skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Ill bite. This will not happen, cost will be too restrictive even if it is technologically possible
Thank you for making intriguing predictions that aren't about FANG, software stack, etc :)
> Donald Trump will (unfortunately) be elected again in 2020

And lose the popular vote again.
Location: Vancouver, BC Canada
Remote: Yes
Willing to relocate: Yes (Anywhere in Canada/US)
Technologies: Javascript, React, NodeJS, ExpressJS, Jest, HTML5, CSS3, PostgreSQL, MongoDB, Jest
Résumé/CV: https://resume.creddle.io/resume/731ed6e0sa
Email: scottappleton09@gmail.com

Recent graduate looking for entry level opportunities in Web Development. Experienced in both front and back-end.
Here are mine:

- Smartphones become a relic of the past, and are replaced by wearables

- Onboard processing becomes non existent, and is replaced by low latency decentralized networks (a little like stadia)

- Changes in climate ensure that the way we live our lives, and living in bunkers becomes popular

- privacy doesn't matter as much as it did before

- the US becomes displaced by China as the hegemon, but the designation doesn't matter as much anymore

- The world as a whole moves away from manufacturing physical goods to digital 'goods' and services.
Every single time I've fallen in love with a new Google product, they have sunsetted it. It's probably not a fair comparison, but it's the reason you couldn't get me to touch Flutter with a 12 foot pole today.
I’m out of the US right now and I had to present my passport (or passport number) three times before I could board: once while checking in online^, a scan when dropping my bag, and then a third time in person when boarding the aircraft.

^ (and I’m pretty sure entering my number at checkin is the critical one that’s matched against any important lists, right?)
You might be interested in our project at Mozilla, Hubs [1]. It’s focused on multi user avatar communication in mixed media spaces, and supports VR for the reasons you mention.

Next year, we will be releasing a version that makes it easy to run your own custom server on cloud providers. Our thesis is that this will open up a lot of use cases, especially for enteprises.

[1] hubs.mozilla.com
To be fair, when I ctrl+f Bitcoin in my actual life there’s also 0 results.
The term AI winter usually refers to the late-80s collapse in AI funding after the technology of the time (particularly expert systems and Japan's "fifth generation computer" project) failed spectacularly to live up to the hype.

Before that, there were other downturns in AI funding after early technology turned out not to pan out so well. For example, the late 60s' effort at machine translation.
If it only comes online to do updates then might as well wait for it to update I guess.
5. I'd expect various bricks-and-mortar cinema chains to go bust or amalgamate, thanks to online distribution and 8K TV.
Guessing you meant cease to exist here, but also seizing the intellectual property of Bell Labs seemed to work out in the 1956 consent decree:

The Bell System was obligated to license all its patents royalty free, and it was barred from entering any industry other than telecommunications.

...

Although the 1956 consent decree was not effective in ending market foreclosure, it permanently increased the scale of US innovation.

https://voxeu.org/article/how-antitrust-enforcement-can-spur...
Civil liberty and rule of law are orthogonal mostly. China has used a decade to make most court cases publicly accessible through internet, all corporation and their holding/debt status similarly accessible, a host of other governmental information available. While there are still a significant amount of corruption, the law enforcement would have been at most transparent in history. Civil Liberty is on a different track however, with laws obstructing such being enforced.
I think the point of the prediction is that the new, slower language would be more expressive. More natural-language-like. That doesn't describe JS.
> How is this any different from a company that would sell you a preconfigured hackintosh?

The difference is that Corellium is very explicitly doing this to promote interoperability. Adversarial interoperability is a good thing for the market, and copyright laws generally recognize this. If DMCA 1201 does not, that's a problem with the law - not with what this firm did.
In 1989, I did an internship with Imprimis, which was later sold to Seagate.

I worked in the Manufacturing Engineering group, and specifically with the Engineers behind the “Wren” line of hard drives. IIRC, up to the Wren V, they had problems with the lubricant sometimes overheating and leaking out of the spindle onto the platters. When the hard drive spun down, the heads would be glued to the media by the lubricant, thus resulting in stiction.

They developed a “thermalwriter“ test process for the drives to put them through heat conditions way beyond what they might experience in the field, and then developed lubricants that could withstand the heat. They were very proud of this process. But there were still lots of old drives out there.

One of the things the clean room would sometimes do is take hard drives from important clients and try to recover them. I saw a lot of nasty failures, many of which were a result of inappropriate techniques being applied to try to temporarily free the heads.

There was a lot of FUD at the time on what would later be called “The Internet”, so one of my first contributions to the community was to take the knowledge of the engineers at the company and developed a FAQ that I posted to the various USENET newsgroups, on the right — and wrong — ways to try to address this issue in the field.

Sometimes I wonder if that FAQ ever survived.
We tried this at WakaTime and it didn't scale well. We also tried https://github.com/closeio/tasktiger but the only ones that work for us are based on RabbitMQ:

Celery<4.0

https://github.com/Bogdanp/dramatiq
>> This doesn't seem too different from a cloud hosting provider selling VMs running cracked copies of Windows.

Alright, so I’m not going crazy, then. I added an edit to my first post making the comparison to a company selling preconfigured hackintoshes. It’s literal theft and resale in a different package.

That they had the balls to even do this, especially to the extent you are talking about, is shocking.
Wow, I think almost every one of these is wildly unrealistic :)

1. Third parties are desperately needed but the rules are stacked way too hard against them. And there’s not nearly enough true dissatisfaction in both parties to see a new one overcome.

2. People were saying that decades ago. Really skeptical.

3. Unless they result in thousands of lives lost, it won’t have nearly the same effect. And that seems unlikely / hard to predict.

4. See above

5. Weird. There are very few nuclear powers and none of them have much incentive to start using nukes in combat, let alone low level nukes.

6. I hope so! But this would probably be the most transformative one on this list. That level of battery innovation would have huge cascading effects throughout society. Feels like wishful thinking.

7. Only if there’s some killer app, and the last decade doesn’t inspire confidence.

8. You think most countries are going to tear down a multi trillion dollar education / babysitter system in favor of telepresence homeschooling in the next decade? No way. And teenagers don’t leave the house as much anymore due to technology but that trend will not explode in a decade. Maybe over longer term, but I also think it’s a real problem that society will attempt to solve well before we end up with most teens rarely leaving the house.

Anyway, just mildly disagreeing. Guess we’ll see!
Dupe. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21941278
I like how Zuckerberg is a "which", and not a "who". Seems fitting.
New Super Bluetooth makes all peripherals wireless.
> To triangulate the signal (for a 2D location), draw a chart with the position of the laptop wifi receivers and for every pair of receivers, draw a line perpendicular to the line going through the points in a point inversely proportional to the square root of the mW power values, as the signal drops of proportionally to the square of the distance (for 3D use at least 4 receivers and a surface between the points).

It's worth noting that this isn't triangulation, it's trilateration. Triangulation involves angles. GPS does not do triangulation, it does trilateration. Similarly, here we are doing trilateration.
> I’m just assuming the above is not in good faith

Not GP, but your assumption is wrong.

It's not about the laptop. It's about standing up for yourself and doing your part towards society. You obviously don't agree with this stance and that's fine, but it's not your place to dictate what values are worth standing up for and what aren't.

I, like GP, fully intend to go after a thief. If he goes after my life, then I go after his. Either he gives up the laptop, or one of us gets killed.

It's as simple as that.
It's been a great decade for horror.

I think Oculus (2013) was the first movie to genuinely scare me. Other favorites: The Babadook (2014), The Witch (2015), Get Out (2017), Hereditary (2018), Us (2019).
Off topic: Credit where credit is due, that site is doing an amazing job of thwarting AdBlockers. I thought for a moment I had disabled it, but no, 90+ items blocked and I'm still seeing ads everywhere due to obfuscated class names and same origin image hosting.
Still better to fire them than atrophy the company slowly. Just fire your VP of legal affairs last.
Nah, the rise of cloud, Shirley?
Why are people saying rust will take off?
Promoting interoperability with theft doesn't make interoperability very appealing to me. :/

If it was an FOSS project, instead of being sold to intelligence agencies, I would call them gods instead of thieves and agree with what you’re saying.
People who have seen more than I have: how much slower were JavaScript in IE6 vs V8?
* Mobile phones eat even more of the world. (i.e. people have fewer hobbies, and spend even less time doing anything else except using their phone)

* Augmented reality glasses become commonplace and people care more about what the world looks like in their glasses, than what real life looks like.

* The ability to resist mobile phones (and AR glasses) becomes the best indicator of future success in life.

* There are no new discoveries in Physics. Dark matter and Dark Energy still make no sense (i.e. have no explanation), but are still held onto as theories.

* Non-computer progress slows down, both because software development is so easy, and because the green revolution means hardly anyone wants to make things anymore.

* The world because more conservative as a backlash to the current ascendancy of liberalism.

* The world becomes more peaceful, with even fewer wars, and fewer people living without basic needs. (Because physical items like food become so cheap even fewer people lack it.)

* The current business model for TV collapses. Something else emerges that is not based around a 3 hour block of drama and comedy.

* There are no autonomous self driving cars. But there are trials on "rail road" like trails for cross country trucking. (i.e. trucks autonomously drive on highways, sharing with human controlled traffic, but not into cities)

* Humans do not land on the moon or mars. But there are more humans in orbit than before.
I’ve used RQ in production applications just last week. It’s pretty basic so there’s upsides and downsides, but so far it simply works! I
May opt in for celery down the line but for the state of my project, rq helped me ship quick and iterate.
* Reddit goes the way of Digg with a mass user exodus

* Several major candidates will lose an election because of their internet usage history earlier in life

* Much of the inflation that the US hasn't seen over the past decade will come back, in line with a recession. Very few investments will be safe. It'll come at the time, or just before the time a democrat is elected to office, and retroactively blamed on that democrat.

* The evangelical movement collapses under the weight of its own cognitive dissonance, in response to a well organized criticism campaign

* Amazon suffers a major misstep of their own making and loses a significant enough amount of customer trust to affect its growth rate.

* Home prices in San Fransisco and Seattle do not fall. Homelessness is the same or worse in each area by the end of the decade.

* A major new region becomes popular for tech workers to move to, on the back of major corporations moving there rather than startups

* Startups that exist and succeed are more rare, and larger. This decade is the age of the corporate titans, and the small are agile but most cannot compete.

* No major structural reform put to climate change

* Trump re-elected

* VR remains niche

* Worldwide poverty is continuously reduced

* A civil war or conflict takes place in a european country

* As the power changes hands to millenials, countries liberalize the social safety net
In the spirit of the future is here just not evenly distributed:

1. Electric cars will go from niche for the rich to something for everyone.

2. Genetic testing will become even more commonplace and even more useful.

3. ipv6 will become dominant, but there may be holdouts.

4. Freezing your sperm / eggs / stem cells will become something everyone does.

5. Using a non-memory-safe language for servers will be seen as building SQL queries with string concatenation.

6. Self driving cars are currently only very narrowly available: I think it's like 1-3 cities with good climate (https://www.theverge.com/2019/12/9/21000085/waymo-fully-driv...) They will be more available than they are now, and it will have effects on the economy.

7. Containerization is adopted by companies that are a bit behind the curve.

8. Parallelism will keep becoming more important.

Other predictions, less certain:

1. Political polarization increases in the west.

2. There will be startups taking a crack at the real estate market. They will attack cost of construction by using robots and standardized components. They will attack land cost by artificially engineering the network effects that gives land value.

3. Use of force in the form of sanctions against countries that release too much CO2

4. A significant minority skewing intelligent leave facestagram and twitter for decentralized platforms, but the majority of users stay on centralized platforms.
I recently explored a bit the (seemingly never ending!) landscape of ways to create ebooks. In the process, I found a number of technologies I did not know before:

* https://www.dita-ot.org/

* http://projectmallard.org/

* https://www.xmlmind.com/tutorials/HTML5Books/HTML5Books.html

I find the concept of DITA very interesting: to write reusable chunks of content (called "Topics"), that one can later map into chapters and sections to generate a whole manual. DITA is geared towards creating manuals, but got me thinking it would be a useful way of splitting content for books and even blog posts.

Mallard seems inspired by DITA but more minimalist. Looks pretty cool if I was generating documentation for a software product.

The last resource is what I will actually try [1]: "XMLmind Ebook Compiler (ebookc for short) is a free, open source tool which can turn a set of HTML pages into a self-contained ebook. Supported output formats are: EPUB, Web Help, PDF, RTF, WML, DOCX (MS-Word) and ODT (OpenOffice/LibreOffice)."

Similar to the author of the OP, I also like PDF better than other formats for reading ebooks.

1: https://www.xmlmind.com/ebookc/download.shtml
Can't speak for op, but for us the ones based on RabbitMQ have performed well:

https://github.com/Bogdanp/dramatiq

Stay away from Celery if you can, or stick to v3.2 because 4.x has a ton of bugs.
Google search for ‘large families welfare’ : https://calmatters.org/poverty/2017/01/about-face-state-stop...

There is no family cap for welfare. What are you going to do? Let the others starve? It’s an impossible situation.

Currently smaller families don’t get incentives. This isn’t to say larger families should be let to be destitute. I am just saying that those who dont should be rewarded.

But if smaller families are heavily incentivized and with everyone getting UBI, then the scales will tip for quality over quantity.
subreddits are kinda but not really like usenet... separated groups of like minded people. it's the only thing (along with old.reddit.com) that keeps me there.
They can’t get a “composition of matter” patent, since psilocybin is already known.

They could get a “method of use” patent that describes treating a co diction with psilocybin.

Even without either of those, the FDA will give them 3 years of market exclusivity (no other drugs will be approved).
... on Windows.
> Even more framework and abstractions.

npm and is_odd comes to mind.

There surely is a lot of frameworks, it almost make more sense to have less.
Individual farmers don't lose 1/4 of their pigs. They lose 100% of their pigs, as all must be culled by law if the disease is found. Recovering from this is difficult if you don't have the money or ability to take on debt to purchase new stock at high post-catastrophe prices. I think this will cause a significant shift in China from small producers to large factory production, as a lot of the small producers will not recover.
People not able to type on a regular keyboard, because all they know is swiping.
Safe:

* Recession will happen that will affect the global economy causing at least a 30% decrease in major world stock indexes.

* China will stumble in a major recession but the Communist Party will maintain power.

* Google, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft will still be the biggest tech companies by market cap.

* A new company that hasn’t been started yet will be in the top 10 tech companies by market cap.

* The duopoly of cloud computing services will be AWS and Google Cloud. Nearly all Fortune 500 companies will use one or the other.

* Big Tech will not be broken up because of their large value decline during recession, with focus being diverted to prop economy back up.

Bold:

* Breakthrough battery technology will make electric vehicles better for consumers than than their fossil fuel counterparts.

* The breakthrough battery tech will allow a very affordable manned mission to Mars.

* Solar will be the dominant form of energy creation in the United States.

* HIV vaccine available to nearly all healthy adults.

* Netflix will be bought by Disney.

* DeepFake technology will be used to create an entire feature film by a major studio.

* Donald Trump will win the 2020 presidential election despite being unsuccessfully tried during impeachment.

* In the United States, majority of people will eat synthetic meat over animal-based meat.

* San Francisco Bay Area will not be globally in the top 10 areas of funding for new technology startups.

Crazy:

* A state in the United States will successfully secede.

* Glaciation will increase in parts of the world with their albedo effect predicted to offset most of the temperature increase from man-made climate change.

* Major disease epidemic will kill at least 20 million people. Will not be noticed at first but will rapidly kill after long incubation.

* Artificial general intelligence (AGI) will be achieved, accidentally.

* Despite AGI, self-driving cars will not be the majority of vehicles on the road.
Agreed, I've got ABP and pi-hole and I still see ads, in addition to the chum bucket of sponsored links at the end.
I recommend the Philosophise This podcast for some excellent (and concise) exploration of the history of philosophy and how it relates to today's world
CPython implements a simple bytecode interpreter. It does not have a JIT.
We tried Tasktiger but ran into zombie tasks and some small but annoying bugs while testing. Around that same time, we found Dramatiq and currently have Dramatiq + Celery<4.0 in use.
Say you have $2.5 million in income for the year. For $1.25 million, the government maintains the system that allows you to spend it as real wealth. It maintains the system that enforces your business and employment contracts. It enforces that when you deposit your money in a bank or buy stocks, you don’t also have to pay for your own gunmen to make sure you can get your money back out. It makes sure that when your house is on fire, the firemen don’t first evaluate your net worth and then extort you in front of your burning house. The mafia comparison severely underestimates just how much useful (wealth creating) infrastructure modern governments provide.

All of those things were essential for you to have earned your $2.5 million in the first place without always having to look over your shoulder in case the local warlord notices your money and decides to take it.
There are e.g. particle effects which don't (afaiu) influence anything else in the game, and are just visual.

Also, the clouds.
The article seems a bit shrill.

I can understand advocacy, but as lostgame says, Corellium is basically riding Apple's coattails.

If they were helping Apple, then I doubt Apple would be suing them.

I understand the way that Apple thinks on this. It isn't "bullying." It's brand protection. I worked for years for a corporation with a legendary brand, and they went to great lengths to protect the integrity of that brand.

Part of protecting the integrity is to prevent others from diluting it; even if what they do is net positive, monetarily, it may damage the brand. A company that values its brand can't let that happen.

Branding is a very different world from what most tecchies do. The priorities are drastically different, and a lot harder to "pin down."

A well-curated brand can be unbelievably valuable, though. Apple's brand is one of the top five brands in the world.
Ditto for Javascript. When I first used React in 2015 I thought it might be a harbinger for unix philosophy tools in the web space. A lib with a simple API that solves a single hard problem with a good implementation under the hood.

What I never predicted was the sheer enormity of the useless cruft the community would build around it. I used to contribute to some of the React community places (particularly irc), and in the early days the discussion there was super interesting. Now it's just endless waves of "I'm building X and having Y problem with dependency Z" where Z is something I've never used because it looks shit, Y is something I haven't encountered in 3 years, and X is something I could build in my sleep with just plain old React.

I've always wondered if Java devs feel the same, or if they're happy drowning in whatever crap is in their ecosystem? Like, do they all love Java but hate every single code base they have to work on? Or is that a uniquely JS problem?
How the hell do I get into one of these trials?
Stripe will become a FAANG, or at least gain significant world relevance.

Bio-hacking will become mainstream, causing significant backlash and become a sensitive, polarised topic.

Startup equity / VC funding will change significantly, making it more fair & appealing for early employees.
Theoretically you manage about 10 people effectively, so:

CEO: 1

CXO: 10

SVP: 100

VP: 1000

Director: 10000

Employees: 88889
I don't have a concrete prediction, but I can see it being a problem that lots of young people use locked down phones rather than an open-ended device (which usually has a keyboard and mouse/touchpad).

Maybe in 10 years laptops will have transformed into tablets, with the same locked down app stores, and a keyboard and mouse will seem like an ancient relic. (I'm not sure if another input device will come along in 10 years, the way touch did with the iPhone).

That seems too negative though. I think there could just as likely be a big new platform that means more young people are creating software than ever.

Here's a concrete prediction: the tech stack may be stratified by age. That is, Gen X-ers will know C, C++, and Python; millenials will know JS, Python, and perhaps Rust; and millenial's children will be creative with something even higher up the stack.