skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It's crystal clear when you book that you can either pay for a reserved seat or be assigned one randomly. If sitting together is important to you, pay for a reserved seat.

The constant complaints of Ryanair are ridiculous. You're paying $25 to fly from London to Dublin -- an amazing deal -- so, yes, it's not going to be first class accommodations.
Yes. I know newspapers sell ads. And I'm familiar with the fact that journalists may have biases and special interests.

I never said anyone should put their full faith in newspapers.

But they're certainly better edited than the Facebook feed.
Not directly answering the question, but, one I've been thinking about: what skills/traits allow a person to make such predictions with high accuracy?

One thing is that I think you need a pretty wide set of priors--breadth. Stuff like history, anthropology, economics, the history of art. Lots of knowledge about human behavior, politics, culture, stuff like how emotions guide behavior, etc.

When I look at a typical STEM education, we deliberately don't prioritize this stuff. We know lots of things about how electrons behave and which sorts of functions grow the fastest and how cellular mitosis works. Not as much about why empires fall, the role of greed in political revolutions, or the changing role of women over the last 500 years. I think this puts HNers (I think STEM people are probably overrepresented here) at a significant disadvantage at making these kinds of broad predictions.

The thing we do have going for us is our ability to understand the course technology is going to take: what's possible, what will and won't work, and why.

I also wonder whether the people you're around influence your ability to predict what's next. On one hand, it's a well-established fact in social science that many social trends, at least in the US (things like marriage and divorce rates, educational trends, changing attitudes around dating, purchasing behaviors), start in the upper-middle classes, as they have the numbers (population) to make real differences in buying habits, politics, etc., whereas the rich have more money but much smaller population. On the other hand, the lower classes in the US vastly outnumber what I'd consider a typical HN reader. Something like 70% of US adults don't even have a bachelor's degree, and the US median income for an individual is around $40K. Keep that in mind as you think about this stuff.

One guy I'll point out who's studied this topic (predictions) a lot is Philip Tetlock (https://www.sas.upenn.edu/tetlock/). He's spent much of a long, fruitful academic career studying questions like whether it's possible for certain people to consistently do better than random at predicting things, and what sorts of traits make those people better. I won't try to summarize a 30+ year academic career here other than to say he does seem to believe it's possible to beat the odds. Good reading; check it out.
I am curious what the 3rd party bounty/revenue model is & if fixing/locking edits to verified owners would inversely affect G's & 3rds revenues. I ask b/c every licensed biz owner I know who have not utilized Goog's biz profile service(?) get dozens of calls a week to "activate your Google account NOW!". Quite off-putting & a very significant waste of their(the owners') time deflecting the onslaught.
He was in fact detained by the sergeant in arms, according to the articles I've read.

The rest I agree with, but the goal would be to give Facebook a chance to intervene
I took a quick look and I'm not readily seeing it, so either you aren't doing it or you are doing it badly, but this here is your value position that you need to promote:

There are two things I would like to purchase - continuous integration as well as a discourse.org account.

These would be about $200 per month. These would dramatically improve my performance and contribute back to the community.

Also, stop using the terminology "donations." You need to frame it as you are providing something of value and you need to be compensated for it. "Donations" are gifts, not compensation for a service you value.

Then add up the hours you spend on the project, multiply by some hourly rate you think is reasonable or would be willing to accept and set your goals at that amount to cover "tech support", plus the amount listed above for the things you need to pay for to enhance the product.
Have you been to an ENT specialist?

I grew up with chronic nose issues. When I was about 12 years old I was told I had enlarged adenoids which should be operated on. However, mostly due to my own laziness and the fact that you can get by without the surgery, I didn't get the procedure done. Every single year, I suffered from what seemed like perpetual flu for 6-8 months. I never remember being able to breath from both my nostrils. When I slept at night, my watch with a sleep monitor would report just 2-3 hours of sleep since I had to keep switching sides every half an hour or so (if your right nostril is blocked and you sleep on your left, then it will slowly unblock itself but then the left one might block itself). Basically, life sucked.

So just last month (after a really bad flight where I ended up with blood in my eardrums because my insides were incapable of equalising pressure), I bit the bullet and got a CT scan done and went to an ENT. The doc took one look at my scan and basically said "I can't believe you can actually breath at all". I had a really bad DNS (deviated nasal septum) and chronic sinusitis. On his recommendation, I got a FESS + septoplasty procedure done. The surgery itself was fairly short (~1 hour) but the post-op follow ups were somewhat unpleasant..

However, I would highly recommend the procedure to anyone who suffers from similar problems. Even though it has been little more than a month since the surgery and I can't give final judgement, I can breath from both my nostrils for the first time in my life. I am sleeping much better and I think my stamina has gone up a little as well. Probably the most important thing is that having flu like symptoms made me extremely cranky and short tempered in the past, and that is gone now. Life just seems better!
Looks like a schema to allow the code to decide the real schema at runtime. A poor mans mongodb.
The reason that Linux took off was because it gave the FSF a working operating system kernel they could use to build their UNIX replacement. It was a rare case where someone's personal project matched perfectly with the needs of a group they were associated with. People wanted a replacement OS and Linus delivered just enough people could make that happen.
What a shame downvotes are anonymous.
I think that would be forbidden* - a machine doesn't have to use semiconductors or even electrical current to be a machine.

* "Thou shalt not make a machine in the likeness of a human mind."
I have the feeling in the US, the rate of increase of partially meatless, vegetarian, and vegan households is going to increase. (i.e., meatless adoption acceleration)

The polling seems to be all over the map with Gallup saying that vegetarianism was just 6% in 1999 and 5% in 2018 showing no growth [1] while other publications say 6% of US consumers now claim to be vegan, up from just 1% in 2014 [2].

In my experience it is definitely the latter. In my part of the country, it used to be that grocery stores carried Boca burgers at best in specialty parts of the store. Now they carry several brands in dedicated sections typically labeled something like "Meatless Meals". Instead of just Boca, it is now routine to see Boca, Gardein, and Beyond Meat. The last of which is reportedly going to go public as a company[3]

1: https://news.gallup.com/poll/238328/snapshot-few-americans-v...

2: https://www.reportbuyer.com/product/4959853/top-trends-in-pr...

3: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beyond-meat-is-going-publi...
>Mainstream crypto currency.

my prediction about this is that the existing private cryptocurrencies will peter out but that we'll see a large rise in government 'e-dollar/krona/etc' alternatives, essentially as an electronic alternative to cash.
I think you're probably right. I suspect it will get a bit worse for a while, but eventually I expect some sort of collective epiphany that our mobile devices are ruling us, instead of the other way around.

But maybe I'm letting hope sneak into my predictions.
I'm not in ML, but one thing I remember from school (a million years ago, before ML was big) is that Newton's method needs a matrix inversion every iteration, which is expensive when you have a lot of decision variables. Not sure why other old school algorithms like conjugate gradient aren't used though.

I guess for rectified linear activation functions the second derivative isn't useful. Maybe that's it.
The office of the clerk of court is hours away in another state. And its been the weekend so hasn't been open. Based on the traffic record I pulled on myself yesterday it shows payment never received from the court, although I have a receipt for $312 bucks paid. Maybe a simple fix but Im paying to have someone take care of it. Since I now have a court date in another city I live hours from during a work week.
> If you have a receipt from the court showing that the fine was settled, how can they be saying they never got the money?

Because they're the ones with the power to give your license back, so you either do what they say or spend the next year without a license trying to work out what went wrong. They're the court - nothing happens to them when they screw up.
Most Meetings Are an Hour and That’s Too Long
That technique is for people that have well developed bodies. You can try 3-in, 4-out, 1-hold, repeat. As smoothly as possible.

Use a timer, don't count. Don't think about stuff while you're at it, just watch the timer and keep it smooth.
This comment violates the HN guidelines by introducing extraneous flamebait. Nationalistic flamewar is not welcome here, especially not in new threads, which are sensitive to initial conditions. You've also violated the guidelines by snarking. If you'd please review https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and follow the rules from now on, we'd appreciate it.

That article is from 2015 and concerns a single supplier that made false claims at the time.
I'm a medical student who uses Anki religiously. I'll vouch for it any day. Currently, I see around 300-1,000 flashcards a day and have been doing it for almost a year straight. Without Anki, I am not sure if I'd be doing nearly as well in school. It is really a game changer for my education (at least my medical education). I wish it was more user friendly, but it is free (on Android) so I can't complain.

As for Supermemo comparison, Anki has been much easier for me to sync / utilize decks offline. I just keep a 24K card deck on my phone and sync it occasionally for a backup then I'm good to go.
What's the actual allegation here? That by charging money to choose a seat, families are discouraged from paying money to choose to sit next to each other and so often end up split up?

I'm not a huge fan of the trend to charge for seat choice. But doing so lets less price-sensitive people who are picky about seat choice to subsidize everyone else.

To account for the safety issue, probably the ideal would be requiring parents accompanying a minor to pay for one choice seat (in that, once the random seat is assigned, they should be able to choose for the other seat to be adjacent to it). That'd stick in people's craws, though.
"WWII.. German soldier..."

"No idea what triggered it..."

Really? I don't agree with it, but it is almost certainly just "hey that's a nazi!"
> We don’t have evidence the airlines used an “exploitative” algorithm

Don't we? Europe’s biggest airline said:

'those who don’t pay to choose a seat are “randomly” assigned one'

Well that is an algorithm for splitting non paying families up in almost all cases, isn't it?
> Business skills and corporate strategy should be taught earlier, at the highschool levels, instead of requiring a dedicated MBA.

How would you teach corporate strategy in a way that’s simultaneously honest (and useful to the individual) and palatable?

Maybe if you limited yourself to strategy within coops, where the individual’s incentives really are aligned with the incentives of everyone else in the organization, or mid-level management, where you only have a certain category of power - but that’s less useful because coops aren’t so common and mid-level management is ultimately subjected to what the upper levels decide.

In the end, individuals with positions where they have to worry about “business skills” or “corporate strategy” don’t usually have incentives which are aligned with the people at other rungs on the ladder. If you teach corporate strategy in an honest fashion, a not-insignificant portion of your material will be how to effectively redirect money from other areas in the organization to yourself. Most of your students will see that at stealing.

Or maybe you don’t teach how to leverage these strategies, but just how to spot them in action?

Either way, K-12 is traditionally focused on skills that are more foundational and generally useful. Admittedly, that’s changing as some schools introduce things like CS courses, but usually these are electives and not part of the core curriculum.
I realize this is probably not the most thought-provoking "Ask HN" (something like "best tutorials" or "how to learn math notation" I saw posted). But, I've been a long time lurker, and so this is my first post. Additionally, hopefully the practical nature of the topic should prove to be engaging enough for a discussion.
the promise of a "panacea"

Especially considering that the “panacea” of OxyContin’s “impossible to abuse” marketing is kinda what got us into this mess in the first place.
We use this is production. It is fast, looks good, decent API. The kind of thing that makes the web go round. Thanks, whoever made it!
Cool but is there something similar yet less expensive for not-really-industrial usage? Built-in UPS and hardware watchdog seem really valuable for almost everybody.
I've long dremead of a architecture view that was zoomable, zooming in enough would end up on the actual code, but zooming out a lot would show you app server +database basically.
As long as the phone companies get paid for them, they'll keep letting you dial them.
That there will only be clean energy because using anything else will cost more and be disadvantageous. The Countries that move to cheap/free clean energy will have an advantage of cost in manufacturing, etc.

Electric cars will be the norm, it will cost significantly more to drive an ICE car.

Air Travel will still be brutal.

Jobs will be more difficult to find and keep for the untrained and uneducated. Most services will be self serve or accessed remotely with little to no human help required.

Self Medical Diagnosis will be available to everyone who has a mobile phone like device. You will have access to all your vitals and through your camera be able to determine certain ailments reducing doctor visits.

Exoskeletons will replace wheel chairs for certain injuries and conditions.

Affordable Treatments (Stem Cell/Exosomes) will be available for curing, rejuvenation and general well being.

The rate that processor power/AI/Quantum Computing/Machine Learning/etc is progressing, will drive more change in the next 10 years than in the last 50.
If your baby has trouble breast-feeding, definitely ask nurses and pediatricians repeatedly about tongue-tie. A posterior tongue tie is particularly easy to miss in a kid (and there are still some docs who say it's not possible, or something). Not only can you potentially avoid all the problems the parent poster here mentions, but the kid and mom (if trying to breastfeed) can be saved a lot of short-term grief if such a thing is found and treated!
I've managed to survive a few hours without my smartphone.

I now also live in an American city made for cars, not humans, so "jaywalking" is basically required to make any sane progress. So for grocery shopping, it'd take that trade-off.
Fwiw:

Most new grads suck at coding.
The self taught are often a little better.

The algorithms and data structures part is a toss up.
Maybe they are good at class and bad in interviews, but ...
On average I haven't seen the correlation you have.
Which is why you scrap the MVP and rebuild your product with the people who are passionate about the technology and architecture.
>I am lucky. I can pay that. It sucks but some people would be out food money if they suddenly had to pay $500 to drive again.

Absolutely, court fees and fines disproportionately punish those with low incomes. Increasing enforcement of low level violations by surveillance tech and/or AI is going to crush a lot of people if we don't change that fact.

https://www.npr.org/2014/05/19/312158516/increasing-court-fe...

https://www.citylab.com/equity/2017/09/municipal-courts-war-...
It's not that people don't want to ever be identified, it's that they don't want to constantly be identified and tracked with no way to opt out.

This is also a false dichotomy: Google not tracking us online would not prevent it from verifying our true identities with regard to e.g. editing maps information.
I've tried to report this map spam before - details at https://shkspr.mobi/blog/2018/04/hundreds-of-thousands-of-sp...

Happy to be contacted if you'd like more information.
“Competing”? Synergistic, surely.
> where is the modern 'IDE' for the Software Architect?

Generally architecture is about imposing constraints on the system. If you think about it that way, what you really want is not to be treating Visio and PowerPoint documents as the primary artifacts. You want to define the modules (in Parnas's sense) and their interfaces and executable specifications. You want tooling that lets you constrain what modules may use other modules, automatically test modules, automatically mock modules, and be alerted when the constraints are broken.

Now, most of the tooling for this probably doesn't exist, or exists in partial, widely scattered forms. For example, you can define a Java package with the interfaces of a module and then have some kind of hook in the build system that checks that it is not being imported in places it shouldn't be. You can mark the interfaces that should be considered architectural constraints with a custom annotation and build a tool to extract out all uses of them and plot connections.

But I am unaware of any toolkit that will do what you want.
Correct.

A normal C program has full reign over the entire process memory space.

A wasm program only has access to the call interface provided to it and its linear memory region allocated to it.

The guarantees are much different and greatly in favor of wasm. In wasm the stack and the code segments are off limits.
I wonder if this needs its own language. It looks like c# from a quick glance. I wonder if static analysis on an existing language would be just as good. In any case I love this idea.
yep. Lawyer informed yesterday these types of cases are low priority and will often be continued for months. So each time I had a court date I would be traveling 6ish hours round trip only to have it continued. Since I have a job and am generally not able to travel for 6 hours during the week I will be paying a lawyer to deal with this mistake.
What about this doesn't pass the smell test?

People aren't going to trust a receipt over the system they use. It's as simple as someone checking their computer seeing that OP never paid and then forwarding it to the right place. It's not like the cop has the power to override the system because that would be nightmare in terms of accountability and potential abuse.

Yea, it sucks and it's unfair, but there's nothing unbelievable about it. For any set of rules, there are always going to be people that fall through the cracks.
"Never underestimate the poor taste of the public"

I had a neighbor who would swat flies outside.. There's a lot of crazy idiots around. I am no longer surprised by their disturbing frequency of appearance.
Ok, we've switched to that from https://towardsdatascience.com/comparison-of-the-best-nsfw-i....
Side remark: A few screenshots and/or video would be a great intro to get a feel of the program
Studios have the airplane edits of many movies.. not sure why they won't let you select that on the Netflixes.

My 14 yo would be very happy to select those versions.
No need to take my word for it. See "Editing and Special/Visual Effects" by Charlie Keil, Kristen Whissel p. 222:

"One of the more ingenious examples is Escape From New York, which features a wire-frame flight approach display constructed by adding reflective tape to all the building edges of a miniature city model"

It was also covered in Cinefex (must've been sometime in the early 80's if you want to search the back catalogue).
Set dates and work backwards. Even better, get people to pay you and the then a date. Desiring to meet the expectations of paying customers can motivate you to cut the fat.
A small discussion from last year: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14997702
> How else could it be so certain of any given person's identity, in densely and highly populated areas?

I'm pretty sure this is a fake story planted to hype some technology. Facial recognition cant identify in the wild one person among several million possible candidates with enough certainty for sending out fines.
Making occasional mistakes while applying formal knowledge seems to be qualitatively quite different from making suboptimal decisions because you’re improvising due to lack of such formal knowledge.

In some domains you don’t have a choice; there are too many moving parts, decision making is of necessity based on noisy and incomplete information, the domain is too messy for formal models to be useful. You just have to intuit and improvise. This is more often than not the case when human interactions are involved. Trying to impose engineering solutions to social problems usually ends in disaster.
Many people seem to think it is. I work on the area of secure software stacks and the #1 “helpful” suggestion I get is “why don’t you use WebAssembly?” As if that made a significant difference to the attack surface, at all.
Less incentive to overfish when fewer people depend on the industry for their jobs. And, just curious, is overfishing squid an actual problem? Seems like there is a problem with squid overpopulation in fact. http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2016/05/world-octopus-and-squ...
People will become even more absorbed in their electronics and our culture and social lives will continue to change because of it.

Right now we only unlock a tiny part of the potential of our electronics. This is because your system of input is very limited. The bottleneck is not your brain or the computer but the link between them. We will have very simple devices for input that allow you to communicate with your computers with incredible speed. This comment is taking like five minutes to type with my thumbs. You could make a device with today’s technology that would allow it to be done in seconds. And it would be cheap. Better than a keyboard and totally mobile.

Imagine that and then include improvements in Image and sound delivery. Then throw in full internet access everywhere for everyone via starlink. It’s going to make our phone habits look very quaint.
How large is 52 Factorial?
I get the impression that this study is flawed. The conclusion could have been something like, intelligent people dumbed down their speech when talking to someone they perceived as intellectually inferior to them. I'd like to see the same study repeats with white conservatives intellectuals and rednecks. That'd probably ended up with the same conclusion.