skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> calling it "pre-AGI" pretentious to the level of delusion.

I don't think you know what you are talking about. Do you do Deep Learning? If you are not actively engaged in the field, I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss others who are (especially not others who are at the top of the field).

That being said, you brought up some interesting points, even if I think your overall position is wrong--I think OpenAI is definitely going to hit "pre-AGI" if not AGI, and I do this stuff all day long.
I'm not advocating for the opposing view (or any view) here, and this is just informational, but since you did specifically ask how...

If you want to talk about philosophy (including philosophy of mind but also more basic stuff like materialism vs. dualism), then it's not for certain.

I'd hazard a guess most engineers are materialists and reductionists, and from that point of view, yes, it seems like a slam dunk that it's possible. But some people believe the mind or consciousness is not a purely physical phenomenon. You can make philosophical arguments both directions, but the point is just that there isn't exactly universal consensus about it.
Actually they do publish most of the results, it's just negative results don't usually generate lots of press. With cancer patients it's typically late stage cancer patients on clinical trials, many/most of which die regardless of the treatment. A very positive treatment can be on the order of a few months of increased overall survivability on average. Typically this means some patients get a very positive result but most patients have so results either because they aren't a good match for the treatment or are too damaged to live longer anyways due to comorbidities. Unless you're constant following the studies you're unlikely to see the negative results.
>>"We certainly do plan to be a big Azure customer though!"

That's great, one question where can I use GYM or universe in the cloud with the render() option.

I've spend many hours trying to set up the environment in cloud [1] without success.

[1]: https://stackoverflow.com/questions/40195740/how-to-run-open...
Technically, everyone is immigrant. Not sure why people call themselves native Americans ever. That entire country built on blood and violence of some guys that had some gold in their pocket to buy ships and sale swords. Thats it.
I would be cool to see YC try remote cohorts or build a cohort in a cheaper location.
Theres a much better option than Windows Server: Windows 10 LTSC/LTSB.

Unfortunately, if you're not a huge enterprise, there's no legal way to acquire it...
Reinvestment of profits into PP&E doesn't affect the bottom line on the net income statement. That's not what Tesla is doing. They're printing losses (aside from one-off "miracle quarters" where they skim high margin backlogs) and then filling the gaps with newly raised capital.
Yes it's a big deal, developers that submit code is probably worth more than the membership which is (only) €30K/year (if my research is correct: https://fund.blender.org/corporate-memberships/), so those 30k will allow them to hire a dev halftime, as blender fund says that 30k are equivalent to "half year developer time".

Well it depends how much those developers will actually contribute, but it's still very good news.

But on the other hand they just got 1.2 million from Epic Games for 3 years ... to me this seems to be a much bigger contribution: https://www.blender.org/press/epic-games-supports-blender-fo...?
Yeah but we didn't need to fully understand how animal wings actually work, we just needed to understand what they do (generate lift). Similarly I don't understand the focus in this conversation on fully understanding the protein interactions that make neurons work. We just need to understand what neurons do. And I thought what they do is actually pretty simple due to the "all or nothing" principle. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All-or-none_law
To my knowledge Henry Ford didn’t start off selling wagon wheels.

Also when he started there were working automobiles already.

The fact that no one knows how to make an AGI, doesn’t make it a bad goal. But OP is right, if you think you know the timeframe it will arrive in, you have no idea what kind of problem you’re dealing with.
> I can't imagine something like this would be too difficult

Pushing to all three isn't that difficult. The hard part is reconciling after one of them suffers an outage or partition.
Isn’t it much more likely that if a diety exists that it isn’t described by any of the small handful of religions we have concocted here on earth?
It could be confused with real operating systems like windows 7 or linux.
The Quietly Changing Consensus on Neutering Dogs
the problem is once you give platforms the ok to silence dissent, you silence the spread of truth right along with lies and falsehoods.

And i'd rather live with a 1000 lies if that means the truth can still come out.
Your guess would be wrong. Our actual level of AGI development is maybe more on the level of a flatworm. Complex, social insects like bees are still far beyond our ability to simulate.
EvoGrad: A Lightweight Library for Gradient-Based Evolution
not just the space program
> but it is getting much much closer to being the future of prototyping and one-offs

FDM printers, from what I recall, existed as commercial products for prototyping long before reprap and other early hobbyist efforts came to fruition:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/3D_printing#History

...and according to that link, even more advanced processes (stereolithography, for instance) were being explored in the 1980s and 90s.

These systems have long been available on the commercial market - albeit for (likely) a steep price. What has really happened is that the price on the systems have dropped steeply, and they are now available to the hobbyists with the skills to use them.

Before, that was a near impossibility unless you worked for a company that had a commercial system - and would let you near it.
yet another explanation may be the fractured nature of the eco system. Every time I look at linux software bug trackers a good portion is distro related.
Seems to be working for me.
> If you are legally employed for a company, and someone sends you a letter via USPS to you business address, and someone at your company interferes with the delivery of that letter to you in any way, they are committing a felony. Doubly so if they open the letter to see what's inside.

Are you saying they are required to accept your mail, and any company policy forbidding this is loosely connected with committing a felony?
You're missing the point. You don't face them head on, you do hit and run attacks on logistics and infrastructure and target the other side's families. Make it as painful as possible for them to continue their miserable campaign. Weapons are just tools that create options.

The American Revolution and the War of 1812 that everyone forgets (British came back a second time) was tomahawks in the middle of the night taking out loyalists, quick skirmishes and ambushes against numerically superior forces, sabotage of key resources like burning farm fields, killing animals, sinking boats.

That's what real war is. Hunger, chaos, no electricity, poor sanitation. Basically everything Venezuela has going on right now.
Actually it used to be much harder - you used to have to be northern European, educated or affluent.
Only if your intention encompasses as much detail as you're leaving out in advance. It's baggage and comes with nigh certainty of wasting your willpower.
Ms linux distro ... Are you talking about this:

https://wccftech.com/microsoft-20-linux-based-distrowindows-...

Or this

https://www.omgubuntu.co.uk/2018/04/microsoft-linux-custom-k...

?
https://about.gitlab.com/handbook/sales/#incremental-annual-...

Amazing amount of detail of how Gitlab operates is public.
WebStorm 2019.2
Total conjecture, but seeing as how the private space industry has ramped up, it would make sense to leave during such a hostile administration
Who Actually Feels Satisfied About Money?
From the article:

> In fact, researchers can classify human variation by continent quite accurately using only data from the human skull. (They are able to correctly classify human skulls into black and white Americans with about 80% accuracy, using only two variables.)

That is the only mention of the word "skull" in the entire article. They link to an article from the American Journal of Physical Anthropology to support this claim. What is the problem with citing peer reviewed research to back a statement about empirical fact?
You can just push and pull directly to/from your colleague's computers. The main advantage (for an established team) of github/gitlab/bitbucket are pull requests, issue management, CI etc., and that's not easily synchronized across multiple providers.
It could be that they’re fighting for tangible progress that would let them repropose something like ARM that now has a cheaper marginal cost.
One way of looking at it: it means there's a DAG of causation and you don't have access to the entire root set.

(I'm not advocating for that idea being true, but I don't think it can be dismissed on the grounds of not having a clear meaning.)
could you talk about your development model (people management). For example Basecamp recently wrote about its 6-week sprint mechanism.

What did you guys end up with ? im assuming you optimized it for your remote working style.
Do you do daily standup video calls ? what works and what doesnt ?
I believe the goal in the current discussion is fertility, rather than upwards mobility. Perhaps I've misunderstood?
It should be easy to move the center. Having a single 3rd party be the only central point you have available is asking for trouble.
If they would throw away the thinkers and ideas over those things does it really make a difference if it was a pretext or actual fundamentalism? It still goes down as rejected heresy and the avenue halted.

Also even though James Watson's racist ideas are pannes nobody questions the shape of DNA.
Presumably the same thing that happens with AD, there's some local caching of sorts.
Every pro-immigration blog equivocates on illegal vs legal immigrants.
Didn't realise that Bell Labs was also abandoned, wow!
This article is right on 'signs'.

We've had several generations of country cats at our country farm house(India). Only female cats stick around house after maturing and eventually bear kittens. Male after maturing leave home, start fighting for alpha status and even killing younger/weaker males.

People often show-up to take away young kittens to raise them at their home.

Primary purpose of having cats here(country-side) is still pest control, house & farm rats. Hence, they're infested with fleas; we don't allow them inside house.
The whole MikeRoweSoft thing was 15 years ago. I don't think it's fair to judge the company now based on that.
That's not something you decide once at the beginning and get stuck with it. You can reevaluate that decision at any point and easily add more remotes to a git repo on the fly.
Curious, which region is it?
not being able to submit or review PRs for a day is much less impact than not being able to checkout for a day.
As of this post it was working as of 1 minute ago.

Is this going to be a PR stunt like hotmail - they're going to say the fix was migrating to Azure or upgraded from Linux to Windows 10.
Wait, what?! You can have 2 different urls for the same remote so a single push will push to both?
I don't think proof of this could exist, since you can't look at a corpse and determine whether it belongs to a violent or non-violent protester. Individual eyewitnesses can only establish that some non-violent protesters were killed, but not what the ratio of violent to non-violent protesters among the victims was.

If the Hong Kong protesters want to avoid a repeat of 1989, they'd do well to study the tactics that were tried back then, among which establishing friendly relations with the soldiers appears to have been particularly effective: "Contact with protesters and residents of Beijing sapped the will of the troops to follow their orders, and the food and water offered to them, in lieu of their absent army rations, further diminished their will to act against the protesters." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insubordination_in_the_PLA_dur...
Tags are going to be ugly, but branches can simply be merged like any other.

Alternatively you decide the one of the repositories is the primary one, set up a remote called `mirror` and set-up a `post-receive` hook to:

git push --mirror mirror

Now just ensure no one pushes into the mirror directly. Of course this only works if you control the primary repository.
'Sentiment analysis' of pre-canned pre-labelled datasets is a comparatively trivial classification task. Actual sentiment analysis as in 'take the twitter firehose and figure out sentiment about arbitrary topic X' is only slightly less out of reach than AGI itself.

Actual sentiment analysis is a completely different kind of ML problem than supervised classification 'sentiment analysis' that's popular today but mostly useless for real world applications.
Trials generally have a very specific time frame during the initial setup. Investors don't invest into specific treatments but into the companies, which can often make or break the company. With cancer trials typically this is a few years of studies at most. If results are promising they tend to move forward quickly, otherwise studies end prematurely for patient safety if negative outcome is seen. Neutral results are not uncommon.
Ton Roosendaal (Blender creator) estimated in 2018 interview that 3D software market is very small, and pulled up Autodesk's (3DsMax/Maya, etc) business results from that time, which amounted to 25000 - 30000 yearly licenses. He also claimed that Maya has "maybe 20" developers behind with things being similar for other products.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qJEWOTZnFeg (jump to 1h mark)
I assumed they meant insane zoning laws.
The problem isn't client side apps. YouTube is a single page app and it works very well for me. No issues with ctrl clicking or anything like that. The real issue is poor SPA implementations.
Give me Grammarly and Dark Mode and then I'll stop using the browser version
Tiny Shark Squirts Glow-in-the-Dark Ink from its Pockets
:If your sick your sick,and you do not need a doctors note to take you sick time you just change it in your Amazon AtoZ. How you use your time is up to you.
Rachel-Amazon FC Ambassador
I think you're issue with the language is not shared by most people. In research we rarely know beforehand what research is on the right or wrong path. But we are comfortable with someone saying they are researching something even if they don't know beforehand whether the research will be useful or a wild goose chase. For example most people's first though to hearing "I'm researching ways to treat Alzheimer's" isn't "Only if it passes phase 3 trials!".
Tell me if I get this correct:

Alice visit a site and gets the hash 1234. The analytics data is stored and associated with hash 1234, but soon after, hash 1234 is removed. However the aggregate visitor analytic that was associated with hash 1234 data persists. Then another user (say Alice again) returns and gets hash 5678. Analytic data is tracked, stored with hash 5678 for the 30 minutes (or less), and then hash 5678 is again removed. However the analytic data that was associated with 5678 is aggregated with the rest?
macleginn's complaint was that we haven't even modelled simple behavior and I brought these narrow AI examples as a counter argument since they demonstrate that we can, even complex ones. Domain specific? Yeah, bummer.

Nowhere I have stated this is the clear path to AGI and you are right, we are missing key building blocks. But I feel like there's too much skepticism agains this field while the advancements are not appreciated enough.

I don't know either what will lead there, but I see more and more examples of different networks being combined to achieve more than they are capable of individually.
Bell labs was abandoned, but has recently been transformed into bell works: https://bell.works/. Was there much of last weeks and it's pretty nice. Source: New parent company is the big tenant there.
I'm mean that's unproveable nonsense.
I'm quite suspicious about private companies helping open source.It seems to me that by relying on private companies open source is tailored to create standards that work best in platforms that are doing financing and cementing monopolies and oligopolies.In my opinion open source should have same status as science and be financed by government.
Out of curiosity, which language did you choose to write the new code base?
Good news for the Slack team, as this means they'll no longer be the poster child for "look how bloated Electron apps are! Slack takes up x gigabytes of RAM!" Great work, Slack team.
> So what should these landowners be doing according to you besides jumping off of a bridge?

The landowners should be powerless to stop other landowners building high(er) density housing. This is how most of the economy works - all industrial activities face grumpy opposition from someone, so the legal system takes a fairly protective stance on behalf of industry.

Most economic activity happens to the annoyance of someone who is suffering minor negative externalities (very minor, eg, the view isn't as good because there is a factory in it now). The issue that is being gone to is that landlords band together to form a sort-of guild that restricts what other landlords can do.

GP was quite clear that zoning laws were the core issue. If one or two landlords were allowed to band together to build an ultra-dense block of units in a high demand suburb then housing would become plentiful. This sort of thing is the most effective way of solving a housing problem.

So basically, in answer to your (A), landlords could support laws that allow landlords to more easily (and, critically, unilaterally in the face of opposition from other landlords) build the sort of housing people want.
It seems that Redash is a BI tool and close source. Ananas is open source, and can be used not only as a BI tool, but also an ETL tool. More over, you can run your pipeline on your own infrastructure, as Ananas can be run on multiple execution engines
Why Vanilla JavaScript Doesn’t Cut It
Clearly, yes. I thought it was coming from a different think tank.
"It looks like you're trying to build an army of robots to extinguish humanity, would you like help?"
Only a matter of time before Linux starts losing market share in servers because they can’t run Candy Crush. FOSS always playing catch up. Big /s
My family and I are not "Apple products" nor are we statists. We don't worship the state nor are we its subjects. We are citizens and it will deal with us on a 1:1 basis always.
Is there anyone from NASA or SpaceX here that could offer some opinions on how much closer we could get to deflecting / mining mass extinction asteroids?
"Nature doesn't operate on special nature-physics distinct from the physics of artificial systems."

Who said that is does?. You asked how could it not be possible to recreate, and pointed to our own general intelligence as evidence of existence. But the existence of a thing does not necessitate our ability to create that thing.

What if the conditions of nature and the universe over billions of years led to natural intelligence occurring in humans and that is the only way? This scenario is entirely possible, and answers your question of how could it not be possible. Along with an infinite other amount of explanations. Just because something has a chance at being possible doesn't mean that it HAS to be, or that we will ever achieve it.
We'll still release quite a lot, and those releases won't look any different from the past.

> I understand that keeping some innovations private may help commercialization, which may help raise more funds for OpenAI, getting us to AGI faster, so my opinion is that could plausibly make sense.

That's exactly how we think about it. We're interested in licensing some technologies in order to fund our AGI efforts. But even if we keep technology private for this reason, we still might be able to eventually publish it.
> Unfortunately for us front end engineers we can't rely on the user having any internet connection let alone a good one.

Surely some web apps need to work offline. But most web pages do not, and I don't want most sites I visit to store a bunch of data on my machine on the off chance that I'll use them offline.

"Offline first" seems really misguided to me as a rallying cry for all things on the web.
> But prices aren't based on fairness, they are based on demand and supply

If they were based on supply and demand, locality of seller would have no effect on the price buyers were willing to pay for goods that aren't location-sensitive, e.g., remote work, because it's not a location-bound market and goods would trade at the global market clearing price absent (inefficient) artificial market segmentation that is only possible (for buyers) when there is an effective monopsony for the particular good/service being purchased (since competition would exploit the underpriced segments buy buying up what they are selling at a price above what the attempted segmenter was offering.)
That would get people with accessibility issues up in arms fast.
OK I AM SORRY
I have a theory that as we build more apartments vs condos and home ownership goes down we will have more of these issues. Home ownership seems like a hedge to live in a city you enjoy long term. I could see in the future a Comcast of the world coming in and consolidating apartments under one banner for efficiency and rent becoming a much worse problem.

What I cannot tell is how much of this is me just being pessimistic. I know it would take a long time and a lot of capital to own enough to make a large dent in housing.
Very cool.

Some pictures have the same feeling as some post-apocalyptic setting like Fallout or The Last of Us.
I always dreamed of an Emacs as control center .. still a dream.
Andrea Illy: adapting a family business to a multinational world
I'm rarely in before 9AM. The 10 minute standup at 10:30 AM is the only daily requirement for most staff.
A lot of people do that too.
> We have no idea what's required to achieve AI

Yes, we do. Lots of data, lots of training, better algorithms, more understanding of the brain...At this point we still need 10x+ improvements in a lot of areas, but it's pretty clear what we need to do.

If you can process around 100 petabytes per second (1 Google Index of data per second), you could fully simulate a human being, including their brain. We're still a little bit from that, but it's pretty clear we'll get there (barring usual disclaimers about an asteroid, alien invasion, etc).

Source: I work in medical research, doing deep learning, and do research on programming languages and deep learning for program synthesis.
That's a very unusual definition of OS. Last time I checked the operating system was any piece of software that worked as an abstraction for the underlying hardware. Your list looks more like a wish list instead of OS requirements.
Previous submission three years ago with meaty discussion:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11688397
Learning web search intent representations from web search logs
USDA Climate Resilience Science Plan (2017) [pdf]
I think the point the previous poster is making is not just a need or desire for a vague answer (i.e. the universe was created and no one really knows so maybe it was God), but then actually going from that step to believe every word of a holy book, or from a preacher.

There seems to be a big leap from a feeling of wonder at nature (essentially, unitarians as I understand it) and structured organized religion.

More specifically: why can't you pick and choose? Christianity has hundreds of sects, each of which adds or removes beliefs both big and small. Belief the Pope is infallible being the most obvious one that caused a lot of bloodshed.