skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Looking at the predictions from a decade ago, it's spectacular how many of them are wrong. Like, probably more than 95% of them are in the "very wrong" category. That should be a severe cautionary note for this kind of prognostication among this kind of group.

Nevertheless, here goes:

What won't change (much):

- We still won't have L5 autonomous cars.

- We will have L4 in various places, mainly as public transport systems, and this will essentially evolve out of existing segregated autonomous on-demand systms, such as the WVU PRT and the Heathrow Pod. Increasing sophistication of the navigation AIs will make the degree of segregation less and less over the years, but full automation will still require a significant element of environmental / infrastructure design, which is what makes it L4. There will be a lot more such systems, but it will be an evolutionary rather than a revolutionary change.

- No AGI, sorry. Not that we'd necessarily recognise it if we had it. There will still be no effective working definition of "consciousness".

- Laptops will still suck. Different constituencies will still regard old Macbooks or Thinkpads as the zenith of laptop desgin, with a nostalgia that resembles that of Amiga or BeOS fanatics. (And this won't make them wrong.)

- Linux will still be niche on the desktop. Although enthusiasts will claim that it doesn't, it'll still suffer from the same useability problems that have it did in 2020, and 2010, and 2000. "Oh there's some stupid mouse behaviour which is making your GUI almost unusable? You can change it with this simple hack of X-windows in the shell."

- Social media will still suck, and will still be a vector for significant psyops, both political and commercial, with politically and economically destabilising effects. Dictatorships will be better at weilding this than democracies, which will still be on the backfoot.

- The climate crisis will still be going from bad to worse, unfolding as a series of localised extreme weather events and population displacements. Although the sociopolitical response to it will finally be turning the other direction.

What will change:

- The majority of vehicles sold will be full-electric.

- The way people live will be changing. A lot more co-ops, co-living, and even straight-up communes. This will represent a very small percentage of the population, but the social effects will be significant.

- Universal Basic Incomes will have been implemented in several places.

- There will be dozens of people living on Mars, hundreds on the moon, and thousands in Low Earth Orbit.
The one thing about getting old that I really enjoy is telling people about how things used to be and having them not believe me. Like how I browsed the web for years before it had any advertising on it.

This week it's the story about how insulin was $20 a month when I was in high school, I remember it well because I had two friends who needed insulin and they complained about this $20 constantly.

Americans under a certain age just flat out refuse to believe that it was ever possible to get important medicine that cheaply. I've had people call me a liar and been branded with various political slurs for making this $20 claim. It's hilarious.
Show HN: Influence Grid, a tool for finding TikTok influencers
I created this tool to help marketers find TikTok influencers. Any feedback would be hugely appreciated:

https://www.influencegrid.com/
Structured bindings need to get rid of the mandatory dummy variables in case of the unused parts of the structure. So something has to be added.
That’s interesting. What company?
Location: Dublin, Amsterdam, Paris, Berlin, London

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Technologies: Python (incl. Numpy, Pandas, Scikit-Learn, Tensorflow, Keras), Java, R, SQL

Resume/CV: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1SlbumiXwJ9OgrpLsuz-dKMv2md_...

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I completed my MSc in Computer Science at Oxford and have been working as a Research Scientist at Oxford since September. I am enthusiastic about data science and machine learning with an interdisciplinary education in industrial engineering and computer science. Interested in a full-time position where I can utilise my current skills and knowledge, and I can further develop these skills in a practical and fast-paced environment.
Yup, I have seen both extremes: Global brands which redirect all their country-specific domains to their one global .com domain (good!) as well as global banks where every small branch and sub-organisation like funds and charitable foundations have their own domains, along with similar but not identical corporate branding. Training users of the latter brands to not fall for phishing in the latter case is gonna be next to impossible, as is whitelisting the legitimate domains.
Yeah, don't understand it either. Never cracked a screen in my life, and I've never even used a screen protector or a case. Always confused by all the cracked screens I see around me.
This is a great and interesting point, but it's very misleading in this case. The pharma exec isn't making the argument you describe in any way. In fact, he claims he is being misquoted, which is either true or a backtrack, and that while "morality" was discussed in the conversation, he never claimed raising prices was moral.
Pleasantness is in the ear of the beholder, but I've always enjoyed listening to On Ensemble, where Shoji uses this technique in pieces like After Rain [1] and Yamasong [2]. Or if you're feeling funky, the remix [3].

[1]: https://onensemble.bandcamp.com/track/after-rain

[2]: https://onensemble.bandcamp.com/track/yamasong

[3]: https://onensemble.bandcamp.com/track/yamasong-campagna-remi...
> This isn't domestic politics... It is a bad sign that this is so many peoples' take.

This was an active choice to execute a foreign non-combatant on third-party soil. It doesn't get much more political than that.

Your comment would suggest that Trump has no horse in this race but GP isn't incorrect that this choice he made pulls a lot of oxygen from the trash fires at the other parts of his administration.
Banks did for a while, many banks told you to look for the green padlock to ensure it was the right site.
Social media changes the WHY people do things. They go out just so they can post a cool photo of them having a great time outside when really inside they are all fucked up.
For those specifically worried about the 500 million animals dead in the wildfire, note that we kill 3 billion land animals and fish a DAY for meat (https://sentientmedia.org/how-many-animals-are-killed-for-fo...). Of course there are many many other terrible things about this wildfire (including the fact that we may have endangered some species)
Apparently I'm a robot. I can't add one + owl + owl and type in an answer I expect to have recognized.
> Without the insurance companies, who would have the power negotiate pricing with the providers?

Healthcare costs have skyrocketed because of the negotiators. PBMs are the middlemen who negotiate healthcare prices between insurance companies and providers. I can't speak for hospitals and procedures, but in the pharmaceutical industry, it actually has led to a system where insurers and PBMs both benefit from drug prices increasing as opposed to decreasing. They aren't driving costs down, they are directly contributing to driving costs up.
You nailed it on the head. The Quest is a nearly "do it all" VR device. Do you want a mobile VR experience to enjoy with friends on the go (streaming to a TV/Phone)? Check. Do you want to experience the high quality (graphics) of a high end VR experience, you can do that too (both wired and wirelessly)! Aside from the refresh rate which I personally have no issues with, I can't see any reason to purchase a wired PCVR-only headset.

And just to comment on the Oculus Quests SDE (screen door effect), this has been greatly been improved. I honestly do not even notice this at all like I did with the Oculus Go.
You destroy the encryption keys to those backups, not the data itself. This is a problem that has long been solved.
32bit died on phones much quicker than on the desktop, in fact (though of course it died on servers first). Arguably, this should have been predictable; legacy software was a much smaller problem on phones.
Brendan Burns has been leading the k8s/azure stuff for some time at Microsoft. I'm not sure internally how those two are competing, though.
Atom processor might not be a restriction out of choice but out of limitations.

Building a x86 laptop, sourcing processors from Intel is actually much harder than you’d expect if you’re new to the game and doing smaller runs.
This is probably a case where MFA with a Yubikey would help. AFAIK it would choke on the invalid hostname.
You see, if you really think about it, people doing heinous things to take advantage of the desperate and needy are really good, and you should be grateful.
.info domains can now be bought for around €1. If, like the scammers I mentioned, you're buying one for every day of the year, that's a several thousand Euro difference.

Spammers are in business. When certain costs fall, it makes their enterprise more profitable.
Tell that to the any number of people that have fallen for similar (or even more basic) scams. Unfortunately, not everyone is Internet savvy enough to know what's legitimate and what's a scam.
> Also, the real sad thing is that Apple is not providing this service themselves, and instead have killed emulation on XCode.

Is this new? I swear I was emulating and iPhone SE a couple of months ago for a react-native project. Or are you referring to something else? Something i’m missing here?
An EV certificate is still a decent proxy for legitimacy: it's somewhat expensive to get and allows you to track down a legal entity. Both points deter scammers and other evil-doers, even if they don't completely prevent them.

Sadly there's no way to judge from just the URL if a site has an EV cert or just a cheap/free https cert, and by the time you opened it in the browser it might be too late.
I got one for my mom and I'm very happy with how low maintenance it is.
If you are even a 4th tier Instagram influencer, you can't have anything but a pristine latest generation iPhone. If your phone back is visible in the picture and you cant see the three iPhone 11 lenses, you are basically screwed.
I remember (very vaguely) reading into the debates around domain name sequence and being irritated that natural readability won out over scope order. Codified so deeply for so long that there''s no hope of ever changing it except in limited circumstances (Java class hierarchy for example).

Sigh.
Elixir

Dynamic typing for ease of development, with typespec for working with teams. Library support is pretty good now, and NIFS with Rust/Rustler are nice when I need speed, or just want a library from a crate rather than hex. REPL and testing is pretty high quality too.

Phoenix is a great web dev environment with SSR by default, and elixirscript or Phoenix Live Views for nice dynamic content. Phoenix even gives you a node project folder to add in whatever js libraries/css/webpack or other modules you want.

Scripting elixir with escript is okay, but as with most scripting languages, it seems like overkill compared to shell scripting unless you are doing something complicated that warrants a higher level language or library management.

I've been playing with guile scheme and chicken scheme as well for scripting as well. I've found that Rust is great for performance intensive programs, but I miss having a REPL and dynamic typing make for a fast, comfy development experience.
It's just a better version of Virtual Reality. You don't get to redefine the term we've been using since the 80's.

I have an Oculus Rift, I am aware how much better 6DoF is, you don't have to tell me. That doesn't mean 6DoF is a requirement of VR.

One day people like you will be saying that VR without eye-tracking and modern locomotion isn't really VR, because it's not as immersive.
The drug price was raised from $500 to $2300 (compared to $2800 for the brand name). This is certainly not a morality-driven decision, but it does seem like a reasonable business decision. It's capitalism at work. What's missing is, where are the other competitors to provide the same drug for $2100, resulting in a price war that eventually drops them back down to the $500 range, which was clearly profitable for them in the first place?

EDIT: Hmm, apparently I've waded into a political minefield here. I was posting a theoretical question because I was curious... The price change is so large. What is stopping another company from coming in and eating lunch? Obviously there's a bit of a regulatory moat, but for that kind of margin, it seems surmountable.
> Sure, a fancy expensive restaurant can afford to do this

Looks like a pretty humble vegetarian bistro to me? Far from fancy.

And I would have thought someone best places to have a huge impact here might be someone like McDonalds, with their supplier clout they could force suppliers to meet high standards and with their scale it could have a huge impact.
1. Populism reaches a crescendo globally. Nascent populist governments become more entrenched, especially in North and South America.

2. China supersedes the United States as the preeminent global superpower.

3. A conflict between Russia and China comes seemingly out of nowhere, but is resolved quickly.

4. Electric vehicles become more mainstream, but still do not overtake ICE vehicles in sales or ownership.

5. Cannabis is de-scheduled in the United States. A minor economic boom results.

6. Tech hubs in the Midwest begin to overtake the old tech hubs in activity and population.

7. Housing shortages worsen globally.

8. Australia suffers a series of natural disasters that
results in heavy depopulation.

9. Battery technology will see a significant breakthrough that results in much greater life and much lower weight, but it will not be affordable. Yet.

10. An economic "adjustment" occurs as trade between the United States and China is heavily curtailed.
A Guide to Restoring Your Internet Freedom at School, at Work, and in Countries
Released a CLI “create-awesome-package” to bootstrap your JavaScript/TS package
Sending bulk sms costs waaaay more than any domain. This theory doesn’t really make any sense.
Yeah, it's fine to have stuff you want to hide for a lot of reasons. The problem I have with what the parent posted is that the specifically invoke "FBI" as what they're afraid of. That suggests to me that they aren't just hiding embarrassing or private information, but specifically something illegal. Now, as other posters have mentioned, parent could be an activist or something, but frankly I doubt that everyone I've seen post something similar is. I'm left with the conclusion that in addition to being holier-than-thou assholes and pedants, a lot of tech people are also casually engaged in things like tax evasion and securities fraud.
> each other

by each other you mean the ml world right ? :p
There is usually some form of compensation attached to it that must be returned if the employee doesn’t satisfy their obligations or is deferred so that the employee is incentivized to stay at least that long. You can quit if you really want to, but you might not want to return the lump sum signing bonus you received a few months ago. Or you decide to stick it out for a year at which point you receive stock.
He is not wrong, as the CEO of a company it is his duty to maximize profit and returns to shareholders.

Unless the company has different goals (like ethical, or helping the ill, etc.) by default it is to make money.
"There's no evidence Microsoft has ever downloaded a single file off Windows 10 PCs (except for telemetry, e.g. application minidumps, which doesn't uniquely identify you, or contains any of your personal documents)."

If there was, it would be outright scandalous and probably lead into criminal proceedinds. That does not mean anything less than that is fine.

"Disabling telemetry in Windows 10 isn't too difficult either."

It is. Yes, you could use some third-party tools that supposedly prevent it and hope that they a) work and b) won't break anything important.
> Overweight people are more likely to gain weight without leftover.

The article isn’t really about leftovers from portion sizes - it’s more about suppliers and packaging.
The things I mentioned are critical for increased rendering efficiency and full immersion. One day they will be deemed as essential to the experience, and people will lament current tech as not VR.
I like the idea of domain specific questions, but I also think that questions are the biggest added value of this API. If you have your own list, then you can implement your own "captcha" pretty easily.
> almost all of those async methods are built upon Task/Task<T> (which, IMO, is a flawed foundation)

I like them, very flexible. It’s easy to implement these tasks on top of pretty much anything.

Here’s how I have implemented back pressure when I needed something similar: https://github.com/Const-me/pCloud/blob/master/pCloudCore/Ut... That class is very generic, knows nothing about the nature of the tasks, yet it’s able to do the right thing. Specifically, it limits count of pending tasks to a small number (8 by default), when exceeded the `post` method will start to “block” in the async way, that’s why it returns `Task<Task<TResult>>` instead of just `Task<TResult>`.
The encoding I was talking about may well be something more abstract than 'imitate humans'. Still, babies don't generally try to imitate the sound of rattles or household sounds nearly as much as speech, so I still conclude that it is a safe assumption that there is something about sounds made by humans that is inherently interesting to them for some reason (instead of being a learned behavior).

Related to the second, the rate at which we learn, and the very specific order we learn things in, points very strongly in the direction that there is some built-in model that we train inside of. For example, essentially all babies first learn intonation before learning words. Also, most words are learned with an extremely small set of examples - at some ages, often hearing a word a single time is enough for the child to learn it (known as the 'poverty of the stimulus' problem). This has been mainstream understanding ever since behaviorism fell out of favor due to similar arguments by Chomsky.
The checklist is a valid, but not very good, brainfuck program, simply execute it.
I think a relevant point may also be the rate of increase. The numbers I saw show that the US per capita emissions actually trending down and China was still increasing.

I’m not trying to absolve the US here just noting that rate of increase/decrease matters in addition to per capita and absolute values

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/EN.ATM.CO2E.PC

https://www.theguardian.com/environment
These spammers make thousands of euros a day if they’re any good.

UK fullz can go for like 40usd a pop.
> it is one of the biggest.

Disagree completely.

US spent $3.65T on healthcare in 2018. or 3650 Billion.

Insurance Net Income was 23 billion. Or 0.63% of total US healthcare expenditures was 'profit' for insurance.

"But, public option will save the costs/salaries/buildings/etc that you pay to insurance." Yes, but not all costs. You'll need to make up a small difference.

But, let's assume we only count money paid to 'care'.

If we ignore all other costs associated with insurance and just pass the 'care' portion through. Insurance REVENUE was 706 bil - 600 bil (What was paid for care). or 106 bil.

So a maximum savings of 2.9%. So rather than spending $11,172 per person we're down to $10,836 per person for healthcare. A savings of $336. Still far and ahead above what other countries spend.

So realistically we'd see a savings of 0.6% to 3% savings.

https://naic.org/documents/topic_insurance_industry_snapshot...
Size matters. If sardines count into the 3 billion it doesn't really say much. Similarly if insects count in the 500 million estimate. It would be more appropriate to report the loss of biomass or at least the average animal size.
How New York Is Zoning Out the Human-Scale City
The actual study says 480 million animals affected - not killed. Classic broken telephone - https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/476533-univers...

"That's not to say that the 480 million have all died as a consequence of the fires because some things are going to be mobile — birds will fly away and come back," Dickman added.

"Some reptiles, like lizards, would perhaps go underground," he continued.
insane... absolutely insane and what a wonderful article. love it when the author shows step by step how they get to their goal. You have really know all aspects of the programming language and ecosystem in order to do what this dude did. i'm impressed.
Oh come on over, I'll feed you some bushfired koala, this is a case where the best punishment fits the crime is giving him exactly what he asked for.
That may well be the mechanism behind this. I was talking in very general terms, not a specific 'imitate humans' structure in the brain.
> Money and technical expertise used to be strong barriers to prevent people from registering scam domains

That should not be, and should never have been considered the main line of defense against that.

This guy has it backwards. The problem is not that it's affordable or accessible. It's that there's no clear alternative to user vigilance to truly avoid these scams.
Also, taking home leftovers is a very American thing. Most places in Europe serve portions that you're actually able to finish.
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Nope, I tried everything, twisted the cables, etc. I even changed from power connector to another and changed SCSI cable. Outside it worked, inside didn't. Working perfectly outside, as soon it got close to the metal of the chassis it spun down, and as it got away from the metal it spun up.
Wouldn't a soundex-like algorithm catch the similarity between the legit domain and a substring of the malicious one? An alert could be fired upon reception from any address resembling domains where online transactions or any other sensitive activities are involved.
If it was a free market, this man would have competition.
1. By 2025 there will be a quantum computer that can break RSA-2048 and shortly after that any conventional encryption. Alternatives based on post-quantum cryptography will have been developed but are not in widespread use. Adoption will take years.

2. Waymo will sell self-driving cars to the general public and there will be a push to make streets safer by reducing individual transport.

3. The next economic downturn, if there is one, will be caused by quantitative easing.

4. Index funds will start affecting price discovery which will lead to a surge in strategies that exploit this.

5. Society will either learn to cope with scissor questions or polarization will eventually lead to civil war.

6. Deep learning will be used in every field in applied computer science and replace the traditional methods of this field.

7. Cryptocurrencies will be used to create censorship-resistant social media and messaging services that have strong secrecy/privacy/data-ownership guarantees.

8. Facebook, Amazon and Google will face anti trust action that might even lead to them being broken up.

9. Palantir will be the best performing stock of the decade.