skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> I believe this is the second graph you should have used: The labor force participation rate.

Here's labor force participation for prime age workers[1] (which is similar to the prime age Employment-Population Ratio I posted above). The problem with your graph is that it's including everyone 16 and over - so baby boomer retirement makes an impact, as does the ACA (college students not working a job for benefits because they're covered by their parents, people who are retiring earlier because they don't have to wait for Medicare).

Though it's worth noting that even if, for some reason, you wanted to look at everyone over 16, the participation rate is still well above anywhere it was in the 50's, 60's, and most of the 70's. If you're looking at prime age, we're only a couple of percents below the highs in the 90's (and much higher than other periods).

> but I have yet to read any compelling predictions of new job sectors that will employ large numbers of people and can't be automated.

I'm always confused by this argument. Practically every day on HN there are articles about problems that it would be great if more people were working on. Replication crisis? Aging infrastructure? Global warming? Cancer research? Environmental destruction? Food scarcity? Documentation and bug hunting in software? Taking care of frameworks? Early childhood education? Heck, even beyond all the problems on Earth, there are plenty of people who want to work on things like sending people to Mars.

I just can't fathom how people can look at the world and say, "Yep, we don't really need to do anything more than what we're already doing."

[1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS11300060
It won't look like formal proofs. It won't look like mathematics.

That said, there will be progress in having the compiler prove that the program doesn't contain certain errors.
If 55 other developed nations can ban use of asbestos, we can too. There's no need to calculate the risk if we can just avoid it entirely. Why poison yourself if you don't need to?
The Saudi fund just made public that they own just under 5%, which is when you have to publicly declare to the SEC your holdings. This usually happens when there is an attempt at a hostile takeover. What Elon did was brilliant and he just countered it by tweeting this out. He is willing to take it private at the $420 price, probably way higher than the Saudi's were planning on. So now it'll be a race to see who can obtain >50% of the shares. Elon has a massive head start with how much he owns already, but the Saudi's fund is ridiculously huge right now ($250B) and I'm sure they have the ability to pull in another few hundred billion on demand. Kind of scary. Elon will need to find a stupid amount of capital and fast to do this.

It's very smart on Saudi Fund's part... They would own the worlds largest solar, battery, and EV producer. They could cover a desert in panels and sell the cars and batteries across Europe/Asia, while providing the power as well. They would once again have the largest control of the world's energy.
https://www.nola.com/environment/index.ssf/2017/06/sinking_f...

https://www.economist.com/united-states/2017/08/26/louisiana...

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/02/24/us/jean-lafit...

> Between 2004 and 2008 alone, Louisiana shrank by more than 300 square miles.
Start a Twitter campaign and get CNN to act against their best interests by taking on an important story that risks upsetting some of their major advertisers.

Without an 'event' like Cambridge Analytica and without some kind of underlying momentum (ie FB appearing in front of Senators) it's probably difficult for the story to catch fire. Then you have to get the press to ignore their business folks who will want to never talk smack of some of their revenue sources ...
for the sake of making a naturalistic fallacy.

That's not at all what the parent comment did.
Elon Musk tweets he’s thinking about taking Tesla private
I realize the simulations we're using to extrapolate the potential damage are just that -- extrapolations. However, we've been using the actual effects of the existing warming to improve those simulations. These simulations are increasingly indicating that we will raise sea levels by several meters, and that vast swathes of temperate land will become uninhabitable. While we don't know for certain this will happen, the hazards posed in the event that it does happen mean we need to take steps now.

If it could be reasonably expected the dumper knew Parathion were toxic at certain levels in the groundwater and they continued to increase those amounts, it would be reasonable to sanction them before the levels become unsafe. If you only apply sanctions after the damage is done, the sanctions don't really do anything. The best thing to do is to try to mitigate the risk rather than waiting for more information.
We're talking about NY Pizza, not Italian or Napoletana.
>So, what exactly happened?

The elites enact the laws they want.
They are tired of protecting the public's health when there are 7 billion people and the goal of the Georgia Guidestones clearly states a reduction in population is a goal.
This is why so many mutagens and pseudo-estrogens are being purposely placed into food and products in order to saturate the environment.
The elites believe that mutations create unique and desirable traits (think roses, orchids, dogs and stallions) and in order for the human race to evolve we need to speed up mutations and hybridization. (See also blacked.com)
Asbestos isn't going to create the next Einstein, though.
I suspect it is being allowed because it is cheap and lots of it exists, so "Why not try to make a profit from it even if it does make some poor people sick?
"If they were smart they wouldn't be poor!"
The "legislature" is mostly a circus to distract you from the action behind the curtain.
Your interests are going to be represented by one of the two major party candidates, whether you like it or not. And even if you're firmly on the side of "do not like," one of those candidates is almost certainly going to be less worse than the other. Maybe you think both of them have authoritarian tendencies, but only one of them openly talks about the press as the enemy of the people and tacitly encourages their followers to demonize and harass their opponents. Maybe you want universal health care and neither of the candidates support it, but one of them talks about shoring up and expanding the Affordable Care Act and the other one talks about repealing it. Maybe you think both of them are too beholden to Wall Street, but only one of them literally lives in a gold-plated penthouse a couple blocks away.

So, sure, it's your legal right not to vote. But it's my legal right to point out that by doing so, you are not nobly opting out of the system -- you're supporting the winner.
They don't, otherwise they wouldn't have to spam LinkedIn.
rclone (rclone.org) is like rsync for cloud providers. With cron it's very simple and effective.
Then perhaps the likeliest explanation is that the account was created, then deleted. Google accounts do not get recycled. It should be straightforward to verify that theory, although it might take a month for it to enter a hard-deleted state (I've never done that).

The people who could figure what happened are those that work on GAIA (https://developers.google.com/issue-tracker/concepts/access-...). Account information and history are a touchy issue, so I doubt anyone would get involved, unless they had reason to (abuse, legal action, proper law enforcement request, etc.). Looking up user information on a hunch is a sure way for an employee to get in trouble, since access to the directory is heavily tracked. Even acknowledging the existence of an account at some point in the past carries risk...
I am not trying to be a fan boy here. I am genuinely curious.
What makes someone a leader in ML applications.

Google has more than studies and blog post about machine learning, apart from research and opensource ML applications, they are heavily dependent on machine learning in almost all their major product that I know of. For the most part they extremely good at it.

What and how does FB use machine learning in their product?
yes like Elon accusing that cavediver duude of being a pedo.

Maybe he knew who the registered sex offenders were?

Sometimes people cannot hide that stuff no matter how hard they try...Probably for the best. Truth will out.
If anybody does (which they don't) it would probably be your biological parents, jointly.
Yes it is sanboxed, but the memory inside of a WebAssembly module can still be corrupted, specially if it was compiled from any language without bounds checking enabled.
Also, if you find a kernel regression, be sure not to create a workaround in your userland application. The gods might get angry with you.
Or, when it's out: https://datatransferproject.dev/
> Hedging ... not the worst idea

Not at Tesla's valuation
Towards Progressive Delivery
What about creating a "Direct Democracy Lobbying Group" that lets citizens donate/vote online on issues and then (legally) bribes the appropriate people with total transparency?

The depressing thing about most bribery is how small the amounts of money are. Politicians take bribes in the form of campaign financing because they want to stay in power. It's easy for them to rationalize if they think they're serving the greater good, and many of them would probably prefer to take money from citizens instead.

It seems like one super rich person could fix every level of US politics by implementing a backdoor direct democracy and seeding it with matching donations. If crowdfunding has proven anything, it's that people have more than enough money to spend when they want something.

It's only now that everyone is on the internet that this idea is even possible, and no one has tried it yet.
Gerrymandering is a thing because politicians and those in the election-economy do have this data.

I agree it's a big problem to try to rig the vote in each rural county. But, to go into a metropolitan area and boost or suppress the vote would be easier, especially in states that have only a few big cities.

For example, a 10% adjustment in Phoenix might be enough to swing Arizona, as it has about 1/4 of the state's population.
That's basically a lie; the industry was already unifying around USB charging because it's so cheap to implement and reduces the part count.

(To the extent the EU did anything right, they correctly predicted the future, which is I suppose fairly impressive.)
Michael Dell actual did buy Dell, and got in major legal trouble for it.
It's an amazing story. HN discovered it.

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-06-01/michael-d...
Haha, same thought here. I think the drone would be way worse. I really don't think this is the best idea though it could work until a disaster happens.
I use gmvault to daily download email from all my accounts, I am going to look into other tools to handle photos/docs. It shouldn't be terribly hard to do docs/email (photos would require a lot more space).
> “The tweet caused a momentary pop in the stock price which was erased about 2 minutes after it popped. The market can be exceedingly good and correcting itself.”

interesting, i look at that same 2 minutes and think “a little market distortion”, because in that time, some institutional investor(s) probably took advantage of some individual traders using their algorithmically-enhanced speed and information asymmetry (not taking sides here, as both should know the game they’re in).

an “exceedingly good” correction wouldn’t have been a blip at all, because the correction would have been happening simultaneous to the distortion.
> With its combination of static and runtime checks

Do you personally use it? That "strong mode" is a theory-only thing, it doesn't work with any real code, only with code you wrote without real third-party libraries.
C#, Scala, Kotlin, TypeScript, et. al have a dynamic type. As long as every type isn't dynamic, I think it's reasonable to claim you have static types.
Write? What kind of savage are you? Take a picture of it.
Ehhh. Hashcat has a mode (2501) that operates assuming the PMK is known.

Rainbow tables are fairly useless though.
I would argue that the advent of PAC's and Citizens United has more or less obsoleted the positive case--which you're right, I don't object too. What I mean is, if I'm a politician and two lobbyist show up "explaining" if I listen to the one from a PAC with the briefcase full of campaign contributions, in the next election I'm more likely to stay a politician, so there's now a selective pressure toward corruption on politicians. The same goes for promises of lucrative jobs (Ajit Pai). So lobbying in some senses is collapsing toward the lowest common denominator because the "positive form" players have their cards trumped.
Is Musk the only celebrity this happens to?
Already posted in another comment, but these "LightDims" stickers work perfectly for me. They also have different colors to blend in with various cases: http://a.co/7KaPIM2

No affiliation, just recommend them to everyone when I have the chance!
And while we're at it, let's build the new Soviet man. The USSR only tried doing that for what, sixty years?

Your politicians aren't idiots, they rationally respond to the incentives in the system. What's broken is the system.
I think what killed Dart is that they emphasized their plans to make Dart a first-class scripting language of Chrome, so that you could use <script type="text/dart"> instead of JavaScript. This had a lot of backlash from literally everyone, I think mostly because they were bit too hard by IE doing the exact same thing just a few years before. Only after a few years the Dart team changed courses and said "never mind about that VM-inside-Chrome thing, we're just going to compile to JS like everyone else" but it was too late and nobody cared about Dart anymore and all the excitement and enthusiasm was gone. I think people don't realize just how much excitement and enthusiasm from a potential community makes or breaks a project when it's first announced.
The industry is fucked because it's focusing on making core technologies better and faster instead of optimizing specific websites? I couldn't disagree more.

In 10 years, the fixes made to existing websites will have been replaced with a new set of inefficiencies, but the benefits and drawbacks of today's physical infrastructure, protocols, and algorithms will endure.
"Hello! Patch is currently unavailable in most European locations.

We are working on a technical compliance solution, and hope to be able to provide our local journalism offerings to EU readers soon.

—The Patch Team"

I guess this is another day for GDPR
World’s Largest Battery Saved South Australia $8.9M in 6 Months
He was high on THC when he made the comment
Balancing Automation and the Human Touch
oh please. if it's not within the bounds of the echo chamber you clamp down on it without ever allowing discussion to form. Your style of proactive moderation does keep the site consistent, at the cost of a great deal of real thought.

Frankly, I think your style is god awful. I think you're ruining what could be a good discussion site with aggressive and arbitrary censorship of opinions you don't like.
Voat.co was also already taken.
> (...) very hard for small projects, like the team running Homebrew, to fund their security, yet they are likely to be a target for quite high end attackers, (...)

I disagree. Homebrew’s security considerations in this case have nothing to do with their funding. There are lot of terrific services available for next to nothing for open source projects, Jenkins is one of them. It must have been a conscious decision the way HB set up their CI, unaffected by funding.

And such lapses are not an open door jyst to “high end attackers”. This was a single person with just internet access and a little knowledge about how modern OSS projects work.
While we're at it, let's ban Displayport and force everyone to use HDMI. Oh, and all headphones must now connect over USB-C, as 3.5mm TRS is banned too.
>"Chlorine in water is not actually a meaningful problem."

There's the crux of the argument define "meaningful", because I think that is what everyone is arguing over in regards to asbestos.

There are no levels of radioactive alpha particles that are safe to ingest (surface contact, they can apparently be washed off), yet in Desert Storm our troops stomped right through the stuff regularly with no warning or protections. Go look up photos of troops near/on destroyed Iraqi tanks, the white powder is depleted uranium rounds. The wind blows it into the air and the troops breathed that stuff in.

Cancer in Iraqi civilians skyrocketed after that war, and US troops got the mysterious "gulf war syndrome"... (but no one official knows where that came from...) Do you think the Army/government didn't know the area was radioactively polluted?

While I don't have the chemistry degree to argue with you about the dangers of chlorine, my dad (who is a chemist) can. He won't put chlorine in his pool, he uses a bromide of some kind.

Also, there are tons of other toxins dumped into our food supply, including additives to the containers that don't need to be reported as ingredients, but are in the food none the less.

While I don't disagree that pathogens need to be killed in the pipes, and chlorine works pretty well for that, this isn't proof that it's safe to ingest. And considering the massive quantities in many peoples lives, comparing it on a minute level is disingenuous, as it's not just 4ppm if you encounter all day long, it can be dramatically higher than that.

And if anyone doesn't know, chlorine gas, a similar gas to mustard gas (used to kill many in World War 1) can be made by accidentally combining chlorine and another common house cleaner. And these people didn't die right away, in fact most didn't. The effects were longer term.

So to claim since there are no immediate health effects from exposure to chlorine is to dismiss the long term affects, of which, who knows what they are? Seems odd this isn't common knowledge since we know so much about asbestos which somehow one tiny speck of it will give you cancer?

I am not foolish enough to test if asbestos is dangerous, but the sheer willingness to ignore common sense and trust "ppm" and "safe in low concentrations" is likely why we have so much cancer and other diseases these days.
> And type annotations in Dart are optional - when programmers are not obliged to use them, guess what will happen?

The type system will infer a static type based on the type of the initializer.

In some cases, inference may fail to infer a type. Right now, that can silently give you dynamic, but there's a flag to make that an error. I expect before too long that will be the default behavior.
That is more or less correct. It is a way for state governments to enable "their side" to win easier. It will get worse as the demographic shift continues to strangle the GOP's support in swing states.
Yep. I believe the Saudi sovereign wealth fund has divested from or has mandates to divest from fossil fuel related investments.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/apr/01/saudi-arabi...
Maybe they wanted to be absolutely sure that they were complying with the law fully and make sure they had set up code and policies to easily enable data deletion and correction. The law is not just looking in your database to see if you have any "bad" fields.

You can look at the diff of their privacy policy on GitHub and see that they added/changed some of the 3rd party libraries that were used, possibly they felt the old ones were not compliant enough for them (they removed ChartBeat and replaced Localytics with Crashlytics).

https://github.com/Instapaper/privacy/commit/05db72422c65bb5...
Relevant XKCD https://xkcd.com/224/
Awesome work! One thing I would love to see here would be more examples on what each module generates, since it doesn't really provide those at the moment.
I think it's more about the precedent this would set
The drones would chase the birds away. And in cases when the birds are to be sucked by a jet's engine the autonomous drone would follow suit
I purposely black list any sites that complain about not able to load their ads. Using both is a better answer.
Thank you! It is kind of fascinating how much legacy from the typewriter era modern keyboard carry with them.
Do you have an online demo? Is it possible or the processing is too heavy for that?
shoo over a megaphone
Obligatory "I rigged an electronic vote" video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DzBI33kOiKc
This is something I did for our DnD group, the map was created collectively in a photo editing tool and then split up with MapTiler (https://www.maptiler.com/) which generates HTML/CSS/JS you can throw up on a server I have here: http://maps.opendnd.org/ao/. The main issues I found are some skewing from the original map and some pretty bad pixelation when you get to some of the lower levels. That could all be remedied with a better vector graphic for the map -- something to work on in the future.
The unhinged emotional reaction to asbestos in this thread is a good example of why lobbying is important. There is a cost-benefit analysis to be done for products containing asbestos, just like for any other product. Lobbyists present that analysis to the regulator. The alternative is regulation by knee jerk reaction, which undermines to point of regulatory agencies.
... and which they are supposed to provide upon request.
>Email me at ID @ DOMAIN.TLD for more info.

Generally, if you have to obfuscate the thing you want to post because you need to avoid a filter, it's unlikely that what you're posting is welcome in the place you're trying to post it.
Didn’t Hansen state that burning all coal and oil sand would do it? I‘m always wondering how much methane is assumed to be mixed in, as the amount of methane to be released is poorly understood as pointed out above.
You are, at best, confusing Dart 2 with Dart 1; strong mode was one of several Dart 1 modes, but, yes, it's possible to run into problems because dependencies weren't designed for it.

There is no option in Dart 2; everything is the equivalent of strong mode, which eliminates ecosystem problems.
This seems unlikely because most of the Flutter stack is implemented in Dart, except for the low-level graphics library. It would be more of a fork / rewrite.
OCaml is rough, but Clojure has quite a few nice libraries for getting up and running with a simple HTTP server - Ring is fairly simple and there are libraries and frameworks that build on top of it. Was there something in particular you found missing or struggled with?
I'm sorry Dart didn't work out for you, but I'm glad you found another language that's helping you. We're lucky to live in a time where there are lots of languages to choose from, each with its own strengths.
The Journal of Irreproducible Results[1], of course!

[1]http://www.jir.com/
I'm not sure if Business Insider has a paywall, so here's an outline.com link:

https://outline.com/R6XSyV
There is a theory from Freakonomics author Steven Levvit that the crime rate drop had much more to do with legalized abortion than the 3 strikes rule.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zk6gOeggViw

Primary evidence being that the crime rate started dropping everywhere in a similar proportion around that time, even in states without a 3 Strikes rule.
One example would be the automatic face detection of people that were not originally tagged in uploaded photos.
> The CEO has often bumped heads with Wall Street over how they perceive Tesla and its potential because he thinks the financial industry is too focused on short-term quarterly results over the long-term potential of the company.

Well, when the financial reports support the danger of bankruptcy in the near future, then he shouldn't be surprised that investors care about short-term outlooks.
Hans Rosling's 200 Countries, 200 Years, 4 Minutes – The Joy of Stats (2010)