skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
With sincerity, I think you may misunderstand what GP is pointing out. I understood “forecasts” to be a simulation run using a model. In that case, they took 14 models and ran those each at least once to come up with 17 predictions.

What GP wants is transparency around how many possible models were there over the last decades from which they chose the 14. This gives the reader a better understanding of whether 14 is a lot or a little. It is a fair point IMO regardless of their overall stance on the issue.
When I was growing up we had a set of encyclopedias from the 70s. They were predicting a new ice age coming if we didn't change our ways. Anyone else remember this? I doubt I can find them online but I'll look.
> For forcing projections that were close to linear, this didn’t make that much difference, but for scenarios that weren’t (notably scenario C in Hansen et al (1988)), the correction does not work well.

Notably the RCS article (quote above) emphasizes that the non-alarmist papers were sort of accurate, while the alarmist crap was off by a lot.

The climatists trumpet this news as if the alarmist crap (examples from your comment) was right on the spot. No it wasn't - it was ridiculously overrated just so that statists and plunderers can get their hands on our liberty and income.
The consumer can easily deactivate the lock and sell the device. How is it anti consumer?
Show HN: Solfej – I built a painless self education music theory app
I had a friend who used to like to say "4WD can help you accelerate but it can't help you stop". I took him out in my '80 Subaru in the snow one day. It had a lever to activate 4WD, and I demonstrated how it would slow significantly faster with 4WD engaged.

The reason is that there was no ABS, and the brake proportioning valve would send most of the stopping power to the front wheels, since most of your stopping power comes from them on the dry roads. But in snow, the fronts lock up before the rears are slowing you down much. With 4WD active, the front brakes were connected to the back as well as the front and would use their stopping power as well.

Today is a different world though, with ABS.

You're right, it's all about the tires. I used to drive an Audi S4 which I would put Blizzaks on in the winter. I would take people out in the snow and blast around, it was amazingly predictable and controllable.
Greed Is Dead
-- We know the globe is getting warmer, and transferring a trillion dollars (Paris Agreement) from taxpayers in developed nations into the pockets of corrupt political and business entities in third world countries (with Goldman Sachs taking their fair share) is not a genuine solution.

-- We know the globe is getting warmer, but the reports are exaggerated by an order of magnitude by well funded powerful political entities in order to achieve ultra large scale globalist political objectives. Legitimate criticism of climate modelling accuracy from experts in the field of climate science research is met with primitive ad hominem attacks from other so called scientists, making us very skeptical indeed.
I can't see how any of what the OP said is Libertarian-like in any manner.
Are black holes dark energy stars?
> They've started shipping the Meeting Owl videoconference camera to all of their high profile clients.

Um, that would be a great way to spy on your clients ...
They aren't wrong technically, but the papers relied on key mechanisms that no longer are as big of a issue thus negated. Particulate matter, the effect is now actually being considered as a method of 'geoengineering' a cooler climate to combat the warming by businessmen like Bill Gates [0].

[0] https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/07/bill-gates-funded-solar-geoe...
The tldr is that Charter Cities are a thing and that a characteristic of them is that they aren't bound by the same state laws as regular cities. In this story, a judge ruled that a particular charter city couldn't be compelled to follow certain state level building rules because it would violate the laws around charter cities. Various affordable housing advocates are mad about this and feel the judge should have looked the other way.
Have you got experience with other photography platforms / comparison from the photographer point of view?
> The 928 never showed that behaviour due to having a Weissach axle from the very beginning of production in 1977.

I used to drive a 928. Perfect 50/50 weight distribution, beautiful throaty engine, and the most god-awful gearbox ever made. I had to rev match to shift up! in 2nd gear. They had a design flaw where the synchromesh just fundamentally would not work, and if you fixed it it would just break itself again.

I had to learn heel-toe shifting just to be able to drive that car at all. I fucking loved it, and it really got me into cars.

Also that car was great for whipping around a turn, just push on the throttle, slide around the back, then take off (I realize this is not the fastest way, but it is the most fun).

I apologize for the tangent, it's just not often people talk about 928s anymore.
Companies like pinterest, getty, and yelp are genuinely the worst. They're like leeches, and I hate how they constantly show up on my google searches.
They don't have to drive down the street to memorize the locations of ring cams. They already know who has them. Hell, amazon gave them a map (https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/2019-12-03-amazon-ring-v...). I don't think every police officer is going to take the time to track down every camera over a package thief, but I do agree with the EFF that it'd be very very easy for police to take note of individuals and neighborhoods who habitually refuse to give them video and that any interactions with them could be influenced by a perception that they are "uncooperative" or "unsupportive of the police"
If anyone looking to try it but wants something open source for a client, have a look at http://restic.net. Been using it to backup
V MO to B2 for over a year now.

Also, Arq is “one time buy” just for one version apparently.
I think it's because you can add better tires to car with 4WD if you determine you need it. You can't add 4WD/AWD to a car with winter tires.
Yep, I’ve seen it. Families scraping up money from all kinds of places and driving old beaters just to make sure they can send their kids to after school cram school. A lot of it is culture.

I mean, some parents are well off but many are just really eking it out, never the less any extra money goes into education rather than new scooters or vacations or clothes, etc.
Property taxes are neither wealth or consumption taxes. Those are not the only two options.

You could just as easily charge the mortgage holder the property tax, and that mortgage holder will then charge the that amount as an extra fee on the mortgage. What does that do to your argument?

Seem to me Property tax is basically a toll. Just like you pay a toll to use a road, you pay a toll to use a house.
Because not everyone can afford their services. They would have trouble finding buyers at the prices their services will be. Example:

> The federal Liberal government spent a grand total of $563 on the cover of its most recent budget... The cover production apparently included two stock images, the first costing taxpayers $527 and the second just $36.[0]

As opposed to:

> ... the $212,000 the Liberals paid an advertising agency to produce a cover and related materials for last spring’s federal budget with an appreciative shiver of disdain, pausing at various points to gag pleasurably on the details: the $89,500 for models hired to depict middle class Canadians ... [1]

I suppose the national government of a wealthy nation has no problem affording a few hundred thousand dollars on a bunch of photos. Most private and public organizations do not have that much budget for a couple of photos.

[0] https://globalnews.ca/news/4151874/budget-cover-cost-2018-li...

[1] https://nationalpost.com/opinion/andrew-coyne-bloated-glossy...
These are pretty interesting. Is there a response to these concerns from Wikimedia?
Not really. See some of the charts here [1]. Key quotes to show the effect:

"The year before Proposition 13 passed, property taxes comprised over 90 percent of cities’ and counties’ local tax revenue. Today, that share is less than two–thirds."

"Cities’ and counties’ tax revenue per person has declined since Proposition 13. However, looking across all California local governments’ per–person revenue—excluding state and federal funds—revenues increased 36 percent since Proposition 13. In comparison, similar per–person revenues for local governments across the country increased by almost 70 percent over the same period."

Basically the state had to struggle to make up the tax revenue difference via other fees and assessments, and it never caught up to where it was before or to where it is in other states without such a measure.

[1] https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3497#What_Happened_to...
I wish I knew how to mute the sound. Sorry buddy. Thanks for your feedback. It’s valuable. We will adjust as soon as we learn how.

We’re not too concerned with people wanting to purchase a new device.

We will post app shortly.
God. The comments here in this thread on HN are so fucking stupid, it begs disbelief.

Meanwhile, sometimes I had considered that maybe there was a broad medical experimentation program, designed to gather lots of women, drop a fabricated diagnosis on them, and double-blind them into things healthy women would never do.

The main idea stemming from the fact that, in an age when shoe size flouroscopes are banned out of fear of ionizing radiation, we encourage frequent mammograms, to cast dragnet for wild tumor goose chases. Mammogram x-rays that mostly don't even work, to the point that Malcom Gladwell pontificates pop culture junk food fluff for air port book stores that conflate them with LANTIRN pods scanning for SCUD missiles. Mammograms that scan for "tumors you can't feel" and thus have no means of verifying beyond the single-source proof of the mammogram itself.

Maybe mammograms were the original deep fakes? Maybe eventually, all those extra x-rays shot directly into breast tissue eventually induced breast cancer in some sort of Nietzschean "find the monster you sought" outcome.

If the statistic is 1 in 8, lifetime, all women in first world countries, it would seem pretty strange that such a statistic is even possible, when cancer is usually seen in highly fatigued tissues that are abused and suffer high turnover rates. You'd think boobs would endure a period of chronic pain and injury to erupt into cancer, no?

My other hypothesis has been birth control horomones, since they're both uniquely feminine, and implicated in glandular targets.
I read an article this week that makes a strong argument that inequality really isn't the problem.

https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2019/12/03/inequal...
Property taxes are higher on more developed property. In general, when you tax something more you get less of it. There might be exceptions, but wouldn't a more credible plan be to relax some of the zoning and regulation that are widely acknowledged to deter housing construction?
There are plenty of reports that most SIM hijacks are done by employees of the carriers who are doing it for money not social engineering. How can low level Apple employees be more trusted?
Keep in mind that getting 40% better price performance doesn't mean their tech is better. It could just mean they're cutting margins (to drive adoption).
It's not so much a worry about being caught on camera while in public. Please forgive me for assuming, but I don't think JohnFen is particularly concerned about cameras owned and exclusively operated by private citizens disconnected from any network with limited retention.

Amazon Ring is a different beast entirely. With your help, Amazon has even more data--in addition to every other user's raw video feed--and the computing resources to be able to pinpoint a frighteningly large number of people at any given moment.

That's a scary amount of power, and a direct threat to liberty. Aiding and abetting such an enterprise deserves strong condemnation at the least.
I was thinking something like this should exist, but podcasts should be paid for skipped ads. I don’t mind paying a small fee for ad free podcasts.

I also want some system that fast forwards all the intro stuff straight to the meat and potatoes.
My European and Canadian relatives can answer all those questions as:

Yes, yes, none, and none.

All of those relatives come from countries with massive inequality (compared to mid 20th century), no wealth taxes, and paltry inheritance taxes.

Don’t confuse America’s exceptional dysfunction with a failure of capitalism.
Had a similar experience with my steam copy of red alert 3 a couple of years back (before the GameSpy shutdown, so the servers were still up). Logged in after not having played for years, the online system kept reporting invalid CD Key, EA told me Steam had to issue a new key, Steam insisted that it was EA's fault, end result was I couldn't play my game online
>obviously Bayes' formula is theoretically sound because it is trivial to deduce and prove.

Quantum mechanics doesn't follow the usual probability rules, so you can't really say "obviously Bayes' formula is theoretically sound." It certainly seems like Bayes theorem should apply universally but apparently it doesn't. Or at least, the jury's still out.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantum_probability
This is the same post from last month's who is hiring and none of the folks whose emails are mentioned here bother to respond or even acknowledge that they got your email.
How is Apple locking the owner of the phone out?
"Strategic forecasts drive high stakes decisions at longer horizons, so they should not be approached simply as a black box forecasting service, divorced from decision-making."

In summary, the author seems to argue that there is should be an inverse relationship between the time to prediction and how complicated the desired model should be.
like... wtf are you arguing for? You seem to be upset that negligence is a word that describes irresponsible behavior with unintentional results. It's still an accident. It wasn't planned. That is my initial and only point.
None. I just got curious about it. For my startup, we have full time employees on board.
> because there are many more households today with one adult than in the past

Not only that, but we should remember that there are simply more _people_ globally. Using the U.S. as an example - when my dad was born in 1954, the U.S. population was HALF of what it is now. Should we assume that all markets and wage/labor share increase linearly AND directly (in time) with population? Certainly not.

Somewhat tangential, this population factor also plays a major role (though not the only one) for the reason city or near-city housing prices have skyrocketed - building construction just didn't keep up with the sheer population growth in many advanced economies, even more so in cities of advanced economies. This is why my buddy in Palo Alto is, for all intents and purposes, forced to live with two retirees and 4 other Millenial devs to afford rent.
You can't reuse the same data to get 95% CI for all women and for white woman by deducing that all women are excluded but white women included. They have to calculate a confidence for the event that white women are affected AND all women are not.
Chains in CO are NOT required for passenger vehicles. CO only requires chains for commercial vehicles.

There is a new "traction law" for passenger vehicles, which, when in effect, requires M+S tires OR AWD, and at least 3/16" tread. If you don't satisfy those requirements, you can put on chains.

https://www.codot.gov/travel/winter-driving/tractionlaw
These are random images though. If you do want something specific, you can dial the right knobs to fix the issues you mentioned and match up the features you don't like. Adding some extra constraints should be possible if you actually want commercial usage.
I'm curious which company hired Porsche Engineering for this. Porsche wouldn't hesitate adding more sensors for their own vehicles.
Could you provide some more detail on these interesting effects?
1. Pretty sure suggesting murder suicide is against the rules.

2. The warm areas of are planet aren't recently poor. There's a very narrow habitable band of temperatures in which human society has thrived. The extreme energy needed to develop those areas is contributing more to the degradation of the environment than benefit to the species it is providing.

It's not sustainable. It's going to kill us all. Not everyone can win.
Some writers say the bombardier C has widened the middle seat in 3 abreast, which would be a significant thing if true.

My personal view, (from the luxury of Business, now moving back south as I cease work travel) is that seat pitch, seat size, and seat density should be regulated. That removes competitive tension around "who suffers more for price" but at a socialized cost of travel costs more than bucket seat prices. I know thats anti-democratising in the specifics of who now will be able to afford routine travel, but the cram-them-in approach has got beyond acceptable.
Ah. Got it
Little endian has nothing to do with CISC vs RISC or x86 though. Everybody is little endian today.

x86 helped with that historically, certainly, but fundamentally endianness just doesn't matter most of the time, and when it does, little endian makes more sense from first principles.
NASA’s Terra Satellite Images California’s Kincade Fire Burn Scar from Space
Great example. Killing someone while drunk is called involuntary manslaughter. Because it's an accident. It was not planned. It wasn't intentional. I never once claimed that accidents can't be horrible. Or that reckless behavior that results in an accident should not be punished. I never said it was "just" an accident. That's you putting words in my mouth. What I said is very simple: if it wasn't part of the plan, it was an accident.
What I want is something like a tail-hook that I can deploy from underneath the car in an emergency situation that will just drag along the ground grabbing on to whatever it can get a grip on, whether that's snow, dirt, or asphalt. If I change my main point of contact with the supporting surface from rolling rubber to a metal spike (or something like that) I'm gonna slow down a hell of a lot faster than I would otherwise.
Twist: enterprise software goes the way of IBM mainframes, with a small number of large customers paying crazy prices for compliance and customization, and everything in the hardware/software stack being 10+x more expensive than its commodity equivalent.
Not sure whether you're talking about the Daily Mail or the Anorak website? Certainly everything you say is absolutely true about the Daily Mail, the sensationalist misattribution appeals to their fanbase.
Does that mean there is hope to complete the [a-Z] sub/super set?
The definitions I found across several dictionaries (after looking just now) all amounted to something like:

> the interaction of elements that when combined produce a total effect that is greater than the sum of the individual elements, contributions, etc.

When an intended effect of a for-profit company is profit and a combination of two companies becomes more profitable (has a greater total intended effect) as a result of the combination, how is that altogether different?
Legitimate users of media software can also be affected by DRM. Many years ago I paid for a professional encoder for a very popular surround sound format, but the DRM servers are dead and the original company has been sold several times over.
And at the end of the day, the amount of money you have or the time you have outside of work as a parent matters much less than the amount of time the student puts into their work. Many Asian students know they have to (because they are expected to) put in the time.
Couldn't agree more. I'm continually disappointed in the way enterprise focused vendors deal with their customers.

The big shops have managed to find the optimal way to influence decision makers enough to overcome the damage done to the customer as a whole.
Then the dead guy will give all his money to his kids before dying.

At the very least the dead guy will pay for them to go to Harvard, arrange the appropriate internships, etc.

It’s very possible to preserve a class system without actually transferring wealth to your children upon death.

Just use your wealth and money to make sure they’re set before you die.

Easy-peasy.

Just look at the many children of still-Alice billionaires. They’re not hurting.

For example, Warren Buffet announced he was giving away all his wealth, created a foundation that possesses most of his wealth, and named his son as director.

Not rocket science.

And that doesn’t include the affects of private tutors, nanny’s, quality education, etc.
Totally agree. And you can still believe man is a contributor (though not the primary cause) and that the climate change doomsday that is pushed is completely oversold. The parent's comparison is not accurate at all.
It has a hard limit on max_connections based on the "Aurora Capacity Unit", e.g. for 16 ACU's max_connections it is 2,000. We see spikes of 10x to 100x concurrent users in a matter of minutes (think hug of death style). And although our queries run fast and we see limited increase of CPU on the cluster we almost instantly hit the connection limit.

https://www.jeremydaly.com/aurora-serverless-the-good-the-ba...
Jeremy Clarkson also is an unabashed fan:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XiLc7GvmS_A

A 20 year old 944 was my first sports car. Simultaneously the best and worst decision I had ever made.
total heat content of the planet is way way simpler than fluid dynamics
Amazon faces U.S. antitrust scrutiny on cloud business: Bloomberg
For those unfamiliar, the Daily Mail (as a brit) is notorious for being sensationalist and playing on the most base fears of the intellectually ungifted.

You know what? I'll say it plainly: It's an idiot's paper. It's clickbait in physical form. It is not on a critical thinker's go-to list of newspapers.

It is written by probably intelligent (albeit morally compromised) people to appeal to the racists and the reactionaries. It has an unashamedly strong conservative bias. One week it will tell people that red wine causes cancer, and the next week it will tell people that red wine cures cancer. It will tell you that Conservatives are being compassionate in slashing funds for the disabled, while Labour is communist for wanting to raise even a penny in taxes.

It's because of its readership that we should all be wary of the damage that the Daily Mail can do. The only time you'll see language that might challenge a 5-year-old is on one of these cancer scares, mostly so that "the man down the pub" will switch off and avoid further research.
I usually check glassdoor.com or indeed.com for company reviews.
I think you can do that with Pocketcast (free on android, paid on the web) and set a unique time for each podcast.
I well remember the first winter with my new company 4WD pickup. Sure I could go much faster in poor conditions. But once I lost control there was no correcting out of it. You were powerless and just had to wait until you slid to a stop or hit something!
Re: Hakkapeliittas: They are amazing in the snow and ice, agreed, but terrible on the dry at interstate speeds. Coming off the highway on an off-ramp at 70 on Hakkas is one of the most butt-puckering experiences I've had.

After a couple pairs of Hakkas, I switched to Blizzaks, which are not quite as good in snow and ice, but WAY better in the dry.

Front Range CO gets some good snow, but not enough days for the Hakkas to be my preference. YMMV depending on snow days in your location.
You're betting that Trump is going to push policies that address climate change? The same individual who says that climate change is a hoax? Who praises clean coal and says that wind turbines cause cancer?