspects of program correctness in widely-used production languages (as widely used as, say, Erlang is now)

5. One of the 2028 Democratic presidential candidates will be openly furry
I missed the pun initially because I associate that icon (U+1F4C1) with a folder, not with a file. :(
Rise of Dependent Types in general purpose programming: eg. Idris, later something like dependent js/ts.
It still baffles me how so many technical people in the US use Apple products despite all of this.
>His followers are crazed and or ignorant cultists with zero design taste or sensibility.

Is that he has been awarded dozens of prestigious design awards and accolades from famous industrial designers?

Because all these have also "zero design taste"?

How about you overblow some of his wrong choices and obsessions (especially around 2015-2018), and ignore more than a decade of wonderful products, widely successful, praised for their design (looks and function), and well received?

Here's an Ive fanboy:

I’m have to admit being a bit baffled by how nobody else seems to have done what Apple did with the Macbook Air – even several years after the first release, the other notebook vendors continue to push those ugly and clunky things. Yes, there are vendors that have tried to emulate it, but usually pretty badly. I don’t think I’m unusual in preferring my laptop to be thin and light. Btw, even when it comes to Apple, it’s really just the Air that I think is special. The other apple laptops may be good-looking, but they are still the same old clunky hardware, just in a pretty dress. I’m personally just hoping that I’m ahead of the curve in my strict requirement for “small and silent”. It’s not just laptops, btw – Intel sometimes gives me pre-release hardware, and the people inside Intel I work with have learnt that being whisper-quiet is one of my primary requirements for desktops too. I am sometimes surprised at what leaf-blowers some people seem to put up with under their desks.

https://www.cultofmac.com/162823/linux-creator-linus-torvald...
Read Liar Poker, Michael Lewis's expose of Wall Street in the 80s.

One sterling example of what makes a great trader came when he was woken up to news of Chernobyl. Like most people aware of the disaster, he was thinking in terms of fear, long term effects of radiation and nuclear anxiety. His trader friend called him with a tip to buy potatoes. He called back to say also diapers.

The trader correctly identified market trends in reaction to both nuclear radiation on global food stocks, and human behavior aggregates to nuclear anxiety (which in 9 months leads to higher demand for diapers).

It's a state of mind not entirely human, but understanding human behavior.
I would argue that dedicating a larger part of a nation's output to healthcare is not bad in itself. In fact the better futures I can imagine all have very significantly broader healthcare provision. And we'd be spending more on health because we can.

Efficiency matters, of course, and a higher fraction of GDP spent on healthcare isn't per se better, either.

One problem with private provision of anything is that a company only cares about the revenue it can actually capture itself. Nationalised provision, using tax as a revenue stream, can look at whether something is beneficial on the whole even if it isn't directly paid for.
Machine mode runs without the MMU, linux really needs an MMU to do kernel stuff too (including stuff like copyin/copyout)
I agree with you about flying cars, but would happily take the other side of a bet on any of the others. Thank you for making some bold predictions!
You can already run those in a chroot environment, but most Chromebooks are too underpowered for them to work well under any real load.
Early disruptors. Pretty amazing story. Wonder what the pitch looked like back in 1844.

Today's first class postage costs 55 cents. And almost 180 years ago the cost to send a letter from NYC to Boston was basically half that at 26 cents. Feels like today's price hasn't kept with inflation.

Can we conclude that this disruptor company affected prices for over a century and a half by simply introducing a little competition?