skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Hypothesis:

1. Advances in fundamental science are what ultimately dictate the growth rate of an economy. For example when you discover quantum mechanics you can make lasers, circuit boards and therefore computers which boosts everything enormously.

2. The more science you have done the harder it is to do more. You can only discover a truth once. For example discovering new elements is extremely hard now compared to when Hennig Brand discovered phospherous in his urine.

Consequences:

1. When a society gets the scientific method right it goes through an S shape curve (logistic curve), where science accelerates for a while and then plateuas out.

2. When you hit the plateau of the curve the maximum growth rate of the economy becomes very limited, it's just not possible to have new ideas which are worth developing very fast.

3. Human labour still provides a surplus so what you get is more and more resources piling up with nowhere to invest them. Look at Apple's $245bn cash pile, if they had new ideas they would put that money to use.

This will cause bond yields to fall to almost nothing and loads of money to be pumped into any startup with a vague hope of accomplishing something.

If we are in this situation it would also mean that the 08 crisis is not needed to explain the slowing growth in the world, things are slowing because we don't have many new ideas.

Common objections:

1. But what about X invention that happened in the last few years? Invention still happens on the plateau, just slower, NN's, crispr, exoplanets, smartphones are cool, they're not relativity, quantum mechanics, electrification, aeroplanes etc.

2. Scientific progress is exponential! : Accurately fitting a curve to a logistic curve gives you an exponential up until it shifts on you and starts slowing.

3. China and India are still growing strong. : Essentially they are still deploying the previous discoveries. China's growth is slowing over time precisely as it has less and less discoveries to deploy.

More to read:

DOE finds it can't get supercomputers like it used to.

https://www.nextplatform.com/2019/05/06/doe-on-collision-cou...

https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/11/diminish...

https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/11/26/is-science-slowing-dow...
They did say religion AND philosophy...
In the early '90s you could buy CDs in the 10 and 12% range! I had a passbook savings account that paid 5%.

I manage a pretty decent sized portfolio and have given up on bond funds. They're all screwed up because of the inversion. For the past 24 months all non-equity capital has been in shorter duration CDs, a money market fund that was until recently paying about 2.4%, and some individual corporate and muni bonds that I bought in the secondary market. A lot of lower rated bonds still have decent coupons and I haven't had any default. I assume these bonds arrived on the market because some pension fund had to dump them when the rating dropped. I'm okay with AA, A, BBB because after 2008/9 I realize pretty much that bonds are all unsafe junk, too, and provided very little backstop to my portfolio when the crash came. Money Markets nearly broke the buck back then, actually some did. Thus, the point of having bonds in a portfolio is no longer valid, all the asset allocation books need to be rewritten. I currently own a lot of student loan debt, auto notes, corporate and school district notes, etc. It's still diversified, but they are all risk assets.
I’m curious what they said in the phone calls? I’m not sure what they could possibly do to sound compelling apart from perhaps just hoping your dad was aggressively financially illiterate?
It’s amazing rates lock in for 30 years. Are banks still stuck in the 80s too?
Burnout Calculator – Are you suffering from career burnout?
> What conclusion am I supposed to draw from this?

That they care much, much more about their own financial and economic conditions than pretty much any other issues? That's not a slam on them; you would too if you were living paycheck-to-paycheck.

Bill Clinton understood this ("It's the economy, stupid.") but the current crop of Democratic presidential candidates somehow do not, which is why they stand a depressingly good chance of failing to win the next presidency.
That's a completely different kind of problem. A bank president who steals from the bank has committed a crime and should go to jail, but one instance of an amount of money which is very meaningful to one person is peanuts to the bank.

By contrast, if you make net-loss transactions systemically as a matter of policy, your bank is going to go bust. Which is not going to please the depositors/taxpayers/FDIC.
Join a club, e.g. Colorado Mountain Club. You can rent gear for starters. Good backpacking gear is expensive and it's continuously getting better, so renting is totally sane and you probably come out ahead until you're going often. You could start by going with people doing a gear checkout, quick overnighter, not too far from their car. Do at least a basic first aid course, consider more formal wilderness training, also available through the club.
> The Comscore software discloses what it does and the user is given opportunity to decline the installation.

So basically you’re saying that consent given from mostly nontechnical users that have no idea what they’re consenting to makes it ok to install a mitm proxy on their machine, especially one with extremely lacking security properties? Consent makes it ok to expose them to such a risk?
I may be wrong but I think when you say risk free you just mean there’s no risk of it not paying out. Inflation is a separate potential threat, for which there are inflation protected treasury assets?
I've come to believe that reading isn't as useful as I previously thought. I still read prolifically, because it is pleasurable, and occasionally inspiring, but not because there are any causal benefits I can point to.

"The saying experientia magistra rerum, ‘experience is a great teacher’, was familiar in the Middle Ages: you don’t learn to ride a horse or shoot an arrow by reading books."
(from the book, oh the irony, The Invention of Science by Wooton)
We're also talking about Ground Zero of the BANANA movement.

BANANA: Build Absolutely Nothing Anywhere Near Anyone
First of all, how do you know that all these people claiming enlightenment - exactly as you describe it - aren't all full of shit?

Secondly, let's say it's all true. Why is that so desirable?

> But an enlightened mind, perfectly in control cannot have delusion and ever lives in present moment

It's perfectly possible to live in the present moment and disregard the future even without meditation. That's not generally considered a good thing, though.

> Opinions and judgement are tools of a conditioned mind, ever fearful and constantly striving to ensure survival of the body.

Yes, your body has adapted to survival. What's wrong with that, why do you want to turn that off? You'll die anyway, are you really that impatient?

I guess if you're somehow in constant terror about the plight of existence, that might be a useful skill to have. Otherwise, I'd rather learn something else.
Because there's essentially nothing to leverage. The one thing that they promise (interoperability between frameworks) is both not true in my experience and not compelling enough to warrant the massive amount of complexity required to work around their shortcomings. If you want nightmares go read Polymer or Oracle JET's source code, both are WC based frameworks, both had to go to extreme lengths to offer a semi-reasonable end user API.

They solve the wrong problem the wrong way. The creator of Ember recently tweeted about this: https://twitter.com/tomdale/status/1153309794226147330
A Wikipedia for Generation Z
Because the private markets aren't offering many assets that compare well against these bonds if you take into account returns, risk and liquidity.

BTW this is normal. Historically, negative real returns on stores of value were the norm. Before financial systems existed, almost all investments had negative returns if you didn’t put work and energy into them. To store value, you had to accumulate stuff, buildings or land. Most options either had high maintenance costs, were subject to risk of damage from natural causes and theft, were very volatile or required hard labor to get production out of.

Even in societies with financial systems, getting low risk, hassle free, liquid, positive real returns has been difficult for most of history. This just reflects the natural laws of thermodynamics that tell us that everything tends to decay without a constant supply of work and energy. In general, most things require maintenance to keep their worth.

The 20th century was probably the most notable exception. Because of unprecedented demographic and technological growth, positive risk free real returns were easy to find. The recency effect probably explains some of the confusion people have about this. It is possible that under favorable conditions, wealth can have positive returns and even compound into very good long run returns but it is not a guarantee and there is nothing natural about it. It may not continue forever, particularly amidst an aging and retiring population in a world no longer as rich in easy to exploit natural resources.

While people are used to get negative returns on short term purchases, you buy fresh vegetables at the supermarket, even if they degrade over time, many can’t seem to accept the normalcy of negative returns on longer term assets. In nature, squirrels’ nut caches have a certain percentage of losses from theft and spoilage. Real returns tending towards the negative is natural even if they can seem unusual for humans just out of the 20th century.

More here "The World Deserves a Pay Raise" (https://medium.com/@b.essiambre/the-world-deserves-a-pay-rai...)
Imagination and Observation
> I also used to have a safe in my previous apartment (with less valuable papers), had a break-in and they didn't bother opening it there, they took the whole thing weighing 40-ish kg

Do you think they would have taken it had they known what was in it?

I have some papers, and some data discs, that would be of no use to a burglar but that I would rather not lose. I keep them in a small safe (14 kg, 10 liter). I keep it out in the open and unlocked. The hope is that if it draws a burglar's attention, they will see that the contents are useless and either ignore it, or if they decide they like the safe itself dump the content and just take the safe.

If it were locked they might imagine all kinds of valuable, untraceable things I could be keeping.

So why even have a safe if I don't lock it? Because it is rated to keep papers and CD/DVD discs safe for one hour in a 1700℉ (930℃) fire.
If the purpose of using imperial units is to make it as confusing as possible, then this is probably a slight improvement.
> If the Time Value of Money has disappeared, then I suggest it is the money that is not worth the time.

What a baffling statement. "If my money can't spontaneously create new money, then why should I try to earn any?" If anything, lowered time-value increases the importance of trading time for cash. And value being too stable is the opposite of being debauched.
You will need to buy different set of tools to work and design for TSMC 's node. And while it is still from TSMC, the node for Desktop ( High Performance ) will be different to Phone / Tablet ( Low Power ). The cost of designing and testing a 5nm chips is roughly a billion. For iPhone that is spread out over 200M unit over its life time, or roughly $5 per chip excluding the actual cost of wafer.

For Mac you are looking at 25M unit per year, with TDP going from 15W to 250W. Apple could follow the same path as AMD and make one die to fit all. But in reality it is waste of engineering recourse and focus for little benefits.
I was literally just watching this excellent cssconf talk on Houdini https://youtu.be/1W79T2ibd5Y
The 'Net interprets censorship as damage and routes around it. Perhaps those affected could spin up a local Gitlab instance and migrate their data to it?
Would 911 access meet your needs?

In the US, my understanding is cell phones will connect with 911 so long as there is signal. No contract required. A (used?) flip phone would be cheap, have long battery life and work many places (but not in the shower). One without a password and with 911 on speed dial would be about as simple as any other wearable. On eBay, flip phones from reputable sellers are abundant. Good luck.
I have long been a supporter of Web Components over non-native libraries. Recently I tried to put together a native only site with them and it was a lot of fun. It's not without it's quirks or concerns, but for a smaller, non SPA site I would pick it over React or others just to cut out the tooling chain and node ecosystem cruft. It would save me some headspace at the very least.
The risk is that it pays out, but what it pays out is less value than you paid in, due to inflation. It's effectively less money you're getting out, even though the number is the same. Sometimes inflation is so high that you would effectively get nothing back. You can't call that 'risk free.'

You also risk that the bond is not honoured - that's a really low risk for the US Government, but it's also not 'risk free.'
This is just fearshopping. Why to pay, when can scare them, coarce and make them fix their stuff for free or a candy? Laws are not the same for a minor.
1% vs .01% would be overstating the truth by 100x. If you were a spokesperson for apple you would want to make that number seem as small as possible.
Possibly relevant, Alberta Treasury Branches: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/ATB_Financial
Vaults cost money. Insurance costs money. And it's still not quite as safe. The ability to hold the money yourself acts as a soft cap on how negative rates can be, but that cap is not at 0%.
Gitlab, IMHO, is the gold-standard for self-hosted Git data, CI/CD, Issue-tracking, etc (IMHO, at least). You can use their (US-based, IIRC) hosted solution, or download their Omnibus package and get a self-hosted instance running in less than an afternoon.
Interest rates are always positive. You are referring to yields which are part interest rate and part trading issues. Yields can and do go negtaive from time to time from the trading issues around the products. The interest rate (as shown on the coupon payment on the bond) will always be positive.

edit: let me add, I mean the consumer space. There can be some oddity in the bank-to-bank market because of various technical reasons, but it is extremely rare.
In case you are using a browser without JavaScript or have disabled JavaScript, or are using some customizations which the script on the webpage is not compatible with, then using a script to load the images can be bad for accessibility. (There is a legitimate reason to do so, but it is unfortunately used for many cases when it is not a good reason. If the width and height are hard-coded, then when the images should be loaded is possible to implement in the browser, subject to user settings, without needing a script on the web page.)
Well then you have to figure out what treating someone well is. Which probably takes a lifetime and more of living and studying religion and philosophy. And then a lifetime of getting yourself to actually do it.
It's a public space. I don't expect privacy, and I appreciate that criminals can't either.

The password issue you raise has some merit though.
I agree that something is fishy, but I think it's not quite as simple as that. I'm pretty confident those questions would return way over 40% from the opposite parties.
I see hypocrisy as commonly thought of as a logical fallacy.

Relativity and neuroscience plays a role in all of this: we all have emotional blinders given the messages and “facts” that have been emotionally reinforced the most over time. Especially from our childhood.

I’m under no obligation to reconcile what you see as hypocrisy.

Hating Trump for putting people in cages doesn’t mean anyone forgives Obama for the same. That sort of reasoning is peddling a task you conjured up and is a contrived as a elementary arithmetic word problem. It proves nothing about how a person would act tomorrow.

Here’s how I reconcile it: society gives me a choice of shit sandwich and utter waste. I’ll vote for shit sandwich and loath my culture for being myopic.

Which is basically how we’ve always reconciled it and pretended we cared in public to keep up appearances.
Author here. I'm familiar with optimizing images via webpack and the like; there's an article I wrote on the same site as this one detailing just that (amongst other things):

https://nystudio107.com/blog/an-annotated-webpack-4-config-f...

The issue is that for many larger sites that are content-managed, the images aren't known at build time. So you need some kind of mechanism in place to deal with optimizing user-uploaded images.

Obviously you don't want truly decorative images indexed; but that's not what the article is discussing (except in the "SO WHEN IS IT GOOD?" section). It's discussing the abuse of CSS background-image for content images, something I've seen as being quite prevalent.

As the article mentioned, this is bad for accessibility, SEO, performances, and other lesser issues.
You're assuming that every voter voted for Trump for the positions he hold on the issues you care about. What if Trump was just the best candidate for the issues THEY care about? Also most of Republicans voted for Trump ergo all of them support all the policies by Trump is the same logic I can use to say most Americans voted for Trump therefore all Americans support all the policies by Trump. In reality, most Americans I've met are perfectly good and rational people, they just care about different issues, that's all.
Because the return on a bond is not just based on the expected risk, but also on the time value of money (generally we prefer consumption now rather than in the future).
Yeah but some of us have paid those dues over time and don't have that level of issue with Docker any longer.

I used to really struggle getting Docker and docker-compose to do what I want, but after a few years working with it, I'm not blocked by the various volume or network or what-have-yous that used to come up.

Alternative proposal: run your containers in docker-compose environments on an ec2 instance. Everyone wins?
We actually adopted this model of metric generation for our Netty based application. From our experience there are a couple of call outs I would like to mention.

1. You need to publish the graph of your application state transitions along with examples passports of known "good" executions. Without these passports have limited value for debugging because they themselves don't give a clear indication of what should have happened. Frankly, I've found passports to be unreadible without referencing the state transition diagram.

2. Your application state transitions change overtime. So must your passports. Depending on how you've implemented your application this can be either trivial or maddening. In both cases though the passport change needs to occur along with the application change. Otherwise you passports will no longer be reflective of what your application currently is doing.
"...background-image has always been intended to be purely ornamental..." That works for purely ornamental images, especially if the browser includes the ability to disable the background-image command (I wrote a document with ideas how to make a better web browser program, and one of the ideas is "meta-CSS", which is capable of doing this; the privileged CSS priority settings that I wrote about would also be capable of it; and you can also use both together if wanted).
some banks also have negative interest rates on large deposits.
Variable interest rates were a thing in the early-mid oughts. It didn't end well.
Vue and Angular are leveraging them. Given that some older browsers do not support the full spec, it is up to you to choose how the code gets generated.

https://vuejs.org/v2/guide/#Relation-to-Custom-Elements

https://angular.io/guide/elements

React community is kind of hostile to the WebComponents idea.
Of course, these "unexpected" delays were expected by everyone with any experience in Bay Area public projects.
There's that, and the fact that web component technology is really a set of convenient primitives that don't do anything better than libraries and frameworks, besides the fact that they come built in to the browser. Then of course there was the rash of bloggers who were huffing and puffing over how inferior web components are, despite how their existence and even the ability to define custom elements alone are a pretty good idea. From what I've read over the years, I think that there's been a lot of bad press early on, and perhaps there were some very misguided individuals who think that web components "fail" because they don't live up to React. The point was never to replace React. A lot of people are still complaining about the polyfills, even though the only thing it says about web components is that they will eventually have full support and not need polyfills. Above all, all the polyfills combined aren't even half the size of a lot of app builds in the wild.

To expect web components to "catch on" in the same way that React and Vue have is a bit dumb, but I would like to see them adopted in a way where there's a good story around their use in frameworks, rather than a replacement.
Already it seems like cash has an expiration date. I keep trying to explain to my kids how different cash was in the '80s versus now. How much less a dollar buys and what that means to them.

We're fucked unless we get after the massive debt pile and do some kind of cleanup in our system. It will launch into hyperinflation if we don't.
You’ll care more about the argument itself if the person used an anonymous but long lived handle to post it with?

This seems to be a bit of a part of the issue. You’re focusing on the credibility of the messenger which can be obfuscated by your emotions and in the political realm by mainstream media.

You’re using a pretty reductionist set of tools for vetting a person is age of an anonymized web forum account.
Agreed; if the images are purely decorative (some are, some are not) then it should have an empty `alt=""` to have screen readers skip them.

But I would still want to use an actual picture element with srcset & source attributes/tags for the reasons mentioned in the article.
Who should own your digital data?
I wonder if they would back it with their wallet or start a yellow vests movement or even worse, vote a climate change denier like U.S did.
Exercises in Aspect-Oriented Programming Style
(Article is from May 11)
Banks offer both fixed-rate (“locked in”) and floating-rate mortgages (where you pay the prime rate + some fixed number of basis points).
Well not simply for having money, but for not spending it immediately. By saving you sacrifice immediate benefits for future ones, and you get money for it because you lend your money to people who are willing to pay to spend it now.

This is the essence of all investing, including entrepreneurship.
How did you arrive to the conclusion I'm an interventionist?
The inflation rate in 1980 was 12.5%.
“Risk free” refers to default risk, not the risk that you could have gotten a better return elsewhere.
Why not at least buy a 1yr CD? Rates were around 2.5% last I checked.