skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
If we didn't have email we would immediately have to invent something that did the same thing. The world needs non-real time text messaging way more than it needs real time text messaging. After all, we still have phones which work well real time. They don't work well at all for non-real time messaging. That is why we went to all that trouble to invent and use things like teletypes.
Corellium could, hypothetically, mandate that every user has a number of legitimate iOS licenses equal to their number of VM instances. (e.g. by making the user mail in a functional iOS device for each VM instance they want)

They'd still be running afoul of the licensing terms and DMCA, but it would feel less egregiously like "stealing".
This is very clearly development/security software: Apple isn’t losing any sales to it, because Apple literally does (did) not make anything comparable available to the public. Corellium simply provides emulation services; I don’t think they distribute the IPSW themselves.
The particular reaction from parent taking away the devise may be more important cause here. I've seen this play out: some mom making repeated attempts to take away the ipad with the sad face looking like she was strangling the poor kid. No confidence, no desire to engage with the toddler, make eye contact. It's sad really, the parent behaving like this can't be giving much thought to parenting anyway and such meltdown is much more a cry for attention.
I feel you, man, I have many similar experiences with family myself. But may I suggest that the far-right comes with its own hang-ups which may not be healthy or ideal or you (e.g. they seem addicted to rage and anger, similar to the identity-obsessed left).

lallysingh in a adjacent comment has some excellent suggestions for alternative people to hang out with who aren’t biased against men. it’s a list I’ll pay heed to myself, as soon as I get some health issues straightened out.

another possibility is religious groups. Even if you’re not religious yourself, there are groups that fulfill similar roles with less of a role on religion: unitarians, etc.

I think Warren Farrell and Jordan Peterson are absolutely on the money wrt to boys and men in modern society (and for folks reading who would write them off as “alt right”, Farrell is a pretty typical liberal and Peterson is at most center-right, but most everyone has already made up their mind).
If you take investor money and start to fail, you aren't gonna die out naturally, you'll be killed and drained of blood, or die attempting a triple pirouette off a 200 meter high dive into a kiddy pool.
I recently tried a kobo libra h2o and I had enough minor complaints about the UI that I returned it. I wouldn't say it's bad, just I prefer Kindle in a lot of ways. But if someone never used a Kindle I'd wholeheartedly recommend Kobo
Interesting predictions. I don't think I'll be surprised if I come back to this thread in 10 years ;)
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#6 is spot on.
Large orgs regularly do this. E.g., most of the banking industry, esp. the non-wall st side, have had layoffs every few years for awhile now. It can be called all sorts of things, and it adds up.

When you think about it, it makes a sad sort of sense at scale. Hiring mistakes mean, at scale, a good number of jobs aren't fits for the people you hired, half the people out there are below average to beginwith, and a good number end up toxic (they slow down orgs!), and over time, these folks cost more money and suborgs decay. We've all inherited WTF+NIH projects and worked with people who drain energy. So even if an org doesn't do explicit layoffs or stack ranking, and hiring committees and employees have good intentions, a healthy org should be fixing hiring mistakes somehow: it can't all be retraining / reshuffling the deck. Arguably, the numbers mean most tech companies are _unhealthy_ orgs because the high demand for engineers makes the healthy level of rehiring tough to do.

The result is toxic devs get retained and the tail wags the dog from a business perspective. E.g., I bet some of the #MeToo issues in tech, deep down, relate to the difficulty of curating a top org at scale, with very few exceptions (Netflix?)
> If they were helping Apple, then I doubt Apple would be suing them.

There are a number of security researchers who use Corellium to find bugs in iOS. Corellium themselves have submitted vulnerabilities using Apple’s bug bounty program.
Yeah. Just look at Boeing in this context (the problem involved software but it was fundamentally a hardware problem). "How can a company with such resources, experience, and stake, mess up something as fundamental as steering the plane?" Organizational failures, that's how.
don't scare me... because I can see that happening. An ex-linux cult friend recently converted to wsl 2.
Wait is that how RQ works?! How does it handle code updates? What happens if I update the task code while there are tasks still enqueued?
An AI will write the first bestselling piece of fiction. The team behind the project will sell the technology to Disney for more than a billion dollars.
> Rust becomes top choice for development and Javascript will become legacy codebase.

I am rooting for this.
Outpost scared the shit out of me. It’s not even good.
1. Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Google and Microsoft will all be more valuable than they are today, and none will be broken up by government action.

2. Legislation will increasingly come into place in the US and EU forcing tech companies to clean up their act on privacy, anti-competitiveness, and Right to Repair. All of these will further entrench the success of the companies in #1, but they will also open up market opportunities for start-ups focused on each. Some of those will be bought up by the giants.

3. Increased availability and efficiency of specialized compute for inference acceleration will bring about the rise of per-user generated video and rendered content, rather than only personalized text and recommendation feeds.

4. Politicians, advertisers, and scammers will find creative ways to exploit #3. Legislation to counter it will be late and ineffective.

5. Commoditization of machine vision and other sensing technology and AI will result in drastic changes in guerilla warfare and terrorism. Major attacks will occur in the developing and developed worlds before effective counter-measures can be put into place.

6. Head worn AR is still mostly used for productivity and industrial niches, and ubiquitous all-day-wearable headsets are only beginning to be practical as smartphone replacements. VR timespend for gaming exceeds traditional game consoles and gaming PCs and similarly makes headway in productivity. Microsoft, Sony, and Nintendo all release VR-primary gaming systems.

7. The trade tensions between China and the US escalate into an economic and cultural cold war with the rest of the world picking sides.

8. 3D printing is increasingly used for specialized industrial and custom decorative design applications, but does not replace traditional fabrication and construction methods for mass production.

9. Bitcoin fails to gain traction as a mainstream transaction medium but is the de facto default currency for grey and black market transactions.

10. Several countries will develop gene-hacking industries, boosting medical tourism for procedures illegal in the US and EU.
> If the rich avoid taxes, then we should change the tax code

I'm in for that. Make taxes optional, so that if you believe they are a good thing, you pay taxes. If I think they provide no value to me, I pay no taxes and instead I contract services in the free market. That way everybody is happy and get what they want.
If that was a little blip, then the uptrend clearly started in 2009.
The filing makes it sound like this is for piracy, but these actually make it easier for Corellium’s users to do what they’re using it for: security research and device testing. Those features make it difficult to modify and introspect the OS.
"You realistically can't use Signal without an Apple ID, as you couldn't get it from the store otherwise."

Isn't this the issue people are complaining about. They want to install this program without going through an "app store" to get it.

Is it possible to avoid using APNS. Probably it is enabled by default even the user does nothing with her phone and installs no third party apps. What if the user blocks the DNS requests to Apple.
* Populism and Nationalism will get worse, worldwide

* Cure for HIV

* A surprising country will need to squash a civil war

* There will be a measurable effort for tech companies getting ahead of politics on AI ethics

* Swelling increase of remote workers
Politically:

* Rise of the EU as global superpower with European army taking over all functions of NATO except strategic defense (nuclear/space). All European countries except ex-USSR and England but including Scotland are members of EU.

* Rise of Africa as a big consumer market. Green belt finished, major improvements in agriculture and infrastructure help to combat famine. Ethiopia replaces South Africa as economic leader on the continent.

* Green wave in India: environmental topics in the spotlight of political life, but no significant change yet. Pollution will continue killing millions every year.

* Political stagnation in USA, green new deal won’t happen, but coastal states will drive the progress.

* Environmental standards are mentioned in all trade deals, but not yet enforced with sanctions.

Technology:

* Digital is no longer the field where most of the interesting things will happen. No quantum computing on mass-market, heavy regulation of the Internet everywhere with prohibitive costs for new startups.

* Proteins from plants, bacteria and insects will see same growth as solar and wind in 2010s. Agriculture and diets is the new IT.

* Solar and wind are big but not dominant, hidden costs become visible. There will be no nuclear renaissance. No breakthrough in fusion. Energy becomes hard again, focus shifts from generation and storage to transmission.

* Self-driving cars won’t be on the roads yet, but there will be almost no cars in European and Chinese cities. AI will run public transportation grid.

* Significant progress in recycling and cleaning the oceans from plastic. Europe, USA and China will remove more plastic from water than put there.

* Steady progress in space technology but no sci-fi level achievements. SpaceX will see some competition in reusable rockets. People will return to the Moon.
I wrote Powerful Python in Emacs.

In short, it worked great. Can't imagine choosing to write a technical book like that in any other editor today.
too many libraries don't work with pypy. The last time I checked, psycopg2 doesn't work. Completely a deal breaker for me.
Bill Gates is already giving most of his wealth to charity, so how much would he pay in taxes anyway, after all the deductions? And why would he pay additional taxes on top of that, when there are billionaires who haven't even done as much he already has?
I love #6
Suddenly, the theory of early human migration from Europe to North America becomes somewhat less crazy.
How are you going to allow lawyers to earn their slice of the pie if you judge by AI?
I used to live on the 2nd floor of an apartment in NYC; upstairs was a family with two small kids (not sure they even owned a personal computer) and downstairs was a single guy working at google.

Google guy complained (a lot) about mom (upstairs) leaving her stroller in the lobby to the point where she would ask me for help carrying it up the stairs pretty often. (no problem, I had a baby and was a sympathetic southern transplant)

Mom said "I thought they were the "Don't be evil" guys"; that stuff was branding gold!
> Then why do thousands of engineers do then?

Ignorance of Amazon culture and practices, greed, visa issues, many don't believe it's as bad as it is until they experience it. Many use Amazon as a stepping stone because it looks good on your resume and will guarantee you an interview at most places. For the fulfillment centers folks and blue collar ops; desperation.

Retention for engineers is really low, some say as low as 12 months. So thousands work there, but many do not stay. Also the reason why their compensation is mostly in stock. They know you won't last.

This is all gleaned from friends who work there or have worked there. It's a place you want to be seen working, but doesn't work out for many.
Perhaps a defect in a cable or connector such as a broken wire or a dry solder joint? These often cause problems that mysteriously appear or disappear as the cable is moved and the changing forces on the defect make and break the connection.
My favorite, as many others are sharing here, is the figure 8. For climbing, it's a super versatile knot and there's lots of variations for specific use cases. It's also a great knot for discussing the properties of a good knot.

I also have found the trucker's hitch really useful from time to time. It allows you to tie down a load, for example a kayak on top of a car. You tie the initial hitch, and then you get to crank down on the hitch before tying the final knot. It's like a mini pulley system without a pulley.

The knot I use every day is a modified shoelace knot. You do an overhand, and then the first loop. Before you make the second loop though, you make two wraps around the first loop instead of just one [0]. Once I started using that knot, I don't think I ever had a shoelace come undone.

[0] Third video here, "Two Loop Shoelace Knot": https://www.sunnysports.com/blog/3-best-knots-tying-shoelace...
What is bio-hacking vs doing pro-athlete level nutrition, drugs and fitness?
"Theft"? You think people are going to run Corellium VM's on their phones instead of buying iOS devices? The markets are entirely separate, Apple does not lose any appreciable revenue to Corellium VM's.
(all figures approximate)

Once you get to £100,000/year gross salary, the tax-free allowance starts to taper away. At £100,000/year, your tax free allowance is ~£12,000; at £125,000/year, your tax free allowance is £0.

Suppose now you got a pay rise from £100,000 to £125,000. At £100,000, your take home pay was ~£66,500; at £125,000, your take home pay is ~£76,000. Your overall tax rate was ~33.5%, now ~39%. But comparing this year's payslips with last year's, you'll notice that of the £25,000 increase in the headline figure, ~£9,500 has actually made its way into your bank account. And 9500/25000=0.38. That's where the 62% figure comes from.

In practice, since the max tax rate is 45%, and employee's NI is around 1% at that point, your overall tax rate never gets past 46%. (For example, suppose you earn £1m via PAYE: net salary is ~£541,000. Overall tax rate therefore 45.9%.)

You can get approximate figures for this stuff out using https://listentotaxman.com/. If you want proper advice, you can pay an accountant.
There are degaussing devices that look like microwave ovens, and for all I know, that might be largely how they operate.

But outside of those, no magnet that you can hold in your hand will demagnetize a modern hard drive at any distance outside of the case, because there are magnets inside the case that are stronger than you can hold in your hands, and they’re used to move the head/arm assembly at mind-blowing speeds — and accuracy.

I have some old Imprimis Wren VII hard drive magnets still on my dad’s fridge, from the time when I did an internship there in 1989. I won’t say that you can’t remove them from the fridge, but they are stuck on there extremely well, and there are a number of people who had been injured by having their hand or fingers caught between those magnets and a ferrous metal object — like a fridge.

And that was 1989. The magnets they use now are much stronger.

Now, if you happened to put a hard drive inside an MRI machine, that would do the job. But then you’re also talking about a machine that could suck up a vacuum cleaner from across the room and turn it into a lethal projectile. A proper degausser will be a lot weaker than an MRI machine.
If you want a fun one, look up Somerville Bowline. Great take on a bowline that is non-directional, non-collapsing, very hard to get wrong, small, quick to tie, and cannot be undone under tension. Oh and it’s completely symmetrical so you can pull on either end.
Well, we do have that law for patents. They expire in 20 years. And the patent itself "open-sources" the process being patented.
Ross Ulbricht needed this.
Isn't that basically the "Outlet Store" model? New clothes made to lower standards but ostensibly sold under the illusion of being "last season's overstock" of the high quality normal version?
I just wonder about the reliability of a system that large. Sure, it's mostly used for machine learning where we don't seem to care as much, but what is the average MTBF of a chip this large? How many chips actually make it out of production?

Also, is this something that will likely scale up, or will this style of design hit a wall(power dissipation?) faster than, say, silicon-interconnect fabric?

Time will tell if this is the new path forward or just a curious footnote in the history of semiconductors.
Could this be the most realistic Synthetic voice?
Some ideas I've collected on making better organizations: https://github.com/pdfernhout/High-Performance-Organizations...

You may also find some jobs posted at Idealist of interest (although many may have their own issues as the non-profit world can have its own dysfunctions):
https://www.idealist.org/

You might like some things written by E.F. Schumacher like "Good Work": https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/313764.Good_Work

Or maybe "Honest Business"?
https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/582299.Honest_Business

Also, "What Color is Your Parachute" is also great.

Or maybe stories related to: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trickster

Another tip: the more frugal you are, the more flexible you can be about jobs and living arrangements.

Frankly, I can find problematical things about pretty much any profession in our modern society -- from sanitation worker through school teacher to medical doctor to shoe clerk. So, yes, it can be a challenge to make peace with that when, without a basic income, you need to exchange your labor for ration units to then exchange for food and shelter. Yet, people need, say, shoes -- so you can help a lot of people by making or selling good shoes to people who really need them. But as you point out, a lot of business and related jobs go far beyond the basics (for good or bad).

You can also find lots of post-scarcity thinking on my personal website. Or by many others in many places if you look. So, you are not alone. It seems though that, short of broad social change like, say, Andrew Yang proposes, solutions that work for specific individuals in late-stage capitalism may have to be individually crafted based on on interests, abilities, circumstances, tools, social network, local community, and so on.

Anyway, there are some non-startup jobs here in who's hiring for January 2020 (including at PBS):
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21936440
Thats whats making them different and keeping them alive, but whats killing them and will eventually is their formatting and ads.

When it was getting popular you'd have a good 100 lines of actual readable text on a screen, with 15 maybe 20 links on the homepage. The content, the draw, was there. Now with their own redesigns, there are ads injected everywhere on the site. On the mobile apps you get 1 ad per 2 thread links.

How can you make the experience 5x worse from when it started and not eventually lose users? Its the equivilent of the makers of a snack food slowly replacing their recipe with filler. One day people will wake up and go, wait this is actually terrible!
- Ads are no longer presented or indicated as such. All advertisement besides public space billboards are paid product placements, advertorials, and sponsored dialogue in TV shows.

- The trend toward "authenticity" still ramping up in 2020 hits full swing, and commercial entities follow suit. Any announced commercial speech is viewed with distrust, while meme tweets are celebrated as "real." Corporate messaging becomes indistinguishable from random chatter on social networks.

- Advances in ML/text bots automate this process, and the random chatter on social sites like Reddit and Tumblr becomes a wasteland of pretty-good bots trying to steer conversations in a sponsored direction.

- Platforms are created for managing brand campaigns across even larger numbers of ever-smaller influencers. Anyone with more than 1k followers on Insta or Snap can sign up to be micro-compensated for brand mentions both online and in person at parties and such. Smartphones are used to track who is where with who and who is saying what, in order to measure these mentions.

- Influencing becomes an accepted career path, and classes appear in higher education on managing your personal brand, identifying which major brands fit with your personal brand, and building a portfolio of commercial brands that identify you like a unique fingerprint. This is blended with graphic design study to create your personal visual fingerprint/brand identity including logo, color scheme, and accessory items like a particular type of flower. It will be called "Personal Marketing" or something and hundreds of thousands of students will flock to the courses. Every public space, whether park, footpath, flower garden, or grocery store, will be filled with hundreds, possibly thousands of young people simultaneously recording selfie videos for their followers or class projects.

- The line between commercially sponsored speech and original speech becomes almost fully blurred.

- The line between brand preference and personal identity disappears. By 2030 the average consumer's daily life is centered around brand experience.
my 2c: Hacker News will still be around and going strong wink
I don't know, but I suspect is some window theme on some gnome window manager? It looks like the window split is a normal emacs split.
My parents have more books than a lot of bookstores I've been to. If a Kindle somehow got shelved or put into one of the boxes of books, it could be a lot of cleanup to find it.
According to the World Bank's metric, China's percentile ranking on rule of law improved somewhat from 2010 to 2018 (eyeballing the chart, looks like it moved from 40th to 48th). This is of course not quite the same thing as an absolute increase in rule of law; if rule of law is worsening everywhere, then the ranking change could still be a decrease (though globally worse rule of law isn't my impression).

https://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/Home/Reports
First Homicide Using a 3D Printed Gun
* Science: We discover what Dark Matter is and it is not new physics

* Technology: Semiconductor industry renaissance as Moore’s Law fails and more effort goes into alternative devices.

* Politics: Trump will announce a health issue and resign, possibly to save face. Pressure on China fades, causing the Uyghur situation to become Holocaust-level.

* Economics: Housing prices will be flat in the U.S. or decrease, after adjusting for inflation in 2029. There will not be a crash.

* Culture: Zoos where animals are largely in enclosures will be commonly seen as animal abuse