skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
"Bayesian" is an overloaded term. There's Bayes' theorem/rule, which basically everyone agrees with, since it's a theorem that's very simple to prove with a few high school math operations.

Then there is the philosophical Bayesian interpretation of probability, that claims that probabilities are fundamentally about our own mental state of belief, as opposed to frequencies at the limit of infinite repetition of some experiment.

Then there is the Bayesian methods of statistics / machine learning etc, which are about handling parameters as random variables and the observed data as fixed, as opposed to assuming that there's one fixed parameter (without a distribution to talk about) and the data should be modeled as random (from an oversimplified bird's eye view). And it was also oversold as a miracle cure for all our problems: for some time, before the deep learning era, you just had to have "Bayesian" in your ML paper title to make it sexy and interesting.

Then there is the online Bayesian rationalist community, where Bayes is used to explain the meaning of life, the universe, it's the great grand explanation of everything, a self help tool, the key to seeing the light, a semi-religious experience, the way to enlightenment (they even call it the Way, capitalized - I guess a Buddhist reference?). As if being Bayesian was this secret club, that sets you apart from average people, a symbol of belonging to the in-group etc. [1]

It's important to keep these apart.

[1] For example: https://youtu.be/NEqHML98RgU?t=73 (it's explicitly not about the math but about self-help and intuition to benefit our lives etc...)
Exactly. My limit is $5/month and a lot of smaller podcasters seem to agree that it is an adequate amount for bonus content/no ads.

Hell, I know a few that for $1 or $2 they get the full ad-free podcast
For some time I have been puzzled that clang and gcc don't provide an option/ABI (maybe -safe or -mcpu=x86-64-safe) for memory safety.

Last I checked, memory safety for C (e.g. fat pointers with bounds checking) seems to impose a ~60% performance overhead on traditional processors (with hardware support it could be much less.) In many (most?) cases, that overhead is worth the improvements in reliability and security.

For certain applications (probably anything network facing) I'd probably want to compile the whole OS, libraries, and software base with -safe.
OLED has insanely fast response time, yes, but as a result are the worst sample-and-hold artifact offenders. An OLED running at 1000 Hz is the holy grail, 120 Hz would be amazing, and 240 Hz would be 99% there. When the source content is lower than the display refresh rate you could add hardware that averages previous frames and adds one frame of latency. That might be acceptable if it makes motion appear more smooth.

Of course these are things we won’t see for decades.
> Is there a requirement that AMP sites host resources with Google?

Bing's AMP cache doesn't load any resources from Google.
IMHO the market is too small and is very price-conscious, so they'll just do it themselves if you try any margin. And you'll need the margin because the consumer who wants this is willing to put up with some error rate on things they build but not on things they buy. So they might say "Oh yeah, when the full power goes out, I have to reset it, but that almost never happens" or "Yeah, I have to type in my Google API key every two weeks but that's okay since it's only $k".

Essentially, the same people who care about this are also likely to say "you can already build such a system yourself quite trivially by getting an FTP account, mounting it locally with curlftpfs, and then using SVN or CVS on the mounted filesystem" to Dropbox.

If you do succeed building and selling this I'll be very impressed.

Lots of people are trying the local storage thing, though: (not customizable store-to-my-S3 stuff, but I think that's a vanishingly small market)

* https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/vacos-cam-smartest-ai-wir...

* https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/wuuk-the-world-s-most-adv...

* https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/imilab-ec2-your-life-free...

* https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/camect-world-s-smartest-m...

* https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/capsulecam-home-security-...

* https://www.indiegogo.com/projects/simcam-an-unparalleled-ai...
> That's the only thing that concerns me. Why are people up in arms about this? I mean if it deters people from stealing from you, that's a good thing also it's not pointed inside your house.

Because a citizen walking on the sidewalk doesn't consent to being captured with cameras everywhere they go. We know Amazon and other providers are including face recognition (and I wouldn't be surprised if they are working on other methods like gait recognition, tracking movement across cameras that are near each other etc).

Getting caught in the background of someone's selfie is one thing, mass surveillance by a mega-company and collaboration with the government/police is another. I should be able to go out in public without being tracked without my consent.

That's not even getting into data leaks, police corruption, and NSA style surveillance programs that this footage is inevitably going to get caught up in.
Or perhaps the separate lan with a Pi providing a bridge.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8mHXwmULOvk
Set your firewall rules as you like.
Nice post. One thing I’ll offer in defense of the “chronic Lyme” community is that if you have persistent medical issues that don’t have a quick solution (or else a well-established, very expensive drug), doctors in general will just not want to deal with you, which can be very frustrating. When people don’t get the help they need, they turn to one another, for better or worse.
If someone's able to get the signing key you've already failed at security.
Robinhood Snacks

https://snacks.robinhood.com/
Only for dye, not for straighteners, and only for "Nonprofessional application of semipermanent dye to others", and black women. If you count up the specific claims made in the article, a majority are not actually supported by the study. And unless the study was preregistered for the cohorts they analyzed, the statistical analysis is suspect even at the 95% level which I still contend is too low.
The internet commoditizes everything it touches. Its a race to the bottom regardless of the product or service...in the end everything ends up as a commodity.
These dudes create some awesome stuff.

https://github.com/segmentio/nightmare
It would be a refund in Australia as it is a faulty product. They may try stiff you on returning a physical disk (how do you prove it was faulty on sale?) but a good store will offer store credit at the very least because video games do not make money. The consoles do.

The only times a refund can be denied in Australia when a problem occurs is if it was caused by you or if you changed your mind on a purchase. Otherwise the purchaser can dictate how they are rectified (swap, credit or refund).

Edit: This is assuming you purchase it now. If you purchased it 9 years ago - it would be tough luck. The pivot is the condition at point of sale.
I'm not sure that you come out ahead with binary search over n=10 given branch prediction issues. You'd have to test it to really know.
A key thing about the mid-century is that the actual manufacturing capabilities of most of the world (with the sole exception of the US basically) were completed destroyed by WWII. Britain and Germany were devastated. This means that in the 1950's the US was essentially acting as the sole industrial power at full strength serving the rest of the world. We were playing worldwide economics on easy mode: as if we were the only ones that had modern technology and fully functioning infrastructure, while all other countries wanted our goods. This is why it is bizarre to draw any conclusions about taxes or any other economic principles from this very unique period of time: you could probably put in place just about any law and still have the United States be ridiculously successful. We are now actually competing with other parts of the world.
>Once you make money, it's much harder to come up with outlandish numbers. A dry cleaners has a well-established range for revenue and profit, so it's hard to justify why it would be worth $100 billion.

If you want a cleaning company worth hundreds of millions, try ZZZZ Best https://www.investopedia.com/terms/z/zzzzbest.asp
But that's at a "state" level.
Yep, worst case you get lil nice wealth transfer from VCs to the people in the company, all for being an entrepreneur!
Airbus say that they would like to increase production of the A320 series but are constrained by their suppliers's ability to expand their production.
I agree with you completely on that. I'll clarify that, to me, there's a difference between straight-forward and obvious. And Spring is terrible at being obvious. Some annotation on a class 5 transitive dependencies deep can affect your code. It's definitely really deep into "spooky action at a distance", and that's always a nightmare for debugging. But once you see all the pieces, it's (usually) relatively straight-forward to describe what is happening.
> Lately I've been imagining what it would take to create an AI-generated food image. It's super hard!

I can’t wait for a chef to throw their arms up because they get tasked to create an AI-generated non-existant food tray that performed well in Amazon Turk focus groups.
James Baldwin Might Have Been Most at Home in Istanbul
What about something like Cloudflare, would you say they're lying when they return a cached file instead of contacting the origin server?
It's time to check again. The latest ones are indistinguishable from real humans, at least to my eye. Somehow the uncanny valley has been crossed already.
Speedrunners: https://www.speedrun.com/tronevolution
https://www.patreon.com/law

You get a unique RSS feed for the commercial free episodes and bonus content.
Ask HN: Store Passwords Using Asp.net Core
I want to safely and smartly do local user authentication for a web app written using C# with the platform/framework being Asp.Net Core MVC

I know tptacek is well regarded here on cryptography and security and found a blog post from his new security consulting company that suggests using SCrypt for hashing passwords. https://latacora.micro.blog/2018/04/03/cryptographic-right-answers.html

I found CryptSharpOfficial but it hasn't been updated since 2014 so that feels a little out of date. Is there an accepted package for SCrypt for .Net? Is there a better way of doing this?

I avoided using the included Microsoft local user authentication because the code is contained in NuGet packages and isn't actually available in my solution.
Google Drive isn't a backup system.
I absolutely agree with you. An OS should be many read only folders like /kernel /etc /bin that can be changed in an update process (that requires reboot) and folder where you give access to specific applications like /bin/ssh ro -> .ssh/id_rsa. Python process should not have read access to this folder by default at all. There are other solutions that you move all the credential access to a service that is accessed on a port by applications using tokens with different privileges. The current implementation of operating systems are pretty horrid, retrofit security all over. I think we are ready for a new OS era.
> why have so few websites done it?

Because the vast majority of websites are reasonably fast on mobile? Loading times of 1,2 or 5 seconds are a non-problem that amp is addressing. The worst offenders i see are too high res images and autoplay videos, but frankly i cant remember seeing any of those recently. Most blogs/news sites are fine. Where is google sourcing their data that users are desperate for web-breaking solutions that bring them 200msec response times? The purpose of AMP is so that people flick a website instantly and then go back to google. That's obviously not in the interest of the publishers. The whinefest is because google is actively prioritizing amp publishers thus forcing it on the web.

> Coercion is exactly what's needed to push

this is not a defensible statement

> a world-class CDN that many website owners

facebook needs a world-class cdn, not blogs.

> a clear, marketable incentive to develop a mobile-efficient websit

the "marketable incentive" is the de-ranking of the site. It's entirely unnecessary to force amp for that, a simple page speed deranking would do
You are comparing only the costs of running them, what about the cost of developers who build/debug/troubleshoot the container. As someone who is running both on Lambda and Fragate it's way harder to make things tick on Fargate
that sort of behavior is something to be delt with right away before other employees start doing it.
Nice, thanks for that. Have definitely noticed Google Reverse Image Search oddly regressing but I'll try out Yandex.
As well as being great to fly in (seriously, business class on the upper deck by the window is an absolute dream) they have that "WOW" factor that I haven't experienced since first seeing a 747 or Concorde.
How to Recognize Article URLs from Regular Sites
Even dog-like intelligence would be extremely useful.

It's interesting when training a dog. Sometimes you can see the gears turning and know their thought process and conclusion before they do, since we are just much smarter. And other times, they come up with something that makes no sense at all based on their "dog logic". I guess their brain just works differently.

Anyway, focusing on simply humans may be short sighted. I often understand systems better by comparing them to similar systems and working out the differences. If anything bears fruit I think it'll be the researchers that are starting small and trying to replicate a worm brain. Then build from there, faster than evolution, because we can.
As long as people continue to pay good money for defective products, there will be people selling them.

Vote with your wallet.
Ironically, I see this in golang all the time. Interfaces are defined with a single implementation in the code, and then the interface is used to generate mocks.
Ecuador didn't claim anything. Ecuador paid a private firm based in Spain to spy on Assange and use that information as extortion[1][2]. Ecuador only said that the firm's report was "authentic" - in that whoever leaked it didn't fabricate it. That report is not public that I know of and so therefore the validity (or lack thereof) cannot really be confirmed. As far as I can tell, the report is mostly centered around who visited Assange, and CNN/others are making giant leaps that he talked to Russian journalists so therefore he's working with Russia, which is obviously very flawed logic.

Moreno (Ecuadorian President) used Assange as a political tool. He's created a smear campaign against Assange, claiming he smeared feces on the wall and attacked embassy guards, both of which have no evidence (which is especially relevant considering Assange was under 24/7 recorded surveillance). Moreno has also since labeled Assange a terrorist, which is absolutely ridiculous. And as it came out with this report, hired a security firm that illicitly spied on Assange and tried to exort him for millions of dollars. It is clear that whatever accusations come from Moreno are not substantiated or credible.

[1] https://elpais.com/elpais/2019/04/10/inenglish/1554906053_63...
[2] https://elpais.com/elpais/2019/05/03/inenglish/1556898556_07...
Summary:

- Defining what constitutes an article is hard.

- Today, many article URLs follow similar structures thanks to Wordpress.

- A simple url check is usually sufficient to distinguish forum and Q&A sites even though they can be textual sites.

- Article content should contain title, paragraphs, author, published date in meta tag/html.
"By enabling Location Services for your devices, you agree and consent to the transmission, collection, maintenance, processing, and use of your location data and location search queries by Apple and its partners and licensees to provide and improve location-based and road traffic-based products and services."

It will also send your location to Apple when no app is requesting your location:

"If Location Services is on, your iPhone will periodically send the geo-tagged locations of nearby Wi-Fi hotspots and cell towers in an anonymous and encrypted form to Apple, to be used for augmenting this crowd-sourced database of Wi-Fi hotspot and cell tower locations."

Unlike on Android, you cannot get your location without sending this data to Apple:

"To use features such as these, you must enable Location Services on your iPhone"

https://support.apple.com/en-us/HT207056
very big problem. I think you are wise to recognise this, 'And I know that a lot of things I think I know are probably propaganda or spin or just one sided stories.'

How can we flush this from our minds? How do we trust those that purport to speak the truth?
Who cares about the dmca? Just ignore it and live consequence free
They're not, but its fine to read between the lines. The letter makes no allusions to seizing wealth or stating that immense wealth hasn't been created.
And the economics of a small single-aisle plane for medium haul, e.g. the East Coast, seems to be what is pushing the needle.
No, more like you should invent a new way of selling things, otherwise the market would have found a way to sell them already.
nc was awesome — it still lives on in a way, as inspiration for Midnight Commander[1].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Midnight_Commander
They have some bots crawling around the web and sending out automated letters then to people who they think need to license their photos. I fucked around with the bit and wasted its energy since it came to my territory, at least 4 years ago it wasn't very smart. I just told them point blank to fuck off, probably they go only after American customers since they are in the legislation area to threaten.
You would of thought, there again - what happens when Steam raises its requirements and that stops you playing the game(s).
Not really. You can have security with any system where security was present in the design phase and not trying to retrofit it into the implementation without giving up much of UX. Non if these operating system we use today were designed with security in mind because at the era they were created there was no need for security, half of the problems we know today simple did not exist. SELinux is great but extremely hard to get it right.
Intel's gazillion SKUs are really just a few abstract-ideal "optimal product, highest price" makes of processor, binned down into many different "sub-optimal product, lower price" channels. If you collapse the binnings together, they're really only producing ~four CPUs at a time.

At least for commercial availability. There's tons of enterprise SKUs just to serve customers like AWS, of course, but that's not to "squeeze the market"; that's because the customer wants custom IP cores in their chips.
I wish - and I bet most politicians who have played the immigration card - wish that such a simplistic view held the slightest validity.

Except it's not a "UK container issue", it's a route that's been used and is being used throughout the EU. In the week of the deaths in the UK, there were reports of similar seizures in Germany and IIRC Greece and Holland. It's been commonly reported for years - EU wide. It is not the politicians (of any colour), unless you wish to blame the lack of detailed inspection of every individual lorry and container, i.e. remove all contents, inspect every package, measure for hidden compartments etc. Which given the level of imports and global trade we all indulge in would push severe delays to every product and import. Probably enough to start killing migrants often, and ruling out import/export of perishables as even vaguely viable.

We'd probably have to go back to pre-war open cargo to have even the slightest chance of retaining an import/export economy for perishables.

The migrant camps getting into the EU, and relocating from one EU country to another (e.g. Calais) have gone from strength to strength through clearances, crackdowns and multiple administrations. The issue has been there decades.

> E-verify and crackdowns on employers of illegal immigrants

...is already there, particularly harsh, and applied in more than just one EU nation. Yet has not had the blind bit of effect on immigrants. The problem stems from a Vietnamese paying $20-50k to someone in their country for their "opportunity" for a better life in Paris, London, Berlin - and presumably NYC, Washington and San Diego too...

Many of whom they have paid for a lifelong debt, threats to family and have bought themselves into modern slavery and perhaps a life in something outright illegal or the sex trade. If you're shipped into the underground economy a crackdown on employers and e-verify is targeting exactly the wrong thing, only ever destined to find collateral.

It remains a growth industry in all of the developed nations. Walls and internment camps barely register to discourage while much of the pressure is external profiteering... A complete redesign of import-export capitalism might. No more coffee, tea, bananas and other "exotica" for US and Europe then.

Not to mention the increase in wars and climate impacts forcing people who otherwise wouldn't to consider migration. Those external pressures just keep on rising...
It is unsafe to deanonymize a user to a website that the user did not even click on. That's why the page is served from the link aggregator's AMP cache.
Besides zoning laws and building codes, dodd-frank and similar financial regulation has made speculative building of single family homes nearly impossible, if you are not 100% self-financing.

Which itself is a capital feedback loop which requires a not insignificant minimum outlay to enter the market.
Assuming that the publisher still exists.
"Thinking about diversity in terms of ethnicity, gender, and/or education status, you are leaving money on the table."

Perfection.
What would you call a reference interpreter for the Lucid programming language? I understand your point, but nomenclature is not somehow first-come-first-serve; there are such things as better and worse uses for names.
For a site like Reddit is there a better way to measure growth/success than MAU?

- growth rate of users receiving an upvote?

- growth rate of users leaving 2+ comments?

- something else?

MAU feels like a vanity metric to me but I've never worked in a space that prioritizes the metric especially when it's difficult to know if the users are real, bots, throwaways, etc.
Also, Duck Hunt only works on CRTs.
Yeah but if you have a family that gets out of hand fast.
* nods frantically! *

"Here is a harder one as we move up the complexity scale."

What is the complexity scale? How do you measure how complex truth is? Can truth have properties other than rightness or wrongness?

This, I think, is where the concept of fuzzy truth could be invoked. What that is I have no idea, I just made it up!
I've been thinking it would be great to start a company that would create devices that customers owned, you know: make and sell things.

I think the problem is if someone makes open hardware and software that people like and doesn't "lock them into your ecosystem / cloud", then another company can clone and sell the same thing with no R&D overhead to recoup. It's even easier and cheaper for a company completely based in china to do it. So it is risky for companies to do that.

I would love to hear of counter-arguments and counter-examples.
> I'm not even sure how a frequentist would construct a model to estimate an outcome with no observations.

The same way a Bayesian would, since it's a question about probabilities of hypothetical experiments, not about statistics. Or you go through decision theory instead of mucking about with half baked ideologies.

> being Bayesian is modelled on how humans process and contextualise decisions.

This is false.