skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I read that 3x leverage is bad because of volatility drag or something like that so 2x "is the sweet spot"

SSO is 2x leveraged SP500

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SSO

Check out the chart since 2007 versus the SP500 index to today. I'm seeing 211% return for SSO, 113% for SPY.

Just remember that we've pretty much been in a full on bear market ever since the last recession. Whether or not terrible things would have happened to SSO if we experienced a true recession/crash and whether or not you would actually recover/beat SPY, I have no clue and am not qualified to say.

But, based on the cherry picked '07-'19, yes, SSO (2x SPY) beats SPY (1x SP500) 211% to 113%
Look at the economy of UK at the time. What damage Soros did to it? Soros extracted few billion as a fee from teaching a lesson but properly priced Sterlign was a good thing overall. The UK economy started to recover from recession immediately.
Aren't they supposed to only hire these Ivy League super geniuses and ex-FAANG HackerRank masters (I am not in the US so I genuinely don't know)?

It is kind of funny to see these tech geniuses fuck stuff up that non college educated degen brokers understood decades ago.
If you intentionally pile up dead brush around your house into a nice big bonfire waiting for a spark, yes, you've got some culpability.
Here's my American-centric hot take. People here feel powerless. This isn't a problem which can be dealt with on the personal level. The politicians are largely useless. One party completely denies there's a problem and actively derails any governmental attempt to address it. The other party is often timid, scared of its own shadow, and only proposes weak remedies.

Furthermore, most of us here agree that it's happening and don't argue much about the root causes. All of that adds up to lack of discussion. Can't do much about it. Have had little luck influencing those that can. There's little for amateurs to discuss regarding the underlying science. It's sometimes cathartic to publicly pronounce one's feelings of fear & loathing in threads like this, but that also doesn't lead to good conversation.

And so we end up talking about silly things like flying taxis because that lets us avoid the soul-crushing doom for another hour.
Is it too hard to use another color?

The reason for trademarks is simple: branding. Since there are a near infinite number of colors available (for example: #e21088 should be different enough to not violate trademark), different groups can claim colors of their own (if they wish to trademark a certain color).

Catch-phrases, simple words ("Taste the Rainbow" or "They're more than Good, they're Great"), or even names (Mario) can be trademarked.

Furthermore, Trademarks only apply within the industry. I can use FedEx-brown so long as I don't compete against FedEx.
This was my experience too. I learned LTs after my differential equations course, and I was a little mad at my DE instructor for forcing us to solve the things the hard way. In retrospect that was probably the right approach. Students should learn manual transmission before automatic.
Zynga.com data breach impacts 216.5M users with SHA1DASH (Public Disclosure)
For starters, can you explain how this is different from other solutions like Hasura?
I strongly agree with him on transaction privacy, though not for the reasons he lists.

Some issues, however:

1. His argument against BFT is "legal systems are efficient" (lmao). Also, the whole point of HotStuff (vs. PBFT etc...) is linear O(N) communication complexity outside of cascading proposer failures...

2. He clearly didn't investigate move bytecode-verifier, which asserts linearity.

3. Strong disagree on the untested crypto-primitives argument. curve25519-dalek is audited (x2) and written in Rust; simple and minimal; not a bloated, unauditable mess like TLS.

4. Consumer protection can be built on top via the wallet providers.
That excessive delay probably isn't fundamental and probably represents an opportunity to improve logistics and get that down to 1-5 days depending on how niche and how centrally the customer is located.

Amazon is brilliant for charging the customer 120 bucks a year for shipping and not making them feel the pinch on each transaction.
Except that Soros did not hurt UK economy. Just bruised some egos at the Bank of England by showing their stupid mistakes.
A central bank whose monetary policy relies on their not being greedy evil bankers is going to fail at implementing that policy.
Reminds me a lot of Notion.so (https://www.notion.so) which got me to move away from OneNote for the first time for about a year, but the lack of pen support forced me to switch back.

Having all the data in the "document" stored in a database of sorts and then being able to pivot the display and reference and pull in across different surfaces was a very useful in practice. From the copy and mockups also might be fair to view this as a mashup of AirTable + Access + OneNote.
"B-word"? Are you serious?

Don't give words so much power.

Trying to bend laws to ban words and speech you don't personally like is really not a good idea, in case it isn't blatantly obvious as to why: it will only be a matter of time before your speech is the target.
Yea grid roads are unique to only utah... seriously?

Continously flow intersections and diverging continuous intersections. You end up driving on the left hand side and drive all wonky. Its terrifying to encounter the first time and makes no logical sense. They brought it to colorado springs and it's so amazingly pointless.
> It's weird that I manage to do that entire list of things without saying a word aloud.

That's a incredibly broad statement... anything you do can be done in another way which someone could define as luxury. I can churn butter, but I like the luxury to buy it instead, I expect you are the same ;).
I have almost all my tracking options turned off (as of 2 years ago) and I still regularly get recommended YouTube videos based on my wife’s google searches
We actually primarily use StackOverflow for this (as it's the first resource many devs go to, as you did, and it's collaborative). We even pre-seed questions and answers for releases, sometimes.

If you find an answer on SO is out of date - suggest a new answer (or ask for one) and get it updated (there's far, far too many for us to keep explicit track of them, there's only a handful of us on the team)! :D
> No. Their prices are consistent with the MSRP of the brand name products they stock.

And their competitors base line is pretty much always MSRP - 10%. That's why REI pretty much never shows up on Slickdeals apart from their blow out, out of season sale.
> No leader of a developing country is going to go to their people and say, "Sorry, for the sake of the planet we are going to remain poor." And no leader of developed country is going to go to their people and say, "Sorry, for the sake of the planet, we are going to have to give up our lifestyle, and curtail our economic growth."

Then we will all die, and will deserve it.
It’s also crazy given China trade talks right now. Seems like at least something to postpone a year or so. Or maybe they already feel they have the shutoff options covered.
Lesser Known Features on WKWebView
The chair looks awesome but unfortunately it's only 1/4 of the problem. Schools need to change desks, keyboards, and the equipment itself, too.
How long ago was the whole /u/ir0nyman debacle with box spreads? RH's incompetence in the regulatory space has been pretty well known for quite a while now (well before ir0nyman).
Check out Let My People Go Surfing as well, he talks more about how they've discontinued certain colors because of the environmental/social effects of mining certain pigments/dyes. It's very inspirational. I fear for what might happen after he's gone. Yvon Chouinard is the ruthless visionary we need for adventure sports equipment, something like Steve Jobs was for tech.

As for returns, I'm not sure they're any "better" than REI, but I fully buy into their philosophy of "if it's broken, fix it" and "don't buy this jacket." They try to be the antithesis of fast fashion and consumerism. If your jacket's zipper or stitching fails after 10 years of taking you to incredible heights, and you feel entitled to a replacement, you are delusional. Either fix it, or pony up the dough for a new one. You're not just investing in a new piece of clothing when you exchange money for it, you are investing in the company and its continued craftsmanship, R&D and training of newcomers to keep making and improving things. And in Patagonia's case, lobbying for better standards environmentally and sociopolitically. Asking for a refund or replacement is basically a vote for offshoring, reduced quality, carelessness towards the environment, etc as far as I'm concerned.
If I build a house on stilts strong enough to withstand kicks but somebody comes along with a giant sledgehammer to break the stilts, they will be at least somewhat to blame.
What are the biggest risks with CRISPR? Seems like a double edged sword to me.
A bit off topic - does anyone know other blogs like priceonomics? I'm a big fan - I think the first article I read there was the "Diamonds are bullshit" one. Must be fun having access to all kinds of interesting data and poring over them.
I used ubports for a bit. Liked it a lot, very stable. If it had anki and authy I would have stuck with it, and they had plans at the time to support android apps via emulation
It's important to remember the context in which the Federalist Papers were written.

The Constitution had been written but not yet adopted, and American politics was divided between Federalists, who believed that the Constitution was fine as it was and should be adopted without modification, and Anti-Federalists (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-Federalism), who felt it gave too much power to the national government and should thus be rejected. The Bill of Rights was the compromise solution; it gave the Federalists their Constitution, but added specific protections against the abuses the Anti-Federalists feared.

The Federalist Papers were written by Federalists, with the goal of convincing people that the Constitution would work just fine as it was written, no modifications required. Hamilton was a Federalist, and his argument in Federalist 84 was part of that effort. In retrospect, however, given how much of what we today consider to be the genius of the Constitution is rooted in the Bill of Rights, it seems like in this case at least the Anti-Federalists had the better argument.
Edit: to be clear the discourse on this forum has no political weight or general social value, the effort behind the score keeping is wasted. But lemmings gonna lemming on that front so keep pointlessly downvoting. I’m sure after enough of them society will be healed from this affront

People should get out and enjoy ethnic food and shit anyway

This “set up the world so everything is delivered close to me” is the real problem the economy seems keen to ignore.

We’re against socialism I guess but not against believing we’re owed convenient access to every experience out there?

Why do we have to politically defer to an economy that provides such lazy effort to trying pad Thai?
This is the kind of stuff I miss seeing on the good old days of HN
Universe is not heliocentric
They aren’t “deceptive”, they spell out how they arrived at those numbers, they disclosed that they aren’t GAAP and did all of the other disclosures that anyone who knows how to read financial statements would understand and should be able to make a judgement call on how to weight them.

I’m more calling out the tech industry in general and some posters on HN specifically about how they sugar coat the performance of money losing present and former unicorns and they don’t measure success by profitability or at least marginal profits where you could see a clear road to profitability.

Dropbox for instance is a YC/HN darling. It is one of only two YC funded companies to ever go public, has never been profitable and looks like it’s going to be squished as other players like Microsoft, Google and even Apple make their entire business “just a feature”.
This went from first page to second page in about 10 minutes.
Clearly default and a lifetime of ruined credit is the better option.
Intel Launches Xeon-E 2200 Series for Servers: 8 Cores, Up to 5.0 GHz
A trademark cannot serve a utilitarian function. People write on white paper, and therefore white cannot be trademarked.

EDIT: If you wanted an "ivory" white to build a brand around... that would be allowed as a trademark of course. But it would consistently be that "ivory white" color that you picked as a trademark, and nothing else.
"If you build a house in a brush canyon and then someone lights the brush on fire, it's YOUR fault for building house there."

Don't we hear this exact same argument repeated in every thread about California wildfires?
wow I’d love to read the Marxist and anarchist texts it has produced. I wonder if they used good source material.

I would bet it gets the talking points but can’t convey the subtlety.
Or setup a contracting corporation, accumulate your consulting income in the corporation. Have a home office. Pay yourself as little as possible to cover living expenses during the 5 year period and accumulate all the capital in your corporation. Pay your 10% on that small amount. Cash out the corporation afterwards, possibly over several years to lower tax burden.
Why the fuck would they learn Braille off lego and not books?

Don't have access to books? Then adding Lego will not help.

Seems like a vanity project that's pretty useless and doesn't acknowledge Braille is dead and should be dead.

Is this society thinking is quaint blind people have a secret language?

How about a screen reader for the internet that works? Not only would it help the visual impaired it'd save billions in accessibility reviews.
Last Season: REI great "snow sale" ~ 20% on Columbia gear. At the same time Columbia has the same stuff at ~75% off. Dick's has the same Columbia gear at 50% off.

REI is a cult. 10 years ago it was a cult that brought lots of things to the members because the brands sucked at selling on the internet or marketing on Instagram. Now the brands adjusted, and REI still behaves as if this is 2009.
I can’t afford to take any chances.
This post is filled with a large number of factual inaccuracies, so numerous I wrote a blog post in response: https://tonyarcieri.com/factual-inaccuracies-of-facebook-lib...
The hole in the ozone layer was stopped because countries got together and signed a treaty to ban CFCs. It is the most successful example of international collaboration on an environmental issue ever.
Average wait time of 7 minutes if the trains follow the schedule exactly and don't bunch.

If things are allowed to drift randomly, you end up approximating the exponential distribution - which has an average wait time of 15 minutes for 4 trains/hour.
They need to charge slightly more then. Having enough profits to ensure financial security for the organization is not unethical
Now we know why Zuck cares so much about going after the people that made it easy to hack U.S. politicians' WhatsApp accounts. He's trying to buy some favor to get him out of prison.
It's not about the cost of changing numbers in databases, it's about the costs of risk and fraud. (And points/discounts/giveaways from issuers to cardholders.) This is why processing debit payments is cheaper
100 pamphleteers probably couldn't reach the same number of people as 1 single person can do today without the slightest peer-review of any sort. And there are certain things that are hard to imagine could ever be spread by pamphlet: child pornography for instance.
Subsidizing public transportation will never happen at scale in Germany, this piece should be proof enough for that.
I only reference the article for its quote from Mill, in which truth-value is a concern in a situation Mill happened to think warranted the suppression of falsehoods.

Since Mill ultimately justified his beliefs in terms of utilitarianism, I do think the echo-chamber effect of social media and the proliferation of fake news would make him rethink things.

Of course, what matters isn't so much what Mill would think (we could speculate all day over what conclusions he would come to), but what the best social policy is. And while Ben cites the usual opinions on the subject, I don't think he's made a sufficient effort to grapple with the different media/discourse environment we live in today. That doesn't mean he must necessarily come to a different conclusion, but it's a mistake not to give it more consideration.
I grew up in a very small town (pop ~300) where I pumped gas in the summers.

Guys would roll up running on fumes and ask me to put two dollars of gas in it so they could drive one town over and save a few pennies a gallon on gas.

Pretty soon after, the owner of the station stopped selling gas entirely. Yay!

If you weren't a farmer with your own tanks on site, you were pretty much forced to drive 6 miles to go get gas after that.
Google censors and manipulates their search engine and are an enemy to free flow of information.
> I would like a modernized Windows without all the cruft

I miss Windows Phone 10 every day still.

Sometimes I still miss Windows 8, when the Win32 desktop booted late and if you stayed entirely in UWP apps things were wildly clean and Windows ran like a dream. (I also know how many people hated that experience.)

Windows has the "flex" to do it, just not the developer nor the user buy-in.

There's an hope with "Windows 10X" they are trying to "flex" a bit, show people what Windows can do when allowed to limit the legacy cruft. The legacy cruft is all still there though, Microsoft has learned the hard way it's there for good, but maybe there's a small bit of hope that developers might be interested in enough in making first class "10X" applications, users enough interest in the magic of post-legacy Windows UI to try new experiences at least some of the time they aren't using the comfort food of the classic Win32 legacy. Maybe a little hope, we'll see.
Very cool! This emulator even correctly mimics some of the hardware in the Apple 1 TV interface that strips out invalid characters. Many emulators miss this and simply replace them with a blank space. https://apple1org.wordpress.com/2012/02/19/a-common-apple-1-...
Also known as the "Ballmer Peak"

https://xkcd.com/323/
I guess you also believe that "Nice Guy" is just a decent man? There are a lot of decent people fighting for social justice, but "social justice warrior" is an epithet for those who just wants to fight and happened to grow up under the social justice banner. The only thing they are good at is creating enemies.
nice business plan why dont you launch a startup with that idea prove me wrong send tweet
Can you give a little more detail about what wartime technology fueled boomer wealth and the economy in general?

My limited understanding from HS was that the boom in the 1950s/60s was due to other nations rebuilding from WWII and needing goods and/or the Cold War causing lots of investment in rockets etc. so I'd love to hear more details than my previous knowledge.
Some of those old recordings are really low quality to start with. There are a couple of maybe unprocessed tracks from 1899 on the "Ojibway Music from Minnesota" CD that the Minnesota Historical Society released in 1988. I'm not seeing it freely available anywhere but it looks like at least last.fm has a page for it (however the CD only has 15 tracks and they list 20, not sure why...). The 1899 tracks are the two by Swift Flying Feather, "Moccasin Game Song" and "Love Song" (not the others of the same names on that CD that are from the 70s and 80s). The track "Dream Song" by Kimiwun was recorded by Frances Densmore in 1910 and is much clearer (the "Women's Dance Song" by Ponemah Singers is a 1972 version of the same song from the same community). They are all excellent songs. I can highly recommend the whole CD. According to the booklet there were also 6 recordings of Swift Flying Feather made in 1869 by Alice Fletcher. I'm not sure if those (or any other of these old recordings) are available anywhere. Edit: The page I link to below mentions these as being 1899 so I think the 1869 was a typo in the booklet and the two Swift Flying Feather tracks on the CD are the recordings made by Fletcher in 1899.

I think this page is a small part of the text from the booklet that came with that CD:

http://www.pbs.org/riverofsong/music/e1-ojibway.html

Looking more, they have the rest of the booklet text also:

http://www.pbs.org/riverofsong/music/e1-continuity.html

http://www.pbs.org/riverofsong/music/e1-dream.html

http://www.pbs.org/riverofsong/music/e1-mocassin.html

http://www.pbs.org/riverofsong/music/e1-story.html

http://www.pbs.org/riverofsong/music/e1-love.html

http://www.pbs.org/riverofsong/music/e1-contemporary.html
There’s sort of a lifecycle for applications. Early on your userbase needs one set of features/UI and later, as your userbase matures and gains experience both with your product and the applications space, feature needs and UI requirements change. This leaves room ‘at the bottom’ for a company to come in, offer a small set of features and take some marketshare of maybe the less sophisticated users.

What stops an entrenched player from simply copying these impinging apps is a couple if things. First it’s really hard to make a product for multiple market segments. You either have to make big UI compromises, or have some way to modify the UI as users gain sophistication. The programmer solution, looking at open source software, seems to always be to add yet another config/preference option. This sort of works, but now you also need to advertise and educate around this option. Second, and probably more important for comapanies though, is that they are almost universally incapable of supporting products that are intended to canabalize their own products. This is particularly problematic when the second product is meant to take low margin customers. Most businesses would prefer to spend the effort on attracting and converting high margin customers, while shedding low margin customers. It’s the classic business school story of how to undermine the steel industry: focus on rebar first. since no mill wants to make such a low value item, they will literally subcontract work to you, allowing you to gain traction in the industry, and then you can slowly improve your offerings.
so: internet technology used to centralize (or concentrate) information is basically a gateway to tyranny

in purely technical terms, internet technology doesn't necessitate that information be centralized, it works just fine when it's distributed (federated architecture).
What is a proper suburb to you? Ride sharing is great for me in suburban areas of Delaware before as one example. Wait can be 15-20 min sometimes. Though it shouldn’t be like that all the time. You can still see where the driver is, etc, via app. The price is cheap (I’d be willing to pay more). The experience is far better than hailing taxis used to be.

Suburban life is also different from city life. A 15-20 min isn’t that bad in suburbs.

Life has become a lot more convenient currently for me in suburbs knowing ride sharing is around. I almost shivered thinking about the last time I used a taxi a decade ago in suburbs.
Sure it's vaguely does but most fields people would go into for college degrees don't generally do work undocumented. Also the loan company has an opposite incentive to track down anyone doing that and unlike the IRS they're not hamstrung by Congressional attempts to bleed them dry.
I also ran up against the deprecation of std::mem_fun and std::mem_fun_ref in a recent migration. Easy enough to replace with lambda expressions, but one more hurdle to running C++17 code.
Launching Postwoman v1.0 – free, fast and beautiful alternative to Postman