skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Is this an issue with UBI though? Of course the prices will go up because of supply/demand changes. And thus 12k/year won’t go as far as it does now. That’s not a bad thing though. The people who are at rock bottom still > 0. Leeches won’t be able to do nothing and exist off 12k. For most rent payers, their life will remain the same as it is today: the economy will reach a new equilibrium and their lives will be no better financially. But that’s by design- this isn’t meant to be a free ride through life.
People were projecting that he will lose last year: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18792890
No macro collapse, and the first proposition didn't work out: Uber: 50B, Palantir < 40B, Airbnb < 40B, Dropbox < 10B, Pinterest ~10B, SpaceX < 40B. So total 160-180B market cap. Close, but not quite.
tl;dr; Just do it, it's an amazing hack for increased focus, productivity and peace of mind. I recommend

Personal phone -> A feature phone
Business phone -> Smartphone if you're in primarily customer-facing role(e.g. sales, customer support)

My Story:

3 years back, I gave away my smartphone and switched to a simple feature phone. I had to get a smartphone for a duration of 6 months in between this period(when a lot of my day job couldn't be finished without accessing whatsapp groups/messages and travelling)

For my job as a programmer/founder, I prefer no smartphone at all and use following formula

1. For Personal Use: phone on feature phone
2. For Business Use: iPad with only business whatsapp, toto app, book reading app(and that too only when I am not able to lure any other team member to handle it for me)

Location services, cabs, all these things can be handled without smartphone. Although, it takes little longer and inconvenience but also gives an opportunity to live in the moment, ask people for help.
Part 1 didn't quite make it. Eyeballing it I think it's around $150B, which I think still substantially backs his point, but it loses him the bet.

Part 2 was an easy win from Stripe alone.

I scanned the YC '15 Winter list and I don't think I recognize any of them. Someone could track it better via Crunchbase, but I rather doubt that he bet correctly there either.

EDIT: Oh, GitLab.
Blender Top Highlights of 2019
Original article doesn't say anything about "database join". It's about joining two datasets by some common ID.

R in this case fits the bill and even allows for some relational algebra here (e.g. INNER JOIN would be merge(X, Y, all=FALSE), LEFT OUTER JOIN: merge(X, Y, all.x=TRUE), etc...)
Merge joins the two dataset on identical columns. All=True is an outer join.
funny that you give multiplayer to people and they will use any chance they get to display creativity. look at all the pople trying to draw with their tyres!
bet 3 - gitlab was in that batch and is alone worth 2.7 bn, so yeah total batch valuation is well north of 3bn.
I just googled the company values, and it looks like he came up a bit short for number 1 but got close, easily beat number 2 with Stripe alone.
The 'Curse' of the Mother-in-Law?
Dockerizing Go Applications
This article talks about some of the costs of becoming a reserve currency:

"...I do not think that the role of the dollar provides for the US any “exorbitant privilege”, contrary to what many suppose. Rather, I have argued, it creates an exorbitant burden for the US economy, one that forces the US to choose between higher debt and higher unemployment whenever a country takes steps to force up its savings rate or, which is pretty much the same thing, to force up its current account surplus."
https://carnegieendowment.org/2012/11/17/is-there-asian-rmb-...
The "add 11" trick in my comment is easier to remember and apply than dividing by 12 and taking remainders.
Biggest difference was that the public market valued a bunch of these companies waaay less than VCs did.
An ad hominem attack does not improve the discussion.
Bet 1 should be less than 200bn. Bet 2+3 was spot on and easily won.
Can you please not post amp infected links?
What method does he use to calculate?
So it was a bubble then?
Part 3: Gitlab alone is almost $3B
In regards to your last point:

My understanding is that, for example, Valve might be broken up into two companies:

- Valve: Produces video games such as Half Life, TF2, and Portal

- Steam: Sells video games

If Steam then sold Half Life 3, it would no longer be 1st party software because it is made by Valve not Steam.

Granted, that will never happen because Valve will never make Half Life 3. -_-
I couldn't tell from what you wrote what you regarded as the source of the illusion.

Since you earlier pointed to Putin's grudges, I thought you meant that Russia's new weapons development programs (post-2000) broke the illusion.
Angular vs. React – what you'll choose in 2020 if you are starting from scratch?
It has been awhile since I did any web development, and the landscape has changed completely. Javascript-based stacks seem to be the name of the game these days. If you were starting from scratch, would you choose Angular or React for a new project with a fairly complex UI? I am an experienced programmer (C++, Java, Python, etc.) but my Javascript skills are basically non-existent. I'm leaning towards React because it seems simpler and well-supported and I like the idea of also being able to use React.native for phone apps, but I'm open to other suggestions like Angular.
Yes, Rhasspy will now run on a Pi Zero (armv6l) as of 2.4.15 (https://community.rhasspy.org/t/version-2-4-15-release/115). Kaldi is not yet supported, so you have to use pocketsphinx for speech recognition. You'll also have to do a virtual environment install (https://rhasspy.readthedocs.io/en/latest/installation/#virtu...)

The recommended use of a Pi Zero is as a recording/wake word detection/audio playback satellite. Other functions, like speech/intent recognition can be done remotely (e.g., https://rhasspy.readthedocs.io/en/latest/speech-to-text/#rem...)
Alone in a Crowded Milky Way
Would ads that don't track users sell?
Cheapest Cloud Services
Fair point. My understanding is that all members have veto power over EU decisions and that Germany, France, Italy, Poland and Spain are first among equals due to size. But that is focused on an understanding of the EU, not a detailed understanding of the ECB.

But I imagine aiming to be a reserve currency would be a political as well as a monetary decision.
Kaldi and Docker support are missing, but its possible to run on a Pi Zero using a virtual environment install: https://rhasspy.readthedocs.io/en/latest/installation/#virtu...
This requires a login. Is the paper located elsewhere?
Uber: 50.73 bln
Spacex: 33.3 bln?
Airbnb: 35 bln?
Palantir: 26 bln ?
Pinterest: 10.4Bln
Dropbox: 7.44 Bln

They are far from $200bln, so he certainly lost the first one. Might have won the other 3 though.
This is a strong argument. Do we need one global reserve currency, especially as we retreat from a global trading system? (Or at least from a global trading regulator, the WTO.)

For more on that, this is an excellent read:

https://www.worldcat.org/title/absent-superpower-the-shale-r...
Definitely possible! See https://rhasspy.readthedocs.io/en/latest/speech-to-text/#rem...
Not sure if it's the right nomenclature, since bubbles are supposed to be pop. Instead they just grew in value slower than they were.
Bytecode is just the instructions, which is actually a level lower than asm, but for a virtual machine instead of a physical one. It's a direct enough abstraction that you can predict the bytecode you'd build from the asm you write.
Going forward, Rhasspy is being split into multiple MQTT services that should be compatible with Snip.ai's protocol (https://github.com/rhasspy)

This should make it much easier to swap out parts, and distribute the computing across multiple devices.
>How does UBI even work?

If Indian reservations in the USA are any indication, it clearly doesn’t.
Haha, that example code made my day

# check if frame is None
if frame_stab is None:
#if True break the infinite loop
break

A single comment saying "continue if stream ends" would be much clearer
Your point depends upon the idea that because the organisation is within a different type of legal entity than a company, it must be immune from all ills. This is obviously not true. You are exposing your own bias. I get it, you are left wing, that is fine, but...

It is a legalistic wrangling of irreality.
I bought an MP3-playing PCB for $3 or so. You do need to do some light soldering (it came without a headphone jack connector IIRC) and maybe print a case for it, but you can have a dirt-cheap, very simple iPod-shuffle-like MP3 player in half an hour.
Regardless of the fact that he missed by a bit, this type of writing is way more valuable than the standard NYT/Bloomberg "OMG IS IT A BUBBLE???" articles?
> being in one of the worst droughts on record

If you think that that was bad, now the problem has worsened exponentially. You can expect more hot in the next years now that the nature buffer has being hit and weakened. Is like a sort of slipping "extinction vortex" for the entire local area.

Australia seems to still think that can win against this monster with an army of volunteers and the minimum amount of resources possible.
Wonder who took the other side and where they chose for him to donate to.

Edited due to ambiguity.
Water Crisis Puts Oregon Community at a Crossroads
Modern assembly is kind of...bad.

I would recommend checking out an old book for an old mainframe's assembly language. They're usually much less mystic by virtue of being much less complex. IBM had some really nice manuals and books; no one ever got fired for buying IBM because an IBM machine could be programmed by a dog.

Octal is where it's really at, though, if you get really into this. A fun weekend project is to write an octal "decompiler" (ideally you won't have compiled anything, just having written some octal by hand) that allows you to reason with what it's doing by translating it to an actual language rather than just thin syntactic sugar over 1s and 0s. Octal itself isn't so difficult, it makes binary much easier to reason with, but this definitely helps you get a more intuitive sense of what is what.

Of course, it's not something that has a substantial amount of value with modern machines. Maybe eventually we'll get back there; I think I'll enjoy it when we do. Until then, though, it's fun to play with.
It's assembly against a virtual machine, not a physical one. You're right it's not appropriate for an embedded system or some other RTS, but assembly doesn't stop being assembly when you target a virtual machine.
His bet was a parlay so it lost, but not by a lot. Had he been able to include Snapchat it probably would have done worse.

I think what we’ve seen in the last five years is that there’s some bubble-like irrationally exuberance but overall it’s far from 2000 all over again. Companies have high valuations but this time also often have financials and growth prospects to go with them.
I think we should be looking at it at the micro level. Every time automation is introduced at the employee level the employee is going to find (or make up) other work to do because otherwise they lose their job.

So we just aren’t going to see the effects of automation. But I bet if you tracked percent of work time used for internet surfing you’d see it going up 5-10% per year.
It targets a virtual machine, not a physical one, but other than that it's "assembly-like" enough that learning some core ASM coding practices will help you.
Automating bureaucracy could be something that actually creates more jobs. We had to wait 8 months to get a permit to build a deck!
The Future of the News Industry, According to Student Journalists
Why do you think an EV would be bad for the environment in this island scenario?

Oil-burning generation electrical plants should power Evs about 1/3rd more efficiently than an equivalent ICE car.

Some comparisons:
https://www.theguardian.com/football/ng-interactive/2017/dec...
Mass Shootings Are Connected to America’s Legacy of Anti-Indigenous Violence
It checks out if you move the much larger valuations in bet 2 to bet 1 as he really underestimated the companies in bet 2. Things are a bit random, so I'd say he arguably won the bet in spirit even though he didn't do it according to his own exact rules.
Ah, cool. Missed them somehow.
This is a wonderful rhetoric, a nice example of eristic dialectic. I love it. It avoids implying the person argued with has a taint, which would make them defensive, but instead allows them to pick a straw man from their monkey-sphere and create a vague threat against themselves where the best defense is agreeing with the pro-privacy argumentation. There is one way out: "everyone i know is a saint, and if someone is not, i am a saint and would rather get smeared for acquaintance than protect the devil." but it is unlikely any human will react in this way, because it is almost never true.

However your argument is fundamentally flawed, even if it works emotionally: It accepts the narrative that privacy is about hiding something evil, which is the primary attack vector against this basic human right and should be refuted, not reiterated.

Privacy is not about hiding vileness, it was (19th/20th century) about not allowing a totalitarian government to read your private correspondence in search for what they consider dissident opinions. Many people are very lucky that they find this hard to grasp.

Privacy has changed, it had to change because of the "data is the new oil" paradigm. 21st century privacy is your right to choose who can process your data for what. Example: You would never agree that your data is processed by an organization with the purpose of changing your opinion to theirs without ever telling you they are engaging you at all. Yet that is happening, it is called microtargeting.
Newcomers to the Public Domain
Would be more than a plant based diet since there are more chains in between where plastic can accumulate (similar to heavy metals in fish)
What's privacy like? One of the big problems with Peertube is that participating peers can gather information on what you watch. Is Nodetube any better? Ideally, I would not need to let anybody else know which videos I'm watching.
I guess we have different perceptions of which way is the easiest. There might even be methods we haven't heard about yet.
Very cool although I don't think this will be more usable than normal ortholinear keyboards. Key problem is that we don't precisely know where our hands are relative to the keyboard so sculpting keycap surfaces to be close to finger tip will create more confusion than help.
Inspirational Quotes to Usher in the New Year in a Positive Way
It’s funny that we think preventing billionaires is easier than campaign finance reform.
Not sure why different libraries would be an architectural smell. Not only Redux projects vary greatly in what they bolt onto their state management. I've used Redux successfully on its own. The dataflow pattern it mandates is important, not the concrete implementation.
Rhubarb is released: Websocket library for multiplayer JavaScript games
Your cryptic comments are confusing people. Just state you are an "American Libertarian" and not have people play 20 questions to find your non nuanced position.
There isn’t enough information in the linked article to say how unique or important these particular cells are or how difficult they would be to replicate. On the more valuable end could be cells provided by a company for testing (maybe transformed to express some sort of protein they’ve created), or primary cells (isolated from an organism) that are unique in some way, or hybridomas that produce monoclonal antibodies for something druggable or diagnostically relevant.

The Boston Herald article linked by another commentator suggests that in at least one element this case fits the pattern of others that have been appearing: the accused is receiving funds from the Chinese government under an ostensible scholar program. In some of the other cases, such as with the Thousand Talents program, the scholars signed contracts that agreed to disclose or assign IP only to the Chinese institutions, conceal the source of funding for studies (both to journals or funding agencies), or agree to work at the Chinese institutions in excess of the norms for visiting appointments. The Thousand Talents program and others like it are a coordinated, calculated, and deliberate effort run by the Chinese government, not the accidental missteps of some aloof academics.
Yeah, that's one of the reasons I'm using to stay motivated to lose weight recently, since I've been having some minor but annoying issues with one of my knees this past year. I feel quite a bit better after just losing 15 pounds.

I've recently seen several sites claim that every 1lb of extra weight adds 4lbs of pressure on the knees, so apparently my weight loss has already reduced the pressure on my knees by about 60lbs, which is nice.

I have a long ways to go, though, and for my bad choices the past decade I'm probably going to pay for it with arthritis in the knees when I'm older, unfortunately. But hopefully I'm helping to push the date when that happens to a much later date.
Good work!
Q: How well would multiplayer work if you used webRTC data sockets instead?
Then there’s the behavioral factor to consider. Will UBI truly relieve pressure and give people a hand up? Or will it result in a large swathe of the population dropping out of the labor force and accepting a life of poverty and marginalization? Could some UBI pushers actually see the latter as the true goal?

Ask any Native American how empowering a UBI-esque system worked out for them.

Not that I’m rejecting the idea of UBI out of hand, but I’m very concerned about the lack of such discussion.
I suspect the mistake in Bet 1 was betting on Pinterest rather than Instagram or WhatsApp (though IG had been acquired at the time of writing)
Complying with the GDPR is easy so long as you are honest and not exploitative. Just only collect information that is needed for the operation of the service.
JavaScript Hero: Change Computer History Forever (2011)
4G was absolute garbage when it first came out. It was VERY spotty and would die randomly. I would reserve judgement for now. I'm hoping that honestly good, wireless home internet will be the result of this though.
One writes 6502 assembly by hand because there is really no alternative on that ISA. It does not make a good target for a C compiler, there are very few of them to begin with, and hand written 6502 (or 65816) is going to be better than anything produced by any compiler for it at this point in time.
yes- daily - my preferred method of getting info
I got 90% of work/opportunities from Facebook. Quitting FB for a month dropped leads from 2/month to once every 2 months.

Over 80% of your opportunities come from your network, but over 80% of your time needs to be spent on actual work. That said, social media isn't your only way to network, but it really helps if you're not somewhere full of talented people.

If you're planning on going more into work, keep in mind that mentoring also comes from your network, and that also includes book recommendations.

But personally I'm stopping with Facebook and most social media, because it is taking up more than 20% of my focus.

Use the best tool. Phones and social media are the most popular but may not be best.
The muffins didn't rise properly.
Responsible disclosure is a valid concept that some companies attempt to abuse. In the scenario you propose here, I would probably contact CMU's CERT division.
Researching the Digitime FOTA Backdoors
This is great and inspiring. Every few months I spin up a socket.io server and attempt to make an RPG. I get about as far as having the character move around the screen and then usually give up :D
I am kind of confused, because I view HN as a strong community in terms of development skill but the comments here on Redux are really surprising..
It effectively raises the price the company has to pay and thus lowers profits.
Datapoint for reference: if you invested in an SP500 fund during the same time you would have roughly doubled (around 180%) your money (an annualized return of 11%).
I agree with OP that wrapping other libraries isn't what people normally call "an implementation" in python or in any language.
Reading this page managed to make me deeply unsettled and unsatisfied. 1924. How many people do you know who were in their teens or twenties during 1924? You don't. It's completely ridiculous. Our history is being ripped away from us. We should be getting works from the 1960s now, not table scraps from 96 years ago.

This is said all of the time, but the people who caused Eternal Copyright are going to go down in history as men and women who intentionally handicapped the human race, if there are even history books by then: who knows, they may apply copyright to history itself! Only the Walt Disney Company gets to write history, and in it Mickey and Bob Iger shall save our children singlehandedly from the horror of media that dares not to be owned by a gigacorporation.
For example, rather than build a robot that can clean an arbitrary toilet I could either standardize the internal dimensions of the toilet bowl

Sure, this is an argument often made by self-driving car enthusiasts, let’s just remake all the roads, ban all pedestrians and non-self-driving vehicles and so on. But it’s another instance of the same paradox, instead of radically underestimating the computation involved in actions that nature has given us dedicated hardware for, underestimating the vast cost of doing so.

In this case not only would you need to standardise the toilet bowl, but the route through the house to get to the bathroom and what to do about any unexpected obstacles...

The paradox in general applies to everything that humans take for granted that we can do without fully appreciating that it took us a billion years of evolution to get here.
Comments suggesting The Guardian is free of bias is why reminders are needed here that it is profoundly so.
> mypostcard in 2016 claimed that they print 10000 postcards per day

I wanna call bs of this claim. Postcrossing -- largest postcard exchange community, almost 800k registered users worldwide, not all active of course, but a large portion of them sending daily and are really hooked on the hobby.. The hottest month in 2016 was March, 17k/day. These are people who love sending cards. Just hard to believe another single service not oriented on hardcore regular senders would be doing even half that. I can be wrong, of course, but just hard to believe.