skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Yeah, of my predictions, I'm probably least confident about this one.

As you say it's quite likely that there'll be fewer dominant apps installed on peoples machines. Distribution is also problematic for PWAs. Even though Twitter has an excellent PWA, very few people I know have installed it. There's also less incentive for Google / Apple to encourage the installation of PWAs over apps.

On the other hand, app development is slow and costly, so there is some incentive on apps developers to use PWAs if they can get a comparable experience and distribution. Despite there being no obvious incentive to do so, Google and Apple do appear to be supporting a good number of the PWA standards.
> - Apple and Google are still the only two mobile operating systems that matter and they are still in relatively the same position.

I don’t think this was a sure thing in 2009. Symbian still had half the market. BB had a larger share than either iOS or Android. WebOS was cool.
1. EU becomes the global super power. Western balkan states (Albania, Serbia) join the EU. Turkey does not join the EU. Poland becomes a powerhouse and Warsaw quite a global city that attracts global talent and pays super high salaries. The EU becomes the #1 destination for international students. Spain becomes a powerhouse too.

2. Some cities in Latin America and Africa experience quite a major boom that is the result of good trade relations with the EU.

3. Spanish starts replacing English as the global lingua franca.

4. Most tech unicorns are outside the US and some of them do not even care about the US market.

5. The major Canadian cities (Vancouver, Montreal, Toronto) become undesirable, nobody wants to live there and Toronto in 2020 is a crime ridden city with lots of precarious labour. Canada, in general, experiences quite a decline and is no longer considered a civilized country.

6. Privacy regulation: by the end of the decade, most software developers will have to have some sort of certification in GDPR, PCI etc. in order to be employable.

7. CQRS / ES is the software architecture winner. Statically typed FP languages win. Explainable machine learning models win. Software becomes less clunky. Users demand minimalistic UIs. On-premise threatens the cloud again and huge projects to move companies off the cloud.

8. No recession. Huge shortages of labour (plumbers, electricians, nurses, doctors etc. ). But the US grows much slower than the rest of the globe.

9. Tech solutions (e.g., capturing CO2 from air) and political will pauses global warming to a large extent.

10. The collapse of US style dating culture and online dating sites such as Tinder. The way to meet people becomes “through friends”.

11. Middle class becomes stronger and the rich stagnate. Globally and not in the US. 32 hour work week is norm if you work for a good company. 36 hour work week is norm in most civilized countries.
Since 2013 the main computer I used was the Acer C720. i3, 4 gig of RAM chromebook. Never had an issue with it. Runs as fast now as it did then.

It quit receiving updates in June of 2019.

Never understood the thought process behind this as supporting the machine is probably negligible given the platform.

I looked at other chromebook solutions, but unless I wanted to spend close to $1000 there was nothing close performance wise. There are ways of getting chromeos on the machines left behind, but it didn't interest me.

Decided to move on to a refurbished Windows 10 pro dell laptop. I do miss the safety I felt with the chromebook.
And by the way, what's with this cracked smartphone screen phenomenon?
Isn’t there an exception in US law for security and compatibility purpose, with even the ability to decompile software?

Especially if Apple doesn’t provide any way to do it legally, then they can have a chance at trying to convince a jury. I agree hosting and reselling the service is pushing the question a bit far, but it may be deemed legit depending on the jury. IANAL, obviously, just asking the question.
I've come to accept the fact that if you post some random topic in HN, within 24 hours an expert in the field will be in it if it starts to get a lot of traffic.

A recent one that comes to mind is a thread that was talking about nuclear reactors, within a few hours (I think within the first hour) someone that actually designs nuclear reactors for a living was in the thread clearing up misconceptions and answering questions.
I would think there are ways to achieve the same thing without having a monopoly.
If your /boot is on a USB drive and you set up with detached header then the disk can already be 100% random data. On the down side, that USB drive is not very deniable and the system can't be set to destroy it since you probably don't keep it connected. Still, you could boot the machine at home, put it to sleep, leave /boot at home, and wake it up whenever you've reattached this kill cord. If you absolutely need to be able to reboot, use kexec (in theory).
Imperative is orthogonal to object-ness, that doesn’t make a language multi paradigm. C++ was considered multi paradigm because it supported both OOP and procedural programming for organizing code.

Of course, these days procedural is taken for granted and drops off the radar as a notable paradigm.

The dual of imperative is declarative. It is quite possible to have a functional imperative language as Guy Steel points out in his Lambda: the ultimate imperative paper.
Looks like your typical Microsoft domain, e.g. https://www.microsoftedgeinsider.com/
There's an interesting mini-thread (3 tweets) from Dean Baker reframing patents as public debt:

https://twitter.com/DeanBaker13/status/1212394251872399361

The core idea is that government monopolies are an incentive from the government to get something done. Instead of paying companies directly, a monopoly is granted; the monopoly rents, i.e. the higher prices from reduced competition, are then foisted on the public to pay off over the duration of the patent. Structurally, this is like a debt with repayments over time.
Simulating a Comet's Journey in Lorenz Attractor with GlChAoS.P
Photo Requests from Solitary
I don’t know why you got downvoted. This is a very valid concern regarding any new tech, especially one that wraps every underlying platform under its own api and programming language.
> Oil companies begin rebranding as energy companies and pour assets into solar and wind.

This is already the case. All the oil majors are now "energy companies".
Some folk insist that HN not address mainstream news or politics, though having been here over a decade I can vouch for the fact that this didn't used to be the case.
I don’t disagree that was the situation at the time - but it doesn’t change how incorrect the prediction was :-)
I have a hard time understanding how this could possibly be seen as bullying. I have heard about his supposed tirades before but if this is the evidence for his tirades, then I am no longer in the camp of Bill was a Bully.
Targeting ads by tracking users will be banned in the EU, but micro-targeting will be possible (just pick the right influencer(s)) or might even become unnecessary.
Taxing newer, more fuel efficient vehicles is counter productive.
If its shareholder capital or debt for the generic purchase it does amplify his duty to make a return for those shareholders

Otherwise disincentivize companies limited by shares from being a part of these transactions
Gary Marcus has articulated it much better than I could in his new book with Ernie Davis: https://www.amazon.com/Rebooting-AI-Building-Artificial-Inte...

I really dislike the single minded focus on deep learning to the exclusion of everything else.
I've tied my shoes very similar to that for many years. The only difference is I only pull the bunny ears through the hole. Not the lace ends.

https://www.fieggen.com/shoelace/secureknot.htm
Reminds me a bit of the old web ring concept. I like your idea better.
I hate that companies do this. I get why they might do this to avoid red tape but it just piles on the phishing / scamming possibilities for people who dont know better.
Some Musings About The Awesome Price Bitcoin Can Reach in the Future
Is there a phenomenon? If anything I feel like about five years ago nearly every phone I saw in the wild had a cracked screen and now it's far fewer, but my sample bias probably also changed with age.
Hah and will it really be cracked in the same spot for every single person?
SEEKING WORK | EU or Asia | Remote and onsite

Tech: PHP, JS, Python, SysAdm (Linux)

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/miloszorica/

Mail: milozo@yandex.com
I haven’t implemented the Postgres solution yet. It’s on my todo, but I will likely implement it myself, i.e. without a package.
People like glass phone screens but drop them on the floor by accident and it cracks. I don't think it's any more complicated than that. Perhaps it also projects some aloofness and coolness, the way torn and worn jeans are fashionable.
I have been thinking about doing this with an old macbookpro where the display died. Any tips/guides on how to make this 'machine' be just a remote keyboard/trackpad to another machine (namely a i5k iMac)
Netflix was a streaming platform in 2007.

https://arstechnica.com/uncategorized/2007/01/8627/

By 2009, they had 12,000 movies up for streaming, and Netflix-compatible devices were advertised heavily in stores, with Best Buy including Netflix apps on their store-brand devices.

https://www.cnet.com/news/netflix-compatible-video-devices-c...
1. Central banks will continue to exercise more control of their economies - and market busts as we know them will be mostly a thing of the past (specifically their magnitude).

2. A reusable rocket will land on Mars, though I think it will be unmanned. There will be a very small and permanent manned presence on the moon.

3. Global CO2 emissions will steady out during the decade. (Not increased or reduced significantly).

4. The effect of autonomous vehicles: The price of car insurance will rise significantly, and human driving will begin to be priced out in favor of the safer alternative.
This reminds me of IPSA (Independent Postal System of America) which I have vague memories of. I think they lasted until some time into the 1970s.
So you consider proactive social justice (such as hiring more women and diversity training) to be analogous to the Holocaust?

Swastikas make Jews feel unsafe because Nazis kill Jews (even today).

Diversity training and social justice are not killing anyone, nor are they anti-anyone.

"When you are used to privilege, equality feels like oppression." Not sure who said that, but it seems applicable to your mindset here.
bzr may have done it already, disregarding the fact that build version != source version.
I too migrated from Trello to Restyaboard. Restyaboard is a brilliant free tool and I've been experiencing it among other tools and it has some great features and ideas there! Restyaboard is an excellent free Trello alternative https://restya.com/board/comparison.
Also dwitter.net
Hang on. If you're counting things where only one or two people are shot, there is very often no intent to shoot more than that. You can't use that data point by itself to talk about the "success" of school shooters. And those smaller incidents are definitely not what I think of when I hear the words "school shooting".

> 50 people killing 3 kids each isn't somehow safer than 25 people killing 4 kids each.

But you have to treat people killing 2 kids in a completely different way from people that are killing 20. Drills, lockdown procedures, almost all gun limitations... those don't do anything against a single murder.
Nah, this guy is just a psychopath.

"I think it is a moral requirement to make money when you can," Mulye told the Financial Times, "to sell the product for the highest price."

He's practically trolling people with the memtion of Shkreli.
Sure, but there's no way that would lead to market dominance. It will perhaps be the highest profit product and a market leader, but plenty of other options are good enough for a healthy market to exist.

And TBH I think the obsession with a burger replacement is some American thing, here they are used for replacing meat (mostly minced meat) in all kinds of foods. I'm not sure I've even tried a fake-meat burger yet.
Well, yes and no - it is a slightly modified version, the 6510, so in that sense, yes. But in another sense, no, because what did they do, when they found themselves in need of a CPU? They used an existing design. That's pretty much what "off the shelf" means.

The VIC-II would count as custom hardware, I should think, as it sounds as if it was designed specifically for the C64. Same as the Amiga stuff was designed by the Amiga team for use in their computers. And same as the ARM CPU (and the other bits) were designed by Acorn for use in theirs.
Monte Πthon – Monte Carlo, Π, and 8 Lines of Python
As I understand, Digg the original company was killed and drained of blood. The company that acquired the rights to digg.com as a result then re-launched it. The original Digg, the company, is long dead and buried.
> And that's the price we pay for anyone being able to buy their own domain and run their own secure site.

No, that's the price we pay for using a name resolution system from the 80's (70's?) that was not built with trust validation in mind,decoupled from the infrastructure we use to establish domain ownership and authority. And also without user friendliness or of a layman's ability to independently validate authority in mind. e.g.: reverse order of hierarchy where in english you read left to right but dns has least authoritative/lowest level on the left and most authoritative on the right,why would I evaluate trust worthiness of site.com if 'secure' is evaluated first in secure.site.com (another example:google.com.site.info).

Cracked foundations make shaky buildings.
Same with leaning. Add one more line of code and tweak the draw call:

var ylean = (input.leftright*(i/screenwidth-0.5) + 0.5) * screendata.canvas.height / 4;
DrawVerticalLine(i, heightonscreen+ylean, hiddeny[i]+ylean, map.color[mapoffset]);

It adds a lot to the "feeling" IMO :)
It's a pretty common problem many experience for some period. Explaining a problem which "is easy to avoid" and coupling it with another you've already experienced "that made using my phone harder" reinforces the idea "this could happen to you".
Interviews reveal how The Beatles couldn't work it out
Question on the book itself: as a 20 year vim user, is it a good book to learn Emacs?
It is cool because it really disintermediates powerful entities. Maybe the first iteration of digital money/assets is not that efficient, but that could also be argued for many other innovative technologies.

What is groundbreaking is the concept of P2P value exchange. And that's what bitcoin really is, still a young PoC that will surely evolve or get superseded by a 2.0 tech.

The genie is out of the bottle....
How do you connect the two?
It is famously also one of the only well-known startups where the initial version was built by offshore outsourcers, like "exception which only highlights the rule that outsourcing sucks".
Or a necessary counterbalance to Seumas Milne. It all depends on your point of view.
This will happen, and cause lot of pain around the world.
I think the article covers that in detail:

> Is there any way to stop this? No, not really. [...] There are no technical gatekeepers to keep us safe. We have to rely on our own wits

He is pointing out that this a danger to be aware of, and that the only thing we can do is be careful not to fall for it
$25 x86 Computer: Is It Worth It?
This mindset does not make sense to me. People already pay for local schools (K-12), even if they have no children. They already pay for a local library, even if they never use it. People pay for services that benefit others all the time - why should health be any different?
> key is to detect big events like this before they become undeniable common knowledge

But it’s not even enough to know before it’s common knowledge, don’t you have to know before investors with big pockets know (and buy, and drive up the price)? That’s a taller order since those investors have people whose job it is to know this stuff well before it becomes common knowledge.
I'm Indian, so some of my predictions are about India.

# Global Issues

1. More pervasive surveillance states across the world.

2. Even more polarized politics across the world, with major riots between factions, i.e. hundreds dead as a result.

3. More Indian cities with unbreathable air. More toxic pollutants make it into our food-chain, and hundreds of millions of Indians and Chinese will find themselves unable to escape the rather drastic consequences.

3. Antibiotic resistant diseases are way more common, all because of how animals are farmed in the developing world.

4. The problem of corruption (esp. India) still has no end in sight.

5. China to be the de facto owner of many countries.

# Sci/Tech

1. Intel/AMD/Nvidia, Android/iOS will remain as dominant as they are now. But Android will borrow some features from Fuchsia.

2. China and India continue to install GW-scale solar energy farms.

3. Lab-grown meat available at your local grocery.

4. More electric car brands manufactured across the world.

5. Neural network will become more ubiquitous, often going hand-in-hand with IoT.
Ah indeed! Yes, that tiny machine may struggle.
> Shift-reduce conflicts in parsing seem to be resolved using rand()

Ha!
two questions immediately coming to mind:

1. can one build a viable rocket engine out of an array of these? if it runs on IR, can one reuse the heat it generates to improve its own efficiency?

2. can one build a handheld/mounted particle beam weapon with these?
It can depend, but it's pretty rare for common stock to be worth anything under an acquihire.
Often people who support breaking Law A will nonetheless oppose breaking Law B, not because they're hypocrites but because they consider A unjust and B just.

If one could either choose between supporting all laws or opposing all laws with nothing in between, the history of civil disobedience would be different indeed!
I second the suggestion of a trucker's hitch. A ratcheting knot can be useful in this situation, but IMO what you're really after is a mechanical advantage. The trucker's hitch gives you a mechanical advantage by using a loop in the rope as a pulley. There are a number of ways to make the loop and it doesn't really matter which one you use. This video gives a pretty nice explanation.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=raTYwsfnsXg

Once you cinch the load down using your mechanical advantage, you can use any number of knots (ratcheting or not) to secure it.
Reminds me of https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghoti
I wonder if the current environment around tech will mean the predictions this time are more for status quo and for doom and gloom or slow declines.
Ask HN: What is your advice for investor meeting?
I have a meeting with an investor this week.
I applied for accelerators and incubators, but never discussed my startup with an investor.

What is your advice?
it will be an online meeting.
I feel that would be comparing apples to oranges. A lot of the stuff he talks about in the article is about emacs as an editor, and not specific to restructured text. Whereas R bookdown is a package for converting complex R markdown into books (via pandoc). By the way, I believe there are packages now for using R markdown in emacs, though I haven't tried any of them myself - R studio's support for R markdown is just too good to consider a switch. (On the other hand I use emacs exclusively for latex)

If you want to compare restructured text with R markdown, then they are simply different tools for different problems. If you want to embed code/figures/tables directly in the writing, R markdown is difficult to beat. Personally I would tend to prefer writing in either latex or markdown, but my reason is similar to the author's: I know latex and (R) markdown much better than I know restructured text.
How app development can empower the healthcare industry in the coming years?
Maybe they want to warn other people?
People with depression feel better after listening to sad music
It was already a thing, Node launched earlier in 2009 and there had been quite a bit of talk about it on HN already.
This mindset does not make sense to me. People already pay for local schools (K-12), even if they have no children. They already pay for a local library, even if they never use it. They pay for a local fire department, even if their house never burns down. They pay for a local police station, even if they are never the victim of a crime.

People pay for services that benefit others all the time - why should health be any different?
The rise and fall of the Hummer, America’s most needlessly masculine vehicle
Thank you for posting a salary range.
>Why does the new company not approach the lead engineer and the selected employees directly?

I'm guessing it's because tech is a small-ish world and no acquiring company wants to burn bridges (with the VCs) by doing that.
I feel like people who find headlines like this repulsive have never dealt with complex moral issues or taken a moral philosophy class.

As i mention frequently, i was in US nuclear navy. Its self-regulated. The DOE and NRC dont come and inspect the nuclear warships being run by 22 year old kids. This is possible almost entirely due to cultural reasons. A huge portion of initial and periodic training is devoted to integrity and aligning morality.

"Moral" is a subtly toxic word because it has some vague equivalence with being nice, but in reality they are totally orthogonal. If your friend is doing bad things as a nuclear sailor and you know his family is living paycheck to paycheck, sometimes the moral thing is to get him in trouble so he loses half months pay X 2 months.

For a more direct comparison, when natural disasters happen, most groceries are prohibited from raising prices for moral reasons - how could it be right to charge people more for water when they dont have any? The answer, that requires you to turn away people seeking clean water, is that if you dont raise prices the water will likely run out because people who didnt really need it were buying it just because.
A thread of rating every horse emoji: https://twitter.com/jelenawoehr/status/1191872816372600832?l...
Control algorithms are a part of the problem. What about input data? There's nothing that comes close to NNs in answering a question, say, "Is there pedestrian ahead and what he/she will probably do?"

A control system doesn't need to be end-to-end neural, by the way.
My First Experience Working from Home
I found that post aggressive, biased, and kinda missing GP's point.
Yes, but that's obvious.
People buy expensive phones, drop them/don't treat them like they're expensive, and then can't afford to replace them.
The Denmark/Germany land border check has been there for around 5 years and is still operating.
The Decade of the Raspberry Pi
A good deal of that cost is due to private insurance. The free market approach has resulted in middlemen inserting themselves into the healthcare pipeline and leech dollars from consumers.

It isn't the only reason, but it is one of the biggest.
Yeah I think CS50 is too basic. The C part is interesting though, has some minor projects that worth working on. For anyone who has some programming experience (whatever language), I think CS61A is a better course.

I really wish there is a course that uses C (like first 4-5 classes in CS50) and uses C ONLY and then go as deep as possible, similar to CS61A, but apparently on other topics (one system programming project?)
Tech Jobs That Employers Struggle to Hire For
It basically replaced voting with a ballot with voting with your pocketbook.

Which essentially means the rich have more votes.

That's the biggest weakness I see.