skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Hey, checking in from 2030:

Smartphones will begin to be replaced by smart glasses. Apple will introduce an augmented reality headset on the trails of Vuzix and other smaller companies, and other tech companies will follow suit. Eye tracking is another area of probable advancement.

The clock rate of consumer CPU's won't exceed 6ghz.

Tesla will continue to enjoy a lot of success, eventually being a good 15% of the cars we see on the roads as battery technology steadily improves.

Climate change will become even more apparent. We'll see measurable effects, and the US will reengage in new climate agreements after 2020.

SHA2 will show signs of weakness with initial attacks against SHA2-256.

Quantum computers will not make significant progress toward being consumer ready by 2030, but there will be more research done.

We'll have the first near-room temperature superconductor at high pressures. No new technology.

ITER will continue to make progress toward fusion. No successful (net positive) experiments yet. Check back in 2030.

2020 or 2021 recession.

There are still people on IRC.

Most importantly: FIRST MAN ON MARS
Panic of 1907
before anyone makes some new ones for 2020 - 2029, i urge you to read this great article:

http://nautil.us/issue/65/in-plain-sight/why-futurism-has-a-...

it has something special somehow, I always come back to it
Your Decade in Review
2020 is upon us and I know that in life we tend to get lost in the busy-ness of every day problems, but I think it's important (and fun?) to look back on life to see how far you've come. Bill Gates said, “Most people overestimate what they can do in one year and underestimate what they can do in ten years.” Show off and tell us the story of what you've done in your last 10 years! Or at least reflect on how you arrived at life today and step back to see how far you've come!

Whether your story is long or short, happy or sad, funny or not, everyone has a story worth sharing.

https://mydecadeinreview.com/
SEEKING FREELANCER to work on http://www.hyperfiddle.net/ - mastery of Clojure, remote, international ok, english fluency dustin@hyperfiddle.net
There's literally entire websites and hundreds of articles written by ex-employees and journalists about how badly Amazon treats its employees. I've never worked there so I can't say for certain, but "don't work for Amazon" it's pretty much a meme at this point.
Jean Berko Gleason’s Brief but Spectacular Take on Language
The US's massive cuts in spending for basic science research and the arts through the 2000s and 2010s - which led to many of the brightest minds either struggling to make ends meet, designing better ways to sell products, or working on get-rich-quick schemes - will open the door for another country/region to become the dominant force in societal evolution. There are only so many ways we can repackage and reboot old IP.
WeLivv | Senior Software Engineer (Python) | NYC | ONSITE or REMOTE | https://welivv.com

WeLivv is a NYC based startup with a home furnishing search and discovery platform who is being used by 10,000+ interior designers and architect firms and most of the top brands in the home decor space. We’re a fully remote TypeScript and Golang shop with our machine learning stack in Python and ElasticSearch powering the platform that runs on Google Cloud.

We are interested in understanding the visual taste and style of our users and then recommending them home furnishing imagery that bring products and real context of decor to the front. So strategies around building large scale computer vision based data intensive systems are really exciting for us.

WeLivv is dedicated to having a quality work environment for everyone and we are fully remote! On our engineering team we value collaboration over competition, respect work-life balance and solve problems without blaming people.

We have a “no assholes” policy.

We recently closed our funding round and we’re a small group with multiple startup experiences as both founders and early engineers. We believe that someone who is truly a senior software engineer can come from almost any background and pick up a new set of tech in a reasonable amount of time which is why we don’t list much about our tech stack in our job description.

We are looking for an awesome senior software engineer to round out our core engineering team for this year.

If you’ve made it this far and you’re still interested, please apply by emailing our Chief Technology Officer at: s at welivv.com.

Things to include:
* Your background

* What projects you are interested in working on

* A link to your GitHub profile or any place you have publicly available code

* Anything else you would like us to know

(A resume is helpful but not necessary)
- MicroLED will replace both LCD and OLED in most consumer devices and 240hz+ will become standard

- Truly useful quantum computers will be available on cloud providers

- Cars as a service

- Strong evidence of alien life via exoplanet atmosphere spectroscopy (assuming successful deployment of JWST)

- Discovery of gravitational wave background

- Fake news will be out of control due to AI

- Wireless charging via Wi-Fi

- Alzheimer's will be cured
The bowline is fine for non-safety-critical uses, but cyclical loading causes it to slip, so I'd suggest anyone who's learning the bowline to learn a "safer" variant and just always use that one (examples are Yosemite Bowline, End Bound Single Bowline, Double Bowline, Bowline on a Bight).
(serious) I don't get the reference, do you mean a stall in AI progress or a brief overall industry-wide disinterest in it?
Dropbox class action brought by shareholders claiming misleading IPO
The stems are the most potent part of the specimen. The caps have less psylocibin than the stems. If you bruise the fresh (and sometimes dry) specimen, you can see it turn blue. That indicates the presence of psylocibin. The smaller the specimens, the more psylocibin per gram you will have in a dose as there is significant psylocibin even in tiny specimens, including ones that have barely formed caps.
Finally. The year of the Linux desktop has arrived.
I disagree, I think anyone the put in charge would have done well. Satya came in during one of the biggest bull runs in history and just surfed the wave. Even Ballmer would have had a hard time to stop that.
I can see that happening in the second half of this decade as Google continues to grow and absorb more and more of the Internet.
If you care about performance, gRPC/Protobufs would be something to look at and compare against.
Senior Back End Engineer Needed in SF – Full Stack as Well
Truvalue Labs
kevin.gadd@truvaluelabs.com

Here at Truvalue Labs, we're disrupting the financial investment industry with our AI tool which rates the social impact of companies for investors. We're a tech startup, and we're growing rapidly as our customer base continues to expand. We're Series A and approaching our next round of funding.

We are looking to add a couple of software engineers to our small team here in San Francisco, CA. We have two openings, Senior Backend and a Full Stack. See the links to the job descriptions below. We offer a very competitive salary and an excellent benefits package.

You can contact me directly at kevin.gadd@truvaluelabs.com, here are the links to the job descriptions.

Senior Backend Engineer - San Francisco
https://jobs.lever.co/truvaluelabs/7cb67ae1-623f-40ce-94b4-4cb1fe8bc0d7

Full Stack Engineer - San Francisco
https://jobs.lever.co/truvaluelabs/38fbb0bf-1dd2-4c08-8866-3bfcc90b309c
USB-D will be announced to remedy the shortcomings of USB-C. In every HN post about it someone will mention the number 927. Meanwhile in 2030 most laptops will still ship with at least one type-A connector, and that connector will still dominate flash drives and the like. Business users will still demand VGA video connectors in 2030 as they need something that always "just works" when presenting to clients, quality be damned. Mobile phones will likely become port-less in all but the low-end of the market.
This one is good, but I would exclude Russia and Venezuela from the list. In Russia Putin will retire in 2024 and transition to the new leadership will be soft and non-violent. Likely this will mean some positive changes in internal and foreign policy. Venezuela depends on Russian support, there’s no intrinsic stability, and current regime may collapse as a result of some US-Russia deal (as it happened with unification of Germany).
Nevertheless the regime in Syria will stay for another 10-15 years, with some territory still occupied by foreign powers.
AllSpice | Full-Stack Developer, Typescript + Angular (contract to hire) | Boston, MA | Remote | https://www.allspice.io/
AllSpice is bringing git, CI, and CD to electronics design, helping hardware teams bring better products to market faster. We are exploring new products in design collaboration, simulation, and analytics. A developer in this position will help in a range of tasks, including file-parsing, api integration, UI/UX development, and continuous deployment. AllSpice is a finalist in Harvard's New Venture Competition, and currently in a Boston-based incubator program.
We're looking for a part or full-time contractor. If you're passionate about agile tools, circuit simulation, and user-testing nascent product offerings, send me an email at kyle@allspice.io.
There are a couple of issues. PCB and and Assembly for an RF circuit while it's not really dark arts requires higher quality pcb fab and assembly. Using an RF module thus lowers the manufacturing requirements for the main board. If the RF is on the main board switching board houses often causes problems.

You can also treat an RF module as a component and test it separately. Parametric testing RF as part of a full design is problematic. And RF systems appear to fail QA at a high rate than digital/analog circuits.

And also can share the same module across different products.
> they knew about it, but they turn a blind eye to it.

and this is how those connected people make money.
Using data from social networks to understand and improve systems
I meant specifically raster tiles, but this is indeed very cool. I absolutely love what MapBox is doing.
Aside from the much better idea of, you know, not keeping a journal of all of your incredibly illegal activities and attempted hits - this may have actually prevented the government from accessing said journal. He was definitely going to be busted in either case but it could've shaved some years off his eventual sentence.
All: this thread is about predictions that HN users made 10 years ago. Note the year in the title above.

If you want to make a new prediction, a new thread has gotten started: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278.
This is pretty much on the same level as a raw material change that happened when CPUs went from a bunch of DIP ICs connected together to a single silicon die. LSI was a big leap in optimizing compute/$.

I had the same “hold the phone” reaction when I reading about AI but then saw the whole wafer in the marketing photo.
Just want to point out, the annual budget for national parks is 2.7 billion and TANF is under 17, so you could pay for both every national park and 3.1 million needy families with that
I'm somewhat fascinated by people's ability to tie knots that are more complicated than the basic shoelace one. I've watched hundreds of videos on knot-tying and, even with basic step-by-step instructions, can't manage one properly. Is it just the fact that this stuff is better taught practically or am I just somehow the worst knot-tier of all? Even that reef knot gif eludes me...
It's kinda cliched, but Tony Robbins' stuff always helps me.

I'd try Awaken The Giant Within and/or Unlimited Power. Another good motivational book is Relentless by Tim S. Grover. There's also Unleash The Warrior Within by Richard Machowicz.
There are probably a few people in this thread who saw 'pork' and instantly thought 'commodity', then extrapolated to 'soybeans'. Which doesn't sound like the game you're in based on this comment, which implies your bets were made via equities. That's not super clear from your original comment (which is neither here nor there, just saying).

Thanks for sharing though, it's quite interesting.
Falkon AI | Seattle | ONSITE | FULL-TIME | https://falkon.ai

---

Falkon AI is a Greylock and Trilogy-backed early stage startup in Seattle. As founders, we were frustrated by the state of business metrics across our previous roles. We lived through the investigatory pain necessary to understand the 'why' behind business metrics. We also experienced the inherent challenges in incubating a metrics-forward culture in our product and business teams. Falkon tackles these challenges, providing unified business-wide visibility into the core factors hindering company growth.

Falkon is early stage - you'll have major impact on the product and business. We are looking for experienced IC engineers for:

- backend and data infrastructure
- data science and statistics
- frontend and UX

We're also looking for a designer with good product intuition and strong customer research and interaction design chops.

Come join a team of smart, fun people offering early-stage equity, competitive salaries and excellent benefits. We've got a great location in Pioneer Square. This is an opportunity to do the best work of your life + forever change how businesses think about their metrics.

I'm a founder - (aakash@) for questions or to chat.

https://falkon.ai to learn more and apply.
IsaacL, if you're still around, you should make predictions for stuff by 2030!
I think the Justice Democrats are working pretty hard battling the establishment. I wouldn't be surprised to see that trend continue.
Or does it prove that general AI is already here, and is smart enough to know that it's safer if we think it hasn't arrived yet?

</paranoia>
* AR / ubiquitous computing will be available, but still niche and primarily used for commercial purposes. Most people will still use a mobile-phone style device.

* Autonomous tax fleets will be common in cities, but most personal vehicles will still be manually operated (alongside improved level-3 technologies like autopilot and super cruise)

* Google's business will still be dominated by ads, with cloud revenue making up the rest

* Facebook will still be the dominant social media company in the US, although Facebook the product may become niche

* >10 chronic diseases will have been cured using gene therapies

* General-purpose CPUs will have <5x performance/price gain by 2020. Specialized hardware will be used widely.

* Crypto-currencies will be seen as a hilarious 2010s bubble; effectively no global commerce will be transacted through them
What do you attach the other end of the kensington lock to?
Its taken 10 years (and counting) just to get drivers to be replaced by AI - I would guess it will take at least twice as long for things like judges to be replaced by AI
It was definitely fun to work on it :) That said, I think we've also seen quite a big positive ROI as well.

It is true that we've spent quite some time working on TaskTiger where we could've used an off-the-shelf task queue system. However, since we've created it, it allowed us to develop new features a lot faster and spend a lot less time debugging issues.

We were using Celery before and it was a big pain with memory leaks, periodic tasks not working as expected, some tasks being lost for no apparent reason, and poor visibility into both aggregate statistics and individual tasks. We spent too much time debugging Celery's issues instead of working on our core business. Here's some more context: https://github.com/closeio/tasktiger/issues/141#issuecomment...

Advanced features like scheduled tasks, unique queues, and task locks have helped us move faster, too.
Makes sense. And that is what I meant—it’s just strange to see material information not getting priced in within milliseconds.
> 4. The credibility of scientist and research universities will hit all time lows as the effects of the replication crisis become more pronounced and climate changes predictions prove less accurate than lay people find acceptable.

While I agree the credibility of scientist and research universities has hit all time lows, I don't see a pullback in funding or any major changes
"It Follows – One of the best horror films of the decade"

I liked that as well. Also liked both the original and remake of "Let Me In". Also, if you're a horror fan, hopefully you've seen Rosemary's Baby. Watched that again last night.
1. Pension bomb — as you see, is about to go off in Europe.

Honestly, I would expect it to go off first in the US. They rely heavily on the stock-markets and have much higher payouts. Many employee funds may just implode (e.g. Illinois teachers fund)

3. A younger/more populist group of politicians will assume power in China.

This is not how it works in China. But Xi will unlikely be still in power in 10 years. His successor will be younger, so not a big prediction.

5. Chinese-American co-dependency crumbles like a bitter divorce
This is a 50/50 chance.

6. Brexit — no comments needed
Well, the verdict is still open (I am skeptical)
I think you're really making my point for me.

There were hundreds of millions of Opera and mobile Safari users with pipelining enabled, and the only problems you can point to are a few small things, in this case in something that doesn't even seem to be normally accessed from a browser.
> I'm somewhat fascinated by people's ability to tie knots that are more complicated than the basic shoelace one.

> Even that reef knot gif eludes me

--------

These statements are in contradiction. The reef knot IS your shoelace knot. If you can tie your shoelaces, you can tie a reef knot, by definition.

Specifically, a "shoelace tie" is the slipped reef knot. "Slipped" means that you leave little loops so that its easier to untie later. Get rid of the "loops" in your shoelace tie, and you'll make a fine (more permanent) reef knot.
But why do you think your workplace is an appropriate place for "rational discussion" (which, to run afoul of Google, would have to be fairly controversial)?

And you still won't say exactly how diversity training affects your safety. You can simply attend and listen without venturing any risky comments.
>So useful, in fact, that Apple tried to buy the company

It's not like Apple can't virtualize iOS.

Beyond that, I feel like this article could've done a much better job representing Apples claims. The author attempts to paint Corellium as the good guys while completely ignoring that they primarily sell to the likes of Azimuth.

Maybe DMCA is bad and Apple is evil, but that doesn't make Corellium the good guys.
I've studied writing all my life, and most of the classics on writing would agree with you, such as The Elements of Style and On Writing Well. William Zinsser, the author of On Writing Well and a newspaper editor, talks about this very thing, saying that articles are often improved by cutting the first three paragraphs.
Dystopia Is Arriving in Stages
> Everywhere you look, you find people who are practically leaping for any small excuse to tear into someone, tear them down, label them various names, get them fired, and so on.

They get their power from people like you paying far too much attention to what they say. Seriously - their opinions are about as significant as Bill O'Reilly's, and more importantly their influence lasts about as long. Stop looking, play the long game, trust that most others find them obnoxious as you do and they just fade away with no effort on your part.

Well, mostly. If you are unlucky enough to have a friend caught up in their net of hysteria, defend them. But even in that case, try to be the reverse of what your antagonists are - a calming, rational influence. Don't make the mistake Richard Stallman did. I admire the man hugely, and am very saddened by recent events, but his grasp of mob politics is ... poor.
I thought YC already had a syndicate system, for at least a couple of years now.

No, I can't give details. Just running from memory here.
* There will be a major and long-lasting global recession, likely within the first 5 years of the decade, that leads to significant sociopolitical shifts in multiple countries

* Major weather events become (even more) common, CO2 levels continue to rise, climate change becomes accepted as "real" across the board very quickly by the middle of the decade, but rather than just being the gateway to more funding for research/innovation or global accords and working together, also gives rise to at least one right-wing eco-fascist type party, open talk of eugenics/depopulation, and/or a rise of a strongly authoritarian but much more eco-friendly Chinese government

* "Anti-technology" fringe movements gain as BigTech becomes increasingly villified and understood as some of the most powerful trans-nationcal corps in the world - not only sabotage+hacker movements, but also a revival of "back to the land" type commune/monastic/retreat/cult movements

* A major breakthrough is made with regards to Alzheimers/dementia

* Religiosity continues to decline across the world, however smallish cults become much more popular

* The culture wars abate somewhat, and some things have permanently changed (ie; genderfluidity and identifying as multiple genders during one lifetime will be seen as relatively common by anyone that becomes a teenager during this decade)

* Extreme poverty will continue to be eradicated and more people will have access to things like basic antibiotics and drinking water by the end of the decade, even with climate change disruption to landbases/watersheds

* Systems science methods become more mainstream - things like agent-based modeling, etc. Basic machine learning stuff is taught in high school.
Here are mine:

1. Still no level 4/5 autonomous cars anywhere in sight. The promise of being "just around the corner" fizzles down and people just forget the hype.

2. Same with AI. The panacea hype dies down. No AGI at all. No major job losses due to AI automation.

3. Facebook (the SN) still exists but ages along with it's current user base. i.e it's the "old people's" SN. Facebook (the company) is still going strong, with either Instagram or one of it's acquisitions being the current "hip" SN.

4. Google still dominates search and email but losses value and "glory" compared to today.

5. Majority of people still don't care about privacy.

6. But a small yet growing culture of "offliners" becomes mainstream. Being offline is the new "Yoga" and allows bragging rights.

7. Increase in adoption of non-scientific beliefs such as astrology/anti-vaxx/religion/flat-earth as a counterbalance to the increased complexity of everyday life.

8. Web development matures and a "standard" stack is accepted, all in JS.

9. Global carbon emissions are not reduced, mostly because of lack of initiative by China and 3rd world countries.

10. Still no hoverboards.
Just use regular Reed-Solomon for the data and Shamir's Secret Sharing for the key (an implementation is for example http://point-at-infinity.org/ssss/).

If you choose the same parameters for both algorithms, you can freely assign any key with any data shard and store those.
This is a list of things I hope come to be this decade.
1) The death of ads on the internet. Looking at advertisements becomes much less socially acceptable, and ad blockers become the norm.
2) A properly open source mobile OS takes over.
3) The Linux desktop hits 20% market share.
4) IPv6 replaces IPv4, all but the biggest websites switch over completely.
5) On the back of IPv6, fully peer-to-peer secure messaging takes over. I can now send a full movie to my friends within a group chat, no servers needed.
6) Self-hosting software becomes easy and mainstream (something like yunohost, but not necessarily that implementation). No more command line knowledge needed.
Household robots that can launder and fold clothes and cook food will be in use but not ubiquitous yet. Say top 10% households in developed countries.