skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Just check old headless from 2009-2017 of all the failed predictions of crisis. Odds are nothing will happen.

Past performance doesnt indicate future performance.

Also, Odds are, we will have a recession at some point. Not sure what you are trying to say with "Odds are nothing will happen".
Good article, two things: I noticed looking at the pictures after reading the whole thing in a go...

He looks nothing like Yoda! Wondering what made the author pick that title!

He has/had a standing desk at home!
What Does 250M ARCore Devices Mean?
How are you solving web grpc part ?
France to tax tech giants from 2019 as EU fails to act
Google to invest $1B in new campus in New York City
This a commonplace tactic. The goal is to deny you common rights and privileges under the law by overriding it with a contract. The use of a contract to deny ownership is becoming increasingly common.
None of what you said conflicts with my understanding of how stock buybacks work. I never said it was an ongoing activity, just criticizing companies who do stock buybacks to artificially inflate their share price in a down market. My argument has nothing to do with profits or dividends or ownership, just share price.

>a company buys their own stock... [and] each stock appraises

That lines up exactly with what I've described. If you're saying I'm wrong, you're going to have to be more specific because I don't see where we disagree.
You are deliberately ignoring what I am saying.

Criminalization/legalization alone does not curb demand for health damaging drugs. The only important goal in talking about drugs is reducing intake to increase personal health. Everything else is either a beneficial byproduct of that goal (crime, dependency, disease) or an antithetical motive.

Marijuana availability would not increase personal health and there is no indication persons consuming legally prescribed opioids would prefer legal and unprescribed marijuana alternatively merely because it is less unhealthy. You can legalize or criminalize all of it, but either way demand for consumption will continue to increase in the US according to the data available.
It must be hard to put on a brave face and put effort into this change as if the site will continue while knowing full well the company is 100% doomed. I wonder if there's anyone at tumblr not looking for another job.

Anyone here work at tumblr? What's the vibe there? Is anyone holding out hope or does everyone agree the writing is on the wall?
Huh, I thought you had posted this for people to get around the paywall, but it looks like it didn't really do anything?
@wronghorse, If I'm reading that FEC page you linked to correctly, the only donations listed before his firing were to Ted Cruz and Dana Rohrabacher, neither of whom is even vaguely alt-right.

Palmer's big donating spree happened after his firing, and those later donations still didn't go to alt-right causes/candidates, just Republican ones.

[edit: The post I was side replying to has been deleted. Sorry if this post now makes less sense.]
And Firefox 63 on Mac.

It's quite hilarious actually because it starts squeezing everything to the left then it literally just poofs out of existence leaving just the "X" of the close button behind.
Missed that, thanks! Still seems to be an expected value of 2?
New data representation scheme reduces Alexa's skill selection errors by 40%
Those messages don't appear for me in Firefox, but they do when using Edge. Clicking 'no thanks' sometimes dismisses them, however sometimes they come back at next load.
Interesting to see they're using molniya orbits but for a very different purpose than the Russian telecom, military comms and broadcast satellites which most commonly use them.
Concourse: The new “thing-doer” on the block
Can anyone shed some light on how this new setup will be more difficult to jam?
Tesla starts construction at Gigafactory 3
Sorry I should have said 'they' rather than 'he' in referring to those prosletysing his mythos. Also, he is not a qualified engineer, whatever he calls himself. I imagine many of those depending on his good favour are 'impressed with what he has done at SpaceX', including his employees - but designing rockets is not one of those things. I have no personal beef with him, I just object to him being elevated beyond his true abilities.
Why Record $1.465T Student Loan Debt Could Test US Economy
This lists only 500k people 100+:

https://www.populationpyramid.net/

But even at that scale you'd expect there to be one or two people reach that age and the article claims this case is actually well outside any of the statistical models. So the 50/50 statistic probably understates the odds as I'm sure those percentages keep getting worse every year.
Yes, I think the problem isn’t patenting things without R&D but is patenting things that aren’t really novel, are obvious to someone skilled in the field, or are ideas where there is already existing prior art.

While an employee at IBM we were instructed to submit ideas to our IP lawyers whenever they were novel and of possible commercial importance. A number of my ideas were patented, these were generally important ideas IBM wanted to protect, some were published to establish that IBM had already invented the idea to prevent subsequent inventors from preventing IBM from using the idea, and some were so outside of IBM’s business that they chose not to protect them.

My point was that sometimes I would think of things that were closely related to my work (e.g. cookies), sometimes they were unrelated to a project I was waiting on but occurred to me because I was working in an area (low latency network encryption by using counter mode encryption), and sometimes I just saw a problem at work and thought of a novel solution (security cameras with fisheye optics and software dewarping of distorted image).

In some cases I wasn’t doing R&D in the area, but the ideas were still original and not obvious and I believe they deserved patents or at least publication in IBM’s Invention disclosure journal to prevent other subsequent inventors from blocking IBM from using an idea with a bogus patent.
Ask HN: How to approach first C-level interview
I am being courted for a technical leadership position in a small startup (~30 people). The non-technical founder CEO asked me to come to the office on Friday just to see the place and catch up and meet her teams and the other founders.

I am strongly interested in this position, but it's not a do or die situation for me if I don't get it; it would just be a nice new fun opportunity. I have a skill set that they need, but I'm not sure they realize how badly they need me. I have management experience in a startup (grew into the job), but I've been a comfortable developer for the past few years while my kids were growing up. I'm a little concerned about the current state of the company as it seems like they've plateaued, but I get the impression that was because of technical deficiencies (which is where I would come in and help). That said, I need to take care of myself and my family and it's naturally scary leaving a stable 9-5 developer position.

What kinds of things should I be aware of when going to their office? What things should I do/say to show that I want the position, but that I'm not too eager? What should I avoid doing/saying to give myself the best leverage when going into negotiations? How do I negotiate the salary/bonus/equity combo without knowing their financial status? This is the first position I've had to "interview" for in a decade, so any thoughts or suggestions are appreciated.
As others have pointed out, it is important to evaluate these actions on a company by company basis. On the other hand, if you invest in index funds, then the proportion of who is doing them and why matters a lot.

The worst case scenario is a company with declining market share, that is cash flow negative, and is buying back shares with debt because the executives set their bonuses based on an earnings per share target.

I strongly suggest novice investors is to look at shares outstanding for a company over time. Just as one could claim share buybacks mask a companies problems, you can make a case that issuing new shares steals money from existing shareholders. Indeed, there are public companies which have been around 10+ years and stay afloat solely by creating new shares and have generated 0 return for long term shareholders.
What if the market cap is fueled by the corporate debt? Doesn't that strengthen the article's position?
He's posing with two right-wing journalists or ex-journalists.

I realise "White Supremacist" is the insult-du-jour, but when you apply it to people who aren't actually racist, you just undermine your own credibility. It's like calling everyone in the Democratic party a communist.
I had fun with this. Great effects. Lava, lol.

I got a lot going, 25fps Samsung Note 8, Power Saving Mode

32 fps Performance Mode
Most fields are not accustomed to confirmatory statistical analysis as medicine, psychology or finance are. The poor understanding of p-hacking is a mere consequence of this for most fields.

A good custom and first step for any field would be to elaborate more on the validity of an analysis per se, or to give studies a "reality check" at all.
I asked my GP about testing for hormonal imbalances and she said, and I quote, "Here at $HOSPITAL, we
only follow the western medical tradition.". Getting such a condescending, canned response was really disheartening, and I didn't pursue that line any further with her.
Pretty sure digital assistants are on the rise right now. Afaik expert systems are used in medicine, and I suppose some chat bots qualify as them too, though I think people will try to drop manually programming the rules at some point. Since we're finally marching straight into a scifiey cyberpunkish future, I'm sure these two things will be around.
>Why does it feel like less innovation is occurring?

Specialization + Copypasting what works.

You wouldnt notice if a fortune 500 company saved a million dollars with a software innovation. But it affects their prices and future.

re-copypaste- When a problem is solved, you would not re-invent the wheel. With digital products, its easy to copy and paste. With physical products, you still need to produce.

And I find that recently tech is in the form of application. Giving non-tech people the ability to do database + front end work. Or using the tech to solve a niche problem.
WSJ has a paywall. Anyone got a pastebin of the content?
Well it got him into the White House. I guess for Trump the image of being an important business man is worth much more than money.
> But you said that legalisation hasn't tackled addiction.

It has not. Much of the opioid problem in the US is due to legally available drugs. Criminalizing those drugs would probably make it worse.
\watch-ing Star Wars in Postgres
The better question might be, why would a profitable company borrow money for the purpose of buying back shares?

If they want to reward shareholders, they can issue a dividend. If they think the company will grow, the can invest in growth. The "argument" made is that companies think their stock is undervalued by the market and want to capture that price growth. Why would so many companies think their stocks are "undervalued" in 2018 after a 10 year bull market?

Before 1982, we viewed buybacks as market manipulation and it was illegal [1]. In reality, companies do this in order to increase their stock price and earnings per share, the two things for which executives are typically compensated. If you take the same earnings and divide over fewer shares, you have magically increased your EPS without improving the actual business.

[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/aalsin/2017/02/28/shareholders-...
"Officially China still sees nuclear power as a must-have. But unofficially, the technology is on a death watch. Experts, including some with links to the government, see China’s nuclear sector succumbing to the same problems affecting the West: the technology is too expensive, and the public doesn’t want it.

The 2011 meltdown at Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi plant shocked Chinese officials and made a strong impression on many Chinese citizens. A government survey in August 2017 found that only 40% of the public supported nuclear power development.

The bigger problem is financial. Reactors built with extra safety features and more robust cooling systems to avoid a Fukushima-like disaster are expensive, while the costs of wind and solar power continue to plummet: they are now 20% cheaper than electricity from new nuclear plants in China, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Moreover, high construction costs make nuclear a risky investment."
The Most In-Demand JavaScript Frameworks for Developers in 2019
> You see, there are Blue Zones where there are many centenarians, and the data about their lifestyle can probably explain their longevity. However, most of Russia is located in a totally different climate zone, and what is known about the life-extending lifestyles of, say, Mediterranean countries cannot be applied to our latitude.

The book "Blue Zones" referenced nine lifestyle factors that were associated with longevity. They are:

1. Moderate, regular physical activity.
2. Life purpose.
3. Stress reduction.
4. Moderate caloric intake.
5. Plant-based diet.
6. Moderate alcohol intake, especially wine.
7. Engagement in spirituality or religion.
8. Engagement in family life.
9. Engagement in social life.

I find it pretty incredible that a researcher would reject these very general principles out of hand, simply because Russia's landmass is located at higher latitudes.
My 3 year old literally just asked for a bucket for his dirt.
I thought H.264 is free for Software Decode? Supported in Firefox as well. There is no reasons why Apple should support VP8 / 9 Which is a Google's Codec, even though it is free of charge.
I meant "branches". Mobile devices speak for us, it's an unbearable situation.
5 ways to deal with loneliness as a startup founder
I'd like to point out that Brave never has replaced ads on websites, only blocked them, and in the future will only replace ads on websites whose owner explicitly signed up to let Brave replace their ads. This comment from the Community Manager lays out reasonably well why they're using this model https://www.reddit.com/r/BATProject/comments/8j4uiy/fud_from...
Intel Unfolds Roadmaps for Future CPUs and GPUs
>You either have enough capacity to perform safely or you do not.

Honest question, in this situation if you need 1000 workers during the holiday season but only 200 during the rest of the year, what do you do with those 800 extra workers for 11 months? Retail is inherently seasonal, that's why Black Friday exists and why during Christmas my packages are delivered from a U-Haul truck instead of a UPS truck. So if you're not using seasonal workers, do you over-book your warehouse for 11 months, or under-book your warehouse during your most profitable season?
Here's a quick video of it in Firefox 63 on Mac:

https://gfycat.com/EssentialUglyHarborporpoise
> Comes from the Federal Reserve, when they decided to increase the money supply.

Wait, really? I was pretty convinced that the vast majority of new money is created by private banks, when they decide to loan out money that nobody has paid in. It's called fractional reserve banking.
> debugging yet another "undefined is not an function"

Hey, you're lucky. I'm not in silicon valley, so I spend all my time debugging "I had a problem with the app but it hasn't happened in about a week and I can't remember exactly what the problem was, I need you to fix it or I'm going to escalate to your manager"
Well the website is called "folklore", so I think your skepticism is well placed. ;)
I managed to completely stop buying regular water bottles in favor of using a refillable vacuum-insulated bottle at all times (except for a handful that I keep in the car for emergencies), but I've noticed the plastic bottles are starting to creep back in ever since I stopped drinking sodas and moved to sparkling water. I guess I could switch to canned Perrier or even the glass bottles, but they're harder to find.

I suppose next year I'll just bite the bullet and buy a Soda Stream (or some kind of BDS-approved equivalent).
Taylor Swift Used Hidden Facial Recognition at Gig to Identify Stalkers
What I said was that there is no evidence that fusion on Earth will work that can be derived from simply looking up at the sun. Context matters.
I want that T-shirt now!
This was a well-written interview format.

I quite enjoyed Valery Novoselov's speaking style.
It can be very difficult to teach someone something they are actively repressing.

There might be lines of thought that are repressed normally that when on a psychedelic are allowed to enter the conscious mind.

I think psychedelic research has been repressed by society at large and I can only guess at why... But there is some positive findings that we ought to pursue around depression and addiction. I hope we can make some progress here.
I can't make this possible becacuse if there are nested objects forgjs cant make the diference between a rule and a value
Well my point was that they were originally intended to reduce nicotine addiction, but they are actually increasing nicotine addiction due to being perceived as safe alternative to cigarettes by teens. I suspect that legalizing drugs such that they are "cleaner and dosing more predictable" (aka "more safe") would inevitably cause an increase in usage and therefore addiction.
Ask HN: Freelancers of HN, how do you automate cash management?
All freelancers, contractors, and otherwise non-W2 employees on Hacker News, what have you found to be the best tools/solutions for automating things like tax estimations and payments, savings deposits, contributions to IRAs, etc.? Does anybody even out monthly income by making regular, set-rate payments to themselves from their business account, or do you typically just take big payments and deposit it all at once, feast or famine style?

I’ve been both an employee with great benefits (past), as well as an independent consultant for several years (current), so I understand both sides of the coin well, but I’m looking to take my independent income stream to the next level so that I can reap the benefits of what regular employment would normally provide (think: smarter savings, investing, and payments).

Seems like a lot of this could be set on autopilot and result in more wise cash management and better end results. Would love to hear other people’s success stories.
Can someone explain to me why I'd run this over a StatefulSet of whatever software I want to deploy?

I've been skimming the docs and can't find a good reason TBH.
Why, though?
Glass for the lenses, for one thing.

Another is that the force exerted on you head is roughly weight times the distance that weight is from the centerline of your neck. This multiplier makes stuff hanging out in front of your face much heavier than it would be if were just sitting on top of your head.
Both sides do demonize each other, that's not the question. The question is if they understand each other. Abortion is a perfect example. Conservatives understand the liberal position, that a woman's "right" to an abortion is more important than a fetus's "right" to live. Obviously they disagree, and obviously they consider the other view abhorrent. But they understand what that view is.

On other other hand, liberals overwhelmingly do not understand conservative positions. Sticking with the same issue of abortion, most liberals say conservatives oppose abortion because they hate women and want to control their bodies. This despite the fact that the majority of people opposed to abortion are women. They simply believe the reverse of what I stated above: that the fetus's "right" to live is more important than the woman's "right" to have an abortion.
I literally can't wait for N-Gate's distillation of this thread.
>Alertness is a state of mind. Insight is not.

Says who? Insight in general is not the same as information.

Even without drugs a person can understand something instinctively but be totally unable to convey the notion to others (I'm reminded here of St. Augustine: "What then is time? If no one asks me, I know what it is. If I wish to explain it to him who asks, I do not know").

Besides, all kinds of artists, writers, thinkers and even a few scientists, have gotten interesting insights while on psychedelic drugs which remained tangible (in the form of songs, writings, etc) when they got off the drugs.
by default every value is required, until optional is set to true
==Just check old headless from 2009-2017 of all the failed predictions of crisis.==

You could just as easily check the old headlines from 2006-2008 that told us we were in a "Goldilocks" economy and would live in an endless bull market.
This is interesting, but I get the feeling that the investigator decided that his hypothesis was true and then went searching for proof.

This is a very dangerous approach, particularly when it comes to history--it's very easy to cherry pick your supporting documents, and it's even easier to interpret events in a way that supports your narrative if that's your goal. It's also important to remember that none of this research has been reviewed yet.
If only there were pipes to peoples homes to provide them with safe water for bathing and drinking.
Off-topic / website format: it's disheartening to see that even an institution like the Smithsonian must serve so much crud to deliver us what is essentially 14 sentences + 2 quotations worth of material...
>We're 21st century plumbers.

I tell people this all the time when they ask what I do. I've met quite a few master plumbers, and they are extremely intelligent technical geniuses for the most part. I'm completely convinced that I would have been one of them (or some other trade craft) if I were born 50 years ago.
Outline – no more paywalled articles etc.
I wish the guy would have let him answer as to what the CompSci equivalent of that T-Shirt is.
You don’t consider 100% exposure to purely US equities a problem? It’s a huge risk, especially in this market.

With a couple billion you can get yourself some nice deals in a bunch of different asset classes. Also with that kind of money you can put a chunk of your money in illiquid investments that potentially could provide some great returns.
Best practices for creating indexes in MySQL
A crash course in tuning hyperparameters for machine learning models
I've also heard that story with several different people in the place of Jobs (mid 90's it was almost always Bill Gates, for example), making me believe it to be apocryphal.
I mean, you can argue that’s essentially what religions are. One person goes off, hallucinates, ...
My guess is that this is a paraphrase by Tom Zito using his own speech patterns (and the general style of the Apple group). Since you were there you might remember Don's actual words, or we could always ask him.
Also see this podcast from reply all:
https://www.gimletmedia.com/reply-all/124
I know it is off topic, but has anyone else looked at the source for that site? I know I'm old school, but really? It's quite absurd the actual content to payload ratio.
Yes, the Hindley-Milner type system: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindley–Milner_type_system
We could get rid of the holiday season.
Show HN: The Easiest DIY Phone System for Your Small Business
On one level I agree with you. But... if the problem is later, why can't we solve it later? What kind of hurdles are people fearing Google might introduce here such that it makes switching to another browser impossible in the future?

Put another way, isn't it OK for users to experience temporary discomfort and inconvenience? If it truly gets bad, someone else will eventually eat their lunch, and everyone (except Google!) is happy again. See: Microsoft.
Yes, Focus is specifically designed for use as a default browser to quickly and safely open links and perform one-off tasks. It's recommended that it be used alongside another browser for more long-term sessions and cases where you want history preserved.