skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Key recession indicator is flashing red. Unlike the stock market, which is both backward- and forward-looking, the bond market is myopically forward-looking.

When the yield between the 10-year and 2-year US treasury inverts, a recession is months away.

This chart, showing the difference between the yield (or spread), shows recessions in grey:

https://journal.firsttuesday.us/using-the-yield-spread-to-fo...

Notice how even getting close to zero spread can sometimes be followed by a recession. But a negative spread always does.

Point to consider is the effect of Quantitative Easing (QE). Here, the Fed buys long-term treasuries such as 10-years. This makes long-term rates appear lower than they would otherwise be.

The Fed only slightly unwound this policy, meaning it still holds most of the long-term bonds it bought to fix the 2008/2009 crisis.

The net effect is that the Fed could be triggering an early recession warning here.

Regardless, combining this leading indicator with others such as transportation weakness, manufacturing slowdowns, and other economies tipping into recession (despite the loosest central bank policies in modern memory) leads to only one conclusion.

Prepare for the inevitable recession. It's not different this time.

Edit: one way to play this as an investor is to buy long-term treasuries. The idea being that as interest rates fall, the value of these assets increases (bond prices move inversely with interest rates). Go as long out on the yield curve as you can. Then when the Fed inevitably rides to the rescue, begin to unwind and capture the capital gains. Or not. Instead, just continue to receive above-market rate interest payments. There's risk here because there's no way to know how low long-term rates will fall before reversing course (and eroding any capital gains you might have picked up).
Yep, so both would have to be working at very well paying jobs to bring anywhere near that level net income home.
I agree, but what about when the persistent shared state ends up actually being most of what needs to be tested in a distributed system?
The reverse of that argument is "if my vote doesn't matter, why do they want to additionally shrink it by 20x"?
Some people enjoy the stories of the past. I'm not religious, but I find joy in reading the myths and legends from bygone eras - regardless if Prometheus isn't particularly applicable to today's modern world.

I don't know what you mean by math being constant - I think you'll find the Mayans had a different understanding of math than we do.
NYTimes is a very biased, liberal source. Every time an election doesn't go as planned, as in right-wing parties win, media such as NYTimes or Washington Post blame it on Youtube/Facebook/AI and everything else, as if a person couldn't rationally vote for right-wing policies and political parties.
Type safety in microservices using GraphQL and TypeScript: back- and front end
I wonder if his workflow could be even more automated using a MUA like "[nm]mh" (http://marmaro.de/prog/mmh/) or "mblaze" (https://github.com/leahneukirchen/mblaze). The latter is maildir-specific though.
The Badass Personalities of People Who Like Being Alone
By some back of the napkin math, that's at least 30% of an entire months worth of free time for someone employed full time.

To me, that seems pretty darned reasonable considering we're talking about 4k.
> But they are still the root cause of the problems, so you need to deal with them no matter how silly you may feel they are

I simply cannot disagree. I just do not know how.

> Analytical folk aren't always good at such conversations, but think [...] and it will help

I'll chew over that carefully, thanks.

> So let us go through one of your example...

that was a particularly nasty example for me to give because there was no solution. He would not listen to what I had to say. He thought XSLT was a sort of magic. The cost is still hitting the company years later as they transition away from it. Over that and a related issue, I resigned. Sometimes you must take it on the chin.

I appreciate what you say, and the decent intent behind it and as mentioned will chew it over. Thank you.
Type safety in microservices using GraphQL and TypeScript: all services
To put it another way, they're kind of the same thing as the RAND Corporation. Maybe more technical and less strategic?
This would make an absolutely wonderful iPad app, too!
Here in Canada there was a huge problem with data caps when Netflix launched. Since then they've loosened a bit, but even now, most low-to-mid broadband internet packages have caps under 200GB.
It literally broke the Fed: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y

If you go to the homepage of the st louis fed and search popular series, this is the first that shows up.
Not understanding is one option; not trusting is another.

It is presumably quite easy to shuffle operating expenses into the earnings report as capital expenses if a company really wants to, and the 'development' in R&D can hide a bunch of things.

I'm happy to be wrong, but 'Oh, they can make money the minute they choose to, but at the moment they are choosing not to' is a concerning argument. Apple might have gone from "give the money back to shareholders" -> most profitable company in the world -> broke by the time Amazon turns a serious profit for its shareholders. It is yet to be disproven beyond all doubt that Amazon is competitive by virtue of having abysmal profit margins.
might be cheaper to let a stack of blu-rays loop.
Technically the sentence could be falsified if we ever managed to formally prove that AI can never become more intelligent than humans.
From what I have heard it depends on the mobile provider. Some have daily limit around 10+ GB. But that seems quite reasonable.
I have monthly 10GB 4G for my phone and I have never hit it.
I've heard stories after a screw up the mobile provider gave unlimited 4G for a year and the guy used it as his internet at his home.
Thanks! Will likely try out premium themes and blocks. Maybe extra export options.

Accounts and multi-project support is definitely coming at some point. Right now you can technically import/export by clicking export project in the top dropdown menu (copies entire project json to your clipboard), save that, later import it using the import option. Not the most user friendly but it works.

Haven’t really thought about desktop to be honest! Will keep an eye on feedback and see how much people want that.
It's a persistent fallacy to assume that sunniness and heat equal more solar power. Reality is that heat decreases the efficiency of solar, so, the hotter it is, the less efficient solar will be.
My argument is that they're using the same strategy, language and branding they used to sell their brand to the world to sell their public offering to the world.

I don't perceive that as detrimental, and don't see how designing a document is "disgusting". It's nontraditional.
> You can probably release this book every 30 years or so and have a bot replace contemporary parts and jargon.

This specific author has alread done that every 2 years or so for the last 10 years...
Digital Ocean DNS Down for 2nd Time in a Week
> Also, why 4k? Small room, massive display? Many people can not even detect a difference between 1080p and 4k at normal couch distance.

I've got a 55" 4K at a viewing distance of maybe 6', tops, if you're leaning waaaaay back on the couch, and can only barely tell the difference. A good 1080p source (high bitrate h264 or h265, or a normal ol' 1080p bluray) looks a hell of a lot better than Netflix's 4k. HDR matters a ton more than 4k itself does, as far as how good something looks.

[EDIT] and what really matters is having semi-decent speakers in a somewhat-OK 5.1 layout, with a proper receiver. I'd drop to 720p on the picture before I'd give that up.
People love to blame the grammar, but you won't find anyone mentioning being made out of wood, hitting balls or any sports in a philosophical discussion on the question of "What is it like to be a bat?", which is understood to belong in the realm of animal consciousness. That's despite there not being any grammatical distinction between the two kinds of bats, they're only implicitly disambiguated by the context.

In my experience, context dependence only becomes noticeable when you don't understand, so foreign languages always appear to require more contextual knowledge than one's mother tongue. If you actually try to use a formal grammar to generate all possible parses for a sentence, you'll notice your brain filters out a lot of nonsensical but grammatically valid interpretations.
This is what the whole net neutrality debate was about. If ISPs cap data for small video sites, but not Netflix, that results in a massive advantage to Netflix (and, presumably, other large incumbents).

For what it's worth, T-Mobile did this with Binge-On: https://www.t-mobile.com/offers/binge-on-streaming-video
Yeah, with the yield curve news lately, I'm really considering a short but I'm well aware the market can stay irrational longer than I can stay solvent
Previous incident:

https://status.digitalocean.com/incidents/bmh4fb6p4mw6
Why would someone post this commit of a practically unknown project here if there was no juicy backstory?
It's a shame we can't convert that heat to electricity in some efficient way.
Strange. I had to unpack at Schiphol two weeks ago. And go through the scanner even though I wasn't headed to the US. All in all, one of the worst airport security experiences in Europe.
In Lisbon I didn't have to unpack.
I'll see if I can dig up the article, but I think they're planning on tracking everything that workers do in their buildings and giving that data to employers.

Edit - found this - https://www.inc.com/betsy-mikel/wework-is-trying-a-creepy-ne...

>WeWork's latest acquisition is a small software company with 24 employees. Euclid is a spatial analytics platform...Euclid's website says the company is "focused on redefining the workplace experience of the future." Translation: optimizing every aspect of the physical workplace so workers are their most productive. Euclid does this by tracking how people move around physical spaces. Its technology can track how many people showed up to a meeting or to that after-work happy hour. The company can see where employees tend to congregate and for how long. It's all done over Wi-Fi.
As the article notes, the largest element on the page isn't always going to be the most important one. In the first example[1], I would actually consider the page to be loaded by the second-to-last frame. In the second example[2] though , I'd agree the page isn't fully loaded until the end, despite that being a very similar situation to the first example.

Maybe a better metric would be something like "last DOM reflow" or something along those lines? Usually I don't consider a page to be usable until its content stops jumping around the screen.

[1]: https://web.dev/largest-contentful-paint/lcp-cnn-filmstrip.p...

[2]: https://web.dev/largest-contentful-paint/lcp-techcrunch-film...
Using a water tank as a primary heat sink for a reversible heat pump will probably reduce energy usage quite a bit on extreme weather days. Especially if said tank is installed under basement to keep the temperatures relatively stable.
Still baffled that this is called a curve
The Virtues of Monoculture – O'Reilly ONLamp Blog (2007)
Irish regulator queries Facebook on transcription of users' audio
New 3D Cameras Enable Airports to Go from Queue Measurement to Flow Management
I have met few people from Mitre last year. They are Govt Contractors working on HealthCare apps.
What specifically has changed?
What’s the software?
This is IT specific, in fact, you actually have to run powershell scripts over an admin console in 0365 to prevent to creation of teams by anyone in the organization, doing so also prevents the creation of groups in outlook, and plans in planner, as they are all back ended to the same place.
Lewis Hamilton has had an impressive regrowth. He even gets his styled into cornrows and stuff like that, so the new hair is definitely in there firmly if it can withstand that type of thing. I'm curious as to what he had done, transplant or some kind of other treatments.
You could also reverse that and say "all it takes to cause a boom is to convince everyone there's a boom". People think the markets are rational and maybe over decades they are but in the short term half of it is sheer psychology and herd mentality.
I was thinking recently about video streaming sites. There is only one, really, that creators can use. Youtube creators are very vocal about how frustrating YT is becoming. What if creators could use any video streaming site (vimeo, tiktok, whatever) and a single app or site could bring all this together.

This could be the answer, this could solve the problem of monopolies like YouTube.
Tesla can't achieve profit even after extreme cuts across the board, including capex. Their capex minus D&A has been declining for a while and is negative.

https://twitter.com/TESLAcharts/status/1123186053811032064?s...
Which records you like the most from ott?
Isn't take-out food and drink in general a trivial and completely unnecessary luxury item, with single-use items (including straws) being a subset of that?

I can think of populations for which it's more necessary (e.g. the homeless) but as I think you've posted about before - the solution to that is to, well, fix the root issue, no?

Maybe it's an artifact of my upbringing - I literally couldn't afford takeaway food apart from the odd cone of chips (wrapped in paper) or whatever, a McDonalds meal with a straw etc is still something I think of as being absurdly expensive (it's like an hour at minimum wage).

Even middle class families in the UK often just don't eat out like this because it's both bloody expensive and usually crap food.

It's weird to me that people treat this luxury, and of fast food at that, as something that absolutely has to be protected?
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Huh, I (and many others) kind of used to do this in undergrad. We’d get a study room, read things from our different classes to ourselves, and schedule breaks every 20 or so minutes to talk, and repeat. It was very effective and enjoyable studying.
What's disturbing is that people think he's literally shape shifting. Or they are trolling and I am getting too affected by it.
I was at Uni around ten years ago (actually it's more like 12, getting old!), I remember we had Sky Broadband (in a flat full of IT students) and seriously abused it. They never complained.
Depends on what you mean by timing the market.

Several strategies like keeping a fixed ratio of stocks to bond are effectively timing the market. You pull money out of stocks when they go up, and put money into them when they go down.

Personally, I am less interested in absolutely maximizing my returns as I am maximizing the likelihood of reaching a return threshold.
ISPs are charged directly for peering.
And the all-in cost of wind will be much greater when accounting for the gas support they require.
Doesn't that require client side crypto - which was, last time I checked, widely regarded as being rather risky?
You are comparing living in the one of the most expensive cities in the world to someone living in Zimbabwe as if they are remotely the same thing. Only 40% of Zimbabwean people have access to toilets, what do you think that number is in London?
Friends called their unborn "Horst" so that people (including themselves) had a name with which they could to refer to the future child, but at the same time the choice made obvious that it would not be the real name given after birth and that they did not want to disclose it beforehand.

I suppose that says something about the name's image.
Not the original poster, but I'm not sure what is going on either, and it seems to be an interesting podcast I'd like to listen. Here's an alternative link I found, it works for me. There are some ads and greetings at the beginning, actual content starts at the 3 minute mark: https://player.fm/series/stuff-you-should-know-2151878/plann...

Raw MP3: https://dcs.megaphone.fm/HSW5294478445.mp3?key=ff7d10535b175...
In Canada?

My local cable internet ISP:

https://www.cogeco.ca/en/internet/packages

The packages under $100CAD/mo have data caps under 200GB.
Was it a complaint? A buddy of mine is on Plusnet, they wrote to him about it but it wasn't a complaint, more just letting him know.
That statement was very clearly talking about the difference between the reference frames of the Earth and the galactic core, and comparing that difference to the speed of light.
Time of day effects on the incidence of anesthetic adverse events (2006)
Can Apple just send a notification to all affected devices?
That's the ancestry.com business model as well.
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I honestly love that the "Mainstream" psytrance section is previously-not-at-all-mainstream trance.

great reality for music to conform to the tastes I wished was more popular 20 years ago where I grew up, where mainstream was just "rock or rap, choose one".
A lot of what we call AI these days (especially neural network stuff) should really be called "artificial knee-jerk reactions". A neural network trained to detect traffic lights is 'intelligent' only insofar as your leg is 'intelligent' when it involuntarily kicks in response to a tap on the knee. Of course, automating a knee-jerk reaction in response to traffic lights can still be extremely useful (say, for self-driving cars). But there's no contemplation involved, no thinking, no deliberation---no intelligence.
Page 28 discusses it. They have an interesting approach to managing the conflict:

> Pursuant to our related party transactions policy, all additional material related party transactions that we enter into require either (i) the unanimous consent of our audit committee or (ii) the approval of a majority of the members of our board of directors.

I was pretty impressed when I read "unanimous consent of our audit committee" but then it all went out the window when I saw or the majority of the Board. The company CEO/landlord is the person with the major conflict of interest. He also has the majority voting power of the company stock and will control the board. WeWork's attempt to mitigate this conflict of interest is nothing but smoke and mirrors.
Alright. So its an externality. At the end of the day: the people who benefit from the infrastructure aren't paying for the use of it.

Public infrastructure needs to be built, but if a local government builds it, other people come and the local government fails to get paid. Local government needs to tax those other people somehow, but they're outside the jurisdiction.

So the solution is to use the state-government taxes (or national government taxes, if it crosses state lines) to pay for the infrastructure.

-----

I mean, do you not agree that its a market failure situation? If you agree its a market failure, the only solution is a 3rd party enforcing its will to override the market.

Its proven. The free market cannot solve any externality. Its a true market-failure situation.
Axios: Promise based HTTP client for the browser and Node.js
Opportunities and Challenges of Machine Learning Accelerators in Production
Any continuous locus of points is a curve - that's what makes the Jordan Curve Theorem hard to prove :)

On a more serious note, the graph displayed in the article is a timeseries of the difference between two points on the curve. The actual curve looks something like this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_curve#/media/File:Yield_...
Incredible. All errors now. Seems like people are just now finding this chart.
This is helpful feedback. Right now it exports the normal CRA readme. Plan is to soon replace that with a dynamically generated doc that goes over your chosen stack as well as some details like the light wrappers we export around routing and auth. Is that what you had in mind? In terms of docs, anything else you’d like to see?
Absolutely true.

Of course, it's silly for me to think 5-70 GB in 15 years is a huge jump. Doom 1 (1993) was 2.3 MB, and Doom 3 in 2004 required 2.2 GB.
It's a property company that's planning tracking everything people do in their buildings.

>WeWork's latest acquisition is a small software company with 24 employees. Euclid is a spatial analytics platform...Euclid's website says the company is "focused on redefining the workplace experience of the future." Translation: optimizing every aspect of the physical workplace so workers are their most productive. Euclid does this by tracking how people move around physical spaces. Its technology can track how many people showed up to a meeting or to that after-work happy hour. The company can see where employees tend to congregate and for how long. It's all done over Wi-Fi.

Edit - forgot to link the article - https://www.inc.com/betsy-mikel/wework-is-trying-a-creepy-ne...
Another strange difference between countries' perceptions is the Swedish princess Estelle's name.

I was on vacation in Sweden shortly thereafter, and while just about every German thought the name atrocious, befitting a prostitute, all the Swedes found it charming.
There's a contribution margin graph on page 72, that kind of tries to explain away their high costs as costs related to their expansion and that their existing locations have a sizable margin that is hidden by all their expansion costs. I don't really buy it, but that sounds like the story they're trying to sell.
WRT. home example, what if it's a router? I'd very much expect the router to use less power idling than when handling 1gbps - especially that routers tend to look into packets, which is computation, which uses power. Also, if the router does does mode change (e.g. Ethernet on one side, fiber on the other), I'd expect more power usage still when busy.
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It's actually a good thing, they can't be included in a lot of indexes because of that clause which means only people truly intent on setting fire to their cash will ever buy the stock.
Yes, I'm aware. But, just like diffizil is a more formal word, so is difficult. Colloquially, people routinely say hard in English, as in hard problem to solve.
I stopped enjoying math for about this reason. My university tried to teach with proofs, which to me is about as far from an intuitive understanding as possible

Looking for recommendations on lectures / course that goes over linear algebra in this way
The method in question was known for millennia before Newton, it is believed to be known to Babylonians:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methods_of_computing_square_...
Startpage is an anonymizing proxy for Google Search, not a full search engine. Crucially, it doesn't determine how to rank results. If they decided to try to compete with Google, Bing, Yandex, DDG etc directly by bringing ranking in-house they would have a very hard time serving good results without being able to track which of their links were popular among users.
Saudi sovereign wealth fund —> SoftBank Vision Fund —> WeWork

I do wonder why Silicon Valley workers tolerate this given the regime’s track record on... well... everything. Up in arms over Maven or Dragonfly but no one seems to care that this is part of the regime’s plan to sustain itself when the oil runs out.
Try https://elektrotanya.com/keres
Something that has occured to me in the past whilst thinking about this is that given the miniscule evidence our species and civilisation will leave in the geological record, can we really be sure that no other short-lived civilizations have existed previous to homo sapiens?