skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Quality? The peeps who are already make big money running hospital corporations are mainly interested in making more money. Where I work patients are actually to as customers in some interoffice emails...

Quality :)
This all ties in rather nicely with the other predictions of "offlining" becoming a thing. In fact it seems mighty tempting based on your predictions.
The page forwards itself to a spam google survey for me? Page history fills with the spam survey and cant navigate back to the article. iOS safari with reader view enabled.
> it follows that whenever there is even a VERY SLIGHT [actual] shortage of oil (0.5-1% less supply than demand at any price), then the price of oil has to rise very, very, very high to knock the 0.5%-1% of lowest-value use out of the bidding market. Maybe prices have to double just to get 1% lower use.

The price elasticity of demand for crude oil is somewhere between 0.2 and 0.3, meaning a price increase of 1% reduces the quantity demanded by about 0.2% to 0.3%. To get 1% lower use, prices need to only go up by a few percent, certainly not "double".
What on earth are you going on about
From what I've heard, this airstrike took place about 5km from the nearest US base, which seems like a reason to be optimistic if it's accurate. An accurate airstrike is impressive, I'm sure, but if an airstrike is the pentagon's best option within walking distance of a base, then perhaps they're not in shape to start a real war... and they have enough analysts to say so.
This is cool! Clicky link - http://buz-map.com
> Genetic testing will become even more commonplace and even more useful.

Heh. There's a history of a pretty horrific genetic disease in my family, in fact it recently claimed a close family member. I'd dearly love to be tested for it myself but I just don't trust any of the genetic testing companies with the data.

Will have the explore getting it done through the NHS, but I'd like to test for a wide range of things as well as this specific condition and I'm not sure that's an option.
What exactly do you expect was going to happen? The entire point is to identify the issues so you can take action. You seem to know what the issues are already. Also, there's a good chance your wife is already cheating on you. Maybe those late slack messages have something to do with it.
Are you saying 105 isn’t that many? What is this
1. Brexit happens the UK becomes Singapore on the Thames. Net contributors to the EU (Germany, Holland, France, etc.) populous's become increasingly eurosceptic. Another country leaves the EU (Probably Holland) and the EU crumbles.

2. Countries increasingly venture into building their own microchips; the world wakes up that letting China build most of the world's chips is a terrible idea on a national security standpoint.

3. Trump wins the 2020 election, Democrats implode. Democrats move further to the left. Republicans have another celebrity/ popular candidate and win the 2024 election. The democrat's open borders policies and sanctuary cities screw over the democrats as Hispanics and naturally catholic and conservative.

4. LGBTQ+ movement recognises paedophilia as an oppressed minority. Outrage ensues they lose all support from the public and the LGB section forms their own evolution that gains popular support.

5. The links between US media funding and China get leaked. Massive scandal but mainstream media still somehow survive it.

6. Myanmar (Burma) shocks most people to become the next industrial powerhouse (China). Most of the world suspects it will be Vietnam, but it won't.

7. The full extent of Chinas gold reserves is known. Dwarfing US Gold reserves depending how this emerges it will be seen as an act of war and 2nd cold war will heat up. Gold prices soar to unprecidented levels RMB soars and (again depending on how the world finds out) the Chinese push for RMB to be the defacto global currency.

8. The rise of Private Intelligence Agencys is more widley known. A high profile fuck up will happen and at least one nation state will have egg on their face.

9. The Chinese leader Xi Jinping gets assasinated. More than likely by someone in the Chinese Miliatry with links to dissedents in ethier Hong Kong, Taiwan or Tibet. Massive internal power vaccum happens. The 'success' of his assasination sees a rash of other asian leaders getting bumped off including North Koreas leader.

10. China invades Taiwan. First cyber war takes place. US thinks twice about a full blown war with mainland China and instead opts for intelligence lead / cyber capabilities to topple the chinese Government.

11. Chinese government may fall due to economic downturns in China, belt and road isn't enough. Massive recession in most of south east asia and certain parts of africa also.

12. Media will write articles in 2030 on trying to work out who exactly was botwriter and how were his predictions so close.
I am convinced there has to be a way to leverage the expressive power of a language like pure prolog without the strain of the 'hints' you need to give it when the depth-first algorithm can't solve the problem. My bet is that if the interpreter 'knows' enough algorithms to solve common calculations, it could leverage these to compute 90% of problems (without needing to have one algorithm for each problem). For the other 10% you would have to supply the interpreter with the necessary algorithms yourself.
Haskell Spam
Heroes was damage from the writers' strike: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effect_of_the_2007%E2%80%9308_...
I’m curious of your thoughts of marijuana outside of medical value? I notice many people seem to only focus on the medical benefits and not the recreational benefits. Or the creativity and new spark or insight that marijuana or other psychedelics can provide. To me they all seem to be valuable tools to both the healthy and unhealthy mind. (I’m not assuming that you are against recreational use btw!)
These keyboards look like they have very long travel times, it looks like just asking for RSI
Feel free to provide me an email at @gerikson on Twitter (DM) and I will send you an invite!
I feel like everyone running a webpage/blog like that should have a somewhat standardised page crosslinking to pages/blogs that person likes to keep track off
I show my 19 month old daughter like three cartoon drawings of owls and she recognises a live one at the bird park instantly, unprompted. We have a way to go.
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1. Mainstream CPUs get a lot more cores, making difference between software and hardware rendering disappear.

2. More and more features of programming languages for verifiable software (e.g., Dafny or Coq) get into mainstream languages, resulting in better overall software quality.

3. Computer mathematics (e.g., in Lean) gets traction, with some high-profile mathematics breakthroughs enabled.

4. Package manager-based attacks become more common.

5. Despite higher performance computers, a new level of abstraction in the process-container-vm stack makes up for performance.

6. Similarly, mainstream OSs will still lag and take seconds to, e.g., display the contents of the C drive.
Get the suit underway, then make a new buyout offer, this time for a lot less $$$...
When you consider the things that that diagram doesn't show, it doesn't look at all simple. Does that graph even have training? It'll have to be pipelined too. Probably will have to use recomputation due to the shortage of memory. What about within the boxes? You can't nicely separate a matmul into pieces like that.

I work on something similar but less ambitious, trust me it is crazy complicated.
"but it has basically no effect on quality of the code" well if you include number of bugs of certain class as a criteria of quality it would be pretty hard to argue that there is no difference between say Rust and C.
[Not parent poster]
You are correct based upon current technology. However we are seeing AI better predicting cancer
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-50857759

So this tricorder could scan you/ take vital and then diagnose anything much better. Making a trip to a "Doctor" zero cost.

Imagine a free trip to a Doctor every morning. Not something I would like, but very very profitable to sell a device.
Bitcoin on the outside is hardly "money"
I think the educated elites predilection for 'high' culture will stop this. There'll be a sort of Waldenesque rebellion against it.

Agreed that it's horrifying though!
The original Star Wars is the classic example of that phenomenon.

It often happens in music too, when artists with different sensibilities somehow “clash” and the material they produce together (which they’ll inevitably think of as “full of compromises” etc etc) is superior to anything they would produce individually, before or after.
Why do you think there will be "almost no cars in European and Chinese cities"?

They're both entirely different cultures and markets.
It also certainly depends on dose. I know after my first experiences my initial thought was that there was no why in hell I’d try that at a festival, but then I saw so many people/friends doing it and decided to give it a try. Was definitely mind blowing.
I don't really find that the way it's hinged make any big difference. So I've never used that to consider if a scissor is left or right handed.

The problem is when it's not symmetrical. For instance the Fiskars [0], is impossible to get the thumb through when using the left hand.

[0]: https://imgur.com/a/bN3XkHp
There may be some kind of labeling encoded in genes. One thing that it is safe to assume is genetically encoded somehow is that sounds made by your parents/humans around you is worth repeating while other sounds are not.

However, past that, the actual sounds themselves, and any association to meaning, are pretty far from tagged data sets. Stuff like the specifics of language (e.g. that a dog is called 'dog') are definitely learned, and children learn them with typically only a handful of stimuli, often a single one.

For contrast, imagine training a model with raw sound data tagged only with "speech" vs "not speech" (and probably only a few thousand data points at that) and I will be amazed if it can recognize a single word. And babies don't just learn words, they learn their association to things they see and hear, and grammar, and abstract thought.

Do note that it is very likely that human brains can learn all that because they have some good heuristics built in. We definitely know some stuff is "hardware" - object recognition, basic mechanics, recognizing human faces and expression, and others. We are pretty sure higher level stuff is also built in - universal grammar, basic logic, some ability to simulate behavior seen/heard in other humans. This specialized hardware was also most likely learned, but over much, much greater periods of time, through evolution over hundreds of millions of years (since even extremely old animals are capable of picking out objects in the environment, approximating their speed etc).
Can a surrogate mother decide to keep the baby?
Mindfulness training may help lower blood pressure – FitnessHealths
I agree: For my Web site, I wrote no JS at all. Microsoft's ASP.NET wrote a little for me, but it's optional. My largest page sends for just 400,000 bits. The page is exactly 700 pixels wide and has both horizontal and vertical scroll bars and is usable in a window as narrow as 300 pixels. I intend the page to look good on anything with a Web browser up to date as of, say, 10 years ago.
As credited there on the page, this was the orginal: https://http2.golang.org/gophertiles
One of Queensland's few industries is the coal industry, and so it grips on to it. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/jun/08/coal-...

Regional Queenslanders don't want to end up like the old coal mining towns of the UK, which still have not recovered from the mine closures in 1980s. https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/aug/26/blighted-coa...

I'm not saying coal is morally defensible, but this is democracy in action.
I've just been downvoted wonder if it's because of the china stuff :D
Agree with this 100%. I’ve practically quit drinking and replaced it with a casual, infrequent smoke/edible. I find it far more enjoyable and far more learning. It’s also nice to not take in 1000+ calories. :)
That's the gotcha. If bitcoin hits $1M by 2030, the people reading your comment from the 2030 repost of this thread will have a good snicker.

Bitcoin's entire value, literally all of it, is just an index for how widely and strongly felt HODLology is across the globe. The sale of a bitcoin is a cult member leaving, the purchase is a baptism, however transiently intended the purchase is, because the purchase represents the new recruits own belief in HODLology.
The first part is proven by the voters re-electing the same people who made that decision.

The second part should be changed to that they're voting in the United State's best interests, which doesn't necessarily have to be society's best interest.
http://ysflight.in.coocan.jp/main/e2019.html is one more old-www-style.

Also, many Japanese websites still use old-www-style too.
Thanks for checking it out! and the kind words.
Yes, those are affiliate links. They just redirect you to whatever registrar you select in the settings. I guess I'll have to find an alternate method for such extensions.
Optimizing the Performance of Your Mobile Apps – The Latest Tech News
What's the leverage the old company has over its engineers when negotiating an acquihire? Why does the new company not approach the lead engineer and the selected employees directly?
I too love your website thank you
With normal-sized dies, at the die-level, I've not seen people design around this; other than the more obvious places e.g. the corners (bad power delivery, prone to mechanical issues, normally left vacant) and the middle (gets hotter, also sometimes bad power). However, there are many test structures placed across the die to measure/check variations and also design rules that constrain the relative placements of certain things. That also goes towards increasing yield.

But at the wafer-level, yes.

> wouldn't that point to the process node inducing them over silicon quality?

I don't see why. I would only vaguely guess it's related to the manufacturing process they follow at that particular node. Maybe it's not even directly silicon related but something else.

I'm not convinced it's worthwhile separating out the process node and the silicon quality, they are entwined when looking across a large sample size.

Unfortunately, someone that actually knows why probably isn't allowed to share why.
This is _really_ nice. Captures that Comanche feel I had playing the original game many, many years ago on my first VGA card. :)
It’s a cookie, and it’s linked to your login session. If you log out or clear cookies, or use incognito mode, it will revert to new by default. I used to have the same issue until I figured that out. Now I just have a dedicated container for it in Firefox and all is well.

I would have left reddit a long time ago if I were forced to use the terrible new UI. The fact that they still keep it around, years later, is a telling sign. When you are so scared of your own decisions, you know you messed up.
Pretty cool, just booked my first campaign!
Shanghai New Year drone display was pre-recorded
> In the western society women initiate 2/3 of the divorces.

Interesting. Source?
> I am disgusted with HN

It's one person out of hundreds of thousands who visit each day. And the comment is downvoted.
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Quantum_computing_and_Bitcoin
You know this music isn't FOR you to consume and enjoy. It is a part of another culture.
We need to solve the rampant leftist problem killing the west
This sounds very identical to my process as well. I obsess about recalling as many of my dreams as I can when I wake up. I have a similar experience all the way down to trying to not move my body or so anything that can disrupt my dream recall, including avoiding actively thinking about my dream (similar to a meditative state).

The only difference is that I don’t record anything after. I find that just thinking about it a few times after I wake up is enough for my satisfaction. Dreams are very powerful tools for thought that I think society could benefit more from.
Rather than outsourcing the pros and cons of a bill to professionals you employ with time to research it (politicians), you ask millions of uninformed people vote on passing “The Safe Neighborhoods and Schools Act ”?
I think that one sector that has not been given much spotlight is space.
I feel that space will get lots of more startups leveraging LEO in unexpected ways.
The current rate of progress for the different launch systems, bring the cost/kg to orbit further down, as well as further satellite miniaturization/mass production will prove space as a new breeding ground for ideas that we cannot still think about, but I think in a decade from now we will be looking at space as on of the sectors pushing economic growth across the planet.
It sounds like you're saying a good quantum computer would enable a 51% attack. Instead, you could glean one wallet at a time, but not use it to somehow "over-power" the rest of the network: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Quantum_computing_and_Bitcoin
7. Another AI winter, despite AI/ML progress.
Augmented Reality App Development
I Was Google’s Head of International Relations. Here’s Why I Left
Me too, hence I kept most of my money in a savings account during the last six years
I think there's a difference between fire brigades that are private businesses and government owned fire brigades that have territorial jurisdiction and which apply common sense to their funding to ensure the most efficient service possible.

For instance, given that fire brigades are commonly city-level in the US and that American cities often have highly irregularly and interlocking shapes, it is plainly more efficient to trade a certain amount of funding to have the other city look after your dog leg. But there is a mandate on them to look after all structural fires in a certain area. They can pay someone else to look after it on their behalf, but the mandate remains. Territory and funds are exchanged. In other places, where fire brigades are run nationally or regionally, perhaps even individual stations will trade — "we specialise in rural fires and you specialise in urban fires, so you should take this newly urbanised region off our hands" "okay, but we will also take your newly urbanised funding off your hands". But it might also occur at the national or regional level and thus be central planning rather than business like.

But a fire brigade that is a private business will look after fires that are cheaper for them to put out than to burn. Perhaps they will put out a fire in a non-member's building since every neighbor is an important member — and then they might sue them for all their worth. But if they have no customers in an area because the people who live there do not have the money, then they might let the fire burn. Or they might say "we are liable for a hundred thousand dollars compensation if we don't put out this fire, but it will cost us at least a million to put out". (The local fire brigade will probably have to let some fires burn because they don't have the resources to put them out — it may be vastly too dangerous to get involved, but of a nature that, after a day of burning, it will be much safer. Here, the difference is the consideration — the question is the relative safety of attacking it vs waiting it out, rather than the relative costs of attacking it vs waiting it out.)

A mediate position could exist, where private corporations are allowed to get involved in the firefighting business, but if that were permitted, it would be a situation where the mandate remains and the private firefighters would be paid by mandatory payments from the property owners of the relevant territory. Unlike most businesses, they aren't free to pick what they do. A private supermarket can decide if they want to stock Mildew Milk or not. But a private regulated/mandatory firebrigade would have to put out the fire at Mildew Milk even though they've had a long running feud.
Talking about junk mail has just convinced me that the postal monopoly is totally worth it.

I would hate to have multiple companies completing to efficiently deliver ever larger piles of junk mail.
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You believe that we will achieve (1) in 2020? Or do you believe that we will achieve this at some point in general?
Smart. Author should productize and sell this. Small market, but almost no competition so far.
>no manned activity beyond low earth orbit

We may actually see humans on the Moon in the next decade.
> 3. Amazon will finally get robotic picking working, and their warehouse employment will start to drop.

And we will see articles from the same tech journalists currently complaining about terrible working conditions in Amazon warehouses, complaining about Amazon firing warehouse staff.
Same. I find it amazing about how much can be achieved with so little. Even more so now that games require computing power that rivals the supercomputers humans had when these games were released.

Another World (Out Of This World) featured a couple of days ago hightlights this also, imho.

And fun, I had plenty while playing these games. Increasing computing power improves immersion and realism, which certainly improves the entertainment; but the fun? Not obvious to me.
Yes, the fall of the original Digg happened long ago.

https://techcrunch.com/2012/07/12/betaworks-acquires-digg/

At the time Digg was acquired in name only. The team had a short period to replace the then current (and very expensive) infrastructure and hijack all traffic. They did a pretty awesome tech job of moving to AWS and stopping the bleeding from the then in place bare metal setup. I remember a tech talk where they spoke of the money they saved from moving to AWS, it was substantial and allowed them the resources to try to save the product. Since then it was a re-birthed startup with a new team that had quite a long runway IMHO.
> I want messaging to be like email

I'm not sure if I want that. Most of my communication over email can be read by Google, regardless of myself using Google. Moreover, there's the risk of things like AMP for email unilaterally changing the protocol in ways that as a user I might not like, but that I can't really influence through my choice of client.

I don't believe matrix.org will become such a thing, but if Matrix becomes as successful as email, I fear it's practically inevitable for a Google, Facebook or whatever to arise and become the dominant player, whereas that is practically impossible with, say, Signal.

I do see the value of the world that's made possible by technologies like Matrix, but I'm not so sure if they're possible with social processes evolving the way they do. I feel like Signal may be the best we can get.

(Though I'm certainly happy that Matrix is trying to prove that wrong.)