skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
There's no resolution to the question of "what is the right action in response to the situation" that applies to everyone.

It's always irrational to risk oneself for a principle, that might (or might not) be for the benefit of society.

If you aren't going to do it, fine. I'm not inclined either. But have the grace not to gratuitously criticize those who do. Try not to see them in the dichotomy of heroes or idiots, just as people who provide some leavening to society.
Not really. The Android market is really not worth that much. Statistically it’s made up of consumers who aren’t willing to spend that much compared to iOS owners. The high end non Chinese Android market is minuscule. They just aren’t as attractive as iOS users to advertisers.
It will still be an issue, but it's solved to an extent that it isn't discussed. The solution is pretty much in the economics of nuclear and solar power which become much cheaper than burning coal or oil.
I never noticed that before, just went to the old version after seeing the default layout.
I did not claim the AfD denied the Holocaust as that's illegal in Germany. But Gauland from the AfD famously called the Holocaust "Vogelschiss" which is not far away from Hallam's "fuckery", is it? Was he persecuted? No. Was he "depublished"? No. He's still interviewed, whatever he says is still reported on, he still has a platform, he was not removed from any social media either, he had no consequences to face whatsoever.

I disagree with the naive assessment about the AfD you're portraying here, but alright. Especially in connection to what just happened last week with the WDR and this week with the BR and Gutjahr's open letter.

>So the foreign minister of Germany is not part of the government? He didn't use his public position to help start, and legitimize, this witchhunt? That whole episode didn't make Roger Hallam a Persona non grata among the German branch of the ER?

So if the German foreign minister criticizes a public activist's take on the Holocaust that to you is a witch-hunt? So Hallam bears no responsibility here? Who is allowed to criticize him then?

It is comical how you think this episode is almost more devious than what's happening in India at the moment. It shows to me a complete lack of perspective. But let's agree to disagree then.
* Apple becomes a true lifestyle brand, where you subscribe to different plans. They offer cellular plans. Macbooks by default are internet connected devices. The touch bar becomes bigger. One dream is that they release a smaller iPhone again.

* Major technology companies invest into public infrastructure. From bus stops to cycle/scooter lanes.

* Car ownership decreases due to more alternatives and aforementioned investment.

* Major uncontrollable fire within a major city, much like the fire of London.

* Ocean Cleanup project are a success.

* SpaceX enter the commercial airline industry with an electric/solar plane.
1. China has a 1929 moment and¨faces the first major modern depression, it affects the whole world like the 2008 financial crisis.

2. We find extraterrestrial life.

3. The USA tightens antitrust laws and its effects FANGS greatly.

4. Autonomous cars are starting to spread but infrastructure hampers that spreading.

5. We get the first state-backed crypto coin which spreads like wildfires in Australia.

6. The USA turns inward and the EU has to save Italy from economic catastrophe.

7. Gigantic hurricane hits the USA and it forces the USA taking climate change seriously some kind carbon tax/cap and trade is implemented.

8. GAN made fake video spreads fast and hits MSM, it might be porn or conspiracy type video.

9. First modern African descended pope is elected.

10. Electric cars are sold more than traditional ones in the major western markets.
> You can’t become mainstream without some kind of media.

All it takes is a series of stories about offliners from a couple of major news outlets.
IME, my various neuroses are correlated with my productivity. Sure, I can eat shrooms and feel better, but I'm too happy and mellow to get anything done. Soon, the stress from not keeping up builds and I'm back on the wheel again.

I did have some luck using mild amounts to combat the negative cognitive effects of smoking too much pot(mostly verbal deficiencies), but in the end it was better to just stop smoking pot.

I'm glad we're finally discussing the potential of psychedelics. I think they will help researchers understand what makes us who we are. I know we're better off not locking people up for using or possessing these substances. I do not think that the personal use of these drugs will notably advance society however.
More of letting my imagination run wild than real predictions:

* Fixation with tesla bankruptcy morphs into fixation with tesla breakup as it becomes the most valuable company in the world.

* SpaceX is a telecommunications giant, making Elon the richest man alive by a factor of 2.

* More than his wealth, Elon's cult of personality starts to raise eyebrows in washington and beyond.

* Elon is forced to move into politics, as a) he can't defend his businesses otherwise, b) it becomes evident that he can't realise his visions without state power.

* Elon continues the trend of his predecessors (trump and some unknown populist in 2024) to wreck havoc on the American system.

* However, he does succeed in reuniting the US, as his brand of green techno evangelism and cosmic evolution speaks to both rust belt and hyperliberal cities.

* His primary focus then becomes destroying American elites as he rationally and correctly identifies that they are the main obstacles to his vision (the joke goes around that Elon is the AI he warned us about)

* Elon remains the de-facto leader after his 2 terms in office and Shotwell becomes the first female president.

Other notes:

* Elon indirectly commands a private militia of mostly 20 year olds, who found each other and organize via the internet. By 2026, this is not unheard of. They frequently clash with other militias.

* NY and SF have a social credit system (implemented by the same companies that built it in China). Spying on neighbours is commonplace, as is being sent to reeducation at a former collage campus. Anyone who wants a career accepts this as cost of doing business. Many careers are ended by false allegations.

* Events in China will change everything above.

Comic relief:

* Joe Rogan serves in a communication role in the Musk government.

* Alex Jones is the only one who warns early about a Musk dictatorship. He is ridiculed by everyone. It doesn't help that he thinks Musk is a literal alien.
I don't really care and think this is all a red herring, since every other mainstream messenger doesn't protect this information at all, but instead stores it in plaintext databases.
Someone else resisting a criminal advances my ideal of not being a crime victim, no matter who gets shot or stabbed...so it's bewildering to me why people should say it's stupid. I mean, there's a word for people who slag off those who benefit them, and it is "ingrate".
Move fast and don’t deduplicate things.
I reject that premise. Embracing cultural homogeny encourages isolation and resentment, not unity and community.

A nation can’t operate at its best without embracing diverse cultures and language. To do otherwise would leave us with incestuous, tired ideas. Stripping away unique cultural experience for the sake of “integration” hurts everyone. There is nothing to be gained and a whole lot to lose.
I know of one game that actually used HAM (specifically HAM6, the original OCS version) during gameplay and it seemed to run very fast as well - it was a PD game called Zdzisław Bohater Galaktyki 3D and it's, well, not very serious [0].

[0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IV5UPk8ZQZw
People have been predicting (1) for a while. What makes you think this is finally the decade for it?
The first sentence of the wiki page mentions that they were in two AH-64 Apache Helicopters.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_12,_2007,_Baghdad_airstri...
Ya doing a long x-country with no NAV is pretty sketchy.
A bit more info about the Amiga 1000 Kickstart write-only memory. https://www.old-computers.com/museum/doc.asp?c=28
The rest of the market knows this and uses it to make money.

I am not sure what you mean in terms of someone being right and someone being wrong.

Edit: The point about future value of dividends is a common approach. My personal addition was that 72% is probably an exaggerated effect, but these kind of swings are to be expected, with later corrections. The point about irony is that when people buy shares, they follow the price of sale of one share, they don't usually try to calculate the future value of dividends. A case in point would be Amazon. However, with Amazon, people expect dividends at some unspecified point in the future.
IME, weed is shit for headaches and great for arthritis or pain from working out. It also reduces the amount of opiates you need to take, post-surgery. That said, I feel better without it. To each their own.
I hadn't thought about it, but I have a newish business class Dell and I don't think it does have a removable battery. On the other hand, I have a Dell laptop from circa 2011 and it does; in fact I got the extra large one that sticks out awkwardly.
How can it use the IHttpClientFactory?
So, not only LG is the only manufacturer of more or less usable smartphones up to this point, but it is the single place that employs that only (as it seems) graphic designer on the planet Earth that can actually draw a scissors? Huh. It's a pity their advertising department sucks.
Move fast and don’t not repeat yourself.
A quick look at Terrapass, and their individual calculator, doesn't seem include any information about diet? Perhaps I was looking at the wrong one?
It's trending that way, but this decade still sold more PCs and laptops than the previous decade. 2018 sales were around the same level as 2006 or 2007.
Not at all unforeseen by the end of 2009 though. The GMail beta dates to 2004, while EC2 was announced by 2006, and that's aside from all older precedents or predictions. (That said, not everyone 'got' EC2 at first.)
1. A +$1,000 consumer robot, humanoid or otherwise (and no, a self-driving vacuum cleaner doesn’t count), becomes as mainstream as drones

2. China’s economy collapses and they are at war with multiple countries

3. A new kind of drug, primarily consumed in vape, form will sweep the nation - some will call it “Myst”

4. Air taxis (self-flying) become moderately common in urban areas

5. A major “terror” attack involving a swarm of remote-controlled devices will cause regulatory panic for weeks

6. Politicians will tell lies

7. The average global temperature will be lower than the prior decade, and Carbon Dioxide will stop being blamed for climate change

8. Cross-network gaming will, mistakenly, further commoditize game systems, resulting in a new surge in PC gaming

9. Minimum wage will increase to $96/hr for the 3,500 people still earning minimum wage - all others will have been replaced by robots and computers that complain less and get more done

10. Donald Trump will be reelected with 68MM popular votes and over 300 electoral votes, even though he technically looses electorally, because of a multi-state pact to cast electoral votes based on the winner of the popular vote

11. People will set up traps for self-driving cars (think Wile E. Coyote on the Road Runner)

12. We will still not have ever sent man to the moon

13. A kind of standing bed will become popular

14. Gen Z will surpass Millennials in total hours worked

15. Brexit... still waiting (though nominally done)

16. Queen Elizabeth II will no longer be queen

17. Ace of Base will reunite

18. Cigarette sales will be halved, in US per-capita terms

19. Saying the word Israel on internet will become illegal

20. Grocery shortages, including in the USA... majorly; the problem of the decade
great! It may address some particular cases that I don't have a good tool for currently then. Thanks!
You seem to not understand that the gunsight is gimbaled and can rotate and zoom independently of the helicopter flight path.

Also the turn radius of a helicopter is what ever the pilot wants it too be.

For CAS you wouldn’t turn on a dime you’ll take slow wide turns to allow the gunner to maintain their engagement and for you to have better situational awareness you aren’t evading incoming fire here.

This isn’t a drone you do get such angels form fixed wing drone footage, not to mention that drones don’t come with auto cannons...
> The handles on these collide very close to the hinge, so they barely close at all. If you could file those parts down, you could close them a lot more:

> But you couldn’t, because [edit: file emoji that HN strips out :( ] is the only file you can get in emoji, so this altered version doesn’t count.
Sophie Germain Paved the Way for Women in Science (2019)
I see maybe one a year, they don't reach the front page .. ever.
We will get AGI and from there, further predictions are pointless.
I really like it and would consider switching. The only thing holding me back is the typography of link titles. In my current app (MiniHack), titles are accented and the primary thing my eyes are drawn to. In yours, there’s too much high contrast text and it’s really hard to skim. If you updated the font weights / color intensities to make titles more prominent, I would switch.
Either the system we have today works because we put enough money into it, and therefore would continue to work if we nationalized; or our system has unjust failures that we should seek to rectify.

We already pay for our healthcare in the US, we just do it predominantly via employer-contributed job benefits, and existing Medicare/Medicaid. The money for the bulk of healthcare is already there, but there are people falling through cracks all the time.

Is your position that bringing everyone's healthcare up to Medicare's baseline is too expensive? Where is the extra cost coming from?
Regarding cable lacing, it seems more complicated to add or remove cables at different points of the lace, at least when compared to velcro cable ties. However, it is cheaper and does save you time for when you don't have cable ties but do have some versatile string laying around.
I predict that most of these predictions won't come true.
Snipped out of context from:
https://signal.org/blog/the-ecosystem-is-moving/

"However, over the past six years, we’ve also seen the user cost of switching
between centralized communication services reduced substantially,
particularly given the tendency towards addressing with user-owned identifiers
like phone numbers."

Does he really believe that phone numbers are user-owned?
My phone carrier owns my number. If I'm lucky, I might be able to take
it to a new carrier. It's far more likely that I'd drop the number in
favor of one in the area code in which I actually live, however.

I own my own domain, and I self-host my own email. I'm not likely to change
it for geographical reasons. It has a much stronger tie to me than some
string of digits used by an analog voice network from the last century.

The other user cost of switching between centralized services is network
effects. If you want to switch from ICQ to AIM, you need to get
all your friends to join you.
Horror Microcast
> Hackernews color theme will change from orange to green

Apart from this one, I'm onboard with these. A change of colorscheme just seems too far-fetched.
1. Level 4/5 autonomous trucks everywhere. Speed-regulated, will probably have special lanes in freeways to pacify people. Cars will take some more time.
2. Global carbon emissions not reduced, we're all essentially screwed wrt global warming
3. About 50% of the US population is vegan or predominantly vegan
4. Google loses a lot of its sheen, becomes the equivalent of IBM in terms of glory (like air7's prediction)
5. Privacy becomes a major concern in China - young population growing up wants more rights, major anti-censoring/privacy industry
1. LEO satellites will provide Internet access worldwide. About 90% of the world's population will be online by 2030.

2. Drastic climate engineering will become a mainstream research area and popular controversial talking point.

3. Many more people will get blood tests regularly, for early disease detection and fitness monitoring. Both a Theranos-like fingerprick device and a tampon-based screening company will IPO.

4. AI will be a crucial component in discovering multiple clinical trial-stage drugs.

5. A fully AI musician will go on tour, perhaps with its own lyrics and deepfaked vocals. It will be particularly good at improvisation.

6. To combat deepfakes, public ledger-based verification of photos and videos will become common but not ubiquitous. May or may not be on blockchain.

7. Cryptocurrency-based financial instruments will become a minor part of the global financial system, widely accepted and taken seriously by traditional investors.

8. Metal 3D-printers will start to seriously compete with CNC machining and expendable casting, they will be relatively common in machine shops and factories. Consumer 3D-printing will remain a niche hobby.

9. Flying cars won't really take off.
GPL doesn't prevent you from using it on mobile devices, it prevents you from making changes to his code proprietary. You seem to just want to release proprietary software. You should say that out loud if so!
Like factory managers demanding robots to go faster then the physics of momentum and brakes would allow.
> drinking caused real harmful societal issues, and it was these issues which prohibitionists sought to confront.

Caused? I doubt it. Exacerbated? In many cases yes. But taking away the alcohol didn't solve any of the underlying problems.
Oops, I got it backwards. I'll fix it when i get a chance. Thanks for noticing!
Yeah, in about 95% of cases, I start regretting after the second km, and don't stop until about 2h after the run is over. When I was relatively fit, regret would start on the 3rd km though.
> The only metrics that should matter are patient outcomes and cost.

But the reason fire departments aren't run like a business is because fires spiral out of control and affect neighbours. That is not really the problem when we are talking about patient outcomes. Obviously we should all get exactly what we want without having to worry about physical constraints. But when we go from what should happen to what will happen the whole physics-and-reality problem sets in.

We can't provide everyone with all the healthcare that they should get. There are never going to be enough doctors, equipment or hospitals. Sickness is literally an endless source of suffering and we all die of something - there cannot be enough medical assistance to deal with everything even if we devote everything we have to the healthcare industry. Rationing access to healthcare by people's economic contribution to society is just as fair as any other sort of rationing you care to come up with.
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Robot Cat MarsCat Can Recognize Faces and Voices
Cost of food rising in China:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/04/business/china-food-price...
It means another process could grab it, yes. In the parent post's model, the "scheduler" operates in a "at least once" model", as unless the transaction is committed, a premature failure would result in the message will be picked up again by a scheduler, which could result in some duplicate work.

The parent post's model also tracks "attempts", but this only captures known or acknowledged failures -- unacknowledged failures (i.e. crashes) will not be recorded, so a task which explodes the process would be re-run ad infinitum.

An alternative method could be to record an attempt in a separate transaction, so that the next scheduler execution can detect that the job/message was serviced before, even if the message itself appears fresh.
It's no different at all. Indeed the reason mergers are allowed but not open collusion is just to satisfy public opinion.
Nice keyboard that brings iPad Pro closer to Macbook Air. It seems inevitable that Apple will launch an Arm laptop form factor with iOS.

Has Apple blocked keyboard makers from using the Smart Connector on iPad Pro 3? All 3rd-party keyboards for iPP3 are using Bluetooth, which does not have a good security track record. Apple's iPad Pro keyboard does not have backlighting, media keys or good key travel.

For iPad Pro 1 and 2, Logitech made good external keyboards with media keys and backlighting, using the Smart Connector (no Bluetooth).

On iPad (regular) and Air, Apple's keyboard has a magnetic connector at the bottom of the iPad, which has the ability to remotely enable (?!) Bluetooth, even if the user has turned it off. No onscreen prompt is given to the user to let them know that Bluetooth was turned on at the time of keyboard magnetic attachment.
Things to Teach or Learn Before Programming
1. The next recession triggers a massive financial crisis (due to unsustainable debt and currency creation in 2010s) followed by a loss of confidence in central banks as various fiat currencies are destroyed in response.

2. As a result of #1, the dollar loses its reserve currency status, probably in favour of a basket of currencies like IMF SDR.

3. To restore confidence, states will be forced to peg their new currencies to something that can't be created at will, probably gold, but perhaps also Bitcoin or another cryptocurrency.

4. Environmental collapse continues, causing mass migrations adding further fuel to nationalist and fascist movements.

5. Localisation becomes fashionable as globalisation gets blamed for many of the world's ills.
> XMPP was supposed to solve all those problems when it came out

That's also what Matrix said it would solve when it started. Except now it's yet another protocol with its own chatrooms that are not reachable from any other protocol by default (even rooms on matrix.org); and bridges are at best in "beta" (except the Telegram bridge, which is "late beta"): https://matrix.org/bridges/
Hi Elon, happy new year.
> IsaacL nailed it the best

Curious if the "wisdom of crowds" works with these future predictions or if only a few were on target.
The point I'm trying to make is that for all the risks I was taking none of the outcomes were psychologically unrecoverable or fatal. Using the word "bad" was just pointing to the class of experiences that people on the psych might consider, "not pleasant", but "not pleasant" doesn't mean "not valuable". Quite the opposite, I learned from basically every experience both through its intrinsic and extrinsic qualities.

Giving psychedelics the psychiatric treatment and connoting that there are hard distinctions between "recreational" and "therapeutic" doses for some of these drugs fundamentally misunderstands them. I had therapeutic effects from "recreational" doses.
The UK has never been part of the European Monetary Union so Brexit doesn't make it any more isolated from EU's financial system than it was before.
There were many studies done in Australia. It happened about 35 years ago
If anyone aggregates these predictions, please share.