skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
You can find Top 100 lists at http://www.uschess.org/component/option,com_top_players/Item... and his play history at http://www.uschess.org/msa/MbrDtlMain.php?16649696 .

It is almost precisely a year since his first tournament game so there is no exaggeration. Going to 1473 in one year is extremely impressive especially since early tournaments show loses so it isn't like he excelled but simply wasn't rated.

For reference, Magnus Carlson played since 5 (though not too enthusiastically) and was ~900 at age 9. But he was a 1900 a year later.
There are a number of errors in this article, and there are important things that articles like this fail to mention:

- the loans aren't made by the banks and then shifted, they are more often sold to investors without the bank assuming any of the loan themselves (it's called loan syndication). The bank simply acts as the role of arranger.

- the Japanese investor base is mostly in the most senior part of the capital structure

- for similar credit ratings CLOs have far lower default rates than for equivalent corporates. It's something like 2-3% in the B and BB rated tranches through the crisis

- the average piece of CLO equity returned something like mid-single % digit returns if held through the whole of the financial crisis

- the paragraph on credit default swaps is a distraction. No CLOs use credit default swaps, and certainly no one sells credit default swaps which reference CLO tranches. This happened prior to the financial crisis through synthetic-CLOs but these don't exist anymore. Sometimes investors in CLOs use credit default swaps against an index of credits (like XOVER for instance), but this doesn't really work as a CLO hedge

The facts are that many lessons have been learned since the crisis and people aren't doing the same things they did back then.

What can be said is that there is a race to the bottom in terms of loan covenants diminishing, but this is driven by larger demand for loans than supply resulting in borrowers achieving looser document terms. The drivers of this are often the law firms that work on behalf of the borrowers who promise being able to achieve looser and looser language with a view to winning the business. Unfortunately the lenders have a weak hand in this situation as they are many chasing few assets and find it difficult as individual institutions against a syndicating bank and borrower who have full information and can play lenders off against each other.
Blog posts that dissect the rendering of things like GTA 5 really show how much goes into making scenes like this. http://www.adriancourreges.com/blog/2015/11/02/gta-v-graphic...
My local Police Department got their dept. computers crypto locked via some ransomware or other, the FBI told them to pay the 1 bitcoin or whatever they were asking, which they did and got it unlocked!
Walk-Through of Phoenix LiveView · Elixir School
Even if not pre-rendered this doesn't seem _that_ good to me to be honest. Some of the things I've seen in BF5 with Ray Tracing were more impressive to me than this whole demo.
i.e. when the fairies fly away the lightning on the water seems really off to me, even when they fly around the crown/princess it looks more weird than stunning.
The text suggests it is realtime; Beyond that though, it's hard to see what novelty would lead you to showcase this as a demo if it were offline.
Then quote the claim that you are objecting to, not the statement of fact (which is what you have currently quoted).
>Towns change over time.

Indeed, they do. And I'm not defending all resistance to zoning changes, etc. But, if you have a large swath of 1-2 story housing, even in the absence of significant zoning and permitting restrictions, it's probably going to be a very slow process for that to densify into 3-5 story housing organically.
Which is weird, because Quest does all those things fabulously.

If you want an EZ - all in one VR, then you go Quest. It feels like the Rift brand should stay focused on the highest end experiences and let Quest take over the mainstreaming.
Facial recognition overkill: How deputies cracked a $12 shoplifting case
> The move to inside-out tracking means a more convenient setup, but it will lose tracking when you put your hands behind you

If that's correct, this ruins Robo Recall, of all things.

Yeah, maybe it will make setup more convenient, but are people really being thrown off by that? A 10 year old can figure it out (tested!). Yes, taking USB ports is not convenient, but the camera positioning is more forgiving than Vive's implementation (those need to see each other).

No significant jump in resolution. Lower refresh rate, LCD.

It's kinda underwhelming.

> EDIT: After a little more reading it looks like the Quest (their equally priced all-in-one headset) has a higher resolution and a physical IPD adjustment. What the hell are you even paying for with this? You get a worse headset for the same price that lacks all the onboard hardware?

Wake me up when the Quest is able to run Elite Dangerous, X-Plane, Subnautica or similar stuff. Even PCs can struggle.
Agreed. We had a similar situation in my town a few years back. The homeowner shot and killed a drunken intruder in the middle of the night. It turned out to be a drunk college student who didn’t know where they were. The homeowner was charged, but later acquitted by a jury.

I was glad to hear the jury agreed that the action was appropriate.

Drinking to excess has consequences, including death. Either from liver failure or lead poisionong.
I had a situation like that come up a few years ago, and it shocked me. I live in a condo building, I was looking to add a bedroom or two. The wife and I know what we want, and we came quite prepared with a list of units we wanted to see. One in particular, I thought would be very fitting. The agents kind of steered us away from it and showed us a few other units. None of those were quite the right fit, so I pushed the issue, and I was very direct and asked about the other. They both looked at each other and said "oh no, you won't like that one." I kind of tilted my head, but said alright fine and we went on our way- one of the agents was actually a neighbor in my building, so I didn't make an issue of it.

Something about the whole thing bothered me though, and a few months later, after a lack of success finding a new home, I went back and took a look at the listing. I found it, and noticed that I had found it through a zillow link. The lightbulb went off in my head- they didn't want to show it to me.

One thing to keep in mind in real estate transactions though- is that AGENTS REPRESENT THE SELLER. They do NOT have your interests in mind. The seller pays them, and at the end of the day their only motivation is to close the deal. Within limits established by law and regulations, they don't have to mention anything they know that may not help close the deal. Did this place get flooded by the last big storm? Do they happen to know that the plumbing isn't built right and you are going to have constant maintenance problems, or there is a mold problem in the attic? Maybe in a larger multifamily they know the insulation is crap and your heating/AC bills are going to be very high? They don't have to mention this unless you ask directly.

And quite frankly- don't trust a thing they say. If I am really interested in a place, like make an offer interested, I note down everything they say mentally that I can't really verify in a walkthrough. Then I follow up with "Hey Blondey McSalesy, We really loved unit 100 on 5 Some Street. The master bath was nice, and its really unique that the wall is tiled with marble from the North Pole! We really loved it when you told us the roof was made of unobtanium shingles and will last 2000 years. The furnace being a 2021 model made by Spacex, with such super high efficiency, that it will even spit out dollar bills from the vents in the winter, is a huge material factor for us. Based on the information you gave us and what we saw, we would like to make an offer. Let us know if we misunderstood anything!"
*sandbagging

it's a term across all sports
The Librarian is a game that feels like a poem (2018)
I’m not ready to give up my Nintendo 3DS yet (2018)
Presumably, getting caught and convicted introduces a selection bias away from the traits you just listed.
Nothing in particular just lots of seemingly random issues trying and failing to get them working correctly, likely due to my lack of knowledge but every time I try to better learn them my brain just can't handle it.

I don't know what it is. I think part of it is my auto-cringe when I see XML nowadays.
additionally

4. Insufficient regulatory over site

5. Failed safety analysis

FAA pushed much of the safety analysis to Boeing engineers due to lack of funding and external pressures to help Boeing speed through certification.

The safety analysis was performed on incorrect data. The initial safety report said the MCAS system could lower the nose by 0.6 degrees. After flight testing, that value was increased to 2.5 degrees but the safety analysis was never updated to reflect the new parameters. Additionally, the MCAS system could reset each time the pilot attempted to override, and it could change 2.5 degrees for each reset. So effectively it was unbounded. The numbers on the safety report did not reflect the actual system. If the real numbers had been updated, the problem likely would have been caught sooner.
I definitely want to write this. The problem is time. Would you help me write it maybe?
I specifically addressed zoning and the idea that short-term rentals are "hotels" in my parent post.
I think that it uses Unreal Engine entails that its rendered in real-time.
Everyone puts their lives in the hands of other machines daily, for instance brakes or automated elevators or medical devices; driving is an inherently dangerous activity. Computer or human won't change that. If we delay computers getting better than humans, we will just have status quo which is 30k or more road deaths yearly in the US.
Waymo and Cadillac Super Cruise are generally considered the market leaders.
A generation of programmers was indoctrinated to believe they couldn't beat the compiler. It is definitely surprisingly to find a popular compiler generating low-hanging fruit. For many use-cases, if code can't be written to get the compiler in use to generate that sequence of instructions, it might as well not exist.
It's a shame that Godbolt doesn't have clang for ARM.
It's not pedantic.

One is a statement of belief. The other one is not. In the context of a discussion on belief systems, it's the difference between night and day.

And he's correct: atheism is inconsistent with the scientific method, since it posits something that cannot be proven or disproven using existing scientific method.
Wouldn't part of the point of realtime raytracing would be to avoid a lot of this multipass trickery in the first place and just have a more sophisticated light transport model?
That's the thing. P values don't prove that anything must be. They simply say that if rerunning the experiment again, it would be surprising to get a different result. Conversely, if you don't find "statistical significance" it definitely doesn't mean there isn't a difference. In practice, it might (often) mean the study didn't have enough samples to find a relatively small effect, but the layperson making decisions (do I allow right turn on red or is that dangerous?) may not get that nuance. A book that really helped clarify my thinking on this is _Statistics Done Wrong_ by Alex Reinhart.

Edit: remove "interpret" from last sentence to clarify
There are strict rules that define when something is "statistically significant", it's not at all arbitrary. The problem is people thinking that just because something is statistically significant, it is automatically true. Which it isn't. Statistically significance by definition includes the possibility that something was just a statistical oddity. This article essentially just reminds people of that, and urges them to abandon the "statistical significance is the same as ultimate truth" conclusion.
minor correction: "sandbagging". the term is common in the scrabble tournament community too, and i'd always assumed it was metaphorically "ambush by hitting someone over the head with a sandbag", but apparently that's only the presumed etymology, and there is at least one other theory out there: https://ridemonkey.bikemag.com/threads/anybody-know-origins-...
Well your "pragmatism bar" is higher that all future science.

It isnt a trivial sceptical point.

Does CO2 cause climate change, or climate change cause C02, or are they both caused by a hidden factor (one of many) or do they co-vary accidentally (ie., no joint cause)?

No "statistical significance" of any kind can decide between them, yet this is how it is used. There is no way to do so with statistics; it requires repeated experimentation and refutation of all plausible causal models until the one remains stands as "the most plausible".

"Statistics" is being used in place of the scientific method which it cannot replace. Covariation is not causation: the covarying of any number of variables is consistent with any number of causal models. No "test" decides.
YouTube has a different maze, one that you only see if you start clicking on certain videos, and clicking on the suggested videos, and so on. It transforms itself into something darker, tailored specifically to you.

> It seems as if you are never “hard core” enough for YouTube’s recommendation algorithm. It promotes, recommends and disseminates videos in a manner that appears to constantly up the stakes. Given its billion or so users, YouTube may be one of the most powerful radicalizing instruments of the 21st century.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/10/opinion/sunday/youtube-po...
"concluding that conclusions are impossible because you could be making a mistake or hallucinating would lead to, literally, not getting out of bed in the morning, if you took it seriously."

Not if you don't have free will, which is apparently the conclusion that a lot of scientists seem to be coming to recently.
His point is bunk because it is fundamentally mischaracterising the argument of atheists.

It isn't about there being literally proof of no god, it is about how we act in our daily setting.

The classic counter is Russell's teapot. You can't prove to me that there is not a teapot, undetectable by our current tooling (tiny, invisible, etc...), orbiting the Sun somewhere in space between the Earth and Mars.

That said, if I were to ask you "does this thing exist", you'd say "no". Sure, there is technically a chance, in the way we can't prove gravity won't suddenly stop working tomorrow, but there is no evidence for it, and no reason to act like it is there.

An atheist is not saying that there absolutely is no god, but rather "there is no reason to believe in a god, given what we currently know", which remains a different position from "I, personally, don't know" which is the argument of an agnostic.

It is true that, colloquially, we compress "there is no reason to believe that this is true" and "this is false" to the same thing, because realistically we can almost never say the second absolutely with anything outside the deep theoretical, and we fundamentally behave the same way given both.
There's nothing "realistic" about a crown erupting in magic flames and dancing on the water on its own however.

But making that look good is the question: the human eye has expectations for how the fire effect is supposed to look when reflected on the water, and if the fire is to be "believable", it needs to light up the area around it.

Its clearly a demo explicitly designed to take advantage of Raytracing (a dynamically moving source of light), which is hard to emulate with traditional effects.

--------

The idea is that artists can build new worlds, possibly with less effort, thanks to this technology.
I am curious how they funded the tournament play. It tends to cost about $10/rated game.
Athiest: Believes there's no god because the hypothesis was "god exists" and insufficient evidence has been put forth to prove it.

It's completely consistent with the scientific method.
Exactly the truth, actually.
The most immediate concern is the tragedies of all the lives lost in the crashes.

Separate from that, I also thought of credibility, since I've been proud of the FAA's and aviation industry's professionalism and numerous safety achievements. I've also sometimes held up some of their practices as models for more responsible software engineering.

I look forward to authorities gaining a comprehensive understanding of whatever went wrong, and taking whatever corrective/improvement action that suggests, as honest professionals. That's what's largely worked for aviation safety.
just a typo :) thanks!

I think chess.com is actually writing code to combat sandbagging. I don't know if they're using machine learning for it yet, but it would certainly be possible for a deep learning system to spot probable sandbaggers, if they have enough history of their games.
>They could simply be understood to be saying that the two groups must be similar enough to not have ruled out the null hypothesis in their study

The groups need not be similar to fail to rule out the null. It can also be that the measurements are too noisy and too few.

Also on the flip side, if you do reject the null, it doesn't mean the the groups are different. It could also be that you have so many measurements that you are picking up tiny biases in your experiment or instruments.

Null hypothesis testing is almost always too weak of a test to be useful.
"a real-time technology demonstration using Unreal Engine 4.22 ray tracing"

Directly from the description of the video at Unreal's yt channel.

Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qjt_MqEOcGM
Clearbit Raises $15M Series A
A previous article about these guys that was posted here said their weapons were semiautomatic, as well as obtained in Haiti.
Reification is a nice feature of messages -- you can capture the "idea" of a single function call as a message, so it can be logged, forwarded to another component through the network, etc.
Maybe the same reason you don't see news stories about chess grandmasters beating 8 year olds?

They're out of their class and dramatically outmatched - the cellphone chess programs can't really compete with better resourced chess computers
i try to get in an hour a day of reading material that requires alot of thinking, for me it's technical articles or "hard" books. I'll read for an hour but i probably spend another hour or two thinking about it. I try to do this everyday. Other than that, i put my phone in silent mode and turn the screen's face down during work hours. I visit hacker news everyday, and try to limit my reddit viewing. I find that reddit in low doses actually provides a decent cross section of what's happening in the world.
You happened to catch that comment 3 minutes after it was posted. When I came to this thread not 15 minutes later, the comment was already flagged so much it got collapsed. There is no cause for alarm or doomsaying.
I am still working on my philosophy around this but

1. The idea of a split between platform provider (ie hosting) and doscovery (ie promotion) is an important one

2. Google's PageRank assigns "juice" to a trusted domain - but youtube and facebook break that concept and so google (or all search engines) need to have clearer ways to define "publisher responsible for content that gets some recommendation juice"

2.a. By splitting the hosting and recommendation we can start to see different curation approaches - this dark maze of youtube recommendations (all I get is more Marvel) could be repacked with different curation algorithms - and the more data different AI has to share the clearer the dark / light patches can be seen by researchers.

3. Paid ad disclosure is a simple one to solve - we do it on TV all the time. Quirky home videos are great - but once you have ten million followers you are a business and can afford the regulation

4. Yes paedophiles do spend a lot of time watching kids videos online. We can use unusual watch time patterns to spot this, and that's good - but really paedophilia has been a problem for 10,000 years and we as society need to find wider bigger ways to tackle this - along with medicine this will be a huge win for social ROI

5. In short regulation is coming to all these platforms - but agreeing international rules for same platforms is going to involve amazing new levels of international co-operation and questions of sovereignty- let's try not to Brexit the lot up.
Yeah. You have no right to ROI on any investment.
Oh wow, so they are not following semver? In semver everything after + is a build tag that does not "modify" the version (i.e. 1.2.3+a and 1.2.3+b are considered to both be the same version, just e.g. built at different times).
>> The absence of evidence is not evidence of absence

> This is a common trope, but it's wrong in many cases.

When you're dealing with something of low intelligence or awareness, heuristically absence of evidence can be approximated as evidence of absence, if you've made so thorough a set of observations that the probability of absence can be estimated to be very high.

However, that heuristic fails when you're dealing with something with intelligence and awareness, as that thing can choose to behave differently when you're observing it vs. when you're not. Doubly so when you're dealing with something that may not even be bound by the laws that bind your observations.
GM cruise is the best based on this article, when you take "keeping driver engaged" as one of the criteria:
https://www.consumerreports.org/autonomous-driving/cadillac-...

Volvo's tech is last among the ones compared.
That sounds like a good application of this technology. If Nvidia had some kind of split product line for professionals and gamers. Kind of like this exact thing they already did with the Quadro cards..
Haha, then allow me to rephrase. A brain whose molecules react that conclusions are impossible will no longer chemically get out of bed in the morning.
>A vacation renter is gone pretty much before you can pursue any existing legal processes apart from calling the cops to come by and tell them to turn the music down. So, the AirBnB renter doesn't have to live with much/any consequences; the AirBnB "host" doesn't necessarily have consequences since they'll say "I won't rent to them again"; but the folks in the neighborhood do suffer from it.

Perhaps the law differs where you live, but where I live, local ordnance on repeated noise complaints gradually ramps penalties up from warnings to fines, so hosts have a strong interest in preventing partying at their properties. That seems a more appropriate legislative response than banning short-term rentals entirely.
I think the constant advertising is a different kind of threat than being stalked by a chatroom random on AIM, though. And I can't really say which is "worse". The advertizing is legitimized and normalized by the entire system, from the content creators that make videos that are nothing more than thinly veiled ads, to Google's inability/unwillingness to properly moderate content.
What? I have a couple thousand hours on my PS4 with A Sony PS Gold Bluetooth headset, and it is an absolutely awesome setup. (No affiliation, I just like them. I’m on my second pair over the course of about 5 years.)
It's this type of state intervention into internet companies that I worry about. We'll have lost something special when we give the US or the EU to dictate what we can or can not see on the internet.
Yes, many folks that live in more functional western democracies don't understand that most people who live in corrupt countries and end up protesting in the streets aren't necessarily protesting the existence of corruption and graft (which are ambient and assumed) but rather the failure of these particular corrupted grafters to hold up their end by stealing maybe only two-thirds-ish of the money and at least trying to do something like what they were supposed to with the other third.