skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Trust is not binary in the world of finance. It is a measurable quantity and it’s equal to the premium investors are willing to pay. If the market is attractive enough people will invest in the hell.
> ipfs, dat, zeronet I think are good examples of the sparks you are looking for.

All of these things are failures?
If anyone predicted in 1985 that a mere 7 years later the Soviet Union would no longer exist and Germany would be reunited, and it would all happen with essentially no violence, people would have derided them mercilessly.

Monumental changes can happen, and shockingly quickly.
I'm not buying the climate change alarmism.

The climate has changed and will change. Some of that change (although I think its a small part) will be influenced by human activity. The Earth will adjust. Humanity will adjust. And humanity will continue to flourish.
I was only trying to illustrate that a VAT isn't inherently regressive, that example wasn't meant to be taken that seriously.
If you provide a good or service and nobody wants to pay for it, what is its value? Exactly zero, no matter how much effort you've put into it.

If the government takes money (either through taxation or inflation) from you and spends it at will, creating malinvestments, what value did it produce? Negative value, meaning that if it didn't take money from individuals, they would use it in a way that would provide actual value to them (measured by the price system).
Distributed work will continue to be a minor thing prevalent mainly in tech circles. Human nature doesn’t change on 10 year timescales. We’re tribal beings who organize around work and family.

Best Buy’s pullback from it for their office staff is instructive.
Most of the extreme wealth generated in our society is not generated via income. Most of it is generated through property (land, stocks, insurance products, etc). Yang actually addresses this fact. The elite of the world are so effectively globalized now that they are not subject to the tax code of one country. The US is, frankly, not strong enough to take down billionaires single handely.
There were numerous bikeshed debates about naming early on in Redux's development, and the decision was made to keep using Flux-related terminology because that's what folks at the time would be familiar with:

- https://github.com/reduxjs/redux/issues/137

- https://github.com/reduxjs/redux/issues/351

- https://github.com/reduxjs/redux/issues/891
Yes, there is indeed work in this area! Check out the academic papers published in association with ISMIR.
Well, Soviet Union (hence the Iron Curtain itself) were not really _well funded_ anymore when they fell. The system they had in place was completely failing.

Edit: or maybe I'm wrong. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dissolution_of_the_Soviet_Unio...
The iPhone is even worse for privacy, as I've pointed out elsewhere in this thread. If privacy is your main concern, don't log in to an account on an Android phone and get your apps from F-Droid and GitHub. There are also private-by-default Android and Linux phones that can provide stronger guarantees, but they are not yet ready for primetime.
I think OPs point is the “commercial breakthrough” part. Yes, there have been home automation vendors for decades that have tried the lock-in game, but you really cannot say any of them are a huge commercial success outside of niche areas. It’s only now with devices like Alexa that people have really gotten much more into home automation.
Na, the beauty of jQ was writing JS once and being confident most of it would work in most browsers. Everything else was sugar.
The reservation system has created a uniquely imbalanced system for Native Americans where they often live on land that has neither abundant natural resources nor easy access to money from tourism, industry, or trading in general. In that respect, I think the best comparison would actually be to Americans in the parts of the Appalachians (though parts of the Appalachians have mining or tourism, some parts have neither and are very remote).

Looking at a summary for some of that data, it's a very similar poverty rate in some parts, like Appalachian Kentucky[1] (25%) despite a relatively high rate of employment (compared to native Americans). I can't do a full breakdown from my phone, but I do wonder if there are other pieces of data about well-being that differ between working and non-working poor that are worth considering.

Though it's also hard to quantify what role racism might play in limiting opportunity for Native Americans, which would compound on the issues of being generally isolated from economic opportunities.

[1] https://fahe.org/appalachian-poverty/
The reason it goes up if you give everyone $1M/month is that $1M/month of money for everyone in the country doesn't actually exist. That's ~$330T/month. You couldn't collect that amount in taxes because nobody has it to collect it from; or if you did then nobody would actually be getting $1M/month since they'd just all be paying ~$1M/month in taxes to fund it.

The implied way to do it is, of course, by printing the money. Which would indeed cause inflation in not just rents but everything. But how does that apply to the real case when the money doesn't come from printing it?
That is so bizarre, there is an old Coinhive implementation that I was testing out but it is totally commented out, I just sent a message to Heroku support I will get back to you super sorry to hear that that happened. That's crazy that Heroku is that strong-armed about this if that is the case, will let you know what I hear back.
It's funny how you can predict this person (even if he doesn't think so) is a conservative that buys in right wing media propaganda. And OP is the opposite but somehow more grounded in reality.

See how he believes 2 lies? 1. The trade war is working. 2. The US government isn't a puppet of the Saudi Arabia. Okay...
Sway 1.3 Release Candidate
Royal Society Publishing Photography Competition 2019
Thank you for your first hand account.
Supply and demand happens on both sides of the equation; when it supply increases on the money side, we call it inflation.
Yes, you can. I run a Lisp web server (with an nginx front-end) and this is the method I use. It works just fine. I have no idea why Zach doesn't use it.

[UPDATE] I sent Zach an email asking him that question. If he responds, I'll post the reply here.
These are my two favorite blogs of Q4`19:

Pat Collison [1] (Co-founder, CEO Stripe) doesn't blog often, but is one of the most interesting and insightful people I have ever read

I don't know much about Alexey Guzey [2] yet, but he also has some very good posts (he writes more often and more long form, and is more similar to Gwern and SSC, in part because I think those two blogs have influenced him heavily)

[1] https://patrickcollison.com/

[2] https://guzey.com/
The ReSpeaker Core v2.0 looks like it could be fun too:

* Debian-Based Linux System

* SDK for Speech Algorithms with Full Documents

* C++ SDK and Python Wrapper

* Speech Algorithms and Features

* Keyword Spotting (Wake-Up)

* BF (Beamforming)

* DoA (Direction of Arrival)

* NS (Noise Suppression)

* AEC (Acoustic Echo Cancellation) and AGC (Automatic Gain Control)

* All-in-One Solution with High Performance SoC

* 8 Channel ADC for 6 Microphone Array and 2 Loopbacks (Hardware Loopback)

https://respeaker.io/rk3229_core/
Perhaps slightly off topic, but the title reminded me of this picture I took a few years back.

https://www.flickr.com/photos/earlvontapia/16211171391

I really wanted more of the Milky Way to pop out, but was hard given the sensor and the lens I was using.
> Are we in a bubble? No, at least not yet.

I agree with everything you said except for this. Not because I am definitively saying we are in a bubble, but just pointing out it's impossible to know if we are. Very few people saw the last financial collapse coming.
>China will fall
>Saudi will have a violent revolution

Very very unfortunately, this sounds more like wishful thinking than a reasonable prediction.

The truly troublesome part is that predictions about social phenomenon can be self-fulfilling prophesy.
If you basically want to see a bloody revolution instead of a better solution, that actively increases the odds of it happening.
So you are okay with everything being synced to Apple? What's the difference? Why do you think Apple respects your privacy more?
I dunno, I find it pretty hard to get on board the home automation train. I feel like, working in tech, we know better than anyone else how incomplete or unreliable these systems can be, so why introduce it to your home? Why replace your plain old metal kettle with a fancy smart-kettle that you can turn on with your Alexa, but would easily crap out on you if your Internet goes down, or some circuit breaks, or Amazon's API starts being flaky, or you lose electricity in your home? Shouldn't we be a little more worried about introducing this kind of extra complexity into our lives?

(^ these aren't meant to be sassy rhetorical questions, I'm genuinely curious if everyone else just views this a different way than I do)
Yeah, unfortunately once something gets a large community, it takes on a life of its own.

Part of the issue is that the Redux docs _do_ show many of these patterns (`const ADD_TODO = "ADD_TODO"`, separate files and folders for constants / actions / reducers, etc). Dan has said several times that he didn't expect folks to literally mimic everything that was shown in the docs, but tbh that's what people do. He's also said he wishes he'd emphasized teaching it in some different ways.

We're doing everything we can to try to teach better practices and patterns now, but that can't magically change the gazillions of existing tutorials and codebases that are out there.
Longform: https://longform.org/
While I haven't been to China, I think you mean Han Chinese. Uighurs and Tibet are less excited about being part of China.
Agreed. Health care would be great first step. If we can’t pull that off I don’t have much hope for UBI.
> that needs location data, of course that location will be sent to Google

It's surprising enough that articles were written about it, and Google had to clarify its privacy policy to explain it.[0] It is not intuitive or natural to a normal user to believe that location data will be stored when they have a permission entitled "location" turned off. That's deceptive on Google's part, plain and simple.

On that note, I don't really care what Apple does, why would bad privacy policies on iPhone make me feel better about Google spying on me?

> That's how Gmail was marketed when it launched. Ads were shown based on the contents of emails. Everybody knew this.

Literally the next comment alongside yours is someone who didn't know this.

> If you mean the Street View vans collect WiFi SSIDs, Apple does exactly the same.

Yes, that's what I mean[1], and, again, who cares whether or not Apple does the same? We're supposed to believe this was totally expected behavior that was entirely fine, which is why Google was forced to respond and change their policies after public backlash.

Why do people do this? Why do people look at public, documented controversies and say, "there wasn't a controversy, everyone was OK with it"? This stuff isn't public knowledge, or else it wouldn't be newsworthy.

I've written about this pattern in the past[2], but I'm not going to rehash it in detail here. The short version is that every privacy accusation is denied vigorously until the story breaks that it's actually real. And then suddenly the conversation shifts and those privacy violations were all public knowledge and the controversy was overblown and nobody smart was ever surprised by them. People are paranoid until it's proven they're not, and then they're accused of over-reacting.

[0]: https://www.theverge.com/2017/11/21/16684818/google-location...

[1]: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2010/may/15/google-ad...

[2]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21778234
Idlewords https://idlewords.com/ - Maciej Ceglowski of Pinboard's blog. His essays are always worth reading
Instead of a front lens element you might get better results using a lens salvaged from an old medium format folder. The whole lens and shutter assembly comes off as a single standard sized unit.

These should be a good fit for the needed image circle and give better images as well.
So basically he got everything but the ultrasonic advertisement right - if you account for things that are technologically possible even if they aren't of common use (like Google Glass and wearable computer-clothes).
The PRC's working population peaks somewhere between right now and the next 5 years. By 2050, over 1/3 of their population is over 65 years old. They've been under replenishment birth rates for a long time. Their population pyramid is really, truly scary.

Their highly leveraged economy will not survive at "6%" growth over the next decade. It is not clear that they will escape the Middle Income Trap [1]. They are struggling with zombie companies and transitioning from manufacturing to a services-based economy. Their manufacturing is also being slowly eaten away by countries like Vietnam.

As the PRC maintains its legitimacy through the economic growth that has happened under its existence, a recession could trigger political upheaval or force the CCP to distract the populace, e.g. they might try to annex the ROC (Taiwan and its other holdings) by force. A military conflict in which a large number of one child families lose their sole child would have disastrous ramifications as far as government stability, too.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middle_income_trap

(No opinion on Saudi as I only follow the economy/demographics of the PRC and Eurozone countries)
100 years ago, you were screwed if you got the wrong infection no matter how rich you were. Now we cure that with a $30 course of antibiotics.

Even just the limited healthcare you can get from free clinics and emergency treatment that hospitals are required to provide even if you aren't able to pay would be better than the best care money could buy 100 years ago.
A friend of mine had that happen with iOS (iCloud sync settings that she disabled changed after an OS update) so I wouldn't feel safe from this kind of trickery after the OS switch.
Like I said, not directly, it doesn't, but once you start digging down, you're going to need that.

A couple hundred thousand years is quick on a cosmic scale, but we, as a species, have never undertaken any project on that scale ever. No species has that we have evidence of.

Any sublight travel is a one way trip with almost no hope of ever knowing it was a success by the people back home. No one funds that. And I don't blame them. There is no return in any fashion for the people who remain. And little to no return for anyone who starts the journey. The only thing you can possibly satisfy is some minor curiosity.

Travel to Proxima Centauri at the current highest speed we've sent probes into space would take over 80,000 years. If you double that speed. It will still take over 40,000 years.

So, cosmically, the time scale is short. And compared to light, the speed needed is slow.

But we're not light, are we? We don't exist on cosmic scales. I'm not concerned with the theoretical limits of physics. I'm more concerned with the practical limits of us.
Wow! That’s awesome! I’m happy for you, congrats!
Many of these seem like wishful thinking on the part of the author. For example, take the first one:

> The looming climate crisis will be to this century what the two world wars were to the previous one.

Oddly enough, if you go back to 2010 for predictions about the next decade, you'll see quite a few people talking about "peak oil." Almost nobody predicted a sharp turnaround in oil production and I don't think anyone in 2009 was predicting that the US would become a net oil exporter by the start of 2020.

I'll make a counter-prediction on the topic of climate crisis for the 2020s:

The climate crisis movement will become widely discredited for its attempts to manipulate scientific data and the scientific process for political ends. Grave prophecies of doom will not come to pass, causing loss of momentum and credibility. Climate research will continue, and as a result, new thermal regulatory mechanisms will emerge that lead to a more nuanced view of future climate change.
This looks like an awesome project!

Meta note: All things considered, Amazon has it pretty good. They put out a barely usable, bare-bones, but fully functional tool in awscli. Paying customers of AWS have to perform the engineering effort to make the API more usable, and some even open-source their projects like this. AWS is an incredible business model.
It is not a problem if rich people resent having to pay money into the government in order to keep the system running. Rich people are only rich because the government maintains the monetary system. Being so rich that one resents the very government that establishes their riches is a feature, not a bug.

Edit: As usual for rapid downvotes on polite posts, do downvoters care to explain themselves? Or is today a day for irrationally defending the rich?
The solution to that is remove the rent seeking by introducing new supply of housing. Or regulating it like utilities.
I think healthcare is a great candidate for a step one.
Advice for a New Executive
> The only thing that needs to be preserved is the desire to build more colonies

That's hard. I'd say harder than solving the physical problems of interstellar travel. Once a generation has learned to live with the limited resources of a starship, living with the limited resources of a planet is going to be a very attractive option. What's their incentive to colonize more from there?
This. And who will constitute these 1000's of decentralized nodes?
It depends on the exploit but DOS ARE security vulnerabilities and their impact can range from very low to high severity.

And please OP don't listen to this and report the vulnerability responsibly even if you're not so sure if it's a security vulnerability or not
Do you have compelling examples on non-means-tested benefits remaining non-means-tested indefinitely? This doesn't seem to be what happens in the UK. Some government invariably either wants to reduce its expenditure or be seen to be "tough on scroungers" and the start means testing.
It's not really the tyranny of bad employers that you want to target through government intervention in the labor market, but the curb the unintended consequences of the good ones, which is also why I don't think UBI is the right weapon to use.

As wages have stagnated and been replaced through other incentives I kind of see ourselves entering a neo-feudalist society. We're not swearing oaths to our employers by any means, but we are being somewhat tied to the land, metaphorically. Healthcare is the lowest hanging fruit politically, but the unintended consequences of all non-monetary benefits should also be on the table.

Like companies building or compensating for housing. Pet insurance. Company doctors/clinics. Child care. All things we want and appreciate, and great to see in a benefits package, and fantastic that companies want to help people with those problems, but it's a bit disconcerting in the long run for the labor market and society if you think about how these things can potentially trap individuals. And how when companies pay for things instead of individuals and pricing gets hidden/warped how the market changes.
I bet by changing up the sensor pixels this would be a pretty cost effective way of making a low res FLIR camera, or really any imaging band. Using a different pin hole you might even be able to image things with xrays, neutrons, or strong 100Ghz through THz radio waves.
The goal here is to get enough of an OS community behind NodeTube that there are a lot of different sized instances out in the wild. At that point with ActivityPub the idea is to federate them and allow servers to index eachother's content, that's the vision at the moment.
Note for completeness, that blog is by the author of this book.
It can "write" like Nabokov but it can't read.

Symbolic A.I. Did not fail at text generation but it did not have a real market. Today the web is full of "mad-lib" text generated by SEO spammers. Practically many software users don't seem to care if forms in an application use the right articles (e.g. 'a', 'an'). For that matter you can get superhuman performance at grammar by squashing it's to its 100% compared to ordinary people who do not punctuate correctly.

The language embedding business has traded percentages of accuracy on benchmarks for percentages of possible commercial accuracy because of information that is provably lost in the front end.

The dialog between linguists and the embedding industry has been slow to develop because when you look for linguistic or semantic concepts in the embedding (say by training a classifier) they are hard to find.

For instance you might try a set of 10 color/non-color words, predict the result for another 10 words based on the WordNet embedding and superficially think it is promising. With every word you add to the training and test sets it will perform worse. It passes superficially because it knows many biases like 'anyone named Tyrone is a thug.'

That kind of machine may be able to write fiction, but you need a different level of understanding to act justly, do hard things correctly, etc.
Because that would force media companies to compete with their own old content. If people could see movies from the 80s and 90s for free, many might choose them over newer stuff.
> free health-care and tertiary education.

Probably because there is no such thing. The people who vote against them realize that you’re still paying for them via taxes and that you’ll be destroying the entire market.

Destroying the market with the best healthcare research and the market with much of the best academic research shouldn’t be taken lightly.
Oh good. Too big to fail now thinks they are too diversified to fail.

This will end well.
I'm not following your logic. Yes, humans are leaving rural communities for cities, but I'm not sure how that exacerbates climate problems...unless they're all moving to New Orleans.
He doesn't mention turning off Apple sync. It seems like he/she is ok with their data being owned by Apple and not by Google. Confuses me as to why they think Apple is more private.
Not everyone is smart enough to be a coder. Here are some suggestive numbers.

According to the College Board, the PSAT Reading+Math test scores needed to have a 50% chance of scoring 3 or higher on the AP Computer Science A exam is 1130, and 1280 to score 4 or higher https://cb.collegeboard.org/ap-potential/app/expectancy.html... . PSAT Reading+Math test scores are comparable to SAT scores, and the average SAT score is 1060, even though SAT takers are a self-selected group. The average SAT score in West Virginia, where there are many coal miners, is 974.
Shallow and negative dismissal aside, if this project doesn’t randomly get stuck and force a refresh, that would be an improvement over beta.music.apple.com.

I regularly click on another song during a playlist only to have it just hang forever.
I reckon this can be open sourced and let community add content?
Resin is in the order of magnitude of $30 per kg, so I'd assume the materials cost would be < $10 if you already have a printer.
Elements in Danger
Even a digital assistant is really hard. For me, I'd love something that could handle a lot of my administrivia like booking travel. But the thing is that, if it's straightforward, it's really not a big deal. And if it's not straightforward, that's because there are a bunch of tradeoffs and decisions that would be hard for all but a good personal human assistant who knows your preferences well.

And, of course, that's not even talking about tasks that require moving around and manipulating things in the physical world.

TBH, things like auto bill pay and direct deposit save me more time and distraction than any of my (few) home automation devices.