skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I believe that your math is wrong because some of your numbers are percents and some are not, and because you divided instead of multiplying. If you are interested in the chance of death, you take the chance of cancer and multiply it by the chance of death given cancer.

lifetime_risk_no_meat = 7%
lifetime_risk_yes_meat = 7% + (7%30%) = 9.1%
risk_of_death_given_cancer = 25%
(lifetime_risk_yes_meat - lifetime_risk_no_meat) risk_of_death_given_cancer = 2.1%*25% = 0.00525 = 0.525%

So by this math, eating a quarter pound of red meat a day causes men in this worse case scenario to die 0.525% more often, which is a sixteen times higher rate than your calculated value.

Of course, that’s not how to actually do the relevant calculations, since (assuming no significant technology changes), everyone will eventually die. Thus you instead need to do calculations based on life expectancy, or better yet on QALY (quality adjusted life years), which adjusts for the quality of life that people live in addition to their age.
Saying opinions like statements of fact don't make them correct.

It's at least more useful to speak of legal liability, because that can become case law.
I'm not so sure. If the car was driverless then yes. But they put a human operator precisely to handle these sort of situations.

They could put eye tracking system in place to make sure the operator pays attention! If the driver doesn't pay attention the car should slowly stop.

Expecting people to always do the right thing is a recipe for disaster.
If the model 3 charges at 1000 mi/hr, the toyota camry "charges" at 18000 mi/hr (10gpm, 30 mpg)
We probably have to agree to disagree on that one:

I see loads of commercials for buying iPhones. I do not see a lot of commercials for citing GNU Parallel.

If I have to make a citation, it will cost me no money, but one line of text if I write an article. If I have to buy an iPhone, it will cost me many hours of work.

To me the two things are not even close to be similar.

But I can find one similar aspect: No one forces you to use an iPhone.
> to lose someone due to no fault of their own

? She walked in front of a car on the expressway in the dark.
“Resurrection: Ertugrul” A Turkish adv. series w/ at least 50 episodes/season
Good. For Elaine's sake, and all other potential victims of overhyped tranport options, I hope that option will be pursued vigorously.
If you want to start it and apply to YC, we'd be very interested.
It looks like the the rider/pilot is expected to ride hunched over the ducted fan (?) intakes. I suppose it offers a lower center of gravity and is safer than the open rotors of the "flying motorbikes" the Dubai police were testing to much marketing fanfare, but... it still looks wrong from a human factors standpoint.

Edit: turbine intakes, FTA.
No, you don't. But having the complex macroeconomics models far beats relying on layman's guesswork.

You've never looked at a macroeconomics model, have you?

Economics is complicated because it is modeling the behavior of human beings.

Math is easy, computer science is easy, modeling the collective behavior of humans is hard.
I responded to what you wrote. You’re making a different argument here. If you want to complain about how popular music is being mastered, do that. Don’t conflate that with unrelated arguments over distribution formats.

And you might even have a point, as long as you acknowledge that “remastering for vinyl” doesn’t actually necessitate distributing on vinyl, and what you describe as “the sound of modern CD audio” is entirely the fault of human decisions and not the CD format itself.

Also, you’d need to acknowledge that your description of what “sounds better” is a subjective assessment. It is fair to say that vinyl sounds better to you if what you like is that RIAA processed, variable noise floor sound.
Eye tracking or not, I suspect humans aren't cut out well for that sort of task. At least not without some pretty specialized recurring training.

Waymo is claiming things like 30,000 miles between needed interventions. Even if that's 100x higher than reality, that's hours of watching and boredom waiting for a few seconds of action.
Why not candidate for president #justsaying
The person you're responding to is not saying that avoiding fat led to obesity. They're simply saying that the obesity epidemic is evidence against the hypothesis that consuming fats leads to becoming fat. Disconfirming a hypothesis is not the same thing as as proving a competing hypothesis.
If it's the first request on a connection, and it appears that the server closes the connection, I have a reasonable expectation that the server doesn't care for my request. When the request times out, who knows -- most tcp stacks won't tell me it the server acked it, but many networks will fake acks these days anyway.

On pipelined requests it's not too bad, you're not supposed to pipeline requests that aren't safe to retry. But pipelining ends up being somewhat rare in practice. Reusing an inactive connection is actually pretty risky, the server may be able to shut it down, your network may have silently dropped the connection already (some NAT timeouts are really short, I've seen cases in real mobile networks where the timeout was under a minute!).

I'm not thrilled with multiplexing in http/2, but the sensible stream closure would be really nice to have. If you see a goaway, you know it it saw your request or not, so you can resend it with a clear concensce.
Because there's no research grants to be had by going against the prevailing fashionable beliefs in the field.
(Actually, replace “trusting a new service” with “trusting 3+ new services” – it’s probably hosted on AWS or something, and https://idbloc.co/privacy mentions that mail is forwarded with MailGun.)
They are requiring drone pilots to be licensed and these guys think an ultralight version of this won’t require a license.
> But all too often the resources to pay a living wage exist but the market has been manipulated such that the labourer won't be able to claim that.

These are orthogonal. A fair market price simply isn't equal to the price that is required to sustain someone's living. A fair market price also is not equal to the price that could be paid (i.e. the "resources available").

The laborer whose price is raised to some arbitrary limit that is above the market rate will find demand for their labor disappear in equal measure.
When you put out a gas fire, there is still gasoline everywhere, spreading and evaporating until it reaches another heat source above its relatively low ignition temperature, which frequently exist in the vicinity as a result of the recent collision and fire. This can also cause the fire to spread, since the gasoline can flow into a wider area before it reignites. And if enough of the gasoline has evaporated, the reignition can take the form of an explosion.

Battery fires can be hard to put out, but it's a solid component designed to keep the fire from spreading outside of it. If gasoline reignites you better hope you didn't get any on you.
The study you cite did not confirm the red meat hypothesis. It merely failed to disconfirm it. Those are two very different things, which nutrition researches and the general public seem to be incapable of wrapping their heads around.
You for real?
I am free to make the deals that I want, regardless of what they include or don't include. Why would I need you to protect me from myself? Why do you want to micromanage other people's lives? Is your own life not interesting enough already?
Why is cryptocurrency market price crashing down?
Virtually every lisp uses some non s-expression syntax which must be dealt with at the reader level. For example, using ' for quotation.
It is possible if you know the rate of change which you do with dual points. Like you don’t interpolate just position but also the dual parts I.e. rate of change.
Accidentally hit a guy wire on the way...
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19325679
Such a parachute would be prohibitive in term of weight, so no. I suppose the pilot could wear a personal parachute, and hope to ditch far from people or property, but I think the odds are...

"In the very unlikely event that all four engines fail, we’ll go straight into the ground like a fucking dart." -Billy Connolly
Participation will become non-optional. When one company, or tycoon, or whatever, owns everything, renting will no longer be optional.

It's not hard to imagine a world in which most software is SaaS.

It's also not hard to imagine a world in which the car company decides to stop selling and start renting.

Arcade game manufacturers realized early on that it's stupid to sell a machine that makes $30K for $2.5K, so they started opening arcades. Nolan Bushnell went and made Chuck E. Cheese, and Taito was doing the same thing. Sega does it in Japan still.

I know a guy who lives on a yacht with his family, he finances trips via the dozen or so rental houses he owns. The people renting from him may never buy a house, given that building new ones here is becoming hardly possible due to zoning.

So yeah, good luck opting out when nothing is for sale anymore.
Chickens don't have natural selection. They are bed for fatness.
I use @icloud.com email address. Just make a new Apple ID and it comes with free icloud email address. It pairs well with Mail on macOS as well as Outlook. I trust Apple way more than Google or any company that is in the advertisement business for that matter.
To your point, all of those can be fatal for existing light aircraft.
You can land a job as an employee with no fixed hours, no manager, where you bring your own equipment, etc? Seems closer to contractors.

I think it would have been smart if Uber let drivers set their own prices, then they'd be more akin to Amazon sellers, who feel more independent (but get screwed in other ways).
Drones are pretty good at landing themselves these days if there's a need. I can't imagine one of these couldn't enforce a height limit when it's low on fuel and then land itself when it's nearly empty.
I maintain a parser. I am not designing a language.
When someone decides to turn their apartment until a hotel room, it affects all of their neighbours. They can't then decide not to participate in the sharing economy, it is thrust upon them unwillingly.
The "+" is not limited to Gmail, it's standard. The problem is many services with fancy mail validation don't accept it.

Does Gmail allow sending from the + addresses? There's quite an issue if somebody contacts you on that address but you reply without the alias.
Yes no licence needed to fly our ultralight version JB10 and JB11 Jetpacks. Same rules apply to ultralight version of the Speeder.
10-22 minutes of flight time doesn’t seem like it has commuter applications. I’d guess that for regulatory and safety purposes you wouldn’t be allowed to overfly a city, and you’d probably need to take off and land somewhere safe as well. This is for amusement, not flying over traffic.
There's a lot that I agree with in your post and in that thread, but this in particular I take issue with:

> One poinI have no idea what orifice @AOC pulled the$3.37 number from, but it’s wrong at best or intentionally deceptive at worst. I never made less than $10/hour and usually made $15-$45 an hour. And this was BEFORE Uber allowed tipping via the app.

This woman is clearly not taking her expenses into account when calculating her income, and there lies the rub - in one way Uber is taking advantage of people's poor ability to do math. If you are a short/part-time driver, the increased depreciation and maintenance costs are probably not that visible to you, but for folks who drive more regularly they absolutely need to be factored in to your income calculations.

A good treatment of the topic: https://www.ridester.com/uber-lyft-driver-costs-and-expenses...
That's not what RISC means. The fact that it's using a different microarchitecture on the inside doesn't in anyway eliminate the complexity and challenges that comes from the ISA, not least the complexity for the decoder and branch predictors.

What Intel (and IBM's Z9) has demonstrated is that with enough enginering and silicon, you can still make complexity go fast. What RISC (like RISC-V and Aarch64) enables is the same kind of microarchitecture but with far far lower complexity (= time to market, design team, etc). Intel is still doing really well because the physical design (custom cells) is hard and takes teams that are hard to come by.

Things are very interesting right now and for the next few years.
If they made both genetic and environmental/cultural arguments for the same effect, they had no idea why and were making up just so stories
It is unreasonable when you can just as easily do it yourself.
Every single one of those recommendations as of 2007 was the result of correlational epidemiological studies. It cannot be emphasized enough that correlation is not capable of proving causation. Period. All that correlation (or the lack thereof) is capable of doing is disconfirming hypotheses, not confirming them. When it comes to confirming a hypothesis it's randomized, controlled trials or GTFO.
I don't have experience with Google docs, but I don't think they produce layouts which are good enough™ for book printing.

Google docs change tracking probably could be taught, but you are dealing with people who spent lots of time in their workflow and who are resisting to adapt for a single author. Mind that those reviewers and editors switch from book to book depending on frequency of author's feedback. The author is just one between many ...
catch-all domains cannot be validated this way. The only way(wrong) to verify them is to send a real mail and see if it bounces.
I've been down this path with acemarke before, about redux-thunk even. All of his commits on Redux are documentation changes, and he feels the need to spam every React thread on this site with comments that start with "I'm a Redux maintainer". In-fact if you google "Redux maintainer" this guy's posts are the first thing that shows up.

Also, when React 16 came out with the new Context API, acemarke made a terrible blog post called "Is Redux Dead?", which had links to some sort of paid Redux training, and linked it everywhere without disclosing that fact. He regularly links said posts from his blog (which I assume have the same links to paid training) under the guise of helping beginners, and I'm really not sold that they actually accomplish that at all. In-fact quite the opposite.

It all seems pretty shifty and dishonest.
Ballistic parachutes above approx 150ft. Working on two alternative solutions for the “red zone” ie zero - 150 ft. All the eVTOLs makers need to solve same issue and we plan to offer it to them.
I don't disagree, but I've heard these self driving cars are extremely over cautious, and tend to hold up traffic because they're waiting for a safe time to turn across a lane, for example. I imagine this level of caution would needlessly trigger the emergency brake quite often, and likely cause more accidents and injuries than it prevents.
An electric RV would be quite interesting.

Cover the roof with solar panels (say 40' x 8' = 10 x 500w panels = 5000 watts of electricity). 8h x 5kw = 40kwh.

If the battery pack was a 1000d, you could move with a full charge once a month for free.

Or you could use it for living too (fridge, range, etc)
Boeing is going in with an air taxi https://www.flyingmag.com/boeing-air-taxi-prototype-test-fli...

They are already talking about cargo is more likely than passengers. Ever the same story in transportation.
Absolutely. I work for YC. An artificial kidney would transform the lives of millions of people on dialysis. It's worth trying to build one even if the chance of success is only 1%.
Spot on. Two parachutes for over 150ft. One for Speeder and one for pilot. Under 150ft see earlier answer.
These don't look safe, even assuming perfect mechanical reliability, because humans will be piloting them over major population centers.

Humans are generally dumb and inattentive, and this particular vehicle looks like it would attract especially dumb humans who'd use them to try dumb things. Since they won't need any piloting certification, this is basically offloading risk onto everyone on the streets below.

I'd feel more comfortable if this were automated only. Then I'd at least be assured there'd be an organization held accountable, rather than a risk-seeking human who'd be dead anyway if it crashed.

If it were automated and had perfect mechanical reliability, then the only real issue is the noise pollution. Which still is going to be an issue, because these jets put out significant noise, and I haven't seen anything in the last 10-20 years since Moller's flying car prototypes to suggest that progress is being made there.

I love scifi as much as the next person here, but there's a lot of problems to solve before we put loud flying missiles in the hands of untrained adrenaline junkies flying over population centers.
Well it must be represented by one simple thing: rental yields. What is the rental yield for a typical property in your place? If it's going way up, you can easily afford buying instead of renting so you don't have that problem (at a rental yield of about 6% or so, a mortgage becomes smaller than the rent). If it's going way low, it's a stupid idea to buy and owning will probably never pay for itself and lose money long term. I know a lot of places where rental yield is under 2%. Why would anyone buy there? (explanation is usually: to park dirty money).

And it's not due to zoning. Zoning exists so that load of excess people does not make a neighborhood unlivable, or there will be too much traffic and getting to and from job becomes impossible.

Wanna fight it? Push employers to let people work remotely. It's not possible for low paying jobs e.g. waiters, but these don't buy or rent anything anyway, for most professions where people have a shot of getting into a real estate market, there is such option. Let people work remotely and suddenly you'll realize there is a shitload of almost free real estate around.
Ask HN: How much sleep do you get?
I'm curious how people are so energetic even when having 8hrs > of sleep. How much sleep are you getting and how does it affect your work?
We opened our experience center in socal Nov 2018. Can come test out a real JetPack. Think the ifly model.
I think the primary drawback of languages with complex syntax is the additional barrier to entry it creates for developers to write more tools for the language. Many more people have started a Scheme interpreter than their own C++ compiler.

If we had better tools, we wouldn’t necessarily be limited to just one user-facing syntax for a language. The syntax could simply be a preference in the tools. My point is that as long as we are stuck in text-file-oriented thinking, no one is even thinking about these possibilities.
I have a question..

In criminal cases what happens with inadmissible evidence? Like fruit of poisonous tree doctrine... what if you literally have video proof and tons of other graphic proof of a murder, you really just ignore it and let the perp go back into society?
It's not strictly a programming language, but Scribble (a Racket language) is really the first document creation language that neither feels like a markup language with a programming language API nor a programming language with a document creation API. With this sort of setup, it is really easy to introduce arbitrary new constructs to avoid duplication or to better structure your document.

LaTex is the only system I know that comes close to this, but the language is pretty horrible to actually try and use (to be fair, LaTex has quite a bit of legacy it has to maintain).
A flying motorcycle would be better executed as a motorglider/powered sailplane with detachable wings.
We think they will. IF we can demonstrate it’s safe. Why not use a Speeder to get somewhere in 1/4 the time
Have you seen https://bookiza.io?
I thought that policeman was memorable
Without further evidence/study one can’t conclude much. We have two facts:

1. There was a campaign against eating fats.

2. There was an obesity epidemic that started shortly after the campaign against eating fats.

Fact 2 is seductive because it’s natural to assume that 1) is the cause. But without further analysis and study one can’t conclude this. In a post decrying causal links without proper statistical evidence it’s ironic to fall victim to this seduction without proper statistical evidence.
UT-Austin’s Bold Plan for Reinvention Went Belly Up
Thank you. We have been working on it for a long time and believe in what we do. VTOL urban mobility will happen!
So then shouldn't the answer be not to disable the e-brake, but to conclude that the tech is not ready for testing in public where pedestrians' lives are at stake?
4 - Quidditch
In a specific case, certainly. In the general case, subconscious bias plays a role.

It doesn’t seem like a real argument that, generally speaking it is unknown whether race or gender bias is more of a determinant in hiring decisions than hair color bias. Is that an argument you consider rational?

HR policies do have measurable outcomes. It's a question of what you think those measurements describe. A diversity hiring HR policy is a counter-action to the existing subconscious bias favoring white men, and a long term effort to squelch subconscious bias favoring white men by increasing exposure to diverse races/genders. Let's collect some long term data and analyze the result measurements, instead of pretending subconscious bias favoring white men doesn't exist.
That's irrelevant as far as the designation of "science" is concerned. This is a question of knowledge and certainty, not practical application. The point is that results in cosmology (and other fields) are very well confirmed despite the fact that they don't come out of strict experimentation. In that same vein, when someone denies that economics is a science I'd argue they're really talking about whether its results are robust, not whether economics uses a certain methodology or is put to certain ends.
It does reflect this.

Just to be clear what I meant by solved problem was that is has a known solution, it's not NP hard so to speak.

And while the problem is solved the implementation is far from widespread. Defensive driving lessons are not forced on everyone.

If you're a bus driver and rare end someone you lose your job specifically because you should have had enough distance to stop if they suddenly break.

> shockingly common

This phrase doesn't mean anything. Compared to what? People die all the time. Doesn't mean it's more common than the norm you expect which is what you're trying to convey.

I was actually thinking about this problem more and more.

There is no reason a self driving car can't prevent incidents like this. There isn't really any situation you want to crash into anything, allowing the car to do so is an error.

Defensive driving states if you can't see if there is something that might cross into the road around that blind corner then you need to reduce speed to the point you can safely edge around the corner and see what is oncoming. If that makes for a crappy drive then fix the roads, cut the trees down, make roads straighter and pedestrians more visible.
Well, that assumes someone wants to sell a house, or that you're allowed to build a new one. Neither of those may be the case.
boring. Configuring them all as a replica of each other is more fun
NB: most standard shipping containers are actually 40 feet long, so a TEU is half the standard-sized box you'll see, and you can divide by two to get about 1.194 million of those handed by PoE.

There are 20 foot containers, they're just not nearly as common as the 40s.
Our Speeders will be safe and self separate way better than is possible with existing air traffic control systems.