skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Competition for resources is only one human behavior. In nature, it is carefully balanced not to disrupt the stability of the well functioning community that all primates must have at all times to survive.

Being social animals, another more critical instinct is the need to cooperate. Indeed, eliminating cooperation from a human group will extinguish it faster than eliminating competition (assuming it's even possible). And when people have a choice in the matter, pecking order is based on amount of support the higher up people provide to the group, not the leaders ability to serve himself: people do not knowingly and freely back someone who has no interest in backing them.

Also instinctive is the sense of fairness[1] Of course those with an abundance of resources might want to convince others that this instinct is unnatural or somehow harmful. But it is clearly a well established instinct over a wide range of mammals and exists for a reason.

And while the meaning of life varies greatly from person to person, I suspect that a life lived solely to maximize one's own resources will be as comfortable as it feels meaningless. I image evolution has made it that way. At least so people will have children but also to work fairly with others. Otherwise we would have wandered completely alone in the jungles and been eaten out of existence by Pliocene tigers.

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=meiU6TxysCg&feature=youtu.be...
I think this adverse relationship only exists in the US, where you can be fired at the drop of a hat.

In a country with actual labor protections the way to protect the companies’ interest is often dramatically different.
I believe Corellium also has customers that find it useful that they can test their apps on previous versions of iOS, an entirely legitimate service that is quite difficult to find elsewhere.
Which Emoji Scissors Close?
Things will keep getting better and better.

Worldwide poverty will continue to decline.

Infant mortality will continue to shrink.

Electronics will continue to get cheaper and provide more value.

We'll live longer and be healthy longer.

Pretty much an extension of the last decade.
I suppose the simple answer to your question is that, you don't find musicians posting on fora asking about unhealthy work-life balance -- despite the fact that the average working musician's schedule is insane. We get these questions as programmers because there is a schism between the "rockstar programmer" who is obsessed with programming and the 9-5 joe who is looking to make a 6 figure salary in an office. They irony is that the 9-5 is much more likely to be promoted than the rockstar simply because they are more likely to value people skills over technical skills.

But it's funny, because I mentored a person once who was really upset about the fact that he couldn't compete against the top technical people on the team. He didn't want to put the hours in to get to the next level and somehow felt that it shouldn't be necessary. I kept trying to tell him that he should focus on things that he enjoyed rather than trying to be the best at something he didn't want to do. Nobody needs a team completely full of obsessed programmers. There are lots of other ways to provide value to the team. However it was absolutely useless.

Anyway, it's a thing you've got to work out in your own head and according to your own values. But you can't be upset when you don't get the rewards for the path that you didn't choose.
From reading their documents, I really like the design of Pulsar. However, Kafka has been working so well for us and has much better integration with other components of our stack (Flink, Spark, NiFi, etc) that there's no compelling reason to switch.

I think Pulse should really focus on the integration with the rest of the Apache stack if they want to gain traction.
>Because acquihires are “star” oriented, if you’re a senior

>leaders who doesn’t explicitly refuse to move forward,

>pressure will converge on you from all sides: investors, the

>team wanting to return to stable employment, and the non-

>participating leadership team who all want you to commit so

>they can move on to new things for themselves.

That's not pressure, that's leverage. Demand a better deal and let them know you're prepared to walk and sink the ship.
As I remember pre the redesign of the Digg front page, it was controlled by "Diggers" who were being paid by blogs and brands for the traffic (Digg.com could deliver 100k>1m+ visitors a post with the right content angles). The redesign was to take back control of the homepage results and be able to charge brands for the exposure. Once the users realised they had little sway in getting a post to the front page they left.
> Now that Google is advertising Chrome on billboards here in the UK, all that can be safely predicted about the browser market is that it'll be extremely competitive.

It's rather interesting to see how the web went from IE dominating, to Chrome doing essentially the same. Looks like predicting such a growth was farfetched.

Funny to see that the prediction of IE sticking around was mostly right. I long for the day that IE11 will mostly be gone.
I was working on things adjacent to data journalism at the time, which helped!

If anything, this has come much more true than I anticipated. I hadn’t got as far as Cambridge Analytica.
Jacquesm's comment on Musk is quite accurate

"

Edit: if there is a way to work Elon Musk in there somewhere that would be good, I have a feeling he's going to make some big waves in the next 10 years but I haven't a clue how.

"
It doesn't matter if there are SOME self-driving cars on the road in 2030, or if they're level 4 or level 5. [1]

What matters is if they're economically feasible by 2030, and say have 100M or 1B customers. Is Waymo bigger than what Google search is now, or another self-driving company bigger than Facebook?

My answer is no for consumer applications, e.g. rideshare. I wrote in this thread:

Self-driving cars won't impact the average consumer in the next 10 years. It will continue to be cheaper to operate rideshares with human drivers in most parts of the world and most terrains/climates. It will make sense for commercial applications though.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21942100

[1] There are people in this thread arguing that this has already been achieved. I don't agree, but if the threshold is one car demonstrating one thing, then meh I might not argue.
Can we get the link replaced with an HTTPS one (https://news.mit.edu/2020/model-how-strong-knot-0102)?
His linkedin page, however, declares:

> Global Head of International Relations

> Jul 2012 – May 2019

> Head of Government Affairs, Asia Pacific

> Jan 2010 – Jul 2012

> Head of Government Affairs, Western US

> Mar 2008 – Dec 2009

Who does the global head report to? Deputy Vice President of International relations?
Did they come up with an architecture which can route around any defect? Probably not. Now, granted, 90% of their chip is probably dedicated to compute, but I'd bet there's some management infrastructure where they absolutely cannot tolerate a defect.
Amazon is 8 years older than K&J Magnetics...but sure
Ex-unicorn stocks are tanking in a post-WeWork world
One thing that always really bugged me about the "the language will figure it out" philosophy is the complete disregard towards carbon footprint.

Like yeah, you can make an interpreted dynamic language that's pretty neat, but you can also make something like go, swift, or Julia that jits and also captures 90% of that ease of use while significantly reducing your hosting costs/energy consumption.

Going forward I think static compiler inference will be the future of language design. Either for safety like in rust or for convenience like in swift.

And we can already see pitfalls in the interpreted world of python where the wrong implementation, like using a loop instead of numpy, can lead to devastating performance impacts. Looking forward, something like this seems as outdated as having to manage your 640k of executable space in DOS: an unreasonable design constraint caused by the legacy implications of the day.

My prediction is 10 years from now we'll look at interpreters and language VMs as relics from a simpler time when clockrates were always increasing and energy was cheap.
Do you have a link to the eks networking bug?
Aren't autonomous vehicles supposed to be a huge boon to rideshare companies?
Right, that's probably it then. Yeah a concentrated edible would be interesting.
I wrote a somewhat performance oriented web server some years ago, and wondered whether I should implement pipelining.

My conclusion was that pipelining is unusable in HTTP 1.x, and a potentially harmful behaviour for the server.

See, the problem is that there is no way in HTTP 1.x to map server responses to client requests. That is why the server has to send responses in the same order it received requests. This is disastrous for the server, because it means each response should be buffered until it can be sent at its correct order.
If you send 100 requests to the server, and the first one is slower to compute than the others, then you effectively need to buffer 99 responses until the first one finishes to send everything.
I'm not even sure the client would benefit much from pipelining versus concurrent requests, because the client would have to know how to order requests so that a GET for a big image does not block the whole pipeline because it was made before the small images.

If there was a way in HTTP 1.x to identify which response is for which request, then the server would be able to send responses in any order it can, and it would have been usable.
I spied a positive comment about R in there!
Here are mine:

Mobile devices: the dominant mobile device form factor will be a smaller (about 1.8 x 3.2 inches), more egg-shaped device that will fit more comfortably within a person's palm. It will be designed for one-handed operation through tactile gestures across the edge using fingers and regular thumb operation on the touch screen. It will be thicker (about 0.25 inches) but less denser than current devices.
I got in to one of those trials when someone posted the sign up link on HackerNews and I applied. If you're near Baltimore you could see if you are a match for any of their current studies: https://hopkinspsychedelic.org/

Other in process research studies:
https://maps.org/other-psychedelic-research/211-psilocybin-r...
https://fortune.com/2017/12/16/satellites-commodity-trading-... It's been awhile and I can't find the original but this one is pretty close.
1. As a result of worsening urban/rural political divide, the inhabitants of cities will start to believe they have more in common with fellow urbanites from different nations than with ruralites from their own nation. Major cities will begin to engage in diplomacy with each other directly and, probing the limits of their sovereignty, engage in informal treaties and lightweight alliances (of an economic and social sort, rather than militarily). A small number of vocal denizens will begin to associate with an emergent trans-national urban cultural identity and distance themselves from the traditional cultural identity of their broader country.

2. The career of software development/programming will be soundly commoditized. In 2020 dollars, expected salaries across the industry in 2030 will be $40k for entry-level, $65k for mid-level, $90k for senior; pure tech companies will offer slightly more, say 30%. Programmers making $150k+, though far from unheard of, will be rare and have extremely specialized skillsets. No new career will have emerged as "the next software development" in the sense of providing the same kind of wide-ranging economic opportunity.

3. Partly as a result of #2, class mobility in the United States will stagnate, leading to increasing political unrest over wealth inequality. Absolute levels of wealth inequality will have worsened relative to 2020, with an even smaller percentage of the population controlling even more of the total wealth.

4. By 2030, no major government will have yet implemented anything other than token attempts at curbing greenhouse emissions. Civil unrest will begin to take on an ecological bent, both peaceful and violent, and by 2030 we will not be strangers to the phrase "domestic eco-terrorism".

Dear me from ten years from now: here's to hoping that some of this pessimism was unwarranted...

EDIT: Before my edit window closes for the decade, I'd like to think of at least something positive to predict... how about this: open source computing hardware will exist and be publicly available, although by no means ubiquitous or even common outside of techie circles. It will be relatively expensive and much lower in performance than even the commodity hardware of 2020, but its deliberately simpler design will make it easier to verify for correctness (in the has-the-NSA-compromised-this sense) and possible for small scale fabs to reasonably produce. Oh, one more thing: satellite internet will be readily available, and have horrible latency, but will otherwise be really cool.
Thank you! There are still lessons to be learned from the early data journalism community, which is what got me thinking about this at the time; Craigslist eating classified advertising and Facebook eating display created this kind of apocalyptic burst of desperate creativity which didn’t save news but pointed in a bunch of important directions which haven’t been fully followed up.
Can you please elaborate? I just adopted RQ a few weeks ago and is working fine for me (a few days before launch) with a couple thousand queries (1-2 jobs per 5 seconds) but a ton of connections (both making and taking jobs). Any advice?

I'm thinking that after we go to prod, I'll move to celery and MQ overtime.
What does Disney joining FAANG mean? It's acquired?
Checkout all the threads @ 知乎, China's Quora. And it's been all over China's news and social media since the beginning.

https://www.zhihu.com/search?type=content&q=%E9%9D%9E%E6%B4%...
I don't really understand your argument here, and I definitely don't understand your ire. Apple releases an OS, which anyone can download, without any authorization, from their website, seemingly for free... these downloads aren't even encrypted. Corellium developed an emulator for Apple's hardware that, if you load an Apple OS onto it, can run that OS. As Apple allows anyone, without any kind of authorization to just download the OS from their website, it would seem like Corellium should be able to make this emulator, no? This emulator product doesn't actually compete with any service or technology that Apple provides except maybe the small handful of research devices that Apple is willing to hand to a very very very small number of blessed bug bounty program members, and that's (frankly) a stretch.
That's the world wide statistic. The chance that a pork farmer lost all his livestock in China is pretty high.
While not exclusively macro, the podcast Econtalk regularly explores macroeconomic issues. https://www.econtalk.org/

The host has a libertarian bias but is pretty upfront about it so you know where he's coming from. I don't agree with him on everything but his podcast is almost always interesting.
* Planet Nine discovered/spotted
* No evidence for Dark matter WIMP theory
* Firefox switches to blink
https://www.ribbonfarm.com/2009/10/07/the-gervais-principle-...
At the executive level, your options are typically people who've never had embarassing failures or people who've never accomplished much in the first place. Kurian was the head of product at Oracle at the beginning of their cloud efforts - but he was also the head of product at Oracle, bringing a level of enterprise experience and credibility that Google Cloud has historically been in desperate need of.
If anything I wrote has been original, it would have been a big red flag :-)
Been using bowlines for safety(fire dept) and sailing 35yrs. Never ever ever seen a proper bowline "shake loose". Can tie it weakside one-handed, upside down, behind my back, in the dark, underwater, while brushing my teeth.
My two:

There will be a phone virus similar to conficker/iloveyou which will exploit millions of android phones/smart devices on a huge scale.

IPV6 will become the de-facto for phones relatively early on in 2020s. There will be a push to try and move devices to have dirty connections to the internet (ie. no more routers) for home users and laptops, followed by PCs (potentially with 5g USB dongles per-device). This is seen as logical, but is it really just a way to track/identify people more easily and they are pushing for it, for this reason, in the UK already.
That'll be a lonely hill to die on. We in California collectively decided that theft under $950 is not a big deal and should be fought less vigorously: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_California_Proposition_47
The only serious engine I know of that's written in Java is Minecraft and its performance problems are notorious.

Microsoft XNA and Unity's .net support were also pretty popular but the popular games written in those languages (like Bastion) didn't have many heavyweight assets or allocator pressure.
This one came true: The post-PC decade. The evolution of SmartPhones, set tops, cloud computing and other mobile devices is going to make the PC redundant for most people. By the end of this decade I could see the PC being exclusively a business tool or power user tool. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1026022
Communities Experimenting with Mesh Networks
Charts showing current trends in US venture capital
Just use Celery. I know several teams who made the, in hindsight, very poor choice of using RQ. By the time you realize it’s a bad decision it’s very hard to get out of.

Unless your use case is absurdly simple, and will always + forever be absurdly simple, then celery will fit better. Else you find yourself adding more and more things on top of RQ until you have a shoddy version of Celery. You can also pick and choose any broker with Celery, which is fantastic for when you realize you need RabbitMQ,
- An Uber or Lyft style company will launch remotely piloted drone-cars.

- Remote pilots will be multiplexed among vehicles; intervening to navigate "tricky" areas, while allowing autonomous driving for simple highway stretches.

- Self-driving cars will be able to request remote-pilot assistance to navigate "tricky" areas.
Cost to the insurance/patient skyrockets because the hospital has better leverage.

This is the real reason for rising healthcare costs.

Pro tip: go to a smaller clinic or hospital and save $$
HN will split.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025709

Didn't happen! Kudos to @dang and the HN staff for keeping the site going for a decade !!
Given last months UK elections I see it more likely that UK health care changes towards the US
Wow, I doubt any of those things will happen in the next decade aside from batteries getting cheaper and electric cars becoming more common. I hope many of them do though!

Edit: and possibly Texas turning blue by 2030.
Upcoming EOL
They run virtualised iOS for you without having licensed it from Apple.
105 books?! That's some impressive dedication.
* due to increased energy efficiency and energy harvesting, nightly charging of personal devices becomes obsolete, devices are charged every two weeks or so or before long trips

* increasing volume of private people investing in ETFs will cause huge problems and a shift in how stock exchanges work

* many European cities ban personal cars from their centers while fully self-driving cars remain very limited in scope and use

* hunger is no longer an issue. Poor people struggle to have access to carbon-neutral products

* meat production from livestock is more than halved in developed countries

* AR devices become ubiquitous, but in a completely new form factor
I'm going to try to name some less mentioned predictions here:

- Smartphones/Tablets doubling as low power desktops/laptops will gain traction

- ARM and RISC-V will gain influence in desktops and servers, not that it will matter because CPU architecture will be abstracted out even more

- FPGAs will come more commonplace, and we will get better HDLs and hardware development workflows. Startups will capitalize on it, disrupting the hardware industry, but we won't see any real damage to the incumbents until after 2030

- Transistor architecture gains will slow down but still chug along and improve well beyond our expectations

- HDDs won't die yet

- Google Cloud will die

- Image recognition AI will become far more useful and more commonplace

- Carbon recapture will become big business

- VR arcades will be a thing

- The US political parties will no longer be Democrat and Republican, but something else.

- Starlink will go online after a few upsets, and catalyze a few major economic and political disruptions.

- China will "break apart" but be just as dominant

- Electric vehicles will become far more commonplace, and we will see some "Cash for clunkers" type incentives around the world, and it will disrupt the used car market.

- Tesla will have multiple brands: Tesla (premium brand similar to Chrysler/Cadilac); Cyber car themed brand; and an economy brand. They will also get into the Carbon Recapture market as an acquisition

- Multiple tech CEOs will run for president

- Recycling/trash will become a global crisis

- Increased tourism to Antarctica
Articles that spend more time telling you how to feel about things instead of reporting on them should not be categorized as news.
Location: NYC metro
Remote: Yes
Willing to relocate: Yes
Technologies: Python (Django, Flask), Angular, React
Résumé/CV: www.tmk.name

-----------

My dream is to work for a non-profit, social organization, charity, library, university, social research, government - I am not inspired by the FAANG grind, I want to spend my working life helping others.

I am a full-stack developer with internship experience. I am not married to web development, I love learning and tackling challenges, so let me know what you are working on and how I help.

I am finishing my senior semester in university. I am looking for a full-time opportunity starting in June.
SEEKING WORK | Las Vegas, NV | Remote possible

Technologies: Microsoft stack - C#, ASP.NET, EF, more (please ask)...

Resume: https://www.linkedin.com/in/joemayo/

Email: jmayo -at- mayosoftware.com

Open to contract work. Part-time/temporary is fine.
> Amazon spent most of its existence spending nearly as much or more money than it made

Bezos, like many other founders, is allergic to paying taxes.

So that is one of the reasons everything was spent on growth. Essentially he used the public to fund his company.

(He was already a millionaire from working in finance.)
It is going to be expected that most of these predictions were going to be wrong, that is OK. What surprises me is how almost ALL of them were. This is not better than how the average Joe in the street or the proverbial monkey with the typewriter would have fared. Well, perhaps they would have done it a little bit better.
I disagree strongly on number 6. Offliners would be as popular as people who still carry flip phones and lecture you about it. You can’t become mainstream without some kind of media. Vegans talk about veganism all the time on social media. That’s why everyone knows about it.
Is anybody trying to make the claim that more CO2 means more droughts? Because I find that to be an extraordinary claim that demands extraordinary evidence.
> ... a mighty lewd book, but yet not amiss for a sober man once to read over to inform himself in the villainy of the world.

Ha! The original "reading it for research"!
Urgh. Thanks. We'll switch back to the original URL.
Do you use Dramatiq or Celery? Do either fix zombie tasks/zombie workers?
If that’s the only way you can pirate Windows, then I think Microsoft would definitely go after them.
I'd like to see some objective analysis and references to back up this claim.