skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
In the good old days, there were plenty of terrible user experiences built with traditional technology. All of those apps failed to make a mark in people’s memories and have been forgotten.

I do remember stuff built in Frontpage breaking terribly if you resized your browser. I remember Joomla outputting reams of html that the browser would choke on the nodes. I remember doing chat apps via iframes and long polling. It was all there.

Better technology has only lead to better outcomes on both the low and the high end, and it’s a lot easier to debug and fix the low quality outcomes.
I don't exactly reside in a jurisdiction where that's an option.
+1 to religious groups. There are lots of good ones out there!

Edit: also I'd recommend against groups with an agenda that isn't already inline with your beliefs. If you're feeling unsure about yourself, you can lose yourself to theirs. E.g., religion, politics, even sports.

There are plenty of groups out there, it's worth shopping around. IMHO the goal is to better understand and accept yourself, so stay as close to that as you can.
- Large scale nuclear power continues to grow outside the US but does not grow as a percentage. Climate change is talked about the same amount.

- Human gene editing stays in the realm of the "near future"

- Average lifespan decreases due to preventable health causes but medical care continues to innovate overall.

- No near permanently manned (e.g. ISS) bases are established on other bodies. Asteroid mining stays in "near future" but with realistic plans at the end of the decade.

- VR continues to improve but still can't compete with the improvements in "traditional" technologies to displace them.

- BTC continues it's booms and busts but never becomes anything serious. Officially backed (large company/government) cryptocurrencies that aren't fully decentralized are made but most money is still transferred around as digital fiat currency.

- No flying cars common anywhere.

- Big banks remain the big banks, the largest banks pass 10T in assets.

- Multiple services provide relatively cheap high speed global internet coverage, despite this over 1 billion still don't have regular access to the internet.

- AI assistants continue to grow but don't displace expert job positions by the end of the decade.

Now to wait for 10 years and see!
My gut response to his thought of MS pivoting to consulting a la IBM was way off but after thinking about it for a minute you could kind of make a case that Azure is a form of "self-serve operationalized consulting", he was just off on it's impact and success by a factor of 50 or 100.
If your life sucks, depression is a completely reasonable side effect. Clinical depression is a different beast -- even on great days, free of external stressors, you're wont to feel miserable.

Mushrooms won't fix your life. But even your anecdote suggests that they can provide a brief window of clarity. In that window, you can choose to make changes in your life, but making big changes is risky and typically quite difficult. But for folks with clinical depression, these treatments might be a game changer.
RMS owes someone money.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025795
> "Here is a course on how to avoid the legal pitfalls in the workplace" is something I might be able to accept.

That is the yearly manager training class. Even if you were only managing an intern, you had to take it every year.
It’s a job. I worked for a startup that was burning out and got acquihired. I just left and got a new job, but a few friends stayed because they wanted some form of stability. They got a pretty minimal retention bonus to stay on for at least six months, I think it was under $5k.
Would be nice if you can put up a demo page some where.
I’d be weary too, that’s why I’ll be adding import export soon, and I’m leaning towards never charging for single users. No promises though since I don’t know what kind of expense that will be for me. This is a bootstrapped product.
Obligatory link to this handy reference of different knots and how to tie them: https://www.netknots.com/rope_knots
Does this work any better? https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1192557730709622790.html
I think Microsoft was the biggest surprise. In 2010 MacBooks were starting to become very popular, and it looked like Microsoft’s monopoly on consumer computing was coming to an end. It was common to think Microsoft was on a long decline in 2010.
11. healthcare apps where hospital and doctors can bid on procedures.

12. whole classed of jobs disappear due to AI and automation.

13. those who are lucky (tech jobs, medical, custom genetics) all have multiple human assistants.
The proliferation of VPs started under Eric. At one point I counted twice as many VPs per capita as what we had at Microsoft. There were VPs reporting to VPs and directors reporting to directors, as well as VPs and directors with zero reports. It's nuts. I suspect it's gotten much worse since then.

Also, as the chairman of the board, there's no way Schmidt did not know the "DOD ML thing". For the record, I think the "DOD ML thing" is an appropriate "thing" for a US company to be doing, including Google. In fact I think GCP should accept (and seek out) all workloads legal under US law, same as AWS and Azure.

Disclosure: same.
They produce more protein than they consume. The animals convert carbohydrate to amino acids (well, the bacteria in their gut does).
I don't think it's the RMS
Two of them, near the airport. Pretty crazy, I wonder if they were flying commercial.
I can easily imagine influencers Instagram-ing about their awesome "offline" lives. You're assuming the offliners are going to be honest about it.

[Edit] Also, I could see being offline becoming a kind of cultural prestige or aspiration, like something only rich people could do by delegating their online presence to hired guns, etc.
I love Emacs, but my editors will never touch anything that's not a docx, so Word it is...
Tradition as in there is a lot of already developed Chinese vegetarian dishes to draw from if there is to be a vegetarian resurgence. They're not popular in contemporary Chinese consumption culture but there's no need to reinvent meat.
Full name is just for a better autocomplete experience when writing comments and assigning tasks.
Also interesting that some people have one word names, I’ll keep that in mind!
Let me get this straight, you contend that we should believe that Shalizi is an unreliable source and your justification is a post on a "human bio-diversity" blog run by white supremacist and anti-semite John Fuerst amongst others.

It would be bad enough if you were linking to a rebuttal of the post on heritability linked to by the parent, but this is a blog post attacking a different post by Shalizi.

How is this in any way relevant? More importantly, why would this convince anyone that Shalizi gets heritability wrong?
1) Cryptocurrencies will largely die off, between attacks, thefts, valuation collapses, subversion, and regulation. They'll still exist in very tiny niche/underworld uses, but the word "cryptocurrency" will be so tainted that every future proposal for private electronic money transactions will call it something else—and they will include a "This Is Not Like Bitcoin" disclaimer.

2) OS X will head toward sunset for consumers. Apple will finally do what some people have been predicting for ages and transition to a desktop/laptop iOS variant for the consumer/business market. A compatibility module will let users run OS X applications for several years after. OS X (perhaps "OS Pro") will eventually be a developer's OS aimed at big machines for video effects and the like...or maybe Apple will sunset it, too, in favor of iOS Pro.

3) Python 2 use will finally die off.

4) Fusion will not happen.

5) Someone will develop a decent system for structuring web apps as local apps, so that instead of pulling down an Electron app, you just download a bundle that runs on your desktop. (The lines between web app, offline web app, and local web app will get very complicated.) 3-4 years after this happens, MS or Apple build it into their OSes.

6) Level 4/5 autonomous cars will be in testing or close enough that the legal fights, strikes, and protests will begin in earnest.

7) Americans get some sort of federal carbon tax.

8) Drones become the new CCTV.

9) The die-off is over for newspapers and magazines. Most paper publications existing today will exist in 2030. Most new news or special interest media outlets will be online, not on paper, though.

10) The die-off is also over for malls and strip centers, and while the stores will constantly change, most of the ones open today will be open in 2030.

11) Hybrids get cheaper and expand into a double-digit percentage of the US auto market.

12) Putin loses power in Russia. This will probably involve his death, if only from natural causes.
I think even ski goggle size would be fine for a lot of people. People make sacrifices for features, just look at the giant phones everyone is using.
Seems like it was about candy
I’d like to know why it took them dumping logs into hive to see the traffic came from one article.

I think these two “data scientists” were probably called webmaster or sysadmin and it took them coming in the next morning and grepping the log files. Or looking at google analytics which existed at the time. I don’t remember if real-time was free in 2010, but it could easily tell referrals and passthroughs.
Nigeria is Africa’s India, the land of unfulfilled hopes. There’s no enough political momentum to boost the economy.
In before, “This is proof positive free markets don’t work for healthcare”.

Excellent material for those interested, an actual cash only, price listed, customer facing hospital. Shiver ye comrades for the devil capitalist is and has been here.

https://www.econtalk.org/keith-smith-on-free-market-health-c...
The Xiaomi home app still works. Just no more google assistance for the time being
He's off on this one. There's still stuff life video editors or video games or 3D apps that will always make more sense to run locally.

Just the trivial apps will be moving to the cloud.
I -used- to love fireworks, but over the years it dawned on me the huge negative impacts that they have have (pollution, terrifying wildlife and pets, etc) and I'm now unable to see them as much other than an extravagant, arrogant, complete waste.

While I'm aware that there are a lot of eco-costs involved in building drones, it's nice to see alternatives to fireworks - that are at the very least are reusable.
Since when does VirtualBox crack Windows for you?
Amazon threatened to fire employees who spoke against its environmental policies
Supply-side interventions are rarely effective and often increase harm.

If you want to stop kids vaping, you first need to understand why they are vaping. Not just why they SAY they are vaping, but the actual underlying cause.

If a human brain isn't getting its pleasure chemicals from life, it will seek them out anywhere it can get them. Repeat that cycle many times and your brain learns to associate that activity with pleasure. Et voila, addiction.
you don’t really need to remember your username. Log in with email password and you can see your username from the profile screen. I added usernames as the method for team organizers to invite you to their team. Had I gone with email I’d be collecting the email addresses of people who didn’t sign up for DiscoTask, which I don’t really want to do.
Once again California lawmakers paying lip service to constituents while walking on eggshells around their SV donors. Like the bogus Net Neutrality law they passed which was all but handwritten by/for Netflix, this one doesn't do anything to actually stop the thing people want it to.

I sent in a request for information Instagram has on me and was redirected by support to the barebones list anyone can access in their settings pane for around a year now. My request to delete all information was responded to by some boilerplate stating that said information is necessary to the functionality of Instagram and they'll "delete" it when I delete my account.
Yeah, I agree. I think it would disturb a lot of people, including me.
This is a waste of time and intelligence
I'm curious what the sample size is in this study?
I don't think that's a good summary of the premise of the show. For one thing, consider the exact number of people we are told have made it, in the last 500-something years, which expands the required explanatory power well beyond the complexities of modern life.
* It will take 10000NPM packages and 3tb of JavaScript to render basic HTML in the browser.

* The DOM and other basic web standards will become a mysterious lost art. Developers who understand this arcane art will be like COBOL developers of the previous generation.

* Desire for WASM to replace JavaScript will result in shallow webpages that are hollow shells containing only a WASM instance. Accessibility will be achieved with an alternate path to a poorly updated plain text document.

* The basic web technology stack will be several layers of large frameworks each doing the same thing. This, not games or video, will drive the future growth of computer hardware acceleration.

* A junior web developer will be somebody who graduates from a two day boot camp and wields the power of copy/paste.
it constantly tries to make you to the new page. I actually have an extension to keep me on old.reddit.com. TBH I really miss Usenet. That functionality is what essentially I'm trying to get from them.
the HN echo chamber will continue to downvote valid but unpopular opinions
1. Wireless internet gets cheaper, faster and more robust across the globe. Every single device/appliance/toy sold has a ~free data chip in it and is always connected & transmitting. The internet/WWW fully absorbs every other communication and delivery network out there (phone, broadcast TV, cable, satellite, radio). They finally figure out live streaming for sports.

2. There is less ambiguity and many new laws around data security and privacy, but they aren't very consumer friendly. Digital advertising enters a new era, and current players (Google, Facebook) lag behind. Think personalized movies & TV shows, deeper product placement everywhere, preemptive shipping.

3. Cars get a lot smarter. Traffic is more efficient, and there are fewer accidents. Driverless taxis may be mainstream in certain limited areas in large cities. Level 5 automation is still nowhere in sight, however. EV adoption continues at a steady pace.

4. Cash transactions are phased out in the US and most of the developed world.

5. Marijuana is legal across the US and in most other countries.

6. Beef and pork consumption craters in the US, replaced by healthier meats, plant-based substitutes and lab-grown meat.

7. Food delivery gets cheaper and healthier. A majority of urban households get fully prepared meals delivered every day.

8. People are no longer talking about VR/AR, crypto, chatbots, artificial general intelligence, flying cars.
Overall pretty great experience with parceljs :)
Not just that, but their core business is strong. Even with the rise of Apple and Google OSes, Windows and Office is still a humongous market.
Just because the average goes down doesn't mean that existing tech hubs will have lower salaries. There are probably lots of 40k USD jobs that are not being filled because of a lack of supply in fly over country.
* A new browser-like application will emerge which uses HTTP, but neither HTML nor Javascript as its UI construct.

* Electric cars using glass batteries will start to out sell gasoline cars.

* A product with the form factor and capabilities of current smartphones will emerge that can plug into a base and replace all be the most powerful desktop computer functionality.

* Genetically designed crops grown using ocean salt water will emerge first as animal feed and later directly to human consumption.

* Somewhere a war will be caused by the encroachment of sea level.

* The superpowers will attempt to negotiate a new Antarctic treaty in anticipation of becoming reasonably warm enough to exploit for resources.

* No manned expedition to either the Moon, nor Mars. Multiple robotic expeditions to both and perhaps the gas giants' moons.

* Polarization of American politics will take a back seat to major recession (or depression) that causes nationalization of the banking system to avoid national debt default and gives rise to talk of a Constitutional Congress, not from the progressives, but from the conservatives. The congress will fail and the United States will break up into five or more separate countries.
I remember getting a vibe from diggnation before v4 launches that twitter and Facebook were taking off and digg wasn’t. There was pownce or something that was a twitterbe and the redesign tried to be what the huge socia media sites were. But that wasn’t what was cool about digg. Digg was a cleaner fark, but they wanted to be Twitter.
Location: Chicago

Remote: Yes

Willing to relocate: Not at this time, would be willing in the future

Technologies: PHP (Laravel), Python (Flask), HTML/CSS/JS, typical web dev stuff

Résumé/CV: https://peteherbst.com/resume

Email: pete [at] peteherbst [dot] com

History: Mostly full-stack web dev, focused on PHP (Laravel) and a little bit of Python with Flask.
Looking to expand myself and work on something more challenging than what I have been doing.
Digg was losing so much money and required so much infrastructure to run at the end. I wonder if the team at the time could’ve done a complete restart. I think it required a new team without the history and loyalty to old decisions to move forward. Betaworks was able to right the ship, but it was too late, the world had moved on.
I think these predictions are way too safe, to the point that they aren't predictions at all. These are all very widely accepted views already (in the tech community / HN atleast) which explains why this comment is top currently.
> I'm not even sure the client would benefit much from pipelining versus concurrent requests

Microsoft studied this when they evaluated SPDY and the found that pipelining does benefit, and scored nearly identically with SPDY (aka HTTP/2). So you don't have to guess; it does.

> If you send 100 requests to the server, and the first one is slower

That's not how pipelining worked. You still have your 6 concurrent connections, and you spread out the first 18 or so resources across them. If the first is slow then the other 82 are spread out among the other 5 connections, the page overall loads much faster, except for maybe a couple resources loading later than otherwise.

> because the client would have to know how to order requests

It's funny because Google found out that a priority inversion caused Maps to display much slower with HTTP/2 than with HTTP/1.1 because a key resource was put behind other less important data. Their proposed solution was to embed priorities into the JavaScript and let it fix the browser's guess, but I think they ended up just tweaking something specific to Maps.

But guess what, that would have worked for pipelining as well.

The problems with pipelining like the head-of-line blocking you described were largely overblown and easily fixable -- but Google didn't want to possibly because Chrome being extra fast only on google.com favored both their browser and services. Firefox was losing to Chrome, and Mozilla couldn't even take a minuscule risk for fear of losing more ground.
I like the opening quote about being on a motorcycle and being completely distraction free. A number of years ago I rode a couple thousand miles to key West from my home town in ks. That was one of the most incredible things I've ever done. I had to ride through a tropical depression, heat, cold, but mainly I just got to listen and look at scenery. I'll do it again someday!
For our benefit, shouldn't they stay on permanently? Also, how does messing up a cc equate to a bad employee? It happens all the time even in important communications. Sucks, but what can you do?
Quantum computing on aws
Usually political figures are "assassinated" people on active duty in active wars/conflicts are "killed" unless we also called the attacks on Americans in Iraq and Syria perpetrated by Iran-backed militias as "assassinations" too.
RQ is horrible. We’ve used in K Health and migrated to Celery as configuration, optimisation and monitoring where all really hard with RQ. It takes ten seconds to get started but days to get to production. Not a good trade off!
If you like ruby, checkout crystal.
Tbh this is exactly what the article is talking about :)

If an organization has the right customer focus, internal deadlines should be meaningless. Customer-focused orgs are generally better places to work overall because there is a shared sense of what is important.
Been trying to get WordPress to optimize memory usage for four years on this ticket: https://core.trac.wordpress.org/ticket/34560
"Right now, you will unhappily see "500 server error" and "white screen of death" results eventually if you, say, edit a 400K page for hundreds of revisions, even with a 256MB server memory limit. ... There are apparently three requests for all posts versions being made by the (Page) editor."

That might be some record both for inefficient coding and then for not caring much about inefficient coding and all the extra expense millions of WordPress users face to host such inefficient code? Either that or maybe few WordPress users make many edits to large pages?
Singularity.
I really enjoyed this. It is very similar to "Please, enough with the dead butterflies!" [0] I'd like to see a list of everything like this. Similar to Awesome falsehood [1] but not quite.

0: https://emilydamstra.com/news/please-enough-dead-butterflies... ( HN 1: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14460013 HN 2: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21788356 )

1: https://github.com/kdeldycke/awesome-falsehood
HTTP pipelining isn't intended to provide concurrency (and doesn't, unlike, say IMAP pipelining which allows for out of order responses). It helps with queuing, for when client to server round trip time is significant with respect to overall response time (including server response generation time). This can reduce the amount of connection idle time, at the risk of running into broken implementations.

Multiplexing (either with multiple tcp connections or http/2's tcp inside tcp construction, or quic's multiple tcp inside udp construction) addresses concurrency, and can address idle channels, depending on the amount of channels available.

As an HTTP server, it doesn't make a lot of sense to run pipelined processing, unless you're implementing a proxy and the origin servers are pretty far away from the intermediate. That way, you can keep requests flowing to the origin.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/57a08d91e5274...
>- AI based systems will start to replace humans in the more mechanical parts of the legal system. Judging traffic court cases could be one example.

This won't happen not because it can't be done. But it won't happen because someone wants to keep his job. Sort of like how the F-35 was created just to keep some jobs.
Only by pinning into the parent task (tapping the bullet point). Making this easier is on my todo list
I don't mean to sound like a blind witness fanboy, but I think teaching something effectively does require some mastery of the subject.

I also don't think it is hyperbolic say he doesn't have basic debugging skills. What qualifies as basic debugging skills? Like he isn't capable of using a debugger and introspecting code? He can't use a print statement and look at code? Debugging an E2E bottleneck is not trivial.
This a fantastic webpage.
Ok so China pork policy experts are here in the thread. Does this strike anyone else as a bit odd?
> * increasing volume of private people investing in ETFs will cause huge problems and a shift in how stock exchanges work

Can you elaborate more on this?
If John McCain or Joe Biden (VP is a very close analog here) had been killed by the Iranian military while visiting Iraq or Syria it would certainly have been termed an assassination.