skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I'm gonna make a contrarian prediction: consumer-facing technology won't change much over the next 10-15 years. Self-driving cars, smart clothes, artificial meat/meat substitutes, and AR/VR will all fail to become mainstream, each with less than 5-10% consumer adoption across the general population (partial autonomy in cars may become common, but full L5 autonomy won't). The real changes will be invisible, mainly changes to infrastructure. I predict that the grid will become much smarter and more resilient, with seamless coordination across millions of generators and endpoints (think EVs and rooftop solar). Similarly, at least one widely used decentralized alternative to the web will emerge, possibly passed on blockchain tech. I also predict that at least one widely-used cryptosystem will be broken; the resulting chaos will represent a major political and social headache. Political polarization and fake news will only get worse. Several states which are currently red, such as Texas and Georgia, will become purple due to changing demographics, representing a huge shift in the distribution of political power in the US. There will be at least one major recession. Another of the big European countries (maybe Italy?) will leave the EU, and Scotland will leave the UK. The middle east will remain a mess, but conditions in Africa will improve substantially, leading to several new fortunes being created. There will major progress on HIV and Alzheimer's, but cancer will remain a tough nut.
Agreed... I absolutely hate cigarette smoke, but voted against the bans. Though I wouldn't have minded nearly as much if they tethered the bans to allow smoking only at places with a hard liquor license that forbade children.

In general, I tend to favor personal liberty and freedom. There's a very small jump from this to similar efforts in favor of prohibiting any number of things on personal time and property (ban on fat people, meat eaters, sugar, grain eaters, etc). I mean, what's next? Morality clauses for all employees?
Thank you for sharing the details of your experience. Healthcare in the US is not a normal market, so normal product- based thinking doesn't work. The end user doesn't pay, so they cannot directly influence the market by choosing products. Your discovery with the doctor who said that improving care doesn't help her, is really insightful. The 80/20 insurance rule fixes insurance profits so they have an incentive to make care as expensive as possible. Despite all this, we all know there is a ton of value in making things better. Your graph of Aleve performing so much better then ibuprofen is really interesting, and seems to capture how other parts of the system could be improved if end users were given the choice. Maybe a trusted review site with data to help patients choose doctors.
I don't think relying on a third party and especially one that is as fickle as Google to do the most basic workload is a sound idea.

I won't be surprised if Google kills Chrome OS in the near future, as they killed a lot of stuff already[0].

I don't trust Google anymore.

[0]: https://killedbygoogle.com/
I sometimes wonder what a society would look like where everyone who is currently self-medicating for an illness using a recreational drug, was instead able to have easy access to a cheap prescribed drug for that illness with fewer side-effects. Would things like alcohol and tobacco even be popular any more?
You can get electronics tools and supplies from techni-tool, probably cheaper than Fry's.
Agreed!

I also enjoy that we still have a modern-day version of small indie developers (sometimes also one-person teams) building and shipping games.

It is of course a different landscape today and most small or single-person teams are working with an engine like Godot, Unreal or Unity (or many others), but given the increased complexity (and capability) of the underlying hardware, this sort of makes sense.
Well jailbreaking is also breaking digital locks.

As for the copyright thing, yes, they could ask the user to upload the ipsw (but still i don't see the difference between user doing it and them doing it, it'll end up in the same place), but there would be no need for modification instructions. Modifications are done dynamically, they're not pre-applied into a custom ipsw.
Ask HN: What are you predictions for decade 2020-2030?
Share your thoughts on what will happen / change in this decade. Tech, economy, world politics anything.
> There is only one group in the entire industry which has an incentive to keep people healthy (insurance)

The motivation of insurance is to keep the cost of treatment less than the income from premiums -- it doesn't have anything to do with how healthy people are.
The ipsw is downloaded from Apple and later modified. Modification is not illegal just like jailbreaking isn't. Jailbreaking is essentially modifying iOS.

Psystar sold computers with macOS installed, that's redistribution and a copyright violation. Corellium isn't selling devices with iOS.
They download ipsws from apple then modify them.
Haven't thought that far but I really think we need more controls over domain purchases.
Don't know of any but if you're just looking for instructions to make one, Youtube has plenty of videos and it's not very hard. I started from a Decathlon VTT 540 and it was pretty straightforward. (Or you can use a 520 instead: no hydraulic brakes, which makes it much easier to replace brake levers.)
There is going to be a war between US and China:

1) there are a few likely points of conflict:

- south china sea

- african countries that are between most influenced by china and others.

- taiwan

- north korea

- middle east

- chinese/russian border

2) Trade war and all that will be a part of the war

3) China will try to use it's network of influencers/agents
in universities, big companies and ethnically chinese communities in general.

4) The war will stop the grouth of civillian economy in china, which will raise chances of a revolution. CCP will tighten the grip and all smart/educated/somewhat open minded chinese citizens will be on the path out of the country no matter how hard it will be.
I have a family member who worked somewhere that provided tools to medical practitioners to help them determine how a patient would respond to a drug based on their genetics. They also had a hard time selling directly to clinicians, because as the author notes, they do not particularly care about patient outcomes in the abstract sense, because much like the programmer bravado, doctors have a similar one: most of the other doctors are worse than me, they need the tools but I don’t because I have a more nuanced view, I know what works for my patients better than any statistical study could tell me, etc.

The only way to make money is to get insurers to require these things, or to sell to some big hospital network administrator who you can focus your sales efforts on. I don’t think the product here was mature enough to sign a multimillion dollar contract with a hospital network, and maybe not for insurers either.
The one I remember was "voxel.pas by Steven H Don". A Delphi port survived here: http://tothpaul.free.fr/sources.php?dprgrp.voxel

Searching for "voxel" in https://github.com/nickelsworth/swag/ also finds some very similar tiny Turbo Pascal programs.
Yeah. For investing so much time and money it seems like he gave up after a couple of bad meetings.

It takes years to figure out how to properly sell your product. He didn't find out that his product wouldn't work in the marketplace he just found out he didn't know how to sell it.
You're welcome to bring these suggestions to the moderators. Email: hn@ycombinator.com
This is a codebase problem, not a language one.

If there's a good idea, why not use it?
I don’t know how well it’d work for FPS games, but for MMORPGs I think a lot more could be done with serverside pattern recognition. Bots and cheaters in that genre behave very differently than real players do, often to the extent that real players can identify bots out in the open world within a couple of seconds of seeing them.

It’s a bit more difficult for other forms of cheating (like duping, wallhacking, etc) but still plenty doable — just create sets of rules to asynchronously sanity check every Nth player action against. No it won’t be free, but you’d likely make back the costs with happy players staying subscribed.
You take the good with the bad. There may be more "garbage" work as you put it, but that's because there is more work overall, likely by several orders of magnitude..

And with that still comes some gems to go along with the garbage, so in the end, we win.
I think you and the person you're replying to are in agreement; what they very likely meant by "health is none of an employer's business" is that the act of insuring people should not be part of an employer's business.
If there's congestion, there is a random chance of any packets being dropped, because that's how you signal congestion reliably. If there's neither congestion nor wireless links on the route between you and the server neither this, nor most other performance considerations matter to you, that's nice you're already getting the best possible outcome.
I'll admit it, I love shopping at Best Buy. I much prefer purchasing anything at the local store and actively avoid Amazon if at all possible.
How do you generate an image from a position on lichess?

They have a board editor: https://lichess.org/editor/rnbqkbnr/pppppppp/8/8/8/8/PPPPPPP...

But I've not seen an option to generate an image (aside from taking a screenshot), which is what the posted site appears to have been made for.
Given that they keep postponing the transition to PoS, wouldn't it be smarter to remove the artificial difficulty increase and make the network more efficient?
But don't you have to provide to them a cc card "just in case"? That's pretty strong link to your identity.

Also the bandwidth rates all big cloud providers are charging are just extortionate
They ought to use "_Inspect".
To me the distinction between terrifying and doomed is that the former is something you can/should react to and the later is something you've defined as too-late or given up on.

We are not (yet) doomed.
Does this logic extend to showering, pedestrians, and automobile passengers and drivers? All suffer as many or more head injuries per year than cyclists.
The Office 365's Excel online is pretty usable. I'm on Linux at home, so use it quite a bit... there's a couple sheets I have to use and interact with others on.
It doesn't even have to be that arbitrary. You've got an opponent with a defense against all your current weapons, but you can run faster than them, so you can escape but you still need to find something that can kill them. They need to find something that can make them faster so they can catch you, or take their chances by giving up the defense which is slowing them down.

There can still be strategy in it without leaving any easy way to cheat.
>Maybe, but the problem is that smokers cost the company a lot more than non-smokers, due to this country's strange expectation that your employer should subsidize your health insurance.

This gets dangerously close to validating discriminatory hiring against any negative health markers. Do they start tracking your BMI next?
Ah, I didn't actually know this, thanks for pointing it out :)
955 comments in https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278
Are diversity scholarship applicants to KubeCon generally Kubernetes contributors?
Microsoft Excel has a web-based version and Google Sheets is pretty good. So unless your enterprise needs spreadsheet features that those don't have, it's fine.
SoftBank is still writing big checks
Show HN: I combined Milligram, Skeleton, and Normalize into a single CSS project
Office Treats Bring Out the Worst of Humanity
EU Patent Office Rejects 2 Patents with AI Listed as Inventor
>FYI to anyone else reading, this is the other side of science-denial coin, the doomer side

Why not the 'realist' side?

>wind, solar, and batteries have invalidated several of the assumptions about future growth in coal and oil demand.

Did they now? Coal and natural gas growth have outpaced solar and wind deployments. There is still no grid-level storage solution to actually make solar and wind viable replacements, and there isn't one forthcoming anytime soon (right now, places like California, and Germany simply use natural gas backup).
If I remember correctly, it was down to $1850 for Q4, from a high of $7500 when we bought ours.

We've been hearing this "what about when the tax handouts go away" story for awhile, and it hasn't really panned out. Of course, Tesla has taken the edge off of that by strategically lowering prices, but now that it's down to $1850 (well, okay, $0 today) the benefit is marginal at best.

I actually had 3 friends ask me, unsolicited, for my referral code, in Q4 alone. 2 of those have been delivered, one hasn't ordered yet.

My only other referral was a year ago.

If anything, the increasing interest over time surprises me. I really did think they'd have a hard time sustaining sales once the initial backlog cleared out.
Such good points and so obvious (now that you said them) that first I really want to retract my comment and second now I feel like coding up a terrain generator today. Duh, Doom did (famously) switch the loops for similar reasons!
> Stapleton said when she made a request to HR earlier this year, she was routed to a call center in Chicago, where she spoke to a young gentleman who had recently graduated college. Responding to a concern she had with a manager, he gave her bad advice to take her manager out to drinks, she said.

Wow. And this is why those call in EAP / anonymous reporting programs offered as a 'benefit' always seem to be garbage. Never had a good experience with any of them.
Not to mention that it dehumanizes you in the eyes of drivers.
Location: Phoenix AZ

Remote: Yes

Willing to relocate: yes

Technologies: C/C++/Go/GLSL/OpenGL/Win32/Steam/Discord/ con't

Résumé/CV:https://docs.google.com/document/d/1a2-l7V1cfantpUkDuKv0bREkVoGHS8JxUbyYY6DBwKY/edit?usp=sharing

Email: (in resume)

I don't have "professional" experience, but i'm looking to change that. I'm self taught having built just a load of projects.
Anyone who feels that the primary goal of healthcare in the US is to improve health outcomes is incredibly naive about how this industry works . . .

So true, the health industry doesn't give a s___t whether you live or die - - they only want their money.

My advice ? Get into vitamins and supplements, it's all a pack of lies and deceptions just like big health, it's all based on supposedly respectable, bogus "sources" of information which you make "believeable", most of the cusomers are women over 40 looking in the mirror at their beauty wasting away . . .

There is HUGE money in vitamins and suuplements and they have a monsterous lobby to fend off the AMA and the doctors so they can keep selling their snake oil . . .

Oh, and as far as painkillers go . .

Multiple research shows that Naproxen sodium has the least detrimental effect on the heart - - as all NSAID's do.

Acetaminophen or Tylenol is an serious destroyer of glutathione, one of the largest natural antioxidants in the human body, mostly in the liver.
> There was this giant thing called healthcare right, and its main purpose is improving health—trillions of dollars are spent trying to do this.

There was this giant thing called healthcare, and its main purpose is applying well known treatments to people whose symptoms more or less indicate that treatment might somewhat improve their condition—trillions of dollars are earned trying to do this.
If you have a network connection, https and sound logins, I'm not sure how it's less useful outside the controlled environment?
We recently got a class 1 electric cargo bike, and it's also been a dream. With it, we can transport one adult, both kids, and a couple weeks' worth of groceries. Throw in a second (in this case non-e) bike, and that's an additional adult and a decent amount of extra cargo.

If nothing else, it's easily worth the experience of getting the kids to and from school. It takes less time and it's enjoyable instead of aggravating. Win-win.

I'm finding that, in my city, we tend to move faster than traffic if there's any traffic at all. Cars might go faster when they're not stopped, but they're spending most their time queued up at traffic lights and stop signs. Bikes get to go to ride right past those lines.
Çlkjhnşçffaswas
Moldy bread science experiment gross reminder of germs on our hands
I don't know why you picked that list of countries in particular, but in most rankings of countries (by happiness, productivity, social welfare, GDP per capita, etc.) you tend to see several of the nordic countries, which are all quite culturally-homogenous.

I would highlight "social welfare" rankings in particular: people seem to vote more for socialist measures—measures that tax them to provide for others—when they care more about those others. If this correlation holds (between lack of cultural diversity and social-welfare leanings), then it would suggest that the cultures that care most about helping their "fellow man" are the ones in which one's "fellow man" is the least different from oneself.
Same here.

My 18 miles commute is 2 miles of sleepy suburban traffic and 16 miles on the SF Bay Trail (IOW: flat dirt track with no cars allowed.) Even if it were all dirt track, I'd still be wearing my helmet.
The author says that they fired the contractors and closed the site. I can never relate to this. You built something that is at least somewhat useful to at least some people. Why not just keep it online forever? It can't cost more than $5/mo to host this, I have a server where I host around ten of my projects for less than $20/mo.

Why do people shut things down instead of just leaving them there, unmaintained? Even that is better than just taking it offline.
> Another way to see it is with cosmetics. Most cheater use throwaway account, they don't want their account with valuable items getting banned, so they only rock the basic cosmetics.

It's probably a good heuristic, but not everyone like to waste their money.
you pretty much end your argument with the line

For fit people in good weather.

The second part is more important than the first. You do leave out convenience and more with regards to carrying goods that these cannot offer.
> All knots significantly weaken the cord they're tied into. A very significant margin of error is built into the ropes to account for this.

I'm not a climber, what I usually use is cotton, jute, or sisal twine in a day-to-day basis for various tasks. Cotton twine is very easy to keep in your pocket and very clean, but its the weakest by far. Sisal and Jute are scratchy and messy, but they have superior strength.

Lets say you've got a 40lb cotton twine in your pocket. You can either use an overhand knot and drop the strength to ~20lbs, or you can use a figure-eight knot and instead have ~32lbs of strength.

Both the overhand knot and figure eight knot weakened the twine. But overhand knot is among the weakest of knots, with a 50% drop in performance. Having only a 20% drop from figure-eight makes a huge, noticeable difference in strength.
Expectations for stability of systems software (OS, database, etc) increases. Rust grows in job market share vs C++ (which does not modernize quickly enough).

An ISA other than x86 starts to get traction in x86's current market.

Electric cars become the norm. ICE cars depreciate in value rapidly.

Growing food in isolated environments, clean from pollution and pesticides, will become a big business.

Renewables provide 80% of world energy.

Towards the end of the decade, younger generation comes into political power with very different perspective on the environment, but their new efforts are halfway too late.
Haha valuable in and of itself! It will need to be a socket connection for real-time updates.
Don't change a thing that is working just for the sake of change.

You can see this for successful small family restaurants, they usually don't have a lot of choices and usually do little things very well and stick with them and can last for generations.
That is not how security works.
> One should not be allowed to put other people at risk for fun/entertainment/whatever.

I assume you mean to assert that the cutoff for putting people at risk for fun is somewhere below pilots going on a bender before flying, but somewhere above getting in a car and driving to the movie theater?
From Vista onwards 256x256 icons are supported and probably included. This might be a reason. Perhaps also more facilities for system recovery.
I don't see it as a solution, more like an experiment.

Zero waste is impractical. But having a zero waste restaurant showcases possible solutions for more practical waste reduction.
Take a look at HMOs, such as Kaiser Permanente. HMOs combine the function of insurers and medical providers in a way that aligns incentives (everyone pays about the same, but healthier people need less care and are thus more profitable customers). There are many problems that come with the HMO model (e.g. the potential for low quality care), but when it works, it directly solves the problem you addressed and exists in the US.
How is it fantastic value when it costs almost 3x as much?

I'm actually buying a new (used) car right now. Around the $15k mark, I can get e.g. a 4 year old 7 seater that's done 60k miles. Based on my previous car ownership, I expect to spend around $700/year on average on maintenance, and around $1000/year on fuel. In total, I can expect a first year total cost of 700+1000+1500 = $3200 of which the biggest cost is a 10% depreciation. If I were to buy a $40k Model 3 (with less seats, less cargo capacity) that had 0 maintenance and 0 fuel cost, I'd still spend $4000 the first year to depreciation alone. 4000 > 3200. How are you saving anything?
1. Housing will become more affordable in the US

2. There will be a retirement and healthcare crisis in the US

3. A trillion dollars of deficit spending will be authorized for infrastructure spending in the US

4. Many US states will continue to struggle with crippling debt obligations

5. Companies will continue to split their offerings into luxury/premium/upmarket vs. automated/lower quality offerings for the middle class
a. Companies that figure out how to enrich and simplify the experience and enable the middle will win

6. China will lead the world in image recognition and surveillance technology
a. Some sort of major internal political unrest will occur in China

7. Automated flying vehicles will replace the hype of fully autonomous land vehicles

8. Car buying, leasing, rental and taxi will be dominated by a small number of companies that will become more interdependent

9. Home buying, care and maintenance experiences will significantly improve and be dominated by a small number of companies

10. Food will continue to get cheaper and higher quality

11. Extreme poverty will continue to shrink

12. New space and arms races will emerge as global power rebalances
Snow, blue skies and our central heating
I've tried shrooms, I'm not sure they show anything much the same way anti-depressants don't show anything. But they may be a useful stepping stone to spur change and eschew learned helplessness. No one can alleviate your depression but yourself.
> He's been anti-complexity for awhile.

And then he turns around and releases Signal-Desktop based on Electron?!
Do they also charge people who drink, are overweight, don't exercise? Seems odd to only single out smoking.