skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
An easy way to do the odds analytically is to calculate the average expected number of trials needed for a success, and then note that the overall average success rate is the inverse of that.

E.g. in the author's example, where the rate starts at 5% and increases by 5% with each failure, the expected number of trials needed for a success would be:

sum = 1 * 0.05 + // hit the first trial
2 * 0.95 * 0.10 + // missed first, hit second
3 * (0.95*0.9) * 0.15 + // missed first two, hit third
// ..and so on

Summing up that loop gives 5.29 for the expected number of trials, the inverse of which is 18.9%, matching the author's observed result.
I think a better title would be "Cue: A constraint programming langue (from some people who work[ed] at Google)".

When you consider the use of this language within a distributed system it's pretty freaking brilliant. https://cuelang.org/docs/concepts/logic/#the-value-lattice
Super interesting. It seems to tap into the psychology of some people who gamble... they think the more times they lose, the more likely they win the next time. Why are humans wired this way?
Interesting concept, but I’m not going to trust a tool from an unknown provider with my potentially sensitive data.

Give me a tool that I can run locally, and I might be interested.
From the article, it sounds like the surgeons are already well aware of the risk from improper cleaning, but don't care enough to push for a systemic solution, instead relying on "workarounds" when it is their own family member under the knife.

> Except when an important person or a doctor’s family member is on the table, that is. “They call and say, ‘Dr. Jones’ wife is having surgery,’”
Terrible article:

> Let’s imagine that you need to start your design by creating a line. Next, you copy it and divide it into two parts, getting two shapes a) the first line, and b) the second one.

What does this even mean? What are the constraints between these two lines that leads to that ratio to be the golden ratio?!?
I can see what you mean - I love the feel of my favorite pen on paper. If it weren't for my typing speed + digitization I think I'd prefer writing as well. I've also considered perhaps typing allows too much freedom for re-phrasing things while pen is more permanent - requiring a bit more thought before you get it down.
This should be an add-on to companies like Tinder. People will provide a lot of data in the interest of finding a romantic or sexual partner. Tinder could say “sorry about that bad date but here’s this guy you might like living with!”
Called to the gendarmerie for posting images of Air Force One on social networks
This is why you get feed back from users.

You try different ways to respond to requests and see what works.

That said I doubt many/any sites have any sort of complexity working. Look at what Netflix does. At the end of the day it's simple rules that work. Likes an action movie = suggest an action movie with a good rating or same actors or director.

I'd guess things like sex, age, education, job, race, religion, drug use, is the person an asshole, overpower making any other attribute worth using.

Uncomfortable different is great because you hit a hard challenge and succeed, so get a buzz, but it forgets the fact it's a challenge because you mostly fail. It's not a good way to recommend else you are just presenting life.
It doesn’t really matter if you can classify it as discrimination or not. It’s perfectly reasonable and legal (in most states) to discriminate in particular instances where there is a real cost difference between servicing x and y group. It’s why men pay more for car insurance. Men cost more to insure. Is that discrimination? Yes. What’s the alternative? Having women subsidise men’s car insurance. Well that’s discrimination too.
To someone who is not familiar with the technology beyond a high-level overview like in OP, the sentence "The main problems stemmed from the object model not yet being mature enough" sounds like "The main problems with stateful applications stemmed from there being problems with stateful applications".
They are based on information from the CDC. If you have better maps that you use for your travels, please link. Not that I travel at all in eastern/south Eastern Europe, so “don’t drink the water unless in developed country” works well enough for me (I mostly travel in Asia outside the USA).
"I've lost more than one job where I've done good work on the interesting parts, but failed to carry my weight on the boring parts to the point where I simply wore out my welcome. "

I experienced this quite a bit earlier on in my career (and still do, to a certain degree), but I eventually arrived at the realization that this had a lot more to do with anxiety for me than with ADHD. For me, the "boring stuff" was either

1) all the little details and maintenance work that needs to be done to bring a project from complete implementation to complete deployment and rollout and

2) things that someone else could probably do better than me, or that I could ask for help with.

With respect to 1), I began to realized after working through multiple projects that the thing wasn't really done until it had been used in the wild for a while and I had gone through enough iteration cycles of gradual refinement to know it was in a stable state -- that let me launch things a lot more comfortably and be "okay" with the knowledge that it would never really be done, just good enough, and that I could always come back later and improve it more if needed.

With the latter, I used to be a lot worse at asking for help. I found it embarrassing and seemingly a tacit admission of my incompetence. I've also gotten better at that by understanding that productivity gets done through teams, and the more that I ask for help, the more the team is growing and that I'm increasing my own mental context on all the things I otherwise wouldn't know. Asking questions wasn't a sign of my incompetence; it was a sign of my curiosity, and a desire to keep improving.

I'm not sure if any of those strike a chord, but if so, these could be things to think through. As an aside, I found that when I worked in unhealthy work environments, these things came up a lot more because I reported to and worked with folks in a low trust environment. This meant that they'd simplify things to saying that I've done "good work on the interesting parts, but failed to carry my weight on the boring parts" when in all actuality, it was painful to do the parts I didn't do -- not just for me, but for everyone. I was just the squeaky wheel.

I can't fully tell, but from the way you talk about it, it's possible this is the case with your work environments. It's miraculous how much less prevalent these kinds of issues are in a supportive environment where you're working with not just competent but caring and kind team members and leaders.
Advanced Cryptographic Ratcheting (2013)
Audible is absolutely epic.

On audible, I highly recommend lectures from The Teaching Company / Great Courses.

Great narration: https://www.audible.com/pd/Platos-Republic-Audiobook/B01CO38..., https://www.audible.com/pd/The-Art-of-War-Audiobook/B00URXOQ... (familiar voice to you?)

I've also had one of the worst narrations I've ever heard: https://www.amazon.com/Monkey/dp/B0162SWL4G/. I believe it was delisted on audible.com
Bureaucrats are not "STEM folks".

Bureaucrats make education policy.

STEM folks write the guidelines of how it should have been done, then the bureaucrats say "You know what this needs? The critical thinking skills that only liberal arts can provide!"

Then everything is just as fucked as before.
I use this technique to counter distracting thoughts to concentrate on reading, learning, or working. As of now i have 1288 textfiles.
I suspect it has to do with the same facilities that evoke magical thinking, and other pattern-event associative behavior. And like those pigeons in the famous experiment which were fed randomly and evolved various ritual-like behavior in association, we think we did something to achieve a win condition (or food condition). In the case of gambling, what we 'did' to win was gamble when 'the cards were hot'.
Possibly -- if it is only profitable to sell the phone WITH the expected value of the insurance.

I also think the salespeople are evaluated on their conversion rate for things like warranties, insurance, etc.
Out of curiosity what made it ok-ish? What were the biggest pain points? I've been tempted to try it myself.
The keyword is “should”. But they don’t. I know somebody who did research into the ownership structure of hospitals in an area and where the money goes and you can’t compare this to normal companies. It’s a highly corrupt insider system that makes a lot of money from local governments and patients.
You think it’s expensive now? Just think how expensive it would be to “properly” clean all the reusable tools.

“In 2010, there were 2.1 million arthroscopic procedures of the knee performed and yet total adverse events from all causes was 1 percent.”

That’s all causes, not even 1 percent caused by contamination specifically, and does not tell us anything about how severe the AE was.

So yes by all means we should be testing cleaning instructions in real-world conditions and make sure instructions are clear and clearly followed.

But articles like this are part of the reason that hospital stay costs $10,000 in the first place.
Tool's resurgence brought me back to their classic song Hooker With a Penis:

All you read and wear or see or hear on TV

Is a product, begging for your fat-ass, dirty dollar

Shut up and buy, buy, buy my new record

And buy, buy, buy, send more money

Fuck you buddy
Of all the things to name a project these people named it after the most commonly used data structure.
Understanding and Improving Conda's Performance
It's different. Earth already has intelligent life. Mars and the moon do not.
These are just more examples of exactly what I mean!

- Crystal is Ruby simplified in order to make it amenable to compilation by LLVM. They couldn't move LLVM to the language, so they had to move the language to LLVM.

- R's performance is very limited.

- Julia was specifically designed to be easy to compile.

- Swift has SIL - they don't just output LLVM. See what they say about LLVM! https://llvm.org/devmtg/2015-10/slides/GroffLattner-SILHighL... 'Wide abstraction gap between source and LLVM IR', 'IR isn't suitable for source-level analysis', etc. And they have these problems even with the best LLVM experts on their team!

I don't know much about MATLAB or Mathematica, sorry.
By the time you are tracking misses on each class of event and adjusting the probabilities, you might as well just use random permutations of the desired distribution of outcomes. Like if the sword is supposed to hit 90%, just run through a 10-bit sequence with 9 ones and a zero, and shuffle it after every 10 attempts.
The first link is really interesting, thanks.

Actually I'm not a fountain pen nerd. I use a €10 supermarket-sold Waterman for the last ten years. This pen in indestructible and really lightweight; best money spend in my life. In comparison I got a classy Parker as a Christmas gift but almost never use it because of its heaviness and the price of the proprietary ink cartridges.
The Page Object pattern is common in Ruby (and some JS frameworks, like ember.js) too. I agree that the issues mentioned in this article seem mostly windows app centric. For JS apps running in the browser, the testing story is pretty good these days.
If medallions were worth $500k+ back then, how much were these cabdrivers making on their rides to make this profitable?
This is the heart of it:

> Almost all diagnoses mask the role of trauma and adverse events...

> The authors conclude that diagnostic labelling represents ‘a disingenuous categorical system’.

The DSM fails miserably as a manual to alleviate suffering, because it downright ignores the influence of trauma on all but one major diagnosis (acute PTSD).

Worse, complex trauma ("cPTSD") aka "developmental trauma" is still not an official diagnosis, which is absurd, given that it is well established in the research that child abuse can severely damage mental health.

The whole thing is looking at the problem of mental health from the wrong angle. The so-called epidemic of mental illness will only subside once we ditch the dizzying array of overlapping symptoms, and focus on the root causes.

Every single individual seeking professional counsel on mental health should be screened for trauma at intake. There's just no excuse for not doing that given how much trauma impacts outcomes.
The main problem with assembly, afaik, is that gcc doesn't know how to optimize even very simple assembly.
EU includes some poor countries that were recently under Soviet occupation.

And before that WW2 levelled entire cities, like capital of Poland was obliterated as it was bombed once when Germans took it, once when the Polish rose up, then again as Soviets took it.

At the dawn of computer era there was a wall, landmines and machine gun nests going though the centre of Berlin.

Isolate your comparison to northern Europe, spared by war and Soviets, and the difference in GDP is no longer in US favour.
Metrics? I thought we were all reasoning in sweeping generalizations here.
Good point. Couldn't Gamma radiation kill what heat alone won't?

Edit: Did some research, Gamma radiation can't kill prions.
That's one though SOAB.
It's just stuff that I use daily in normal code, so this benchmark pretty much serves the pupose very well: it uses mundane operations, also uses memory, one can adjust it by raising the bar 10x times, so the actual algorithm takes several orders of magnitude longer than the JIT penalty. In fact most of the interpreted languages would pretty much crunch for minutes at 10⁴, while Go, Crystal, D and Rust would take seconds or tens of seconds. Perl6 is basically stuck there forever and at the other end of the spectrum are Node and Dart. LuaJIT would run out of memory at that figure, otherwise it's among the fastest.
The way easier solution to this content rating mess is don’t give your young child a phone/tablet. Give them a coloring book and a Snap Circuits kit.

I realize this isn’t something Google can do something about; this is directed at the parents giving an internet connected device to a developing mind.
Yes! Which is why we need other decentralized social networks that can follow email's route to success.
Or perhaps it's mostly down to modern technology, and corruption being kept in check.
i want to live in such a complex too.

I live in a mexican neighborhood and I see them talking to each other on the street but my spanish is bad to follow the conversation at their speed.
$1 will let you try 500 songs. If in your musical explorations you listen to 200 songs once, 200 songs three times, and 100 songs many times (price capped at 9), then you would spend 200x0.002 + 200x0.014 + 100 = $103.2.

So the cost of exploring new tracks is almost zero, and for the ones you like you end up paying $1 to buy. To me that seems pretty cheap - you can add 10 new songs per month to your permanent collection for the same price as Spotify, with nearly unlimited trials of new songs.

To me this specific implementation seems to be not great (they talk about blockchain, no big artists on it yet, etc.), but the model seems very fair to me, and as a consumer I would prefer a model like this where the people I listen to actually get a nontrivial amount of money.
Do you actually listen to one unique album on repeat all day every day? You ever have a month where you listen to one record, or one record's worth of tracks every day? Now you pay $10... Or play it on random to have background noise and effectively pay nothing for a month. Or, more likely, play random to have music going all the time and pay effectively nothing, put tracks you like on a playlist, and then eventually buy all the songs on that playlist over time as you listen to that playlist. It will probably cost more, but not much more, and the distribution to the artists is more likely to be ethical.

This actually seems a lot more likely to be sustainable than the current model, which just grinds all but a few dozen artist's bones to dust until they quit music and get real jobs.

If this results in musicians being able to make a living, I love it. If not, at least it's trying. Pandora paying out $2700 for 40 million plays is bullshit. I don't mind paying for something that affects my life as positively as music does. I hope this works or leads to something that works.
On that point I agree entirely.

What's impressed me is how much a book can change ... or was it me ... over time, as I've learned and been exposed to more things and experiences.

Some improve, some are less impressive.
I have a feeling that beer is overtaking every other alcoholic beverage in popularity everywhere.

I live in southeastern France. Definitely wine country, lots of reasonably priced, good quality wine is produced here. And while wine is still very popular, a lot of younger people now drink beer. For taste, we have a lot of craft beer shops popping off. And on the opposite end of the spectrum, high alcohol beer is replacing red wine as a cheap way of getting drunk. It is a trend I trend to see everywhere I go.

Interestingly, in France, it looks like rosé wine is making a comeback with women.
I don't think a gui to work with cue files is a good substitute for a gui for regular users to configure whatever you are configuring because its unlikely to be able to define valid data to the same degree as an actual app.

If its for a technical individual to configure your software I don't know that such a gui would be superior to your favorite editor.
On the question of sterilizing prion-contaminated surgical instruments:

https://consteril.com/prion-sterilization-guide/
SMR does have a use case outside of tape replacement. It has higher density. Take a look at DropBox MagicPocket - they designed their entire storage system around SMR technology
Are you sure? I bet 99% just leave it configured to use google.
I have been driven in some quite delapidated cabs in SF. Maybe lack of maintenance or other in-cab monetization such as TV, brochures, or "suggesting" restaurants or clubs to tourists (not sure if this happens in SF, but definitely in other cities).
> “probability one” is misleading, too, as laymen would assume the reverse cannot happen.

In the real world it cannot happen. It can only happen in an unbelievably unlikely mathematical abstraction. So I would call that layman understanding closer to the truth.
You could do extra certification or whatnot if it was going to save you more than a penny or two.

Most trade is pretty free, even without all of it being so.
Steris sterilizers (think sort of dishwasher-type devices with a highly specialized detergent) can do this, I believe. I'm pretty sure there's still room for error with devices that are complicated enough that they might not be completely cleaned by the flow of the cleaning chemical, which is a problem with almost any cleaning method you use on that kind of equipment.
Co-founder here.
Understand your concern and perspective Brad.
In the near term this is a SaaS offering, so the best we can do to address these concerns is to offer strong security controls (a short list on our site, longer list on request) backed up by external certification (underway).
Plus the credibility and track records of the team behind it.
You think that is easy?
> it's still a pretty big deal since I haven't heard of anything I'd truly call next-gen happening to transistors

There are several, for example nanoscale vacuum-channel transistors (think nanoscopic vacuum tubes), and there's some cool stuff around neuromorphic computing. No RISC-V processors on them yet, though.
Agreed: in my experience, therapy is intensely personal. It crucially depends on the relationship between a specific patient and a specific therapist.

When life forced me out of desperation to seek therapy, I went through three therapists before finding the right one for me.

I have been seeing my guy now for several years. Between talk therapy, meds, and a daily meditation practice, my life is substantially better. And, it turns out that my work has improved the lives of my wife and family. I am generally a hell of a lot easier to live with, and am a better approximation to the "sweet old guy" that I want to be as I grow into my later years.

When you are in a weakened psychological state, possibly anxious, fearful, conflict-avoidant, passive-aggressive, terrified of conflict or triggering unmanageable reactions from other people, it can be extremely difficult to terminate a relationship with a therapist. The only way I found was to write a brief note, enclose a check for payment in full for the next session and any other financial obligations incurred or committed to, inform the therapist in writing that I was no longer going to be a patient, and skip the last session.
It is if you never start. Once your kids are hooked, forget it.
I remember that too, just never been to the US in those days. You could see the cockpit from the front seats because the door was open and from time to time the pilot would come hangout too. Currently listening to Schwarzegger's bio and he landed in the US in the 60s after like weeks of deciding to migrate and had no job apart from being a body builder. No H1B process (for which he wouldn't have qualified anyways). Other times...
Rational people should seek to reduce or eliminate physical force, or the threat of physical force, used against them or their trading partners. This is the only controversial thing I have to say in this comment (and I don't expect you to believe it just because I say it, but there it is nonetheless). Everything else in this comment follows directly and non-controversially from that.

Government is the institution that bans the use of force by exercising a monopoly on the use of force (which requires force). In other words, government is what takes us out of an anarchic, Hobbesian state of nature.

So the government should hold a monopoly on force but should only use it to prevent anyone else from using force against individual citizens.

Thus, police and courts are legitimate functions of government, to maintain the internal ban on force and punish those who use it (e.g. criminals). To protect citizens from external threats, a defensive military is a legitimate function of government. So just those three institutions: police, courts, and military.

Schools and firefighting should be left to the private sector (so either for-profit businesses or local co-ops).
Cracked Apple Watch Series 2, Series 3 may get free screen replacements
I’ve been using a self-hosted Wordpress install. It works great. Set it in private mode and you got all you need really

My template is writing what happened during my day, event by event, before I go to sleep. More of a narrative than anything

If I feel esoteric that day I write it backwards, recounting events from end of day to start of day

As for permanence, I figure Wordpress will be there long after me. I’ll definitely die before Wordpress does, of that im sure
And what about exposure from outside your control?

Edit: and what about for parents who don't have the resources or ability to manage that kind of control? My point is that it's not easy, not even in the slightest.
1) You can cherry-pick US states too, and;

2) Just look at the chart I linked to - on decadal timescales, the EU was catching up to the US rapidly and then plateaued, in more than one cycle. No idea why, but something significant was happening and then stalling. Obviously history wasn't retroactively occurring and being eradicated.
I’m definitely not qualified to answer this question. I speculate that a surgical infection is serious because the infection involves pathogens growing deep inside tissue that isn’t normally exposed to infection. Thus your immune system is ill equipped to fend it off.
Any Startups Using Stripe Atlas in Costa Rica?
Do you know about a startup here in Costa Rica?