skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Why are you under the impression that accessing your KP database is guaranteed to alert you. I can't imagine how that could possibly be true without the master key being stored in some service running somewhere and you're notified when it's used. Which, well, would explain how your key was compromised. Otherwise it seems highly misleading to assume that no email = no compromise.

Doesn't really matter though, it would've been mitigated by not keeping the KP database decrypted at rest or by using 2FA. Both of which are SOP for hardware token users.

For real, at this point if you don't have a yubi/nitrokey on your keychain, I assume you just don't care about actual account security.
Small scale production will resume, new education programs in manufacturing and applied business aimed at the smaller efficient entrepreneurs will develop everywhere. Consumers will have more small-local brand awareness.
Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2020)
Lots of demographics problems in the western world and hopefully we get ahead of it, unlike our track record with climate change.
Dozens of cities in the US will seriously invest money and adopt new policies to become the "next Silicon Valley." One will reach Boston-level success. Probably in a Southern state along the East Coast.

Fewer people with CS degrees, more inclusion of CS coursework across different degree programs.

Going beyond 2030 to 2050, shopping malls outside of high-value cities will be abandoned, never repurposed, and become common locations for "urban ruin explorers."
I'm just being cute :)

It's the "if you can't beat them, fork them" strategy that I think will pay off in the end. "Improve" and "Destroy" are both rather optional.
That's the wrong study.
Batteries will likely have 2x the capacity in 10 years, but range will increase a only fraction of that. The rest will be spent on lowering prices and curb weight.

By 2030, ownership of ICE vehicles will start to go bimodal, with new luxury vehicles catering to the rich, and used vehicle ownership moving to the those of limited means.

By 2030 even the fusion people will be making fun of general AI. Again.
When I wanted to add processing for background jobs to a Django project, the most obvious solution was Celery, and the most obvious job queue for Celery was Redis.

I looked for a solution that would use Postgres+Celery but there wasn't anything obvious. There is a way to just use the filesystem for Celery, but that doesn't seem ideal.

So that's how I ended up with a Redis dependency.
You could argue that it's JavaScript. JavaScript had terrible performance even in 2008, can't remember now what it was like by 2010, but I would guess V8 was still pretty lacklustre back then.
The zeppelin has always been my favorite "knot" (the zeppelin is a bend), but one knot is not the "best"... the alpine butterfly they compare it with is a loop. They're used in different contexts.

I'm just knot layman, but other knots I like are: the icicle hitch, bowline (+yosemite stopper), trucker's hitch, siberian/evenk/halter hitch, tumble hitch, and the chinese button knot.
Perhaps not normal English. But to those of us who have written a lot of assembler is was plain enough. Every heard two medical doctors discuss a patient? It's the same phenomenon.

Every processor architecture (and computer language for that matter) has it's own idiosyncrasies, every assembler programmer builds up a repertoire of sequences for handling them over time. It was plain he was giving you one of those sequences, and it is pretty obvious how to apply it.

Oh, and to answer your question: being simple to understand is _not_ a design criterion for processors. We've been there, done that with the VAX and later the iAPX32. It wasn't a success. We've since settled on what they are supposed to be: efficient in terms of silicon and power consumption. Architectures that win those races will be here in the long term. The VAX and iAPX32 were poor at it, and died. x86 is grimly holding onto it's niche, but I don't expect that to last. It has already lost the consumer market as most consumers use ARM now.
Quant with working model.
Proven accuracy up to 90%.

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I've been interested in homebrew computer projects that use a Z80 as the CPU, I wonder how easily it could be done with a RISC-V cpu.
I think there is still value in coding questions, although i agree the value may have diminished. They may be another case of 'as soon as it becomes a metric it's useless as a metric'.
I hope this sort of thing doesn't become a trend to enact change, because it strikes me more as a bully tactic rather than just promoting a noble cause. It seems to be a formula almost. E.g. employee does something that they know will force their employers hand, and employer does so (however reasonably or tactfully), and then the employee goes to the media to drum up outrage.
Jiuquan Launch Area 4
There was going to be temporary inefficiency no matter what because this was a pretty big and sudden supply shock. If your question is why did it last for as long as it did, I think it's because people (mainly sell side analysts) were very complacent and dismissed the concerns of didn't really understand the issues. Related to that is that it's harder to come by reliable information from China..which probably means the problem is far worse - if China admits to 1/4th reduction in hog herd, imagine how bad it must actually be!
You forget how hard it is to look after it.

Bitcoin is like fairy dust , nearly impossible to grasp.
Maybe JavaScript libraries and frameworks? I haven't touched too many of the "batteries included" ones but I see them out of the corner of my eye at meetups and hackathons, they seem unwieldy enough to fit the bill.
Why shouldn't a citizenry decide to limit exports of certain goods when it is in their own interest to do so? We certainly do this with uranium already. Likewise with weapons technology and all manner of harmful trade vectors.

Australia's coal industry provides few jobs, is heavily government subsidized (either explicitly or through direct infrastructure funding), pays little to no tax, and creates environmental harm that the majority of the electorate disagree with.

[Sorry HN: I know I should be supporting this with annotations but am time pressed today.]
- “AI” will be a continuing hype that still falls to deliver. “Self driving cars“ will be a thing but not in the sense that they are fully autonomous. People still buy (more often leads) and drive cars.

- Personal Integrity will be the new “organic” of gadgets. A more tech savvy and privacy conscious generation will demand to not be listened to by their TVs.

- Traditional auto makers have a tough first half of the decade, converting to BEV production. They do catch up with electric vehicle production in the second half.

- Regulation catches up lots of tech from the last decade: drones, deepfakes, gene editing cryptocurrency etc.

- We are nowhere close to a manned flight to mars.

- Lots of lowland is ocean!

- Nuclear power makes no big comebacks

- Fusion power is now looking promising but still far from commercial

- We still use PCs and we still use desktop software. It’s becoming more and more niche however (e.g used by certain professions.).

- smartphones look pretty much the same as they do now (slabs). The same goes for monitors, TVs: incremental improvements (8K, HDR etc) but no major revolutions.

- VR never makes a big breakthrough, but the tech matures to something incredible (but niche).

- There won’t exist a good way of paying for content online so news outlets will still struggle.

- FM radio will be almost gone
I don't think it'll make much economic sense for consumers to actually buy them, but I do expect to see services accessible to the public that let you use an autonomous vehicle in places with effectively ideal conditions before 2030. I also don't regard that as a particularly significant advance in the broader sense of the objective because I think it's easier to get from zero to driving in Phoenix than it is to get from there to handling, say, traffic in Mumbai, both in technological and social terms.
JS is pretty much the fastest of the popular dynamic langs, if only because JS interpreters see highly-competitive investment from well-funded companies with armies of developers thanks to the web.
I believe he was speaking of Apple push notifications and google cloud messaging
I'd put in a vote for the sheet bend, although it's kind of isomorphic to the bowline. The "free" ends are in different places, and it's a joining knot.
I think journalism will find its bearings in the new digital/social media environment and gain trust again, it just won't operate/look like what we think of as journalism today or in the past.
Everyone is still doing it, they just aren't transparent about it now.
Note that this is a different goal from the KIP referenced above, which is to entirely remove any dependency on an external configuration service. The idea of “pluggable consensus” is explicitly rejected in this KIP.
That's not the representative experience for most consumers/users. Most people do have a phone number, though, so it's easy enough to bootstrap with.

I might not agree with the phone number thing, but I recognize the tradeoff being made and am willing to begrudgingly accept that for right now, Signal/Moxie are probably making the right call. It's not like they're not moving to fix it anyway.

Also, unless I misunderstood him, the APN bit is referencing push notifications, and he's right - if that's out there, it could identify you not just by phone but by Apple account in general. You realistically can't use Signal without an Apple ID, as you couldn't get it from the store otherwise.
But humans are cheaper, that why we don't have machines to do it.
I think that malls will become server farms.
Google will buy an electric utility and enter into the power industry with full force. Not only revving up smartgrid and the whole customer experience, but seriously pursuing fringe power generation like ocean waves, thermoelectrics. Vast majority of these will be abandoned.
Magic in Panama, 1681 (2011)
* Companies will grow further until they overpower nation states. Neither the West nor China can break them up since they are the players in the economic wars. They need the size to finance the ever increasing costs of technological progress.

* There will be general artificial intelligence. Somebody will get it right this time because all components are available outside of academia. A team without an agenda will come up with the right combination by chance.

* At the end of the decade, people will design the genetic setup of 'their' children

* We will give up on preserving nature and embrace global warming. A new metropolis will be created from all the people who are forced to settle somewhere else. Established players will strengthen their borders but somebody will use that opportunity. I can imagine a city in Saudi Arabia but it could also be a special economic zone in China.

* The Chinese social credit system will be so successful that many other countries will introduce it, too.

* Energy will become scarce because all is needed for simulations and encryption attacks
- In 2030 Google will still be around, yet without the same market share it holds now. Also, the public grows tired of their creepy advertising & federal laws are passed to protect our data possibly forcing them to change their business model.

- Google Home and the Alexa's of the world either change to privacy focus or are shunned for assistants that are privacy focused.

On a different note I think the guy who created that HBO Michael Jackson documentary (Dan Reed) is currently working on a similar piece about Silicon Valley. I would guess based on his MJ documentary that it might not be a flattering piece. Such could hurt one the current tech giants reputation & their market share.
I'm hoping analog photonic cOmputation will take off.
Politically:

- No meaningful regime change in places like Russia, China, Cuba, North Korea, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Burma, United States.

- A meaningful regime change will occur in a boring autocracy that catches everyone by surprise (like Tunisia did a decade ago).

Economically:

- There will be a major recession in the 2020s.

- In 2030 itself, there will be a simmering row over tariffs for carbon emissions. Between whom, I am not going to speculate.

Technologically:

- IPv4 is still around.

- Self-driving cars (Level 5, if we're still using NHTSA's terminology) do not exist.

- Quantum computers are "just around the corner."

- The phrase "deep learning" causes people to take a few seconds to remember what it means.

- Exactly one of the following companies will no longer exist (due to bankruptcy or being acquired): Amazon, AMD, Apple, Cisco, Facebook, Google (aka Alphabet), Huawei, IBM, Intel, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia, Oracle, Qualcomm, Samsung, Tesla, TSMC, Xilinx.
But did Digg serve its purpose for that period of the internet? That is, is it simply the case that Digg had limited shelf life and should have been left alone to die out naturally. If it was losing numbers then maybe the redesign or whatever it was accelerated its demise. Sometimes it's better to use the iPod effect as momentum to launch then next new thing (iPhone). That new thing is totally separate from the old thing (Digg).
> Recession happens this decade.

After any other decade, nobody would bother to say that, because of course there would be a recession (if not more) in the next decade. It is amazing that the 2010s didn't have one. But, as you say, amazing usually doesn't continue forever...
That's an amazingly low bar. Preorders and crowd funding exist. You don't need a product to ask for money.
An "HTTP connection" is as real a thing as an "SSH connection".
Mathy: Reinforcement learning environment for solving maths problems
Things I believe will stay the same:

* Google, Amazon, Facebook, Apple will have roughly the same dominant positions.

* Bitcoin will play roughly the same role it plays today (store of value, more like gold than money, similar mkt cap)
* Machine learning continues to grow in usage and capability, but there will be no "revolution" in AI.

* Nobody on Mars

* No serious alternatives to advertisements will emerge for industries where ads have traditionally driven profits.

* Climate change is not adequately addressed, but by the end of the decade it is widely recognized as an existential threat (not just amongst wealthy people as is the case today).

* Vim + tmux + make is still the best "IDE" ;)

Things I believe will change:

* There will a tech company worth >$100B delivering new, completely bogus healthcare through a smartphone.

* Huge advances in astronomy, physical chemistry, biotech, and computational physics driven by better data processing software. No big advances in any theoretical field.

* Tech illiteracy of young people becomes an economic
problem, with political debates and movements centered around fixing the "tech education gap" between people born after 2000 and everyone else.

* Cryptocurrency goes mainstream in super boring ways. Banks probably use it for transfers and various apps use it for payments, especially in China.
Should or shouldn't is up for debate, but until such a time when consensus is reached, the contract that was agreed-upon between the parties should stand. Otherwise we have chaos, and that's a bad recipe for people to go on with their lives.

If we as a society don't like it, we should enact laws for/against it. Though, I agree with another poster here that it is practically impossible to change any laws at this point. The whole system seems to almost be designed for snail-paced gridlock.
SEEKING WORK | Poland | Remote (EST/PST timezones OK)

---------------------------

Technologies:

* Python, Django, DRF

* AngularJS, React+Redux, React Native, Vue.js

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Résumé/CV: https://michallech.info/static/Michal-Lech-Resume.pdf

Email: michal [AT] michallech.info

Website: https://michallech.info

==============================

I am Full Stack Developer with 8+ years of commercial experience in prototyping, MVP, backend and frontend development as well as maintenance and DevOps.
Good communication skills, passionate about programming, self starter, OK with freelance/consulting as well as full time work.
[Dec 2019] https://news.ycombinator.com/edit?id=21693824
6. Argentina is first in the waiting list.

Last week the government had to re-introduce currency controls via a 30% tax, after a 20-year long currency crisis, in which it went to 1-63 from 1-1 parity
Active ingredients in pharmaceuticals kill people all the time. I recommend looking up FDA black box warnings before taking any prescription. My doc prescribed something to me without knowing about a recent black box warning.

FDA does a lot of good, but the trials that bring a drug to market are not foolproof, and many doctors prescribe off label.

I would estimate that legally regulated cannabis's other ingredients are an order of magnitude or two less risky than taking any pharmaceutical that has come to market in the past 20 years.
Asimov at 100: The prolific author’s literary legacy endures
If Google, Microsoft, Amazon or Apple have GAI, how do you explain the fact that Siri, Cortana, Google assistant and Alexa are all so very, very, very far from that?
Call me cynical but there are so many incentives to all parties here it’s hard for one not to roll one’s eyes at this.

I’m not American, but...

Dude is a politician:
“Democratic Candidate for U.S. Senate in Maine.”

He knows of the anti big tech sentiment right now, Liz Warren “break’em up” and all that. This piece is coming out at a very convenient time where the media is hungry for yet more scandals at Google, it’s sure to get the author’s name talked about.

“Enter the Chinese market in 2006...users were getting more information than before, even if there was censorship of some topics... In China, the government not only demands full access to a company’s user data and infrastructure...”

I don’t believe Google pulled out of China just not to be evil. I believe they did so to avoid feeding Baidu with even more expertise than they already had, given the already cross-pollinated rankdex/pagerank algo.

“...in December 2017, Google announced the establishment of the Google Center for Artificial Intelligence in Beijing”

Given the feedback loop of technology flowing military->private sector->military and the vast amount of Chinese nationals acquiring American expertise and returning to China or Chinese gov-controlled biz poaching talent from the US (see Andrew Ng) I wouldn’t be surprised if the US Gov instructed Google and others to open such facilities in China as a way to “fight back”. This is a tech arms race just as hypersonic weapons are.

“...I returned home to Maine. It’s where I was born and raised, and where I was taught basic values like the importance of working hard, standing up for what is right, and speaking the truth. Sharing my story with my neighbors and my family has helped me understand why I was so often in conflict with the company’s leaders as Google changed.“

That paragraph is sure to touch the hearts of many of the voters in the state of Maine which the author is a candidate for the 2020 elections. I trust he’ll use his considerable wealth, accumulated over the 11 “conflicting years“ as a Google exec to fund his campaign.

PS: That diversity exercise is grotesque.
> A younger/more populist group of politicians will assume power in China. — Well, and even older, and more populist group of politicians have claimed power in China, and no, no bubble burst yet

Keep an eye on news on Taiwan towards the end of January. We're about to see if the youth are committed to what they started when they rejected the KMT (the "pro-chinese" party) back during the sunflower protests in 2013.

I think one way or the other, the "Taiwan question" will be answered this decade, which very well could pop the China bubble if pro-democratic propaganda (from Taiwan and the falun gong) can overcome pro-PRC (from the Party and possibly KMT).

I know mainlanders convinced there will be war if Green isn't voted out, I know Taiwanese that are convinced it's going to be business as usual for the foreseeable future.
Ummm, Uber?
No but they did promote his manager the next promo cycle. Just normal Amazon things.
Things You Should Know VSCode Can Do Without Extensions
> - As Moore's Law marches on, dynamic languages that are even slower than Ruby are likely to catch on. They may be to Ruby what Ruby is to Java, trading even more programmer time for CPU time.

Interesting how plausible this one is, yet turned out to be terribly wrong: the newer hyped languages that got some uptake were largely compiled ones like Swift, Rust, Kotlin, and Dart.
I read it such that if, for arguments's sake, Ruby is 10 times slower than Java that people would start using a new language that is 10 times slower than Ruby. I'm not sure that ever described Javascript, and it certainly didn't as the decade progressed with the advancements that have been made in executing it.

I feel like that one simply missed the mark. If anything, there was greater emphasis towards languages that were more performant, even if less productive for banging out a working product.
Belching in a good way: How livestock could learn from Orkney sheep
No, it really wasn't. You had to use it in really specific ways and it had all sorts of gotchas. One I vaguely remember is that if an array got too big performance would tank like crazy.
Nah, its full Java EE. Its fully possible to run low profile java.

https://quarkus.io/
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Technologies: Java, Node.js, SQL, JavaScript, Oracle PL/SQL, Bash, HTML/CSS, Vue.js, Jenkins, Docker, SVN, Git, PostgreSQL, Ubuntu/Oracle/Redhat Linux

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I have about 3 years work experience in backend development, and especially in building Java web services supporting a high-traffic retail website and POS systems. Currently working as a software developer at a medium-sized retail company in a position where I have to be jack-of-all trades. Because of that, I have experience managing and building deployment/DevOps systems using Jenkins, acting as a business analyst and working on projects directly from end users, developing SQL tables, managing integration with 20-year-old custom GUI and SQR scripts, developing best practices, and developing most of the company's web services.
California could lose a congressional district following 2020 census count