skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
>why would the Israel and Faroe Islands outliers exist with many more children?

Most likely answer, religion. Successful religions grow one of two ways, and generally have encodings for both. That is they tend to have means to convert the non-religious, and secondly, and importantly in this case, have 'strong' rules on having kids. For example, in the old testament Onan was killed for 'spilling his seed' and not impregnating his dead brothers wife.

That said, even in ancient times it appeared that birthrates did go down, as in Greces case, their city state succeeded. This left them open from attack and cultural take over by outside nations and ideals with higher birthrates.

In the modern world we are coming to the point where human labor is not as necessary and has been supplanted by machine labor. Also machine protection, in our weapons of war. This could allow a nation/culture to shrink dramatically while still being able to defend against outside threats. If such a shrinking culture were one that 'grew' by spreading its message to other cultures it may succede to grow and shrink the entire worlds population at the same time. These ideas of disappearing utopia cultures are often touched by science fiction.
Yup. Ironically, they're Jabra earbuds. ;-)
Yup.

For some reason, to this day I remember how Paul Graham has put it in his criticism of philosophy[0]:

> The real lesson here is that the concepts we use in everyday life are fuzzy, and break down if pushed too hard. (...) Outside of math there's a limit to how far you can push words; in fact, it would not be a bad definition of math to call it the study of terms that have precise meanings. Everyday words are inherently imprecise. They work well enough in everyday life that you don't notice. Words seem to work, just as Newtonian physics seems to. But you can always make them break if you push them far enough.

Scott Alexander has an excellent essay on this too[1].

--

[0] - http://paulgraham.com/philosophy.html

[1] - https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/11/21/the-categories-were-ma...
Buffet is a smart investor and obviously he is successful, but I always wonder why articles like this don't realize there is a large component of survivorship-bias involved also.

I always like to think about this paragraph From "Fooled By Randomness" when I read this read articles on TechCrunch etc about how great and talented someone is (but it obviously easily maps to people like Buffet)

>Let’s push the argument further to make it more interesting. We create a cohort that is composed exclusively of incompetent managers. We will define an incompetent manager as someone who has a negative expected return, the equivalent of the odds being stacked against him. We instruct the Monte Carlo generator now to draw from an urn. The urn has 100 balls, 45 black and 55 red. By drawing with replacement, the ratio of red to black balls will remain the same. If we draw a black ball, the manager will earn $10,000. If we draw a red ball, he will lose $10,000. The manager is thus expected to earn $10,000 with 45% probability, and lose $10,000 with 55%. On average, the manager will lose $1,000 each round—but only on average. At the end of the first year, we still expect to have 4,500 managers turning a profit (45% of them), the second, 45% of that number, 2,025. The third, 911; the fourth, 410; the fifth, 184. Let us give the surviving managers names and dress them in business suits. True, they represent less than 2% of the original cohort. But they will get attention. Nobody will mention the other 98%.What can we conclude? The first counterintuitive point is that a population entirely composed of bad managers will produce a small amount of great track records. As a matter of fact, assuming the manager shows up unsolicited at your door, it will be practically impossible to figure out whether he is good or bad. The results would not markedly change even if the population were composed entirely of managers who are expected in the long run to lose money. Why? Because owing to volatility, some of them will make money. We can see here that volatility actually helps bad investment decisions. The second counterintuitive point is that the expectation of the maximum of track records, with which we are concerned, depends more on the size of the initial sample than on the individual odds per manager. In other words, the number of managers with great track records in a given market depends far more on the number of people who started in the investment business (in place of going to dental school), rather than on their ability to produce profits. It also depends on the volatility. Why do I use the notion of expectation of the maximum? Because I am not concerned at all with the average track record. I will get to see only the best of the managers, not all of the managers.
The quasi-intensifier "just" is used to similar effect. I wouldn't call it editorializing - more like an attempt to give the quotidian a sense of urgency.
let me know if any of these take your fancy and i'll check if i follow anyone like them.

have a good day
I'm surprised.

I have the exact same headset (Jabra Evolve 75) at work and have had no issues at all using it on my 2018 MacBook Pro.

I use it daily for Slack and other VoIP calls as well as to listen to music. I usually have it paired to my phone as well, but it works just as well connected solely to the Mac.

That said, I did have an issue once with it when trying to play a game on Steam. I couldn't hear the in-game audio, only other players speaking.
Build & Analyze with Marco Arment & Dan Benjamin

Not because it was insightful and entertaining (though it was) but because it was the first tech-related podcast I listened to and inspired me to create my first iPhone app which got me a job.
>yeah but don't the artists make that money? I thought it was the albums etc. the record companies made the money on.

That's changed the last 1-2 decades or so. Popular artists get what's called a "360 deal", so the company gives them money ahead, and they get all their profits across merchandise, albums, tv appearances, online stuff, concerts, etc.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/360_deal
Some people seem to think that the only acceptable reason to own a pickup truck is if you're plowing fields with it on a regular basis.
Apple controls the root CA on iOS devices. I guess that Google controls the root CA on Android too. Therefore it is within their technical ability to issue a certificate that bears the name of Signal and is trusted by almost all devices. They wouldn’t need to ship any OS upgrades to forge the signature of Signal, as they are already the ultimate authority of who is Signal. I won’t speculate on whether they or their Australian employees will actually do so in the future.
Ivy [1] is another research language built around Z3.
Slides from a recent presentation of the language are also available [2]. The concept of exploiting modularity to obtain decidable verification conditions is quite interesting. Plus, it compiles down to C++.

[1]: http://microsoft.github.io/ivy/

[2]: http://vmcaischool19.tecnico.ulisboa.pt/~vmcaischool19.daemo... (PowerPoint slides)
Radiolab, specifically "The Rhino Hunter" (https://www.wnycstudios.org/story/rhino-hunter)

Made me realise that I'm not qualified to hold an opinion on... well, almost anything. This completely changed the way I think.
Be patient, it takes time for your body to recover from bouts of sustained exertion...
John Barnes: 'Liam Neeson Deserves a Medal'
Ditto for goons. While goons may not be the most moral of creatures, I'm not sure it's fair to say their job is pointless and psychologically destructive.
Human psychology and behavioral studies overlook 85 percent of people
> There's absolutely no way to give police a back door into encryption without giving criminals the same back door.

This feels disingenuous to me. It would be fairly trivial, for example, to store a copy of all keys, encrypted with the government’s public key. Of course, there’s a million eats to go wrong, but that’s different from “mathematically impossible.”
The short answer is: It's complicated, but doable.

There is a lot of good advice here in this thread.

I would begin by forgiving yourself, and by being kind to yourself.

I burned out almost two and a half years ago for the same reason.

My ambition didn't match my ability and I was beating myself up for it. It was an identity crisis for me. I wasn't able to perform as well as I previously had.

I spent the past few years observing my thoughts, and asking myself questions on why I was having those thoughts, and it helped me.

I funneled the energy into https://www.deepthoughtapp.com/

I think there are many areas to start, and even writing this list, can seem overwhelming.

- Be kind to yourself

- Forgive yourself

- Be grateful for where you are now

- Have realistic expectations

- Exercise

- Find/create other sources of fulfillment

- Practice mastery of your craft with a smaller project

- Learn how to empower yourself

- Find other activities where you can feel empowered

- Surround yourself with healthy friends

- Understand why you think what you think

- Understand what maintenance is needed to keep your engine going

- Have other activities where you can see progress in

- Define healthy boundaries
Show HN: The “Linux on the Web” Desktop Environment
This was my exact path. For the longest time, the goal was to become gainfully employed as an engineer. Achieving your primary goals seems to be a lot like meeting your heros - you'll always be disappointed. Once I had the job, then I had to figure out how to keep it from completely absorbing me.

Most of the stages you mentioned above use an external criteria for success and for motivation. If that's the only kind of system you're familiar with, then you probably hadn't had the chance to stop and think "Does doing this make me happy?" because in those systems that question is irrelevant. You do what needs to be done to achieve the grade/rating/performance review and then ask what hoop you need to jump through next.

It seems the people that build truly rewarding careers are generally more internally motivated and because they have a better idea of who they are and what drives and motivates them are in a better position to to say "no" to things.
Ayurveda was established well before the modern scientific processes came into being. So yeah it could be considered pseudoscientific in the modern sense. But it does have an effect on many conditions. Talking from personal experience.
Analogy: If someone on a diet keeps losing weight, they will disappear too. But outside pressures and incentives change, and there's also internal regulation. Your weight will stabilize sooner or later. I think the same goes for populations. When people become scarce, making more of them will be rewarded in some way or another.

I'm not sure the authors believe humanity will celibate itself out of existence. But I'm sure they'll sell more books with "extinction" rather than "stabilization" as a headline.
The Ingenious Design of the Aluminum Can (YouTube, 2015)
If you haven't listened to it, check out the "Startup" podcast (specifically the first season and all subsequent episodes that focus on Gimlet). The synopsis is that the host (Alex Blumberg) quits his successful job at NPR to found a podcasting company, and simultaneously starts the podcast in order to tell his own story approximately as it happens. It's fascinating to observe the genesis of the company through the eyes of its founder, starting with him pitching the idea to VCs, then hiring its first employees, and eventually growing the company to well over 100 people (and now, getting acquired by Spotify). It's a really unique and intimate perspective that would definitely appeal to the HN audience.
Right, I'm going to unsubscribe at end of this years sub, I'm not subsidising this business through tax.
Spotify Acquires Podcast Companies Gimlet and Anchor
What Happened to the 100000 Hour LED Bulbs?
LTS (16.04) I have mission critical data and software on this computer. When I upgrade to 18.04 LTS in a few weeks it will be on a new computer. Haven't tried Gnome yet.
If your UX requires a font that is optimized for rendering at small sizes, it's bad UX. Just use a larger font size instead.
Whomever came up with the concept of hot terminals and/or desking needs to be strapped to a tree and beaten with a bag of hammers. "Oh we can oversubscribe our desks now? Sweet we'll just make 'em all work a compressed 4x10 schedule to shoehorn as many of 'em in there as we can. Work life balance? Pfffftt overrated."
Google Cached version

https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:2PvAxE...
I had the Jabra Evolve 75 at my old job and they worked fine with my Dell XPS 13 running Ubuntu. I never had to use the dongle but during video calls it used the terrible HSP profile that is the only call profile Linux supports. I ended up keeping it on A2DP and using my laptop mic instead.
Why Teams?
My company refusing to pay CDW or Headsets.com doesn't hurt Jabra in anyway.
I've only worked in startup environments, but the office administrator just made life easier.
She organized ordering catering, packages being sent and delivered, HR stuff, office errands. So not contributing to the product itself but ensuring people have the bandwidth to make the product.
Right, I'd follow suit except how do you watch your favorite Netflix original content though? :(
The vast majority of devices are indeed bad. I am convinced that most manufacturers do not know how to handle very basic issues of connectivity and pairing. The BT standards and all of the BT chips available are capable of making very seamless pairing and re-connection flows, it's just the device manufacturers who don't use them correctly to do it.

There is a company called TeckNet that makes a BT mouse that is full-sized, five-button-with-wheel, and works very reliably. Microsoft has a few full-sized, reliably working keyboards, though I don't care for the key switches too mcuh. AfterShockz is the first headphone manufacturer I've found that works reliably and doesn't sound like complete crap (I can't wear earbuds, so I won't be buying Airpods).

Unfortunately, there's nothing you can do about your car's Bluetooth. Through various rentals on trips and such, I've tried Ford, Nissan, Honda, and BMW, as well as my own Subaru; they all flake out at some point. My Smart has an aftermarket JVC unit (installed by whomever previously owned the car) that seems to have spent more effort on fancy LED sequences than any sort of usage UX. I've seriously considered ripping out my stereo head unit in my Subaru and replacing it with an Android 4G tablet.
Where you able to read the post? I'm getting a DB connection error, guessing there's no cache.
He definitely did. He was a keen pipesmoker, and very definitely not a stoner. (edit: I think he even pins it to "a plant of the genus Nicotiana" or words to that effect in the LotR appendices)

Peter Jackson's presentation of it in the movies though... yeah. No ambiguity there. His hobbits were blazed 24/7.
A summary of that paper from the authors is here: https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Research/Journal-Article/Buffet....

They work at AQR, a firm which is notable for being one of the only successful hedge funds to actually publish meaningful research.

The paper's conclusion is noteworthy:

> The efficient market counterargument is that Buffett was simply lucky. Our findings suggest
that Buffett’s success is neither luck nor magic
but is a reward for a successful implementation of value and quality exposures that have historically produced high returns. Second, we illustrated how Buffett’s record can be viewed as an expression of the practical implementability of academic factor returns after transaction costs and financing costs. We simulated how investors can try to take advan- tage of similar investment principles. Buffett’s success shows that the high returns of these academic factors are not simply “paper” returns; these returns can be realized in the real world after transaction costs and funding costs, at least by Warren Buffett. Furthermore, Buffett’s exposure to the BAB factor and his unique access to leverage are consistent with the idea that the BAB factor represents reward to the use of leverage.
I mean, either it doesn't or that's not the URL... I just pulled the name from a hat.
I bet you are right. I am on the fence still. I love Egypt and ancient culture in general.

How many days did you spend there? How much money did you spend (estimate)? I'm headed to EU and Asia this summer/fall for work, I can make a stop in Cairo (like originally planned).

I have an ex-gf who lived in Egypt to work at a resort and she said it's not the best time to go right now but the tourist-y areas are always safe because they need the tourism for their economy.
Since this post has 37 points i presume the link is loading for some people? Any hints on how i get it to work?
Please explain the process by which the means of production passes from private ownership to public ownership WITHOUT coercion via threat of force/violence or actual usage of force.
I would disagree with at least the first three as being bullshit.

1. If your receptionist or assistant is only making you feel important, you are wasting their salary. One example: In my job we have to maintain professional licenses in many different states. Assistants help with this paperwork, which is different for every state and requires hours of reading and making phone calls to decipher. Yes, the engineer who bills their time at $150/hr could be doing this, but it's more efficient to pay an assistant. That is one small example of many, many vital tasks.

2. "Goon" is maybe the second oldest profession. Usually we call it "soldier". At some point you may be in conflict with an adversary. It's helpful to have someone on your side who is good at whatever type of conflict that is. I don't know why "telemarketer" is in there, it's not like the others. That's sales, which is pretty vital to any business. Now, the entire business and the product that a particular business is selling might be bullshit, but the job of selling certainly isn't.

3. I think the author vastly overestimates how preventable problems are. Maybe someday we'll invent an airline system that is 100% perfect and never loses anyone's bag. That's not the reality right now, though. Shit happens. Having someone who is paid to deal with it is better than not having them.
As it happens most of those executives are Boomers as well, so it works out quite nicely all around!
It's probably error corrected code. Some examples are CRC, ECC menory, and Raid-5 disk array.
Care to share which ones? I'm trying to find some headsets within that range. I'm not an audiophile, just need to hear, and block out just enough external noise.
I took a 2 year break, and moved in to a tangentially related job. It helped a lot, but I still don't have the drive I did at one point to work 8 hours and then come home and work on person projects all night.

I was a full stack and then primarily backend developer for ~7 years. The burn-out hit hard in the last year or so. A lot of it was burn out specifically due to working on primarily B2B stuff, but it affected everything.

I went to a new company that let me move around job wise. I did special projects for a few months that were heavy on the programming side, I bootstrapped a small security team for about a year, and then I bootstrapped a small platform/devops team for about a year.

Then I got bored and went back to being a full time backend engineer at my current company.

It was a great experience, I'm really glad I did it. I learned a ton about stuff I knew existed but didn't know well enough to speak intelligently about. I'm glad im not doing it anymore, and the company I was with during my 2 year break wasn't great, but I wouldnt trade it for anything else.
Torrents? I mean, by them not paying taxes, you're already "paying" for content indirectly.
Same issue here....
That's not at all what my comment says or implies, and you know that.
They absolutely do have that right, and should be encouraged to write their state legislators if they are motivated to. but since the letter in the article was written by a mayor, from the perspective of a mayor, my response here is directly about the perspective of said mayor. I was attempting to keep my comment congruent with the context of the post.
Put the pitchforks away, folks. I know the "ackshually" impulse is strong, but how likely is it that the one sentence wikipedia summary is a full, accurate representation of the authors complete thoughts on each job type?

Interesting premise and, like most things in life, further investigation is required.
It's shocking to me how every thread about anki and spaced repetition is full of people questioning if remembering information has any value.
No, they will end up at 2 or below when some form of long term stability is eventually reached. The political-economic situation, from outside nations messing with to internal corruption, explain a lot about its current birthrate.

China's current investment into Africa at this time may eventually bring the economic stability to many of these area. That said I'm not sure I'd want China enforcing my long term cultural stability.
Cached [1]

Edit: For those unaware, in Chrome, you can type "cache:" before the URL in the address bar (not with the quotes of course) to get a cached version from Google.

[1] http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache%3Ahttps...
Oops (yes, I don't know what it meant).
I mean I speak Ukrainian and Russian. If I saw the code like that in my native tongue, I would be upset.

Plus it is pain to alt+shift between languages all the time.
This has been discussed on hn before:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17433908

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17874320

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12157443

The last link has a comment with even further links.
wow. Gimlet has very good podcasts. science vs is one of them. I'm glad they acquired such a talented company who produce very good content
And what do you think React can do that jQuery cannot?
Heck, what do you think React can do that standard HTML5/JS API cannot do?

React doesn't offer new functionality to do UI. It offer new ways to think about the problem.

Hooks doesn't offer any new functionality over `this.state` and component life cycle, it offser new way to think about the problem.
You're very charitable in assuming that all people read the article before upvoting the link.
This seems to be written by the CEO of a company that provides the exact service the article describes. That doesn't necessarily invalidate it, but I'd read it more as a business pitch than an honest, unbiased opinion.
If your only goal is to have children that can be done easily. The hard part is raising it with someone you may find out later you don't really like, that leads to dysfunctional or unhappy family situations. And regardless whether you are happy or not, having children limits your options in where can you go and what you can do. The goals of blue and white collar workers are different, the former is looking to just make a living to get by and have a family and that's the best they can hope for and sometimes that's all they need. The latter is seeking a balance of lifestyles that settling down makes it impossible to continue to seek the place where they are content and not settle for the next opportunity.
Simplistic yes, but also true. He became throughly disillusioned with socialism because he felt that someone like Stalin would always take control of it.

My interpretation was that he was always anti-authority, but his experiences led him to believe that an authoritian figure will always try to grab power and it doesn't matter what `side` they say they are for, power is their aim.

True he liked the spirit of his socialist militia but by the end I think he felt its spirit had been crushed and abused by others.